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GHG Plaorm India is a civil society iniave providing an independent esmaon and analysis of India's Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions across key sectors, namely- Energy, Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU), Agriculture, Forestry & Other Land Use (AFOLU) and Waste. The Plaorm seeks to add value to the various ongoing GHG emission esmaon efforts by helping address exisng data gaps and data accessibility issues, extending beyond the scope of naonal inventories to state inventories, and by increasing the volume of analycs and policy dialogue on India's GHG emissions sources, profile, and related policies. The iniave esmates and assesses GHG emissions and removals from the following sectors: *Fuel combusted for Capve Electricity Generaon (Auto-Producers) has been reported under Energy sector. Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from 2005 to 2013 Trend Analysis of GHG Emissions in CHANDIGARH Chandigarh at a glance (2013) ENERGY AFOLU IPPU* WASTE 0.09% Populaon 0.03% Net GHG Emissions Per Capita Emissions 0.76 tCO₂e (Chandigarh) 1.93 tCO₂e (India) Forest Area 19% (Of Chandigarh‘s Total Area) 0.003% (Of India’s Forest Area) 9252 Persons/Sq.Km (Chandigarh) 382 Persons/Sq.Km (India) Populaon Density 0.003% 0.21% GDP Area

Trend Analysis CHANDIGARH · The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to 2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

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Page 1: Trend Analysis CHANDIGARH · The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to 2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

GHG Pla�orm India is a civil society ini�a�ve providing an independent es�ma�on and analysis of India's Greenhouse

Gas (GHG) emissions across key sectors, namely- Energy, Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU), Agriculture,

Forestry & Other Land Use (AFOLU) and Waste.

The Pla�orm seeks to add value to the various ongoing GHG emission es�ma�on efforts by helping address exis�ng

data gaps and data accessibility issues, extending beyond the scope of na�onal inventories to state inventories, and by

increasing the volume of analy�cs and policy dialogue on India's GHG emissions sources, profile, and related policies.

The ini�a�ve es�mates and assesses GHG emissions and removals from the following sectors:

*Fuel combusted for Cap�ve Electricity Genera�on (Auto-Producers) has been reported under Energy sector.

Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from 2005 to 2013

Trend Analysisof GHG Emissions in

CHANDIGARH

Chandigarh at a glance (2013)

ENERGY AFOLUIPPU* WASTE

0.09%Popula�on

0.03%Net GHG Emissions

Per Capita Emissions

0.76tCO₂e

(Chandigarh)

1.93 tCO₂e(India)

Forest Area

19%(Of Chandigarh‘s

Total Area)

0.003%(Of India’s

Forest Area)

9252 Persons/Sq.Km

(Chandigarh)

382 Persons/Sq.Km

(India)

Popula�on Density

0.003%

0.21%GDP

Area

Page 2: Trend Analysis CHANDIGARH · The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to 2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

Economy-wide Emission Estimates

Emissions of Chandigarh grew at a CAGR1 of 2.98% from 0.66 MtCO2e in 2005 to 0.83 MtCO2e in 20132

with a peak in 2010 and a decline thereafter as depicted in Figure 1. Energy sector remained the major

contributor of the emissions throughout 2005 to 2013. No emissions were registered from the IPPU

sector of Chandigarh across all the reference years. Notably, the AFOLU sector was an emitter of GHG

emissions from 2005 to 2010, however, from 2011 onwards it became a net sink of GHG. This

transition of the AFOLU sector from a net emitter to a net sink was responsible for the slight decline

in overall emissions of Chandigarh after 2010. In 2005, Energy sector had the major share of ~83% in

the total GHG emissions of Chandigarh followed by the Waste (~14%) and the AFOLU sector (~3%)

respectively. If emissions were considered excluding the removals from the AFOLU sector, ~72% of

the total GHG emissions were registered from the Energy sector and ~28% from the Waste sector in

Chandigarh in 2013 (Figure 2).

Figure 2: Sector-wise Contribution to Economy-wide GHG Emissions of Chandigarh

2005 2013

1 Compound Annual Growth Rate 2 Calendar year values have been considered for this analysis. For Global Warming Potential (GWP) calculations IPCC-ARII

values have been considered.

0.66 0.68 0.70

0.82 0.850.91 0.89

0.85 0.83

-0.20

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Emis

sio

n E

stim

ates

(M

tCO

2e)

Figure 1: GHG Emission Estimates for Chandigarh(2005 to 2013)

Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use Energy Waste Grand Total

3%

83%

14%

72%

28%

Energy

AFOLU

Waste

Page 3: Trend Analysis CHANDIGARH · The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to 2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

The per capita emissions of Chandigarh increased from 0.68 tCO2e in 2005 to 0.76 tCO2e in 2013,

resulting in an almost flat growth curve. The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to

2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

had very low per capita emissions across all the reference years as illustrated in Figure 3 above.

GHG emissions from the Waste sector of Chandigarh registered the highest CAGR of 13.70% from 2005

to 2013 amongst all other sectors (Figure 4). This was followed by the Energy sector which recorded a

much lower growth rate of 1.99% for the same period. The emissions from the AFOLU sector declined

at a rate of 2.89% (compounded annually) from 2005 to 2010 whereas the removals grew at a CAGR

of 0.46% from 2011 to 2013. When compared to India’s sectoral growth rates, all the sectors

registered lower growth rates except the Waste sector of Chandigarh which recorded a higher growth

rate when compared to India’s Waste sector CAGR (3.90%). However, the AFOLU sector transformed

itself from a net emitter to a net sink in 2011 and hence could not be compared to India’s AFOLU

sector emissions which declined at a negative rate of 1.95% during the reference period.

6.80%

1.99%

5.94%

-1.95%-2.89%

0.46%

3.90%

13.70%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

India Chandigarh

CA

GR

(%

)

Figure 4: Sector-wise GHG Emissions Growth Rate from 2005 to 2013

These growth rates have been compounded annually.

Energy IPPU

AFOLU Emissions India AFOLU Emissions Chandigarh (2005-10)

AFOLU Removals Chandigarh (2011-13) Waste

0.68 0.69 0.710.82 0.83 0.87 0.84 0.79 0.76

1.40 1.42 1.49 1.59 1.65 1.75 1.80 1.88 1.93

-0.50

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Per

Cap

ita

Emis

sio

n E

stim

ates

(tC

O2e

)

Figure 3: Per capita GHG Emissions for Chandigarh and India(2005 to 2013)

Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use Energy Waste Chandigarh India

Page 4: Trend Analysis CHANDIGARH · The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to 2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

Energy Sector Energy sector represented ~72% of the total emissions of Chandigarh (if values are considered

excluding the AFOLU sector) in the year 2013. In general, emissions from Energy sector arise from two

main sub-sectors – Fuel Combustion (Public Electricity Generation, Transport, Industries and

Agriculture, Commercial and Residential categories) and Fugitive. In Chandigarh, emissions were only

due to Fuel Combustion and no Fugitive emissions were observed during the years in consideration.

Emissions from the Energy sector grew at a CAGR of 1.99% from 0.55 MtCO2e in 2005 to 0.64 MtCO2e

in 2013. Since 2010, a sudden drop in the reporting of Petroleum Coke consumption by the industries

resulted in decline of emissions from the Industries category. This could be due to imposition of

stringent environmental norms within the jurisdiction. However, it is yet to be verified, whether that

has resulted into proportionately decline in the Industrial activity.

Transport was the major contributor of emissions in 2013 with a share of ~79% in the total Energy

sector emissions. Emissions from the Transport category grew at an estimated CAGR of 4.2% from

0.36 MtCO2e in 2005 to 0.5 MtCO2e in 2013. Road Transport remained the major contributor of

emissions with an average share of ~77% in the total emissions from this category across all the

reference years as depicted in Figure 6 below.

0.55 0.56 0.590.64 0.66

0.71 0.700.66 0.64

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Emis

sio

n E

stim

ates

(M

tCO

2e)

Figure 5: GHG Emission Estimates for Energy Sector in Chandigarh (2005 to 2013)

Agriculture Commercial Fisheries

Industries Residential Transport

Public Electricity Generation Total Energy

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

% S

har

e in

To

tal T

ran

spo

rt C

ateg

ory

Em

issi

on

s

Figure 6: Share of GHG Emissions for Transport Category (2005 to 2013)

Aviation Road

Page 5: Trend Analysis CHANDIGARH · The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to 2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

AFOLU Sector The AFOLU sector absorbed 0.0662 MtCO2e of GHG emissions from Chandigarh as the UT was a net

sink in the year 2013. Emissions from the AFOLU sector arise from three main sub-sectors namely

Livestock, Land and Aggregate Sources and Non-CO2 Emissions Sources on Land. No emissions under

Aggregate Sources and Non-CO2 Sources on Land were observed for Chandigarh across the reference

period. Till the year 2010, AFOLU sector acted as a net emitter. However, from 2011 onwards, the UT

acted as a net sink due to increased CO2 removals from the Land sub-sector. The overall AFOLU

emissions declined at a rate of 2.89% from 0.019 MtCO2e in 2005 to 0.016 MtCO2e in 2010. However,

removals from the AFOLU sector grew at a marginal CAGR of 0.46% from 0.0656 MtCO2e in 2011 to

0.0662 MtCO2e in 2013.

As illustrated in the Figure 7 above, the removals from the Land sub-sector grew at an enormous CAGR

of 46.6% from 0.004 MtCO2e in 2005 to 0.09 MtCO2e in 2013. The only positive emissions in this sector

were from the Livestock sub-sector. Within Livestock, it was found that ~91% emissions of the total

AFOLU emissions were due to Enteric Fermentation while the remaining 9% emissions were a result

of Manure Management in 2013 as depicted in Figure 8 below.

0.019 0.018 0.018 0.017 0.017 0.016

-0.0656 -0.0661 -0.0662

-0.10

-0.08

-0.06

-0.04

-0.02

0.00

0.02

0.04

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Emis

sio

n E

stim

ates

(M

tCO

2e)

Figure 7: GHG Emission Estimates for AFOLU Sector in Chandigarh (2005 to 2013)

Land Livestock Total AFLOU

91%

9%

Figure 8: Share of Emissions for the AFOLU Sub-sectors (2013)

Enteric Fermentation

Manure Management

Page 6: Trend Analysis CHANDIGARH · The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to 2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

Waste Sector The Waste sector contributed to almost 28% of total emissions (if values are considered excluding

AFOLU sector) of Chandigarh in 2013. Municipal Solid Waste3, Domestic Wastewater and Industrial

Wastewater are the key sources of GHG emissions in the Waste sector. In Chandigarh, no emissions

were observed from the Industrial Wastewater sub-sector. GHG emissions from Waste grew at an

estimated CAGR of 13.7% from 0.09 MtCO2e in 2005 to 0.26 MtCO2e in 2013. An interim rise in the

emissions of the Waste sector was observed in the year 2011 owing to increased emissions from the

Domestic Wastewater which reflects changing trends in use of various treatment systems as reported

in Census of India 2011 as depicted in Figure 10 below.

Domestic Wastewater had the maximum share of ~91% in the total emissions from the Waste sector

in 2013. In Chandigarh, emissions from Domestic Wastewater increased at CAGR of 15.7% from 0.07

MtCO2e in 2005 to 0.24 MtCO2e in 2013. Notably, ~100% emissions arising from Domestic Wastewater

emanated from the urban areas of Chandigarh across all the reference years. Notably, discharge of

untreated wastewater and use of septic tanks are key drivers of emissions in this sub-sector.

Municipal Solid Waste Disposal had an approximate share of ~9% in the total emissions of the Waste sector in the year 2013. The emissions from this sub-sector grew at an estimated CAGR of 2.5% from 0.019MtCO2e in 2005 to 0.023 MtCO2e in 2013. No emissions were observed from Industrial Wastewater category in the UT across all the reference yea

3 'Refers to emission in urban areas. Emissions from Municipal Solid Waste Disposal in rural areas are not considered, as

disposal predominantly occurs in a dispersed manner and does not generate significant CH4 emissions'

91%

9%

Figure 9: Category-wise Share of GHG Emissions for Waste Sector (in 2013)

Domestic Wastewater

Solid Waste Disposal

0.09 0.10 0.10

0.17 0.17 0.18

0.25 0.26 0.26

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Emis

sio

n E

stim

ates

(M

tCO

2e)

Figure 10: Emission Estimates for Waste Sector in Chandigarh (2005 to 2013)

Domestic Wastewater Solid Waste Disposal Grand Total

Page 7: Trend Analysis CHANDIGARH · The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to 2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

IPPU Sector Due to insignificant industrial activity within Chandigarh, no IPPU emissions were observed across the

reporting period.

Page 8: Trend Analysis CHANDIGARH · The observed CAGR of Chandigarh and India from 2005 to 2013 was 1.41% and 4.07% respectively. When compared to per capita emissions of India, Chandigarh

This document has been compiled and analysed by Vasudha Founda�on. All informa�on men�oned in this document is sourced from GHG Pla�orm India. To download this document and to know more about the Pla�orm, please visit www.ghgpla�orm-india.org or write to info@ghgpla�orm-india.org

The Pla�orm comprises of the following civil society:

The GHG Pla�orm India is a civil society ini�a�ve providing an independent es�ma�on and analysis of India's Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions across key sectors, namely- Energy, IPPU, AFOLU and Waste.

The Interna�onal Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) is the global leader in agricultural research for development in wheat and maize-based farming systems.

Shak� Sustainable Energy Founda�on works to strengthen the energy security of the country by aiding the design and implementa�on of policies that encourage energy efficiency, renewable energy and sustainable transport solu�ons.

Vasudha Founda�on, set up in 2010, is a not for profit organisa�on, working in the clean energy and climate policy space.

ICLEI - Local Governments for Sustainability is a leading global network of over 1,500 ci�es, towns and regions commi�ed to building a sustainable future.

WRI-India is a research organiza�on that turns big ideas into ac�on at the nexus of environment, economic opportunity and human well-being.

Center for Study of Science, Technology and Policy (CSTEP) is a not for profit research organisa�on incorporated in 2005 u/s 25 of The Companies Act, 1956.

The is one of South Asia's leading not-for-profit policy research Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW)ins�tu�ons. It uses data, integrated analysis and strategic outreach to explain – and change – the use, reuse, and misuse of resources.

Secretariat Contact

Vasudha Founda�on, CISRS House, 14 Jangpura B,

Mathura Road, New Delhi - 110014, India

Phone No. - 011-24372680

An ini�a�ve supported by