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Tropical Pacific decadal oscillation driven by the interaction between ENSO and mean state. Jung Choi , Soon-Il An Climate Theory Laboratory, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea. Introduction. Fedorov & Philander(2000). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Tropical Pacific decadal oscillation Tropical Pacific decadal oscillation driven by the interaction driven by the interaction
between ENSO and mean state between ENSO and mean state
Tropical Pacific decadal oscillation Tropical Pacific decadal oscillation driven by the interaction driven by the interaction
between ENSO and mean state between ENSO and mean state
Jung ChoiJung Choi , Soon-Il An , Soon-Il An
Climate Theory Laboratory,Department of Atmospheric Sciences,
Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea
Fedorov & Philander(2000)
Introduction
ENSO-like interdecadal variability in Tropical Pacific (Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability) ~ Decadal ENSO amplitude modulations
The physical mechanism is still unknown.
ENSOENSO
TPDVTPDV
SeasonalCycle
SeasonalCycle
Externalinfluence
Externalinfluence
Internal mode
TPDVTPDV
ENSOENSO
Introduction
Data
Ocean model OPA 8 GCM2°X 2°
(tropics lat :0.5°)
31 vertical levels
Sea ice model L-L-NHibler-type dynamic-
thermodynamic
Atmos. model ARPEGE : T63 31 vertical levels
Initial ocean stateLevitus (Antonov et al. 1998)
- temperature, salinity, sea ice
Integration period
260-yr
(last 200-yr for analysis
– monthly mean data)
(Dewitte et al. (2006, 2007), Cibot et al. (2005))
ENSO modulation
Biennial ENSO
Averaged power (2-7yr waves) N3Var index (Torrence & Webster)
Wavelet of Nino3 SSTA
N3Var index ENSO modulation (16-year)
Correlation between ENSO and mean state
Changes of mean state Lowpass-filtered (>7yr) SSTA , D17
(LSST)
(LD17)
Correlations
High-Var regime
Low-Var regime
N3Var
LD17
LSST
Correlation :: (N3Var ~ LD17)
0.54
Nonlinear rectification(ENSO mean state)
Mature phase
Transition phase
Mature phase PC
Tra
nsit
ion
PC
Asymmetry of ENSO EOF of Highpass-filtered (<7yr) D17
Positive feedback?
Residual heat content rectifies the mean state.
Mean state supports the High-Var ENSO conditions.
Decadal variability ENSO
Role of mean state(mean state ENSO)
Eigen analysis
Background field(mean state)
Generate Matrix
Eigenanalysis
SST, Wind,Thermocline depth,
Upwelling ... etc.
Based on CZ intermediate ENSO model
1st Eigenvector(most unstable mode)
Normalized PC1 of LD17
Composite the mean state on each 1,2,3,4 (SST, thermocline depth)
Experimental design
0.5
-0.5
0.5
-0.5
High-Var regime
Low-Var regime
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
Frequency [1/years]
0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36
Gro
wth
rat
e [1
/yea
rs]
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
SSTZ17SST+Z17CNTL
1SST
TH
1
1
ENSO Growth rate & Frequency
SST+TH
Deepening H in E. Pacific
ENSO unstable regime
Increasing asymmetry &
amplitude of ENSO
Warming SST
in E. Pacific
Reduction of Growth rate
SustainENSO
ENSO stable regime
Decreasing asymmetry
& amplitude of ENSO
Shoaling H in E. Pacific
Cooling SSTin E. Pacific
Increasing of Growth rate
Damp down ENSO
< Schematic diagram for TPDO >