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Truck and Rail Freight Trends at Selected U.S.-Canadian Border Crossings. Chris Dingman Northern Border Transportation Specialist United States Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration. TBWG Spring Plenary Minneapolis, Minnesota April 19, 2011 . Presentation Outline. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Truck and Rail Freight Trends at Selected U.S.-Canadian Border
Crossings
Chris DingmanNorthern Border Transportation Specialist
United States Department of TransportationFederal Highway Administration
TBWG Spring Plenary
Minneapolis, MinnesotaApril 19, 2011
Presentation Outline• Importance of Freight Movements to the
economies of the United States and Canada.• Truck Freight/Commodity trends for Detroit
and Buffalo and what might factors might impact those trends.
• Rail Freight trends among the Top 10 Highest Volume crossings focusing in particular on two groups: the Largest 3 and Next 7.
Why Focus on Freight along the U.S./Canadian Border?
• Canada is the United States’ largest trading partner and annually accounts for more than 20% of U.S. Exports.
• In 2009, the U.S. exported more (in US $ value) to Canada than to Mexico and China combined.
• 35 U.S. States count Canada as their largest export market.
• In 2010, surface transportation trade with Canada was almost $1.3 Billion (US) per day.
Sources: U.S. Department of Commerce, Brookings Institution, Bureau of Transportation Statistics-North American Transborder Freight Data
Truck FreightDetroit, Michigan/Windsor, Ontario
Buffalo-Niagara Falls, New York/Niagara Falls-Fort Erie, Ontario
4,000,000,000
4,500,000,000
5,000,000,000
5,500,000,000
6,000,000,000
6,500,000,000
7,000,000,000
7,500,000,000
8,000,000,000
8,500,000,000
9,000,000,000
Detroit/Windsor Truck Volumes by Month (In US$ Value) 2007-2010
2007
2008
2009
2010
3,000,000,000.0
3,500,000,000.0
4,000,000,000.0
4,500,000,000.0
5,000,000,000.0
5,500,000,000.0
6,000,000,000.0
Buffalo-Niagara Falls/Fort Erie Truck Volumes by Month (In $ Value) 2007-2010
2007
2008
2009
2010
Vehicles and Vehicle Parts
• Vehicles and vehicle parts are the largest volume commodity at the Detroit and Buffalo crossings. – Vehicle related freight was $45.4 Billion in 2010 or
41% of the total freight passing through Detroit.– Of the $45.4 Billion in vehicle related freight, $29
Billion (63.9%) is shipped via truck.– Buffalo’s vehicle related freight for 2010 was about
21% of its total volume ($15.6 Billion).• The auto industry plays a major role.
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics-North American Transborder Freight Data
Big 3 Automakers Market Share for Select Years
1965: 90.6%
1979: 79.6%
1998: 68.8%
2003: 59.4%
2008: 46.9%
2009: 43.7%
2010: 44.5%
Source: Ward’s Automotive and Prof. Mark Perry, University of Michigan-Flint
19651968
19711974
19771980
19831986
19891992
19951998
20012004
20072010
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
U.S. Vehicle Sales Market Share for Big 3: Chrysler, Ford, Gen-
eral Motors 1965-2010Pe
rcen
t
Big 3 Automaker Trends
• 2010 is the first year that the Big 3 have gained market share since the mid-1990s.
• Many analysts are projecting additional Big 3 market share growth through 2015.
• New vehicle technology will have a significant impact.
Rail Freight TrendsSelected Crossings
Source of all data in this section:Bureau of Transportation Statistics-North American Transborder Freight DataBase Maps Source: ESRI
Largest 3 and Next 7 • The three highest volume (US$) Northern Border Rail
Freight crossings are:– Detroit, MI/Windsor, ON– Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY/Fort Erie-Niagara Falls, ON– Port Huron, MI/Sarnia, ON
• The next seven highest volume crossings (US$) are:– International Falls, MN/Fort Frances, ON– Portal, ND/North Portal, SK – Blaine, WA/Douglas, BC– Champlain-Rouses Point, NY/Lacolle, QC– Pembina, ND/Emerson, MB – Eastport, ID/Kingsgate, BC– Sweetgrass, MT/Coutts, AB
Largest 3 Rail Crossings
Port Huron
Detroit
Buffalo
Next 7 Rail Crossings
BlaineEastport
Sweetgrass
Portal
Pembina
International Falls
Champlain
Total Rail Freight Volume of Top 10 Northern Border Crossings 2010 (US $)
Port of Entry 2010 (US $)
Port Huron, Michigan 23,405,014,471
Detroit, Michigan 19,085,031,554
Buffalo-Niagara Falls, New York 10,061,096,434
International Falls/Rainer, Minnesota 7,743,119,760
Portal, North Dakota 6,872,212,311
Pembina, North Dakota 3,018,330,147
Blaine, Washington 2,864,649,358
Champlain-Rouses Point, New York 2,752,822,682
Eastport, Idaho 2,237,631,159
Sweetgrass, Montana 1,295,953,855
Top 10 Rail Freight Volume Growth by Percentage 2000-2010
Port of Entry 2000-2010 Growth
Port Huron, Michigan -5.0%
Detroit, Michigan 122.0%
Buffalo-Niagara Falls, New York -30.5%
International Falls/Rainer, Minnesota 95.7%
Portal, North Dakota 213.4%
Blaine, Washington 96.5%
Champlain/Rouses Point, New York 175.1%
Pembina, North Dakota 1427.7%
Eastport, Idaho 146.7%
Sweetgrass, Montana 175.6%
Lg. 3 81%
Next 719%
2000
Lg. 366%
Next 734%
2010
Percentage of 3 Largest Freight Rail Crossings and Next 7 Crossings Total Volume of Top 10 Crossings in
US$ for 2000 and 2010
Summary
• Northern Border has significant economic impact on the U.S., Canada, and the World.
• It appears truck freight volumes are at or near pre-recession levels.
• Truck Freight volumes are impacted by trends in commodity type. Vehicles/vehicle related freight is the highest volume commodity in value at the busiest Northern Border crossings.
• Recent trends show Rail Freight volumes spreading out along the entire Northern Border.
Thank you!
Christopher DingmanNorthern Border Transportation Specialist
FHWA-Michigan Division(517) 702-1830