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Trust in official statistics- the role of the UK Statistics Authority in Scotland
Neil Jackson
Scotstat Conference, 29 October 2009
Coverage of presentation
• Evidence on trust in official statistics• The UK Statistics Authority’s monitoring and
assessment functions• Assessment in Scotland – the story so far• Engaging with users
ONS Omnibus, 2007
Figures are generally accurate
Figures are produced
without political
interference
Government uses
figures honestly
% % %
Agree 36 20 16 Neither agree
nor disagree 31 23 26
Disagree 33 57 58
Views about official statistics in GB
Views about official statistics in Scotland
Scottish Social Attitudes Survey 2007
On a scale of 0 to 10, how confident are you that official statistics published by the Scottish Executive are accurate?
%
0 - 3 Low 15
4 - 6 Medium 45
7 - 10 High 30
DK/NA 9
Mean 5.43
EU Eurobarometer 2007
Do you trust official statistics?
Tend to Trust Tend not to trust DK
UK Statistics Authority
The Authority’s statutory objective
to promote and safeguard the production and publication of official statistics that serve the public good
Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007
Monitoring
Monitoring reports
• Migration statistics• Listening to the user voice• Barriers to trust in crime statistics• Review of pre-release access
Issues log
M&A notes
M&A note on knife crime statistics
Assessment aims
• to determine whether the Code of Practice for Statistics has been complied with and to designate the statistics as National Statistics (or not to designate …)
• to help the producers of official statistics to enhance the quality of the statistical service over a period of time
• to communicate to Parliament and the public the extent of compliance with the Code
National Statistics logo
Code of Practice for official statistics
• Principle 1: Meeting user needs• Principle 2: Impartiality and objectivity• Principle 3: Integrity• Principle 4: Sound methods and assured quality• Principle 5: Confidentiality• Principle 6: Proportionate burden• Principle 7: Resources• Principle 8: Frankness and accessibility
Initial assessments of Scottish Government statistics
• Recorded Crime in Scotland
• Scottish Health Survey
• Scottish House Condition Survey
• Scottish Crime and Justice Survey
• Statistics on Children Looked After by Local Authorities in Scotland
Initial findings from assessment
• Process welcomed by producers – some have started their own self-assessment reviews
• Good engagement with government users, but less so with external users
• Good confidentiality protection
• Presentation and accessibility – some scope for improvement
• More documentation needed on aspects of the Code
Typical requirements from initial assessment reports
• Publish a plan for engaging with users
• Publish a statement on the needs of users and the uses of the statistics
• Publish annually the cost of the burden on suppliers
• Include a clear statement on data quality in the publication
• Publish a statement of administrative sources
Next round of assessments
• Labour market statistics• Schools statistics• 2001 census• Cancer & cancer screening• NHS workforce statistics• Child protection statistics• Transport statistics• Lifelong learning statistics• Business statistics• Environment and rural statistics
Workshops on trust in statistics
Listening to the users’ voice
• Do you trust official statistics?• What are your views on the devolved Scottish
statistics that you use?• How can the Authority best engage with you?• What would be a good topic for an Authority
monitoring report?
Website
UK Statistics Authorityhttp://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/