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CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: What well-being and sustainability measures? Towards New Well-Being and Sustainability Measures Initiatives taken by National Statistical Offices Eduardo Pereira Nunes [email protected] Economist, Professor at PUC-Rio University and at MBA of Fundação Getúlio Vargas Former President of Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) Paris, 12 October 2011

Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

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Page 1: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011

OECD Conference Centre, Paris

Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report:

What well-being and sustainability measures?

Towards New Well-Being and Sustainability Measures

Initiatives taken by National Statistical Offices

Eduardo Pereira Nunes [email protected]

Economist, Professor at PUC-Rio University and at MBA of Fundação Getúlio Vargas

Former President of Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE)

Paris, 12 October 2011

Page 2: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

1st Youth Wave

2nd Youth Wave

Brazilian GDP

2 Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 3: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

1986 1981

1948

2009

1973

GDP 1947/2010

Economic and Demographic Evolution

1963

3 Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after

the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 4: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

4.6

16.7

20.0

25.3

17.0

6.05.1

5.2

4.3

9.2

18.5

28.7

21.9

7.0 5.3

5.1

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0%

Minimum Wage

2000 2010

Private housing units distribution by classes of monthly nominal

income per capita (in real minimum wage of July 2010) Brazil – 2000/2010

Source: IBGE. 2010 Population Census. (Preliminary Results of the Universe)

(1) Including housing units that received only benefits.

4 Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 5: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

189.6

337.7

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

jul-00 jul-01 jul-02 jul-03 jul-04 jul-05 jul-06 jul-07 jul-08 jul-09 jul-10

IPCA Minimum Wage

Source: IBGE and Ministry of Labour.

Minimum wage and inflation 2000-2010

(July 2000 = 100)

Months

5

Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 6: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

6

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

28

Jan

/01

Jun

/01

No

v/0

1

Ap

r/0

2

Sep

/02

Feb

/03

Jul/

03

Dec

/03

May

/04

Oct

/04

Mar

/05

Au

g/0

5

Jan

/06

Jun

/06

No

v/0

6

Ap

r/0

7

Sep

/07

Feb

/08

Jul/

08

Dec

/08

May

/09

Oct

/09

Mar

/10

Au

g/1

0

Jan

/11

Interest Rate and ICP - 12 Months - %

Selic Anual

IPCA 12 Meses

Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 7: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

GINI Index and Inflation (1981 a 2010)

7

0.56

0.58

0.59 0.59

0.63

0.60

0.57

0.60

0.59 0.58

0.57 0.55

0.54

0.54 0.53

0.52

96

105

164

215 242

80

22 10 5 6 8 13 8 6 3 6 4 6 0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

0.50

0.52

0.54

0.56

0.58

0.60

0.62

0.64

0.66

0.68

0.70 1

98

1

19

82

1

98

3

19

84

19

85

19

86

1

98

7

19

88

19

89

1

99

0

19

91

19

92

19

93

1

99

4

19

95

19

96

19

97

1

99

8

19

99

20

00

2

00

1

20

02

20

03

20

04

2

00

5

20

06

20

07

2

00

8

20

09

20

10

Gini Inflação

Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 8: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

Brasil

Brasil

França

França

Itália Itália

Espanha

Espanha

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Brasil França Itália Espanha

8

Unemployment rate (%)

Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Source: IMF

Page 9: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

Public Debt (% of GDP)

9

Source: Central Bank.

51.7 51.5 50.0 43.9

38.4 42.8 40.4

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 10: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0.02 0.015 0.01 0.005 0. 0.005 0.01 0.015 0.02

Age and sex distribution of persons living in housing units

by housing income per capita – Brazil – 2010

de 0 a 1/4 sm mais de 1/4 até 1 sm mais de 1 até 2 sm mais de 2 até 3 sm mais de 3 até 5 sm mais de 5 sm

Homens Mulheres

Fonte: IBGE. Censos Demográficos 2000 e 2010 .

Brasil

10 Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after

the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 11: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0.02 0.015 0.01 0.005 0. 0.005 0.01 0.015 0.02

Age and sex distribution of persons living in housing units

by housing income per capita – 2010

de 0 a 1/4 sm mais de 5 sm

Homens Mulheres

Fonte: IBGE. Censos Demográficos 2000 e 2010 .

Brasil

11 Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after

the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 12: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

Piauí

Age and sex distribution of persons living in housing units by housing income per capita – 2010

12 Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after

the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 13: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

Regional economy, population, poverty

and environmental data

13 Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after

the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 14: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

Municipality of Tailândia – Pará state (2000 – 2010)

14 Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after

the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report

Page 15: Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: …CONFERENCE ORGANISED BY FRANCE AND THE OECD 12 October 2011 OECD Conference Centre, Paris Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

2001

Forest area: 3,117.82 Km2 = 70.37%

Anthropical area: 1,312.49 Km2 = 29.63%

2006

Forest area: 2,544.83 Km2 = 57.44%

Anthropical area: 1,885.48 Km2 = 42.56%

Using forest inventory data - an average of 262.37 m3/h - one can estimate the volume of wood

harvested in the municipality between 2002/2006 as 15 million m3.

Municipality of Tailândia - wood extracted between 2001/2006

15 Eduardo Pereira Nunes - Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report