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Prepared for: NORTH CAROLINA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
Transportation Planning DivisionRaleigh, North Carolina
Prepared by:
June 24, 2019
Project Level Traffic Forecast
I-5962
Proposed Interchange -- I-77 & SR 1302 (Cornelius Rd) and Bluefield Rd realignment / relocation
WBS # 45912.1.1
WSP USASuite 1500434 Fayetteville StreetRaleigh, NC 27601
Tel.: +1 919 836-4040Fax: +1 919 836-4099wsp.com
TRAFFIC FORECAST COVER LETTERMEMORANDUM TO: Brian Sowell, PE, NCDOT Division 12 Project Engineer
FROM: Nita Bhave
DATE: June 24, 2019
SUBJECT: Traffic Forecast for I-5962, Iredell County; Proposed Interchange at I-77 and Cornelius Rd & Bluefield Rd realignment / relocation
This forecast was approved by the NCDOT Transportation Planning Division on June 20, 2019.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please find attached the 2019 base year and 2045 future year Traffic Forecast for I-5962 located in Iredell County. This is the second
forecast completed for this project; the initial forecast was completed in June, 2018. This forecast was requested by NCDOT on
February 12, 2019.
I-5962 is a new interchange project at I-77 and Cornelius Rd. It also includes the relocation or realignment of Bluefield Rd. I-5962 is
located within Iredell County in NCDOT Division 12. This project is included in the 2018-2027 State Transportation Improvement
Program (STIP).
This project falls within the Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Organization (CRTPO) and is contained in the 2045
Metropolitan Transportation Program (MTP), dated March 2018. The Metrolina Regional Travel Demand Model (MRM18v1.1),
adopted April, 2019 was utilized for this forecast along with project counts, and historical AADTs.
The following six (6) scenarios are provided in the forecast:
· 2019 No Build
· 2019 Build #1 – Interchange + Realign Bluefield Rd
· 2019 Build #2 – Interchange + Extend Exmore Rd + Close Bluefield Rd at Cornelius Rd intersection
· 2045 No Build
· 2045 Build #1 – Interchange + Realign Bluefield Rd
· 2045 Build #2 – Interchange + Extend Exmore Rd + Close Bluefield Rd at Cornelius Rd intersection
Certain assumptions were made in the development of the forecast, detailed below.
Page 2
Fiscal Constraints:
For projects falling within an MPO, forecasts are fiscally constrained to match the assumptions of the MPO’s Metropolitan
Transportation Plan (MTP). The CRTPO MTP is dated March, 2018. This forecast assumes that all projects within the MTP are
constructed and open to traffic in 2045.
Interpolation:
To determine any intermediate years, straight-line interpolation may be used. AADT volumes may be extrapolated for up to two years
immediately following 2045. If it is determined that any of these assumptions have become inconsistent with the project and
surrounding area activity, please request updated information.
If you have any questions, or I can be of further assistance, please do not hesitate to call me at 919-376-2700, or e-mail me at
[email protected]. Thank you.
cc: FILE (Iredell County, Project I-5962)
cc: (via e-mail as PDF attachments):
Brenda Moore, PE, CPM -- NCDOT Roadway Design Unit ([email protected])
Clark Morrison, PhD, PE -- NCDOT Pavement Management Unit ([email protected])
Anil Panicker -- NCDOT Division 12 Planning Engineer ([email protected])
Mike Reese, PE -- NCDOT Congestion Management Unit ([email protected])
John A. Bailey -- NCDOT Transportation Planning Division ([email protected])
Keith Dixon -- NCDOT Transportation Planning Division ([email protected])
Robert Cook, AICP – NCDOT contact to CRTPO ([email protected])
Neil Burke -- CRTPO MPO ([email protected])
Matthew Todd – Iredell County ([email protected])
NCDOT Traffic Forecasting GIS Support ([email protected])
L E G E N D
N
NOT TO SCALE
COUNTY: Iredell
TIP: I-5962
DATE: June 24, 2019
PREPARED BY: WSP USA
LOCATION: I-77 at SR 1302 (Cornelius Rd) SR 1395 (Bluefield Rd) and Exmore Rd
DIVISION: 12
WBS: 45912.1.1
PROJECT: Proposed interchange at Cornelius Rd and Bluefield Rd realignment / relocation
K Design Hour Factor
AM / PM AM / PM Peak Hour
D Peak Hour Directional Split
Indicates Direction of D
( d , t ) Duals, TT-STs (%)
AVERAGE ANNUAL DAILY TRAFFIC¯
SR 2383Shinnville Rd
Bypass
SR 2779Connector Rd
SR 1302Cornelius Rd
77
77
21
Bypass
21
W Plaza Dr W Plaza Dr
SR 1395Big Indian
Loop
SR 1109Williamson Rd
( d, t )Dk AM
kD PM### Vehicles Per Day (VPD) in 100s
1- Less than 50 VPD
Existing Roadway
Proposed Roadway
Existing Interchange
Future Interchange
Exmore Rd
Statesville Hwy
150150
115
115
SR 1395Bluefield Rd
58 38
24 8
32 44
116
4
8
60
24 88
72 36
128
( 6, 1 )707 AM
1165 PM
108
( 3, 1 )607 AM
1060 PM
96
( 3, 2 )607 AM
1060 PM
120
68
( 6, 1 )775 AM
6010 PM
412
( 5, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
412
( 2, 2 )557 AM
557 PM
372
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
312
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
24
( 2, 1 )557 AM
1165 PM
220
( 4, 8 )755 AM
557 PM
164
(7,2)
609
AM
558
PM
192
( 4, 2 )608 AM
860 PM
616
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
612
652200
(2,1)
607
AM
855
PM
112
(3,1)
707
AM
1055
PM
96
4
20
152
(2,1)
707
AM
855
PM
26 56
50 80
84 72
120 76
40 42
48 78
216
(7,2)
657
AM
855
PM
104
(7,1)
657
AM
860
PM
168
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
212
(6,2)
557
AM
855
PM
468
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM(3,9
)55
8A
M
855
PM
( 2, 2 )557 AM
558 PM
380
( 4, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
148
(3,1)
607
AM
955
PM
24
(2,1)
607
AM
955
PM
100
( 3, 1 )557 AM
1055 PM16 8
No Build Alternative2019
L E G E N D
N
NOT TO SCALE
COUNTY: Iredell
TIP: I-5962
DATE: June 24, 2019
PREPARED BY: WSP USA
LOCATION: I-77 at SR 1302 (Cornelius Rd) SR 1395 (Bluefield Rd) and Exmore Rd
DIVISION: 12
WBS: 45912.1.1
PROJECT: Proposed interchange at Cornelius Rd and Bluefield Rd realignment / relocation
K Design Hour Factor
AM / PM AM / PM Peak Hour
D Peak Hour Directional Split
Indicates Direction of D
( d , t ) Duals, TT-STs (%)
AVERAGE ANNUAL DAILY TRAFFIC¯
SR 2383Shinnville Rd
Bypass
SR 2779Connector Rd
SR 1302Cornelius Rd
77
77
21
Bypass
21
W Plaza Dr W Plaza Dr
SR 1395Big Indian
Loop
SR 1109Williamson Rd
( d, t )Dk AM
kD PM### Vehicles Per Day (VPD) in 100s
1- Less than 50 VPD
Existing Roadway
Proposed Roadway
Existing Interchange
Future Interchange
Exmore Rd
Statesville Hwy
150150
115
115
8
16
14064 48
72 36
Build Alternative 12019
SR 1395Bluefield Rd(Realigned)
( 3, 1 )558 AM
1055 PM
24 68
26 6
24 40
8
60
14 72
58 24
148
( 6, 1 )608 AM
1065 PM
192
( 3, 1 )558 AM
1055 PM
96
( 3, 2 )755 AM
1055 PM
68
( 6, 1 )775 AM
6010 PM
412
( 5, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
412
( 2, 2 )557 AM
557 PM
356
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
312
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
24
( 3, 1 )557 AM
1165 PM
216
( 4, 8 )755 AM
557 PM
156
(7,2)
609
AM
558
PM
192
( 4, 2 )608 AM
860 PM
632
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
628
664200
(2,1)
607
AM
855
PM
100
(3,1)
707
AM
1055
PM
92
140
(2,1)
707
AM
855
PM
26 42
50 78
64 58
100 62
34 36
46 76
208
(7,2)
657
AM
855
PM
100
(7,1)
657
AM
860
PM
152
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
204
(6,2)
557
AM
855
PM
456
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM(3,9
)55
8A
M
855
PM
( 2, 2 )557 AM
558 PM
380
( 4, 2 )557 AM
558 PM
132
(3,1)
607
AM
955
PM
56
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
100
( 3, 1 )755 AM
1055 PM48 8
2019
624
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM112
4
116
L E G E N D
N
NOT TO SCALE
COUNTY: Iredell
TIP: I-5962
DATE: June 24, 2019
PREPARED BY: WSP USA
LOCATION: I-77 at SR 1302 (Cornelius Rd) SR 1395 (Bluefield Rd) and Exmore Rd
DIVISION: 12
WBS: 45912.1.1
PROJECT: Proposed interchange at Cornelius Rd and Bluefield Rd realignment / relocation
K Design Hour Factor
AM / PM AM / PM Peak Hour
D Peak Hour Directional Split
Indicates Direction of D
( d , t ) Duals, TT-STs (%)
AVERAGE ANNUAL DAILY TRAFFIC¯
SR 2383Shinnville Rd
Bypass
SR 2779Connector Rd
SR 1302Cornelius Rd
77
77
21
Bypass
21
W Plaza Dr W Plaza Dr
SR 1395Big Indian
Loop
SR 1109Williamson Rd
( d, t )Dk AM
kD PM### Vehicles Per Day (VPD) in 100s
1- Less than 50 VPD
Existing Roadway
Proposed Roadway
Existing Interchange
Future Interchange
Exmore Rd
Statesville Hwy
150150
115
115
Exmore RdExtension
92
Build Alternative 22019
8
60
68
( 6, 1 )775 AM
6010 PM
216
( 4, 8 )755 AM
557 PM
156
(7,2)
609
AM
558
PM
192
( 4, 2 )608 AM
860 PM
632
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
628 208
(7,2)
657
AM
855
PM
100
(7,1)
657
AM
860
PM
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
8
16
19242 70
46 62 ( 3, 1 )558 AM
1055 PM
26 6
24 40
148
( 6, 1 )608 AM
1055 PM
96
412
( 5, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
412
( 2, 2 )557 AM
557 PM
356
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
312
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
24
( 3, 1 )557 AM
1165 PM
664200
(2,1)
607
AM
855
PM
100
(3,1)
707
AM
1055
PM
140
(2,1)
707
AM
855
PM
26 42
50 78
64 58
100 62
34 36
46 76
152
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
204
(6,2)
557
AM
855
PM
456
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
( 2, 2 )557 AM
558 PM
380
( 4, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
132
(3,1)
607
AM
955
PM
148
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
100
120 28
624
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
( 3, 2 )755 AM
1055 PM( 3, 1 )
755 AM
1055 PM
14 72
58 24
112
4
116
L E G E N D
N
NOT TO SCALE
COUNTY: Iredell
TIP: I-5962
DATE: June 24, 2019
PREPARED BY: WSP USA
LOCATION: I-77 at SR 1302 (Cornelius Rd) SR 1395 (Bluefield Rd) and Exmore Rd
DIVISION: 12
WBS: 45912.1.1
PROJECT: Proposed interchange at Cornelius Rd and Bluefield Rd realignment / relocation
K Design Hour Factor
AM / PM AM / PM Peak Hour
D Peak Hour Directional Split
Indicates Direction of D
( d , t ) Duals, TT-STs (%)
AVERAGE ANNUAL DAILY TRAFFIC¯
SR 2383Shinnville Rd
Bypass
SR 2779Connector Rd
SR 1302Cornelius Rd
77
77
21
Bypass
21
W Plaza Dr W Plaza Dr
SR 1395Big Indian
Loop
SR 1109Williamson Rd
( d, t )Dk AM
kD PM### Vehicles Per Day (VPD) in 100s
1- Less than 50 VPD
Existing Roadway
Proposed Roadway
Existing Interchange
Future Interchange
Exmore Rd
Statesville Hwy
150150
115
115
60 40
28 16
38 70
16
64
28 126
82 56
80
( 6, 1 )775 AM
6010 PM
500
( 5, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
480
( 2, 1 )557 AM
557 PM
500
( 3, 1 )557 AM
755 PM
420
( 3, 1 )557 AM
755 PM
32
( 3, 1 )557 AM
1165 PM
280
( 4, 10 )755 AM
557 PM
212
(7,2)
609
AM
557
PM
208
( 4, 2 )608 AM
860 PM
780
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
764
816248
(2,1)
607
AM
855
PM
116
(3,1)
557
AM
1055
PM
100
8
24
156
(2,1)
707
AM
855
PM
28 60
66 114
106 90
156 92
52 56
64 96
260
(7,2)
657
AM
755
PM
128
(7,1)
657
AM
860
PM
220
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
272
(6,2)
557
AM
855
PM
560
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM(3,9
)55
8A
M
855
PM
( 2, 2 )557 AM
558 PM
464
( 4, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
192
(3,1)
607
AM
955
PM
48
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
28 20
No Build Alternative2045
SR 1395Bluefield Rd120
( 6, 1 )607 AM
1165 PM
100
( 3, 1 )557 AM
1060 PM
112
( 3, 2 )607 AM
1060 PM
92
( 3, 1 )557 AM
1060 PM
140
8
148
L E G E N D
N
NOT TO SCALE
COUNTY: Iredell
TIP: I-5962
DATE: June 24, 2019
PREPARED BY: WSP USA
LOCATION: I-77 at SR 1302 (Cornelius Rd) SR 1395 (Bluefield Rd) and Exmore Rd
DIVISION: 12
WBS: 45912.1.1
PROJECT: Proposed interchange at Cornelius Rd and Bluefield Rd realignment / relocation
K Design Hour Factor
AM / PM AM / PM Peak Hour
D Peak Hour Directional Split
Indicates Direction of D
( d , t ) Duals, TT-STs (%)
AVERAGE ANNUAL DAILY TRAFFIC¯
SR 2383Shinnville Rd
Bypass
SR 2779Connector Rd
SR 1302Cornelius Rd
77
77
21
Bypass
21
W Plaza Dr W Plaza Dr
SR 1395Big Indian
Loop
SR 1109Williamson Rd
( d, t )Dk AM
kD PM### Vehicles Per Day (VPD) in 100s
1- Less than 50 VPD
Existing Roadway
Proposed Roadway
Existing Interchange
Future Interchange
Exmore Rd
Statesville Hwy
150150
115
115
Build Alternative 12045
14
18
14068 62
74 36
SR 1395Bluefield Rd(Realigned)
36 64
24 14
34 68
22
58
18 110
68 44
156 184 116
80
( 6, 1 )775 AM
6510 PM
500
( 5, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
480
( 2, 2 )557 AM
557 PM
484
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
420
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
32
( 3, 1 )557 AM
1165 PM
276
( 4, 8 )755 AM
557 PM
216
(7,2)
609
AM
558
PM
208
( 4, 2 )608 AM
860 PM
800
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
784
816244
(2,1)
607
AM
855
PM
104
(3,1)
557
AM
1055
PM
100
144
(2,1)
707
AM
855
PM
18 50
68 100
86 76
136 78
48 52
60 92
252
(7,2)
657
AM
855
PM
128
(7,1)
657
AM
860
PM
212
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
264
(6,2)
557
AM
855
PM
548
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM(3,9
)55
8A
M
855
PM
( 2, 2 )557 AM
558 PM
464
( 4, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
192
(3,1)
607
AM
955
PM
80
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
92
64 16
764
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
( 3, 1 )558 AM
1055 PM( 6, 1 )
608 AM
1060 PM( 3, 1 )
558 AM
1055 PM( 3, 2 )
755 AM
1055 PM( 3, 1 )
755 AM
1055 PM
134
10
144
L E G E N D
N
NOT TO SCALE
COUNTY: Iredell
TIP: I-5962
DATE: June 24, 2019
PREPARED BY: WSP USA
LOCATION: I-77 at SR 1302 (Cornelius Rd) SR 1395 (Bluefield Rd) and Exmore Rd
DIVISION: 12
WBS: 45912.1.1
PROJECT: Proposed interchange at Cornelius Rd and Bluefield Rd realignment / relocation
K Design Hour Factor
AM / PM AM / PM Peak Hour
D Peak Hour Directional Split
Indicates Direction of D
( d , t ) Duals, TT-STs (%)
AVERAGE ANNUAL DAILY TRAFFIC¯
SR 2383Shinnville Rd
Bypass
SR 2779Connector Rd
SR 1302Cornelius Rd
77
77
21
Bypass
21
W Plaza Dr W Plaza Dr
SR 1395Big Indian
Loop
SR 1109Williamson Rd
( d, t )Dk AM
kD PM### Vehicles Per Day (VPD) in 100s
1- Less than 50 VPD
Existing Roadway
Proposed Roadway
Existing Interchange
Future Interchange
Exmore Rd
Statesville Hwy
150150
115
115
Build Alternative 22045
100
80
( 6, 1 )775 AM
6510 PM
276
( 4, 8 )755 AM
557 PM
216
(7,2)
609
AM
558
PM
208
( 4, 2 )608 AM
860 PM
800
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
784 252
(7,2)
657
AM
855
PM
128
(7,1)
657
AM
860
PM
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
20844 86
50 60
156 116
500
( 5, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
480
( 2, 2 )557 AM
557 PM
484
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
420
( 3, 2 )557 AM
755 PM
32
( 3, 1 )557 AM
1165 PM
816244
(2,1)
607
AM
855
PM
104
(3,1)
557
AM
1055
PM
144
(2,1)
707
AM
855
PM
212
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
264
(6,2)
557
AM
855
PM
548
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
( 2, 2 )557 AM
558 PM
464
( 4, 2 )755 AM
558 PM
192
(3,1)
607
AM
955
PM
180
(6,2)
607
AM
955
PM
92
148 32
764
(3,9)
558
AM
855
PM
14
18
24 14
34 68
22
58
18 50
68 100
86 76
136 78
48 52
60 92
Exmore RdExtension
( 3, 1 )558 AM
1055 PM( 6, 1 )
608 AM
1055 PM( 3, 2 )
755 AM
1055 PM( 3, 1 )
755 AM
1055 PM
18 110
68 44
134
10
144