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UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Market Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005 UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions Theme: “Forest certification policies’ influence on forest products markets in the UNECE region” 27-28 September 2005, Geneva

UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

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Page 1: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

UNECE Timber CommitteeMarket Discussions

Theme:“Forest certification policies’ influence on forest

products markets in the UNECE region”

27-28 September 2005, Geneva

Page 2: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Today’s topics

• Policy implications of forest products market developments

• Kyoto Protocol’s influence on forest products markets and policy

• Certification’s role in corporate responsibility in the forest products sector

Page 3: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Tomorrow’s topics

• Certified forest products markets• Economic background and housing markets• Market effects of 2005 windstorms• Wood raw materials and wood energy

Page 4: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Tomorrow’s topics

• Sawn softwood markets• Sawn hardwood markets• Panel markets• Pulp and paper markets• Value-added wood products

Page 5: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

2004 vs. 2005 market discussions

• 2004 combined with European Forestry Commission

• 2004 was 1 day• 2005 is 1½ days• More discussion time• More emphasis on forecasts

Page 6: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Info sources

• Country forecasts for 2005 & 2006• Country market statements• UNECE/FAO Forest Products Annual Market

Review, 2004-2005• Expert presentations• Delegates’ interventions in discussions

Page 7: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Forest Products Annual Market Review, 2004-2005

• Produced in summer 2005• On website in July• Printed in September in English• Russian version expected in 6 months• French version expected in 10 months• Executive summaries available

Page 8: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Thanks to the UNECE/FAOReview Team !

• Mikko Kiiskinen & Outi Marin—Assistants• Caroline Stein—Technical input• Matt Fonseca—Layout • Alex McCusker—Statistics • Douglas Clark—Editor• Sefora Kifle—Prices• Cynthia de Castro—Administration

Page 9: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

And thanks to the all other contributors !

• Kit Prins —Technical reviews• Osamu Hashiramoto — Technical reviews• Christina O’Shaughnessy — Editing• Authors from UNECE/FAO Team of Specialists on

Forest Products Markets and Marketing• Authors presenting today• Contributors listed• Statistical correspondents listed• 40 people contributed directly to the FPAMR• Plus translators, printers, distributors, admin

Page 10: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Country market statements

• Economic trends affecting the forest and forest industries sector

• National policy measures affecting forests and forest products markets

• Developments in forest products markets sectors (major emphasis)

• Market drivers• Tables of forecasts and economic info

Page 11: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Outcomes of today’s discussions

• TC Market Statement• Market press release• Information to joint TC and European

Forestry Commission website– Forecasts– Presentations

• Theme for 2006 TC Market Discussions

Page 12: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Committee is invited to:(from document TIM/2005/3)

• Discuss how government and industry policies on forest certification are affecting forest products markets

• Discuss forest products markets and policy developments and forecasts

• Draft a market statement• Comment on Forest Products Annual

Market Review, 2004-2005

Page 13: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum

• 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week

• Designed to stimulate discussion• Results to be reflected in

– TC Market Statement– Policy Forum report– Their press releases

Page 14: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Where in the world are the UNECE timber markets?

• Consumption in region• Exports from region• Region’s share of production• Region’s trade balance• Abstracted from the Forest Products

Annual Market Review, 2004-2005

Page 15: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Consumption of primary products

90

95

100

105

110

115

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Inde

x (2

000=

100)

CIS

N.AmericaEurope

UNECEUNECE

Page 16: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

UNECE region’s share of consumption

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Industrial roundwood

Sawnwood

Wood based panels

Paper and paperboard

Wood pulp

UNECE World

Page 17: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Export of primary products

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Inde

x (2

000=

100)

CIS

Europe

N.America

UNECEUNECE

Page 18: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

UNECE region’s share of exports

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Industrial roundwood

Sawnwood

Wood based panels

Paper and paperboard

Wood pulp

UNECE region World

Page 19: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

UNECE region’s share of production

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Industrial roundwood

Sawnwood

Wood based panels

Paper and paperboard

Wood pulp

UNECE World

Page 20: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

UNECE region’s trade balance

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Mill

ion

m3

or m

.t.

Industrial roundwood

Sawnwood

Paper and paperboard

Wood pulp

Wood based panels

Page 21: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

UNECE region’s imports

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Industrial roundwood

Sawnwood

Wood based panels

Paper and paperboard

Wood pulp

UNECE World

Page 22: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Where in the world is the UNECE?!• Majority of world’s temperate forests

– Growing more than consuming• Consumption and production growing• Major producing and consuming region of world’s

primary wood products– Produces 63 to 85% – Consumes 60 to 80%

• Trade increasing, and major trading region– Exports 75 to 90% of world– Imports 60 to 80%

• Net exporter for most products

Page 23: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Game rules for speakers

• Schedule is tight!– Be ready, come to head table ahead– Don’t exceed allotted time

• Green card = 5 minutes left•• Yellow card = 1 minute leftYellow card = 1 minute left• Red card = STOP !

Page 24: UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions...Policy questions for TC Market Discussions and Policy Forum • 11 questions circulated by e-mail last week • Designed to stimulate discussion

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEEMarket Discussions, 27 – 28 September 2005

Next presentations

• Policy implications of forest products market developments, Dr. Ewald Rametsteiner

• Kyoto Protocol’s influence on forest products markets and policy, Mr. Pierre Desclos

• Certification’s role in corporate responsibility, Dr. Mike Packer