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12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service May Crop Production Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2017

United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

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Page 1: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

May Crop ProductionExecutive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

May 10, 2017

Page 2: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts

Winter Wheat Citrus

Hay Stocks Peaches (CA)

Cotton Almonds (CA)

Spring Potatoes

Contents

Page 3: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Winter and Durum Wheat,

Hay Stocks

Winter Wheat

States All except AK and HI KS, OK, TX

Sample Size 11,322 355

Collection Period Apr 29-May 4 Apr 24-May 1

Survey Overview

Page 4: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

PercentU.S. Winter Wheat Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 5: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season

Wheat, Winter

Harvested Mil Ac 25.6 NA -15.4

Yield Bu/Ac 48.8 NA -11.8

Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

May 2017 Crop Production

Page 6: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

32.7

25.6

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million AcresWinter Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 7: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 8: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

48.8

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Bushels per AcreWinter Wheat Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 9: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 10: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

1.851.88

1.69

1.56

1.35

1.14

1.72

1.50 1.50

1.29

1.50

1.89

1.52

1.451.49

1.63

1.54

1.381.37

1.67

1.25

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Billion BushelsWinter Wheat Production

United States

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 11: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

May 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Season

All Hay

Stocks Mil Tons 24.4 NA -3.0

Page 12: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 13: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

May 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 5.16 +0.9 -15.3

Grapefruit Thou Tons 672 -1.9 -16.3

Tangerines &

MandarinsThou Tons 957 -0.1 +0.8

Page 14: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

May 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season

Production

Spring Potatoes Mil Cwt 17.7 NA +16.9

Almonds (CA) Bil Lbs 2.20 NA +2.8

Peaches (CA) Thou Tons 625 NA +7.8

Page 15: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

May 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit 2016 Previous Previous

Forecast Season

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 10.1 -<0.1 +17.4

Harvested Mil Ac 9.51 -0.1 +17.7

Yield Lb/Ac 867 +1.4 +13.2

Production Mil Bls 17.2 +1.2 +33.2

Cottonseed

Production Mil Tons 5.37 -0.9 +32.8

Page 16: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 17: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 18: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Release Date Report Title

May 10 Cotton County Estimates

May 26 Cattle on Feed

May 31 Agricultural Prices

June 1

CAIR: Cotton

CAIR: Fats & Oil

CAIR: Grain Crushings

June 9 Crop Production

June 29 Hogs and Pigs

June 30

Acreage

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Upcoming Reports

Page 19: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

USDA-NASS

5-10-17

Page 20: United States Department of Agriculture National …...Production Bil Bu 1.25 NA -25.4 USDA-NASS 5-10-17 May 2017 Crop Production 32.7 25.6 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available Atwww.nass.usda.gov

For Questions202-720-2127

800-727-9540

[email protected]