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UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL EVALUATING SERVICE QUALITY IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN PUBLIC ROAD TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY: A CASE STUDY OF JOHANNESBURG by Ayanda Menzi Vilakazi A thesis submitted in fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Business Administration Graduate School of Business Faculty of Management Studies Supervisor: Prof. K.K. Govender November, 2013 i

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Page 1: UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL EVALUATING SERVICE …

UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL

EVALUATING SERVICE QUALITY IN THE SOUTH

AFRICAN PUBLIC ROAD TRANSPORTATION

INDUSTRY: A CASE STUDY OF JOHANNESBURG

by

Ayanda Menzi Vilakazi

A thesis submitted in fulfillment of the requirements for the degree

of

Doctor of Business Administration

Graduate School of Business

Faculty of Management Studies

Supervisor: Prof. K.K. Govender

November, 2013

i

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Declaration I, Ayanda Menzi Vilakazi, declare that

(i) The research reported in this thesis, except where otherwise indicated,

is my original research.

(ii) This thesis has not been submitted for any degree or examination at

any other university.

(iii) This thesis does not contain other persons’ data, pictures, graphs or

other information, unless specifically acknowledged as being sourced

from other persons.

(iv) This thesis does not contain other persons’ writing, unless

specifically acknowledged as being sourced from other researchers.

Where other written sources have been quoted, then:

a) their words have been re-written but the general

information attributed to them has been referenced;

b) where their exact words have been used, their written has

been placed inside quotation marks, and referenced.

(v) Where I have reproduced a publication of which I am author, co-

author or editor, I have indicated in detail which part of the

publication was actually written by myself alone and have fully

referenced such publications.

(vi) This thesis does not contain text, graphics or tables copied and pasted

from the Internet, unless specifically acknowledged, and the source

being detailed in the thesis/thesis and in the References sections.

Signature:

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Acknowledgements Firstly, I wish to acknowledge the City of Johannesburg Transport Department for information

and support in fulfillment of the requirements of this thesis. Secondly, I wish to thank

Professor Mostert from the University of Johannesburg for his invaluable insight into public

transport, as well as his support and advice. Thirdly, I wish to thank my supervisor for his

professionalism and dedication to my work. I wish to also express my heartfelt appreciation to

the respondents who participated in the study. Finally, I wish to express my gratitude to my

family for their sacrifice and support.

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ABSTRACT The study of public road transport in Johannesburg is important because public transport

provides the benefits of personal mobility and access to economic prosperity to a large number

of people who rely, and are, dependent on public transport for their mobility needs. However,

for decades, the public transport in South Africa has been characterized by many economic and

social problems that can no longer be overlooked; exacerbated by the poor quality of service

and the lack of modal integration. These problems require sustainable long term solutions, and

if left unattended, could seriously impact a range of communities in the city. This study is of

particular importance as it is envisaged that it will contribute towards improving the quality of

public road transport service in Johannesburg, thus attracting new users and retain existing

ones.

The aim of the study was to evaluate passengers’ perceptions of the quality of service offered

by the bus and minibus taxi industries utilising reliability, extent of service, comfort, safety,

and affordability as important service quality dimensions. A sample of 902 respondents

participated in the study. The respondents were drawn predominantly from Johannesburg

because the study focus was on the Johannesburg Public Road Transportation System. The

survey was administered personally by the researcher to individual passengers, intercepted at

bus and minibus-taxi terminals in Johannesburg. As a result of the complexities involved in

the process of sampling in the public transport context, an area sampling technique was used to

select terminals, thereby automatically selecting the passengers to be included in the study.

Various statistical tools were used for data analysis. The data was analysed utilising Statistical

Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) and Statistical Analysis System (SAS).

The study findings showed that the perceived quality of bus transport service exceeded that of

minibus taxis by a significant margin. Those who used buses more often tended to have a

higher opinion of the quality of bus transport. Those who used minibus taxis as their primary

mode of transport did not do so because they had a high opinion of the quality of the minibus

taxi experience. The service quality dimensions of reliability, extent of service, comfort,

safety, and affordability, were perceived as being positively correlated and important to

passengers’ perceptions of service; thus increasing future utilization of the service. Gender and

occupation were not significant in influencing the overall service quality provided by the bus.

Gender and income were not significant in influencing the overall service quality provided by

the minibus taxis. The study findings met the objectives of the study. Consequently,

professionals and academics stand to benefit from the study findings. The focus should be on

the aforementioned service quality dimensions in order to improve passengers’ perceptions of

public road transport service, and thus, address the public transport conundrum.

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Table of Contents

Description Page

Title Page i

Declaration ii

Acknowledgements iii

Abstract iv

Table of Contents v

List of Figures ix

List of Tables xi

List of Abbreviations xiii

CHAPTER ONE 1

Introduction and Background 1

1.1 Introduction and Background to the Study 1

1.2 Problem Statement 9

1.3 Objectives of the Study 12

1.4 Research Questions 12

1.5 Rationale for the Study 12

1.6 Focus of the Study 15

1.7 Limitations of the Study 17

1.8 Conclusion 17

CHAPTER TWO 19

Public Transport in South Africa: Focus on Johannesburg 19

2.1 Introduction 19

2.2 Definition 19

2.3 Importance of Public Transport 21

2.3.1 Economic 21

2.3.2 Social 22

2.4 Structure of Public Transport 22

2.4.1 Systems of Public Transport 23

2.4.1.1 Physical and Economic Systems 23

2.4.1.2 The Pricing System 25

2.4.1.3 Regulatory Systems 26

2.4.2 Public Transport Organisational Framework 33

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2.4.3 Public Transport Statistics 37

2.4.4 Modes of Public Transport 42

2.4.4.1 Public Bus Transport 41

2.4.4.2 Minibus Taxi Transport 47

2.5 Public Transport Networks 55

2.5.1 Systems of Public Transportation 55

2.5.2 Public Transportation Systems: The

Johannesburg Bus Rapid Transport System Case Study 58

2.5.2.1 Development of the Johannesburg 59 2.6 Conclusion 73

CHAPTER THREE 75

Service Quality in Public Transport 75

3.1 Introduction 75

3.2 Perceived Quality of Service 76

3.2.1 Objectives and Perceived Service Quality 76

3.2.2 Service Expectations 77

3.2.3 Service Quality Gaps 78

3.3 Service Quality Dimensions 81

3.3.1 The Reliability of Service 83

3.3.2 The Comfort of Service 91

3.3.3 The Extent of Service 92

3.3.4 The Safety of Service 95

3.3.4.1 Safety of Passengers 95

3.3.4.2 Safety of Drivers 97

3.3.4.3 Safety of Vehicles 98

3.3.4.4 Other factors affecting safety 99

3.3.5 The Affordability of Service 101

3.3.5.1 Efficiency and Pricing 102

3.3.5.2 Trade-off between Equity and Efficiency 107

3.4 Demand for Public Transport 111

3.4.1 Demand Characteristics 112

3.4.2 Supply Characteristics 120

3.4.3 Market Structure 124

3.5 Importance of Service Quality Dimensions 137

3.6 Promoting Public Transport Services 140

3.6.1 Segmentation of the Commuter Market 141

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3.7 Conclusion 147

CHAPTER FOUR 149

Research Methodology 149

4.1 Introduction 149

4.2 Aims and Objectives of the Study 149

4.3 Research Design 150

4.3.1 The Population 150

4.3.2 The Sampling Design 150

4.3.3 The Sample 151

4.4 Data Collection 152

4.4.1 Construction of the Measurement Instrument 153

4.4.2 Recruitment of the Study Participants 154

4.4.3 Validation of the Measurement Instrument 154

4.4.4 Administration of the Measurement Instrument 157

4.5 Data Analysis 157

4.6 Conclusion 159

CHAPTER FIVE 160

Study Findings 160

5.1 Introduction 160

5.2 Sample Characteristics 160

5.2.1 Response Rate 161

5.2.2 Geographical Location 161

5.2.3 Utilisation of Public Transport 161

5.3 Service Quality in Public Road Transport 164

5.3.1 Passengers’ Perceptions of Service 164

5.3.1.1 Service Quality Dimensions and Demographic Variables 169

5.3.2 Service Quality Dimensions and Future Utilisation 170

5.3.3 Importance of Service Quality Dimensions 171

5.4 Validation of the Model 176

5.4.1 Variability of Variables 180

5.5 Collinearity and Outlier Detection 189

5.5.1 Collinearity diagnostics 189

5.5.2 Outlier Detection 189

5.6 Conclusion 190

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CHAPTER SIX 192

Discussion: Passengers’ Perceptions of the Public Road

Transport Service in Johannesburg 192

6.1 Introduction 192

6.2 Passengers’ Perceptions of Service 192

6.2.1 The Characteristics of Service 192

6.2.2 The Reliability of Service 194

6.2.3 The Comfort of Service 200

6.2.4 The Extent of Service 203

6.2.5 The Safety of Service 209

6.2.6 The Affordability of Service 214

6.3 Market Structure and Demand for Public Transport 215

6.4 Importance of Service Quality Dimensions 219

6.5 Conclusion 221

CHAPTER SEVEN 223

Conclusions and Recommendations 223

7.1 Introduction 223

7.2 Conclusions 223

7.2.1 Passengers’ Perceptions of service 224

7.2.1.1 Service Quality Dimensions 226

7.2.2 Future Utilisation of Service and Demand 229

7.2.3 Importance of Service Quality Dimensions 229

7.2.4 Implications of the Study 230

7.3 Recommendations 233

7. 3.1 The Reliability of Service 233

7.3.2 The Comfort of Service 237

7.3.3 The Extent of the service 240

7.3.4 The Safety of Service 242

7.3.5 The Affordability of Service 243

7.3.6 Future Utilisation of Service and Demand 244

7.4 Limitations of the Study 246

7.5 Further Research 247

7.6 Concluding Remarks 248

REFERENCES 248

APPENDIX 1 The Measurement Instrument 278

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List of Figures

No. Description Page

1-1 Modal split in South Africa 3

1-2 Clusters of service quality dimensions 9

2-1 Flow diagram of the policy process in South Africa 34

2-2 City of Johannesburg 41

2-3 Public bus cycle 42

2-4 Strategic Public Transport Networks (SPTN) 60

2-5 Inner-city routes within BRT system 65

2-6 Rea Vaya branding 68

2-7 Service frequency and the potential impact on vehicle

velocity 69

3-1 Gaps 5 model of service quality 79

3-2 Ten determinants of service quality 80

3-3 Clusters of service quality dimensions 83

3-4 Overall view of passenger transport scheduling system 84

3-5 Functional diagram of passenger transportation scheduling

systems (systems architecture) 85

3-6 Internal and external factors 87

3-7 Efficiency versus quality dimensions 108

3-8 Efficiency versus productivity improvements 109

3-9 Efficiency versus quality of service improvements 110

3-10 Systems productivity versus quality of service improvements 110

3-11 Kinked demand curve of oligopolistic industry 126

3-12 Multiply supply curves of oligopoly 128

3-13 Differential pricing with varying degrees of elasticity

And a kinked demand curve 130

3-14 Price discrimination – peak and off-peak 135

3-15 Price discrimination: consumers’ willingness and

ability to pay 135

3-16 Breakdown of the stranded population

(currently=2.8m, 2020=3.6m) 143

3-17 Percentage of modal choice by income band

(national commuters) 145

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4-1 Service quality dimensions 154

5-1 Histograms 166

5-2 Structural Equation Modelling - Public Buses 176

5-3 Structural Equation Modelling - Public Buses 177

5-4 Structural Equation Modelling - Minibus Taxis 179

5-5 Scree Plot - Public Buses 183

5-6 Scree Plot - Minibus Taxis 187

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List of Tables

No. Description Page

1-1 Multiple dimensions for service industries 15

2-1 SABOA membership profile 45

2-2 Types of services 46

2-3 Cities with BRT systems 62

2-4 Frequency of the BRT Rea Vaya service in minutes 69

3-1(a) SERVQUAL-five dimensions (RATER) 81

3-1(b) Multiple dimensions for service industries 82

3-1(c) Pi more frequently mentioned attributes 82

3-2 Functional description of the passenger transportation scheduling

system 88

3-3 Service availability and demand 93

3-4 Market structure characteristics 125

4-1 Sample characteristics 153

5-1 Research objectives and research questions 160

5-2 Sample size 161

5-3 Geographical area 161

5-4(a) Utilisation of public transport and occupation 162

5-4(b) Utilisation of public transport and gender 163

5-4(c) Utilisation of public transport and income 163

5-5 Internal consistency of scales 164

5-6 Summary Statistics 165

5-7 Hypotheses 169

5-8 Association of scales 170

5-9 Importance of service quality dimensions 171

5-10 Tests of model effects - Public Buses 172

5-11 Parameter Estimates - Public Buses 173

5-12 Tests of model effects - Minibus Taxis 174

5-13 Parameter Estimates - Minibus Taxis 175

5-14 Regression Weights - Public Buses 178

5-15 Regression Weights - Minibus Taxis 180

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5-16 Variables for public bus transport 181

5-17 Total Variances Explained - Public Buses 182

5-18 Rotated Component Matrixa - Public Buses 184

5-19 Variables for Minibus Taxis 185

5-20 Total Variances Explained - Minibus Taxis 186

5-21 Rotated Component Matrixa - Minibus Taxis 188

6-1 Frequency of the BRT Rea Vaya service in minutes 206

6-2 Association of scales 216

7-1 Research objectives and research questions 223

7-2 Public Transport Service Rating Model 244

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List of Abbreviations

AARTO - Administration Adjudication of Road Traffic

Traffic Offences Act

AIDA - Attention-Interest-Design-Action

AMES - Adult Migrant English Service

AMOS - Analysis of a Moment Structures

APTA - American Public Transport Association

AVL - Automatic Vehicle Location

β - Beta

BART - Bay Area Rapid Transit System

BBM - BlackBerry Messenger

BEE - Black Economic Empowerment

BEF - Business Excellence framework

BRT - Bus Rapid Transit

CBD - Central Business Districts

CIPRO - Companies Intellectual Property Office

CoF - Certificate of Fitness

CoJ - City of Johannesburg

CSIR - Centre for Scientific and Industrial Research

DAGMAR - Awareness-Comprehension – Conviction – Action

DBSA - Development Bank of Southern Africa

DETR - Department for the Environment, Transport and the

Regions

DFID - Department for International Development (UK)

EJTIR - European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure

Research

EPCOT - Experimental Prototype Community of Tomorrow

ETA - eThekwini Transport Authority

FIA - The Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile

FHWA - Federal Highway Administration

FIFA - Fédération Internationale de Football Association

GAUTRANS - Gauteng Department of Transport and Public

Works

GCM - Gross Combination Mass

GCIS - Government Communication and

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Information System

GDP - Gross Domestic Product

GIS - Gauteng Information Services

GIZ - Deutsche Gasellschaft fur Internationale

Zusammenarbeit

GJRTC - Greater Johannesburg Regional Taxi Council

GNP - Gross National Product

GPS - Global Positioning System

GSDF - Gauteng Spatial Development Framework

GVM - Gross Vehicle Mass

HOV - High Occupancy Vehicles

IBM - International Business Machines Corporation

ICC - Integrated Circuit Card

ICDS - Inner-City Distribution System

ICT - Information Communication Technology

IDASA - Institute for Democracy in South Africa

IDM - Transportation Demand Management

IDRE - Institute for Digital Research and Education

IFI - Incremental Fit Index

IRT - Integrated Rapid Transit

ITC - Independent Transport Commission

ITP - Integrated Transport Plan

ITS - Intelligent Transportation Systems

JDA - Johannesburg Development Agency

JMPD - Johannesburg Metropolitan Police Division

KfW - German Development Bank

KSF - Key Success Factor

LRT - Light Rail Transit

MA - Massachusetts

MB - Metro Bus

MC - Marginal Cost

MinMec - Ministers and Members of Executive Councils

Meeting

MMS - Multimedia Messaging Service

MORI - Market and Opinion Research International

MR - Marginal Revenue

MRE - Municipal Regulatory Entities

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MTC - Metropolitan Trading Company

NCF - National Consumer Forum

NDoT - National Department of Transport

NHTS - National Household Travel Survey

NLTA - National Land Transport Act, Act No 5 of 2009

NLTTA - National Land Transport Transitional Act 22 of

2000

NMBM - Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality

NPTR - National Public Transport Regulator

NSW - New South Wales

NTA - National Transport Authority

NTT - National Task Team

OLAS - Operating License Administration System

OLB - Operating Licence Board

P - Price

PAYE - Pay As You Earn

PPHPD - Passengers Per Hour Per Direction

PPP - Public-Private Partnerships

PrDP _ Professional Driving Permit

PRE - Public Transport Regulatory Entity

PRT - Personalized Rapid Transit

PSQ - Perceptions of Service Quality Index

PTRT - Public Transport Rapid Transit

PTIF - Public Transport Infrastructure and

Systems Fund

PTSAP - Public Transport Strategy and Action Plan

PUTCO - Public Utility Transport Corporation

Q - Quantity

RTSMP - Road Traffic Safety Management Plan

RISFSA - Road Infrastructure Strategic Framework for South

Africa

RECAP - Recapitalisation Program

RECSA - Reliability; Extent of service; Comfort; Safety; and

Affordability

RFI - Relative Fit Index

RMSEA - Root Mean Square Error of Approximation

RSA - Republic of South Africa

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RTMC - Road Traffic Management Corporation

SA - South Africa

SABOA - South African Bus Operators Association

SABS - South African Bureau of Standards

SANRAL - South African National Roads Agency Limited

SANTACO - South African National Taxi Council

SAPS - South African Police Services

SARCC - South African Rail Commuter Corporation

SARS - South African Revenue Services

SAS - Statistical Analysis System

SATAWU - South African Transport and Allied Workers Union

SDF - Spatial Development Framework

SEM - Structural Equation Modelling

SMS - Short Message Service

SERVQUAL - Service Quality Measurement

SPSS - Statistical Package for the Social Sciences

SPTN - Strategic Public Transport Network

SSATAWU - South African Transport and Allied Workers Union

TA - Transport Authority

TDM - Travel Demand Management

TRL - Transport Research Laboratory

TRRL - Transport and Road Research Laboratory

UIF - Unemployment Insurance Fund

UITP - International Association of Public Transport

UK - United Kingdom

USA - United States of America

VETAB - Vocational Education and Training Accreditation

Board

VIF - Variance Inflation Factors

VMS - Variable Messaging Screen

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CHAPTER ONE

Introduction and Background

1.1 Introduction and Background to the Study

This introductory chapter discusses the concepts and models that are important to this study,

which seeks to evaluate service quality in the South African Public Road Transportation

Industry in Johannesburg. In particular, this chapter discusses the problem statement,

objectives of the study, research questions, rationale, focus, and the limitations of the study.

Chapter two will discuss the literature review, with the emphasis on the structure and nature

of passenger transportation systems and networks in Johannesburg. It will also include an

overview of successful passenger transportation systems on the African continent and best

practice examples across the world. The literature review will be discussed in chapter three

focussing on the service quality dimensions and passengers’ perceptions of service. The data

collection and research design approach that is likely to sufficiently address the research

questions will be discussed in chapter four. Chapter five will discuss the research findings.

The study concludes with a discussion of the study findings in chapter six and the

incorporation of final conclusions and recommendations in chapter seven.

The study of public transport is important as it either directly or indirectly affects all citizens

and all businesses. Public transport is essential to the wellbeing of any nation, while the

benefits of a well-planned and efficiently managed transportation system spread far beyond

the transport sector, and into the social economy as it is essential for industry, people’s

mobility and good communications (Barrett, 1987; Armstrong-Wright, 1993; Russell, 2012;

& Matthews, 2013).

Public transport functions as a communal transporter on a large scale and is usually

configured in such a way so as to provide scheduled services on fixed routes on a non-

reservation basis. The majority of commuters travel locally between their homes and places

of employment, shops or schools (International Association of Public Transport, 2011).

Public transport offers the following advantages as compared to individual modes of

transport (International Association of Public Transport, 2011):

• It is more affordable and cost effective for the society.

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• It requires less urban space.

• It is less energy-intensive.

• It pollutes to a lesser degree.

• It is the safer mode of travel.

• It improves accessibility to jobs.

• It indiscriminately offers mobility to all.

The management of transport in South Africa is a shared responsibility between national,

provincial and local government. In particular, the national Department of Transport (NDoT)

is responsible for overall policy formulation and monitoring, as well as managing the

national funds for transport (International Association of Public Transport, 2011).

In addition to managing and implementing transport infrastructure, including provincial

roads, the provincial departments of transport are also responsible for ensuring that national

policy is in line with provincial circumstances, coordinating transport activities within the

province and carrying out a number of administrative functions, including dealing with

transport subsidies and public transport operator licensing. Many of the provincial

administrative functions are set to be devolved to local government, especially in the large

metropolitan areas. Local government may be regarded, among other service delivery

portfolios, as transport policy implementation agents, with policy being implemented

through the transport infrastructure and transport systems projects and programmes. The

implementation of transport policy by local government is achieved through Integrated

Transport Plans (ITPs) which, among others, prioritises the implementation of projects and

programmes in municipalities (International Association of Public Transport, 2011).

All spheres of government, but especially local municipalities, play a critical role in ensuring

that efficient public transport services exist, especially in the urban and metropolitan areas.

Public transport is often crucial in people’s lives – considered to be one of the basic services

offered by government – and, thus, much is demanded of the transport systems that provide

public transport (Gubbins, 1988; South African Bus Operators Association, 2010; 2011; &

Arrive Alive, 2010).

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Government is also tasked with the responsibility of ensuring public transport continues to

contribute to the economy of the country. In South Africa, public transport claims a

significant portion of, and is a substantial contributor to, the country’s Gross Domestic

Product (GDP). However, this industry is, unfortunately, always overlooked as regards the

calculation of the transport sector's contribution to both the GDP and other social and

developmental objectives of the country, including, job creation (Ndebele 2011b). The South

African taxi industry is estimated to contribute more than R30 billion to the GDP of the

country. The taxi industry consists of minibuses, which dominate 90% of the market, and

metered taxis which are active in the remaining 10% of the market (Ndebele, 2011b).

The minibus taxi industry transports approximately 70% of the country’s public transport

commuters and there are an estimated 200 000 minibus taxis on the road (Thomas, Ryneveld

& Pascarel, 2010; & Ndebele, 2011b). This, in turn, means that the minibus taxi industry has

an estimated 70% market share while public buses have a market share of just over 20%, and

the railways a market share of just over 14% (South Africa, 2012). Figure 1-1 depicts South

Africa’s transport modal split.

Figure 1-1: Modal split in South Africa

Source: Mokonyama (2012: 5)

More specifically, with reference to the City of Johannesburg Metropolitan Municipality, the

metropole has 800 000 daily commuters – 39,6% use minibus taxis, 27,1% use private cars,

24,1% use buses, and 9,2% use rail. In 2011/12 it was estimated that there were 3,8 million

people living in Johannesburg, the majority of whom were aged between 19 and 39 years of

age (Johannesburg Development Agency, 2012). However, since then, the population in

Johannesburg has increased to 4.4 million people, with 40% of the population under the age

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of 25 (Johannesburg Development Agency, 2013). Young people are the predominant users

of public transport, as will be shown later in this study, and this has implications across the

economy, particularly because the majority of South Africa’s population falls broadly into

the category of youth. From the above it is clear that a large number of people in South

Africa and Johannesburg, in particular, depend on public transport for their daily commuting.

In view of the fact that public transport is an important ‘commodity’ to so many people, it is

not possible to overlook some of the main challenges associated with it, following that it is

essential that these challenges be addressed (Mokonyama, 2012). Mashiri, Moeketsi &

Baloyi (2010) assert that public transport is in a state of a crisis, and the following are some

of the main challenges facing public transport in South Africa (Chakwizira, Bikam, Dayomi

& Adeboyejo 2011; National Planning Commission, 2011 & Mokonyama, 2012):

• Apartheid city design policies created fragmented spaces with residential areas

housing the majority of the poor, who are also the majority users of public

transport, located far away from the major industrial and commercial centres.

Thus, poor urban communities are forced to wake up extremely early in the

morning, for example, at 03:00 and return home late from work at

approximately 21:00 or later on a daily basis. This leaves very little time to

spend with family and engage in social activities – which drive community

development and ultimately a well-rounded and productive population.

• While the middle and higher income earners are able to afford alternative means

of transport, this is not the case with the poor, urban, public transport

commuters.

• Inadequate and inefficient public transport systems.

• The virtual absence of public transport support other than for the metropolitan

cities and for commuter trips into the metropolitan cities.

• The need to reverse chronic underinvestment in public transport requires

substantial capital injections to build the required infrastructure (physical and

ICT) and integrate the various systems.

• Continuous urban growth and urban complexity imply heavy public transport

systems and infrastructure requirements.

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• The poor urban public transport users face great transport difficulties in their

quest to access and utilise the socio-economic facilities and opportunities within

their greater urban living environments.

It is essential that the abovementioned challenges are addressed in innovative and timeous

ways as they continue to have a significant and detrimental impact of the economy of South

Africa and strategic metropolitan economies as well as being extremely costly to ignore. In

addition, the IBM 2010 Commuter Pain Survey, which analysed traffic patterns in 20 major

cities internationally, rated Johannesburg as one of the most congested cities (National

Planning Commission, 2011). Steps are in place to mitigate Johannesburg – and other South

African cities’ – congestion and plan for the future (National Planning Commission, 2011).

However, although there is evidence that public transport initiatives, such as the

implementation of the Bus Rapid Transit system, are being rolled out in an attempt to

improve public transport in the country, the process will, in all likelihood, take place over an

extended period of approximately 10 to 15 years before reaching its final stage (Walters,

2008a).

In its planning, South Africa opted for a mass transit system known as the Bus Rapid Transit

(BRT), and the preparation began as early as 2002 (Tshikalanke, 2010 & City of

Johannesburg, 2012).

The planning in Gauteng was fast tracked as a result of the transport needs arising from the

2010 Soccer World Cup. South Africa has introduced the first phase of the BRT systems in

Johannesburg and Cape Town, and is planning to introduce the system in Mangaung and

Nelson Mandela Bay (Thomas, et al. 2010 & Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality, 2013). The

system in the City of Cape Town is referred to as Integrated Rapid Transit (IRT) to

emphasise its role in a broader system of public transport that involves more than just buses

(Thomas, et al. 2010). South Africa decided to introduce the BRT system rather than other

systems, such as light rail, because of the substantial infrastructure costs associated with

these other systems and also their lack of flexibility. All South African BRT systems will

expand in phases over the next decade. A particularly important dynamic in South Africa is

the way in which the system will effectively integrates and includes the minibus taxi industry

since, by law, public transport interventions have to involve existing operators (Thomas, et

al. 2010).

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With the introduction of BRT in South Africa, existing public transport organisations,

particularly buses and minibus taxis, will have to adapt to changes or else they will

inevitably fail. In general, faced with changes in the environment, transport organisations are

being forced to move from a traditionally operations-driven orientation to a more market-

driven orientation (Gubbins, 1988). However, this also means that it is incumbent on public

transport operators to improve their service quality, attract new passengers, retain existing

ones, and garner as much support as possible for their service (McKnight, Pagano &

Paaswell, 1986; Zeithaml & Bitner, 2000 & Mashiri, et al. 2010).

In order to maximise the effectiveness of public transport, it is essential that marketing

principles be applied. However, marketing in this context should be viewed as a

comprehensive process through which passenger transport organisations develop and provide

transport services, inform the public about transport routes and systems, and also

communicate the benefits to the public at large (Mashiri, et al. 2010).

Researchers into public transport have equated the importance of public transport to that of a

utility (Barrett, 1987 & Armstrong-Wright, 1993). In any society, people are entitled to

mobility in the same way in which they are entitled to sewage and fresh water systems. This,

in turn, means that passenger transport is a public utility; and the benefits derived from this

public utility will be realised only if the system is planned and regulated so that all members

of society benefit from it, both the poor and the rich (Barrett, 1987; Armstrong-Wright, 1993

& Bhakthan, 2011).

However, there are those who oppose the notion of transport as a public utility, maintaining

that transport is a political issue and should be approached from a political perspective

(Gubbins, 1988). According to Gubbins (1988), these detractors are of the opinion that

market forces are important in determining the nature and role of public transport.

Accordingly, these market forces should determine the price of public transport and the

service offered because public transport is a derived demand, meaning that people use public

transport services in order to meet their needs. Thus, the service should only be made

available based on the law of demand and supply, and commuters’ needs should be taken

into account within the supply chain.

In France, for example, the discussion includes whether or not land public transport should

be provided free as a public utility and in so doing raises the question of whether

implementation of a free public transport system weakens the influence of market forces?

Some believe that free public transport could reinforce the market by giving a new

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legitimacy and a positive image to urban-services firms (Giovannangeli & Sagot-Duvauroux,

2012 & Huré & Waine, 2013).

Whether or not public transport is a public utility, community members represent a variety of

diverse groups, all seeking to derive different benefits from the transportation systems and

with different degrees of access to these systems (McKnight, et al. 1986). However, the

difficulty is, in part, that commuters, even within the same class, do not have homogeneous

demands, coupled with the fact that the transport system is not infinitely flexible.

In view of the fact that community members seek different benefits from and access to

public transport is a challenge, public transport in some areas is provided at a reduced fare

and is subsidised by government, based on the argument that these parts of the transport

system meet a social need and should either be provided free or at a reduced cost (South

African Bus Operators Association, 2006 & 2010). However, in other areas, the transport

system is provided on a commercial basis and the fares are determined by market forces

(demand and supply) (Button & Hensher, 2001 & Hensher & Brewer, 2001).

The users of public transport also have various perceptions of transport and its systems, for

example, the different classes, young and old, men and women, and able-bodied or people

with special needs. It is, therefore, important to understand the commuters’ perceptions of

public transport so that public transport organisations are able to provide a service that meets

their needs (McKnight, et al. 1986). This, in turn, means that public passenger transport

organisations must conduct perception studies on an on-going basis in order to enable them

to meet the needs of passengers and it is those organisations that conduct perception studies

and use the results effectively that are likely to deliver a quality service that meets the needs

of passengers (McKnight, et al. 1986).

Despite the fact that service quality is an all-pervasive problem affecting both urban and

rural populations, it is in the urban context that this problem receives the most attention

(Dalvi, 1987). This is partly as a result of the scale of the problem and also because it is in

the urban context that controversial issues – concerning appropriate services that meets

commuters needs, choice of inter-modal mix, transport technologies and pricing policies and

strategies for transport – are hotly debated. However, it is in the context of choosing an

appropriate inter-modal mix for urban transport that the poorer countries are currently faced

with the greatest dilemma. Developing countries need to decide whether to follow western

models and devote a major portion of their development resources to the construction of

mass transit systems or whether should they opt for low cost, capital saving options. Both

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choices are dependent on the political will and also the way in which governments and

people, in general, perceive passenger transport (Dalvi, 1987).

McKnight et al. (1986) maintain that one of the challenges confronting transport

organisations is that service quality, in particular, is a complex area of study and measuring

service quality, particularly in public transport, is made difficult by the subjective nature of

service. In contrast to the quality of goods, which may be measured objectively by such

indicators as durability and number of defects, service quality is an abstract and elusive

construct because of the following three features which are unique to services (Parasuraman,

Zeithaml & Berry, 1986 & 1988):

• Intangibility;

• Heterogeneity; and

• The inseparability of production and consumption.

Accordingly, in the absence of objective measures, a useful and appropriate approach to

assessing the quality of an organisation’s services would be to measure the customers’

perceptions of quality (Thompson, De Souza & Bradley, 1985; Dodds & Monroe, 1985 &

McKnight, et al. 1986). However, while instruments have been developed to assist

organisations to measure service quality in order to meet the needs of commuters, there has,

in the main, been no agreement on the measurement of the concept. The majority of the work

to date has attempted to use the SERVQUAL methodology in an effort to measure service

quality (Parasuraman, et al. 1985; 1988; Brooks, Lings & Botschen, 1999; Chaston, 1994;

Edvardsson, Larsson & Setterlind, 1997; Lings & Brooks, 1998; Reynoso & Moore, 1995 &

Sahney, Banwet & Karunes, 2004).

This study will use an appropriate methodology developed by McKnight, et al. (1986) to

measure service quality in the specific context of public road transport, namely, buses and

minbus taxis. In particular, the study will explore commuters’ perceptions of bus and

minibus taxi service in terms of the service quality dimensions of McKnight, et al. (1986)

(see Figure 1-2), namely, reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety and affordability

(RECSA). The study will also ascertain the extent to which the abovementioned service

quality dimensions influence the demand for public transport, and determine the importance

of each service quality dimension regarding commuter choice in respect of a public transport

mode.

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Figure 1-2: Clusters of service quality dimensions

Source: McKnight et al. (1986: 427).

1.2 Problem Statement

In view of the importance and the role of public transport in the economic and social

development of the country, it is essential that the issue of public transport not be

overlooked. It is an integral part of most people’s lives and more is demanded of the

transport systems that provided by it (Gubbins, 1988; South African Bus Association, 2010;

2011 & Arrive Alive, 2010). There is no doubt that, in the context of a developing economy,

an efficient and effective public transport system is the key to a cost-effective and

sustainable transportation system (Mashiri, et al. 2010).

It is essential that the challenges facing public road transport in Johannesburg be addressed.

The current public transport system is not able to adequately address the present-day and

future transportation and mobility needs of commuters, in the same way as the needs of

commuters in Curitiba in Brazil, Seoul in South Korea, Rouen in France, Pittsburg in the

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United States and Brisbane in Australia have been addressed (City of Johannesburg, 2006 &

Mashiri, et al. 2010).

In Johannesburg, public transport modes operate independently, with no system integration

benefits (Mokonyama, 2012). Public transport will be fully unlocked only if the excellent

elements of public transport (for example, land-use planning, transport planning, urban

design, communication and marketing) are combined into one public transport experience;

pockets of excellence are not enough. If even one of these elements is underdeveloped, the

public transport system will be unable to meet the demands of commuters. For example, the

existence of a bus service alone will not give a potential user enough reason to use it (Van

Dijk & Hitge, 2012).

Public transport is likely to provide a better service, and thus a better opportunity for users,

in cities that are well designed, for example, and have a diversity of land uses at appropriate

densities. However, in South Africa, the urban environment around public transport

interchanges is mostly poor, which creates an experience that is unsatisfying to current users

and prohibitive to potential new users. Changing the urban fabric in support of a public

transport lifestyle is a long-term process and requires conviction and strong leadership to

drive transformation (Van Dijk, et al. 2012).

However, this would require more than merely a technical solution and only a full package

of interventions would provide the optimal environment in which a public transport-

orientated lifestyle would be the norm rather than the exception (Van Dijk, et al. 2012).

Communication and marketing are essential in creating a positive public-transport lifestyle.

Marketing and information campaigns can increase awareness, change community

perceptions and highlight advantages of a specific service. In fact, the lack of profile is one

of the reasons public transport users aspire to own a private car and most public transport

users are held captive by the fact they do not have access to a car. Of those individuals who

do have access to cars, the vast majority use their cars instead of public transport.

Most public transport trips are reliant on the non-subsidised minibus taxi services which

account for approximately 70% of all public transport trips (Mokonyama, 2012). However

this mode of public transport has not been effectively integrated into the BRT, resulting in

dissatisfaction on the part of the minibus taxi industry. Travel times are too high across all

public transport modes, thus indicating low speeds and overly long distances (Mokonyama,

2012).

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In addition to the requisite public transport integration, an improved quality of public

transport should also achieve a modal shift. Modal shifts should be viewed from two

perspectives, (a) a shift from private to public or non-motorised transport on the part of daily

commuters, (b) optimising the use of public transport. It is also essential that public transport

organisations attract new travellers, retain existing ones as well as garnering support from

public transport stakeholders and general commuters at large. As a result, (a) effective

marketing of public transport services is required, combined with (b) the proper integration

of public transport services, as well as (c) the restructuring of the public transport industry to

provide an efficient quality service for commuters (Mashiri, et al. 2010).

As regards service quality, in particular, the developments in the transportation industry have

been less than satisfactory. The focus has not been on providing quality service and, as a

result, commuter satisfaction has been curtailed in at least two ways (Barnes, 1989):

• The attention of the transport operators has been distracted from the primary

objective of providing efficient service and refocused on operational efficiency

in order to maximise profitability.

• Insufficient attention has been paid to addressing passenger needs with it being

perceived as a “nice to have” instead of a central issue on which future business

hinges.

Commuters are clearly unhappy with public transport service quality. For example, the

National Household Travel Survey (2003) revealed that 71% of train users, 55% of taxi users

and 54% of bus users were dissatisfied with the level of crowding (Gauteng Province, 2009).

In addition, 74% of bus users, 64% of taxi users and 53% of train users were unhappy with

the facilities at stops, ranks and stations. There has been severe overcrowding on all modes

of public transport, primarily as a result of there not being sufficient vehicles and coaches

available, coupled with a lack of variety. In addition, there are excessive delays for public

transport with an average waiting time of between 40 and 65 minutes (Gauteng Province,

2009).

This study will explore commuters’ perceptions of service, ascertain the extent to which the

service quality dimensions influence passenger transport mode choice, as well as determine

the importance of service quality dimensions in choosing a mode of passenger transport.

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1.3 Objectives of the Study

This study aims to achieve the following objectives:

• To explore commuters’ perceptions of bus and minibus taxi service in terms of

the service quality dimensions of McKnight, et al. (1986), namely, reliability,

comfort, extent of service, safety; and affordability (RECSA);

• To ascertain the extent to which service quality dimensions can influence future

demand for public transport;

• To determine the importance of each service quality dimension as regards

choosing a public transport mode; and

• To recommend strategies to improve public transport service quality based on

the research findings.

1.4 Research Questions

The study will address the following research questions:

• What are passengers’ perceptions of service quality in the bus and minibus taxi

industry?

• To what extent would passengers’ perceptions of service quality influence the

future demand for buses and minibus taxis?

• What is the importance of each service quality dimension in choosing a

passenger transport mode?

1.5 Rationale for the Study

It is evident from the discussion above that passenger transport makes a vital contribution to

the economic and social development of the country and, as a provider of commuter

services, it has, and continues to provide mobility to millions of people who are dependent

on passenger transport, including learners who require transport to and from school, workers

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who require transport to and from their jobs, as well as individuals who are seeking

employment or else access to hospitals and other services (Arrive Alive, 2011a).

The transport system has been particularly dysfunctional as a result of apartheid geo-spatial

planning and policies, which resulted in 2,8 million (or 13%) of the urban population being

categorised as stranded, which means that the transport system is failing more egregiously

for this group than for any other. They lack affordable basic access to motorized transport

and therefore have little ability to integrate with the rest of society or participate in the

broader economy. The principal customer need is for low cost passenger transport. It has

been predicted that this number will grow by 28% in 2020 if nothing is done to address the

needs of this group (Crous & Price, 1993 & Godard & Fatonzoun, 2002).

In view of the fact that research has shown that 80% of the South African (SA) population is

totally dependent on public transport (bus, commuter rail, and minibus taxis) for its mobility

needs, it is clear that it is essential that the importance of public transport not be overlooked

(South African Bus Operators Association, 2006 & 2010). Access to sustainable, affordable

and quality public transport is critical for the urban poor as it offers a way out of economic,

social and physical isolation (Sohail, 2005a).

Public transport is commonly used by the poorer members of the community, who depend on

it for their daily commuting, while the private motor car is reserved for the privileged few

who use their cars for their daily commuting needs (Mashiri, et al. 2010). Thus, this means

that the poor have to use buses and minibus taxis, despite the inefficiencies within these

modes (Thomas, et al. 2010). These (mostly poor) public bus commuters are often faced

with inadequate services, poorly arranged schedules, the absence of facilities, including bus

stops and shelters, and the infrequency of services, particularly at off peak times, thus the

convenience of these services is severely compromised (Mashiri, et al. 2010). In addition,

public transport is often unreliable and lacking comfort because of inefficient scheduling.

Boarding conditions often prevent commuters from alighting at the desired times with over-

crowding imposing severe discomfort.

The minibus taxi commuters are also faced with high rates of accidents, unroadworthy

vehicles, the absence of facilities at taxi ranks, poor service as a result of destructive

competition through overtrading, long off-peak waiting periods, little or no investment, and

unsavoury business management principles in the industry.

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These inefficiencies have further exacerbated the already tarnished image of public transport.

The situation has also been made worse by the high cost of public transport. Commuters in

South Africa spend more than twenty percent of their total income on an inefficient public

transport system, and the acceptable norm is a maximum of ten percent (Mashiri, et al.

2010). However, despite the poor state of public transport, both policy makers and

commuters at large continue to expect that public transport will play a more decisive role in

shaping the socio-economic landscape of South Africa. This is as a result of public transport

being vital not only for the sustainability and growth of business and job creation, but also

for discouraging inimical, sprawling land use (Mashiri, et al. 2010). Thus public transport

has become a key challenge for policy makers and, in particular, local governments, partly

because significantly more public funding resources are required to improve public transport

and partly because municipalities around the world are still searching for more sustainable

public transport solutions.

This study recognises that there are no viable answers and solutions found yet with which to

address the public transport problems in South Africa and that even the current BRT systems

are faced with challenges of crowding, unaffordability, security concerns as a result of

minibus taxi owners’ unhappiness with the system, and the lack of integration with other

feeder services (Chakwizira, Mathetha, Mokonyana, Mashiri, & Marrian, 2009). This study

will attempt to recommend solutions to the challenges currently at play in the South African

public transport industry.

Improving and encouraging the use of public transport should be one of the cornerstones of

the policies of the national Department of Transport (Mashiri, et al. 2010). It is of concern

that there is little emphasis on public transport efficiency and that it is a miscellaneous item

on the South African’s Government’s agenda (Thomas, et al. 2010). Despite the attempts of

the transport authorities to fix the state of public transport, public transport solutions are

falling short of expectations (Thomas, et al. 2010).

Service quality in the public transport sector has remained an elusive and a much neglected

area of study. Data regarding the quality and performance indicators of public transportation

services are vaguely determined and, in fact, are practically non-existent (Simona, 2010).

Much of the debate has centred on the system itself: spatial designs, systems configurations,

city network developments, government policies, and engineering services. According to

Nielsen and Lange (2008), the design and planning of network structure for passenger

transport success is the most important factor, and should feature strongly in standard texts

on public transport and in transport policy. Nielsen, et al. (2008) argue that ensuring that the

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network is right, in terms of stability, efficiency and design irrespective of the mode of

public transport, is usually more important and mode selection for new parts of the network

should feature after an overall network strategy has been formulated.

Service quality has remained a challenge for the majority of public transport organisations,

partly as a result of the inherent challenge of measuring service quality and, partly because

commuters do not perceive quality as a one-dimensional concept – customers’ assessments

of quality often include perceptions of the multiple dimensions that apply to all services (see

Table 1-1).

Table 1-1: Multiple dimensions for service industries

• Performance

• Features

• Reliability

• Conformance

• Durability

• Serviceability

• Aesthetics

• Perceived quality (equivalent to prestige)

Source: Zeithaml and Bitner (2000: 82)

This study is of particular importance in view of the fact that it is envisaged that it will

contribute towards improving the quality of public road transport service in Johannesburg,

South Africa, thus attracting new users and retain existing ones. The study is a deviation

from the usual practice of using SERVQUAL (Parasuraman, et al. 1988). Instead, it uses the

research results of McKnight et al. (1986) as pertaining to their service quality dimensions of

reliability; extent of service; comfort; safety; and affordability (RECSA) ‒ see Figure 1-2

above, which are deemed to be more relevant for public transportation studies. Therefore,

failure to utilise RATER as a measure of service quality does not invalidate the research

because an alternative, more appropriate measure of service quality for public transport was

utilised (McKnight, et al. 1986).

1.6 Focus of the Study

The study focuses on determining the quality of service in public transport in Johannesburg,

South Africa. Thus, it is not a national study as each of the provinces is at different levels of

public transport systems development. Johannesburg was chosen because it is at an

appropriate stage in the implementation of the new public bus transport system known as

BRT in the city, for analysis (City of Johannesburg, 2003a; 2006; Cox, 2009; Tugwana,

2010; Ndebele, 2011a & Hudleston, 2011). However, the rail system, including the Gautrain

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and other rail networks, fall outside the scope of this study although it is acknowledged that

rail is critical for the proper integration of the public transport network with other modes of

transport, especially road transport.

As regards the focus of the study design, this study used mainly quantitative research.

Quantitative research is associated with a structured research process in terms of which data

is collected and analysed. The main feature of the quantitative method is its capacity to

generate quantifiable data on a large scale. The empirical research was conducted in order to

answer the research questions, within the given constraints (Ghauri, Gronhaug &

Kristianslund, 1995). Data collection was administered personally by the researcher to 902

individual bus and mini-bus passengers, intercepted at bus and minibus taxi terminals, who

were asked to answer both closed and open-ended questions using the research instrument or

questionnaire.

The sample selected was done so based on the various reasons, namely, costs, greater

accuracy, speed of data collection, and availability of population elements. As a result of

the complexities involved in the process of sampling in the public transport context, the

choice of a probability sample is always a challenge (Cooper & Schindler, 2001). Therefore,

for the purposes of this study, area sampling techniques (often referred to as the geographical

sampling technique) were used to select terminals in Johannesburg, thereby automatically

selecting the passengers to be included in the study. Thus, the passengers in a particular area

formed part of the study (Cooper, et al. 2001).

As regards the data analysis, the following factors influenced the selection of the appropriate

technique for the purposes of the data analysis, for example, (a) type of data, (b) research

design, and (c) assumptions underlying the test statistic and related considerations (Aaker, et

al. 2007). As a result, various statistical tools were used for data analysis including, amongst

others, multiple regression, factor analysis, and structural equation modelling. The data was

analysed utilising SPSS and SAS.

The study findings showed that the perceived quality of bus transport exceeded that of

minibus taxis by a significant margin. The study findings met the objectives of the study and

resolved the research problem. Consequently, academics and professionals will benefit from

the study findings. Therefore, public transport operators need to focus on improving the

aforementioned service quality dimensions in order to influence commuter’s perception of

public road transport, attract new users and retain existing ones.

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1.7 Limitations of the Study

This research study may be regarded as the beginning of the much needed research into

service quality in the public transport sector. However, as a result of time, financial and other

constraints, the study was confined to one, albeit the largest city, in one, albeit the largest

province, namely, Gauteng Province in South Africa. The study also investigated one model

only, namely, BRT, which has been introduced in Johannesburg, South Africa only.

1.8 Conclusion

It is evident that passenger transport plays a significant role in the social and economic

development of a country, while it is also essential for the wellbeing of any nation. In view

of the fact that more than 80% of the commuting public in South Africa depend on public

transport, access to sustainable and affordable public transport is critical, especially for the

urban poor, as public transport offers a way out of economic, social and physical isolation.

The management of public transport in South Africa is a shared responsibility between

national, provincial, and local government and it is essential that all these spheres of

government work together to improve public transport.

The study of public transport is important because, as indicated above, a large number of

commuters depend on public transport for their daily commuting needs. The study is also

important because it is envisaged that it will make a significant contribution towards

improving public road transport in South Africa in general and in Johannesburg in particular.

Buses and minibus taxis are the dominant mode of public transport in South Africa and, thus,

they transport a large number of commuters daily. It is, therefore critical that public transport

provides a service that is reliable, comfortable, widely available, safe, and affordable.

This study uses the established service quality dimensions of McKnight et al. (1986) to

explore commuters’ perceptions of the bus and minibus taxi services. The study also

ascertains the extent to which service quality dimensions would influence future demand for

public transport. The importance of each service quality dimension as regards choosing a

public transport mode will also become evident in the following chapters.

As a result, the next two chapters discuss the literature review, with the emphasis on the

passenger transportation system and service quality dimensions influencing passengers’

perceptions of service. Chapter two will discuss key concepts and definitions relevant to

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public transportation, public transport modes, the importance of public transport, the

structure under which public transport operates, the general establishment of the public

transportation network in Johannesburg, as well as identifying other countries in the African

continent and the rest of the world that have successfully implemented, what is arguably,

effective and efficient public transportation systems, such as the Bus Rapid Transit System,

to improve public transport in order to attract new users and retain current users. Chapter

three will discuss the service quality dimensions, demand, importance of service quality

dimensions, as well as the marketing of the public transport service to increase utilisation of

the service. Both these chapters, collectively known as the literature review, will be

important for the discussion chapter of this study, presented in chapter six.

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CHAPTER TWO

Public Transport in South Africa: Focus on Johannesburg

2.1 Introduction

This chapter, which discusses the theoretical background to public transport, with a

particular emphasis on South Africa, begins with a definition of public transport. The chapter

then discusses the challenges encountered in defining public transport. Thereafter, the

importance of public transport in providing mobility to the majority of commuters is

discussed, with the emphasis on the modes of public transport (public buses and minibus

taxis) which are the focus of this study. The chapter also includes statistics which

contextualises the role and the magnitude of public transport in South Africa and,

particularly, in Johannesburg.

In view of the fact that certain researchers (Tomazinis, 1975; Farris, et al.1976 & Cole,

1987) are of the view that, without government intervention, public transport would not

improve and, thus, the free market system will not address the state of public transport to the

benefit of the commuters, therefore, the chapter concludes with a discussion on government

intervention into public transportation by discussing public transportation networks or

systems, particularly the introduction of the BRT in Johannesburg, which aims to improve

public transport service in Johannesburg in order to increase the utilisation of the service

(City of Johannesburg, 2003a).

2.2 Definition

Public transport, public transportation, public transit, and mass transit are all terms which are

used in transport studies, and they all refer to transport systems in which the commuters do

not travel in their own vehicles (International Association of Public Transport, 2011). While

public transport is generally assumed to include rail and bus services, wider definitions

include scheduled ferries as well as taxicab services ‒ in other words, any system that

transports members of the general public. However, for the purposes of this study, public

transport is understood and discussed within the context of the South African bus and

minibus taxi transport and, therefore, transport organisations mean buses and minibus taxi

organisations.

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Commuters, passengers, public transport users, are all terms used in public transport, which

refer to the people who require transportation services to move from one point to the other

(Commuter, 2013). Therefore, commuters, passengers, public transport users are all terms

that will be used interchangeable in this study to simple refer to the public transport users.

As regards public transportation systems, there is no simple definition of what constitutes a

public transportation system, and any definition usually focuses on the approaches to public

transport systems. However, Button et al. (2001) provide extensive discussion on the

definition of public transport and public transportation operations in general, as discussed

below, and their debate is relevant to this study and will be utilised in this discussion,

henceforth.

In addition to definitional challenges, public transportation systems are both complex and

subject to continual change themselves, making concrete notions of such impossible to pin

down without locating in sticky context (Button, et al. 2001).

However, the above words are synonymous, with transport being the proper English word

and transportation being it’s variant. The suffixation of transport refers to a system or

process of public transport (Oxford English Dictionary, 1989). This, in turn, implies that

transportation deals with the whole system of determining why, where, when, and how

people are conveyed, whereas transport is the means or act of conveyance (Button, et al.

2001). From one perspective, there are various modes of transportation, each of which may

be seen as a system. However, from another perspective, it is possible to separate different

infrastructure systems with each being regarded as a system. Although, in some cases,

infrastructure systems may be used by several different modes of transport (Button, et al.

2001).

As regards the term “mass movement of people”, which is often referred to as mass

transportation, the term is used to describe the mass movement of people in an efficient

manner (Button, et al. 2001:33). However, mass transportation is an unfortunate term

because it implies that ridership (defined as the average quantity of passengers carried per

certain time in a mode of public transport system) comprises a mass market of people with

undifferentiated needs and characteristics. On the other hand, the term “passenger transport

commuters” tends to evoke images of either helpless commuters or else the unfortunate poor

and (perhaps) elderly. In reality, the market for passenger transport comprises people of

different ages, sexes, occupations, incomes, languages, races, and backgrounds. They travel

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for different purposes, with varying degrees of frequency, between different origins and

destinations, and at different times of the day or week (Button, et al. 2001: 33).

As regards Transport Authorities (TA’s), as a regulatory authority, South African

government plays a role in public transport through the agency of local transport authorities.

A TA is a municipal council/committee or similar legal entity, the sole purpose of which is

to carry out municipal transport functions (Nothnagel, Campbell & Stanway, 1999). In terms

of the National Land Transport Transition Bill of 1999 and the National Land Transport

Transition Act of 2000 (NLTTA), which allows for the establishment of transport

authorities, TAs were to be established for those transport areas that comprise individual

municipalities, a combination of municipalities or parts of the aforementioned (Nothnagel, et

al. 1999).

2.3 Importance of Public Transport

Before discussing the structure of public transport in South Africa, it is important to discuss

the importance of public transport, since public transport claims a significant portion of, and

is a substantial contributor to, the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Public

transport permeates the entirety of civilised life in the same way as do the arteries and veins

of the human body (Richard, 1983; American Public Transportation Association, 2007;

Mashiri, et al. 2010 & Ndebele, 2011b).

2.3.1 Economic

Public transport is a catalyst for economic growth, and direct and indirect job creation in

South Africa. The provision of affordable, safe and reliable transportation of people is

critical to the development of the country (SAGI, 2013).

Public transport enhances business and boots trade, and investing in public transportation,

either by government or the private sector, is good for business and the economy of the

country. In this regard, public transport often boosts real estate values. Real estate –

residential, commercial or business – that is served by public transportation is valued more

highly by the public and commercial investors than similar properties which are not as well

served by transport.

In addition, public transport provides access to services for isolated residents and enhances

local and rural economic growth in many ways, increasing the local customer base for a

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range of services – shopping malls, medical and educational facilities, and other important

services.

Furthermore, public transport enhances personal economic opportunities and saves

individuals’ money in the sense that passenger transportation use lowers household expenses

and frees up more income for other needs. Public transport creates and sustains employment

and this is good for both workers and companies, as it connects workers to jobs in both the

suburban and rural areas; it reduces congestion and travel time and protects mobility, as well

as providing a vital link to economic activities for citizens with disabilities.

Public transport is an important alternative to rising fuel prices. The fact that passenger

transportation helps people stay mobile has become particularly relevant in recent years with

the fuel prices spiking to record highs and the placement of residential and commercial

development near transit hubs is a growing trend, taking into account fuel price hikes

(American Public Transportation Association, 2007).

2.3.2 Social

Public transportation fosters liveable communities and encourages neighbourhood

interaction. Furthermore, public transport encourages, amongst others, social activities and

helps create strong neighbourhood centres that are economically stable, safe and productive.

When commuters either use public transport or walk, contact with neighbours tends to

increase, ultimately helping to bring communities together. By reducing reliance on cars,

transit friendly communities also promote physical activity and walking.

2.4. Structure of Public Transport

The following section discusses the structure of public transport, taking into account that the

structure of public transport in the country influences service quality in terms of reliability,

extent of service, comfort, safety, and affordability, related to the objectives of the study

(Farris, et al. 1976; Alam, 2002; Queensland Government, 2012 & McKnight, et al.

1986).

Farris et al.’s (1976) research is utilised more frequently in this section because they

conducted a thorough and informative investigation of systems of public transport. This

study remains as valid and true today as it was in the mid-1970s, when it was conducted. The

literature is limited on the relevant and sufficient public transportation systems. However,

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other researchers’ work have also been utilised (McKnight, et al. 1986; Suen & Mitchell,

1985; Kilivington & Cross, 1986; Forshaw & Freeman, 1989; Hilling, 1996; Alam, 2002; Storer & Teljeur, 2003; Mayer & Onyango, 2005; Walters, 2006; Ryneveld, 2008; Gauteng

Province, 2009; Ndebele, 2011a; Institute for Democracy in Africa, 2011; Queensland

Government, 2012 & Wikipedia, 2012; NTA, 2012; Prileszky, 2012; Ndebele, 2012).

2.4.1 Systems of Public Transport

Public transport systems affect the quality of service in terms of reliability, extent of service,

comfort, safety, and affordability. Poor systems will adversely affect the delivery of quality

service to commuters. Accordingly, an understanding of the systems of public transport

plays an important contributing role in the bid to improve service, specifically the reliability,

extent, comfort, safety, and affordability of service (Farris, et al. 1976 & Alam, 2002).

Public transport is composed of the following four interrelated component systems. These

will be discussed in greater detail below:

• Physical

• Economic Pricing

• Regulatory.

2.4.1.1 Physical and Economic Systems

While it is fairly common practice to use the term system when referring to physical public

transport, the term, in fact, has three meanings or uses:

• The use of system to refer to a small part of the overall physical system of

public transport.

• A somewhat broader use of system is found when industry groups publish

statistics or other data about the highway system, the rail system, the airline

system, and so on. Thus, in this context, a system refers to a collection of

organisations or components of similar, and sometimes competing, types of

physical public transport operations.

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• A comprehensive use of the term system occurs when all the modes (with their

individual organisations or components) providing the total physical function of

moving people are considered. Thus, in this context, the physical system of

public transport becomes broad, inter-modal, non-geographic, and all-inclusive

with multiple-operators and multiple units (Farris, et al. 1976; Alam, 2002;

Queensland Government, 2012 & Wikipedia, 2012). For the purposes of this

research, it is in this broad context that the physical system of public transport is

addressed.

A public transport system is composed of the following four interacting component parts,

namely, the way, the terminal/ranks, the vehicle, and the operator (Farris, et al. 1976). This

notion is supported by other public transport researchers’ work (Hilling, 1996 & Alam,

2002).

(a) The Way

One approach to the physical characteristics of public transport is to consider the way. The

“way” is defined as the public transport infrastructure, which consists of the fixed

installations necessary for transport, including roads –providing the glide path for public

transportation (Farris, et al.1976:31 & Alam, 2002: ). The way involves patterns, such as the

extent, provision, and financial support of the way. Generally, all these patterns may be

categorised as means of support, sources of funds, and reimbursement plans (Farris, et al.

1976 & Alam, 2002).

(b) The Terminal/ Ranks

The words terminals or ranks have the same meaning and are used interchangeably.

However, it is usual to talk of bus terminals and minibus taxi ranks. The terminal is

sometimes regarded as part of the way despite the fact that it is, indeed, a separate

component of a public transport system. Terminals may be situated along the way, at the

beginning or at end of the way, or they may even be separate from the way itself. However,

irrespective of its location, the terminal is integral part of the public transportation system

(Farris, et al. 1976 & Alam, 2002). A terminal may also be thought of as a transport node,

defined as either a point at which to access the transport network or a point through which it

is possible to change transport modes (NTA, 2012).

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The terminal fulfils the following key five functions:

• Concentration

• Dispersion

• Passenger service

• Vehicle service

• Interchange.

(c) The Vehicle

The vehicle traverses the way between the terminals. The majority of vehicles are private

motor cars and they produce the most passenger kilometres. Public transport vehicles,

although a small number in comparison, produce astounding numbers of passenger

kilometres and vehicle kilometres as a result of their larger capacity, and more intense use in

terms of frequencies per day (Farris, et al. 1976). Access to these vehicles has been

transformed by the introduction of low-floor vehicles, which are used by all commuters,

including the physically disabled (Suen & Mitchell, 1985).

(d) The Operator

The operator refers to the bus and minibus taxi organisations supplying the public

transportation. The operators have to worry about the number of routes available, the

operating revenues, the costs of the service, and the number of employees involved in their

public transportation services (Farris, et al. 1976).

2.4.1.2 The Pricing System

It is possible to think of pricing in two contexts:

• The first context involves the establishment of a single price for a single

commodity at a given period of time. The market forces of supply and demand

are traditionally thought to balance one another in an equilibrium that creates

the price that clears the market (the clearing price at which the supply equals the

quantity demand). However, as regards a complex area such as public transport,

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this view is much too narrow and, thus, a broader and more comprehensive

approach is preferable (Farris, et al. 1976).

• The second context involves considering pricing as a system, that is, as a

combination of interacting factors and circumstances. Rather than being

concerned solely with an individual price that clears the market for a single

commodity at a given time, this pricing system approach takes into account all

the multiple forces that come to play in the matter of providing the service.

Accordingly, price is not regarded as an independent variable which is

determined by the impersonal factors of supply and demand, but rather as a

dependent variable that is affected by supply and demand factors and that, in

turn, affects them (Farris, et al. 1976).

2.4.1.3 Regulatory Systems

Regulation is an extremely broad term and has several meanings. It is widely accepted that

the self-regulating mechanisms of the free market are insufficient to provide for the optimal

functioning of the economy and this is, thus, the reason why, in certain sectors such as public

transport, some form of state intervention is required (Prileszky, 2012).

It is possible to categorise the following three forms of state intervention, based on the level

of government participation. Various regulatory systems may be analysed and described

according to which of these three forms of intervention are employed and the extent to which

they are employed (Prileszky, 2012):

• The setting of standards and regulations in respect of the performance of a given

economic activity. For example, those who are entitled to perform the activity,

rules for entering and leaving the market and conditions and requirements

governing the performance of the activity.

• The use of financial regulatory devices of intervention. For example,

investments using national funds, the partial or complete provision of financial

assistance as regards the development costs, the provision of favourable credit

conditions, tax relief or the introduction of new taxes and intervention in the

price fixing process, for example, subsidies.

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• The control of the activity by the state, including the founding of state-owned

companies to perform the activity. Mainly, this involves the prohibition of

others from taking part in the economic activity with the state providing the

service.

Government intervention and regulation is generally justified on the grounds of “market

failure”, “information asymmetries” and/or equity considerations (Mayer & Onyango,

2005:2). Market failure underpins regulation in backbone infrastructure sectors, while

asymmetrical information between consumers and the suppliers of services constitutes the

rationale for regulatory interventions in the health, education and financial services sectors.

Market failure arises when competition is either not feasible or it does not produce results

that are compatible with the public interest. The government then introduces economic

regulation in order to influence both commuters and suppliers by either encouraging or

restraining certain forms of behaviour. The need to achieve equity in the provision of

services finds expression in regulations that enhance the ability of poor people to access such

services through the reduction of prices. This is often accomplished through direct

subsidisation by the state, or through cross-subsidisation from wealthier to poorer segments

of the market. From a regulatory perspective, the key issue is the efficacy of such regulations

in enhancing access to the service (Mayer, et al. 2005).

(a) Goals of Regulation

As regards public transport, regulation is intended to realise two objectives, namely, the

protection of the public and the promotion of the best possible system of public transport

(Farris, et al. 1976).

It is essential that the public not be exploited in respect of either price or service.

Nevertheless, conflict does sometimes arise, for example, in respect of the issues of safety

and environmental protection. The public demands that its interests be taken into

consideration. However, safety and environmental controls both cost money and may

weaken the financial wellbeing of the organisation and/or the manufacturer concerned. Thus,

the inherent conflict between the two goals is obvious and this conflict must somehow be

accommodated. This usually takes the form of a compromise and, as a result, the conflict

may be only partly resolved. This, in turn, may mean that the goals of regulation are never

realised in their entirety. In other words, the public is not completely protected and nor

would the best possible system of public transportation be attained (Farris, et al. 1976).

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(b) Regulation and Policy Implications

The prime objective of any transport policy must be to create or support an efficient system

that provides good transport facilities at the lowest cost in terms of the resources used

(Farris, et al. 1976). The aims of a public transport policy include the following:

• Give commuters a wider choice of fares as well as enhanced convenience and

service levels, and satisfy user needs in exactly the same way as do other

businesses.

• Free the operators from the need for state support and the state from a heavy

involvement in financial obligations in respect of public transport.

Despite the fact that, overall, there is a net benefit to restrictive regulation in respect of

public transport, certain communities may be adversely affected. The effect of deregulation

is expected to bring a reduction in the fares of many services in the urban areas as the

benefits of increased competition are realised while, in the rural areas, there will be

opportunities for innovations on the part of low cost bus operators. The anticipated effect of

deregulation is the introduction of a greater choice into local public transport, with the

services being more in line with the public’s requirements (Kilivington & Cross, 1986).

In opening up the transport sector to commercial competition, those public transport services

that are being offered should be identified and their true nature recognised, rather than

circumscribing the whole system to regulations aimed at ensuring that essential, non-

commercial services are provided. The overall objective of the deregulation policy is to

increase competition, reduce costs, reduce fares, ensure value for money from passenger

transport subsidies and increase service quality levels.

Regulation in the public transport sector should be considered from the following three

perspectives, namely, economic regulation; regulation of the physical aspects of

transportation; and regulation by social policy (Farris, et al. 1976).

There are three facets to the economic regulation of the public transport sector, namely,

control or regulation of price (fares), control of entry of new operators and economic

expansion or contraction of existing operators, and control of services from an economic

viewpoint. On the other hand, the regulation of the physical aspects of transport refers to

control over the conditions of transportation while regulation by social policy refers to both

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the positive and the negative results of aiding and supporting one means of transportation

over another, to transportation as a function as compared to other economic functions, to the

ownership of public transport patterns allowed and to environmental restraints (Farris, et

al.1976).

In addition, regulation may either be direct or indirect. The economic regulation of

transportation may be regarded as direct as it impacts directly on the organisations supplying

the transportation service. On the other hand, social regulation is exclusively indirect as it

affects the economic climate within which transportation operates as well as the financial

conditions under which public transport takes place. The regulation of the physical aspects of

transportation may be regarded as a mixture of both direct and indirect. It is very often

direct, for example, when safety rules are imposed on operators and private operators. It is,

however, less often indirect, for example, when it involves the rules of the road and standard

operating procedures (Farris, et al. 1976).

(c) Economic Regulation

Economic regulation plays a pivotal role in a number of services, including public transport.

This is as a result of the fact that all backbone infrastructure sectors such as transport are

natural monopolies. It is, thus, necessary to regulate these sectors to mitigate the negative

impact of monopoly pricing. In addition, government has a strong interest in promoting

universal access in order to promote equity (Mayer, et al. 2005).

Economic regulation becomes imperative when market failures prevent effective

competition. The objective of such economic regulation is to mimic competitive conditions

in order to steer prices towards more efficient levels. For example, the grid network, integral

to the backbone infrastructure industries, in itself constitutes a market failure as it is not

possible to duplicate it in an economically viable manner (Storer & Teljeur, 2003).

Economic regulation involves the rate of regulation, rate structure regulation, entry

regulation, service regulation, regulatory dilemma, and direct regulation (Farris, et al. 1976).

Economic regulation that enhances the status quo by favouring the established operators has

the effect of forcing people to choose between using the service that is offered and not using

the service at all. In some cases, rather than use services that only partially fulfil their

requirements, commuters will find ways to satisfy their needs. However, if parts of the

system are insulated from market forces it becomes extremely difficult to satisfy the needs in

question. Management has no incentive to innovate, no spur to improve operational methods

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and lacks any measurement of success. Management do, however, have a strong sense of

social duty that may be missing in extremely competitive organisations because

management, in this instance, is duty bound often by the public transport authorities to

provide the service that meets a social need (Farris, et al. 1976).

• Rate Regulation

Rate regulation in the public transport sector refers to the control of the prices

public transport organisations charge for the services rendered. However, more

specifically, rate regulation encompasses both the level of rates and the rate

structure. These divisions of rate regulation have existed for a long time and

involve the two legal and economic concepts of reasonableness and

discrimination.

• Rate Structure Regulation

The structure of fares plays an important role in public transport and involves

the economic and legal concept of fares discrimination. It is possible that the

schedule of public transport fares may result in unequal treatment as regards a

given city or geographical area.

• Entry Regulation

The main issue in respect of entry regulation pertains to the number of operators

that should be allowed to compete on a given route or in a given area. Too much

competition between operators may be as bad as too little. The financial well-

being of the operator and the need for the public to be served are sometimes two

conflicting criteria that must be taken into account in entry decisions. Two

regulatory devices which have been used historically to control entry include

the franchise and the certificate of public convenience and necessity (Farris, et

al. 1976).

• Service Regulation

From a philosophical viewpoint, the goal of regulation in the area of public

transport is to ensure that the public is offered good service. Economically,

service regulation must accompany price and entry regulation because, when a

monopoly or near monopoly is granted and prices are set, there may be a natural

tendency on the part of the organisation concerned to maximise profits by

decreasing the quality and level of service. Once an operator has been granted

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the right to operate exclusively, the natural stimulus of competition is removed.

The overall aim of service regulation is to substitute administrative action for

the stimulus of the impersonal marketplace with its financial rewards for good

service (Farris, et al. 1976).

In addition, service regulation is a somewhat outdated concept, and the natural

tendency of service levels to deteriorate once entry has been controlled has

existed almost as long as regulation itself. There are rights and duties that must

be imposed, for example, in exchange for the right to operate exclusively, the

regulated organisation assumes the following four duties, namely, the duty to

serve, the duty to deliver, the duty to avoid discrimination (price and service,

both preferential and prejudicial), and the duty to charge reasonable prices only.

In terms of public transport, the duty to serve is perhaps the most important of

the four common operator obligations (Farris, et al. 1976).

To date there has been little concern about the conditions of service, namely, the

physical condition of the equipment, the comfort of the passengers, and the

general environment in which the service was rendered. Again, there is the

assumption that an operator would render some minimum standard of service in

order to meet competition in the marketplace. If the conditions of service were

inferior, the passenger would simply transfer his/her allegiance to another

operator or another mode. On other words, it is also possible to rely on, inter-

modal and intra-modal competition and elasticity to regulate the conditions of

service. Thus, in order to ensure that both the rate and the entry regulations are

effective, it is essential that conditions of service, as well as extent of the

service, be controlled (Farris, et al. 1976).

• Regulatory Dilemma

The constant dilemma faced in respect of regulation involves finding the

optimum level of intervention, that is, the level at which the balance of

advantages and disadvantages is the most favourable. However, the ideal

justifiable level of regulation and the devices which are used to apply this ideal

level must be selected according to the unique features of the market in which

they are to be employed (Prileszky, 2012).

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• Direct Regulation

It is important to note that the system of economic regulation is imposed

directly on public transport. However, in view of the uniqueness of public

transport, it merits a specialised regulatory system (Prileszky, 2012).

Accordingly, the national regulators of public transport impose these controls

directly. In the case of public transport, the action of a city council public

authority, in effect, imposes the same three devices of the economic regulatory

system, namely, price, entry and service regulation, upon the public

transportation system (Farris, et al. 1976).

The three devices of economic regulation constitute a system of interrelated controls. It is,

sometimes, difficult to regulate one of these devices without affecting another. In other

words, a cut in fares may mean a cut in the frequency of the service or a drop in the quality

of the service while an increase in fares in order to reach the desired revenue level may cause

discrimination and preference. Too many operators in a given market may lead to economic

chaos, especially if wasteful service levels are not controlled or the frequency of service

becomes too great. Accordingly, all manner of compromises and trade-offs are often

necessary, while the whole system of economic regulation must be considered as a whole

and as individual regulatory devices (Farris, et al. 1976).

Inconsistency in the application of economic regulation to public transport is often matched

by inconsistency in the pattern of providing and controlling public transport. In South Africa

not all modes are regulated equally while some modes, such as minibus taxis, are not

regulated at all (economically).

Finally, there are several possible patterns of competition in public transport. The public

itself may choose to provide a service through a municipally owned operator such as a city

bus line. The publicly owned operator may compete with a privately owned operator,

although this often leads to unfair competition with the municipality as both the referee and a

player. There is also the view that passenger transportation should be provided privately,

whilst others maintain that the public provision of passenger transportation is important in

order to protect commuters (Forshaw & Freeman, 1989).

(d) Regulation of the physical aspect of transportation

The objectives of the regulation of the physical aspects of transportation include the safety of

the service and also the reliability of the service. In general, these are regulations which are

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imposed on the conditions of transportation both by society as a whole and, in some

instances, by the industry itself. All systems must have ground rules. The safety of the

service is of paramount importance and, thus, the transport authorities have a duty to protect

the commuting public from unsafe vehicles. As a result, regulations play an important role in

passenger transport (Farris, et al. 1976).

There are rules and regulations which are laid down by transport authorities and these must

be respected. Most of the physical regulation of transportation is to be found in three groups

or devices of control, namely, regulation of the conditions of the equipment, regulation of the

qualification of the drivers, and regulation of the operating procedures (Farris, et al. 1976):

The close link between physical reliability and economic reliability illustrates once more that

rules are interconnected and interrelated – a system of regulation exists. It should be noted

that the objectives of safety and reliability correspond with the general goals of the

regulatory system, namely, the protection of the public and the promotion of the best

possible system of transportation (Farris, et al. 1976).

(e) Regulation by Social Policy

In view of the fact that an agency of government typically imposes the controls, it is

common practice to refer to economic regulation as social policy. It is also common practice

to refer to the regulation of the physical aspects of transportation as social policy, as society

imposes ground rules in respect of safety and reliability in order to protect its members.

There is also a broader social aspect of public support and repayment, the ownership patterns

and structure of competition permitted, and the relatively new environmental restraints that

are extremely important. This area of regulation by social policy, more than any other,

results in problems in public transport (Farris, et al. 1976).

The policy objectives of the public transport industry in South Africa include funding,

service, planning, regulatory and operational objectives (Walters, 2006).

2.4.2 Public Transport Organisational Framework

The National Department of Transport is the government department responsible for

regulating and providing efficient public transport and effective public transport

infrastructure for rail, road, ports, and airports (Ndebele, 2011a). Specifically, the NDoT

seeks to:

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• promote a safe, reliable, effective, efficient, coordinated, integrated and

environmentally friendly public transport system by developing norms and

standards as well as regulations and legislation to guide the development of

public transport for both rural and urban passengers;

• regulate interprovincial public transport services and monitor and evaluate the

implementation of the Public Transport Strategy and the National Land

Transport Act, 2009 (Act No. 5 of 2009) ;

• regulate road traffic management and to ensure the maintenance and

development of an integrated road network through both the development of

standards and guidelines and the supervision of the road agencies and provincial

road expenditure (Ndebele, 2012).

As depicted in the following Figure 2-1, there are policies that have been developed over

many years that govern public transport in South Africa.

Figure 2-1: Flow diagram of the policy process in South Africa

Source: Walters (2012: 23)

The following are the specific policy themes that affect public transport in South Africa,

specifically in Johannesburg, Gauteng (Gauteng Province, 2009 & Walters, 2012):

• White Paper on National Transport (1996).

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• National Land Transport Policy.

• National Land Transport Strategic Framework.

• Moving South Africa (1998).

• Road Infrastructure Strategic Framework for South Africa (RISFSA), 2005 by

the National Department of Transport.

• Gauteng Spatial Development Framework (GSDF), 2009.

• Gauteng White Paper on Transport Policy-1996.

The public transportation legislative framework includes (Gauteng Province, 2009 &

Walters, 2012):

• Road Traffic Act, Act 20 of 1998 and National Road Traffic Act, Act 93 of

1990.

• The Public Finance Management Act, No1 of 1999.

• NLTA (National Land Transport Act, Act No 5 of 2009).

• Gauteng Transport Framework Revision Act of 2002.

• Gauteng Planning and Development Act, Act No 3 of 2003.

• Gauteng Transport Infrastructure Act of 2001.

• Gauteng Public Passenger Road Transport Act (Act no. 7 of 2001).

In the past, government's main role in respect of public transport has been that of a regulator

of bureaucratic detail, a provider of infrastructure, and a transport operator. However,

government has been weak as regards policy formulation and strategic planning.

Nevertheless, the government intends to reverse this legacy, and focus on its prime role of

policy and strategy formulation as well as on substantive regulation, with reduced direct

involvement both in operations and in the provision of infrastructure and services in order to

create a more competitive environment (Ryneveld, 2008).

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The National Land Transport Transition Act (NLTTA) (Act No. 22 of 2000) was

promulgated to facilitate the implementation of the policies contained in both the White

Paper (1996) and in Moving South Africa (1998). It re-emphasised government’s

commitment to devolving the public transport planning and implementation functions to the

metropolitan municipalities. The National Land Transport Act (NLTA) (Act No. 5 of 2009)

was then promulgated to further the process of restructuring and transformation which had

been initiated by the NLTTA (Gauteng Province, 2009 & Institute for Democracy in Africa,

2011).

It is incumbent on the operators of public transport to comply with the NLTA 2009 as

regards applying for an operating licence. The operating licence is managed under the

Operating Licence Administration System (OLAS) and is maintained by the National

Department of Transport in conjunction with the provinces, as required by the Act, which

replaces the former Land Transport Permit System (Gauteng Province, 2009).

The NLTA, 2009 provides for regulatory bodies at the national, provincial, and municipal

levels. At the national level, the National Public Transport Regulator (NPTR) is responsible

for the granting, renewal, amendment, or transfer of an operating licence for an

interprovincial service. At the provincial level, the Provincial Regulatory Entities (PRE) is

responsible for the granting, renewal, amendment, or transfer of an operating licence while,

at the municipal level, the Municipal Regulatory Entities (MRE) is responsible for the

granting, renewal, amendment, or transfer of an operating licence (Ndebele, 2012).

The NPTR, PRE, and MRE must work together as regards the licensing of interprovincial

services. However, if the NPTR, PRE and/or MRE have not yet been established, the

Operating Licensing Board of the province in question must fulfil this function.

The Department of Transport formulated a Public Transport Strategy and Action Plan

(PTSAP) which was approved by Cabinet in March 2007 (Institute for Democracy in Africa,

2011). The Department recognised that integrated public transport networks “do not exist –

even in part – in any South African municipality” and that “municipal transport planning is

still “car infrastructure biased”. A public transport infrastructure and systems grant allocation

of R19,6 billion was made for the 2007 to 2011 period, of which approximately R9 billion

was for improvements to road-based services, predominantly Bus Rapid Transit (BRT)

(Institute for Democracy in Africa, 2011:3).

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However, it has been difficult to realise the integrated metropolitan transport planning and

implementation objectives mandated by the NLTA as a result of the on-going dispersion of

responsibilities across all spheres of government, capacity constraints at the municipal level

and uncertainty regarding medium to long term funding provisions. Accordingly, there has

been almost no progress made in terms of integrating the three main modes of public

transport, namely, minibus taxi, bus and rail. Although the transport ‘legacy’ of hosting the

2010 FIFA World Cup has been widely proclaimed, very little improvement is visible in the

basic or ‘survival’ public transport services on which the poor depend (Institute for

Democracy in Africa, 2011:6).

However, the introduction of the BRT system in Johannesburg may be seen as the national

onset of restructuring of the road-based public transport system, in terms of which the

owners of existing bus and minibus taxi services displaced by the BRT systems may be

assisted to form companies. These in turn will be contracted to operate the BRT vehicles

according to the city’s requirements. In view of the fact that the licensing of minibus taxis

and the management of bus contracts are currently functions of provincial government, this

should initiate the desired strategic shift to municipal control of public transport networks, as

envisaged by the NLTTA 2000 and NLTA 2009 (Institute for Democracy in Africa, 2011).

Having discussed the organisational framework of public road transport, it is important to

discuss road public transport specifically in terms of public buses and minibus taxis.

However, prior to the discussion of the modes of public transport in question, it is important

to first discuss public transport statistics in order to show the significance of the public

transport in South Africa and in Johannesburg, in particular.

2.4.3 Public Transport Statistics

Public transport statistics is important and relevant to this study. Public transport statistics

demonstrate the significant role of the bus and mini-bus taxi industry to the country’s

economy. Furthermore, public transport statistics demonstrate service quality dimensions,

for example, time taken to arrive at destination. The statistics on the utilisation of public

transport, as well as the continuous reliance on private motor vehicles is central as it points

to the demand for public transport. In addition, it is essential to comprehend that a large

number of commuters use public transport for their daily needs; as a result, an incorrect or

unpopular public transportation decision could have major bearing on the perception of

service (City of Johannesburg, 2006 & Mashiri, et al. 2010).

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According to the South African National Household Travel Survey (2003), nearly two-thirds

of households in South Africa do not have access to private transport (Lombard, Cameron,

Makonyama & Shaw, 2007). According to the Institute for Democracy in Africa (2011),

26% of South African households have access to a car, whilst the remaining 74% are entirely

reliant on public transport. However, according to the South African Bus Operators

Association (2012), the number of households that are entirely reliant on public transport

(buses, trains and minibus taxis for its mobility needs) now could be in excess of 80%.

Of South Africa’s 10 million commuters, 78% live in urban areas and 48% in metropolitan

areas. In the metropolitan areas 39,5% of work trips only are made by private car while the

modal split for work trips by public transport was minibus taxis 59,5%, rail 23,5% and buses

17% (versus 62,5%, 15% and 22,5% respectively at national level). The most frequently

used motorised mode nationally is the minibus taxi, followed by the motor car (Institute for

Democracy in Africa, 2011).

As a result of the growth in both population and employment, the absolute number of trips

by both private motor car and public transport is increasing; while the rate of growth is

higher for private motor car use than for public transport use. The public transport is in

relative decline with its market share dropping (Lombard, et al. 2007).

The average travel time to work by all modes is 43 minutes but, if public transport is

considered on its own, the average travel time increases to 59 minutes. Some of the 1,3

million public transport commuters travel for longer than one hour to work or for two hours

per day if the trip home is also taken into consideration (Arrive Alive, 2012a). A trip of 40

km, for example, between Johannesburg and Pretoria in the morning peak time may take up

to two hours or more. Similar situations are to be found in and around the metropolitan

corridors of Johannesburg (Walters, 2012).

Walking times to buses are beyond the 15 minute travel target in the case of 52% of

metropolitan and urban households and beyond the 30 minute travel target in the case of

43% of rural households. Walking times to minibus taxis are beyond the 15 minute travel

target in the case of 18% of metropolitan and urban households and beyond the 30 minute

travel target in the case of 20% of rural households (Arrive Alive, 2012a).

The public transport share of all motorised trips is 52% only (market share) and, thus, the

ratio of 52:48 (public transport: private motorcars) falls well short of an unrealistic 80:20

(public transport: private motorcars) Department of Transport’s target. This South African

statistic of 52% market share for public transport is high compared to world standards. It

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would be a struggle to maintain this public transport market share if car ownership continues

to grow rapidly (Arrive Alive, 2012a).

A total of 30% of households in South Africa spend more than 10% of their income on

public transport (Arrive Alive, 2013b). However, in 1995, transport cost as a percentage of

household expenditure was 4% and, in 2006, it was estimated to have risen to just over 10%

(Institute for Democracy in Africa, 2011 & Arrive Alive, 2012a).

In order to demonstrate the role of the bus industry, as one of the modes of public

road transport being discussed in this study, the following depicts the profile of the South

African bus industry:

• There are approximately 22 000 buses around the country. Approximately 75%

(17 000) of these buses are used for public transport activities, running either

scheduled passenger services or private hires and charters for commercial

purposes (for reward). The other 25% (5 000) are run by businesses or

government for their own in-house purposes (not for profit). The economic

impact of buses indicates the following (South African Bus Operators

Association, 2012):

- Buses generate travel of more than one billion kilometres per annum

and use an estimated 453 million litres of diesel.

- Buses undertake approximately 816 million passenger trips a year.

- It would cost R17 billion to replace the country’s bus transportation.

- There are approximately 30 600 people working directly in the bus

industry, with a further 153 000 people being indirectly dependent on

the industry for their livelihoods. However, this does not take into

account those people working for the suppliers of buses, fuel, tyres and

other items required to keep bus services running (South African Bus

Operators Association, 2010 & 2011).

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In order to demonstrate the role of the minibus-taxi industry, as one of the modes of

public road transport being discussed in this study, the following section outlines the

profile of the minibus taxi industry in South Africa:

• Of the 3.9 million public transport commuters, 2,5 million minibus taxi

commuters account for between 63% and 65% of public transport work trips

(Arrive Alive, 2013a & 2013b).

• In addition to the 2,5 million commuters who use minibus taxis as their main

mode of travel, there are a further 325 000 commuters who use minibus taxis as

a feeder mode to other passenger transport services (Arrive Alive, 2013b).

• The minibus taxi industry is estimated to comprise fleet of between 150 000 and

283 159 minibuses with an estimated turnover of more than R16,5 billion. The

industry includes more than 20 000 owners and 200 000 employees (Arrive

Alive, 2013a).

• The minibus taxi industry in particular claims a significant portion of and is a

substantial contributor to South Africa’s GDP; it is estimated to contribute more

than R30 billion to the GDP of the country (Ndebele, 2011b). Unfortunately the

industry is always overlooked in the calculation of the transport sector's

contribution to both the GDP and the other social and developmental objectives

of the country, including job creation.

As regards the City of Johannesburg, the focus area of this study, according to the City of

Johannesburg (2006):

• 72% of commuters in Johannesburg using minibus taxis for their daily

commuting needs.

• There are 1 677 public transport routes.

• There are 903 minibus-taxi routes as of 2002 with these routes divided amongst

the 27 operators.

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• There are 126 000 minibus taxis, 78 minibus taxi associations and 454 minibus

taxi ranks in Johannesburg (formal and informal) (Gauteng Province, 2009).

• 670 bus routes divided amongst the7 main operators.

In addition, the metropolitan area is roughly elliptical (or oblong) in shape, with more

development around the core city of Johannesburg as shown in the Figure below:

Figure 2-2: City of Johannesburg

Source: City of Johannesburg (2011: 1) & Wikipedia (2013: 1).

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The city is one of the 50 largest metropolitan areas in the world and is also the world's

largest city not situated on a river, lake, or coastline (City of Johannesburg, 2011 &

Wikipedia, 2013).

In addition, according to the Community Survey (2007), the municipal city's land area is

1,645 km2 (635 sq mi), and the population of the municipal city increased from 4,000,000 in

2010 to 4,434,827 in 2013 (Chirisa, Magwaro-Ndiweni, Muchindu, Ndlela, Nkonge &

Sachs, 2010; Wikipedia, 2013 & Johannesburg Development Agency, 2013).

It is important to take into account that the City of Johannesburg has been decentralized with

suburbs like Sandton now of greater economic importance than the city centre. The

population of the Greater Johannesburg Metropolitan Area was 7,151,447, and including

suburban regions such as Ekurhuleni, the West Rand, Soweto and Lenasia brings the overall

population to 10,267,700 as of 2007 (Wikipedia, 2013).

2.4.4 Modes of Public Transport

There are two modes of public transport that will be discussed in the following section,

namely, public bus transport and minibus taxi transport. These modes of public transport are

important and relevant since they are the focal subjects of this study.

2.4.4.1 Public Bus Transport

It is important to discuss public buses as one of the modes of the public transport system.

The general operations of the bus industry will be explained first as depicted in Figure 2-3.

Figure 2-3: Public bus cycle

Source: Levinson (2011: 1)

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The public bus cycle begins when a vehicle departs from a depot. The depot serves as a

common location where the vehicles are parked or maintained. The vehicle is then moved

from the depot to a location where it may begin service. This is commonly at the terminus of

a route. Such a movement, from the depot to this location, is termed a “pull-out” (Levinson,

2011:1). The vehicle travels from its starting location to another route terminus, stopping at

stations or designated stops along the route to allow passengers either to board the vehicle

and to alight from the vehicle. This is termed “vehicle trip”. While moving along the route,

the vehicle incurs both running time and dwell time. Running time refers to the time spent

travelling between stops or stations while dwell time is the time spent stopped at locations to

allow passengers either to board and to alight.

While moving along the route, the vehicle is engaged in “revenue service”. Accordingly, the

time and kilometres spent along the route while providing passenger service are known as

“revenue hours” and “revenue kilometres”. When the vehicle reaches a route terminus, the

vehicle is re-positioned for further service. If it returns along the same route or along another

route starting from the same terminus, there may be a short time for recovery before the

vehicle re-enters revenue service. This short time of recovery is known as a “layover”

(Levinson, 2011:1).

A vehicle may also be moved between termini in order to start service on a different route,

resulting in what is known as a “deadhead” trip – not in revenue service – between the two

termini. The vehicle continues in revenue service on the fixed routes, repeating the process

of stopping at stations or stops to allow passengers either to board and to alight. When the

vehicle has reached the final terminus for its set of trips it returns to the depot. Such

movement from a route terminus to the depot is termed a “pull-in”. This vehicle cycle is

common to fixed-route service, especially for bus and rail transit systems. In the case of

demand-responsive service, there are no formal “termini” for a route but, rather, the

“termini” represent specific locations at which persons are either picked up or dropped off.

At any point, if the vehicle becomes empty, then it may dead-head to the next pick-up

location, or it may return to the depot (Levinson, 2011:1).

Globally, public buses are celebrating their 100th anniversary in existence while 80% of all

public transport commuters worldwide are carried by public buses (International Association

of Public Transport, 2011). The bus is an extremely efficient mode of passenger transport,

which is cheap, flexible and, in many cases, tailored to the needs of users both in terms of

capacity and speed. Buses operate in mixed traffic and are easy to put in service. They do not

require much infrastructure except for a depot and a workshop. From an economic,

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environmental and social point of view, the public bus still remains the most universal

solution as regards balanced and sustainable urban development and transport. Indeed, the

bus is the only public transport mode in many of the world’s cities. However, in most

advanced economies, an efficient public rail system has become extremely popular to the

detriment of public buses. Accordingly, the latter is facing a decline and as a result has

tended to play a key supporting role (Institute of Civil Engineers, 1987 & International

Association of Public Transport, 2011).

The efficiency and performance of buses depend significantly on dedicated lanes and stops.

Various forms of traffic segregation are possible, including a mere painted mark on the road,

various forms of road treatments, for example, elevated lanes; movable barriers; bus locks;

and contra-flow lanes and a dedicated dual lane infrastructure with metro-like stations. The

most advanced of such systems is referred to as BRT (International Association of Public

Transport, 2011). There is a detailed discussion of the BRT system in section 2.8 of this

chapter.

Specific to South Africa, as indicated under the organisational framework in the discussion

above, the NLTA, 2009 (Act No. 5 of 2009) is one of the important pieces of legislation

applicable to public bus industry.

The bus industry in South Africa has, for many years, been making a vital contribution to the

economic and social development of the country. As a provider of bus services, it has

delivered, and continues to deliver, mobility to millions of people who are dependent on

public transport, for example, learners who require transport to and from school, workers

who require transport to and from their jobs, and individuals who are seeking either

employment or access to hospitals and other services (Arrive Alive, 2011a).

The bus industry in South Africa is represented by SABOA – the voice of an inclusive,

efficient, sustainable and transforming bus industry. The SABOA, which plays a pivotal role

in an integrated transport system through safe, reliable and affordable bus services that add

value and are attractive to stakeholders, has also been involved in the transport policy

formulation process since 1994 (and prior to this date) through the White Paper on National

Transport Policy, the Moving South Africa Strategy, the National Land Transport Transition

Act, the tendering system, negotiated contract system, the Tripartite Heads of Agreement and

the BEE Charter process, as well as being involved in the policy formulation process of the

Cross-Border Road Transport Agency and the provinces themselves (Walters, 2008b &

South African Bus Operators Association, 2011).

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In Johannesburg, PUTCO and Johannesburg Metropolitan Bus are the main public bus

organisations in terms of the number of passengers carried per annum (City of Johannesburg,

2003a & 2006). Table 2-1 depicts the SABOA member profile as well as the number of bus

operators:

Table 2-1: SABOA member profile

Category Number of members 1996 Number of members 2011

Principal members

1-30buses

30+ buses

95(74.8%)

32 (25.2%)

904 (96%)

36 (4%)

International members

Swaziland

Namibia

Lesotho

-

-

-

2

1

1

Affiliated Associations

COASA

PTA Zimbabwe

Vhembe

10

-

-

-

160

15

Supplier members 37 56

Total 174 1120

Source: South African Bus Operators Association (2012: 1)

Table 2-1 shows that, between 1996 and 2011, the number of SABOA members increased

from 174 to 1120, thus making SABOA the largest association representing the bus industry

and representing more than 76% of the buses used for public transport (South African Bus

Operators Association, 2012).

As formal public transport sector in the country, the bus service receives an operating

subsidy from the Department of Transport. Subsidised public transport contracts remain ‘bus

only’ contracts. Almost all of them have been managed on a month-to-month basis for a long

time. However, as a result of the short term nature of these contracts, most operators have

not been able to recapitalise their fleet for some time (Institute for Democracy in Africa,

2011& Ndebele, 2012).

The bus industry subsidy has been increasing with the industry receiving operating subsidies

of R3,5 billion in 2011 and R4,3 billion in 2012 for provincial public transport subsidies.

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However, no capital investment subsidy structure has been put in place (Institute for

Democracy in Africa, 2011 & Ndebele, 2012). In addition, more than two-thirds of this

operating subsidy is paid to operators on interim contracts which were originally concluded

in 1997 as a stop-gap measure in preparation for the intended introduction of a competitive

system of tendering for contracts. These contracts have now all expired and they were, prior

to 2007, only being renewed on a month-by-month basis (Walters, 2008a & Institute for

Democracy in Africa, 2011).

The uncertainty created by this short-term arrangement has discouraged investment by

existing operators while also making it difficult for new players to enter the market. Over the

past eight years no new subsidised bus routes have been approved, nor have existing routes

been adjusted sufficiently to cope with demand growth (Institute for Democracy in Africa,

2011).

According to the official policy of the Department of Transport any bus service that requires a

subsidy should be competitively tendered (Walters, 2008a). Provision is also made for

negotiated contracts, especially for provincial and local government-owned bus companies, as a

once-off measure to enable such companies to recapitalise as well as to prepare for the

anticipated competitive system of tendering for contracts. There are approximately 10 000

commuter buses (excluding municipal buses (+/-1 100)) of which approximately 7 119 are

included in the NDoT subsidised system (Walters 2008a). However, there has been little change

to the status regarding the types of service reflected in Table 2-2.

Table 2-2: Types of services

Services Number of

operators/operating

areas

Number

of buses

Policy status

Services under interim contracts (ICs)

35 3 799 Based on previous ticket subsidy and previous service area. Services need to be either tendered or negotiated. Services funded by the DoT through provincial DoTs. Approximately 66% of the subsidy budget is still under interim contracts.

Services under tendered (TCs) and negotiated contracts (NCs)

80 3 320 Based on revenue kilometres and contract requirements. Not based on integrated transport plans. Most services need to be re-tendered. Services funded by the DoT through provincial DoTs. Approximately 34% of the subsidy budget is allocated to these services.

Services provided by local authorities

3 +/-1 100

Deficit subsidy arrangements. Services funded by metropolitan government.

Source: Walters (2008a: 98)

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In 2006, the Department of Transport described the management and monitoring of interim

contracts as “non-existent” (Institute for Democracy in Africa, 2011:7). Of major concern is

the anecdotal evidence which suggests that the current policy of subsidising bus operators is

prone to wide-scale corruption whereby operators often falsify passenger numbers in an

attempt to gain more subsidy money from the NDoT. The Treasury is withholding further

funding until the problems have been addressed (Farrow, 2009). In addition, National

Treasury, dissatisfied with the lack of control over the bus subsidy budget, has been putting

pressure on the Department of Transport to change the subsidy system (Institute for

Democracy in Africa, 2011).

In a recent discussion on public bus subsidies, the following was articulated:

“Currently, government concedes that there’s a general agreement within the

transport family that the current bus contracts have been sparked with many

problems and should be renewed through a managed, negotiated process. These

negotiations will be with existing operators with provisions for taxi

empowerment. This approach will allow for a progressive replacement of current

bus contracts and the phased implementation of additional route networks based

on new approved integrated municipal transport plans. An agreement on the need

to enter into negotiations with bus operators regarding longer term contracts has

been reached with the Minister of Transport and provincial Members of the

Executive Committees (MECs) on public transport. In addition, the MinMec

established a Committee that would provide oversight and monitor the negotiation

processes. Provinces and affected municipalities will manage negotiation

processes. Given the urgency required to integrate different public transport

modes as well as the associated increase in the cost of doing so, a substantial

rethink of the method of implementing this process is required. A negotiated

approach will provide a win-win solution to numerous challenges that are facing

the current contracting system. Government would be able to influence and

realise economic empowerment for the previously disempowered, whereas

current operators would be guaranteed stability through longer term contracts”

(Ndebele, 2012:8).

2.4.4.2 Minibus Taxi Transport

It is important to discuss minibus taxis as another key mode of public transport in South

Africa, focusing specifically on the evolution of this industry as well as regulation and safety

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aspects. According to Ndebele (2010), there are pitfalls facing the minibus taxi industry that

need to be recognised and addressed:

Firstly, the minibus taxi industry is competing against bus and rail operators who have

received subsidies from government for many years. Secondly, poor regulation of the

industry has resulted in violent conflict within and between taxi associations and, thirdly, the

industry is facing the prohibitive costs of financing vehicles.

In an attempt to address these challenges, the National Taxi Task Team offered the following

recommendations (Ndebele, 2010):

• Economic empowerment of the industry

- Refinancing of the taxi industry through the Taxi Recapitalisation

Programme and integration into the subsidy system.

- Corporatisation through the formation of taxi co-operations.

- Capacity development through education and training programmes.

• Formalisation through the registration of the taxi associations

- All associations in all provinces of the country have been registered with

their routes and members.

• Conversion of permits into operating licences

- The slow pace at which the regulatory system is being implemented.

• Democratisation of the taxi industry.

- Members of the current structures in the minibus-taxi industry fear that a

more democratic cooperative system may result in their losing some or all

of the benefits and perks that they currently enjoy.

- Some private sector businesses currently have deals with the minibus-taxi

industry and, because these business owners fear that they may lose their

market, they are capable of deliberately destabilising the minibus-taxi

industry in order to retain their market share.

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- Individuals who benefit from the negotiations regarding the formalisation

and development of the minibus-taxi industry may also prolong the

process if they do not receive a fair deal or if the process does not go

according to their plans.

- The formalisation plans and strategies are not always explained clearly

and in the correct manner to the members of the minibus-taxi industry.

These recommendations were subsequently adopted by Cabinet as the blueprint for the

transformation of the minibus taxi industry (Ndebele, 2010).

The status of the minibus taxi industry is such that industry operations are governed by the

NLTA, 2009. The minibus taxi associations are required to be registered by the NLTTA,

2000, thus granting them official recognition without requiring that they maintain proper

financial records or establish formal accountability mechanisms (Institute for Democracy in

Africa, 2011). The challenge is to develop a strategy for transforming the industry which

eliminates its unacceptable characteristics but without unduly sacrificing its culture of small

enterprise, its operational flexibility and its dynamism. In the context of a formal economy

which is becoming less labour intensive the minibus taxi industry should be recognised for

the important role it plays in providing business opportunities and employment to members

of disadvantaged communities. The fact that it has been able to do this with almost no state

support is also noteworthy (Institute for Democracy in Africa, 2011).

It would appear that, unfortunately, the contribution which the minibus taxi industry makes

to the national economy, both in terms of turnover and employment, is not sufficiently

understood (Arrive Alive, 2011a). The minibus taxi transport industry is proof of the way in

which black people, cast aside by the apartheid regime, managed to become the most

powerful transporter of commuters in South Africa (Ndebele, 2010). Minibus taxi operations

have operated in non-white townships since the late 1950s. The minibus taxis are found

mostly on the high density travel corridors and may be stopped on demand. Fares are

normally a flat rate and higher than the conventional parallel passenger transport mode

which is either the bus and/or the train (Freeman, Ngcoya & Chapman, 1990). However,

these are not taxis in the typical western sense of the term as, for example, they do not give

the members of the public a lift to their doorsteps. Instead, they are small-scale bus services,

operating density routes, often unmarked, operating with neither timetables nor formal stops

(Gill, 1998).

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Furthermore, until 1977, the law restricted minibus taxi operations to sedan motorcars fitted

with fare meters. In 1977, minibuses were introduced to the taxi industry, allowing one

driver and fifteen passengers per vehicle. Prior to 1987, the minibus taxi industry was highly

regulated and controlled and black minibus taxi operators were declined permits. It was also

illegal to operate 16-seater minibus taxis as minibus taxis. Post 1987, the industry has been

rapidly deregulated, leading to an influx of new minibus taxi operators, interested in making

money from the high demand for this service. Minibus taxi operators began using larger

‘kombi’ minibuses that could carry up to 15 passengers. Until formal deregulation in 1987,

such taxis were illegal. However, they were popular with the black commuters because,

unlike other public transport options, they

• ran late-night services;

• travelled to remote places;

• picked commuters up from, and dropped them back at, their homes on a needs

or negotiated basis;

• charged reasonable fares for the flexibility of service;

• made convenient stops on long distances; and

• reduced the time spent waiting in long queues at bus and train stations (Arrive

Alive, 2011a).

In the absence of state regulation, groups of operators banded together to form local taxi

associations, which intervened to regulate loading practices and fares. It was not long,

however, before minibus taxi associations began to use their organisational power to extort

money, often through the use of violence (Arrive Alive, 2011a).

In addition, these associations sometimes used mafia-like tactics and engaged in anti-

competitive price fixing. Legislation has since been enacted to provide for the transformation

and restructuring of the national land transport system of South Africa and matters incidental

thereto. Currently, the minibus taxi industry is the most critical component of the passenger

transport sector and it is the only form of public transport that penetrates every sector in the

cities, including the poorest shack settlements (Arrive Alive, 2011a).

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The minibus taxi industry represents a model of successful, black economic self-

empowerment. It is the only sector over which blacks exercise total control through their

ownership of the minibus taxi mode of transportation (Arrive Alive, 2011a & Fobosi, 2013).

However, the biggest challenge lies in making transport in South Africa safe, efficient and

affordable. In terms of the 2006 Millennium Development Goals, one of the goals of the

2015 Road Traffic Safety Management Plan (RTSMP) is to reduce by half the rate of

accident fatalities arising from road and other transport by 2015 (Road Traffic Management

Corporation , 2009). In line with this goal, the government has taken considerable steps to

regulate the minibus taxi industry in the best interests of public safety and also to transform

it into a more profitable business in which income is derived from a wider basket of income

generating enterprises and not just from fares. Minibus taxis are also often perceived both as

unsafe and as operating in a way that is harmful or abusive to passengers (Arrive Alive,

2013a).

The most widely publicised and certainly the most ambitious government intervention in the

minibus taxi industry is the Recapitalisation Programme (Recap Project) (Arrive Alive,

2011a & 2013a). Through the Recap Project, government sought to challenge the problem of

an ageing fleet within the transportation system. The Recap Project represents a

comprehensive re-engineering of the minibus taxi industry with two major outcomes:

• The systematic introduction of safe and comfortable vehicles for minibus taxi

commuters through a scrapping allowance which is an incentive for minibus

taxi operators to hand in, on a voluntary basis, their very old vehicles for

decommissioning.

• The economic empowerment of the minibus taxi industry through a package of

business opportunities in terms of which the Recap Project affords the minibus

taxi industry the opportunity to participate on a national basis, through the

SATACO structures, as well as at the level of the provincial co-operatives

(Arrive Alive, 2011a & 2013a).

Nevertheless, the minibus taxi Recapitalisation Programme should not be regarded as a quick

solution. Government has recognised that the sustainability of this and other interventions

does not lie in the scrapping of old minibus taxi vehicles only but should include all of the

following:

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• the introduction of safety requirements for the new minibus taxi vehicles;

• the scrapping of existing vehicles;

• effective regulation of the minibus taxi industry;

• effective law enforcement in respect of passenger transport; and

• the empowerment of the minibus taxi industry (Ntuli, 2005; Arrive Alive, 2011a

& 2013a).

The following are the basic requirements for participation in the minibus taxi recap

programme:

• a valid operating licence;

• vehicle legally registered as a taxi;

• proof of ownership of the taxi;

• a valid South Africa identity document as issued by the Department of Home

Affairs;

• proof of registration as a taxpayer with the South African Revenue Service; and

• a valid Certificate of Fitness for the taxi (Arrive Alive, 2011a & 2013a).

Nevertheless, progress in respect of the Taxi Recapitalisation Programme has been

disappointing. In September 2009 the Department of Transport reported that a total of 34 356

old minibus taxi vehicles had been scrapped in the four years between 2006 and 2010.

However, this represents 25% only of the 135 894 vehicles now targeted for scrapping. The

Department forecasts that a further 26 963 will be scrapped over the three years from 2010 to

2013, bringing the total for seven years to 61 319 or 45% of the target (Arrive Alive, 2011a).

Globally, another important area involves training of drivers. In order to be granted a

minibus taxi driver authorisation (or PDP) to drive within a transport district, the driver must

successfully complete the following training and assessment programmes:

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• Pass an English assessment at the New South Wales (NSW) Adult Migrant

English Service (AMES). This assessment must be satisfactorily completed

prior to the individual embarking on training.

• Enrol in TaxiCare Plus, a Certificate 3 Course, at a Vocational Education and

Training Accreditation Board (VETAB) accredited taxi training school.

• Study modules 1 to 3 of TaxiCare Plus (Introduction, Localities and Routes and

Rules and Regulations).

• Sit for the Sydney Knowledge Test (5 Modules – Street Knowledge, Major

Routes, Locations and Destinations, Regulations and a practical Street Directory

test)

• Study modules 4 to 8 of TaxiCare Plus at the training school (Customer Care,

Driver Safety, Taxi Driving Skills, Driver Health and Stress Management and

Passengers with Special Needs).

• Assessment of modules 4 to 8 will be conducted by the training school.

• Taxi assimilation (an on-road assessment of the skills as a taxi driver by the

training school) (New South Wales, 2010).

New taxi drivers authorisations or PDP’s expire 12 months after the date of initial issue. In

order to renew an authority the holder of the authority must complete the TaxiCare Plus

Silver Certificate. To meet this requirement in the prescribed time the authority holder must:

• Enrol in the TaxiCare Plus Silver Level training course within two months of

the issue of the initial driver authority.

• Provide a written log book (issued on completion of the Silver Certificate) to a

school (indicating that the driver has undertaken driving shifts equivalent to 1

per week for a total of 48 weeks).

• Sign a declaration regarding criminal offences.

• Sign a declaration regarding traffic offences.

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• Sit for another practical road test conducted by a training school.

• Supply a copy of his/her driver's licence and a photograph (New South Wales,

2010).

In South Africa, the Minibus Taxi Awards, which are managed by the Department of

Transport, encourage professionalism, safety and efficiency in this sector. The objectives of

Minibus Taxi Awards include the following:

• to increase awareness on the part of the community of the minibus

transformation process

• increase awareness among minibus drivers of road safety and customer care

levels

• increase awareness on the part of operators that they should ensure that they

manage their minibus taxi businesses better and more efficiently and adhere to

roadworthy requirements

• Taxi Association executives are encouraged to comply with the basic

requirements for ensuring that the administration of their associations and

financial matters are in good order with the Provincial Transport Registrar

(Arrive Alive, 2011a).

With regard to subsidies, the minibus taxi industry – with an estimated fleet of 150 000 to

275 000 vehicles – remains the largest component of the public transport system and the only

one not receiving operating subsidies. Government efforts to transform the industry have

been met with limited success, while the sector’s blatant disregard of laws and regulations

continues. Dangerous vehicles, overloading, and reckless driving remain the trademarks of

the minibus taxi industry. Such practices are, however, in part, attributable to the sector not

having access to operating subsidies (Arrive Alive, 2011b).

Taking into account the aforementioned discussion on public transportation framework and

key modes of public road transport, in question, the following discussion focusses on the

public transport networks because these networks, particularly in Johannesburg have an

impact on service quality.

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2.5 Public Transport Networks

The public transport network discussion is important. Firtsly, this discussion is important

because it focuses on the government intervention to improve public transport by focussing

on the public transportation systems that are likely to improve public transport service

quality in order to increase future utilisation and demand, thus, attracting and retaining users.

Secondly, this discussion is important because the research data on commuters’ perceptions

of bus and minibus taxi service as it relates to the service quality dimensions of McKnight et

al. (1986) was collected in Johannesburg. This is in line with the objectives of this study as

discussed in chapter one.

2.5.1 Systems of Public Transportation

Public transport systems are, in fact, networks. Networks are systems which involve nodes

which are joined together by links or arcs. Nodes may be provided externally to the network,

for example, settlements and cities, or they may be endogenous to the network. Each node is

either the origin or the destination of a flow. Flows occur along the arcs of a network and

each arc is associated with a cost per unit of flow. The cost will, in turn, be determined by

the distance and the operating characteristics of the transport system, but it will also be

related to the volume of flow along that arc. Each arc has a capacity which defines the

maximum flow along that arc. This set of factors determines the characteristics of the

networks (Farris, et al. 1976 & Alam, 2002).

The optimisation problem that is present here involves, firstly, determining the shortest or

most cost-effective path, through the network from any one point to any other point; and,

secondly, determining the minimum cost of the potential flows in the network as a whole,

given the pattern of origins (supply) and destinations (demand). This allows for interaction

between the flows on particular arcs in such a way that, when the flow on one arc approaches

capacity, other flows are rerouted in order to satisfy the minimum-cost rule.

According to Farris and Harding (1976), there are two sets of interests in optimal networks:

• The optimal use of the network by the user, who needs to know how to find the

optimal way of linking nodes and minimising the costs of transport.

• The establishment of the most efficient network by the operator in response to

the existing pattern of demands.

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However, it may happen that the most efficient network for the operator will not be the

network which is to the maximum advantage of the users. In the case of a privately provided

network, the main objective of the provider is to maximise profits and, thus, the social

welfare of potential users is of little, if any, importance. Accordingly, networks may be

developed which are efficient or optimal from the point of view of the provider, but which

are not optimal from the point of view of society – by excluding certain groups or

geographical areas because serving these groups or areas may not be profitable. It is for this

reason that the public sector has moved to provide a number of transport networks (Farris, et

al. 1976).

There is, however, an efficiency argument as regards preserving unprofitable parts of

networks as these may promote wider efficiency in the economy. There are two elements to

this:

• Network economies exist only when a network is complete, but which might

not be able to be realised by the individual operator or infrastructure provider,

and which have an effect on the broader economy.

• Network economies are recognised to be increasingly important in South

Africa; although as an economy which is less developed than it needs to be in

the context of the move to greater privatisation of both public transport services

and infrastructure.

The next section discusses three approaches to public transport systems improvements aimed

at improving the service quality, namely, short, intermediate, and long term approaches. This

discussion is important because it shows that the successful improvement of public transport

network may have a direct effect on improving overall passenger satisfaction. However, the

success or failure of any recommended public transport system will depend largely on: the

proper engagement of all stakeholders, that is, bus and minibus taxi operators; and also on

the ability of government to make a proposal which is acceptable to the majority of the

stakeholders in the public transportation industry (Farris, et al. 1976).

• Short-Term Outlook

In the short term, the primary objective of urban transportation planning relates

to ensuring maximum impact and efficiency from the existing facilities.

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However, this is based on the assumption that existing facilities have been

maintained and is in good condition. In most cases, this means the more

effective utilisation of a mix of public and private modes of transport. In

communities in which public transport is presently operating, the problems

experienced tend to be related to upgrading the quality of service and marketing

the offering effectively. Thus, the major objective in this case would be to

modify the motor vehicle-oriented attitude of commuters through educational

programmes and other pro-mass-transit incentives (Farris, et al. 1976).

Bus services should continually be evaluated to ensure that commuter needs are

being met. Clear and informative signs are a prime requisite together with

secure, well-lit shelters at major points of departure. Human factors, including

the aesthetics of design, should be recognised as important determinants of

passenger satisfaction. Features, such as equipping buses with traffic signal-

control devices to avoid unnecessary intersection delays, thus improving

reliability and adherence to schedule, have been implemented in various cities

in the world.

• Intermediate Term Outlook

During the intermediate time frame, it would be possible to construct and put

into operation new urban transportation facilities.

• Long-Term Outlook

It is essential that the long-range mass-transit outlook be viewed against the

dynamic backdrop of the total urban environment. In the short and intermediate

ranges, the structure of cities and metropolitan areas tend to be regarded as

given. In other words, these variables are accepted as the parameters of an

environment to which urban transport facilities must be adapted. In the long run,

however, significant alterations in the residential, commercial, industrial,

economic, and political dimensions are to be expected and these must be taken

into account together with strictly transportation-oriented issues (Farris, et al.

1976).

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2.5.2 Passenger Transportation Systems: The Johannesburg Bus Rapid Transport System

Case Study

As discussed in the preceding discussion, the research data on commuters’ perceptions of

bus and minibus taxi service in terms of the service quality dimensions of McKnight et al.

(1986) was collected in Johannesburg in order to meet the objectives of this study as well as

to answer the research questions. Furthermore, the successful improvement of public

transport network in Johannesburg may have a direct effect on improving passengers’

perceptions of service and satisfaction, while simultaneously improving the economy of the

city. Therefore, this discussion is important to this study.

Despite the fact that an efficient public transport system may boost the economy of an area,

and the subsequent economic growth may generate an increased demand for transport

(Department for the Environment, Transport and the Regions, 1999 & Adarkwa & Boansi,

2011). Developing countries are faced with the dilemma of whether they should follow

western models and devote a major portion of their development resources to the

construction of mass transit systems or whether they should opt for low cost, capital saving

options. The decision often lies both with the political will present and the way in which

governments and people in general perceive public transport (Dalvi, 1987).

The South African government took a decision to follow western models and to devote

major resources to the construction of a mass transit system, known as the Bus Rapid

Transport (BRT) (City of Johannesburg, 2001; 2002; 2003; 2004; 2006; Cox, 2009;

Tugwana, 2010; Hudleston, 2011 & Ndebele, 2011a).

The BRT has become government policy which affects all the provinces in the country

(Masango & Gadebe, 2007; Dysan1, 2007; Ndaba, 2008 & Radebe, 2008). The Public

Transport Strategy and Action Plan 2007 to 2020 were approved with the aim of creating a

lasting legacy of public transport in South Africa (Radebe, 2008). The cornerstones of the

strategy include the transformation of the public transport through the Acceleration of Modal

Upgrade, and the attainment of Integrated Rapid Public Transport Networks (Radebe, 2008).

The public transport model for Johannesburg is being used as a pilot project for the other

provinces, and is the only model in the country that has reached an advanced stage in terms

of its implementation (City of Johannesburg, 2006 & Tugwana, 2010). Accordingly, this

research study focused specifically on the BRT in Johannesburg as a case study.

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2.5.2.1 Development of the Johannesburg Bus Transport Network

Two most important bus systems were considered for Johannesburg, namely, Strategic Public

Transport Network (SPTN) and BRT known as Rea Vaya (Moosajee, 2012). The following

section discusses SPTN, BRT, and major changes from SPTN to BRT.

(a) Strategic Public Transport Network (SPTN)

The Strategic Public Transport Network was the approved original public transport

improvement project for Johannesburg. However, the project was in its early stages of

implementation when it was changed. The SPTN incorporated modest kerbside infrastructure

that would have created priority for the existing public transport modes, although there

would have been no substantial changes in ownership patterns or dramatic quality

improvements. The SPTN formed part of the Integrated Transport Plan (ITP) which, in turn,

further highlighted the vision, goals, and objectives of this public transport system. The

SPTN was intended to replace the old model which had been developed in the 1970s and

which was known as EMME/2. The EMME/2 system had been maintained periodically up to

the early part of the 1990s but any maintenance had subsequently stopped (City of

Johannesburg, 2003a). Figure 2-4 below presents the SPTN for the City of Johannesburg:

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Figure 2-4: Strategic Public Transport Network (SPTN)

Source: City of Johannesburg (2003a: 421)

The main objectives and principles of the SPTN, included, amongst others; channelling

public transport routing into more focused, high frequency corridors, rather than the

dispersed, less frequently serviced and customised routing; providing links between

residential areas and both major economic nodes and significant decentralised nodes, as well

as between the nodes themselves; providing Johannesburg with a legible, permanent,

recognisable public transport grid made up of east-west and north-south links, and a system

of hubs at the intersections of these links on the lattice; enabling public transport

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infrastructure decisions and expenditure to clearly focus on the network and the hubs;

structuring the fare system in such a way that subsidised services would operate on the

strategic network only with fares zoned or staged according to key interchange hubs while

flat fares could also be considered on a sub-grid of the network, depending on the fare policy

of the City of Johannesburg; and providing a focus for the public transport law enforcement

strategy, that is, vehicle safety checks as well as operating licence compliance enforcement

(City of Johannesburg, 2003a).

A Rationalisation Plan was also developed in order to mitigate against possible complexities

envisaged in the implementation of the SPTN, for example, the Soweto bus services routes;

Eldorado Park bus services routes; and Johannesburg Metrobus services routes, all of which

involved bus companies operating in Johannesburg (City of Johannesburg, 2003b;

Johannesburg Metropolitan Bus, 2003 & 2005b). The criterion for the rationalisation plan

was developed in order to ensure effective implementation of the SPTN (City of

Johannesburg, 2003b). Furthermore, the amalgamation of the routes resulted in the

rationalisation of routes from Soweto and Eldorado Park, and also Metrobus specific routes

(City of Johannesburg, 2003b & 2006). However, there were major shortcomings in the

SPTN and Rationalisation Plan, including amongst others, the SPTN was not going to assist

the City of Johannesburg as regards reducing reliance on private vehicles; there was no clear

model for the way in which private transport would be minimised; there was no funding

commitment to speed up the SPTN implementation; the affordability problem as well as the

minibus taxi recapitalisation strategy remained unsustainable (City of Johannesburg, 2006).

As a result of these shortcomings, the transformation of Johannesburg’s public transport

operations into a world-class mobility system remained an elusive goal and, thus, an

alternative model was sought. Nevertheless, political will and stakeholder buy-in again was

considered important as regards support for the alternative model.

Furthermore, the SPTN project struggled to obtain buy-in from the minibus taxi sector,

particularly in view of the high levels of antagonism between the Top 6 Minibus Taxi

Association and GJRTC at the time. Against this background, the City of Johannesburg

decided to undertake a study tour to Guayquil, Ecuador and Bogota, Colombia as these cities

had both introduced BRT systems, which the City of Johannesburg then was considering as

an alternative public transport model (Moosajee, 2012).

According to the City of Johannesburg (2012), the BRT system was intended to provide an

alternative to private motor car use and, in fact, represented the beginning of the

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implementation of a public transport strategy for Johannesburg intended both to support and

to contribute to the realisation of the overall government Millennium Development Plan

(MDP) goals as well as the 2030 vision for the City of Johannesburg (Centre for Scientific

and Industrial Research, 2000 & City of Johannesburg, 2003b).

The following table depicts the countries identified by the City of Johannesburg in 2006 as

having successfully introduced the BRT system in order to arrive at the most efficient BRT

system for South Africa:

Table 2-3: Cities with BRT systems

Continent Country Cities with BRT systems

Asia

China Beijing, Kunming

Indonesia Jakarta (TransJakarta)

Japan Nagoya (Yurikamome Line)

South Korea Seoul

Taiwan Taipei

Europe France Caen (Twisto), Clermont Ferrand (Léo 2000),

Lyon, Nancy (TVR line 1), Nantes (Line 4), Nice

(Busway), Paris (RN305 busway, Mobilien, and

Val de Marne busway), Rouen (TEOR),

Toulouse (RN88)

Netherlands Amsterdam (Zuidtangent), Eindhoven, Utrecht

United Kingdom Bradford (Quality Bus), Crawley (Fastway),

Edinburgh (Fastlink), Leeds (Superbus and Elite)

Germany Essen (O-Bahn)

Latin America Brazil Curitiba, Goiânia (METROBUS), Porto Alegre

(EPTC), São Paulo (Interligado)

Chile Santiago (Transantiago)

Colombia Bogotá (TransMilenio), Pereira (Megabus)

Ecuador Quito (Trolé, Ecovía, Central Norte), Guayaquil

(Metrovia)

Mexico León (Optibus SIT), Mexico City (Metrobús)

North America

Canada Ottawa (Transitway)

United States of America Boston (Silver Line Waterfront), Los Angeles

(Orange Line), Miami (South Miami-Dade

Busway), Pittsburgh (Busway)

Oceania Australia Adelaide (O-Bahn), Brisbane (Busway), Sydney

(T-Ways)

Source: City of Johannesburg (2006: 1)

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Table 2-3 shows BRT systems successfully implemented in Asia, Europe, Latin America and

the Caribbean, North America, and Oceania.

It is important to take into consideration international examples from other countries,

including those in the African continent, that are considered by public transport researchers

to have successfully implemented the BRT systems, and which, to some extent, share similar

market and socio-economic environment to South Africa (Roth & Wynne, 1982):

• Minibuses in Hong Kong and Kuala Lumpur

• Route associations in Buenos Aires and Calcutta

• The Jeepneys of Manila

• The dolmus of Istanbul, and the minibuses of Cairo

• School buses in Singapore

• The Matatu of Nairobi

• The Bakassi of Khartoum

• Shared taxis in Belfast

• The Publicos of Puerto Rico

Taking into account the aforementioned discussion and contemporary history of moves to

establish a modern system for Johannesburg, the next section examines an alternative model

of public transport adopted by the city, BRT, which was later branded as the Rea Vaya. The

BRT aimed to raise the performance and quality of the SPTN to a car-competitive level.

(b) BRT System for Johannesburg: Rea Vaya

The City of Johannesburg (COJ) adopted an urban development policy which focuses

strongly on the need to create compact cities and limit urban sprawl in order to utilise urban

infrastructure and land more efficiently and effectively. The primary measure in support of

this policy was the Rea Vaya – or the Bus Rapid Transit system. BRT combines the best

features of rail with the flexibility and cost advantages of road-based public transport

(Tshikalanke, 2010 & City of Johannesburg, 2012). The main objectives of the Rea Vaya

Bus Transit System includes, amongst others, providing quality public transport for

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Johannesburg residents – public transport on which people feel safe and are able to depend,

which saves travel time, which is affordable by conforming to the less than 10% norm, and

which is available throughout the day and the week; and provides a credible alternative to car

use (South Africa, 1996 & McCaul, 2012).

Rea Vaya, which means “we are going”, offers fast, safe and affordable public transport on a

network of bus routes across Johannesburg (City of Johannesburg, 2012:1). The goal of Rea

Vaya is to improve the quality of life of Johannesburg citizens through the provision of a

high-quality and affordable public transport system. The long-term vision is to develop a

system that places over 85% of Johannesburg’s population within 500 metres of a Rea Vaya

trunk or feeder corridor. The principal long-term objectives of the Rea Vaya project

encompass the fundamental pillars of Johannesburg’s competitiveness as a city, including

economic, social, and environmental sustainability (City of Johannesburg, 2012).

Rea Vaya offers three inter-connected levels of service. The largest buses, with a capacity of

up to 90 passengers, are articulated and referred to as “trunk” buses. These buses travel on

the designated median lane trunk routes only. Complementary buses, with a capacity of 60

passengers, pick up passengers at Rea Vaya stations on the trunk routes and operate on the

kerbside. Finally, the Feeder buses, which have a capacity of 32 passengers, transport people

from the outer areas which do not have direct access to the trunk routes. This, in turn,

extends the Rea Vaya network to areas far beyond the main trunk routes. When complete,

Rea Vaya will cover more than 300 kilometres of trunk routes across the city (City of

Johannesburg, 2012).

BRT in Johannesburg is being rolled out in a series of phases. The initial Phase 1stage, for

example phase 1A, of the Rea Vaya Bus Rapid Transit system has been completed and it

comprises approximately 122 kilometres of trunk routes and 150 stations (City of

Johannesburg, 2012 & McCaul, 2012). Other phases are in construction and planning stages.

Plans to roll out the BRT system in cities in other provinces, including Durban- KwaZulu-

Natal, Cape Town- Western Cape, Nelson Mandela Bay- Eastern Cape, have been completed

and the BRT system phase 1 implemented (Cox, 2009 & McCaul, 2012).

It is argued that Rea Vaya is not intended to compete with other transport systems such as

the SARCC or the Gautrain, but rather to compliment these systems. It is an urban transport

network that feeds into and complements existing networks to ensure the most effective

movement of people across the city (City of Johannesburg, 2012).

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The ensuing discussion focuses on the specific significant and important concept and design

changes from the original SPTN transport model, to the BRT system and the reasons thereof.

While doing so, it is important to take into account that Rea Vaya is not a major departure

from the original design and objectives of the SPTN. The principal addition has been the

upgrade of the quality and performance level of Rea Vaya to that of BRT (City of

Johannesburg, 2006).

• Median busways instead of kerbside bus lanes

The most significant difference between the SPTN and the BRT-Rea Vaya

system in Johannesburg is the placement of a busway in the central lanes of the

roadways. In terms of the SPTN, public transport vehicles were to operate in

kerbside lanes.

• Routes and corridors – CBD

The BRT encompasses the same flagship corridors as the SPTN. Figure 2-5

below depict the inner city routes within the BRT system:

Figure 2-5: Inner-city routes within BRT system

Source: City of Johannesburg (2006: 262)

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These corridors include a north–south route between Sunninghill and Soweto as

well as an east–west route between Alexandra, Sandton, Randburg and beyond.

Therefore, the principal change from the SPTN flagship plan was the addition to

the system of the Soweto Highway as well as an extension from Regina Mundi

through to Lenasia with further feeder services to Orange Farm.

• Operations

The operational plan sets the parameters in terms of which system

characteristics such as capacity, speed, and service frequency are determined

(City of Johannesburg, 2006).

On a normal weekday, Rea Vaya operates 1 481 one-way trips – 406 on the

Soweto-CBD trunk route, 218 on the Soweto-CBD complementary route and

857 on the Soweto feeder and local routes. On Saturdays the service operates at

approximately a half of the weekday strength, and a third on Sundays.

Approximately 6,5 million scheduled kilometres are operated a year. Of all the

kilometres operated, 53% are run on the exclusive busways and, thus, almost

half of Rea Vaya kilometres are operated in mixed traffic. The articulated buses

make seven one-way trips each a day, while the 13-metre buses make 11,7 trips

(average trip distance of 12,5 km compared to the 24,1 km average trip of the

articulated buses (artics). At this rate the articulated buses travel approximately

600 000 kilometres in their 12-year contracts while the complementary buses

travel approximately 525 000 kilometres. Approximately 400 passenger trips

are made in each bus per day while 2,02 passengers are carried per scheduled

bus kilometre (McCaul, 2012).

• Technology

As regards the system’s trunk services, BRT utilises 18-metre articulated

vehicles to handle the high commuter demand in the city’s busiest corridors,

especially in the south-western portion of the city. In view of the distances

covered by the system, it introduced smart card technology for fare collection

and fare verification. The system was designed to ensure that the smart card

type selected is compatible with the smart cards used on the Gautrain and the

SARCC/Metrorail systems, a significant integration. In addition, BRT uses real-

time information displays in order to keep the commuters informed and to

reduce waiting stress (City of Johannesburg, 2006).

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• Operating costs and fares

It was envisaged that BRT fares would be equal to or less than the fares

charged by existing services. Currently, the more kilometres travelled by

passengers the lower the fare compared with minibus taxis (McCaul,

2012). The efficiencies which resulted from the development of a unified

network, dedicated infrastructure, and increased passenger numbers has

led to fare savings for the commuter. Outside of the BRT system, many

passengers are forced to pay multiple fares for a single destination as

several transfers are sometimes necessary. The BRT system uses a

distance-based fare structure. However, the cost increment for distances

is relatively modest in order to ensure that low-income families living on

the periphery of the city are not disadvantaged (McCaul, 2012).

Furthermore, the short-run marginal cost where no additional

infrastructure is provided and the infrastructure capital costs are

irrelevant. Long-run marginal costs, where the infrastructure is optimally

expanded as a result of additional traffic but as a result the additional

impact of the traffic in terms of congestion and, perhaps accidents and

environment, are reduced, is more relevant in the case of the BRT taking

into account the infrastructure expenditure on the public transport system

(Button, et al. 2001).

• Marketing

The BRT system has been branded “Rea Vaya” (City of Johannesburg, 2012).

The logo and colour scheme used are depicted in Figure 2-6 below.

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Figure 2-6: Rea Vaya branding

Source: Tshikalanke (2010: 23) & City of Johannesburg (2012: 1)

• Service frequency and load factors

- Service frequency

Service frequency refers to the number of buses per hour while the

waiting time between vehicles is known as the headway. Figure 2-7

illustrates the relationship between service frequency and congestion.

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Figure 2-7: Service frequency and the potential impact on vehicle

velocity

Source: City of Johannesburg (2006: 266)

In general, it is desirable to provide frequent services in order to reduce

customer waiting times. Commuters often perceive waiting times to be

much longer than the actual duration of the waiting time. To a waiting

passenger, five minutes may seem like a long time, especially if the

passenger is in a hurry to arrive at their destination. At headways of ten

minutes or longer, passengers no longer regard the system as a metro-like

service and, instead, tend to view the system as a timetabled service (City

of Johannesburg, 2006). The Rea Vaya operates according to the

following frequency headways in minutes:

Table 2-4: Frequency of the BRT Rea Vaya service in minutes

Service Peak Off-peak

Trunk Soweto–CBD 3 10

Soweto–CBD

complementary route

5 15

Feeder routes 5, 10 or 15 30

Local complementary

routes

10 or 15 15 or 20

Source: McCaul (2012: 9)

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Service hours are as follows: First bus (weekdays) is at 4:50 and last bus

at 22:00. Over weekends, the first bus is at 5:15 on Saturday and 6:00 on

Sunday while last bus is at 19:00 on both days (McCaul, 2012 & Rea

Vaya, 2012). Sunday services do not operate in the same way as

weekday and Saturday services. The number of passengers travelling on a

Sunday is approximately 10% of the number of passengers travelling on

weekdays. Accordingly, Rea Vaya operates at 30-minute intervals only. It

should, thus, not be necessary for a passenger to wait for longer than 30

minutes if they arrive at a stop or station just after the previous bus has

departed (Rea Vaya, 2012).

- Load factors

The load factor refers to the percentage of a vehicle’s total capacity that is

actually occupied. The actual load factor of any BRT system is

determined by the frequency of the public transport vehicles and the

demand. While systems with high load factors tend to be more profitable,

in the main, the BRT was not planned to operate at a load factor of 100%.

At a 100% load factor the vehicle is filled to its recommended maximum

capacity. However, such conditions are not only uncomfortable to

passengers, but also create negative consequences for operations. At

100% capacity, small system delays or inefficiencies may lead to severe

over-crowding conditions (City of Johannesburg, 2006).

In addition, the desired load factor may vary between peak and non-peak

periods. In the Bogotá TransMilenio system, for example, typical load

factors are 80% for peak periods and 70% for non-peak periods.

However, as ridership levels rise, overcrowding is an increasing concern

(City of Johannesburg, 2006).

Accordingly, in the Rea Vaya system, the targeted load factor, based on

the original scoping of the Rea Vaya BRT system, was in the range of 70-

80% during peak periods (City of Johannesburg, 2006). In reality, 60% of

the service capacity provided on the trunk and complementary Soweto-

CBD routes is used. This includes standing space, all hours, and all

directions. In the peak hour 95% of the trunk route capacity is utilised.

Capacity utilisation is 30% on feeder and local routes with an overall

average of 40% across the whole service. While services run for 17

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hours, Soweto–City routes carry 72% of their daily passengers during the

three hours of the peak periods while 28% of the passengers on these two

main routes are carried in the 11 hours of the off-peak periods (Rea Vaya,

2012 & McCaul, 2012).

• Integration

This system was planned to ensure the full integration of Rea Vaya with the

Gautrain and the Metrorail systems (City of Johannesburg, 2006). Despite the

fact that the envisaged integration has not taken place (McCaul, 2012), a

significant opportunity still exists for Rea Vaya to help provide feeder services

to both Metrorail and the Gautrain.

In addition, Rea Vaya should intersect with the Metrorail system at several key

stations, for example, Lenasia, Orlando, Kliptown, Nancefield, New Canada,

Mlamlankunzi and Park Station. Likewise, Rea Vaya should also intersect with

the Gautrain at several points, for example, Sandton, Rosebank and Park Station

(City of Johannesburg, 2006).

To conclude the discussion on BRT, it is important to discuss other mitigating BRT

considerations.

Firstly, the question arises as to whether the BRT will address transport problems in

Johannesburg? BRT is merely one component of a larger package of sustainable transport

measures that may help mitigate some of the problems Johannesburg is currently

experiencing. However, BRT is not a panacea for all problems. Nevertheless, BRT may

assist in reducing the negative impacts of the unconstrained vehicle growth that is currently

occurring in Johannesburg.

Secondly, does the BRT project make use of Public–Private Partnerships (PPPs) as a

financing mechanism? Almost all BRT projects worldwide have been PPPs in the sense that

these projects have generally used public capital for infrastructure and private capital for

vehicles. In some cases, such as Bogotá, private capital has also been used for fare collection

equipment.

Thirdly, will BRT require long-term subsidies? It was envisaged that BRT would use public

funding for the development of its infrastructure with fare revenues paying for all operational

costs, including vehicles, spare parts, fuel, driver salaries, and staff salaries. Accordingly,

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BRT represents an opportunity to end the need for the long-term subsidies that are currently

required to maintain the operations of Metrobus and various privately owned bus companies.

Fourth, does BRT represent either a threat or an opportunity for the minibus taxi industry?

BRT is an opportunity to ensure the minibus taxi industry is operating on a level playing

field with the existing bus operators. Much of the minibus taxi industry’s current

dissatisfaction stems from the fact that some passenger transport providers are being given

subsidies while the taxi industry continues to struggle with no subsidy support. However, the

minibus taxi industry perceives the BRT project as a serious threat to its business. The 585

taxis which have been taken off the roads and replaced by Rea Vaya represent approximately

10% of all the minibus taxis operating in and from Soweto. Approximately 8% of Soweto-

based public transport users have switched to Rea Vaya. The minibus taxi associations now

own 66% (worth R2,2 bn) of the BRT (Rea Vaya) system. The Johannesburg minibus taxi

operators and the South African Taxi Passengers Association demanded that the council

allow minibus taxi drivers to drive in the BRT lanes in the early mornings up to 9:30 and

again after 15:00, until a long-term solution is found to the public transport policies that is

perceived to exclude the minibus taxis, and therefore are deemed by the minibus taxi

associations as unfair (Cox, 2009; Masondo, 2010; Hudleston, 2011; Ndebele, 2011a &

McCaul, 2012).

Fifth, how would it possible to integrate BRT with the minibus taxi recapitalisation process?

The minibus taxi recapitalisation process and the BRT are distinct, yet potentially

synergistic, initiatives. Minibus taxi recapitalisation should assist minibus taxi operators to

purchase new vehicles. However, recapitalisation will do little to change the underlying

structure of the minibus taxi industry. In contrast, BRT addresses profitability and

sustainability through a reformed business structure. Nevertheless, funding from

recapitalisation could be instrumental in helping the minibus taxi industry purchase the

vehicles required for operation in the BRT.

Sixth, is the quality of BRT sufficient to convince current motor car users to change to

passenger transport? The convenience, status, and security of the private motor car use

represent formidable quality standards as compared to any public transport service.

However, many car users may not use public transport regardless of the quality of the

service. Nevertheless, by offering a highly-affordable service that exceeds the speed at which

motor cars are able to travel in mixed traffic lanes, BRT has been successful in this regard.

The first phase of BRT aims to capture 10 to 20% of its customer base from current car

users. After the implementation of BRT, it was found that 11% of Rea Vaya passengers were

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formerly private motor car users, 63% taxi users, 17% train users and 8% bus users. The

average distance previously driven by the car users per trip was 18,6 kilometres (McCaul,

2012).

Taking into account the aforementioned discussion on the literature review into public

transport, it becomes evident that service quality dimensions are factors that are likely to be

important to the design of the public transport network, from both the operators’ and the

commuters’ perspectives. The success of the public transport network is likely to largely

depend on improving the service quality dimensions of the BRT Rea Vaya service in

Johannesburg. Since, service quality dimensions are key to meeting this study’s objectives;

the next chapter will discuss the service quality dimensions of McKnight et al. (1986).

2.6 Conclusion

This chapter contained a literature review which focused on public transport. The chapter

discussed the challenges involved in formulating a definition for the term public transport. A

distinction was made between public transport and transportation and the importance of

public transport was also explained. The latter discussion focused specifically on the

structure of public transport with reference to the systems of public transport including

physical, economic, pricing, and regulatory. The organisational framework of public

transport was also discussed, with a particular focus on public transport policies and

legislation in South Africa. The chapter revealed that public transport in South Africa is

regulated by the NLTA (Act No, 5 of 2009), Public Transport Strategy, and various policies

which describe the vision and future of public transport. Other important regulatory bodies

and systems were also discussed, for example, OLAS, NPTR, PREs, and MRE’s.

Public transport statistics and modes of public transport, namely, public buses and minibus

taxis, were also discussed. The chapter was finalised by examining passenger transport

networks, focusing specifically on the SPTN and BRT system in Johannesburg. It was

explained that in Johannesburg the BRT system, which is known as Rea Vaya, resembles

those systems found in Bogota (TransMileno) in Latin America and Rouen in France. Rea

Vaya aims to improve public transport in the city and promote the efficient movement of

people while also focusing on the integration of services in order to ensure its long term

success.

The definition, importance, and the structure of public transport, as well as the establishment

of the public transport networks in Johannesburg provide an important context of the public

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transportation system. The following discussion on the specific service quality dimensions

(RECSA) are important to public transport, firstly mentioned in chapter one and originally

developed by McKnight et al. (1986).

As discussed in this chapter as well as in chapter one, the importance of public transport can

only be fully appreciated when the service quality dimensions are fully developed in the

following chapter three. Notwithstanding the service quality gaps discussed in the following

chapter and public transport challenges, the public transport networks, such as the BRT, will

only reach its maximum impact when the dimensions that affect the BRT are fully

understood in terms of their importance, required improvements as well as the extent to

which service quality dimensions influence the future utilisation of and the demand for

public transport.

It is essential that the literature reviewed in this chapter be developed by testing the theory

described in the literature. Therefore, chapter four will test the theory described in the

literature, specifically focussing on the research design, sampling, data collection, analysis,

and the validity and reliability.

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CHAPTER THREE

Service Quality in Public Transport

3.1 Introduction

The state of crisis in the public transport sector –is widely known and well documented – has

given rise to a need to focus on the quality of service provided (Mashiri, et al. 2010; Cape

Regional Chamber of Commerce & Industry, 2011 & Johannesburg Press Club, 2011). The

aim of the public transport sector should be to provide a service that aims to meet and even

exceed commuters’ expectations, thus maximising their satisfaction and minimizing their

dissatisfaction (Hunt, 1979 & Mashiri, et al. 2010). It is essential that people be moved from

a place of origin to a preferred destination safely, economically and in accordance with a

timetable. This does not, however, mean at the fastest possible speed, but in a way which is

consistent with both the fare demanded and the quality of service on offer (Gubbins, 1988).

Public transport must, thus, be differentiated from other modes of transport, such as private

vehicles, by providing a superior service than that offered by the other modes of transport;

and by making the commuters aware of the service being provided without compromising

either convenience or comfort. The aforementioned is important because transport permeates

the whole of civilised life in the same way as do the arteries and veins in the human body

(Richard, 1983 & Mashiri, et al. 2010).

The question often arises as to the reason why people choose one mode over another.

Surveys have highlighted the crucial and, sometimes, overwhelming importance of the

factors which play a role in this decision. These factors may be grouped under the general

heading of quality of service and include, amongst others, speed of delivery, certainty of

timing (reliability and scheduling), freedom from interruption (extent of service) and

avoidance of damage (safety) (Gubbins, 1988). Commuters use public transport to satisfy

desires other than merely the pleasure of travelling and, hence, the derived demand nature of

transport. Changes to the status quo will occur when peoples’ needs and desires change.

This chapter discusses service quality in public transport, focusing on perceived service

quality, and includes the gaps model of service quality. The chapter will also discuss the

service quality dimensions that are applicable in service industries, especially in public

transport, including reliability, extent of service, comfort, safety, and affordability.

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The utility of a given public transport mode is measured by the total bundle of the mode’s

dimensions, for example, reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety, and affordability.

This total bundle is then translated into its monetary value, or worth, to the passengers

(Bingfeng & Ziyou, 2007).

The mode’s dimensions are affected by both supply factors and the structure of public

transport economics, with passengers exercising rational choice by using the service that best

meets their requirements in terms of fares, accessibility, quality, comfort, safety, and speed.

Passengers will also choose the service that most closely matches their perceptions of their

needs and values (Button, et al. 2001).

3.2 Perceived Quality of Service

Perceived quality of service refers to the consumer’s judgement about a product’s overall

excellence or superiority (McKnight, et al. 1986). Thus, perceived quality of service differs

from objective quality as it is a form of attitude and is related, but not equivalent, to

satisfaction. Perception of quality results from a comparison between expectations and

perceptions of performance. Researchers have defined service quality as conformance to

requirements (Crosby, 1979). Garvin (1983) defines quality in the context of internal

failures, whereas Gubbins (1988) defines quality, specifically within the context of public

transport, as referring to the way in which a transport organisation cares for the passengers

during a journey.

However, a challenge arises with regard to the definition of public transport. Quality of

service in the context of public transport is extremely difficult to define as it is made up of

numerous dimensions which may be in competition with each other, including such factors

as fares, comfort, schedule, reliability, extent of service and safety of service. This same

challenge applies to both objective and perceived service (McKnight, et al. 1986).

3.2.1 Objectives and Perceived Service Quality

Certain researchers have emphasised the difference between objective and perceived quality

in the conceptualisation of service quality (Garvin, 1983; Holbrook & Corfman, 1985;

Dodds, et al. 1985; Jacoby & Olson, 1985 & Zeithhaml, 1988):

• Quality service is a form of overall evaluation of the product or services and

may be regarded as similar in many ways to attitude (Olshavsky, 1985).

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• Service quality acts as a relatively global value judgement (Holbrook, et al.

1985).

• Service quality is a global judgement or attitude relating to the superior

excellence of a service, whereas satisfaction is related to a specific transaction

(Parasuraman, et al. 1986; 1988).

Existing studies unambiguously support the notion that service quality, as perceived by

consumers, stems from a comparison between their expectations of the services they will

receive and their perceptions of the performance of those organisations/individuals in

providing the services (Gronroos, 1982; Lehtinen & Lehtinen, 1982; Holbrook, et al. 1985;

Parasuraman, et al. 1985; 1986; 1988 & Shonhiwa, 2001).

3.2.2 Service Expectations

It is important to distinguish between the term ‘expectations’ as used in service quality

literature and the term as used in consumer satisfaction literature. In the service quality

literature, expectations are specifically viewed as the desires or wants of consumers, that is,

what consumers feel a service provider should offer rather than would offer (Oliver, 1981;

Winer, 1985; Parasuraman, et al. 1986 & 1988).

In this study, the following definitions of service will apply:

• Service quality is the degree and direction of any discrepancies between the

service perceptions and expectations of a passenger.

• Expectations (or expected service quality) are perceived as the passengers’

wants or desires; in other words, what the passengers feel a service provider

should offer rather than would offer.

• Perceptions (or perceived service quality) refer to the passenger’s judgement

about the overall excellence or superiority of a service and are similar to

attitudes.

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3.2.3 Service Quality Gaps

In contrast to the quality of goods, which may be measured objectively by such indicators as

durability and number of defects, service quality is an abstract and elusive construct because

of the following three features which are unique to services:

• intangibility;

• heterogeneity; and

• inseparability of production and consumption (Parasuraman, et al. 1986; 1988

& Patna, 2011).

In the absence of objective measures, a useful and appropriate approach to assessing the

quality of a transport organisation’s services would be to measure the commuters’

perceptions of quality (Thompson, et al. 1985 & Dodds, et al. 1985). Accordingly, what

would be needed is a quantitative yardstick for gauging such perceptions. For more than a

decade, academics and practitioners have been trying to conceptualise and assess service

quality. Research papers have appeared in numerous reputable journals, both in Europe and

the United States of America (USA), offering insight into service quality, its complexities,

both in theory and in practice, and how it may be measured (Thompson, et al. 1985).

It is possible to study comprehensive models of service quality and also their limitations

(Patna, 2011). However, understanding exactly which dimensions of quality are of

importance to customers is not always easy in evaluating dimensions of quality. It is not

sufficient for companies to set quality standards in accordance with misguided assumptions

about customers’ expectations. A further problem in defining service quality lies in the

importance which customers often attach to the quality of the service if the service provider

is distinct from the service it offers. In other words, it is possible to separate the two as

readily as in the case of goods (Patna, 2011).

It is, thus, essential that service organisations take into account service quality dimensions.

The Gaps Model of Service Quality, as depicted in Figure 3-1 below, is an effective

framework that service organisations could use (Parasuraman, et al. 1985 & Theo, 2012).

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Figure 3-1: Gap 5- model of service quality

Source: Theo (2012: 1) & Zeithaml et al. (2000: 26)

According to the model depicted above, perceived service quality may be defined as the

difference between consumers’ expectation and perceptions which, in turn, depends on the

size and the direction of the four gaps in respect of the organisation’s delivery of service

quality (Zeithaml, et al. 2000 & Theo, 2012).

The service quality gaps are described as follows:

• Gap 1: Distance between what the customers expect and what the managers

think they expect.

• Gap 2: Distance between management perception and the actual specification of

the customer experience.

• Gap 3: Distance between the experience specification and the delivery of the

experience.

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• Gap 4: Distance between the delivery of the customer experience and what is

communicated to the customers.

• Gap 5: Distance between a customer’s perception of the experience and the

customer’s expectation of the service.

According to Theo (2012), in order to reduce the customer gaps, as described in Figure 3-1

above, service organisations should seek to understand the 10 determinants of service quality

(see Figure 3-2 below). This would, in turn, help service organisations to focus on removing

non value-adding processes or “muda” from their delivery systems (Theo, 2012:2).

Figure 3-2: Ten determinants of service quality

Source: Theo (2012: 2)

It is essential that those service organisations, that wish to be world-class, adopt a Business

Excellence Framework (BEF), which involves a systems-thinking approach to building and

sustaining organisational excellence (Theo, 2012). A BEF framework typically includes the

following categories, namely, leadership, planning, information, people, processes,

customers and results.

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Managers in the service sector are under increasing pressure to demonstrate that their

services are customer focused and that there is on-going performance improvement (Theo,

2012). In view of the financial and resource constraints under which service organisations

operate, it is essential that customer expectations are properly understood and measured and

that, from the customers’ perspective, any gaps in service quality are identified. This

information may then assist a manager to identify cost-effective ways of closing service

quality gaps and prioritising key focal gaps– a critical decision if resources are scarce (Theo,

2012).

In applying the Gaps Model, it is also important that the service gaps in public transport be

closed, given the negative state of public transport (Crous, et al. 1993 & Godard, et al. 2002

& Mashiri, et al. 2010).

It is against this background that the service quality dimensions for services industries are

discussed in the next section.

3.3 Service Quality Dimensions

The words constructs, attributes and dimensions all have the same meaning and are used

interchangeably to describe the research. The quality of service may be measured by means

of quantitative research. SERVQUAL is a measurement instrument which is often applied in

the service industries (Parasuraman, et al. 1986 & 1988). In view of the complexities found

in SERVQUAL, the dimensions were reduced to five, known as RATER, and depicted in

Table 3-1(a) below:

Table 3-1(a): SERVQUAL – five dimensions (RATER)

Reliability Ability to perform the promised service dependably

and accurately

Assurance Knowledge and courtesy on the part of employees

and their ability to convey trust and confidence

Tangibles Physical facilities, equipment, and the appearance

of personnel

Empathy Caring, individualised attention which the

organisation provides to its customers

Responsiveness Willingness to help customers and provide prompt

service

Source: Parasuraman et al. (1986:14)

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Secondly, passengers do not perceive quality as a one-dimensional concept. In other words,

customers’ assessments of quality include perceptions of the following multiple dimensions

that apply to all services (see Table 3-1(b) below) (McKnight, et al. 1986 & Zeithaml, et al.

2000):

Table 3-1(b): Multiple dimensions for service industries

• Performance

• Features

• Reliability

• Conformance

• Durability

• Serviceability

• Aesthetics

• Perceived quality (equivalent to

prestige).

Source: Zeithaml et al. (2000: 82); McKnight et al. (1986: 434)

Thirdly, it is not easy to apply the general service quality dimensions which are applicable to

service industries to passenger transportation (McKnight, et al. 1986). Thus, in order to

measure service quality in the passenger transport context, a different approach is required.

As depicted in Table 3-1(c), the following have been found to be the most frequently

mentioned dimensions of such transport:

Table 3-1(c): Pi-more frequently mentioned dimensions

• Delays on routes

• Traffic safety

• Personal security

• Frequency of service or convenience of pick up

times

• Directness of service (no transfers)

• Ride comfort

• Temperature control

• Noisiness

• Availability of seats

• Availability of service

• Crowdedness

• Walking distances to vehicles

• Sheltered waiting areas

Source: McKnight et al. (1986: 425)

These dimensions were frequently mentioned by passengers during the research conducted

by McKnight et al. (1986) as being important to their choice of mode of passenger transport.

As depicted in Figure 3-3 below, these frequently mentioned dimensions have been grouped

into a cluster of five important service dimensions.

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Figure 3-3: Clusters of service quality dimensions

Source: McKnight et al. (1986: 427)

Each of the service quality dimensions described in Figure 3-3 above is discussed in the next

section.

3.3.1 The Reliability of Service

The first service quality dimension mentioned in Figure 3-3 above is that of the reliability of

service. Service reliability refers to the ability to perform the promised service dependably

and accurately in terms of service punctuality, adherence to timetable (including arrival at

destination, journey length, and communications), and adherence to scheduled routes

(McKnight, et al. 1986).

Commuters will want to utilise those transport operators who keep their promises,

particularly promises pertaining to the core service dimensions. In its broadest sense,

reliability means that the public transport operator will deliver on promises about being

punctual or on time. However, in order to deliver on this promise, the operator requires

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efficient operating systems (or scheduling systems). The scheduling process is important to

the effective management of transport operations while the complexity of the public

transport operational planning and scheduling process has challenged researchers to develop

automated, computerised procedures. This, in turn, has led to a number of software packages

being made available on the market (Button, et al. 2001).

An overall view of such a piece of software is illustrated in Figure 3-4.

Figure 3-4: Overall view of passenger transport scheduling system

Source: Button & Hensher (2001: 15)

It is worth mentioning that the evaluation module of a software package such as the one

indicated above should be based on both an external input related to cost coefficients and on

performance criteria. The cost coefficients include vehicle cost (fixed and variable), driver

cost (fixed and variable) and service benefit while the performance criteria include measures

of commuter service, measures of vehicles and drivers, drivers schedules and measures of

duty rosters (Button, et al. 2001). In many instances, transport operators are not enthusiastic

about implementing these software packages as a result of a lack of the skills required to

operate them and limited budgets.

According to Button et al. (2001), the functional diagram below, which depicts the important

features of the scheduling system and the operational process, includes four basic

components:

• network route design;

• setting timetables;

Data editor Timetable Graphic display

Vehicle scheduling

Scheduling data bank

Driver scheduling

Report generator

Driver rostering

Evaluation of timetables, blocks, duties and rosters

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• scheduling vehicles to trips; and

• assignment of drivers.

Figure 3-5: Functional diagram of passenger transportation scheduling system (system architecture)

Input Computation Output

Timetable

Input

Vehicle Scheduling

Block construction

Drivers scheduling

Drivers’ rostering

Source: Button & Hensher (2001: 17)

Route geometry (1)

Passenger demand and service standards (2)

Transit vehicle characteristics (3)

Trip characteristics (4)

Headway analysis

Timetable construction

Trip file construction

Deadheading time information (5)

Optimal procedure (e.g. deficit function)

Fleet reduction procedures (shifting and deadheading)

Vehicle trip assignment

Adding garage trips

Determining duty pieces

Constructing feasibility sets of duties

Rotation of duties among drivers

Public timetable

Trip file

Vehicle schedule

Driver schedule

Duty roster

Relief point information (6)

Driver duty constraints (work rules) (7)

Driver priority and rotation rules (8)

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Firstly, the purpose of the vehicle scheduling component, as depicted in Figure 3-5, is to plan

and schedule vehicles to trips according to given timetables. A transport trip may be planned

either to carry passengers along its route or to make a deadheading trip in order to connect

two service trips efficiently (Button, et al. 2001).

Timetables are important to the scheduling process because the dissemination of information

to passengers is critical for the successful operation of public transport services, and in

maintaining and stimulating demand. In view of the fact that the existing sources of

information are fragmented, it is often a daunting task for current and prospective passengers

to access the correct information. Timetables are not available from most operators and,

where they are available, the quality is often poor or the timetables are difficult to

comprehend. In addition, because information dissemination processes are mainly paper

based, there are numerous problems relating to presentation, distribution and accuracy. It is,

therefore, necessary to develop systems that will be sufficiently flexible to respond

appropriately to the needs of commuters (Mashiri, et al. 2010).

With the advances in information technology (ICT), those commuters who have access to

mobile telephones are able to access both the internet and social media in order to access

timetables. Social marketing programmes may be of value as information instruments in

support of transportation demand management (IDM) policies. Such programmes may

function as effective channels of communication in building dialogue, garnering public

support for the demand management policy in question and in delivering important transport

messages directly to commuters (McGovern, 2005).

A research study conducted on public transport established that key influences for the

respondents when considering alternative modes of travel is, among others, the poor image

they had of public transport and the issue of poor time-tabling. The importance of the

timetable arose from the fact that the respondents had interpreted the timetable either as a

form of contract or as a declaration of commitment on the part of the public transport

company to provide them, as commuters, with certain travel services. However, it appeared

that the respondents had soon determined that the timetable was of little value as they had

confirmed that the bus companies rarely adhered to it with any sense of urgency (McGovern,

2005).

It also emerged that the poor image of public transport had generated a lack of trust among

the respondents in the information being supplied by the public transport providers. The

respondents claimed they had initially been prepared to work through difficult situations

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when using public transport but that this had become impossible as they had continuously

been let down by the public transport providers. These problems had been on-going for a

number of years, and the respondents had expressed a degree of anger that they were still

hearing the same excuses. The respondents had expressed reservations as to whether it would

ever be possible for public transport to be improved to such a degree that they would be able

to use it with any degree of confidence (McGovern, 2005).

Secondly, the purpose of the driver scheduling component, as in Figure 3-5 above, is to

assign drivers to the outcome of vehicle scheduling. This assigning of drivers must be in

accordance with certain constraints, which are usually dependent on labour contracts. The

driver rostering component in the Figure usually refers to priority and rotation rules, rest

periods and driver preferences (Button, et al. 2001).

It is important to note that all the components in Figure 3-5 are extremely sensitive to both

internal and external factors (described below in Figure 3-6), as well as to other factors

which are often evident when buses operate in mixed traffic. It is well known that

maintaining a schedule may be a challenge as signal timing, traffic congestion, traffic

incidents, and other factors may disrupt the expected running timetable. All these factors

have a direct bearing on the public transport industry as they may give rise to service

interruptions (Gubbins, 1988 & Levinson, 2011):

Figure 3-6: Internal and external factors

Source: Gubbins (1988: 168)

Internal factors External factors

• Market-driven approach • Passenger transport systems • Productivity and service quality • Determination of fares and

economic model

• Social policy

• Government regulation

• Socio-economic factors Transport

organisation

Service quality and level of service

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Internal factors include those factors that are within the control of the organisation, for

example, internal systems, quality of service, fares and operational strategies. Conversely,

external factors include those factors that are outside of the control of the organisation and

which affect the organisation’s performance, for example social policy, government

regulation and other socio-economic factors which often affect fares and the quality of

service. These internal and external factors may easily result in an inefficient public transport

solution or scheduling of service.

Furthermore, the items under the heading of input in Figure 3-5 are numbered and their

general description is presented below. However, their values differ according to the time of

day and the day of the week:

Table 3-2: Functional description of passenger transportation scheduling system

Route geometry Passenger demand and service standards

Transit vehicle characteristics

Route number Passenger loads between adjacent stops on a route

Vehicle type

Vehicle capacity

Nodes, stops, and time points on a route

Load factor – the desired number of passengers on board the transit vehicle

Running time, vehicle travel time between stops and/or time points on a route

Pattern and sequence of nodes on a route

Policy headway – the inverse of the minimum frequency standard

Trip characteristics Deadheading time information Relief point information

Trip layover time (maximum and minimum)

List of garages, names, and locations

Relief point location (stops, trip start and end points, garages)

Trip departure time tolerances (maximum departure delay and maximum departure advance)

Deadheading times from garage locations to each trip start location (pull-outs)

Travel times between the relief points

List of trip start and end locations Deadheading times from trip end locations to garage locations (pull-ins);

Deadheading time matrix between all trip end and start locations

Driver duty constraints (dependent on a labour contract)

Driver’s priority and rotation rules

Type of duty (early, late, split, full, and tripper)

List of drivers by name and type (e.g. part-time, full-time, seniority)

Duty length (maximum spread time) Driver priority or equality rules Number of vehicle changes on duty Workday on and off patterns Meal breaks Duty composition Other work rules Source: Button & Hensher (2001: 33-110)

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There are municipalities which have implemented efficient scheduling systems successfully,

for example, the Dubai municipality. The Dubai Public Transport Department caters for a

quarter of a million commuters with approximately 550 buses and 1 000 drivers working on

almost 55 routes (Shaibani, 2005). However, the opening of the Metro system, partially

operational from 2009 and currently heading toward full operation has attracted passengers

away from the bus system (Dubai City, 2011).

In view of the increase in the number of passengers, buses, drivers and routes in Dubai, the

Dubai Public Transport Department implemented a system known as MICROBUS in order

to raise efficiency levels. MICROBUS is vehicle and dispatch software that consists of

different modules that may be used to optimise the internal workflow of public transport

operators of all kinds and sizes (Shaibani, 2005).

Commuters who use the bus benefit from the system as a result of the comprehensive and

simple bus timetable which is available at bus stops. This guarantees the predictability of

service in terms of arrival/departure schedules, which may be sent to the commuters via

SMS. Dubai residents are also able to conduct Web-based searches for bus schedules, routes

and connections. An efficient and streamlined public transport system yields several benefits,

including the following: the productivity of the work force is improved, fuel, time and

resources may be allocated optimally depending on passenger needs on certain routes and

unnecessary traffic congestion may be avoided (Shaibani, 2005). Singapore residents were also given access to PublicTransport@SG website in 2008 to help

commuters plan their journeys using public transportation (Land Transport Authority, 2013).

The site’s interactive map covers bus and rail trips that can be made across the island and the

site also features a simple calculator to compute fares. In 2011, the transport department in

Singapore launched MyTransport.SG, a portal that consolidates information and e-Services

for all land transport users, including motorists and cyclists. MyTransport.SG Mobile gives

commuters this information on mobile devices, including real-time bus arrival information

that is also shown on display panels at over 50 bus stops across the island (Land Transport

Authority, 2013).

Mentor Streets® Schedule Software Suite is another scheduling software program which was

developed for transport agencies that wanted to eliminate slow, inefficient manual processes

and streamline schedule creation. As route information is entered, the scheduling system

handles all the mathematics required, enabling the scheduler assign runs, blocks and rosters

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simply by dragging the mouse. When the schedule has been completed it may be exported to

Google Maps with a single click (Gregory, 2011).

In addition, Mentor Streets® scheduling software effortlessly guides public transport

organisations through a step-by-step scheduling process, including plotting bus stops, cutting

runs, and assigning drivers to generating paddles. Building a schedule involves several steps,

and each step has its own software module in Streets Schedule. Each module is seamlessly

integrated, allowing for changes to information in one module to be automatically reflected

in the other modules (Gregory, 2011).

In order to ensure success in implementing these systems, it is essential that all public

transport stakeholders be involved. In addition, the success of any scheduling system will

depend on the involvement of the public transport authorities, communities and operators.

The public transport authorities in particular need to be perceived as performing in terms of

communication with commuters. In a focus group study conducted in 2005 on Social

Marketing and Transport Demand Management (TDM), commuters said, among others, they

had not been informed nor had they been consulted on important public transport matters

and, thus, they had no influence or power as regards addressing transportation issues,

specifically in their own localities. They reflected on the fact that there were no effective

channels or forums for them to either express their concerns or to put forward possible

solutions. Acknowledgment of this during the focus group discussions appeared to generate a

degree of scepticism among the commuters as regards their dealings with the authorities,

particularly the local authorities (McGovern, 2005).

This research further suggested that social marketing programs could be of value as

information instruments in support of transportation demand management (TDM) policies.

Such programs can function as an effective channel of communication in building dialogue

and garnering wider public support of demand management policy, and in delivering

important transportation messages directly to commuters (McGovern, 2005).

Furthermore, the commuters, in the focus group study conducted in 2005, as stated in the

above-mentioned discussion, expressed a concern that the authorities did not always take the

correct action or, more importantly, authorities often took no action at all on public transport

matters requiring their actions. Examples of this sense of powerlessness emerged strongly

during this focus group discussions, especially as regards the performance of the bus

companies. Many of commuters were of the view that, since the bus companies had been

privatised, the public had no voice or power in terms of establishing the criteria for an

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acceptable level of service. One example often cited was the problems with the scheduling

and cancelling of services at short notice. The research study concluded that it was essential

that the local authorities constantly review their efforts to communicate with the public on

local transportation-related issues and to understand that buy-in from the local community is

critical as regards decisions related to transportation. Ignoring the buy-in factor would lead

to local people becoming frustrated and unwilling to support transportation policy at large,

and commuters would continue to perceive public transport as poor compared to the private

motor cars (McGovern, 2005).

It is clear from the discussion above that implementing appropriate systems and making joint

and correct public transport decisions will improve the reliability of the public transport

service, encourage continuous co-operation between commuters and public transport

authorities, and enhance commuter satisfaction.

3.3.2 The Comfort of Service

The comfort of service provided is the second service quality dimension indicated in Figure

3-3 above. Service comfort involves the availability of service aesthetics, and includes the

availability of seats and space (often referred to as passenger density), smooth journeys, the

availability of air conditioning and the conditions of shelters (McKnight, et al. 1986;

Wardman, 2001 & Litman, 2008). The qualitative aspects of transport are increasingly being

discussed as factors influencing the choice between individualised and public transport

(Martin & Haywood 2011). Existing literature on transportation today is demonstrating the

fact that the qualitative dimensions of public transport may affect the welfare of individuals

and their modal choices (Litman, 2008).

Public transport researchers have also found that, when deciding which mode of transport to

use, service comfort is one of the issues that is often taken into consideration (Samson &

Thompson, 2007), with service comfort being rated as one of the top 11 key dimensions that

are important to determining the mode of transport used (Solvoll & Mathisen, 2010). In

addition, the findings of the research study on customer satisfaction in public transport

showed that comfort of service was one of the top four factors that positively correlated with

overall satisfaction (Budiono, 2009). Service comfort is, thus, clearly extremely important to

public transport and it must not be ignored as one of the service quality dimensions.

In practice, it is often found that public transport lacks comfort because, among other things,

loading conditions often prevent people from boarding at the desired time as crowding

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imposes relatively severe discomfort. Passenger comfort is a decisive asset to transport

organisations. It is, thus, essential that travelling in an air-conditioned, temperature-

controlled, filtered atmosphere become an inalienable passenger right and that the slightest

shortcoming in this field be remedied immediately. A major incentive for selecting public

transport should be the positive on-board experience of travelling. Service comfort plays an

important role in ensuring that passengers enjoy their journeys while increased comfort may

also improve the on-board health and environment status. The end result may, in turn, be

improved productivity in the workplace (Mashiri, et al. 2010). The extent to which public

transport comfort improves productivity in the workplace is an important area of study which

should be pursued although it is beyond the scope of this study.

3.3.3 The Extent of Service

The third service quality dimension indicated in Figure 3-3 above is the extent of service,

which involves service availability, the extent to which a public transport mode take

commuters to their exact destinations, and the friendliness of the frontline staff (McKnight,

et al. 1986). Public transport accessibility and availability are both important. “Public

transport accessibility is about commuter’s ability to get to and from places – it is about

enabling access” (Public Transport Victoria, 2013: 1). An accessible public transport system

incorporates concepts of availability and usability of services, as discussed below. An

accessible system looks at the connectivity of various modes and the ease of use, which

contribute to the desirability of public transport as a transport choice.

Accessible public transport benefits everyone involved – it is easy and quicker to use, can

reduce travel times of vehicles and can assist with managing traffic congestion in shared

road environments – and takes account of the interaction between land use and transport

planning (Public Transport Victoria, 2013).

The availability of service refers to the availability of a transport service on weekdays,

evenings, weekends and public holidays. A service provider should plan the daily schedule

irrespective of the demand. Scheduling is a potentially important operator service strategy.

When used as a marketing tool, the schedule of an operator aligns operator capacity with

commuter needs and the result is an optimisation of the service offering. For example, each

city market has two basic classifications of commuters, namely, business and pleasure.

However, both business and pleasure have different peak demand periods according to the

day of the week or the hour of the day (Farris, et al.1976; McKnight, et al. 1986; Alam, 2002

& Mashiri, et al. 2010).

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Table 3-3 illustrates the four apportionments of days within a normal calendar week, namely,

Monday through to Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.

Table 3-3: Service availability and demand

Day of the week Business demand Pleasure demand

Monday through

to Thursday

Heavy early morning and early

evening. Very heavy Monday

morning

Generally light

Friday

Very heavy Friday afternoon and

early evening

Very heavy Friday early

evening

Saturday Light mornings. Very light

afternoons and evenings.

Moderate early

mornings, light

afternoons and very light

evenings

Sunday Very light mornings. Moderate

evenings

Moderate mornings.

Very heavy afternoons

and evenings

Source: Farris & Harding (1976: 171)

The demand for business travel tends to peak on Monday mornings and Friday afternoons

and is heavy during the morning and early evening hours on Mondays to Thursdays. The

demand for pleasure commuting tends to peak on Friday evenings or on Sunday afternoons

and early evenings. Saturday is usually the lightest travel day of the week. The uses of the

operator’s schedule as a marketing tool implies both the recognition of these demand

characteristics and the allocation of individual offering of service to meet the needs of both

classifications of commuters (Farris, et al. 1976 & Alam, 2002). The convenience of service

is also important and is, in fact, the key to increasing the number of public transport users

(Ahmad, 2010).

Public transport organisations should consider demand and adjust the service according to

the service requirements as presented below. Furthermore, commuters have become more

aware of information resources to determine the quickest, or most reliable, route

options - they are empowered to make quick and informed decisions about reliable

route options (Farris, et al. 1976; Federal Highway Administration, 2006 & Brithaupt and

Limanond, 2006).

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• Expansion or contraction of the service offering

Expansion or contraction of the service offering refers to actions such as

increasing the capacity of the public transport operator in certain markets, that

is, increasing the frequency of service or other activities that have the effect of

expanding the quantity of service offered. As the demand for public transport

service increases and as the adult population grows, the expanding of capacity is

a natural reaction. Expansion, however, necessarily requires heavy capital

expenditure in equipment and may require long production cycles, creating

financial obligations for an operator for extended periods. Operator

management must, thus, plan carefully before making capacity-expansion

decisions as management would be forced to suffer overly optimistic

expansions of capacity for a long time.

Contracting the service offering is the opposite of expanding the service

offering. In view of the fact that both entry and exit from markets are controlled

in the regulated public transport industries, it is not easy either to expand or to

contract the service offering. Accordingly, contraction is often a difficult

decision for management to make and also for regulatory agencies to approve

and contraction is a strategy often likened to defeat.

Certain routes or markets are protected for either political or social reasons. As

a result, attempts by operators to contract service in these areas may be

interpreted as antisocial acts on the part of management. Finally, there is the

problem of tradition. After serving particular city-pair markets for long periods

of time, the operators may be perceived as residents of the communities by the

regulatory agencies. As a result, the operators may not be permitted to contract

operations if demand diminishes. However, even in the face of these difficulties,

management should continually review its service offerings as regards both

expansion and contraction possibilities as both these strategies may be of merit

in achieving profitable and efficient levels of operations.

• Alteration

Another service availability strategy involves altering the service mix in

response to a market change. Urban public transport operators are currently

attempting to upgrade the quality, dependability, and security of the service.

Many cities, including cities in the United States of America, have resorted to

express type bus services during peak hours. In such cases, the operators are

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utilising the strategy of service-mix alterations in order to achieve a greater

balance between the changing wants and needs of their customers.

• New uses for existing service offerings

Another service mix strategy involves finding new uses for present service

offerings. Urban highway systems are most efficiently used when other modes

are limited to non-peak hours while future urban rapid-transit systems should

include freight-carrying capacity to help offset operating costs. In all such cases,

finding new uses for existing operations has resulted in a more complete

utilisation of facilities and, hence, greater returns on capital and labour

investments.

3.3.4 The Safety of Service

The safety of service is the fourth service quality dimension indicated in Figure 3-3 above.

Safety of service may be defined as the number of accidents involving a transport mode and

refers to the passengers’ fears that they are more likely to be involved in an accident as a

result of using a particular transportation mode, the condition of vehicles, driving behaviour

and obeying the rules of the road (McKnight, et al. 1986).

It is important that service safety is viewed from three, equally important, angles:

• safety of passengers; • safety of drivers; and • safety of buses and minibus taxis (McKnight, et al. 1986).

Each of these safety aspects will be discussed below. It is, however, important to note that, in

order to achieve a high degree of safety, all three of these areas must work together smoothly

and efficiently.

3.3.4.1 Safety of Passengers

As regards the safety of passengers, a research study conducted showed that households

were becoming insular in the way they lead their lives or how artificial bubbles were being

created to enable them to feel more secure when undertaking day-to-day journeys

(McGovern, 2005). While the passengers had expressed that it was difficult it is to feel

completely safe in any mode of transportation, there was a general consensus that private

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transportation provided the greatest sense of safety to those who considered it a priority.

However, the issue of personal safety carried with it a negative connotation for many of the

passengers contemplating public transportation (McGovern, 2005).

The goal of service safety is to reduce vehicle fatalities and injuries and the associated costs.

Thus, the objective is to ensure that transport operators maintain the minimum standards for

both their drivers and their vehicles, thus ensuring road safety through lower numbers of

safety-related offences, vehicles out of service and, ultimately, crash rates. The reason for

this is that transport operators are responsible both for the mechanical maintenance of their

buses and minibus taxis and for the actions of the drivers over which they exercise control

(McKnight, et al. 1986).

As regards international approaches to public transport safety, it has been shown that various

countries approach public transport safety in different ways, and that the measures adopted

to improve safety often vary (World Bank, 2006). For instance:

• In Sweden, the approach to public transport safety has been that of the quality

management of the transport component of the transport organisation concerned

(whether government or private). Quality assurance of transport aims to ensure

that people arrive at the right place, at the right time and in the right way (that

is, without danger of serious injury or damage to the environment as a result of

the mode of public transport). Thus, road safety and environmental outcomes

are linked.

• In France, a programme has been introduced to increase the involvement of

private companies in the road safety related to their use of vehicles. Agreements

have been drawn up between government, insurance companies, the national

occupational health fund and volunteer companies. The programme focuses on

motivating transport organisations to undertake road safety programmes

designed to increase awareness of the cost of road crashes to the organisation

concerned with worker compensation and vehicle insurance premiums being

decreased if the programmes are implemented. Some of the programmes have

also concentrated on drunk driving because of the significant role played by

alcohol in both work- and non-work-related road accidents in France.

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• In Germany, the Traffic Safety Council has promoted the establishment of

voluntary safety circles in which employees from the transport organisations

meet both to discuss critical issues and to devise solutions under the leadership

of an experienced moderator. The Traffic Safety Council also runs a one-day

training course in safe, economical and environmentally friendly driving.

• In the United Kingdom, various measures have been implemented to improve

safety in organisations. They include driver training programmes, incentive

schemes, penalties, accident reviews, driver monitoring systems and driver

feedback procedures. However, it is unclear whether these measures have had

an effect (World Bank, 2006).

The profiteering nature of the minibus taxi industry, in particular, is a cause for concern as

regards passenger safety. Minibus taxi operators feel driven to maximise revenue and

minimise the costs of the service. This, in turn, translates into passenger overloading, wars

between taxi associations, and a general failure to observe the rules of the road. “The

minibus taxis transport most people to their destinations, sometimes even in record time but

often at the expense of other road users, even at the expense of their lives” (Govender, et al.

2006:106).

3.3.4.2 Safety of Drivers

Regarding driver safety, it is essential that transport organisations invest in research and

development aimed at enabling operators to control their vehicles better. On-board

computers provide public transport managers with detailed reports on the behaviour of

drivers and the performance of vehicles. These reports may be used to modify driver

behaviour and may also be used for the purposes of accident prevention, accident analysis

and accident reconstruction (World Bank, 2006).

One single factor is unlikely to cause an accident and therefore it is probable that a

combination of causes would result in an accident. The factors involving drivers and their

driving habits referred to here include:

• Ease of obtaining a heavy vehicle licence.

• Lack of professional driver training.

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• Lack of knowledge of the highway code.

• Driver fatigue as a result of long working hours.

• Overloading of vehicles in order to maximise revenue.

• Night drivers consuming alcohol or drugs.

• Speeding (Maunder, Pearce & Babu, 1999).

The most frequent causes of bus accidents, in particular, include poor driver behaviour, poor

behaviour on the part of other road users and the mechanical condition of buses. However,

the overriding factor that needs to be addressed is how to improve bus driver behaviour. The

BRT Rea Vaya in Johannesburg is also concerned about driver behaviour (Maunder, et al.

1999 & Rea Vaya, 2012). The following are possible solutions to the problem of driver

behaviour:

• Drivers should be taught the social and psychological skills involved in being a

safe and responsible professional driver.

• Refresher driver training courses to eliminate the inevitable bad driving habits

acquired should be encouraged.

• Awards for accident-free driving should be promoted.

• Medical and health checks should be compulsory for all drivers, especially

those who are ageing.

• The enforcement of legal maximum hours should be accorded a higher priority

(Maunder, et al. 1999).

3.3.4.3 Safety of Vehicles

With regard to vehicle safety, it has been shown that the condition of the minibus taxis gives

rise for concern, as these are the vehicles with the potential for causing large numbers of

casualties if they are involved in accidents. The fact that all minibus taxis have (ought to be

have) certificates of fitness (or roadworthy certificates ‒ COFs) illustrates the irrelevance (or

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challenges) of the roadworthy testing system and the ease with which it is possible to obtain

a certificate, whatever the condition of the bus or minibus taxi (World Bank, 2006).

Overall, the factors affecting vehicle condition have been found to include the following:

• lack of maintenance as a result of cost;

• worn tyres and fake parts in an effort to minimise costs;

• age of the vehicles – the average age of the bus fleet has increased from 10,1

years in 1991 to 12,7 years in 1996 (Van der Merwe, 1999) while the average

age of the minibus taxi fleet is 13 years (Govender & Allopi, 2006); and

• irrelevance of the annual vehicle fitness test (Maunder, et al. 1999).

Addressing these factors may increase costs but is likely to be less expensive in the longer

term as compared against the cost of human tragedy, vehicle replacement and other third-

party costs. It is essential that owners and operators be encouraged to maintain their vehicles

to a much higher standard than the present standard. Preventative maintenance may improve

both the performance and productivity of vehicles and also extend the operational life of the

vehicle. A safe, smart vehicle is more likely to attract passengers than an unsafe and poorly

maintained vehicle, particularly in a highly competitive market. Owners and operators need

to understand that vehicle maintenance is a sound, effective business practice which may

minimise vehicle downtime and costly, time-consuming breakdowns whilst the vehicle is in

service (Maunder, et al. 1999).

3.3.4.4 Other factors affecting safety

Road condition, a lack of road maintenance, poor wheel alignment and a lack of traffic signs

and safety features have all been identified as possible causes of accidents together with the

weak enforcement of traffic regulations. A lack of road sense on the part of pedestrians,

especially in rural areas when herding animals or crossing the roads, has also been cited as a

factor affecting road safety (Robertson, 2006).

However, it is not possible for either a single individual or discipline to bring about

improvements in safety. On the contrary, it is a collective responsibility and spirit is required

of all those involved, including:

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• bus and minibus taxi owners, drivers, conductors and mechanics;

• bus and taxi operator associations and unions;

• police and government transport departments;

• road safety associations and driver training schools;

• manufacturers of vehicles, spare parts and tyres; and

• all road users (Maunder, et al. 1999).

There are specific features of the bus industry as well as particular challenges facing the

industry with regards to safety. However, it would not appear that the same features are

enforced with the minibus taxi industry. For example:

• The rivalry and mistrust between bus and minibus taxi operators, and

intimidation which is prevalent in the taxi industry, remain a challenge for both

government and the traffic authorities.

• Constant attention is given to the roadworthiness of buses but not to that of

minibus taxis.

• Government and the bus industry have been cooperating for a number of years

in setting the technical standards for all aspects of bus construction and bus

components.

• These technical standards are contained in road traffic legislation, regulations

and through the manufacturing standards system regulated by the South African

Bureau of Standards.

• The standards are monitored and updated based on the findings of accident

investigations.

• Recent additions to the standards include specifications for roll-over protection

as well as the construction and anchoring of bus seats.

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• Steering, braking and tyre standards are included in the areas which are

specifically focused upon during the testing process.

• In addition to pre-trip safety checks, safety procedures require drivers to

conduct safety checks on all vehicles during journeys (Arrive Alive, 2010).

It has been argued that the minibus taxi industry does care about the service and safety of its

passengers and drivers and, hence, the launch of the Hlokomela campaign, which was

designed to change the behaviour of the minibus taxi owners, operators, drivers and, to a

certain extent, passengers (Mthembu, 2010 & 2011).

Finally, the Administration Adjudication of the Road Traffic Offences Act (AARTO)

represents a step in the right direction. However, vigorous and speedy implementation of the

act is likely to be a challenge as drivers question its relevance (Moss, 2010).

3.3.5 The Affordability of Service

The affordability of service is the fifth service quality dimension as indicated in Figure 3-3

above. Service affordability involves value for money and, thus, includes fares charged by

the public transport modes (McKnight, et al. 1986). The commuting public will always try to

equate the quality of service and the fares paid. Thus, determining the correct fares is always

a challenge. How should a transport operator price their service? What would an acceptable

fare be for the quality of the service rendered? In the United Kingdom, for example,

transport operators submit fare increase applications to the city council every year. In

considering whether or not to grant a fare increase application, many authorities tend to take

into consideration the measure of affordability. However, there is, unfortunately, no

internationally agreed-on method of measuring affordability when it is applied to bus

services (Maunder, et al. 1999).

The usual approach involves dividing the price of a number of standard journeys by some

measure of income. While, conceptually, this is a simple measure, it is, however, not easy to

measure either parameter. The cost of a journey may vary significantly, depending on the

distance travelled and whether monthly passes are used or not. It is equally difficult to

measure income on a standard basis. Unless there is reason to select a specific journey, it is

probably best to take the average fare paid by all passengers as the measure of the fare, and

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either the average income of all groups concerned or the GDP per capita, if available, as the

measure of income (World Bank, 2006).

The figures (average fare, average income, GDP per capita) are usually compared on a

monthly basis and, therefore, the cost of a standard number of trips, for example, 50 trips per

month, is usually compared with the average monthly salary. This measure is most useful

when used to compare a fare–income ratio in a particular city over a period of time as

incomes change. Considering an average fare paid per boarding, this indicator (average fare

paid per boarding) may be used in conjunction with information on income levels to assess

the affordability of bus fares and, unless there is a flat fare structure, it is also useful as a

guide to the average distance travelled by passengers.

The lower the average fare, the shorter the average distance travelled. However, an

extremely low average fare may also indicate that there is a problem with pilferage or fare

evasion, principally through over-riding (travelling on public transport further than the fare

allows), and this should be investigated. The average fare will be influenced by the average

distance travelled, and also by the number of passengers in the various fare categories, for

example, students and other passengers paying fares at concessionary rates. The average

monthly wage for the population in the area served by the bus system may be useful in

determining the affordability of bus fares. However, this information is not always available.

In some countries the figure is calculated for the country as a whole although urban incomes

are usually significantly higher than average incomes. The other measure of affordability is

the percentage of monthly wage of 50 average boardings. A typical urban bus user will make

approximately 50 boardings per month. The lower this percentage, the more affordable the

bus fare (World Bank, 2006).

3.3.5.1 Efficiency and Pricing

Focusing specifically on the issue of pricing, it is evident that the pricing in public transport

is important as it affects the affordability of service (Button, et al. 2001). However, it is

essential that the correct balance be established between service and fares charged. At the

same time, public transport organisations are concerned about maximising the efficiency of

their operations. Therefore, in economic terms, the concept of efficiency relates to the notion

of maximising output per unit of input. However, in economic terms, efficiency has an even

more precise meaning, for example, efficiency refers to the realisation of a situation in which

it is impossible, with the resources available, to make one person better off without making

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another worse off. Economists refer to such a situation as a Pareto optimum (Button, et al.

2001).

In a practical sense an improvement in economic efficiency is deemed to occur whenever a

change is made, the benefits from which may be redistributed in such a way so as to make at

least one person better off, without making anyone worse off ‒ a so-called potential Pareto

improvement in welfare. This occurs whenever those benefiting from the change are willing

to pay enough for the benefits so as to be able to compensate the losers fully and still be

better off themselves. This is the competition test that forms a basic principle of cost-benefit

analysis. Technical efficiency refers to the physical relationship between inputs and outputs

(Button, et al. 2001).

These concepts (Pareto analysis, cost-benefit analysis, relationship between inputs and

outputs) translate directly into simple rules for pricing and project appraisal, if economic

efficiency is to be derived. Economic efficiency introduces the prices of both inputs and

outputs so that it is possible to obtain some idea of value. As regards pricing, the implication

is that goods should be supplied as long as those receiving the goods are willing to pay at

least the marginal social cost of providing the goods concerned, where marginal social cost

includes both those costs which are borne directly by the supplier as well as the external

costs imposed upon third parties by their use.

The optimal output of a good is the amount that consumers are willing to pay. Consumers

would not be willing to pay an amount for the final units of the good that would be sufficient

to compensate both those bearing the external costs of the good and also the producers of the

good for the costs they would have incurred in producing the good. The intervention which

is usually recommended is that the government impose a tax equal to the amount of the

external costs created by the good, so that equilibrium is reached. In terms of project

appraisal, the appropriate approach involves examining the costs and benefits of the

proposed course of action, valuating the benefits in terms of the willingness on the part of the

beneficiaries to pay and the costs in terms of the compensation required by the losers. In this

way, it is possible to determine the economically efficient levels of service provision,

investment and fares (Button, et al. 2001).

The objection to this analysis, however, is that it ignores the issue of who enjoys the benefits

and who bears the costs. There is not one Pareto optimum but many. It is therefore possible

to improve the utility of one person by lowering that of another. The point at which the

economy ends up depends on the initial distribution of resources between the groups.

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Notionally, it should be possible to redistribute the benefits of the public transport policy in

such a way that everyone is better off than under any alternative public transport pricing and

appraisal system (Button, et al. 2001).

The tax and income supplementation system is often too complex to effectively and fairly

redistribute the benefits of the public transport policy in such a way that everyone is better

off than under any alternative public transport pricing and appraisal system. Even if decision

makers wished to ensure the equitable redistribution of public policy benefits, it is usually

impossible to identify the specific gainers and losers, and identify the taxes and subsidies

that achieve the desired redistribution. In addition, there are political constraints in respect of

the extent to which particular taxes may be raised. In any case, taxes and income

supplementation introduce their own inefficiencies into the system by distorting relative

prices and prejudicing the incentive to earn more income. Nevertheless, as long as it is

accepted that optimal pricing and appraisal policies will not be accompanied by optimal

distribution policies, then it is essential that the distributional aspects of passenger transport

systems decisions be addressed (Button, et al. 2001).

While there is at least consensus among economists as to what constitutes efficiency, there is

no such consensus as regards equity and there are often various perspectives of equity among

those commenting on transport policy. However, this discussion is concerned only with the

view that states that equity demands that those who benefit from the provision of a facility

must pay for the facility. However, this is a form of equity which is hard to justify in terms

of any reasonable social welfare function as it appears to be based on the assumption that, in

the absence of the facility, the distribution of income would be fair. Accordingly, all that

would be needed to preserve that fairness is that the provision of the facility would not

change the distribution of either income or utility. The rule that equity demands that the

users of each facility should pay its cost remains cogent both in practical politics and

amongst public opinion. However, a more sophisticated version of this view recognises the

existence of joint costs, as well as the fact that each group of users should pay at least their

avoidance cost (future costs), but not more than the stand-alone cost of providing the facility

for themselves alone. In other words, they should benefit rather than lose from the fact that

they share the facility with others (Button, et al. 2001).

It is important also to consider both the implications of these views of equity for the

derivation of fares and also the appraisal rules as discussed below:

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• The concept of marginal-cost pricing for transport has been long debated but

has not been implemented to any degree. The marginal social cost of

infrastructure use may be defined as the sum of the following marginal costs:

- costs borne directly by the user (provision of vehicle and fuel, user’s

time);

- costs imposed on the infrastructure provider (provision and maintenance

of the infrastructure);

- costs imposed on other infrastructure users (delays, increased risk of

accidents); and

- costs imposed on society in general (air pollution, noise, and global

warming (Button, et al. 2001)).

A distinction must be made between short-run marginal cost where no

additional infrastructure is provided (and the infrastructure capital costs are

irrelevant) and long-run marginal cost where the infrastructure is optimally

expanded as a result of additional traffic and as a result of the additional impact

of the traffic in terms of congestion, accidents and environment. It is generally

accepted that short-run marginal cost is the appropriate pricing concept but that

long-run marginal cost is relevant to the decision as to whether or not to provide

additional capacity. The economically efficient charge for the use of

infrastructure is then the sum of these costs (both short-and-long-term marginal

cost) but not including those costs already being borne by the infrastructure

user. In other words, the marginal social cost is the sum of the costs imposed by

an additional user on the transport operator, on other transport users, and on

society at large (Button, et al. 2001).

In the short-run, where the service level does not adjust, the extra costs on the

transport operator will be confined to any delays caused by the passenger

boarding and alighting, and insignificant additions to fuel and wear and tear as a

result of no adjustment to the actual level of service. However, the costs of

crowding and the possibility of being left behind by a full vehicle (bus or

minibus taxi) imposed on other passengers may be severe, at least at peak times.

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Furthermore, in the longer-run, when service levels adjust, the operator will

bear a higher marginal cost although passengers will actually benefit from an

improved level of service. In view of the speed at which services may be

adjusted, it is typically considered that this slightly longer-term marginal cost is

the appropriate basis for the pricing of public transport services.

Public transport appraisal is usually perceived as a way of taking decisions on

investment projects, although the same public transport appraisal techniques

may be applied to a range of decisions, including whether or not to subsidise a

public transport service and, if so, the service level to be provided.

The pure efficiency approach to public transport appraisal involves the

application of a social cost-benefit analysis to assess the benefits and costs in

terms of willingness either to pay or to accept compensation, and then to

compute the net present value of these items.

• However, there are other views which state that accessibility should be provided

to all, regardless of cost and ability to pay. Accordingly, a more adequate

measure of the transport system may be in terms of the level of service provided

and accessibility criteria. These may be defined in terms of either simple

journeys, such as the proportion of the population within x minutes travel of

each relevant type of facility, or more complex measures based on trip

distribution models (Button, et al. 2001).

Transport systems, and particularly those based on the private motor car, result

in an intrinsically unfair distribution of accessibility. This argument may be

broken down into a number of propositions:

- Transport systems are typically planned and managed by middle-class

males who have no understanding of the other segments of the population

and of the fact that the mix of fares and quality is based on average needs

and this does not take into account the needs of the poorer sectors of the

community.

- Even with the increase in the number of motor cars, motor car ownership

and availability are heavily concentrated among adult males and, thus, the

growth of transport systems based on the motor car favours these adult

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males to the exclusion of the young and the old, and even of adult

women, who have much lower levels of access to the motor car than do

males.

• It is widely accepted that the development of public transport systems leads to

social exclusion and inequality of access to facilities. Public transportation is a

necessary element in the consumption of several other important services and its

absence may create a major problem. Public transportation is also subject to

economies of scale and, thus, equity issues in the provision of transport services

are of particular importance. However, this clearly does not mean that it is

possible for high-quality transport systems to be available at all locations.

Economic efficiency may not be totally neglected, and it is in dealing with these

sorts of issues that the trade-off between equity and economic efficiency is at its

most pronounced (Button, et al. 2001).

3.3.5.2 Trade-off between Equity and Efficiency

There is always a trade-off between the efficiency and quality of the service provided and it

is, in fact, the presence and the feasibility of such trade-offs that foster one of the major

controversies in the field of public transportation. For the supplier of the system, the

measurement of the quality of the system is made in terms of the dimensions of efficiency

and productivity. The more efficient and productive the system, the better the system is

considered to be by the operator-supplier of the system. However, for the commuter, this is

not necessarily the case. Despite the fact that aspects of efficiency also have major appeal for

the commuter, their concerns far exceed those included in any notion of efficiency based on

the operator-supplier’s point of view (Tomazinis, 1975).

For example, in a study into the significance that commuters attach to the quality

characteristics of public transportation systems, it became clear that, in terms of both the

entire population surveyed and the three major subgroups of users (under 20 years and

single, elderly and low income) it was the service quality items rather than the strict

efficiency items that received top ratings. Among the 32 quality dimensions that were

included in the study, items such as arriving as scheduled, having a seat, no transfer trips,

less waiting time, availability of shelters at pick up points, and availability of service,

emerged as the definite choice of users instead of the traditional emphasis on such service

quality items as faster trips and more direct routes (Tomazinis, 1975).

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Furthermore, in many respects, unless the system produces services for consumption, it

makes very little difference how productive and efficient the system is in its operation. For

example, unutilised vehicle-kilometres make little difference to the costs of the system

except for the fact that these vehicle-kilometres add to the cost of the entire system and

sometimes succeed in attracting some stray users. Figure 3-7 depicts the relationship

between service dimensions and efficiency.

Figure 3-7: Efficiency versus quality dimensions

Vertical axes depict efficiency and horizontal axes depict service dimensions

Frequency of service Convenience of service Safety of service

Reliability of service Service comfort

Source: Tomazinis (1975: 10)

Unless the service supply profile matches over time and over space with the profile of the

demand for service, but also includes the requirement that the services produced meet the

quality characteristics that the commuters desire, the commuters will not use the service of

the system. In such cases, there is the paradox of a system that is most efficient from the

operator’s point of view, but is both going bankrupt, and being also castigated by its users

and would-be users as being completely inefficient. The dimensions of the quality services

of a public transportation system that are intrinsically associated with the extent to which the

services of the system are considered desirable and, therefore, usable from the point of view

of the consumers, may be perceived as constituting a multidimensional space. Among the

multitude of dimensions that may be distinguished in defining quality of service a few are

used to indicate the multidimensional space that may be formed and the association between

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this multidimensional space and efficiency measures (see Figure 3-7 above) (Tomazinis,

1975).

These dimensions of quality may be divided into two groups. The first group is associated

primarily with short range considerations in forming trip patterns. This group includes

quality dimensions such as convenience of getting to and from the vehicle, comfort in riding

(such as finding a seat), and frequency of service. From the point of view of the commuter,

the second group of quality dimensions for urban transportation systems is pervasive in

nature, with pronounced, long-range, delayed impact on ridership patterns and modal

choices. Among such dimensions, the reliability of the system as regards its current and long

range performance often receives the highest rating, followed by the availability of service

when it is needed. From the conceptualisation to the implementation of the transport system,

the relationship and trade-offs between the productivity, efficiency, and quality of service of

urban public transportation systems appear to be potentially complex and, on occasion,

indefinable (Tomazinis, 1975).

Figure 3-8 below depicts the two general trends that may be expected of the relationship

between efficiency and productivity:

Figure 3-8: Efficiency versus productivity improvements

Efficiency

a b

System Productivity

Source: Tomazinis (1975: 11)

As the efficiency of the various system components increases so does the overall

productivity of the entire system. This relationship may have one-to-one correspondence

curve, (a), or it may have a correspondence either significantly smaller or significantly

greater than unity, depending on the specifics of the application curve, (b). Figure 3-9 below

depicts the entire range of variations of the relationship between efficiency improvements

and quality improvements:

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Figure 3-9: Efficiency versus quality of service improvements

Efficiency a

b

Quality of Service

Source: Tomazinis (1975: 13)

It is to be expected that initial improvements in efficiency measures would be matched by

corresponding improvements in quality measures and vice versa. However, after a particular

point, improvements in one set of measures may correspond to deterioration in the other set

of measures. Both curves (a) and (b) in Figure 3-9 above indicate this reversal of the

correspondence between quality and efficiency improvements. Several examples may be

drawn from the public transport arena/ environment that explain these relationships shown

by the two curves in Figure 3-9 (Tomazinis, 1975).

Figure 3-10 below depicts two other potential forms of the relationship between system

productivity and quality of service:

Figure 3-10: System productivity versus quality of service improvement

System a productivity b

Quality of service

Source: Tomazinis (1975: 14)

Up to a certain point, curve (a) above suggests an increase of productivity as the quality of

service improves. However, beyond this point the reverse takes place. This relationship may

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be seen within the context of the reaction of the commuter to the services available. As the

quality of service improves the commuter makes greater use of the system and, thus, more

public transport service is purchased by the public. However, beyond a certain point the

commuter’s response may not match the on-going improvements in quality and, therefore,

the overall productivity of the system may decline (with respect to either labour or capital).

Curve (b) above represents the reverse sequence of events. The plausibility of this scenario

may easily be constructed for each stage of the transport service. However, it is important to

communicate improvements in service if demand is to be increased (Tomazinis, 1975).

The aforementioned discussion described the service reliability, comfort, extent, safety, and

affordability of public transport. Other researchers have grouped public transport service

quality dimensions into primary and pervasive. Primary service quality dimensions include

convenience, comfort, and the frequency of service, while pervasive service quality

dimensions include reliability and the availability of service (Public Transport Victoria,

2013). The next discussion describes the influence of service quality dimensions, particularly

fares on future demand for public transport. Affordability of service, in particular, plays an

important role in influencing the demand for public transport service.

3.4 Demand for Public Transport

As one of the objectives of this study, increasing the future utilisation and the demand for

public transport is important to the sustainability of the industry. The demand and supply of

public transport has an influence on the utilisation of the service (Farris, et al. 1976; Alam,

2002 & Adarkwa & Boansi, 2011). The demand for and supply of passenger transport

services have some unique characteristics which are not present in case of demand for and

supply of various goods and services. For instance, the demand for and supply of

passenger transport depends on peak and off-peak times during a day, and weather

conditions.

One of the most pronounced economic characteristics is that the demand for the vast

majority of transport services is derived. This derived nature of the demand for

transport services explains another characteristic of the transport market which is the

regular fluctuation in its demand over time. The derived nature of the demand for

transport arises due to the fact that transport is not really demanded in its own right.

Individuals travel because they want to benefit from the social, recreational,

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educational, employment, transaction, and other opportunities which become

accessible with movement (Alam, 2002).

Furthermore, passengers will evaluate the service offering and form a perception of service

based on the promises made and image created by the service operator. The supply of

transportation exerts a significant influence on the demand as regards all modes of transport.

For example, scheduling and frequency of service are characteristics of supply with

important demand implications for both buses and minibus taxis. Despite the fact that the

supply of public transportation services is influenced by the marketing function, traditionally

the major thrust of public transport service has been toward the demand for these services

(Farris, et al. 1976; Alam, 2002 & Adarkwa & Boansi, 2011).

Public transport planners may seek to increase utilisation by providing a new service to

previously under or un-served areas; by providing more frequent service to existing areas; by

providing more efficient service types, for example, limited and express service; by making

service more accessible through the addition of new stops; or by providing amenities at bus

stops (El-Geneidy & Kimpel, 2004). From the passengers’ perspective, the ideal service is an

efficient service with few stops, characterised by high and predictable demand, and few

service reliability problems. Each passenger would like nothing more than for buses to arrive

promptly at stops and termini that are conveniently located (Koffman, 1990) in such a way

that access and egress times are minimised (Kittelson & Associates, 2003 & Murray, 2001).

Various researchers have described the following eight important demand characteristics that

must be taken into consideration in public transport as these all influence fares (Farris, et al.

1976; Koffman, 1990; Alam, 2002 & Adarkwa & Boansi, 2011):

3.4.1 Demand Characteristics

This section discusses the demand characteristics that are likely to influence fares:

• Instantaneous demand

While it is true that, as regards certain segments of the public transportation

market, reservations are often made in advance, much commuter movement

happens without either reservations or prior knowledge by the operator as to

who will be travelling. People prefer simply to board a bus, train or minibus taxi

and go. Thus, such passenger transportation does not involve devices such as

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backlogs, back orders, inventories, and channel pipelines. The demand is

instantaneous. However, this type of demand may be problematic for the service

provider. For example, how many vehicles need to be available at a given time

on a given route by a given operator? Thus, the degree of uncertainty is

significantly greater than in many other types of business. Naturally, experience

is important in predicting demand, and an operator is able to use past trends and

past usage of facilities in the planning process. Nevertheless, there is no

certainty that the present and the future will follow the trends of the past.

It is not uncommon for passenger transport operators to have more vehicles and

capacity on the way and at terminals than would be necessary to address the

needs of the majority of their customers for most of the time (Alam, 2002).

Overcapacity is a feature of passenger transportation and is partly the result of

the instantaneous demand also a characteristic of passenger transportation and

partly the result of yet another characteristic, namely, variability of demand. In

order to meet the needs of passengers, a balance must be found, that is, where

there are sufficient buses and minibus taxis, particularly during the peak times.

• Extreme variability of demand

Demand is highly variable with almost all modes of passenger transportation

suffering from the peaks and valleys of demand. Both the demand and need for

passenger transportation vary according to the hour of the day, day of the week,

time of the month, and season of the year (Alam, 2002 and Rantzien & Rude,

2013). Most commuters travel during rush hours in the morning and the

evening, while there are significantly less passengers during day and night

times. These variations in demand over the 24 hours of the day leads to peak-

load problems; and the transport organisation has to invest in enough capacity to

satisfy the peak-load demand, but these investments are not utilised when the

demand drops (Rantzien, et al. 2013). Accordingly, it is essential that sufficient

capacity be available to handle the peak load or demand although this capacity

may be either unutilised or under-utilised during other periods. As a result much

of passenger transportation is supplied with excess capacity (empty seats) for

much of the time.

Urban passenger transportation demand provides the best example of the

variability problem. In most cities of the world, the peak demand occurs in the

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hours between 06:00 and 09:00 and again between 16:00 and 19:00 (Farris, et

al.1976 & Alam, 2002) with buses, minibus taxis, and commuter trains being

packed to capacity during rush hour. The labour force that caters for this

demand (as well as the capital invested in vehicles, ways, and terminals) may be

under extreme pressure for this short period of time, although underutilised for

the rest of the time. This, in turn, means that there must be systems developed

which are capable of addressing the rush hour demand through expanding the

peak hours, for example, by having schools open early and close early.

However, in reality not much has been done to address the rush hour demand.

The variability of demand in passenger transportation causes a further problem

as regards pricing. The revenue received must be sufficient to cover the overall

costs. However, the tendency has been to charge the peak user no more than the

off-peak user and, thus, in effect, a type of cross subsidisation is involved.

Certain passenger transport operators have suggested that peak period users

should be charged more and off-peak users less (City of Johannesburg, 2006).

The rationale behind this suggestion is that the capabilities to move people are

designed almost entirely in accordance with the necessity of covering the peak

demand. However, the extra capacity in terms of the capital and labour required

to cover the peak demand should be paid for by the peak user. This is the so-

called peak-load pricing solution and is part of the marginal-cost pricing

argument-where users should be charged the marginal costs of the service.

• Multiplicity of demand

Yet another important complicating factor is that there is not one demand for

passenger transportation but several demands. Demand has to be segmented into

its various parts and these parts analysed separately as regards motivation,

responses to price, frequency, and so on. Several segmentations of demand are

possible with the simplest possibly being to consider demand as either business

demand or pleasure demand. These two demands are characterised by different

motivations, frequencies, and responses to price. Another somewhat allied

segmentation of demand involves considering demand as either primary or

derived although it is, in fact, not easy to separate the two. However, some

passenger transportation demands involve more derived elements than others.

The notion of “let’s go somewhere and it does not particularly matter where” is

an example of a primary demand.

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However, by far the largest segment of passenger transportation demand is of a

derived nature with the demand to travel being derived from the demand for

something else (Alam, 2002). Derived demand may respond more to forces

quite outside of the passenger transportation industry than primary demand. For

example, a change of fares may affect primary demand but may not,

necessarily, affect derived demand.

• Inter-modal competition and elasticity

There is a considerable opportunity for substituting one mode of transportation

for another and demand may shift readily from one mode to another. All modes

of passenger transportation compete (within obvious limits) with all other

modes of transportation and, thus, the people who make up the demand for a

given means of transportation will be highly sensitive to both the price and

service of a competitive means of travel. Economists use the term “elasticity” to

indicate this sensitivity. Strictly speaking, an economist considers price

elasticity and income elasticity to refer to the sensitivity of the quantity

demanded to changes in price or changes in income. As explained by Perloff

(2007), the price elasticity of demand measures the price sensitivity, which is

defined as the percentage change in demand resulting from a one percent

change in price, ceteris paribus. A high price elasticity of demand indicates that

the demand for the service is sensitive to changes in price, namely that a small

change in price has a large effect on the demand. A low price elasticity indicates

that a price change has a small effect on demand (Perloff, 2007).

The degree of elasticity of demand depends on several things. When demand is

segmented, the potential competition as regards a given segment of demand

would be an important factor in terms of elasticity. Within a given segment of

demand (travel from A to B) several means of travel or modes of transportation

may be regularly available and, thus, potential substitutes for one another. The

term “inter-modal competition and elasticity” is used for this phenomenon.

Price has traditionally been thought of by economists as the most important

factor as a determinant of the elasticity of demand and, as such, the price of one

service relative to the price of the substitute service on a given segment of

demand may play an important role in choosing the service. However, the

managers of passenger transportation services often tend to overlook this. Some

demands are price elastic. For example, pleasure travel is generally thought to

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have a higher degree of price elasticity than business travel. In other words, a

business trip or a trip to work is rarely cancelled in response to a price rise, but

this is often the case as regards a holiday.

Primary demand may be significantly more price elastic than derived demand.

The price of movement from the place of residency to the place of work, while

an expense to the commuter, is generally considered as part of the costs of

employment. It may happen occasionally but one rarely finds a person changing

jobs because the price of commuting to work has increased. However, as

regards primary demand, the commuting public may avoid the journey simply

because it is not worth the cost. In economic terms, this may mean that the

utility or satisfaction derived from the journey is not equal to the disutility or

price of the movement.

Other researchers have supported the view that business travel demand in

particular seems to be relatively more inelastic than other types of trips, for

example, personal travel (Oum, Gillen & Noble, 1986 & Oum, Waters & Yong,

1992).

• Intra-modal competition and elasticity

Not only is there a competition between such modes as air, rail, bus, minibus

taxi, and private motor car, but there is also competition between transporters

within a given mode. This competition between the various forms of a given

mode of passenger transportation is known as intra-modal competition.

According to a number of empirical studies (McGillivany, 1970; Lave, 1970;

Smith & MacIntosh, 1974; Collings, Rigby & Welsby, 1976; Oldfield & Tyler,

1981; Gilbert & Jalilian, 1991; Goodwin, 1992; Perloff, 2007& Rantzien, et al.

2013) demand, in the short run, for a particular passenger transport mode does

not fluctuate significantly with the price of that particular mode. That is, in the

short run price elasticity of demand for a particular mode is relatively very low.

The results of research conducted in Stockholm on peak-load pricing in public

transport showed that short run price elasticity of demand for a particular mode

is relatively very low is supported by the previous international studies; that the

demand is inelastic (Rantzien, et al. 2013).

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Overall, prices or fares are similar, if not identical, between competing

organisations. One of the reasons for this is transportation regulation (see

discussion later in the chapter). However, where regulation is inconsistent or

where all competitors are not regulated in the same way (as is the case with

scheduled airlines as compared to supplemental air carriers), price comparisons

between organisations are possible and, indeed, they become a very real factor

in elasticity or substitutability.

However, it would appear that intra-modal competition is concerned with the

conditions of service. This includes a whole series of factors such as routes,

frequency of service, type of equipment used, treatment by employees, perhaps

meals, or even the free movie is shown by an airline. Elasticity or

substitutability of one organisation for another would probably take place in

response to any of these factors.

It is essential that a transport organisation always bear in mind not only its own

price and the conditions of service it offers but also the prices and conditions of

service offered by its competitors in the same mode. An extremely small change

in price, time of departure, frequency of service, and/or type of equipment may

either increase or lose demand for an individual organisation. To some degree

this explains why passenger transportation organisations offer the commuter

fewer options at night or during certain days of the week, and on public

holidays. Clearly substitutability or elasticity exists between such organisations.

• Intra-class substitutability and elasticity

Most passenger transportation organisations offer two or more classes of

service. Classes of service refer to the various classes of service in public

transportation, for example, first class, economy, and so forth (Farris, et

al.1976; Barnes, 1989 & Alam, 2002). Classes of service are also found in

subways and buses with local and express services. European railways typically

have three or more classes of service. Even in the case of private motor cars, the

concept of class of service may be found in the different makes or brands of

cars and involves prestige, comfort and speed. The concept of different classes

of service is widespread in passenger transportation although passenger

transportation is somewhat unique in this regard with most goods and services

being offered as a single homogeneous entity. It is rare to find first- and second-

class steel, cigarettes, aluminium or radios (Barnes, 1989).

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Passenger transport organisations offer several levels or classes of service at

different prices to the consumer. This notion of classes of service often results

in the organisation concerned competing with itself, a unique demand

characteristic. It becomes extremely difficult to ascertain any determinants of

the boundaries of classes or to find the definition of a class of service. However,

the conditions of transportation must be compared to the price and a

compromise made. One class of service often competes with another class of

service offered by the same organisation in passenger transportation (Farris, et

al.1976 & Barnes, 1989).

• Rand competition and income elasticity

It is a truism that all organisations and all goods and services compete for the

consumer’s rand. Some organisations emphasise this type of competition and

even such single suppliers as a regulated telephone monopoly often declare that

they are in a fairly competitive business although this is, of course, is true.

However, what the economist means by competition (usually price competition)

is not necessarily what the businessman may mean by competition. In order to

distinguish exactly what is meant here, the term “rand competition” may be

used. This means that there are several goods and services available at a given

moment in time and all sellers are in competition with all other sellers for the

consumer’s rand.

Rand competition is fairly prominent in certain types of passenger

transportation and is a real force to be considered in the demand for passenger

transportation. In addition, each consumer unit has certain needs that must be

fulfilled. For example, the rent must be paid, an adequate diet provided and the

utility companies satisfied. All these consume varying amounts of a consumer’s

income. For low-income groups, these essentials may use up all or nearly all

(sometimes even more) of the available income. For the higher income groups,

some income is usually left over after the essentials have been purchased. This

excess may be spent in various ways. Typically, this amount of income is

termed discretionary income.

• Conditions of service and non-price competition

The issue of conditions of service is also an important factor in the passenger

transportation sector. According to Farris and Harding (1976), traditional

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economic theory visualises demand as a function of several factors which may

be expressed in terms of the following mathematical formulation:

Quality demanded (Qd) = f (X1 + X2 + X3 . . . Xn)

Conditions of service may be thought of in terms of frequency of service, type

of equipment, conditions and appearance of equipment, courtesy of employees,

speed, comfort and availability of service. In addition, it is essential that non-

price competition and conditions of service responsive to the external factors

affecting the market for passenger transportation.

As shown above, it is clear that the demand characteristics are important to the

pricing system with disposable income, elasticity, competition, conditions of

service, and non-price competition impacting on the pricing system. These

factors all affect the affordability of service. The following section discusses the

pricing system with particular reference to the supply characteristics. In chapter

one, it was pointed out that transport operators have to reach a positive

compromise between quality of service and productivity (and the maximisation

of profits).

There are nine separate supply characteristics that must be taken into account in

public transport pricing, and these are all discussed below (Farris, et al. 1976;

Alam, 2002; Adarkwa & Boansi, 2011 & Rodrigue, 2013). However, these

supply factors are complicated, unique and perplexing. The question arises as to

whether there are any peculiarities in the supply of public transport. In terms

traditional economic theory, supply is determined by the cost of production plus

the market structure within which the organisation operates, which will affect

the amount of profits over cost that may be charged. As with other industries, it

is essential that the supply of public transport reflect, over time, the prices of the

factors of production; and the costs may be grouped as either fixed or variable

and average or marginal (Farris, et al.1976).

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3.4.2 Supply Characteristics

Various researchers have described the following supply characteristics that are vital

to public transport and could influence fares (Farris, et al. 1976; Alam, 2002;

Adarkwa & Boansi 2011 & Rodrigue, 2013).

• Capital-intensive and fixed costs

In general passenger transportation is a capital-intensive industry with large

amounts of capital being invested in creating and maintaining the way, in

equipment, and in terminals. Therefore public transport development requires

heavy investment (Alam, 2002 & Rodrigue, 2013). Despite the fact that the

labour costs are considerable, the capital costs are often greater and, more

importantly, as a result of their indivisibility, they present management with a

greater opportunity to gain economies of use. If capital is used effectively, per-

unit costs may decrease with the resultant increases in profit.

This pressure on management to utilise capital and meet fixed costs may result

in discriminatory pricing in the sense that not all passengers are charged the

same amount. It may also lead to abnormal financial results. In addition, the

pressure of fixed costs may result in equipment being used at less than full

capacity on the basis that any revenue is better than no revenue at all. However,

whether or not such reactions take place, it is indisputable that passenger

transportation organisations are faced with high fixed costs.

• Sunk cost with few alternatives

Sunk costs are a subcategory of fixed costs, and refer either to the existence of

few alternatives for a given capital asset or the substantial capital costs involved

in merely starting up production. Most capital investments are specialised to

some degree. This is particularly true in the case of passenger transportation for,

once vehicles have been purchased, ways established and terminals created,

they have few other uses. Most transportation terminals have few alternative

applications. In addition, while it is true that it is possible to resell vehicles

(buses and minibus taxis) as a used market does exist; mainly, their use is

limited entirely to transportation. In general, the more specialised the capital,

the fewer alternatives there are and the greater the sunk-cost nature of the

vehicle.

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The significance of sunk cost with few alternative uses for the pricing system is

that, once capital has been committed to a specialised use, the only way in

which to recover the investment is by use. In other words, the existence of sunk

costs exerts huge pressure on management to use its capital goods. It is only

through use that it is possible to convert the capital from capital goods back to

liquid capital. Idle capital equipment does not earn money and, if no alternative

use for the capital exists, it must be used in its sunk capacity, if at all possible.

• Long cycles

Passenger transportation operates under the constraints of a series of three long

cycles. Although demand is instantaneous, production is not. In order to supply

passenger transportation, considerable preparation is required. Vehicles must be

acquired, terminals built, employees hired and trained, and, sometimes, ways

built. In addition, substantial preparation and activity is often needed long

before the supply is furnished to the passenger and, even after service has

started, vehicles must be cleaned, serviced, prepared for use, and maintained.

Accordingly, a long production cycle prevails. Likewise, it is essential that

planning is completed well in advance of the production of the service and the

obvious factor of capital planning and acquisition is merely an aspect of the

long planning cycle.

• Small incremental cost of operation

Passenger transportation usually involves small incremental costs. This is

partially as a result of the high degree of fixed costs noted above and also the

sunk cost and long-cycle nature of capital, but also as a result of the ease of

adding more service up to capacity. Indeed, incremental costs may be defined as

the cost of an increment or added unit of production.

Once a passenger transportation organisation has acquired vehicles and

terminals (and perhaps a way as well), hired labour, and set up operating

schedules and procedures, the added cost of adding more services is negligible.

Additional passengers may be added at relatively little cost until capacity has

been reached. Even when vehicle capacity has been reached, the incremental

cost may be small if additional system capacity exists. The cost of running

another bus is minimal. Bearing in mind that the analysis of demand revealed a

tendency to overinvest as a result of both the necessity to cover peaks in

demand and the instantaneous nature of demand, it is probable that system

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capacity may prove a hurdle for most organisations for short periods of time

only.

The significance of this incremental cost is evident primarily in pricing. In view

of the small incremental costs, if a decrease in price would attract additional

passengers, an extremely low fare may be offered to the incremental or

marginal commuter. Until capacity has been reached, the organisation could add

more and more customers at progressively lower rates and still show a

considerable profit. Of course, it should be recognised that this is the concept

underlying the various discount fares offered periodically by airlines, some rail

passenger organisations, and some bus companies. The actual pricing decision

will be of direct concern to operators. At this point it is, however, sufficient to

realise that one of the characteristics of supply is a low incremental cost up to

capacity.

• Non-storable supply with high wastage factor

Non-storability and a high wastage factor are aligned with a small incremental

cost. Once a vehicle has been acquired, scheduled, and used, its capacity is

committed (Alam, 2002). Vehicle inputs come in capacity lumps, i.e. so many

seats per model of bus. Unless all of the capacity is used, it may be regarded as

being wasted. It is not possible to store passenger seats not occupied for future

use. There is no inventory of passenger kilometres and, for pricing purposes,

this translates into pressure to use the service. Not only is the incremental cost

of an additional passenger relatively small but the capacity to serve is

perishable. The maxim in the transportation industry that empty seats are wasted

transportation and add no revenue illustrates the pressure to use capacity.

• By-product problem and common cost

Freight transportation is a by-product of passenger transportation in the sense

that passenger transportation rarely happens in isolation and this creates

problems. There are two problems which arise from by-product effect, namely,

the subsidy problem and the cost-allocation problem. The subsidy problem

arises because the modes of transportation developed during a different time,

and with different degrees of support continue to compete with one another. For

example, minibus taxis and bus passenger transportation compete. The question

remains as to which service is the most heavily subsidised by public

expenditures and what the proper cost allocation should be. To a significant

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degree, the entire matter revolves around the economics of common costs.

Common costs refer to expenditures involving the entire operation and are not

easily and clearly assignable to any one function or service. Much of the cost

allocation between passenger and freight service is purely arbitrary and, hence,

one service may well subsidise a companion service.

The significance of this by-product effect and common costs problem is broader

than merely the issue of a subsidy. If costs are reflected in fares, then the

allocation of common costs may become extremely important.

• Continuity and reliability factors

Passenger transportation has to operate for 24 hours a day, 30 days a month, and

365 days a year. Thus, in view of the fact the services must be available on an

on-going basis, 8-hour days and 40-hour weeks are not possible. However, this

need to supply on a continuous basis results in several problems not experienced

in other industries (Farris, et al.1976 & Oldfield & Tyler, 1981).

In addition, inferior production is not possible. The public expects the passenger

transportation at night to be as reliable as the transportation during the day. In

other words, passenger transportation is expected to operate for 24 hours a day

and to maintain high levels of reliability. Thus, in view of the fact that

passenger transportation is continuous and involves a high reliability factor,

there is little opportunity either to cut costs or to institute lower pricing for a

slightly inferior service at unusual hours.

If management should cut fares for, for example, night time commuting, this

would represent an effort to stimulate demand and utilise the valley in demand

and would reflect any cost economy. The cost to the organisation to supply

service is approximately the same at any time during the day. However, the

significance of continuity and reliability is that these factors add to the total cost

of the service and, because reliability and continuity are both demanded and

expected by the public, the cost is greater than if there were a lower level of

expectation. Costs are reflected in both supply and in fares. Reliability and

continuity must be paid for and that cost becomes a part of the charge for

transportation.

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• Labour and Responsibility

In view of the requirements as regards on-going, highly reliable production, the

situation in respect of transportation labour is different from that of most other

labour. As indicated above, there are no 8 hour workdays and 40 hour

workweeks. Transportation labour has a 24 hour schedule and must be as alert

and responsible at 02:00 as at 16:00. The safety of the public is involved and,

thus, a high level of responsibility rests on transportation labour (Farris, et

al.1976 & Oldfield & Tyler, 1981).

In addition, the level of skill demanded is often considerably greater than that

demanded from the typical production worker. It is essential that people driving

buses and minibus taxis be well trained and highly skilled. In view of the fact

that public safety is involved, various rules and regulations concerning not only

level of skills but also conditions of employment have evolved. Licensing

procedures that demand proof of skill are usually imposed on operators while

there are also regulatory rules relative to hours of continuous work and rest

periods. Transportation labour is, typically, well compensated in order to ensure

the degree of skill and responsibility necessary. The labour cost for passenger

transportation organisations is not negligible, and there is little opportunity to

substitute capital for labour in the passenger transportation industry.

• Public regulation and the supply of public transportation

Passenger transportation is a regulated industry (transportation regulation

systems are discussed later in the chapter). From a pricing system perspective,

regulation constitutes an important supply factor. Public bodies decide the

extent of the transportation offered- the routes and the conditions. Passenger

transportation organisations are not at liberty to decide whom they will serve

and they must serve all, without discrimination or prejudice. The removal of

discrimination and prejudice in servicing commuters refers to the so-called

“common carriage obligations” which is derived from common law (Farris, et

al.1976).

3.4.3 Market Structure

The market structure under which public transport operates is important because it influences

service quality dimensions, particularly pricing or the fares determination. The importance of

pricing is different depending upon the type of market structure because each market

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structure has special components that affect the pricing schema and determination of output.

The next section discusses the market structure of public transport.

Market structure may be thought of in terms of a model or a system with predictive

attributes. Accordingly, various economists have discussed the market structure of public

transport (Farris, et al.1976; Friedman, 1983; Goodwin, 1984; Smith, 2002; Fontini, 2005;

Cantos-Sanchez & Moner-Colonques, 2006; Millard & Glaister, 2008; Blackstone, Darby,

Fuhr Jr., 2011; Daniels, 2011; Rantzien, et al. 2013; Tejvan, 2013; Land Transport

Authority, 2013 & Basic Economics, 2013). The most common market structure and

characteristics is depicted in Table 3-4 below:

Table 3-4: Market structure characteristics

Market structure Number of

organisations

Product

characteristics

Entry - exit

Pure competition Many Homogeneous Easy

Monopolistic

competition

Many Differentiated Relatively easy

Oligopoly Few Homogeneous,

differentiated

Relatively difficult

Pure monopoly One Indifferent Closed

Source: Farris and Harding (1976: 91)

The question that needs to be asked is which market structure best describes public

transport? It would appear that public transport is a differentiated oligopoly (Tejvan, 2013).

However, the mass rapid transit (MRT) system, for example, in Singapore started off

with a monopoly before evolving to a duopoly today. With lower barriers to entry

and more firms entering the market, taxi services operate in an oligopoly (Land

Transport Authority, 2013).

In general, in a differentiated oligopoly market structure, the number of transport

organisations in a given route is few. The main key to behavior in an oligopoly is that

transport organisations must take into account what other transport organisations will do.

Oligopolists are torn between cooperating to increase profits by obtaining the monopoly

outcome or competing to try to gain an advantage over competitors.

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Transport organisations in this regard are theoretically defined as being so few that the fare

actions of any one will appreciably affect the demand of any other (hence the

interdependency of all organisations serving a given market). Both theoretically and legally,

no competition is permitted on a given route.

If public transport is, indeed, a differentiated oligopoly, what actions may be predicted in

terms of the model? Based on the interdependency factor, the model predicts a minimum of

price action and a maximum of action to differentiate the service. Thus, price would tend to

be sticky and change slowly. However, where change did take place, a price leadership

pattern would tend to prevail, with one organisation assuming leadership as regards the price

change, either upward or downward. This price leader may be the largest organisation or it

may be the barometric organisation – the one that tests the market response. The role of price

leader would probably shift from time to time and the organisation leading price up at one

time may not be the organisation that leads price down at another time (Farris, et al. 1976).

According to economic theory, a kinked demand curve for the industry may well exist. No

organisation would have an individual demand curve unless the service offering was

sufficiently differentiated to overcome the inherent interdependency (Farris, et al.1976;

Friedman, 1983; Goodwin, 1984; Smith, 2002; Fontini, 2005; Cantos-Sanchez & Moner-

Colonques, 2006; Millard & Glaister, 2008; Blackstone, Darby, Fuhr Jr., 2011; Daniels,

2011; Rantzien, et al. 2013; Tejvan, 2013; Land Transport Authority, 2013 & Basic

Economics, 2013).

Hence, as depicted in Figure 3-11 below, the industry demand curve may have a kink in it:

Figure 3-11: Kinked demand curve of oligopolistic industry

Source: Farris and Harding (1976: 95)

Pric

e

D

Quantity of Output

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In considering its price policy each organisation would reasonably assume that a decrease in

price would be matched by all its competitors. Thus, a price decrease would lead to an

extremely small increase in the share of the market. In effect, the organisation would view

demand below the kink as price-inelastic. On the other hand, the organisation may decide

that a price increase would not be matched by its competitors and, thus, the organisation

would view demand above the kink as highly price-elastic. A price rise in such an instance

would probably mean considerable loss of demand as others failed to follow the increase

(Goodwin, 1984; Tejvan, 2013; Land Transport Authority, 2013 & Basic Economics,

2013).

Furthermore, the upshot of a kinked demand curve is the tendency to do nothing; that is, to

maintain a stable price situation and avoid upsetting the status quo. The only price change

under such circumstances would take place as a result of all organisations moving together (a

price leadership situation) with concerted or identical action on the part of all organisations

at a given time.

The offsetting feature to the kinked demand curve, live-and-let-live pricing and concerted or

parallel price action with intermittent sticky or stable prices, is service differentiation. In

view of the fact that organisations are competitive, it is to be expected that this competition

would take the form of service differentiation, and not price competition with every attempt

being made to make the service as unique as possible, but still substitutable or competitive.

This is precisely the action which is taken in many parts of passenger transportation industry.

It is clear that it is not possible to overlook the importance of pricing in influencing demand

for public transport. In addition, much of public transport planning is also based on demand

analysis which, supposedly, outlines a certain level of service that must be maintained,

whether it be: auto-oriented, transport systems, parking, bicycles or even pedestrian systems.

This level of demand is portrayed as being both pre-set and inelastic (Taxan, 2007).

The next section further discusses fares determination theory:

The economics of pricing in public transport involve four interrelated concepts, namely,

differential pricing, the contribution theory, the incremental concept, and actual pricing

(Farris, et al.1976; Perloff, 2007; Frost, 2013 & Rantzien, et al. 2013). In all instances,

managerial judgement is the final decision-making factor as regards price.

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• Differential pricing theory

Generally, for a transport organisation to successfully practice differential

pricing, the following are conditions that have to be fulfilled:

- Market power – the transport organisation has to have market power

otherwise it cannot charge passengers more than the price of the

competitors; and

- Sensitivity – passengers must have different demand elasticities

and the transport organisation must be able to identify how the

passengers differ in their sensitivity of demand (Perloff, 2007). Taking into account the market structure of public transport- that of being an

oligopoly- Figure 3-12 below shows that the oligopoly possesses considerable

market power and may maximise the demand curve by creating several prices:

Figure 3-12: Multiply supply curves of oligopoly

Source: Farris and Harding (1976: 97)

Wh

Q³ Q² Q¹

Quantity of output

S1

S3

Pric

e

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This economic power of maximising the demand curve by creating several

prices is reinforced by legal price-making. In view of this legal power and if the

organisations do, indeed, move in concert with parallel action, the industry may

establish not one but several separate supply curves. In the Figure above, three

prices for three supply curves are the result of several separate supply curves. In

this instance, the organisation will offer three separate services at three separate

prices and take advantage of a larger portion of the demand curve than a single

price would permit.

Thus, in this instance, the organisation has differentiated pricing, and several

classes of service are supplied – each slightly different from the other and each

at a separate price. However, it is important to ascertain how these customers

will be classified in order to accomplish differential pricing. Several factors may

be used to classify customers. They all revolve around the various elasticities of

demand. In other words, taking into account the factor of potential

substitutability, management is able to establish a low price where potential

substitutability is high and both an intermediate price and a high price where

potential substitutability is low.

However, drawing on demand analysis, it is often found that the establishment

of low price where potential substitutability is high and both an intermediate

price and a high price where potential substitutability is low becomes somewhat

more complicated. Nevertheless, demand can, and should, be segmented. No

single demand curve for passenger transportation exists. In addition, the

elasticities are multiple. Furthermore, there is a tendency in passenger

transportation for the industry to have a kinked demand curve. In fact, separate

demand curve exists for each class. The situation may be depicted graphically

as illustrated in Figure 3.13 below.

While Figure 3-12 above presents a situation that is closer to reality, as depicted

in Figure 3-13 below, even more complications may exist:

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Figure 3-13: Differential pricing with varying degrees of elasticity and a kinked

demand curve

Source: Farris and Harding (1976: 97)

Firstly, there would be numerous demand curves, perhaps even one for each

destination. Secondly, several supply curves would certainly be involved. At the

very least, a supply curve for each class of service exists. Consequently, the

basic supply and demand equilibrium exists in numerous times, and for each

specific differential price.

• Contribution theory

As regards the supply or cost side, the question of what factors would be

important to maximising revenue in this passenger transportation pricing

decision is prominent. Contribution theory from applied economics is vital in

p² Day-time

S² D¹ D²

Q³ Peak

Q² Daily

Q¹ Evening

p³ Night

p¹ Peak

Pric

e

Quantity of Output

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this context. In view of the fact that many costs are fixed and of a sunk-cost

nature – and also incremental costs are small although a common-costs problem

exists – it is recommended that management should set each price or fare at

such a level that the price or fare is able to make the greatest possible total

contribution to fixed costs and still allow the traffic to move. This, in turn,

means that each fare should cover its share of incremental costs plus as much of

the fixed and common costs as possible while taking into account the elasticities

of demand. Where demand is highly elastic, fares may be extremely low on that

segment of demand.

Nevertheless, the question arises as to how low? Certainly, no lower than the

incremental costs but high enough to make the greatest possible total

contribution to both fixed and common costs and still serve the demand. Where

demand is inelastic, fares may be relatively high on that segment of demand.

Also, how high? Certainly, high enough to cover the incremental costs and to

maximise their contribution to the fixed and common costs but still serve the

demand.

In the first instance, the fare may not cover the total costs as they are

traditionally considered. In the second instance, the fare would more than cover

total costs and substantial profit may be involved. A type of cross-subsidisation

from the passengers with an inelastic demand to the passengers with an elastic

demand is involved. In addition, a type of price discrimination exists where

passengers are charged different prices (Rantzien, et al. 2013).

The rationalisation of the use of incremental costs theory lies in the fact that

fixed costs and common costs for passenger transportation are often high. It is

essential that fixed costs be covered over time by total revenue and, if the high

fare excluded those passengers with an elastic demand curve, the entire burden

of the fixed costs would fall on those passengers with an inelastic demand

curve. Thus, as long as the differential fares cover incremental costs and make

some contribution to fixed costs, all the passengers would be better off. The

passengers with inelastic demand would pay less than if they carried the entire

burden of the fixed costs. On the other hand, the passengers with elastic demand

commute and, thus, they would not travel at a higher price. The passenger

transport resources in terms of vehicles, labour, and kilometres committed

would have been used more completely and effectively due to the perishable

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nature of passenger tranportation, meaning the passenger transportation service

cannot be stored for future use, once a vehicle is acquired, scheduled, and used,

its capacity is committed, and passenger seats not occupied cannot be stored for

future use – there is no inventory of passenger kilometres. Two absolute limits

are imposed on how high the fares for the passengers with inelastic demand

may rise. One of these limits is demand itself. At a certain price and condition

of service, even the passengers with inelastic demand will refuse to travel. The

second limit is the regulation that is imposed to prevent undue discrimination in

fares and to prevent organisations from charging too high a fare.

• Incremental concept

Drawing upon both the differential pricing concept and contribution theory, it is

essential that management approach the issue of price setting with great caution.

Considerable judgement is required in analysing demand and cost factors.

It is incredibly difficult to make estimates of potential substitutability ‒ fares

that are too high may easily discourage passengers, particularly in the light of

the low disposable income of most passenger transport users, while fares that

are too low may not be sufficient to make the greatest possible total contribution

to the fixed and variable costs. Each fare is a separate problem. As already

noted, each segment of demand must be analysed and all unusual characteristics

of that particular segment taken into account. Each segment of supply will also

have varying costs characteristics. However, the general pricing rule is that each

fare should cover its incremental costs and make the greatest possible total

contribution to the fixed and common costs, and yet still move the traffic.

The proper process to be used in establishing a total fare schedule would

involve adopting the incremental concept. Each aspect of the problem should be

considered separately and, after careful analysis, each fare should be established

separately. The general rule of the contribution theory should be followed as

regards each segment. If each fare is analysed in this way, revenue will be

maximised as will travel on that increment of the business. As each fare is

adjusted properly, a total fare schedule emerges. Finally, total revenue and

profit will be maximised as each segment is analysed incrementally, the total

use of the resources committed will be maximised, and total travel will be

maximised.

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• Actual pricing

It is important to determine whether differential pricing, contribution theory,

and the incremental process are, indeed, used in the public transport sector. If

the contribution theory were followed, each fare would be studied and analysed

separately. Conversely, differential pricing would reflect demand differences,

and each fare would maximise its contribution. Some fares would be lower,

such as night time fares, while some would be higher, such as the fares during

peak periods (See discussion below). Much effort would be involved in solving

the peak and valley problems of demand. Some customers with elastic demands,

such as the young and the elderly, would pay a lower fare, while businesspeople

may be charged a higher fare (Alam, 2002).

It should be obvious even to the casual observer that actual pricing is only partly

in accordance with the theoretical possibilities noted above. One of the reasons

for this is administrative. So many fares only may be easily administered and an

absolute limit imposes itself here. Regulation is another reason why the theory

of fare changes is not always taken into account. Public commissions do not

always look favourably on price experimentation and they tend to prefer fares to

remain stable.

Unfortunately, many operators have become used to blaming their economic

troubles on regulators with the regulatory boards acting as a ready scapegoat at

such times. However, it is worth noting that fare changes originate with the

operators and are only either approved or disapproved by the regulators. No one

knows how many fare changes the regulators would be prepared to approve.

Accordingly, blaming regulators is not a valid reason for not studying the

economic situation facing organisations and endeavouring to take action.

However, the main biggest reason why actual pricing does not more closely

resemble the economic pricing model is simply a matter of operator’s choice.

Acquiring knowledge of all demands, analysing them, and setting up different

classes of fares is both time-consuming and expensive while an awareness of all

the cost characteristics and applying them to each demand segment requires

considerable analytical ability and much effort. Even if the operators in question

were capable of applying these principles, it is easier to follow the path of less

resistance and avoid the price decision entirely.

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Certain organisations use economic pricing more than others. However, few

operators make use of the all concepts while some may not actually be

completely cognisant of the full ramifications of these concepts. Nevertheless,

in actual practice, it is easier to ignore price and economic considerations and to

concentrate on marketing and the conditions of service. It would appear that this

easier path is the most popular in the passenger transportation industry.

- Peak and off-peak pricing

Peak and off-peak pricing are common in other industries, although less

common in the public transport industry. Nevertheless, it is possible to apply

the concept in the public transport context (Riley, 2006). The elasticities of

demand for each period are calculated in order to find Ramsey prices that

can be used when a monopoly firm maximizes profit and minimizes the

welfare loss. The price elasticities of demand differ between the peak- and

the off-peak period, a higher price should be charged in the peak-period and

a lower price in the off-peak period to both increase the revenue, the total

number of passengers, and reduce the associated with the peak-load demand

(Rantzien, et al. 2013).

This price discrimination system is presented in Figure 3-14 below:

Figure 3-14: Price discrimination – peak and off-peak

Source: Riley (2006: 1)

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Both telephone and electricity companies separate markets according to

time. For example, there are three rates for telephone calls – a daytime

peak rate, an off peak evening rate and a cheaper weekend rate.

Electricity suppliers also offer cheaper off-peak electricity during the

night. At these off-peak times, there is ample spare capacity while the

marginal costs of production are low (the supply curve is elastic),

whereas, at peak times when demand is high, it is to be expected that

short run supply will become relatively inelastic as the supplier reaches

capacity constraints. Thus, a combination of higher demand and rising

costs forces up the profit-maximising price (Riley, 2006).

In addition, as depicted in Figure 3-15 below, consumers may be charged

based on their willingness and ability to pay for the service. This, in turn,

means that the prices charged may bear little or no relation to the cost of

production.

Figure 3-15: Price discrimination: consumers’ willingness and ability to

pay

MC=AC

Source: Riley (2006: 1)

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As illustrated in the diagram above, an organisation has separated a

market by time into a peak market with inelastic demand (market B) and

an off-peak market with elastic demand (market A). The demand and

marginal revenue curves for both the peak market and the off-peak

markets are labelled A and B respectively. Assuming a constant marginal

cost for supplying to each group of consumers, the organisation aims to

charge a profit maximising price to each group. In the peak market the

organisation will produce at the point at which MRa = MC at a charge

price (Pa), and in the off-peak market the organisation will produce at the

point at which MRb = MC and charge price (Pb). Thus, consumers with

an inelastic demand for the product will pay a higher price (Pa) than those

with an elastic demand who will be charged (Pb) (Riley 2006).

It is crucial to take into account that not all researchers agree with the marginal-

cost pricing theory as explained in the previous discussion. Bingfeng and Ziyou

(2007) maintain that marginal-cost pricing theory considers the benefits of the

transportation suppliers, but loses sight of transportation demand, that is, the

passengers. Under the condition of market competition, public transport prices

should reflect the relations between supply and demand in the transportation

market and should take into account the passengers’ mode choosing behaviour

in the context of multi-mode transportation. This concern is also shared by

other researcher where it is maintained that marginal cost pricing with regards

to urban transport is problematic, due to some special features of both supply

and demand (Fearnley, 2004 & Rantzien, et al. 2013).

3.5 Importance of Service Quality Dimensions

The service quality dimensions, RECSA, as described in the aforementioned discussion, are

important to commuters in that commuters judge the quality of services in terms of their

perceptions of the technical outcome provided and on the way in which that outcome is

delivered. If the service has a specific outcome, for example, riding a bus from departure to

destination, the commuter will judge the effectiveness of the service on the basis of that

outcome (Zeithaml, et al. 2000).

The existence of both process and outcome quality may explain why a bus operator with

marked technical skills, including effective planning and scheduling of trips, may fail to

compete effectively with another bus operator who is able to deliver superior, interpersonal

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quality in the manner in which the service is provided. However, if the commuters are able

to judge the technical quality of the outcome effectively, they will base their quality

judgements on process dimension such as the bus operator’s ability to solve passenger

complaints, as well as on their ability to offer quick solutions and show empathy and

courtesy.

If commuters are not able to evaluate the technical quality of service accurately, they form

impressions of the service, including its technical quality, based on whatever sources exist,

using either their own understanding or cues that may not be apparent to the operator.

Transport operators should ensure it is possible to evaluate the service objectively in order to

improve the service encounter experience, for example, in situations in which promises are

either kept or broken and where the proverbial rubber meets the road – sometimes termed

real-time marketing. Commuters build their perceptions based on these service encounters. A

service encounter may be potentially critical in determining customer loyalty. If, for

example, the commuter is interacting with a bus operator for the first time, that initial

encounter will create the commuter’s first impression of the organisation. In this instance,

the commuter has no other basis for judging the quality of the service offered. This initial

encounter may take on excessive importance in the commuter’s perceptions of quality.

However, even in situations in which the commuter has had multiple interactions with the

bus company, each individual encounter is important as regards creating a composite image

of the organisation in the commuter’s memory (Zeithaml, et al. 2000).

Several positive experiences add up to a composite image of high quality, while several

negative interactions will have the opposite effect. On the other hand, a combination of

positive and negative interactions will leave the passenger unsure about the organisation’s

quality, doubtful of its consistency as regards service delivery, and vulnerable to the appeal

of competitors. Nevertheless, logic suggests that not all encounters are equally important for

building relationships. For every organisation, certain encounters are probably crucial to

passenger satisfaction although it is the early encounters that are the most important. With

the exception of common key encounters, there are certain momentous encounters that

simply ruin all other encounters and drive passengers away, no matter how many or what

type of encounters have occurred in the past. These momentous encounters may be related to

extremely important events or they may seem inconsequential. Similarly, momentous

positive encounters may sometimes bind a passenger to a transportation service for life

(Zeithaml, et al. 2000).

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These momentous positive encounters may result from improvements effected by the service

operators which, in turn, may positively affect the utilisation of and the demand for service.

However, it is important to discuss other factors that may, potentially, affect modal choice

(Mashiri, et al. 2010):

• Building passenger transport patronage

Passenger needs generally revolve around convenience. The level of these needs

often change over time and this, curiously, often has the effect of spawning a

truism: the better passengers are served, the better they will expect to be served.

How best then may the transport industry serve these needs, given the financial

and historical circumstances which characterise the industry (Mashiri, et al.

2010)?

Passenger transport will best serve its customers when fares and routes are

integrated and when the passenger transport offers access to a wide range of

destinations with easy transfers. These easy transfers are made possible by

purpose-built interchanges (where passengers may change modes in safety, and

are protected from the elements).

Passenger transport must be given preference in the road system, which is

appropriate to its greater economic use of road space, in order to compete with

the private motor car.

• Integration of marketing research into transport management

Passenger transport operates in a difficult economic environment and,

increasingly, it is facing austerity measures, lay-offs and the elimination of

nonessential services and programmes. A key policy objective is, thus, to

acquire new riders and to retain existing ones in a cost-effective way. An

effective market and customer research programme may make a significant

contribution to clarifying and finding solutions to such a policy objective

(Mashiri, et al. 2010).

• Maintaining existing client base

It is essential that passenger transport operators be responsive to a wide range of

objectives and influences, including concerns about maintaining established

services, balancing budgets (in which user revenues are usually a minority

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component), legal constraints, public safety; and social equity and political

considerations. However, responding to marketplace signals about demand is

often far down on the list of priorities. Nevertheless, in balancing the many

competing objectives, it is imperative that the factors affecting demand not be

taken for granted (Mashiri, et al. 2010).

• Adapting the service to customer needs and attracting infrequent riders

An important consideration is whether building transport ridership has more to

do with persuading people to use the transport every day, once a week, or a few

days a month? This basic question has profound implications for transport

marketing, pricing strategies, and transport financing. The transport industry has

long focused on regular riders, large numbers of trips, and daily commuting. In

addition, captive and public transport dependency concepts are also common in

the industry’s view of its markets (Mashiri, et al. 2010).

• ICT as a communication method

ICT is important to public transport. In the context of public transport, ICT

refers to methods and processes which are aimed at increasing the effectiveness,

efficiency, and capacity of existing transportation systems, including

information processing, communications, control and electronics (Mashiri, et al.

2010). Furthermore, the specific benefits of ICT solutions are primarily

increased efficiency, lower costs and higher productivity levels, which translate,

in turn, into increased reliability, shortened travel times, and greater

convenience. ICT technology may also result in higher passenger satisfaction,

and the ability to promote passenger transport.

Another important consideration with regards to ICT involves the introduction

of Integrated Circuit Card (ICC), Ticketing and Automatic Vehicle Location

(AVL) systems that improve the quality, efficiency, and transparency of the

passenger transport sector (Mamatkulov, 2010).

As regards the BRT Rea Vaya service, there are existing communication

systems at the stations, namely, Variable Messaging Screen (VMS). However

the systems at the stations do not work properly. Rea Vaya has had a number of

problems with the VMS signs, caused mainly by optical cable breaks by

contractors along the route and cable thieves. No communications operate when

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the cable is broken. Rea Vaya and Gautrain are the first systems in South Africa

to use this sophisticated technology (Rea Vaya, 2012).

In addition, it is recommended that intercoms be installed inside the stations so

that passengers may be informed of the time the next bus’s arrival. The existing

intercoms are used only to notify passengers about safety deviations and any

change of operations should there be any changes in the operations of the buses.

Information regarding the next bus is available from the variable message signs

in the stations (Rea Vaya, 2012).

3.6 Promoting Public Transport Services

Promoting public transport is important because it provides commuters with information

about the quality of services rendered by the transport operators. Promoting public transport

involves the marketing of service quality dimensions in order to increase demand. Public

transport marketing may be defined as a totally integrated system of activities organised to

achieve an effective relationship between the needs of present and potential passengers and

the service offering of operators (Farris, et al.1976; Gubbins, 1988 & Barnes, 1989).

Traditionally, marketing has not played a major role in public transport. However, marketing

is fundamental to the public transport sector as a result of the characteristics inherent in the

mobility services. If the transport product consists of a ride between two points, the design of

the vehicle and the facilities, as well as ticketing, information, and behaviour, may influence

the mode of transport chosen (International Association of Public Transport, 2011).

In addition, a marketing strategy represents a systemic tool enabling transport operators to

identify a market’s expectations, to define the level of quality offered depending on the

corporate strategies, and to measure the customers’ perception and to process readjustment

accordingly. At the operational level, marketing provides a wide range of tools that have

been proven to increase revenues, improve quality, and reduce costs. The use of marketing

also enables a permanent improvement in all customer relations activities such as sales,

advertising, branding, network design, product specification, complaint management and

customer service (International Association of Public Transport, 2011).

Despite the fact that marketing is the most significant key success factor (KSF) to public

transport, there has been little progress made in this respect on an industry-wide basis

(Gubbins, 1988 & Barnes, 1989). There are several important steps that public transport

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service providers should take into account in order to enhance their marketing prowess.

These include:

• strategic thinking and service planning;

• staying close to the passenger and address their needs; and

• transforming market knowledge into concrete measurable actions.

From the point of view of the passenger, a bus service, in common with all other modes of

transport, suffers from being a prescribed service which, although structured and timetabled

to meet average customer needs, is inflexible and, thus, the passenger has to fit their journey

pattern to the services on offer. Rising passenger expectations is an emerging trend that is

negating much of the transportation industry progress. The commuting public is no longer

prepared to settle for less than satisfactory service and commuters are finding several, small

niche organisations that are able to serve their needs more effectively than the large transport

organisations. Opportunistic small organisations should recognise this trend and offer

services that meet these higher expectations (Gubbins, 1988).

In the long term travel will be affected by, for example, urban change, new infrastructure,

government policy, rising disposable income and new lifestyles. Young professionals in

transport suspect that transport integration, today’s mantra, may give way to efforts to

integrate public transport planning with attitudes and lifestyles. Communities have various

services from which to choose. This, in turn, is coupled by the fact that the private motor car

is becoming more affordable to communities which may not have been able to afford cars in

the past (Independent Transport Commission, 2001).

In Singapore, the transport authority adopted a model that is expected to attract more users

while retaining the existing one. The Singapore transport model emphasises more

connections, better service, liveable and inclusive community, all of which will enhance

commuters travel experience (Land Transport Authority, 2013).

3.6.1 Segmentation of the Commuter Market

Understanding the commuter market is important for increasing the demand for public

transport. Market segmentation is a process in terms of which prospective passengers (the

market) are categorised into a number of subgroups or segments. Another definition of

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market segmentation, which is more commuter-oriented, states that market segmentation is

an analytical tool for breaking down a roughly defined mass market into segments or

subgroups (Lovelock, Lewin, Bateson & John, 1987; Barnes, 1989; South Africa, 1996 &

Ryneveld, 2008). Furthermore, the objective of marketing segmentation, in this context, is

the division of markets into categories that have certain geographic, economic, demographic,

or life-style similarities.

In addition, mass segmentation provides an understanding of who really rides passenger

transportation and the reason for riding passenger transportation, as well as who does not

ride passenger transportation and the reason why not. An understanding of the different types

of people who ride transport (or stop commuting, or never use transit) and their motivations,

may help public transport operators make decisions ranging from pricing, service design and

advertising messages (Farris, et al. 1976 & Barnes, 1989).

There are six groups or passenger segments that may be identified in the public transport

context, namely, the strider, the stranded, the survival, the sensitive, the selective and the

stubborn (South Africa, 1996 & Ryneveld, 2008). Each of these passenger segments is

discussed below:

• The strider

The strider segment accounts for a significant number – 5,4 million or 25% – of

the urban South African population. This segment of the population prefers to

walk or cycle as the most convenient way to travel. This group is generally

satisfied with the dimensions of travel time, affordability and availability of

transport since, by definition, they enjoy sufficient low-cost access to their

preferred destinations.

• The stranded

The stranded segment accounts for approximately 2,8 million citizens, or 13%

of the urban population, and is expected to grow by 28% between now and 2020

if nothing is done to address their needs (South Africa 1996). The transport

system is failing more egregiously for this group than for any other group as the

group lacks affordable basic access to motorised transport and, therefore, has

little ability to integrate with the rest of society or participate in the broader

economy. The principal customer need for this group is low cost passenger

transport. However, in the absence of low cost passenger transport, there are

two factors driving this group’s current lack of access to low cost transport,

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namely, income levels and distance as discussed below. Figure 3-16 below

illustrates income levels and distance:

Figure 3-16: Breakdown of the stranded population (currently = 2,8m, 2020 =

3.6m)

Source: South Africa (1996: 5)

The income levels of this group are low because a substantial majority of the

stranded are either scholars or they are unemployed. This, in turn, has negative

implications for the ability of this group to create jobs and contribute economic

growth, or to extend educational opportunities.

In addition, the distances for the stranded tend to be long with 67% living in

townships on the peripheries of urban centres and an average of 20 km away

from the central business districts (CBD) or other work locations. Even on the

formal modes such as bus and commuter rail, these distances mean high prices,

which are unaffordable to this segment. The stranded who live in areas closer to

the central business districts or other work locations (suburbs, informal

settlements, or inner cities) generally have access to minibus taxis only – the

highest priced mode.

• The survival

The next segment, survival passengers, includes 4,1 million people, or 19% of

the population. Their principal need is for low cost, high speed public transport.

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This group is able to afford to use public transport, but is “captive” to the least

expensive option and they have few choices, even in the context of passenger

transport. More than 70% of this group spends above 10% of their household

income – the standard set in the White Paper on National Transport Policy in

1996 – on transport services. In addition, 46% of this group spends more time

travelling than they would like with this resulting in a high level of

dissatisfaction with both service and cost; and causing stress.

• The sensitive

The sensitive segment is captive to public transport although the members do

have enough income to enable them to select the best transport option for their

needs. This is the smallest segment of urban customers, comprising 2,1 million

customers only, or approximately 10% of the urban population. The key

dimensions of dissatisfaction for this group centre on speed and choice, with a

degree of additional dissatisfaction with prices. Of the sensitive users, 47%

maintained that their travel times were in excess of what they would have

preferred while it appeared that 12% only had a choice of three modes, while

51% had a choice of two modes.

• The selective

The selective segment, which today includes 4,1 million people, or 19% of the

urban population, will be one of the fastest growing segments in the future, with

an expected growth of 39% between 1998 and 2020.

This segment is able to afford a motor car but is willing to use public transport

if it meets their primary requirements of higher speed, and greater choice and

convenience. It appeared that 43% of this group was in excess of their preferred

waiting time, while even fewer – 10% only – had a choice of three modes. In

terms of the twenty year view, this will become a critical segment because of

the ability of the segment to afford motor cars. This segment will stay with

passenger transport only if it offers sufficient convenience and choice so as to

render it attractive.

• The stubborn

The final segment comprises the stubborn customers. This group will use

private motor cars only, and represents 3 million people, or 14% of the current

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urban population. This group is expected to grow significantly by 2020. This, in

turn, will create significant challenges for urban areas in terms of road

infrastructure and traffic congestion. Members of this segment opt out of the

public transport system altogether by choosing using their motor cars. Cost is a

minor issue for them, as compared to the much more important issues of

convenience and speed. Their dependence on their motor cars is enabled by the

excellent urban road network in both cities and adjacent suburbs in which the

stubborn tend to live.

Several factors are fuelling this growing dependence on motor cars. Figure 3-17

illustrates the relative income levels and motor car utilisation:

Figure 3-17: Percentage of modal choice by income band (national commuters)

Source: South Africa (1996: 11)

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Figure 3-17 above, illustrates the relatively low income levels at which South

Africans begin to use motor cars as their primary mode. Once household

incomes rise above R30 000 per annum, motor car use begins to dominate. The

result is a situation in which there is a much higher than average vehicle

population per capita among middle income groups, as compared to other

developing countries (South Africa, 1996).

When viewed in its entirety, the urban transport system is performing relatively poorly in

terms of the needs of the key groups of customers, as well as against the overall national

objectives. The stranded and survival segments are particularly badly served in terms of cost,

travel times, and choice. One segment that is well-served, however, is the stubborn, with this

segment benefiting from high income levels and a good road network for their motor cars.

Despite the fact that the members of the stubborn segment are somewhat dissatisfied with the

convenience of the system, by both international and local standards, they are exceptionally

well served (South Africa, 1996 & Ryneveld, 2008).

Another important group of users of public transport comprises young people, defined as

those members of the community who are between the ages of 18 and 35 (National Youth

Commission, 2009). This group constitutes the largest number of people who use public

transport. There are strong and mutual links between public transport and young users with

young people being heavily dependent on public transport as it is often the only means

available to them to reach school, placer of work, sports facilities and any other locations

where they live and build their futures (International Association of Public Transport, 2012;

McKenzie 2012).

As regards international transport use, young people represent almost half of the total

number of people in transit while they travel more than do adults. One of the major concerns

for public transport organisations is, thus, to slow the decline in the use of public transport

by young people when they reach adulthood (SA The Good News, 2007). A study conducted

into youth satisfaction recorded the following results:

“Young people’s experiences of public transport within their local area were

generally positive. 72 (33,5%) of respondents felt that buses in their area were

reliable, however, 43 (20%) disagreed and 34 (15,8%) strongly disagreed that buses

were reliable in their local area. In regards to availability, 72 young people (34%) felt

that public transport took them where they needed to go and 111 (51,9%) knew how

to access information about public transport. 62 young people (29%), overall, felt

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that public transport currently satisfied their needs. However, 42 (19,3%) disagreed

that public transport met their needs, and 41 (19,3%) strongly disagreed that public

transport met their needs (British Youth Council, 2012:2).”

Taking into account the aforementioned discussion, an understanding of consumer behaviour

and modal choices is essential. Changes will occur when peoples’ needs and desires change.

Commuters have the choice between competing modes, for example, buses and minibus

taxis, and also the choice not to use the passenger transport mode at all and, for example,

resort to using private motor cars (Bingfeng, et al. 2007). Thus, understanding the behaviour

of commuters, especially as regards their choice of mode is important to modelling optimal

strategies for public transport. Commuter mode choice is based on the theory of discrete

choice models, which describes individuals’ choices between competing alternatives. The

hypothesis underlying the discrete choice models states that when, faced with a choice

situation, an individual’s preference as regards each alternative may be described by a utility

measure associated with each alternative (Bingfeng, et al. 2007).

Taking into account the reviewed literature above in chapters two and this chapter, it is

essential that the literature reviewed is developed by testing the theory described in the

literature. The research data is presented in chapter four of the study. Specific questions arise

out of the discussion and include, for example: How do commuters perceive the bus and

minibus taxis in Johannesburg? To what extent do the factors affecting public transport

industry discussed in this chapter influence demand for the service? What is the importance

of service dimensions when deciding on a mode of public transport?

The research results provide specific insights into the passengers’ perceptions of the bus and

minibus taxi services; the extent to which service dimensions influence the demand for

passenger transport; and the importance of service dimensions as regards choosing a mode of

transport.

3.7 Conclusion

Public transport in South Africa is in a state of a crisis. There is a need to focus attention on

the service dimensions that affect public transport, namely, reliability, comfort, extent of

service, safety, and reliability. Understanding these factors is important as gaps often emerge

between service perceptions and expectations. The successful promotion of the public

transport service dimensions will depend on the ability of government and public transport

organisations to market service quality dimensions effectively. Segmentation and the

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understanding of commuter behaviour plays an important role as it is essential that marketing

of service dimensions are targeted at the correct audience and the correct intervention are

instituted. The marketing process is, therefore, critical if public transport organisations are to

retain existing users and attract new users.

The service quality dimensions, as stated in the above discussion, are important to developing

the research design that will answer the research questions and satisfy the research objectives

discussed in chapter one of this study. Furthermore, it is essential that the literature reviewed in

this chapter and chapter two be developed by testing the theory described in the literature.

Therefore, the following chapter will test the theory specifically focussing on the research

design, sampling, data collection, analysis, and the validity and reliability.

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CHAPTER FOUR

Research Methodology

4.1 Introduction

This chapter describes the research methodology and research design utilised in the study.

The chapter lays out the plan in accordance with the research design, the questionnaire

developed, the participants selected, information collected, data analysed and conclusions

drawn. The research design also includes a discussion of the sampling procedure, sample

parameters, and sample frame. A sample size of 902 respondents participated in the study.

These respondents were mainly from the Johannesburg area as the study focus was

singularly on the Johannesburg Public Road Transportation System.

4.2 Aims and Objectives of the Study

The aim of the study was to evaluate passengers’ perceptions of the service offered by the

bus and minibus taxi industries.

The primary objectives of the study include the following:

• to explore passengers’ perceptions of the bus and minibus taxi services in terms

of the service quality dimensions outlined by McKnight et al., (1986), namely,

reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety; and affordability (RECSA);

• to ascertain the extent to which the service quality dimensions would influence

future demand for public transport;

• to determine the importance of each service quality dimension in choosing a

public transport mode; and

• based on the research findings to recommend strategies designed to improve

public transport service quality.

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4.3 Research Design

The research design of a study is the overall plan for relating a conceptual research problem

to the empirical research conducted. Empirical research is conducted in order to establish the

optimal plan, structure and/or approach to answering the research questions, within the given

constraints (Research Design and Methodology, 2009; Ghauri, Gronhaug, & Kristianslund,

1995 & Cooper, et al. 2001). There are multiple and variable research designs often utilised

in research for collecting data from the respondents. These designs include but are not

limited to sequential design, observational design, experimental design, exploratory design,

cohort design, and descriptive design (Kirshenblatt-Gimblett, 2006 & Anastas, 1999).

In this study, the researcher used descriptive research design for collecting the data from

respondents. According to Anastas (1999) & Kirshenblatt-Gimblett (2006), descriptive

studies collect a large amount of data for detailed analysis that can yield rich data and lead to

important recommendations. Through this, the researcher attempts to describe and explain

conditions of the present by using many subjects and questionnaires to fully describe a

phenomenon. The design is preferred because it is concerned with answering questions of

“what” developed within and during the study. A descriptive study was carefully designed

to ensure complete depiction of the context and situation, making sure that there was

minimum bias in the collection of data and reduction of errors in interpreting the data

collected.

4.3.1 The Population

The population refers to the total collection of elements about which the researcher wishes to

make certain inferences (Cooper, et al. 2001). All commuters within the City of

Johannesburg (800 000 daily commuters) comprised the population of interest

(Johannesburg Development Agency, 2012). The primary data was collected from

commuters who utilise public buses and minibus taxis (often referred to as the element) in

the City of Johannesburg, although it may have been possible that some of the commuters

forming the population were not permanent residents of Johannesburg.

4.3.2 The Sampling Design

According to Trochim (2005), Sampling is the process of selecting units from a population

of interest so that by studying the sample the results may be fairly generalised back to the

population from which they were chosen. Sampling is a technical procedure utilised to

rationalise the collection of information and to choose in an appropriate way the restricted

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set of objects from which the actual information will be drawn (Bless & Higson-Smith,

2005).

As a result of the complexities involved in the process of sampling in the public transport

context, the choice of a probability sample is always a challenge (McKnight, et al. 1986;

Cooper, et al. 2001). The research conducted by the Burbidge City Bus Company applied

non-probability sampling techniques in order to select the sample required. As a result, area

sampling technique, a form of cluster sampling, is often used in studies in which there are

obvious problems of the unavailability of a practical sampling frame for the individual

elements (Cooper, et al. 2001).

In the Burbidge City Bus Company study, Cooper et al. (2001) found that some regular bus

riders used monthly passes while infrequent riders usually paid cash for their fares. This, in

turn, meant that choosing a sample frame was extremely challenging. However, Cooper et al.

(2001) did not consider a sample frame which was available to bridge the gap in terms of

sampling the public transport riders. They should have also considered the list of bus routes

as a sample frame. The bus routes list would have enabled them to draw a probability

sample using a cluster sampling technique. However, a further challenge in terms of the

Burbidge City Bus Company study would have been the availability of bus and minibus taxi

routes and the willingness of bus and minibus taxi operators to supply a list of their routes.

Thus, the selection of bus terminals using a map and choosing a sample from the list of bus

terminals concerned was deemed to be a realistic and acceptable solution to overcoming this

challenge (Cooper, et al. 2001).

For the purposes of this study, an area sampling technique (often referred to as the

geographical sampling technique) was used to select the respondents. The area sampling

technique is a probability cluster sampling procedure which, for the purposes of this study,

involved plotting bus and minibus taxi terminals on a geographical map and randomly

selecting the bus and minibus taxi terminals to be included in the sample. Thus, sampling bus

and minibus taxi terminals provided a sample of commuters using public bus and mini-bus

taxi transport services.

4.3.3 The Sample There are generally four reasons for selecting a sample, namely, a) lower costs, b) greater

accuracy of results, c) greater speed of data collection, and d) availability of population

elements (Cooper, et al. 2001). The ultimate test of a sample design is how well it represents

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the characteristics of the population it purports to embody. In measurement terms, the sample

must be valid (Cooper, et al. 2001). For the purposes of this study, the sample size of 902

was selected based on the four reasons given above, namely, costs, greater accuracy, speed

of data collection, and availability of population elements. The sample is representative of

the population as discussed in the foregoing discussion. In order to select the sample, the

following procedure was undertaken:

• A letter was sent to the City of Johannesburg, Transport and Planning

Department requesting detailed maps of Johannesburg’s bus and minibus taxi

terminals, including maps showing location of the minibus taxi ranks. An

emergent challenge was that certain minibus taxi ranks were also being utilised

as bus terminals and vice versa, for example, Bree Street bus and minibus taxi

rank in the City of Johannesburg; which had implications for a concrete,

separate definition of bus terminal and minibus taxi terminal.

• Upon receipt the maps were scrutinised for accuracy to ascertain whether they

were correct and whether they highlighted all the bus and minibus taxi terminals

in Johannesburg, checked against the register of known bus and minibus taxi

terminals from the City of Johannesburg. This process validated the maps,

which were then utilised in the sampling process.

• Geographical sampling was used in terms of which bus and minibus taxi

terminals were grouped into homogeneous clusters. For example, terminals in

townships were grouped together, terminals in the suburban areas were grouped

together, and terminals in the CBD were grouped together to ensure the

homogeneity of the subjects in each cluster. According to Cooper et al. (2001),

clusters are usually homogeneous with regard to specific characteristics. For

example, families in the same block (a typical cluster) are often similar in terms

of, inter alia, social class, income level, and ethnic origin. However, clusters

may also be heterogeneous in the sense that two clusters may not have similar

characteristics

4.4 Data Collection

This section discusses the data collection strategy adopted in the study.

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4.4.1 Construction of the Measurement Instrument

The study followed a structured process in developing the questionnaire, which is presented

in Annexure A. The scales selected were aimed at obtaining specific information about the

constructs. The researcher used primary sources to collect data using the researcher

administered questionnaires. The questionnaire contained mainly closed-ended questions.

Each respondent received the same set of questions in exactly the same way.

Sections 1 to 3 of the questionnaire utilise a multiple-choice, single-response scale, whereas

section 4 utilises a combination of the Likert and semantic differential scales which often

produce interval data. It was deemed advantageous by the researcher to include a semantic-

differential scale to obtain the required information on the considered importance of service

constructs (Forsyth, Hills, James, Silcock & Smyth, 1984 & Forsyth & Smyth, 1986).

Based on previous research conducted (McKnight, et al. 1986), Table 4-1 reflects the

characteristics of the user sample included in the questionnaire. These characteristics were

used in the development of sections one to three of the research instrument:

Table 4.1: Sample characteristics User sample characteristics

• Age

• Gender

• Employment Status

• Household income

• Transportation utilisation

Respondents sample characteristics

• Frequency of utilisation of public

transport

• Residential area

• Income level

• Ethnic race

• Gender

• Employment status

• Educational status

• Age

Source: McKnight et al. (1986: 426)

The service quality dimensions, originally developed by McKnight et al. (1986) and depicted

in Figure 4-1 below, were utilised in the development of section four of the research

instrument. The service quality dimensions were introduced in chapter one and are repeated

again below for ease of reference.

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Figure 4-1: Service quality dimensions

Source: McKnight et al. (1986: 427)

4.4.2 Recruitment of the Study Participants

The respondents were intercepted at bus and minibus taxi terminals while waiting for their

chosen mode of transport. According to Forsyth et al. (1986) and McKnight et al. (1986),

on-bus and terminal interviews achieve a higher response rate than conventional postal

surveys, although substantial differences between respondents in the quality of the responses

emerged according to the area in which their study questionnaires were administered. It was

established by the above-mentioned researcher that personal interviews and on-bus/terminal

distribution aided willingness to contribute, and the same process was followed in this study.

4.4.3 Validation of the Measurement Instrument

Prior to conducting quantitative research and gathering data on a large scale, it is essential to

conduct an item analysis in order to test the construct validity of the measurement

instrument, namely, to ascertain the extent to which the instrument measures what it is

supposed to measure (Aaker, Kumar & Day, 2007). Pretesting is conducted in order to

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ensure that the measuring instrument meets the objectives of the study in terms of the

information to be collected. Thus, the objective of the pre-test is to remove errors, including

questions which are too long, a lack of important variables and ambiguity such as ill-defined,

loaded, or double-barrelled questions which could have two varied responses (Aaker, et al.

2007). The same process was followed in the study. The following objectives of pretesting

were relevant to this study:

• establishing acceptable levels of variation;

• ensuring that the questions are understood in the same way by all the

respondents;

• minimising task difficulty; and

• maintaining the interest and attention of the respondents.

Aaker et al. (2007) argue that there should be ease of item administration and interpretation

in different settings and situations. In addition, the, generalisability of items is important, as

researchers are not concerned with isolated events, but with the commonality of a series of

events. In formulating a generalisation, the researcher should avoid the danger of committing

the particularistic fallacy, which arises from an inclination to generalise on the basis of

insufficient or incomplete and unrelated data. This may, in turn, be avoided by the

accumulation of a large body of data and by the employment of comparisons and control

groups (Dekeba, 2001).

Taking the aforementioned into account, in order to remedy any measuring instrument

deficiencies in the study, the interviewer first answered all questions himself. Thereafter, 27

randomly selected commuters were interviewed in Johannesburg to pre-test the

questionnaire. In addition, academics and other key stakeholders in public transport, on the

one hand (Department of Transports in KwaZulu-Natal, Rea Vaya, Gautrain, City of

Johannesburg, Gauteng, and National Department of Transport) all provided views-in

relation to the objectives of this study- on the state of public transport in the country, and on

the other hand, provided insight to whether the items used for each variable were relevant

and meaningful as regards measuring the constructs in question, and if so, how important

each item was to the variable in question. The same process, as outlined above, was followed

with professionals in public transport. Public transport organisation’s managing directors

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(Johannesburg Metrobus and PUTCO – the two largest bus organisations in the country by

turnover, number of buses, number of passengers carried) provided invaluable insight into

public transport. Finally, bus and minibus taxi organisations, such as Top 6 Minibus Taxi

Association, SANTACO, and SABOA, also gave insight to the state of public transport in

the country, and gave examples of the countries with successful public transport systems,

among others, Brazil, India, Paris, and Kenya. Their views supported the literature reviewed

in this study, they provided insight into public transportation framework and public transport

networks, both concepts were discussed in chapter two.

As regards the measurement instrument, the aim of the above exercise was also to ensure

content validity, which refers to the extent to which the measuring instrument provides

adequate coverage of the research questions guiding the study (Cooper, et al. 2001).

The following conclusions were then drawn regarding the questionnaire:

• The questionnaire was reliable. Reliability estimates were used to evaluate (a)

the stability of the measures administered at different times to the same

individuals (test – retest reliability), and (b) the equivalence of sets of items

from the same test (internal consistency) and of different observers scoring a

behaviour using the same instrument (inter-rater reliability). A reliability

coefficient 0.80 was achieved, thus indicating a high level of reliability

(Kimberlin & Winterstein, 2008; Shuttleworth, 2008 & Miller, 2012).

• The questionnaire was also valid in that the questions measured exactly what

they were intended to measure (face validity satisfied), namely, commuter

perceptions of buses and minibus taxis. Thus, for the purposes of the study,

construct validity was achieved, namely, examining the relationship between

commuters’ perception of service and service quality dimensions. Content

validity was also achieved in that the measure adequately covered the content

area (Kimberlin, et al. 2008; Shuttleworth, 2008 & Miller, 2012).

• There was a concern that the questionnaire might be too long. Initially, the

interviewing process lasted approximately 20 minutes. However, the questions

were reworded and shortened where possible. After this exercise, the

interviewing process lasted approximately 15 minutes.

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4.4.4 Administration of the Measurement Instrument

A total of 902 questionnaires collected by means of a two-way conversation initiated by the

researcher, who had been trained to conduct personal and face-to-face interviews was

included in the study. However, of the 902 questionnaires administered, only 690

questionnaires could be utilised. A total of 212 questionnaires were excluded due to high

non-response of questions – a common challenge in public transport studies (McKnight, et

al. 1986).

The data was collected through personal interviews as the greatest value of personal

interviews, as regards passenger transportation studies, lies in the depth of information and

the detail that may be secured. The information obtained in this way surpasses the

information secured from telephone and self-administered studies (McKnight, et al. 1986 &

Cooper, et al. 2001).

The respondents were directed to a selection of possible answers. At the onset of the

interview, it was made clear what the purpose of the study was and the academic purpose

was also clarified. Respondents were also reassured that they would not experience negative

affects when contributing to the study.

4.5 Data Analysis

Data analysis is not an end in itself, and its purpose is to produce information that will help

address a problem at hand. The following factors influence the selection of the appropriate

technique for the purposes of the data analysis, for example, (a) type of data, (b) research

design, and (c) assumptions underlying the test statistic and related considerations (Aaker, et

al. 2007).

In view of the fact that the data involved mainly two variables, that is, the dependent and

independent variables, cross tabulations were used in the data analysis. The choice of data

analysis technique was also determined by the nature or scale of the data.

Since other aspects of the data scales are interval, the arithmetic mean may be used as a

measure of central tendency. The study used the standard deviation as the measure of

dispersion with the data showing normal distribution. The standard deviation indicates how

far away from average the data values typically are. It has been found to be the most

frequently used measure of spread because it improves interpretability by removing the

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variance’s square and expressing deviations in their original units (Cooper, et al. 2001). The

measurement scales were assessed for internal consistency using the Cronbach’s alpha

measure. The summary statistics and histograms for each of the individual scales were

assessed as well as the summary statistics for both the Perception of Service Quality (PSQ)

Index and the Importance-Weighted Perception of Service Quality Index.

The Jarque-Bera test was used to test whether the PSQ Index data followed a normal

distribution while the non-parametric test, the Mann-Whitney Test, was used to compare the

medians.

Multiple linear regression was used to analyse the relationship between the Perceived

Quality of the Service Index for buses and the demographic variables. Multiple linear

regression was also used to analyse the relationship between the Perceived Quality of

Service Index for minibus taxis and the same demographics variables. The study used the

test of significance at a 95% confidence level, with a 5% margin of error. Generalised Linear

Regression analysis was also used in the analysis.

The correlation coefficient between certain variables of interest was also used while

Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient was used to measure the association between each of

the individual scales, and the self-stated intention of whether or not to continue using that

method of transport in the future.

The Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) was utilised in the analysis for the goodness of fit

statistics.The principal component analysis was used as the method of estimation. Varimax

rotation was applied in both cases of bus and minibus taxi transport. The criteria for

choosing the number of factors were the Eigenvalues of the correlation matrix that were

greater than 1. The Scree plot was also used to determine the cut-off point at which the plot

tapered off.

Collinearity diagnostics were performed to determine the Variance Inflation Factors (VIF).

Finally, the outlier detection-PSQ Index for buses and minibus taxis was performed.

The data analysis was conducted using both SPSS and SAS; which are widely used packages

in advanced statistical analysis.

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4.6 Conclusion

This chapter discussed the research design, sampling, data collection, analysis, and the

validity and reliability of the study. The study evaluated public road transport service quality

in the bus and minibus taxi transport industry in the City of Johannesburg context; with the

following as the primary objectives of the study (a) exploring passengers’ perceptions of bus

and minibus taxi service in terms of McKnight’s et al.’s (1986) service quality dimensions,

namely reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety; and affordability (RECSA); (b)

ascertaining the extent to which service quality dimensions influence future demand for

public transport; and (c) determining the importance of each service quality dimension in

choosing a public transport mode. The ensuing chapter will discuss the study findings as

they relate to the research objectives, starting with sample characteristics, followed by the

passengers’ perceptions of service in terms of the service quality dimensions, future

utlisation (demand) for public transport (buses and minibus taxi service). The chapter will

conclude with a discussion on the importance of service quality dimensions.

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CHAPTER FIVE

Study Findings 5.1 Introduction

This chapter discusses the study findings. The research problem and research questions were

discussed in chapter four of this research study. This chapter aims to present the research

data as it relates to the research objectives described below:

Table 5-1: Research objectives and research questions

Research objectives Research questions

• Exploring commuters’ perceptions of the bus and

minibus taxi services in terms of the service quality

dimensions of McKnight et al. (1986), namely,

reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety and

affordability (RECSA)

• What are the passengers’

perceptions of the service

quality in the bus and

minibus taxi industries?

• Ascertain the extent to which the service quality

dimensions may influence the future demand for public

transport

• To what extent would the

passengers’ perceptions of

service quality influence the

future demand for buses

and minibus taxis?

• Determine the importance of each service quality

dimension in choosing a public transport mode

• What is the importance of

each service quality

dimension in choosing a

passenger transport mode?

The data presented in this chapter focuses on the sample characteristics; passengers’ perceptions

of service quality, namely, RECSA; future utilisation and demand; and the importance of

service quality dimensions. The chapter concludes with a discussion on the validity of the

model as it relates to the service quality.

5.2 Sample Characteristics

The respondents included the users of public buses and minibus taxis and, thus, passengers

who did not use public transport were excluded from the sample. The sample was obtained at

bus and minibus taxi ranks in Johannesburg and, thus, passengers residing in other areas or

those who did not use public transport in Johannesburg were excluded from the sample.

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5.2.1 Response Rate

Table 5-2 depicts the sample size.

Table 5-2: Sample size

Frequency Percentage Valid percentage

Cumulative percentage

Valid yes 690 100,0 100,0 100,0 A total of 902 of the respondents were selected and personal interviews were conducted with

the respondents. All the questionnaires were administered, however, it was not possible to

include 212 of the questionnaires in the analysis either because of a high non-response of

questions, respondents not utilising public transport at all, or passengers residing in other

areas other than in Johannesburg. As a result, 690 questionnaires were utilised in the data

analysis. Each interview lasted less than 15 minutes.

5.2.2 Geographical Location

The table below depicts the geographical area in which the data was collected

Table 5-3: Geographical area

Frequency Percentage Valid percentage

Cumulative percentage

Valid Johannesburg 690 100,0 100,0 100,0 A total of 690 of the respondents resided in Johannesburg and, as a result, they were

included in the study. Those respondents who lived in other areas were excluded from the

study.

5.2.3 Utilisation of Public Transport

The following table illustrates the utilisation of public transport by age and by occupation.

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Table 5-4(a): Utilisation of public transport and occupation

Occupation Age Total

19 20-24 25-34 35-50 51+

F-T employed Used most often

Bus 4,7% 13,4% 10,3% 4,7% 33,2%

Taxi 0,4% 9,9% 31,5% 15,9% 9,1% 66,8%

Total 0,4% 14,7% 44,8% 26,3% 13,8% 100,0%

P-T employed Used most often

Bus 1,0% 10,2% 11,2% 6,1% 28,6%

Taxi 2,0% 24,5% 42,9% 2,0% 71,4%

Total 3,1% 34,7% 54,1% 8,2% 100,0%

Student Used most often

Bus 10,8% 10,8% 1,0% 1,0% 23,5%

Taxi 31,4% 33,3% 10,8% 1,0% 76,5%

Total 42,2% 44,1% 11,8% 2,0% 100,0%

Scholar Used most often

Bus 36,6% 36,6%

Taxi 62,2% 1,2% 63,4%

Total 98,8% 1,2% 100,0%

Self-employed Used most often

Bus 1,8% 7,1% 10,7% 1,8% 21,4%

Taxi 10,7% 25,0% 33,9% 8,9% 78,6%

Total 12,5% 32,1% 44,6% 10,7% 100,0%

Unemployed Used most often

Bus 6,1% 3,0% 3,0% 12,1%

Taxi 18,2% 27,3% 24,2% 18,2% 87,9%

Total 24,2% 30,3% 27,3% 18,2% 100,0%

Other Used most often Taxi 25,0% 25,0% 50,0% 100,0%

Total 25,0% 25,0% 50,0% 100,0%

Total Used most often

Bus 10,4% 5,1% 7,0% 5,5% 1,7% 29,8%

Taxi 19,9% 13,8% 21,8% 9,9% 4,9% 70,2%

Total 30,3% 18,9% 28,7% 15,4% 6,7% 100,0%

It emerged that 29,8% of the respondents used public buses, while 70,2% used minibus taxis

as a preferred mode of transportation.

A large percentage of public transport users are aged 19 years and between the ages of 25

and 34 years; for example, 30,3% of the public transport users are aged 19 years, while

28,7% are between the ages of 25 and 34.

Public buses and minibus taxis are used predominantly by students and scholars. However,

their preferred mode of transport is the minibus taxi.

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Table 5-4(b): Utilisation of public transport and gender

Gender Area Total Johannesburg

Male Used most often

Bus 33,2% 33,2%

Taxi 66,8% 66,8%

Total 100,0% 100,0%

Female Used most often

Bus 27,3% 27,3%

Taxi 72,7% 72,7%

Total 100,0% 100,0%

Total Used most often

Bus 29,7% 29,7%

Taxi 70,3% 70,3%

Total 100,0% 100,0%

It emerged that 66,8% of the male respondents used minibus taxis, while 33,2% used buses;

whereas 72,7% of the female respondents used minibus taxis, while 27,3% used buses. Table 5-4(c): Utilisation of public transport and income

Income Used most often Total

Bus Taxi

Income

R0-R1000 13,4% 33,4% 46.7%

R1001-R2000 1,7% 7,5% 9.3%

R2001-R3000 3,6% 8,0% 11.6%

R3001-R4000 3,6% 7,4% 11.0%

R4001-R5000 2,2% 4,4% 6.5%

R5001-R6000 1,5% 1,9% 3.3%

above R6000 3,8% 7,7% 11.5%

Total 29.8% 70,2% 100,0%

The study found that 46,7% of the public transport users earn between R0 and R1000 and

that the majority of these users (33,4%) use minibus taxis for commuting.

The preceding discussion focused on the main characteristics of the respondents in the

sample. The following section discusses the passengers’ perceptions of service quality as

regards both public buses and minibus taxis in relation to the objectives of the study.

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5.3 Service Quality in Public Road Transport

The below discussion is aimed at exploring passengers’ perceptions of bus and minibus taxi

service in terms of the service quality dimensions of McKnight et al. (1986), namely,

reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety; and affordability (RECSA); ascertaining the

extent to which service quality dimensions can influence future demand for public transport

(future utilisation); determining the importance of each service quality dimension as regards

choosing a public transport mode in relation to the study objectives and research questions.

5.3.1 Passengers’ Perceptions of Service

The questions which focused on perceptions of service quality in respect of buses and

minibus taxis were divided into five categories, each of which was used to construct a

measurement scale (see Table 5-5).

Table 5-5: Internal consistency of scales

Scale Buses Minibus Taxis

Reliability 0,767 0,832

Comfort 0,712 0,650

Service 0,642 0,820

Safety 0,734 0,883

Affordability 0,789 0,837

Separate scales were constructed for buses and minibus taxis, respectively. The five scales

were Reliability (6 questions), Comfort (4 questions), Service (6 questions), Safety (5

questions) and Affordability (5 questions).

The five scales were rescaled so that each ranged from 0 to 10, with 0 being the worst

possible perception and 10 being the best. The scales were assessed individually for internal

consistency (coefficient of reliability) using the Cronbach’s alpha (α) measure. Cronbach's

alpha is a measure of internal consistency, that is, how closely related a set of items are as a

group. It is most commonly used when multiple Likert questions in a questionnaire form a

scale, and in order to determine if the scale is reliable (Nagel, 2007). A high value of alpha

is often used as evidence that the items measure an underlying (or latent) construct.

However, a high alpha does not imply that the measure is unidimensional (Institute for

Digital Research and Education, 2013). Factor analysis is one method of checking

dimensionality, which has been utilised below in this chapter.

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As indicated in Table 5-5, most values were above 0,70 (the lowest value is service at 0.64

and highest value is affordability at 0.88), indicating an acceptable level of internal

consistency for all the buses and minibus taxis scales. Researchers insist on a reliability

score of 0.70 or higher, values ranges between minus infinity and 1, however this rule should

be applied with caution when α has been computed from items that are not correlated

(Choudhury, Streiner & Norman, 1989).

The five scales were then combined into a cumulative index which was termed the

Perceptions of Service Quality Index. Each scale was weighted equally in the index, so that it

was possible for index scores to range from 0 to 50. In view of the fact that respondents had

been asked their opinions about the importance of each of the five categories, it was also

possible to create a cumulative index in which the individual categories were weighted

according to their perceived importance for each individual. The result was termed the

Importance-Weighted Perceptions of Service Quality Index (see Table 5-6).

The summary statistics and histograms for each of the individual scales are displayed below,

as well as summary statistics and histograms for both the Perceptions of Service Quality

Index and the Importance-Weighted Perceptions of Service Quality Index.

Table 5-6: Summary Statistics

Buses Minibus Taxis

Mean Median Mean Median

Reliability 7,4 7,7 5,8 6,0

Comfort 7,8 8,0 5,4 5,5

Service 6,7 6,7 6,5 6,7

Safety 7,9 8,0 5,1 4,8

Affordability 7,2 7,2 5,6 5,6

PSQ Index 37,1 37,5 28,5 28,3

Importance-

Weighted PSQ

Index

33,0 33,5 24,6 23,1

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Figure 5-1: Histograms

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The Jarque-Bera Test was used to test whether the PSQ Index data followed a normal

distribution. For both buses and minibus taxis, the null hypothesis of normality was rejected

with p-values of 0,000017 and 0,00015 respectively. It was, thus, not possible to use a t-test

to compare the mean perceived service quality of buses and that of taxis and, instead, a non-

parametric test, the Mann-Whitney Test, was used to compare the medians. The p-values and

decisions from these tests are presented below:

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Table 5-7: Hypotheses

Scale or Index *p-value Decision

Reliability 2,2e-06 Reject H0; buses are perceived as more reliable than minibus taxis

Comfort 4,6e-14 Reject H0; buses are perceived as more comfortable than minibus

taxis

Service 0,572 Do not reject H0; there is no significant difference in the perceived

service level between buses and taxis

Safety 2,2e-16 Reject H0; buses are perceived as safer than minibus taxis

Affordability 5,5e-06 Reject H0; buses are perceived as more affordable than minibus

taxis

PSQ Index 7,8e-15 Reject H0; buses are perceived as offering better quality overall

than minibus taxis

Importance-

Weighted PSQ

Index

5,4e-14 Reject H0; buses are perceived as offering better quality overall

than minibus taxis after weighting each scale according to its

perceived importance

*p-value (2,2e-06 means 2.2 x 10^-6, ( ) or 0.0000022. Similarly 4.6e-14 means 4.6 x 10^-14, ( ) or 0.00000000000004587049. The same applies to the rest of the p-values, whereby 0,572 means 0.5721328; 2,2e-16 means 0.0000000000000000004167642; 5,5e-06 means 0.000005519435; 7,8e-15 means 0.00000000000000773039; and 5.4e-14 means 0.00000000000005433447).

For all of the individual scales, except service, as well as the overall index (and weighted

index), it was possible to draw a definite conclusion that the perceived quality of bus

transport exceeds that of minibus taxis by a significant margin.

5.3.1.1 Service Quality Dimensions and Demographic Variables

The multiple linear regression and generalised linear regression models were also

considered. The multiple linear regression model was used to analyse the relationship

between the Perceived Quality of Service Index for Buses and the demographic variables

(mode of transport used the most often, age, gender, educational level, and income). In this

case, only the coefficient of mode of transport was statistically significant and was estimated

to be -5.43 with a p-value of 2.69e-10. This suggests that those who use buses more often

tended to have a higher opinion of the quality of bus transport. This finding is not surprising

since, presumably, they would not use buses if they had an extremely very low opinion of

this mode of transport.

Similarly, multiple linear regression was used to analyse the relationship between the

Perceived Quality of Service Index for minibus taxis and the demographic variables as

mentioned above (mode of transport used the most often, age, gender, educational level, and

income). In this case, it was interesting to observe that the coefficient for the mode of

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transport used the most often was not significant. This may suggest that those who use

minibus taxis as their primary mode of transport did not do so because they have a high

opinion of the quality of the minibus taxi experience.

In addition, age, gender and level of education were all statistically significant in this model

at the 5% level. Age had a negative coefficient, indicating that, on average, younger people

have a more favourable perception of minibus taxis than older people. Gender had a positive

coefficient, indicating that, on average, females perceive minibus taxis more favourably than

males. On the other hand, educational level had a negative coefficient, indicating that less

educated people viewed minibus taxis favourably as compared to more highly educated

people.

5.3.2 Service Quality Dimensions and Future Utilisation

The correlation coefficients between certain variables of interest were also analysed. In view

of the fact that the indices did not follow a normal distribution according to the Jarque-Bera

Test, the non-parametric Spearman method was used in preference to the Pearson method.

The correlation coefficient between the Perceived Quality of Service Index for buses and the

Perceived Quality of Service Index for minibus taxis (for those who offered opinions on both

modes of transport) was 0,068 and not statistically significant (p-value = 0,41). This suggests

that the respondents’ opinion of buses was independent of their opinion of minibus taxis.

Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient was also used to measure the association between

each of the individual scales, and the self-stated intention of the respondents regarding

whether they would continue to use that method of transport in the future. The results of this

analysis are presented in Table 5-8 (an* indicates that the result is statistically significant).

Table 5-8: Association of Scales

Scale or Index Buses Taxis

Reliability 0,59* 0,66*

Comfort 0,26* 0,57*

Service 0,39* 0,59*

Safety 0,48* 0,73*

Affordability 0,51* 0,61*

PSQ Index 0,66* 0,79*

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The table above indicates that for each individual scale and mode of transport, the perceived

quality of the mode of transport is strongly associated with the intention to continue using

that mode of transport.

5.3.3 Importance of Service Quality Dimensions

The table below presents summary statistics in respect of the importance attached to each of

the five dimensions of quality of service, on a scale of 1 (less important) to 5 (very

important).

Table 5-9: Importance of service quality dimensions

Dimensions Buses Minibus Taxis

Mean Median Mean Median

Reliability 4,3 5,0 4,4 5,0

Comfort 4,4 5,0 4,2 5,0

Service 4,3 5,0 4,3 5,0

Safety 4,3 5,0 4,3 5,0

Affordability 4,4 5,0 4,3 5,0

The table above reveals that all five dimensions were considered very important, and equally

so.

After discussing the multiple regression model above, the generalised linear regression

model was also considered as discussed below.

Since the multiple regression model discussed above was not sufficient in isolation, in the

current scientific setting, by fitting a model with the overall service quality as the response

variable and the demographic variables with age, gender, income, and so forth as the

explanatory variables, it was decided to also utilize the generalized linear model with a

uniform link and a normal distribution. This decision was taken because the explanatory

variables are not continuous nor normally distributed, but categorical – and in the multiple

regression model this requires the use of dummy variables which become bulky and tedious.

The generalized linear model caters for categorical and continuous explanatory variables and

a response variable that may or may not necessarily normally distributed. Since, the average

of several variables was taken to calculate the overall service quality, it is a well-established

fact that the response variable will be normally distributed.

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The Generalized linear model-Buses

The fitted model was:

Overall service quality=β0+ β1 *age+ β2*gender+ β3*occupation+ β4*education+

β5*income+ε

Table 5-10: Tests of model effects - Public Buses

Source Type III

Wald Chi-Square df Sig.

(Intercept) 851.160 1 .000

age 15.725 4 .003

gender .428 1 .513

occupation 9.790 6 .134

education 34.957 5 .000

income 21.798 6 .001

Dependent Variable: quality service bus Model: (Intercept), age, gender, occupation, education, income

The Type III test showed that age, education and income were all significant at the 5% level

since their p-values are all less than 0.05 in influencing the overall service quality provided

by the bus. Gender and occupation were not significant in influencing the overall service

quality provided by the bus. The following table reveals the differences in the influence in

the categorical explanatory variables by comparing each level of the explanatory variable

with a baseline level of the variable with respect to the response variable.

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Table 5-11: Parameter Estimates - Public Buses

Parameter B Std. Error 95% Wald Confidence Interval Hypothesis Test

Lower Upper Wald Chi-Square df Sig. (Intercept) 4.313 .8532 2.641 5.986 25.558 1 .000

[age=1.00] -.364 .2438 -.842 .114 2.228 1 .136 [age=2.00] -.086 .1897 -.458 .286 .205 1 .651

[age=3.00] .248 .1708 -.087 .583 2.109 1 .146 [age=4.00] -.104 .1734 -.443 .236 .357 1 .550

[age=5.00] 0a . . . . . . [gender=1.00] .050 .0758 -.099 .198 .428 1 .513

[gender=2.00] 0a . . . . . . [occupation=1.00] -.623 .4883 -1.580 .335 1.625 1 .202

[occupation=2.00] -.763 .4967 -1.737 .210 2.362 1 .124 [occupation=3.00] -.479 .5086 -1.476 .517 .888 1 .346

[occupation=4.00] -.656 .5265 -1.688 .376 1.554 1 .213 [occupation=5.00] -.632 .4985 -1.609 .345 1.609 1 .205

[occupation=6.00] -.969 .5117 -1.972 .034 3.589 1 .058 [occupation=7.00] 0a . . . . . .

[education=1.00] 1.613 .6886 .263 2.963 5.486 1 .019 [education=2.00] 1.544 .6844 .202 2.885 5.087 1 .024

[education=3.00] 1.353 .6823 .015 2.690 3.931 1 .047 [education=4.00] .522 .6971 -.844 1.888 .561 1 .454

[education=5.00] 1.015 .8039 -.561 2.590 1.593 1 .207 [education=6.00] 0a . . . . . .

[income=1.00] .407 .1828 .049 .765 4.953 1 .026 [income=2.00] .297 .1856 -.067 .661 2.559 1 .110

[income=3.00] .120 .1659 -.205 .445 .522 1 .470 [income=4.00] .214 .1638 -.107 .535 1.703 1 .192

[income=5.00] -.171 .1855 -.535 .192 .853 1 .356 [income=6.00] -.556 .2294 -1.006 -.106 5.874 1 .015

[income=7.00] 0a . . . . . . (Scale) .896b .0482 .806 .995

Dependent Variable: quality service bus Model: (Intercept), age, gender, occupation, education, income

There were significant differences at the 5% level since the p-values were less than 0.05 in

the education group between respondents with less than matric, matric and matric plus a

tertiary qualification groups when comparing all those groups to respondents in the group

with some other form of education with respect to the overall service quality. There were

also differences in those who were in the “0-R1000” and “R5001-R6000” when comparing

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to these groups of passengers to those that were in the “Above R6000” group with respect to

the overall service quality.

The Generalized linear model-Taxis

The fitted model was:

Overall service quality=β0+ β1 *age+ β2*gender+ β3*occupation+ β4*education+

β5*income+ε

Table 5-12: Tests of model effects - Minibus Taxis

Source Type III

Wald Chi-Square df Sig.

(Intercept) 454.546 1 .000

age 11.306 4 .023

gender .455 1 .500

occupation 18.879 6 .004

education 17.164 5 .004

income 11.617 6 .071

Dependent Variable: overall service quality taxis Model: (Intercept), age, gender, occupation, education, income

The Type III test showed that age, education and occupation are all significant at the 5%

level since their p-values are all less than 0.05 in influencing the overall service quality

provided by the minibus taxis. Gender and income were not significant in influencing the

overall service quality provided by the minibus taxis. The following table reveals the

differences in the influence in the categorical explanatory variables by comparing each level

of the explanatory variable with a baseline level of the variable with respect to the response

variable.

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Table 5-13: Parameter Estimates - Minibus Taxis

Parameter B Std. Error

95% Wald Confidence Interval Hypothesis Test Lower Upper Wald Chi-Square df Sig.

(Intercept) 3.407 .9975 1.452 5.362 11.666 1 .001 [age=1.00] .631 .2850 .073 1.190 4.907 1 .027

[age=2.00] .626 .2218 .191 1.061 7.964 1 .005 [age=3.00] .572 .1997 .181 .963 8.201 1 .004

[age=4.00] .655 .2027 .258 1.052 10.438 1 .001 [age=5.00] 0a . . . . . .

[gender=1.00] -.060 .0886 -.233 .114 .455 1 .500 [gender=2.00] 0a . . . . . .

[occupation=1.00] .022 .5709 -1.097 1.141 .002 1 .969 [occupation=2.00] -.454 .5807 -1.592 .684 .612 1 .434

[occupation=3.00] -.604 .5946 -1.770 .561 1.032 1 .310 [occupation=4.00] -.268 .6155 -1.475 .938 .190 1 .663

[occupation=5.00] -.200 .5828 -1.342 .943 .117 1 .732 [occupation=6.00] -.663 .5982 -1.836 .509 1.230 1 .267

[occupation=7.00] 0a . . . . . . [education=1.00] .777 .8051 -.801 2.355 .932 1 .334

[education=2.00] .566 .8002 -1.002 2.134 .500 1 .479 [education=3.00] .743 .7977 -.820 2.307 .868 1 .351

[education=4.00] .033 .8150 -1.565 1.630 .002 1 .968 [education=5.00] -.134 .9399 -1.976 1.708 .020 1 .887

[education=6.00] 0a . . . . . . [income=1.00] .556 .2137 .138 .975 6.778 1 .009

[income=2.00] .081 .2170 -.345 .506 .138 1 .710 [income=3.00] .083 .1940 -.298 .463 .181 1 .670

[income=4.00] .063 .1916 -.312 .439 .109 1 .741 [income=5.00] .246 .2169 -.179 .671 1.288 1 .256

[income=6.00] .053 .2683 -.473 .579 .039 1 .844 [income=7.00] 0a . . . . . .

(Scale) 1.224b .0659 1.102 1.360

Dependent Variable: overall service quality taxis Model: (Intercept), age, gender, occupation, education, income

There were significant differences at the 5% level since the p-values were less than 0.05 in

the age between respondents in the “ under 19yrs” , “20-24 yrs” , “25-34 yrs”, “35-50 yrs”

when comparing all those groups to respondents in the group “51 yrs and above” with

respect to the overall service quality. There were also differences in those who were in the

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“0-R1000” group when comparing to this group to those that are in the “Above R6000”

group with respect to the overall service quality.

5.4 Validation of the Model

Structural Equation Modeling was used by the researcher to determine whether the

model is valid. Therefore, this section seeks to derive unbiased estimates for the

relations between latent constructs. To this end, SEM allows multiple measures to be

associated with a single latent construct as shown below in the case of public buses

and minibus-taxis.

(a) Public Bus Transport Service

There were 2 models fitted, one was a latent variable model and the other was a model

depicted by the Figure 5-2 below. The latent variable model did not fit the data well and is

not commented on. The fitted model was:

Figure 5-2: Structural Equation Modeling - Public Buses

Reliabilit

Comfort

Service

Safety

Affordabilit

Service

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The model did not fit the data well and after exploring several models the appropriate model

that fitted the data well was given as depicted in Figure 5-3:

Figure 5-3: Structural Equation Modeling - Public Buses

Byrne (2010:75-80) reports several goodness of fit statistics that are standard AMOS outputs

and, some namely, chi-square, Relative Fit Index (RFI), Root Mean Square Error of

Approximation (RMSEA) and, Incremental Fit Index (IFI), were considered, since most of

them are interrelated and, lead to the same conclusion regarding the fit of the model to the

sample data.

The RFI which should be close to 0.95 if the model fits the data well and, the RMSEA which

should be less than 0.05 and, have a p-value greater than 0.05 based on a narrow confidence

interval from the RMSEA (called PCLOSE in the AMOS output), indicating superior fit of

the model (Byrne, 2010:80). The IFI which addresses issues of parsimony and sample size of

the model relative to the data, which, according to Byrne (2010:79) is also a measure of the

goodness of fit, should be close to 0.95, if superior model fit is to be achieved.

0.18

-0.15

-0.03

0.75

Reliability

Comfort

Service

Safety

Service Quality

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The fitted model had a chi-square test statistic of 0.032 with a p-value of 0.876, which is

non-significant at the 5% level, thus implying that the conceptual model fitted to the research

data was indeed a good one (Byrne , 2010: 76 & Bollen, 1989: 263). Furthermore, the RFI

was 0.981, the RMSEA was 0.0085 with a p-value (PCLOSE) of 0.897 and, the IFI was

reported as 0.969, all further confirming a good fit of the model.

The regression weights were given as:

Table 5-14: Regression Weights - Public Buses

Estimate S.E. C.R. P

Service quality <--- Reliability .181 .017 10.569 .000

Service quality <--- Comfort -.146 .018 -7.977 .000

Service quality <--- Service -.035 .015 -2.269 .023

Service quality <--- Safety .745 .019 39.949 .000

From the above table it is evident that the reliability, comfort, service and safety are

influential at the 5% significance level on the overall service quality that the public buses

provided. It is also interesting to note that the comfort and the service have negative

coefficient estimates whilst reliability and safety have positive coefficients.

(b) Minibus Taxi Transport

Once again the latent variable model did not fit the data well and the following model as

depicted in Figure 5.4 was fitted to the data. The model fitted the data well and the results

are reposted below.

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Figure 5-4: Structural Equation Modeling - Minibus Taxis

The model was fitted with a chi-square statistics with 5.716 with 10 degrees of freedom and

a p-value of 0.835. This implied that the model fitted the data well. Furthermore, the RFI

was 0.995, the RMSEA was 0.0089 with a p-value (PCLOSE) of 0.901 and, the IFI was

reported as 0.979, all further confirming a good fit of the model.

The regression weights were:

Reliability

Comfort

Service

Safety

Affordability

Service

-0.52

0.01

-0.03

0.305

0.135

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Table 5-15: Regression Weights - Minibus Taxis

Estimate S.E. C.R. P

Service quality <--- Reliability -.052 .025 -2.102 .036

Service quality <--- Comfort .001 .024 .028 .977

Service quality <--- Safety -.003 .025 -.111 .911

Service quality <--- Affordability .305 .025 12.235 .000

Service quality <--- Service .135 .026 5.114 .000

One can ascertain from the above table that reliability, affordability and service all are

influential on the overall service quality since their p-values are less than 0.05.

5.4.1 Variability of Variables

The factor analysis was run separately for the questions related to buses and minibus taxis.

Principal component analysis was used as the method of estimation with varimax rotation

being applied in both cases. The following steps were undertaken in order to analyse the

underlying factors in the service quality of public transport:

• Determine the number of factors. This was done through the scree plot (or a plot

of the eigenvalues against the number of factors, in order of extraction) and the

eigenvalues of the correlation matrix. In this case, the principal components

with eigenvalues greater than 1 only were retained. An eigenvalue represents

the amount of variance in the original variables that is associated with a factor

(Aaker, et al. 2007). The factor with eigenvalues of less than 1,0 were no better

than a single variable, as, as a result of standardisation, each variable had a

variance of 1,0.

• A rotation was performed in order to ensure that the factor loadings were more

meaningful. In this case a varimax rotation (for orthogonal rotation) was

performed for the both the minibus taxi and the bus variables.

• The significance test was deemed to determine the statistical significance of the

separate Eigenvalues in order to retain only those factors that were statistically

significant. However, in view of the fact that the size of the sample was greater

than 200, several factors were likely to be statistically significant.

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• In order to determine which variables were related to their respective factors,

the loadings which were greater than 40 were taken into account (please note

that all loadings and correlations were expressed as a percentage). In some cases

it was possible to exclude items where the loadings were small across all the

factors.

Exploratory factor analysis was performed on all the scale items as regards the reliability,

comfort, service (or extent of service), safety and affordability of both buses and minibus

taxis together. Explanations of the exploratory factor analysis are provided for the bus

service; however they may also be extended to minibus taxis.

The data revealed that the number of records read as 690, and the number of records used for

significance tests as 129, and the variables were 37. The following table shows the variables

included in the analysis:

Table 5-16: Variables for public bus transport

No Variables No Variables

1 Punctuality of buses 21 Rate of bus accidents

2 Bus timetable 22 Injuries as a result of bus accidents

3 Timely arrival of bus at destination 23 Condition of buses

4 Failure of bus to be on time 24 Driving skills of bus drivers

5 Arrival of bus at destination 25 Bus drivers obeying rules of the road

6 Adherence of bus to routes 26 Safety – future utilisation of buses

7 Reliability – future utilisation of buses 27 Buses offer value for money

8 Find seat on buses 28 Bus fares

9 Smoothness of bus rides 29 Bus fares worth it

10 Coolers/air-conditioners on board bus 30 Bus fares fair

11 Reaction to lack of coolers on buses 31 Bus fare affordable

12 Condition of bus shelters 32 Affordability – future utilisation of buses

13 Comfort ‒ future utilisation of buses 33 Importance of reliability of buses

14 Exact location of buses - destination 34 Importance of comfort of buses

15 Availability of buses on weekdays 35 Importance of service of buses

16 Availability of buses at weekends 36 Importance of service of buses

17 Availability of buses on holidays 37 Importance of affordability of buses

18 Availability of buses in the evenings 38 Default variable

19 Friendliness on the part of bus drivers

20 Availability – future utilisation of buses

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Factor Analysis: Buses Table 5-17: Total Variances Explained - Public Buses

Component Initial Eigenvalues Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings Rotation Sums of Squared Loadings

Total % of Variance Cumulative % Total % of Variance Cumulative % Total % of Variance Cumulative %

1 26.801 70.528 70.528 26.801 70.528 70.528 12.340 32.473 32.473

2 1.930 5.079 75.607 1.930 5.079 75.607 9.632 25.347 57.821

3 1.268 3.336 78.943 1.268 3.336 78.943 8.026 21.122 78.943

4 .955 2.513 81.456

5 .804 2.115 83.571

6 .590 1.554 85.125

7 .505 1.328 86.454

8 .452 1.191 87.644

9 .394 1.038 88.682

10 .340 .894 89.577

11 .329 .867 90.443

12 .282 .741 91.185

13 .259 .682 91.866

14 .243 .639 92.506

15 .223 .587 93.093

16 .217 .572 93.664

17 .209 .549 94.214

18 .191 .503 94.717

19 .173 .454 95.171

20 .161 .423 95.594

21 .151 .396 95.990

22 .134 .353 96.343

23 .133 .349 96.693

24 .124 .327 97.019

25 .122 .320 97.339

26 .116 .305 97.644

27 .103 .272 97.916

28 .099 .259 98.176

29 .097 .256 98.431

30 .091 .239 98.670

31 .084 .222 98.892

32 .077 .201 99.093

33 .073 .192 99.286

34 .071 .187 99.473

35 .059 .156 99.629

36 .054 .141 99.770

37 .046 .121 99.891

38 .041 .109 100.000

Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis.

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Figure 5-5: Scree Plot – Public Bus

Factor analysis was carried out in this study as an exploratory tool in order to reduce a set of

items to a smaller set that could adequately explain the data and account for being a set of

sub-constructs. The Principal Components method was used with varimax rotation.

From the above Table 5-17, the cumulative variance that three factors (punctuality,

timetables, and timeous arrival at destination) are explaining is 78.943%. Furthermore all of

these 3 factors have eigenvalues over 1. The scree plot also confirms the existence of the 3

factors. The first factor (punctuality) accounts for 70.528% of the variation. This is normally

the case in factor analysis. The next step was to look at the rotated loadings table to find out

which questions were not loading at all on the factors and could hence be eliminated from

the data set and then re-run the factor analysis.

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Table 5-18: Rotated Component Matrixa - Public Buses

Factors Component 1 2 3

Importance of service buses .882 .188 .299 Importance of affordability buses .867 .214 .294 Importance of service buses .861 .217 .291 Importance of comfort buses .841 .231 .313 Importance of reliability of buses .787 .348 .300 Affordability future bus utilisation .714 .421 .333 Safety bus future utilisation .689 .450 .340 Bus drivers obeying rules of the road .682 .460 .307 Driving skills of bus drivers .677 .507 .303 Bus fare affordable .656 .450 .322 Bus fares fair .646 .515 .337 Bus fares worth it .642 .462 .342 Availability bus future utilisation .633 .459 .391 Buses offer value for money .617 .521 .315 Injuries due to bus accidents .609 .522 .353 Buses exact location-destination .578 .505 .361 Comfort future utilisation of buses .576 .514 .412 Availability of buses on weekdays .563 .418 .449 Friendliness of bus drivers .533 .483 .468 Bus arrival at destination .458 .742 .304 Bus timely arrival destination .460 .735 .323 Bus coolers on board .316 .722 .429 Smoothness buses .455 .715 .330 Find seat on buses .470 .707 .267 Punctuality buses .454 .667 .388

Feel about lack of coolers buses .012 .643 .371

Reliability future bus utilisation .490 .639 .344 Bus failure to be on time .335 .619 .537 Bus adherence to routes .541 .592 .258 Condition of buses .534 .588 .392

Availability of buses on holidays .342 .363 .819 Rate of bus accidents .347 .282 .815 Availability of buses in the evenings .348 .342 .813 Availability of buses on weekends .391 .330 .756 Buses fares .399 .253 .732 Often use buses .282 .390 .729 Bus timetable .307 .510 .623 Bus shelters condition .475 .485 .486

Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization. a. Rotation converged in 6 iterations.

Most literature suggests that a factor loading of 0.3 or greater can be considered to be

significant (Kline, 1994). Given the large number of items on the scale, it was advisable to

adopt the principle of factor loadings of 0.4 or higher to be significant, otherwise the number

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of item in the data set will not be reduced and the key reason/purpose of Factor analysis,

which is to reduce the number of items to a comprehensible set of items, will be defeated.

From the above rotated component matrix, none of the questions have loadings that are less

than 0.4 and therefore no questions will be dropped. In this case the model selected the

underlying factors, namely, punctuality of buses, bus time-table, timely arrival of buses at

destination, failure of buses to arrive on time. In total, 74,79% of the variation in the data

may be explained by the first three principal components. Factor 1 is heavily loaded on the

importance of the dimensions and using public bus transport in the future as regards to

safety, availability, comfort and affordability. Factor 2 is heavily loaded on the combination

of comfort and timely arrival at destination. Factor 3 is heavily loaded on the extent of

service (or availability).

Regarding the minibus taxi transport, there were 37 variables considered for the minibus

taxis (see Table 5-19), and the factors extracted (see Figure 5-20).

Table 5-19: Variables for Minibus Taxis

No Variables No Variables

1 Punctuality of taxis 21 Rate of taxi accidents

2 Taxi timetable 22 Injuries as a result of taxi accidents

3 Timely arrival of taxis at destination 23 Condition of taxis

4 Failure of taxis to be on time 24 Driving skills of taxi drivers

5 Arrival of taxis at destination 25 Taxi drivers obeying the rules of the road

6 Adherence of taxis to routes 26 Safety ‒ future utilisation of taxis

7 Reliability ‒ future utilisation of taxis 27 Taxis offer value for money

8 Able to find seats on taxis 28 Taxi fares

9 Smoothness of taxis 29 Taxi fares worth it

10 Coolers on board taxis 30 Taxi fares fair

11 Reaction to lack of coolers on taxis 31 Taxi fare affordable

12 Condition of taxi shelters 32 Affordability ‒ future utilisation of taxis

13 Comfort ‒ future utilisation of taxis 33 Importance of reliability of taxis

14 Taxis exact location - destination 34 Importance of comfort of taxis

15 Availability of taxis on weekdays 35 Importance of service of taxis

16 Availability of taxis at weekends 36 Importance of service of taxis

17 Availability of taxis on holidays 37 Importance of affordability of taxis

18 Availability of taxis in the evenings 38 Default variable

19 Friendliness on the part of taxi drivers

20 Availability ‒ future utilisation of taxis

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Factor Analysis: Minibus Taxis Table 5-20: Total Variance Explained - Minibus Taxis

Component Initial Eigenvalues Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings

Rotation Sums of Squared Loadings

Total % of Variance

Cumulative %

Total % of Variance

Cumulative %

Total % of Variance

Cumulative %

1 21.805 57.382 57.382 21.805 57.382 57.382 15.322 40.322 40.322 2 3.560 9.368 66.750 3.560 9.368 66.750 5.190 13.659 53.981 3 1.865 4.907 71.657 1.865 4.907 71.657 4.673 12.297 66.278 4 1.194 3.141 74.799 1.194 3.141 74.799 3.238 8.521 74.799 5 .992 2.612 77.410 6 .795 2.093 79.503 7 .678 1.784 81.287 8 .642 1.690 82.977 9 .555 1.461 84.438 10 .461 1.213 85.651 11 .452 1.188 86.839 12 .411 1.082 87.921 13 .378 .994 88.915 14 .349 .918 89.833 15 .328 .863 90.695 16 .289 .762 91.457 17 .252 .664 92.121 18 .238 .625 92.746 19 .220 .578 93.324 20 .211 .555 93.879 21 .194 .511 94.390 22 .188 .495 94.885 23 .174 .459 95.344 24 .167 .439 95.783 25 .159 .418 96.201 26 .147 .386 96.588 27 .144 .379 96.966 28 .135 .354 97.321 29 .129 .338 97.659 30 .121 .318 97.977 31 .118 .310 98.286 32 .109 .287 98.573 33 .105 .275 98.849 34 .102 .268 99.117 35 .097 .256 99.373 36 .093 .244 99.617 37 .081 .212 99.829 38 .065 .171 100.000

Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis.

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From the above table 5.20, it is evident that only four factors will be extracted since they

account for approximately 75% of the variation. The scree plot below (see Figure 5-6)

further confirmed this result.

Figure 5-6: Scree Plot - Minibus Taxis

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The following Table 5-21 depicts the Rotated Component Matrix

Table 5-21: Rotated Component Matrixa - Minibus Taxis

Factors Component 1 2 3 4

Driving skills of taxi drivers .857 .172 .214 .201 Taxi drivers obeying rules of the road .855 .175 .193 .214 Safety taxi future utilisation .842 .208 .255 .113 Condition of taxi shelters .841 .138 .251 .171 Taxi fares fair .841 .213 .209 .137 Friendliness of taxi drivers .835 .173 .275 .194 Injuries due to taxi accidents .834 .217 .178 .097 Taxi fares worth it .821 .202 .213 .130 Smoothness taxis .810 .097 .333 .196 Taxis offer value for money .809 .164 .248 .063 Affordability future taxi utilization .800 .240 .265 .079 Availability taxi future utilization .793 .221 .313 .060 Comfort future utilisation of taxis .786 .219 .340 .084 Availability of taxis in the evenings .697 .089 .359 .290 Reliability future taxi utilization .686 .175 .489 .061 Taxi timetable .683 .054 .303 .399 Taxi fare affordable .672 .332 .256 .082 Availability of taxis on holidays .670 .068 .463 .224 Feel about lack of coolers taxis .659 .006 .003 .556 Taxi failure to be on time .657 .056 .394 .303 Taxis coolers on board .647 .124 .146 .590 Find seat on taxis .624 .163 .453 .127 Taxi arrival at destination .621 .110 .582 .060 Punctuality taxis .586 .119 .570 .115 Taxi shelters condition .541 .363 .232 .220 Importance of service taxis .167 .921 .078 .133 Importance of comfort taxis .187 .921 .117 .119 Importance of service taxis .191 .908 .152 .097 Importance of affordability taxis .190 .865 .134 .118 Importance of reliability of taxis .178 .838 .213 .185 Availability of taxis on weekdays .268 .281 .690 .209 Availability of taxis on weekends .389 .219 .687 .200 Taxis timely arrival destination .598 .123 .607 .052 Taxis exact location-destination .483 .300 .494 .046 Taxi adherence to routes .449 .187 .476 .176 Taxis fares .171 .197 .095 .797 Rate of taxi accidents -.037 .252 .138 .767 Often use taxis .484 .126 .225 .633

Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization. a. Rotation converged in 7 iterations.

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The rotated matrix revealed that four factors were accounting for the data, namely the

punctuality, timetables, timely arrival at destination, and reasons for failure to arrive at

destination on time.

Furthermore, Factor 1 denotes friendliness of drivers, driver skills and rules of the road,

safety, comfort, and extent of service. Factor 2 denotes importance of the dimensions as

regards choosing public transport. Factor 3 denotes the availability of service, and Factor 4

denotes affordability, and the rate of accidents.

Taking into account the above discussion, the data has shown passengers’ perceptions of

service quality, future utilisation and the importance of service quality dimensions, RECSA,

in public transport. Furthermore, the model was proven to be valid and the data fitted this

model well.

The collinearity and outlier detection analysis, for buses and minibus taxis, discussed below,

is important for concluding the study findings. In multiple linear regression model,

discussed above, problems arise when a serious multicollinearity or influential outlier

present in the data. Failure to include significant quadratic or interaction terms results in

model specification errors (Pimpan & Prachoom, 2009 & Fernandez, 2013).

5.5 Collinearity and Outlier Detection

5.5.1 Collinearity diagnostics

In the multiple linear regression model with the Perceived Quality of Service Index for buses

as the dependent variable and the mode of transport which was used the most often, and age,

gender, education and income level as the independent variables, the Variance Inflation

Factors (VIFs) for the coefficients were all between 1 and 1.9. This, in turn, implies there is

no problem with multicollinearity as there was no VIF greater than 3.

5.5.2 Outlier Detection

The outliers describe the abnormal data behavior, that is, data which are deviating from the

natural data variability (Filzmoser, 2010). The standard method for multivariate outlier

detection is robust estimation of the parameters in the Mahalanobis distance and the

comparison with a critical value of the Â2 distribution (Rousseeuw & Van Zomeren, 1990).

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(a) PSQ Index for Buses

Casewise diagnostics revealed three observations (Nos. 614, 615 and 665) which had a

standardised residual of less than -3, thus denoting that the observed value of the Perceived

Quality of Service Index for buses was more than three standard deviations less than the

value predicted by the model. In view of the fact that the model had an adjusted R squared

value of 0,156 only, it may make sense to attribute these cases to the absence of some other

important predictor variable rather than calling them outliers.

(b) PSQ Index for Minibus-Taxis

As regards this regression model, the casewise diagnostics revealed that there were no

observed cases of more than three standard deviations away from their predicted value.

Accordingly, it would appear that there were no outliers in this index.

5.6 Conclusion

This chapter presented the research data as it relates to the research objectives in three

sections. The first section discussed the characteristics of the data as it related to the

selection of respondents as well as the response rate, geographical location of respondents,

sample characteristics and utilisation of transport modes. A total of 902 respondents were

selected and personal interviews conducted. It emerged that 29,8% of the respondents used

public buses, while 70.2% of the respondents used the minibus taxis as their preferred mode

of transport. A significant percentage of public transport users were aged 19 years and

between the ages of 25 and 34 years with public buses and minibus taxis being used

predominantly used by students and scholars. However, their preferred mode of transport is

the minibus taxis.

The second section discussed the passengers’ perceptions of service in terms of the five

service quality dimensions, namely, reliability, comfort, extent, safety, and affordability

(RECSA). It emerged that the perceived quality of bus transport exceeded that of minibus

taxis by a significant margin with those who use buses tending to have a higher opinion of

the quality of bus transport. However, this is not surprising since, presumably, they would

not use buses if their opinion of this mode of transport was extremely low.

It would appear that those who used minibus taxis as their primary mode of transport did not

do so because they had a high opinion of the quality of the minibus taxi experience.

However, on average, younger people perceived minibus taxis more favourably than older

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people while, on average, females perceived minibus taxis more favourably than males; and

less educated people viewed minibus taxis favourably as compared with more educated

people. The perceived quality of the mode of transport is strongly associated with the

intention to continue using this mode of transport. It was found that all five of the service

quality dimensions were deemed to be extremely important. As regards the bus service, in

total, 78.94% of the variation in the data may be explained by the first three principal

components; while 74.79% of the variation in the data for the minibus taxi service may be

explained by the first four principal components. Finally, the coefficients implied there was

no problem with multicollinearity, and no outliers were found in the index.

The aforementioned discussion provided an insight into passengers’ perceptions of service

quality in public road transport. The study findings will be discussed in the following

chapter as they relate to the objectives of the study, that is, to explore commuters’

perceptions of bus and minibus taxi service in terms of the service quality dimensions,

originally developed by McKnight et al. (1986); to ascertain the extent to which service

quality dimensions can influence future demand for public transport; and to determine the

importance of each service quality dimension as regards choosing a public transport mode.

The study findings will support or reject the literature reviewed in chapter two and three of

this study.

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CHAPTER SIX

Discussion:

Passengers’ Perceptions of the Public Road Transport Service in

Johannesburg

6.1 Introduction

The previous chapter presented the research data as it relates to the study objectives. This

chapter discusses the research findings as they relate to the study objectives, and focuses on

exploring commuters’ perceptions of the bus and minibus taxi services in terms of service

quality dimensions, namely reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety, and affordability

(RECSA). Thereafter, this chapter focuses on the extent to which the service dimensions

influence the future utilisation (demand) of public bus and minibus taxi transport. The

chapter concludes with a discussion on the importance of each service quality dimension as

regards choosing a mode of public transport.

6.2 Passengers’ Perceptions of Service

At the onset, it is important to state that the literature reviewed in chapter two and three

showed that in the absence of objective measures to measure service quality in public

transport, a useful and appropriate approach to assessing the quality of a transport

organisation’s services would be to measure the commuters’ perceptions of service (Farris, et

al.1976; Thompson, et al. 1985; Dodds, et al. 1985; McKnight, et al. 1986; Alam, 2002 &

Adarkwa & Boansi, 2011). Accordingly, what is needed is a quantitative yardstick for

gauging such perceptions. In this study, the RECSA model was used as a measure of the

passengers’ perception of service. The results of the study will be discussed hereafter,

starting with the important characteristics of service concerning the utilisation of service.

6.2.1 The characteristics of Service

Regarding the demographic variables, the study findings showed that 29,8% of the

respondents used public buses, while 70,2% used minibus taxis as a preferred mode of

transportation. The study findings support the literature reviewed in the aforementioned

discussion in chapter two. According to City of Johannesburg (2006), 72% of commuters

in Johannesburg use minibus taxis for their daily commuting needs. Furthermore,

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other research showed that the minibus taxi industry transports approximately 70% of the

country’s public transport commuters (Thomas, Ryneveld & Pascarel, 2010 & Ndebele,

2011). This, in turn, means that the minibus taxi industry has an estimated 70% market share

while public buses have a market share of just over 20%, with the railway containing a

market share of just over 14% (South Africa. 2012).

As regards the service perception of the various market groups, the study findings showed

that age, gender, and level of education all influence the perception of service. Age, gender

and level of education were all statistically significant at the 5% level since their p-values

were all less than 0.05 in influencing the overall service quality provided by the bus.

Furthermore, a large percentage of public transport users were aged 19 years and between

the ages of 25 and 34 years; for example, 30,3% of the public transport users were aged 19

years, while 28,7% were between the ages of 25 and 34. Public buses and minibus taxis were

used predominantly by students and scholars. However, their preferred mode of transport

was the minibus taxi.

The study findings support the literature reviewed in chapter two and three; younger people

(aged between 19 and 34) are the largest users of public transport and, on average, they

perceived minibus taxis more favourably than older people (since age had a negative

coefficient). Females perceived minibus taxis more favourably than males (since gender had

a positive coefficient), and less educated people viewed minibus taxis more favourably as

compared with more educated people (since educational level had a negative coefficient).

Young people are heavily dependent on public transport, and it is often their only way to

reach school, places of work, sporting facilities, and any other locations that contribute

towards them gaining access to opportunities which build their future (International

Association of Public Transport, 2012 & McKenzie, 2012).

In addition, the researchers generally define young people as those members of the

community who are between the ages of 18 and 35 (National Youth Commission, 2009 &

British Youth Council, 2012). This group comprises the largest number of people who use

public transport and there are extremely strong and mutual connections between public

transport and young users. In terms of international transport use, young people represent

almost half of the total number of people in transit and they tend to travel more than adults

(International Association of Public Transport, 2012 & McKenzie, 2012).

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One of the major challenges for public transport organisations is, thus, to maintain the usage

of public transport when young people mature into adults (SA The Good News, 2007). A

study conducted by the British Youth Council (2012) showed the following results:

“Young people’s experiences of public transport within their local area were generally

positive. 33,5% of respondents felt that buses in their area were reliable, however,

20% disagreed and 15,8% strongly disagreed that buses were reliable in their local

area. In regards to availability, 72 young people (34%) felt that public transport took

them where they needed to go and 111 (51,9%) knew how to access information about

public transport. 62 young people (29%) overall felt that public transport currently

satisfied their needs. However, 42 (19,3%) disagreed that public transport met their

needs, and 41 (19,3%) strongly disagreed that public transport met their needs”

(British Youth Council, 2012:2).

After the discussion of the characteristics of service, the subsequent discussion focuses on

the passengers’ perceptions of service in terms of the service quality dimensions as they

relates to the objectives of this study and the research questions.

6.2.2 The Reliability of Service

As discussed in chapter three of this study, reliability refers to the ability to perform the

promised service dependably and accurately (McKnight, et al. 1986). The study findings

showed that buses were perceived as being more reliable than minibus taxis. Furthermore,

those who use public buses more often tended to have a higher opinion of the quality of the

bus transport. The coefficient of mode of transport was statistically significant and was

estimated to be -5.43 with a p-value of 2.69e-10).

It emerged that those who used minibus taxis as their primary mode of transport did not do

so because they had a high opinion of the quality of the minibus taxi experience ‒ the

coefficient for the mode of transport used the most often was not significant. However, it is

possible to draw a definite conclusion that those who use minibus taxis tended to do so for

reasons other than their opinion of this mode of transport, for example, they may use the

minibus taxis for the convenience of this mode of service as opposed to safety and reliability.

The factor analysis revealed that it was possible to explain factor 1 by the punctuality of

service. Structural equation modeling showed that the reliability is influential at the 5%

significance level on the overall service quality that the public buses and minibus taxis

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provided. In line with the study objectives, reliability was a factor that influences

passengers’ perceptions of service. The study findings support the literature reviewed in the

aforementioned discussion; even though minibus taxis are being utilized by a large number

of commuters, as stated in the above-mentioned discussion, there are other factors that are

important to the utilization of the minibus taxi service; for example, the literature showed

that the minibus taxis are widely utilized because they are found mostly along the high

density travel corridors and may be stopped on demand (Freeman, Ngcoya & Chapman,

1990) and this improve its accessibility; the minibus taxis are also more available route than

buses which operate on pre-defined routes, and this is due to the minibus taxis operational

model, which is based on a small enterprise that guarantees its operational flexibility and its

dynamism (Institute for Democracy in Africa, 2011); and the minibus taxis generally

operated a late night service.

As regards the punctuality of the service, in particular, the study findings showed punctuality

as an important factor that was significance to the overall service quality. The study findings

support the literature reviewed in chapter two and three; commuters want to utilise those

transport operators who keep their promises, particularly their promises pertaining to the

core service dimensions. In its broadest sense, reliability means that the public transport

operator will deliver on punctuality promises (Button, et al. 2001). However, interruptions

often upset timeous service delivery. As stated in the aforementioned discussion bus

organisations, in particular, tend to take into account service interruptions during the

planning phase. It is well known that maintaining a schedule may be a challenge as signal

timing, traffic congestion, traffic incidents, and other factors disrupt the expected running

timetable. All these factors have a direct bearing on the public transport industry as they can

and often do give rise to service interruptions (Gubbins, 1988 & Levinson, 2011).

Planning for efficient service becomes even more important to those bus organisations that

operate government contracts. In this instance, service interruptions may result in the bus

organisation being in breach of contract with the concomitant penalties in place.

However, it would appear that the situation is different as regards the minibus taxi industry.

In view of the informal nature of the operations, the planning and scheduling of routes is not

structured and neither is it co-ordinated through advanced planning systems. However, this

invariably tends to affect the scheduling process adversely and limits a swift response to any

service interruptions. Thus, as regards the minibus taxi industry, there are no efficient

planning systems in place to improve service and to take into account interruptions that may

occasionally occur. Unlike in the case of the bus transport, when service interruptions do

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occur, the industry is not accountable to anybody, and often not even to the passengers who

may have had their trips delayed as a result of the service interruptions. As discussed in

chapter two the industry is accountable to itself only. The industry associations are

responsible for operational planning and the rules are not always the same for the various

associations.

As a result of the lack of scheduling and planning systems, the minibus taxi industry often

finds it difficult to effect quick changes to operations in the short-term. Minibus taxi

associations could utilise planning and scheduling systems in order to maximise economic

and operational efficiencies. Such a move would be extremely important to the future

integration of the minibus taxi service, as the dominant mode of public transport, into the

formal passenger transportation system, particularly, the integration with the Rapid Transit

Systems in Johannesburg and South Africa, at large.

Predominantly, there is a need for a concerted effort by public transport organisations, and

particularly the minibus taxi industry, to learn from those other countries which have

implemented efficient scheduling and planning software systems as discussed in chapter two.

In chapter two it was shown that the Dubai municipality, for example, introduced a state–of--

the-art bus scheduling and planning system, known as MICROBUS solutions in order to

improve reliability (Shaibani, 2005). The objective of the scheduling and planning system in

Dubai was to raise the operational efficiency levels due to the increase in the number of

passengers, buses, drivers and routes. Other countries in Europe, such as in Germany, have

also implemented scheduling and planning systems that assist them to plan for any

eventuality. MICROBUS remains an important scheduling and planning system. However,

there are other systems that could be considered and that would result in the improved

reliability and punctuality of the public transport service in South Africa (Gregory, 2011). Mentor Streets® Schedule Software Suite, for example, is another planning system (a

scheduling software program) developed for transport agencies that wanted to eliminate

slow, inefficient manual processes and streamline schedule creation that should be

considered (Gregory, 2011). In Singapore, the scheduling system allows their residents to

access PublicTransport@SG website to plan their journeys (Land Transport Authority,

2013).

The following should be taken into account in an effort to further improve the perception of

the public transport service:

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• proper consultations with commuters, drivers and passenger transport

authorities;

• changes to routes and operations should use sophisticated electronic planning

and scheduling systems;

• the scheduling system should be capable of devising a roster within a short

period of time; and

• personnel should be well trained in the use of the planning tools and equipped to

respond quickly to changes in market forces.

The effective implementation of a planning and scheduling system is likely to result in the

improvements to the reliability of service, with the resultant positive impact on the

passengers’ perception of service.

As regards the communication, the study findings did not show communication as one of the

factors highly influencing perceptions of service nor did the study findings support

communications as a factor in terms of the factor analysis. However, communication is an

important variable to the overall service quality. The literature reviewed in the

aforementioned discussion, showed a need to implement ICT systems to improve

communication with passengers, and is an important consideration to South African public

transport organisations (Mashiri, et al. 2010). Some of the important communication

systems, as was discussed in chapters two and three, include time-tables, internet messaging,

smart messaging systems, terminal electronic displays, on-board communication, mobile

communications and call centres. The specific benefits of most of the ICT solutions, apart

from these solutions being a channel through which information may be shared, include

increased operational efficiency, lower costs of transacting, and increased productivity

amongst internal employees, all of which may translate into the enhancing positive

perceptions of service.

Another important factor that may result to the perception of the quality of bus transport

exceeding that of minibus taxis is the availability of timetables in the bus industry. The

factor analysis performed confirmed the availability of timetables as were explaining factor

one for both bus and minibus taxi service. The study findings showed that timetables for

both the bus and minibus taxi transport were considered as important compared with the

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other factors, such as punctuality and the timely arrival at destinations. The study findings

supported the literature reviewed in this study; timetables were found to be important to the

scheduling process because the dissemination of information to passengers is critical to the

successful operation of public transport services, and in maintaining and stimulating demand

(Mashiri, et al. 2010). Other researchers have also shown that timetables, as used by

passengers as a point of reference, are important (McGovern, 2005) and a lack of timetables

may be construed as a breaking of trust between operator and passengers. Timetables are

important because passengers interpret them as a form of contract or as a declaration of

commitment on the part of the transport organisation to provide them, as the passengers,

with certain travel services (McGovern, 2005). In addition, timetables may be utilised as a

marketing tool as they should, at least, reflect the frequency of the service on each route as

well as the fare.

Since timetables are considered as important, it is therefore concerning, as discussed in

chapter two, that the minibus taxi industry, unlike the bus transport industry, does not issue

timetables. This may also be as a result of the fact that the minibus taxi transport operates a

non-scheduled transport service. Word of mouth is more important to the minibus taxi

industry as regards the dissemination of information to passengers regarding routes and

service than the issuing of timetables, which are often seen as a cost to the minibus taxi

operations.

As regards the timely arrival at destination, the study findings showed that timely arrival at

destination is an important factor influencing the perception of service. In fact, a total of

74,79% of the variation in the data may be explained by the first three principal components,

which includes timely arrival at destination of the bus service. The study findings support the

literature reviewed in the aforementioned discussion. On the one hand, buses operate trips

from departure to destination even if there are few or even no passengers aboard while, on

the other hand, the minibus taxis do not depart until the vehicle is full, although, if they do,

they would probably pick up more passengers along the routes, especially during the off-

peak periods (Levinson, 2011). In addition, those vehicles that do pick up passengers along

the route will often transfer passengers to another vehicle and go back to the starting point

again if the vehicle reaches a certain point and it is still not full or has few passengers

aboard, this practice is commonly found in the minibus taxi industry (Arrive Alive, 2013a).

Regarding the public bus cycle, the vehicle travels from its starting location to another route

terminus, stopping at stations or stops along the route to allow passengers either to board the

vehicle or to alight from the vehicle (Levinson, 2011).

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It is essential that the correct balance be found between the number of passengers aboard and

the need to arrive at a destination on time. What is the relevance of arriving at a destination

on time if there are no passengers aboard? This has been a dilemma facing public transport

operators for some time. However, being on time brings an element of certainty to the

service while also enabling passengers to estimate their time of arrival at destinations.

However, at the same time, the public transport operator may be going bankrupt if he/she is

not operating at either full or near full capacity. From the passengers’ perspective, the ideal

service is an efficient service with few stops, characterised by high and predictable demand,

and few service reliability problems. Each passenger would like nothing more than for buses

to arrive promptly at stops, termini, and destination (Koffman, 1990), in such a way that

access and egress times are minimised (Kittelson & Associates, 2003 & Murray, 2001).

Another important factor, worth considering as it may have an impact on the timely arrival at

destination, is the length of the journey or the distance between departure and destination.

Service interruptions may increase the length of the journey as the time taken to arrive at

destination may be unacceptably high. The study findings showed that time taken to arrive

at destination is important to explaining factor one for minibus taxi service and factor two for

the bus service, meaning that timely arrival at destination is a factor influencing service for

both bus and minibus taxis. The study findings support the literature reviewed in chapter

three. In a study which was conducted in order to calculate a service quality index for bus

transport, it was established that journey length is often the cause of most of the

dissatisfaction on the part of the commuters. In other words, the majority of passengers are

often dissatisfied with the time taken by public transport to arrive at destination (Hensher &

Bullock, 2003). Journey length is important because it impacts on the well-being, health and

productivity of the passengers. According to Lovelock et al. (1987), there is a need to

publicise medical research studies that have linked the stress of commuting for hours to a

range of health problems, including high blood pressure and pulse rates, reduced mental

capacity and bad moods.

If the public transport service is not able to reduce the travelling distances between departure

and destination, it should at least consider ensuring that the vehicles are comfortable (as

discussed in the following section under service comfort) as this would improve the

conditions inside the vehicles and minimise passenger fatigue. However, commuters should

also consider living in neighbourhoods that are close to their places of work. This is

prevalent in Johannesburg where a large number of commuters live far from their places of

work for historical reasons, thus resulting in long commuting trips (South African Transport

Allied Workers Union, 2006). The average travel time to work on all the modes is 43

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minutes but, if public transport is considered on its own, the average travel time increases to

59 minutes (Arrive Alive, 2012a). Approximately 1.3-million public transport commuters

travel for longer than one hour to work or for two hours per day if the return trip is also taken

into consideration (Arrive Alive, 2012a). The spread of work and residential re-location to

the suburban areas makes a dramatic increase on the public transportation’s market share a

long-term task (Lovelock, et al. 1987). However, the residential areas should be much closer

to places of work. Such a strategy will reduce travelling distances, improve health and

productivity, and reduce environmental degradation (Lovelock, et al. 1987).

As regards adherence to the routes, it would appear from the study findings that adherence to

the routes for both bus and minibus taxi commuters are not necessarily a factor in public

transport. The literature reviewed in this discussion seemed to suggest otherwise. There are

other researchers who maintain that adherence to route is important because it improves the

predictability of public transport while it enabling passengers to plan effectively (Shaibani,

2005). From the supply side, it is important to public transport operators to maintain a

vehicle cycle that is cost-effective and which leads to an improvement in operational

efficiency.

Taking into account the above-mentioned discussion, as well as the objectives of the study –

exploring passengers’ perceptions of service – the study findings showed that the reliability

of service is an important factor that is likely to influence passengers’ perceptions of service.

Therefore, public transport organisations should take into account reliability in order to

improve service. Furthermore, those commuters who used buses more than minibus taxis,

often tended to have a high opinion of the quality of bus transport; and buses were perceived

as being more reliable than minibus taxis.

6.2.3 The Comfort of Service

Service comfort involves the availability of service aesthetics (McKnight, et al. 1986). The

aesthetics of service include the availability of seats and space (often referred to as passenger

density), smooth journeys, the availability of air-coolers, and the condition of the shelters as

discussed in chapter three (Mcknight, et al. 1986; Wardman, 2001 & Litman, 2008).

The study findings showed that, with regard to the perceived service comfort, buses were

perceived as more comfortable than minibus taxis. The factor analysis showed that factor

one may be explained by the comfort of service. Furthermore, the structural equation

modeling showed comfort as being influential and significant on the overall service quality

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of public buses. The study findings support the literature reviewed in chapter two and three.

Human factors, including the aesthetics of design, should be recognised as important

determinants of passenger satisfaction. (Farris, et al.1976). Furthermore, qualitative

dimensions of public transport may affect the welfare of individuals and their modal choices

(Litman, 2008). According to Samson & Thompson (2007), when deciding which mode of

transport to use, service comfort is one of the issues that is often taken into consideration

with it being rated as one of the top 11 key dimensions that are important to determining the

mode of transport used. These findings were also supported by other researchers (Solvoll &

Mathisen, 2010). In addition, the findings of the research study on customer satisfaction in

public transport showed that comfort of service was one of the top four factors that positively

correlated with overall satisfaction (Budiono, 2009). Service comfort is thus extremely

important to public transport and it must not be ignored as one of the service quality

dimensions.

The study findings showed seat availability is an important factor to both bus and minibus

taxis, and these findings supports the literature reviewed in the preceding discussion. The

literature discusses seat availability as one of the variables of service comfort and indicates

that the seat availability should be displayed on public transport vehicles, on the electronic

information boards at bus and minibus taxi ranks, and at bus stops.

In addition, the load factor may play an important role to controlling the seat availability by

ensuring that vehicles are not uncomfortably full. The load factor, as discussed in chapter

two of this study, is the percentage of a vehicle’s total capacity that is actually occupied

(City of Johannesburg, 2006).

The load factor is intended to improve the comfort of the journey while also minimising the

possibility of the vehicle capacity being exceeded or overloading. At a 100% load factor, the

vehicle is filled to its recommended maximum capacity. However, at 100% capacity, small

system delays or inefficiencies may result in severely overcrowded conditions. Such

conditions are not only uncomfortable for the passengers, but may also have negative

consequences for operations. The BRT (Rea Vaya) operates on a load factor ranging

between 70% and 80% during peak periods in order to avoid overcrowding and to increase

comfort while, in the Bogotá TransMilenio system, typical load factors are 80% for peak

periods and 70% for non-peak periods (City of Johannesburg, 2006).

However, it is evident that the Rea Vaya buses in Johannesburg operate at near capacity

during peak periods with 95% of the Rea Vaya trunk route capacity being utilised during

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peak hours. In other words, buses are always extremely full between 7am and 8am in the

morning and after 4pm in the afternoons because these are the times when most passengers

prefer to catch a bus so as to arrive just in time for work or to leave for home immediately

after work (Rea Vaya, 2012 & McCaul, 2012). The fact that buses in Johannesburg operate

at almost near capacity, thus causing discomfort to passengers, suggest a need to increase the

capacity or bus frequency especially during peak hours.

It emerged from the study findings that the condition of the bus shelters was somewhat less a

factor for the bus commuters than for the minibus taxi commuters. The factor analysis

showed bus shelters as not rated highly as a factor to commuters compared to minibus taxi

commuters. This means that minibus taxi commuters considers shelters at ranks a factor

influencing service quality that needs to be taken into account. The study findings support

the literature reviewed in chapter two. As discussed in chapter two, the continuous

refurbishment of bus shelters, either at ranks or along the routes, has continued for decades

to attract private sector investment. Gandhi Square Bus Terminal and bus shelters along the

routes in Johannesburg, for example, were upgraded with the assistance of the private sector

(Johannesburg Metropolitan Bus, 2005b).

However, this is not the case as regards the minibus taxi ranks and shelters at taxi ranks. As a

result, it is understandable why minibus taxi commuters would consider shelters at ranks an

important factor. In fact, the minibus taxis have no access to shelters along the routes as they

stop anywhere it is most convenience. Nevertheless, local municipalities, particularly in

Johannesburg, have been building new minibus taxi ranks and upgrading the existing ones,

for example, the minibus taxi ranks in Bree Street, Wanderers and Noord (City of

Johannesburg, 2006). Notwithstanding the failed attempts at Bree Street terminal, not much

else seems to have been done to address the integration of the infrastructure for bus and

minibus taxis in Johannesburg.

Government requires private sector investment so as to be able to continue to refurbish and

build public transport infrastructure. Public transport infrastructure programmes that include

a maintenance plan should be encouraged and supported. For example it is stated that, over

the twenty-year period 1964 to 1984, US$45-billion worth of road infrastructure assets were

lost in eighty-five developing countries as a result of inadequate maintenance (World Bank,

1996). In addition, every rand’s worth of essential maintenance which is postponed increases

the costs of operating a vehicle by more than R25 (World Bank, 1996).

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This postponed maintenance also ultimately increase the costs incurred by the road agencies.

The BRT, Gautrain and Motorway Tolling, particularly in Johannesburg are all examples of

public transport programmes that are financed both by government and by the private sector.

However, it is essential that the financial model be well structured so as to lessen the burden

on the citizens in order to focus on other urgent socio-economic needs. A failure to prioritise

the socio-economic needs of the citizens in favour of costly public transport programmes

will result in unhappiness because of the knock-on effect which these projects have on the

economy.

The literature review showed that it is imperative that public transport operators find a

solution to satisfy the needs of those commuters who are seeking individuality, comfort and

mobility. Private motor cars have many features that guarantee the comfort and convenience

of passengers while a high degree of comfort will increase both the satisfaction and the

safety of passengers. Comfort may be used as a unique selling proposition for a public

transport service. In addition, increased comfort may also improve health, the environmental

situation on-board in terms of the conditions, as well as productivity at the workplace

(Lovelock, et al. 1987). When deciding which mode of transport to use, passengers tend to

take comfort into account (Samson & Thompson, 2007). In addition, service comfort was

rated as one of the top 11 key dimensions that are important to determining the mode of

transport used (Solvoll, et al. 2010). In another study, it was found that comfort of service

was one of the top four factors that positively correlated with overall satisfaction (Budiono,

2009).

Taking into account the above-mentioned discussion, as well as the objectives of the study-

exploring passengers’ perceptions of service, the study findings showed that, with regards to

the perceived service comfort, buses were perceived as more comfortable than minibus taxis.

In addition, the comfort of service is important as it is likely to affects the passengers’

perception of service for both bus and minibus taxis. Furthermore, the Structural Equation

Modeling showed comfort as being influential and significant on the overall service quality

of public buses. Therefore, public transport organisations should take into account comfort

in order to improve service.

6.2.4 The Extent of Service

The extent of service often includes service availability, the extent to which a public

transport mode take commuters to their exact destinations, and the friendliness of the

frontline staff (McKnight, et al. 1986). Public transport accessibility and availability are

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both important. The availability of service refers to the availability of a transport service on

weekdays, evenings, weekends and public holidays. Public transport accessibility is about

commuter’s ability to get to and from places - it is about enabling access” (Public Transport

Victoria, 2013: 1).

The extent of service involves taking passengers to their direct location (with no transfers

involved); the availability of service during the day (peak and off-peak), in the evenings,

over weekends, and on public holidays; and driver friendliness (McKnight, et al. 1986).

Extent of service was found to be one of the top five important factors that correlate

positively with the perception of service on the part of both bus and minibus commuters.

Taking passengers to their exact destination appeared to be more important than the

availability of the service for bus commuters. Furthermore, driver friendliness was an

important factor to both bus and minibus taxi commuters. Structural equation modeling

showed the extent of service as being influential and significance on the overall service

quality that the public buses and minibus taxis provided. Factor analysis showed that for

minibus taxis, availability of service in the evenings and on public holidays are factors that

influence service, while availability of service for buses on weekdays was considered

important. The study findings support the literature reviewed in the preceding discussion.

Taking passengers either to their exact destinations or as close to their destination as possible

is an important factor considered by the commuters. In addition, this should be done

timeously, safely and with minimum discomfort to the passenger. As discussed in chapter

two of this study, one of the challenges with the existing public transport system in

Johannesburg, is the lack of proper public transport integration, thereby putting further strain

on the already stressed commuters, who have either to transfer or to walk to reach their final

destinations, often at additional cost. The optimisation problem in public transport remains

an issue that needs to be addressed (Farris, et al.1976 & McKnight, et al. 1986). It is

essential that the shortest path through the network be identified (by both the commuters and

the public transport providers) in order to minimise the costs of travelling, on the one hand,

and, on the other hand, to determine the minimum cost of the potential flows in the network

as a whole, given the patterns and destinations. The network should also take into account

the maximisation of the user’s welfare instead of the maximisation of profits – a trend which

is prevalent in the privately owned networks.

In order to address the integration and the optimisation problem, the BRT Rea Vaya was

therefore designed to change the routeing of the SPTN and the ICDS (City of Johannesburg,

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2006). The BRT system was planned in such a way so as to ensure the full integration of Rea

Vaya with the Gautrain and the Metrorail systems and, despite the fact that this integration

has not taken place, a significant opportunity does still exist.

Furthermore, as long as passengers are required to transfer from one mode to another in

order to reach their final destinations, the efficiency of the system will remain an elusive

dream. It would appear that the integration of BRT with other modes of transport is still far

in the future while such integration would depend upon on-going investment in BRT so as to

be able to complete the project. Accordingly, a lack of investment may mean that the full

potential of BRT may never materialise. It is critical to the success of BRT in that the system

should enable passengers to access their destinations without having to transfer between

vehicles and Johannesburg should have a single, road-based public transport system that

would enable commuters to travel further without transfers and additional costs. However,

this objective has not been adequately achieved, as this should have been implemented

during phase 1 of the BRT project together with the circulation routes under the ICDS to

provide a wide range of inner-city network coverage (McCaul, 2012).

As regards the availability of service, the study findings revealed the availability of service

in the evenings and on public holidays as being relevant factors that influence passengers’

perceptions of the minibus taxi service, while the availability of service on weekdays was

perceived as being important to influencing the passengers’ perceptions of the bus service.

The literature reviewed in the aforementioned discussion showed that in a study that was

conducted on the availability of service, it was revealed that frequency of service was related

to positive satisfaction with the availability of public transport having a positive effect on the

demand. In other words, commuters would be likely to increase their utilisation of the

service as a result of the increased availability of the service, especially in the evenings

(Hensher, et al. 2003).

Therefore, it is essential that public transport organisations consider various options as

regards the expansion or contraction of the service offered as well as alterations to and new

uses for the existing service offering. Large fluctuations in demand, congestion and

insufficient priority measures will often force the introduction of peak and off peak running

times. High frequencies would offset some of the disadvantage in the peak running times

but, outside of peak periods, a fixed-minute (clock face) timetable should be the norm.

Routes that are not operated in large parts of the general service period (peak services, night

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services) should not be included in the main network structure but dealt with as part of the

supplementary access service (Nielsen, et al. 2008)

As regards the availability and frequency of BRT service, the Rea Vaya operates at the

following frequencies:

Table 6-1: Frequency of the BRT Rea Vaya service in minutes

Service Peak Off-peak

Trunk Soweto–CBD 3 10

Soweto–CBD

complementary route

5 15

Feeder routes 5, 10 or 15 30

Local complementary

routes

10 or 15 15 or 20

Source: McCaul (2012: 9)

As discussed in chapter two of this study, the Rea Vaya service hours are as follows: the first

bus (weekdays) is at 04:50 a.m. and the last bus is at 22:00. Over the weekends, the first bus

is at 05:15 on Saturday and 06:00 on Sunday while the last bus is at 19:00 on both days

(Saturdays and Sundays) (McCaul, 2012 & Rea Vaya, 2012).

The Sunday services do not operate in the same way as the weekday and Saturday services.

The number of passengers travelling on Sundays is approximately 10% of the number of

passengers travelling on weekdays and, thus, Rea Vaya operates at 30-minute intervals only

on Sundays. It should, thus, not be necessary for passengers to wait for longer than 30

minutes if they arrive at a stop or station just after the previous bus has departed (Rea Vaya,

2012).

The Rea Vaya operating times are an improvement on the previous EMME/2 model in terms

of both availability and frequency. However, in view of the fact that the Rea Vaya system

lacks efficient integration with other modes of transport, such as the minibus taxis, there is

no feeder service that supplements these operating times, particularly in the evenings. During

the day, there are both buses and minibus taxis that commuters may use to reach their final

destinations, albeit at additional costs. However, these buses and minibus taxis often

compete with the Rea Vaya instead of providing a feeder service.

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While taking into account the integration and optimisation of service, as well as improving

the frequency of service, it is important that the customer service is not compromised.

Public transport drivers provide a service to commuters.

Therefore, the study findings showed that driver friendliness is one of the important factors

that correlate highly with the perception of service of the bus and minibus taxi commuters.

The study findings support the literature reviewed in the preceding chapters. The public

transport personnel are at the front line of the service business and, therefore, the quality of

service, as perceived by the commuters, tends to be based on the conduct, behaviour and

attitude of the public transport personnel. Bus and minibus taxi drivers are the face of the

service and their conduct, behaviour, and attitude should be acceptable. Compulsory

customer service training for drivers would be one method of improving friendliness with

this training being even more critical for the minibus taxi drivers than for the bus drivers. As

a result, there is an urgent need for training and testing programme for minibus taxi drivers

(New South Wales, 2010). This training and testing program could include the following:

• A language assessment for the driver. This assessment should be satisfactorily

completed prior to commencing training.

• Enrolment in TaxiCare Plus, a Certificate 3 Course, at a Vocational Education

and Training Accreditation Board (VETAB) accredited taxi training school.

• Study modules 1 to 3 of TaxiCare Plus (Introduction, Localities and Routes and

Rules and Regulations).

• Complete the Knowledge Test (Street Knowledge, Major Routes, Locations and

Destinations, Regulations and a practical Street Directory test).

• Study modules 4 to 8 of TaxiCare Plus at the training school (Customer Care,

Driver Safety, Taxi Driving Skills, Driver Health and Stress Management and

Passengers with special needs).

• Assessment of Modules 4 to 8 is conducted by the training school.

• Taxi assimilation (an on-road assessment of the required skills of the taxi driver

by the training school).

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In addition, new minibus taxi drivers' PrDPs should expire 12 months after the date of initial

issue (New South Wales, 2010) and, in order to renew a PrDP, the holder of the PrDP should

be required to complete the TaxiCare Plus Silver Certificate. According to NWS (2010), in

order to fulfil this requirement in the set time the PrDP holder should:

• Enrol in the TaxiCare Plus Silver Level training course within two months of

the issuing of the initial driver authority.

• Provide a written log book (issued on completion of the Silver Certificate) to a

school (indicating that the driving shifts undertaken are equivalent to 1 per week

for a period of 48 weeks).

• Sign a declaration regarding criminal offences.

• Sign a declaration regarding traffic offences.

• Complete another road practical test, conducted by a training school.

• Supply a copy of his/her driver's licence and a photograph.

If the commuters are not satisfied with driver friendliness or behaviour, they should

complain. As regards addressing passenger complaints, public transport organisations should

consider the establishment of an effective national call centre capable of capturing and

appropriately dealing with passenger complaints. The objective of the call centre should be

to create a channel for passengers to lodge both their complaints and their compliments

about driver behaviour and general service (Bolani, 2010). However, at present, it is not

clear how drivers would be disciplined or held accountable or who should pay for the

aforementioned training, particularly of those working as drivers in the minibus taxi

industry. The industry should be more vocal in promoting such a call centre.

As regards the BRT Rea Vaya service in terms of driver friendliness and behaviour, both the

passengers and the City of Johannesburg have been extremely concerned about the

behaviour of the bus drivers, particularly in view of the City’s commitment to providing a

quality public transport service. There is, thus, an urgent need to ensure that drivers are

properly trained while driver behaviour should be monitored on a regular basis (Rea Vaya,

2012).

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Taking into account the above-mentioned discussion, as well as the objectives of the study –

exploring passengers’ perceptions of service –the study findings showed that, with regards to

the perceived extent of service, taking passengers to their exact destination appeared to be

more important than the availability of the service for bus commuters. Furthermore, driver

friendliness was an important factor to both bus and minibus taxi commuters. Structural

equation modelling showed the extent of service as being influential and significance on the

overall service quality that the public buses and minibus taxis provided. Factor analysis

showed that for minibus taxis, availability of service in the evenings and on public holidays

are factors that influence service, while availability of service for buses on weekdays was

considered important. Therefore, public transport organisations should take into account the

extent of service in order to improve service. The convenience of service is important and is,

in fact, the key to increasing the number of public transport users (Ahmad, 2010). Increasing

the frequency of service or other activities that have the effect of expanding the quantity of

service offered is important (Farris, et al. 1976; Federal Highway Administration, 2006 &

Brithaupt and Limanond, 2006).

6.2.5 The Safety of Service

Safety of service involves the number of accidents related to a transport mode, particularly

the passengers’ fears that they are more likely to be involved in an accident as a result of

using a particular transportation mode; the condition of vehicles; driving behaviour; and

obeying the rules of the road (McKnight, et al. 1986).

Regarding the safety of service, the study findings showed that buses were perceived to be

safer than minibus taxis. The factor analysis further revealed the importance of safety as a

factor in passengers’ perception of service for both bus and minibus taxi commuters.

Structural equation modelling revealed safety as being significant and influential on the

overall service quality that the public buses provided. The study findings support the

literature reviewed in the aforementioned discussion. The literature reviewed shows that

safety should be viewed from three equally important perspectives, namely, safety of

commuters, safety of drivers, and safety of buses and minibus taxis (McKnight, et al. 1986).

The safety of the service is such an important factor to all commuters that it merits the

rigorous attention of all the public transport stakeholders. Public transport authorities,

working together with other interested stakeholders in the industry, have been developing

plans that have, however, done very little to drastically improve the safety of public transport

(McGovern, 2005).

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Public transport safety should be addressed with the diligence and exigency that it requires.

If the issue of safety is not seriously addressed, commuters are likely to resort to using

private motor cars. Other research studies have revealed that commuters find it difficult to

feel completely safe in any mode of public transport; while there was a general consensus

that private transport provided the greatest sense of safety for those commuters who

considered safety to be a priority with many of the commuters contemplating public

transport expressing negative opinions about the safety of public transport (McGovern,

2005).

In addition, it would appear that the profiteering nature of the public transport industry

contributes to the general lack of safety. The minibus taxi service, in particular, is mainly

driven by the maximisation of revenue and the minimisation of costs. This, in turn, often

translates into passenger overloading, wars between minibus taxi associations, and a general

failure on the part of the drivers to observe the traffic rules. The latter finding is supported by

other researchers, for example, it has been stated that “the minibus taxis gets most people to

their destination, sometimes in record time and at the expense of other road users, but it also

kills many users” (Govender, et al. 2006: 106).

It is essential that traffic officials and other law enforcement agencies enforce traffic laws

strictly and monitor compliance more effectively; while the public transport authorities

should create an environment that makes non-adherence to traffic laws difficult. In addition,

one of the most effective ways of controlling safety levels may be by self-regulation. For

example, in Germany, the Traffic Safety Council promoted the establishment of voluntary

safety circles where employees from the transport organisation met to discuss critical safety

points and devise solutions (World Bank, 2006). In addition, other safety programmes that

have worked in other countries should be considered; these programmes include driver

training programmes, incentive schemes, penalties, accident reviews, driver monitoring

systems, and driver feedback procedures.

A dedicated national task team that focuses on public bus and minibus taxi safety should be

established, perhaps in the form of the Traffic Safety Council adopted in Germany.

However, if it were to be successful, there would have to be decisive action on the part of the

local transport authorities. Heavy penalties should be imposed on offenders who do not

observe the traffic laws while drivers and owners should be held jointly and severally

responsible for passenger safety. The owner of the vehicle, in particular, should have to

prove that he/she did everything necessary to reduce the risks of accidents, including

providing proof that drivers have been attending regular training. As discussed in chapter

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three of this study, the rationale behind this strategy is the fact that public transport operators

are responsible both for the mechanical maintenance of their buses and minibus taxis and for

the actions of the drivers over which they exercise control (McKnight, et al. 1986).

The condition of the vehicles is another important factor in respect of safety of service. The

condition of the buses and minibus taxis emerged from this study as an important factor that

correlates with the consumer’s perception of service, and these findings supports the

literature reviewed in the preceding discussion. Several of the many minibus taxis are unsafe,

poorly maintained and prone to accidents; while others are old and in poor condition, thus,

contributing to the high rate of accidents (Ntuli, 2005). Although there is constant attention

to the roadworthiness of buses; it does not appear that there is the same attention given to

minibus taxis.

However, the minibus taxi recapitalisation programme is a step towards achieving the

roadworthiness of minibus taxis, in particular. Through the minibus taxi Recap Project, as it

is often called, government is attempting to overcome the problem of an ageing minibus taxi

fleet in the transportation system. According to Arrive Alive (2011a & 2013a), the minibus

taxi Recap Project represents a comprehensive re-engineering of the minibus taxi industry

with two major outcomes:

• The systematic introduction of safe and comfortable vehicles for minibus taxi

commuters through scrapping allowance which will be an incentive for minibus

taxi operators to hand in, on a voluntary basis, the very old vehicles for

decommissioning; and

• The economic empowerment of the minibus taxi industry through a package of

business opportunities through which the minibus taxi Recap Project is

affording the industry an opportunity to participate nationally through the

SANTACO structures, as well as at the level of the provincial co-operatives

(Arrive Alive, 2011a).

A safe vehicle is more likely to attract commuters than an unsafe and poorly maintained

vehicle. This is especially true in a highly competitive market (Maunder, et al. 1999). It is

therefore essential that operators understand that vehicle maintenance is a sound effective

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business practice, which can minimise vehicle downtime and costly time-consuming

breakdowns whilst in service.

Furthermore, crash statistics have shown that the human factor contributed to 82,85% of the

fatal crashes during 2009, the vehicle factor to 9,13%, and road and environmental factors

8,02% (Road Traffic Management Corporation, 2009). Other researchers support these

findings – minibus taxi drivers, rushing their fares to destinations as quickly as possible in

order to maximise returns, are often seen as the most dangerous drivers on the road, ducking

wildly from lane to lane and stopping without warning whenever a passenger wishes either

to climb on or off (Ntuli, 2005). However, government efforts to transform the minibus taxi

industry have met with limited success, and the sector’s blatant disregard of laws and

regulations continues with dangerous vehicles, overloading, and reckless driving remaining

its trade marks (Arrive Alive, 2011b).

The TRL research on the safety of public transport services in Nepal and India, for example,

discovered that the most likely causes of bus accidents may be categorised as vehicle

condition and driver attitude (Maunder, et al. 1999). It is, therefore, important that transport

organisations ensure their vehicles are roadworthy and clean, free of oil leaks, greasy seats,

rusty bodies, and exhaust fumes; and that their drivers are well trained in customer service so

as to improve their behaviour and, most importantly, change their attitude.

However, passengers are also responsible for the high rate of accidents when they

themselves demand to be dropped off and loaded anywhere, even where it is dangerous to do

so. It is, essential, that passengers and drivers collaborate so as to improve safety. The

customer service charter should be formulated in order to communicate specific service

commitments and expectations. This charter should be placed inside each public transport

vehicle, and both passengers and drivers should commit to adhere strictly to the charter.

Public transport drivers require training on customer service and, as discussed in chapter

two, they should undergo a comprehensive screening process before being employed. Once

employed, they must be subjected to stringent driver tests on an on-going basis so as to

improve driving behaviour. As difficult as it may be to change behaviour, it is essential that

programmes that support good behaviour be initiated and implemented (New South Wales,

2010).

There is also a need to develop a campaign designed to improve driver knowledge of the

Road Traffic laws. Drivers should attend refresher courses every year and they receive

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certificates for displaying a sound knowledge of the law. The minibus taxi awards, which are

coordinated by the Department of Transport, encourage professionalism, safety and

efficiency in this sector (Arrive Alive, 2011a).

With the introduction of the Administration Adjudication of Road Traffic Offences Act

(AARTO), it is envisaged that there will be increased compliance to the law in the future,

despite other possible, unintended consequences, such as increased bribery (Moss, 2010).

As regards the other service dimensions, the study findings showed that, on the one hand, the

passengers’ perceptions of the rate of accidents were less important as a factor to public

transport. On the other hand, obeying the rules of the road, driving skills of drivers, and fear of

sustaining injuries were all factors considered as important to both bus and minibus taxis. The

study findings support the literature reviewed in chapter three. The literature showed that the

most frequent causes of bus accidents, in particular, include poor driver behaviour, poor

behaviour on the part of other road users and the mechanical condition of buses. However, the

overriding factor that needs to be addressed is how to improve bus driver behaviour. The BRT

Rea Vaya in Johannesburg is also concerned about driver behaviour in terms of the skills as well

as obeying the rules of the road (Maunder, et al. 1999 & Rea Vaya, 2012). Addressing these

factors may increase costs but is likely to be less expensive in the longer term as compared to

the cost of human tragedy, vehicle replacement and other third-party costs. It is essential that

owners and operators be encouraged to maintain their vehicles to a much higher standard than

the present standard in order to minimise, amongst others, the rate of accidents and instil

comfort to passengers (Maunder, et al. 1999).

Taking into account the above-mentioned discussion, as well as the objectives of the study –

exploring passengers’ perceptions of service – the study findings showed that, with regards to

the perceived safety of service, buses were perceived to be safer than minibus taxis. The factor

analysis further revealed the importance of safety as a factor in passengers’ perception of

service for both bus and minibus taxi commuters. Structural Equation Modelling revealed safety

as being significance and influential on the overall service quality that the public buses

provided. The condition of the buses and minibus taxis emerged from this study as an

important factor that correlates with the consumer’s perception of service. Therefore, public

transport organisations should take into account safety in order to improve service.

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6.2.6 The Affordability of Service

Service affordability involves value for money and the fares charged by the public transport

modes (McKnight, et al. 1986).

The study findings showed that buses were perceived to be more affordable than minibus

taxis. The factor analysis further showed the affordability of service as an important factor

influencing the perceptions of bus and minibus taxi commuters, as may be explained by

factor one in both instances. The Structural Equation Modelling showed the affordability as

being significance and influential on the overall service quality for minibus taxis. The study

findings support the literature reviewed in chapter two and three. Minibus taxi fares are

normally a flat rate and higher than the conventional parallel public transport mode which is

either the bus and/or the train (Freeman, Ngcoya & Chapman, 1990).

Other researchers agree that the bus service is more affordable than other modes of public

road transport (International Association of Public Transport, 2011; South African Bus

Operators Association, 2011). In addition, BRT provides cost advantages of road-based

public transport (City of Johannesburg, 2006; 2012 & McCaul, 2012). The efficiencies

which resulted from the development of a unified network, dedicated infrastructure, and

increased passenger numbers has led to fare savings for the commuter. Outside of the BRT

system, many passengers are forced to pay multiple fares for a single destination as several

transfers are sometimes necessary. The BRT system uses a distance-based fare structure.

However, the cost increment for distances is relatively modest in order to ensure that low-

income families living on the periphery of the city are not disadvantaged (McCaul, 2012).

The literature review showed that minibus taxi associations determine and regulate their own

fares without any involvement on the part of the transport authorities. This practice has been

in place since the deregulation of the minibus taxi industry in 1987 (Arrive Alive, 2011a).

The efforts of the transport authorities to regulate this industry have met with little success,

leaving passengers often dissatisfied with the minibus taxi fares.

The minibus taxi industry does not appear to apply economic models in arriving at the

correct fare, which is based on the economics of demand and supply. Nevertheless,

economic models have been developed to assist arriving at the correct fares – fares that

would have less impact to the disposable income of the commuters, and models that take into

account equity and efficiency (Tomazinis, 1975; Farris, et al.1976; Centre for Scientific and

Industrial Research, 2000; Button, et al. 2001; City of Johannesburg, 2003a; 2003b & Meyer

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& Onyango, 2005). In addition, it is essential that a fare/income ratio be calculated in order

to address the escalation of fares. The average monthly wage for the population of the area

served by public transport may be of some use in determining the affordability of the public

transport fares (World Bank, 2006). However, it is imperative that the correct balance be

found between service and fares charged. Accordingly, the public transport industry should

utilise pricing models in order to achieve a balance between service and fares, and take into

account the trade-off between equity and efficiency.

Taking into account the above-mentioned discussion, as well as the objectives of the study-

exploring passengers’ perceptions of service, the study findings showed that, with regards to

the perceived affordability of service, buses were perceived to be more affordable than

minibus taxis. The factor analysis further showed the affordability of service as an important

factor influencing the perceptions of bus and minibus taxi commuters, as may be explained

by factor one in both instances. The Structural Equation Modelling showed the affordability

as being significant and influential on the overall service quality for minibus taxis. As a

result, public transport organisations should take into account affordability in order to

improve service.

6.3 Market Structure and Demand for Public Transport

The discussion above focused on the passengers’ perceptions of service quality in order to

meet the first objective of the study, that is, to explore passengers’ perceptions of the bus and

minibus taxi services in terms of the service quality dimensions of McKnight et al. (1986),

namely, reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety; and affordability (RECSA). This

section, consequently discusses the extent to which service quality dimensions influence the

demand for passenger transport in order to meet the second objectives of this study.

The study findings showed that for each individual scale (RECSA) and mode of transport

(buses and minibus taxis), the perceived quality of the mode of transport is strongly

associated with the intention to continue using that mode of transport in the future, thus

impacting the demand for public transport. Table 6-2 depicts the use of Spearman’s rank

correlation coefficient to measure the association between each of the individual scales, and

the self-stated intention of the respondents of whether to continue using at particular method

of transport in the future.

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Table 6-2: Association of scales

Buses Taxis

Reliability 0,59* 0,66*

Comfort 0,26* 0,57*

Service 0,39* 0,59*

Safety 0,48* 0,73*

Affordability 0,51* 0,61*

PSQ Index 0,66* 0,79*

Furthermore, the factor analysis showed the service quality dimensions (affordability, safety,

availability, and comfort) as important factors to using public bus transport in the future,

whereas safety and comfort may be essential factors to using minibus taxis in the future. The

study findings support the literature reviewed in chapter three as discussed below.

A better understanding of the demand for public transport is vital to the provision of an

efficient and reliable service (El-Geneidy, et al. 2004). The service quality dimensions of a

public transportation system are intrinsically associated with the extent to which the services

of the system are considered desirable and, therefore, usable from the point of view of the

consumers (Tomazinis, 1975).

Unless the service supply profile matches over time and over space with the profile of the

demand for service, but also includes the requirement that the services produced meet the

quality characteristics that the commuters desire, the commuters will not use the service of

the system. In such cases, there is the paradox of a system that is most efficient from the

operator’s point of view, but is both heading toward bankruptcy and being castigated by its

users and would-be users as being completely inefficient from their points of view.

From the passengers’ perspective, the ideal service that is likely to increase demand is an

efficient service with few stops, characterised by high and predictable demand, and few

service reliability problems. As discussed in the preceding discussion, each passenger would

like nothing more than for buses, for example, to arrive timeously at stops and termini that

are conveniently located (Koffman, 1990), so that that access and egress times are minimised

(Murray, 2001 & Kittelson, et al. 2003). As regards the Rea Vaya, there are a sufficient

number of stops and the average distance between the Rea Vaya stations is approximately

500 metres (City of Johannesburg, 2006).

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A major incentive for the increased demand of public transport should be the on-board

experience of travelling. Thus, service comfort (an important factor to the future utilisation

of service) plays an important role to ensuring that passengers enjoy their journeys, if public

road transport in particular is to compete effectively with the private motor vehicle; it is also

essential that the aesthetics of public transport should be improved (Mashiri, et al. 2010).

Public transport accessibility and availability, discussed in chapter three, are important

factors to the demand for public transport, and when used as a marketing tool, the schedule

of an operator correlates operator capacity to commuter needs. The result is the optimisation

of the service offering that, in turn, increases passenger demand (Farris, et al.1976). As

regards the Rea Vaya service, on a normal weekday, the Rea Vaya operations have improved

the availability of public bus transport (McCaul, 2012).

In order to realise a high degree of safety –as it is important to the demand for public

transport – it is essential that all three of the following areas work together smoothly and

efficiently, namely, safety of passengers, safety of drivers, and safety of vehicles (McKnight,

et al. 1986). It is not possible by one individual to bring about improvements in safety – this

exercise should be a collective responsibility and a collective spirit is required of all those

involved. The convenience, status, and security of the private motor car represent formidable

quality standards as compared to any public transport service and several motor car users

would, probably, not use public transport regardless of the quality of the system.

Accordingly, it is imperative that the marketing of the public transport services be both

strategic and tactical because the private motor car offers most of the service quality

dimensions not found in public transport (Mashiri, et al. 2010).

As regards the affordability of the service, which is a factor in the future utilisation of

service, the literature reviewed in the preceding chapters showed that the BRT service has

been successful in offering a highly affordable service that is faster than that of private motor

cars travelling in mixed traffic lanes. The average distance previously driven by the car users

per trip was 18,6 km (McCaul, 2012). The first phase of the BRT system (phase 1A) aimed

to capture 10 to 20% of its customer base from the car users (McCaul, 2012), evidence

shows that after the implementation of BRT in Johannesburg, 11% of the Rea Vaya

passengers had formerly been private motor car users; 63% minibus taxi users; 17% train

users; and 8% bus users (McCaul, 2012). This statistics effectively signals to the much

increased demand for the bus service, and could be a valuable future study.

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To improve demand, the public transport organisations should strive for a better

understanding of public transport demand management. These organisations should utilise

advanced and sophisticated systems in order to plan and predict demand for the service,

while taking into account the many demand curves that exist in the industry, arising from the

oligopolistic nature of public transport.

One of the biggest challenges facing public transport is that commuters perceive commuting

by public transport as the activity of the poor class in society. Accordingly, there is a need to

implement an effective marketing campaign that is aimed at:

• Promoting passenger transport services;

• Eliminating the ignominy associated with passenger transport;

• Opening up access to private motor cars users; who should be prepared to use

public transport because it provides all the necessities and the comfort they

require;

• Ensuring it is reliable, safe, affordable and available

Social marketing programs could be of value as information instruments in support of

transportation demand management (TDM) policies. Such programs can function as an

effective channel of communication in building dialogue and garnering wider public support

of demand management policy and in delivering important transportation messages directly

to commuters (McGovern, 2005).

The literature review showed that traditionally, marketing has not played a major role in the

management of most public service sectors. However, marketing is fundamental to the

public transport sector as a result of the characteristics inherent in the mobility services. If

the transport product consists of a ride between two points, the design of the vehicle and the

facilities, as well as ticketing, information, and behaviour, may influence the mode of

transport chosen (International Association of Public Transport, 2011). Thus, understanding

the behaviour of commuters, especially as regards their choice of mode is important to

modelling optimal strategies for public transport management. Commuter mode choice is

based on the theory of discrete choice models, which describes individuals’ choices between

competing alternatives. The hypothesis underlying the discrete choice models states that

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when, faced with a choice situation, an individual’s preference as regards each alternative

may be described by a utility measure associated with each alternative (Bingfeng, et al.

2007).

Thus, the key to increasing demand for public transport is to ensure consideration of the

service quality factors influencing the demand for public transport use, and to ensure that the

service is continuously improved and is also perceived to have been improved, relative to the

alternative of travelling by private motor car. Simultaneous improvements to both motor car

and public transport travel are not likely to result in an increase in the public transport mode

share.

Taking into account the above-mentioned discussion, as well as the objectives of the study –

the extent to which service quality dimensions influence the demand for passenger transport

–the conclusion may, thus, be drawn that it would be possible to improve the current use of

the public transport system through behaviour change and through improvements to comfort,

availability, safety, affordability of the bus service, and improvements to safety and comfort

of the minibus taxi service as these were important factors to public transport future

utilisation.

6.4 Importance of Service Quality Dimensions

The study findings showed summary statistics in respect of the importance attached to each

of the five dimensions of quality of service, on a scale of 1 (less important) to 5 (very

important). All five service quality dimensions, namely, reliability, extent, comfort, safety,

and the affordability of service were considered as important service quality dimensions to

public buses and minibus taxis. Both the factor analysis and structural equation modelling

confirmed this; the factor analysis showed the service quality dimensions (reliability, extent,

comfort, safety, and affordability) as being important factors to the bus service and the

minibus taxi service. The study findings supports the literature reviewed in chapter two and

three, as shown the following discussion.

Other researchers, who conducted a study on the public transport services in Oradea, support

these findings. In this study in Oradea, it was established that, amongst others, safety and

reliability were the important dimension of public transport services in Oradea. This was

evaluated on a scale ranging from 1 to 5, from not important to major importance with the

score of the most important characteristic being 4,33 (Simona, 2010). The study findings are

also supported by the findings of the other researchers (Budiono, 2009). In this latter study

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conducted on the overall customer satisfaction with public transport, the factor analysis

grouped fourteen specific service quality dimensions into two factors, namely, the functional

factors focusing on variables such as reliability, punctuality, and so forth and the soft factor

focusing on comfort. Both the functional quality factors and the soft quality factors

demonstrated a significant effect on the overall customer satisfaction with public transport.

In addition, comfort of service was one of the top four factors that positively correlated with

overall satisfaction (Budiono, 2009).

According to Tomazinis (1975), the dimensions of quality may further be divided into two

groups. The first group is associated primarily with short range considerations in forming

trip patterns. This group includes quality dimensions such as convenience of getting to and

from the vehicle, comfort in riding (such as finding a seat), and frequency of service.

From the point of view of the commuter, the second group of quality dimensions for urban

transportation systems is pervasive in nature, with pronounced, long-range, delayed impact

on ridership patterns and modal choices. Among such dimensions, the reliability of the

system as regards its current and long range performance often received the highest rating,

followed by the availability of service.

Taking the aforementioned into account, it is, thus, clear that a focus on improving the

service quality variables may yield the desired positive results as regards attracting new users

and retain existing ones. It is, thus, important that more attention be paid to the functional

and soft factors, as demonstrated in this study and supported by other researchers (Budiono,

2009 & Simona, 2010) in order to improve and develop attractive and marketable public

transport. Commuters choose the mode of transport that delivers on the important

dimensions as perceived by them. A passenger transport service that delivers on these

dimensions is also likely to increase the future demand for its service, as stated in the

preceding discussion. However, public transport organisations should understand that if

passengers are dissatisfied with the service quality of one particular transport provider,

theoretically they would not be able to switch to alternatives instantaneously without severe

discomfort in the short-term as a result of the inelastic nature of demand as discussed in this

study (Taxan, 2007). However, according to Texan (2007), in the medium to long term,

switching modes is significantly more practical and feasible.

Taking into account the above-mentioned discussion, as well as the objectives of the study-

the importance of service quality dimensions, the study findings provided essential

information as to the important service quality dimensions in public transport. As stated in

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the aforementioned discussion, all five service quality dimensions, namely, reliability,

extent, comfort, safety, and the affordability of service were considered as important service

quality dimensions to public buses and minibus taxis.

6.5 Conclusion

This chapter discussed the research findings as they relate to the study objectives. The focus

of public transport should be the provision of service that aims both to meet and to exceed

the expectations of commuters, thus maximising their satisfaction and minimising their

dissatisfaction. This chapter discussed the passengers’ perceptions of service. The discussion

was based on the study findings and the literature reviewed in chapter two and three of this

study.

As regards the study findings, the PSQ index showed that buses were perceived as offering

better quality of service overall than minibus taxis, while the Importance-Weighted PSQ

Index showed that buses were perceived as offering better quality overall than minibus taxis

after weighting each scale according to its perceived importance. In addition, for all the

individual scales except extent of service, as well as the overall index (and weighted index),

it was possible to reach a definite conclusion that the perceived quality of bus transport

exceeded that of minibus taxis by a significant margin. Those commuters who used buses

more often tended to have a higher opinion of the quality of bus transport than those who

used minibus taxis had of the quality of minibus taxi transport. In addition, those commuters

who used the minibus taxis did not do so because they had a high opinion of the quality of

the minibus taxi experience. For each individual dimension and mode of transport, the

perceived quality of the mode of transport was strongly associated with the intention to

continue using that mode of transport. The service dimensions were all considered very

important. Factor analysis and structural equation modelling further confirmed the

factorability and influence the dimensions have on the service quality provided by buses and

minibus taxis. The study findings were rated to the study objectives. Furthermore, the study

findings supported the literature reviewed in chapter two and three, with regards to service

quality dimensions as being a factor in passengers’ perceptions of service, future utilisation-

demand, and importance of service quality dimensions.

The study findings allows the researcher to reach conclusions and make recommendations

about public road transport in the following chapter - specifically about the passengers’

perceptions of service, the future utilisation of bus and mini-bus taxi service, the importance

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of service quality dimensions in modal choices, and the strategies to improve service if

public transport organisations are to retain existing users and attract new users.

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CHAPTER SEVEN

Conclusions and Recommendations 7.1 Introduction

This section discusses the conclusions drawn on the study objectives and the research

problem, as well as the recommendations of the study.

7.2 Conclusions

The conclusions drawn from the study are based on the following research objectives and

research questions:

Table 7-1: Research objectives and research questions

Research objectives Research questions

• Exploring commuters’ perceptions of the bus and

minibus taxi services in terms of the service quality

dimensions of McKnight et al. (1986), namely,

reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety and

affordability (RECSA)

• What are the passengers’

perceptions of the service

quality in the bus and

minibus taxi industries?

• Ascertain the extent to which the service quality

dimensions may influence the future demand for public

transport

• To what extent would the

passengers’ perceptions of

service quality influence the

future demand for buses

and minibus taxis?

• Determine the importance of each service quality

dimension in choosing a public transport mode

• What is the importance of

each service quality

dimension in choosing a

passenger transport mode?

The study findings met the research objectives and resolved the research questions as

discussed below.

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7.2.1 Passengers’ Perceptions of Service

Considering the research objective and the research question related to the passengers’

perceptions of service, the study findings showed that the reliability, comfort, extent of

service, and safety all were influential on the overall service quality that the public buses

provided, while reliability, affordability and service all were influential on the overall service

quality that the minibus taxis provided. Furthermore, the summary statistics and histograms

for each of the individual scales, as well as summary statistics and histograms for both the

Perceptions of Service Quality Index and the Importance-Weighted Perceptions of Service

Quality Index, in the aforementioned discussion showed that for all of the individual scales –

except extent of service (service), as well as the overall index (and weighted index) - it was

possible to draw a definite conclusion that the perceived quality of bus transport exceeds that

of minibus taxis by a significant margin. Put differently, public buses were perceived by the

commuters more positively than minibus taxis in terms of the reliability, comfort, safety, and

affordability of service.

The multiple linear regression analysed the relationship between the Perceived Quality of

Service Index for Buses and the demographic variables (mode of transport used the most

often, age, gender, educational level, and income). In this case, only the coefficient of mode

of transport was statistically significant and was estimated to be -5.43 with a p-value of

2.69e-10.

A conclusion could be reached that those commuters who used buses more often than

minibus taxis, on the one hand, tended to have a high opinion of the quality of bus transport.

However, this is not surprising since, presumably, they would not use buses if they had an

extremely low opinion of this mode of transport. On the other hand, those commuters who

used minibus taxis as their primary mode of transport, as suggested by the study finding, did

not do so because they had a high opinion of the quality of the minibus taxi experience. This

outcome was explained by the multiple linear regression, which indicated that the coefficient

for the mode of transport used the most often was not significant.

In addition, the multiple linear regression showed that age, gender and level of education

were all statistically significant in this model at the 5% level. Age had a negative coefficient,

indicating that, on average, younger people have a more favourable perception of minibus

taxis than older people. Gender had a positive coefficient, indicating that, on average,

females perceive minibus taxis more favourably than males. On the other hand, educational

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level had a negative coefficient, indicating that less educated people viewed minibus taxis

favourably as compared to more highly educated people.

Furthermore, there were significant differences in the age between respondents in the “ under

19 years”, “20-24 years” , “25-34 years”, “35-50 years” when comparing all those groups to

respondents in the group “51 years and above” with respect to the overall service quality. In

addition, there were significant differences in the education group between respondents with

less than a matric qualification, those with a matric and those possessing a matric and a

tertiary qualification with respect to the overall service quality. There were also differences

in those who are in the “0-R1000” and “R5001-R6000” income groups when compared to

those in the “Above R6000” group with respect to the overall service quality.

The conclusion could be drawn that on average, younger people have a more favourable

perception of minibus taxis than older people; on average, females perceive minibus taxis

more favourably than males; and on average, less educated people viewed minibus taxis

favourably as compared with more highly educated people.

Furthermore, the generalised linear regression showed age, education and income as

statistically significant in this model at 5% level since their p-values were all less than 0.05

in influencing the overall service quality provided by the bus. Similarly age, education and

occupation were all significant at the 5% level since their p-values were all less than 0.05 in

influencing the overall service quality provided by the minibus taxis. The findings enabled

the researcher to conclude that age, education and income were all significant in influencing

the overall service quality provided by the bus, while age, education, and occupation (not

income) were all significant in influencing the overall service quality provided by the

minibus taxis.

Furthermore, the SEM analysis showed that the fitted model had a chi-square test statistic of

0.032 with a p-value of 0.876, which is non-significant at the 5% level, thus implying that

the conceptual model fitted to the research data was indeed appropriate (Byrne, 2010: 76 &

Bollen, 1989: 263). The conclusion drawn from the findings showed that reliability,

comfort, service and safety were influential to the overall service quality that the public

buses provided, while reliability, affordability and service all were influential to the overall

service quality that the minibus taxis provided since their p-values were less than 0.05.

The exploratory factor analysis showed the cumulative variance that three factors

(punctuality, timetables, and timeous arrival at destination) were explaining 78.943%.

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Furthermore all of these three factors have eigenvalues over 1. The scree plot also confirms

the existence of the 3 factors. The first factor (punctuality) accounts for 70.528% of the

variation. The rotated matrix revealed that four factors were accounting for the data, that is,

punctuality, timetables, timely arrival at destination, and reasons for failure to arrive at

destination on time for minibus taxis. From this analysis, a conclusion was drawn that

punctuality, timetables, and timeous arrival at destination were influential to the bus service,

and punctuality was more influential on the overall bus service; while punctuality,

timetables, timely arrival at destination, and reasons for failure to arrive at destination on

time were influential to the minibus taxi service.

7.2.1.1 Service Quality Dimensions

The following discussion provides conclusions drawn from the study findings about the

reliability of service, comfort, extent, safety, and affordability of service:

(a) The Reliability of Service

As stated in the preceding discussion, the reliability of service includes punctuality,

timetables, timely arrival at destination and adherence to routes. The study findings showed

punctuality to be an important factor that is significant on the overall service quality, which

means that punctuality played a role in the utilisation of public transport. Passengers

consider punctuality of service in their mode selection process. Another important factor

that may result in the perception of the quality of bus transport exceeding that of minibus

taxis is the availability of timetables in the bus industry. The factor analysis confirmed the

availability of timetables as an explaining factor one for both bus and minibus taxi service.

This means that passengers consider the availability of timetables in their mode selection

process as a variable that influences their perception of service.

As regards the timely arrival at destination, the study findings showed that timely arrival at

destination is an important factor influencing the perception of service. A total of 74,79% of

the variation in the data may be explained by the first three principal components, which

includes timely arrival at destination of the bus service. The study findings showed that time

taken to arrive at destination is important to explaining factor one for minibus taxi service

and factor two for the bus service, meaning that timely arrival at destination is a factor

influencing service for both buses and minibus taxis. It would appear from the study

findings that adherence to the routes for both bus and minibus taxi commuters is not

necessarily a factor in public transport, therefore is not likely to have a substantial impact on

the selection of the mode process.

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(b) The Comfort of Service

As stated in the preceding discussion, the comfort of service involves the availability of

service aesthetics - the availability of seats and space (often referred to as passenger density),

smooth journeys, the availability of air-conditioners/coolers, and the condition of the shelters

– is discussed. The study findings showed seat availability is an important factor to both

buses and minibus taxis. A conclusion drawn from the study findings is that lack of seat

availability is likely to attract negative perception of service, which could lead to the

reduction of the utilisation of the service.

As regards the shelters at ranks, the study findings showed that the condition of the bus

shelters was somewhat less a factor for the bus commuters than for the minibus taxi

commuters. Furthermore, the factor analysis showed bus shelters as poorly rated as a factor

for bus commuters compared to minibus taxi commuters. This means that minibus taxi

commuters consider shelters at ranks a factor influencing service quality that needs to be

taken into account, while the bus commuters do not consider shelters as an important factor.

This could be due to historical reasons, that is, bus shelters being maintained and in better

condition as compared with minibus taxi shelters at ranks, discussed in the literature review.

As regards the smoothness of the service, the study findings showed smoothness of the

service as a more significant factor for minibus taxi commuters than for bus commuters.

Regarding air-conditioners/ air-coolers, the study findings showed air-conditioners as being a

factor more for minibus taxi commuters than for bus commuters. A conclusion drawn from

the study findings is that smoothness of the service and air-conditioners is a factor

passengers perceive as being important to the selection of the public transport mode.

(c) The Extent of Service

As stated in the preceding discussion, the extent of service includes the extent to which a

public transport mode take commuters to their exact destinations, service availability, and

the friendliness of the frontline staff. The study findings showed that taking passengers to

their exact destination is an important factor to passengers. This means that the passengers

perceive the extent to which a public transport mode take commuters to their exact

destinations as an important factor influencing the passengers’ perceptions of service.

As regards the availability of service, the study findings revealed the availability of service

in the evenings and on public holidays as being relevant factors that influence passengers’

perceptions of the minibus taxi service, while the availability of services on weekdays was

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considered an important factor that influences passengers’ perceptions of the bus service. As

regards the driver friendliness, the study findings showed that driver friendliness is one of

the important factors correlating highly with the perception of service of the bus and minibus

taxi commuters. Passengers’ perception of service is influenced by the availability (and

frequency) of service and driver friendliness, since these factors were perceived as being

important to public transport. Unimproved availability of service (and frequency) and

unfriendliness or the friendliness level of staff could lead to a reduction in the utilisation of

public transport, especially when other competing modes of transport are taken into account.

(d) The Safety of Service

As stated in the preceding discussion, safety of service involves the number of accidents

related to a transport mode, particularly the passengers’ fears that they are more likely to be

involved in an accident as a result of using a particular transportation mode; the condition of

vehicles; driving behaviour; and obeying the rules of the road. The study findings showed

the rate of accidents as being less of a factor for public transport, while obeying the rules of

the road, driving skills of drivers and fear of sustaining injuries were all factors perceived as

being important to both bus and minibus taxi users. Therefore, a conclusion drawn from the

study findings is that passengers’ perceptions of both bus and minibus taxi service is

influenced by the safety of service with regards to fear of sustaining injuries, condition of

vehicles, driving behaviour (and skills), and obeying the rules of the road.

(e) The Affordability of Service

Service affordability involves value for money and the fares charged by the public transport

modes. The study findings showed the value for money and the fares charged by bus and

minibus taxi organisations as important factors influencing users; perceptions of service, thus

affecting the selection of the mode of transport. Therefore, it is likely that commuters will

use the mode of transport that is being perceived as offering value for money in terms of

fares.

Taking into account the aforementioned discussion, the study findings enabled the researcher

to reach the conclusions discussed above related to the passengers’ perceptions of the bus

and minibus taxi services in terms of the service quality dimensions of McKnight et al.

(1986), namely, reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety and affordability. Additionally,

the study objective related to passengers’ perception of service has been met and research

question resolved.

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7.2.2 Future Utilisation of Service and Demand

As regards the research objective and the research question related to ascertaining the extent

to which the service quality dimensions may influence the future demand for public

transport, the study findings showed Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient for each

individual scale (RECSA) and mode of transport (buses and minibus taxis). Spearman’s

rank correlation coefficient was also used to measure the association between each of the

individual scales, and the self-stated intention of the respondents regarding whether they

would continue to use that method of transport in the future. The study findings showed that

for each individual scale and mode of transport, the perceived quality of the mode of

transport is strongly associated with the intention to continue using that mode of transport.

Therefore, a conclusion drawn from the study findings is that the perceived quality of the

mode of transport is strongly associated with the intention to continue using that mode of

transport in the future, thus impacting the demand for public transport.

Furthermore, the factor analysis showed service quality dimensions (affordability, safety,

availability, and comfort) as factors to using public bus transport in the future, while safety

and comfort may be essential to using minibus taxis in the future. The conclusion drawn

from the study findings is that affordability, safety, availability, and comfort are important

factors to using public bus transport in the future, while safety and comfort may be essential

factors to using the minibus taxis in the future.

The study findings and conclusions drawn from the preceding discussion met the objectives

of the study and resolved the research questions related to ascertaining the extent to which

the service quality dimensions may influence the future demand for public transport.

7.2.3 Importance of Service Quality Dimensions

As regards the research objective and the research question related to determining the

importance of each service quality dimension in choosing a public transport mode, the study

findings showed the summary statistics in respect of the importance attached to each of the

five dimensions of quality of service, on a scale of 1 (less important) to 5 (very important).

All five service quality dimensions, namely, reliability, extent, comfort, safety, and the

affordability of service were considered as important service quality dimensions to public

buses and minibus taxis. Both the factor analysis and structural equation modelling

confirmed this; the factor analysis showed the service quality dimensions (reliability, extent,

comfort, safety, and affordability) as being important factors to the bus and minibus taxi

services. This necessitates the drawing of the conclusion that the reliability, extent, comfort,

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safety, and the affordability of service are considered as important services quality

dimensions to public buses and minibus taxis. Furthermore, these important service quality

dimensions will play a role in the passengers’ choice of either using public transport or using

a particular mode of public transport, in this instances buses and minibus taxis.

Taking into account the conclusions drawn from the abovementioned discussion, it is evident

that the inquiry met the objectives of the study and resolved the research questions related to

commuters’ perceptions of the bus and minibus taxi services in terms of the service quality

dimensions; the extent to which the service quality dimensions may influence the future

demand for public transport; and the importance of each service quality dimension in

choosing a public transport mode. Passengers will choose the mode of public transport

based on their perceptions of the service quality dimensions. The recommendations of the

study will be discussed next, drawing from the findings and the conclusions of this study.

However, prior to discussing the recommendations of the study, a discussion of the

implications of the study findings for both practitioners and academics will be presented

below.

7.2.4 Implications of the Study

The study provides practitioners and academics with solutions to important public

transportation challenges. The findings of this study make a contribution to knowledge that

will benefit practioners and academics of service quality and public transport, as discussed

below.

The rationale of the study outlined how passenger transport makes a vital contribution to the

economic and social development of the country, and therefore why access to sustainable,

affordable and quality public transport is critical. Public transport integration is important as

it provides the rest of society access to the broader economy; as a provider of commuter

services, public transport has, and continues to provide mobility to millions of people who

are dependent on passenger transport (Crous & Price, 1993; Godard & Fatonzoun, 2002;

South African Bus Operators Association, 2006; 2010; Sohail, 2005a & Arrive Alive,

2011a).

Furthermore, commuters have to use buses and minibus taxis, despite their inefficiencies in

terms of inadequate service – poorly arranged schedules; the absence of facilities, including

bus stops and shelters; the infrequency of services, particularly at off peak times; the

inconvenience of these services; unreliable and low levels of comfort due to inefficient

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scheduling; high costs; overcrowding leading to severe discomfort; high rates of minibus taxi

accidents; unroadworthy vehicles; poor service; and unsavoury business management

principles (Thomas, et al. 2010; Mashiri, et al 2010).

Prior research recognises that there are no viable answers and solutions that have been found

with which to address the public transport problems in South Africa (Chakwizira, Mathetha,

Mokonyana, Mashiri, & Marrian, 2009). Despite the attempts of the transport authorities to

remedy the state of public transport, public transport solutions are falling extremely short of

expectations (Thomas, et al. 2010). Improving service quality in the public transport has

remained an elusive and a much neglected area of study. Service quality remains a challenge

for the majority of public transport organisations and academics alike, partly as a result of

the challenges inherent in measuring service quality. Therefore, improving and encouraging

the use of public transport should be one of the cornerstones of the policies of the national

Department of Transport (Mashiri, et al. 2010).

Taking the aforementioned discussion into account, the findings of this study have made

important contribution to knowledge that will benefit practitioners and academics. In

general, the study findings have shown the importance of service quality dimensions in

influencing passengers’ perceptions of service. It seems that the implementation of the vital

service quality dimensions in public transport by practitioners is likely to increase the

functionality of the public transport system for the urban population – an item that was

categorised in the aforementioned discussion as being stranded. Furthermore, the

functionality of the public transport system is likely to improve commuters’ participation in

the broader economy. For example, the functionality of the public transport system will

meet the goal of Rea Vaya, which is to improve the quality of life of Johannesburg citizens

through the provision of a high-quality and affordable public transport system (City of

Johannesburg, 2012).

In addition, the study findings showed the availability of public transport service as an

important factor that influences passengers’ perceptions of service. Therefore, passengers

will use the public transport service that meets their needs in terms of, amongst others, the

availability of service. As a result, practioners needs increase the availability of service.

The availability of service contributes towards providing access to facilities that

communities require. In a research study that was conducted on the availability of service, it

was found that the frequency of service was related to positive satisfaction with the

availability of public transport having a positive effect on the demand. In other words,

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commuters would be likely to increase their utilisation of the service as a result of its

increased availability (Hensher, et al. 2003).

The findings of this study suggest the affordability of bus and minibus taxi services as an

important factor to the passengers’ perceptions of service and modal choices. Therefore,

practitioners need to take into account the affordability of service if public transport is to

attract users and retain the existing users. The income/fares ratio, as discussed in the study,

needs to conform to the norm, depicted as less than 10% of monthly income (South Africa,

1996c; Mashiri, et al. 2010; Institute for Democracy in Africa, 2011; McCaul, 2012; Arrive

Alive, 2012a & Rea Vaya, 2012). However, such a ratio will arise from the true

understanding of the public transport service costs by the practitioners. As a result,

practitioners should utilise the economic models of fares determination in public

transportation to determine the fares structure that attracts users and retains existing users,

while improving the efficiency of the service. The economic pricing model, as discussed in

this study, is simply a matter of operator’s choice. Acquiring knowledge of all demands,

analysing them, and setting up different classes of fares is both time-consuming and

expensive while an awareness of all the cost characteristics and applying them to each

demand segment requires considerable analytical ability and much effort.

As regards the demand for public transport, the findings of this study suggest that future

utilisation of public transport will depend on such important factors such as adequate service,

properly arranged schedules, the availability of facilities, including bus stops and shelters;

the frequency of services, particularly at off peak times; improved reliability and comfort-

ability of service through efficient scheduling; low rates of minibus taxi accidents;

roadworthy vehicles, and the presence of facilities at ranks. Therefore, practitioners need to

apply important service quality dimensions in order to improve service and increase the

demand for public transport. A public transport marketing campaign promoting the

important service quality dimensions should be at the centre of communication.

As regards the implications for academics, the evidence from this study suggests that

RECSA as a valid and credible model for assessing service quality provides an alternative

model to RATER, which is more appropriate for public transport studies, thus supporting

other researchers, who showed that the RECSA is an appropriate model for public transport.

Therefore, failure to utilise RATER as a measure of service quality does not invalidate the

research (McKnight, et al. 1986). It is suggested that academics should utilise RECSA

model for public transportation research. The study’s contributing to knowledge in this

regard cannot be overemphasised. Furthermore, RECSA as a model of service quality in

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public transportation studies should be utilised by practitioners in order to develop

appropriate measures to attract users and retain existing users.

Taken together, the study suggests that there is evidence that policy makers and commuters

at large expect that public transport will play a more decisive role in shaping the socio-

economic landscape of Johannesburg, and South Africa, since public transport has become a

central focus area in recent times (McCaul, 2012). The study makes a contribution to

knowledge, and contributes towards improving the quality of public road transport service in

order to attract new users and retain existing users.

7.3 Recommendations

The following section discusses the recommendations of the study, taking into account the

aforementioned discussion of the study findings and the conclusions drawn from the study as

related to the study objectives and research questions. The discussion, henceforth, will focus

on the recommendations with regards to passengers’ perceptions of service in terms of

service quality dimensions, RECSA; future utilisation and demand; and the importance of

service quality dimensions.

7. 3.1 The Reliability of Service

The reliability of service is a factor that influences passengers’ perceptions of service. The

following discussion will focus on specific reliability of service variables arising from the

study findings and the conclusions drawn from the study.

• Punctuality of service

Since, according to the study findings, the passengers’ perception of service is

influenced by the punctuality public transport organisations and policy makers

should place more emphasis on the punctuality of service as an important factor

to the overall service quality. Accordingly, public transport organisations should

implement business processes and TDM systems that improve the punctuality of

service; for example, these organisations should focus on service planning

software, such as, amongst others, MICROBUS and Mentor Streets Schedule

Software Suites, successfully implemented in other countries, and should

discontinue the current outdated, paper-based systems. The service planning

systems need to enable the efficient planning of service routes, trips, vehicles,

drivers and shifts. Furthermore, these systems need to take into account both

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internal and external factors likely to negatively affect the punctuality of the

service, as a result of delays on route. The service planning systems should be

obligatory for any public transport organisation serious about improving public

transport and operational efficiencies. The service planning system should,

further, simplify the much needed integration of public transport. However,

focusing on the systems alone may not necessarily be the only solution to

improving the punctuality of service. Accordingly, a combination of tools and

related processes should be considered, for example, skilled operators of service

planning systems will be required to analyse service data, make the necessary

adjustments to service, draw conclusions, and make recommendations to

improve the service.

As regards the minibus taxis, there are no efficient service planning systems that

are being utilised by the industry. The minibus taxi industry, should, therefore,

invest in service planning software in order to maximise the economic and

operational efficiencies of the service. Furthermore, service planning systems

will provide a mechanism not only to plan routes, trips, shifts, and driver’s

rosters but will also adequately address unexpected service interruptions and

facilitate the integration of the minibus taxi service with other modes of public

transport, such as the Gautrain and BRT service. Service planning systems, at

the very least, should enable the minibus taxi associations to achieve operational

efficiencies and maintain electronic records of routes, drivers, vehicles on each

trip, vehicles on routes, and other service information, all of which will be

important to the efficient future integration and optimisation of service.

As regards the communication with passengers, the study findings showed

communication as being not a highly relevant factor influencing passengers’

perceptions of service, however communication is important to the overall

service quality. Communication systems are an integral aspect of an efficient

and effective public transport system; therefore they should be included in the

service mix. In order to enhance the overall service quality, the public transport

organisations should implement communication systems, such as, amongst

others time-tables, internet messaging, smart messaging systems, terminal

electronic displays, on-board passenger communication systems, mobile

communication units, and call centres. Furthermore, public transport

organisations should integrate the service planning systems with website-based

communication systems, such as the PublicTransport@SG system implemented

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in Singapore. The website offers an interactive map that covers bus and rail

trips and the site also features a simple calculator to compute fares. The

transport department should launch and market MyTransport.SG, a portal that

consolidates information and e-services for all land transport users, including

motorists and cyclists. MyTransport.SG Mobile can give commuters this

information on mobile devices, including real-time bus arrival information that

is also shown on display panels at all bus stops across Johannesburg.

• Availability of timetables

Timetables, as a factor that influences passengers’ perceptions of service,

should be implemented as a norm for public transport. Furthermore, timetables,

as used by passengers as a point of reference, are important and relevant to the

overall service. As a result timetables should be taken into account by the public

transport organisations in the scheduling process because the dissemination of

information to passengers is critical to the successful operation of public

transport services and in maintaining and stimulating demand. Timetables are

part of the service offering. A lack of access to both timetables and general

service information regarding the fares, trips, routes, route maps, times, and

customer care numbers, therefore may lead to commuters choosing another

mode of transport, such as private motor vehicles, thereby hastening the demise

of public transport in South Africa. Lack of timetables may be construed as a

breaking of trust between operator and passengers. Implementing timetables is

important because passengers interpret them as a form of contract or as a

declaration of commitment on the part of the transport organisation to provide

them, as the passengers, with certain travel services.

In addition, timetables may be utilised as a marketing tool as they should, at

least, reflect the frequency of the service on each route as well as the fare being

charged for the service. As regards the minibus taxi service, word of mouth has

been shown in this study to be more important to the minibus taxi industry as

regards the dissemination of information to passengers regarding routes and

service than the issuing of timetables, which are often seen as a cost to the

minibus taxi operations. Therefore, the minibus taxi industry should not make

changes that have not been thoroughly researched with regards to timetables.

However, going forward, it is likely that timetables will become an important

tool to the integration of the public transport services. Therefore, there is a need

to start introducing timetables to the service to facilitate the integration with the

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other modes of public transport. Alternatively, the minibus taxi service should

be restructured and be absorbed into a metred-taxi service.

• Timely arrival at destinations

The study findings showed that timely arrival at destination is an important

factor influencing passengers’ perceptions of service. Therefore, passengers

will utilise the service provided it provides a perceived satisfactorily timely

arrival at destination. As a result, public transport organisations should take into

account timely arrival of vehicles at destination. Accordingly, public transport

should pay attention to seeking methods on an on-going basis to improve the

timely arrival at destination. Increasing the frequency of the service on each

route may improve the arrival times. In addition, easy and convenient access to

the timetable would enable passengers to plan trips and to estimate the time it

would take to arrive at destination. There may be serious consequences to the

failure to arrive at destination on time because the majority of commuters travel

not merely for the pleasure of commuting, but to realise their personal and

professional objectives, hence the derived nature of the public transport

demand. It is, thus, important to minimise the route disturbances which may

result from factors both within and outside the control of the public transport

operator.

Failure to arrive at destinations on time may also be caused by the journey

length and, thus, if the length of the journey is too long, this may lead to

perceived passenger dissatisfaction. The journey length affects both the health

and the productivity of passengers. Other research, discussed in chapter three,

has shown that long journeys tend to have a negative effect on the health and

productivity of passengers. Therefore, if it is not possible to reduce the length of

the journey because of the public transport system design, then comfort of

service should be improved. Improved service comfort is likely to minimise the

passengers’ fatigue and improve productivity. Furthermore, improved

aesthetics of the service may lead to the future utilisation of public transport

service because comfort is an important variable that correlates positively with

passengers’ perceptions of service, as discussed below.

As regards journey length, the study findings showed that time taken to arrive at

destination is important to explaining factor one for minibus taxi service and

factor two for the bus service, meaning that timely arrival at destination is a

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factor influencing service for both bus and minibus taxis. Therefore,

passengers’ perception of service is influenced by journey length. Long

journeys are not conducive to a productive labour force, as discussed in the

foregoing section, due to some medical conditions somewhat associated with

long journeys, travelling to and from work. Journey length should be reduced

where possible, and such a reduction could be achieved through a government

policy that encourages commuters (through incentives such as a reduction in

property registration tax for home buyers or subsidised rentals) to live as close

as possible to their places of work. A large number of commuters

(predominantly African) live in townships which are some distance from the

cities and their places of work and, thus, in turn, creates further stress to an

already stressed community. Unfortunately, the poor are more affected in this

way than the rich and a high percentage of the disposable income of the poor is

therefore spent on public transport.

7.3.2 The Comfort of Service

The study findings showed that, with regards to the perceived service comfort, buses were

perceived as more comfortable than minibus taxis. Furthermore, the comfort of service was

perceived as being influential and significant on the overall service quality of public buses.

As stated in the aforementioned discussion, service comfort may mitigate the negative

experience of long transport journeys while also improving the health and productivity of

passengers. However, the opposite is equally true in that the lack of comfortable service is

likely to have a negative effect on the health and productivity of passengers.

It is, thus, important that the bus and minibus taxi industries focus on improving the comfort

of service since the lack of comfortable service may result in the negative perception of the

service and adversely affect the future utilisation of both bus and minibus taxi service.

Accordingly, in order either to maintain or to improve passengers’ perceptions of the

comfort of service, the following variables should be considered:

• Availability of seats

The study findings showed seat availability is an important factor to both bus

and minibus taxis. As a result, the lack of seat availability is likely to attract

negative perception of service, which could lead to the reduction of the future

utilisation of service.

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If the passengers are not able to find seats in public transport most of the time,

long and uncomfortable journeys are likely to cause a negative perception of

service. As discussed in the previous section, communication is vitally

important and, thus, information about the availability of seats should be

displayed on vehicles and on electronic boards at bus and minibus taxi terminals

as well as at other key points along the route, including the designated public

transport stops. Seat availability also reflects the demand for the service and,

thus, if vehicles are always full to capacity, this could means that the demand is

exceeding the supply, as a result, more vehicles should be placed on the route

instead of increasing the fares in an attempt to manage the demand, as it often

happens in public transport.

Furthermore, a load factor for each public transport vehicle should be

established, similar to the BRT system. In the aforementioned discussion, a

load factor of 80% was recommended for the Rea Vaya service. However, it

emerged in the same discussion that this target has not been adhered to, and the

vehicles are often full in excess of 90% capacity. The mandatory introduction

and subsequent enforcement of the load factor should provide a deterrent to the

overloading phenomenon. The enforcement of a load factor in public transport

should further assist in reducing the number of accidents caused by overloading.

• Availability of air-conditioners

The study findings showed the availability of coolers (or air-conditioners) as an

important factor to the overall bus and minibus taxi service. This means that the

passengers’ perception of service is influenced by the availability of air-

conditioners. Since the air-conditioners form part of the aesthetics of the

service, the public buses and minibus taxis should be fitted with the necessary

aesthetics in order to improve the comfort of the service, in this instance, the

public transport vehicles should be fitted, at the very least, with the air-

conditioners. The aesthetics of the vehicles will, in turn, further assist the

public transport organisations to compete more effectively with the private

motor car, which has the comfort sought by the commuters. A comfort rating

for both buses and minibus taxis should be established, enforced, and be

communicated to the current users and the future users of the service. Those

public transport vehicles with a high comfort rating are likely to be preferred

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over those with a low comfort rating, however further research is required in

this regard as this falls outside the scope of this study.

• Condition of shelters

As regards the condition of shelters at ranks, the study findings showed that the

condition of the bus shelters was somewhat less a factor for the bus commuters

than for the minibus taxi commuters. Furthermore, the study showed bus

shelters as not being highly perceived as a factor to bus commuters compared to

minibus taxi commuters. This means that minibus taxi commuters consider

shelters at ranks a factor influencing service quality that needs to be taken into

account, while the bus commuters do not consider shelters as an important

factor. Therefore, there should be visible improvements to the minibus taxi

shelters in Johannesburg. Some work seems to be done in terms of upgrading

the various minibus taxi ranks in Johannesburg; however more could be done to

reduce the backlog of the dilapidated shelters at ranks.

Furthermore, there is a need for an on-going effort to improve the conditions of

the public transport shelters (for both buses and minibus taxis) on the part of the

City of Johannesburg as failure to do so will create a negative perception of

service on the part of both bus and minibus taxi commuters. Historical reasons

have led to the dilapidated state of shelters, particularly, that of the minibus taxi

ranks, however there is evidence that more is being done by the City of

Johannesburg to improve the minibus taxi ranks in Johannesburg. It is the

responsibility of the government, supported by the private sector, to improve the

public transport infrastructure in the same way in which the City of

Johannesburg has the responsibility to create an enabling environment for the

efficient provision of the public transport service. The disintegration of the

public transport infrastructure is likely to be extremely costly in the long run for

Johannesburg and for the country at large. There is, also a need to integrate the

public transport infrastructure to the benefit of both commuters and operators.

It is, thus, essential that an integrated public transport infrastructure programme

be developed. In addition, the minibus taxis should be allowed to use the BRT

dedicated lanes, bus shelters and bus terminuses as part of the integrated public

transport system to effectively enhance transport services across the board. It

would appear that the name BRT is problematic for some sections of the public

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transport sector, including the minibus taxi industry, and, as a result, it should

be revised to Public Transport Rapid Transit (PTRT).

7.3.3 The Extent of the service

As regards the extent of service, the study findings showed no significant differences in the

passengers’ perception of overall service for buses and minibus taxis. Furthermore, the

perceived quality of the bus service did not exceed that of the minibus taxi service with

regards to the variables such as the availability of the service.

After conducting the factor analysis, the extent of service was perceived as being influential

and highly correlated to the service quality that the public buses and minibus taxis provided.

In addition, the extent of service was found to be one of the top five important factors that

correlate positively with the perception of service on the part of both bus and minibus taxis.

The following extent of service variables should be considered in order to enhance the

passengers’ perception of service:

• Taking passengers to their destination

Taking passengers to their exact destination was perceived as being more

important than the availability of the service for bus commuters. As stated in

the aforementioned discussion, taking passengers to their exact destination

means minimising passenger transfers common in public transport. However,

such a strategy would require the proper integration of the road (public bus and

minibus taxi) service and with the other modes of public transport, including

rail (both Metrorail and Gautrain). Together, the elimination of transfers and the

proper integration of the public transport services should be the focus of the

public transport policy makers, henceforth, because it is believed that such a

strategy would completely overhaul the public transport service and, as a

consequence, increase the utilisation and the demand for public transport.

Shopping and meeting facilities should be integrated with the public transport

network; such a strategy is similar to that found in Paris, France, and other first

world countries who have also implemented the BRT systems. The BRT Rea

Vaya methodology or network for Johannesburg does not incorporate shopping

and meeting facilities, thus, Rea Vaya is not likely to overhaul the public

transport system in Johannesburg and in other part of the country where BRT

system has been implemented. Furthermore, the BRT system has not been able

to adequately address both passenger transfers and proper integration

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conundrum with the existing public bus and minibus taxi service. Instead, BRT

is a mere extension of the SPTN and the ICDS models intended to address the

integration and the optimisation problem but has not been able to do so

adequately, as was indicated in the aforementioned discussion.

• Availability of service

As regards the availability of service, the study findings revealed the availability

of service in the evenings and on public holidays as being relevant factors that

influence passengers’ perceptions of the minibus taxi service, while the

availability of service on weekdays was perceived as being important to

influencing the passengers’ perceptions of the bus service. The availability of

service affects passengers’ perception of service for both bus and minibus taxis.

Accordingly, one approach to increase the availability of service is to increase

the frequency of the services, especially on weekdays when the demand is high

during peak periods.

Service planning systems, discussed in the previous section, are important to

ensuring the availability of the service. The shift structure that is likely to

improve the availability of service should include service on weekdays (start at

04:00 and end at 23:00), weekends (start at 04:00 and end at 02:00 the

following day), and public holidays (start at 05:00 and end at 22:00). The Rea

Vaya service, for example, starts at 04:50 and ends at 22:00 during the week;

and starts at 05:00 and ends at 22:00 over weekends (McCaul, 2012 & Rea

Vaya, 2012).

• Friendliness of drivers

The study findings showed driver friendliness as an important factor to both bus

and minibus taxi services. Furthermore, the friendliness of drivers influenced

passengers’ perception of both buses and minibus taxis. The friendliness of the

minibus taxi and bus drivers is likely to be observed mostly during

communication encounters with commuters.

In order to improve the service, public transport drivers should be compelled to

attend customer service training, and quarterly assessments on the impact of the

training on customer service should be conducted.

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In addition, public transport drivers should be thoroughly screened prior to

being employed as drivers. A qualification in customer service, experience in

driving, a clean criminal record, a clean record of traffic offences, and

knowledge of the rules of the road should be introduced as the minimum

requirements for a professional driver’s permit. In addition, training

programmes, similar to the NSW programme, should be implemented. The

driver who has either not attended or passed this training should be refused the

renewal of his/her PrDP. Drivers should also be compelled to sign a code of

conduct; any deviation to the code should be punishable. It should also be made

mandatory for public transport drivers to attend behaviour-correction courses as

well as to participate in community projects from time-to-time. The driver’s

recognition awards introduced by the Department of Transport constitute one of

the positive initiatives implemented by the department; however, commuters

should be involved in the selection of the deserving drivers being awarded.

7.3.4 The Safety of Service

The study findings showed safety as influential and significance on the overall service

quality. In particular, buses were perceived as being safer than minibus taxis. The safety of

public transport remains an important factor in South Africa. Despite the decline in fatal road

crashes, albeit at a slow rate, it is essential to focus on safety of public transport. Safety

shortfalls have the potential to negatively affect the passengers’ perception of service if left

unattended by the public transport policy makers.

It has been established that the human factor is the single, biggest contributor to fatal road

accidents and, therefore, future road safety strategies and activities should focus on the

human factor. The minibus taxi drivers, in particular, speed from one point to the next in

order to maximise revenue and in the process cause accidents. As indicated in the preceding

discussion, the integration of the minibus taxi transport with the other modes of public

transport should minimise speeding from one point to the next in order to maximise revenue.

A National Task Team (NTT) on public transport safety should be established to focus on

improving public transport safety; and provincial structures, reporting to the NTT, should

also be established to implement safety programmes throughout the calendar year, instead of

only focussing on the busy seasons of the year.

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In addition, the regularisation/ governing of the speed limit to 120km per hour for private

motor cars and 60km per hour for public transport vehicles should be introduced.

Furthermore, motor vehicle manufacturers should face heavy penalties for failure to comply

with the policy. The following additional safety variables should be considered to improve

the passengers’ perception of safety in public transport.

• Vehicle condition

The condition of vehicles contributes to the safety of service. A smart and safe

vehicle is more likely to attract passengers than an unsafe and poorly

maintained one. The Minibus Taxi Recap programme, discussed in the literature

reviewed, is facing challenges as a result of the uproar from the minibus taxi

industry, accusing the transport departments of favouring the bus industry at the

expense of the minibus taxi industry. The programme is important to the

recapitalisation of the minibus taxi industry, and therefore should be enforced.

However, proper consultation should continue in order to address concerns of

the industry.

• Driving skills

In order to improve the driving behaviour and the skills of the public transport

drivers, rigorous training on customer service should be implemented. In

addition, the TaxiCare Plus Silver Level training course for drivers should be

implemented in order to improve the safety of service. Furthermore, public

transport organisations should implement driver and vehicle monitoring systems

in order to monitor both driving behaviour and vehicle performance to improve

safety.

7.3.5 The Affordability of Service

The study findings showed the value for money and the fares charged by bus and minibus

taxi organisations as important factors influencing passengers’ perception of service.

Therefore, it is likely that commuters will use the mode of transport that is being perceived

as offering value for money in terms of the fares. Furthermore, buses were perceived as

being more affordable than minibus taxis.

It is evident that affordability of service is an important factor. In addition, since the

affordability of service affects the income/fares ratio, there is a need to pay attention to

pricing, especially fares determination in order to improve the affordability of service.

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Therefore, market forces of demand and supply should determine the equilibrium fare and

service. To extend the equilibrium model discussed in chapter three of this study, it is

recommended that fares should be based on the service offering in terms of the reliability,

comfort, availability, and safety of service and the class of service, as shown in Table 7-2:

Table 7-2: Public Transport Service Rating Model Mode of transport Service Rating

(reliability, comfort,

availability,

affordability)

Classification Fares

Buses PT1,2,3 A,B,C R100, R200, R300

Minibus taxis PT1,2,3 A,B,C R100, R200, R300

Therefore, a superior service (to be referred to as Class 1) should attract a higher fare, and an

inferior service (to be referred to as Class 3) should attract a lower fares. This means that a

public transport service rating should be established. Furthermore, to determine the

classification of service, service quality dimensions should be taken into account. All public

transport modes should be classified according to the established service rating, as per the

example shown in Table 7-2. However, enforcing the classification of service could be a

challenge. It requires the cooperation of both the bus and minibus taxi industry.

7.3.6 Future Utilisation of Service and Demand

As regards the future utilisation and demand for public transport, the perceived reliability,

comfort, safety, extent, and affordability of both bus and minibus taxi service are all

important factors strongly associated with the intention to use the modes of public transport

in question in the future. Both the factor analysis and structural equation modelling

confirmed this; the factor analysis showed the service quality dimensions (reliability, extent,

comfort, safety, and affordability) as being important factors to the bus service and the

minibus taxi service. Therefore, in order to increase the utilisation of the buses and minibus

taxis in the future, and reduce the use of private motor cars, it is essential that the reliability,

comfort, extent of service, safety, and affordability of the public transport modes, in

particular, buses and minibus taxis, be improved.

A public transportation model that will be based on the perceived important service quality

dimensions, in question, is likely to increase the demand for public bus and minibus taxi

transport. In addition, public transport organisations should develop appropriate strategies

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(including inter alia, utilising service planning systems) in order to improve service, thus

retaining current users and attracting new users. Furthermore, public transport organisations

should cooperate in order to influence public transport policy and find long term solutions to

complex, public transportation problems. In addition, public transport operators need to

focus their attention on the delivery of the service they provide, while taking into account the

RECSA as important service quality dimensions if they are to improve passengers’

perception of service. Thus, the public transport operators should ensure that they

communicate often, accurately and objectively about their service offering as well as about

what passengers may expect from the service they are offering.

As regards the public transport policy, government should create an enabling environment

that promotes public transport. Competition on routes should be encouraged in order to

promote innovation and improve the quality of and demand for service. Competition on

routes is likely to lead to a more reliable, responsive, available, comfortable, safe, and

affordable service. In addition, public transport organisations should be free to expand or

contract their service offerings, make alterations where necessary, or find new uses for

existing service offerings depending on the supply and demand.

Furthermore, public transport should be deregulated (instead of increased regulation) in

order to promote competition, particularly where such regulation is having a harmful effect

on the industry. Deregulation is likely to encourage innovation and a competitive pricing

policy, both of which would benefit the passengers. Furthermore, self-regulation of the

industry is likely to improve the quality of service and create a positive passenger perception

of service. Public transport should also not be required to operate on unprofitable routes

without proper compensation for losses in profit.

The public transport networks should be efficient. However, on-going research and proper

consultation with both the commuters and other stakeholders should be prioritised before the

network is expanded in order to ensure that the needs of the commuters are matched with the

needs of the providers of the public transport services. A balance should be found between

the public transport infrastructure needs and the short-term, socio-economic needs of the

citizens. Infrastructure investments should not be an unreasonable burden on the commuters

and the citizens at large and, thus, various infrastructure financing models should be

investigated in an attempt to lessen this burden.

Consideration should be given to the fact that South Africa is a third world country, therefore

if preferred, the western public transport system should be adjusted to the environment and

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conditions of the third word, developing country, such as South Africa. Other third word or

emerging economies with an improved public transport system should be considered rather

than showing reliance on Western public transport models, such as those from France. In

addition, South Africa’s public transport service is dominated by minibus taxis, therefore the

public transport model that intentionally or unintentionally is perceived to exclude the

minibus taxi industry is not likely to be sustainable in the long-term in achieving public

transport integration and optimisation – never mind considering the attraction of new users

and private motor car users.

7.4 Limitations of the Study

The study data was collected mainly in Johannesburg, as a result the study did not extend to

the other eight provinces due to mainly the high costs of data collection. Although data

collection can be costly, it is often even more costly to make erroneous decisions or arrive at

study findings based upon inadequate information, weak data, insufficient data (sample too

small for use in extrapolation), which could result in the research losing credibility, as

supported by the other researchers (Korostoff, 2013).

Based on the research design and sampling method for this study, the researcher followed

geographical sampling, which enabled the collection of the data that was representative of

the public transport population, that is, all the commuters in the City of Johannesburg

comprised the population of interest. The sample was valid – and could be extrapolated to

the other eight provinces as discussed in chapter four of this study – meaning that the sample

represented the characteristics of the population it purported to represent through the

selection of bus and minibus taxi terminals using a map and choosing a sample from the list

of terminals concerned. This process was deemed to be a realistic and acceptable solution to

overcoming the challenge arising from the complexities involved in the process of sampling

in the public transport context, where the choice of a probability sample is always a

challenge (McKnight, et al. 1986 & Cooper & Schindler, 2001).

Thus, sampling bus and minibus taxi terminals provided a sample of commuters using public

bus and mini-bus taxi transport services. The research conducted by the Burbidge City Bus

Company applied non-probability sampling techniques in order to select the sample required.

Area sampling technique, a form of cluster sampling, is often used in studies in which there

are obvious problems of the unavailability of a practical sampling frame for the individual

elements (Cooper, et al. 2001).

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It is important to take into account the following challenges that were experienced during the

interviewing process, namely, the arrival of buses and minibus taxis before the interviews

had been completed, thus resulting in incomplete questionnaires that eventually had to be

excluded from the sample. Unwillingness on the part of some passengers in answering

certain questions was another factor that resulted in some questions being left unanswered.

However, other researchers have experienced similar challenges which did not invalidate the

results of the study (Barnes, 1989). In view of the lack of records on bus and minibus taxi

trips, routes, and ranks in the public transport department, a geographic sampling technique

was utilised to select the participants instead of a random sampling technique. However, this

challenge is common in public transport research (McKnight, et al. 1986).

Finally, the commonly used service quality dimensions (RATER) developed by Parasuraman

et al. (1986) were not utilised for the study but, instead, the service quality dimensions

(RECSA) developed by McKnight et al. (1986) specifically for the public transport sector,

were utilised, as per the foregoing discussion. Failure to utilise RATER as a measure of

service quality do not invalidate the research because an alternative, more appropriate

measure of service quality for public transport, was utilised. McKnight et al. (1986)

maintain that one of the challenges confronting public transport organisations in measuring

service quality is that service quality, in particular, is a complex area of study. Furthermore,

measuring service quality, particularly in public transport, is made difficult by the subjective

nature of service, unlike other services industries. Therefore, an alternative, more

appropriate methodology developed and tested by McKnight et al. (1986) to measure service

quality in the specific context of public road transport was used in this study to measure

service quality of bus and minibus taxi service, to overcome the difficulties mentioned

above.

7.5 Further Research

The study findings showed that time taken to arrive at destination is important to explaining

factor one for minibus taxi service and factor two for the bus service, meaning that timely

arrival at destination is a factor influencing service for both buses and minibus taxis. In a

study, which was conducted in order to calculate a service quality index for bus transport, it

was established that journey length is often the leading cause of dissatisfaction on the part of

the commuters. In other words, the majority of passengers are often dissatisfied with the time

taken by public transport to arrive at destination (Hensher, et al. 2003). Journey length is

important because it impacts on the well-being, health and productivity of the passengers.

According to Lovelock et al. (1987), there is a need to publicise research studies that have

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linked the stress of commuting for hours to a range of health problems and productivity in

the workplace. Therefore, it is suggested that further research be undertaken to examine the

impact of the journey length to the health and productivity in the workplace.

In addition, the Phase 1 of the BRT Rea Vaya in Johannesburg has been completed as

discussed in the literature reviewed in chapter two of this study, therefore, it will add value

to academic literature to conduct a study examining the service quality dimensions

(RECSA), as developed by McKnight et al. (1986), and commuter satisfaction in

Johannesburg. This research should ascertain satisfaction with the service quality dimensions

(including comfort rating) post the implementation of the BRT system specifically in

Johannesburg, and generally in South Africa.

7.6 Concluding Remarks

The study addressed the following research objectives and provided answers to the research

questions:

• to explore the commuters’ perceptions of bus and minibus taxi services in terms

of the service quality dimensions of McKnight et al. (1986), namely, reliability,

comfort, extent of service (service), safety, and affordability.

• to ascertain the extent to which service quality dimensions influence the

demand for public transport.

• to determine the importance of each service quality dimension as regards

choosing a public transport mode.

As regards the research objectives and the research questions, the study findings showed that

the reliability, comfort, extent of service, and safety all were influential on the overall service

quality that the public buses provided while reliability, affordability and service all were

influential on the overall service quality that the minibus taxis provided. Buses were

perceived by the commuters more positively than minibus taxis in terms of reliability,

comfort, safety, and affordability of the service. Those commuters who used buses more

than minibus taxis, on the one hand, often tended to have a high opinion of the quality of bus

transport. However, this is not actually surprising since, presumably, they would not use

buses if they had a negative opinion of this mode of transport. On the other hand, those

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commuters who used minibus taxis as their primary mode of transport did not do so because

they had a high opinion of the quality of the minibus taxi experience.

Age, education and income were all significant in the overall service quality provided by the

bus and the minibus taxis, and should be taken into account. The important factors that were

significance on the overall service quality were punctuality, timetables, and timeous arrival

at destination for public buses; and punctuality, timetables, timely arrival at destination, and

reasons for failure to arrive at destination on time for minibus taxis.

The utilisation of the buses and minibus taxis will increase in the future, thus reducing the

use of private motor cars, when reliability, comfort, extent of service, safety, and

affordability of the public transport modes, in particular, buses and minibus taxis, are

considered as important service quality dimensions. A public transportation model that will

be based on the perceived important service quality dimensions, in question, is likely to

increase the demand for public bus and minibus taxi transport.

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APPENDIX 1

The Measurement Instrument

UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL

Graduate School of Business

Dear Respondent,

DBA Research Project

Researcher: Ayanda Menzi Vilakazi (0833869120)

Research Supervisor: Prof. Will Akande (031-2607629)

Research Office: Ms P Ximba 031-2603587

EVALUATING SERVICE QUALITY IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN ROAD

PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY: A CASE STUDY OF

JOHANNESBURG

The purpose of this survey is to solicit information from you regarding your

perception of service quality in the bus and mini-bus taxi industries in Johannesburg.

The information and ratings you provide will go a long way in helping us to identify

the service quality levels in the South African bus and mini-bus taxi industries. The

questionnaire/interview should take 15 minutes only to complete. In this

questionnaire/interview, you are asked to indicate what is true for you, so there are no

“right” or “wrong” answers to any question. Work as quickly as you are able to. If you

wish to make a comment, please write it directly on the booklet itself. Make sure not

to skip any questions. Thank you for participating!

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SECTION 1: SCREENING QUESTIONS

A. Do you use public transport in commuting to work? If no, please indicate why you do nott use public transport. Probe fully then close interview. ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ B. Please indicate the mode of transport used most often (minimum 3 times per week). If selected (3), why do you use rail the most often? Probe fully then close interview. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ If selected (1), ask question c below. C. Name public buses used: _____________________________________________________________________________________

SECTION 2: QUOTAS

A. Area B. Age B. Age C. Gender

SECTION 3: DEMOGRAPHICS

A. What is your current occupation? Full-time 7. Other, please B. Please indicate your highest level of education completed 6. Other, please specify,_______________________________ C. In which nett income bracket per month do you fall under? D. How often do you use public buses? If other, please specify ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ E. How often do you use mini-bus taxis

1. Yes 2. No

1. Public Bus 2. Minibus Taxi 3. Metro Rail Trains

1. Durban 2. Johannesburg

1) Under 19 2) 20 – 24 3) 25 – 34 4) 35 – 50 5) 51 and above

1. Male 2. Female

1. Full-time employment

2. Part-time employment

3. Student 4. Scholar 5. Self-employed

6. Unemployed

1. Less than Matric

2. Matric 3. Matric + tertiary

qualification

4. Bachelor’s degree

5. Postgraduate degree

1) 0 – R1000 2) R1001 – R2000

3) R2001 – R3000

4) R3001 – R4000

5) R4001 – R5000

6) R5001 – R6000

7) Above R6000

1. Daily 2. Every second day 3. Twice a week 4. Once a week 5. Other

1. Daily 2. Every second day 3. Twice a week 4. Once a week 5. Other

3. Other

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If other, please specify ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

SECTION 4: TESTING

A. RELIABILITY Please tick the appropriate answer: a) How would you rate public buses in terms of punctuality? Always on time _____ ________ _________ _____ _____Always late 5 4 3 2 1 How would you rate minibus taxis in terms of punctuality? Always on time _____ ________ _________ _____ ______Always late 5 4 3 2 1 b) Do you have easy access to public bus timetables? Strongly Agree_______ _____ ______ ________ ________ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 Do you have easy access to minibus timetables? Strongly Agree_______ _____ ______ ________ ________ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 c) Do you always arrive at your destination on time when using public buses? Strongly Agree ________ ________ _________ ________ ______Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 Do you always arrive at your destination on time when using minibus taxis? Strongly Agree ________ ________ _________ ________ ______Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 d) Are you always informed of the reasons why public buses are not operating on time? Always ________ _______ _______ ________ __________ Never Informed 5 4 3 2 1 Are you always informed of the reasons why minibus taxis are not operating on time? Always ________ _______ _______ ________ __________ Never Informed 5 4 3 2 1 e) How satisfied are you with the time it takes for the public buses to arrive at your destination? Very Satisfied ________ ____ _______ _______ ______ Very Dissatisfied 5 4 3 2 1 How satisfied are you with the time it takes for minibus taxis to arrive at your destination? Very Satisfied ______ ______ _______ ________ _______ Very Dissatisfied 5 4 3 2 1 f) Do public buses adhere to scheduled routes? (follow one route everyday) Always _____ _______ _______ ________ ________ Never 5 4 3 2 1 Do mini-us taxis adhere to scheduled routes? (follow one route everyday) Always _____ _______ _______ ________ ________ Never 5 4 3 2 1 g) Based on your answers to a to f above, are you likely to use buses and minibus taxis more or less often public in the future? Public buses: more_________ _______ ______ _____ ______ less 5 4 3 2 1 Minibus taxis: more_________ _______ _____ _____ _______less 5 4 3 2 1 B. COMFORT a) Is it easy to find a place to sit on public buses? Always _____ _______ ______ _______ ______ Never 5 4 3 2 1 Is it easy to find a place to sit on minibus taxis? Always _____ _______ ______ _______ ______ Never 5 4 3 2 1 b) How would you rate the smoothness of the journey on public buses? Very Smooth _______ ___________ ____________ __________ ______Very Rough 5 4 3 2 1 How would you rate the smoothness of the journey on minibus taxis? Very Smooth _______ ___________ ____________ __________ ______Very Rough 5 4 3 2 1 c) Do the public buses which you use have coolers or air conditioners on board? Strongly Agree ____ _______ ________ _________ _________ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 If NOT, how do you feel about the lack of coolers or air conditioners? Satisfied ______ ________ __________ _________ __________Not Satisfied 5 4 3 2 1 Do the minibus taxis which you use have coolers or air conditioners on board? Strongly Agree ____ _______ ________ _________ _________ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 If NOT, how do you feel about the lack of coolers or air conditioners? Satisfied ______ ________ __________ _________ __________Not Satisfied 5 4 3 2 1

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d) What is the condition of the public bus shelters? Very good ________ _______ ________ _________ _________ Very Bad 5 4 3 2 1 What is the condition of the shelters at the minibus taxi ranks? Very good ________ _______ ________ _________ _________ Very Bad 5 4 3 2 1 e) Based on your answers to a) to d) above, are you likely to use public buses and minibus taxis more often or less often in the future? Public buses: more_________ _______ _____ _____ ______ less 5 4 3 2 1 Minibus taxis: more_________ _______ _____ _____ _______less 5 4 3 2 1 C. SERVICE a) How often do public buses take you to your exact location? Always _____ _______ _______ ________ _______ Never 5 4 3 2 1 How often do minibus taxis take you to your exact location? Always _____ _______ _______ ________ _______ Never 5 4 3 2 1 b) Is there enough public transport available in the area in which you live?, Please answer both sections

Public buses

On weekdays? Strongly Agree ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 Over weekends? Strongly Agree ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 On public holidays? Strongly Agree ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 In the evenings? Strongly Agree ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 Minibus taxis

On weekdays? Strongly Agree ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 Over weekends? Strongly Agree ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Strongly Disagee 5 4 3 2 1 On public holidays? Strongly Agree ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 In the evenings? Strongly Agree ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1

d) How would you rate the friendliness of the public bus drivers towards commuters Very friendly _______ _______ ________ ________ _____ Very unfriendly 5 4 3 2 1 How would you rate the friendliness of minibus taxi drivers towards commuters Very friendly _______ _______ ________ ________ _____ Very unfriendly 5 4 3 2 1 e) Based on your answers to a) to d) above, are you likely to use public buses and mini-us taxis more often or less often in the future? Public buses: more_________ _______ _________ _____ _________ less 5 4 3 2 1 Minibus taxis: more_________ ______ _________ _______ _________less 5 4 3 2 1 D. SAFETY a) What is your opinion of the rate of accidents of public buses? Very High ___ ____ ______ ____ ______ Very Low 5 4 3 2 1 What is your opinion of the rate of accidents of mini-bus taxis? Very High _________ ______ ____ ______ ______ Very Low 5 4 3 2 1 b) While on board, do you feel that you may be injured on a public bus as a result of an accident? Never ______ _______ ______ ________ _____ Always 5 4 3 2 1

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While on board, do you feel that you may be injured on a minibus taxi as a result of an accident? Never ______ _______ ______ ________ _____ Always 5 4 3 2 1 c) How would you rate the overall condition of the public buses used? Excellent condition _________ _______ ________ _______ _____ Very Poor Condition 5 4 3 2 1 How would you rate the overall condition of the minibus taxis used? Excellent condition _________ _______ ________ _______ _____ Very Poor Condition 5 4 3 2 1 d) How satisfied are you with the driving skills of public bus drivers? Very Satisfied _______ ______ ______ ________ ________ Very Dissatisfied 5 4 3 2 1 How satisfied are you with the driving skills of minibus taxi drivers? Very Satisfied _______ ______ ______ ________ ________ Very Dissatisfied 5 4 3 2 1 e) In your opinion, how often do public bus drivers obey the rules of the road? All the time _______ _________ _______ _____ ______ Never 5 4 3 2 1 In your opinion, how often do minibus taxi drivers obey the rules of the road? All the time _______ _________ _______ _____ ______ Never 5 4 3 2 1 f) Based on your answers to a) to e) above, are you likely to use public buses and minibus taxis more often or less often in the future? Public buses: more_________ _______ _________ ___________ _________ less 5 4 3 2 1 Minibus taxis: more_________ _______ _________ ___________ _________less 5 4 3 2 1 E. Affordability a) Does the public bus service offer value for money? Strongly agree _____ _______ _________ ______ ________ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 If disagree or strongly disagree, why? __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Do minibus taxis offer value for money? Strongly agree _____ _______ _________ ______ ________ Strongly Disagree 5 4 3 2 1 If disagree or strongly disagree, why? __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ b) What would you say about the public transport fares you pay in relation to the service you are receiving?

Public Buses Expensive___ ___ ___ ____ __ Not Expensive 5 4 3 2 1 Worth it ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Not worth it 5 4 3 2 1 Fair __ __ __ __ ___ Not Fair 5 4 3 2 1 Affordable__ __ __ __ __ Not affordable 5 4 3 2 1 Minibus Taxis Expensive___ ___ ___ ____ __ Not Expensive 5 4 3 2 1 Worth it ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Not worth it 5 4 3 2 1 Fair __ __ __ __ ___ Not Fair 5 4 3 2 1 Affordable__ __ __ __ __ Not affordable

5 4 3 2 1 f) Based on your answers to a) to b) above, are you likely to use public buses and minibus taxis more often or less often in the future? Public buses: more_________ _______ _________ ___________ _________ less 5 4 3 2 1 Minibus taxis: more_________ _______ _________ ___________ _________less 5 4 3 2 1 F. GENERAL a) Based on the service quality dimensions, please indicate whether you would use public transport more often or less often in the future? Please complete both sections

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Public buses Reliability: Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____ Use Less 5 4 3 2 1 Comfort Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____ Use Less 5 4 3 2 1 Service Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____ Use Less 5 4 3 2 1 Safety Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____ Use Less 5 4 3 2 1 Affordability Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____Use Less 5 4 3 2 1

Minibus taxis Reliability: Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____ Use Less 5 4 3 2 1 Comfort Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____ Use Less 5 4 3 2 1 Service Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____ Use Less 5 4 3 2 1 Safety Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____ Use Less 5 4 3 2 1 Affordability Use More _____ _____ ____ ____ ____Use Less 5 4 3 2 1

b) How important is each service quality dimension as regards choosing public transport?

Public buses Reliability: Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1 Comfort Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1 Service Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1 Safety Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1 Affordability Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1 Minibus taxis Reliability: Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1 Comfort Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1 Service Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1 Safety Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1 Affordability Very Important ___ ___ __ ___ ___ Less important 5 4 3 2 1

- - - END - -

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