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UPDATED: 12 August 2011
2
Contents
5 Strategy16 Production and logistics32 Business Areas81 Financials
102 Share & funding109 Global oil industry124 Sustainability141 Appendix
3
DisclaimerThe following information contains, or may be deemed to contain, “forward-looking statements”. These statements relate to future events or our future financial performance, including, but not limited to, strategic plans, potential growth, planned operational changes, expected capital expenditures, future cash sources and requirements, liquidity and cost savings that involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause Neste Oil Corporation’s or its businesses’ actual results, levels of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements. In some cases, such forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “may,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” or “continue,” or the negative of those terms or other comparable terminology. By their nature, forward- looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Future results may vary from the results expressed in, or implied by, the following forward-looking statements, possibly to a material degree. All forward-looking statements made in this presentation based on information presently available to management and Neste Oil Corporation assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Nothing in these presentations constitutes investment advice and these presentations shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or otherwise to engage in any investment activity.
4
Strategy
6
7
Basis for Neste Oil’s strategy
Expanding the raw material base
Delivering high-quality products for cleaner traffic
Leveraging refining excellence
8
Neste Oil’s strategy
9
Strategic roadmap
2005-2007 2010-2012
Growth•
NExBTL expansion• Singapore & Rotterdam
•
Base oil JV in Bahrain
•
Business excellence• Organizational redesign• Cost savings• Performance improvement
2008-2009
Delivery
•
Profitable growth
•
Production efficiency
•
Business excellence
Foundation•
IPO•
Diesel investment at Porvoo
•
Porvoo NExBTL plants
Higher margins, lower costs, better profitability, greater shareholder value
10
Focusing on production of higher value products
2005 2012e
~14 Mt
~17 Mt
58%1)
45%1)
1) Represents proportion of crude oil-based middle distillates, base oils and renewable diesel in total production
11
Renewable Fuels will be a significant profit contributor
Oil Products
Renewable Fuels
Oil Retail
Until now Target
Breakdown of annual EBITDA*) by segments
*) comparable EBITDA, excluding Others
12
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q1/06 Q3/06 Q1/07 Q3/07 Q1/08 Q3/08 Q1/09 Q3/09 Q1/10 Q3/10 Q1/11
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q1/ 06 Q3/ 06 Q1/ 07 Q3/ 07 Q1/ 08 Q3/ 08 Q1/ 09 Q3/ 09 Q1/ 10 Q3/ 10 Q1/ 11
Key financial targets
1) rolling 4 quarters
Leverage (net debt to capital), %
Return on average capital employed after tax (ROACE) 1), %
Target level: 25-50%
target: at least 15%
3.6%
46.3%
11
13
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
120 %
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Dividend
2007 dividend 1.00 € /share
Payout from comparable net profit
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Payout EUR per share
EUR
Target
14
Management agenda for 2011PROFITABLE GROWTH
OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY
BUSINESS EXCELLENCE
-
Renewable diesel sales-
Start-up of the Rotterdam plant during Q3-
Completion of the base oil project in Bahrain during the second
half-
Keeping capex in control
-
Safeguard good operations at Porvoo and Naantali refineries
-
Optimization of the renewable diesel plants’
operations
-
Keep costs and operational efficiency competitive
-
Ensure that market opportunities are capitalized on-
Promote a results-driven culture-
Active working
capital management-
Customer
focus
14
15
Investment projects 2009–2011Business area Location Capacity Investment
(total budget)Due
onstreamOther info
Renewable Fuels
NExBTL plant Singapore 800,000 t/a 550 Meur Q4/2010 On stream
NExBTL plant Rotterdam 800,000 t/a <670 Meur Summer 2011
Oil Products
Base oil plant Bahrain 400,000 t/a ~130 Meur 2011 JV: Neste share is 45% → 180,000 t/a
Isomerization unit Porvoo 600,000 t/a 80 Meur Project is postponed
before market
situation improves
Would process 600,000 t/a of low-
value gasoline into high-quality gasoline. Increases refinery´s total gasoline output by 200,000 t/a
Base oil plant Abu Dhabi 600,000 t/a Has been changed to partnership,
no investment costs for Neste Oil
2013 Neste Oil will act as marketer and seller of volumes. ADNOC will invest in the production plant.
postponedpostponed
Production and logistics
17
Oil Refining: Porvoo refinery
Porvoo refinery
18
Porvoo Refinery•
Porvoo
is Neste Oil’s principal refinery, in operation since the mid-1960s•
An atmospheric distillation capacity of 205,000 bpd•
Very complex refinery:-
appr. 14.5 in Solomon refinery configuration factor-
appr. 12.1 in Nelson complexity index•
Very extensive bedrock cavern capacity and tank farm combined with deep sea harbor
1) bpd, except for hydrogen plants.
Major Process Units Current Licensor/ Start-Up Modified capacity 1) Process Designer
Atmospheric Crude Distillation 206,000
Lummus/Neste Oil
1975
1993Vacuum Distillation 1
52,300
Lummus/Neste Oil
1972
1993Vacuum Distillation 2
23,000
Lummus/Neste Oil
1988Visbreaking 26,050
Shell
1979Fluid Catalytic Cracking 42,300
Texaco
1972
1993Hydrocracking 21,500
UOP/Unocal
1965
1989Continuous Catalytic Reforming 41,700
UOP
1986Hydrogen Plant (thousands of standard cubic feet per day) 22,300
Power Gas
1965ETBE / MTBE
2,235
Neste Oil/ Snamprogetti
1993
1993Alkylation 7,750
Phillips
1988
1993TAME 2,880
Neste Oil
1995Hydrotreating/ Naphtha 67,100
Exxon
1975
1993Distillate Aromatics Saturation 16,500
Neste Oil
1992Hydrotreating/Distillate 2 24,800
Shell
1972Hydrotreating/Distillate 3
54,100
Shell
1993
1999VGO Desulphurization 55,600
Unocal
1975
1999EHVI Unit
6,690
Chevron
1997
1997LCF
41,800
ChevronLummus
2006MHC 33,500
ChevronLummus
2006New Hydrogen Plant (thousands of standard cubic feet per day) 118,385
Unde GmbH
2006
Note: capacity barrels streamday basisNote: capacity barrels streamday basis
19
Por
voo
Ref
iner
y co
mpl
exity
ratio
is a
ppro
xim
atel
y 14
.5 (S
olom
on)
Oil refining process at the Porvoo refinery
Renewable diesel
20
Naantali refinery
21
Naantali Refinery•
The Naantali refinery began operations in the late 1950s and refines gasolines, diesel fuels, LPGs, aviation fuels, heating oil, heavy fuel oil, bitumens and solvents
•
An ongoing investment program at the Naantali refinery has focused on increasing the production of specialty petroleum products, such as specialty gasolines, solvents and bitumen
•
An atmospheric distillation capacity of 56,000 bpd (crude and other feedstocks)•
The complexity of the Naantali refinery:-
8.4 in Solomon refinery configuration factor-
7.1 in Nelson complexity indexProcess Units
Current Licensor/ Start-Up Year
of
Majorcapacity, bpd Process Designer Year Modifications
Crude Distillation (Unit 1)
28,300
Lummus
1957
1996Crude Distillation (Unit 2)
28,300
Lummus
1962
1996Light Naphtha Dehexanizer
9,700
Neste Oil
1982Naphtha Dehexanizer 10,800
Neste Oil
1995Solvent Distillation
2,200
Neste Oil
1982
2003Arosat
500
Lummus
1971
1998Special Gasoline (BEL) unit
1,800
Neste Oil
1989
1994Reformer Unit
7,700
UOP
1985JET fuel unit
3,000
UOP
1998TCC Gasoline Desulphurization
6,600
Axens
2002Catalytic Polymerization
600
Chevron/UOP
1957
1987Solvent Hydrotreater
5,700
Neste Oil
1991
2003Solvents Dearomatization
5,200
Neste Oil
1993
2003Middle Distillate Hydrotreater 2
19,800
Lummus
1981
2002TCC-Feed Hydrotreater
7,200
Neste Oil
1987Thermofor Catalytic Cracker
14,300
Mobil Oil/Neste Oil
1957
1982Vacuum Distillation Unit
16,900
Lummus
1957
1982Visbreaker
8,800
Shell
1979Bitumen Distillation Unit
5,700
Neste Oil
1963
2003Sulphur Recovery Unit
60
Comprimo
1973
1995Naphtha Hydrotreater 9,000 Neste Oil 1963 1982Mild Vacuum Unit
5,700 Neste Oil 1963 2003Bitumen Unit 7,800 Neste Oil 1998 200Vapor Recovery Unit
N.A.
Lummus
1957
Note: capacity barrels streamday basisNote: capacity barrels streamday basis
22
CRUDEOIL
DISTILLATION1 AND 2
CRUDEOIL
OTHERFEED
GASOLINEDESULPHURISATION
SOLVENTDESULPHUR-
ISATION
VACUUMDISTILLATION
HEXANEREMOVAL
BITUMENUNIT
VISBREAKING
HYDRO-GENATION
AROSATUNIT
SOLVENTDISTILLATION
TCC-UNIT
GASRECOVERY POLYMERI-
SATION
GASOLINEREFORMATION
JET FUELTREATMENT
GAS OILDESULPHUR-
ISATION
SULPHURRECOVERY
UNIT
PROPANEBUTANE
REMOVAL OF AROMATIC
COMPOUNDSFROM SOLVENT
CITYDIESELLIGHT
FUEL OIL
JETFUEL
HEAVYSOLVENTS
NAPHTHAMOTOR-
GASOLINE
LIGHTSOLVENTS
HEAVYFUEL OILBITUMEN
SULPHUR
H2
H2
H2
H2S-FEED
SPECIALITYGASOLINE UNIT SPECIALITY
GASOLINES
Refining process at the Naantali refinery
23
Performance of our refineries (Solomon Study 2008)
Refinery utilization
Energy intensity, net cash margin
Maintenance
Naantali
Net cash margin ($/bbl)
Energy intensity, maintenance
Refinery utilization
Porvoo Targets:
Porvoo To rank top among Western European refineries in all aspects by 2012
Naantali
To improve maintenance efficiency performance
24
Refinery capacity utilization
93 %
70 %
77 % 89 %
92 %
79 %
84 %
92 %
91 %
51 % 90
%97
%90
%81
%
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
120 %
Q1 200
8Q3 2
008
Q1 200
9Q3 2
009
Q1 201
0Q3 2
010
Q1 201
1
Porvoo Naantali
92 %
92 %
94 %
91 %
82 %
86 %
91 %
89 %
85 %
86 %
84 %
83 %
85 %
84 %
0 %10 %20 %30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %80 %90 %
100 %
Q1 200
8Q3 2
008
Q1 200
9Q3 2
009
Q1 201
0Q3 2
010
Q1 201
1
•
Porvoo: Challenges on PL4 have been reflected in utilization•
Naantali’s performance has been stable
•
Major turnaround (one in five years) was carried out at Porvoo during Q2/2010Note: Utilization calculations are based on Solomon methodology
25
Russian heavier crude is our main feedstock
•
Neste Oil is procuring approximately 2/3 of its feedstock under one-year
term
contracts and 1/3 on a spot basis–
Pricing under term contracts is based on market prices•
Neste Oil’s largest suppliers are major Russian oil companies–
No supplier represents more than 20% of total procurement•
Apart from tankers, feedstocks from FSU are also transported by rail
3447 47 54 52 54 57 63 57 67 63 66 70 67 70 68 68 64
6653 57
46 48 46 43 37 43 37 33 37 34 30 33 30 32 32 36
636443 51
3653 49
0 %10 %20 %30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %80 %90 %
100 %
200320042005200620072008Q1
2008Q2
2008Q3
2008Q4
20082009Q1
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
20092010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
20102011Q1
2011Q2
Russian Export Blend Other
Share of Russian Export Blend out of total feed of Neste Oil´s refineries
30
70
2008
European average
Source: Neste Oil, Bernstein Research
26
Russian crude is very close to Porvoo and Naantali
Million tons
17.7
44.857.4
66.174.2 74.3
0
20
40
60
80
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Oil export from Primorsk
Primorsk oil harborPorvoo refineryNaantali refinery
Shorter destination means lower shipping costs (Primorsk to Porvoo vs. Rotterdam to Porvoo)
27
Large storage facilities and modern terminals are supporting our business
Rock caverns Tank farms Harbor
Porvoo refinery 24 bedrock caverns, capacity 5.6 million cubic meters
Capacity 3.0 million cubic meters in 121 above ground tanks
Approach route up to 15.3 meters deep, capacity to accomondate vessels up to160,000 cargo tons
Naantali refinery 1 becrock cavern, capacity 0.25 million cubic meters + 7 steel shell tanks inside bedrock, capacity 0.03 million cubic meters
Capacity 0.82 million cubic meters
Approach route up to 15.3 meters deep
Refineries together
25 caverns (+7 steel shell tanks inside bedrock), capacity 5.88 million cubic meters
Tank farm capacity 3.82 million cubic meters
•
Storage system and harbor capacity together with our own shipping fleet are key drivers for Neste Oil’s superior logistics•
Flexibility; we can keep products as components (e.g. gasoline) and blend them just before shipment fulfilling buyer’s requirements even with very short notice
•
Large scale contango storaging in favorable market conditions •
Modern harbor and bedrock caverns are also safery elements
28
NExBTL plant in Singapore
•
Commissioned in 2010 •
The world's largest and most advanced facility producing renewable diesel
•
Production capacity 800,000
tons
of NExBTL
diesel annually •
Raw materials include, for example, palm oil and by-products of its production such as stearin, as well as animal fat
•
Products are sold to Europe and North America, later
possibly also to Asia. •
Employs approximately 120 persons
29
Flexible tanker portfolio
Neste Oil fleet split by categories
Number of ships
Our shipping flexibility
•
Flexible portfolio of double-hull vessels
•
2,638 port
calls in 2010
•
Average
vessel age is 5.4
years
•
31
million tons of cargo transported in 2010
•
Operations
in Baltic Sea, North Sea and Intercontinental routes
9
9
9
9
9
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
0
11
13
18
20
20
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
Own* Bareboat JV Chartered
*inc. 1 tug & 2 Pusher-barger combinations
30
Neste Shipping Fleet
Kiisla -04, FI, 14750 DWT, 1A S
Sten Hidra -07, NIS, 16600 dwt, 1A
Sten Aurora -07, NIS, 16600 DWT, 1A
Sten Nordic -06, NIS, 16613 DWT, 1A
Tempera -02, FI, 106034 DWT, 1A S
Propontis -06, GR, 117055 DWT, 1A
Tärndal -98, NIS, 8300 DWT, 1A S
Proteas -06, GR, 117055 DWT, 1A
Stena Arctica -05, FI, 117000 DWT, 1A S
Crude & dirty
Astina -06, S, 11283 DWT, 1A
Astoria -99, S, 12712 DWT, 1A
Stena Poseidon -07, FI, 74999 DWT, 1A
Palva -07, FI, 74999 DWT, 1A
Futura -04, FI, 25084 DWT, 1A S
Neste -05, FI, 25080 DWT, 1A S
Jurmo -04, FI, 25049 DWT, 1A S
Purha -03, FI, 25000 DWT, 1A S
Clean
Suula -05, FI, 14665 DWT, 1A S
Sten Suomi -08, NIS, 16619 DWT, 1A
Sten Bothnia -08, NIS, 16611 DWT, 1A
Scorpius -06, S, 11249 DWT, 1A
Bitpro I / Kari -89, FI, 4088 DWT, 1A
Bitpro II / Aulis -90, FI, 4088 DWT, 1A
Pushers, Barges
Tugs
Ahti -02, FI, 1A
Esko -81, FI, 1A
Ukko -02, FI, 1A
Mastera -03, FI, 106208 DWT, 1A S
Sten Baltic -05, NIS, 16613 DWT, 1A
Stenstraum -01, GI, 13 610 DWT, 1A
31
Business Areas
33
Oil Products
35
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Q1/
2008
Q2/
2008
Q3/
2008
Q4/
2008
Q1/
2009
Q2/
2009
Q3/
2009
Q4/
2009
Q1/
2010
Q2
2010
Q3
2010
Q4
2010
Q1
2011
Q2
2011
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Long track record of high refining margins
•
Key drivers of Neste Oil’s refining margin:•
Ability to use heavier crude and other feedstocks•
Refinery configuration and high-value product
slate (including base oils)•
Location and logistics (transport differential in domestic and export markets)
Note:Margins are calculated in different ways and are not directly comparableRefining margins include variable costs
Neste Oil Total Refining Margin
USD/bbl
Neste Oil reference margin
36
-25
-20-15
-10
-50
5
10
1520
25Ja
n-20
09
Apr
-200
9
Jul-2
009
Oct
-200
9
Jan-
2010
Apr
-201
0
Jul-2
010
Oct
-201
0
Jan-
2011
Apr
-201
1
Jul-2
011
Oct
-201
1
usd/
bbl
1) Brent Dated 2) ULSD 10 ppm CIF ARA3) Premium Unleaded 10 ppm CIF ARA 4) HSFO 3.5% CIF ARA
Product margins (updated 28 July 2011)
Heavy Fuel Oil 4)Gasoline 3)Diesel 2) (price difference to crude oil price 1), USD/bbl)
forward curve
Forward curve sources: PVM, TulletPrebon and Mitsui
37
Neste Oil is a middle distillate producer
43% 36%45%
54%
18%46%
17%
33%
39%
18%
38%
13%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Europeanaverage
US average Asian average Neste Oil
Middle distillates Motor gasoline OtherSources: EIA, Wood Mackenzie, Neste Oil
38
Neste Oil is a middle distillate producer
33% 28% 22% 22% 24%
44% 46%
54%52%
50% 47% 44%
35% 33%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Neste Saras OMV Petroplus PKN Orlen TSO VLO
Gasoline Middle Distillates Heavy products (mainly heavy fuel oil) OtherData: Neste Oil = 2009 / Other companies = 2007-2008
Data source: company based data
39
Sales from in-house production in 2010
Diesel: 5,655 kt (37%)
Gasoline: 4,339 kt (30%)
Others: 1,675 kt (12%)
Heating
oil: 691 kt (5%)Heavy fuel
oil: 908 kt (6%)
Renewable
fuels: 270 kt (2%)
Aviation
fuel: 640 kt (4%)
Base
oils: 307 kt (2%)Base
oils: 307 kt (2%)
Total 14,485 kt
40
Sales by market area in 2010
Finland: 7,881 kt (54%)
Other
Nordic
countries: 2,685 kt (19%)
Other
countries: 179 kt (1%)USA and Canada: 1,081 kt (7%)
Rest
of Europe: 2,659 kt (19%)
Total 14,485 kt
41
Oil Products’ business priorities
Business excellenceBusiness excellence
Growth in selected market areas
Growth in selected market areas
•
Implement growth in the Base Oils business•
Support growth in renewable fuels and leverage synergies
•
PL4 operational efficiency and maximize value of production
•
Fixed cost reduction•
Working capital management (inventories, payment terms)
•
Supply chain optimization in line with market potential
•
Value creation from logistics assets
Strong position in focus markets
Strong position in focus markets
•
Focus on strong position in Baltic Sea market•
Provide solutions to meet growing biomandate
•
Focus on highest-value export markets
42
Co-development of new products /
formulations
Base oil and lubricant
formulation
Additive and lubricant
formulation
Base Oils business concept
Neste Oil Base Oils
Additive companies
Car manufacturers
(First fill)
Lubricant manufacturer
Retail channel(Service fill)
43
Base Oils strategy and market outlook
• Bahrain project on schedule and on budget•
Construction progressing according to plan•
Neste Oil ownership 45 %•
Nameplate capacity 400 kta (Group III)•
Neste Oil’s investment cost EUR 130 million•
Start-up in H2/2011
• Partnership in Abu Dhabi•
Local partner ADNOC•
Planned capacity of approx. about 500 ktpa Group III base oils and 120 ktpa Group II base oils
•
Neste Oil will act as marketer and
seller of volumes
•
ADNOC will invest in production plant•
Due to come on stream in end 2013
•
Short term market outlook - demand and margins recovering gradually
•
Long term business growth driven by demand
• Demand growth driven by regulation•
Neste Oil to maintain position in global top 3
•
Expected production capacity growth reflects expected demand growth:
Business outlook Strategy implementation
Neste Oil's Share of Global VHVI Production Capacity
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
kt/a
Global production capacity
ADNOC/Neste Oil partnership
JV BaPCo Neste Oil
Neste Oil current capacity
44
Supply-demand balance forecast for Group III base oils is still lucrative
Sources: Press releases, Neste Oil estimates
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
t/a
DemandSupply
45
We will leverage our market position to exploit growth opportunities
Company 3
12%
Company 448%
Neste Oil35%
Neste Oil16%
Key strategic advantages•
Focus on higher quality base oils•
Extensive portfolio of car industry approvals•
Broad customer portfolio•
Leading position in Europe
Total market 600
ktpaTotal market1,400
ktpa
European merchant market (group III) 2010 Global merchant market (group III) 2010
Competitors65%
Competitors84%
46
In addition to automotive uses, base oils are used in industrial lubricants and as process oils
Uses of NEXBASETM Base OilsExample: Where are lubricants used in the Mercedes C series
Renewable Fuels
48
Why to invest in renewable diesel?
C02 reduction Local air quality improvement
High biocontent Excellent fuel properties
All in one – available today
NExBTL renewable diesel
49
Neste Oil's approach on sustainable biofuels
Real GHG savings over the entire life cycle
Sustainable feedstock and full traceability
Lower tailpipe emissions
NExBTL renewable diesel
50
Biofuel legislation is progressing globally
•
Renewable Energy Directive (RED) to be implemented during 2010
•
10 % mandate by energy content for renewable traffic fuels by 2020 confirmed, but many countries plan to accelerate implementation and increase targets
•
Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS 2) was approved in 2010•
The program is expected to displace about 20% of expected annual gasoline and diesel consumption by 2022
•
Trend is towards increasing use of biofuels •
Rapidly growing air quality problems are seeing major urban areas looking for new solutions such as NExBTL renewable diesel
51
7% for biodiesel 7% for biodiesel
52
Status of the Renewable Energy DirectiveRENEWABLE ENERGY DIRECTIVE•
Setting binding targets for the use of biofuels in transport within EU•
Rules for sustainability of biofuels
KEY RESULTS•
Biofuel target in transportation maintained at 10% by 2020•
Use of renewable electricity in transport supported heavily (2.5
x liquid bioenergy)•
Waste, residues, non-food cellulosic and ligno-cellulosic material supported (2 x
liquid bioenergy)•
GHG threshold 35% by 2010, rising to 50% by 2017, and even further to 60% in regard to new plants•
Principle of harmonized legislation across EU member states applied
CONCLUSIONS •
The directive has a positive approach to feedstock trade with 3rd countries•
The directive will allow our current feedstock base •
Palm oil has a low default value on GHG savings (26% compared to
the 35% threshold); we will use the actual value, to be calculated still (preliminary indications 40-60%)
•
Current approval process has two steps: harmonized sustainability legislation across the EU, and formal product appproval process at member state level
•
General: the directive is more positive than what was expected based on Parliamentary discussion; the sustainability criteria are seen as reasonable and manageable from operators’
point of view
53
Mt
23.2
4.95.7
7.8 8.4
6.1
11.6
16
21 21 21
0
5
10
15
20
25
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2020eproduction total capacity
Note: Assumes that both gasoline and diesel have 5.75% biocontent in 2010 and 10% in 2020 : Sources: European Biodiesel Board, EU Commission
Historical and targeted EU biomass-based diesel production
EU: Biodiesel production and capacity in 2004-2007 and Commission proposal for 2010-2020
EU mandates mean that 10-12 Mt of capacity needed in 2010 and 21 Mt in 2020
Renewable Energy Directive•
10% of energy consumption in transport from renewable sources by 2020
•
GHG saving -35% in 2010; 50% in 2017 and 60% for new installations 2017
•
Member States legislations to include the RED within 18 months from official publication
•
Open questions to be resolved in Comission-led comitology process
54
Potential market for NExBTL will grow globally to at least 35 million tons by 2020
Lower emission city
traffic
High levels of FAME cannot
be used
Cold climate market areas
FAME limited by logistics issues, e.g underground
storage
Fuels for high- performance
diesel engines
US renewable growth target
Bio-jet
= future value prospect
EU biodiesel production, and targeted demand 2020
2.03.2
4.9 5.77.8 8.4
21.0 21.0 21.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2009 2010 2020e
Mt
production
targ
et
capacity in EU
= current value
55
NExBTL projects are proceeding according to plan
0250,000500,000750,000
1,000,0001,250,0001,500,0001,750,0002,000,000
2007 2009 2010 2011
nam
epla
te c
apac
ity t/
a
Porvoo I Porvoo II Singapore RotterdamPlant Capacity Investment Status
Porvoo 1 190,000 t/a €100 million Onstream
Porvoo 2 190,000 t/a > €100 million Onstream
Singapore 800,000 t/a €550 million Onstream
Rotterdam 800,000 t/a €670 million Start-up in Q3 2011
5656
NExBTL renewable diesel is the best fuel of its type available anywhere, and can be used in all diesel engines.
About the product
•
NExBTL is the cleanest diesel available, and its technology is several years ahead of any competitors in the renewable fuels market
•
Can be produced in large volumes on an industrial scale•
NExBTL renewable diesel significantly reduces both tailpipe and greenhouse gas emissions
•
NExBTL renewable diesel can be used in all modern diesel engines, hence there is no need to replace existing vehicles
•
Can be used as such or as a blending component in conventional diesel•
Performance and ease of use is equal to that of fossil diesel•
NExBTL renewable diesel is engine-friendly
High cetane number
A pure hydrocarbon
57
NExBTL renewable diesel
•
Key advantages: feedstock flexibility, excellent fuel properties
•
High quality (energy value, cetane number, cold properties) enables premium pricing
TechnologyEsteröinti
Esteri - biodiesel
BiodieselFAME / RME
NExBTLrenewable
dieselFischer-Tropsch
Feedstock
End product
BiomassaKasviöljyt &
EläinrasvatKaasutus &
Fischer- Tropsch
Vetykäsitte ly
Vegetable oils & animal fats
(mainly rapeseed oil)
Esterification
Ester-based biodiesel
OII
H3
C-O-C-R
Vegetable oils &animal fats
Hydrogenation
Bio-based hydrocarbon
Cn
H2n+2
Biomass
Gasification &Fischer-Tropsch
Bio-based hydrocarbon
Cn
H2n+2
Mineral Oil
Refining
Hydrocarbon
Cn
H2n+2
Fossil diesel
58
Commercial
Esters
BTL
Vegetable oils
Esterification
FAME =
Biodiesel
In
Out
BTL GTL
Mineral Oil
Gasoline
Jet
Diesel
Cn H2n+2
Cn H2n
ParaffinsAromatics
Polyaromatics
Refining
Natural gas
Coal
GasificationFischer-Tropsch
Cn H2n+2
Paraffins
Gasoline
Jet
Diesel
Vegetable oils
Animal fats
Hydrotreating
Cn H2n+2
Paraffins
Renewable:Gasoline
Jet
Diesel
Biomass
Cn H2n+2
Paraffins
NExBTL is a hydrocarbon renewable diesel
Commercial Commercial Commercial by Neste Oil
Gasification Fischer-Tropsch
Renewable:Gasoline
Jet
Diesel
Developmentphase
59
0< 10< 10Sulfur content (mg/kg)
StableStableUnstableProduct stability
43
- 5
53
835
Sulfur-freediesel fuel1)
38
- 5
51
885
Biodiesel
44Heating value (lower) (MJ/kg)
- 5 ... - 30Cloud point (°C)
84 ... 992)Cetane number
775 ... 785Density at +15°C (kg/m3)
NExBTLFuel properties •
CO2
reduction•
Cleaner emissions•
No implications for existing car pool
•
No need to relax specifications to achieve high bio content
•
Distribution within existing oil refinery logistics
•
No need to compromise fuel quality
NExBTL characteristics
NExBTL properties enable premium pricing
60
NExBTL renewable diesel is superior to traditional biodiesel
•
Technically possible to blend up to 100%
•
No need to relax specifications to achieve high bio-content
•
All emissions reduced•
No "use by" -date•
No implications for end users
•
No implications for vehicle technology
NExBTL renewable diesel
•
Maximum blend of 5 % (EN590 diesel specification)
•
Bio targets not achievable without specification changes
•
NOx increase•
Limited storage possibilities•
Problems with engine cleanliness
•
Ash formation blocks exhaust after treatment filters
Traditional biodiesel
6161
Using NExBTL renewable diesel improves the quality of the air we breathe.
Significant reduction in tailpipe emission
•
Engine tests have proven that particulate, carbon monoxide, and nitrogen oxide emissions released by NExBTL renewable diesel are all lower than with traditional diesel
•
Regulated emissions are significantly reduced
NOx
10% lower
Particulates 28% lower
CO
28% lower
HC
50% lower
Source: Scania, MAN, VTT
62
Significant reduction in GHG emissions
NExBTL diesel
Vegetable oil production, processing
and transportation0.95 -
2.25 t CO2
1.3 -2.6 t CO2 per ton of NExBTL
Production and processing
End use
Fossil diesel
Crude oil production,
processing and transportation
Refining
End use
3.8 t CO2 per ton of diesel
Annual production of the first NExBTL plant in Porvoo is 170 000 tons
GHG emissions of NExBTL renewable diesel over the entire lifecycle are 40-80% lower than those of fossil diesel
Majority of emissions are generated during raw material production
Potential to reduce GHG emissions in raw material production
• optimising fertilizer use• waste water treatment• use of wasteSource: Concawe/Eucar WTW 2004,
IFEU
63
NExBTL is the world’s best and cleanest diesel
•
Greenhouse gas emissions calculated over the product´s entire life cycle are 40-80% lower than those of crude-based diesel
•
Generates significantly less other tailpipe emissions•
Meets automotive manufacturers’ toughest specifications
•
Premium quality compared to traditional biodiesel•
Can be used in all diesel engines as such or blended with fossil diesel
•
Compatible with existing distribution systems •
Flexible production technology enables the use of a very wide range of raw materials
•
Quality has been proven in extensive field tests
64
Competitiveness Of Neste Oil’s Renewable Fuels
Conventional biodiesel
Sulfur-free diesel fuel
NExBTL renewable diesel
-pr
oduc
t pric
e $/
ton
+
Price premium due to higher quality and energy content
illustrative exampleExpensive feedstocks
Biomass to liquids
Potential to meet EU’s bio content mandate more efficiently
>90% of world biodiesel production
is FAME/RME
Lower-cost feedstocks
65
Prices of renewable feedstocks (updated 28 July 2011)
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
Jan-
10
Feb-
10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10
Jul-1
0
Aug
-10
Sep-
10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb-
11
Mar
-11
Apr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1
Soybean oil Rapeseed oil Palm oil Animal fat
USD/t
8
66
Palm oil productivity
•
Palm oil is cost-effective: cheapest oil to produce•
Palm oil requires less energy:•
No need for sophisticated equipment
•
Less pesticide (Fairhurst, 2003)
Soybean (USA)
Rapeseed (Europe)
Palm (Malaysia)
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000usd/t
Cost of the production of oils/ton (NOTE: based on 2007 data)
Source: MPOC Factsheet 2007
67
Among existing crops palm oil yield is superior (in crude oil equivalent)
End product: Yield (ton/hectare) as crude oil equivalent:
rapeseed oil (EU)
NExBTL / (FAME) 0.9
soya oil(US)
NExBTL / (FAME) 0.54
palm oil (Malaysia)
NExBTL / (FAME) 4.2
wheat (EU) EtOH 1.1
barley (Finland)
EtOH 0.6
corn(US)
EtOH 1.2
sugar beet (EU)
EtOH 3.1
sugar cane (Brazil)
EtOH 3
Jatropha* NExBTL / (FAME) 1 - 1,5
Algae* NExBTL / (FAME) 30
* Alternative feedstock, commercial volumes not yet available
Source: Several sources & Neste Oil internal analysis
68
From plantations to our site: The palm oil we use is fully traceable
SEEDLINGSThe seedlings are grown in a nursery adjacent to the plantation
PLANTATIONPlantations are set up according to RSPO’s sustainable development criteria
CULTIVATION 12-month old trees are planted. Proper care guarantees well-being and long life of the palms.
OIL PRESSING The palm fruit is freed from the bunches and mashed. Oil is extracted by mechanical pressing and stored in tanks which are sealed
until transportation. The rest of the bunch is recycled or used towards energy.
HARVEST Oil palm trees bear fruit for approximately 30 years. At harvest the fruit bunches are cut down and transported to the extraction plant adjacent to the plantation.
The separation of Neste Oil’s fruit ensures traceability.
TRANSPORT Neste Oil’s palm oil is loaded into ships, sealed and shipped to Europe.
REFINERY At the NExBTL plant at Neste Oil's refinery in Finland, palm oil is used as one of the raw materials for NExBTL renewable diesel.
Audited by SGS 5/2007 Audited by SGS 3-4/2008
69
Source: Oil World Annual 2009 vol 1., volumes are forecasts for Oct/08-Sept/09 (Tallow & Grease), countries present 93 % of world production
EU-27: 1.1 M mt/a
Australia & New-Zealand: 0.7 M mt/a
USA, Canada & Mexico: 4.1 M mt/a
Argentina & Brazil: 0.8 M mt/a
China, India & Pakistan: 1.2 M mt/a
Animal fat: world production 8.5 M mt/a
70
Feedstocks – today, tomorrow and the future
Vegetable oil and animal fat
Non-food plant oils e.g. jatropha
Wood biomass, algae, microbes and waste streams e.g. forestry waste
today tomorrow In the future..
7171
Algae
Forest residuals and biomass gasification
Microbes
Neste Oil’s six research initiatives
Nonfood vegetable oil
72
Drivers supporting lignocellulose-based renewable fuels Wood residues as an example – StoraEnso/Neste Oil
1. Climate change
Renewable diesel made from lignocellulosic feedstocks such as wood residues by Biomass to Liquids (BTL) technology is very greenhouse gas (GHG)
efficient, i.e. resulting in low net CO2 emissions throughout the cycle
GHG balance is expected to have a direct impact on price level
2. Feedstock availability
Lignocellulosic feedstocks need to be taken into use as current farming-based biomass is not sufficient for the targeted growth
Strong pressure to find non-food raw materials
3. Product quality
Cleaner tailpipe emissions targeted
The properties of renewable diesel made using a BTL process are comparable or above those of conventional diesel
Automotive companies appreciate BTL as the quality and compatibility are better than those of 1st generation biodiesel = FAME (Fatty Acid Methyl
Ester)
73
NOSE: JV With Stora Enso to develop renewable diesel from forest residues
•
Demonstration plant at Stora Enso’s Varkaus Mill in Finland•
Started in late 2009
•
Expand production to commercial scale •
The project combines expertise from Neste Oil, Stora Enso, and VTT (Technical Research Centre of Finland)
Forest biomass
1 million t/a (fresh wood)
REFINING WAX INTO FUEL
Joint Venture
Steam (energy equivalent to 100,000 t/a of fuel oil)
Drying
Biodiesel crude wax to refining, 100 000 t/a
Gasifier
Gas purification to Ultra Clean Gas
Fischer-
Tropcsh Synthesis
74
Algae – one example of future feedstock with great potential
Pic
ture
: Exa
mpl
e of
alg
ae c
ultiv
atio
n sy
stem
;
pict
ures
ourc
e: A
lgae
Link
(ww
w.a
lgae
link.
com
)
•
Algae can grow 20 to 30 times faster than food crops. Studies show that algae can produce up to 60% of their biomass in the form of oil
•
Algea can double mass several times a day and produce significantly more oil per acre than alternatives such as rapeseed, palms, soybeans, or jatropha.
•
Algae-growing facilities can be built on coastal land unsuitable for conventional agriculture •
A possible nutrient source is waste water from the treatment of sewage, agricultural, or flood plain run-off, all currently major pollutants and health risks
Yield (ton/hectare) as crude oil equivalent:rapeseed oil (EU) 0.9
palm oil (Malaysia) 4.2corn (US) 1.2
sugar cane (Brazil) 3algae 30
Algae cultivation = chemical salts, water, CO2, light all these are cheap, renewable and available in large scale
Oil Retail
76
Leader in Finland – second in St. Petersburg
Poland*
Latvia
Lithuania
St.Petersburg
Finland
54
853
2
2
2
1
3
4
57
52
47
106
Estonia
= market position
Gasoline market shares in Finland, 2004-2010
*in present market areas
Neste Oil28% 27% 26% 26% 27 26% 25%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
42% 41% 41% 41% 42% 39% 39%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Neste Oil
Diesel market shares in Finland, 2004-2010
Competitors
Competitors
77
Baltic Rim sales volumes 1,000 m3
Baltic Rim market is the growth market
0200
400600
8001,000
1,2001,400
1,600
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
Gasoline Diesel Fuel Heating OilNotes: Baltic rim = Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, St. Petersburg area. Figures include both direct sales and sales through retail network.
Neste Oil is a significant player in the Baltic Rim –
especially in the St. Petersburg area
78
Oil Retail’s top priorities
Neste Oil brand
Customer loyalty and market
position
Lowest unit cost
Optimal pricing
Maximize profitability
79
•
Unit costs are the most important profitability driver in the retail business
•
In general, an unattended stations are the most cost-efficient due to their low fixed costs
•
Fixed costs of an unattended site are roughly 1/3 compared to those of attended stations
•
Our unit costs in Finland are already the lowest in the sector
•
The unattended site concept has made us competitive in the Baltics, where demand is down but our volumes have remained healthy
Targeting lower unit costs
Unit cost €/ton*Neste Oil 0.75Competitor 1 0.83Competitor 2 0.85Competitor 3 1.16* Source: financial statements and FOGF
80
Financials
82
83
11,892
9,789
3654
169328
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2010
240
208
6045
-65-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2010
Revenue Comparable operating profit
Gro
up
Oil
Prod
ucts
Ren
ewab
le fu
els
Oil
Ret
ail
Gro
up
Ren
ewab
le fu
els
Oil
Ret
ail
Oth
ers
Key figures by segments (EUR millions)
Neste Oil's reporting segments are the business divisions as well as Other segment consisting of Group administration, shared service functions as well as Research and Technology and Neste Jacobs.
Oth
ers
Oil
Prod
ucts
84
Key figures by segments
2 260
315 276
4 544
1703
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
31 12 2010
19,3%
7,9%
-5,1%
-10 %
-5 %
0 %
5 %
10 %
15 %
20 %
25 %
31 12 2010
Net assets Comparable return on net assets, %G
roup
Oil
Prod
ucts
Ren
ewab
le fu
els
Oil
Ret
ail
Oth
er
Oil
Prod
cts
Ren
ewab
le fu
els
Oil
Ret
ail
Neste Oil's reporting segments are the business divisions as well as Other segment consisting of Group administration, shared service functions as well as Research and Technology and Neste Jacobs.
85
119
189202
87
158
225
159
84
119
181199
103
5647 42
-29
88
5
57
90
4432
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250Q
1/06
Q2/
06Q
3/06
Q4/
06Q
1/07
Q2/
07Q
3/07
Q4/
07Q
1/08
Q2/
08Q
3/08
Q4/
08Q
1/09
Q2/
09Q
3/09
Q4/
09Q
1/10
Q2/
10Q
3/10
Q4/
10Q
1/11
Q2/
11
Quarterly comparable EBIT
1) Excluding inventory gains/losses, changes in the fair value of oil and freight derivatives and capital gains/losses
MEUR
2007 20082006 2009 2010 2011
86
Annual comparable EBIT and ROACE
565597
626602
116
240
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
MEUR %
15.5
13.1
2.5
4.6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2007 2008 2009 2010
ROACE
87
Indicative comparable EPS
Comparable EPS = comparable EBIT –
reported financial costs –
taxes (26%) / reported number of shares
0.46
0.65
0.49
0.27
1.87
0.31
0.510.58
0.18
1.58
0.12 0.13 0.08
-0.12
0.21 0.22
0.010.14
0.28
0.65
0.08 0.02
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1-Q4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1-Q4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1-Q4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1-Q4
Q1 Q2
2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011
88
•
Comparable operating profit was EUR 32 million (5 million, due to the major turnaround at Porvoo)
•
Turnaround on PL4 had a negative impact of EUR 30 million•
Renewable Fuels reported bigger losses due to low volumes
•
Refinery production costs were USD 5.3/bbl (5.7)•
Investments totaled EUR 91 million (374 million)•
Net cash from operations was EUR -126 million (243 million)•
Leverage ratio was 46.3% (31 Dec 2010: 42.6%) at the end of June
•
In-house sales volumes were 3.5 million tons, impacted by the turnaround on PL4
•
Rotterdam plant achieved mechanical completion•
New renewable feedstocks were introduced
Second quarter 2011 in brief (compared to Q2/2010)
Results
Other
Capex, cash flow &
costs
4
89
Key Figures EUR million unless otherwise noted
* Excluding inventory gains/losses, changes in the fair value of oil- and freight derivatives and capital gains/losses
18
Q2/11 Q2/10 Q1/11 H1/11 H1/10 2010
Revenue 3,674 2,576 3,472 7,146 5,301 11,892IFRS operating profit 109 -63 171 280 34 323Comparable operating profit * 32 5 44 76 93 240Profit before taxes 98 -70 160 258 18 296Profit for the period 64 -50 118 182 14 231Earnings per share, EUR 0.25 -0.20 0.46 0.71 0.05 0.89Net cash from operating activities -126 243 58 -68 617 1 105Investments 91 374 120 211 564 943
30 Jun 11 30 Jun 10 30 Dec 10Interest-bearing net debt 2,176 1,926 1,801ROCE (pre-tax), % 12.2 1.9 7.7ROE, % 14.7 1.4 9.9
90
Balance Sheet
2 527 2 367
4 358 4 297
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
30 Jun 11 31 Dec 10
2 047 2 057
2 317 2 181
2 521 2 426
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
30 Jun 11 31 Dec 10
Total assets Total equity and liabilities
Non-current assetsCurrent assets
Equity Int-bear. liabilitiesInt-free liabilities
6,885 6,664 6,6646,885
30 Jun 11 31 Dec 10
Capital employed, MEUR 4,838 4,607Equity-to-assets, % 36.7 36.5Leverage, % 46.3 42.6Gearing, % 86.3 74.3
19
91
EUR million
Cash flow
20
Q2/11 Q2/10 Q1/11 H1/11 H1/10 2010
Profit before taxes 98 -70 160 258 18 296Adjustments total 49 147 109 158 233 395Change in working capital -237 150 -194 -431 337 486Cash from operations -90 227 75 -15 588 1,177Net finance costs -1 19 -12 -13 33 -39Taxes -35 -3 -5 -40 -4 -33Net cash from operations -126 243 58 -68 617 1,105Capital expenditure and investments in shares -91 -374 -120 -211 -564 -943Other 25 36 -37 -12 29 29Cash flow before financing activities -192 -95 -99 -291 82 191Net change in loans 260 160 -118 142 -80 136Dividends paid -90 -64 0 -90 -64 -66Net increase/decrease in cash -22 1 -217 -239 -62 261
Cash at the end of the period 140
92
Oil Products
Short-term outlook (published 28 July 2011)
15
•
Market continue to favor complex refiners
•
Diesel margins to remain higher than gasoline; base oil market strong
•
Urals discount to Brent expected to average USD 2.50-
3.00 in 2011
•
PL 4 to be off-line for 4 weeks in Q4
•
Full-year 2011 comparable operating profit set to be higher than in 2010
•
Business in ramp-up mode in 2011
•
Expected to report comparable operating loss throughout the year
•
Q3 expected to be weaker than Q2 as high unit costs and start-up of the Rotterdam plant will weigh on results
•
Sales volumes to double in the third quarter, thanks to new customers in Europe
•
US exports to grow towards the end of the year
•
Retail’s performance to be similar to 2010
•
Fixed costs roughly EUR 650 million and cash investments EUR 300
million in 2011
Renewable Fuels
Other
93
Segment financials – Oil Products
SEGMENT FINANCIALSEUR million Q1/08 Q2/08 Q3/08 Q4/08 2008 Q1/09 Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09 2009 Q1/10 Q2/10 Q3/10 Q4/10 2010 Q1/11 Q2/11
IFRS EBIT 197 272 15 -301 183 106 105 80 27 318 65 -18 116 170 333 178 136Comparable EBIT 113 162 173 154 602 64 37 15 -11 105 58 -3 45 108 208 84 60
Depreciation 46 41 44 44 175 44 43 43 48 178 42 49 48 50 187 47 48
Investments 33 39 46 47 165 43 51 45 59 198 54 158 23 34 269 19 32
Net assets 2 951 2 602 3 277 2 436 2 436 2 660 2 602 2 573 2 943 2 943 2 748 2 617 2 610 2 260 2 260 2 323 2 480Comparable RONA, % 16.2 7.9 20.3 21.2 21.2 10.0 7.9 6.0 4.0 4.0 8.2 4 4.9 7.9 7.9 14.7 12.2
SALES VOLUMES1000 tons 3 256 3 755 3 791 3 735 14 571 3 399 3 623 3 552 3 493 13,969 3 689 2 713 3 637 4 232 14,485 3 665 3 510Million barrels 25 28 29 28 110 26 27 27 26 106 28 20 27 32 109 28 27
REFINING MARGINSReference margin, $/bbl 7.71 12.85 10.48 8.66 9.84 5.03 3.65 2.18 1.73 3.14 4.20 5.23 3.52 4.77 4.36 4.46 4.46Total refining margin, $/bbl 11.91 12.38 13.54 15.05 13.39 9.44 7.87 5.97 5.85 7.35 7.83 7.35 7.48 9.67 8.14 8.92 8.99
94
Segment financials – Renewable Fuels
SEGMENT FINANCIALSEUR million Q1/08 Q2/08 Q3/08 Q4/08 2008 Q1/09 Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09 2009 Q1/10 Q2/10 Q3/10 Q4/10 2010 Q1/11 Q2/11
IFRS EBIT 1 12 -2 -9 2 -10 -3 -1 -11 -25 -16 -19 2 -7 -39 -4 -53
Comparable EBIT 2 13 -3 -10 2 -7 -7 -6 -10 -30 -18 -23 -12 -13 -65 -36 -55
Depreciation 2 1 2 2 7 2 2 4 6 14 5 5 5 12 27 15 16
Investments 27 50 64 108 249 123 150 161 191 625 129 149 157 143 578 96 50
Net assets 166 212 259 371 371 462 601 763 940 940 1 081 1 268 1 468 1 703 1 703 1 826 1 940
Comparable RONA, % 5.2 15.9 8.2 0.9 0.9 -6.6 -5.8 -4.8 -4.8 -4.8 -6.3 -7.4 -5.9 -5.1 -5.1 -8.2 -10
Sales volumes, 1000 t 18 35 23 70 94 31 43 68 66 209 41 72 102 59 270 87 80
95
Segment financials – Oil Retail
SEGMENT FINANCIALSEUR million Q1/08 Q2/08 Q3/08 Q4/08 2008 Q1/09 Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09 2009 Q1/10 Q2/10 Q3/10 Q4/10 2010 Q1/11 Q2/11
IFRS EBIT 11 11 9 -6 25 12 13 19 6 50 6 14 24 17 61 12 13
Comparable EBIT 9 11 7 -5 22 12 14 19 5 50 6 13 23 18 60 12 13
Depreciation 8 8 9 6 31 7 8 8 8 31 8 8 8 10 34 8 8
Investments 8 15 18 22 63 4 6 9 10 29 2 13 8 10 33 4 6
Net assets 362 385 351 351 351 321 296 308 305 305 307 310 316 315 315 326 319
Comparable RONA, % 9.7 10.7 9.7 6.0 6.0 14.3 16.1 18.8 15.8 15.8 7.8 12.4 18.1 19.6 19.6 15 15.6
Sales volumes, 1000m3 1 056 1 051 1 104 1 142 4,353 1 021 964 986 1 030 4,002 1 034 973 1 023 1 121 4 150 978 963
96
Key sensitivities for 2011
Approximate effect on Neste Oil’s EBIT before hedgesAnnual change
+/-
10 % in the EUR/USD exchange rate -90/+110 MEUR
+/-
1.00 USD/bbl in total refining margin +/-
110 MUSD
+/-
10 USD/bbl in crude oil price +/-
100 MUSD
+/-
100 USD/t in palm oil price
+/-
15 MUSD
+/-
10 USD/t in Renewable Fuels refining margin
+/-
15 MUSD
97
Oil Products´
sensitivities
Estimated impact of $1/bbl change in key market parameters on Oil Products’ annual comparable EBIT
Note: Assumed USD/EUR exchange rate is 1.4
48
27
6 4
68
4238
8 6
30
0
20
40
60
80
100
Urals -
Brent Diesel Gasoline Fuel Oil Jet
MEUR MUSD
98
Investments by category 2005-2011
259
153 153234
195 223
0100200300400500600700800900
1000
2005 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011e
Maintenance & Productivity StrategicDepreciation Maintenance ShutdownTotal Capex
668668
535535
334334
508508
870870
~300~300
892892
mE
UR
9999
417334
3874
135118
89
49
367
45
116
75
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2008 2009 2010
mEU
R
Oil Products Renewable Fuels Oil Retail Others
The Group’s fixed costs
604679575
100
Refined products Million barrels
Exchange rate EUR/USD
Maintenance costs EUR million
$/bbl
Utilities costs
Total
External sales
EUR million
$/bbl
EUR million
$/bbl
EUR million
$/bbl
110.0 27.5 16.7 28.9 29.8 102.9 27.4 26.0
1.1 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.3
-66.3 -17.4 -17.9 -19.1 -23.6 -78.0 -22.2 -21.7
2010
Other costsEUR million
$/bbl
Q1/10
1.39 1.38 1.28 1.29 1.36 1.33 1.37 1.44
88.3 14.5 13.7 15.3 17.2 60.7 14.6 23.8
2.4 2.5 3.6 2.4 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.2190.0 50.6 46.7 53.2 58.1 208.6 59.6 57.2
1.7 1.8 2.3 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.4 2.0132.5 36.0 30.1 22.8 23.1 112.0 27.4 36.7
4.4 4.2 5.6 3.2 3.4 3.9 4.0 5.3344.5 83.6 72.7 72.2 74.8 303.3 79.4 95.6
-0.8 -0.9 -1.4 -0.9 -1.1 -1.0 -1.1 -1.2
2009
Refinery production costs (Porvoo and Naantali)
2009 Q2/10 Q3/10 Q4/10 2010 Q1/11
2011
Q2/11
101
Share & Funding
103
Share performance and ownership
Shareholders by sector, 30 June 2011
50,1 %
20,6 %
11,9 %
17,4 %
Finnish State
Households
Finnish Institutions
Non-FinnishShareholders
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.0018
.4.2
005
18.7
.200
5
18.1
0.20
05
18.1
.200
6
18.4
.200
6
18.7
.200
6
18.1
0.20
06
18.1
.200
7
18.4
.200
7
18.7
.200
7
18.1
0.20
07
18.1
.200
8
18.4
.200
8
18.7
.200
8
18.1
0.20
08
18.1
.200
9
18.4
.200
9
18.7
.200
9
18.1
0.20
09
18.1
.201
0
18.4
.201
0
18.7
.201
0
18.1
0.20
10
18.1
.201
1
18.4
.201
1
18.7
.201
1
104
Liquidity position on 30 June 2011
Size Utilized Available
Committed Credit Facilities-
Short term
150
0
150
-
Long term
1575 400 1175
Cash and Cash Equivalents
140
Total Cash and Committed Credit Facilities 1465
Uncommitted Programs
Commercial Papers 400
255
145
EUR million
105
Debt profile on 30 June 2011
Interest-bearing net debt EUR 2,176 million
Total interest-bearing liabilities EUR 2,316 million
Short-term interest bearing liabilities EUR 413 million
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017+
Short-term Long-term
Debt maturity profile Interest-bearing liabilities
Material financing arrangements
Size(million) MaturityRevolving Credit Facility EUR 1,500 2016Bond issue 2009 EUR 300 2016Bond issue 2010 EUR 300 2015NIB & EIB EUR 280 2014->Bilateral bank loan EUR 200 2014Bilateral bank loans EUR 200 2013Bond issue 2005 EUR 120 2012Domestic CP ProgrammeEUR 400 <1 yrBank overdrafts EUR 150 <1 yr
767
0
165
25424
1 105
LT Fin. inst 48%Domestic Bond 33%LT Others 0%Leasing 7%CP 11%ST Others 1%
106
Neste Oil’s credit programs
Total of EUR 400 million unsecured short term notes with maturities less than one year
Dealers: Pohjola Bank, Nordea, Sampo Bank plc,Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ), Svenska Handelsbanken AB (publ) and Swedbank AB (publ), Helsinki Branch
7-year fixed rate note 2/2005Size:
EUR 120 millionCoupon: 3.50% (issue price 99.606%, MS + 60 bps)Arrangers: Sampo & Pohjola
7-year fixed rate note 1/2009Size: EUR 300 millionCoupon:
6.00% (issue price 99.463%, MS + 300 bps)Arrangers: Danske, Nordea Markets, Pohjola
5-year fixed rate note 1/2010Size:
EUR 300 millionCoupon: 4.875% (issue price 99.532%, MS + 290 bps)Arrangers: BNP Paribas, DB, Nordea
Bond Issues 2005 - 2010
Domestic Commercial Paper Program 2005Revolving Credit Facility 2010
Overdraft Facilities
EUR 1.5 billion
Maturity: March 2016
Mandated Lead Arrangers: Barclays Capital, BNP Paribas, Crédit Agricole CIB, Danske Bank, Merchant Banking, Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ), Nordea Bank Finland Plc, Pohjola Bank plc and The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd
Investment Loans 2005 - 2007
Bilateral Loans 2008 - 2009
Loans from financial institutions totaling EUR 515 million
Loans from EIB and NIB totaling EUR 230 million
EUR 50 million per bank totaling EUR 150 million
Investment Loan 2011
Loan from NIB totaling EUR 50 million
107
Financial risk management
94 %
3 % 3 %
EUR USD Other
Foreign Exchange Risks•
Policy is to hedge the estimated net cash flow on rolling basis:
•
On average 80% of the next 6 months
•
On average 40% of the following 6 months
•
Both option and forward strategies in use
Interest Rate Risks•
Average interest rate of the loan portfolio is 3.4%
•
Flow risk is EUR 14 million 1)
•
Duration benchmark of the loan portfolio is 12 months
1) The change in interest expenses within one year if interest rates change 1%Updated June 30 2011
TOTAL2,316 MEUR
Currency structure of interest-bearing liabilities, %
108
Global Oil Industry
110
111
Global oil demand
Total demand 89.5 mbbl/d in 2011
Source: IEA August 2011
112
Qualities of the most important crude oils
API gravity
Sulfur
Brent dated 38° 0.4%
Fortis (usually sets daily Brent dtd quote)
38° 0.6%
Urals 31° 1.3%
WTI 40° 0.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Neste Oil aims to maximize Urals usage; target is 3/4 of
total feedstocks used
API gravity is a measure of how heavy or light a petroleum liquid is compared to water.
Crude oil is classified as light, medium or heavy, according to its measured API gravity.
1. Light crude oil is defined as having an API gravity higher than 31.1 °API
2. Medium oil is defined as having an API gravity between 22.3 °API and 31.1 °API
3. Heavy oil is defined as having an API gravity below 22.3 °API
113
Global end-markets for oil products
Source: UBS
114
Regional demand by product in December 2010OECD Europe (14.39 MM bbl/d)OECD North America (24.74 MM bbl/d)
China (9.39 MM bbl/d)OECD Pacific (8.57 MM bbl/d)
14%
8%
29%16%
10%
23%
Motor Gasoline Jet & Kerosene DieselOther gasoil Fuel oil Other Products
17%
13%
4%
32%
8%
6%
20%
Motor Gasoline Naphtha Jet & KeroseneGas/Diesel Oil LPG & Ethane Fuel oilOther Products
19%
14%
13%7%9%
38%
Motor Gasoline Jet & Kerosene DieselOther gasoil Fuel oil Other Products
Source: IEA Dec 2010
44%
7%15%
5%
4%
25%
Motor Gasoline Jet & Kerosene DieselOther gasoil Fuel oil Other Products
115
Product inventories
Source: IEA, 8 August 2011
116
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Gasoline Road diesel
Long term European automotive fuels volume development
1000 barrels per day
KBC Market Services database
• CO2
emissions legislation favours diesel vehicles• Growth of heavy transport based on diesel technology• By 2030 over 2/3 of all European transport energy consumption• Trends similar elsewhere
117
European trends
Transport sector•
Largest energy consumer: 31% of total, rising to 33% by 2030.
•
Largest oil consumer: 60% of total, rising to over 64% in 2030.
Road transport dominates•
Over 80% of total transport energy consumption.
•
By 2030 cars and trucks will account for
some 50% of total European oil consumption –
unless alternative transportation fuels
emerge.
Similar trends around the world
118
Middle distillate balances
119
IEA, December 2010
Expected new refining capacity
120
Porvoo: 205,000 bbl/d-Nelson 12.1 / Solomon 14.5
Plock: 276,000 bbl/d -Nelson comp. index 9.5
Schwedt: 210,000 bbl/d-Nelson comp. Index 10.36
Leuna: bbl/d 227,000 bbl/d-Nelson comp. Index NA.
Karlsruhe: 302,000 bbl/d-Nelson comp. 9.75 Index
Sarroch: 300 000 bbl/d-Nelson comp. Index 9.9
Raffinerie Mediterranee: 320 000bbl/d-Nelson comp. Index 9.3
Anvors (Antwerp) : 360,000bbl/d-Nelson comp. Index NA.
Pernis: 416,000 bbl/d-Nelson comp. Index NA.
Nelson complexity averages: • Europe 6.5• USA 9.5
Notes:
1. Supersites classification is based on Wood Mackenzie ”global Refinery View –map”2. Capacities are atmospheric distillation capacities
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Supersites in Europe – Porvoo is one of them supersite: strategic, large scale, competitive assets usually integrated with large petrochemical operations
121
Neste and other independent refiners’ refining capacities in Europe
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000
Unipetrol
Lotos
Motor Oil
Neste Oil
Saras
Mol
Hellenic Petroleum
ERG
Tupras
PKN Orlen
Petroplus Holdings
bbl / yearSource: companies
122
Source: BernsteinResearch
Neste Oil’s assets are highly complex
123
Sustainability
125
126
Neste Oil is a leader in:
TECHNOLOGY
HSSE
SUSTAINABILITY
128
Sustainability: Economical - Ecological - Social
Neste Oil has been selected as an index component three times globally and 1st time on a European level.
•
Overall score improved by 1%•
Economic dimension: best in the industry
•
Environmental dimension: good •
Social dimension: better than average within the industry
•
Best improved dimensions: brand management, standards for suppliers and stakeholder engagement
129
Commitment to sustainability
•
We believe that by acting responsibly the industry can make a change and therefore sustainability is at the heart of all biofuel operations:
•
Working with governments to develop policies on sustainable development
•
Comply with highest standards (e.g. RSPO, RSB, RTRS)•
Work with raw material suppliers to continuously improve sustainability performance
•
Search for new competitive non-food feedstock alternatives and implement them as soon as possible
•
Continuously improve the greenhouse gas balance and environmental impacts of the whole lifecycle
•
Production growth of vegetable oils must be based on increasing yields of currently used land area and utilisation of wasteland
130
Our sustainability policy statement•
We are socially responsible, environmentally sound and economically viable
•
All our actions are safe for us, our neighbors, contractors, customers and the environment
•
We act responsibly in society and respect human rights wherever we operate
•
We provide our customers with products that help tackle sustainability issues such as global climate change and improve local air quality
•
We are committed to engaging with our stakeholders and participating in multi-stakeholder initiatives to help develop more sustainable solutions
•
We use natural resources responsibly and are actively working towards a more sustainable supply chain
131
Sustainability and HSSE - foundation of responsible operations
Our role:Ensuring safe operations and responsible procedures across all
activities. Supporting the Business through reduced risk position and contributing leading stakeholder perception in operational excellence,
responsible and environmentally sound performance and sustainability.
- Creating a sustainable business model
132
Our businesses have different requirements
Proactive approach on regulations
Ethical, social issue management
Indirect impact
NGO exposure
Influencing the regulatory environmentE.g. wider reporting principles
Statements, commitments
Human Rights
Biodiversity
Food vs fuelSupply chain
‘Traditional’Health, Safety, Environment:
Occupational SafetyProcess & Fire Safety
Environment ProtectionRegulatory compliance
Security
133
Neste Oil’s strong track record in HSSESulfur in motor gasoline Sulfur in diesel
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
max
sul
phur
(mg/
kg)
EU regulation Neste Oil
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
max
sul
phur
(mg/
kg)
EU regulation Neste Oil
Environment: SO2
emissions Porvoo refinery
HSSE is getting a wider content and covers the whole supply chain
Outstanding companies are committed to continuous improvements over the whole life cycle of their products
Safety (TRIF, oil refining, own personnel)
0
5
10
15
20
25
1998
1999
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
SO2 emission from the refinery
SO2
emis
sion
t/a
134
Work continues to enhance safety performance
Total recordable injury frequency (TRIF)
0123456789
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Major annual improvement since early 2000
Target is zero accidents
TRIF = total recordable injury frequency (number of cases per million hours worked)
135
Supply chain management is the key
Renewableraw materials
Fossilraw materials
Feedstocklogistics Refining Product
logistics Sales
Consumers,households
Industry
Oil companies
Fuel Quality Directive: Sustainability; GHG savings
Renewable Energy Directive: Sustainability; GHG savings
Verifying sustainability
Indirect impactof feedstock production
Direct impact of feedstock production
IPPC Directive (Refineries)
Reducing emissions
in production
Improving energy efficiency
Developing LCA know-how; focus on measures and reporting over the entire LC
Measuring the well-to-wheels impact
136
Neste Oil’s palm oil chain of custody
PLANTATIONS MILLSNESTE OIL’S REFINERYHARBOUR
PALM OIL REFINERY
CUSTOMER
AUTHORITY
Supplier
Crude Palm Oil (CPO)
PFAD RBD stearin
Plantation - Mill•Approved mills (Appendix of the agreement including name of plantation,Previous land use, plantation historyand establishment year)•Truck loading/discharging (FFB) documents
Mill - (Refinery) - Harbour•Summary of plantations of origin for each barge•Summary of discharging of barges•History of shore tanks of harbour
Supplier - Neste Oil•B/L•Shoretanks measurement (+)•CoC report (++)•Certificate of quantity (+)•Certification of quality (+)•Certification of origin/T2L•RSPO certificates•Ullage report (+)
Neste Oil - Customer•Customer specific reports•B/L•Shoretanks measurement (+)•CoC report (++)•Certificate of quantity (+)•Certification of quality (+)•Certification of origin/T2L•RSPO certificates•Ullage report (+)
Neste Oil - Authority•Authority report
PFAD = Palm Fatty Acid DistillateRBD stearin = Refined Bleached and Deodorized stearin
137
Material balance and emissions
138
CO2 emissions and emission rights
3
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
2008 2009 2010 2011e 2012e
mill
lion
tons
CO2-emissions allocated CO2-rights
•
We have a short position around 0.3 million tons/a
139
The key social, environmental and governance related risks facing the business and what Neste Oil does to minimized these risks•
Strategic risk: ability to respond to developing product market –
future growth in
climate benign products•
Neste Oil strategy statement in Sep 2006: risk eliminated
•
Ensuring renewable raw material acceptability
•
Sustainability criteria for biofuels, supply chain management, active work to promote certifications, flexibility of NExBTL technology: risk minimized
•
Major ship wreck in the Baltic Sea: business wide image risk
•
Trained own crew, double-hull fleet, escort tugs, vetting process: risks controlled
•
Global market with local regulations: level playing field unrealistic target for the moment
•
Increased conversion rates with increased energy use at the refineries: challenging to meet simultaneously CO2
reduction targets and tightening product specifications; and maintain profitability
140
Appendix
142
Appendix – Management, Management Compensation and Personnel
144
Neste Executive BoardPresident & CEO: Matti Lievonen
Production & Logistics Ilkka
Poranen Oil Products
andRenewables
Matti Lehmus
Business AreasCommon functions
Oil Retail
Sakari Toivola
Legal Affairs Matti
Hautakangas*Legal Affairs Matti
Hautakangas*
Communications, Marketing, Public Affairs O. KammonenCommunications, Marketing, Public Affairs O. Kammonen
Technology & Strategy Lars Peter LindforsTechnology & Strategy Lars Peter Lindfors
HSE Simo
HonkanenHSE Simo
Honkanen
Human Recources Hannele
Jakosuo-JanssonHuman Recources Hannele
Jakosuo-Jansson
Finance Ilkka
SalonenFinance Ilkka
Salonen
*Secretary to the Neste Executive Board, not a member*Secretary to the Neste Executive Board, not a member
145
1) Annual salary and fringe benefits2) A short-term incentive bonuses•
Based on both the Company's financial performance and the individual performance3) A long-term management performance share arrangement•
The plan includes three three-year earning periods, which will start in 2010, 2011 and 2012. The Board of Directors will decide the earnings criteria and targets
to be met as well as the maximum level of the payable reward for each earning period in December preceding the earning period. The earnings criteria for the 2010–2012 period are the sales volume at Renewable Fuels and total shareholder return on Neste Oil share in relation to the Dow Jones Nordic Return Index.
•
The potential reward will be paid partly in Company shares and partly in cash in 2013, 2014 and 2015. The maximum level of payable reward may not, during any earning year, exceed the annual gross salary of the year in question. The proportion to be paid in cash will cover taxes and tax-related costs arising from the reward.
•
The plan prohibits the transfer of shares within three years from the end of the earning period, i.e. the length of the plan is six years for each share allocation. Even after this, key personnel must hold 50% of the shares received on the basis of the plan as
long as the value of the shares held in total corresponds to their annual gross salary. This obligation to own shares is valid as long as the employment or service in the Group continues.
•
The maximum rewards to be paid on the basis of the 2010–2012 earning period if all the set targets are met will correspond to the approximate value of a maximum total of 850,000 Neste Oil Corporation shares (including the proportion to be paid in cash).
Management's Compensation
146
Personnel, by division
Total personnel: approximately 5,000 (31 December 2010)
Oil Products: 42%Neste Jacobs: 27%
Oil Retail: 26%
Technology
& Strategy: 5%
Others: 8%
Renewable
fuels: 5%
147
Neste Oil's Global Presence
Focus in Northern Europe
Singapore
BeringenEdmonton
Houston
Toronto
Dubai
Oil Retail
Production
Refinery, plant, or
other facility
Office
Naantali
St Petersburg
MoscowLatvia
Nynäs
Lithuania
Porvoo
Estonia
Poland
Singapore(under deveploment)
Rotterdam (under deveploment)
Extensive retail network-
Over 200 stations
Ownership of the only Finnish refineries- Porvoo: 205,000 bbl/d- Naantali: 56,000 bbl/d
Leading wholesale market positions across refined products
Market leader in Finland-
Almost 900 outlets-
Direct sales of petroleum products to end customers
Finland Baltic States, Poland and St. Petersburg
Shipping fleet of average 30 crude and product tankers with a carrying capacity of almost 1.3 MM tons
Three
refineries
in Sweden
and the UK, as well
as stakes
in other
sites
specializing
in production
and marketing
bitumen
and napthenics (through Nynäs 50/50 JV with PdVSA)
-
Bitumen
volumes
about
2.5MT and napthenics
close
to 0.8MT (2006)
JV Nynas: Sweden/UK
Porvoo
Top-tier base oil production, 250,000 t/a
Beringen, Belgium
50,000 t/a base oil plant
Edmonton, Canada
530,000 t/a iso-octane plant (50% ownership)
Production outside Finland
Bahrain (under deveploment)
Geneva
Atlantic Basin
Appendix – How to calculate Neste Oil reference margin
Updated margin data is available at:
http://www.nesteoil.com/default.asp?path=1,41,538,2035,5187
149
Details on Neste Oil reference margin
Feed/ProductFeed/Product Reference PriceReference Price
REB Urals RDAM usd/bbl
Brent dated Brent dtd
+ Freight TD7 usd/bbl
Products are priced in MT at Platts
NWE Cargoes CIFPropane Propane (7000+ MT)
Butane Butane (3000+ MT)
Gasoline 10ppm Premium unl
10 ppm
Naphtha Naphtha
Jet Jet
Diesel 10ppm ULSD 10 ppm
LSFO 1.0 pct
HSFO 3.5 pct
150
FeedsFeeds FormulaFormula
REB Standard share of REB 55 % * Price
Brent dated Standard share of Brent dtd
45 % * Price
SUM(above) = Feed cost usd/bbl
ProductsProducts
Propane Standard yield 1 % * Price / weighted average bbl-
multiplier of feed (7,39)**
Butane Standard yield 1 % * Price / weighted average bbl-
multiplier of feed (7,39)**
Gasoline 10ppm
Standard yield 30 % * Price / weighted average bbl-
multiplier of feed (7,39)**
Naphtha Standard yield 1 % * Price / weighted average bbl-
multiplier of feed (7,39)**
Jet Standard yield 5 % * Price / weighted average bbl-
multiplier of feed (7,39)**
Diesel 10ppm
Standard yield 45 % * Price / weighted average bbl-
multiplier of feed (7,39)**
LSFO Standard yield 1 % * Price / weighted average bbl-
multiplier of feed (7,39)**
HSFO Standard yield 9 % * Price / weighted average bbl-
multiplier of feed (7,39)**
SUM(above) = Product value usd/bbl
Neste Oil Reference Margin
= Product value – Feed cost – Standard refining variable costs (2 usd/bbl) - Sales freight (1,02 usd/bbl) ***
** REB bbl-multiplier 7,25 and Brent dtd bbl-multiplier 7,55
*** Sales freight is fixed standard 15 usd/ton. An estimate is made that 50% of production is exported. Freight formula = 15 * 50% / 7,39
Freights:
• Primorsk/Rotterdam freight usd/bbl = flat rate 8,55 usd/ton * WS TD17 (month ave) / 100 /
7,25• Primorsk/Porvoo freight usd/bbl
= flat rate 3,84 usd/ton * WS TD17 (month ave) / 100 / 7,25
• Sullom Voe/Porvoo freight usd/bbl = flat rate 8,90 usd/ton * WS TD7 (month ave) / 100 /
7,55
ItemItem Reference PriceReference Price
REB Urals/Brent CIF differential Rotterdam (Platt’s) usd/bbl –
Freight Primorsk/Rotterdam + Freight Primorsk/Porvoo
Brent dated Brent dtd
(Platt’s) + Freight Sullom
Voe/Porvoo
Product prices Platt’s CIF Cargoes quotes usd/t
Details on the reference margin
Appendix –Unit Conversions
152
Crude Oil
From Totons
(metric) kilolitres barrels US gallons tons per year
Tonnes (metric) 1 1.165 7.33 307.86 -Kilolitres 0.8581 1 6.2898 264.17 -Barrels 0.1364 0.159 1 42 -US Gallons 0.00325 0.0038 0.0238 1 -Barrels per day - - - - 49.8(based on worldwide average gravity)
Products
From To convert tons kilolitres tonsbarrels to barrels to tons to kilolitres
tons
LPG 0.086 11.6 0.542 1.844Gasoline 0.118 8.5 0.740 1.351Kerosene 0.128 7.8 0.806 1.24Gas oil / Diesel 0.133 7.5 0.839 1.192Fuel oil 0.149 6.7 0.939 1.065
Units and conversion multiples