Slide 1

Sunspot Cycle and War & ViolenceA.L. Tchijevsky, a Russian professor of Astronomy and Biological Physics, compiled the histories of 72 countries from 500 BC to 1922 AD to provide a strong database to articulate his correlations. After rating the most significant events, Tchijevsky found that fully 80% of the most significant human events, mostly related to war and violence, occurred during the 5 years or so of maximum sunspot activity.

Events Around Heights of Sunspot Cycle1776 79American Revolution1788 91French Revolution, US Constitution1803 06Napoleon conquers Europe1815 17Two wars to defeat Napoleon; German, English andSerbian riots; Brazil, Chile and Argentina declare independence1828 32Revolts in Turkey, Mexico, Belgium, Poland, France, Britain; Virginia slaverevolt1837 40Constitutional revolts in Canada, slavery debate outlawed in US, TexasIndependence, Boer separatists occupy African lands, British-Afghan war;Opium War1848 51Revolts and revolutions in Poland, Switzerland, Paris, Vienna, Berlin, Milan,Venice, Naples, Prague, Budapest, Warsaw; US Mexican War starts;Taiping Rebellion starts1858 61American Civil War begins; revolts in India, Italy, China

Events Around Heights of Sunspot Cycle1869 72Franco-Prussian War; Paris Revolutionary Commune1883 86Big US labor strikes, revolt in Sudan, First Indian Congress meets1893 95Zulu revolt, Cuban revolution1905 08German miners, Hottentots, Turks, Indians, Honduras, Russians revolt1916 18World War I, Irish and Indian revolts, Russian Revolution1927 31Mussolini and Hitler build power on economic unrest; revolts in Vienna, China; formation of Red Army; Spanish Republic formed; mass civil disobedience in India1937 40US steel strike, Spanish Civil War, Germany and Japan start World War II,mass civil disobedience in India1947 51Greek Civil War, First Israeli-Arab War, Indian-Pakistani riots, Red Armyconquers China, Vietnam revolts, Korean War1957 60Israel invades Sinai, Hungarian uprising, Cuban revolution, civil rightsmovement in US, French-Algerian war, MauMau revolt, Iraq revolt,numerous African nations gain independence

Events Around Heights of Sunspot Cycle1967 69Height of Vietnam War, peace demonstrations, worldwide student uprisings, Chinese cultural revolution continues, Czechoslovakian uprising/USSR invasion, US inner city riots, Israeli Arab war, Woodstock and height of hippy movement1979 82Polish Solidarity takes off, US anti-tax movement reaches heights and elects Reagan, Shah of Iran overthrown, Iraq-Iran war begins, USSR invades Afghanistan, Falklands War, Sandinistas oust Somas, Zimbabwe gains independence, anti-nuclear and peace demonstrations increase worldwide1989 91Chinese student uprising crushed, peaceful revolutions in Eastern Europe, dissolution of Soviet Union/end of Communist Party domination, Saddam Hussein invades Kuwait, end of apartheid in South Africa, beginnings of patriot and militia movements in US, Somalia civil war, Yugoslavia begins slaughter in Bosnia, Sandinistas lose Nicaraguan elections, First Gulf War2000 02September 11, 2001 Terrorist attacks on World Trade Center/Pentagon and Second Gulf War

Sunspot Cycle and Economic DepressionThere was a rather strong connection between major recession and the peaks of the sunspot cycles. There was one major exception, the last Great Depression, the bottom of which (1933) can be seen in the trough between sunspot peaks. The collapse of the stock market, however, paralleled right on the peak of the solar cycle in late 1929.

Is there a correlation between sunspot cycle and Dow Jones Industrial?Not really, the only direct connection that appears is as a breaking signal. During the sunspot peak, the speculative Bull Run bubbles in stock break and an economic recession begins fairly soon thereafter. This often leaves the stock prices headed down even while sunspots are still rising. This destroys any statistical averages which can be used for prediction.

11 Year Sunspot Cycle & Stock MarketDuring the 20th Century, the peak of stock market will be usually 3 to 6 months ahead of the peak of sunspot cycle. There is only one wrong prediction in the past which was in 1957.

Sunspot and Stock Market 1800 to 1900

Sunspot and Stock Market 1900 to 2000

Sunspot Cycle and Interest RateThe US 13 Week Treasury Bill rate peaked at the same time as the sunspot during the last several decades

Sunspot and US 13 Week Treasury Note Yield

Sunspot and Soybean PriceIf the sunspot cycle does affect the weather and in turn how well soybean grows then we would expect the variations to be go beyond optimum condition in two directions (be it too hot and too cold or too wet and too dry) and therefore in one sunspot cycle there would be two cycles in soybean growth.

Sunspot & Soybean 1959 to 2006

Created in MetaStock from Equis International

1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 19

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12Sunspot Number Monthly, US S&P 500 Index

Created in MetaStock from Equis International

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

5000

10000

15000

20000Sunspot Number Monthly, Dow Jones Industrial Average Monthly

Created in MetaStock from Equis International

54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

140

145

150

155

160Sunspot Number Monthly, 13Week US Treasury Yield Rate

Created in MetaStock from Equis International

58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500Sunspot Number Monthly, Soybean Monthly