Valuation - Kitchens of India

  • Upload
    ind781

  • View
    215

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    1/13

    Assumpt

    ions

    Heads Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4

    Avg. daily cust base 280 700 1500 4,000

    Veg Pricing Point 37 40.33 43.96 47.92

    Non Veg Price Point 45 49.05 53.46 58.28

    Veg/ Non Veg Ratio 0.5 0.55 0.55 0.6

    Blended Invoice Value 41 44.25 48.24 52.06

    Capex % 42% 47% 44% 30%

    Effective Tax rate 18% 21% 24% 30%

    Heads Explicit Forecast Period

    yr-1 yr-2 yr-3 yr-4

    Revenue 3,857,280 10,408,541 24,311,377 69,968,863

    NOPAT 67,250 746,186 1,393,052 4,263,303

    Depreciation 27,800 53,320 92,838 182,554

    Capex 28,000 348,000 618,500 1,300,000

    Changes in non cash working capital 82,389 175,498 1,412,912

    FCF 67,050 369,117 691,892 1,732,945

    Equity Value

    Explicit Value 3,803,801

    Perpetuity Value 121,903,727

    Total Value of the equity 125,707,527

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    2/13

    Yr-5

    6,000 Avg. Inflation 9%

    52.23 Terminal Growth Rate 15%

    63.52 WACC 17%

    0.6

    56.75

    45%

    30%

    Perpetuity Value

    yr-5

    114,399,091 CF in subsequent yr. 5,345,352

    10,375,469 Terminal Gorwth Rate 15%

    630,599

    4,673,000

    1,684,936

    4,648,132 Perpetuity Value 267,267,586

    Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    5,000

    5,500

    6,000

    280

    700

    1,500

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    3/13

    Yr-4 Yr-5

    4,000

    6,000

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    4/13

    Yr-1

    Balance-Sheet

    Liability Asset

    Retained Earning 39,250 Cash in hand 12,250

    Vishal 100,000 Kitchen Equipments 100,000Indranil 100,000 68000

    Prasenjit 100,000 Invenory 27440

    Souparna 100,000 Other Assets 110,000

    Outside Investor

    Shareholder's Equity 439,250

    Short term Loan Housing Security 100,000

    Long Term Loan Debtors 80,360

    Sundry Creditors 58,800

    Total Liability 498,050 Total Asset 498,050

    P&L

    Revenue 3,857,280

    Bad Debt Provision 77,146

    Depriciation 27,800

    Operating Expenses

    Cooking Gas 439,040

    Supplier Consumables 1,317,120

    Salary-cook 403,200

    Salary-Promoters 564,402Delivery Charge 376,320

    Packaging Cost 282,240

    Rent 168,000

    OthersPromotional Expenses 60,000

    H/W & S/W Maintenance 30,000Telephone , Internet 30,000

    Interest Expenses

    Income before Tax 82,012

    TAX 14,762

    NOPAT 67,250

    Scooter ( 8 nos.)

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    5/13

    Yr-2

    Balance-Sheet Balance-Sheet

    Liability Asset Liability

    Retained Earning 437,436 Cash in hand 32,847 Retained Earning

    Promoter's Contri 400,000 Kitchen Equipments 190,000 Promoter's Contri169200

    Invenory 74774

    Other Assets 174,000

    Shareholder's Equity 837,436 Shareholder's Equity

    Short term Loan Housing Security 140,000 Short term Loan

    Long Term Loan Debtors 216,845 Long Term Loan

    Sundry Creditors 160,230 Sundry Creditors

    Total Liability 997,666 Total Asset 997,666 Total Liability

    P&L P&L

    Revenue 10,408,541 Revenue

    Bad Debt Provision 312,256 Bad Debt Provision

    Depriciation 53,320 Depriciation

    Operating Expenses Operating Expenses

    Cooking Gas 1,196,384 Cooking Gas

    Supplier Consumables 3,589,152 Supplier Consumables

    Salary-cook 1,092,000 Salary-cook

    Salary-Promoters 907,289 Salary-PromotersDelivery Charge 1,058,400 Delivery Charge

    Packaging Cost 823,200 Packaging Cost

    Rent 264,000 Rent

    Others OthersPromotional Expenses 96,000 Promotional Expenses

    H/W & S/W Maintenance 36,000 H/W & S/W MaintenanceTelephone , Internet 36,000 Telephone , Internet

    Interest Expenses Interest Expenses

    Income before Tax 944,539 Income before Tax

    TAX 198,353 TAX

    NOPAT 746,186 NOPAT

    Scooter ( 20 nos.)

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    6/13

    Yr-3 Yr-4

    Balance-Sheet

    Asset Liability Asset

    1,211,988 Cash in hand 76,722 Retained Earning 4,175,291 Cash in hand

    400,000 Kitchen Equipments 271,000 Promoter's Contri 400,000 Kitchen Equipments370,780

    Invenory 174,651 Invenory

    Other Assets 286,600 Other Assets

    1,611,988 Shareholder's Equity 4,575,291

    Housing Security 300,000 Short term Loan Housing Security

    Debtors 506,487 Long Term Loan Debtors

    374,252 Sundry Creditors 1,450,432

    1,986,239 Total Asset 1,986,239 Total Liability 6,025,723 Total Asset

    P&L

    24,311,377 Revenue 69,968,863

    850,898 Bad Debt Provision 2,448,910

    92,838 Depriciation 182,554

    Operating Expenses

    2,794,411 Cooking Gas 8,122,422

    8,383,234 Supplier Consumables 24,367,266

    2,520,000 Salary-cook 7,200,000

    2,593,034 Salary-Promoters 6,641,2782,520,000 Delivery Charge 7,392,000

    2,016,000 Packaging Cost 6,048,000

    480,000 Rent 1,200,000

    Others144,000 Promotional Expenses 180,000

    42,000 H/W & S/W Maintenance 48,00042,000 Telephone , Internet 48,000

    Interest Expenses

    1,832,963 Income before Tax 6,090,433

    439,911 TAX 1,827,130

    1,393,052 NOPAT 4,263,303

    Scooter ( 43 nos.) Scooter ( 114 nos.)

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    7/13

    Yr-5

    Balance-Sheet

    Liability Asset

    429,950 Retained Earning 9,877,760 Cash in hand 851,184

    343,900 Promoter's Contri 400,000 Kitchen Equipments 409,5101,043,702 1,412,332

    1,087,824 Invenory 1,260,000

    437,940 New office 4,000,000

    (less depriciation) 400,000

    Shareholder's Equity 10,277,760 Net Value of office 3,600,000Other Assets 484,146

    600,000 Short term Loan Housing Security 600,000

    2,082,407 Long Term Loan Debtors 3,404,735

    Sundry Creditors 1,260,000

    6,025,723 Total Liability 11,537,760 Total Asset 11,537,760

    P&L

    Revenue 114,399,091

    Bad Debt Provision 4,003,968

    Depriciation 630,599

    Operating Expenses

    Cooking Gas 9,408,000

    Supplier Consumables 28,224,000

    Salary-cook 11,520,000

    Salary-Promoters 22,090,425Delivery Charge 12,096,000

    Packaging Cost 10,080,000

    Rent 1,200,000

    OthersPromotional Expenses 216,000

    H/W & S/W Maintenance 54,000Telephone , Internet 54,000

    Interest Expenses

    Income before Tax 14,822,099

    TAX 4,446,630

    NOPAT 10,375,469

    Scooter ( 157 nos.)

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    8/13

    Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3

    Tri-Monthly Working Capital 12,250 32,847 76,722

    Capex Projection

    Kitchen Equipments 100,000 100,000 100,000

    Office Furnitures 50,000 50,000

    Computer 50,000 50,000 50,000

    Stationery 10,000 25,000 30,000

    Website Construction/ enhancement 50,000 25,000 10,000

    Security Deposit 100,000 40,000 160,000

    Scooters 68000 108000 218500

    Buying of Office Space

    Total CAPEX 428,000 348,000 618,500

    Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    5,000,000

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    9/13

    Yr-4 Yr-5

    429,950 851,184

    100,000 100,000

    100,000

    50,000 50,000

    30,000 40,000

    10,000 10,000

    300,000

    710,000 473,000

    4,000,000

    1,300,000 4,673,000

    Yr-5

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    10/13

    Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5

    Shareholder's Equity 439,250 837,436 1,611,988 4,575,291 10,277,760

    Salary 564,402 907,289 2,593,034 6,641,278 22,090,425

    Total 1,003,652 1,744,725 4,205,021 11,216,569 32,368,185

    Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4

    0

    5,000,000

    10,000,000

    15,000,000

    20,000,000

    25,000,000

    30,000,000

    35,000,000

    Promoter's Gain

    Shareholder's Equity Salary Total

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    11/13

    Yr-5

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    12/13

    Customer Growth 28% 273

    month-1 month-2 month-3 month-4 month-5 month-6

    Daily Customer Base 50 64 82 105 134 172

    Average Invoice size 50 50 50 52 52 52

    Total Revenue 70,000 89,600 114,688 152,673 195,421 250,139

    Cost

    Supplier - Consumables 25,200 32,256 41,288 52,848 67,646 86,587

    Utility Consulambles 8,167 10,453 13,380 17,127 21,922 28,060

    Cook-Salary 10,000 10,000 10,000 15,000 15,000 20,000

    Packaging Cost 5,600 7,168 9,175 11,744 15,032 19,241

    Delivery Cost 12,600 16,128 20,644 26,424 33,823 43,293

    Office Rent 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000

    5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000

    Telephone/ Internet 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000

    Promotional Expenses 5,000 5,500 6,050 6,655 7,321 8,053

    Profit -18,567 -13,905 -7,849 875 12,677 22,905

    Profitability (%) -27% -16% -7% 1% 6% 9%

    Utility Consumption

    2 ppl 60 days 1 gas

    120 ppl 1 day 1 gas

    100 ppl 1 day 0.83

    S/W + H/W Maintenance

  • 8/14/2019 Valuation - Kitchens of India

    13/13

    month-7 month-8 month-9 month-10 month-11 month-12 Yearly

    220 281 360 461 590 756 NA

    52 55 55 55 55 55 NA

    320,178 433,471 554,843 710,200 909,056 1,163,591 4,963,860

    110,831 141,863 181,585 232,429 297,509 380,812 1,650,853

    35,917 45,974 58,847 75,324 96,415 123,411 534,999

    20,000 20,000 25,000 25,000 30,000 30,000 230,000

    24,629 31,525 40,352 51,651 66,113 84,625 366,856

    55,415 70,932 90,793 116,214 148,755 190,406 825,427

    14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 168,000

    5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 60,000

    3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 36,000

    8,858 9,744 10,718 11,790 12,969 14,266 106,921

    42,527 91,433 125,549 175,791 235,295 318,072 984,803

    13% 21% 23% 25% 26% 27% 20%