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Page 1 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014 Value Based Backhaul Monitoring for Small Cells How Network Operations can Contribute to the 'Bottom Line' Based on Report and Webinar Sponsored by Viewpoint Snapshot This paper investigates the benefits to LTE Operators of Value Based Monitoring for Small Cell Backhaul. Such Monitoring and Management solutions leverage End to End, Real Time network monitoring and Selective Visibility to assure high quality Mobile Broadband network service and fast problem resolution for superior Customer Experience Management and Policy Control. At the same time the right solution can transform the role of Network Operations to enable fast Service Activation and Subscriber Service Management that reduces network total cost of operations (TCO) and customer dissatisfaction while helping to create value from new services. June 2014 Wireless Networks & Platforms Service Sue Rudd, [email protected]

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Page 1 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Value Based Backhaul Monitoring for Small Cells

How Network Operations can Contribute to the 'Bottom Line'

Based on Report and Webinar Sponsored by

Viewpoint Snapshot

This paper investigates the benefits to LTE Operators of Value Based Monitoring for Small Cell

Backhaul. Such Monitoring and Management solutions leverage End to End, Real Time network

monitoring and Selective Visibility to assure high quality Mobile Broadband network service and

fast problem resolution for superior Customer Experience Management and Policy Control. At

the same time the right solution can transform the role of Network Operations to enable

fast Service Activation and Subscriber Service Management that reduces network total cost

of operations (TCO) and customer dissatisfaction while helping to create value from new

services.

June 2014

Wireless Networks & Platforms Service

Sue Rudd, [email protected]

Page 2 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Executive Summary

Traffic Growth driven by Video and WiFi integration followed by LTE-Advanced (LTE-A) Carrier

Aggregation is creating the need for Small Cells. To deliver good End to End (E2E) customer

performance expansion of the Radio Access Network (RAN) and small cell capacity must be matched

with appropriate backhaul capacity. We estimated the required incremental capacity for backhaul in

an earlier report ‘Closing the Mobile 'Backhaul Gap' will Improve Profit Margins’ and forecast the

incremental investment needed to close the ‘Backhaul Gap’.

As small cell are deployed over the next two years we project an increase the use of fiber backhaul

for high capacity clusters of small cells. Many of these clusters will share backhaul transport and

increase the peak backhaul bandwidth required. Fiber connectivity will follow. See our most recent

report ‘Small Cells Taking Off, Need Fiber Backhaul Soon’.

Customer Experience and performance management depend not just on high capacity mobile

broadband access but on three key network monitoring and management capabilities:

End to End (E2E) Network Visibility

Real-Time Monitoring

Selective Data for Analytics

End to End (E2E) network visibility on a link by link basis downstream of the metro aggregation

points is essential to isolate physical layer faults in seconds not tens of minutes and redirect traffic

before congestion cascades across the metro area network.

Real Time Monitoring of performance is important to capture events and alarms as they occur to

resolve problems in milliseconds or seconds. This enables operators to guarantee QoS and offer

Service Level Agreements (SLAs) that ensure levels customer experience are met profitably.

Selective Monitoring of the critical key parameters which are relevant to deliver good customer

experience allows operators to understand customer applications and service needs and reduce

churn - even as lower layer Deep Packet Inspection(DPI) monitors ‘go dark’ due to secure tunneling

for Google and facebook access and Netflix encoding etc..

If Mobile Operators add monitoring that will accelerate deployment testing, maximize network

visibility, lower response time and reduce customer dissatisfaction they will lower Total Cost of

Operations, enhance Customer Satisfaction, reduce Churn and improve Margins.

In this report we outline how operators can get these benefits from ‘Value Based Monitoring’

Page 3 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2

LTE SMALL CELL MANAGEMENT DEMANDS THREE TYPES OF MONITORING FUNCTIONALITY 4 END TO END (E2E) NETWORK VISIBILITY 4 REAL TIME MONITORING 5 SELECTIVE DATA FOR ANALYTICS 6 MATCHING MONITORING TO SERVICE REQUIREMENTS 6

MONITORING AT DIFFERENT PHASES OF SMALL CELL BACKHAUL LIFECYCLE 8 PHASE 1. PLAN, DEPLOY AND ACTIVATE 8 PHASE 2. OPERATE 8 PHASE 3.DELIVER VALUE 9

IMPLICATIONS FOR OPERATORS 9 NETWORK OPERATIONS CAN PROACTIVELY MANAGE NETWORKS TO IMPROVE MARGINS 9 LOWER COST OF OPERATIONS 9 ENABLES NETWORK OPERATIONS CENTER (NOC) EXPERTS TO IMPACT ‘BOTTOM LINE’ 10 DELIVERS BETTER BACKHAUL PERFORMANCE TO REDUCE CHURN AND IMPROVE OPERATOR’S

BOTTOM LINE 11 ADDS NEW VALUE FROM SERVICE LEVEL AGREEMENT (SLA) GUARANTEES AND PRIORITY ON-

DEMAND SERVICES 12 INCREASED COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE FOR FIBER TRANSPORT PROVIDERS WHO DEPLOY

MICROPROBES AND REDUCE TOTAL COST OF OPERATIONS (TCO) FOR THEIR OPERATOR

CUSTOMERS 12 BENEFITS OF AN INTELLIGENT MICROPROBE SOLUTION 13

CONCLUSIONS 13

CONTACT THE AUTHOR OF THIS REPORT: 14

Page 4 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

LTE Small Cell Management Demands Three Types of Monitoring Functionality

There are three major new types of functionality that LTE requires:

End to End (E2E) Network Visibility

Real-Time Monitoring

Selective Data for Analytics

We discuss these in turn below.

End to End (E2E) Network Visibility

LTE needs E2E functionality including network, subscriber and session awareness to deliver Quality

of Service (QoS) across the entire network from the device to the Cloud or between users. The

Radio Access Network (RAN) can easily become the blind spot in E2E network Visibility. Maintaining

visibility across a complex LTE RAN with its multiple small cell clusters and partial mesh backhaul is

increasingly difficult. Historically mobile backhaul traffic was aggregated at Macro Cell Sites where

routers or lower layer DPI boxes could monitor both connectivity and service traffic. But today

downstream link level visibility at hub locations is lost when operators use IP backhaul beyond the

aggregation point. Statistical correlation of data at selected network elements to find physical

problems or isolate the cause of traffic congestion across network elements from multiple vendors

can take many minutes or even hours and does not yield complete E2E analysis – leading to poor

service, unhappy users and customer churn.

Chart 1. IP Backhaul network loses link level visibility beyond the aggregation point

Source: JDSU Small Cell Backhaul Solutions

Page 5 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Strategy Analytics has estimated that almost 50 percent of customer dissatisfaction with Mobile

Broadband performance derives from backhaul problems. When an Operator has no link level

visibility there is no E2E visibility and QoS cannot be ensured. It is therefore essential to have

vendor independent visibility downstream of the aggregation points on a link by link basis to isolate

physical layer faults – e.g. using transparent probes such as the SFProbes™ from JDSU.

Real Time Monitoring

It is also essential for LTE small cell pro-active management to perform traffic monitoring with a

very small response ‘window’ and the ability to guarantee QoS in near real time. Historically many

traditional probes have not continuously monitored real time data but rather created ‘synthetic’

traffic – or ‘pings’ - either at specified intervals or when triggered by network events and operator

requests. These synthetic probes typically send traffic onto the network to ‘sample’ its behavior. In

some instances it is as simple as sending an ICMP ECHO packet (‘ping’), or specific packet streams –

e.g. RFC 2544 or ITU Y.1731, or to transfer synthetic traffic e.g. a sample video or VoIP stream that

‘loops back’ to return traffic statistics. Such techniques are appropriate for turn up testing, before

live services are added to a network, but the non-real-time nature of the information returned

make these approaches less valuable for performance monitoring.

The low latency requirements of LTE signaling and the need for more dynamic proactive

management of small cell traffic loads - either with Self Organizing Networks (SON) or load

management and traffic optimization techniques - demand Real Time Monitoring.

Since the time slot for sampling data must be much shorter than the time frame within which

action must be taken, for LTE the ‘time granularity’ for monitoring key failures or congestion

queues must be a few seconds or even milliseconds, rather than tens of seconds or minutes or even

the hours traditionally spent to do statistical

analysis at the Network Operations Center

(NOC). Network element based probing and

intelligent microprobe based monitoring are

therefore likely to replace statistical correlation

for fault isolation of LTE small cell transport

problems. And live traffic monitoring may

displace synthetic simulation – at least in part.

LTE also offers an opportunity to monetize differences in QoS and provide Service Level Agreements

(SLAs) for enterprise VPNs – similar to those for fixed enterprise and cloud customers – networks

that guarantee specific delay and throughput parameters. To achieve the SLA targets and avoid

penalties an operator must be able to identify, isolate and remedy small cell backhaul problems in

near real time independent of the network equipment used. Real time monitoring therefore

becomes a critical part of the mechanism that guarantees the service. Enterprise SLAs are likely to

become a major revenue source for service providers as small cells are deployed in campuses and

office buildings (See ‘Small Cells Taking Off, Need Fiber Backhaul Soon’).

..Operator must be able to identify, isolate and remedy small cell backhaul problems in near real time independent of the network equipment used

Page 6 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Neither can the monitoring process itself be allowed to introduce delay as some network element

based probing and flow-based monitoring do. See ‘LTE Network Monitoring - Comparing 6

Approaches for End-to-End visibility, Real Time Response and key Data Analytics’.

Selective Data for Analytics

As the passion for ‘Big Data’ Analytics has grown and operators have focused on E2E Customer

Experience Management (CEM) they have found themselves creating a ‘Tsunami’ of monitoring

data on the signaling channel that could potentially interfere with network performance. Not only

could this huge volume of data clog the network and reduce available capacity but it is becoming

costly to collect and impossible to analyze fast enough to be useful. To address the problem some

operators have imposed blanket filters on monitoring traffic but lost potentially valuable insights as

a result.

Matching Monitoring to Service Requirements

There is therefore a need to match the level of monitoring selectively to both its cost and the value

of the service it supports. In a recent TMForum Webinar JDSU provided examples of three levels

characterized either by Service or Customer parameters with separate policies that select the

different parameters to be monitored for each – See Chart below.

Chart 2. Defining Selective Monitoring Policies by Service or by Customer

Service Level

/Customer Examples Monitoring Parameters

Premium Services VoLTE, Bloomberg

Netflix™

Deep Visibility of Key Performance

Indicators (KPIs)

Top ARPU Customers facebook™, Lync™ Personalized Visibility, KPIs plus

OTT analysis

Low Value Service YouTube™

BitTorrent™

Basic Visibility – Packet Counts and

Usage

Source: ‘A New Paradigm in Customer Experience Assurance for 4G/LTE in the Era of Big Data’

Traffic is growing too fast for the cost of monitoring to be allowed to grow in proportion to the

traffic. Revenue per GB continues to decline and

costs must decline at least as fast. But blanket

filtering is too arbitrary. Value based dynamic

‘selective data monitoring’ is therefore a

preferred way to align monitoring costs with the

value of the revenue generating service. Operator managers should set the policies and then match

them to the network, subscriber or session parameters that are to be tracked. If this is done at least

one case study shows a dramatic reduction in operations costs as shown in the Chart below.

Traffic is growing too fast for the cost of monitoring to be allowed to grow in proportion to the traffic.

Page 7 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Chart 3. Case Study indicates Significant Cost savings from Selective Data Monitoring

Source: ‘A New Paradigm in Customer Experience Assurance for 4G/LTE in the Era of Big Data’

Selective data monitoring facilitates smarter Customer Experience Management, in part because

customer policies are planned in advance and modified as customer value becomes apparent.

This can lead to savings of over 50 percent in the network Total Cost of Operations (TCO) - as

indicated above - as the new approach impacts different phases of the small cell deployment

lifecycle.

Page 8 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Monitoring at Different Phases of Small Cell Backhaul Lifecycle

The complexity of a small cell backhaul ecosystem and the relative importance of the different

types of functionality described above can be better understood by looking at the three phases

of the operator’s lifecycle – Planning, Deployment and Activation, Operations and Value

Delivery.

Chart 3 The Three Phases of the Small Cell Backhaul Lifecycle

Phase 1. Plan, Deploy and Activate

This phase includes selecting, planning and optimizing the small cell solutions based on

understanding of customer and network behavior. Backhaul planning and monitoring are an

integral part of small cell deployment and increasingly they are part of the monthly or

quarterly Radio Access Network (RAN) planning process and forecasting of E2E throughput

requirements.

This phase requires automated backhaul service activation followed immediately by E2E

Monitoring to trigger new deployments and test new links as they are installed, with Real

Time testing of the throughput achieved. Policy decisions are also made in this phase to

decide what to Selectively Monitor.

Phase 2. Operate

This phase maintains the dynamic network environment and requires visibility both across the

network and at every node and link to isolate faults. Network, subscriber and session

awareness, monitoring and troubleshooting are principal tasks. Operations demands very

short monitoring response times with the ability to act to optimize live traffic data.

This phase requires E2E Monitoring to trigger alerts related to user performance but

continuous Real Time input is the most basic requirement for the NOC to spot and remedy

failures or growing congestion so that problems can be mitigated within seconds. And the NOC

Page 9 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

will be better positioned to do this fast when only the relevant parameters are selectively

monitored. Real Time monitoring is also essential to monitor Service Level Agreements and

detect violations in order to mitigate any customer problems that would impact revenue.

Phase 3.Deliver Value

After initial network completion operators need to focus on ‘value-based’ monitoring of the

network and service applications with Customer Experience Management (CEM), Customer

Relationship Management (CRM) tools and services. This needs to be done in conjunction with

upstream network and data partners to minimize the number of dissatisfied customers who are

likely to switch to another operator i.e. ‘churn’. This phase focuses on what will positively

impact the ‘bottom line’ e.g. guaranteeing SLAs and premium QoS to generate new revenues.

The idea of monetizing network intelligence is still relatively new but E2E knowledge of the

user experience is essential to Customer Experience Management systems; and Real Time inputs

that lead to problem resolution almost before the customer is aware of it can reduce

expensive churn; while Selective Monitoring driven by Policy can ensure that ‘potentially

customer impacting events’ are given priority handling.

Implications for Operators

Network Operations can Proactively Manage Networks to Improve Margins

Intelligent monitoring e.g. with link-by-link microprobes can provide a means for operators to

simultaneously:

Lower cost of operations

Enable Network Operations Center (NOC) experts to directly impact the ‘bottom line’

Deliver better backhaul performance to reduce churn and improve the operator’s ‘bottom

line’

Add new value from Service Level Agreement (SLA) guarantees, QoS and Priority On-

Demand Services

Increase competitive advantage for their fiber wholesale providers who offer microprobes

We discuss each of these in turn below.

Lower Cost of Operations

Comparing the cost of a complete NID based solution with intelligent microprobes the latter are

significantly less expensive as shown in the chart below. Factored into these comparisons are

savings from operational efficiencies including a reduction in the number of tests required during

backhaul service activation, as well as improved ‘mean time to identify’ during live traffic

performance monitoring.

Page 10 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Chart 4. Cost Comparison of Implementation of traditional NIDs vs. Microprobes

Source: JDSU ‘Small Cells and the Evolution of Backhaul Assurance’

Enables Network Operations Center (NOC) Experts to impact ‘Bottom Line’

NOC experts are concerned about the increasing complexity of the RAN and the need for Self

Organizing Networks (SON), Network Function Virtualization (NFV) and Software Defined

Networking (SDN). They are finding that the parameters they used to tweak are now transparently

optimized by algorithms or buried by virtualization software and that they must deal with a much

greater level of network element and path abstraction. But these changes also create significant

opportunities for the NOC to enhance the operator’s bottom line.

Agile Network Service Activation

The role of the NOC is changing as operators find opportunities to better monetize their networks.

Intelligent microprobes can deliver key real time network intelligence and greater backhaul

flexibility that enable Network Operations experts to create tools to activate and manage new ‘Agile

Services’ almost instantly faster ‘Time to Market’ and new operator revenues. As the NOC monitors

traffic in real time it helps deliver a locally optimized, value added customer experience for any

service the operator decides to deploy.

Analytics for Subscriber Service Management

As small cell networks add selective monitoring network operators can also focus more efficiently

on the value of the Data Analytics - moving beyond troubleshooting towards managing subscriber

policies that reduce churn to customer monitoring that improves profit margins with service

management e.g. SLA enforcement - grows revenue.

Page 11 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Chart 5. Microprobes can be optimized E2E to create Service and Revenue Options

Source: JDSU Small Cell Backhaul Solutions

Delivers Better Backhaul Performance to reduce Churn and improve Operator’s Bottom line

As microprobes filter inputs selectively at the

source and deliver near real time status

information to the NOC, problems can be

identified and mitigated before they cascade

across the network. Faster response to pre-

empt ‘potentially customer impacting’

network problems should translate directly

to the mobile operator’s bottom line

There is good historical evidence that poor

backhaul network performance leads to user churn. Surveys have indicated that - depending on the

region - between 14% and 40% of mobile customers will list poor network service as a major

reason for leaving an operator; and it is estimated that inadequate backhaul capacity and poor

quality backhaul are responsible for approximately 50% of network performance problems.

Strategy Analytics estimates that investment in better backhaul could reduce a Mobile Operator’s

churn rate by between 4 and 7 percent depending on the Region – a net reduction in churn of 1.2

to 2.1 percent. A direct impact on the Operator’s bottom line. The Chart below shows the estimated

percentage impact on revenues and margins for a typical operator in a region.

Inadequate backhaul capacity and poor quality backhaul are responsible for approximately 50% of network performance problems. ….And poor network service is responsible for 14 – 40% of churn depending on the operator

Page 12 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Chart 6. Percent Revenue Retained if Poor Performance is reduced for Typical Operator in a

Region. Note: Payback for Churn Reduction is cumulative over time

Saved Service Revenue % 2014 2015 2016 2017

W Europe 2.4% 3.5% 4.4% 5.1%

C/E Europe 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 4.4%

N America 2.4% 3.5% 4.4% 5.0%

C/L America 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2%

Asia-Pacific 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 3.3%

M East/Africa 1.4% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8%

Total Worldwide All Regions 2.0% 2.9% 3.5% 3.9%

Source: Strategy Analytics ‘Closing the Mobile 'Backhaul Gap' will Improve Profit Margins’

The revenue impact of improved customer retention as a result of better backhaul performance can

have a significant impact on an operator’s bottom line.

Adds New Value from Service Level Agreement (SLA) guarantees and Priority On-Demand Services

Intelligent microprobes allow operators to move from passive network monitoring to pro-active

performance management without impacting the user experience by overburdening the network

with analytics traffic. This is critical to support key new mobile sources of revenue:

Enterprise SLAs for Seamless Mobile and Fixed VPNs

Premium Differentiated Classes of Service with guaranteed E2E Quality of Service (QoS)

e.g. for Video Conferencing

On-Demand Service Priority e.g. for temporary high priority delivery of content

Increased Competitive Advantage for Fiber Transport Providers who deploy Microprobes and reduce Total Cost of Operations (TCO) for their Operator customers

Fiber Transport providers who make an initial capital investment in microprobes as they deploy new

fiber should find themselves in a position to offer differentiated and more cost competitive fiber

leases to Mobile Operators who in turn will reduce their long run Total Cost of Operations (TCO).

If Mobile Operators demand that backhaul providers implement intelligent microprobes as part of

their certification requirements, fiber transport providers who implement them could have a

significant competitive advantage.

With the right small cell monitoring and management tools for small cell backhaul operators can

reduce costs, minimize revenue losses from churn and add value with premium services.

Page 13 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

Benefits of an Intelligent Microprobe Solution

One example of an intelligent microprobe solution is JDSU’s PacketPortal™ Small Cell Assurance

solution which provides the three essential E2E, Real Time and Selective Monitoring functional

capabilities. These support the management and monetization of small cell backhaul to:

Significantly reduce CAPEX costs with streamlined backhaul service activation and

transparent real time monitoring on a link-by-link basis

Lower Total Cost of Network Operations with smarter, faster responses by Network

Operations despite the escalation of small cell numbers and complexity at the edge of the

RAN

Add Value for Premium SLAs, Priority Services and QoS by focusing on real-time

monitoring and analytics of subscriber data selected by value at the source, and integrated

with third party Customer Experience Management (CEM) and Policy Control (PCRF).

Conclusions

As mobile data demands escalate, LTE small cells will become an integral part of operators’ network

rollout. The advent of LTE-Advanced Carrier Aggregation and small cells for high-traffic urban and

indoor scenarios will push small cell backhaul over the ‘Fiber Threshold’. See ‘Small Cells Taking

Off, Need Fiber Backhaul Soon’.

Small cells will multiply the complexity and processing required at edge of the network by a factor

of 10X or more and backhaul capacity must increase dramatically as self-organizing ‘clusters’ and

‘meshier’ network topologies evolve. New mechanisms are required to streamline backhaul service

activation and pro-actively monitor and manage these networks.

One solution is JDSU’s ‘Small Cell Assurance Solution’ that embeds microprobes as part of

deployment in each segment of a mobile backhaul network. Lower layer monitoring maximizes end-

to-end visibility with the probes deployed on the closest fiber and enables basic monitoring even of

‘IPsec’ secure tunnels. JDSU’s PacketPortal platform forwards microprobe packets in real-time for

analysis and routing to the relevant Customer

Experience Management (CEM) engines for

processing.

As small cell networks evolve a selective, real- time

monitoring capability like that provided by this

solution will allow mobile operators and especially their Network Operations organizations to focus

on the value of their data, and the optimization of their policy rules to maximize both network

utilization and their customers’ experience.

Mobile Operators should consider including microprobe monitoring as a certification requirement for their infrastructure suppliers

Page 14 of 14, © Strategy Analytics 2014

In this new LTE world it is essential for operators to move away from passive monitoring to

proactive ‘Assurance and Analytics’ tightly coupled to network management and service delivery.

This requires

End to End(E2E) visibility for service continuity assurance, based on inputs across the

network

Cost effective Real Time Performance Monitoring and troubleshooting

Selective Monitoring and Data Capture driven by Policy for each Service, Subscriber or

Network link to be monitored - done in a way that does not degrade network performance

in an open, multivendor vendor ecosystem

With these capabilities the NOC can expand its role as a direct contributor to the operator’s

bottom line even as TCO is reduced. JDSU is

setting a ‘de facto’ standard for operator

controlled selective monitoring, with

intelligent microprobes that measure and

capture all the data required for fast Network

Activation and complete Network

Operations visibility to guarantee the

End-to-End customer experience.

Mobile Operators should consider including

microprobe monitoring as a certification requirement for their transport infrastructure suppliers

to accelerate deployment, lower response time and reduce customer dissatisfaction.

Contact the author of this report:

To explore this topic in more detail or to hear how our solutions (Workshops, Presentations,

Consulting engagements, annual multi-client services) can support you please visit

www.strategyanalytics.com/solutions.html

If you have inquiry privileges please contact the author of this report Sue Rudd at

[email protected]

NOC can expand its role as a direct contributor to the operator’s bottom line even as TCO is reduced……….. Mobile Operators should consider including microprobe monitoring as a certification requirement for their transport infrastructure suppliers