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Drift of solar constants for the Earth (1), Venus (2) and Marc (3) due to increasing of Sun’s luminosity. Within an interval formed by carves 4 and 5 the Earth’s type of climate is not principally varied.

Variation of СО 2 concentration in the atmosphere

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Drift of solar constants for the Earth (1), Venus (2) and Marc (3) due to increasing of Sun’s luminosity. Within an interval formed by carves 4 and 5 the Earth’s type of climate is not principally varied. Variation of СО 2 concentration in the atmosphere. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

  • Drift of solar constants for the Earth (1), Venus (2) and Marc (3) due to increasing of Suns luminosity. Within an interval formed by carves 4 and 5 the Earths type of climate is not principally varied.

    1

    976.42857142861864.9785714286419.86428571431503.7492.12

    988.71069182391888.4374213836425.14559748431503.7492.12

    1001.30573248411912.4939490446430.56146496821503.7492.12

    1014.22580645161937.1712903226436.11709677421503.7492.12

    1027.48366013071962.4937908497441.81797385621503.7492.12

    1041.09271523181988.4870860927447.66986754971503.7492.12

    1041.09271523181988.4870860927447.66986754971503.7492.12

    1055.0671140942015.1781879195453.67885906041503.7492.12

    1069.42176870752042.5955782313459.85136054421503.7492.12

    1084.17241379312070.7693103448466.1941379311503.7492.12

    1099.33566433572099.7311188811472.71433566431503.7492.12

    1114.92907801422129.5145390071479.41950354611503.7492.12

    1114.92907801422129.5145390071479.41950354611503.7492.12

    1130.97122302162160.1550359712486.31762589931503.7492.12

    1147.48175182482191.6901459854493.41715328471503.7492.12

    1164.48148148152224.1596296296500.7270370371503.7492.12

    1181.9924812032257.6056390977508.25676691731503.7492.12

    1200.03816793892292.0729007634516.01641221371503.7492.12

    1200.03816793892292.0729007634516.01641221371503.7492.12

    1218.64341085272327.6089147287524.01666666671503.7492.12

    1237.83464566932364.2641732284532.26889763781503.7492.12

    1257.642402.0924540.78521503.7492.12

    1278.08943089432441.1508130081549.57845528461503.7492.12

    1299.21487603312481.5004132231558.66239669421503.7492.12

    1299.21487603312481.5004132231558.66239669421503.7492.12

    1321.05042016812523.206302521568.05168067231503.7492.12

    1343.63247863252566.338034188577.7619658121503.7492.12

    13672610.97587.811503.7492.12

    1391.19469026552657.1818584071598.21371681421503.7492.12

    1416.26126126132705.059009009608.99234234231503.7492.12

    1416.26126126132705.059009009608.99234234231503.7492.12

    1442.2477064222754.693119266620.16651376151503.7492.12

    1469.20560747662806.1827102804631.7584112151503.7492.12

    1497.19047619052859.6338095238643.79190476191503.7492.12

    1526.26213592232915.1606796116656.29271844661503.7492.12

    1556.48514851482972.8866336634669.28861386141503.7492.12

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    109 years

    W/m2

    1

    12345

    0976.42857142861864.9785714286419.86428571431503.7492.12

    0.2988.71069182391888.4374213836425.14559748431503.7492.12

    0.41001.30573248411912.4939490446430.56146496821503.7492.12

    0.61014.22580645161937.1712903226436.11709677421503.7492.12

    0.81027.48366013071962.4937908497441.81797385621503.7492.12

    11041.09271523181988.4870860927447.66986754971503.7492.12

    11041.09271523181988.4870860927447.66986754971503.7492.12

    1.21055.0671140942015.1781879195453.67885906041503.7492.12

    1.41069.42176870752042.5955782313459.85136054421503.7492.12

    1.61084.17241379312070.7693103448466.1941379311503.7492.12

    1.81099.33566433572099.7311188811472.71433566431503.7492.12

    21114.92907801422129.5145390071479.41950354611503.7492.12

    21114.92907801422129.5145390071479.41950354611503.7492.12

    2.21130.97122302162160.1550359712486.31762589931503.7492.12

    2.41147.48175182482191.6901459854493.41715328471503.7492.12

    2.61164.48148148152224.1596296296500.7270370371503.7492.12

    2.81181.9924812032257.6056390977508.25676691731503.7492.12

    31200.03816793892292.0729007634516.01641221371503.7492.12

    31200.03816793892292.0729007634516.01641221371503.7492.12

    3.21218.64341085272327.6089147287524.01666666671503.7492.12

    3.41237.83464566932364.2641732284532.26889763781503.7492.12

    3.61257.642402.0924540.78521503.7492.12

    3.81278.08943089432441.1508130081549.57845528461503.7492.12

    41299.21487603312481.5004132231558.66239669421503.7492.12

    41299.21487603312481.5004132231558.66239669421503.7492.12

    4.21321.05042016812523.206302521568.05168067231503.7492.12

    4.41343.63247863252566.338034188577.7619658121503.7492.12

    4.613672610.97587.811503.7492.12

    4.81391.19469026552657.1818584071598.21371681421503.7492.12

    51416.26126126132705.059009009608.99234234231503.7492.12

    51416.26126126132705.059009009608.99234234231503.7492.12

    5.21442.2477064222754.693119266620.16651376151503.7492.12

    5.41469.20560747662806.1827102804631.7584112151503.7492.12

    5.61497.19047619052859.6338095238643.79190476191503.7492.12

    5.81526.26213592232915.1606796116656.29271844661503.7492.12

    61556.48514851482972.8866336634669.28861386141503.7492.12

    1

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

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    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    , .

    /2

    2

    3

  • Variation of 2 concentration in the atmosphere

    3

    274.51700170017001700

    2703530353035303530

    2526800680068006800

    2577500750075007500

    2599140914091409140

    24512930129301293012930

    29316250162501625016250

    194.520090200902009020090

    20024390243902439024390

    19829720297202972029720

    22330910309103091030910

    20732800328003280032800

    21034870348703487034870

    20738660386603866038660

    178.542310423104231042310

    20044350443504435044350

    207.746220462204622046220

    20150150501505015050150

    20151770517705177051770

    21953860538605386053860

    214.555780557805578055780

    206.557800578005780057800

    20159770597705977059770

    19262080620806208062080

    19363960639606396063960

    205.566540665406654066540

    226.568490684906849068490

    24370770707707077070770

    23572690726907269072690

    230.574720747207472074720

    219.576860768607686076860

    222.580900809008090080900

    23482920829208292082920

    218.884700847008470084700

    21086680866808668086680

    221.588520885208852088520

    22690630906309063090630

    23492700927009270092700

    226.594940949409494094940

    23696810968109681096810

    22598950989509895098950

    229101040101040101040101040

    238.5103130103130103130103130

    234.5105620105620105620105620

    244107650107650107650107650

    235.5110510110510110510110510

    240112700112700112700112700

    276115290115290115290115290

    271.5117410117410117410117410

    280119500119500119500119500

    271121430121430121430121430

    265.3123380123380123380123380

    267124880124880124880124880

    275126770126770126770126770

    265.5128780128780128780128780

    275130460130460130460130460

    266132280132280132280132280

    296.5134170134170134170134170

    266136170136170136170136170

    246.5138410138410138410138410

    231140430140430140430140430

    217143370143370143370143370

    191146340146340146340146340

    200.5150700150700150700150700

    191.3154970154970154970154970

    195.5159690159690159690159690

    244276.8244244244

    224276.6224224224

    197279.7197197197

    172283.8172172172

    149283.1149149149

    145287.4145145145

    141286.8141141141

    134288.2134134134

    119289.3119119119

    114289.5114114114

    110290.3110110110

    101292.3101101101

    89295.8898989

    85294.8858585

    83296.9838383

    79299.2797979

    73300.5737373

    67301.6676767

    61305.5616161

    53306.6535353

    45307.9454545

    35312.7353535

    2929315.52929

    2828316.42828

    2727317.22727

    2626317.32626

    25253182525

    2323318.62323

    2222319.12222

    2121321.32121

    2020321.62020

    1919322.41919

    1818324.11818

    1717324.81717

    1616325.91616

    1515327.41515

    1414328.31414

    1313329.41313

    1212330.51212

    1111331.91111

    1010333.61010

    99334.899

    88336.988

    77338.177

    66339.366

    5534155

    44342.544

    33343.633

    22345.222

    11346.911

    639639639639287

    199199199199283

    279279279279282

    359359359359279

    399399399399280

    489489489489281

    589589589589288

    569569569569283

    559559559559279

    689689689689285

    699699699699279

    779779779779280

    799799799799273

    849849849849282

    899899899899278

    989989989989278

    1039103910391039278

    1079107910791079274

    129129129290129

    189189189287189

    239239239281239

    299299299279299

    409409409280409

    479479479280479

    519519519283519

    579579579281579

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    years from 1980 to past (logarithmical scale)

    ppmv

    1

    12345

    1700274.5

    3530270

    6800252

    7500257

    9140259

    12930245

    16250293

    20090194.5

    24390200

    29720198

    30910223

    32800207

    34870210

    38660207

    42310178.5

    44350200

    46220207.7

    50150201

    51770201

    53860219

    55780214.5

    57800206.5

    59770201

    62080192

    63960193

    66540205.5

    68490226.5

    70770243

    72690235

    74720230.5

    76860219.5

    80900222.5

    82920234

    84700218.8

    86680210

    88520221.5

    90630226

    92700234

    94940226.5

    96810236

    98950225

    101040229

    103130238.5

    105620234.5

    107650244

    110510235.5

    112700240

    115290276

    117410271.5

    119500280

    121430271

    123380265.3

    124880267

    126770275

    128780265.5

    130460275

    132280266

    134170296.5

    136170266

    138410246.5

    140430231

    143370217

    146340191

    150700200.5

    154970191.3

    159690195.5

    244276.8

    224276.6

    197279.7

    172283.8

    149283.1

    145287.4

    141286.8

    134288.2

    119289.3

    114289.5

    110290.3

    101292.3

    89295.8

    85294.8

    83296.9

    79299.2

    73300.5

    67301.6

    61305.5

    53306.6

    45307.9

    35312.7

    29315.5

    28316.4

    27317.2

    26317.3

    25318

    23318.6

    22319.1

    21321.3

    20321.6

    19322.4

    18324.1

    17324.8

    16325.9

    15327.4

    14328.3

    13329.4

    12330.5

    11331.9

    10333.6

    9334.8

    8336.9

    7338.1

    6339.3

    5341

    4342.5

    3343.6

    2345.2

    1346.9

    639287

    199283

    279282

    359279

    399280

    489281

    589288

    569283

    559279

    689285

    699279

    779280

    799273

    849282

    899278

    989278

    1039278

    1079274

    129290

    189287

    239281

    299279

    409280

    479280

    519283

    579281

    1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    1

    2

    3

    ( 1990 ),

    ppmv

    2

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    ( ), 1990.

    ppmv

    3

    1234

    1744276.8

    1764276.6

    1791279.7

    1816283.8

    1839283.1

    1843287.4

    1847286.8

    1854288.2

    1869289.3

    1874289.5

    1878290.3

    1887292.3

    1899295.8

    1903294.8

    1905296.9

    1909299.2

    1915300.5

    1921301.6

    1927305.5

    1935306.6

    1943307.9

    1953312.7

    1959316.1

    1960317

    1961317

    1962318.6

    1963319.1

    1965320.4

    1966321.1

    1967322

    1968322.8

    1969324.2

    1970325.5

    1971326.5

    1972327.6

    1973329.8

    1974330.4

    1975331

    1976332.1

    1977333.6

    1978335.2

    1979336.5

    1980338.4

    1981339.5

    1982340.8

    1983342.8

    1984344.3

    1985345.7

    1986346.9

    1987348.6

    1988351.2

    1860290

    1800287

    1750281

    1690279

    1580280

    1510280

    1470283

    1410281

    1350287

    1790283

    1710282

    1630279

    1590280

    1500281

    1400288

    1420283

    1430279

    1300285

    1290279

    1210280

    1190273

    1140282

    1090278

    1000278

    950278

    910274

    3

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    1

    2

    3

    4

    ppmv

    12

    1959315.5316.1

    1960316.4317

    1961317.2317

    1962317.3318.6

    1963318319.1

    1965318.6320.4

    1966319.1321.1

    1967321.3322

    1968321.6322.8

    1969322.4324.2

    1970324.1325.5

    1971324.8326.5

    1972325.9327.6

    1973327.4329.8

    1974328.3330.4

    1975329.4331

    1976330.5332.1

    1977331.9333.6

    1978333.6335.2

    1979334.8336.5

    1980336.9338.4

    1981338.1339.5

    1982339.3340.8

    1983341342.8

    1984342.5344.3

    1985343.6345.7

    1986345.2346.9

    1987346.9348.6

    1988348.9351.2

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    ppmv

    7

    315.5316.1

    316.4317

    317.2317

    317.3318.6

    318319.1

    318.6320.4

    319.1321.1

    321.3322

    321.6322.8

    322.4324.2

    324.1325.5

    324.8326.5

    325.9327.6

    327.4329.8

    328.3330.4

    329.4331

    330.5332.1

    331.9333.6

    333.6335.2

    334.8336.5

    336.9338.4

    338.1339.5

    339.3340.8

    341342.8

    342.5344.3

    343.6345.7

    345.2346.9

    346.9348.6

    348.9351.2

    1

    2

    years

    ppmv

    1

    123

    1700274.5

    3530270

    6800252

    7500257

    9140259

    12930245

    16250293

    20090194.5

    24390200

    29720198

    30910223

    32800207

    34870210

    38660207

    42310178.5

    44350200

    46220207.7

    50150201

    51770201

    53860219

    55780214.5

    57800206.5

    59770201

    62080192

    63960193

    66540205.5

    68490226.5

    70770243

    72690235

    74720230.5

    76860219.5

    80900222.5

    82920234

    84700218.8

    86680210

    88520221.5

    90630226

    92700234

    94940226.5

    96810236

    98950225

    101040229

    103130238.5

    105620234.5

    107650244

    110510235.5

    112700240

    115290276

    117410271.5

    119500280

    121430271

    123380265.3

    124880267

    126770275

    128780265.5

    130460275

    132280266

    134170296.5

    136170266

    138410246.5

    140430231

    143370217

    146340191

    150700200.5

    154970191.3

    159690195.5

    244276.8

    224276.6

    197279.7

    172283.8

    149283.1

    145287.4

    141286.8

    134288.2

    119289.3

    114289.5

    110290.3

    101292.3

    89295.8

    85294.8

    83296.9

    79299.2

    73300.5

    67301.6

    61305.5

    53306.6

    45307.9

    35312.7

    29316.1

    28317

    27317

    26318.6

    25319.1

    23320.4

    22321.1

    21322

    20322.8

    19324.2

    18325.5

    17326.5

    16327.6

    15329.8

    14330.4

    13331

    12332.1

    11333.6

    10335.2

    9336.5

    8338.4

    7339.5

    6340.8

    5342.8

    4344.3

    3345.7

    2346.9

    1348.6

    1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    1

    2

    3

    ( 1990 ),

    ppmv

    2

    12

    1744276.8

    1764276.6

    1791279.7

    1816283.8

    1839283.1

    1843287.4

    1847286.8

    1854288.2

    1869289.3

    1874289.5

    1878290.3

    1887292.3

    1899295.8

    1903294.8

    1905296.9

    1909299.2

    1915300.5

    1921301.6

    1927305.5

    1935306.6

    1943307.9

    1953312.7

    1959316.1

    1960317

    1961317

    1962318.6

    1963319.1

    1965320.4

    1966321.1

    1967322

    1968322.8

    1969324.2

    1970325.5

    1971326.5

    1972327.6

    1973329.8

    1974330.4

    1975331

    1976332.1

    1977333.6

    1978335.2

    1979336.5

    1980338.4

    1981339.5

    1982340.8

    1983342.8

    1984344.3

    1985345.7

    1986346.9

    1987348.6

    1988351.2

    2

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    ppmv

    3

    12

    1959315.5316.1

    1960316.4317

    1961317.2317

    1962317.3318.6

    1963318319.1

    1965318.6320.4

    1966319.1321.1

    1967321.3322

    1968321.6322.8

    1969322.4324.2

    1970324.1325.5

    1971324.8326.5

    1972325.9327.6

    1973327.4329.8

    1974328.3330.4

    1975329.4331

    1976330.5332.1

    1977331.9333.6

    1978333.6335.2

    1979334.8336.5

    1980336.9338.4

    1981338.1339.5

    1982339.3340.8

    1983341342.8

    1984342.5344.3

    1985343.6345.7

    1986345.2346.9

    1987346.9348.6

    1988348.9351.2

    3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    ppmv

    1

    640557

    870532

    570505

    1750483

    1290462

    1270442

    870425

    860409

    870390

    1230386

    1800354

    2990334

    1220302

    2470270

    880246

    900230

    1660216

    1120199

    1200177

    1580160

    2310143

    1480117

    178084

    76062

    120047

    32031

    76017

    4505.5

    0250

    1

    2

    Ma, before present

    ppmv

    1

    12

    557640

    532870

    505570

    4831750

    4621290

    4421270

    425870

    409860

    390870

    3861230

    3541800

    3342990

    3021220

    2702470

    246880

    230900

    2161660

    1991120

    1771200

    1601580

    1432310

    1171480

    841780

    62760

    471200

    31320

    17760

    5.5450

    0250

    1

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    .

    ppmv

    2

    3

  • Temperature deviation from todays value 1 calculation [Budyko et al., 1985] 2 interpretation of proxy indicators [Frakes, 1979]

    1

    2.91.3

    3.93.9

    2.32.6

    7.71.3

    6.51.3

    6.6-3.9

    4.71.3

    4.80

    5.10

    6.61.3

    8.32.6

    113.9

    5-9.1

    8-6.5

    6.22

    6.22.6

    8.77.8

    7.13.9

    7.73.9

    9.35.2

    10.910.3

    9.28.9

    10.49.9

    6.77.8

    8.57.8

    2.83.9

    6.45.2

    3.42.6

    00

    1

    2

    106 years BP

    temperature deviation from present-day

    1

    12

    557640

    532870

    505570

    4831750

    4621290

    4421270

    425870

    409860

    390870

    3861230

    3541800

    3342990

    3021220

    2702470

    246880

    230900

    2161660

    1991120

    1771200

    1601580

    1432310

    1171480

    841780

    62760

    471200

    31320

    17760

    5.5450

    0250

    1

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    .

    ppmv

    2

    12

    5572.91.3

    5323.93.9

    5052.32.6

    4837.71.3

    4626.51.3

    4426.6-3.9

    4254.71.3

    4094.80

    3905.10

    3866.61.3

    3548.32.6

    334113.9

    3025-9.1

    2708-6.5

    2466.22

    2306.22.6

    2168.77.8

    1997.13.9

    1777.73.9

    1609.35.2

    14310.910.3

    1179.28.9

    8410.49.9

    626.77.8

    478.57.8

    312.83.9

    176.45.2

    5.53.42.6

    000

    2

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    .

    3

  • Variation of 2 concentration in the atmosphere

    3

    274.51700170017001700

    2703530353035303530

    2526800680068006800

    2577500750075007500

    2599140914091409140

    24512930129301293012930

    29316250162501625016250

    194.520090200902009020090

    20024390243902439024390

    19829720297202972029720

    22330910309103091030910

    20732800328003280032800

    21034870348703487034870

    20738660386603866038660

    178.542310423104231042310

    20044350443504435044350

    207.746220462204622046220

    20150150501505015050150

    20151770517705177051770

    21953860538605386053860

    214.555780557805578055780

    206.557800578005780057800

    20159770597705977059770

    19262080620806208062080

    19363960639606396063960

    205.566540665406654066540

    226.568490684906849068490

    24370770707707077070770

    23572690726907269072690

    230.574720747207472074720

    219.576860768607686076860

    222.580900809008090080900

    23482920829208292082920

    218.884700847008470084700

    21086680866808668086680

    221.588520885208852088520

    22690630906309063090630

    23492700927009270092700

    226.594940949409494094940

    23696810968109681096810

    22598950989509895098950

    229101040101040101040101040

    238.5103130103130103130103130

    234.5105620105620105620105620

    244107650107650107650107650

    235.5110510110510110510110510

    240112700112700112700112700

    276115290115290115290115290

    271.5117410117410117410117410

    280119500119500119500119500

    271121430121430121430121430

    265.3123380123380123380123380

    267124880124880124880124880

    275126770126770126770126770

    265.5128780128780128780128780

    275130460130460130460130460

    266132280132280132280132280

    296.5134170134170134170134170

    266136170136170136170136170

    246.5138410138410138410138410

    231140430140430140430140430

    217143370143370143370143370

    191146340146340146340146340

    200.5150700150700150700150700

    191.3154970154970154970154970

    195.5159690159690159690159690

    244276.8244244244

    224276.6224224224

    197279.7197197197

    172283.8172172172

    149283.1149149149

    145287.4145145145

    141286.8141141141

    134288.2134134134

    119289.3119119119

    114289.5114114114

    110290.3110110110

    101292.3101101101

    89295.8898989

    85294.8858585

    83296.9838383

    79299.2797979

    73300.5737373

    67301.6676767

    61305.5616161

    53306.6535353

    45307.9454545

    35312.7353535

    2929315.52929

    2828316.42828

    2727317.22727

    2626317.32626

    25253182525

    2323318.62323

    2222319.12222

    2121321.32121

    2020321.62020

    1919322.41919

    1818324.11818

    1717324.81717

    1616325.91616

    1515327.41515

    1414328.31414

    1313329.41313

    1212330.51212

    1111331.91111

    1010333.61010

    99334.899

    88336.988

    77338.177

    66339.366

    5534155

    44342.544

    33343.633

    22345.222

    11346.911

    639639639639287

    199199199199283

    279279279279282

    359359359359279

    399399399399280

    489489489489281

    589589589589288

    569569569569283

    559559559559279

    689689689689285

    699699699699279

    779779779779280

    799799799799273

    849849849849282

    899899899899278

    989989989989278

    1039103910391039278

    1079107910791079274

    129129129290129

    189189189287189

    239239239281239

    299299299279299

    409409409280409

    479479479280479

    519519519283519

    579579579281579

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    years from 1980 to past (logarithmical scale)

    ppmv

    1

    12345

    1700274.5

    3530270

    6800252

    7500257

    9140259

    12930245

    16250293

    20090194.5

    24390200

    29720198

    30910223

    32800207

    34870210

    38660207

    42310178.5

    44350200

    46220207.7

    50150201

    51770201

    53860219

    55780214.5

    57800206.5

    59770201

    62080192

    63960193

    66540205.5

    68490226.5

    70770243

    72690235

    74720230.5

    76860219.5

    80900222.5

    82920234

    84700218.8

    86680210

    88520221.5

    90630226

    92700234

    94940226.5

    96810236

    98950225

    101040229

    103130238.5

    105620234.5

    107650244

    110510235.5

    112700240

    115290276

    117410271.5

    119500280

    121430271

    123380265.3

    124880267

    126770275

    128780265.5

    130460275

    132280266

    134170296.5

    136170266

    138410246.5

    140430231

    143370217

    146340191

    150700200.5

    154970191.3

    159690195.5

    244276.8

    224276.6

    197279.7

    172283.8

    149283.1

    145287.4

    141286.8

    134288.2

    119289.3

    114289.5

    110290.3

    101292.3

    89295.8

    85294.8

    83296.9

    79299.2

    73300.5

    67301.6

    61305.5

    53306.6

    45307.9

    35312.7

    29315.5

    28316.4

    27317.2

    26317.3

    25318

    23318.6

    22319.1

    21321.3

    20321.6

    19322.4

    18324.1

    17324.8

    16325.9

    15327.4

    14328.3

    13329.4

    12330.5

    11331.9

    10333.6

    9334.8

    8336.9

    7338.1

    6339.3

    5341

    4342.5

    3343.6

    2345.2

    1346.9

    639287

    199283

    279282

    359279

    399280

    489281

    589288

    569283

    559279

    689285

    699279

    779280

    799273

    849282

    899278

    989278

    1039278

    1079274

    129290

    189287

    239281

    299279

    409280

    479280

    519283

    579281

    1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    1

    2

    3

    ( 1990 ),

    ppmv

    2

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    ( ), 1990.

    ppmv

    3

    1234

    1744276.8

    1764276.6

    1791279.7

    1816283.8

    1839283.1

    1843287.4

    1847286.8

    1854288.2

    1869289.3

    1874289.5

    1878290.3

    1887292.3

    1899295.8

    1903294.8

    1905296.9

    1909299.2

    1915300.5

    1921301.6

    1927305.5

    1935306.6

    1943307.9

    1953312.7

    1959316.1

    1960317

    1961317

    1962318.6

    1963319.1

    1965320.4

    1966321.1

    1967322

    1968322.8

    1969324.2

    1970325.5

    1971326.5

    1972327.6

    1973329.8

    1974330.4

    1975331

    1976332.1

    1977333.6

    1978335.2

    1979336.5

    1980338.4

    1981339.5

    1982340.8

    1983342.8

    1984344.3

    1985345.7

    1986346.9

    1987348.6

    1988351.2

    1860290

    1800287

    1750281

    1690279

    1580280

    1510280

    1470283

    1410281

    1350287

    1790283

    1710282

    1630279

    1590280

    1500281

    1400288

    1420283

    1430279

    1300285

    1290279

    1210280

    1190273

    1140282

    1090278

    1000278

    950278

    910274

    3

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    1

    2

    3

    4

    ppmv

    12

    1959315.5316.1

    1960316.4317

    1961317.2317

    1962317.3318.6

    1963318319.1

    1965318.6320.4

    1966319.1321.1

    1967321.3322

    1968321.6322.8

    1969322.4324.2

    1970324.1325.5

    1971324.8326.5

    1972325.9327.6

    1973327.4329.8

    1974328.3330.4

    1975329.4331

    1976330.5332.1

    1977331.9333.6

    1978333.6335.2

    1979334.8336.5

    1980336.9338.4

    1981338.1339.5

    1982339.3340.8

    1983341342.8

    1984342.5344.3

    1985343.6345.7

    1986345.2346.9

    1987346.9348.6

    1988348.9351.2

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    ppmv

    7

    315.5316.1

    316.4317

    317.2317

    317.3318.6

    318319.1

    318.6320.4

    319.1321.1

    321.3322

    321.6322.8

    322.4324.2

    324.1325.5

    324.8326.5

    325.9327.6

    327.4329.8

    328.3330.4

    329.4331

    330.5332.1

    331.9333.6

    333.6335.2

    334.8336.5

    336.9338.4

    338.1339.5

    339.3340.8

    341342.8

    342.5344.3

    343.6345.7

    345.2346.9

    346.9348.6

    348.9351.2

    1

    2

    years

    ppmv

    1

    123

    1700274.5

    3530270

    6800252

    7500257

    9140259

    12930245

    16250293

    20090194.5

    24390200

    29720198

    30910223

    32800207

    34870210

    38660207

    42310178.5

    44350200

    46220207.7

    50150201

    51770201

    53860219

    55780214.5

    57800206.5

    59770201

    62080192

    63960193

    66540205.5

    68490226.5

    70770243

    72690235

    74720230.5

    76860219.5

    80900222.5

    82920234

    84700218.8

    86680210

    88520221.5

    90630226

    92700234

    94940226.5

    96810236

    98950225

    101040229

    103130238.5

    105620234.5

    107650244

    110510235.5

    112700240

    115290276

    117410271.5

    119500280

    121430271

    123380265.3

    124880267

    126770275

    128780265.5

    130460275

    132280266

    134170296.5

    136170266

    138410246.5

    140430231

    143370217

    146340191

    150700200.5

    154970191.3

    159690195.5

    244276.8

    224276.6

    197279.7

    172283.8

    149283.1

    145287.4

    141286.8

    134288.2

    119289.3

    114289.5

    110290.3

    101292.3

    89295.8

    85294.8

    83296.9

    79299.2

    73300.5

    67301.6

    61305.5

    53306.6

    45307.9

    35312.7

    29316.1

    28317

    27317

    26318.6

    25319.1

    23320.4

    22321.1

    21322

    20322.8

    19324.2

    18325.5

    17326.5

    16327.6

    15329.8

    14330.4

    13331

    12332.1

    11333.6

    10335.2

    9336.5

    8338.4

    7339.5

    6340.8

    5342.8

    4344.3

    3345.7

    2346.9

    1348.6

    1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    1

    2

    3

    ( 1990 ),

    ppmv

    2

    12

    1744276.8

    1764276.6

    1791279.7

    1816283.8

    1839283.1

    1843287.4

    1847286.8

    1854288.2

    1869289.3

    1874289.5

    1878290.3

    1887292.3

    1899295.8

    1903294.8

    1905296.9

    1909299.2

    1915300.5

    1921301.6

    1927305.5

    1935306.6

    1943307.9

    1953312.7

    1959316.1

    1960317

    1961317

    1962318.6

    1963319.1

    1965320.4

    1966321.1

    1967322

    1968322.8

    1969324.2

    1970325.5

    1971326.5

    1972327.6

    1973329.8

    1974330.4

    1975331

    1976332.1

    1977333.6

    1978335.2

    1979336.5

    1980338.4

    1981339.5

    1982340.8

    1983342.8

    1984344.3

    1985345.7

    1986346.9

    1987348.6

    1988351.2

    2

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    ppmv

    3

    12

    1959315.5316.1

    1960316.4317

    1961317.2317

    1962317.3318.6

    1963318319.1

    1965318.6320.4

    1966319.1321.1

    1967321.3322

    1968321.6322.8

    1969322.4324.2

    1970324.1325.5

    1971324.8326.5

    1972325.9327.6

    1973327.4329.8

    1974328.3330.4

    1975329.4331

    1976330.5332.1

    1977331.9333.6

    1978333.6335.2

    1979334.8336.5

    1980336.9338.4

    1981338.1339.5

    1982339.3340.8

    1983341342.8

    1984342.5344.3

    1985343.6345.7

    1986345.2346.9

    1987346.9348.6

    1988348.9351.2

    3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    ppmv

    1

    640557

    870532

    570505

    1750483

    1290462

    1270442

    870425

    860409

    870390

    1230386

    1800354

    2990334

    1220302

    2470270

    880246

    900230

    1660216

    1120199

    1200177

    1580160

    2310143

    1480117

    178084

    76062

    120047

    32031

    76017

    4505.5

    0250

    1

    2

    Ma, before present

    ppmv

    1

    12

    557640

    532870

    505570

    4831750

    4621290

    4421270

    425870

    409860

    390870

    3861230

    3541800

    3342990

    3021220

    2702470

    246880

    230900

    2161660

    1991120

    1771200

    1601580

    1432310

    1171480

    841780

    62760

    471200

    31320

    17760

    5.5450

    0250

    1

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    1

    2

    .

    ppmv

    2

    3

  • Measured concentration of 18 O in surface planktonies [Imbrie et al., 1984] 5e5d1261, 2, 5e, 5d, 6 are some isotopic stages

    4

    -2.0165

    -1.43

    0.64

    1.79

    1.33

    0.87

    0.985

    0.87

    0.64

    0.41

    0.64

    0.985

    -0.05

    -0.97

    -0.51

    -0.28

    -0.74

    -0.855

    -0.51

    -0.74

    -1.66

    -2.12

    0.64

    1.33

    1.33

    1.445

    1.56

    0.87

    0.41

    0.18

    0.41

    0.87

    -0.05

    -1.43

    -0.74

    -0.625

    -1.2

    -1.2

    -0.05

    0.295

    -0.74

    -0.28

    0.64

    0.64

    0.525

    0.64

    0.985

    0.41

    -0.05

    -0.28

    0.065

    0.18

    -0.74

    -1.2

    -0.74

    -0.97

    -1.66

    -0.74

    1.1

    0.985

    0.985

    0.41

    -0.05

    -0.51

    -0.05

    -0.28

    -0.74

    -0.97

    -1.66

    -1.43

    -0.97

    -0.625

    -0.28

    0.64

    1.56

    1.1

    0.985

    0.87

    0.64

    0.87

    0.985

    -0.28

    -0.97

    -0.74

    -0.625

    -0.97

    ka, BP

    d18

    1

    0-2.0165

    5.8823529-1.43

    11.76470580.64

    17.64705871.79

    23.52941161.33

    29.41176450.87

    35.29411740.985

    41.17647030.87

    47.05882320.64

    52.94117610.41

    58.8235290.64

    64.70588190.985

    70.5882348-0.05

    76.4705877-0.97

    82.3529406-0.51

    88.2352935-0.28

    94.1176464-0.74

    99.9999993-0.855

    105.8823522-0.51

    111.7647051-0.74

    117.647058-1.66

    123.5294109-2.12

    129.41176380.64

    135.29411671.33

    141.17646961.33

    147.05882251.445

    152.94117541.56

    158.82352830.87

    164.70588120.41

    170.58823410.18

    176.4705870.41

    182.35293990.87

    188.2352928-0.05

    194.1176457-1.43

    199.9999986-0.74

    205.8823515-0.625

    211.7647044-1.2

    217.6470573-1.2

    223.5294102-0.05

    229.41176310.295

    235.294116-0.74

    241.1764689-0.28

    247.05882180.64

    252.94117470.64

    258.82352760.525

    264.70588050.64

    270.58823340.985

    276.47058630.41

    282.3529392-0.05

    288.2352921-0.28

    294.1176450.065

    299.99999790.18

    305.8823508-0.74

    311.7647037-1.2

    317.6470566-0.74

    323.5294095-0.97

    329.4117624-1.66

    335.2941153-0.74

    341.17646821.1

    347.05882110.985

    352.9411740.985

    358.82352690.41

    364.7058798-0.05

    370.5882327-0.51

    376.4705856-0.05

    382.3529385-0.28

    388.2352914-0.74

    394.1176443-0.97

    399.9999972-1.66

    405.8823501-1.43

    411.764703-0.97

    417.6470559-0.625

    423.5294088-0.28

    429.41176170.64

    435.29411461.56

    441.17646751.1

    447.05882040.985

    452.94117330.87

    458.82352620.64

    464.70587910.87

    470.5882320.985

    476.4705849-0.28

    482.3529378-0.97

    488.2352907-0.74

    494.1176436-0.625

    499.9999965-0.97

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    t, .

    d18

    2

    0-2.01651

    5.8823529-1.43

    11.76470580.64

    17.64705871.792

    23.52941161.33

    29.41176450.87

    35.29411740.985

    41.17647030.873

    47.05882320.64

    52.94117610.41

    58.8235290.644

    64.70588190.985

    70.5882348-0.05

    76.4705877-0.97

    82.3529406-0.51

    88.2352935-0.28

    94.1176464-0.74

    99.9999993-0.855

    105.8823522-0.51

    111.7647051-0.74

    117.647058-1.66

    123.5294109-2.12

    129.41176380.64

    135.29411671.33

    141.17646961.33

    147.05882251.445

    152.94117541.56

    158.82352830.87

    164.70588120.41

    170.58823410.18

    176.4705870.41

    182.35293990.87

    188.2352928-0.05

    194.1176457-1.43

    199.9999986-0.74

    205.8823515-0.625

    211.7647044-1.2

    217.6470573-1.2

    223.5294102-0.05

    229.41176310.295

    235.294116-0.74

    241.1764689-0.28

    247.05882180.64

    252.94117470.64

    258.82352760.525

    264.70588050.64

    270.58823340.985

    276.47058630.41

    282.3529392-0.05

    288.2352921-0.28

    294.1176450.065

    299.99999790.18

    305.8823508-0.74

    311.7647037-1.2

    317.6470566-0.74

    323.5294095-0.97

    329.4117624-1.66

    335.2941153-0.74

    341.17646821.1

    347.05882110.985

    352.9411740.985

    358.82352690.41

    364.7058798-0.05

    370.5882327-0.51

    376.4705856-0.05

    382.3529385-0.28

    388.2352914-0.74

    394.1176443-0.97

    399.9999972-1.66

    405.8823501-1.43

    411.764703-0.97

    417.6470559-0.625

    423.5294088-0.28

    429.41176170.64

    435.29411461.56

    441.17646751.1

    447.05882040.985

    452.94117330.87

    458.82352620.64

    464.70587910.87

    470.5882320.985

    476.4705849-0.28

    482.3529378-0.97

    488.2352907-0.74

    494.1176436-0.625

    499.9999965-0.97

    3

  • Changes of temperature in north western part of Russian Plane (0C) [Klimanov, 1996.] JulyJanuaryYearYDAlYD Younger Dryas, Al Allered, AT Atlantic warm eventAT

  • Northern summer temperature changes (0) [Bradley, Jones, 1993] Temperature changes (0), based on measurements in holes Changes of Alpian glaciers length [Oerlemans, 1994]Glaciers: 1 Untere Grindelwaldgletscher, 2 Rhonegletscher, 3 Glacier dArgentiere

    1

    -0.012

    -0.036

    -0.096

    0

    -0.072

    -0.12

    0

    -0.084

    -0.024

    -0.036

    -0.048

    -0.06

    0.024

    0

    -0.036

    -0.036

    -0.096

    -0.192

    -0.204

    -0.096

    -0.216

    -0.06

    -0.096

    -0.036

    -0.12

    -0.108

    -0.12

    -0.132

    -0.084

    -0.096

    -0.096

    -0.048

    -0.06

    -0.048

    -0.024

    -0.036

    -0.036

    0.006

    -0.012

    0.006

    0

    -0.108

    -0.024

    -0.132

    -0.108

    -0.06

    -0.06

    -0.012

    -0.12

    -0.048

    -0.048

    -0.048

    0.084

    0.12

    0.084

    0.096

    0.036

    0.048

    years

    0

    1

    1405-0.012

    1415-0.036

    1425-0.096

    14350

    1445-0.072

    1455-0.12

    14650

    1475-0.084

    1485-0.024

    1495-0.036

    1505-0.048

    1515-0.06

    15250.024

    15350

    1545-0.036

    1555-0.036

    1565-0.096

    1575-0.192

    1585-0.204

    1595-0.096

    1605-0.216

    1615-0.06

    1625-0.096

    1635-0.036

    1645-0.12

    1655-0.108

    1665-0.12

    1675-0.132

    1685-0.084

    1695-0.096

    1705-0.096

    1715-0.048

    1725-0.06

    1735-0.048

    1745-0.024

    1755-0.036

    1765-0.036

    17750.006

    1785-0.012

    17950.006

    18050

    1815-0.108

    1825-0.024

    1835-0.132

    1845-0.108

    1855-0.06

    1865-0.06

    1875-0.012

    1885-0.12

    1895-0.048

    1905-0.048

    1915-0.048

    19250.084

    19350.12

    19450.084

    19550.096

    19650.036

    19750.048

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    2

    3

    2

    -0.99-1.1-0.89

    -0.97-1.05-0.87

    -0.9-0.97-0.82

    -0.78-0.82-0.73

    -0.54-0.58-0.51

    000

    years

    0

    1

    1505-0.99

    1515

    1525

    1535

    1545

    1555

    1565

    1575

    1585

    1595

    1605

    1615

    1625

    1635

    1645

    1655

    1665

    1675

    1685

    1695

    1705

    1715

    1725

    1735

    1745

    1755

    1765

    1775

    1785

    1795

    1805

    1815

    1825

    1835

    1845

    1855

    1865

    1875

    1885

    1895

    1905

    1915

    1925

    1935

    1945

    1955

    1965

    1975

    2

    1500-0.99-1.1-0.89

    1600-0.97-1.05-0.87

    1700-0.9-0.97-0.82

    1800-0.78-0.82-0.73

    1900-0.54-0.58-0.51

    2000000

    2

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    0

    3

    3

    151015101510

    152015201520

    015301530

    015401540

    0.215501550

    156015601560

    015701570

    0.315801580

    159015901590

    0.500

    161016101610

    16200.30

    0.30.21630

    0.516401640

    16500.51650

    0.10.2-0.25

    0.20.31670

    -0.116801680

    169016901690

    1700-0.21700

    01710-0.25

    0.217201720

    017301730

    01740-0.4

    0.1-0.21750

    017601760

    017701770

    0.30.5-0.5

    179017901790

    018001800

    18100.11810

    0.40.60

    0.41830-0.25

    0.40.51840

    18500.2-0.2

    0.50.21860

    01870-1.4

    -0.5-0.151880

    1890-0.21890

    -0.519001900

    -0.75-0.5-1.75

    -0.75-0.51920

    -0.6-0.31930

    -0.5-0.5-1.8

    -0.75-0.7-2

    -1-0.8-2.1

    -1.2-1-2.3

    -1-0.8-2.3

    -1-0.6-2.3

    1

    2

    3

    years

    length of gletchers, km

    1

    123B-U.G

    1510D-Rhone

    1520C-Arg

    15300

    15400

    15500.2

    1560

    15700

    15800.3

    1590

    16000.500

    1610

    16200.30

    16300.30.2

    16400.5

    16500.5

    16600.10.2-0.25

    16700.20.3

    1680-0.1

    1690

    1700-0.2

    17100-0.25

    17200.2

    17300

    17400-0.4

    17500.1-0.2

    17600

    17700

    17800.30.5-0.5

    1790

    18000

    18100.1

    18200.40.60

    18300.4-0.25

    18400.40.5

    18500.2-0.2

    18600.50.2

    18700-1.4

    1880-0.5-0.15

    1890-0.2

    1900-0.5

    1910-0.75-0.5-1.75

    1920-0.75-0.5

    1930-0.6-0.3

    1940-0.5-0.5-1.8

    1950-0.75-0.7-2

    1960-1-0.8-2.1

    1970-1.2-1-2.3

    1980-1-0.8-2.3

    1990-1-0.6-2.3

    1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    1

    2

    3

    ,

    2

    3

  • Climate dynamics and insolation change during last 140 . Parameters of the Earths orbit103 years BPeccentricityobliquityprecessionsummerwinterInsolation at the top of the atmosphere18O

  • Latitude-month distribution of the difference in insolation (W/m2) between 21 and 6 ka and the present 21 ka BP 6 ka BP

  • Equation of the general circulation model (GCM)dX/dt=F, X=X(0)

  • Global surface air temperature 21 ka BP-control from different GCMsSimulations forced by CLIMAP SSTsSimulations with atmosphere-mixed layer ocean model

    3

    -3.9-4.2-4.1

    -4.3-5-4.7

    -4-4.2-4.1

    -4.4-3.9-4.2

    -2.9-4.1-3.3

    -3.1-3.3-3.2

    -3-4-3.5

    -2.8-3-2.9

    -3.6-3.8-3.7

    djf

    jja

    year

    0C

    1 (2)

    2.0ccm1gen1gen2gfdllmcelmd4mri2ugampukmo

    djf-6.1-6-6.1-4.6-4.3-2-4.6-4.2-5.4

    jja-6.1-6.1-4.4-3.5-3.8-2-4.6-3.6-4.2

    year-6.1-6.05-5.8-4-4-2-4.6-3.9-4.8

    1 (2)

    djf

    jja

    year

    0C

    1

    2.0ccsr1echam3gen2lmcelmd4lmcelmd5mri2msuugamp

    djf-3.9-4.3-4-4.4-2.9-3.1-3-2.8-3.6

    jja-4.2-5-4.2-3.9-4.1-3.3-4-3-3.8

    year-4.1-4.7-4.1-4.2-3.3-3.2-3.5-2.9-3.7

    1

    djf

    jja

    year

    0C

    2

    3

    4

    -6.1-6.1-6.1

    -6-6.1-6.05

    -6.1-4.4-5.8

    -4.6-3.5-4

    -4.3-3.8-4

    -2-2-2

    -4.6-4.6-4.6

    -4.2-3.6-3.9

    -5.4-4.2-4.8

    djf

    jja

    year

    0C

    1 (2)

    2.0ccm1gen1gen2gfdllmcelmd4mri2ugampukmo

    djf-6.1-6-6.1-4.6-4.3-2-4.6-4.2-5.4

    jja-6.1-6.1-4.4-3.5-3.8-2-4.6-3.6-4.2

    year-6.1-6.05-5.8-4-4-2-4.6-3.9-4.8

    1 (2)

    djf

    jja

    year

    0C

    1

    2.0ccsr1echam3gen2lmcelmd4lmcelmd5mri2msuugamp

    djf-3.9-4.3-4-4.4-2.9-3.1-3-2.8-3.6

    jja-4.2-5-4.2-3.9-4.1-3.3-4-3-3.8

    year-4.1-4.7-4.1-4.2-3.3-3.2-3.5-2.9-3.7

    1

    djf

    jja

    year

    0C

    2

    3

  • Mean annual temperature anomalies (LGM minus modern) averaged by PMIP modelsSites where LGM temperatures have been reconstructed

  • Comparison between reconstructed and simulated mean annual temperatures anomalies (LGM minus modern) over the land for all available sites

    1

    -6-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -13-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -12-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -9-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -10-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -11-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -8-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4

    -9-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4

    -9-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4

    -12-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3

    -10-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4

    -11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -12-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7.4-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -8.6-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -5.2-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5

    -5.7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16

    -3-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -11-9-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -11-14-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-15-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-5.5-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -5-5-5.2-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4

    -7-7-9-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -12-12-12-1-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -10-10-10-8-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -11-11-11-7-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-6-6-8-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-6-10-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -12-12-12-5-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -12-12-12-6-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -9-9-9-7-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-8-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -14-14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-4-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -12-12-12-12-14-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -8-8-8-8-11-8-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -20-20-20-20-20-18-20-20-20-20-20-20

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-10-5-5-5-5

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-9.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2.5-2-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-5.5-2-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-5.5-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-1.8-2-2

    -3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4-3

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-9

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-10

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-6

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-7

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    model

    data of reconstruction

    1

    -11-11

    -9-12

    -5-10

    -5-11

    -3-12

    -5-10

    -5-7

    -7-17

    -7-17

    -10-8

    -12-1

    -11-7

    -13-14

    -6-10

    -12-5

    -12-6

    -11-9

    -11-14

    -9-7

    -6-15

    -8-7

    -2-5.5

    -10-8.6

    -6-5.5

    -5-5.2

    -8.5-5.2

    -5-5.7

    -4-4

    -2-5.5

    -2-2.5

    -3-4

    -7-9

    -2.5-3

    -9-9

    -2-1.8

    -5.5-9.5

    -2-5

    -18-20

    -5.5-5.5

    -16-16

    -5-16.8

    -5-19.8

    -15-3.5

    -11-6

    -8-10

    &A

    &P

    2

    1234567891011

    .-11-11

    -9-12

    49.11-8-7.4

    48.21-10-8.6

    48.12-8.5-5.2

    43,5,-1,5-5-5.7

    46,8,5,8-9-9

    -5-7

    -16-16

    .-2.5-3

    ..-7-17

    -7-17

    -11-9

    -11-14

    --6-15

    - ,-6-5.5

    -5-5.2

    -4-4

    -7-9

    -12-1

    ,-10-8

    -11-7

    .-6-8

    .-6-10

    -12-5

    -12-6

    -9-7

    -9-8

    -14-8

    -14-8

    -9-11

    -9-11

    -9-4

    -12-14

    -8-11

    -20-18

    -5.5-5.5

    -5-10

    -5-5

    -5.5-9.5

    -2-2.5

    , -2-5.5

    -2-1.8

    -3-4

    &A

    &P

    2

    -11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -12-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7.4-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -8.6-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -5.2-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5

    -5.7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16

    -3-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -11-9-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -11-14-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-15-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-5.5-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -5-5-5.2-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4

    -7-7-9-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -12-12-12-1-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -10-10-10-8-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -11-11-11-7-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-6-6-8-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-6-10-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -12-12-12-5-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -12-12-12-6-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -9-9-9-7-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-8-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -14-14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-4-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -12-12-12-12-14-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -8-8-8-8-11-8-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -20-20-20-20-20-18-20-20-20-20-20-20

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-10-5-5-5-5

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-9.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2.5-2-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-5.5-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-1.8-2-2

    -3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4-3

    &A

    &P

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    PMIP simulated data

    data of reconstruction

    data-model comparison of annual temperature anomalies (21 ka BP mines present day)

    3

    -11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -12-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7.4-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -8.6-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -5.2-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5

    -5.7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16

    -3-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -11-9-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -11-14-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-15-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-5.5-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -5-5-5.2-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4

    -7-7-9-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -12-12-12-1-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -10-10-10-8-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -11-11-11-7-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-6-6-8-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-6-10-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -12-12-12-5-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -12-12-12-6-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -9-9-9-7-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-8-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -14-14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-4-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -12-12-12-12-14-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -8-8-8-8-11-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -20-20-20-20-20-18-20-20-20-20-20

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-10-5-5-5

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-9.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2.5-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-5.5-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-1.8-2

    -3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    model

    data

    4

    1234567891011

    .10-8.4-8.5

    EEPlcent5-11-11.5

    - 4-5.5-5.9

    9-10.1-7.5

    6-10-10

    1-20-18

    1-5.5-5.5

    3-5.2-8.2

    1-2-4

    , 2-2-3.7

    1-3-4

    &A

    &P

    4

    -8.5-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4

    -11-11.5-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -5.5-5.5-5.9-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -10.1-10.1-10.1-7.5-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1

    -10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -20-20-20-20-20-18-20-20-20-20-20-20

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-8.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-4-2-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3.7-2-2

    -3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4-3

    &A

    &P

    1

    2

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    9

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    PMIP simulated data

    reconstructed data

    data-model comparison of annual temperature averaged anomalies

    5

    -8.5-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4

    -11-11.5-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -5.5-5.5-5.9-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -10.1-10.1-10.1-7.5-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1

    -10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -20-20-20-20-20-18-20-20-20-20-20

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-8.2-5.2-5.2-5.2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-4-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3.7-2

    -3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4

    1

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    model

    data

    2 (2)

    &A

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    6

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    7

    123456789101112

    -8-6

    -6-13

    -6-12

    -6-6

    -5-9

    -5-10

    -5-11

    -4-8

    -4-9

    -4-9

    -3-12

    -4-10

    .-11-11

    -9-12

    49.11-8-7.4

    48.21-10-8.6

    48.12-8.5-5.2

    43,5,-1,5-5-5.7

    46,8,5,8-9-9

    -5-7

    -16-16

    .-2.5-3

    ..-7-17

    -7-17

    -11-9

    -11-14

    --6-15

    - ,-6-5.5

    -5-5.2

    -4-4

    -7-9

    -12-1

    ,-10-8

    -11-7

    .-6-8

    .-6-10

    -12-5

    -12-6

    -9-7

    -9-8

    -14-8

    -14-8

    -9-11

    -9-11

    -9-4

    -12-14

    -8-11

    -20-18

    -5.5-5.5

    -5-10

    -5-5

    -5.5-9.5

    ""-2-2.5

    -2-5.5

    , -2-5.5

    -2-1.8

    -3-4

    -5-9

    -5-10

    -5-6

    -5-7

    &A

    &P

    7

    000000000000

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    &A

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    1

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    12

    PMIP simulated data

    data of reconstruction

    data-model comparison of annual temperature anomalies (21 ka BP mines present day)

    8

    000000000000

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    1

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    model

    data

    9

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  • Comparison between reconstructed and simulated mean annual temperatures anomalies (LGM minus modern) over the land for the sites from the areas with simple topography and environments1 Western Europe and North Africa 2 - East European Plane 3 North-East North America 4 West Siberian Plane 5 Eastern Siberia and Chukotka 6 Greenland 7 Antarctica 8 Mongolia and North China 9 Brazil 10 South Africa11 Australia

    2

    -11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -12-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7.4-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -8.6-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -5.2-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5

    -5.7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16

    -3-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -11-9-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -11-14-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-15-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-5.5-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -5-5-5.2-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4

    -7-7-9-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -12-12-12-1-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -10-10-10-8-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -11-11-11-7-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-6-6-8-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-6-10-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -12-12-12-5-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -12-12-12-6-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -9-9-9-7-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-8-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -14-14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-4-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -12-12-12-12-14-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -8-8-8-8-11-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -20-20-20-20-20-18-20-20-20-20-20

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-10-5-5-5

    -5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-9.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2.5-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-5.5-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-1.8-2

    -3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4

    1

    2

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    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    model

    data of reconstruction

    1

    -11-11

    -9-12

    -5-10

    -5-11

    -3-12

    -5-10

    -5-7

    -7-17

    -7-17

    -10-8

    -12-1

    -11-7

    -13-14

    -6-10

    -12-5

    -12-6

    -11-9

    -11-14

    -9-7

    -6-15

    -8-7

    -2-5.5

    -10-8.6

    -6-5.5

    -5-5.2

    -8.5-5.2

    -5-5.7

    -4-4

    -2-5.5

    -2-2.5

    -3-4

    -7-9

    -2.5-3

    -9-9

    -2-1.8

    -5.5-9.5

    -2-5

    -18-20

    -5.5-5.5

    -16-16

    -5-16.8

    -5-19.8

    -15-3.5

    -11-6

    -8-10

    &A

    &P

    2

    1234567891011

    .-11-11

    -9-12

    49.11-8-7.4

    48.21-10-8.6

    48.12-8.5-5.2

    43,5,-1,5-5-5.7

    46,8,5,8-9-9

    -5-7

    -16-16

    .-2.5-3

    ..-7-17

    -7-17

    -11-9

    -11-14

    --6-15

    - ,-6-5.5

    -5-5.2

    -4-4

    -7-9

    -12-1

    ,-10-8

    -11-7

    .-6-8

    .-6-10

    -12-5

    -12-6

    -9-7

    -9-8

    -14-8

    -14-8

    -9-11

    -9-11

    -9-4

    -12-14

    -8-11

    -20-18

    -5.5-5.5

    -5-10

    -5-5

    -5.5-9.5

    -2-2.5

    , -2-5.5

    -2-1.8

    -3-4

    &A

    &P

    2

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

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    &A

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    1

    2

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    8

    9

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    11

    PMIP simulated data

    data of reconstruction

    data-model comparison of annual temperature anomalies (21 ka BP mines present day)

    3

    00000000000

    00000000000

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    1

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    model

    data

    4

    123456789101112

    .-8.4-8.5

    EEPlcent-11-11.5

    - ,-5.5-5.9

    -9.4-7.4

    -11-6

    -8-10

    -20-18

    -5.5-5.5

    -5.2-8.2

    ""-2-4

    , -2-3.7

    -3-4

    &A

    &P

    4

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    000000000000

    &A

    &P

    1

    2

    3

    4

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    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    PMIP simulated data

    reconstructed data

    data-model comparison of annual temperature averaged anomalies

    5

    &A

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    2 (2)

    &A

    &P

    6

    123456789101112

    -8-6

    -6-13

    -6-12

    -6-6

    -5-9

    -5-10

    -5-11

    -4-8

    -4-9

    -4-9

    -3-12

    -4-10

    .-11-11

    -9-12

    49.11-8-7.4

    48.21-10-8.6

    48.12-8.5-5.2

    43,5,-1,5-5-5.7

    46,8,5,8-9-9

    -5-7

    -16-16

    .-2.5-3

    ..-7-17

    -7-17

    -11-9

    -11-14

    --6-15

    - ,-6-5.5

    -5-5.2

    -4-4

    -7-9

    -12-1

    ,-10-8

    -11-7

    .-6-8

    .-6-10

    -12-5

    -12-6

    -9-7

    -9-8

    -14-8

    -14-8

    -9-11

    -9-11

    -9-4

    -12-14

    -8-11

    -20-18

    -5.5-5.5

    -5-10

    -5-5

    -5.5-9.5

    ""-2-2.5

    -2-5.5

    , -2-5.5

    -2-1.8

    -3-4

    -5-9

    -5-10

    -5-6

    -5-7

    &A

    &P

    6

    000000000000

    000000000000

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    &A

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    1

    2

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    4

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    7

    8

    9

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    12

    PMIP simulated data

    data of reconstruction

    data-model comparison of annual temperature anomalies (21 ka BP mines present day)

    7

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    8

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    9

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    10

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    11

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    16

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  • Comparison between reconstructed and simulated mean annual temperatures anomalies (LGM minus modern) over the land averaged by the regions pointed in the legend1 Western Europe (9) and North Africa (1) 2 - East European Plane (5)3 North-East North America (4)4 West Siberian Plane (10) 5 Eastern Siberia and Chukotka (6) 6 Greenland (1) 7 Antarctica (1) 8 Mongolia (2) and North China (2) 9 Brazil (1) 10 South Africa (2)11 Australia (1)

    2

    -8.5-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4

    -11-11.5-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -5.5-5.5-5.9-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -10.1-10.1-10.1-7.5-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1-10.1

    -10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -20-20-20-20-20-18-20-20-20-20-20

    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

    -5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-5.2-8.2-5.2-5.2-5.2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-4-2-2

    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3.7-2

    -3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

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    9

    10

    11

    model

    data of reconstruction

    1

    -11-11

    -9-12

    -5-10

    -5-11

    -3-12

    -5-10

    -5-7

    -7-17

    -7-17

    -10-8

    -12-1

    -11-7

    -13-14

    -6-10

    -12-5

    -12-6

    -11-9

    -11-14

    -9-7

    -6-15

    -8-7

    -2-5.5

    -10-8.6

    -6-5.5

    -5-5.2

    -8.5-5.2

    -5-5.7

    -4-4

    -2-5.5

    -2-2.5

    -3-4

    -7-9

    -2.5-3

    -9-9

    -2-1.8

    -5.5-9.5

    -2-5

    -18-20

    -5.5-5.5

    -16-16

    -5-16.8

    -5-19.8

    -15-3.5

    -11-6

    -8-10

    &A

    &P

    2

    1234567891011

    .-11-11

    -9-12

    49.11-8-7.4

    48.21-10-8.6

    48.12-8.5-5.2

    43,5,-1,5-5-5.7

    46,8,5,8-9-9

    -5-7

    -16-16

    .-2.5-3

    ..-7-17

    -7-17

    -11-9

    -11-14

    --6-15

    - ,-6-5.5

    -5-5.2

    -4-4

    -7-9

    -12-1

    ,-10-8

    -11-7

    .-6-8

    .-6-10

    -12-5

    -12-6

    -9-7

    -9-8

    -14-8

    -14-8

    -9-11

    -9-11

    -9-4

    -12-14

    -8-11

    -20-18

    -5.5-5.5

    -5-10

    -5-5

    -5.5-9.5

    -2-2.5

    , -2-5.5

    -2-1.8

    -3-4

    &A

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    2

    -11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -12-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7.4-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8-8

    -8.6-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -5.2-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5-8.5

    -5.7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -7-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16-16

    -3-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -7-17-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -11-9-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -11-14-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-15-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-5.5-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -5-5-5.2-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5

    -4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4-4

    -7-7-9-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7

    -12-12-12-1-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -10-10-10-8-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

    -11-11-11-7-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

    -6-6-6-8-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -6-6-6-10-6-6-6-6-6-6-6-6

    -12-12-12-5-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -12-12-12-6-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -9-9-9-7-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-8-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -14-14-14-14-8-14-14-14-14-14-14-14

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-11-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -9-9-9-9-4-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

    -12-12-12-12-14-12-12-12-12-12-12-12

    -8-8-8-8-11-8-8-8-8-8-8-8

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    -5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5-5.5

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    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2.5-2-2-2

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    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-1.8-2-2

    -3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4-3

    &A

    &P

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    PMIP simulated data

    data of reconstruction

    data-model comparison of annual temperature anomalies (21 ka BP mines present day)

    3

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    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

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    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    model

    data

    4

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    .10-8.4-8.5

    EEPlcent5-11-11.5

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    9-10.1-7.5

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    1-20-18

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    3-5.2-8.2

    1-2-4

    , 2-2-3.7

    1-3-4

    &A

    &P

    4

    -8.5-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4-8.4

    -11-11.5-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11-11

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    -2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3.7-2-2

    -3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4-3

    &A

    &P

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    PMIP simulated data

    reconstructed data

    data-model comparison of annual temperature averaged anomalies

    5

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    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    2 (2)

    &A

    &P

    6

    &A

    &P

    7

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    48.21-10-8.6

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    &A

    &P

    7

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    &A

    &P

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    PMIP simulated data

    data of reconstruction

    data-model comparison of annual temperature anomalies (21 ka BP mines present day)

    8

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