8
Virginia Automotive Report E Newsletter for October 2016 VAA Works to Promote the State Safety Inspection Program By Steve Akridge Each year VAA retains the services of The Keeney Group, Bruce and Bo Keeney for Legislative Monitoring in the General Assembly. When automotive related issues come up we often partner with the VGMC, a group of ser- vice station owners in Northern Virginia. This past session VAA and VGMC contracted the Keeney’s to survey mem- bers of both the House and Senate Transportation Commit- tees to get an overall feel for the legislators opinion of the state’s safety inspection program. One reason, was to see if the time was right for a fee increase, and these are the committees that any bill to increase the fee will come be- fore. After completing their interviews, Bruce and Bo report- ed the opinion of most of the legislators was far less than favorable, and the votes were not there to support an in- crease in the fee. As we did many years ago, both groups met, and felt it was time to work on a PR campaign to pro- mote the value of the program, and how important it is to highway safety. We agreed our effort would be three fold: develop a brochure that shops can give to customers, produce a video that we will email and post on our website, and get as many legislators from both Committees into our VAA mem- ber shops across the state to show them first hand what all is checked, why highway safety is impacted, and the im- portance of the program to the citizens of the Common- wealth. Our next step was to meet with the State Police to gather important statistics that relate to the program. These stats show just how many vehicles had a safety issue, and can be broken down to the various components– brakes, tires, suspension, etc. With every station on the computer- ized program, the stats are available and are accurate, which is something we did not have before it went electron- ic. Legislative Chairman John Kline, VAA Board member Mike Fortune and myself met with Captain Ron Maxey to discuss the details of our campaign. They are 100% behind what we are doing, and have provided the valuable statis- tics we needed. We will continue to work closely with them as we proceed with our campaign. Be on the look for more communication from us in the coming months. VAA is commited to promoting the value of the program, and why it is important to our citizens. Many thanks to VAA Legislative Committee mem- bers John Kline, Mike Fortune, Mark Anderton, ST Billingsley, Scott Brown and Jerry Tatum, and our friends at VGMC. Captain Ron Maxey Q&A on Department of Labor’s New FLSA Overtime Rule SESCO Management Consultants has been conducting teleseminars and webinars for the past months with various na- tional and state trade and business associations as well as indi- vidual clients on the new final rule regarding overtime regula- tions. The following are questions that attendees have asked in these seminars and SESCO is sharing the Q and A’s as we feel these are informative. Q: In summary, what do I need to understand about these new overtime requirements? A: The Department of Labor has issued white-collar exemptions. These exemption tests have not changed under the new rules. If any of your organization’s positions meet a white- collar exemption test, then your organization does not have to pay that position overtime or require a time record to be maintained. These white-collar exemptions include the Exec- utive, Administrative, Professional, Outside Sales (no salary requirement), Computer, and Highly-Compensated. Each one of these white-collar exemptions have requirements (tests) that your position must meet in terms of performing certain duties. In addition to meeting the duties tests, the position must also be paid on a guaranteed salary basis. This guaranteed salary basis is being increased effective Decem- ber 1, 2016 from $23,660 ($455 a week) to $47,476 per year ($913 per week). The salary threshold for the Highly- Compensated White-Collar Exemption is increasing to $134,004 per year. In addition, the guaranteed salary thresh- old will be automatically updated by the DOL every three (3) years based on certain economic benchmarks with the first increase scheduled to occur on January 1, 2020. The bottom line for employers is that they must in one fell swoop increase an exempt employee’s salary to the new $47,476 per year for the position to remain exempt from overtime, or change the position from exempt to nonexempt and thus implement a nonexempt pay plan that yields overtime, Q: Is paying an employee above the salary threshold the only requirement needed to avoid overtime? A: No, just because an employer compensates an employee via a guaranteed salary that meets the new threshold ($47,476) does not mean that he or she is not entitled to overtime. The position must meet one of the white-collar exemptions from overtime and receive the guaranteed salary. Article Continued on Page 6

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Virginia Automotive Report E Newsletter for October 2016

VAA Works to Promote the State

Safety Inspection Program By Steve Akridge

Each year VAA retains the services of The Keeney

Group, Bruce and Bo Keeney for Legislative Monitoring in

the General Assembly. When automotive related issues

come up we often partner with the VGMC, a group of ser-

vice station owners in Northern Virginia. This past session

VAA and VGMC contracted the Keeney’s to survey mem-

bers of both the House and Senate Transportation Commit-

tees to get an overall feel for the legislators opinion of the

state’s safety inspection program. One reason, was to see if

the time was right for a fee increase, and these are the

committees that any bill to increase the fee will come be-

fore. After completing their interviews, Bruce and Bo report-

ed the opinion of most of the legislators was far less than

favorable, and the votes were not there to support an in-

crease in the fee. As we did many years ago, both groups

met, and felt it was time to work on a PR campaign to pro-

mote the value of the program, and how important it is to

highway safety.

We agreed our effort would be three fold: develop

a brochure that shops can give to customers, produce a

video that we will email and post on our website, and get as

many legislators from both Committees into our VAA mem-

ber shops across the state to show them first hand what all is

checked, why highway safety is impacted, and the im-

portance of the program to the citizens of the Common-

wealth. Our next step was to meet with the State Police to

gather important statistics that relate to the program. These

stats show just how many vehicles had a safety issue, and

can be broken down to the various components– brakes,

tires, suspension, etc. With every station on the computer-

ized program, the stats are available and are accurate,

which is something we did not have before it went electron-

ic. Legislative Chairman John Kline, VAA Board member

Mike Fortune and myself met with Captain Ron Maxey to

discuss the details of our campaign. They are 100% behind

what we are doing, and have provided the valuable statis-

tics we needed. We will continue to work closely with them

as we proceed with our campaign.

Be on the look for more communication from us in

the coming months. VAA is commited to promoting the

value of the program, and why it is important to our citizens. Many thanks to VAA Legislative Committee mem-

bers John Kline, Mike Fortune, Mark Anderton, ST Billingsley,

Scott Brown and Jerry Tatum, and our friends at VGMC.

Captain Ron Maxey

Q&A on Department of Labor’s New

FLSA Overtime Rule SESCO Management Consultants has been conducting

teleseminars and webinars for the past months with various na-

tional and state trade and business associations as well as indi-

vidual clients on the new final rule regarding overtime regula-

tions. The following are questions that attendees have asked in

these seminars and SESCO is sharing the Q and A’s as we feel

these are informative.

Q: In summary, what do I need to understand about these new

overtime requirements?

A: The Department of Labor has issued white-collar exemptions.

These exemption tests have not changed under the new

rules. If any of your organization’s positions meet a white-

collar exemption test, then your organization does not have

to pay that position overtime or require a time record to be

maintained. These white-collar exemptions include the Exec-

utive, Administrative, Professional, Outside Sales (no salary

requirement), Computer, and Highly-Compensated. Each

one of these white-collar exemptions have requirements

(tests) that your position must meet in terms of performing

certain duties. In addition to meeting the duties tests, the

position must also be paid on a guaranteed salary basis. This

guaranteed salary basis is being increased effective Decem-

ber 1, 2016 from $23,660 ($455 a week) to $47,476 per year

($913 per week). The salary threshold for the Highly-

Compensated White-Collar Exemption is increasing to

$134,004 per year. In addition, the guaranteed salary thresh-

old will be automatically updated by the DOL every three (3)

years based on certain economic benchmarks with the first

increase scheduled to occur on January 1, 2020. The bottom

line for employers is that they must in one fell swoop increase

an exempt employee’s salary to the new $47,476 per year for

the position to remain exempt from overtime, or change the

position from exempt to nonexempt and thus implement a

nonexempt pay plan that yields overtime,

Q: Is paying an employee above the salary threshold the only

requirement needed to avoid overtime?

A: No, just because an employer compensates an employee

via a guaranteed salary that meets the new threshold

($47,476) does not mean that he or she is not entitled to

overtime. The position must meet one of the white-collar

exemptions from overtime and receive the guaranteed

salary. Article Continued on Page 6

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2

www.unifirst.com

www.carrolltire.com

www.federatedinsurance.com

www.parrishtire.com

www.morrisdist.com

www.odtdirect.com

www.valvoline.com

www.atd-us.com

PLEASE THANK AND SUPPORT OUR VAA ADVERTISERS

www.forparts.com

www.tirecenters.com

www.hotrodprocessing.com

www.maxfinkelstein.com

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3

VAA 2017 Convention &

Trade Expo Returns to Colonial Williamsburg

And the Williamsburg Lodge

April 28-30, 2017

Mark your Calendar and plan to join us

In the historic Revolutionary City

VAA Board of Directors

President: Scott Brown

Cardinal Plaza Shell, Springfield

Northern Virginia Region

President-Elect: John Kline

Old Dominion Tire, Midlothian

Richmond Region

Vice President: Mark Anderton

First Landing Auto Care, Virginia Beach

Coastal Virginia Region

Secretary-Treasurer:Jerry Tatum

Leete Tire & Auto, Petersburg

Richmond Region

Past President: Bobby Cutchins

Bobby’s Tire & Auto Care, Franklin

Coastal Virginia Region

Executive Director: Steve Akridge

VAA, Midlothian

Richmond Region

Directors:

Northern Virginia Region:

Myron Boncarosky, Virginia Tire & Auto, Fairfax

Chris Barnett, Tire Tread Service, Fredericksburg

Richmond Region:

Clint Farrar, American Tire Distributors, Richmond

Mike Fortune, Cloverleaf Tire & Auto, Richmond

Tom McClain, Napa Auto Parts, Richmond

Coastal Virginia Region:

Mike Scaglione, Arrowhead Auto & Align, Virginia Beach

Lynchburg Region:

Eric Hughes, Harris Tire, Lynchburg

Brenda Carpenter, Carpenter Tire, Lynchburg

Southwest Virginia Region:

Travis Leath, Twin County Tire & Auto, Galax

Bill Hoal, Carroll Tire Co., Roanoke

Shenandoah Valley Region:

Steve Crawford, Hepner Tire, Woodstock

Terry Westhafer, Central Tire, Verona

Tom Jones, Fisher Auto Parts, Staunton

Larry Williams, University Tire & Auto, Charlottesville

Winding Brook Tire Pros, Andrea Ellett

Milford VAA Sponsor: Clint Farrar

Help VAA grow– recommend someone you know and

sign them up online at www.vaauto.org click Join VAA

Welcome New VAA Members

VAA Office:

Steve Akridge, Executive Director

Email: [email protected]

Web: www.vaauto.org

6126 Fox Haven Place

Midlothian, VA 23112 Phone: 804-739-1400

The 2017 Convention Committee has met

and planned our entire schedule for April.

For this year’s show we will have 2 Peer to

Peer Roundtables, both with a Moderator-

One for Owners/Key Managers and one for

Sales and Service Managers. As we evaluat-

ed potential speakers, one message came

back loud and clear from a committee

member… “I have heard Mike Scott in

person, and you gotta get this guy for

our members to hear. He alone is

worth the price of admission”.

So we are very pleased to

announce Mike Scott will

be our closing keynote

speaker with his “Totally

Accountable” message.

He will also moderate our

Owner’s Roundtable.

More Info coming soon at

www.vaauto.org

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4

President’s Corner

By Scott Brown

In September, I attended a meeting of

the 20 Group I belong to. As homework, we

each performed a SWOT analysis on our

shops. This was an exercise that I believe has

value for each of us. A 20 Group is an invalua-

ble tool for any shop owner today. The way

my 20 Group works, four times a year 20 shop

owners get together to help grow our busi-

nesses. We listen to each other and help

each other by inspiring one another to grow.

If you aren’t in such a group, I highly recom-

mend you join one ASAP.

SWOT analysis is pretty simple. SWOT is

an acronym for strengths, weaknesses, oppor-

tunities, and threats. It involves specifying the

objective of the business & identifying the in-

ternal and external factors that are favorable

and unfavorable to achievement of that ob-

jective. A SWOT analysis can be performed

for any business, individual or even an industry.

I listened to the shop owners one after

another talk about the threat of the inde-

pendent repair shop down the street and it

felt wrong. Is the shop owner across the street

or across town really a threat? Or are they, as I

contend, a resource?

This US automotive repair and mainte-

nance service stands at $86.2 billion and is

growing at 4% annually. Who then is our real

competition? Is it the OE dealers, whose cur-

rent market share of 14% is expected to rise to

17% by 2025? For comparison, the independ-

ent repair shop market share is currently 57%

and is expected to grow by a meager 1% over

the next nine years. The trend is both a

strength & a weakness.

Is new technology a threat? Telematics

to date hasn’t had a dramatic impact on cus-

tomer behavior. I expect this to change as

the “connected car” technology becomes

more ubiquitous in the customer fleet.

Article continued on Page 8

High Mileage Meets Low Scrappage "Light vehicle mileage on U.S. roads recorded significant gains

over the past two years (2014 and 2015). At the same time, an-

nual vehicle scrappage was exceptionally low during these

two years, despite soaring new car and light trucks sales. These

two key trends continue strong through 2016."

"Low scrappage rates result in cars and light trucks staying on

U.S. roads for a longer time, increasing the number of light vehi-

cles in older age groups, particularly car and light trucks 15

years and up. With mileage increasing at a faster rate than ve-

hicles in operation (VIO), the average annual mileage of vehi-

cles increased last year, as the number of older vehicles

soared. When older vehicles are driven more annual miles, it is

positive for aftermarket growth."

Low Vehicle Scrappag

Over the past six years, the annual car and light truck scrap-

page rate in the U.S. (vehicles removed from operation) has

remained at below-average levels. During 2014 and 2015, an-

nual scrappage fell to its lowest average rate in more than 12

years.

This is very unusual, given the surge of annual new car and light

trucks sales in the U.S., something which historically has trig-

gered an escalation of vehicle scrappage rates.

Millions More Vehicles

As a result of vehicle scrappage nearly one-sixth lower in annu-

al rate during the past five years compared to the previous ten

-year span, more than 7 million cars and light trucks remained

on U.S. roads from 2011 through 2015 that would have been

sent to the junk pile had historical scrappage rates continued.

Vehicles are Surviving Longer

Annual scrappage rates during 2014 and 2015 reflect the ex-

tended life of cars and light trucks produced since the mid-

1990s. Advanced engine designs and improved materials used

in the production of vehicle engines and bodies have added

several years to the expected life of light vehicles in the U.S.

Higher Mileage Growth

For the first time in more than ten years, light vehicle 2015 mile-

age posted a higher annual growth rate than the VIO percent-

age increase for the year.

As a result, annual miles recorded by the typical car and light

truck increased during 2015, something which had not oc-

curred for more than ten years.

2016 Prospects

Annual mileage of light vehicles is expected to climb approxi-

mately 3% during 2016, a growth rate that will exceed the an-

ticipated annual increase of the car and light truck 2016 popu-

lation.

As a result, annual driving by the typical car and light truck will

increase again in 2016, marking the first time in more than 12

years that back-to-back annual mileage gains have been rec-

orded by the average light vehicle.

Article continued on Page 8

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5

How Small Businesses Can Benefit From Social Media

By: Nick Williams, Social Media Manager for Optimize Social Media

Small business owners are aware of the rapidly developing demand for social media marketing, but it seems

some do not fully understand its dynamic or how it benefits their company. Others have chosen to ignore advertising

in the digital realm entirely. Unbeknownst to those who view social media as a hobby, engaging with potential cus-

tomers and ensuring advertising is reaching a targeted audience online is now a priority.

In today’s digital world, consumers dread flipping through phone book pages or sifting through advertisements

shoved into their mailbox and for small business owners, social media presents an opportunity to expand and reach

consumers without a barrier only companies with infinite budgets were privy to.

There is no barrier on social media, while exposure on television, radio and print advertisements can be costly. Major

corporations can afford to employ a marketing team. Many independent and small business owners, however, can-

not afford a marketing department. In addition, some employees at small businesses wear many hats and cannot

dedicate time to social media marketing on a consistent basis.

There are five social media platforms every small business owner should become familiar with. Facebook, Twit-

ter, Google Plus, Yelp, and YouTube. Facebook has more than one billion users, Google is the leading search engine,

globally, followed by YouTube, a product owned by Google. These platforms highlight how your business operates

and if confronted with an upset customer or malfunction of your business operations, can be used as instant damage

control to maintain your brand’s reputation.

Whether approved or not, a business can be listed on various social media platforms with misinformation and

unmonitored engagement from potential customers. Advancements in technology have given consumers the option

to not have to make phone calls or send emails to contact a business. If a consumer contacts multiple businesses on

social media, that person is expecting an immediate response. The business that responds first may have earned a

new customer. While a vast majority of consumers still refuse to make purchases online, either because they feel their

information will be compromised or cannot fully perceive the product through the sense of touch as they could in

person, statistics show the rates of people making purchases online is increasing. Soon, social media platforms will

lead the cyber marketing industry.

It is important small businesses grasp the impact their business can make on social media rather than focus on

the possible return on investment with using social media. The more successful social media users see a holistic ap-

proach. Social media is about networking, influence and engagement. Small business owners want their customers to

associate a sense of comfort and security with their business and social media presents the opportunity to have a

longer conversation with customers, share values to a digital audience and leverage any conversation with a cus-

tomer into something better, perhaps a moment to explain why a specific product or service is superior to a competi-

tor’s.

Small businesses who rely simply on reputation or ‘word of mouth’ are doing themselves a disservice. Consum-

ers are continuously searching for the best offer and in today’s market, the majority of consumers are searching social

media. Small businesses will never be able to compete with major companies in manufacturing and volume, but

where small businesses can compete is with attention to detail, service and the overall customer experience. Social

Media allows the small business owner to disassociate his or her company from that battle. Social media is a platform

people use to amuse themselves, a place for personable content that relates to a positive experience, and one-on-

one attention. All of these are qualities many consumers seek before making a decision to spend their money.

Within five years, social media will become more difficult for the average person to incorporate all of the facets at

one time. Social media will become a necessity and not a luxury. Essential social media platforms will require an up-

dated smart phone. Business listing sites will continue to grow. Secured and verified login information, equipment and

software to operate social media will become more complicated, expensive and challenging for new users. Small

business owners must act now to learn the tools to operate a successful social media marketing campaign or find

themselves behind.

Want to know more about how Optimize Social Media can help your small business? Visit our website at opti-

mizesocialmedia.net, call 855-676-1212,

For Public Relations Information:

Allen Knappenberger, Communications

Writer

651-318-6520

[email protected]

For more Information:

Aric Toboleski, Director of Sales & Program Management

651-318-6802

[email protected]

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6

(Continued from Page 1)

Q: Do these new rules affect the Fluctuating Workweek Method of Payment?

A: No. The Fluctuating Workweek Method of Payment was not affected by the new rules nor does the Fluctuating Workweek Meth-

od of Payment require a guaranteed salary of $47,476. The Fluctuating Workweek Method of Payment is a viable nonexempt

pay plan option versus hourly with time and one-half (150%) over 40 hours per week. The Fluctuating Workweek Method of Pay-

ment provides for a guaranteed salary (only has to yield minimum wage for all hours worked) and the only requirement for the

employer is to pay half time (50%) for hours worked in excess of 40 hours per week. This pay plan can be considered very positive

for employer and employee alike.

Q: I am a non-profit employer, must I comply with these regulations?

A: Yes. There are no special exemptions for non-profit employers, religious organizations or carve outs for small businesses. If your

organization, regardless of IRS status, is considered an enterprise you are covered by these regulations.

Q: If I change an exempt employee’s pay plan from salary to hourly with overtime, can I restrict their hours of work?

A: Yes. This will be one of the more common solutions in that employers will restrict employees from working overtime to avoid a

significant increase in labor costs. As labor costs are all employers’ largest single, controllable costs, employers will closely man-

age rates of pay and working hours.

Q: Do these new regulations affect any of the nonexempt, partial exemptions (overtime only)?

A: No. Partial exemptions from overtime (only) still remain in effect for retail dealerships (automotive, equipment, aircraft, and

boat), retail operations and their commissioned employees, motor carriers and healthcare, re: 8/80 overtime rule.

Q: Are there any organizations or positions that are not covered by these new regulations?

A: Yes.

• Higher Education Sector – Rules do not apply to:

Bona fide teachers

Coaches

Graduate and undergraduate students

Academic administrative personnel

• State and local governments

• Politicians and their staff

• Non-enforcement for providers of Medicaid-funded services for individuals with intellectual or developmental disabilities in resi-

dential homes and facilities with 15 or fewer beds. Threshold does not become effective until March 17, 2019.

• Teachers in secondary education, doctors, lawyers

Q: How should I prepare for these new regulations for those exempt salaried positions who fall under the new salary requirement of

$47,476?

A: SESCO recommends the following process be implemented:

• Require those who are currently exempt but will not meet the new salary threshold of $47,476 to start recording hours worked.

• Over the next several weeks and months, determine how many hours the position is actually working. If it is 40 or less, then no

action necessarily needs to be taken as anyone can be paid on a salaried basis.

• If the position is working a significant number of hours over 40, determine if those hours can be reduced to 40, thus limiting your

overtime liability.

If the position is required to work overtime and you cannot increase the exempt salaried basis to the new $47,476, then you

must determine whether or not you are going to implement an hourly rate with overtime or the Fluctuating Workweek Meth-

od of Payment with half-time over 40.

(article Continued on Page 7)

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(Continued from Page 6)

Q: In some of our pay classifications, we have positions that are currently being paid over the $47,476 and some that are being

paid less. Can we have two (2) separate pay scales (exemption statuses) for the same job classification?

A: Yes. For those over the $47,476, you can continue to pay them on a salaried exempt basis. For those under the $47,476, you

can elect not to increase their guaranteed salary and convert them to a nonexempt pay plan, re: hourly with overtime or Fluc-

tuating Workweek Method of Payment with half time (50%).

Q: What challenges might present themselves should I increase salaried exempt staff from their current salary to the new salary

threshold of $47,476?

A: When increasing existing salaries for one class of employees and not others, this can create significant pay compression within

your compensation program, thus creating internal inequity -- which is far more important than external equity. It can also cre-

ate internal morale issues as a class of employees will receive pay increases and others will not. Finally, when hiring in new ex-

empt employees to the new $47,476 threshold, they will be hired in at salaries normally paid to more experienced, tenured em-

ployees. Therefore, labor costs and internal equity/morale issues will be a reality. Organizations must be able to answer these

difficult questions that will be raised by staff. Compensation systems will also need to be developed and/or revised to address

these pay compression issues.

Q: I saw in the media that U.S. Senator Lamar Alexander and others have vowed to vote out the new overtime rule before Decem-

ber 1st and that we will not have to worry about the regulations. Is this possible?

A: While anything is possible, it is highly doubtful and more than likely, these senators are merely posturing. Moreover, even follow-

ing the presidential election, if the Republicans win the White House, we view it as highly unlikely that the new rule will be un-

wound or repealed. As with most all employment regulations, there is a slim chance that they will be repealed and/or revised

and employers must become familiar with the new rules and be prepared to comply.

Q: Can SESCO assist us with our exemption classifications and help us prepare for the new salary threshold?

A: Yes, SESCO can be of assistance on or offsite in assessing the exemption status of your positions as well as in preparing for

changes from exempt to nonexempt pay plans as required as well as in revising and updating compensation systems to con-

trol labor costs.

Client Alert issued October 5, 2016

Last week, the United States House of Representatives (House) passed a Bill that would delay the effective date of the DOL’ s new

overtime rule by 6 months, from December 1, 2016 to June 1, 2017. It is important to understand the significant uphill battle the Bill

passed in the House faces before it could become law. First, the Bill must pass the Senate. It is very possible that the Bill itself may

not even reach the Senate floor for a vote. But, if it does, passage of the Bill is not highly likely given the current make-up of the

Senate. Even if the Bill is voted on and passes the Senate, a Presidential veto is almost certain to follow. President Obama released

a statement strongly opposing any delay in the rule’ s effective date, and threatening to veto any such law. Congress likely would

not have enough votes to override any such veto. As such, we encourage employers to continue preparing to comply with the

new rules by December 1. We will continue to follow the status of the Bill for you and provide updates as new developments arise.

For more information on these new FLSA overtime regulations and how they will affect your business, and more importantly how

you can comply in a cost effective manner, contact SESCO Management Consultants at 423-764-4127 or [email protected].

Sesco is a Prefered Vendor Partner of VAA, and through our relationship, VAA members get no charge phone consultation and

discounts on other services.

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8

President’s Corner Continued from Page 4

Our problem is that independent repair shops

do not have access to this information. CaaS:

Car as a Service has a chance to be more of

an immediate business disrupter. CaaS includes

ride sharing technologies such as ZipCar, ride

hailing apps like Uber & Lyft and autonomous

cars. The results are clear to see, with millenni-

als using CaaS instead of driving themselves.

How about Vehicle Service Contracts as a po-

tential threat? These are currently sold on 43%

of all new and used car sales at OE dealerships.

By 2025 extended warranties or VSCs will be

sold on 86% of sales.

The final threat I’ll mention is industry consolida-

tion. Whether it’s new players backed by pri-

vate equity dollars buying & rebranding shops

or new competition from previously trusted part-

ners, like AAA, we each must react to an ever

changing marketplace.

As a group, independent repair shop owners

have some impressive strengths. The OE dealer-

ships (and AAA) are limited by bay capacity

and locations. Customers perceive independ-

ents more favorably than OE dealerships. The

aging composition of the overall vehicle fleet

also favors us.

Our ultimate strength is our relationships with our

customers. In every survey, customers remain

very loyal to their local shops. We own the cus-

tomer relationship! But be aware that the cus-

tomer expectations are growing.

The VAA is another strength we have that is not

duplicated by our true competitors. Recently

Dan Ammann, President of GM, stated that our

industry will change more in the next 5 years

than it has in the last 50! I believe he is correct.

We can each try to navigate the increasingly

changing marketplace alone or we can help

each other. The VAA offers us a framework to

meet, hang out with and learn from like-minded

shop owners. By working together, we can in-

spire each other to great things.

Until next time,

Scott

Please respond if you liked this Presidents Cor-

ner. If there is interest, I plan to work with our

Board of Directors to perform a more complete

SWOT analysis using our membership as the sub-

ject which would be distributed to VAA mem-

bers only.

Lang Report Continued from Page 4

More Miles on Older Vehicles

Low scrappage is increasing the number of cars 15

years and older on U.S. roads at a time when average

annual miles per-vehicle is increasing.

This means older vehicles, which use a much higher rate

of aftermarket products per-mile travelled than younger

cars and light trucks, are increasing in number at the

same time average annual miles driven per-vehicle is

growing.

The combined impact of older vehicles and more miles

driven by older vehicles is positive for aftermarket

growth, particularly for replacement parts (components

necessary for vehicle operation).

Six Major Takeaways

• Low average annual vehicle scrappage over

the past five years, despite record-setting new car and

light truck annual sales, added more than 7 million cars

and light trucks to vehicles in operation (VIO) during

2011 through 2015.

• Low scrappage has resulted in older vehicles

staying on the road longer, particularly those 15 years

and up.

• During 2015, annual mileage recorded by the

average car and light truck in the U.S. posted an in-

crease for the first time in more than ten years.

• Annual mileage in 2016 is expected to increase

faster than total VIO, resulting in an increase in average

driving by the typical car and light truck. This will be the

first time back-to-back annual mileage gains by the av-

erage vehicle have occured in more than 12 years.

• Over the past two years (2014 and 2015), low

annual vehicle scrappage occurred at a time when car

and light truck mileage recorded renewed growth (total

annual miles driven did not increase between 2003 and

2013).

• Older vehicles, which average much higher

rates of aftermarket product use per mile travelled than

younger cars and light trucks, are climbing in number at

the same time that average annual miles per-vehicle is

increasing. More annual miles on older vehicles is posi-

tive for aftermarket product growth.

Jim Lang, Publisher

Office: 260-399-1699 Cell: 260-417-3670