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VYACHESLAV SINYUGIN Deputy CEO Unified Energy Systems of Russia
15 November 2002Boston
2
Agenda
UES Highlights
Reform - Rationale and Status
Dialogue with Shareholders
Next Steps
UES Highlights
4
3.9
1.2 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3
0
1
2
3
4
5
US Chain Japan Russia Canada Germany India France UK Brazil
* As of 14 November 2002
HighlightsHighlights Key DataKey Data
Russia - 4th Largest Power Market in the WorldRussia - 4th Largest Power Market in the World
26.5% 8.4% 7.2% 5.7% 3.9% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% 2.5% 2.2%% of World Total
Bn
MW
hUES
One of the world's largest electric utility companies
407 thermal and hydro power plants 2,7 mln km of power transmission lines 646,000 employees 627 bn kWh of electricity generated;
72% of the overall generation in Russia 53% state-owned
5
132
38
18
158
44
15
173
43
15
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 1st Half 2001 1st Half 2002 1st Half
Power Sales Heat Sales Other Revenues
Rb Bn
* Provisional DataRussian rouble as of June 30th, 2002
IAS 1H02: Revenues
188217
231
IAS 1H02: Operating and Net Profit
Rb Bn.
Reform - Rationale and Status
7
Global Experience in the Electric Power Sector
Complete Liberalization
of Electric Power Sector
State monopoly
Russia (2001)Russia (2001)
France (2000)France (2000)
Hungary (1999)Thailand (1996)
Italy (1999)Italy (1999)
Great Britain (1990)
Ukraine (1997)Ukraine (1997)
Scandinavia (1992)
EU Directive (1996)EU Directive (1996)
Argentina (1990)
Brazil (1995)Brazil (1995)
SAR (2000)SAR (2000)
Greece (2000)Greece (2000)
Kazakhstan (1998)Kazakhstan (1998)
Moldova (1999)Moldova (1999)
California (1995)
Competition Price Liberalization
Non-discriminatory Access to GridPrivate Investments
8
Russia: The Context for Structural Reforms
The strong economic performance of the last three years sets the foundation for implementation of profound structural reforms designed to complete modernization of the Russian State
The current focus is on reforming natural monopolies
The reforms are unprecedented in scope
They will constitute one of the critical drivers in the economic modernization of Russia, and have significant impact on the energy sectors and economies of Eurasia
At the core, the reforms are driven by the development of new, market driven regulatory and operating regimes
The overriding objective is to unlock the significant potential of the current monopolies and create value for:
The consumers
The shareholders
The State
The reform of RAO UES is critical to the modernization of the Russian State
9
Optimal Industry Structure
Create transparent and competitive market place Improve overall economic efficiency of the system Ensure financial viability of individual enterprises Secure affordable end consumer electricity price
Attractive Investment
Profile
Encourage capex into areas where new build is required
Raise economic competition and quality through involvement of foreign strategic investors
Establish clear and effective regulatory framework Enhance shareholder value of UES, while ensuring fair
treatment of minority shareholders
Social Considerations
Ensure smooth transition to a deregulated market with minimal price shocks
Ensure reliability of the new system
Co
nst
rain
tsC
on
stra
ints
Ob
ject
ives
Ob
ject
ives
Russian Reform : Incorporate the Best of Industry Experience
10
Competitive sectors
Natural monopolies
Liberalisation of price-setting
Stimulation of market participation
Market rules
Regulated tariffs
Securing equal access to grids
Establishment of market infrastructure
GENERATIONSUPPLY
TRANSMISSIONDISTRIBUTION
Reform Basics: Separation of Monopolistic and Competitive Sectors
11
Anticipated Timetable
Development of the legal Development of the legal frameworkframework
Revision of the market Revision of the market structurestructure
Pilot test of the wholesale Pilot test of the wholesale marketmarket
Set up of competitive Set up of competitive electricity market in electricity market in generation and generation and supplysupply
Attract private Attract private investments in various investments in various sectors of the industrysectors of the industry
2001-2004 2004-2006 2006-2010
Transmission tariff introducedTransmission tariff introduced Distribution tariff introducedDistribution tariff introduced Unregulated market (5-15%)Unregulated market (5-15%) ISO tariff introducedISO tariff introduced
Government set tariffs Government set tariffs remain for FGC, remain for FGC, DistCos and heat onlyDistCos and heat only
Generation and supply Generation and supply are unregulatedare unregulated
First Phase Second Phase Third Phase
Objectives
MarketStructure
Tariffs
Federal Grid CompanyFederal Grid Company Wholesale generation Wholesale generation
companiescompanies Unbundled regional Unbundled regional
companies, consolidated companies, consolidated by function by function
Federal Grid Company Federal Grid Company and regional and regional distribution companiesdistribution companies
Wholesale generation Wholesale generation companiescompanies
Regional generation Regional generation companiescompanies
Supply companiesSupply companies
12
Package of draft laws on the Russian power sector reform has passed the 1st reading by the
State Duma of the Russian Federation
Federal Law Federal Law ««On theOn theElectric Power SectorElectric Power Sector»»
Amendments to the Civil Amendments to the Civil Code of the Russian Code of the Russian
FederationFederation
Amendments to the Federal Amendments to the Federal LawLaw « «On Natural On Natural
MonopoliesMonopolies»»
Federal LawFederal Law « «On putting into On putting into effect of the Federal Law effect of the Federal Law ««On the Electric Power On the Electric Power
SectorSector»»
Amendments to the Federal Amendments to the Federal Law Law ««On Energy SavingOn Energy Saving»»
October 9th, 2002
Amendments to the Federal Amendments to the Federal Law Law « «On State Regulation On State Regulation
of Electricity and Heat of Electricity and Heat TariffsTariffs»»
Legislative Basis of the Reform
Separation of the Russian power sector into competitive (generation and supply) and monopolistic (transmission and dispatching) segments
The new structure of the wholesale and retail power markets, with an equilibrium price based on submitted bids
Guarantees for reliable electricity supplies, as well as insurance of the rights and concerns of minority shareholders and the State
13
Fair asset value of investment Interest in selected assets
Increase value of holdings Fair and transparent
treatment Liquidity Corporate governance
No shocks for customers Capital investment Taxes Elimination of subsidies National interest in
transmission
Low cost heat and electricity Reliability Subsidy for some customers Strategic interest in selected
assets
Legitimate, but Diverse Interests of Key Stakeholders
Significant Minorities in SubsidiariesSignificant Minorities in SubsidiariesShareholdersShareholders
The StateThe State CustomersCustomers
Dialogue with Shareholders
15
Under management control Beyond management control
UES Stock Price Drivers in 2002
UES
RTS index
Insufficient communication with shareholders regarding key principles of the restructuring
Premature consideration of asset sales in uncertain sector conditions
Modest operating performance and cost-cutting efforts
The final industry structure and the means of its regulation remain unclear
Prospects for restructuring have grown more vague due to the delay in approval of draft bills from June to autumn
A number of Duma deputies support the plan for grid nationalization
Cents
8
12
16
20
24
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
16
Seven Steps of Management for the Benefit of Minority Shareholders
Moratorium on sale of core assets and granting of options to purchase these assets until the mechanisms of fair valuation and proceeds distribution are established
No pledge of shares for loans
No asset transfers to Government other than at fair value
Pro-rata allocation of shares
Preservation of liquidity of shares at all levels throughout the process
Financial / operating results to remain a priority during restructuring
Substantial modification of the dividend policy for the benefit of shareholders
17
1 4 5 6 10 11 12 13 November
99
104
109
114
119
124
129
134
139
144
149Growth Rate, %
24 25 26 27 30 September
1 2 3 4 7 8 9 10 11 14 15 16 17 18 21 22 23 24 25 28 29 30 31 October
UES of Russia Common Share
Russian Trade System Index
UES Stock Has Outperformed the Index Recently
September 25th, 2002Presentation of the Seven Steps
Next Steps
19
Next Steps
Restructuring
Power Sector Reform Laws
Second reading November 29
Third reading December
Restructuring plan (“3+3”)
Task force to start the discussion November 22
Board of directors to review the Plan December 29
Operations
Government to discuss natural monopolies tariff-setting December
IAS FY2002 results Q2 2003