Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Wales’s Low/Zero Carbon Hub
Chris Jofeh
26th April 2012
Structure of this talk • UK carbon reduction pathways to 2050
• The work of Wales’s Low/Zero Carbon Hub
• Carbon emissions - progress in Wales
• NHS England carbon trajectory
• NHS Wales carbon trajectory
• Some thoughts about the challenges of the Welsh NHS estate
Cardiff Bay in 1955
UK pathways to 2050
National target – 80% reduction in greenhouse gas
emissions by 2050 (1990 baseline)
UK – where and when will carbon savings occur?
DECC 2050 pathways
DECC 2050 pathways – one scenario
Broad range of measures to
reduce demand
Emphasis on carbon capture and
storage; bio energy; and some
nuclear
DECC 2050 pathways – implications - area
DECC 2050 pathways – carbon capture and storage; bio energy – land and sea areas
The work of Wales’s Low/Zero
Carbon Hub
Low/Zero Carbon Hub
The strategic aim of the hub is to:
‘act as a dissemination mechanism to stakeholders and a source of advice to
Welsh Ministers over activities and actions needed to achieve the aspiration of
zero carbon new build and the contribution to be made by buildings that will
help to deliver the 3% annual target to cut greenhouse gas emissions’
http://www.cewales.org.uk/zero-low-carbon-hub/
The Strategy
1. Residential New
Build
2. Residential Existing
Buildings
3. Non Domestic
Buildings
4. Sustainable Living
5. Skills and Training
• Support implementation of Building
Regulations in Wales
• Raise awareness amongst stakeholders
• Disseminate best practice
• Work with existing knowledge
networks and organisations
• Identify, propose and promote
practical actions
• Identify gaps in current policies
• Advise Welsh Ministers
Strategic Actions Workstreams
Low/Zero Carbon Hub
Steering group –
workstream leaders
Colin King, Residential New Build
Nick Tune, Residential Existing Buildings
Gordon Brown, Non Domestic Buildings
Chris Tweed, Sustainable Living
Wyn Prichard/ Chris Hughes, Skills and Training
Residential New Build
Issues:
Devolved Building Regs: Part L
Code for Sustainable Homes
Passivhaus
Fabric first approach
Planning
Linking energy efficiency and property value
Projects/ Events:
Build Regs 2013: Part L workshops WG
Part L 2015 breakfast meetings
Planning review research
Conferences (RSAW/ RICS/ CIH)
Residential Existing Build
Issues: Retrofit Arbed Phases 1 & 2 Green Deal Renewable Heat incentive Feed in tariffs Skills Waste from refurbishments Fabric energy efficiency Air quality Water efficiency Quality standards Warrantees Linking energy efficiency and property value
Projects/events:
RHI/FIT breakfast meetings
Desk study – building consumption
CCC Summit
Green mortgages
Water efficiency breakfast
Arbed 2 liaison
Existing Homes Alliance
Sustainable traditional buildings alliance
Code for Retrofit
Quality/warrantee study
Insulation/ ventilation/damp study
Ecobuild Centre
Skills & Training
Issues:
Cut the Carbon
BEST & WEST
Designing out Waste
Projects/ Events: Training courses database - Cardiff Uni
Site Carbon Manager training
CSkills & BRE skills review
Note: Green Deal Skills Alliance
(leadership training for Influencing Change)
Prof Services Employers Group
Cynnal Cymru business breakfast
Non Domestic
Issues:
Building consumption
EPCs and DECs
Handovers and soft landings
Integrated teams and
collaboration
BREEAM 2011
Linking energy efficiency
and property value
Projects/ events: Fforwm BREEAM evening
seminars
Conferences: Carbon Trust,
Welsh Healthcare Estates
Newport Construction Forum
Local Authority collaborative
works group
A Welsh DEC study
CEW awards
Sustainable Living
Issues: Behaviour change – post occupancy
Use of systems/ Smart meters etc
Energy awareness
Water awareness (embodied energy)
Projects & Events: Data collection research review
lifestyle & behaviour
WG Behavioural Change
Programme
Aim:
– to train contractors up to a level where they are competent in delivering
high energy efficient and sustainable homes.
– course outline currently being developed by BRE & CSkills.
Future:
– each construction site will have a SCM to ensure buildings are
constructed to meet the exacting standards
– a site with a SCM will receive two credits within BREEAM
Site Carbon Manager Trial
• A variation on the standard mortgage where energy costs and
projects savings are accounted for as part of a dwelling’s
operating costs.
• The lower operating costs means lenders can provide a higher
level of financing
• Benefit to homeowners who reduce their impacts on the
environment and minimize household energy use
Green Mortgages
Aim:
– Create a database of certified sustainable material in Wales
Allowing users to:
– identify Welsh suppliers of sustainable materials by location
– create a virtual supply chain through all stages of the production process
– gain access certification to show compliance
Similar project completed for Cornwall County Council
Sustainable Materials in Wales Database
The use of social
networking to deliver
operational
improvements in large
organizations
Low/Zero Carbon Hub
Policy advice to WG:
1. Creating the conditions for very large scale retrofit
2. How to make the Green Deal work in Wales
3. Community scale renewable energy projects
4. Planning and Building Regulations
Carbon emissions – progress in
Wales
Wales target – 3% annual reduction in greenhouse gas
emissions
NHS England carbon trajectory
NHS England carbon reduction strategy
Travel
18%
Buildings
22%
22%
9%
5% 5% 4%
Procurement
60%
Pharmaceuticals
Medical Instruments equipment
Business services
Paper products
NHS Freight transport
Other manufactured products
Fuels/chemicals/gases
Food and Catering
NHS England: breakdown of 20 MT CO2 footprint
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
NH
S E
ng
lan
d a
nn
ua
l e
mis
sio
ns
MtC
O2e
Year
NHS England CO2 scenario model
model of care
other procurement reduction
med-tech reduction
pharma reduction
renewables
travel emissions
Estate churn
LZCT buildings
baseline emissions
2020 reduction
target
Analytical baseline for carbon reduction strategy
NHS Wales carbon trajectory
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
NH
S E
ng
lan
d a
nn
ua
l e
mis
sio
ns
MtC
O2e
Year
NHS England CO2 emissions
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
NH
S E
ng
lan
d a
nn
ua
l e
mis
sio
ns
MtC
O2e
Year
NHS England CO2 emissions
NHS Wales CO2 emissions
Some thoughts about the challenges
of the Welsh NHS estate
Performance over 10 year period
Many eras of building
Pre 1948
1955-1964
1965-1974
1975-1984
1985-1994
1995 to
present
All-Wales age profile 2010/11
Artificial organs
Chronic illness
Drug development
Genetics
Home diagnostics
Imaging
Infection control
Mental health
Pandemic risk
Proton beam therapy
Public health
Robotics
Stem cells
Surgical techniques
The elderly
The intelligent patient
Therapeutic environments
Changing models of care
Wales – Total Annual Building Energy Costs
x 5 = 1,000,000 tonnes
WG
approval
of SOC
Appoint
advisers
Appoint
design
consultants
Carry out options
appraisal and
identify preferred
option
Develop
preferred option
to RIBA stage
C
Supply
chain VE &
bids
Select supply
chain partner
Novate
design
consultants
Complete
OBC
Board/Trust
approval of
OBC
WG
approval of
OBC
Appoint
supply chain
partner
Develop full business case (FBC)
Design and preconstruction
activities to RIBA stage H
Agree
target
price
Board/Trust
approval of
FBC
WG
approval of
FBC
Design completion and construction Operational
commissioning
Project
closure
DESIGNED FOR Life: BUILDING FOR Wales 2
Regional Frameworks – Full Business Case Process
People:
Environmental awareness & expectations
Lifestyles
Demographics
Energy Infrastructure:
Electricity demand
Energy Security
Decarbonised ‘green’ grid
Economics:
Balance of payments
Energy and water prices
Carbon taxation
Drivers of change
Legislation:
Climate Change Act 2008
Energy Act 2011
Towards ‘zero carbon’ buildings
Information technology:
Remote working
Cloud computing
Social networks
Climate change:
Temperature & rainfall
Biodiversity and ecosystem health
Disease
What can change achieve? Enhanced
Wellbeing
Brand
Value
Business
Resilience
Staff and patients:
Enhanced comfort / health / productivity
Improved staff attraction /retention
Improved healthcare outcomes
Climate change:
Mitigation – reduced CO2 emissions
Adaptation – adaptive capacity
Asset rating:
Energy security
Improved building performance
Enhanced LEED / BREEAM
Cost base:
Improved space efficiency
Reduced operational costs
Wales Audit Office survey of NHS boards in Wales
Other priorities for capital investment
How can your buildings work harder
to support your business?
How can your buildings do more to
help achieve the goals of the NHS in
Wales?
Improved healthcare outcomes • Better environments for staff and patients
• More therapeutic environments
• More efficient layouts
Increased throughput of patients
Reduced unnecessary movement by staff and patients.
Reduced unnecessary movement of items and materials
Multi-use
Future adaptability
• Reduced building operating & maintenance costs
• Reduced building footprints
How can your buildings do more to support the goals of the NHS in Wales?
• Improvement/innovation
• Legislative compliance
• Litigation/insurance
• Maintenance backlog
• Operating costs
• Patient experience
• Profitability
• QIPP
• Staff attraction & retention
• Staff time
• Tax
• Turnaround times
• Waste reduction
Other healthcare pressures &
ambitions
• Balance sheet – asset value
• Brand, image and reputation
• Carbon reduction & taxation
• Cash flow
• Certification –DEC, BREEAM etc
• Climate change resilience
• Demand & capacity
• Development costs and risks
• Disposals & acquisitions
• Energy & water consumption
• Energy security
• Future legislation risks
1. Which buildings on your
estate offer the best
opportunities to deliver
value enhancement through
retrofit?
2. What is the optimum
delivery strategy to ensure
that target performance is
realised?
Understand
Main Drivers
Identify Estate
Opportunities
Confirm &
Develop
Opportunities
Refine Retrofit
Strategies
Integrated
Design &
Delivery
Performance
Monitoring &
Enhancement
A possible approach to estate-wide buildings retrofit
Understand
Main Drivers
Identify Estate
Opportunities
Confirm &
Develop
Opportunities
Refine Retrofit
Strategies
Integrated
Design &
Delivery
Performance
Monitoring &
Enhancement
A possible approach to estate-wide buildings retrofit
1 2 3
1. Which buildings on the estate might be good candidates for
an upgrade?
2. For each building identified at stage1 – is it really a good
candidate, and approximately what should be done at what
cost?
3. For each building confirmed at stage 2 – precisely what
should be done to the building, and what will it cost?
• Pre-filter
• Assess potential for improvement in commercial and
service performance
• Assess physical potential for improvement
• Assess potential for risk reduction/elimination
(e.g. obsolescence, regulatory, or climate)
• Categorize buildings
Which buildings on the estate might be
good candidates for an upgrade?
Prefilter Demand and capacity review
• Is there / could there be sizeable vacant space?
• What is the holding strategy?
• Excellent/dreadful
Estate / Portfolio Analysis
Commercial Suitability
Financial Improvability • Current vs. potential income
• Current vs. potential cost of occupancy
• Space efficiency
• Asset productivity & deployment
Service Provision • What services can be moved offsite?
• Potential to offer new services
• Potential to improve space utilisation
• Potential for multi-use
• What demand for upgraded space does the
service strategy require?
Estate / Portfolio Analysis
Improvability – Technical Factors Building condition / fitness for purpose/ derogations
• Adjacencies
• Age of structure / fit-out / services
• Comfort and control of comfort
• Energy, water & waste performance
• Functional content & space standards
• Interior appearance
• Internal and external views
• Patient access to outdoors
• Patient bath / toilet / other facilities
• Patient privacy & dignity
• Security
• Staff facilities for work & relaxation
• Wayfinding & signposting
Estate Analysis
Improvability – Risk Reduction Obsolescence and Regulatory Risk
• Supply/demand
• Accelerated deterioration: escalation of
capital investment
• Brand/image
• Energy performance
• Infection control
• Ability to meet increased carbon emission
performance standards
• DDA
• CRC
• HTMs
Estate / Portfolio Analysis
Estate Optimization • Identify retrofit opportunities to
deliver performance enhancement
across an estate
• Based on categorisation of buildings
Co
mm
ercia
l S
uit
ab
ilit
y
Technical Improvability
Retrofit Quick
Wins
Exemplar Refurb
Market Refurb Defer
Estate Analysis
Understand
Main Drivers
Identify Estate
Opportunities
Confirm &
Develop
Opportunities
Refine Retrofit
Strategies
Integrated
Design &
Delivery
Performance
Monitoring &
Enhancement
A possible approach to estate-wide buildings retrofit
1. Which buildings on the estate might be good candidates for
an upgrade?
2. For each building identified at stage1 – is it really a good
candidate, and approximately what should be done at what
cost?
3. For each building confirmed at stage 2 – precisely what
should be done to the building, and what will it cost?
1 2 3
WG
approval
of SOC
Appoint
advisers
Appoint
design
consultants
Carry out options
appraisal and
identify preferred
option
Develop
preferred option
to RIBA stage
C
Supply
chain VE &
bids
Select supply
chain partner
Novate
design
consultants
Complete
OBC
Board/Trust
approval of
OBC
WG
approval of
OBC
Appoint
supply chain
partner
Develop full business case (FBC)
Design and preconstruction
activities to RIBA stage H
Agree
target
price
Board/Trust
approval of
FBC
WG
approval of
FBC
Design completion and construction Operational
commissioning
Project
closure
DESIGNED FOR Life: BUILDING FOR Wales 2
Regional Frameworks – Full Business Case Process
Identify Estate Opportunities
Confirm & Develop Opportunities
Refine Retrofit Strategies
Performance
Monitoring &
Enhancement
