Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP Field, Clinton …...OF THE PRESS RELEASE Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP Field, Clinton Up Big Nationally Raleigh, N.C. – PPP's national Republican

Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 13, 2015 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP Field, Clinton Up Big Nationally

Raleigh, N.C. – PPP's national Republican poll for May continues to find Scott Walker leading the field, but it's tightly clustered and his support has actually dropped two consecutive surveys now. Walker's at 18% to 13% for Marco Rubio, 12% each for Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Ted Cruz, 9% for Rand Paul, 5% for Chris Christie, and 2% for Rick Perry.

Two candidates have the clear momentum in the six weeks since we did our last national Republican poll: Marco Rubio and Mike Huckabee. In addition to being second place overall, Rubio is the most frequently named second choice of GOP voters at 15%. The 28% of Republicans who name him as either their first or second choice matches Walker for the top of the heap. His 13% represents a 7 point gain from his 6% standing in late March. Huckabee's gained 6 points from the last national poll we did. His 58% favorability rating is the highest of the GOP field and his net +34 rating at 58/24 is tied with Rubio's at 56/22 to make him the most popular candidate.

Two other candidates clearly have their support headed in the wrong direction: Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz. Bush had been in 2nd at 17% and has now dropped to 5th at 11%. He continues to really struggle with voters identifying themselves as 'very conservative.' Just 5% support him for the nomination and his favorability with them is under water at 35/44.

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton leads with 63% to 13% for Bernie Sanders, 6% for Jim Webb, 5% for Lincoln Chafee, and 2% for Martin O'Malley. Clinton's over 60% with liberals, moderates, women, whites, African Americans, and seniors and is at least over 50% with men, Hispanics, and young voters.

“Republicans are bouncing up and down much as they did in 2012,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Meanwhile Hillary Clinton maintains her dominant hold on the Democratic lead.”

Public Policy Polling® interviewed 685 Republican primary voters and 600 Democratic primary voters nationally from May 7th to 10th. The margins of error for the surveys are +/-3.7% and +/-4.0% respectively. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones.

May 7-10, 2015Survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015Survey of 685 Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



National Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?

40% Favorable........................................................

36% Unfavorable ....................................................

24% Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ben Carson?

54% Favorable........................................................

18% Unfavorable ....................................................

28% Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Christie?

31% Favorable........................................................

52% Unfavorable ....................................................

17% Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ted Cruz?

51% Favorable........................................................

25% Unfavorable ....................................................

24% Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Huckabee?

58% Favorable........................................................

24% Unfavorable ....................................................

18% Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rand Paul?

48% Favorable........................................................

29% Unfavorable ....................................................

24% Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Perry?

42% Favorable........................................................

26% Unfavorable ....................................................

32% Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?

56% Favorable........................................................

22% Unfavorable ....................................................

22% Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Walker?

50% Favorable........................................................

16% Unfavorable ....................................................

34% Not sure ..........................................................






Q10 (Republicans) Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

11% Jeb Bush.........................................................

12% Ben Carson.....................................................

5% Chris Christie ..................................................

10% Ted Cruz .........................................................

12% Mike Huckabee ...............................................

9% Rand Paul .......................................................

2% Rick Perry .......................................................

13% Marco Rubio ...................................................

18% Scott Walker ...................................................

7% Someone else / Not sure ................................

Q11 (Republicans) Given the same list of choices, who would be your second choice for the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

8% Jeb Bush.........................................................

11% Ben Carson.....................................................

6% Chris Christie ..................................................

6% Ted Cruz .........................................................

10% Mike Huckabee ...............................................

8% Rand Paul .......................................................

5% Rick Perry .......................................................

15% Marco Rubio ...................................................

10% Scott Walker ...................................................

20% Someone else / Not sure ................................

Q12 When it comes to the Republican nominee for President are you more concerned with having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues, or the one who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election?

38% More concerned with having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues....

53%

More concerned with having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election ....................

10% Not sure ..........................................................

Q13 (Republicans) Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

24% Yes..................................................................

61% No ...................................................................

16% Not sure ..........................................................

Q14 (Republicans) Are you an Evangelical Christian or not?

51% Yes..................................................................

49% No ...................................................................

Q15 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Lindsey Graham?

19% Favorable........................................................

31% Unfavorable ....................................................

49% Not sure ..........................................................

Q16 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George Pataki?

13% Favorable........................................................

24% Unfavorable ....................................................

64% Not sure ..........................................................

Q17 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?

37% Favorable........................................................

43% Unfavorable ....................................................

20% Not sure ..........................................................






Q18 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Carly Fiorina?

28% Favorable........................................................

21% Unfavorable ....................................................

51% Not sure ..........................................................

Q19 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

44% Favorable........................................................

18% Unfavorable ....................................................

39% Not sure ..........................................................

Q20 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kasich?

22% Favorable........................................................

17% Unfavorable ....................................................

61% Not sure ..........................................................

Q21 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum?

45% Favorable........................................................

22% Unfavorable ....................................................

33% Not sure ..........................................................

Q22 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Emily Farris?

3% Favorable........................................................

20% Unfavorable ....................................................

77% Not sure ..........................................................

q23 Do you think that the Government is trying to take over Texas or not?

32% The Government is trying to take over Texas..

40% The Government is not trying to take over Texas ..............................................................

28% Not sure ..........................................................

q24 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

1% Very liberal ......................................................

6% Somewhat liberal ............................................

21% Moderate.........................................................

34% Somewhat conservative..................................

37% Very conservative ...........................................

q25 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

49% Woman ...........................................................

51% Man.................................................................

Q26 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.

13% 18 to 29...........................................................

19% 30 to 45...........................................................

41% 46 to 65...........................................................

28% Older than 65 ..................................................

May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters





Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker

Someone else/ Not sure

Bush Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 81% 41% 37% 18% 43% 25% 51% 46% 33% 25%

36% 2% 42% 31% 61% 30% 45% 46% 26% 54% 19%

24% 17% 17% 33% 21% 27% 30% 3% 28% 13% 56%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Carson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

54% 21% 88% 24% 60% 36% 46% 59% 65% 72% 27%

18% 30% 5% 47% 17% 21% 17% 27% 11% 16% 20%

28% 49% 7% 30% 23% 42% 37% 15% 24% 12% 53%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Christie Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

31% 36% 23% 97% 15% 36% 30% 25% 28% 21% 34%

52% 50% 60% 1% 66% 34% 54% 65% 56% 68% 33%

17% 14% 17% 1% 19% 30% 16% 10% 16% 11% 33%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Cruz Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 15% 56% 21% 88% 45% 33% 63% 53% 76% 29%

25% 39% 20% 43% 10% 28% 38% 24% 28% 13% 29%

24% 46% 24% 36% 3% 27% 29% 14% 19% 11% 42%






Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Huckabee Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

58% 43% 69% 48% 42% 93% 34% 50% 60% 64% 54%

24% 32% 20% 43% 26% 5% 47% 27% 24% 22% 11%

18% 26% 11% 9% 33% 2% 18% 23% 17% 15% 35%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 34% 39% 33% 63% 40% 86% 49% 54% 46% 31%

29% 37% 31% 48% 20% 29% 7% 27% 34% 32% 19%

24% 29% 29% 19% 17% 31% 7% 24% 12% 22% 49%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 35% 44% 18% 63% 37% 30% 61% 44% 49% 30%

26% 44% 20% 44% 15% 21% 26% 29% 28% 25% 21%

32% 21% 36% 38% 22% 41% 44% 10% 29% 26% 49%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% 36% 62% 41% 61% 41% 23% 52% 87% 77% 35%

22% 26% 16% 23% 21% 31% 44% 37% 7% 15% 20%

22% 37% 21% 36% 17% 28% 33% 10% 6% 8% 45%






Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Walker Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

50% 24% 48% 40% 52% 36% 19% 33% 56% 98% 39%

16% 29% 15% 8% 10% 19% 32% 27% 16% 0% 17%

34% 48% 36% 52% 38% 45% 50% 40% 28% 1% 44%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Republican Primary

Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker

Someone else / Notsure

11% 100% - - - - - - - - -

12% - 100% - - - - - - - -

5% - - 100% - - - - - - -

10% - - - 100% - - - - - -

12% - - - - 100% - - - - -

9% - - - - - 100% - - - -

2% - - - - - - 100% - - -

13% - - - - - - - 100% - -

18% - - - - - - - - 100% -

7% - - - - - - - - - 100%






Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Republican PrimarySecond Choice

Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


8% - 7% 6% 3% 10% 15% 24% 17% 4% 8%

11% 5% - 10% 13% 12% 16% - 14% 17% 5%

6% 21% 1% - 1% 12% 13% 3% 2% 5% -

6% - 12% 6% - 6% 4% 3% 11% 10% -

10% 18% 26% 9% 10% - 9% 3% 9% 5% 8%

8% 3% 4% 18% 16% 11% - 15% 9% 9% 3%

5% 5% 3% 1% 8% 5% 8% - 4% 8% 1%

15% 14% 19% 8% 22% 12% 7% 17% - 33% -

10% 9% 9% 19% 17% 8% 5% 29% 20% - 5%

20% 24% 18% 23% 11% 23% 22% 6% 14% 8% 70%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Republican NomineeConservative orGeneral

More concerned withhaving the candidate

who is the mostconservative on the

issues


who has the bestchance of beating a

Democrat in thegeneral election

Not sure

38% 22% 43% 25% 63% 47% 41% 57% 21% 36% 38%

53% 62% 49% 57% 33% 43% 44% 41% 75% 59% 42%

10% 16% 8% 18% 5% 10% 15% 3% 3% 6% 21%






Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Tea Party Yes/No

Yes

No

Not sure

24% 4% 26% 19% 60% 27% 24% 43% 14% 27% 5%

61% 80% 63% 71% 27% 62% 52% 44% 72% 54% 76%

16% 17% 11% 10% 14% 12% 25% 13% 14% 20% 18%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Evangelical Yes/No

Yes

No

51% 41% 63% 30% 65% 60% 40% 68% 51% 43% 56%

49% 59% 37% 70% 35% 40% 60% 32% 49% 57% 44%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Graham Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

19% 27% 17% 17% 10% 21% 3% 3% 34% 24% 11%

31% 25% 32% 50% 59% 24% 18% 22% 25% 38% 16%

49% 49% 50% 33% 31% 55% 79% 75% 41% 38% 73%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Pataki Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

13% 12% 7% 24% 4% 9% 8% 23% 13% 22% 9%

24% 29% 22% 3% 36% 25% 9% 21% 26% 32% 11%

64% 59% 71% 73% 60% 66% 82% 55% 61% 47% 81%






Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Trump Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 24% 31% 48% 33% 34% 29% 57% 49% 47% 22%

43% 58% 40% 39% 40% 45% 46% 43% 42% 36% 49%

20% 18% 29% 13% 27% 20% 25% - 9% 17% 29%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Fiorina Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 16% 26% 31% 34% 14% 14% 15% 33% 54% 12%

21% 32% 31% 22% 14% 21% 10% 23% 16% 19% 22%

51% 53% 43% 47% 51% 66% 77% 62% 51% 27% 65%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Jindal Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

44% 16% 47% 15% 70% 31% 25% 28% 59% 72% 13%

18% 32% 19% 16% 10% 21% 26% 31% 8% 6% 28%

39% 51% 33% 69% 20% 48% 49% 42% 33% 22% 59%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Kasich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

22% 11% 30% 18% 19% 14% 10% 30% 28% 39% 9%

17% 20% 17% 7% 20% 26% 10% 40% 11% 19% 11%

61% 70% 53% 75% 61% 60% 80% 30% 61% 42% 81%






Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Santorum Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

45% 34% 55% 33% 66% 42% 27% 58% 52% 44% 39%

22% 32% 18% 19% 11% 16% 29% 17% 22% 26% 17%

33% 34% 26% 48% 23% 42% 44% 25% 26% 29% 44%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Farris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

3% 4% 1% - - 1% 5% - 12% 2% -

20% 24% 26% 20% 17% 22% 11% 55% 10% 22% 13%

77% 73% 74% 80% 83% 77% 84% 45% 78% 76% 87%

Base

Republican Primary

JebBush

BenCarson

ChrisChristie

TedCruz

MikeHuckabee

RandPaul

RickPerry

MarcoRubio

ScottWalker


Govt Texas TakeoverYes/No

The Government istrying to take over

Texas

The Government isnot trying to take over

Texas

Not sure

32% 18% 25% 15% 56% 35% 29% 76% 32% 38% 12%

40% 59% 42% 50% 21% 35% 50% 17% 35% 36% 44%

28% 23% 33% 34% 22% 30% 22% 7% 33% 27% 44%






Base

Republican Nominee Conservative or General

More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues

More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election

Notsure

Bush Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 31% 52% 14%

36% 43% 29% 52%

24% 27% 19% 34%

Base




Notsure

Carson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

54% 56% 56% 32%

18% 15% 19% 32%

28% 30% 26% 35%

Base




Notsure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

31% 28% 34% 21%

52% 51% 53% 52%

17% 20% 13% 26%

Base




Notsure

Cruz Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 61% 49% 23%

25% 16% 29% 40%

24% 23% 22% 36%






Base




Notsure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

58% 62% 63% 23%

24% 18% 23% 54%

18% 20% 15% 23%

Base




Notsure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 54% 47% 27%

29% 20% 33% 39%

24% 26% 20% 34%

Base




Notsure

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 49% 41% 16%

26% 15% 29% 52%

32% 36% 29% 31%

Base




Notsure

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% 52% 65% 24%

22% 23% 16% 44%

22% 25% 19% 32%






Base




Notsure

Walker Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

50% 53% 55% 19%

16% 8% 17% 40%

34% 40% 28% 41%

Base




Notsure

Republican Primary

Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


11% 7% 13% 19%

12% 14% 11% 11%

5% 3% 5% 9%

10% 16% 6% 5%

12% 15% 10% 13%

9% 10% 7% 14%

2% 4% 2% 1%

13% 7% 19% 4%

18% 17% 20% 10%

7% 7% 5% 15%






Base




Notsure


Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


8% 7% 10% 4%

11% 13% 9% 10%

6% 6% 7% 9%

6% 9% 4% 5%

10% 14% 9% 2%

8% 8% 8% 4%

5% 5% 6% 1%

15% 11% 19% 9%

10% 11% 10% 3%

20% 17% 17% 53%

Base




Notsure




issues




Not sure

38% 100% - -

53% - 100% -

10% - - 100%






Base




Notsure

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes

No

Not sure

24% 38% 17% 8%

61% 47% 68% 76%

16% 16% 16% 16%

Base




Notsure

Evangelical Yes/No

Yes

No

51% 63% 44% 41%

49% 37% 56% 59%

Base




Notsure

Graham Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

19% 12% 27% 7%

31% 30% 31% 37%

49% 58% 41% 56%

Base




Notsure

Pataki Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

13% 11% 15% 7%

24% 21% 28% 14%

64% 68% 58% 79%






Base




Notsure

Trump Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 41% 38% 12%

43% 37% 45% 61%

20% 22% 17% 27%

Base




Notsure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 25% 33% 14%

21% 13% 24% 34%

51% 63% 42% 52%

Base




Notsure

Jindal Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

44% 45% 48% 17%

18% 11% 17% 45%

39% 44% 35% 38%

Base




Notsure

Kasich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

22% 20% 27% 9%

17% 17% 16% 22%

61% 63% 57% 69%






Base




Notsure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

45% 57% 43% 15%

22% 9% 27% 39%

33% 34% 30% 46%

Base




Notsure

Farris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

3% 3% 4% -

20% 18% 21% 17%

77% 79% 75% 83%

Base




Notsure



Texas


Texas

Not sure

32% 39% 29% 23%

40% 28% 44% 57%

28% 33% 27% 20%






Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Bush Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 25% 47% 35%

36% 57% 28% 37%

24% 18% 25% 28%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Carson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

54% 74% 45% 55%

18% 9% 23% 14%

28% 16% 32% 31%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

31% 30% 33% 24%

52% 52% 51% 54%

17% 17% 16% 22%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Cruz Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 79% 38% 59%

25% 13% 34% 10%

24% 8% 28% 31%






Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

58% 61% 57% 60%

24% 19% 27% 21%

18% 20% 16% 19%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 58% 42% 55%

29% 25% 33% 18%

24% 17% 25% 26%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 60% 35% 42%

26% 14% 34% 14%

32% 25% 31% 44%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% 61% 55% 54%

22% 23% 22% 16%

22% 16% 23% 30%






Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Walker Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

50% 65% 43% 58%

16% 10% 20% 7%

34% 24% 37% 35%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Republican Primary

Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


11% 2% 15% 12%

12% 13% 13% 9%

5% 4% 6% 3%

10% 25% 4% 9%

12% 14% 12% 9%

9% 9% 8% 14%

2% 4% 2% 2%

13% 8% 16% 11%

18% 20% 16% 23%

7% 2% 9% 8%






Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure


Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


8% 4% 11% 4%

11% 15% 10% 7%

6% 6% 6% 8%

6% 10% 4% 11%

10% 10% 12% 4%

8% 10% 7% 9%

5% 8% 4% 6%

15% 13% 15% 18%

10% 11% 8% 13%

20% 14% 23% 21%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure




issues




Not sure

38% 59% 29% 38%

53% 37% 59% 52%

10% 3% 12% 10%






Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes

No

Not sure

24% 100% - -

61% - 100% -

16% - - 100%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Evangelical Yes/No

Yes

No

51% 68% 42% 58%

49% 32% 58% 42%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Graham Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

19% 19% 21% 13%

31% 43% 27% 31%

49% 38% 52% 56%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Pataki Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

13% 9% 15% 7%

24% 33% 21% 23%

64% 58% 64% 70%






Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Trump Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 50% 31% 40%

43% 29% 52% 34%

20% 21% 18% 27%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 34% 25% 32%

21% 15% 26% 11%

51% 51% 50% 57%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Jindal Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

44% 61% 36% 48%

18% 10% 21% 14%

39% 29% 43% 37%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Kasich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

22% 29% 20% 22%

17% 18% 17% 16%

61% 53% 63% 62%






Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

45% 64% 38% 46%

22% 14% 27% 11%

33% 22% 35% 43%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure

Farris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

3% 4% 2% 6%

20% 23% 21% 11%

77% 73% 77% 83%

Base

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes NoNot

sure



Texas


Texas

Not sure

32% 50% 22% 40%

40% 24% 49% 27%

28% 25% 29% 33%






Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Bush Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 37% 43%

37% 37% 36%

23% 25% 21%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Carson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

54% 60% 47%

18% 13% 23%

28% 27% 29%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

31% 26% 36%

52% 54% 50%

17% 20% 14%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Cruz Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 60% 43%

25% 18% 33%

24% 22% 25%






Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

58% 67% 49%

24% 15% 34%

17% 18% 17%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 51% 45%

29% 25% 33%

23% 24% 22%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 51% 33%

26% 15% 37%

32% 33% 30%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 57% 56%

21% 19% 24%

22% 24% 20%






Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Walker Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 55% 46%

15% 11% 20%

34% 33% 34%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Republican Primary

Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


11% 9% 14%

12% 15% 9%

5% 3% 7%

10% 13% 7%

12% 14% 10%

9% 7% 11%

2% 3% 2%

13% 13% 13%

18% 16% 21%

7% 8% 6%






Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No


Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


8% 6% 10%

11% 12% 9%

7% 5% 8%

6% 8% 5%

9% 12% 7%

8% 7% 9%

5% 7% 4%

15% 12% 18%

10% 11% 8%

20% 20% 21%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No




issues




Not sure

38% 47% 28%

53% 45% 60%

10% 8% 12%






Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes

No

Not sure

24% 32% 16%

60% 50% 71%

16% 18% 13%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Evangelical Yes/No

Yes

No

51% 100% -

49% - 100%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Graham Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

20% 20% 19%

32% 30% 33%

49% 50% 48%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Pataki Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

13% 6% 20%

24% 25% 23%

63% 69% 57%






Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Trump Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 40% 33%

43% 36% 51%

20% 24% 16%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 22% 35%

21% 19% 23%

51% 59% 42%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Jindal Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

44% 48% 41%

18% 13% 22%

38% 39% 37%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Kasich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

22% 19% 25%

17% 17% 17%

61% 64% 58%






Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

45% 54% 36%

22% 12% 32%

33% 34% 32%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No

Farris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

3% 3% 3%

20% 20% 19%

77% 77% 77%

Base

EvangelicalYes/No

Yes No



Texas


Texas

Not sure

32% 41% 23%

40% 28% 52%

28% 31% 25%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Bush Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 49% 35% 46% 42% 35%

36% 15% 29% 28% 36% 44%

24% 36% 37% 26% 22% 21%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Carson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

54% 36% 34% 35% 58% 64%

18% 22% 38% 32% 12% 13%

28% 42% 28% 33% 30% 23%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

31% - 33% 37% 33% 25%

52% 94% 54% 45% 50% 56%

17% 6% 14% 17% 17% 18%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Cruz Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 36% 29% 22% 51% 72%

25% 22% 48% 43% 23% 13%

24% 42% 23% 34% 26% 15%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

58% - 37% 46% 61% 68%

24% 22% 48% 34% 21% 17%

18% 78% 15% 19% 19% 14%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 49% 30% 31% 47% 61%

29% 15% 51% 38% 31% 18%

24% 36% 19% 31% 22% 21%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 72% 21% 23% 45% 52%

26% 22% 45% 48% 24% 14%

32% 6% 33% 29% 32% 34%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% - 23% 31% 71% 63%

22% 58% 49% 35% 14% 16%

22% 42% 28% 35% 15% 20%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Walker Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

50% - 14% 27% 65% 58%

16% 22% 53% 31% 5% 10%

34% 78% 33% 42% 30% 32%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Republican Primary

Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


11% 43% 21% 24% 7% 5%

12% - 21% 10% 10% 15%

5% 6% 3% 10% 6% 2%

10% - 5% 1% 7% 19%

12% 7% 11% 18% 11% 10%

9% 7% 14% 12% 8% 7%

2% 36% 3% 3% 2% 2%

13% - 9% 10% 15% 14%

18% - - 6% 28% 20%

7% - 14% 8% 7% 5%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


8% 42% 12% 9% 9% 6%

11% - 6% 7% 13% 11%

6% - 6% 12% 6% 4%

6% - 1% 7% 4% 9%

10% - 12% 10% 6% 14%

8% 7% 4% 8% 6% 11%

5% 36% - 2% 6% 6%

15% - 10% 7% 22% 14%

10% - 4% 6% 13% 11%

20% 15% 45% 32% 16% 14%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative




issues




Not sure

38% 79% 17% 23% 28% 57%

53% 15% 60% 54% 67% 39%

10% 6% 23% 23% 6% 4%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes

No

Not sure

24% 36% 17% 6% 17% 41%

61% 28% 71% 83% 66% 42%

16% 36% 13% 11% 17% 17%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Evangelical Yes/No

Yes

No

51% 79% 51% 30% 42% 71%

49% 21% 49% 70% 58% 29%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Graham Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

19% 7% 10% 14% 27% 18%

31% 7% 55% 30% 23% 36%

49% 85% 35% 56% 49% 46%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Pataki Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

13% 36% 4% 12% 18% 9%

24% 15% 50% 22% 20% 24%

64% 49% 46% 66% 62% 67%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Trump Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 42% 22% 25% 37% 45%

43% 22% 55% 62% 45% 30%

20% 36% 23% 13% 18% 25%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% - 10% 21% 36% 29%

21% 15% 50% 32% 14% 17%

51% 85% 39% 47% 50% 55%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Jindal Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

44% - 13% 28% 46% 57%

18% 22% 48% 35% 11% 9%

39% 78% 40% 38% 43% 34%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Kasich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

22% 36% 26% 15% 24% 24%

17% 51% 30% 24% 12% 14%

61% 13% 45% 60% 64% 61%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

45% 72% 11% 28% 45% 60%

22% 15% 53% 37% 23% 7%

33% 13% 36% 35% 32% 33%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Farris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

3% - 9% 7% 2% 1%

20% 87% 41% 25% 15% 15%

77% 13% 50% 68% 83% 84%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative



Texas


Texas

Not sure

32% 43% 36% 17% 25% 46%

40% 15% 59% 64% 37% 25%

28% 42% 5% 18% 38% 29%






Base

Gender

Woman Man

Bush Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 39% 41%

36% 32% 40%

24% 28% 19%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Carson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

54% 51% 56%

18% 16% 21%

28% 33% 23%

Base

Gender

Woman Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

31% 32% 30%

52% 45% 59%

17% 23% 12%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Cruz Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 48% 54%

25% 20% 30%

24% 32% 16%






Base

Gender

Woman Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

58% 58% 59%

24% 21% 27%

18% 21% 14%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 41% 54%

29% 29% 29%

24% 30% 18%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 39% 44%

26% 22% 31%

32% 39% 25%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% 54% 58%

22% 21% 23%

22% 25% 19%






Base

Gender

Woman Man

Walker Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

50% 44% 56%

16% 13% 18%

34% 43% 25%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Republican Primary

Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


11% 12% 11%

12% 13% 11%

5% 6% 4%

10% 10% 9%

12% 13% 11%

9% 7% 10%

2% 3% 2%

13% 13% 14%

18% 12% 25%

7% 11% 3%






Base

Gender

Woman Man


Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


8% 8% 9%

11% 11% 11%

6% 5% 8%

6% 6% 7%

10% 8% 12%

8% 6% 10%

5% 5% 6%

15% 17% 13%

10% 10% 10%

20% 26% 15%

Base

Gender

Woman Man




issues




Not sure

38% 38% 37%

53% 48% 57%

10% 13% 6%






Base

Gender

Woman Man

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes

No

Not sure

24% 19% 28%

61% 63% 58%

16% 18% 14%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Evangelical Yes/No

Yes

No

51% 54% 48%

49% 46% 52%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Graham Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

19% 18% 21%

31% 30% 32%

49% 52% 47%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Pataki Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

13% 12% 13%

24% 19% 28%

64% 69% 59%






Base

Gender

Woman Man

Trump Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 35% 38%

43% 38% 48%

20% 26% 14%

Base

Gender

Woman Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 27% 29%

21% 18% 24%

51% 55% 47%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Jindal Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

44% 38% 49%

18% 16% 19%

39% 46% 32%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Kasich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

22% 17% 28%

17% 15% 19%

61% 68% 53%






Base

Gender

Woman Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

45% 42% 48%

22% 17% 26%

33% 41% 25%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Farris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

3% 2% 4%

20% 18% 21%

77% 80% 75%

Base

Gender

Woman Man



Texas


Texas

Not sure

32% 34% 29%

40% 34% 45%

28% 31% 26%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Bush Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 38% 30% 42% 45%

36% 41% 31% 39% 33%

24% 21% 39% 19% 22%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Carson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

54% 56% 43% 56% 56%

18% 24% 25% 14% 18%

28% 20% 31% 30% 26%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

31% 28% 34% 32% 28%

52% 48% 57% 51% 52%

17% 23% 9% 17% 20%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Cruz Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 42% 40% 56% 54%

25% 35% 29% 23% 22%

24% 24% 31% 21% 23%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

58% 45% 57% 58% 65%

24% 31% 23% 26% 19%

18% 24% 20% 16% 16%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 46% 46% 52% 43%

29% 27% 30% 29% 28%

24% 27% 24% 19% 29%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 36% 40% 43% 44%

26% 32% 26% 28% 22%

32% 31% 34% 29% 34%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% 37% 45% 61% 65%

22% 38% 28% 17% 17%

22% 25% 27% 22% 19%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Walker Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

50% 45% 33% 52% 62%

16% 25% 19% 16% 9%

34% 30% 48% 32% 29%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Republican Primary

Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


11% 7% 8% 13% 13%

12% 21% 5% 14% 10%

5% 7% 11% 3% 4%

10% 3% 9% 13% 9%

12% 9% 10% 12% 14%

9% 11% 19% 7% 4%

2% 3% 2% 2% 3%

13% 17% 14% 13% 11%

18% 18% 12% 17% 25%

7% 3% 8% 7% 7%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Jeb Bush

Ben Carson

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz

Mike Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Perry

Marco Rubio

Scott Walker


8% 3% 10% 9% 9%

11% 25% 4% 9% 11%

6% 8% 7% 7% 4%

6% 10% - 9% 4%

10% 11% 16% 9% 8%

8% - 13% 10% 5%

5% 4% 4% 5% 6%

15% 9% 12% 16% 18%

10% 9% 5% 10% 13%

20% 21% 29% 16% 20%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65




issues




Not sure

38% 42% 48% 37% 30%

53% 55% 43% 51% 60%

10% 3% 9% 12% 10%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Tea Party Yes/No

Yes

No

Not sure

24% 29% 26% 22% 22%

61% 61% 55% 61% 64%

16% 10% 19% 17% 13%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Evangelical Yes/No

Yes

No

51% 60% 45% 48% 55%

49% 40% 55% 52% 45%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Graham Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

19% 14% 9% 20% 28%

31% 42% 28% 35% 23%

49% 45% 63% 45% 49%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Pataki Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

13% 7% 13% 12% 16%

24% 28% 16% 27% 22%

64% 65% 71% 61% 62%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Trump Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 39% 45% 34% 34%

43% 44% 31% 48% 45%

20% 17% 25% 18% 21%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 21% 14% 36% 30%

21% 21% 19% 22% 21%

51% 58% 68% 43% 48%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Jindal Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

44% 36% 35% 48% 47%

18% 13% 19% 19% 16%

39% 51% 46% 33% 37%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Kasich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

22% 19% 21% 19% 30%

17% 26% 14% 18% 14%

61% 55% 65% 63% 56%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

45% 35% 49% 47% 44%

22% 31% 14% 24% 19%

33% 33% 37% 29% 37%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Farris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

3% 11% 3% 3% 1%

20% 31% 16% 17% 21%

77% 58% 82% 81% 78%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65



Texas


Texas

Not sure

32% 34% 28% 29% 38%

40% 41% 45% 42% 32%

28% 25% 27% 29% 31%

May 7-10, 2015Survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters





National Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Lincoln Chafee?

15% Favorable........................................................

32% Unfavorable ....................................................

54% Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?

74% Favorable........................................................

21% Unfavorable ....................................................

5% Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Martin O'Malley?

15% Favorable........................................................

29% Unfavorable ....................................................

56% Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bernie Sanders?

38% Favorable........................................................

26% Unfavorable ....................................................

36% Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jim Webb?

16% Favorable........................................................

31% Unfavorable ....................................................

53% Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 (Democrats) Given the choices of Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

5% Lincoln Chafee ................................................

63% Hillary Clinton..................................................

2% Martin O'Malley ...............................................

13% Bernie Sanders ...............................................

6% Jim Webb ........................................................

11% Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 (Democrats) Given the same list of choices, who would be your second choice for the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

6% Lincoln Chafee ................................................

11% Hillary Clinton..................................................

8% Martin O'Malley ...............................................

15% Bernie Sanders ...............................................

4% Jim Webb ........................................................

56% Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 (Democrats) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

66% Favorable........................................................

22% Unfavorable ....................................................

12% Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 (Democrats) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elizabeth Warren?

53% Favorable........................................................

17% Unfavorable ....................................................

30% Not sure ..........................................................

May 7-10, 2015Survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters





q10 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

25% Very liberal ......................................................

30% Somewhat liberal ............................................

32% Moderate.........................................................

9% Somewhat conservative..................................

3% Very conservative ...........................................

q11 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

58% Woman ...........................................................

42% Man.................................................................

Q12 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. African American, press 3. If other, press 4.

13% Hispanic ..........................................................

62% White ..............................................................

20% African American.............................................

6% Other...............................................................

Q13 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.

15% 18 to 29...........................................................

22% 30 to 45...........................................................

36% 46 to 65...........................................................

26% Older than 65 ..................................................

May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters





Base

Democratic Primary

LincolnChafee

HillaryClinton

MartinO'Malley

BernieSanders

JimWebb

Notsure

Chafee Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 40% 14% 7% 22% 3% 8%

32% 8% 33% 32% 32% 40% 27%

54% 51% 53% 61% 45% 57% 66%

Base

Democratic Primary

LincolnChafee

HillaryClinton

MartinO'Malley

BernieSanders

JimWebb

Notsure

Clinton Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 59% 93% 27% 47% 35% 33%

21% 20% 6% 73% 39% 65% 54%

5% 21% 1% - 14% - 13%

Base

Democratic Primary

LincolnChafee

HillaryClinton

MartinO'Malley

BernieSanders

JimWebb

Notsure

O'Malley Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 21% 16% 42% 16% 8% 4%

29% 7% 27% 9% 43% 45% 28%

56% 72% 57% 50% 41% 47% 69%

Base

Democratic Primary

LincolnChafee

HillaryClinton

MartinO'Malley

BernieSanders

JimWebb

Notsure

Sanders Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 50% 34% 15% 85% 15% 16%

26% 11% 28% 28% 12% 45% 31%

36% 39% 38% 57% 3% 40% 53%






Base

Democratic Primary

LincolnChafee

HillaryClinton

MartinO'Malley

BernieSanders

JimWebb

Notsure

Webb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 21% 14% 11% 31% 24% 8%

31% 32% 32% 16% 33% 26% 26%

53% 46% 54% 73% 36% 50% 66%

Base

Democratic Primary

LincolnChafee

HillaryClinton

MartinO'Malley

BernieSanders

JimWebb

Notsure

Democratic Primary

Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

5% 100% - - - - -

63% - 100% - - - -

2% - - 100% - - -

13% - - - 100% - -

6% - - - - 100% -

11% - - - - - 100%

Base

Democratic Primary

LincolnChafee

HillaryClinton

MartinO'Malley

BernieSanders

JimWebb

Notsure

Democratic PrimarySecond Choice

Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

6% - 6% 12% 1% 34% -

11% 42% - 30% 48% 25% 6%

8% 2% 9% - 10% 9% 3%

15% 28% 19% 11% - 15% 5%

4% - 4% 24% 4% - 6%

56% 28% 62% 24% 37% 17% 80%






Base

Democratic Primary

LincolnChafee

HillaryClinton

MartinO'Malley

BernieSanders

JimWebb

Notsure

Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

66% 55% 72% 42% 79% 48% 37%

22% 39% 16% 51% 13% 31% 46%

12% 6% 12% 7% 8% 21% 16%

Base

Democratic Primary

LincolnChafee

HillaryClinton

MartinO'Malley

BernieSanders

JimWebb

Notsure

Warren Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 36% 55% 27% 83% 30% 28%

17% 43% 10% 46% 15% 49% 28%

30% 21% 34% 27% 2% 21% 44%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Chafee Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 19% 11% 18% 9% -

32% 39% 28% 24% 49% 31%

54% 43% 61% 58% 42% 69%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 86% 83% 71% 42% 20%

21% 9% 14% 21% 58% 75%

5% 5% 3% 8% - 5%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 21% 16% 12% 13% -

29% 26% 30% 27% 39% 25%

56% 53% 54% 61% 48% 75%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 56% 34% 38% 9% 13%

26% 19% 30% 20% 55% 33%

36% 25% 36% 42% 35% 54%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Webb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 26% 16% 14% 6% -

31% 32% 28% 29% 45% 25%

53% 42% 56% 57% 48% 75%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Democratic Primary

Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

5% 5% 2% 7% - 15%

63% 65% 73% 63% 42% 25%

2% 1% 1% 1% 10% -

13% 24% 11% 9% 9% -

6% 2% 5% 8% 11% 13%

11% 3% 9% 12% 27% 47%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

6% 6% 3% 9% 13% -

11% 21% 8% 10% 2% -

8% 8% 12% 5% 3% 5%

15% 16% 16% 15% 7% 21%

4% 4% 5% 4% 5% -

56% 45% 57% 58% 71% 75%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

66% 81% 75% 62% 32% 16%

22% 9% 18% 20% 51% 75%

12% 9% 7% 18% 17% 9%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Warren Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 71% 62% 42% 29% 9%

17% 9% 10% 21% 40% 50%

30% 19% 28% 38% 31% 41%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Chafee Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 12% 18%

32% 29% 35%

54% 59% 47%

Base

Gender

Woman Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 75% 73%

21% 21% 21%

5% 4% 6%

Base

Gender

Woman Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 13% 18%

29% 24% 35%

56% 63% 47%






Base

Gender

Woman Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 35% 42%

26% 22% 33%

36% 43% 26%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Webb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 12% 22%

31% 26% 38%

53% 62% 40%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Democratic Primary

Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

5% 3% 7%

63% 69% 55%

2% 3% 1%

13% 9% 18%

6% 5% 7%

11% 11% 12%






Base

Gender

Woman Man


Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

6% 6% 7%

11% 9% 14%

8% 6% 10%

15% 13% 18%

4% 5% 3%

56% 62% 48%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

66% 64% 69%

22% 22% 21%

12% 14% 10%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Warren Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 51% 55%

17% 14% 22%

30% 35% 23%






Base

Race

Hispanic WhiteAfrican

American Other

Chafee Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 22% 11% 21% 9%

32% 39% 28% 32% 47%

54% 39% 60% 47% 44%

Base

Race


American Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 73% 74% 80% 60%

21% 27% 21% 14% 35%

5% - 6% 6% 5%

Base

Race


American Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 35% 14% 7% 11%

29% 27% 26% 30% 52%

56% 37% 60% 63% 38%

Base

Race


American Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 35% 39% 35% 39%

26% 45% 23% 23% 39%

36% 20% 38% 42% 22%






Base

Race


American Other

Webb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 31% 16% 9% 9%

31% 33% 24% 45% 54%

53% 36% 60% 46% 37%

Base

Race


American Other

Democratic Primary

Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

5% 7% 4% 6% 4%

63% 58% 61% 75% 57%

2% 2% 3% - -

13% 18% 15% 4% 14%

6% 12% 4% 8% 11%

11% 3% 14% 7% 14%

Base

Race


American Other


Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

6% 13% 5% 6% 2%

11% 14% 12% 4% 12%

8% 8% 8% 6% 11%

15% 14% 17% 9% 11%

4% - 6% 2% 2%

56% 50% 51% 73% 62%






Base

Race


American Other

Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

66% 71% 66% 67% 57%

22% 19% 22% 22% 26%

12% 11% 12% 12% 17%

Base

Race


American Other

Warren Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 49% 59% 35% 56%

17% 31% 15% 14% 27%

30% 20% 26% 51% 16%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Chafee Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 22% 21% 10% 12%

32% 27% 17% 42% 32%

54% 51% 62% 48% 57%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 59% 74% 74% 82%

21% 41% 18% 21% 13%

5% - 8% 5% 5%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 18% 22% 10% 14%

29% 36% 15% 34% 29%

56% 46% 63% 56% 58%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 30% 33% 41% 43%

26% 36% 30% 26% 18%

36% 34% 37% 33% 39%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Webb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 16% 12% 18% 17%

31% 33% 29% 32% 29%

53% 50% 59% 50% 54%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Democratic Primary

Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

5% 6% 9% 1% 5%

63% 50% 69% 62% 68%

2% 2% - 3% 2%

13% 22% 3% 16% 12%

6% 17% 3% 5% 3%

11% 2% 15% 14% 10%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Lincoln Chafee

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

6% 22% 2% 6% 2%

11% 11% 9% 12% 12%

8% 6% 5% 9% 9%

15% - 22% 13% 21%

4% 5% 2% 5% 5%

56% 57% 61% 56% 51%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

66% 58% 60% 69% 72%

22% 21% 31% 20% 16%

12% 21% 9% 11% 12%






Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Warren Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 38% 47% 58% 60%

17% 35% 20% 16% 8%

30% 27% 33% 27% 32%

Documents

Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP Field, Clinton …...OF THE PRESS RELEASE Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP Field, Clinton Up Big Nationally Raleigh, N.C. – PPP's national Republican