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Warm-Up Review. Homepage Rule of 72 Single Sum Compounding Annuities. Homepage is Important. Homepage has everything All Slides ……… (important) Lecture outline Quiz and project ..time. location Class/Quiz/Tutorial information Teaching Group (1+4) contact www.ece.uvic.ca/~wli. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Warm-Up ReviewWarm-Up Review
• Homepage• Rule of 72• Single Sum Compounding • Annuities
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Homepage is ImportantHomepage is Important• Homepage has everything
– All Slides ……… (important)– Lecture outline– Quiz and project ..time. location– Class/Quiz/Tutorial information– Teaching Group (1+4) contact
• www.ece.uvic.ca/~wli
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The Rule of 72The Rule of 72• Estimates how many years an investment
will take to double in value
• Number of years to double =
72 / annual compound interest rate• Example -- 72 / 8 = 9 therefore, it will
take 9 years for an investment to double in value if it earns 8% annually
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Approx. Years to Double = 7272 / i%
7272 / 12% = 6 Years 6 Years
[Actual Time is 6.12 Years]
Quick! How long does it take to double $5,000 at a compound rate of 12% per year?
Example: Double Your Money!!!Example: Double Your Money!!!
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Given:• Amount of deposit today (PV):
$50,000• Interest rate: 11%• Frequency of compounding: Annual • Number of periods (5 years): 5
periodsWhat is the future value of this single sum?FVn = PV(1 + i)n
$50,000 x (1.68506) = $84,253
Single Sum Problems: Future ValueSingle Sum Problems: Future Value
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Given:• Amount of deposit end of 5 years:
$84,253• Interest rate (discount) rate: 11%• Frequency of compounding: Annual • Number of periods (5 years): 5 periodsWhat is the present value of this single sum?• FVn = PV(1 + i)n
$84,253 x (0.59345) = $50,000
Single Sum Problems: Present ValueSingle Sum Problems: Present Value
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An annuity requires that:• the periodic payments or receipts
(rents) always be of the same amount,
• the interval between such payments or receipts be the same, and
• the interest be compounded once each interval.
Annuity ComputationsAnnuity Computations
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If one saves $1,000 a year at the end of every year for three years in an account earning 7% interest, compounded annually, how much will one have at the end of the third year?
Example of AnnuityExample of AnnuityExample of AnnuityExample of Annuity
$1,000 $1,000 $1,000
0 1 2 3 3 4
$3,215 = FVA$3,215 = FVA33
End of Year
7%
$1,070
$1,145
FVA3 = $1,000(1.07)2 + $1,000(1.07)1 + $1,000(1.07)0 = $3,215
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Given:• Deposit made at the end of each
period: $5,000• Compounding: Annual• Number of periods: Five• Interest rate: 12%What is future value of these deposits?F = A[(1+i)n - 1] / i
$5,000 x (6.35285) = $ 31,764.25
Annuities: Future ValueAnnuities: Future Value
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Given:• Rental receipts at the end of each
period: $6,000• Compounding: Annual• Number of periods (years): 5• Interest rate: 12%
What is the present value of these receipts?
F = A[(1+i)n - 1] / i$6,000 x (3.60478) = $ 21,628.68
Annuities: Present Annuities: Present ValueValue
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Key of Annuity CalculationKey of Annuity Calculation
Fv = Pv[(1+i)n - 1] / i
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• Single Payment, Present/Future Value Factor• Sinking Factor, Capital Recovery Factor• Conversion for Arithmetic Gradient Series• Conversion for Geometric Gradient Series
Topics Today
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Compound Amount Factor Compound Amount Factor (Single Payment)(Single Payment)
• This factor finds the equivalent future worth, F, of a present investment, P, held for n periods at i rate of interest.
• Example: What is the value in 9 years of $1,200 invested now at 10% interest
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Compound Amount Factor Compound Amount Factor (Single Payment)(Single Payment)
P = $1,200
1 2 3 4 9
F
829,2$
)10.01(200,1$
)1(9
niPF
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Present Worth Factor Present Worth Factor (Single Payment)(Single Payment)
• This factor finds the equivalent present value, P, of a single future cash flow, F, occurring at n periods in the future when the interest rate is i per period.
• Example: What amount would you have to invest now to yield $2,829 in 9 years if the interest rate per year is 10%?
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Present Worth Factor Present Worth Factor (Single Payment)(Single Payment)
P
1 2 3 4 9
F = $2,829
200,1$
)10.01(829,2$
)1(9
niFP
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Compound Amount FactorCompound Amount Factor(Uniform Series)(Uniform Series)
• This factor finds the equivalent future value, F, of the accumulation of a uniform series of equal annual payments, A, occurring over n periods at i rate of interest per period.
• Example: What would be the future worth of an annual year-end cash flow of $800 for 6 years at 12% interest per year?
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Compound Amount Factor Compound Amount Factor (Uniform Series)(Uniform Series)
1 2 3 4 6
F
492,6$12.0
1)12.01(800$
1)1(
6
i
iAF
n
5
$800 $800$800 $800 $800 $800
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Sinking Fund FactorSinking Fund Factor• This factor determines how much must be
deposited each period in a uniform series, A, for n periods at i interest per period to yield a specified future sum.
• Example: If a $1.2 million bond issue is to be retired at the end of 20 years, how much must be deposited annually into a sinking fund at 7% interest per year?
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Sinking Fund FactorSinking Fund Factor
1 2 3 4 20
F = $1,200,000
272,29$
1)07.01(
07.0000,200,1$
1)1(
20
ni
iFA
A AA A A A
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Capital Recovery FactorCapital Recovery Factor• This factor finds an annuity, or uniform
series of payments, over n periods at i interest per period that is equivalent to a present value, P.
• Example: What savings in annual manufacturing costs over an 8 year period would justify the purchase of a $120,000 machine if the firm’s minimum attractive rate of return (MARR) were 25%?
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Capital Recovery FactorCapital Recovery Factor
$120,000
1 2 3 8
A A A A A
048,36$
1)25.01(
)25.01(25.0000,120$
1)1(
)1(
8
8
n
n
i
iiPA
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Present Worth FactorPresent Worth Factor(Uniform Series)(Uniform Series)
• This factor finds the equivalent present value, P, of a series of end-of-period payments, A, for n periods at i interest per period.
• Example: What lump sum payment would be required to provide $50,000 per year for 30 years at an annual interest rate of 9%?
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Present Worth FactorPresent Worth Factor(Uniform Series)(Uniform Series)
P
1 2 3 30
$50,000 $50,000 $50,000 $50,000 $50,000
452,620$
)07.01(07.0
1)07.01(000,50$
)1(
1)1(
30
30
n
n
ii
iAP
25
Series and Arithmetic SeriesSeries and Arithmetic Series• A series is the sum of the terms of a
sequence.• The sum of an arithmetic progression (an
arithmetic series, difference between one and the previous term is a constant)
• Can we find a formula so we don’t have to add up every arithmetic series we come across?
))1((...)3()2()( dnadadadaasn
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Sum of terms of a finite APSum of terms of a finite AP
])1(2[2
])1(2[2
)1(22S
Therefore, ; 1)-(n nd1)-(n nd termsnd 1)-(n are There
2an;n2a terms2a (n) are There
)2()2(...)2()2(2
)()2(...)2()(
)()2(...)2()(
])1([])2([...)2()(
n
dnan
S
dnanS
nndan
andandandandaaS
adadadndadndaS
dndadndadadaaS
dnadnadadaaS
n
n
n
n
n
n
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Arithmetic Gradient SeriesArithmetic Gradient Series• A series of N receipts or disbursements that increase
by a constant amount from period to period. • Cash flows: 0G, 1G, 2G, ..., (N–1)G at the end of
periods 1, 2, ..., N• Cash flows for arithmetic gradient with base annuity:
A', A’+G, A'+2G, ..., A'+(N–1)G at the end of periods 1, 2, ..., N where A’ is the amount of the base annuity
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Arithmetic Gradient to Uniform SeriesArithmetic Gradient to Uniform Series
• Finds A, given G, i and N• The future amount can be “converted” to an
equivalent annuity. The factor is:
• The annuity equivalent (not future value!) to an arithmetic gradient series is A = G(A/G, i, N)
1)1(
1),,/(
Ni
Ni
NiGA
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Arithmetic Gradient to Uniform SeriesArithmetic Gradient to Uniform Series• The annuity equivalent to an arithmetic
gradient series is A = G(A/G, i, N)
• If there is a base cash flow A', the base annuity A' must be included to give the overall annuity:
Atotal = A' + G(A/G, i, N)
• Note that A' is the amount in the first year and G is the uniform increment starting in year 2.
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Arithmetic Gradient Series with Arithmetic Gradient Series with Base AnnuityBase Annuity
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Example 3-8Example 3-8• A lottery prize pays $1000 at the end
of the first year, $2000 the second, $3000 the third, etc., for 20 years. If there is only one prize in the lottery, 10 000 tickets are sold, and you can invest your money elsewhere at 15% interest, how much is each ticket worth, on average?
32
Example 3-8: AnswerExample 3-8: Answer
• Method 1: First find annuity value of prize and then find present value of annuity.
A' = 1000, G = 1000, i = 0.15, N = 20A = A' + G(A/G, i, N) = 1000 +
1000(A/G, 15%, 20) = 1000 + 1000(5.3651) = 6365.10
• Now find present value of annuity:P = A (P/A, i, N) where A = 6365.10, i = 15%,
N = 20P = 6365.10(P/A, 15, 20)
= 6365.10(6.2593) = 39 841.07
• Since 10 000 tickets are to be sold, on average each ticket is worth (39 841.07)/10,000 = $3.98.
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Arithmetic Gradient Conversion FactorArithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor(to Uniform Series)(to Uniform Series)
• The arithmetic gradient conversion factor (to uniform series) is used when it is necessary to convert a gradient series into a uniform series of equal payments.
• Example: What would be the equal annual series, A, that would have the same net present value at 20% interest per year to a five year gradient series that started at $1000 and increased $150 every year thereafter?
34
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion FactorArithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor(to Uniform Series)(to Uniform Series)
1 2 3 4 51 2 3 4 5
A A A A A
$1000
$1150
$1300
$1450
$1600
246,1$
]1)20.01[(20.0
)20.0*51()20.01(150$000,1$
]1)1[(
)1()1(
5
5
n
n
g ii
niiGAA
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Arithmetic Gradient Conversion FactorArithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor(to Present Value)(to Present Value)
• This factor converts a series of cash amounts increasing by a gradient value, G, each period to an equivalent present value at i interest per period.
• Example: A machine will require $1000 in maintenance the first year of its 5 year operating life, and the cost will increase by $150 each year. What is the present worth of this series of maintenance costs if the firm’s minimum attractive rate of return is 20%?
36
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion FactorArithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor(to Present Value)(to Present Value)
$1000
$1150$1300
$1450$1600
1 2 3 4 5
P
727,3$
)20.0(
)20.01)(20.0*51(1150$
)20.01(20.0
1)20.01(000,1$
)1)(1(1
)1(
1)1(
2
5
5
5
2
i
iniG
ii
iAP
n
n
n
37
Geometric Gradient SeriesGeometric Gradient Series• A series of cash flows that increase or decrease
by a constant proportion each period
• Cash flows: A, A(1+g), A(1+g)2, …, A(1+g)N–1 at the end of periods 1, 2, 3, ..., N
• g is the growth rate, positive or negative percentage change
• Can model inflation and deflation using geometric series
38
Geometric SeriesGeometric Series• The sum of the consecutive terms of a
geometric sequence or progression is called a geometric series.
• For example:
Is a finite geometric series with quotient k.
• What is the sum of the n terms of a finite geometric series
1n2n32n akak....akakakaS
39
Sum of terms of a finite GPSum of terms of a finite GP
• Where a is the first term of the geometric progression, k is the geometric ratio, and n is the number of terms in the progression.
)k1(
)k1(aS
)k1(a)k1(S
ak00.....00akSS
akakak....akakkS
akak....akakaS
n
n
nn
nnn
n1n2n2n
1n2n2n
40
Geometric Gradient to Geometric Gradient to Present WorthPresent Worth
• The present worth of a geometric series is:
• Where A is the base amount and g is the growth rate.
• Before we may get the factor, we need what is called a growth adjusted interest rate:
N
N
i
gA
i
gAi
AP
)1(
)1(
)1(
)1()1(
1
2
ig
igi
i
11
1
1 that so 1
11
41
Geometric Gradient to Present Worth Geometric Gradient to Present Worth Factor: Factor: (P/A, g, i, N)(P/A, g, i, N)
Four cases:(1) i > g > 0: i° is positive use tables or formula(2) g < 0: i° is positive use tables or formula (3) g > i > 0: i° is negative Must use formula
(4) g = i > 0: i° = 0
g)(,N)(P/A,i
gii
iNigAP
N
N
1
11
)1(
1)1(),,,/(
gA
NP1
42
Compound Interest FactorsCompound Interest FactorsDiscrete Cash Flow, Discrete CompoundingDiscrete Cash Flow, Discrete Compounding
To Find Given Name of Factor Factor
F PCompound Amount Factor (single payment)
P FPresent Worth Factor (single payment)
F ACompound Amount Factor (uniform series)
A F Sinking Fund Factor
ni)1(
ni )1(
i
i n 1)1(
1)1( ni
i
43
Compound Interest FactorsCompound Interest FactorsDiscrete Cash Flow, Discrete CompoundingDiscrete Cash Flow, Discrete Compounding
To Find Given Name of Factor Factor
A P Capital Recovery Factor
P APresent Worth Factor (uniform series)
A G
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor (to uniform series)
P G
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor (to present value)
1)1(
)1(
n
n
i
ii
n
n
ii
i
)1(
1)1(
]1)1[(
)1()1(
n
n
ii
nii
2
)1)(1(1
i
ini n
44
Compound Interest FactorsCompound Interest FactorsDiscrete Cash Flow, Continuous CompoundingDiscrete Cash Flow, Continuous Compounding
To Find Given Name of Factor Factor
F PCompound Amount Factor (single payment)
P FPresent Worth Factor (single payment)
F ACompound Amount Factor (uniform series)
A F Sinking Fund Factor
rne
rne
1
1
r
rn
e
e
1
1
rn
r
e
e
45
Compound Interest FactorsCompound Interest FactorsDiscrete Cash Flow, Continuous CompoundingDiscrete Cash Flow, Continuous Compounding
To Find Given Name of Factor Factor
A P Capital Recovery Factor
P APresent Worth Factor (uniform series)
A G
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor (to uniform series)
P G
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor (to present value)
1
)1(
rn
rrn
e
ee
)1(
1
rrn
rn
ee
e
11
1
rnr e
n
e
2)1(
)1(1
rrn
rrn
ee
ene
46
Compound Interest FactorsCompound Interest FactorsContinuous Uniform Cash Flow, Continuous CompoundingContinuous Uniform Cash Flow, Continuous Compounding
To Find Given Name of Factor Factor
C F
Sinking Fund Factor (continuous, uniform payments)
C P
Capital Recovery Factor (continuous, uniform payments)
F C
Compound Amount Factor (continuous, uniform payments)
P C
Present Worth Factor (continuous, uniform payments)
1rne
r
1rn
rn
e
re
r
ern 1
rn
rn
re
e 1
47
Calculator TalkCalculator Talk
• No programmable• No economic Function• Simple the best• Trust your ability• Trust your teaching group
48
SummarySummary
• Single Sum Compounding • Annuities• Conversion for Arithmetic Gradient Series• Conversion for Geometric Gradient Series
• Key: Compound Interests Calculation