Weather Service Briefing Central New York 02 11 14

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    NOAA/NWS Binghamton, NY

    Winter Storm Potential ThursdayUpdated: Tuesday 2:30 PM 2/11/2014

    By: Warning Coordination Meteorologist Dave Nicosia

    FOR NORTHEAST PA

    This area includes but

    is not limited to cities

    such as Towanda,Montrose, Scranton,

    and Wilkes-Barre.

    This Briefing applies to

    the NWS Binghamton

    Service Area only:

    FOR CENTRAL NYThis area includes but is

    not limited to cities such

    as Syracuse, Utica,

    Ithaca, Elmira,

    Binghamton, andOneonta.

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    Summary

    Major winter storm will impact the northeast U.S.and middle Atlantic states Thursday to Thursdaynight.

    Confidence is increasing that the storm will affect

    at least parts of northeast PA and the Catskillswith a heavy snowfall. 6 to 10 inches of snowfall possible.

    Farther west 3 to 5 inches from Bradford andSusquehanna Counties in PA through the

    Binghamton area and northward to Utica. 1 to 3 inches or less farther north and west.

    Still determining how far west the significantsnows will spread. This is where the primary

    uncertainty lies. Winds east to northeast of 5 to 15 mph gusts to

    25 mph over the higher terrain.

    It will be milderwith temperatures mainly in the

    20s and lower 30s. Stay tuned for further updates

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    Timing

    Snow will spread north and reach

    northeast PA and the Catskills earlyThursday morning.

    The snow will spread farther west

    by Thursday afternoon.

    The snow will peak in intensity late

    Thursday morning to late Thursdayafternoon.

    Snow tapers off Thursday evening.

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    Preliminary* Accumulations

    This is our first estimate of snowfall and is subject to change especially if

    the storm tracks farther west.

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    Uncertainties

    How far west the heavy snow

    makes it is still in question. Confidence level has increased to

    over 50% that much of northeast

    PA and the Catskills will see over 6inches of snow from this storm.

    Confidence is 30 to 50% fartherwest and even lower for ourwestern fringe counties.

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    Chances for more

    than 6 of snowfall

    50% to 70%

    30% to 50%

    10% to 30%

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    Temperatures and Winds

    Thursday morning: mainly teens,

    winds light easterly. Thursday afternoon: mid 20s to

    lower 30s. winds northeast 10 to

    15 mph gusts to 25 mph over thehigher terrain.

    Thursday night: mainly 20s withnorth to northwest winds 10 to20 mph.

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    Impacts

    Main impact will be to travel.

    Roads will become snow coveredand very slippery.

    Some blowing and drifting snow.

    Temperatures will be milder than

    recent days.

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    Monitor Conditions!

    Continuous updates:

    http://www.erh.noaa.gov/bgm/ Or on Social Media at:

    Facebook: US National Weather Service Binghamton

    Twitter: @NWSBinghamton

    http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Binghamton.gov

    https://twitter.com/NWSBinghamton

    http://www.erh.noaa.gov/bgm/http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Binghamton.govhttps://twitter.com/NWSBinghamtonhttps://twitter.com/NWSBinghamtonhttp://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Binghamton.govhttp://twitter.com/NWSBinghamtonhttp://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Binghamton.govhttp://www.erh.noaa.gov/bgm/