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Un-UNing the United Nations Un-UNing the United Nations: A Complexified Approach to International Peace Sarah Sadowski George Mason University 1

lminternshipblog.files.wordpress.com  · Web viewWhen the United Nations does use force, the results are often pathetic. The various national contingents that make up U.N. peacekeeping

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Un-UNing the United Nations

Un-UNing the United Nations:

A Complexified Approach to International Peace

Sarah Sadowski

George Mason University

Considering the significant role the UN has played in conflicts from Africa to Southeast Asia to Latin America it should be easy to identify at least a few cases of a successful peacekeeping operation that has transformed into long-term positive peace[footnoteRef:1]. We should be able to look at places like Cambodia, Bosnia and the Dominican Republic of the Congo (DRC) and extol how far these countries have come from their retched pasts. There should be a sense of security in these countries. They are instead experiencing a state of stagnation, or even worse, a looming threat of violence. Considering each of these countries was a victim of genocide, we cannot deny that they have made vast improvements over the past several decades. The question is whether or not the resources and time the UN has allocated for these peacekeeping missions aligns with the full potential that could have been realized had the UN been more effective and efficient in executing these missions. [1: Positive Peace:]

In the early 90’s we could look at “successful” international interventions such as the Gulf War, but to lay claim that the Gulf War was a UN success would be very shortsighted. The blue helmets we see in conflict environments are supposed to be a sign of peace, safety and security. Instead, UN peacekeeping forces have been more of imposition on intervention efforts than they have been an enabler of peace. The lack of prioritizing the UN over individual state efforts is a driver of this. Without the necessary resources, the UN will never be able to run successful interventions. Today we can see multiple cases where the UN initiated an intervention in a haphazard manner with incompetent forces from around the world which only goes to exacerbate the conflict further. As stated in Foreign Affairs Magazine,

When the United Nations does use force, the results are often pathetic. The various national contingents that make up U.N. peacekeeping operations Bangladeshis, Bulgarians, Brazilians, and the like-are chosen not for martial prowess but because their governments are willing to send them, often for no better reason than to collect a daily stipend. The quality of these outfits varies widely…for instance, the Bulgarians in Cambodia were "said to be more interested in searching for sex than for cease-fire violations." Trying to coordinate all these units, with their incompatible training, procedures, and equipment (to say nothing of languages), makes a mockery of the principle of "unity of command." Little wonder that blue helmets strike no fear in the hearts of evildoers.

As the world continues to become more complex, due to increased interconnectedness and a growing population, our organizations should be evolving with that complexity. Instead, the roles and responsibilities of organizations like the UN continue to become more vast and convoluted. According to their website, the UN is responsible for maintaining international peace and security, promoting sustainable development, protecting human rights, upholding international law and delivering humanitarian aid (UN, 2016). That is a lot of responsibility for one organization to plan for, manage and execute especially with the arbitrary manner in which nations provide resources to the UN. This is only amplified by the ineffective manner the UN chooses to allocate and manage those resources. According to Anthony Banbury, a 30-year veteran of the UN,

The world faces a range of terrifying crises, from the threat of climate change to terrorist breeding grounds in places like Syria, Iraq and Somalia. The United Nations is uniquely placed to meet these challenges, and it is doing invaluable work, like protecting civilians and delivering humanitarian aid in South Sudan and elsewhere. But in terms of its overall mission, thanks to colossal mismanagement, the United Nations is failing…. If you locked a team of evil geniuses in a laboratory, they could not design a bureaucracy so maddeningly complex, requiring so much effort but in the end incapable of delivering the intended result. The system is a black hole into which disappear countless tax dollars and human aspirations, never to be seen again (Banbury, 2016).

It would be easy to poke holes in the structure and management of the UN, but that would not do much good in effecting lasting improvement within the organization. In studying Conflict Analysis and Resolution (CAR) over the past two years and experiencing war first hand in Afghanistan I have learned one over arching lesson; the majority of the problems we face in international relations are actually symptoms of an underlying cause or condition that perpetuates the conflicts we are attempting to interdict. If we frame our challenges with the UN in this way, we may be able to reveal the true cause of its difficulty in adequately responding to the challenges it faces.

Take Lisa Schirch’s Conflict Tree Lens as an example. In looking at the structure of a tree we can begin to understand the need to identify the underlying cause and conditions, whether that be an organizational problem or a violent conflict. In the Conflict Tree Lens we must identify the roots of conflict, the structure (trunk) that is the vehicle for conflict and what are actually just symptoms of the root conflict (branches) (Schirch, 2013, pp. 132-133). For example, we may think a cause of the UN’s struggles could be a lack of funding which results in an inadequately trained and managed forces as cited in the Foreign Affairs article above. Instead of taking funding as the primary driver of the UN’s lack of efficiency, let’s look deeper. By going deeper we can see the UN’s annual peacekeeping budget is less than half of 1% of the money the world spends on their militaries. When international security is in question, nations feel the need to protect themselves, which results in increased military expenditures. However, if the UN was successful in their operations, the world would be more secure and less violent; thus, decreasing the need for a larger military presence. Then why do world leaders invest so much more into their militaries than the UN? Perhaps it is because there is a lack of confidence in the UN’s ability to conduct their missions. If we had stopped at the original argument that the UN’s inadequacy is due to money, we will have only revealed a perpetual cycle of governments not providing enough funding to the UN and the UN’s competency lacking. This cycle would continue until either the ideals change and the money begins to flow or the UN dissipates.

Perception plays a major role in all parts of life. If the UN is perceived as being inept, the world leaders will continue making it a lower priority because there is no sense in increasing investment into an ineffectual organization. In looking at all of the things the UN is responsible for, it is obvious with how complex the world is today it is not possible for the UN to manage all of those stated responsibilities. If instead, the UN reframed and improved their capabilities, maybe governments would be more akin to investing in long-term peace operations over military spending because a more effective UN would negate the need for an expanded military presence. The question still remains; how do we make the UN more competent?

When organizations continue to grow, as has happened with the expansion of technology, they must adapt and restructure to be successful. In the case of the UN it appears their method for adaptation to execute their expanded role has been to increase the bureaucratic nuances necessary to execute a mission. Many large organizations, including corporations have fallen victim to this as well. By increasing the grandeur of the (mis)Management Office, the UN has only made their missions more difficult execute or even initiate. The main focus of the community has been to simply cite all of the UN’s shortcomings and attempt to address them individuals, but this does not work to improving a systematic issue. Instead you are simply plugging a whole in the damn that is only making the problem worse in the long-term. Instead, we should re-evaluate the role the UN is playing in international interventions and possibly change it.

From governments to private industry and consulting agencies, there are a vast amount of resources at our disposal to conduct peacekeeping operations, sustainable development and all of the other missions that appear under the “what we do” tab of the UN website. In all honesty, chances are these other organizations, with specific expertise and cross-disciplinary approaches to international relations, would be more effective in achieving the stated mission(s) of the UN. Unfortunately, these organizations are for the most part acting independently. A lot of organizations receive funding via grants from specific government agencies. Ideally, their missions should align with those of the overall organization that is providing the funding which aligns with a greater mission from that organization, like the US Department of State. Even if this is done correctly the organizations would still be operating in line with what that specific agency’s goals when they could be operating as a part of a comprehensive strategy conceived from an organization whose sole focus is to design and manage conflict interventions.

In my experience working as a program manager for Lockheed Martin, the largest defense contractor in the world, I have discovered there is a special art in being aware of all of the different capabilities of an organization and how you can leverage them to create a cross-disciplinary capability. As technology continues to drive rapid growth and development and globalization continues to increase our interdependence on other nations, the problems we face are becoming increasingly multifaceted and difficult to solve. To address these complex problems, we have to devise holistic solutions that leverage the capabilities of organizations that operate across various disciplines to fully understand the problems we are attempting to resolve and address all of the aspects at play.

What we are missing in the conflict intervention arena is an entity that has the power and the purse to help conceive these hybrid solutions and manage the various programs, experts and resources available within the international community to conduct successful, peacebuilding initiatives. Banbury provides a good example of the need for a cross-disciplinary approach in tackling the challenges we face that the UN establishment only made more difficult to obtain;

During the Ebola epidemic, I was desperate to get qualified people on the ground, and yet I was told that a staff member working in South Sudan could not travel to our headquarters in Accra, Ghana, until she received a new medical clearance. We were fighting a disease that killed many thousands and risked spinning out of control and yet we spent weeks waiting for a healthy colleague to get her forms processed.

Too often, the only way to speed things up is to break the rules. That’s what I did in Accra when I hired an anthropologist as an independent contractor. She turned out to be worth her weight in gold. Unsafe burial practices were responsible for about half of new Ebola cases in some areas. We had to understand these traditions before we could persuade people to change them. As far as I know, no United Nations mission had ever had an anthropologist on staff before; shortly after I left the mission, she was let go (Banbury, 2016).

This one individual had an immeasurable impact on the Ebola crisis because of her specialized expertise in anthropology. Because of the vast amount of information available we now have experts in fields that would not typically be found in a health crisis that are successfully working to help fight epidemics. Being able to triangulate our resources to concoct a hybrid solution to a complex problem is how we become more efficient and effective in our conflict intervention strategies. Because of the convoluted process and mismanagement of resources and capabilities, the UN has not figured out how to do this effectively in a conflict intervention strategy.

There are two ways to make the UN more effective. First, is to provide it with all of the money it needs to conduct all of the expanding missions under it’s preview. Even with access to all of the funding the UN thinks it needs to conduct conflict interventions, there is still no certainty that it’s strategies would be successful based on the UN’s past performance. The second way to fix the UN would be to reframe its actual mission into a new role as the Project Management organization of conflict intervention. By managing a conflict intervention strategy instead of being responsible for executing it on a tactical and operational level, the UN’s mission will warrant increased investment from the international community to enable its success and slowly diminish the need for military expansion.

Looking at the fundamentals of project management, we can see an organizational structure and methodology that may be very helpful in increasing the efficacy of the UN. There are three components to project management, dependent upon the overall goals and size of your organization. In a mature project management organization, project management falls within the broader context of program and portfolio management. A project is the smallest scope category of the three, with defined objectives. Programs are organizations that have a larger scope and consist of multiple projects. The Project Management Institute defines a program as,

A group of related projects managed in a coordinated way to obtain benefits and control not available from managing them individually. Programs may include elements of related work outside the scope of the discrete projects in the program (PMI, 2008, pp. 9).

In larger organizations there is a need for an even more macro level management structure, a portfolio. A portfolio consists of multiple ongoing programs, each with multiple ongoing projects. In the most complex organizations, like the UN, there are multiple ongoing portfolios each consisting of multiple programs and projects. This sort of complexity comes with the need for a portfolio management function. The Project Management Institute defines portfolio management as,

The centralized management of one of more portfolios, which includes identifying, prioritizing, authorizing, managing and controlling projects, programs, and other related work, to achieve specific strategic business objectives. Portfolio management focuses on ensuring that projects and programs are reviewed to prioritize resource allocation, and that the management of the portfolio is consistent with and aligned to organizational strategies (PMI, 2008, pp. 8).

The UN is not ignorant, they recognize the need for portfolio management, which is why there is such a high level of bureaucracy involved in every aspect of program execution, as cited by Banbury. This makes the UN a top heavy organization with a massive operational function underneath (Figure 1).

Figure 1Comment by Guest: I’m wondering if this should be a sidebar or an appendix.

*Source: The United Nations Website

The blue boxes at the top of the diagram depict the 6 principle portfolios of the UN. Under each of those portfolios is a list of programs that make up each portfolio. Not depicted in this diagram are the numerous projects that make up each of those programs. The result is a convoluted, desperate organization with several issues. First, conflicts today are complex problems that require a cross-discipline approach to resolve. To devise and execute a successful conflict intervention strategy, the UN must be able to pull from programs that exist across the portfolios. Due to the linear, hierarchical structure of the portfolios, this cross-disciplinary approach does not typically occur. Second, the resources for each portfolio must support the massive and expanding number of programs that exist under each of them. If these programs were run and applied in a cross disciplinary method, the resources of each could be more effectively allocated and applied. Finally, the UN has become responsible for staffing and executing all of the programs under each portfolio, even when there are other organizations that may be more effective, inexpensive and capable of completing these tasks. As a result of this massive, linear structure and the ineffective application of the fundamental project management methodologies, the UN has become a confusing bureaucracy with no definitive objectives.

To be effective the UN must be organized in a manner in which the bureaucracy enables the mission instead of hindering it. It is well accepted within the CAR field that every conflict is different and each conflict requires a specialized intervention strategy developed specifically for the conditions of the individual conflicts at play (Schirch, 2013, pp. 1-3). Schirch has developed a chart to depict the various stages of conflict intervention that should be considered in developing and executing a tailored intervention strategy (Figure 2).

Figure 2

Instead of having sub directorates of capabilities the way the UN is structured now, it should be organized in a format that enables them to develop this sort of tailored approach to conflict intervention. The key directorate that the UN should focus on staffing should not be the actual operational and tactical portions of the conflict intervention strategy. Instead, the UN should be responsible for the front-end analysis and management of the intervention strategy. The UN should be responsible the Self-Assessment and Conflict Assessment Lens columns of Schirch’s diagram. The UN portfolio should have two program to assess the Who, What, When, Where, Why and How of the conflict and the resources available to mitigate it. Both Assessment Portfolios will have resources from government, non-government, private sector, and military organizations that specialize in research and analysis for the specific areas in question.

The Conflict-Assessment Portfolio is where the UN’s process will start. Under this portfolio there are six analytic programs broken down by Geographic Commands; NORTHCOM, SOUTHCOM, EUCOM, CENTCOM, AFRICOM, AND PACOM. Each of these programs will work to answer the Who, What, When, Where, Why and How components of the conflict assessment. By understanding all of the components listed in the Schirch diagram, this portfolio will be able to identify the root causes, stakeholders and spoilers of the conflict instead of simply focusing on it’s surface symptoms.

After the conflict has been thoroughly analyzed it will move to he Self-Assessment Porfolio. This portfolio is responsible for identifying all of the government, non-government, private sector, and military capabilities the UN can bring to bear on the root causes of the conflict identified by the Conflict Assessment Portfolio. None of these capabilities should be the UN’s responsibility to run. Instead, the UN’s role is to identify the organizations who specialize in the various components vital to the intervention strategy’s success and to help fuse them together into a cross-disciplinary solution.

Once these two portfolio’s have done their part in concocting a holistic intervention strategy, they will pass it off to the Operations Portfolio. The Operations Portfolio will be made up of specific Conflict Intervention programs. In this model, the job of the UN is not to actually execute the intervention, but instead manage the multiple components that should be applied in these full-spectrum intervention strategies. To illustrate this structure, I have created the diagram below (Figure 3).

Figure 3

At an operational level the new UN structure would work in a three step process. First, the UN will identify a conflict that requires an intervention. The Conflict-Assessment Portfolio is organized by sub-programs that are geographically constructed by COCOM and specialty. Someone in the management organization establishes an overarching program for a specific conflict to be analyzed and assigns it to the UN analyst team for that specific COCOM. The UN analyst team does the research and analysis to answer the who, what, when, where, why and how of the conflict. To accomplish this, the UN Analysts send Requests for Information (RFI) to the various resources it has access to in the form of a Request for Proposal. The non-UN organizations most capable of answering the RFI based on the proposal they submit will be awarded the work and execute it. The UN Analysts will take all of the knowledge and research produced by the RFI sub-projects to devise an overall assessment for what the root causes, stakeholders and spoilers of the conflict are and passes it to the Self-Assessment Portfolio.

As the second step, the Self-Assessment Portfolio’s responsibility is to know all of the resources that are available within the international development and international relations community. The Self-Assessment Portfolio tasks the resource management team with identifying the necessary organizations and resources needed to address the root causes of the conflict identified by the Conflict-Assessment Portfolio. The Resource Management Program drafts and releases RFPs for NGO’s, the private sector and think tanks to respond to. The Resource Management Program also and identifies the military requirements needed. Once the components are identified, the Resource Management Program passes off their work to the Conflict Intervention Strategist Program. The Strategists are responsible for taking the assessment and root causes of the conflict and figuring out how to apply the resources identified by the Resource Management Program to devise a conflict intervention strategy to be executed. The intervention strategy will include all components of the Project Management Process Groups; Initiating, Planning, Executing, Monitoring and Control, and Closing Process Groups.

Finally, the conflict intervention strategy, devised by the Conflict Intervention Strategist Program, is passed off to the Operations (Ops) Portfolio. The Ops Portfolio develops a program for that individual conflict (i.e. Conflict X Program). Each Conflict Program is comprised of various non-UN entities that were identified by the Self-Assessment Portfolio. In this structure the UN is solely responsible for managing the conflict intervention strategy, not the actual “boots on the ground” operations. No UN entity will need to be established to execute any of this work.

In organizing itself this way, the UN will mitigate three key shortcomings in the way conflict intervention is currently conducted. First, this structure will insure the analysis necessary to be effective occurs prior to an intervention taking place. All too often we go running into a conflict situation without understanding the underlying causes driving it (Schirch, 2013, pp. 3-7) Second, this structure will allow for the UN to have the bureaucracy necessary to conduct international conflict intervention while alleviating the monotony of responsibilities for the execution of intervention operations. Finally, this organizational structure will help construct interventions with a multi-disciplinary approach that allows us to pull from cross-sectional resources and apply them in a way that is most effective and efficient in breaking the perpetual cycle of conflict by addressing its root causes to achieve positive peace.

As with anything, there are shortcomings and challenges to this concept. The most obvious criticism of this UN organizational structure revolves around time, that it will take too long to enact due to the front-end work prior to the physical intervention. I would like to remind such critics that under the current operational model, the UN is wasting valuable resources and time to conduct the simplest of operations. The time we currently waste in achieving small objectives that are focused on addressing the symptoms of conflict instead of its root causes do not work in achieving lasting peace, which means the conflict continues for an indeterminate amount of time. Therefor, the front-end work that needs to be done will save time long-term because it will actually address the causes of the conflict and work to achieve positive systemic change instead of simply an absence of violence.

Another criticism could be that the time required to work through the RFP and resource acquisition process would prevent us from ever getting to the operational phase. This challenge can be mitigated by leveraging technology to streamline the process for releasing RFPs and responding to them. Before we implement this UN re-structuring we can take the lessons learned from various government contracts, acquisitions and processing protocols to develop new technology to make these processes easy and efficient by bridging the UN and Industry to develop tailored solutions to these sorts of challenges.

A final criticism is that with globalization we have moved past being able to function by COCOM because conflicts and adversaries operate without borders. Because the UN staff responsibility would be smaller, it would be easier to establish liaison entities that function between the COCOMs to address hybrid threats[footnoteRef:2] without creating too much complexity. Further, the Self-Assessment and Operations Portfolios are designed in a manner in which the need for liaisons will not become overwhelming because they will only be necessary at the analysis phase. [2: NATO defines a hybrid threat as an umbrella term, encompassing a wide variety of existing adverse circumstances and actions, such as terrorism, migration, piracy, corruption, ethnic conflict etc. What is new, however, is the possibility of NATO facing the adaptive and systematic use of such means singularly and in combination by adversaries in pursuit of long-term political objectives, as opposed to their more random occurrence, driven by coincidental factors.]

Another, very valid, critique of this UN structure is that in instances like Bosnia, we may be sitting around conducting analysis while hundreds, thousands or even millions of people are being slaughtered in a genocide. However, if this new UN structure were implemented there would be a diminished demand on the militaries of the various world powers. In cases like Afghanistan and Iraq world actors first turn to military force to conduct interdiction operations and then try to expand the military’s role to conduct stabilization and reconstruction operations while brining in other agencies for diplomacy and economic development prior to pulling out the military forces. With this new UN model it would not be the individual state militaries that are responsible for the long-term operations. Instead, the role of the world’s militaries would be to conduct interdiction operations to stop the violence, to establish a negative peace, which is what they are more well-designed to do. While the militaries are working achieve negative peace, the UN would be conducting analysis on the conflict, to identify the root causes and the resources necessary to address them. By the time the militaries achieved a cessation in widespread violence, the UN could take over with the intervention strategy that begins with a transition plan and works through addressing the drivers of conflict and achieve lasting positive peace.

The world is more complex today than ever before. The way in which we deal with the challenges we face because of this need to be complex as well. That does not mean that our conflict intervention organizations need to be convoluted and ineffective. Instead, it means that we must approach all of the challenges we face by first understanding them. Only when we fully analyze and understand a conflict can we conduct the planning necessary for us to formulate an effective response. Yes, this new UN structure would be complex, but it would be streamlined for efficiency and effectiveness. It would require an immense amount of front-end planning and coordination to make this transition, but the effort would be worth the reward in the end; World Peace.

Work Cited

1. Banbury, A. (2016, March 18). I Love the U.N., but It Is Failing. New York Times. Retrieved April 17, 2016, from http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/20/opinion/sunday/i-love-the-un-but-it-is-failing.html?_r=0

2. Boot, M. (2000). Paving the road to hell. Foreign Affairs, 79(2), 143-148. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com.mutex.gmu.edu/docview/214295100?accountid=14541

3. Financing peacekeeping. United Nations Peacekeeping. (UN). Retrieved April 17, 2016, from http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/operations/financing.shtml

4. Miklaucic, M. (2011, September 23). NATO Countering the Hybrid Threat. Retrieved April 17, 2016, from http://www.act.nato.int/nato-countering-the-hybrid-threat

5. Project Management Institute (2008). A guide to the project management body of knowledge (PMBOK Guide). Newtown Square, PA: Project Management Institute.

6. Sandole, D. J. (2010). Peacebuilding: Preventing violent conflict in a complex world. Cambridge, UK: Polity.

7. Schirch, L. (2013). Conflict assessment and peacebuilding planning: Toward a participatory approach to human security. Boulder, CO: Kumarian Press.

8. United Nations. (UN). Retrieved April 17, 2016, from http://www.un.org/en/index.html