Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Weekly Tanker Rates
By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior
analyst
Oslo
8 January 2021
2020 ytd 2021 ytd Last week This week
Crude carriers: VLCC 104.5 15.2 16.2 13.3
Suezmax 60.4 4.4 5.0 2.6
Aframax 62.1 4.4 3.9 4.1
Clean carriers: LR2 27.7 14.5 13.0 16.2
LR1 23.9 12.3 12.6 11.5
MR 23.9 8.5 8.7 7.2
Source: Clarksons Platou
Time charter equivalents – Single voyages in US$ k/d
Tanker Market Earnings
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 21 ytd
VLCC Suezmax Aframax
Avg TC results in US$ k/d for crude carriers 2012- 2022 Weekly TC results in US$ k/d for crude carriers
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
Jan
Feb
Ma
r
Apr
Ma
y
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Source: Clarksons Platou
TC Results for Crude Carriers
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst3
Panamax dirty based on Caribs/US route only
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 21 ytd
LR2 LR1 MR
Avg TC results in US$ k/d for clean carriers 2012- 2020 Weekly TC results in US$ k/d for clean carriers
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Jan
Feb
Ma
r
Apr
Ma
y
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Source: Clarksons Platou
TC Results for Clean Carriers
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst4
LR1/LR2 based on AG/Japan route only
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
Jan
Feb
Ma
r
Apr
Ma
y
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
VLCC Suezmax Aframax MR
Source: Clarksons Platou
Weekly TCE results in US$ k/d last 12 months
Tanker Market Weekly
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst5
Weekly no of tankers
Data Source: Clarkson Research Services
6.1% of Tankers Fleet Is Currently Used for Floating Storage
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst6
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
No o
f ta
nke
rs >
=1
0k d
wt
No. o
f V
LC
C, S
ue
zm
ax a
nd
Afr
am
ax
Aframax Crude Tankers Storage
Suezmax Tankers Storage
UL/VLCC Tankers Storage
Tanker >=10K dwt Storage (RH Axis)
Product Tankers 10k+ dwt Storage (RH Axis)
8 January – in number of ships
298
132
79 96
38
239
85
34
25
18 4
0
19
14
33
26
717
0
28
2
44.1%*
32.5%
15.7% 31.7%
8.4%
18.4%
18.2%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
VLC
C
Suezm
ax
Afr
am
ax C
rude
LR
2(+
80k d
wt)
LR
1(6
0-8
0k
dw
t)
MR
(40-6
0k d
wt)
10
-40k d
wt
In service, already fittedIn service, reported for retrofitOn order
Scrubber by size 22.7% of total tanker fleet will have scrubbers
In service, already
fitted, 955
In service, reported
for retrofit, 120
On order, 109
Source: Clarksons Platou
Scrubbers on Tankers
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst7
* Total ships fitted, reported for retrofit and on order in % of the current fleet
Historical and future prices, Singapore
Bunker Prices 7th January 2021
8
Source: Clarksons, Clarksons Platou Futures, Thomson Reuters
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400Ja
n-0
0
Ja
n-0
1
Ja
n-0
2
Ja
n-0
3
Ja
n-0
4
Ja
n-0
5
Ja
n-0
6
Ja
n-0
7
Ja
n-0
8
Ja
n-0
9
Ja
n-1
0
Ja
n-1
1
Ja
n-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
Ja
n-1
4
Ja
n-1
5
Ja
n-1
6
Ja
n-1
7
Ja
n-1
8
Ja
n-1
9
Ja
n-2
0
Ja
n-2
1
$/t
on
ne
MGO bunker prices, Singapore380cst bunker prices, SingaporeDifferentialVLSFO, Singapore
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Ja
n-2
1
Feb
-21
Ma
r-21
Ap
r-2
1
Ma
y-2
1
Ju
n-2
1
Ju
l-2
1
Au
g-2
1
Sep
-21
Oct-
21
No
v-2
1
De
c-2
1
Gasoil 10ppm
0.50% Sulphur HFO
380 cst 3.5% HFO
Differential 10 ppm Gasoil vs 3.5% HFO
Differential 0.50% vs 3.5% HFO
Brent ($/mt)
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Jan
-10
Jan
-11
Jan
-12
Jan
-13
Jan
-14
Jan
-15
Jan
-16
Jan
-17
Jan
-18
Jan
-19
Jan
-20
Jan
-21
VLCC Suezmax Aframax Panamax 10-59,999dwt
8 January
Monthly data in mm dwt
Source: Clarksons Platou
Tankers Deliveries
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst9
mmdwt / no 2018 2019 2020 2021
200,000 + 12.1 / 39 21.1 / 68 11.3 / 37 0.0 / 0
125-199,999 5.0 / 32 4.0 / 26 4.5 / 30 0.0 / 0
80-124,999 5.6 / 50 5.9 / 53 1.9 / 17 0.1 / 1
60-79,999 1.0 / 13 1.0 / 13 0.5 / 8 0.1 / 1
10-59,999 4.6 / 149 6.1 / 166 5.1 / 135 0.0 / 0
Grand Total 28.3 / 283 38.1 / 326 23.4 / 227 0.2 / 2
8 January
Monthly data in mm dwt
Source: Clarksons Platou
Tankers Sold For Recycling
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst10
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Jan
-10
Jan
-11
Jan
-12
Jan
-13
Jan
-14
Jan
-15
Jan
-16
Jan
-17
Jan
-18
Jan
-19
Jan
-20
VLCC Suezmax Aframax Panamax 10-59,999dwt
mmdwt / no 2018 2019 2020 2021
200,000 + 9.2 / 31 1.1 / 4 0.3 / 1 0.0 / 0
120-199,999 3.5 / 24 0.8 / 6 0.4 / 3 0.0 / 0
80-119,999 4.7 / 46 0.1 / 1 0.9 / 9 0.0 / 0
60-79,999 0.8 / 11 0.2 / 3 0.1 / 2 0.0 / 0
10-59,999 2.2 / 64 1.3 / 38 0.9 / 29 0.0 / 0
Grand Total 20.4 / 176 3.5 / 52 2.6 / 44 0 / 0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
Jan
-10
Jan
-11
Jan
-12
Jan
-13
Jan
-14
Jan
-15
Jan
-16
Jan
-17
Jan
-18
Jan
-19
Jan
-20
VLCC Suezmax Aframax Panamax 10-59,999dwt
8 January
Source: Clarksons Platou
New Orders Of Tankers
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst11
Monthly data in mm dwtmmdwt / no 2018 2019 2020 2021
200,000 + 15.3 / 50 9.4 / 31 11.7 / 39 0.0 / 0
125-199,999 3.1 / 20 5.0 / 32 4.4 / 28 0.0 / 0
80-124,999 2.7 / 25 5.4 / 48 3.3 / 28 0.0 / 0
60-79,999 0.5 / 7 0.0 / 0 0.0 / 0 0.0 / 0
10-59,999 4.5 / 120 3.5 / 91 3.4 / 84 0.0 / 0
Grand Total 26.2 / 222 23.4 / 202 22.8 / 179 0.0 / 0
Disclaimer
Oslo | 8 January 2021
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst12
This report (including any future rates and/or forward-looking statements contained herein) are prepared by Clarksons Platou AS for general information purposes
and for the recipient’s internal use only.
This report is based solely on publicly available information. The report is provided on an “as is” and “as available” basis. Clarksons Platou AS and its group
companies make no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, about the completeness, accuracy, reliability, suitability or availability with respect
to the information contained in the report. Any reliance on such information is therefore strictly at the recipient’s own risk and no responsibility is accepted for any loss
or damage howsoever arising from the use of this report. Please note that future rates and/or forward-looking predictions are for illustration purposes only and given
without any guarantee.
This information may not be distributed or reproduced without the prior written consent from Clarksons Platou AS. Especially, the information must not be used in any
document for the purposes of raising finance whether by way of debt or equity. All intellectual property rights are fully reserved by Clarksons Platou AS, the Clarksons
group and/or its licensors.
This material and the disclaimer shall be governed and construed in accordance with Norwegian law.
Clarksons Platou
Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst13
Thank you
Clarksons Platou
Munkedamsveien 62C
0270 Oslo, Norway
www.clarksons.com