13
Weekly Tanker Rates By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst Oslo 8 January 2021

Weekly Tanker Rates...8 January –in number of ships298 132 79 96 38 239 85 34 25 18 4 0 19 14 33 26 7 17 28 2 44.1%* 32.5% 15.7% 31.7% 8.4% 18.4% 18.2% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

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  • Weekly Tanker Rates

    By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior

    analyst

    Oslo

    8 January 2021

  • 2020 ytd 2021 ytd Last week This week

    Crude carriers: VLCC 104.5 15.2 16.2 13.3

    Suezmax 60.4 4.4 5.0 2.6

    Aframax 62.1 4.4 3.9 4.1

    Clean carriers: LR2 27.7 14.5 13.0 16.2

    LR1 23.9 12.3 12.6 11.5

    MR 23.9 8.5 8.7 7.2

    Source: Clarksons Platou

    Time charter equivalents – Single voyages in US$ k/d

    Tanker Market Earnings

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst2

  • 0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    55

    60

    65

    70

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 21 ytd

    VLCC Suezmax Aframax

    Avg TC results in US$ k/d for crude carriers 2012- 2022 Weekly TC results in US$ k/d for crude carriers

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    220

    240

    260

    Jan

    Feb

    Ma

    r

    Apr

    Ma

    y

    Jun

    Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Jan

    Source: Clarksons Platou

    TC Results for Crude Carriers

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst3

    Panamax dirty based on Caribs/US route only

  • 0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 21 ytd

    LR2 LR1 MR

    Avg TC results in US$ k/d for clean carriers 2012- 2020 Weekly TC results in US$ k/d for clean carriers

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    Jan

    Feb

    Ma

    r

    Apr

    Ma

    y

    Jun

    Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Jan

    Source: Clarksons Platou

    TC Results for Clean Carriers

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst4

    LR1/LR2 based on AG/Japan route only

  • 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    220

    240

    Jan

    Feb

    Ma

    r

    Apr

    Ma

    y

    Jun

    Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Jan

    VLCC Suezmax Aframax MR

    Source: Clarksons Platou

    Weekly TCE results in US$ k/d last 12 months

    Tanker Market Weekly

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst5

  • Weekly no of tankers

    Data Source: Clarkson Research Services

    6.1% of Tankers Fleet Is Currently Used for Floating Storage

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst6

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    No o

    f ta

    nke

    rs >

    =1

    0k d

    wt

    No. o

    f V

    LC

    C, S

    ue

    zm

    ax a

    nd

    Afr

    am

    ax

    Aframax Crude Tankers Storage

    Suezmax Tankers Storage

    UL/VLCC Tankers Storage

    Tanker >=10K dwt Storage (RH Axis)

    Product Tankers 10k+ dwt Storage (RH Axis)

  • 8 January – in number of ships

    298

    132

    79 96

    38

    239

    85

    34

    25

    18 4

    0

    19

    14

    33

    26

    717

    0

    28

    2

    44.1%*

    32.5%

    15.7% 31.7%

    8.4%

    18.4%

    18.2%

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    VLC

    C

    Suezm

    ax

    Afr

    am

    ax C

    rude

    LR

    2(+

    80k d

    wt)

    LR

    1(6

    0-8

    0k

    dw

    t)

    MR

    (40-6

    0k d

    wt)

    10

    -40k d

    wt

    In service, already fittedIn service, reported for retrofitOn order

    Scrubber by size 22.7% of total tanker fleet will have scrubbers

    In service, already

    fitted, 955

    In service, reported

    for retrofit, 120

    On order, 109

    Source: Clarksons Platou

    Scrubbers on Tankers

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst7

    * Total ships fitted, reported for retrofit and on order in % of the current fleet

  • Historical and future prices, Singapore

    Bunker Prices 7th January 2021

    8

    Source: Clarksons, Clarksons Platou Futures, Thomson Reuters

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    1100

    1200

    1300

    1400Ja

    n-0

    0

    Ja

    n-0

    1

    Ja

    n-0

    2

    Ja

    n-0

    3

    Ja

    n-0

    4

    Ja

    n-0

    5

    Ja

    n-0

    6

    Ja

    n-0

    7

    Ja

    n-0

    8

    Ja

    n-0

    9

    Ja

    n-1

    0

    Ja

    n-1

    1

    Ja

    n-1

    2

    Ja

    n-1

    3

    Ja

    n-1

    4

    Ja

    n-1

    5

    Ja

    n-1

    6

    Ja

    n-1

    7

    Ja

    n-1

    8

    Ja

    n-1

    9

    Ja

    n-2

    0

    Ja

    n-2

    1

    $/t

    on

    ne

    MGO bunker prices, Singapore380cst bunker prices, SingaporeDifferentialVLSFO, Singapore

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    Ja

    n-2

    1

    Feb

    -21

    Ma

    r-21

    Ap

    r-2

    1

    Ma

    y-2

    1

    Ju

    n-2

    1

    Ju

    l-2

    1

    Au

    g-2

    1

    Sep

    -21

    Oct-

    21

    No

    v-2

    1

    De

    c-2

    1

    Gasoil 10ppm

    0.50% Sulphur HFO

    380 cst 3.5% HFO

    Differential 10 ppm Gasoil vs 3.5% HFO

    Differential 0.50% vs 3.5% HFO

    Brent ($/mt)

  • 0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0

    Jan

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Jan

    -14

    Jan

    -15

    Jan

    -16

    Jan

    -17

    Jan

    -18

    Jan

    -19

    Jan

    -20

    Jan

    -21

    VLCC Suezmax Aframax Panamax 10-59,999dwt

    8 January

    Monthly data in mm dwt

    Source: Clarksons Platou

    Tankers Deliveries

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst9

    mmdwt / no 2018 2019 2020 2021

    200,000 + 12.1 / 39 21.1 / 68 11.3 / 37 0.0 / 0

    125-199,999 5.0 / 32 4.0 / 26 4.5 / 30 0.0 / 0

    80-124,999 5.6 / 50 5.9 / 53 1.9 / 17 0.1 / 1

    60-79,999 1.0 / 13 1.0 / 13 0.5 / 8 0.1 / 1

    10-59,999 4.6 / 149 6.1 / 166 5.1 / 135 0.0 / 0

    Grand Total 28.3 / 283 38.1 / 326 23.4 / 227 0.2 / 2

  • 8 January

    Monthly data in mm dwt

    Source: Clarksons Platou

    Tankers Sold For Recycling

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst10

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    Jan

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Jan

    -14

    Jan

    -15

    Jan

    -16

    Jan

    -17

    Jan

    -18

    Jan

    -19

    Jan

    -20

    VLCC Suezmax Aframax Panamax 10-59,999dwt

    mmdwt / no 2018 2019 2020 2021

    200,000 + 9.2 / 31 1.1 / 4 0.3 / 1 0.0 / 0

    120-199,999 3.5 / 24 0.8 / 6 0.4 / 3 0.0 / 0

    80-119,999 4.7 / 46 0.1 / 1 0.9 / 9 0.0 / 0

    60-79,999 0.8 / 11 0.2 / 3 0.1 / 2 0.0 / 0

    10-59,999 2.2 / 64 1.3 / 38 0.9 / 29 0.0 / 0

    Grand Total 20.4 / 176 3.5 / 52 2.6 / 44 0 / 0

  • 0.0

    2.0

    4.0

    6.0

    8.0

    10.0

    12.0

    Jan

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Jan

    -14

    Jan

    -15

    Jan

    -16

    Jan

    -17

    Jan

    -18

    Jan

    -19

    Jan

    -20

    VLCC Suezmax Aframax Panamax 10-59,999dwt

    8 January

    Source: Clarksons Platou

    New Orders Of Tankers

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst11

    Monthly data in mm dwtmmdwt / no 2018 2019 2020 2021

    200,000 + 15.3 / 50 9.4 / 31 11.7 / 39 0.0 / 0

    125-199,999 3.1 / 20 5.0 / 32 4.4 / 28 0.0 / 0

    80-124,999 2.7 / 25 5.4 / 48 3.3 / 28 0.0 / 0

    60-79,999 0.5 / 7 0.0 / 0 0.0 / 0 0.0 / 0

    10-59,999 4.5 / 120 3.5 / 91 3.4 / 84 0.0 / 0

    Grand Total 26.2 / 222 23.4 / 202 22.8 / 179 0.0 / 0

  • Disclaimer

    Oslo | 8 January 2021

    Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst12

    This report (including any future rates and/or forward-looking statements contained herein) are prepared by Clarksons Platou AS for general information purposes

    and for the recipient’s internal use only.

    This report is based solely on publicly available information. The report is provided on an “as is” and “as available” basis. Clarksons Platou AS and its group

    companies make no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, about the completeness, accuracy, reliability, suitability or availability with respect

    to the information contained in the report. Any reliance on such information is therefore strictly at the recipient’s own risk and no responsibility is accepted for any loss

    or damage howsoever arising from the use of this report. Please note that future rates and/or forward-looking predictions are for illustration purposes only and given

    without any guarantee.

    This information may not be distributed or reproduced without the prior written consent from Clarksons Platou AS. Especially, the information must not be used in any

    document for the purposes of raising finance whether by way of debt or equity. All intellectual property rights are fully reserved by Clarksons Platou AS, the Clarksons

    group and/or its licensors.

    This material and the disclaimer shall be governed and construed in accordance with Norwegian law.

    Clarksons Platou

  • Weekly Tanker Rates | By Jørn Bakkelund, Senior analyst13

    Thank you

    Clarksons Platou

    Munkedamsveien 62C

    0270 Oslo, Norway

    www.clarksons.com