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US This Week:
Cold Weather Continues in the West; Storm Brings Rain to the East Coast
A Look Ahead: The East Chills;
Western Storms Return
Europe This Week:
Cold Temperatures Hold On; Snow and Rain Visit Southern Europe
A Look Ahead:
Temperatures Climb Above Normal; More Wet Weather in the West
Weekly Weather
Flash
January 22–
February 4
|
2
January27,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
Impact on Retail
Retailimplications:WarmertemperaturesintheeasternandinteriorregionsoftheUSwillresultinoverallweakdemandforseasonalproductsacrossmuchofthecountry,whilecoldertemperaturesintheWestwillcontinuetosupportrobustsalesofouterwearintheregion.
• Lastyearthisweek,temperaturesintheUSwerethewarmestsince2012:RainfallwasbelownormalandsnowfallwastheleasttoendJanuarysince1992.
• ThewintryWest:BoutsofcoldandstormyweatherwillcontinueintheWest,helpingkeepdemandrobustforouterwear,heaters,icemeltandsoup.Drierconditionsbymidweekshouldaidcleanupeffortsforthoseimpactedbyfloodingandmudslides.
• WarmwinterintheEast:Aconsiderablywarmerpatternisexpectedtocontinueintheeasternandinteriorregions.Temperatureanomaliesof10°Fto20°Fwarmerthannormalwillbecommonformuchoftheweek.Colderreadingsarelikelylateintheweek,andcolderairwillpushwesttoeast,hittingtheEastCoastbytheweekend.Overall,itisexpectedtobeadifficultweekforseasonaldemand.
• Wetandwhite:AcoastalstormearlyintheweekwillbringperiodsofheavyrainalongtheEastCoast,withsnowandiceininteriorareas.Meanwhile,astormexitingtheWestwillbringthepotentialforsnowandicefromtheNorthernPlainstotheinteriorNortheast.
US Week of January 22–28
Source:Planalytics
Temperature vs. Last Year Precipitation vs. Last Year
Warmer
Colder
Wetter
Drier
Heaters
34%
3
January27,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
Impact on Retail
Retailimplications:AsuddenchillintheEastwillboostsalesofwinteritems.
• Lastyearthisweek,theweatherwaswarm:ItwasthewarmestfirstweekofFebruarysince2008,withthewarmthfocusedintheEast.Rainfallwasabovenormal,whilesnowfallwastheleastsince2012.
• AfabulousstarttoFebruary:Temperaturesacrossmostregionswillbeconsiderablycolderthantheywereduringthesameweeklastyear.ThecoldestanomaliesareexpectedintheeasternthirdoftheUS,drivingdemandforcold-weathercategories.Warmerreadingsareexpectedtoreturnlateintheweek.
• StillcoldintheWest:MuchcoldertemperatureswillalsobefoundinthePacificNorthwest,extendingwhathasbeenastrongwinterseasonforretailersintheregion.
• Westernstormsreturn:Earlyintheweek,adriertrendisexpectedtocontinueintheWest,aidingcleanupinstorm-ravagedCalifornia.However,thereturnofthe“PacificPipeline”isexpectedlaterintheweek,bringingmoreheavyrainandsnowtothearea.Whiletheprecipitationwillhelpeasedroughtconditions,morefloodingandmudslidesarepossible.
US Week of January 29–February 4
Source:Planalytics
Warmer
Colder
Temperature vs. Last Year Precipitation vs. Last Year
Wetter
Drier
Electric Blankets
21%
4
January27,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
Impact on Retail
Germany Portugal
Retailimplications:AcrossEurope,retailersareexpectedtoseeastrongweekforend-of-seasonclearanceonwinterlines.
• Coldairstartstoletup:VerycoldtemperatureswillholdonacrosstheSoutheastthroughtheweek.Warmer-than-normalconditionswillcontinueovertheNorthwestandspreadacrossWesternEuropeattheendoftheweek.
• WetSouth:MoistairfromtheMediterraneanwillcontinuetooverruncolderairtothenorth,causingmoresnowandrainforSouthernEuropewhileonshoreflowbringsrainandsnowtoNorway.TherestofEuropewillbemostlydry.
Europe Week of January 22–28
Warmer
Colder
Source:Planalytics
Wetter
Temperature vs. Last Year Precipitation vs. Last Year
Drier
Duvets
Cold Drinks
5
January27,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
Impact on Retail
Spain Croatia
Retailimplications:Conditionswillremainpositiveforsalesofwinterproducts.
• WarmingintoFebruary:TemperatureswillclimbabovenormalformuchofEurope,althoughtheywillstillfallshortoflastyear’smildertrend.
• WetterweatherfromtheWest:Theupper-levelpatternwillbegintoopenup,pushingmoreraininfromtheAtlanticastheweekprogresses.Theleadingedgeoftheprecipitationwillcomeintheformofsnowaswarmerairoverrunscoolerconditionstotheeast.
Europe Week of January 29–February 4
Warmer
Colder
Wetter
Drier
Source:Planalytics
Temperature vs. Last Year Precipitation vs. Last Year
Rainwear Knitwear
6
January27,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comZaneYangResearchAssistant
HongKong:8thFloor,LiFungTower888CheungShaWanRoad,KowloonHongKongTel:85223004406London:242-246MaryleboneRoadLondon,NW16JQUnitedKingdomTel:44(0)2076168988NewYork:1359Broadway,9thFloorNewYork,NY10018Tel:6468397017FungGlobalRetailTech.com
