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WelcomeWelcome
Cisco Service Provider VisionCisco Service Provider Vision
Mazen JabriMazen JabriTerritory Manager, GulfTerritory Manager, Gulf
Service Provider Line of BusinessService Provider Line of Business
Roadmaps for Success:Roadmaps for Success:
New WorldNew WorldBusiness ModelsBusiness Models
for Service Providersfor Service ProvidersMuscat -Muscat - May 29th, 2001May 29th, 2001
3© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Drivers of Telecom MarketDrivers of Telecom Market
Telecom Market
DisruptiveTechnologyDisruptive
Technology
IPIP
DeregulationDeregulation CapitalCapital
4© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Intelligence to the InternetIntelligence to the Internet
Internet CircaInternet Circa
• 19941994
• 19971997
• 20002000
Access MethodAccess Method
• Dial-upDial-up
• T1T1
• DSL/CableDSL/Cable
ApplicationApplication
• Mass e-mailMass e-mail
• MyYahooMyYahoo
• Video on Video on demanddemand
Fiber
5© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Convergence Convergence to HTTPto HTTP
Complexity and Complexity and ScaleScale PersonalizationPersonalization
Intelligence to the InternetIntelligence to the Internet
6© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Wireless InternetWireless Internet
• Internet—anytime, anywhere
• Internet to the masses
500 million subscribers ww today
2 billion expected in 2003
• Emerging markets
Europe, India, China
PC substitute
• Conquering the digital divide
Less financially affluent
Less technically affluent
7© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
ContentContent
IPIP
BB Access BB Access
The “3” Layer ModelThe “3” Layer Model
8© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Content Delivery NetworksContent Delivery Networks
Optimize Internet Experience by Connecting Users and Customized Content
Optimize Internet Experience by Connecting Users and Customized Content
DeliveryDelivery
• Network/server knowledge
• Forwarding of content to caches
• Redirecting users to content
SwitchingSwitching CachingCaching
• Forwarding based on http information
• Hardware assisted switching
• “Integrated” caching and delivery
• Local content insertion
• High performance serving
9© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
• Decoupling services from switching
• Custom siliconService
Switching
• Service creation
• Provisioning
• Management and monitoring
• Billing and accounting
HardwareHardware SoftwareSoftware
ControlControl
IP Service EnablingIP Service Enabling
Enable Networks to Offer Managed Value-Added IP Services at Wire-speed
Enable Networks to Offer Managed Value-Added IP Services at Wire-speed
10© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Optical NetworkingOptical Networking
Revolutionize the Transmission Infrastructure for Internet ScaleRevolutionize the Transmission Infrastructure for Internet Scale
BandwidthBandwidth
• Wavelength proliferation
• From 2.5G to10G to 40G
• Dramatic improvements
IP OptimizedIP Optimized MultiservicesMultiservices
• Controlling optics with IP
• Eliminating multiplexing layers
• Storage
• Metro/Ethernet
• Long and ultra long haul
• Legacy traffic
11© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Deliver the Internet Anytime, AnywhereDeliver the Internet Anytime, Anywhere
CapacityCapacity IP ServicesIP Services New ApplicationsNew Applications
• From overlay to pure packet based networks
• Converged data/voice
• Customized internet
• M-commerce
• Location-based services
• Remote access
3G and IP Wireless3G and IP Wireless
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2000 2001 2002 2003
Data Rate of
Wireless
Years
12© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
SP Industry Disruption:SP Industry Disruption:Waves of OpportunityWaves of Opportunity
IndustryDisruptionIndustry
Disruption
B2BeMarketplaces
Portals/Online Services
HostedApplications
eCommerce
Video-on-Demand
UnifiedMessaging
WebConferencing
IP Telephony
eCRM
OnlineCommunities
Click-to-Talk
WirelessWeb Access
13© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Customer NeedsCustomer Needsin the Internet Economyin the Internet Economy
• Communications
• Content
Information
Entertainment
• Commerce
• Community
• Efficiency/ Productivity
• Universal Access
• Mobility, Flexibility
• Personalization
• Self-Provisioning
14© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Service ProviderBusinesses
LargeEnterprises
Small-MediumBusinesses
ConsumersOther Service
Providers
Banking
Manu-facturing
Securities
Insurance
Retail
ConsumerPackaged
Goods
Health Care
Oil & Gas
Government
Education
Transport-ation
Entertain-ment
LocalInformation
Teenagers HomeAutomation
ISPs
NSPs
Enterprisesas SPs
Utilities
Which Businesses, Customers, Which Businesses, Customers, Industries do you Serve? Industries do you Serve?
15© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Falling Prices: U.S. Interstate Falling Prices: U.S. Interstate Long Distance (Voice)Long Distance (Voice)
Source: FCC; Dataquest; IDC Packetized Voice Services (January 1998)
U.S. Interstate Long Distance Price per Minute
Continued deregulation
Increased competition: CLEC and RBOC penetration of LD
Lower access costs
Lower network operating costs
80-02CAGR
-6.4
80-02CAGR
-6.4
95-02CAGR
-12.3
95-02CAGR
-12.3
16© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Making Money Up the Stack:Making Money Up the Stack:End User Activity Drives RevenueEnd User Activity Drives Revenue
(conceptual)
ServiceProvider
End User/Customer
So
luti
on
s V
alu
e A
dd
Closeness to Customer Delivery
Transport
Access
Hosting
ContentContentDistributionDistribution
Use ofUse ofContent &Content &
AppsApps
Network
ServicesNetw
ork
Services
Value-Add
Solutions
Value-Add
Solutions
Traffic, R
evenues
Traffic, R
evenues
17© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
New World SP Solutions:New World SP Solutions:Engines for GrowthEngines for Growth
37.7
8231
233233
Data Communications Services0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Worldwide Service Revenues$ Billions
Content and Applications
Solutions
Content and Applications
Solutions
4747
32.4
1999-2004 CAGR (%)
315
21.9
Sources: IDC; Dataquest; Forrester; Morgan Stanley Dean Witter; Internet Research Group; Veronis, Suhler & Associates; Cisco analysisNote: Wireline voice transport grows at 7.6% from 564 B (1999) to 815 B (2004) and wireless voice transport grows at 13.8% from 225 B (1999) to 430 B (2004)
78
18© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Example Roadmap ofExample Roadmap ofNew World SP SolutionsNew World SP Solutions
(Wireline)(Wireline)Basic VoiceBasic Voice
LocalLocalLong DistanceLong Distance
AdvancedAdvancedVoiceVoice
Call Waiting,Call Waiting,Caller ID, * 69,Caller ID, * 69,ConferencingConferencing
Basic DataBasic DataTransport,Transport,
Access,Access,Web HostingWeb Hosting
AdvancedAdvancedDataData
IP VPNs, Extranets,IP VPNs, Extranets,Managed Security,Managed Security,Wireless AccessWireless Access
BasicBasicSolutionsSolutions
Data Storage, eFax,Data Storage, eFax,eMail, Messaging,eMail, Messaging,
IP TelephonyIP Telephony
AdvancedAdvancedSolutionsSolutionsHosted Apps,Hosted Apps,
Unified Comms,Unified Comms,Portal ServicesPortal Services
Time
Content andApplicationSolutions
So
luti
on
s V
alu
e-A
dd
DataCommunica-tions Svces
VoiceCommunica-tions Svces
WirelessWirelessVoiceVoiceLocal,Local,
Long Distance,Long Distance,Call Waiting, etc.Call Waiting, etc.
19© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Converging and De-layeringConverging and De-layeringService Provider Value ChainsService Provider Value Chains
Value Chains
1. Broadcast ContentVideo
2. Web Applications
3. Web Content
Data
5. Wireless VoiceVoice
4. IP Telephony
6. Wireline Voice
NewNew NewNew NewNew Old NewNew
NewNew NewNew Old NewNew NewNew
NewNew NewNew Old NewNew NewNew
NewNew NewNew NewNew NewNew NewNew
--- Old --- --- NewNew
Old --- --- --- ---
WirelinePhone
WirelessPhone
PC/Desktop TV
Pager/PDA
Access Device (Traditional vs. New Usage)
20© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
T2/3 ISP(local access)
Web Content Delivery Value Chain:Web Content Delivery Value Chain:Who Pays Whom? Who Pays Whom?
CDSP
= revenue flow
CDSP: Content Delivery SP(Akamai, Digital Island/Sandpiper)
WirelessISP
• Akamai• Adero• Mirror Image Internet• Digital Island/ Sandpiper• Real Networks• Yahoo!
BroadcastServices• Edgix (satellite)• IBeam Broadcasting
(satellite)• AudioSoft• Digital River• Infinet• Intertainer• MP3.com• ProWebCast
• Disney• Time Warner• Universal Studios• Warner Brothers• Paramount• New Line Cinema• Viacom• CNN• NBC• Newscorp• ZDnet• CBS Market Watch• CNet• ESPN• iVillage
(or)
ContentContentProviderProvider
ContentContentProviderProvider
ContentContentProviderProvider
NSP/T1 ISP
ILEC/CLEC
EndEndUserUser
21© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
MeteredBilling
MeteredBilling
Transactions vs. TransmissionTransactions vs. TransmissionMoving to New Revenue ModelsMoving to New Revenue Models
• Usage-based Billing (SMS)
• Functional Services
• Software App Services
• Content Delivery Services
• Advertising
• Revenue-Sharing
22© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Usage-based BillingUsage-based Billing
• On the model of existingOn demand services
• Charge for each usage of short messaging services, message translation services, web- or email-to-fax services, find-me services, etc.
• On the model of existingOn demand services
• Charge for each usage of short messaging services, message translation services, web- or email-to-fax services, find-me services, etc.
23© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Functional ServicesFunctional Services
• Service Subscription Fees
– Charge for availability of network-delivered services (monthly charge)
– Consumer example: home security service that calls police, neighbors, find-me services for each parent
– Business example: company calendaring service, charge by corporate user by month
• Service Subscription Fees
– Charge for availability of network-delivered services (monthly charge)
– Consumer example: home security service that calls police, neighbors, find-me services for each parent
– Business example: company calendaring service, charge by corporate user by month
24© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Software Application ServicesSoftware Application Services
• Usage-based Billing to Businesses
– Provide hosted business applications (eSFA, eHR, eCRM) to enterprise/SMB; Charge business for each application usage (by the drink)
• Usage-based Billing to ASPs/ISVs
– Provide AIP (Application Infrastructure Provider) hosting/ data center services for ASP/ISV; Charge ASP/ISV for each application usage
• Usage-based Billing to Businesses
– Provide hosted business applications (eSFA, eHR, eCRM) to enterprise/SMB; Charge business for each application usage (by the drink)
• Usage-based Billing to ASPs/ISVs
– Provide AIP (Application Infrastructure Provider) hosting/ data center services for ASP/ISV; Charge ASP/ISV for each application usage
25© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Content Delivery ServicesContent Delivery Services
• Usage-based Billing for Content Delivery
– For delivery of rich media content, charge by item of delivered content
– Consumer example: Charge by the item for music- or video-on-demand
– Business example: Charge by the seat for web-based distance learning/ company training sessions
• Usage-based Billing for Content Delivery
– For delivery of rich media content, charge by item of delivered content
– Consumer example: Charge by the item for music- or video-on-demand
– Business example: Charge by the seat for web-based distance learning/ company training sessions
26© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
AdvertisingAdvertising
• Advertising Revenues from Businesses and Other Organizations
– Subsidize web and voice portal/ search and content delivery services
– Subsidize business and residential user Internet access, IP telephony, eventually IP video
– Results in free to the user Internet access, free IP telephony, free IP video
• Advertising Revenues from Businesses and Other Organizations
– Subsidize web and voice portal/ search and content delivery services
– Subsidize business and residential user Internet access, IP telephony, eventually IP video
– Results in free to the user Internet access, free IP telephony, free IP video
27© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Revenue-Sharing:Revenue-Sharing:ASP ExampleASP Example
• Revenue-Sharing With Software Vendors/ ASPs
– SP provides AIP services for hostinge-business applications for free/ at below market rates
– ISV/ASP does all customer support and service functions as well as software development and application integration
– SP shares in ISV/ASP revenues -- charge per usage, per seat, per project
• Revenue-Sharing With Software Vendors/ ASPs
– SP provides AIP services for hostinge-business applications for free/ at below market rates
– ISV/ASP does all customer support and service functions as well as software development and application integration
– SP shares in ISV/ASP revenues -- charge per usage, per seat, per project
28© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Revenue-Sharing:Revenue-Sharing:Content Delivery ExampleContent Delivery Example
• Revenue-Sharing With Content and Media Creation Companies
– Provide free/ low cost content production, hosting, distribution, transport services in exchange for cut of content creation fees
– Example: free production, hosting, and transport of digital films for playing directly in digital projection theaters in exchange for a cut of theater ticket sales and/or artist royalties
• Revenue-Sharing With Content and Media Creation Companies
– Provide free/ low cost content production, hosting, distribution, transport services in exchange for cut of content creation fees
– Example: free production, hosting, and transport of digital films for playing directly in digital projection theaters in exchange for a cut of theater ticket sales and/or artist royalties
29© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Revenue Sharing:Revenue Sharing:e-Commerce Examplee-Commerce Example
• Share of e-Commerce Transactions for an Enterprise/SMB or a B2B Marketplace Operator
– Develop web site/ integrate packaged application (or done by partner), provide hosting, access, transport for free/ less than market rates
– In exchange for cut of revenues from products/services sold via web site or in the B2B eMarketplace
• Share of e-Commerce Transactions for an Enterprise/SMB or a B2B Marketplace Operator
– Develop web site/ integrate packaged application (or done by partner), provide hosting, access, transport for free/ less than market rates
– In exchange for cut of revenues from products/services sold via web site or in the B2B eMarketplace
30© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
New Services and Solutions:New Services and Solutions:Content and ApplicationsContent and Applications
Business SolutionsBusiness Solutions Consumer SolutionsConsumer Solutions
HostedHostedApplicationApplicationSolutionsSolutionsContent &Content &MediaMediaSolutionsSolutionsCommunica-Communica-tionstionsSolutionsSolutionsPortal/Portal/MediationMediationSolutionsSolutions
• E-business applications(internal-facing andexternal-facing)
• Content delivery: distance learning, advertising, co. websites
• Managed email• Short Messaging• Web conferencing• Unified communications
• Web portal• Voice portal• Online business
communities
• Personalproductivity applications
• Online gaming
• Content delivery:music-/video-on-demand
• Managed email• Instant Messaging• Web conferencing• Unified communications
• Web portal• Voice portal• Online personal
interest communities
• Data storage & mgmt.• Business process
outsourcing
• Home automationsolutions (security,energy, appliances)
31© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
• How should we organize for eBusiness?
• How can we change the “Old World” culture?
• What should we do with our legacy systems?
• Which eBusiness solutions should we do first? How can we identify them?
• What can we do to become a “cool” place to work in? How can we attract and retain talent?
• How can we increase the value of our company through eBusiness?
31
Challenges in eBusiness TransformationChallenges in eBusiness Transformation
32© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Prioritizing Solutions Opportunities:Prioritizing Solutions Opportunities:Some ExamplesSome Examples
High
Low
Low HighAbility to Execute
(based on competitive assets)
EconomicOpportunity
(revenuegrowth,
margins)
AIP/ASPAIP/ASPSolutionsSolutions
UnifiedUnifiedMessagingMessaging
Data StorageData Storageand Mgmt.and Mgmt.
IP VideoIP Videoon Demandon Demand
eFax Mgmt.eFax Mgmt.ServicesServices
IP VoiceIP VoiceServicesServices
Chat/ CollaborationChat/ CollaborationSolutionsSolutions
eMail Mgmt.eMail Mgmt.ServicesServices
eCommerce/eCommerce/eMarketplaceseMarketplaces
OutsourcedOutsourcedContactContactCentersCenters
Home SecurityHome SecuritySystems SolutionsSystems Solutions
OnlineOnlineCommunitiesCommunities
PortalsPortals
33© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Cisco as Strategic PartnerCisco as Strategic Partner
Internet Economy Business ModelsInternet Economy Business Models
Ecosystem PartnershipsEcosystem Partnerships
World-class TechnologyWorld-class Technology
34© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Cisco’s Role: Helping SP Build Cisco’s Role: Helping SP Build Profitable Revenue StreamsProfitable Revenue Streams
Cisco asStrategic Partner:
Help SP ChooseOpportunities and
Build the Infrastructure
to Create ProfitableRevenue Streams
At the Crossroads:
Which Opportunities?How to Build?
Challengesand
Opportunitiesin the
New InternetEconomy
35© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
SP Business Models:SP Business Models:Roles and ResponsibilitiesRoles and Responsibilities
1-2 DayWorkshops
4-12 WeekEngagements
Evangelizeand
Educate
StrategyConsulting &
BusinessPlanning
DetailedFinancialModeling
Deploymentand
Go-to-Market
• SP Sales• SP Field Ops• BDMs• IBSG-SP• SPLOB
(MSCs)
• IBSG-SP• Various
BusinessModelingefforts(cable,hosting,STEM)
• JumpStart, CPN• Partner
programs(OSS, CHAI, etc.)
• Ent. Sales/ PAM• WW Channels• CA-SP, PSO
• IBSG-SP
EBCs
36© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Service Providers can benefit from Service Providers can benefit from three key opportunities in eBusiness.three key opportunities in eBusiness.
… to increase productivity and agility, reduce operating costs, and improve customer loyalty
… to increase productivity and agility, reduce operating costs, and improve customer loyalty
Running myRunning myNetwork: Network:
““Zero Touch”Zero Touch”
Running myRunning myNetwork: Network:
““Zero Touch”Zero Touch”
eOSS
eBSS
22
SP as a company whose mode of operating is deeply altered by Internet technology...
SP as a company whose mode of operating is deeply altered by Internet technology...
ProvidingProvidingeBusinesseBusinessServicesServices
to myto myCustomersCustomers
ProvidingProvidingeBusinesseBusinessServicesServices
to myto myCustomersCustomers
33
SP as a provider of eBusiness services to its customers ...
SP as a provider of eBusiness services to its customers ...
… to reduce network operating expenses, time-to-market, etc.
… to reduce network operating expenses, time-to-market, etc.
Running myRunning my‘‘e-SP’e-SP’
Running myRunning my‘‘e-SP’e-SP’
eCare
WO
eCom
SCM
11SP as an e-Enterprise ...
SP as an e-Enterprise ...
e-SPe-SP
… to generate new flow of high-margin revenue
… to generate new flow of high-margin revenue
37© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
eBusiness SolutionseBusiness Solutions ExamplesExamples
Service Provider as an Enterprise: Service Provider as an Enterprise: “Transforming into an e-SP”“Transforming into an e-SP”
Workforce Optimization
Supply Chain Management
e-Care
Web-based employee automation: directory, expenses, purchases, training registration, e-learning, executive intelligence systems (EIS)
Web-based customer care, service order status, service level agreement information, custom bill presentment, equipment and service inventory, trouble ticketing, automated advisory services, etc.
Customer premises equipment supplier integration, field force, maintenance and subcontractors, etc.
e-Commerce Web-enabled catalogue, pricing simulation tools, lead times, service configuration, on-line ordering, bill payment, CRM, click-to-talk
11
38© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
eBusiness SolutionseBusiness Solutions ExamplesExamples
Service Provider as Network Operator: Service Provider as Network Operator: “Zero Touch Dream”“Zero Touch Dream”
Automated Service Provisioning
Flow-through provisioning system:• Address validation check• Feature availability check • Customer service record• Service planning• Service configuration• Service provisioning • Billing • ...
Automated Network Management
Custom management of the network:• Network configuration• Element management and testing• Service fault and performance analysis• Security management• Service provisioning lead times• Trouble ticket• ...
22
39© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.
E-Business SolutionsE-Business Solutions ExamplesExamples
Application Service Provider (Basic and Complex Hosting) for SME
Basic: Web Sites, IT Services (backup / storage), email, simple Desktop Apps (e.g. Calendars). Complex: e-Business Applications (e-Commerce, e-Care, Workforce Optimization, Supply Chain Management)
Service Provider as Provider of Services: Service Provider as Provider of Services: “e-Business for my Customers”“e-Business for my Customers”
Service Provider as Provider of Services: Service Provider as Provider of Services: “e-Business for my Customers”“e-Business for my Customers”33
E-Business Value Added Services for Large Enterprises
Consulting and systems integration of e-Business for large enterprises, development of partner ecosystem
Vertical Industry Specialization
Vertical market focused portals(COIN) and applications
Media Play E-Learning, e-Training, e-University, e-TV
© 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc.