61
Adhikari Sam rachana W orld 1 East 443 LeFebvre Nichole W orld 2 W est 453 Aldrich Laura W orld 1 East 460 V ogelgesang Jim m y W orld 2 W est 474 Andrei Am anda W orld 1 East 484 M cClutchy Sarah W orld 2 W est 441 Austin Ben W orld 1 East 523 N guyen Helen W orld 2 W est 419 Barros Katie W orld 1 East 528 P eterson Jenna W orld 2 W est 511 Barrow s C hristie W orld 1 East 555 P otter Sarah W orld 2 W est 490 Bell David W orld 1 East 617 P otter Dylan W orld 2 W est 442 BernierArcand Philippe W orld 1 East 593 Pow ell Andrew W orld 2 W est 494 Boskovski Joe W orld 1 East 581 Q uinn Abigail W orld 2 W est 454 Buchanan Joy W orld 1 W est 511 R osenthal Evan W orld 3 East 627 Calise C ristina W orld 1 W est 455 Scott Katherine W orld 3 East 426 C hang Elizabeth W orld 1 W est 529 Shivers Tionya W orld 3 East 516 C hoi M oses W orld 1 W est 469 Sm ith Julie W orld 3 East 502 C rail Drew W orld 1 W est 458 Sm ith R oss W orld 3 East 352 C rooks Ashley W orld 1 W est 484 S riram Matt W orld 3 East 484 D har Sreyashe W orld 1 W est 602 Stegm an R obert W orld 3 East 382 Diggs Am y W orld 1 W est 594 Stew art Michaela W orld 3 East 577 DiMaggio Vanessa W orld 1 W est 516 S ung Vannie W orld 3 East 512 Ennis Sean W orld 1 W est 570 S yeddah Ayesha W orld 3 East 607 Galvez X ondra W orld 2 East 557 Sylaj Adelina W orld 3 W est 498 Grape Richard W orld 2 East 673 Thom pson Jessica W orld 3 W est 570 G uzenko M aria W orld 2 East 414 Turcotte Scott W orld 3 W est 577 H arning Brian W orld 2 East 433 Tushe Isida W orld 3 W est 463 H arris Brandon W orld 2 East 434 U eyam a Kim berly W orld 3 W est 529 Herm an Lisa W orld 2 East 515 U nderw ood Brittany W orld 3 W est 535 H uerter John W orld 2 East 614 Vasilyev Pavel W orld 3 W est 454 Inden Margaret W orld 2 East 548 W ang Jusy W orld 3 W est 510 Johnson Jennifer W orld 2 East 569 Yee N atalie W orld 3 W est 471 Kotkin R achel W orld 2 W est 495 Zhang Di W orld 3 W est 479 R ole Score to D ate Student Score to D ate Role Student West sits on this side of the room. East sits on this side of th room. Sit with people in your world .

West sits on this side of the room.East sits on this side of the room. Sit with people in your world

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Adhikari Samrachana World 1 East 443 LeFebvre Nichole World 2 West 453Aldrich Laura World 1 East 460 Vogelgesang Jimmy World 2 West 474Andrei Amanda World 1 East 484 McClutchy Sarah World 2 West 441Austin Ben World 1 East 523 Nguyen Helen World 2 West 419Barros Katie World 1 East 528 Peterson Jenna World 2 West 511Barrows Christie World 1 East 555 Potter Sarah World 2 West 490Bell David World 1 East 617 Potter Dylan World 2 West 442Bernier Arcand Philippe World 1 East 593 Powell Andrew World 2 West 494Boskovski Joe World 1 East 581 Quinn Abigail World 2 West 454Buchanan Joy World 1 West 511 Rosenthal Evan World 3 East 627Calise Cristina World 1 West 455 Scott Katherine World 3 East 426Chang Elizabeth World 1 West 529 Shivers Tionya World 3 East 516Choi Moses World 1 West 469 Smith Julie World 3 East 502Crail Drew World 1 West 458 Smith Ross World 3 East 352Crooks Ashley World 1 West 484 Sriram Matt World 3 East 484Dhar Sreyashe World 1 West 602 Stegman Robert World 3 East 382Diggs Amy World 1 West 594 Stewart Michaela World 3 East 577DiMaggio Vanessa World 1 West 516 Sung Vannie World 3 East 512Ennis Sean World 1 West 570 Syeddah Ayesha World 3 East 607Galvez Xondra World 2 East 557 Sylaj Adelina World 3 West 498Grape Richard World 2 East 673 Thompson Jessica World 3 West 570Guzenko Maria World 2 East 414 Turcotte Scott World 3 West 577Harning Brian World 2 East 433 Tushe Isida World 3 West 463Harris Brandon World 2 East 434 Ueyama Kimberly World 3 West 529Herman Lisa World 2 East 515 Underwood Brittany World 3 West 535Huerter John World 2 East 614 Vasilyev Pavel World 3 West 454Inden Margaret World 2 East 548 Wang Jusy World 3 West 510Johnson Jennifer World 2 East 569 Yee Natalie World 3 West 471Kotkin Rachel World 2 West 495 Zhang Di World 3 West 479

Role Score to DateStudent Score to DateRole Student

West sits on this side of the room.East sits on this side of the room.

Sit with people in your world.

There are two countries.

West East

In each country, there are 20 workers.

West East

The workers make RED stuff and BLUE stuff.

West East

The workers eat the RED stuff and BLUE stuff.

West East

Happiness = (RED stuff eaten) (BLUE stuff eaten)

1

2

6

In West, a single worker can produce 2 RED stuff

or

1 BLUE stuffWest

In East, a single worker can produce 1 RED stuff

or

2 BLUE stuffEast

You must decide how many workers to allocate to the production of RED stuff and how many to allocate to the production of BLUE stuff.

Your goal is to attain the most happiness possible.

Example (using West):

Assign 1 Worker to RED production and 19 Workers to Blue productionProduce: 2 RED and 19 BLUE

Consume: 2 RED and 19 BLUE

Happiness = (2) (19) = 38

Example (using West):

Assign 2 Workers to RED production and 18 Workers to Blue productionProduce: 4 RED and 18 BLUE

Consume: 4 RED and 18 BLUE

Happiness = (4) (18) = 72

Example (using East):

Assign 3 Workers to RED production and 17 Workers to Blue productionProduce: 3 RED and 34 BLUE

Consume: 3 RED and 34 BLUE

Happiness = (3) (34) = 102

Record Your Decisions

Production of Red Production of Blue Units of Red Units of Blue Units of Red Units of BlueLabor Allocation (must total 20) Production Imports (negative = exports)

Units of Red Units of BlueConsumption (production plus imports)

Happiness (red consumed x blue consumed)

3 17

3 34

3 34

102

Round 1: Autarky

Allocate 20 workers to maximize happiness.

Now, you may produce, exchange, then consume.

West East

Record Your Decisions

Production of Red Production of Blue Units of Red Units of Blue Units of Red Units of BlueLabor Allocation (must total 20) Production Imports (negative = exports)

Units of Red Units of BlueConsumption (production plus imports)

Happiness (red consumed x blue consumed)

3 17

3 34

13

24

312

10

-10

Round 2: Trade

Allocate 20 workers then trade (if you want) to maximize happiness.

West has an absolute advantage in the production of RED stuff.

In West, 1 unit of RED costs 1/2 worker.

In East, 1 unit of RED costs 1 worker.

East has an absolute advantage in the production of BLUE stuff.

In East, 1 unit of BLUE costs 1/2 worker.

In West, 1 unit of BLUE costs 1 worker.

What if West is a lesser developed country such that East has an absolute advantage in the production of both RED and BLUE?

In West, a single worker can produce 2 RED stuff

or

1 BLUE stuffWest

In East, a single worker can produce 3 RED stuff

or

2 BLUE stuffEast

East has an absolute advantage in the production of RED stuff.

In East, 1 unit of RED costs 1/3 worker.

In West, 1 unit of RED costs 1/2 worker.

East has an absolute advantage in the production of BLUE stuff.

In East, 1 unit of BLUE costs 1/2 worker.

In West, 1 unit of BLUE costs 1 worker.

Round 3: Trade

Allocate 20 workers then trade (if you want) to maximize happiness.

Are we thinking about the problem correctly?

When you choose to produce more RED stuff, what do you give up?

When you choose to produce more BLUE stuff, what do you give up?

A country doesn’t give up workers when it produces stuff.

It gives up the other stuff it could be producing instead.

The opportunity cost of BLUE stuff isn’t a worker.

The opportunity cost of BLUE stuff is RED stuff!

How many RED stuff does West have to give up to produce 1 more unit of BLUE stuff?

In West, the cost of 1 BLUE stuff is 2 RED stuff.

How many BLUE stuff does West have to give up to produce 1 more unit of RED stuff?

In West, the cost of 1 RED stuff is 1/2 of a BLUE stuff.

How many RED stuff does East have to give up to produce 1 more unit of BLUE stuff?

In East, the cost of 1 BLUE stuff is 3/2 RED stuff.

How many BLUE stuff does East have to give up to produce 1 more unit of RED stuff?

In East, the cost of 1 RED stuff is 2/3 of a BLUE stuff.

West has a relative advantage in the production of RED stuff.

In West, 1 unit of RED costs 1/2 units of BLUE.

In East, 1 unit of RED costs 2/3 units of BLUE.

East has a relative advantage in the production of BLUE stuff.

In East, 1 unit of BLUE costs 3/2 units of RED.

In West, 1 unit of BLUE costs 2 units of RED.

SOLUTION:

Autarky

West puts half labor toward RED produce

Trade

West puts all labor toward RED produce 20 RED and 0 BLUE

East puts all labor toward BLUE produce 0 RED and 20 BLUE

Things to note:

1. Trade is a positive sum relationship.

2. Exchanging goods is what’s important. Money is only a tool that facilitates the exchanging.

3. Every country has a relative advantage in something.

4. Trade is the combination of exchange and specialization. Specialization is the directing of resources toward the countries relative advantage.

What Are the Benefits From Trade?

Protectionist Assumption:

Trade leads to a centralization of political power, decreased competition, and the transfer of wealth.

Globalist Assumption:

Trade leads to a decentralization of political power, increased competition, and the creation of wealth.

What Is the Impact on Per-Capita Income?

Protectionist Assumption:

Trade is exploitive of peoples and industries, therefore per-capita income will be lower for countries that trade more.

Globalist Assumption:

Trade is beneficial to both parties, therefore per-capita income will be higher for countries that trade more.

Per-Capita Income

R2 = 0.56

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 $40,000 $45,000

Per-capita Income (US$)

Per

-cap

ita

Tra

de

(US

$)

Luxembourg

Belgium

IrelandNetherlands

JapanUS

Bahrain

Source: International Financial Statistics, International Monetary Fund, December 2001

Per-Capita Income (Lower Middle, and Low Income)

R2 = 0.59

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500

Per-capita Income (US$)

Per

-cap

ita

Tra

de

(US

$)

Suriname

Lithuania

Samoa

Russia

ColombiaPeru

Guyana

Source: International Financial Statistics, International Monetary Fund, December 2001

Per-Capita Income

Vietnam

Workers in foreign-owned apparel and footwear factories rank in the top 20% of wage earners.

Indonesia

In 2000, Nike paid $720 annually compared with an average annual country-wide wage of $241.

Mexico

Firms that exported most or all of their product paid wages 60% higher than wages of non-exporting firms.

Source: Brown, Drusilla K., Alan V. Deardorff, and Robert M. Stern, “The Effects of Multinational Production on Wages and Working Conditions in Developing Countries,” discussion paper no. 483, School of Public Policy, The University of Michigan, August 2002.

What Is the Impact on Income Distribution?

Protectionist Assumption:

Trade consolidates income in the hands of the powerful, therefore countries that trade more will have a less equitable income distribution.

Globalist Assumption:

Trade creates income across trading partners, therefore countries that trade more will have a more equitable income distribution.

Income Distribution

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0

Gini Coefficient (0 = equitable, 100 = inequitable)

Per

-cap

ita

Tra

de

(US

$)

US

Switzerland

Ireland

Finland

Cyprus

Netherlands

Singapore

Hong Kong

Norway

DenmarkSwedenAustria

CanadaGermany

IsraelFrance

Slovenia

GabonSouth Africa

Malaysia

Source: International Financial Statistics, International Monetary Fund, December 2001, and Measuring Income Inequality: A New Database, Deininger, Klaus, and Lyn Squire, World Bank, 2002

No carrot: A too inequitable distribution signals a lack of entrepreneurial opportunity.

No stick: A too equitable distribution signals no cost to free riders.

Income Distribution (Lower Middle, and Low Income)

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0

Gini Coefficient (0 = equitable, 100 = inequitable)

Per

-cap

ita

Tra

de

(US

$)

Thailand

Lithuania

Fiji

Ukraine

Source: International Financial Statistics, International Monetary Fund, December 2001, and Measuring Income Inequality: A New Database, Deininger, Klaus, and Lyn Squire, World Bank, 2002

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

< $

15,0

00

$15,0

00 -

$25,0

00

$25,0

00 -

$35,0

00

$35,0

00 -

$50,0

00

$50,0

00 -

$75,0

00

$75,0

00 -

$100,0

00

> $

100,0

00

% o

f H

ou

seh

old

s

1980

Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2006, Table 673.

Income Distribution for 1980 (in 2003$)

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

< $

15,0

00

$15,0

00 -

$25,0

00

$25,0

00 -

$35,0

00

$35,0

00 -

$50,0

00

$50,0

00 -

$75,0

00

$75,0

00 -

$100,0

00

> $

100,0

00

% o

f H

ou

seh

old

s

1980 2003

Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2006, Table 673.

Income Distribution for 2003 (in 2003$)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

% of the Popuation

% o

f T

ota

l In

com

e

1980 2003

Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2008, Table 675.

In 1980, the lower 80% of households earned 56% of all income.

By 2003, the lower 80% of households earned only 50% of all income.

In which world would each person rather live?

(prices are the same in the two worlds)

Household Income in World #1 Household Income in World #2Person 1 $32,000 $40,000Person 2 $33,500 $41,875Person 3 $35,000 $43,750Person 4 $36,500 $45,625Person 5 $38,000 $47,500Person 6 $39,500 $49,375Person 7 $41,000 $51,250Person 8 $42,500 $53,125Person 9 $44,000 $77,000

Person 10 $45,500 $79,625

In world #1, Person 10 earns 11% of all income.

In world #2, Person 10 earns 15% of all income.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

% of the Popuation

% o

f T

ota

l In

com

e

World #1 World #2

In World #1, the lower 80% of households earned 80% of all income.In World #2, the lower 80% of households earned only 70% of all income.

In which world would each person rather live?

(prices are the same in the two worlds)

World #3’s income distribution is the same as World #1’s.

Household Income in World #1 Household Income in World #2 Household Income in World #3Person 1 $32,000 $40,000 $6,400Person 2 $33,500 $41,875 $6,700Person 3 $35,000 $43,750 $7,000Person 4 $36,500 $45,625 $7,300Person 5 $38,000 $47,500 $7,600Person 6 $39,500 $49,375 $7,900Person 7 $41,000 $51,250 $8,200Person 8 $42,500 $53,125 $8,500Person 9 $44,000 $77,000 $8,800

Person 10 $45,500 $79,625 $9,100

What Is the Impact on Social Equality?

Protectionist Assumption:

Trade exploits the weak.

Globalist Assumption:

Trade empowers the weak.

Gender Related Development Index

R2 = 0.80

$1

$10

$100

$1,000

$10,000

$100,000

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00

Gender Related Development Index (0 = low gender adjusted HDI, 1 = high gender adjusted HDI)

Pe

r-c

ap

ita

Tra

de

(U

S$

, lo

ga

rith

mic

sc

ale

)

US

Myanmar

OmanBotswana

Ivory Coast

Azerbaijan and Albania

GDI measures equality of quality of life (longevity, education, literacy, income).

Source: International Financial Statistics, International Monetary Fund, December 2001, and World Development Indicators, World Bank, 2002

Gender Empowerment Measure

R2 = 0.58

$1

$10

$100

$1,000

$10,000

$100,000

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00

Gender Empowerment Measure (0 = low empowerment, 1 = high empowerment)

Pe

r-c

ap

ita

Tra

de

(U

S$

, lo

ga

rith

mic

sc

ale

)

GEM measures the proportion of women in legislatures, among senior officials, and holding technical and management positions as well as gender differences in income (as a proxy for economic power)

Source: International Financial Statistics, International Monetary Fund, December 2001, and World Development Indicators, World Bank, 2002

Child Labor

R2 = 0.54

$1

$10

$100

$1,000

$10,000

$100,000

0 10 20 30 40 50

Children 10 to 14 in the Labor Force (as % of age group)

Per

-cap

ita

Tra

de

(US

$, l

og

arit

hm

ic s

cale

)

US

Hong Kong

Sierra LeoneBurundi

GabonBotswana

Source: International Financial Statistics, International Monetary Fund, December 2001, and World Development Indicators, World Bank, 2002

What Is the Impact on Unemployment?

Protectionist Assumption:

Trade destroys jobs.

Globalist Assumption:

Trade creates jobs.

(beware of the “information availability” problem)

Unemployment vs. Trade Over Time

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, and Bureau of Economic Analysis

January 1975 to June 2006

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30%

Trade (imports plus exports) as % of GDP

Un

emp

loym

ent

Rat

e

Unemployment vs. Trade Over Time

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, and Bureau of Economic Analysis

January 1975 to June 2006

$12.00

$12.50

$13.00

$13.50

$14.00

$14.50

$15.00

12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30%

Trade (imports plus exports) as % of GDP

Av

era

ge

Re

al H

ou

rly

Ea

rnin

gs

(2

00

0$

)

What About Outsourcing?

Protectionist Assumption:

Outsourcing puts Americans out of work.

Globalist Assumption:

Outsourcing is trade (of labor), and trade is beneficial.

Source: Balance of Payment Statistics Yearbook, IMF

Outsourcing (2002)

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$45,000

$50,000

Ger

man

y

US

Japa

n

Net

herla

nds

Ital

y

Fra

nce

UK

Indi

a

Chi

na

Rus

sia

Mil

lio

ns

curr

ent

$

Outsourcing as Fraction of GDP (2002)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Ang

ola

Con

go (

Rep

. of

)

Moz

ambi

que

Irel

and

Van

uatu

Indi

a

Ger

man

y

Rus

sia

Fra

nce

UK

Chi

na

Japa

n

US

Source: Balance of Payment Statistics Yearbook, IMF

Insourcing less Outsourcing (2002)

($15,000)

($10,000)

($5,000)

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

UK

US

Hon

g K

ong

Indi

a

Sin

gapo

re

Chi

na

Fra

nce

Rus

sia

Ital

y

Kor

ea

Indo

nesi

a

Japa

n

Ger

man

y

Mil

lio

ns

curr

ent

$

Source: Balance of Payment Statistics Yearbook, IMF

Name two metrics that distinguish the first world

from the third world.

If you hit a light bulb with a hammer, will you make a

mess?

Source: United Nations International Financial Statistics and Heritage Foundation

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$45,000

1.0 126.0 251.0 376.0 501.0

Index of Economic Freedom (1 = Free, 5 = Repressed)

Per

-cap

ita

GD

P (

US

$)

2.0 3.0 4.0 5.01.0

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$45,000

1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0

Index of Economic Freedom (1 = Free, 5 = Repressed)

Per

-cap

ita

GD

P (

US

$)

Source: United Nations International Financial Statistics and Heritage Foundation

Political freedom makes economic freedom possible.

Economic freedom makes political freedom meaningful.