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Department of the Parliamentar y Librar y INFORMATION AND RESEARCH SERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

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Page 1: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Department of theParliamentary Library

I N F O R M A T I O N A N D R E S E A R C H S E R V I C E S

Current Issues BriefNo. 14 2000–01

Western Australian Election 2001:Statistical Analysis

Page 2: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

ISSN 1440-2009

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2001

Except to the extent of the uses permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part of this publication may bereproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means including information storage and retrieval systems,without the prior written consent of the Department of the Parliamentary Library, other than by Senators andMembers of the Australian Parliament in the course of their official duties.

This paper has been prepared for general distribution to Senators and Members of the Australian Parliament.While great care is taken to ensure that the paper is accurate and balanced, the paper is written usinginformation publicly available at the time of production. The views expressed are those of the author andshould not be attributed to the Information and Research Services (IRS). Advice on legislation or legalpolicy issues contained in this paper is provided for use in parliamentary debate and for relatedparliamentary purposes. This paper is not professional legal opinion. Readers are reminded that the paper isnot an official parliamentary or Australian government document. IRS staff are available to discuss thepaper's contents with Senators and Members and their staff but not with members of the public.

Published by the Department of the Parliamentary Library, 2001

Page 3: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

I N F O R M A T I O N A N D R E S E A R C H S E R V I C E S

Current Issues BriefNo. 14 2000–01

Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Gerard NewmanStatistics Group3 April 2001

Page 4: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Acknowledgments

The author would like to acknowledge the assistance of Louis Zampogna (Western Australian ElectoralCommission), Scott Bennett, Glenn Worthington, Geoff Winter, Judy Hutchinson and Jan Pearson for theirhelp in the production of this paper.

Enquires

Information and Research Services publications are available on the ParlInfo database.On the Internet the Department of the Parliamentary Library can be found at: http://www.aph.gov.au/library/

IRS Publications OfficeTelephone: (02) 6277 2778

Page 5: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Contents

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1

Table 1 Legislative Assembly: State Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2

Table 2a Legislative Assembly: Party Summary Number . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3

Table 2b Legislative Assembly: Party Summary Per cent. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Table 3 Legislative Assembly District Details . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7

Table 4 Legislative Assembly: Two Party Preferred Votes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Table 5 Legislative Assembly: Electoral Pendulum (a) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

Table 6 Legislative Council: State Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Table 7 Legislative Council: Region Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

Table 8 Legislative Council: Members Elected. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

Table 9 Legislative Council: Candidate Details . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

Table 10 Legislative Assembly Elections 1950–2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29

Appendix: Estimating the Direction of One Nation and Green Preferences . . . . . . . . . . 30

Page 6: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis
Page 7: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Party Symbols and Abbreviations

* Sitting member

# Party holding seat

AD Australian Democrats

ALP Australian Labor Party

CDP Christian Democratic Party

DLP Democratic Labor Party

GRN The Greens (WA)

IND Independents

LP Liberal Party

NP National Party

PHON Pauline Hanson's One Nation

Page 8: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis
Page 9: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

1

Introduction

This paper presents a statistical analysis of the Western Australian election held on10 February 2001. A descriptive account of the election has been previously published bythe Parliamentary Library in 'Western Australian Election 2001', Glenn Worthington,Current Issues Brief No. 10 2000–01.

The paper provides details of the result in each Legislative Assembly district and votes foreach candidate in the Legislative Council. Summary tables for first preference and twocandidate preferred votes are also provided.

An analysis of the destination of One Nation and Green preferences is contained in anappendix to the paper. The paper shows that despite receiving only 37.2 per cent of thefirst preference vote, the ALP easily won the election after receiving over 55 per cent ofsecond preference votes from other parties. The paper estimates that the ALP received51.8 per cent of One Nation preferences and 68.1 per cent of Green preferences.

Page 10: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

2

Table 1 Legislative Assembly: State SummaryFirst Preference Votes Change from 1996

CandidatesSeatsWon Number Per cent Seats Votes

Australian Labor Party 56 32 382 308 37.24 +13 +1.42

Liberal Party 54 16 319 927 31.16 -13 -8.74

National Party 11 5 33 450 3.26 -1 -2.53

Pauline Hanson's One Nation 54 98 321 9.58 +9.58

Greens WA 51 74 641 7.27 +2.54

Australian Democrats 38 27 102 2.64 -2.44

Christian Democratic Party 13 9 893 0.96 +0.96

Independents 89 4 81 078 7.90 +1 -0.77

Formal Votes 1 026 720 95.46 -0.15

Informal Votes 48 836 4.54 +0.15

Total/Turnout 366 57 1 075 556 90.56 +0.57

Electors Enrolled 1 187 629

Page 11: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

3

Table 2a Legislative Assembly: Party SummaryNumber

First Preference VotesDistrict ALP LP NP PHON GRN AD OTH

FormalVotes

InformalVotes Turnout

ElectorsEnrolled

Albany 3 960 4 141 2 035 1 060 1 335 12 531 561 13 092 14 262

Alfred Cove 7 150 1 177 1 471 618 11 383 21 799 758 22 557 24 585Armadale 10 055 2 980 1 339 613 7 018 22 005 1 308 23 313 25 575

Avon 2 847 1 905 2 965 2 202 657 1 314 11 890 522 12 412 13 408

Ballajura 11 549 9 452 1 405 993 593 544 24 536 1 300 25 836 27 771Bassendean 12 012 4 179 1 979 1 752 751 752 21 425 1 480 22 905 25 104

Belmont 11 363 5 360 2 375 1 253 909 673 21 933 1 383 23 316 25 661

Bunbury 4 092 4 260 1 233 749 149 1 296 11 779 548 12 327 13 588Burrup 4 899 2 453 993 519 8 864 358 9 222 10 793

Carine 5 248 9 746 1 229 1 439 676 3 658 21 996 845 22 841 24 784

Churchlands 3 437 5 583 1 229 411 10 408 21 068 602 21 670 23 788Cockburn 12 527 5 453 1 722 2 610 912 23 224 1 447 24 671 26 575

Collie 4 162 1 897 2 922 1 811 844 354 11 990 588 12 578 13 424

Cottesloe 4 946 11 034 1 138 3 046 1 104 21 268 600 21 868 24 621Darling Range 7 231 8 274 2 248 1 874 926 2 381 22 934 978 23 912 25 798

Dawesville 5 402 6 140 1 890 929 512 14 873 531 15 404 17 117

Eyre 3 143 1 922 1 310 1 036 7 411 347 7 758 9 415Fremantle 9 518 4 941 979 3 434 694 585 20 151 1 558 21 709 24 341

Geraldton 2 705 2 469 935 2 121 1 867 10 097 489 10 586 11 805

Girrawheen 10 598 4 521 1 637 1 204 636 981 19 577 1 304 20 881 23 169Greenough 2 589 4 439 1 279 3 455 783 12 545 405 12 950 14 340

Hillarys 8 359 9 570 1 660 2 287 764 1 233 23 873 1 123 24 996 27 334

Innaloo 8 832 7 622 1 116 1 756 794 1 218 21 338 1 179 22 517 25 196Joondalup 9 742 10 124 1 788 2 345 810 1 072 25 881 1 124 27 005 29 297

Kalgoorlie 4 168 4 160 1 122 401 862 10 713 455 11 168 12 987

Kimberley 4 035 1 545 1 527 1 003 424 1 020 9 554 466 10 020 13 445Kingsley 7 788 9 585 1 565 1 426 865 1 654 22 883 1 018 23 901 25 569

Mandurah 5 077 4 394 1 586 626 901 12 584 413 12 997 14 071

Maylands 10 549 5 818 1 209 1 755 813 700 20 844 1 271 22 115 24 736Merredin 1 761 6 339 2 283 341 511 11 235 443 11 678 12 666

Midland 10 874 5 689 2 539 1 916 793 944 22 755 1 348 24 103 26 512

Mitchell 4 537 7 475 1 742 897 185 491 15 327 529 15 856 17 283Moore 2 021 4 108 1 811 2 749 561 11 250 431 11 681 12 527

Murdoch 6 943 10 430 2 308 1 442 21 123 790 21 913 23 967

Murray-Wellington 3 826 4 690 2 656 1 586 12 758 658 13 416 14 463Nedlands 3 856 9 948 546 1 353 656 3 869 20 228 530 20 758 23 575

Ningaloo 2 666 3 059 1 263 396 103 517 8 004 289 8 293 10 100

Nollamara 11 243 5 259 1 506 1 140 581 322 20 051 1 577 21 628 23 891Peel 14 509 5 962 3 480 2 021 747 760 27 479 1 049 28 528 31 357

Perth 8 423 5 918 766 2 031 819 504 18 461 1 163 19 624 22 492

Pilbara 1 782 821 416 3 626 6 645 307 6 952 10 162Riverton 8 136 8 057 1 189 1 669 782 1 449 21 282 803 22 085 24 041

Rockingham 11 136 5 180 2 486 1 219 579 140 20 740 1 025 21 765 23 769

Roe 1 931 2 524 4 430 2 553 458 11 896 387 12 283 13 448Roleystone 8 759 7 385 2 654 2 109 772 1 101 22 780 1 182 23 962 26 144

South Perth 4 943 6 251 1 326 676 7 502 20 698 599 21 297 23 877

Southern River 11 153 9 682 2 562 1 413 678 2 002 27 490 1 457 28 947 31 498Stirling 2 244 4 572 2 182 1 542 1 705 12 245 407 12 652 13 776

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Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

4

Table 2a Legislative Assembly: Party Summary continuedNumber

First Preference VotesDistrict ALP LP NP PHON GRN AD OTH

FormalVotes

InformalVotes Turnout

ElectorsEnrolled

Swan Hills 8 319 9 032 2 798 3 048 967 1 422 25 586 1 104 26 690 28 806

Thornlie 10 268 5 730 2 305 1 062 636 1 317 21 318 1 231 22 549 24 674Vasse 3 619 4 481 3 481 1 856 1 206 431 15 074 535 15 609 16 900

Victoria Park 10 833 5 612 1 417 1 685 825 487 20 859 1 078 21 937 24 800

Wagin 1 758 2 951 3 189 2 237 420 846 11 401 472 11 873 12 674Wanneroo 14 126 11 352 3 221 1 880 974 1 408 32 961 1 942 34 903 37 720

Warren-Blackwood 2 338 6 732 1 620 1 853 1 580 14 123 443 14 566 15 742

Willagee 10 878 5 535 1 517 2 064 662 20 656 1 046 21 702 23 843Yokine 8 593 7 927 810 1 759 756 884 20 729 1 050 21 779 24 363

Total 382 308 319 927 33 450 98 321 74 641 27 102 90 971 1 026 720 48 836 1 075 556 1 187 629

Regions:

Metropolitan 295 868 237 826 54 486 59 152 25 572 68 371 741 275 37 206 778 481 855 390

Non-Metropolitan 86 440 82 101 33 450 43 835 15 489 1 530 22 600 285 445 11 630 297 075 332 239

Page 13: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

5

Table 2b Legislative Assembly: Party SummaryPer cent

First Preference VotesDistrict ALP LP NP PHON GRN AD OTH

FormalVotes

InformalVotes Turnout

Albany 31.6 33.0 16.2 8.5 10.7 95.7 4.3 91.8

Alfred Cove 32.8 5.4 6.7 2.8 52.2 96.6 3.4 91.8Armadale 45.7 13.5 6.1 2.8 31.9 94.4 5.6 91.2

Avon 23.9 16.0 24.9 18.5 5.5 11.1 95.8 4.2 92.6

Ballajura 47.1 38.5 5.7 4.0 2.4 2.2 95.0 5.0 93.0Bassendean 56.1 19.5 9.2 8.2 3.5 3.5 93.5 6.5 91.2

Belmont 51.8 24.4 10.8 5.7 4.1 3.1 94.1 5.9 90.9

Bunbury 34.7 36.2 10.5 6.4 1.3 11.0 95.6 4.4 90.7Burrup 55.3 27.7 11.2 5.9 96.1 3.9 85.4

Carine 23.9 44.3 5.6 6.5 3.1 16.6 96.3 3.7 92.2

Churchlands 16.3 26.5 5.8 2.0 49.4 97.2 2.8 91.1Cockburn 53.9 23.5 7.4 11.2 3.9 94.1 5.9 92.8

Collie 34.7 15.8 24.4 15.1 7.0 3.0 95.3 4.7 93.7

Cottesloe 23.3 51.9 5.4 14.3 5.2 97.3 2.7 88.8Darling Range 31.5 36.1 9.8 8.2 4.0 10.4 95.9 4.1 92.7

Dawesville 36.3 41.3 12.7 6.2 3.4 96.6 3.4 90.0

Eyre 42.4 25.9 17.7 14.0 95.5 4.5 82.4Fremantle 47.2 24.5 4.9 17.0 3.4 2.9 92.8 7.2 89.2

Geraldton 26.8 24.5 9.3 21.0 18.5 95.4 4.6 89.7

Girrawheen 54.1 23.1 8.4 6.2 3.2 5.0 93.8 6.2 90.1Greenough 20.6 35.4 10.2 27.5 6.2 96.9 3.1 90.3

Hillarys 35.0 40.1 7.0 9.6 3.2 5.2 95.5 4.5 91.4

Innaloo 41.4 35.7 5.2 8.2 3.7 5.7 94.8 5.2 89.4Joondalup 37.6 39.1 6.9 9.1 3.1 4.1 95.8 4.2 92.2

Kalgoorlie 38.9 38.8 10.5 3.7 8.0 95.9 4.1 86.0

Kimberley 42.2 16.2 16.0 10.5 4.4 10.7 95.3 4.7 74.5Kingsley 34.0 41.9 6.8 6.2 3.8 7.2 95.7 4.3 93.5

Mandurah 40.3 34.9 12.6 5.0 7.2 96.8 3.2 92.4

Maylands 50.6 27.9 5.8 8.4 3.9 3.4 94.3 5.7 89.4Merredin 15.7 56.4 20.3 3.0 4.5 96.2 3.8 92.2

Midland 47.8 25.0 11.2 8.4 3.5 4.1 94.4 5.6 90.9

Mitchell 29.6 48.8 11.4 5.9 1.2 3.2 96.7 3.3 91.7Moore 18.0 36.5 16.1 24.4 5.0 96.3 3.7 93.2

Murdoch 32.9 49.4 10.9 6.8 96.4 3.6 91.4

Murray-Wellington 30.0 36.8 20.8 12.4 95.1 4.9 92.8Nedlands 19.1 49.2 2.7 6.7 3.2 19.1 97.4 2.6 88.1

Ningaloo 33.3 38.2 15.8 4.9 1.3 6.5 96.5 3.5 82.1

Nollamara 56.1 26.2 7.5 5.7 2.9 1.6 92.7 7.3 90.5Peel 52.8 21.7 12.7 7.4 2.7 2.8 96.3 3.7 91.0

Perth 45.6 32.1 4.1 11.0 4.4 2.7 94.1 5.9 87.2

Pilbara 26.8 12.4 6.3 54.6 95.6 4.4 68.4Riverton 38.2 37.9 5.6 7.8 3.7 6.8 96.4 3.6 91.9

Rockingham 53.7 25.0 12.0 5.9 2.8 0.7 95.3 4.7 91.6

Roe 16.2 21.2 37.2 21.5 3.9 96.8 3.2 91.3Roleystone 38.5 32.4 11.7 9.3 3.4 4.8 95.1 4.9 91.7

South Perth 23.9 30.2 6.4 3.3 36.2 97.2 2.8 89.2

Southern River 40.6 35.2 9.3 5.1 2.5 7.3 95.0 5.0 91.9Stirling 18.3 37.3 17.8 12.6 13.9 96.8 3.2 91.8

Page 14: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

6

Table 2b Legislative Assembly: Party Summary continuedPer cent

First Preference VotesDistrict ALP LP NP PHON GRN AD OTH

FormalVotes

InformalVotes Turnout

Swan Hills 32.5 35.3 10.9 11.9 3.8 5.6 95.9 4.1 92.7

Thornlie 48.2 26.9 10.8 5.0 3.0 6.2 94.5 5.5 91.4Vasse 24.0 29.7 23.1 12.3 8.0 2.9 96.6 3.4 92.4

Victoria Park 51.9 26.9 6.8 8.1 4.0 2.3 95.1 4.9 88.5

Wagin 15.4 25.9 28.0 19.6 3.7 7.4 96.0 4.0 93.7Wanneroo 42.9 34.4 9.8 5.7 3.0 4.3 94.4 5.6 92.5

Warren-Blackwood 16.6 47.7 11.5 13.1 11.2 97.0 3.0 92.5

Willagee 52.7 26.8 7.3 10.0 3.2 95.2 4.8 91.0Yokine 41.5 38.2 3.9 8.5 3.6 4.3 95.2 4.8 89.4

Total 37.2 31.2 3.3 9.6 7.3 2.6 8.9 95.5 4.5 90.6

Regions:

Metropolitan 39.9 32.1 7.4 8.0 3.4 9.2 95.2 4.8 91.0

Non-Metropolitan 30.3 28.8 11.7 15.4 5.4 0.5 7.9 96.1 3.9 89.4

Page 15: Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical AnalysisI NFORMATION AND R ESEARCH S ERVICES Current Issues Brief No. 14 2000–01 Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

7

Table 3 Legislative Assembly District DetailsAlbany Enrolled 14 262

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesEvers IND 1 001 8.0 +8.0Watson ALP 3 960 31.6 -2.2Davis GRN 1 060 8.5 +8.5Watson IND 334 2.7 +2.7Simpson PHON 2 035 16.2 +16.2Prince * LP 4 141 33.0 -24.9

Two Party PreferredWatson ALP 6 660 53.7 +15.6Prince * LP 5 748 46.3 -15.6

Formal 12 531 95.7Informal 561 4.3Turnout 13 092 91.8

Alfred Cove Enrolled 24 585

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesShave * LP 7 150 32.8 -17.1Woollard IND 4 425 20.3 +20.3Grayden IND 958 4.4 +4.4Peak GRN 1 471 6.7 +6.7Brailey IND 4 390 20.1 +20.1Paterson AD 618 2.8 +2.8Markham CDP 388 1.8 +1.8Corbett PHON 1 177 5.4 +5.4Neesham IND 1 222 5.6 +5.6

Two Candidate PreferredShave * LP 9 210 42.6Woollard IND 12 396 57.4

Formal 21 799 96.6Informal 758 3.4Turnout 22 557 91.8

Armadale Enrolled 25 575

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesStubbs IND 5 328 24.2 +24.2Butler PHON 2 980 13.5 +13.5MacTiernan * ALP 10 055 45.7 +1.3Hoare AD 613 2.8 -2.8Chovojka GRN 1 339 6.1 +6.1Goiran CDP 1 372 6.2 +6.2Cortis IND 318 1.3 +1.3

Two Candidate PreferredStubbs IND 9 342 42.9MacTiernan * ALP 12 459 57.1

Formal 22 005 94.4Informal 1 308 5.6Turnout 23 313 91.2

Avon Enrolled 13 408

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesMorton IND 1 026 8.6 +8.6Burges LP 1 905 16.0 +16.0Collins PHON 2 202 18.5 +18.5Smith IND 288 2.4 +2.4Shearer ALP 2 847 23.9 -3.7Trenorden * NP 2 965 24.9 -36.0Elsey GRN 657 5.5 +5.5

Two Party PreferredShearer ALP 5 269 45.2 +12.0Trenorden * NP 6 395 54.8 -12.0

Formal 11 890 95.8Informal 522 4.2Turnout 12 412 92.6

Ballajura Enrolled 27 771

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesParker * LP 9 452 38.5 -5.0Meotti AD 593 2.4 -0.7Evans PHON 1 405 5.7 +5.7Jeffreys GRN 993 4.0 +0.7D'Orazio ALP 11 549 47.1 +6.6Cranley CDP 544 2.2 +2.2

Two Party PreferredParker * LP 11 007 45.0 -5.1D'Orazio ALP 13 428 55.0 +5.1

Formal 24 536 95.0Informal 1 300 5.0Turnout 25 836 93.0

Bassendean Enrolled 25 104

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesLewis GRN 1 752 8.2 +8.2Fox AD 751 3.5 -9.0Somasunderam LP 4 179 19.5 -13.8Vinciullo PHON 1 979 9.2 +9.2Brown * ALP 12 012 56.1 +1.9Tapley CDP 752 3.5 +3.5

Two Party PreferredSomasunderam LP 6 562 30.9 -7.1Brown * ALP 14 707 69.1 +7.1

Formal 21 425 93.5Informal 1 480 6.5Turnout 22 905 91.2

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Western Australian Election 2001: Statistical Analysis

Table 3 Legislative Assembly District Details

8

Belmont Enrolled 25 661

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesAguero AD 909 4.1 -2.6Ripper * ALP 11 363 51.8 +3.8Godfrey LP 5 360 24.4 -12.5Holdom GRN 1 253 5.7 -2.7Gaugg PHON 2 375 10.8 +10.8Crook CDP 673 3.1 +3.1

Two Party PreferredRipper * ALP 14 049 64.7 +7.2Godfrey LP 7 659 35.3 -7.2

Formal 21 933 94.1Informal 1 383 5.9Turnout 23 316 90.9

Bunbury Enrolled 13 588

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesDean ALP 4 092 34.7 +1.2Osborne * LP 4 260 36.2 -11.5Palmer GRN 749 6.4 +1.2Hellyer AD 149 1.3 -1.0Geoffrey IND 52 0.4 +0.4Bussell IND 68 0.6 +0.6Lupi IND 48 0.4 +0.4Kelly IND 1 128 9.6 +9.6Giorgi PHON 1 233 10.5 +10.5

Two Party PreferredDean ALP 6 020 51.5 +6.8Osborne * LP 5 674 48.5 -6.8

Formal 11 779 95.6Informal 548 4.4Turnout 12 327 90.7

Burrup Enrolled 10 793

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesRiebeling * ALP 4 899 55.3 +7.8Ryan GRN 519 5.9 +5.9Vandenberg LP 2 453 27.7 -11.1Dempsey PHON 993 11.2 +11.2

Two Party PreferredRiebeling * ALP 5 749 65.0 +13.3Vandenberg LP 3 091 35.0 -13.3

Formal 8 864 96.1Informal 358 3.9Turnout 9 222 85.4

Carine Enrolled 24 784

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesMoran CDP 668 3.0 +3.0Bell IND 180 0.8 +0.8Hodson-Thomas * LP 9 746 44.3 -2.2Kumar ALP 5 248 23.9 +7.2Farren GRN 1 439 6.5 +0.0Van Noort AD 676 3.1 +3.1Clarke IND 2 810 12.8 +12.8Evans PHON 1 229 5.6 +5.6

Two Party PreferredHodson-Thomas * LP 13 110 60.0 -8.8Kumar ALP 8 746 40.0 +8.8

Formal 21 996 96.3Informal 845 3.7Turnout 22 841 92.2

Churchlands Enrolled 23 788

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesAnderton LP 5 583 26.5 +26.5Heedes GRN 1 229 5.8 +5.8Minorgan CDP 594 2.8 +2.8Constable * IND 9 814 46.6 -36.6Michael ALP 3 437 16.3 -0.5Emerson AD 411 2.0 +2.0

Two Candidate PreferredAnderton LP 6 470 30.8Constable * IND 14 557 69.2

Formal 21 068 97.2Informal 602 2.8Turnout 21 670 91.1

Cockburn Enrolled 26 575

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesLogan # ALP 12 527 53.9 +3.0Smedley GRN 2 610 11.2 +2.6Gier PHON 1 722 7.4 +7.4Comley LP 5 453 23.5 -10.0Donaldson AD 912 3.9 -3.1

Two Party PreferredLogan # ALP 15 693 68.3 +7.7Comley LP 7 289 31.7 -7.7

Formal 23 224 94.1Informal 1 447 5.9Turnout 24 671 92.8

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Western Australian Election 2001

Table 3 Legislative Assembly District Details

9

Collie Enrolled 13 424

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesMurphy GRN 844 7.0 +7.0Hough PHON 1 811 15.1 +15.1Murray ALP 4 162 34.7 -6.0Marciano IND 191 1.6 +1.6Thomas LP 1 897 15.8 +15.8Turnbull * NP 2 922 24.4 -34.9Williams IND 163 1.4 +1.4

Two Party PreferredMurray ALP 5 947 50.1 +9.4Turnbull * NP 5 913 49.9 -9.4

Formal 11 990 95.3Informal 588 4.7Turnout 12 578 93.7

Cottesloe Enrolled 24 621

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesKenworthy PHON 1 138 5.4 +5.4Walker GRN 3 046 14.3 +0.5Nield ALP 4 946 23.3 +5.2Barnett * LP 11 034 51.9 -8.6Winchester AD 1 104 5.2 -2.3

Two Party PreferredNield ALP 8 189 38.7 +8.5Barnett * LP 12 998 61.3 -8.5

Formal 21 268 97.3Informal 600 2.7Turnout 21 868 88.8

Darling Range Enrolled 25 798

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesHall GRN 1 874 8.2 -0.4Lindsey IND 2 381 10.4 +10.4Greig PHON 2 248 9.8 +9.8Kelly AD 926 4.0 -5.0Stallard ALP 7 231 31.5 +4.0Day * LP 8 274 36.1 -18.8

Two Party PreferredStallard ALP 11 280 49.7 +12.6Day * LP 11 417 50.3 -12.6

Formal 22 934 95.9Informal 978 4.1Turnout 23 912 92.7

Dawesville Enrolled 17 117

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesHughes ALP 5 402 36.3 +3.2Bartley GRN 929 6.2 +6.2Marshall * LP 6 140 41.3 -8.7Pember IND 512 3.4 +3.4Dacheff PHON 1 890 12.7 +12.7

Two Party PreferredHughes ALP 6 957 47.1 +7.0Marshall * LP 7 812 52.9 -7.0

Formal 14 873 96.6Informal 531 3.4Turnout 15 404 90.0

Eyre Enrolled 9 415

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesWilliams IND 1 036 14.0 +14.0Ayers LP 1 922 25.9 +4.6Bowler # ALP 3 143 42.4 -14.8Smith PHON 1 310 17.7 +17.7

Two Party PreferredAyers LP 3 092 42.1 +3.1Bowler # ALP 4 252 57.9 -3.1

Formal 7 411 95.5Informal 347 4.5Turnout 7 758 82.4

Fremantle Enrolled 24 341

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesRatcliffe IND 383 1.9 +1.9Parker IND 90 0.4 +0.4McGinty * ALP 9 518 47.2 +1.4Alexander GRN 3 434 17.0 +2.5Johnston PHON 979 4.9 +4.9Scolaro LP 4 941 24.5 -8.1Benbow IND 112 0.6 +0.6Hall AD 694 3.4 -3.7

Two Party PreferredMcGinty * ALP 13 448 67.2 +5.9Scolaro LP 6 553 32.8 -5.9

Formal 20 151 92.8Informal 1 558 7.2Turnout 21 709 89.2

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10

Geraldton Enrolled 11 805

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesAshplant IND 295 2.9 +2.9Paravicini PHON 2 121 21.0 +21.0Flanigan NP 935 9.3 +9.3Walton IND 107 1.1 +1.1Bloffwitch * LP 2 469 24.5 -25.8Douglas IND 79 0.8 +0.9Hill ALP 2 705 26.8 -8.2Sharp IND 19 0.2 +0.2Prolston IND 61 0.6 +0.6Gyorgy IND 8 0.1 +0.1Healy IND 1 298 12.9 +12.9

Two Party PreferredBloffwitch * LP 4 538 45.7 -11.3Hill ALP 5 393 54.3 +11.3

Formal 10 097 95.4Informal 489 4.6Turnout 10 586 89.7

Girrawheen Enrolled 23 169

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesAdams LP 4 521 23.1 -9.5Quirk # ALP 10 598 54.1 -1.8Mynard IND 981 5.0 +5.0Kerr AD 636 3.2 -8.3Nebro PHON 1 637 8.4 +8.4Navarro GRN 1 204 6.2 +6.2

Two Party PreferredAdams LP 6 086 31.6 -5.8Quirk # ALP 13 197 68.4 +5.8

Formal 19 577 93.8Informal 1 304 6.2Turnout 20 881 90.1

Greenough Enrolled 14 340

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesMcCagh PHON 3 455 27.5 +27.5Altham NP 1 279 10.2 +10.2Bone ALP 2 589 20.6 -7.3Edwards # LP 4 439 35.4 -36.7Whitehead IND 783 6.2 +6.2

Two Candidate PreferredMcCagh PHON 5 057 40.7Edwards # LP 7 367 59.3

Formal 12 545 96.9Informal 405 3.1Turnout 12 950 90.3

Hillarys Enrolled 27 334

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesHands IND 553 2.3 +2.3Allen ALP 8 359 35.0 +2.2Chapman CDP 680 2.8 +2.8Roy GRN 2 287 9.6 +9.6Oliver AD 764 3.2 -10.6Collins PHON 1 660 7.0 +7.0Johnson* LP 9 570 40.1 -13.2

Two Party PreferredAllen ALP 11 616 49.0 +8.9Johnson * LP 12 111 51.0 -8.9

Formal 23 873 95.5Informal 1 123 4.5Turnout 24 996 91.4

Innaloo Enrolled 25 196

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesBeaver IND 1 218 5.7 +5.7Quigley ALP 8 832 41.4 +5.8McCurry # LP 7 622 35.7 -10.4Lister GRN 1 756 8.2 +0.6Grove PHON 1 116 5.2 +5.2Brown AD 794 3.7 -2.7

Two Party PreferredQuigley ALP 11 554 54.5 +8.5McCurry # LP 9 652 45.5 -8.5

Formal 21 338 94.8Informal 1 179 5.2Turnout 22 517 89.4

Joondalup Enrolled 29 297

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesSawyer CDP 818 3.2 +3.2Mortimer IND 254 1.0 +1.0Baker * LP 10 124 39.1 -8.4Radisich PHON 1 788 6.9 +6.9Magyar GRN 2 345 9.1 +2.2Gilfillan AD 810 3.1 -2.5O'Gorman ALP 9 742 37.6 +2.6

Two Party PreferredBaker * LP 12 649 49.2 -6.3O'Gorman ALP 13 035 50.8 +6.3

Formal 25 881 95.8Informal 1 124 4.2Turnout 27 005 92.2

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Kalgoorlie Enrolled 12 987

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesAnwyl * ALP 4 168 38.9 -7.8Botica GRN 401 3.7 +3.7Birney LP 4 160 38.8 +6.6Griffin IND 392 3.7 +3.7Burt IND 138 1.3 +1.3Green IND 332 3.1 +3.1Hopkins PHON 1 122 10.5 +10.5

Two Party PreferredAnwyl * ALP 5 205 48.9 -5.5Birney LP 5 447 51.1 +5.5

Formal 10 713 95.9Informal 455 4.1Turnout 11 168 86.0

Kimberley Enrolled 13 445

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesMcCumstie NP 1 527 16.0 +7.2Wevers IND 865 9.1 +9.1Martin ALP 4 035 42.2 +42.2Boys PHON 1 003 10.5 +10.5Terry IND 155 1.6 +1.6Page LP 1 545 16.2 -11.9Nikulinsky GRN 424 4.4 +4.4

Two Party PreferredMartin ALP 5 756 60.5Page LP 3 752 39.5

Formal 9 554 95.3Informal 466 4.7Turnout 10 020 74.5

Kingsley Enrolled 25 569

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesEdwardes * LP 9 585 41.9 -12.5Dell IND 823 3.6 +3.6Lock AD 865 3.8 -9.4Mansell PHON 1 565 6.8 +6.8Davies ALP 7 788 34.0 +1.5Tyley GRN 1 426 6.2 +6.2Ewers CDP 831 3.6 +3.6

Two Party PreferredEdwardes * LP 12 027 52.9 -7.3Davies ALP 10 710 47.1 +7.3

Formal 22 883 95.7Informal 1 018 4.3Turnout 23 901 93.5

Mandurah Enrolled 14 071

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesFrancis GRN 626 5.0 -0.1Smith IND 216 1.7 -3.8Suter PHON 1 586 12.6 +12.6Templeman ALP 5 077 40.3 +1.0Hatch IND 685 5.4 +5.4Nicholls * LP 4 394 34.9 -12.6

Two Party PreferredTempleman ALP 6 856 54.9 +7.9Nicholls * LP 5 629 55.1 -7.9

Formal 12 584 96.8Informal 413 3.2Turnout 12 997 92.4

Maylands Enrolled 24 736

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesGray IND 259 1.2 +1.2Brennan LP 5 818 27.9 -9.4Goulthorp PHON 1 209 5.8 +5.8Glenn GRN 1 755 8.4 -0.6Edwards * ALP 10 549 50.6 +3.6Phillips-Ryder AD 813 3.9 -2.8Ellis IND 441 2.1 +2.1

Two Party PreferredBrennan LP 7 378 35.5 -7.4Edwards * ALP 13 391 64.5 +7.4

Formal 20 844 94.3Informal 1 271 5.7Turnout 22 115 89.4

Merredin Enrolled 12 666

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesIvey ALP 1 761 15.7 -3.1Feffreys GRN 341 3.0 +3.0Cowan IND 307 2.7 +2.7McKay PHON 2 283 20.3 +20.3Cowan * NP 6 339 56.4 -24.8Payne IND 204 1.8 +1.8

Two Candidate PreferredMcKay PHON 3 326 29.7Cowan * NP 7 872 70.3

Formal 11 235 96.2Informal 443 3.8Turnout 11 678 92.2

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Table 3 Legislative Assembly District Details

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Midland Enrolled 26 512

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesBremmer GRN 1 916 8.4 +8.4Roberts * ALP 10 874 47.8 +0.7Burt IND 142 0.6 +0.6Markham AD 793 3.5 -9.7Gunnyon PHON 2 539 11.2 +11.2James LP 5 689 25.0 -14.8Bucknell IND 204 0.9 +0.9Cusworth IND 421 1.9 +1.9Eadon-Clarke IND 177 0.8 +0.8

Two Party PreferredRoberts * ALP 14 306 63.5 +9.2James LP 8 219 36.5 -9.2

Formal 22 755 94.4Informal 1 348 5.6Turnout 24 103 90.9

Mitchell Enrolled 17 283

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesSullivan * LP 7 475 48.8 +0.6Konnecke PHON 1 742 11.4 +11.4Hellyer AD 185 1.2 -1.0Slater IND 267 1.7 +1.7Lane ALP 4 537 29.6 -11.8Kearsley IND 224 1.5 +1.5Gubler GRN 897 5.9 +0.4

Two Party PreferredSullivan * LP 8 866 58.2 +5.0Lane ALP 6 367 41.8 -5.0

Formal 15 327 96.7Informal 529 3.3Turnout 15 856 91.7

Moore Enrolled 12 527

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesGlamorgan GRN 561 5.0 +5.0Peters PHON 2 749 24.4 +24.4McNee * LP 4 108 36.5 -41.4West ALP 2 021 18.0 -4.1Metcalf NP 1 811 16.1 +16.1

Two Candidate PreferredPeters PHON 4 148 37.1McNee * LP 7 033 62.9

Formal 11 250 96.3Informal 431 3.7Turnout 11 681 93.2

Murdoch Enrolled 23 967

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesPestana AD 1 442 6.8 +6.8Waugh ALP 6 943 32.9 +6.1Board * LP 10 430 49.4 -10.6McGeorge GRN 2 308 10.9 -2.2

Two Party PreferredWaugh ALP 9 144 43.4 +8.5Board * LP 11 906 56.6 -8.5

Formal 21 123 96.4Informal 790 3.6Turnout 21 913 91.4

Murray-Wellington Enrolled 14 463

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesBriggs ALP 3 826 30.0 0.0Dacheff PHON 2 656 20.8 +20.8McCarthy IND 451 3.5 +3.5Bradshaw * LP 4 690 36.8 -17.9Campbell IND 1 135 8.9 +8.9

Two Party PreferredBriggs ALP 5 926 47.0 +9.0Bradshaw * LP 6 695 53.0 -9.0

Formal 12 758 95.1Informal 658 4.9Turnout 13 416 92.8

Nedlands Enrolled 23 575

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesCourt * LP 9 948 49.2 -7.4Greypower IND 181 0.9 +0.9Buckle AD 656 3.2 -4.6Jeffreys GRN 1 353 6.7 -4.4Davenport IND 3 688 18.2 +18.2Edgar PHON 546 2.7 +2.7Roberts ALP 3 856 19.1 -0.8

Two Candidate PreferredCourt * LP 11 079 54.9Davenport IND 9 089 45.1

Formal 20 228 97.4Informal 530 2.6Turnout 20 758 88.1

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Ningaloo Enrolled 10 100

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesOgden ALP 2 666 33.3 -8.3Lindsay AD 103 1.3 -1.2Sweetman * LP 3 059 38.2 +2.2Cope PHON 1 263 15.8 +15.8Blinkhorn GRN 396 4.9 -1.5Fullarton IND 517 6.5 +6.5

Two Party PreferredOgden ALP 3 781 47.6 -1.7Sweetman * LP 4 157 52.4 +1.7

Formal 8 004 96.5Informal 289 3.5Turnout 8 293 82.1

Nollamara Enrolled 23 891

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesAnderson PHON 1 506 7.5 +7.5Kobelke * ALP 11 243 56.1 +2.2Gray LP 5 259 26.2 -10.7Davies GRN 1 140 5.7 +5.7Demirkol IND 322 1.6 +1.6McCutcheon AD 581 2.9 -6.3

Two Party PreferredKobelke * ALP 13 385 67.3 +8.4Gray LP 6 512 32.7 -8.4

Formal 20 051 92.7Informal 1 577 7.3Turnout 21 628 90.5

Peel Enrolled 31 357

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesHolmes PHON 3 480 12.7 +12.7Wootton LP 5 962 21.7 +5.2McGinniss GRN 2 021 7.4 0.0Wakeford AD 747 2.7 -2.4Grafton IND 107 0.4 +0.4Vickers IND 299 1.1 +1.1Small IND 354 1.3 +1.3Marlborough * ALP 14 509 52.8 -0.7

Two Party PreferredWootton LP 9 040 33.5 -5.3Marlborough * ALP 17 984 66.5 +5.3

Formal 27 479 96.3Informal 1 049 3.7Turnout 28 528 91.0

Perth Enrolled 22 492

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesHakesley PHON 766 4.1 +4.1Re IND 103 0.6 +0.6Jorquera IND 98 0.5 +0.5Lee GRN 2 031 11.0 -0.5Chambers IND 303 1.6 +1.6Hubbard AD 819 4.4 +4.4Hyde # ALP 8 423 45.6 -1.4Boyle LP 5 918 32.1 -5.0

Two Party PreferredHyde # ALP 11 263 61.3 +3.4Boyle LP 7 123 38.7 -3.4

Formal 18 461 94.1Informal 1 163 5.9Turnout 19 624 87.2

Pilbara Enrolled 10 162

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesOrmsby ALP 1 782 26.8 -37.0Graham * IND 3 626 54.6 +54.6Ness PHON 416 6.3 +6.3Liedel LP 821 12.4 -16.9

Two Candidate PreferredOrmsby ALP 2 038 30.8Graham * IND 4 571 69.2

Formal 6 645 95.6Informal 307 4.4Turnout 6 952 68.4

Riverton Enrolled 24 041

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesBekkers AD 782 3.7 -1.5Chen IND 517 2.4 +2.4Ashton GRN 1 669 7.8 +7.8Kierath * LP 8 057 37.9 -8.7McRae ALP 8 136 38.2 +10.0Konstek PHON 1 189 5.6 +5.6Matsen IND 932 4.4 +4.4

Two Party PreferredKierath * LP 9 940 47.0 -9.7McRae ALP 11 217 53.0 +9.7

Formal 21 282 96.4Informal 803 3.6Turnout 22 085 91.9

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Table 3 Legislative Assembly District Details

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Rockingham Enrolled 23 769

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesRichter AD 579 2.8 -1.3McGowan * ALP 11 136 53.7 +5.2Keel GRN 1 219 5.9 -0.1Heyes IND 140 0.7 +0.7Payne LP 5 180 25.0 -9.9Fiannaca PHON 2 486 12.0 +12.0

Two Party PreferredMcGowan * ALP 13 471 65.6 +8.1Payne LP 7 061 34.4 -8.1

Formal 20 740 95.3Informal 1 025 4.7Turnout 21 765 91.6

Roe Enrolled 13 448

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesBoni ALP 1 931 16.2 +5.8Leeder IND 458 3.9 +3.9Ainsworth * NP 4 430 37.2 -16.4Hodgkinson PHON 2 553 21.5 +21.5Fels LP 2 524 21.2 +21.2

Two Candidate PreferredAinsworth * NP 8 189 69.2Hodgkinson PHON 3 653 30.8

Formal 11 896 96.8Informal 387 3.2Turnout 12 283 91.3

Roleystone Enrolled 26 144

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesWhitely ALP 8 759 38.5 +5.7Love IND 363 1.6 +1.6Cox PHON 2 654 11.7 +11.7Beilby GRN 2 109 9.3 -1.2Tubby * LP 7 385 32.4 -15.9Cranfield AD 772 3.4 -4.9Watson CDP 738 3.2 +3.2

Two Party PreferredWhitely ALP 12 374 54.9 +12.1Tubby * LP 10 176 45.1 -12.1

Formal 22 780 95.1Informal 1 182 4.9Turnout 23 962 91.7

South Perth Enrolled 23 877

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesReynolds AD 676 3.3 +3.3Pendal * IND 6 375 30.8 -8.8Smith GRN 1 326 6.4 -0.8Allison IND 1 127 5.4 +5.4Murfin LP 6 251 30.2 -3.1Smith ALP 4 943 23.9 +4.1

Two Candidate PreferredPendal * IND 12 924 62.8 -1.4Murfin LP 7 671 37.2 +1.4

Formal 20 698 97.2Informal 599 2.8Turnout 21 297 89.2

Southern River Enrolled 31 498

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesAndrews ALP 11 153 40.6 -0.2Edmonds GRN 1 413 5.1 +5.1Shave CDP 959 3.5 +3.5Parker IND 467 1.7 +1.7Hopkins PHON 2 562 9.3 +9.3Craig AD 678 2.5 -3.1Holmes * LP 9 682 35.2 -8.4Davenport IND 576 2.1 +2.1

Two Party PreferredAndrews ALP 14 563 53.4 +4.9Holmes * LP 12 718 46.6 -4.9

Formal 27 490 95.0Informal 1 457 5.0Turnout 28 947 91.9

Stirling Enrolled 13 776

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesLlewellyn GRN 1 542 12.6 -0.1Bishop ALP 2 244 18.3 +1.8House * NP 4 572 37.3 -29.4Crowe PHON 2 182 17.8 +17.8Drummond IND 1 705 13.9 +13.9

Two Party PreferredBishop ALP 4 537 37.6 +11.7House * NP 7 540 62.4 -11.7

Formal 12 245 96.8Informal 407 3.2Turnout 12 652 91.8

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Swan Hills Enrolled 28 806

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesDavies GRN 3 048 11.9 +1.1Radisich ALP 8 319 32.5 +5.4Barrett AD 967 3.8 -4.3Whittaker PHON 2 798 10.9 +10.9Daw IND 1 422 5.6 +5.6van der Klashorst * LP 9 032 35.3 -15.9

Two Party PreferredRadisich ALP 13 182 52.0 +11.7van der Klashorst * LP 12 145 48.0 -11.7

Formal 25 586 95.9Informal 1 104 4.1Turnout 26 690 92.7

Thornlie Enrolled 24 674

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesMcHale * ALP 10 268 48.2 +6.1Koevort PHON 2 305 10.8 +10.8Ryan CDP 876 4.1 +4.1Crabbe AD 636 3.0 -4.2Brown LP 5 730 26.9 -16.2Sayed IND 441 2.1 +2.1McVicar GRN 1 062 5.0 -2.6

Two Party PreferredMcHale * ALP 12 740 60.4 +8.9Brown LP 8 364 39.6 -8.9

Formal 21 318 94.5Informal 1 231 5.5Turnout 22 549 91.4

Vasse Enrolled 16 900

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesPartridge AD 431 2.9 -0.7Embry PHON 1 856 12.3 +12.3Morgan NP 3 481 23.1 -0.1Bromell ALP 3 619 24.0 +7.3Franssen GRN 1 206 8.0 +8.0Masters * LP 4 481 29.7 -13.5

Two Party PreferredBromell ALP 6 648 44.5 +14.2Masters * LP 8 302 55.5 -14.2

Formal 15 074 96.6Informal 535 3.4Turnout 15 609 92.4

Victoria Park Enrolled 24 800

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesMiller GRN 1 685 8.1 +1.8Brown LP 5 612 26.9 -9.0David PHON 1 417 6.8 +6.8Mullane AD 825 4.0 -1.1Gallop * ALP 10 833 51.9 +4.2Fox IND 487 2.3 +2.3

Two Party PreferredBrown LP 7 503 36.2 -6.0Gallop * ALP 13 236 63.8 +6.0

Formal 20 859 95.1Informal 1 078 4.9Turnout 21 937 88.5

Wagin Enrolled 12 674

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesMadson ALP 1 758 15.4 -3.4Adams LP 2 951 25.9 +25.9Robinson IND 846 7.4 +7.4Jackson GRN 420 3.7 +3.7Meydam PHON 2 237 19.6 +19.6Waldron # NP 3 189 28.0 -46.3

Two Candidate PreferredAdams LP 4 969 44.1Waldron # NP 6 299 55.9

Formal 11 401 96.0Informal 472 4.0Turnout 11 873 93.7

Wanneroo Enrolled 37 720

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesFort IND 1 064 3.2 +3.2Holt PHON 3 221 9.8 +9.8MacLean * LP 11 352 34.4 -10.4Couzens IND 344 1.0 +1.0Castillo GRN 1 880 5.7 -2.3Guise ALP 14 126 42.9 +3.0Lock AD 974 3.0 -4.2

Two Party PreferredMacLean * LP 14 408 44.1 -7.5Guise ALP 18 266 55.9 +7.5

Formal 32 961 94.4Informal 1 942 5.6Turnout 34 903 92.5

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Table 3 Legislative Assembly District Details

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Warren-Blackwood Enrolled 15 742

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesRice IND 1 210 8.6 +8.6Davies IND 240 1.7 +1.7Keating ALP 2 338 16.6 -8.0Drake PHON 1 620 11.5 +11.5Martin IND 130 0.9 +0.9Lane GRN 1 853 13.1 +13.1Omodei * LP 6 732 47.7 -14.1

Two Party PreferredKeating ALP 4 944 35.6 +2.7Omodei * LP 8 955 64.4 -2.7

Formal 14 123 97.0Informal 443 3.0Turnout 14 566 92.5

Willagee Enrolled 23 843

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesJohnston GRN 2 064 10.0 +1.3Higgs PHON 1 517 7.3 +7.3Evans AD 662 3.2 -1.3Carpenter * ALP 10 878 52.7 +2.6Lewis LP 5 535 26.8 -9.9

Two Party PreferredCarpenter * ALP 13 499 65.7 +6.9Lewis LP 7 032 34.3 -6.9

Formal 20 656 95.2Informal 1 046 4.8Turnout 21 702 91.0

Yokine Enrolled 24 363

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First PreferencesHewett AD 756 3.6 -1.1Samuel IND 597 2.9 +2.9Aquilina GRN 1 759 8.5 +3.2Ring PHON 810 3.9 +3.9Hames * LP 7 927 38.2 -5.9Kucera ALP 8 593 41.5 +4.3Searle IND 287 1.4 +1.4

Two Party PreferredHames * LP 9 595 46.6 -6.6Kucera ALP 11 008 53.4 +6.6

Formal 20 729 95.2Informal 1 050 4.8Turnout 21 779 89.4

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Table 4 Legislative Assembly: Two Party Preferred Votes

ALP LP/NPSwing to

ALPDistrict No % No % %Albany 6 660 53.7 5 748 46.3 +15.6Alfred Cove (a) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.Armadale (a) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.Avon 5 269 45.2 6 395 54.8 +12.0Ballajura 13 428 55.0 11 007 45.0 +5.1Bassendean 14 707 69.1 6 562 30.9 +7.1Belmont 14 049 64.7 7 659 35.3 +7.2Bunbury 6 020 51.5 5 674 48.5 +6.8Burrup 5 749 65.0 3 091 35.0 +13.3Carine 8 746 40.0 13 110 60.0 +8.8Churchlands (b) 7 521 35.8 13 460 64.2 n.a.Cockburn 15 693 68.3 7 289 31.7 +7.7Collie 5 947 50.1 5 913 49.9 +9.4Cottesloe 8 189 38.7 12 998 61.3 +8.5Darling Range 11 280 49.7 11 417 50.3 +12.6Dawesville 6 957 47.1 7 812 52.9 +7.0Eyre 4 252 57.9 3 092 42.1 -3.1Fremantle 13 448 67.2 6 553 32.8 +5.9Geraldton 5 393 54.3 4 538 45.7 +11.3Girrawheen 13 197 68.4 6 086 31.6 +5.8Greenough (b) 5 008 40.6 7 322 59.4 +12.7Hillarys 11 616 49.0 12 111 51.0 +8.9Innaloo 11 554 54.5 9 652 45.5 +8.5Joondalup 13 035 50.8 12 649 49.2 +6.3Kalgoorlie 5 205 48.9 5 447 51.1 -5.5Kimberley 5 756 60.5 3 752 39.5 n.a.Kingsley 10 710 47.1 12 027 52.9 +7.3Mandurah 6 856 54.9 5 629 55.1 +7.9Maylands 13 391 64.5 7 378 35.5 +7.4Merredin (b) 3 400 30.7 7 679 69.3 +11.9Midland 14 306 63.5 8 219 36.5 +9.2Mitchell 6 367 41.8 8 866 58.2 -5.0Moore (b) 3 845 34.9 7 173 65.1 +12.8Murdoch 9 144 43.4 11 906 56.6 +8.5Murray-Wellington 5 926 47.0 6 695 53.0 +9.0Nedlands (b) 8 007 39.8 12 134 60.2 +4.7Ningaloo 3 781 47.6 4 157 52.4 -1.7Nollamara 13 385 67.3 6 512 32.7 +8.4Peel 17 984 66.5 9 040 33.5 +5.3Perth 11 263 61.3 7 123 38.7 +3.4Pilbara (b) 3 692 56.0 2 903 44.0 -9.7Riverton 11 217 53.0 9 940 47.0 +9.7Rockingham 13 471 65.6 7 061 34.4 +8.1Roe (b) 3 325 28.3 8 430 71.7 +11.1Roleystone 12 374 54.9 10 176 45.1 +12.1South Perth (b) 8 024 39.1 12 520 60.9 +5.3

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Table 4 Legislative Assembly: Two Party Preferred Votes continued

ALP LP/NPSwing to

ALPDistrict No % No % %Southern River 14 563 53.4 12 718 46.6 +4.9Stirling 4 537 37.6 7 540 62.4 +11.7Swan Hills 13 182 52.0 12 145 48.0 +11.7Thornlie 12 740 60.4 8 364 39.6 +8.9Vasse 6 648 44.5 8 302 55.5 +14.2Victoria Park 13 236 63.8 7 503 36.2 +6.0Wagin (b) 3 940 34.9 7 355 65.1 +13.6Wanneroo 18 266 55.9 14 408 44.1 +7.5Warren-Blackwood 4 944 35.6 8 955 64.4 +2.7Willagee 13 499 65.7 7 032 34.3 +6.9Yokine 11 008 53.4 9 595 46.6 +6.6 Total 515 710 52.9 458 822 47.1 +7.5

Regions:Metropolitan 382 734 55.3 309 322 44.7 +7.4Non-Metropolitan 132 976 47.1 149 500 52.9 +8.0

(a) Two party preferred vote figure not available.

(b) Two party preferred vote calculated by a recount of ballot papers by the Western Australian Electoral Commission

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Table 5 Legislative Assembly: Electoral Pendulum (a)

District % District % District %

ALP Seats LP/NP Seats Ind Seats

Bassendean 19.1 Merredin (NP) (b) 20.3 Churchlands (c) 19.2

Girrawheen 18.4 Roe (NP) (b) 19.2 Pilbara (e) 19.2

Cockburn 18.3 Warren-Blackwood 14.4 South Perth (c) 12.8

Nollamara 17.3 Moore 12.9 Alfred Cove (c) 7.4

Fremantle 17.2 Stirling (NP) 12.4

Peel 16.5 Cottesloe 11.3

Willagee 15.7 Carine 10.0

Rockingham 15.6 Greenough (b) 9.3

Burrup 15.0 Mitchell 8.2

Belmont 14.7 Murdoch 6.6

Maylands 14.5 Wagin (NP) (c) 5.9

Victoria Park 13.8 Vasse 5.5

Midland 13.5 Nedlands 4.9

Perth 11.3 Avon (NP) 4.8

Kimberley 10.5 Murray-Wellington 3.0

Thornlie 10.4 Dawesville 2.9

Eyre 7.9 Kingsley 2.9

Armadale (d) 7.1 Ningaloo 2.4

Wanneroo 5.9 Kalgoorlie 1.1

Ballajura 5.0 Hillarys 1.0

Mandurah 4.9 Darling Range 0.3

Roleystone 4.9

Innaloo 4.5

Geraldton 4.3

Albany 3.7

Southern River 3.4

Yokine 3.4

Riverton 3.0

Swan Hills 2.0

Bunbury 1.5

Joondalup 0.8

Collie 0.1

(a) Swing to lose based on Two Party Preferred Vote or Two Candidate Preferred Vote.(b) Against Pauline Hanson's One Nation candidate.(c) Against Liberal Party candidate.(d) Against Independent candidate.(e) Against ALP candidate.

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Table 6 Legislative Council: State Summary

First Preference Votes Change from 1996

Candidates Seats Won Number Per cent Seats Votes

Australian Labor Party 34 13 397 846 37.94 +1 +4.87Liberal Party (a) 34 12 356 126 33.96 -2 -10.11National Party (a) 12 1 25 073 2.39 -2Pauline Hanson's One Nation 15 3 103 571 9.88 +3 +9.88Greens WA 14 5 83 883 8.00 +2 +2.45Australian Democrats 12 39 099 3.73 -2 -2.86Christian Democratic Party 5 16 105 1.54 +1.54Independents 33 27 049 2.58 -5.76

Formal Votes 1 048 752 97.36 +0.36Informal Votes 28 434 2.64 -0.36Total/Turnout 159 34 1 077 186 90.70 +0.58

Electors Enrolled 1 187 629

(a) At the 1996 election the Liberal Party and the National Party ran a joint ticket in the Agricultural and South WestRegions. The 'Change from 1996' shown is the swing from the combined first preference vote for the Liberal Party andthe National Party at the 2001 election compared to the same figure for the 1996 election.

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Table 7 Legislative Council: Region Summary

First Preference Votes

Region ALP LP NP PHON GRN AD OTHFormal

VotesInformal

VotesTotalVotes

ElectorsEnrolled

Number

Agricultural 16 486 24 484 15 373 17 934 3 698 1 508 2 058 81 541 2 094 83 635 90 868

Mining and Pastoral 20 596 13 908 1 361 7 247 2 305 834 5 893 52 144 1 298 53 442 66 902

South West 41 516 47 862 8 339 19 152 11 442 2 361 4 382 135 054 3 618 138 672 150 626

East Metropolitan 105 596 72 378 23 986 15 379 9 754 11 890 238 983 7 088 246 071 267 543

North Metropolitan 118 027 122 217 19 403 31 031 13 690 14 259 318 627 8 426 327 053 360 535

South Metropolitan 95 625 75 277 15 849 20 028 10 952 4 672 222 403 5 910 228 313 251 155

Total 397 846 356 126 25 073 103 571 83 883 39 099 43 154 1 048 752 28 434 1 077 186 1 187 629

Per cent

Agricultural 20.2 30.0 18.9 22.0 4.5 1.8 2.5 97.5 2.5 92.0

Mining and Pastoral 39.5 26.7 2.6 13.9 4.4 1.6 11.3 97.6 2.4 79.9

South West 43.0 33.8 7.1 9.0 4.9 2.1 97.4 2.6 90.9

East Metropolitan 30.7 35.4 6.2 14.2 8.5 1.7 3.2 97.4 2.6 92.1

North Metropolitan 44.2 30.3 10.0 6.4 4.1 5.0 97.1 2.9 92.0

South Metropolitan 37.0 38.4 6.1 9.7 4.3 4.5 97.4 2.6 90.7

Total 37.9 34.0 2.4 9.9 8.0 3.7 4.1 97.4 2.6 90.7

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Table 8 Legislative Council: Members Elected

Region ALP LP NP PHON GRN

Agricultural Chance K Donaldson B Criddle M Hough F Margetts D

Mining and Pastoral Stephens T Moore N Fischer J Chapple RFord J

South West Cowdell J House B Embry P Sharp CFarina A Stretch B

McSweeney R

East Metropolitan Griffiths N Foss PRavlich L Tomlinson DPratt L

North Metropolitan Dermer E Cash G Watson GTravers K Halligan RGiffard G Cadby A

South Metropolitan Ellery S Scott B Scott JDoust K O'Brien S

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Table 9 Legislative Council: Candidate DetailsAgricultural Electors 90 868Party Candidate Votes Per cent Quotas

LP Ticket votes 23 222 28.48 1.7086LP Donaldson B 802 0.98 0.0590LP Nixon M 175 0.21 0.0129LP Adams S 84 0.10 0.0062LP Reading B 50 0.06 0.0037LP Rowe M 151 0.19 0.0111LP Total 24 484 30.03 1.8015

ALP Ticket votes 15 471 18.97 1.1383ALP Chance K 779 0.96 0.0573ALP Piercey D 77 0.09 0.0057ALP Shay K 87 0.11 0.0064ALP Backer C 72 0.09 0.0053ALP Total 16 486 20.22 1.2130

NP Ticket votes 14 127 17.33 1.0394NP Criddle M 942 1.16 0.0693NP Davies D 153 0.19 0.0113NP Gill 41 0.05 0.0030NP Nelson C 25 0.03 0.0018NP Marshall A 47 0.06 0.0035NP Davis G 38 0.05 0.0028NP Total 15 373 18.85 1.1311

AD Ticket votes 1 247 1.53 0.0918AD Rock M 241 0.30 0.0177AD McKercher M 20 0.02 0.0015AD Total 1 508 1.85 0.1110

GRN Ticket votes 2 903 3.56 0.2136GRN Margetts D 717 0.88 0.0528GRN Davis K 78 0.10 0.0057GRN Total 3 698 4.54 0.2721

PHON Ticket votes 15 792 19.37 1.1619PHON Hough F 1 625 1.99 0.1196PHON McLean R 269 0.33 0.0198PHON Hamersley L 248 0.30 0.0182PHON Total 17 934 21.99 1.3195

IND Ticket votes 1 645 2.02 0.1210IND Harvey A 213 0.26 0.0157IND Talbot M 82 0.10 0.0060IND Total 1 940 2.38 0.1427

Ticket votes 52 0.06 0.0038Kennedy R 66 0.08 0.0049 Total 118 0.14 0.0087

Formal 81 541 97.50Informal 2 094 2.50Turnout 83 635 92.04Quota 13 591

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Table 9 Legislative Council: Candidate DetailsMining and Pastoral Electors 66 902Party Candidate Votes Per cent Quotas

PHON Ticket votes 6 389 12.25 0.7351PHON Fischer J 684 1.31 0.0787PHON Trembath W 88 0.17 0.0101PHON Wyborn I 86 0.16 0.0099PHON Total 7 247 13.90 0.8339

GRN Ticket votes 1 930 3.70 0.2221GRN Chapple R 347 0.67 0.0399GRN Ludlam S 28 0.05 0.0032GRN Total 2 305 4.42 0.2652

ALP Ticket votes 19 726 37.83 2.2697ALP Stephens T 567 1.09 0.0652ALP Ford J 45 0.09 0.0052ALP Leahy K 110 0.21 0.0127ALP Tassell L 48 0.09 0.0055ALP Vincent M 54 0.10 0.0062ALP Anderton M 46 0.09 0.0053ALP Total 20 596 39.50 2.3698

IND Ticket votes 4 252 8.15 0.4892IND Nevill M 568 1.09 0.0654IND Spargo R 36 0.07 0.0041IND Sibosado J 22 0.04 0.0025IND Total 4 878 9.35 0.5613

IND Ticket votes 698 1.34 0.0803IND Helm T 103 0.20 0.0119IND Mills P 12 0.02 0.0014IND Total 813 1.56 0.0935

AD Ticket votes 704 1.35 0.0810AD Hoddy D 110 0.21 0.0127AD Heald P 20 0.04 0.0023AD Total 834 1.60 0.0960

NP Ticket votes 1 205 2.31 0.1386NP Maslen D 120 0.23 0.0138NP Ausburn P 12 0.02 0.0014NP Kneebone P 24 0.05 0.0028NP Total 1 361 2.61 0.1566

LP Ticket votes 13 419 25.73 1.5440LP Moore N 339 0.65 0.0390LP Smith G 47 0.09 0.0054LP Scott I 40 0.08 0.0046LP Baston K 30 0.06 0.0035LP Fawcett J 33 0.06 0.0038LP Total 13 908 26.67 1.6003

IND Ticket votes 111 0.21 0.0128IND Cooper V 29 0.06 0.0033IND Total 140 0.27 0.0161

Ticket votes 35 0.07 0.0040Kennedy M 27 0.05 0.0031 Total 62 0.12 0.0071

Formal 52 144 97.57Informal 1 298 14.93Turnout 53 442 79.88Quota 8 691

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Table 9 Legislative Council: Candidate DetailsSouth West Electors 150 626Party Candidate Votes Per cent QuotasALP Ticket votes 39 386 29.16 2.3330ALP Cowdell J 1 591 1.18 0.0942ALP Farina A 91 0.07 0.0054ALP Benson-Lidholm M 102 0.08 0.0060ALP Richards U 99 0.07 0.0059ALP Creevey P 132 0.10 0.0078ALP Newman G 115 0.09 0.0068ALP Total 41 516 30.74 2.4592

LP Ticket votes 46 377 34.34 2.7471LP House B 995 0.74 0.0589LP Stretch B 68 0.05 0.0040LP McSweeney R 85 0.06 0.0050LP Silcock J 125 0.09 0.0074LP Hallett N 29 0.02 0.0017LP Nicholson R 99 0.07 0.0059LP Carbone C 84 0.06 0.0050LP Total 47 862 35.44 2.8351

GRN Ticket votes 9 103 6.74 0.5392GRN Sharp C 2 159 1.60 0.1279GRN Schur B 90 0.07 0.0053GRN Trembath J 90 0.07 0.0053GRN Total 11 442 8.47 0.6778

AD Ticket votes 2 021 1.50 0.1197AD Denman A 268 0.20 0.0159AD Wylie A 72 0.05 0.0043AD Total 2 361 1.75 0.1399

NP Ticket votes 7 732 5.73 0.4580NP Cameron M 481 0.36 0.0285NP Dilley S 88 0.07 0.0052NP Smith G 38 0.03 0.0023NP Total 8 339 6.17 0.4940

PHON Ticket votes 16 912 12.52 1.0018PHON Embry P 1 717 1.27 0.1017PHON O'Reilly P 177 0.13 0.0105PHON South J 346 0.26 0.0205PHON Total 19 152 14.18 1.1345

Ticket votes 246 0.18 0.0146Wood G 72 0.05 0.0043 Total 318 0.24 0.0188

IND Ticket votes 1 410 1.04 0.0835IND Gunson K 223 0.17 0.0132IND Total 1 633 1.21 0.0967

CDP Ticket votes 1 403 1.04 0.0831CDP Moseley J 388 0.29 0.0230CDP Total 1 791 1.33 0.1061

IND Ticket votes 433 0.32 0.0256IND Iturbide T 207 0.15 0.0123IND Total 640 0.47 0.0379

Formal 135 054 97.39Informal 3 618 2.61Turnout 138 672 92.06Quota 16 882

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Table 9 Legislative Council: Candidate DetailsEast Metropolitan Electors 267 543Party Candidate Votes Per cent QuotasALP Ticket votes 100 571 42.08 2.5249ALP Griffiths N 3 610 1.51 0.0906ALP Ravlich L 451 0.19 0.0113ALP Pratt L 395 0.17 0.0099ALP Carruthers J 186 0.08 0.0047ALP George B 178 0.07 0.0045ALP Barzotto E 205 0.09 0.0051ALP Total 105 596 44.19 2.6511

IND Ticket votes 2 228 0.93 0.0559IND Kirwan M 333 0.14 0.0084IND Makin S 44 0.02 0.0011IND Total 2 605 1.09 0.0654

Ticket votes 149 0.06 0.0037Bateson A 29 0.01 0.0007Bateson L 15 0.01 0.0004 Total 193 0.08 0.0048

AD Ticket votes 7 853 3.29 0.1972AD Kelly N 1 623 0.68 0.0407AD Ward J 278 0.12 0.0070AD Total 9 754 4.08 0.2449

GRN Ticket votes 12 712 5.32 0.3191GRN Bell L 2 315 0.97 0.0581GRN Xamon A 352 0.15 0.0088GRN Total 15 379 6.44 0.3861

PHON Ticket votes 20 998 8.79 0.5272PHON Scott R 2 539 1.06 0.0637PHON Daniels M 449 0.19 0.0113PHON Total 23 986 10.04 0.6022

CDP Ticket votes 5 820 2.44 0.1461CDP Goiran G 732 0.31 0.0184CDP Gans D 64 0.03 0.0016CDP Total 6 616 2.77 0.1661

LP Ticket votes 70 060 29.32 1.7589LP Foss P 1 467 0.61 0.0368LP Tomlinson D 255 0.11 0.0064LP Munro B 123 0.05 0.0031LP Hopper D 263 0.11 0.0066LP Shephard K 210 0.09 0.0053LP Total 72 378 30.29 1.8171

Ticket votes 1 238 0.52 0.0311Torr J 541 0.23 0.0136 Total 1 779 0.74 0.0447

Ticket votes 222 0.09 0.0056Hoyer T 117 0.05 0.0029 Total 339 0.14 0.0085

Ticket votes 183 0.08 0.0046Tucak J 175 0.07 0.0044 Total 358 0.15 0.0090

Formal 238 983 97.12Informal 7 088 2.88Turnout 246 071 91.97Quota 39 831

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Table 9 Legislative Council: Candidate DetailsNorth Metropolitan Electors 360 535Party Candidate Votes Per cent QuotasGRN Ticket votes 25 400 7.97 0.6377GRN Watson G 5 044 1.58 0.1266GRN Poustie C 219 0.07 0.0055GRN Roy B 368 0.12 0.0092GRN Total 31 031 9.74 0.7791

CDP Ticket votes 6 632 2.08 0.1665CDP Randall D 889 0.28 0.0223CDP Peachey B 177 0.06 0.0044CDP Total 7 698 2.42 0.1933

PHON Ticket votes 16 720 5.25 0.4198PHON Kenworthy G 2 203 0.69 0.0553PHON Hopkins L 480 0.15 0.0121PHON Total 19 403 6.09 0.4872

LP Ticket votes 119 096 37.38 2.9902LP Cash G 2 144 0.67 0.0538LP Halligan R 169 0.05 0.0042LP Cadby A 103 0.03 0.0026LP Collier P 252 0.08 0.0063LP Sutherland M 129 0.04 0.0032LP Shannon A 102 0.03 0.0026LP Carstairs A 222 0.07 0.0056LP Total 122 217 38.36 3.0685

IND Ticket votes 3 277 1.03 0.0823IND Fredericks I 208 0.07 0.0052IND Basri S 54 0.02 0.0014IND Total 3 539 1.11 0.0889

ALP Ticket votes 113 398 35.59 2.8471ALP Dermer E 2 833 0.89 0.0711ALP Travers K 358 0.11 0.0090ALP Giffard G 225 0.07 0.0056ALP Pham B 250 0.08 0.0063ALP Harley R 381 0.12 0.0096ALP Waddell A 582 0.18 0.0146ALP Total 118 027 37.04 2.9633

AD Ticket votes 11 511 3.61 0.2890AD Hodgson H 1 964 0.62 0.0493AD Law T 215 0.07 0.0054AD Total 13 690 4.30 0.3437

IND Ticket votes 691 0.22 0.0173IND Whiteside M 181 0.06 0.0045IND Julius I 38 0.01 0.0010IND Total 910 0.29 0.0228

Ticket votes 305 0.10 0.0077Anderson A 109 0.03 0.0027 Total 414 0.13 0.0104

IND Ticket votes 157 0.05 0.0039IND Tabaczynski B 50 0.02 0.0013IND Total 207 0.06 0.0052

IND Ticket votes 1 003 0.31 0.0252IND Berry D 488 0.15 0.0123IND Total 1 491 0.47 0.0374

Formal 318 627 97.42Informal 8 426 2.58Turnout 327 053 90.71Quota 39 829

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Table 9 Legislative Council: Candidate DetailsSouth Metropolitan Electors 251 155Party Candidate Votes Per cent QuotasAD Ticket votes 8 961 4.03 0.2417AD Zaknic J 1 629 0.73 0.0439AD Townshend P 362 0.16 0.0098AD Total 10 952 4.92 0.2955

ALP Ticket votes 91 759 41.26 2.4754ALP Ellery S 2 383 1.07 0.0643ALP Doust K 322 0.14 0.0087ALP Mortas S 176 0.08 0.0047ALP Costello L 437 0.20 0.0118ALP Young K 304 0.14 0.0082ALP Foo C 244 0.11 0.0066ALP Total 95 625 43.00 2.5797

LP Ticket votes 72 811 32.74 1.9643LP Scott B 1 630 0.73 0.0440LP O'Brien S 239 0.11 0.0064LP Gibson A 200 0.09 0.0054LP Pound B 150 0.07 0.0040LP Thomas M 247 0.11 0.0067LP Total 75 277 33.85 2.0308

IND Ticket votes 2 501 1.12 0.0675IND Bennett A 327 0.15 0.0088IND Bennett J 62 0.03 0.0017IND Total 2 890 1.30 0.0780

GRN Ticket votes 16 017 7.20 0.4321GRN Scott J 3 436 1.54 0.0927GRN MacLaren L 575 0.26 0.0155GRN Total 20 028 9.01 0.5403

PHON Ticket votes 13 664 6.14 0.3686PHON Dines T 1 741 0.78 0.0470PHON Rawlings S 444 0.20 0.0120PHON Total 15 849 7.13 0.4276

Ticket votes 61 0.03 0.0016Finney E 48 0.02 0.0013 Total 109 0.05 0.0029

IND Ticket votes 704 0.32 0.0190IND Hwang E 181 0.08 0.0049IND Total 885 0.40 0.0239

Ticket votes 140 0.06 0.0038van de Zuidwind P 82 0.04 0.0022 Total 222 0.10 0.0060

IND Ticket votes 350 0.16 0.0094IND Shave L 216 0.10 0.0058IND Total 566 0.25 0.0153

Formal 222 403 97.41Informal 5 910 2.59Turnout 228 313 90.91Quota 37 068

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Table 10 Legislative Assembly Elections 1950–2001

Election ALP LP NP AD DLP GRN PHON OTH Total ALP LP/NP

First Preference Votes -%Two PartyVotes - %

1950 41.8 38.3 10.8 9.0 100.0 46.4 53.6

1953 49.8 39.6 3.2 7.5 100.0 50.0 50.0

1956 48.8 31.3 5.2 14.7 100.0 51.4 48.6

1959 43.9 35.9 6.9 5.2 8.1 100.0 46.4 53.6

1962 44.4 40.4 5.9 2.3 7.0 100.0 48.1 51.9

1965 42.6 48.0 4.9 0.9 3.5 100.0 45.4 54.6

1968 45.3 43.2 5.1 3.3 3.2 100.0 48.5 51.5

1971 48.9 29.1 5.6 10.7 5.7 100.0 51.6 48.4

1974 48.1 40.3 10.8 0.8 100.0 50.0 50.0

1977 44.2 49.4 5.3 1.1 100.0 45.4 54.6

1980 45.9 43.7 4.3 2.0 4.1 100.0 48.7 51.3

1983 53.2 39.9 3.4 0.8 2.8 100.0 54.6 45.4

1986 53.0 41.3 3.7 0.7 1.3 100.0 54.3 45.7

1989 42.5 42.8 4.6 1.4 8.7 100.0 47.5 52.5

1993 37.1 44.1 5.3 2.3 4.3 6.8 100.0 44.6 55.4

1996 35.8 39.9 5.8 5.1 4.7 8.7 100.0 45.4 54.6

2001 37.2 31.2 3.3 2.6 7.3 9.6 8.9 100.0 52.9 47.1

Seats Won1950 23 15 9 3 50

1953 26 15 9 50

1956 29 11 8 2 50

1959 23 17 8 2 50

1962 24 18 8 50

1965 21 21 8 50

1968 23 19 9 51

1971 26 17 8 51

1974 22 23 6 51

1977 22 27 6 55

1980 23 26 3 3 55

1983 32 20 3 2 57

1986 32 19 6 57

1989 31 20 6 57

1993 24 26 6 1 57

1996 19 29 6 3 57

2001 32 16 5 4 57

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Appendix: Estimating the Direction of One Nation and Green Preferences

One of the most interesting aspects of the Western Australian Legislative Assemblyelections was the role that preferences of the minor parties, especially One Nation and TheGreens, played in the determination of the final outcome. Preferences were required to bedistributed in 43 of the 57 electoral districts, a substantial increase on the previous electionwhere preferences were required to be distributed in 30 districts.

The role of One Nation and Green preferences was particularly significant considering theshare of first preference votes each party received and the policy of One Nation ofdirecting preferences against sitting members.

The Western Australian Electoral Commission has published data on the distribution ofpreferences for all districts in order that a 'two candidate preferred vote' be obtained. Thetwo candidate preferred figure shows the vote received by the two remaining candidatesafter preferences of all other candidates have been distributed. However, this data does notprovide the actual final two party destination of minor party preferences. This distinctioncan best be illustrated by looking at the district of Albany.

Albany: Distribution of Preferences

Count IND ALP GRN IND PHON LP

First Preferences 1001 3960 1060 334 2035 4141

First Distribution 107 49 45 -334 70 55Progress Total 1108 4009 1105 2105 4196

Second Distribution 575 304 -1105 101 112Progress Total 1683 4313 2206 4308

Third Distribution -1683 860 361 429Progress Total 5173 2567 4737

Fourth Distribution 1487 -2567 1011Total 6660 5748

Here the Green candidate was eliminated second and his preferences were distributedbetween the ALP, LP, One Nation and an Independent. Thus the final destination of Greenpreferences, in terms of ALP or LP, cannot be obtained. The One Nation candidate waseliminated last and his preferences were distributed between the ALP and LP. Thus anestimate of the final destination of One Nation preferences has been obtained. However, acomplication occurs because the One Nation candidate has received 532 second orsubsequent preference votes from previously eliminated candidates, so that the One Nationpreferences distributed between the ALP and LP contain preference votes from othercandidates. If these votes are from candidates more likely to favour one of the major

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parties over the other then they may introduce a bias into the estimation process. In thecase of Albany they include votes from the Greens and Democrats, who are more likely tofavour the ALP over the LP, thus inflating the estimate of the share of One Nationpreferences flowing to the ALP.

In order to overcome this problem it is necessary to assume that second preference votesdistributed to eliminated candidates (in the above example the One Nation candidate) arethe same as first preference votes received by the candidate. By making this assumptionthe final destination of minor party candidates (where the party was the last to beeliminated) can be estimated. The table below shows the distribution of One Nation andGreen preferences in districts where either party was the last party eliminated and the ALPand the LP were the remaining parties. One Nation was the last party eliminated in 24districts and the Greens were the last party eliminated in 17 districts. When the figures forindividual districts are aggregated they show that for the whole state the ALP received anestimated 51.8 per cent of One Nation preferences while the LP/NP Coalition received anestimated 48.2 per cent. In the case of the Greens the ALP did even better receiving anestimated 68.1 per cent of preferences to 31.9 per cent for the Coalition.

In addition to the problems outlined above two further complications should be noted.Firstly, the estimates below exclude instances where One Nation or the Greens were notthe last party eliminated. Secondly, the estimates exclude instances where both majorparties are not the final two parties (i.e. either the ALP or LP eliminated before the finaltwo parties). The exclusion of these instances may have an effect on the estimates shown,but it is not possible to quantify this effect.

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Estimated Distribution of One Nation and Green Preferences

One Nation GreensNumber Per cent Number Per cent

District ALP LP/NP ALP LP/NP ALP LP/NP ALP LP/NPAlbany 1487 1011 59.5 40.5Alfred CoveArmadaleAvon 1793 1426 55.7 44.3Ballajura 910 738 55.2 44.8Bassendean 1792 1408 56.0 44.0Belmont 1316 1425 48.0 52.0BunburyBurrup 585 503 53.8 46.2CarineChurchlandsCockburn 2480 1173 67.9 32.1Collie 1114 1085 50.7 49.3Cottesloe 2871 1266 69.4 30.6Darling RangeDawesville 904 1197 43.0 57.0Eyre 733 784 48.3 51.7Fremantle 3313 917 78.3 21.7Geraldton 1658 1152 59.0 41.0Girrawheen 1190 933 56.1 43.9GreenoughHillarys 2365 1144 67.4 32.6Innaloo 1883 1124 62.6 37.4Joondalup 2574 1195 68.3 31.7Kalgoorlie 582 812 41.8 58.2KimberleyKingsley 2075 941 68.8 31.2Mandurah 1216 827 59.5 40.5Maylands 2079 708 74.6 25.4MerredinMidland 1563 1648 48.7 51.3Mitchell 1041 979 51.5 48.5MooreMurdoch 1794 1100 62.0 38.0Murray-Wellington 1740 1388 55.6 44.4NedlandsNingaloo 691 772 47.2 52.8Nollamara 1162 611 65.5 34.5Peel 1741 2209 44.1 55.9Perth 2362 680 77.6 22.4PilbaraRiverton 1978 1143 63.4 36.6Rockingham 1198 1476 44.8 55.2RoeRoleystone 1810 1460 55.4 44.6South PerthSouthern River 1921 1425 57.4 42.6Stirling 1119 1596 41.2 58.8Swan Hills 3928 1747 69.2 30.8Thornlie 1238 1449 46.1 53.9VasseVictoria Park 1693 1008 62.7 37.3WaginWanneroo 2207 1853 54.4 45.6Warren-Blackwood 2039 779 72.4 27.6Willagee 2096 981 68.1 31.9Yokine 1844 1058 63.5 36.5 Total 30919 28759 51.8 48.2 39166 18372 68.1 31.9

Note: Only includes Districts where One Nation or the Greens where the last party eliminated in the distribution of preferences.