What Futures Group Is About

Foresights and InnovationForesights and InnovationSharing SingaporeSharing Singapore’’s Experiences Experience

31 March 2009, presented at Helsinki

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CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context

futures group & network

process

outputs & contributions

lines of inquiry

video

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SingaporeSingapore

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• Singapore’s economy grew by 1.1% in 2008

• GDP is SGD 257bn (USD 170bn)

• Very open economy, total trade is 3.5x GDP

Annual Economic Survey of Singapore, 2008, MTI

singapore context

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Total trade SGD927bn (USD 614bn)

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Annual Economic Survey of Singapore, 2008, MTI

innovation

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http://www.international.ac.uk/resources/Insead200809.pdf

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Global Innovation Index – using a simple average of scores of Input and Output pillars, each comprising several factors.

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http://www.itif.org/files/2009-atlantic-century.pdf

http://www.bcg.com/impact_expertise/publications/files/Innovation_Imperative_in_Manufacturing_March_2009.pdf

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Created International Innovation Index - a survey of 110 countries worldwide looking at the ones with government policies and corporate performance most encouraging to innovation. US ranked 8th – concerns that US is losing innovation leader position, and underinvesting in future. Quality of workforce main concern.

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CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context


process


lines of inquiry

video

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?

!

Futures Group founded in May 2006

“It is proposed that a unit be set up to strategise on MTI-family wide direction and look at future

big ideas... …

The unit would focus on big ideas with concrete feasibility and economic impact…”

- MTI Leadership Nov 2005

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?

!

We are the trendwatchers,

network builders, and

idea generatorsfor the Singapore economy of the future

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Our mission is to be trendwatchers: we look at trends and developments in the environment that may have economic impact (both positive and negatively) on the Singapore economy network builders: ideas cannot be developed by FG alone. We learn from others, we also validate our research and ideas externally Idea generators: trendwatching and network building is towards the ultimate goal of generating ideas that add value to the Singapore economy.

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PRIME MINISTER’S OFFICEPUBLIC SERVICE DIVISION

SECURITY SOCIALECONOMIC

Ministry of Defence

Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Ministry of Trade & Industry

Ministry of Finance

Ministry of Transport

Ministry of the Environment and Water Resources

Ministry of Education

Ministry of Communications, Youth and Sports

Ministry of Health

Ministry of Information, Communications and the Arts

Ministry of Home Affairs

Ministry of National Development

Ministry of Manpower

Ministry of Law

singaporesingapore public servicepublic service

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National Security Coordination Secretariat(Horizon scanning & foresights capabilities)

Strategic Policy Office(National scenarios & methodologies)

singaporesingapore governmentgovernmentfutures networkfutures network

Ministry of Trade and Industry Futures Group(Trends and economic implications)

Infocomm Development Authority(ICT trends and implications)

Ministry of Manpower(Workforce and labour trends)

Ministry of Defence(Security and military issues)

Economic Development Board(New economic clusters/ industries)

Energy Market Authority(Energy trends & scenarios)

Singapore Tourism Board(Tourism trends & scenarios)

………

Bro

ad-b

ased

Nic

he to

pics

Pioneers

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CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context


process


lines of inquiry

video

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Ground Sensing,Validation

Analysis,Ideation,KnowledgeSharing

DeskResearch1 2

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FG Process

Presenter

Presentation Notes

In stage 2 of the process, we take a hands-on ground approach to sense and validate some of the trends that we have flagged out and also to discover new ones. This is done through interviews, networking sessions, foresight sessions, conferences and study trips during which we tap the brains of expert individuals. A list of these sessions will be provided in a subsequent slide.

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• Literature, Publications

• Web Scans

• Blogs, Videos, RSS Feeds



DeskResearch1 2

3

FG Process

Presenter

Presentation Notes


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• Interviews, Networks with private sector & external agencies

• Foresight Sessions with experts

• Conferences, Seminars, Study Trips



DeskResearch1 2

3

FG Process

Presenter

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• Genesis & Genesis Plus Brainstorming

• Presentations to senior management & decision-makers

• Ideas, Projects & Experiments

• Other Meetings & Workshops


Analysis,Ideation,Knowledge Sharing

DeskResearch1 2

3

FG Process

Presenter

Presentation Notes

In the last but not least part of the process, we converge and synthesize all our previous research and ideas through rigorous analysis and ideation. We then share the output at primarily the CEO Forum, and also at other various platforms where relevant. This is also the stage where we turn the ideas into concrete follow-ups and even take on experiments to gain a deeper hands-on experience.

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CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context


process


lines of inquiry

video

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Outputs & Contributions

Emerging Strategic Issues

S. Korea Finland

Rise of theRest Video

?!

Research

Talent Strategies

Future ofGlobal Demand

Project Teams/ InputsCountry Highlights Methodology

FG Blog

Communications

Lines of InquiryThe GreatReset Video

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CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context


process


lines of inquiry

video

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Little

RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS

ECONOMY

PEOPLECOMMUNITIES

TOOLS &TECHNOLOGIES

GLOBALCITY

GoldRed

Participation

Green

Silver

Cities I

Talent

Food

!Disaster

PortablePower

Trash

Deviant

Youth

Data VisualizationSmart City

Cities II

Enterprises

$2,000

No-frills

Alternative Spaces

UNDERGROUND;FLOATING

iBody

3D Mfg

Space

CognitiveScience

LINES OF INQUIRYTrends (5-10 years)

Economic Implications?Jobs? Growth? So what?

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CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context


process


lines of inquiry

video

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Rise of the Rest VideoRise of the Rest Video

The Rise of the Rest is a term coined by Fareed Zakaria on the post-American world. It is a world not marked by American

decline, but the rise of everybody else.

http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/2008/10/08/rise-of-the-rest-the-video/

Presenter

Presentation Notes

The Futures Group recently created a video titled "Rise of the Rest", which attempts to make sense of many interesting socio-economic facts and trends taking place in China, India, the Gulf states and Africa. The Rise of the Rest is a term coined by Fareed Zakaria on the post-American world. It is not a world marked by American decline, but the rise of everybody else. The rise of China and India are the most obvious signs. But the Gulf countries are also remaking themselves beyond hydrocarbons, and Africa is beginning to be distinguished into tier 1, 2 and 3 countries of promise etc. As you can see in the wordle crunch below, China and India are big but they are not the whole story. The video was screened at the MTI Corporate Planning Exercise session, and we're delighted to share the video link with the Futures Network. http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mxJZ6Jhnrk http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=4011023000327283443&ei=HWXvSOKsG4GQwgP

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The Great Reset VideoThe Great Reset Video

The Great Reset is our attempt to describe the world as it emerges from the fog of the current crisis. We envision three scenarios in which the world could emerge from the crisis.

http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/greatreset/

Presenter

Presentation Notes

The Futures Group recently created a video titled "Rise of the Rest", which attempts to make sense of many interesting socio-economic facts and trends taking place in China, India, the Gulf states and Africa. The Rise of the Rest is a term coined by Fareed Zakaria on the post-American world. It is not a world marked by American decline, but the rise of everybody else. The rise of China and India are the most obvious signs. But the Gulf countries are also remaking themselves beyond hydrocarbons, and Africa is beginning to be distinguished into tier 1, 2 and 3 countries of promise etc. As you can see in the wordle crunch below, China and India are big but they are not the whole story. The video was screened at the MTI Corporate Planning Exercise session, and we're delighted to share the video link with the Futures Network. http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mxJZ6Jhnrk http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=4011023000327283443&ei=HWXvSOKsG4GQwgP

Thank youThank you

Follow us on:www.futuresgroup.wordpress.com

Video and other downloads: http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/downloads/

Topics presented are on-going research and do not represent official policy statements or directions.

Documents

What Futures Group Is About