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When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill, NC

When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

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Page 1: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

When to StartWhen to Stop?What to Start?

Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MDProfessor of MedicinePrincipal Investigator

AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Chapel Hill, NC

Page 2: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Benefits and Risks of Deferred ARV Therapy

Potential benefits of deferred therapy—Avoidance of toxicity,

improved quality of life

—Preservation of future treatment options

—Delayed development of drug resistance

—Decreased total time on drug therapy

—Increased time for patient education

—More time for development of more potent, less toxic, and better studied combinations

Potential risks of deferred therapy—Potential for irreversible

immune damage Is immune recovery the

same as immune preservation

—Increased possibility of clinical progression

HIV related— Malignancy and cognitive

disorder— Non-HIV clinical events.

—Increased risk for HIV transmission

Adapted from DHHS Guidelines; Revision October 10, 2006. Available at: http://aidsinfo.nih.gov. Accessed December 13, 2006.

Page 3: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

The Case for Earlier Initiation of Therapy

Availability of more potent, easier, and less toxic regimens

Cohort studies showing benefit with earlier therapy

Better response to therapy

Decreased transmission

Cost-effectiveness

Page 4: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

The Case for Earlier Initiation of Therapy

Easier, more potent, and less toxic therapy

Page 5: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100% With VL < 50 at Week 48

Boosted PI

NNRTI

NRTI

Unboosted PI

Collated Results of HAART Studies

Bartlett JA, Fath MJ, Demasi R, et al.  An updated systematic overview of triple combination therapy in antiretroviral-naive HIV-infected adults. AIDS 2006;20:2051-64.

Previous analysis emphasized relation b/w pill burden and response

Updated analysis: pill burden less important

Highlights efficacy of boosted-PI and NNRTI regimens

Page 6: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 6

0

15

30

45

60

75

90

105

120

135

150

Med

ian

CD

4 In

crea

se

97

119 120 121127 125

150Median CD4 increase

Treatment Responses in 1st Year of HAARTImproving Over Time

4143 subjects from 5 clinic cohorts in Europe and Canada Treatment-naive; started HAART from 1996-2002 risk of virologic failure, med. CD4 count increase in later years

» Most “failure” now due to loss to follow-up or treatment discontinuation

Lampe F, et al. CROI 2005. Abstract 593

24.8 23.017.3

12.4 10 8 8.4

0

10

20

30

40

50

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

% with > 500 copies/mL

60

70

80

90

100

% W

ith

VL

>50

0 o

n A

RT

Page 7: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 7

Unadjusted and adjusted risk ratios of virological failure by year of starting cART

1999 is reference category. Unadjusted*=adjusted for cohort only; Adjusted 1#=adjusted for cohort, age, risk group, pre-HAART VL and CD4 count, previous AIDS; Adjusted 2$ =adjusted for all above factors plus starting regimen as defined by 3rd drug and nucleoside combination.

Lampe et al, Arch Intern Med 2006;166:521-528

Page 8: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 8

Cohort Data

Improved outcomes with earlier antiretroviral therapy

HIV and non-HIV clinical events associated with CD4 cell counts above 200

Page 9: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 9

HAART and Survival Based on Initial CD4 Cell Count

Modeled data from ART Cohort Collaborative

10,855 pts, >61,000 person-years of F/U

934 progressed to AIDS or died IDUs excluded from model

< 200 vs 201-350

< 350 vs 351-500

Hazard ratio for AIDS (95% CI)

3.68 (3.01-4.51)

1.52 (1.10-2.10)

Hazard ratio for AIDS or death (95% CI)

2.93 (2.41-3.57)

1.26 (0.94-1.68)

Cumulative Probability of AIDS/Death by CD4 Count at Initiation of ART

Years Since Initiation of HAART

0 1 2 3 4 5

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

Pro

bab

ility

of

AID

S o

r D

eath

101-200 cells/mm3

201-350 cells/mm3

351-500 cells/mm3

Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) Cohort Collaboration. AIDS 2007;21:1185-97.

Page 10: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 10

HOPS Cohort: Early, Uninterrupted ART Associated with Improved Outcomes

CD4 Cell Count Category

Incidence per 1,000 patient years by pre-HAART CD4 count and % time on HAART (n = 4,421)

MortalityOpportunistic Infections80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0 0-49 50-199 200-349 350-499 500+ 0-49 50-199 200-349 350-499 500+

CD4 categoryCD4 category

HAART < 95% of time HAART > 95% of time

* P = 0.05 for difference by % HAART use

HAART < 95% of time HAART > 95% of time

* P = 0.05 for difference by % HAART use

Inci

de

nce

pe

r 1

,00

0 P

ers

on

-Ye

ars

Inci

de

nce

pe

r 1

,00

0 P

ers

on

-Ye

ars

71.5

47.8

38.5

25.521.4

15.9 14.211.5

7.2 7.5

*

*

55.9

26.1

37.8

22.3 20.1

10.4

16.2

5.4 7.32.4

*

*

**

Lichtenstein K, et al. CROI 2006. Abstract 769.

Page 11: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 11

Pre-HAART CD4 Predicts Progression to AIDS: Johns Hopkins Cohort

Johns Hopkins HIV Cohort

Patients with virologic suppression for up to 6 yrs (N=280)

Only patients with baseline CD4 >350 returned to near normal CD4 count levels

Rate of progression to AIDS or death significantly higher over time in patients with CD4 <200 and 201-350 vs. >350

Moore RD, et al. IAC 2006. Abstract THPE0109.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

0 Yr 1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6

CD

4 ce

lls/m

13%*

12%*

1.5%*†

*% developing AIDS over 6 years of study† P < .05 compared with CD4+ < 200

Page 12: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 12

Caveat

Remember Bias of Cohort Studies» Complex or non adherent patient may

have therapy delayed– Bias by indication

» Lead time bias

Page 13: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 13

HIV-Associated Complications that are Less CD4-Dependent

Neurocognitive impairment Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma Peripheral neuropathy HPV-associated dysplasia/cancer Kaposi’s sarcoma HIV-associated nephropathy

Page 14: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 14

D:A:D Study: CD4 Count Associated with Risk of Non-HIV Related Death

>23,000 pts in Europe, Australia, USA

1248 (5.3%) deaths 2000–2004 (1.6/100 person-years)

» Of these, 82% on ART Both HIV- and non–HIV-

related mortality* associated with CD4 depletion

Weber R et al. 12th CROI; 2005; Boston. Abstract 595.

*Liver-related: Chronic viral hepatitis, liver failure (other); malignancy-related: malignancy, non-AIDS hepatitis; heart-related: MI, other CVD, other heart disease

RR

RR of death according to immune function and specific cause

>500

1.0

10

<50 50–99 100–199 200–349 350–499

100

0.1 CD4 count

Overall

HIV

Malignancy

Heart

Liver

Page 15: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

CD4+T-cell Count Associated with Risk of AIDS and Non-AIDS-related Malignancies

• Risk factors for fatal AIDS-defining malignancies (ADM) and non-ADM in the D:A:D study

– Of 1246 deaths, 112 ADM and 193 non-ADM related

• 4 most common non-ADM: lung, GI, hematologic, anal

• Risk of ADM and non-ADM increased as CD4 cells decrease

• Additional risk factors

– ADM: Prior AIDS event (RR 2.43, P<0.0001)

– Non-ADM: Older age (RR 1.53/5 years older, P<0.0001), current smoking (RR 2.42, P<0.0001), active HBV (RR 1.89, P=0.008)

D’Arminio Monforte A et al. 14th CROI; 2007; Los Angeles. Abstract 84.

Page 16: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Malignancies and CD4+ T-cell Count

Latest CD4 (cells/mm3)

Person YearsNon-AIDS defining

malignanciesAIDS-definingmalignancies

Rate (/1000 p-y)

n

RR (P)

Rate (/1000 p-y)

n

RR (P)

<50 2335 6.0 (14) 15 (<0.001) 20.1 (47) 175 (<0.001)

50-99 2295 9.6 (22) 19 (<0.001) 4.8 (11) 41 (<0.001)

100-199 8097 6.8 (55) 10 (<0.001) 2.8 (23) 24 (<0.001)

200-349 21048 2.0 (43) 3 (<0.001) 0.7 (14) 6 (<0.001)

350-499 24052 1.1 (27) 2 (0.3) 0.3 (7) 3 (0.09)

≥500 46903 0.6 (27) 1 0.1 (5) 1

D’Arminio Monforte A et al. 14th CROI; 2007; Los Angeles. Abstract 84.

Page 17: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

CD4+ T-Cell and Risk of Clinical events

• Evaluation of impact of CD4+ count on OI and non-OI events

– Compared latest CD4 count in FIRST study (n=1397) with risk

– Median BL CD4 163 cells/uL, mean increase of 238 cells/uL

– Median F/U 5 years

• Higher latest CD4 associated with lower risk of OI and non-OIs

• Tx strategies should minimize time spent at lower CD4 counts

Multivariate HR/100 CD4 Cell Increase*

P value <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 0.06 0.40 0.08Baker J et al. 14th CROI; 2007; Los Angeles. Abstract 37. *Adjusted for: age, sex, race, prior AIDS, hepatitis B and C, baseline CD4 & RNA, and latest RNA

Haz

ard

Rat

io

1

0.58

0.810.76 0.78

0.92

0.83

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Refer

ence OI

Non-O

ILiv

er CVRen

al

Mali

gnan

cy

Page 18: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

CASCADE: Sero-conversion Cohort

• N=9,858; med. F/U 8 yrs post-seroconversion

• 597 deaths, >50% non-AIDS-related

• Current & nadir CD4 and time with CD4 <350 assoc. with:– AIDS deaths

– Non-AIDS deaths: Infections, liver disease, malignancy

Marin B, et al.Sydney 2007, #WEPEB019

Page 19: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Randomized Studies

There are none!

Page 20: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Slide 20

Clinical Trial Data Supporting Earlier Therapy

SMART1 Subset: ART-naïve or not on ART at

randomization» Immediate ART: n=249 (131

naïve)» Deferred ART: n=228 (118

naïve) Greater risk of OI, OI/death, serious

non-AIDS event with deferred ARV >5-fold increased risk with deferred

ARV

1. Emery S, et al. 4th IAS, Sydney 2007, #WEPEB018;

Composite endpoint1

0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 38

Months

0

5

10

15

20

25

Cu

m.

pro

bab

ilit

y (X

100

)

HR=5.08 (95% CI: 1.91-13.5) p=0.001

Deferred ART

Immediate ART

Page 21: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Early Therapy

Greater Toxicity?

Greater Resistance?

Page 22: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Risk of Fat Loss/Accumulation with NRTIs + PIs Increases with Time on ARVs

• Prospective study of 494 ARV-naïve patients starting HAART (Oct ’96-Sept ’99)

• 85 subjects (17%) developed fat changes after median of 18 mo.

– 21% central obesity

– 34% subcutaneous lipoatrophy

– 45% mixed

– 11.7 cases per 100 person-years

• Associated laboratory changes*

– CD4 cell count

– Plasma HIV RNA

– Triglyceride level

– Cholesterol level

Martinez E et al. Lancet. 2001;357:592-598.*All P values 0.001.

Kaplan-Meier Curve Showing Progression to Any Lipodystrophy

0 6 12 18 24Time since starting HAART (months)

Numbers at risk 494 433 333 246 136

Any lipodystrophy

Lipodystrophy with subcutaneous lipoatrophy

Lipodystrophy with central obesity

% o

f pa

tient

s

0

5

10

15

20

25

Page 23: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Incidence of Myocardial Infarction Increases with Duration of Combination ART (D:A:D Study)

Friis-Møller N et al. N Engl J Med. 2003;349:1993-2003.

Exposure (y):Exposure (y): NoneNone <1<1 1-21-2 2-32-3 3-43-4 >4 >4 Relative Risk:Relative Risk: 0.240.24 1.01.0 1.341.34 1.731.73 1.981.982.55 2.55

No. of eventsNo. of events 33 99 1414 2222 3131 47 47 No. of person-y 5714No. of person-y 5714 41404140 48014801 58475847 72207220 84778477

Inci

denc

e pe

rIn

cide

nce

per

1000

Per

son-

Yea

rs10

00 P

erso

n-Y

ears

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Page 24: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

None <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 >40.5

1

2

4

8

NNRTI-Exposure (yrs)

RR

(95

% C

I)

Relative Rate of MI according to NNRTINNRTI Exposure (adjusted for PI exposure)PI exposure)

Adjusted RR* per year of NNRTI: 1.05 [0.98-1.13]

: Adjusted for sex, age, cohort, calendar year, prior CVD, family history of CVD, smoking, body-mass index, PI exposure

Friis-Moller et al, CROI 2006, oral 144

Page 25: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

HOPS: More Toxicity with Later Initiation of Therapy

• More NRTI toxicity (anemia, neuropathy, renal insufficiency) with initiation of ART at lower CD4 counts

Lichtenstein CROI 2005

Page 26: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

UNC CFAR DB Triple Class Resistance

Page 27: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

EFV

TCDR=1N=227

PY=713 TCDR=0N=116

PY=258

PI/r NFV NVPDLV

IDV PI PI/NNRTI

TCDR=15N=184

PY=756TCDR=2

N=65PY=316

TCDR=2N=110

PY=659

TCDR=4N=34

PY=176

TCDR=0N=53

PY=244

Inci

denc

e ra

te o

f T

C-D

R (

case

s/10

00 P

Y)

First HAART regimen

Triple-class antiretroviral drug resistance (TC-DR) incidence rates (cases/1000 person-years)

stratified by first HAART regimen

Page 28: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

HOPS: More Resistance with Later Initiation of Therapy

• Major mutations 50% less likely in pts starting with CD4 >350 vs <200, despite greater treatment exposure

Uy JP, et al. 4th IAS, Sydney 2007, #WEPEB017

0-199 cells/mm3

200-349 cells/mm3

>350 cells/mm3

GT mutations and virologic failure

Any mutation

(n=78)

NRTI mut. among

NRTI-exp(n=77)

NNRTI mut. among

NNRTI-exp(n=37)

PI mut. among PI-exp(n=48)

Pat

ien

ts (

%)

p=0.076 p=0.007 p=0.051 p=0.103

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 29: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Transmission

Page 30: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

HIV RNA Level Affects Probability

of HIV Transmission

GUD = genital ulcer disease.Gray R, et al. Lancet. 2001;357:1149-1153.

GUD No GUD

0

.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

<1700 1700- 12,500- 38,500+ GUD

Log Viral Load (c/mL)

Pro

bab

ilit

y o

f Tra

nsm

issio

n/1

000 C

oit

al

Acts

Page 31: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Vernazza PL et al. AIDS. 2000;14:117-121.

ART-Induced Reduction in Plasma HIV RNA Associated with Decreased

Levels in Semen

0

20

40

60

80

100

Pat

ient

s (%

) w

ith

dete

ctab

le H

IV in

sem

en

n=55

n=114

Controls (drug naive)

Effective ART

HIV-RNA

P<0.0001

HIV-DNA

P=0.01

Page 32: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

The Impact of ART on HIV Transmission

Among HIV Serodiscordant Couples

ART offered in Kigali, Rwanda since 2003

1034 serodiscordant couples followed

248 “index cases” receiving ART (CD4<200)

In spite of counseling, 42 seroconversions

Only 2/42 seroconversions with partner on ART

HIV-negative individuals whose partners are on ART are less likely to seroconvert compared with those whose partners are not on ART(OR = 0.19; 95% CI:0.05-0.80)

Kayitenkore K et al. XVI IAC; 2006; Toronto. Abstract MOKC101.

Page 33: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

12/07

Current DHHS Guidelines for Initiating ART: Chronic Infection

Clinical Category and/or CD4 Count

Recommendation

History of AIDS-defining illnessCD4 <200 cells/mm³CD4 200-350 cells/mm³

Initiate ART

Page 34: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Indications for HAARTRegardless of CD4 Cell count

• HBV co-infection that requires therapy

– Entecavir not longer an option

• HIV Associated Nephropathy

• Pregnancy

• Discordant couples?

– Perhaps if fully informed

Page 35: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

12/07

DHHS Guidelines

Clinical Category and/or CD4 Count

Recommendation

CD4 >350 cells/mm³, asymptomatic, without conditions listed above

Optimal time to initiate ART is not well defined. Consider individual patient characteristics and comorbidities.

Page 36: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

12/07

Potential Benefits of Early Therapy (CD4 >350 cells/mm³)

Maintain higher CD4; prevent irreversible immune system damage

Decrease risk of HIV-associated complications eg, TB, NHL, KS, peripheral neuropathy, HPV-

associated malignancies, HIV-associated cognitive impairment

Decrease risk of nonopportunistic conditions and non-AIDS associated conditions eg, CV, renal, and liver disease; malignancies;

infections Decrease risk of HIV transmission

Page 37: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

12/07

Potential Risks of Early Therapy (CD4 >350 cells/mm³)

ARV-related side effects and toxicities Drug resistance (due to ART failure) Inadequate time to learn about HIV, treatment, and

adherence Increase in total time on ART; greater chance of

treatment fatigue Current ART may be less effective or more toxic

than future therapies Transmission of ARV-resistant virus, if incomplete

virologic suppression

Page 38: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Once Treatment is Started, Can We Stop?

Page 39: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Consequences of Stopping ART:

SMART Trial

Continuous antiretroviral therapy throughout follow-up*

(n = 2752)

ART stopped/deferred† until CD4+ <250 cells/mm3 then started to

increase CD4+ to >350 cells/mm3

(n = 2720)

HIV-1-infected patients with

CD4+ cell count > 350 cells/mm3

(N = 5472)

95.4% treatment experienced

El-Sadr W et al. N Engl J Med. 2006; 355:2283-2296.*Mean follow-up 16 months†The protocol also permitted antiretroviral therapy to be initiated/reinitiated if symptoms of disease from HIV infection developed or the percentage of CD4+ lymphocytes

(CD4+ percentage) was less than 15%.

Page 40: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Favors VS ►(viral suppression)

Favors DC(drug conservation)

#Pts w/ EventsEndpoints Relative Risk (95% CI)

Death from any cause or Opportunistic Disease 167

Serious opportunistic disease 15

2.6

6.6Death from any cause 85

1.8

0.1 1 10

Severe Complications* 1041.7

*CVD, Renal, Hepatic Events (fatal/nonfatal)El-Sadr W et al. N Engl J Med. 2006; 355:2283-2296.

SMART: Primary Endpoint and Components

Page 41: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

SMART: Why Did the “STI” Arm Have More Clinical Progression?

N = 5472; randomized trial comparing continuous treatment (VS) to “STI” arm (DC):

— Stop meds CD4 >350

— Restart CD4 <250

Trial halted Jan 2006

— 2.63 greater risk of OI/death in DC versus VS arm

Greater risk of DC strategy explained by:

— Lower CD4 count

— Higher viral load at higher CD4 counts

Implications for “When to Start?”

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

<250 250-349 350-499 >499

DC

VS

Event Risk by Time Updated CD4 Count1

Time Spent at Different CD4 Strata2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

< 200

< 250

< 350

Follow

-Up

Tim

e

(%)

VS GroupDC Group

31.7

7.28.2

1.73.1 0.8

1. Lundgren J, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August 13-18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract WEAB 0203;

2. El Sadr W, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August 13-18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract WEAB0204.

OI/

Death

by

Arm

Du

rin

g

Stu

dy (

%)

Page 42: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Trivacan Study

• Treatment Naïve patients in Abidjan

• Randomized to continuous ARV treatment or CD4 guided interruption or timed interruption of therapy

• Therapy held for CD4 > 350 and resumed when CD4 < 250

• CD4 guided arm stopped on DSMB review

– 110 received continuous treatment

– 216 received CD4 guided therapy

Lancet. 2006 Jun 17;367(9527):1981-9

Page 43: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Trivacan: Time to severe Morbidity or Death

Page 44: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Trivacan Study

N NIncidence rate ratio

P value

Overall severe morbidity

13 85 0.38 < 0.001

Death 1 4 .048 0.57

TB 4 12 0.65 0.47

Bacterial Diseases 1 31 0.06 < 0.001

Bacteremia 0 17 0.00< 0.001

Continuous CD4 guided

Page 45: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

What to Start With?

Page 46: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Initial Treatment: Preferred Components

*Avoid in pregnant women and women with significant pregnancy potential.

**Emtricitabine can be used in place of lamivudine and vice versa.

Efavirenz*

OR

Atazanavir + ritonavir

Fosamprenavir + ritonavir (BID)

Lopinavir/ritonavir (BID)

NNRTI Option

PI Options

Tenofovir + emtricitabine**

Zidovudine + lamivudine**

+

NRTI Options

Page 47: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Initial Treatment: Alternative Components

*Nevirapine should not be initiated in women with CD4 counts >250 cells/mm3 or men with CD4 counts >400 cells/mm³

**Atazanavir must be boosted with ritonavir if used in combination with tenofovir

Nevirapine*

OR

Atazanavir**

Fosamprenavir

Fosamprenavir + ritonavir (1x/day)

Lopinavir/ritonavir (1x/day)

NNRTI Option

PI Options

Abacavir + lamivudine

Didanosine + (emtricitabine or lamivudine)

NRTI Options

Page 48: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Initial Treatment: Other Possible Options

Abacavir + lamivudine + zidovudine (coformulated)

Nelfinavir*

Saquinavir (ritonavir-boosted)

Stavudine + lamivudine

Inferior virologic efficacy

Inferior virologic efficacy

Inferior to lopinavir/ritonavir

Significant toxicities

RationaleARV drugs or regimens

These are considered acceptable but inferior to preferred or alternative components. They may be used in special circumstances.

*Should not be given to pregnant women.

Page 49: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ARVs Not Recommended in Initial Treatment (1)

High rate of early virologic failure

Didanosine + tenofovir

Inferior antiviral activity

Delavirdine Saquinavir as sole PI (unboosted)

High incidence of toxicities

Indinavir + ritonavir (boosted) Ritonavir used as sole PI

Page 50: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ARVs Not Recommended in Initial Treatment (2)

High pill burden/Dosing inconvenience

Indinavir (unboosted) Nelfinavir + saquinavir

Lack of data in initial treatment

Darunavir Enfuvirtide Tipranavir

No benefit over standard regimens

3-class regimens 3 NRTIs + NNRTI

Page 51: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ARV Medications: Should Not Be Offered at Any Time

ARV regimens not recommended:—Monotherapy (except possibly zidovudine used to

prevent perinatal HIV transmission)

—Dual NRTI therapy

—3-NRTI regimen (except abacavir/lamivudine/ zidovudine and possibly lamivudine/zidovudine + tenofovir

—NRTI-sparing regimens

Page 52: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ARV Medications: Should Not Be Offered at Any Time

ARV components not recommended:

—Didanosine + stavudine

—Stavudine + zidovudine

—Emtricitabine + lamivudine

—Atazanavir + indinavir

—Saquinavir as single PI (unboosted)

Page 53: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ARV Medications: Should Not Be Offered at Any Time

ARV components not recommended:—Efavirenz in pregnancy and in women with

significant potential for pregnancy*

—Nelfinavir in pregnancy and in women with significant potential for pregnancy*

—Nevirapine initiation in women with CD4 >250 cells/mm³ or men with CD4 >400 cells/mm³

* Women who are trying to conceive or who are not using effective and consistent contraception.

Page 54: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ACTG 5142Study Design

LPV/r + NRTI EFV + NRTI LPV/r + EFV

Primary Study ObjectivesPrimary Study ObjectivesTime to virologic failure*Time to virologic failure*

Time to regimen completionTime to regimen completion††

Major inclusion criteria:ART naïve, Any CD4 or HIV

RNA >2000 c/mL

Major inclusion criteria:ART naïve, Any CD4 or HIV

RNA >2000 c/mL

*Virologic failure defined as early (rebound or lack of suppression by 1 log10) or late (failure to suppress to <200 c/mL or rebound); †Regimen Completion defined as virologic failure or d/c secondary to any virologic failure or d/c secondary to any treatment related discontinuation of any componenttreatment related discontinuation of any componentRiddler S, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August 13-18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. August 13–18, 2006; Abstract THLB0204.

753 Patients randomized in open label design

Page 55: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ACTG 514296-Week Outcomes (ITT)

75

89

77

67

83

73

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Without Virologic Failure <50 c/mL

Pat

ient

(%)

EFV + 2 NRTI (n = 250) LPV/r + 2 NRTI (n = 253) LPV/r + EFV (n = 250)

Riddler S, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August 13-18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract THLB0204.

EFV vs LPV: P = .006

EFV vs LPV/EFV: P = .5

LPV vs LPV/EFV: P =.13

CD4+ Cell Count Change from BL:+239 vs +285 vs +268 P =.01)

EFV vs LPV: P = .003EFV vs LPV/EFV: P = .123LPV vs LPV/EFV: P = .183

Page 56: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ARV Resistance Mutations (Preliminary Analysis)

Patient Samples LPV EFV LPV/ EFV

Observed VF 94 60 73

Genotypic assays* 52 33 39

Any PI mutations 20 13 18

Major PI mutations† 0 0 2

NRTI mutations 8 11‡ 4

NNRTI mutations 2§ 16 27¶

Mutations in 2 classes 2§ 10‡ 2*Some genotype assays pending.†30N, 321, 33F, 46I, 47A/V, 48V, 50L/V, 82A/F/L/S/T, 84V, 90M.‡P <.05 vs LPV/EFV.§ P <.05 vs EFV.¶ P <.05 vs LPV.Riddler S, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August 13-18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract THLB0204.

Page 57: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Haubrich R, et al. CROI; 2007. Abstract 38 (ACTG 5142)

Significantly lower incidence of lipoatrophy at 96 weeks for NRTI-sparing vs NRTI-containing regimens

Lipoatrophy incidence comparable with TDF-containing vs NRTI-sparing regimen

Incidence of lipoatrophy in NRTI arms lower with LPV/r vs EFV regardless of NRTI used

Total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein (HDL), and non-HDL increases similar between LPV/r and EFV + 2 NRTI arms

Triglycerides at 96 weeks significantly higher with LPV/r vs EFV + 2 NRTIs

Serum lipid changes greater with stavudine (d4T) - vs TDF-containing regimens

Page 58: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Lipoatrophyby Randomized Group

0 10 20 30 40

48 Weeks

96 Weeks

EFV + 2 NRTIs LPV/r + 2 NRTIs EFV + LPV/r

Lipoatrophy (>20% Limb Fat Loss) (%)

P Values at Week 96 LPV/EFV vs LPV: .023LPV/EFV vs EFV: <.001LPV vs EFV: .003

P Values at Week 96 LPV/EFV vs LPV: .023LPV/EFV vs EFV: <.001LPV vs EFV: .00321

10

7

3217

9

Haubrich R, et al. Presented at: 14th CROI; February 25–28, 2007; Los Angeles, CA. Abstract 38.

n = 188

n = 197

n = 166

n = 171

n = 173

n = 191

Page 59: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Lipoatrophy by NRTI

0 10 20 30 40 50

48 Weeks

96 Weeks

d4T ZDV TDF

% Lipoatrophy (>20% Limb Fat Loss)

26

168

42

27

9

n = 93

n = 153

n = 117

n = 84

n = 136

n = 133

P Values at Week 96

ZDV vs TDF: <.001

d4T vs TDF: <.001

d4T vs ZDV: .038

P Values at Week 96

ZDV vs TDF: <.001

d4T vs TDF: <.001

d4T vs ZDV: .038

ZVD = ziclovidiine.Haubrich R, et al. Presented at: 14th CROI; February 25–28, 2007; Los Angeles, CA. Abstract 38.

Page 60: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ZDV/3TC/EFV

•Phase III, randomized, double–blind, placebo–controlled study to evaluate Phase III, randomized, double–blind, placebo–controlled study to evaluate a) ZDV/3TC + EFV, b) ZDV/3TC/ABC + EFV and c) ZDV/3TC/ABCa) ZDV/3TC + EFV, b) ZDV/3TC/ABC + EFV and c) ZDV/3TC/ABC

•ZDV/3TC/ABC found to be inferior and discontinuedZDV/3TC/ABC found to be inferior and discontinued

ART-naïve patientsN = 765, Compared for 3 years

ZDV/3TC/ABC/EFV

Virologic Failure99 patients

Virologic Failure94 patients

Baseline Characteristics

240 Median CD4 (cells/mm³) 240

4.9 Mean Viral Load (log10 c/mL ) 4.9

How Many NRTIs?ACTG 5095: Study Design

92% <200 (P= .59)88% <50 (P = 0.39)

90% <200 (P = .59)85% <50 (P = .39)

Results at Year 3Results at Year 3

ABC = abacavir.Gulick R, et al. JAMA. 2006;296:769-781.

Page 61: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ACTG 5095Time to Virologic Response

Time (wk)

Pro

bab

ilit

y o

f N

o R

esp

on

se

0 72 14424 96 16848 1200

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

ZDV/3TC/ABC+EFVZDV/3TC+EFV

Confirmed HIV RNA <200 c/mLConfirmed HIV RNA <200 c/mL

Gulick R, et al. JAMA. 2006;296:769-781.

No difference of probability of not failing among patients with HIV RNA >100,000 c/mL

Page 62: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

ACTG 5095 Impact of Baseline Values and Risk of Virologic Failure

at 3 Years on EFV

By Baseline HIV RNA LevelBy Baseline HIV RNA Level

By Baseline CD4 Cell CountBy Baseline CD4 Cell Count

1.0 1.75 2.850.660.35

<50

50-199

200-349

350-499

≥500

≥300,000

100,000-299,999

30,000-99,999

<30,000

Ribaudo H, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August 13–18, 2006; Toronto, Canada Abstract THLB0211.

1.0 1.75 2.850.660.35

Page 63: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

TDF QDFTC QDEFV QD

(n = 255)

Noninferiority Trial, Primary Endpoint <400 c/mL at Week 96TLOVR

CBV BIDEFV QD

(n = 254)

Week 144

Stratification by

HIV RNA >10,000 c/mL Any CD4 count

Baseline Characteristics86% Male 87%36 Age (Median) 37233 Median CD4

(cells/mm³)241

5.0 Median Viral Load (log10 c/mL )

5.0

Adequate Renal and Hepatic Function at baselineFTC/TDF Fixed dose combination tablet was not used

What NRTIs? GS 934: Study Design

CBV = carbovir.*FDA-required endpoint, similar to ITT Missing = Failure, Switch = Failure.Requires confirmation for success, used by FDA for presentation in U.S. Prescribing Information of newly approved antiretrovirals.Gallant JE, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August13–18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract TUPE0064.

ARV-naïve patientsrandomized 1:1

Week 144

Page 64: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

BL 8 16 24 32 40 48 60 72 84 96

Proportion <50 c/mL (TLOVR)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

TDF+FTC+EFV 67*

CBV+EFV 61*

P = .16

*95% CI: (-2.3%, +15.0%)

Time (wk)

Resp

on

der

(%)

Gallant JE, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August13–18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract TUPE0064.

Page 65: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Mean Absolute Change in CD4 Count From Baseline

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

BL 8 16 24 32 40 48 60 72 84 96

Time (wk)

270 TDF+FTC+EFV

237 CBV+EFV

P = .036

n = 255 238 234 223 218 209 199 177 184 172 166

n = 254 222 216 199 188 175 164 145 149 149 142

Mean

Ch

an

ge (

cells/m

m3)

Gallant JE, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August13–18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract TUPE0064.

Page 66: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Resistance Development Through Week 96

TDF+FTC+EFV(n = 244)

CBV+EFV(n = 243)

Genotypes 14 29

Wild Type 4 7

Any Resistance 10 20

EFV-R 10 18

M184V/I 2 9

TAMs 0 1

K65R 0 0

Excludes patients with baseline NNRTI-R mutations (n = 487).

P =.017

P = .036

Gallant JE, et al. Presented at: XVI IAC; August13–18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract TUPE0064.

Page 67: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

Initial Treatment Strategies:PI-based Regimens

Page 68: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

KLEAN Study: LPV/r vs FPV/r, Both With 3TC and ABC QD

Phase IIIb, randomized (1:1), open-label, 48-wk study conducted at 131 sites in the US, Europe, and Canada

Entry criteria

— HIV-1 RNA 1000 c/mL

— No CD4 cell count restrictions

Stratified by entry HIV-1 RNA <100,000 c/mL or 100,000 c/mL

KLEAN had 90% power to detect noninferiority of FPV/r to LPV/r within a 12% difference

ART-naïve subjects

FPV/r 700 mg/100 mg BID + ABC/3TC

(600 mg/300 mg) FDC QD n = 434

LPV/r 400 mg/100 mg BID + ABC/3TC

(600 mg/300 mg) FDC QD n = 444

FDC = fixed-dose combination.Eron J, et al. Presented at: 16th IAC; August 13–18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract THLB0205.

Page 69: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

KLEAN Study: HIV-1 RNA <50 c/mL at Wk 48

66 65 63 66 6767 646370666465

0

20

40

60

80

100 FPV/ r BID LPV/ r BID

TLOVR HIV-1 RNA <100,000

c/mL

HIV-1 RNA ≥100,000

c/mL

CD4+ <50 cells/mm3

CD4+ 50-199

cells/mm3

CD4+ ≥200 cells/mm3

Pro

port

ion

of

Su

bje

cts

FPV/r n = 434 197 237 67 163 204

LPV/r n = 444 209 235 80 152 212

Eron J, et al. Presented at: 16th IAC; August 13–18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract THLB0205.

Page 70: When to Start When to Stop? What to Start? Joseph J. Eron, Jr, MD Professor of Medicine Principal Investigator AIDS Clinical Trials Unit School of Medicine

KLEAN Results: Median Fasting Lipids (mg/dL) at Baseline and Wk

48

0

50

100

150

200

250

FPV/ r LPV/ r FPV/ r LPV/ r

mg/d

L

Baseline Wk 48

Cholesterol Triglycerides

Baseline n= 363 377 363 377Wk 48 n= 287 294 287 294

Use of lipid-lowering medications was similar in the FPV/r and LPV/r groups (11%). Eron J, et al. Presented at: 16th IAC; August 13–18, 2006; Toronto, Canada. Abstract THLB0205.