Why Much North America Skipped Winter Yahoo 7Mrt12

7/29/2019 Why Much North America Skipped Winter Yahoo 7Mrt12

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Why Much of North America Skipped Winter

LiveScience.com By Wynne Parry |LiveScience.com 3 hrs ago

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For parts of North America, this winter was the winter that nearly wasn't.

January ranked as the fourth-warmest for the 48 U.S. states on recordsince 1895. December, too, was above average, although not assignificantly. The final analysis for February is not yet in, butweather watchers expect last month to rank above averagetemperature-wise as well.

Of course, this year hasn't brought early beach weather for everyone;just ask residents of Alaska andEurope, where a frigid cold snap is blamed for hundreds of deaths. Andthe warmth has been blamed for contributing to the slew of devastatingtornadoes that hit the Midwest and southern U.S. on Friday (March 2).

While scientists have said that global warming willcause an uptick inextreme weather, they are hesitant to link any one event or even anunusual season to climate change. Even so, they say, global warming mayplay a role in the weird winter weather.

*The jet stream*

The key to understanding the unusually warm winter lies in the jet

stream . Itis made up of high-altitude, westerly winds. Its polar branch, the oneimportant for determining winter weather, travels over the mid-latitudesof the Northern Hemisphere in winter, according to Jeff Masters,director of meteorology at the weather service and news site WeatherUnderground.

The polar jet stream divides cold Arctic air to the north from warmerair to the south. This year, meteorologists say, the jet stream has keptthe cold air bottled up farther north than usual. [Quiz: Test YourWeather Smarts]

As a result, warmer-than-usual temperatures this year have graced muchof the United States, particularly in New England, the Great Lakes andthe Upper Plains, according to Mark Paquette, a meteorologist withAccuWeather.com. Southern Canada, too, has gotten its share of mildwinter weather

The polar jet stream is influenced by natural patterns, the mostprominent being fluctuations in the Northern Annular Mode, also calledthe Arctic Oscillation. When the mode is in its so-called positivephase, air pressure over the far north remains low, leading to astronger jet stream. This keeps the cold Arctic air bottled up to thenorth. The negative phase, meanwhile, is associated with a weaker,meandering jet that allows cold air to spill south.

*Reversals*

Until late January, the mode was in its positive phase, resulting inwarmer temperatures farther north. [6 Signs Spring Has Sprung]

But a reversal of phase allowed the jet stream to meander some, and letArctic cold air move down into Eastern Europe. The result was a coldsnap that is blamed for killing hundreds.


12/27

The mode has shifted again since then. In fact, a strong jet streamcontributed to the tornados that hit the south and the Midwest lastweek, as did the arrival of warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico,according to Masters, who discusses the tornados on his blog.

*La Nia and the future*

Another large-scale atmospheric pattern, one related to temperatures inthe equatorial Pacific Ocean, is also at play. This winter La Nia,associated with cooler water temperatures in the Pacific, has been ineffect. La Nia is typically associated with drier-than-normalconditions for the southern and eastern U.S. largely consistent withprecipitation this winter, according to Deke Arndt, chief of the climatemonitoring branch at the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) inBoulder, Colo.

"The dryness looks like what we would expect with La Nia, the warmth wesaw is consistent with the positive Arctic Oscillation," Arndt said."The two of them tougher, all else being equal, would tend to produce awarmer and drier winter, especially east of the Rockies."

Paquette predicts an end to this trend. "Mother Nature or weatherpatterns have a way of evening themselves out. I think it only matter oftime before this mild dry pattern flips and we get into a much differentweather pattern."

/You can follow //LiveScience/ /senior/writer Wynne Parry on Twitter ///@Wynne_Parry//.// Follow LiveScience for thelatest in science news and discoveries on Twitter //@livescience// and on //Facebook//./

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*forestgump /78/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /2/users disliked this comment*forestgump* 1 hr 2 mins ago Report Abuse

i know the electric companies will ask for a rate hikes due to

shortfalls.....just wait

9 Replies *

Marko /43/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /1/users disliked this comment*Marko* 1hr 5 mins ago Report Abuse

Nice to have one of these every once in a while in the uppermidwest.

4 Replies *

Da Boss /113/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /7/users disliked this comment*Da Boss* 1 hr 3 mins ago Report Abuse

Can t you folks just enjoy the nice weather? I personally likednot shovelling snow for a change!


17/27

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MichaelJ /16/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /0/users disliked this comment*MichaelJ* Houston, Texas 25 mins ago Report Abuse

I don t know but I m beginning to believe none of us are gettingout of here alive!

3 Replies *

Lawrence /74/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /5/users disliked this comment*Lawrence* Vienna, West Virginia 2 hrs 8 mins ago Report Abuse

you think we skipped winter? just wait till summer and you findout we skipped water too.

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* . /33/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /2/users disliked this comment*.* 1 hr20 mins ago Report Abuse

Here in Illinois we are having a very mild winter...it was inthe high 60 s yesterday and today. It s great! :-)

3 Replies *

ScottR

/40/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /3/users disliked this comment*ScottR* 1hr 8 mins ago Report Abuse

Well since moving from Hawaii to Maryland the following happened- Earthquake, Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Snowed early inOctober, very warm winter, and in Hawaii they are gettingpounded by a weather system as we speak....Soooooo.....it s me Iam the cause of all of it MUHAHAHHAHAH

6 Replies *

ronald /75/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /7/users disliked this comment*ronald* 2hrs 3 mins ago Report Abuse

now comes the massive crop failures because of increased insectsthis year!! need the cold to freeze the boogers out

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18/27

*Joe P /11/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /0/users disliked this comment*Joe P* 41mins ago Report Abuse

LOVING IT! Used less natural gas to heat my home, only ran mysnowblower twice (normally at least a dozen time by now), lesssalt on the roads, far fewer accidents, better commutes due toclear roads...

2 Replies *

Mr. RD /50/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /4/users disliked this comment*Mr. RD* 1hr 3 mins ago Report Abuse

I find myself not reading the stories anymore on yahoo...justcomments

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* Joe /56/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /5/users disliked this comment*Joe* Louisville, Kentucky 2 hrs 26 mins ago Report Abuse

Mild winter can be nice - as long as it doesn t lead to an overabundance of mosquitoes in spring, summer, and fall. I have afeeling we ll be needing the bug spray this year. And that isn tgood for the earth, either.

Don t kill the lady bugs - they eat the mosquito eggs

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BrianE /43/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /4/users disliked this comment*BrianE* Bentonville, Arkansas 1 hr 37 mins ago Report Abuse

I just hope we dont have a hot dry summer in the south like wedo year after year. Maybe summer will take a vacation and we wilhave spring all the way till fall. Now that would be sweet

8 Replies *

Alex /99/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /12/users disliked this comment*Alex* 2hrs 45 mins ago Report Abuse

Why not let the weather just be weather?


19/27

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hockey fan /142/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /19/users disliked this comment*hockey fan* Northfield, Vermont 2 hrs 19 mins ago Report Abuse

The true cause of global warming is Hot Air from Washington D C

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Alyzza /19/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /1/users disliked this comment*Alyzza* Muskegon, Michigan 35 mins ago Report Abuse

I live in Michigan, and I think I had to shovel snow once thisyear. I, for one, don t mind the lack of snow!

1 Reply *

safeinthewoods

/52/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /5/users disliked this comment*safeinthewoods* 3 hrs agoReport Abuse

Earth Changes ... ready or not, here they come ...

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Rich /39/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /4/users disliked this comment

*Rich* 36mins ago Report Abuse

In other words, we have no idea why

2 Replies *

Mr. DROT /53/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /7/users disliked this comment*Mr. DROT* Washington, District of Columbia 1 hr 9 mins ago ReportAbuse

The only way to save the earth is to send me $5, which I willuse to develop and distribute the solution.

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Carnegie Hill /7/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please sign into rate! /0/users disliked this comment*Carnegie Hill*


20/27

New York,New York 16 mins ago Report Abuse

Over the years we ve had some of our biggest snowstorms in Marchand April. But at this late point in the season, I d rather itjust went into spring and be done with it.

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thomas /16/users liked this commentPlease sign in to rate! Please signin to rate! /2/users disliked this comment*thomas* 46 mins ago Report Abuse

I always love the way an article can give a detailed account ofwhy a weird season of weather happened, yet they still have tosay that global warming may play a part without giving anyexplanation whatsoever.

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Why Much North America Skipped Winter Yahoo 7Mrt12