24
Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA Third quarter 2015 > Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA /// 11 November 2015 Jan Eyvin Wang, President and CEO

Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA...• Contribution from Hyundai Glovis stable in Q3, but will be substantialy lower in Q4 due to currency effects based on their reported net profit in Q3. 1)

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASAThird quarter 2015

    >

    Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA /// 11 November 2015 Jan Eyvin Wang, President and CEO

  • 2

    > Disclaimer

    This presentation contains forward-looking expectations which are subject

    to risk and uncertainties related to economic and market conditions in

    relevant markets, oil prices, currency exchange fluctuations etc.

    Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA group undertake no liability and make no representation or

    warranty for the information and expectations given in the presentation.

  • 3

    >

    • Investigation of the global car carrying industry started in September 2012

    in several jurisdictions related to incidents prior to September 2012

    • WWL and EUKOR have cooperated and are cooperating with respective

    authorities. These processes are confidential.

    • Japanese and South African authorities have completed their

    investigations

    – WWL were fined USD 34 million in Japan and USD 8 million in South Africa (WWASA share USD 16.5 million and USD 4 million respectively)

    • Final outcome of the investigations is uncertain and will take time

    – Some further clarifications expected in Q4 2015 and 2016

    • The USD 200 million provision represents WWASA’s share of the

    exposure related to the ongoing investigations

    Anti-trust investigationWWASA makes USD 200 million provision in the third quarter

  • 4

    >

    22

    14

    20

    18

    16

    12

    2

    4

    6

    8

    0

    10

    -7%-3%

    Q2 15

    Q1 15

    Q4 14

    Q3 14

    Q4 12

    Q3 12

    Q1 10

    Q2 11

    Q1 11

    Q4 10

    Q1 12

    Q2 10

    Q3 10

    Q3 11

    Q4 11

    Q2 12

    Q2 14

    Q1 14

    Q4 13

    Q3 13

    Q2 13

    Q1 13

    Q1 09

    Q4 08

    Q4 09

    Q3 09

    Q2 09

    Million Cbm

    Q3 15

    Decline in group volumes Down of 7% q-o-q and 3% y-o-y

    Prorated ocean volumes – WW group (100%)

  • 5

    >

    Index

    Fall in both cargo segments

    High and Heavy

    • Decline in all main trades

    • Construction volumes to North America

    remained strong, however weaker than first

    half of the year

    Auto

    • Oceania stronger and Europe slightly

    better

    • Decline in all other trades

    Unprorated ocean volumes – WWL and EUKOR (100%)

  • 6

    > Renewal of Ocean Carrier Contract

    • EUKOR secured contract for 4 more years

    • Volumes out of Korea;- 50% in 2016 and 2017

    - 40% in 2018 and 2019

    • In 2014, EUKOR transported approximately 4.6 million units of which 1.7 million where on behalf of Hyundai and Kia

  • 7

    >

    145

    147

    145146

    145

    147146

    147

    143

    140139

    110

    115

    120

    125

    130

    135

    140

    145

    150

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

    2013 2014 2015 2016

    Group tonnage Newbuildings Secured flexible tonnage

    Making use of the tonnage flexibility

    * Base case - Secured capacity not including upside potential through possible charter-in’s** Vessels recycled at 25 years and all TC vessels redelivered at end of ordinary contract period, newbuilding included

    Other reduction flexibility options include; Renegotiation of charter terms, sale of vessels, slow steaming

    **

    *

    127

    # Vessels

    137

  • 8

    >

    Region Q3 2015 Q2 2015

    QoQ

    change Q3 2014

    YoY

    change

    2015 FY

    FC

    2016 FY

    FC

    2016/

    2015

    N America 5,29 5,44 -3 % 5,08 4 % 20,30 20,60 1 %

    Europe* 3,74 4,22 -11 % 3,42 9 % 15,60 15,80 1 %

    Oceania 0,32 0,33 -3 % 0,31 4 % 1,30 1,30 0 %

    BRICs 7,02 7,55 -8 % 7,50 -7 % 31,40 33,30 6 %

    .....Brazil 0,62 0,63 -1 % 0,83 -26 % 2,50 2,40 -4 %

    .....Russia 0,41 0,40 3 % 0,55 -25 % 1,60 1,60 0 %

    .....India 0,77 0,73 5 % 0,75 3 % 3,20 3,50 9 %

    .....China 5,22 5,79 -7 % 5,37 -3 % 24,10 25,80 7 %

    Continued low commodity prices impact HH volumesLower growth in annual Chinese car sales

    Light vehicle sales in key markets quarterly [M Units] CAT - Resource industries sales quarterly [MUSD]

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    *excluding Russia and Turkey

    Quarterly light vehicle exports [M Units] John Deere - Q3 2015 industry outlook

    0

    500 000

    1 000 000

    1 500 000

    2 000 000

    Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Japan Korea

    *Agriculture and Turf Retail Sales

  • 9

    > Outlook

    Auto

    • Marginal growth in mature markets

    • Growth in China but at lower levels

    • Slow in other emerging markets

    High and heavy

    • Construction to remain healthy

    • Mining and agricultural to remain weak

    Tonnage

    • Using tonnage flexibility to remain

    balanced

    ���� Increased focus on synergies and cost reductions in all companies

    ���� Continue to expand land based activities

  • 10

    > Prospect

    The shipping activities in WWASA are expected to remain challenging, with added

    pressure on margins.

    Logistics activities are expected to be on par with the 2015 levels.

    The board will ensure a continuous focus on operational efficiency and cost-

    reducing initiatives.

  • Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA

    Third quarter 2015

    >

    Wilh.Wilhelmsen ASA 11 November 2015 Benedicte B. Agerup, CFO

  • 12

    > WWASA Group – Key financialsProvision impact shipping segment negatively in Q3

    • Total income reported - 6% q-o-q, - 14% y-o-y

    • EBIT reported negative USD 134 million, EBIT adjusted for non-recurring items USD 68 million

    • Shipping segment negatively impacted by a provision of USD 200 million

    • Lower ocean profitability q-o-q, partly seasonal, logistics stable

    700

    600

    200

    100

    500

    300

    400

    0

    USD million

    558

    650

    Q2

    596

    682

    Q1

    609637 624

    Q4

    -6%

    Q3

    100

    -150

    -100

    0

    50

    -50

    USD million

    Q1

    54

    98

    -134

    -284%

    57

    Q4

    6673

    Q3

    76

    Q2

    20152014

    Total income Total EBIT

  • 13

    >

    WW ASA Group

    USD mill 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 YTD 2014 YTD 2014 Q3 2014 FY

    Operating income 546 583 1 702 1 912 619 2 525

    Gain on sale of assets 26

    Share of profits from JV's and associates 12 14 35 56 30 66

    Total income 558 596 1 763 1 968 650 2 592

    EBITDA (94) 113 155 295 110 413

    Depreciation and impairments (41) (40) (118) (118) (44) (160)

    EBIT (134) 73 36 177 66 253

    Financial income/(ex pense) (73) 4 (115) (56) (9) (131)

    Profit/(loss) before tax (207) 77 (78) 121 57 122

    1 1 1 1 1 Net profit

    1) (213) 70 (86) 111 54 166

    Earnings per share (USD) (0.97) 0.32 (0.39) 0.50 0.25 0.75

    1) after minority interest

    WWASA Group - Profit and Loss 2015Proportionate method

  • 14

    > WWASA EBITDA adjusted for non-recurring itemsDown 6% q-o-q, partly seasonal

    106114110106102

    116

    91

    121118120

    104

    120

    150154

    135

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    Q3 2015

    4% -6%

    Q2 2015

    Q1 2015

    Q4 2014

    Q3 2014

    USD million

    Q2 2014

    Q1 2014

    Q4 2013

    Q3 2013

    Q2 2013

    Q1 2013

    Q4 2012

    Q3 2012

    Q2 2012

    Q1 2012

  • 15

    > WWASA Shipping – Key financialsSignificantly impacted by a provision in connection with anti-trust investigations

    • Total income reported - 7% q-o-q, - 15% y-o-y

    • EBIT reported negative USD 150, EBIT adjusted for non-recurring items USD 53 million

    • Transported volumes down 7%, decline of both autos and H/H cargo

    • Suboptimal cargo and trade mix

    • Margins under pressure

    600

    500

    400

    300

    200

    100

    0

    USD million

    502

    -7%

    Q4Q3

    437

    512

    Q2

    470

    539

    Q1

    460499

    50

    0

    -150

    -100

    -50

    100

    -359%

    Q4Q3

    -150

    47

    Q2

    5837

    Q1

    59

    37

    USD million

    55

    20152014

    Shipping income Shipping EBIT

  • 16

    > WWASA Shipping – EBIT marginUnderlying margins stable q-o-q

    + Lower G&A cost base - Reduced BAF surcharges

    - Suboptimal cargo and trade mix

    - Continued pressure on margins

  • 17

    > WWASA Logistics – Key financialsUnderlying EBIT flat q-o-q

    • Total income reported - 4% q-o-q, - 10% y-o-y

    • EBIT reported + 2% q-o-q, - 18% y-o-y

    • Contribution from WWL logistics was on par with previous quarter

    • Contribution from Hyundai Glovis stable in Q3, but will be substantialy lower in Q4 due to currency

    effects based on their reported net profit in Q3.1)

    • Market value of 12.0% ownership in Hyundai Glovis was USD 853 million on 30 September 2015

    160

    140

    120

    100

    80

    60

    40

    20

    0

    USD million

    126 -4%

    Q4Q3

    129143

    Q2

    134147

    Q1

    155144

    0

    5

    10

    45

    40

    35

    30

    25

    20

    15

    Q1

    22

    18

    Q2

    2218

    Q3 Q4

    +2%14

    40

    20

    USD million

    2014 2015

    Logistics income Logistics EBIT

    1) Hyundai Glovis net result consolidated into WWASA accounts one quarter in arrears.

  • 18

    > WWASA Group – Financial income (expense)Unrealised losses on derivatives

    • Net financial items• Negative return on investment management

    • Termination fee of USD 9 million for the deferred tax inherent in UK tax leases

    • Stable net interest expenses

    • Unrealised losses on both interest rate- and currency derivatives, due to a stronger USD and lower

    medium to long term USD interest rates

    USD mill 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 YTD 2014 YTD 2014 Q2 2014 FY

    Net financia l i tems (15.9) (0.8) (8.8) 2.1 (2.4) (0.5)

    Net i nteres t expens es (22.0) (23.3) (67.9) (68.1) (25.4) (91.2)

    Interest rate derivatives - unrea l is ed (15.3) 18.5 4.6 (1.7) (6.4) (16.8)

    Net financia l - currency (15.2) 8.6 (40.1) 12.3 3.5 (22.0)

    Net financia l deri vatives bunkers (4.2) 0.9 (2.6) (0.3) (0.1) (0.3)

    Financial income/(expense) (72.6) 4.0 (114.8) (55.6) (30.8) (130.9)

    Proportionate

  • 19

    >

    USD mill

    Assets

    Non current assets 2 900 88 % 3 080 88 % 2 955 88 %

    Current assets (ex cl liquid funds) 24 1 % 31 1 % 23 1 %

    Liquid funds 378 11 % 408 12 % 375 11 %

    Total assets 3 302 100 % 3 519 100 % 3 353 100 %

    Equity & liabilities

    Equity 1 588 48 % 1 806 51 % 1 707 51 %

    Non current interest-bearing debt 1 239 38 % 1 277 36 % 1 236 37 %

    Other non current liabilities 275 8 % 249 7 % 264 8 %

    Current liabilities 201 6 % 187 5 % 145 4 %

    Total equity and liabilities 3 302 100 % 3 519 100 % 3 353 100 %

    30.09.2015 31.12.201430.06.2015

    WWASA Group – Balance SheetContinued strong balance sheet

    Equity

    Effect of provision of USD 200 million• Reduction in investment in joint ventures and associates

    • Reduction in equity

  • 20

    > WWASA Group - Committed CAPEX, incl. dry-docking

    297

    145

    -151-200

    -150

    -100

    -50

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    Paid capex 2015

    USD million

    Acc 2015-20162016 FY

    • Capex in 2015 already paid

    • Capex in 2016 financed through sale / lease back with a positive cash effect

  • 21

    > WWASA Group – Liquidity developmentContinued high liquidity buffers

    172

    11

    35

    20

    127

    420

    380

    360

    340

    320

    300

    280

    0

    440

    460

    400

    Other

    USD million

    Liquidity Q3 2015

    378

    408

    Financial cost

    CapexNet financing

    10

    Dividend received from JV’s and ass.

    1

    JVs/associates

    EBITDA*)Liquidity Q2 2015

    *) Equity

  • 22

    >

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    2015

    31

    USD million

    2020 ->

    411

    2019

    341

    2018

    281

    2017

    106

    2016

    188

    WWASA Group – interest bearing debtSound maturity profile

    BanksBonds Export financing

    • Three vessels previously on UK tax lease refinanced to ordinarybank debt in July.

    • Ordinary instalments of USD 23 million in Q3.

    • Revolving credit facility of USD 50 million renewed in July.

    • Bond maturity in March 2016 of approx. USD 15 million will be financed from cash position

    • Covenant waivers received from main banks to cover Q3 provision

  • 23

    > WWASA Group – Semi-annual dividend per shareDividend of NOK 0.50 per share in H2 2015

    • Dividend payment of NOK 1.00 per share in H1 2015

    • Dividend payment of NOK 0.50 per share in H2 2015

    • Low dividend paymenta reflection of weakerearnings and the JV’sexposure in the anti-trust investigation

    0,0

    0,5

    1,0

    1,5

    2,0

    2,5

    3,0

    3,5

    4,0

    4,5

    5,0

    2014

    NOK/share

    2.00

    1.50

    20152013

    4.75

    2011

    1.00

    2012

    1.65

    2nd half

    1st half

  • Thank you!>

    www.wilhelmsenasa.com