78
Improving Pavements With Long-Term Pavement Performance: Products for Today and Tomorrow Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on Long-Term Pavement Performance Data Analysis. Sponsored by the Federal Highway Administration and the American Society of Civil Engineers. PUBLICATION NO. RD-03-049 NOVEMBER 2005

Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

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Page 1: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

Impr

ovin

g Pa

vem

ents

With

Lo

ng-T

erm

Pav

emen

t Per

form

ance

:Pr

oduc

ts fo

r To

day

and

Tom

orro

wW

inni

ng P

aper

s Fro

m th

e 20

01–2

002

Inte

rnat

iona

l Con

test

on L

ong-

Term

Pav

emen

t Per

form

ance

Dat

a An

alys

is.

Spon

sore

d by

the F

eder

al H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion

and

the A

mer

ican

Soc

iety o

f Civi

l Eng

inee

rs.

PUBL

ICAT

ION

NO. R

D-03

-049

NOVE

MBE

R 20

05

Page 2: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

FOR

EW

OR

D

In 1

998,

the

Fede

ral H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion

(FH

WA

), Lo

ng-T

erm

Pav

emen

t Pe

rfor

man

ce (L

TPP)

Pro

gram

and

the

Hig

hway

Div

isio

n Pa

vem

ents

Com

mitt

ee

of th

e A

mer

ican

Soc

iety

of C

ivil

Engi

neer

s (A

SCE)

initi

ated

a p

rogr

am to

or

gani

ze a

n in

tern

atio

nal c

onte

st o

n th

e us

e of

LTP

P da

ta. T

he c

ompe

titio

n w

as

desi

gned

to p

rom

ote

the

use

of L

TPP

data

and

invo

lve

the

futu

re p

avem

ent

engi

neer

s in

univ

ersi

ty in

the

anal

ysis

of d

ata

from

the

LTPP

dat

abas

e. T

he

prog

ram

has

bee

n in

ope

ratio

n fo

r 4 y

ears

with

thre

e co

ntes

ts. T

he p

aper

s co

ntai

ned

in th

is d

ocum

ent a

re th

e re

sults

of t

he 2

001–

2002

con

test

.

G

ary

L. H

ende

rson

D

irect

or, O

ffic

e of

Infr

astru

ctur

e R

esea

rch

and

Dev

elop

men

t

Not

ice

This

doc

umen

t is d

isse

min

ated

und

er th

e sp

onso

rshi

p of

the

U.S

. Dep

artm

ent o

f Tr

ansp

orta

tion

in th

e in

tere

st o

f inf

orm

atio

n ex

chan

ge. T

he U

.S. G

over

nmen

t as

sum

es n

o lia

bilit

y fo

r the

use

of t

he in

form

atio

n co

ntai

ned

in th

is d

ocum

ent.

This

repo

rt do

es n

ot c

onst

itute

a st

anda

rd, s

peci

ficat

ion,

or r

egul

atio

n.

The

U.S

. Gov

ernm

ent d

oes n

ot e

ndor

se p

rodu

cts o

r man

ufac

ture

rs. T

rade

mar

ks

or m

anuf

actu

rers

' nam

es a

ppea

r in

this

repo

rt on

ly b

ecau

se th

ey a

re c

onsi

dere

d es

sent

ial t

o th

e ob

ject

ive

of th

e do

cum

ent.

Q

ualit

y A

ssur

ance

Sta

tem

ent

The

Fede

ral H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion

(FH

WA

) pro

vide

s hig

h-qu

ality

in

form

atio

n to

serv

e G

over

nmen

t, in

dust

ry, a

nd th

e pu

blic

in a

man

ner t

hat

prom

otes

pub

lic u

nder

stan

ding

. Sta

ndar

ds a

nd p

olic

ies a

re u

sed

to e

nsur

e an

d m

axim

ize

the

qual

ity, o

bjec

tivity

, util

ity, a

nd in

tegr

ity o

f its

info

rmat

ion.

FH

WA

pe

riodi

cally

revi

ews q

ualit

y is

sues

and

adj

usts

its p

rogr

ams a

nd p

roce

sses

to

ensu

re c

ontin

uous

qua

lity

impr

ovem

ent.

Page 3: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

T

echn

ical

Rep

ort D

ocum

enta

tion

Page

1.

Rep

ort N

o.

FHW

A-R

D-0

3-04

9 2.

Gov

ernm

ent A

cces

sion

N

o.

3. R

ecip

ient

’s

Cat

alog

No.

5. R

epor

t Dat

e N

ovem

ber 2

005

4. T

itle

and

Sub

title

Im

prov

ing

Pav

emen

ts W

ith L

ong-

Term

Pav

emen

t P

erfo

rman

ce: P

rodu

cts

for T

oday

and

Tom

orro

w

Pap

ers

From

the

2001

–200

2 In

tern

atio

nal C

onte

st

on L

ong-

Term

Pav

emen

t Per

form

ance

Dat

a An

alys

is

6. P

erfo

rmin

g O

rgan

izat

ion

Cod

e

7. A

utho

r(s)

N

. Buc

h, K

. Cha

tti, S

.A. D

ewan

, R. H

aas,

C.M

. R

aym

ond,

L. R

othe

nbur

g, H

.M. S

alem

, S.L

. Tig

he

8. P

erfo

rmin

g O

rgan

izat

ion

Rep

ort

No.

10. W

ork

Uni

t No.

9. P

erfo

rmin

g O

rgan

izat

ion

Nam

e an

d A

ddre

ss

Offi

ce o

f Inf

rast

ruct

ure

Res

earc

h an

d D

evel

opm

ent

Fede

ral H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion

6300

Geo

rget

own

Pik

e, H

RD

I-13

McL

ean,

VA

2210

1-22

96

11. C

ontra

ct o

r G

rant

No.

13.

Type

of R

epor

t an

d Pe

riod

Cov

ered

20

01–2

002

12.

Spon

sorin

g Ag

ency

Nam

e an

d Ad

dres

s A

mer

ican

Soc

iety

of C

ivil

Eng

inee

rs (A

SC

E)

Tran

spor

tatio

n an

d D

evel

opm

ent I

nstit

ute

Fede

ral H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion

Long

-Ter

m

Pav

emen

t Per

form

ance

(LTP

P) P

rogr

am

14.

Spo

nsor

ing

Agen

cy C

ode

15.

Sup

plem

enta

ry N

otes

Th

e C

ontra

ct O

ffice

r’s T

echn

ical

Rep

rese

ntat

ive

(CO

TR) w

as A

nton

io

Nie

ves—

HR

DI-1

3.

16.

Abs

tract

Th

is re

port

is a

com

pila

tion

of a

war

d-w

inni

ng te

chni

cal p

aper

s fro

m th

e Th

ird

Ann

ual I

nter

natio

nal C

onte

st o

n LT

PP

Dat

a A

naly

sis

2001

–200

2, v

ario

us

auth

ors.

17

. K

ey W

ords

LT

PP

, pav

emen

t per

form

ance

, D

ataP

ave

cont

est,

Dat

aPav

e

18.

Dis

tribu

tion

Sta

tem

ent

No

rest

rictio

ns.

This

doc

umen

t is

avai

labl

e to

the

publ

ic th

roug

h th

e N

atio

nal T

echn

ical

Info

rmat

ion

Ser

vice

, S

prin

gfie

ld, V

A 2

2161

.

19.

Sec

urity

C

lass

if. (o

f thi

s re

port)

U

ncla

ssifi

ed

20. S

ecur

ity

Cla

ssif.

(of t

his

page

) U

ncla

ssifi

ed

21. N

o of

Pag

es

151

22

. P

rice

Form

DO

T F

170

0.7

(8-7

2)

R

epro

duct

ion

of c

ompl

eted

pag

e au

thor

ized

Page 4: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

ii

SI* (

MO

DER

N M

ETR

IC) C

ON

VER

SIO

N F

AC

TOR

S A

PPR

OXI

MAT

E C

ON

VER

SIO

NS

TO S

I UN

ITS

Sym

bol

Whe

n Yo

u K

now

M

ultip

ly B

y To

Fin

d Sy

mbo

l LE

NG

TH

in

inch

es

25.4

m

illim

eter

s m

m

ft fe

et

0.30

5 m

eter

s m

yd

ya

rds

0.91

4 m

eter

s m

m

i m

iles

1.61

ki

lom

eter

s km

A

REA

in

2sq

uare

inch

es

645.

2 sq

uare

mill

imet

ers

mm

2

ft2 sq

uare

feet

0.

093

squa

re m

eter

s m

2

yd2

squa

re y

ard

0.83

6 sq

uare

met

ers

m2

acac

res

0.40

5he

ctar

esha

mi2

squa

re m

iles

2.59

sq

uare

kilo

met

ers

km2

VOLU

ME

fl oz

flu

id o

unce

s 29

.57

mill

ilite

rs

mL

gal

gallo

ns

3.78

5 lit

ers

L ft3

cubi

c fe

et

0.02

8 cu

bic

met

ers

m3

yd3

cubi

c ya

rds

0.76

5 cu

bic

met

ers

m3

NO

TE: v

olum

es g

reat

er th

an 1

000

L sh

all b

e sh

own

in m

3

MA

SS

ozou

nces

28.3

5 gr

ams

glb

poun

ds

0.45

4ki

logr

ams

kgT

shor

t ton

s (2

000

lb)

0.90

7 m

egag

ram

s (o

r "m

etric

ton"

) M

g (o

r "t")

TE

MPE

RAT

UR

E (e

xact

deg

rees

) o F

Fahr

enhe

it 5

(F-3

2)/9

C

elsi

us

o C

or (F

-32)

/1.8

IL

LUM

INAT

ION

fc

foot

-can

dles

10.7

6lu

xlx

flfo

ot-L

ambe

rts3.

426

cand

ela/

m2

cd/m

2

FOR

CE

and

PRES

SUR

E or

STR

ESS

lbf

poun

dfor

ce

4.4

5

new

tons

N

lb

f/in2

poun

dfor

ce p

er s

quar

e in

ch

6.89

ki

lopa

scal

s kP

a

APP

RO

XIM

ATE

CO

NV

ERSI

ON

S FR

OM

SI U

NIT

S Sy

mbo

l W

hen

You

Kno

wM

ultip

ly B

yTo

Fin

d Sy

mbo

l LE

NG

THm

m

mill

imet

ers

0.03

9 in

ches

in

m

m

eter

s 3.

28

feet

ft

m

met

ers

1.09

ya

rds

yd

km

kilo

met

ers

0.62

1 m

iles

mi

AR

EA

mm

2 sq

uare

mill

imet

ers

0.00

16

squa

re in

ches

in

2

m2

squa

re m

eter

s 10

.764

sq

uare

feet

ft2

m2

squa

re m

eter

s1.

195

squa

re y

ards

yd

2

ha

hect

ares

2.

47ac

res

ackm

2 sq

uare

kilo

met

ers

0.38

6 sq

uare

mile

s m

i2

VOLU

ME

mL

mill

ilite

rs

0.03

4 flu

id o

unce

s fl

oz

L lit

ers

0.26

4 ga

llons

ga

l m

3 cu

bic

met

ers

35.3

14

cubi

c fe

et

ft3

m3

cubi

c m

eter

s 1.

307

cubi

c ya

rds

yd3

MA

SS

ggr

ams

0.03

5ou

nces

ozkg

kilo

gram

s2.

202

poun

dslb

Mg

(or "

t")

meg

agra

ms

(or "

met

ric to

n")

1.10

3 sh

ort t

ons

(200

0 lb

) T

TEM

PER

ATU

RE

(exa

ct d

egre

es)

o C

Cel

sius

1.

8C+3

2 Fa

hren

heit

o F IL

LUM

INAT

ION

lx

lu

x 0.

0929

fo

ot-c

andl

es

fc

cd/m

2ca

ndel

a/m

20.

2919

fo

ot-L

ambe

rtsfl

FOR

CE

and

PRES

SUR

E or

STR

ESS

N

new

tons

0.

225

poun

dfor

ce

lbf

kPa

kilo

pasc

als

0.14

5 po

undf

orce

per

squ

are

inch

lb

f/in2

*SI i

s th

e sy

mbo

l for

th In

tern

atio

nal S

yste

m o

f Uni

ts.

App

ropr

iate

roun

ding

sho

uld

be m

ade

to c

ompl

y w

ith S

ectio

n 4

of A

STM

E38

0.

e(R

evis

ed M

arch

200

3 )

137

the

mos

t rea

sona

ble

clus

terin

g re

sults

, but

the

diff

eren

ce b

etw

een

thes

e m

etho

ds is

not

larg

e.

The

clus

ter m

embe

rshi

p ta

bles

and

the

clim

ate

map

s dev

elop

ed in

th

is st

udy

can

help

rese

arch

ers i

ncor

pora

te o

r sep

arat

e cl

imat

e fa

ctor

s in

thei

r mod

els w

hen

are

usin

g th

e LT

PP d

ata

to p

erfo

rm

stat

istic

al tr

eatm

ent c

ompa

rison

ana

lysi

s. A

noth

er p

oten

tial u

se o

f th

is m

ap is

to h

elp

high

way

pra

ctiti

oner

s get

clim

ate

patte

rn

info

rmat

ion

for t

heir

geog

raph

ical

are

as so

that

they

can

app

ly th

e sa

me

desi

gn c

riter

ia, c

onst

ruct

ion

requ

irem

ents

, and

mai

nten

ance

st

rate

gies

to th

ose

regi

ons w

ith si

mila

r clim

ate

patte

rns.

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Bar

nard

Che

mic

al In

form

atio

n Lt

d, 2

002.

K-m

eans

, Non

-H

iera

rchi

cal R

eloc

atio

n C

lust

erin

g Pr

ogra

m, V

ersi

on 1

.3.

Dal

las,

E., J

ohns

on, 1

998.

App

lied

Mul

tivar

iate

Met

hods

for D

ata

Anal

ysts

, Bro

oks/

Col

e Pu

blis

hing

Com

pany

, Cal

iforn

ia, p

p.

319-

327.

LAW

PC

S, 1

999.

Int

rodu

ctio

n to

LTP

P D

ata.

LA

W P

CS,

a

LAW

GIB

B G

roup

Mem

ber,

Bel

tsvi

lle, M

D.

Sarle

, W.S

., 19

83. C

ubic

Clu

ster

ing

Cri

teri

on. S

AS

Tech

nica

l R

epor

t A-1

08, C

ary,

NC

, SA

S In

stitu

te, I

nc.

SAS

Inst

itute

, 199

2. S

AS/S

TAT

Use

r’s G

uide

, Vol

ume

1,

ACEC

LUS-

FREQ

, Int

rodu

ctio

n to

Clu

ster

ing

Proc

edur

es,

Car

y, N

C, S

AS

Inst

itute

, Inc

.

SAS

Inst

itute

200

2. S

AS

Tech

nica

l Sup

port.

Page 5: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

136

SUM

MA

RY

AN

D C

ON

CL

UST

ION

S

This

pap

er d

escr

ibes

the

proc

ess o

f dev

elop

ing

a cl

imat

e m

ap b

y pa

rtitio

ning

LTP

P te

st se

ctio

ns in

to d

iffer

ent g

roup

s usi

ng th

e an

nual

clim

ate

data

reco

rded

in th

e LT

PP d

atab

ase

sinc

e 19

80.

The

test

sect

ions

bel

ongi

ng to

the

sam

e gr

oup

(clu

ster

), w

hich

are

la

bele

d w

ith th

e sa

me

clus

ter m

embe

rshi

p on

the

map

, hav

e si

mila

r cl

imat

e ch

arac

teris

tics.

Fou

rteen

clim

ate

para

met

ers h

ave

been

us

ed fo

r com

paris

on.

To re

flect

the

annu

al c

limat

e pa

ttern

and

the

over

all c

limat

e in

form

atio

n, th

is re

sear

ch p

repr

oces

sed

clim

ate

data

into

two

sepa

rate

par

ts: T

ype

I dat

a an

d Ty

pe II

dat

a. T

he T

ype

I dat

a co

mpr

ise

annu

al w

eath

er re

cord

s whi

le th

e Ty

pe II

dat

a ar

e m

ade

up o

f the

ave

rage

of t

he re

cord

s. C

lust

er a

naly

sis w

as c

ondu

cted

on

bot

h se

ts o

f dat

a to

par

titio

n te

st se

ctio

ns.

Thre

e cl

uste

r an

alys

is a

ppro

ache

s wer

e em

ploy

ed b

y th

is re

sear

ch: t

he a

vera

ge

link,

K-m

eans

, and

the

com

bina

tion

of fi

rst t

wo

met

hods

. Th

e re

sear

ch e

xam

ined

clu

ster

ana

lysi

s out

puts

to d

eter

min

e th

e ap

prop

riate

num

ber o

f clu

ster

s. B

ased

on

the

CC

C, p

seud

o T2

, an

d ps

eudo

F st

atis

tic, t

his r

esea

rch

reco

mm

ends

61

clus

ters

for

Type

I da

ta a

nd 5

0 cl

uste

rs fo

r Typ

e II

. Th

e st

atis

tics a

lso

indi

cate

th

at m

ore

deta

iled

parti

tion

is p

ossi

ble

and

the

num

ber o

f clu

ster

s ca

n be

incr

ease

d if

requ

ired

in p

ract

ice.

Scat

ter p

lots

of p

rinci

ple

com

pone

nts w

ere

used

to v

erify

the

clus

ter r

esul

ts.

Bas

ed o

n th

e pl

ot o

f the

firs

t tw

o- a

nd th

ree-

prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

scor

es, t

his r

esea

rch

foun

d th

at th

e co

mbi

natio

n of

ave

rage

link

and

K-m

eans

met

hod

prod

uces

the

best

clu

ster

ing

resu

lts fo

r Typ

e I d

ata.

How

ever

, bec

ause

abo

ut 2

0 pe

rcen

t of v

aria

bilit

y in

the

clim

ate

data

is n

ot a

ccou

nted

for b

y th

e fir

st tw

o pr

inci

ple

com

pone

nts,

the

scat

ter p

lots

shou

ld b

e as

sist

ed

by a

real

clu

ster

mem

bers

hip

map

to ju

dge

the

effe

ctiv

enes

s of t

he

thre

e cl

uste

r app

roac

hes.

This

rese

arch

dev

elop

ed G

IS c

limat

e m

aps f

or th

e te

st se

ctio

ns,

parts

of w

hich

are

pre

sent

ed in

this

pap

er. T

he m

aps a

lso

show

that

th

e co

mbi

natio

n of

ave

rage

link

and

K-m

eans

met

hod

gene

rate

s

iii

TAB

LE

OF

CO

NT

EN

TS

Page

IN

TR

OD

UC

TIO

N...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

1

BA

CK

GR

OU

ND

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..1

DA

TA A

NA

LYSI

S C

ON

TEST

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....1

PAPE

R 1

T

HE

USE

OF

TH

E L

ON

G-T

ER

M P

AV

EM

EN

T

PER

FOR

MA

NC

E D

AT

AB

ASE

IN T

HE

PA

VE

ME

NT

EN

GIN

EE

RIN

G

CU

RR

ICU

LU

M A

T M

ICH

IGA

N S

TA

TE

UN

IVE

RSI

TY

......

......

......

......

....3

AB

STR

AC

T...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.3

INTR

OD

UC

TIO

N...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...3

Und

ergr

adua

te P

avem

ent D

esig

n an

d Re

habi

litat

ion

Cou

rses

......

......

......

4 G

radu

ate

Pave

men

t Des

ign

Cou

rse.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....4

EX

AM

PLES

OF

DA

TAPA

VE

3.0

APP

LIC

ATI

ON

......

......

......

......

......

......

...5

CE4

32—

Pave

men

t Reh

abili

tatio

n....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....5

In

vent

ory

Dat

a....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

7 D

istre

ss E

valu

atio

n....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....8

Fu

nctio

nal E

valu

atio

n....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....1

2 St

ruct

ural

Eva

luat

ion.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..12

C

E831

—Pa

vem

ent A

naly

sis a

nd D

esig

n II

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....1

8 TA

SK 1

: Se

lect

ion

of S

ectio

ns fr

om S

PS-1

Site

s....

......

......

......

......

...19

TA

SK 2

: D

ata

for S

elec

ted

SPS-

1 Si

tes.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..21

TA

SK 3

: Pa

vem

ent P

erfo

rman

ce a

nd R

espo

nse

for S

elec

ted

SPS-

1 Si

tes.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....2

3 TA

SK 4

: En

gine

erin

g D

iscu

ssio

n an

d Su

mm

ary

of F

indi

ngs.

......

.....

29

CO

NC

LUSI

ON

S....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..30

R

EFER

ENC

ES...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.31

DIS

CLA

IMER

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....3

1

PAPE

R 2

T

RA

NSF

OR

MIN

G L

TPP

DIS

TR

ESS

INFO

RM

AT

ION

FO

R

USE

IN M

TC

-PM

S...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...33

AB

STR

AC

T...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

33

INTR

OD

UC

TIO

N...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.34

DA

TA E

XTR

AC

TIO

N F

RO

M L

TPP

DA

TAB

ASE

......

......

......

......

......

......

.35

LTPP

DIS

TRES

SES

VER

SUS

MTC

DIS

TRES

SES

......

......

......

......

......

......

36

DA

TA T

RA

NSF

OR

MA

TIO

N T

ECH

NIQ

UES

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..38

LT

PP T

rans

vers

e Pr

ofile

Dat

a to

MTC

Rut

ting

Dat

a....

......

......

......

......

..40

LT

PP B

lock

Cra

ckin

g to

MTC

Blo

ck C

rack

ing.

......

......

......

......

......

......

...41

LT

PP A

lliga

tor C

rack

ing

to M

TC A

lliga

tor C

rack

ing.

......

......

......

......

....4

2 LT

PP L

ongi

tudi

nal a

nd T

rans

vers

e C

rack

ing

to M

TC L

ongi

tudi

nal a

nd

Tran

sver

se C

rack

ing

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..43

LT

PP P

atch

ing,

Sho

ving

, and

Rav

elin

g to

MTC

Pat

chin

g, D

isto

rtio

ns,

Wea

ther

ing,

and

Rav

elin

g...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...43

Page 6: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

TAB

LE

OF

CO

NT

EN

TS—

Con

tinue

d Pa

ge

iv

PCI A

ND

DED

UC

TS F

RO

M M

TC-P

MS

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

43

STA

TIST

ICA

L A

NA

LYSI

S A

ND

EST

AB

LISH

ING

IRI M

OD

EL...

......

....4

6 C

RIT

ICA

L R

EMA

RK

S...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

47

SUM

MA

RY

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..48

R

EFER

ENC

ES...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.50

PAPE

R 3

A

NA

LY

SIS

OF

INFL

UE

NC

ES

ON

AS-

BU

ILT

PA

VE

ME

NT

R

OU

GH

NE

SS IN

ASP

HA

LT

OV

ER

LA

YS

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..53

AB

STR

AC

T...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

53

INTR

OD

UC

TIO

N...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.54

Rela

ted

Stud

ies.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....5

5 D

ESC

RIP

TIO

N O

F D

ATA

SO

UR

CES

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..55

As

-Bui

lt Ro

ughn

ess P

avem

ent S

ectio

ns...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.57

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss o

f Pav

emen

t Sec

tions

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....5

9 IN

VES

TIG

ATI

ON

OF

INFL

UEN

CES

ON

AS-

BU

ILT

RO

UG

HN

ESS.

......

61

Surf

ace

Prep

arat

ion

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...61

O

verl

ay T

hick

ness

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

63

Com

pari

son

of O

verl

ay M

ater

ial.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

65

Com

pari

son

of P

avem

ent R

ough

ness

Bef

ore

Resu

rfac

ing

......

......

......

.....

66

Inve

stig

atio

n of

Inte

ract

ive

Effe

cts.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....6

8 V

ALI

DA

TIO

N W

ITH

C-L

TPP

DA

TA...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

71

Valid

atio

n of

the

Effe

ct o

f Sur

face

Pre

para

tion

......

......

......

......

......

......

...71

Va

lidat

ion

of th

e Ef

fect

of O

verl

ay T

hick

ness

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

73

Pred

ictio

n Eq

uatio

ns fo

r As-

built

Rou

ghne

ss...

......

......

......

......

......

......

...74

Ba

sic

Surf

ace

Prep

arat

ion

and

Thin

Ove

rlay

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

75

Basi

c Su

rfac

e Pr

epar

atio

n an

d Th

ick

Ove

rlay

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

76

Inte

nsiv

e Su

rfac

e Pr

epar

atio

n an

d Th

in O

verl

ay...

......

......

......

......

......

....7

8 In

tens

ive

Surf

ace

Prep

arat

ion

and

Thic

k O

verl

ay...

......

......

......

......

......

..79

C

ON

CLU

SIO

NS.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

81

REC

OM

MEN

DA

TIO

NS

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

82

REF

EREN

CES

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....8

3

PAPE

R 4

E

FFE

CT

OF

SEA

SON

AL

MO

IST

UR

E V

AR

IAT

ION

ON

SU

BG

RA

DE

RE

SIL

IEN

T M

OD

UL

US

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...85

AB

STR

AC

T...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

85

INTR

OD

UC

TIO

N A

ND

BA

CK

GR

OU

ND

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..86

St

udy

Obj

ectiv

e....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.86

Moi

stur

e Ef

fect

s on

Soil

Resi

lient

Mod

ulus

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....8

6 Te

mpe

ratu

re E

ffect

s on

Soil

Resi

lient

Mod

ulus

......

......

......

......

......

......

....8

8 Se

ason

al V

aria

tion

and

Seas

onal

Adj

ustm

ent F

acto

rs...

......

......

......

......

..89

Ap

proa

ch...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

90

MO

ISTU

RE

AN

D M

OD

ULU

S D

ATA

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..90

135

Figure 9. Cluster membership map based on the K-means method

Page 7: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

134

Figure 8. Cluster membership map based on the average link method

TAB

LE

OF

CO

NT

EN

TS—

Con

tinue

d Pa

ge

v

DA

TA A

NA

LYSI

S...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

92

Seas

onal

Var

iatio

n of

Moi

stur

e an

d M

odul

us o

f Sub

grad

e So

il...

......

.....

93

Moi

stur

e an

d M

odul

us V

aria

tion

with

Tim

e...

......

......

......

......

......

......

93

Rel

atin

g M

oist

ure

Con

tent

to A

vera

ge P

reci

pita

tion.

......

......

......

......

..95

C

orre

latin

g th

e Ba

ckca

lcul

ated

Ela

stic

Mod

ulus

to S

ubgr

ade

Soil

Moi

stur

e an

d O

ther

Soi

l Pro

pert

ies.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..97

M

odel

Dev

elop

men

t for

Pla

stic

Soi

ls...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

97

Mod

el D

evel

opm

ent f

or N

onpl

astic

Soi

ls...

......

......

......

......

......

......

..10

1 Es

timat

ing

Seas

onal

Adj

ustm

ent F

acto

rs...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..10

5 SU

MM

AR

Y A

ND

CO

NC

LUSI

ON

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

107

REF

EREN

CES

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..10

8

PAPE

R 5

D

EV

EL

OPM

EN

T O

F A

PA

VE

ME

NT

CL

IMA

TE

MA

P B

ASE

D O

N L

TPP

DA

TA

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

111

AB

STR

AC

T...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...11

1 IN

TRO

DU

CTI

ON

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..11

1 R

ESEA

RC

H A

PPR

OA

CH

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..11

3 C

LIM

ATE

DA

TA P

REP

RO

CES

SIN

G A

ND

TR

AN

SFO

RM

ATI

ON

......

..11

4 C

LUST

ER A

NA

LYSI

S...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...12

0 D

ETER

MIN

ING

TH

E N

UM

BER

OF

CLU

STER

S...

......

......

......

......

......

...12

2 N

umbe

r of C

lust

ers f

or th

e Ty

pe I

Dat

a...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....1

23

Num

ber o

f Clu

ster

s for

the

Type

II D

ata.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

125

VER

IFIC

ATI

ON

OF

THE

CLU

STER

ING

RES

ULT

S....

......

......

......

......

...12

5 C

LUST

ER M

EMB

ERSH

IPS

ON

GIS

MA

PS...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

131

SUM

MA

RY

AN

D C

ON

CLU

STIO

NS.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.136

R

EFER

ENC

ES...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

137

Page 8: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

vi

LIS

T O

F FI

GU

RE

S Pa

ge

PAPE

R 1

Figu

re 1

. Pa

vem

ent i

nven

tory

and

cro

ss se

ctio

n in

form

atio

n fo

r SH

RP

ID 1

-408

4-1.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

. 8

Figu

re 2

. D

istre

ss p

rogr

essi

on a

s a fu

nctio

n of

tim

e....

......

......

......

9 Fi

gure

3.

Prog

ress

ion

of d

istre

ss a

s a fu

nctio

n of

tim

e....

......

......

10

Figu

re 4

. Rel

atio

nshi

p be

twee

n IR

I and

join

t and

cra

ck fa

ultin

g.1

1 Fi

gure

5.

Rel

atio

nshi

p be

twee

n IR

I and

tran

sver

se c

rack

ing

......

12

Figu

re 6

. D

efle

ctio

n pr

ofile

as f

unct

ion

of d

ista

nce

......

......

......

..13

Fi

gure

7.

LTPP

FW

D p

ositi

ons.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..13

Fi

gure

8.

Bac

kcal

cula

ted

laye

r par

amet

ers.

......

......

......

......

......

...14

Fi

gure

9.

D-r

atio

ver

sus p

oint

loca

tion

for y

ears

199

0, 1

994,

an

d 19

99...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

. 14

Figu

re 1

0. L

TE v

ersu

s poi

nt lo

catio

n (J

4)...

......

......

......

......

......

..15

Fi

gure

11.

Rel

atio

nshi

p be

twee

n LT

E an

d vo

id ra

tio...

......

......

...15

Fi

gure

12.

Mea

sure

d ES

AL

and

pred

icte

d ES

AL.

......

......

......

.....

16

Figu

re 1

3. E

xam

ple

of a

dis

tress

map

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

18

Figu

re 1

4. T

he p

avem

ent s

truct

ure

deta

ils fo

r Se

ctio

n 22

-011

4...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.21

Figu

re 1

5. T

ande

m a

xle

load

spec

trum

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

22

Figu

re 1

6: A

ctua

l and

pre

dict

ed E

SALs

......

......

......

......

......

......

..23

133

Figure 7. Cluster membership map based on the plus K-means method

Page 9: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

132

due

to th

e lim

ited

pape

r siz

e, m

aps p

rese

nted

in th

is p

aper

mus

t ex

clud

e so

me

test

sect

ions

and

rem

ove

over

lapp

ing

labe

ls to

mak

e th

em le

gibl

e. T

hese

map

s are

use

ful i

n ch

ecki

ng th

e cl

uste

ring

resu

lts.

If th

e te

st se

ctio

ns a

re g

eogr

aphi

cally

ver

y cl

ose

to e

ach

othe

r, th

eir c

limat

e ch

arac

teris

tics,

in m

ost c

ases

, ten

d to

be

sim

ilar.

Map

com

paris

on sh

ows t

hat t

he a

vera

ge li

nk p

lus K

-m

eans

met

hod

base

d on

Typ

e I d

ata

prod

uces

bet

ter c

lust

er re

sults

, al

thou

gh in

gen

eral

the

diff

eren

ce b

etw

een

thes

e m

etho

ds is

not

la

rge.

LIS

T O

F FI

GU

RE

S—C

ontin

ued

Page

vii

Figu

re 1

7. T

he a

vera

ge su

rfac

e m

odul

i plo

t with

dep

th fo

r thr

ee

sele

cted

sect

ions

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....2

4 Fi

gure

18.

Exa

mpl

e of

obs

erve

d an

d pr

edic

ted

fatig

ue c

rack

ing.

27

Figu

re 1

9. E

xam

ple

of o

bser

ved

and

pred

icte

d ru

tting

......

......

....2

8 Fi

gure

20.

Pre

dict

ed ru

t dep

th fo

r sec

tion

116.

......

......

......

......

.....

29

PAPE

R 2

Figu

re 1

. A sc

hem

atic

dia

gram

for t

he m

easu

rem

ent o

f rut

ted

wid

ths a

nd ru

t dep

ths f

rom

LTP

P

trans

vers

e pr

ofile

dat

a....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...41

Fi

gure

2. A

com

paris

on b

etw

een

SHR

P an

d M

TC d

efin

ition

s fo

r blo

ck c

rack

ing

seve

ritie

s, an

d co

nver

sion

of L

TPP

quan

titie

s to

MTC

qua

ntiti

es...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

42

Figu

re 3

. Act

ual v

ersu

s pre

dict

ed v

alue

s of I

RI.

......

......

......

......

..48

PA

PER

3

Figu

re 1

. Li

mita

tion

on a

chie

ving

a sm

ooth

pav

emen

t with

a

sing

le li

ft of

asp

halt.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.... 6

4 Fi

gure

2.

As-

built

roug

hnes

s ver

sus p

rior r

ough

ness

for

SPS

-5

data

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

67

Figu

re 3

. A

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess v

ersu

s prio

r rou

ghne

ss f

or C

-LTP

P da

ta...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...72

Fi

gure

4.

As-

built

roug

hnes

s ver

sus o

verla

y th

ickn

ess f

or C

-LTP

P da

ta...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...73

Page 10: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

LIS

T O

F FI

GU

RE

S—C

ontin

ued

Page

viii

Figu

re 5

. A

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess v

ersu

s prio

r rou

ghne

ss fo

r SPS

-5

data

with

bas

ic su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

in o

verla

y....

.... 7

6 Fi

gure

6.

As-

Bui

lt ro

ughn

ess v

ersu

s prio

r rou

ghne

ss fo

r SPS

-5

data

with

bas

ic su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

ick

over

lay.

.....

77

Figu

re 7

. A

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess v

ersu

s prio

r rou

ghne

ss fo

r SPS

-5

data

with

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d

thin

ove

rlay

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

79

Figu

re 8

. As-

built

roug

hnes

s ver

sus p

rior r

ough

ness

for S

PS-5

dat

a w

ith in

tens

ive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thic

k ov

erla

y...

....8

1 PA

PER

4

Figu

re 1

. M

oist

ure

cont

ent a

nd e

last

ic m

odul

us v

ersu

s sea

son

for

clay

ey so

il, si

te 4

8-11

22...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

94

Figu

re 2

. M

oist

ure

cont

ent a

nd e

last

ic m

odul

us v

ersu

s sea

son

for

silty

soil,

site

24-

1634

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.94

Figu

re 3

. Moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

ela

stic

mod

ulus

ver

sus s

easo

n fo

r cl

ayey

soil,

site

13-

1005

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...94

Fi

gure

4.

Moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

ela

stic

mod

ulus

ver

sus s

easo

n fo

r si

lty sa

nd, s

ite 2

8-10

16...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..95

Fi

gure

5.

Moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

rain

fall

vers

us se

ason

for s

ilty

sand

so

il, si

te 2

8-10

16...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

96

Figu

re 6

. Moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

rain

fall

vers

us se

ason

for s

ilty

soil,

si

te 2

4-16

34...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..96

131

CL

UST

ER

ME

MB

ER

SHIP

S O

N G

IS M

APS

Bes

ides

bei

ng a

dat

abas

e, th

e D

ataP

ave

3.0

softw

are

also

pro

vide

s ge

ogra

phic

info

rmat

ion

rela

ted

to e

ach

LTPP

test

sect

ion,

whi

ch

incl

udes

the

Stat

es o

r Pro

vinc

es in

whi

ch th

e te

st se

ctio

n is

loca

ted,

th

e m

ajor

hig

hway

syst

ems i

n th

e N

orth

Am

eric

a, th

e po

sitio

ns o

f th

e te

st se

ctio

ns in

the

map

, det

aile

d ge

ogra

phic

feat

ures

. Th

e pu

rpos

e of

usi

ng G

IS in

this

rese

arch

is to

put

the

clus

ter a

naly

sis

resu

lts o

n a

map

so th

at th

ey c

an b

e vi

sual

ly v

erifi

ed.

And

if th

e cl

uste

ring

resu

lt is

acc

epta

ble,

a c

limat

e m

ap is

mor

e su

itabl

e fo

r pr

actic

al u

se th

an a

clu

ster

mem

bers

hip

tabl

e. T

his r

esea

rch

uses

A

rcvi

ew so

ftwar

e to

per

form

GIS

ope

ratio

ns, w

hich

is

acco

mpl

ishe

d by

the

follo

win

g st

eps:

1.

Sele

ctin

g th

e ap

prop

riate

map

them

es (f

eatu

res)

from

the

GIS

dat

abas

e. T

his r

esea

rch

sele

cts a

ll en

tire

test

sect

ions

an

d th

e St

ates

or P

rovi

nces

in w

hich

they

are

loca

ted

as

map

them

es.

2.

Tran

sfor

min

g th

e cl

uste

r mem

bers

hip

tabl

es to

new

A

rcvi

ew-r

ecog

niza

ble

tabl

es.

3.

Join

ing

the

attri

bute

tabl

es in

the

GIS

dat

abas

e w

ith th

e ta

bles

cre

ated

in S

tep

2 by

usi

ng th

e vi

rtual

wea

ther

stat

ion

iden

tific

atio

ns a

s com

bina

tion

key

wor

ds.

Bec

ause

the

attri

bute

tabl

es d

o no

t hav

e vi

rtual

wea

ther

stat

ions

id

entif

icat

ions

, thi

s res

earc

h cr

eate

s a n

ew c

olum

n in

the

orig

inal

GIS

attr

ibut

e ta

bles

. 4.

A

ddin

g th

e m

embe

rshi

p la

bels

to th

e G

IS m

ap a

nd e

ditin

g th

e m

ap.

The

GIS

map

labe

led

with

clu

ster

mem

bers

hips

gen

erat

ed b

y th

e av

erag

e lin

k pl

us K

-mea

ns c

lust

er a

naly

sis o

n Ty

pe I

data

is

pres

ente

d in

figu

re 7

. Th

is re

sear

ch a

lso

deve

lope

d cl

uste

r m

embe

rshi

p m

aps b

ased

on

the

othe

r clu

ster

ana

lysi

s app

roac

hes

and

on th

e Ty

pe I

data

in fi

gure

s 8 a

nd 9

. Th

is p

aper

doe

s not

sh

ow th

e cl

uste

r mem

bers

hip

map

s bas

ed o

n Ty

pe II

dat

a. A

nd

Page 11: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

130

Fi

gure

6.

Scat

ter

plot

of t

he fi

rst t

wo

PC sc

ores

labe

led

with

ave

rage

link

plu

s K-m

eans

clu

ster

ana

lysi

s res

ults

Plot

of t

he fi

rst t

wo

PC s

core

s (la

bele

d w

ith K

-mea

ns c

lust

erin

g re

sults

)(u

sing

hie

rarc

hica

l clu

ster

ing

resu

lts to

com

pute

initi

al c

lust

er c

ente

rs)

-3.0

0 -1

.00

1.00

3.00

PC S

core

2

-3.0

0

-2.0

0

-1.0

0

0.00

1.00

2.00

PC Score 1

11

11

14

11

14

11

11 11

11

11

11

14

1111

11

14

11

11

14 5360

29

61

29

56

1

15 15

52

1

15

17

15 15

15

1 1 1

1 1 1

17

17

15 15

15

17

17

1

1

15

9

15 15

15

1

15

11 11 11

11

11

11 11

11 16

11 11

11

11 11

11

11 11 11

1

40

41

1

5022

22

28

28

40

41

28

1 28

1

9

1 40

40

49

40

40

40

40

15

28

15

1

28

28

1

1

15

15

28

40

58

13

13

13

37

13

18 18

13

18

13

13

13

13

57

18

13

13

13

18

3

3 3

3 3

16

16 16

16

16 16

16 16

2525

14

2525

2525

14

25

25

2525

25

25

1414

14

25

25

2525 14

25

25

25

25

2525

14

16

11

11

11

1111

19

19

11

11

11

11

19

1414

14

1414

11

11

14

14

11

30

30

3030

21

45

26 26

6

26

6

26 26

6 37

21

21

8

8

16

8

16 16

8 8 8

16

35

8 8 8

16

16

8 8 8 35

8

16

16

35

3 8

35 3

16

3

16

3

16

8 35 35

16

8 3

8

8 8 2 2 8 8

8 8 2 2 2 8

2 2

8

12

12

12

7 16

12 12

16

18

16

8 8

16

12

16

12 12 45

16

16

16 16

16

1414

1414

10 24

10 10 24

24

10

10 10

16 16

16 16

16

16

10

3

3

35

35

35

10

10

59

35

10

10

10 35

35

10

35

35

35

5

33

2 2 2

5

2 2

2 2

5 5

2 2 2

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

2

2 2 5 5

2

2

2 2

5 2 2 2

11 11 1111

11

14

11 1111

11

11 1111

11 1

11111

14 14

1111

11

11 11

14

1414

16

8

16 16

16

16

16

16

8 16 8

16

8 8 8

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7 16

16

16

16 16

8

16

8

6

6 32

33

6 6

6

6 6

45

45

45

45

45 45

45

45

45

8 45

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13

45 45

45 45

18

18

18

18

1

13

6

26

26

1

10

3

16

3

3

3 3

16

3 16

16

16 3

9 9 9 9

12

9

17

17

9

17 12

9

18

17

17

10

1010

10

24

10

10

16

11

11 11

1611

11

3

11 11

3

16

3

16

16 16 16

16

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11

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3

16

16

33

5 5 5

33

3 3 3 3 3

3 3 3 35 35

3 8

3 3

7 7 7

7 7

7 7

7

7 7

7 7

7 7 19

7 7 7 7

11

7

11

7

23

23

26

26

232323

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23

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35

10 3

10

3 35

3

3

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10

3

10

3

10

3 3 3 3

3

3 3 14

11

11

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11 11 11

11

33

33

33

33 32

32

33

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45

33

45

45

33

33

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27

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12 12

9 19 19

12

27

12

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27

27

27

27

19

9

19

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27

27

19 19

27

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19

19

7

19

19

19

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27

27

27

9 9

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19

27

19

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19

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19

27

19

9 19

19

19

19

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7

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12

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12

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19

19

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31

18

13

26

13

13

13

13

13

13

26

26

13

31

26

24

35

10

10

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3

16 16

3

3

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16

3 11

11

16

16

26

20

20

26 26

20

21

26

23

38

21

20

20

23

26

38

21

21

26

3

3

3

2 2

2

2

35

35

35

2

35

2 2

2 2 35

2 2

2 2 2

35

35

2

6 6

6 6 6

34 34

37

34

37

6

6

34

454

44

47

5 5 36

5 48

36

55

3939

36 5

5 5 5 5

5 5

24 24 2

424

43

42

42

43

24

24

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10

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24

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46

24

24

24

24

24

5 5

5 5 5

5 5

LIS

T O

F FI

GU

RE

S—C

ontin

ued

Page

ix

Figu

re 7

. M

oist

ure

cont

ent a

nd ra

infa

ll ve

rsus

seas

on fo

r cla

yey

soil,

site

13-

1005

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...96

Fi

gure

8.

Moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

rain

fall

vers

us se

ason

for c

laye

y so

il, si

te 4

8-41

43...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

97

Figu

re 9

. M

oist

ure

cont

ent v

ersu

s rai

nfal

l for

cla

yey

soil,

si

te 4

8-41

43...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..97

Fi

gure

10.

Bac

kcal

cula

ted

mod

ulus

ver

sus m

oist

ure

cont

ent f

or

clay

ey so

il, si

te 4

8-41

43...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....1

00

Figu

re 1

1. B

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us v

ersu

s moi

stur

e co

nten

t for

fin

e sa

ndy

clay

soil,

site

13-

1005

......

......

......

......

......

......

101

Figu

re 1

2. B

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us v

ersu

s moi

stur

e co

nten

t for

co

arse

sand

y cl

ay so

il, si

te 4

8-11

22...

......

......

......

......

.....

101

Figu

re 1

3. B

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us v

ersu

s moi

stur

e co

nten

t for

si

lty so

il, si

te 2

8-16

34...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..10

3 Fi

gure

14.

Bac

kcal

cula

ted

mod

ulus

ver

sus m

oist

ure

cont

ent f

or

fine

sand

y si

lt, si

te 4

8-10

77...

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

103

Figu

re 1

5. B

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us v

ersu

s moi

stur

e co

nten

t for

sa

ndy

soil,

site

35-

1112

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...10

4 Fi

gure

16.

Est

imat

ed m

odul

us sh

ift fa

ctor

for d

iffer

ent

soil

type

s....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...10

6

Page 12: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

LIS

T O

F FI

GU

RE

S—C

ontin

ued

Page

x

PAPE

R 5

Figu

re 1

. Th

e nu

mbe

r of t

ext s

ectio

ns h

avin

g cl

imat

e re

cord

s ea

ch y

ear.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

117

Figu

re 2

. Dis

tanc

e m

easu

rem

ent o

f the

ave

rage

link

age

clus

terin

g m

etho

d....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.121

Fi

gure

3. C

CC

ver

sus n

umbe

r of c

lust

ers (

Type

I da

ta).

......

......

123

Figu

re 4

. Sca

tter p

lot o

f the

firs

t tw

o PC

scor

es la

bele

d w

ith

aver

age

link

clus

ter a

naly

sis r

esul

ts...

......

......

......

......

.....

128

Figu

re 5

. Sc

atte

r plo

t of t

he fi

rst t

wo

PC sc

ores

labe

led

with

K

-mea

ns c

lust

er a

naly

sis r

esul

ts...

......

......

......

......

......

.... 1

29

Figu

re 6

. Sc

atte

r plo

t of t

he fi

rst t

wo

PC sc

ores

labe

led

with

av

erag

e lin

k pl

us K

-mea

ns c

lust

er a

naly

sis r

esul

ts...

......

130

Figu

re 7

. C

lust

er m

embe

rshi

p m

ap b

ased

on

the

aver

age

link

pl

us K

-mea

ns m

etho

d...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..13

3 Fi

gure

8.

Clu

ster

mem

bers

hip

map

bas

ed o

n th

e a

vera

ge li

nk

met

hod.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....1

34

Figu

re 9

. C

lust

er m

embe

rshi

p m

ap b

ased

on

the

K-m

eans

m

etho

ds...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

135

129

Fi

gure

5.

Scat

ter

plot

of t

he fi

rst t

wo

PC sc

ores

labe

led

with

K-m

eans

clu

ster

ana

lysi

s res

ults

Plot

of t

he fi

rst t

wo

PC s

core

s (la

bele

d w

ith K

-mea

ns c

lust

erin

g re

sults

)

-3.0

0-1

.00

1.00

3.00

PC

Sco

re 2

-3.0

0

-2.0

0

-1.0

0

0.00

1.00

2.00

PC Score 1

30

9

12

9

42

30

303030

9

30

42

3030

30

42

9

30

42 2021

24

23

24

25

8

46

46

29

8

46

47

464646

888

8

8 8

1515

46

46

46

1515

8

46

46

8

4646

46

8

46

30

3030

3030

30

3030

36

30

30

30

3030

30

3030

30

46

55

52

8

5637

37

2828

8

52

28

828

8

8

8

8 28

22

55

88 8

46

28

46

8

2828

8

8

4646

28 8

33

45 4545

44

45

15

15

45

15

45

4545

45

6

15

4545

45

15

34

34

3434

34

18181818

18

18

1818

1119

11

1919

1111

42

19

11

1111

11

11

4242

42

11

19

1919 42

11

111111

1111

11

18

9 9

12

99

1212

9

3030

9

121212

121111

30

9

1211

9

2626

3232

35

417 17

60

17

60

17

17

60

27

35 35

34

3

36

3

3636

3

33

36

353 33

3636

333

34

34

18

18 3434

34

3434

36

34

18 34

18

34

34 34

18

34

343

3 3 5353

33

33

53535

3

3

53

53

3

5736

5736

3657

5736

15

3636

36

3636

36

5757

3

18918

1818

4242

4242

13

381313 38

38

131313

1818

18 1818

18

13

34

34

35

34

35

13

13

54

35 1313

13

35

35 1335 3534

14

2

53 5353

14

532

5353

14

2

53

5353

535353 535353535353

53

253 1414

53

53

53

53

145353

53

30 30 3030

30

42

30

3030

30 30303

030

303030

42 42

3030

30

30

30

42

4242

36

3

3636

3636

36

3636

36

3

36

333

36

3030

3636

3636

36

3

36

36

41

60

7

41

4141

41

41 60

3345

33 33 3

3

33

3

45

3

3

33

1515

15

15

46

45

60

17

17

46

13

18

18

18

34

18

34

18 1818 1818

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5757 57 5

7

57

57

47

47

57

47

57

57

15

4747

13

1313

13

43

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9

9

99

189

9

34

9

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18

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18

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99

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9

18

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9

2

2 14

2

2

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34

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343434

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5757

57

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57

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30

36

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1616

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16

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1334

13

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18

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13

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13

34

13

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18

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12

12

9

3030

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2

41

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27

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53

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41

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9

18

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50

50

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57

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57

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5050

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57

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5050

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50

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1155

8 57

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57

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1212

121242

50 5050

8 8

50

55

50

55

15

12

421142

5011

5550

55

8

55 5555

55 55

55

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55

57

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57

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57

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55

44

15

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4

45

4747

45

45

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4

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44

4

38

35

131313

9

34

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9

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17

59 59

17 17

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16

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4

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16

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4

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18

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53

53

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14 14

Page 13: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

128

way

to c

ompa

re is

to e

xam

ine

the

clus

ter m

embe

rshi

ps o

f the

thre

e cl

uste

r met

hods

in se

para

te m

aps a

nd ju

dge

them

by

expe

rienc

e.

The

abov

e di

scus

sion

is b

ased

on

Type

I da

ta.

The

verif

icat

ion

proc

ess f

or th

e Ty

pe II

dat

a is

als

o pe

rfor

med

the

sam

e w

ay,

alth

ough

it is

sim

pler

bec

ause

it c

onta

ins o

nly

14 v

aria

bles

. Th

e fin

al re

sult

of th

e st

atis

tical

clu

ster

ana

lysi

s is a

tabl

e co

mpr

isin

g th

e te

st se

ctio

ns a

nd th

eir c

orre

spon

ding

clu

ster

mem

bers

hips

. Te

st se

ctio

ns w

ith th

e sa

me

clus

ter m

embe

rshi

p be

long

to o

ne

grou

p w

ith si

mila

r clim

ate

patte

rns.

Bec

ause

of t

he si

ze o

f the

ta

ble,

it is

not

show

n in

this

pap

er.

Fi

gure

4. S

catt

er p

lot o

f the

firs

t tw

o PC

scor

es la

bele

d w

ith

aver

age

link

clus

ter

anal

ysis

res

ults

Plot

of t

he fi

rst t

wo

PC s

core

s (la

bele

d w

ith a

vera

gelin

k cl

uste

ring

resu

lt)

-3.0

0 -1

.00

1.00

3.00

Prin

cipl

e C

ompo

nent

Sco

re 2

-3.0

0

-2.0

0

-1.0

0

0.00

1.00

2.00

Principle Component Score 1

11

11

14

11

14

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

14

11

11

14

53

60

29

61

29

56

1

15

15

52

1

15

17

15

15

15

1

1

1

1

1

1

17

17

15

15

15

17

17

1

1

15

1

15

15

15

1

15

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

16

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

1

40

41

1

50

22

22

28

28

1

41

28

1

1

1

9

1

1

1

49

40

1

1

1

15

28

15

1

28

28

1

1

15

15

1

1

58

13

13

13

37

13

18

18

13

18

13

13

13

13

57

18

13

13

13

18

3

3

3

3

3

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

14

25

14

25

25

14

14

14

25

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

25

25

25

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

16

11

11

14

11

11

14

14

11

11

11

11

14

14

14

14

14

14

11

11

14

14

11

30

30

30

30

21

45

26

13

6

26

6

26

26

6

37

21

21

3

2

16

2

16

16

3

3

3

16

2

3

3

3

16

16

3

3

3

3

3

16

16

3

3

3

3

3

16

3

16

3

16

3

3

3

16

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

3

2

2

3

12

12

12

16

7

12

12

16

18

16

16

16

16

12

16

12

12

8

3

16

16

3

16

14

14

14

14

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

16

16

16

16

16

16

3

3

3

2

3

2

35

2

59

3

2

2

2

3

3

2

3

2

3

5

2

2

2

2

5

2

2

2

2

5

5

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

5

5

2

2

2

2

5

2

2

2

11

11

11

11

11

14

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

14

14

11

19

11

11

11

14

14

14

16

8

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

8

16

8

8

8

16

11

7

16

16

16

16

16

8

16

16

6

6

32

33

6

6

6

6

6

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

13

8

8

8

8

18

18

18

18

1

13

6

26

26

1

10

3

16

3

3

3

3

16

3

16

16

3

3

9

9

9

9

9

9

17

17

9

17

12

9

9

17

17

35

35

35

10

24

10

10

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

3

16

16

3

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

3

16

16

2

5

5

2

2

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

19

7

7

7

7

11

7

11

7

23

23

26

26

23

23

23

23

20

23

20

3

3

3

10

3

3

3

3

16

3

3

35

3

3

3

3

3

3

35

3

3

14

11

11

11

11

11

11

16

2

33

2

2

32

32

2

6

32

33

2

8

8

33

33

33

11

16

16

11

11

11

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

16

19

27

19

19

19

12

12

9

19

19

12

19

12

19

19

19

9

9

19

27

27

19

27

19

9

19

19

19

27

19

19

19

27

19

27

44

19

9

12

19

14

19

19

19

7

19

19

19

19

19

14

27

27

27

9

9

19

19

19

19

12

14

14

14

14

19

14

19

19

19

9

19

19

19

19

19

19

12

19

12

12

12

12

27

12

14

19

19

19

19

31

18

13

26

13

13

13

13

13

13

26

26

13

31

26

10

2

10

10

10

16

3

16

3

3

3

16

16

3

16

16

16

16

26

20

20

26

26

20

21

26

23

38

21

20

20

23

26

38

21

21

26

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

6

6

6

6

6

34

34

37

34

37

13

6

34

4

54

4

4

47

5

5

36

5

48

36

55

39

39

36

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

24

24

24

24

43

42

42

43

24

24

24

2

2

3

2

24

24

24

51

24

24

24

46

24

24

24

24

24

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

xi

LIS

T O

F TA

BL

ES

Page

IN

TR

OD

UC

TIO

N

Tabl

e 1.

Dat

a A

naly

sis C

onte

st w

inne

rs fo

r 200

1–20

02...

......

......

..2

PAPE

R 1

Tabl

e 1.

Oth

er d

istre

sses

foun

d in

this

sect

ion

......

......

......

......

.....

11

Tabl

e 2.

Ran

king

bas

ed o

n di

stre

ss a

nd c

ompu

ted

resp

onse

s....

..17

Ta

ble

3. T

he L

TPP

sect

ion

repo

rt...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...20

Ta

ble

4. S

umm

ary

resu

lts fo

r mat

eria

l pro

perti

es b

ased

on

back

calc

ulat

ion,

Sep

tem

ber,

1998

......

......

......

......

......

......

25

Tabl

e 5.

Sum

mar

y of

the

pave

men

t res

pons

e....

......

......

......

......

..25

PA

PER

2

Tabl

e 1.

Diff

eren

ces i

n de

finiti

ons b

etw

een

MTC

and

LTP

P fo

r M

TC d

istre

sses

-sev

eriti

es (M

TC, 1

986;

SH

RP,

199

3)...

..37

Ta

ble

2. D

istre

ss q

uant

ities

in L

TPP

syst

em u

sed

to o

btai

n

dist

ress

qua

ntiti

es in

MTC

syst

em...

......

......

......

......

......

...39

Ta

ble

3. S

ever

ity le

vels

of d

istre

ss ty

pes r

elat

ed to

cau

se o

f de

terio

ratio

n fo

r asp

halt

and

surf

ace

trea

tmen

t pa

vem

ents

(Sm

ith, 1

999)

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..44

Ta

ble

4. P

artia

l res

ults

from

MTC

-PM

S an

d co

rres

pond

ing

IRI

valu

es...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

45

Page 14: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

LIS

T O

F TA

BL

ES—

Con

tinue

d Pa

ge

xii

PAPE

R 3

Tabl

e 1.

SPS

-5 e

xper

imen

tal t

est s

ectio

ns...

......

......

......

......

......

..57

Ta

ble

2. A

s-bu

ilt IR

I mea

sure

men

ts...

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

59

Tabl

e 3.

IR

I mea

sure

men

ts b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g....

......

......

......

......

60

Tabl

e 4.

Pai

red

data

ana

lysi

s of t

he e

ffec

t of s

urfa

ce p

repa

ratio

n

on a

s-bu

ilt IR

I....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...63

Ta

ble

5. P

aire

d da

ta a

naly

sis o

f the

eff

ect o

f des

ign

over

lay

thic

knes

s on

as-b

uilt

IRI.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..65

Ta

ble

6. P

aire

d da

ta a

naly

sis o

f the

eff

ect o

f ove

rlay

mat

eria

l on

as-

built

IRI.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

66

Tabl

e 7.

Res

ults

of a

naly

sis o

f var

ianc

e fo

r log

arith

m o

f prio

r ro

ughn

ess f

or S

PS-5

site

s....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...68

Ta

ble

8. W

ithin

-sub

ject

s eff

ects

of r

epea

ted

mea

sure

s a

naly

sis.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....7

0 Ta

ble

9. B

etw

een-

subj

ects

eff

ects

of r

epea

ted

mea

sure

s an

alys

is...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...71

Ta

ble

10.

Res

ults

of a

naly

sis o

f var

ianc

e fo

r prio

r rou

ghne

ss

with

C-L

TPP

data

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

. 73

Tabl

e 11

. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for o

verla

y th

ickn

ess

with

C-L

TPP

data

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.74

Tabl

e 12

. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thin

ove

rlay

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...76

127

exam

ined

in th

is re

sear

ch.

Bec

ause

of t

he p

aper

size

and

the

larg

e am

ount

of t

he d

ata,

the

thre

e-di

men

sion

al p

lot i

s ille

gibl

e. T

his

pape

r onl

y pr

esen

ts th

e sc

atte

r plo

ts o

f the

firs

t tw

o pr

inci

ple

com

pone

nt sc

ores

for T

ype

I dat

a us

ing

aver

age

link,

K-m

eans

, an

d av

erag

e lin

k pl

us K

-mea

ns a

ppro

ache

s in

figur

es 4

, 5, a

nd 6

, re

spec

tivel

y.

In th

e pl

ots,

the

num

ber l

abel

s the

clu

ster

mem

bers

hip

of a

cer

tain

ob

serv

atio

n (te

st se

ctio

n) w

hose

pos

ition

is d

ecid

ed b

y its

firs

t tw

o Ei

genv

alue

s. T

hese

plo

ts re

veal

som

e in

tere

stin

g in

form

atio

n.

Whe

n an

obs

erva

tion

is v

ery

diff

eren

t fro

m th

e ot

hers

, all

thre

e cl

uste

ring

met

hods

cor

rect

ly a

ssig

n it

a di

stin

ctiv

e cl

uste

r m

embe

rshi

p. B

ut w

hen

the

obse

rvat

ions

are

not

so d

istin

ctiv

e,

espe

cial

ly in

the

mid

dle

of th

e pl

ots,

diff

eren

t met

hods

resu

lt in

di

ffer

ent c

lust

ers.

In th

e up

per l

eft c

orne

r of t

hese

plo

ts, s

ome

obse

rvat

ions

are

ver

y cl

osel

y gr

oupe

d. B

oth

the

aver

age

link

met

hod

(fig

ure

4) a

nd th

e av

erag

e lin

k pl

us K

-mea

ns m

etho

d (f

igur

e 6)

ass

ign

them

to a

di

stin

ctiv

e cl

uste

r (la

bele

d w

ith “

15”

in th

ese

plot

s).

The

diff

eren

ce o

f the

se o

bser

vatio

ns in

clu

ster

15

with

the

othe

rs is

m

ore

evid

ent i

n a

thre

e-di

men

sion

al p

lot (

not s

how

n he

re).

But

the

K-m

eans

met

hod

assi

gns m

ore

unne

cess

ary

obse

rvat

ions

(fig

ure

5).

To c

ompa

re th

e ef

fect

iven

ess o

f the

ave

rage

link

met

hod

and

the

aver

age

link

plus

K-m

eans

met

hod,

the

auth

or e

xam

ines

thos

e ob

serv

atio

ns la

bele

d w

ith “

24”

and

“10”

in th

e rig

ht c

orne

r of

figur

e 4

and

figur

e 6.

The

plo

ts sh

ow th

at th

e av

erag

e lin

k pl

us K

-m

eans

met

hod

outp

erfo

rms t

he a

vera

ge li

nk m

etho

d by

bet

ter

delim

iting

the

obse

rvat

ions

bel

ongi

ng to

thes

e tw

o cl

uste

rs.

The

plot

s sho

w th

at th

e se

quen

ce o

f thr

ee c

lust

erin

g m

etho

ds, i

n th

e or

der o

f val

idity

by

exam

inin

g th

e fir

st tw

o pr

inci

ple

com

pone

nt sc

ores

, is t

he a

vera

ge li

nk p

lus K

-mea

ns, t

he a

vera

ge

link,

and

the

K-m

eans

met

hod.

How

ever

, bec

ause

mor

e th

an 2

0 pe

rcen

t of t

he v

aria

bilit

y is

not

acc

ount

ed fo

r by

the

first

two

prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

s, on

e ca

nnot

judg

e th

e ef

fect

iven

ess o

f the

se

clus

ter m

etho

ds so

lely

dep

endi

ng o

n th

ese

scat

ter p

lots

. A

noth

er

Page 15: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

126

anal

ysis

tech

niqu

e th

at c

an re

duce

the

dim

ensi

on o

f the

dat

a by

tra

nsfo

rmin

g a

set o

f cor

rela

ted

varia

bles

into

a n

ew se

t of

unco

rrec

ted

varia

bles

cal

led

prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

s (Jo

hnso

n, 1

998,

p.

107)

. If

the

first

two

or th

ree

prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

s acc

ount

for

mos

t of t

he v

aria

bilit

y in

the

data

, the

ir va

lues

(prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

scor

es) c

an b

e pl

otte

d in

a tw

o- o

r thr

ee-d

imen

sion

al

spac

e to

hel

p pe

ople

exa

min

e th

e cl

uste

r ana

lysi

s res

ults

. If

the

prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

s of t

wo

obse

rvat

ions

are

ver

y cl

ose

to e

ach

othe

r in

a sc

atte

r plo

t, th

ey sh

ould

bel

ong

to th

e sa

me

clus

ter;

othe

rwis

e th

ey sh

ould

bel

ong

to d

iffer

ent c

lust

ers.

The

Eig

enva

lue

is a

num

ber i

ndic

atin

g th

e am

ount

of v

aria

bilit

y ac

coun

ted

for b

y th

e ne

w-f

orm

ed v

aria

bles

that

are

com

pute

d fr

om th

e co

rrel

atio

n m

atrix

of t

he tr

ansf

orm

ed c

limat

e va

riabl

es.

The

larg

er a

prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

’s E

igen

valu

e, th

e m

ore

varia

bilit

y is

acc

ount

ed fo

r by

it. P

rinci

ple

com

pone

nts h

avin

g la

rge

Eige

nval

ues c

an b

e us

ed to

re

pres

ent t

he w

hole

var

iabl

es.

Eige

nval

ues l

arge

r tha

n 1

are

liste

d in

tabl

e 6.

Tab

le 6

. E

igen

valu

es la

rger

than

one

Prin

cipl

e C

ompo

nent

E

igen

valu

es

% o

f Var

ianc

e C

umul

ativ

e %

1 14

2.40

1 59

.832

59

.832

2

45.

501

19.1

18

78.9

50

3 1

2.28

9 5

.163

84

.114

4

7.6

76

3.2

25

87.3

39

5 5

.801

2

.437

89

.777

6

3.3

90

1.4

24

91.2

01

7 2

.749

1

.155

92

.356

8

1.6

84

0

.707

93

.064

9

1.2

79

0

.537

93

.601

10

1

.122

0.4

72

94.0

73

The

first

two

prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

s acc

ount

for 7

9 pe

rcen

t of t

he

tota

l var

iabi

lity,

whi

le th

e fir

st th

ree

prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

s acc

ount

fo

r 84

perc

ent o

f the

tota

l var

iabi

lity.

Alth

ough

the

first

thre

e pr

inci

ple

com

pone

nt sc

ores

are

not

so o

verw

helm

ing,

they

may

st

ill g

ive

som

e in

dica

tion

of w

hich

clu

ster

ing

met

hod

is b

ette

r.

Bot

h th

e tw

o-di

men

sion

al a

nd th

ree-

dim

ensi

onal

plo

ts a

re

LIS

T O

F TA

BL

ES—

Con

tinue

d Pa

ge

xiii

Tabl

e 13

. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thic

k ov

erla

y....

......

......

......

......

......

......

....7

8 Ta

ble

14. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for i

nten

sive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thin

ove

rlay

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...79

Ta

ble

15.

Res

ults

of a

naly

sis o

f var

ianc

e fo

r int

ensi

ve su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

ick

over

lay.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.81

PAPE

R 4

Tabl

e 1.

LTP

P si

te lo

catio

ns a

nd su

bgra

de so

il

char

acte

rizat

ion.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....9

1 Ta

ble

2. T

he re

gres

sion

pro

cedu

re u

sing

R-s

quar

e se

lect

ion

met

hod

for t

hree

site

s....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....9

8 Ta

ble

3. A

naly

sis o

f var

ianc

e ta

ble

and

estim

ated

mod

el

para

met

ers.

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

99

Tabl

e 4.

Est

imat

ed m

odel

con

stan

ts fo

r non

plas

tic so

ils...

......

...10

2

Page 16: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

LIS

T O

F TA

BL

ES—

Con

tinue

d Pa

ge

xiv

PAPE

R 5

Ta

ble

1. F

inal

clim

ate

para

met

ers i

n cl

uste

r ana

lysi

s....

......

......

.118

Ta

ble

2. T

rans

form

atio

n of

the

Type

I da

ta...

......

......

......

......

.....

119

Tabl

e 3.

Pre

proc

essi

ng o

f the

Typ

e II

dat

a....

......

......

......

......

.....

119

Tabl

e 4.

Pse

udo

T2 st

atis

tic v

ersu

s num

ber o

f clu

ster

s (T

ype

I dat

a)...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

124

Tabl

e 5.

Num

ber o

f clu

ster

s ver

sus p

seud

o F

stat

istic

(T

ype

I dat

a)...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

125

Tabl

e 6.

Eig

enva

lues

larg

er th

an o

ne...

......

......

......

......

......

......

..12

6

125

Tab

le 5

. N

umbe

r of

clu

ster

s ver

sus p

seud

o F

stat

istic

(T

ype

I dat

a)

Num

ber

of C

lust

ers

Pseu

do F

Sta

tistic

52

114.

62

53

115.

09

54

113.

44

55

111.

69

56

110.

46

57

108.

74

58

108.

68

59

107.

00

60

106.

20

61

114.

45

62

113.

71

63

113.

72

The

R sq

uare

doe

s not

pro

vide

any

mor

e in

form

atio

n in

this

re

sear

ch.

Con

side

ring

the

CC

C, p

seud

o T2

stat

istic

and

pse

udo

F st

atis

tic, t

he a

utho

r rec

omm

ends

61

clus

ter n

umbe

rs b

ased

on

Type

I d

ata.

NU

MB

ER

OF

CL

UST

ER

S FO

R T

HE

TY

PE II

DA

TA

Sim

ilar p

roce

dure

s of d

ecid

ing

the

num

ber o

f clu

ster

s are

pe

rfor

med

for T

ype

II d

ata.

The

ana

lysi

s ind

icat

es th

at h

avin

g 50

cl

uste

rs is

app

ropr

iate

for T

ype

II d

ata.

The

clu

ster

pro

cess

bas

ed

on T

ype

II d

ata

tend

s to

prod

uces

few

er c

lust

ers c

ompa

red

to T

ype

I dat

a, w

hich

is re

ason

able

bec

ause

the

data

are

the

aver

age

clim

ate

valu

es.

VE

RIF

ICA

TIO

N O

F T

HE

CL

UST

ER

ING

RE

SUL

TS

If th

e da

ta a

re tw

o di

men

sion

al, a

scat

ter p

lot i

s eno

ugh

for

valid

atin

g th

e cl

uste

r res

ults

. Fo

r exa

mpl

e, fi

gure

2 c

lear

ly

indi

cate

s tha

t tw

o cl

uste

rs a

re e

noug

h. H

owev

er, w

hen

the

dim

ensi

on o

f the

dat

a ex

ceed

s thr

ee, d

irect

gra

phic

plo

ts a

re a

lmos

t in

appl

icab

le.

Prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

s ana

lysi

s is a

mul

tivar

iate

dat

a

Page 17: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

124

Whe

n us

ing

the

pseu

do T

2 st

atis

tic, o

ne n

eeds

to st

art a

t the

top

of

the

SAS

prin

ted

outp

ut a

nd lo

ok fo

r the

rela

tivel

y la

rge

valu

e, th

en

mov

e ba

ck u

p on

e cl

uste

r (SA

S In

stitu

te, 2

002)

. Pa

rt of

the

pseu

do

T2 st

atis

tics a

re re

porte

d in

tabl

e 4.

The

pse

udo

T2 st

atis

tic fo

r 60

clus

ters

in ta

ble

4 is

71.

14, w

hich

is re

lativ

ely

larg

e co

mpa

red

to

num

bers

aro

und

it. G

oing

bac

k to

61

clus

ters

, the

pse

udo

T2

stat

istic

redu

ces t

o 8.

32.

This

indi

cate

s tha

t hav

ing

61 c

lust

ers i

s m

ore

appr

opria

te.

Tab

le 4

. Ps

eudo

T2

stat

istic

ver

sus n

umbe

r of

clu

ster

s (T

ype

I dat

a)

Num

ber

of C

lust

ers

Pseu

do T

2 st

atis

tic

52

23.9

9 53

8

.85

54

3.6

0 55

6

.09

56

3.9

3 57

12

.87

58

2.1

8 59

7

.96

60

71.1

4 61

8

.32

62

14.6

4 63

3

.33

Ano

ther

use

ful s

tatis

tic is

the

pseu

do F

stat

istic

. Th

e re

lativ

ely

larg

e va

lue

(tabl

e 5)

indi

cate

s the

app

ropr

iate

num

ber o

f clu

ster

s.

Tabl

e 5

show

s tha

t clu

ster

num

ber 6

1 co

rres

pond

s to

a re

gion

al

peak

in th

e ps

eudo

F st

atis

tic.

1

INT

RO

DU

CT

ION

BA

CK

GR

OU

ND

In 1

998,

the

Fede

ral H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion

(FH

WA

), Lo

ng-

Term

Pav

emen

t Per

form

ance

(LTP

P) P

rogr

am, a

nd th

e H

ighw

ay

Div

isio

n Pa

vem

ents

Com

mitt

ee o

f the

Am

eric

an S

ocie

ty o

f Civ

il En

gine

ers (

ASC

E) in

itiat

ed a

pro

gram

to o

rgan

ize

an in

tern

atio

nal

cont

est o

n th

e us

e of

LTP

P da

ta. T

he c

ompe

titio

n w

as d

esig

ned

to

prom

ote

the

use

of L

TPP

data

and

invo

lve

the

futu

re p

avem

ent

engi

neer

s in

univ

ersi

ty in

the

anal

ysis

of d

ata

from

the

LTPP

da

taba

se.

The

prog

ram

has

bee

n in

ope

ratio

n fo

r 4 y

ears

with

thre

e co

ntes

ts.

The

pape

rs c

onta

ined

in th

is d

ocum

ent a

re th

e re

sults

of

the

2001

–200

2 co

ntes

t.

DA

TA

AN

AL

YSI

S C

ON

TE

ST

The

cont

est h

as b

een

expa

nded

to c

over

four

cat

egor

ies:

• C

ateg

ory

1, U

nder

grad

uate

Stu

dent

s (in

divi

dual

or t

eam

en

try).

• C

ateg

ory

2, G

radu

ate

Stud

ents

(ind

ivid

ual o

r tea

m e

ntry

).

• C

ateg

ory

3, P

artn

ersh

ip.

• C

ateg

ory

4, C

urric

ulum

.

The

cont

est n

ow e

xpan

ds to

oth

er k

ey e

xper

ts, i

nclu

ding

Sta

te

depa

rtmen

ts o

f tra

nspo

rtatio

n, c

onsu

ltant

s, an

d in

dust

ry a

s wel

l as

the

univ

ersi

ties.

The

Tra

nspo

rtatio

n an

d D

evel

opm

ent I

nstit

ute

cont

inue

s to

prov

ide

over

sigh

t of t

he c

onte

st w

ith st

rong

supp

ort

from

FH

WA

.

For t

he 2

001–

2002

con

test

, a to

tal o

f 11

pape

rs w

ere

subm

itted

, an

d ex

perts

from

aca

dem

ia, i

ndus

try, a

nd h

ighw

ay a

genc

ies

revi

ewed

thes

e pa

pers

. Aw

ards

wer

e gi

ven

for t

he b

est p

aper

from

ea

ch o

f the

four

cat

egor

ies.

The

win

ners

for 2

001–

2002

are

list

ed

in ta

ble

1.

Page 18: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

2

Tab

le 1

. Dat

a A

naly

sis C

onte

st w

inne

rs fo

r 20

01–2

002

Priz

e N

ame

Facu

lty A

dvis

or

Cat

egor

y 1—

Und

ergr

adua

te S

tude

nts:

No

entr

ies

Cat

egor

y 2—

Gra

duat

e St

uden

ts

1st

Plac

e H

assa

n M

. Aly

Sa

lem

Foua

d M

. Bay

omy,

P.E

. Pr

ofes

sor o

f Civ

il En

gine

erin

g U

nive

rsity

of I

daho

1st

Plac

e Y

uhon

g W

ang

Don

n E.

Han

cher

D

epar

tmen

t of C

ivil

Engi

neer

ing

Uni

vers

ity o

f Ken

tuck

y

2nd

Plac

e Sh

amee

m

Dew

an

Rog

er E

. Sm

ith, P

h.D

., P.

E.

Ass

ocia

te P

rofe

ssor

CE/

TTI,

503G

Texa

s A&

M U

nive

rsity

2nd

Plac

e M

oham

med

Zu

lyam

inay

n

Rog

er E

. Sm

ith, P

h.D

., P.

E.

Ass

ocia

te P

rofe

ssor

D

epar

tmen

t of C

ivil

Engi

neer

ing

Texa

s A&

M U

nive

rsity

3rd

Plac

e C

hris

toph

er

Ray

mon

d

Ral

ph H

aas,

Ph.D

., Su

san

L.

Tigh

e, P

h.D

., an

d Le

o R

othe

nbur

g, P

h.D

. D

epar

tmen

t of C

ivil

Engi

neer

ing

Uni

vers

ity o

f Wat

erlo

o C

ateg

ory

3—Pa

rtne

rshi

p: N

o en

trie

s C

ateg

ory

4—C

urri

culu

m

1st

Plac

e

Nee

raj B

uch

and

Kar

im

Cha

tti

For m

ore

info

rmat

ion

on th

e co

ntes

t, pl

ease

vis

it th

e LT

PP D

ata

Ana

lysi

s con

test

Web

site

at

http

://w

ww

.fhw

a.do

t.gov

/pav

emen

t/ltp

p/co

ntes

t200

2.cf

m.

123

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10010203040

1

6

11

16

21

26

31

36

41

46

51

56

61

66

71

Num

ber o

f Clu

ster

s

CCC

anal

ysis

. B

ecau

se c

lust

erin

g m

etho

ds a

ttem

pt to

max

imiz

e th

e se

para

tion

amon

g cl

uste

rs, t

he a

ssum

ptio

ns o

f the

usu

al

sign

ifica

nce

test

s, pa

ram

etric

or n

onpa

ram

etric

, are

dra

stic

ally

vi

olat

ed (S

AS

Man

ual,

1992

). H

owev

er, s

ome

asym

ptot

ic re

sults

fr

om th

e w

ithin

-clu

ster

sum

of t

he sq

uare

s can

be

used

to ro

ughl

y ju

dge

the

num

ber o

f clu

ster

s. S

arle

(198

3) in

trodu

ced

a cu

bic

clus

terin

g cr

iterio

n (C

CC

) in

1983

. If

the

CC

C v

alue

is p

lotte

d ag

ains

t the

num

ber o

f clu

ster

s, th

e pe

aks o

n th

is p

lot t

hat h

ave

CC

C>3

are

supp

osed

to c

orre

spon

d to

an

appr

opria

te n

umbe

r of

clus

ters

(Joh

nson

, 199

8).

NU

MB

ER

OF

CL

UST

ER

S FO

R T

HE

TY

PE I

DA

TA

The

SAS

outp

ut a

nd th

e pl

ot o

f the

CC

C sh

ows t

hat t

he C

CC

va

lues

con

tinue

incr

easi

ng w

ith th

e nu

mbe

r of c

lust

ers u

ntil

173

clus

ters

. Th

is im

plie

s tha

t thi

s man

y cl

uste

rs a

re re

quire

d, o

r tha

t th

e di

strib

utio

n m

ay b

e gr

ainy

, or t

hat t

he d

ata

may

hav

e be

en

exce

ssiv

ely

roun

ded

or re

cord

ed w

ith ju

st a

few

dig

its (S

arle

, 19

83).

Par

t of t

he C

CC

plo

t is s

how

n in

figu

re 3

, whi

ch sh

ows a

ju

mp

in C

CC

val

ue fr

om 1

9.87

to 2

4.27

whe

n th

e cl

uste

r num

ber

incr

ease

s fro

m 6

0 to

61.

Alth

ough

ther

e ar

e ot

her s

mal

l jum

ps

afte

rwar

ds, b

ecau

se th

is re

sear

ch ju

st in

tend

s to

indi

cate

the

gene

ral c

limat

e pa

ttern

s in

thes

e te

st se

ctio

ns, h

avin

g 61

clu

ster

s is

deem

ed a

ppro

pria

te, a

ccor

ding

to th

e C

CC

crit

eria

. H

owev

er, i

f a

very

det

aile

d cl

imat

e pa

rtitio

n is

requ

ired,

the

clus

ter n

umbe

rs c

an

be in

crea

sed.

Fi

gure

3. C

CC

ver

sus n

umbe

r of

clu

ster

s (T

ype

I dat

a)

Page 19: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

122

• St

ep 2

: Mer

ge th

em in

to a

clu

ster

.

• St

ep 3

: Kee

p do

ing

so u

ntil

all o

bser

vatio

ns a

re

cong

lom

erat

ed in

to a

big

clu

ster

. Th

e tru

e nu

mbe

r of c

lust

ers w

ill b

e be

twee

n 1

and

the

tota

l num

ber

of o

bser

vatio

ns.

The

nonh

iera

rchi

cal m

etho

d us

ed in

this

rese

arch

is th

e K

-mea

ns

met

hod.

Usi

ng th

e K

-mea

ns m

etho

d, a

t firs

t the

num

ber o

f clu

ster

s (c

) nee

ds to

be

defin

ed.

The

rem

aini

ng e

xper

imen

tal u

nits

are

then

al

loca

ted

to th

e ne

ares

t see

d, fo

rmin

g an

initi

al se

t of c

clu

ster

s. Th

e ce

ntro

ids o

f the

se in

itial

clu

ster

s are

iden

tifie

d, a

nd th

e ex

perim

enta

l uni

ts a

re re

loca

ted

to th

e ne

ares

t clu

ster

cen

troid

, pr

ovid

ing

a re

vise

d se

t of c

lust

ers.

New

cen

troid

s are

then

id

entif

ied

for t

he re

vise

d cl

uste

rs a

nd th

e pr

oces

s is r

epea

ted

until

no

exp

erim

enta

l uni

ts c

hang

e cl

uste

rs (B

arna

rd, 2

002)

.

This

rese

arch

firs

t per

form

s a K

-mea

ns c

lust

er a

naly

sis u

sing

SPS

S by

allo

win

g th

e so

ftwar

e to

pic

k th

e in

itial

clu

ster

seed

s ran

dom

ly.

Then

, to

redu

ce th

e ra

ndom

ness

in in

itial

seed

s sel

ectio

n an

d im

prov

e cl

uste

ring

accu

racy

, thi

s res

earc

h us

es th

e pa

rtitio

ning

re

sults

from

the

aver

age

link

clus

terin

g an

alys

is to

com

pute

the

initi

al c

lust

er c

ente

rs fo

r K-m

eans

(for

con

veni

ence

, cal

led

aver

age

link

plus

K-m

eans

met

hod

in th

e la

tter p

art o

f thi

s pap

er).

DE

TE

RM

ININ

G T

HE

NU

MB

ER

OF

CL

UST

ER

S

Clu

ster

ana

lysi

s per

form

ed b

y co

mpu

ter p

rogr

ams d

oes n

ot

reco

mm

end

the

appr

opria

te n

umbe

r of c

lust

ers d

irect

ly, b

ut

prod

uces

gra

phs a

nd st

atis

tics t

hat c

an h

elp

rese

arch

ers d

eter

min

e it.

How

ever

, the

am

ount

of d

ata

in th

is re

sear

ch p

rodu

ces v

ery

mes

sy g

raph

s tha

t are

not

usa

ble.

The

follo

win

g st

atis

tics,

prod

uced

by

incl

udin

g th

e PS

EUD

O a

nd C

CC

opt

ions

in S

AS,

is

used

in d

ecid

ing

the

num

ber o

f clu

ster

s: C

CC

, pse

udo

T2 st

atis

tic,

pseu

do F

stat

istic

, and

R sq

uare

.

The

ordi

nary

sign

ifica

nce

test

for t

estin

g th

e di

ffer

ence

s am

ong

clus

ters

, suc

h as

ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

F te

sts,

are

not v

alid

in c

lust

er

3

PAPE

R 1

T

HE

USE

OF

TH

E L

ON

G-T

ER

M

PAV

EM

EN

T P

ER

FOR

MA

NC

E D

AT

AB

ASE

IN

TH

E P

AV

EM

EN

T E

NG

INE

ER

ING

CU

RR

ICU

LU

M

AT

MIC

HIG

AN

ST

AT

E U

NIV

ER

SIT

Y

Nee

raj B

uch1 a

nd K

arim

Cha

tti2

A

BST

RA

CT

The

auth

ors d

escr

ibe

the

incl

usio

n of

the

Long

-Ter

m P

avem

ent

Perf

orm

ance

(LTP

P) d

ata

in th

e pa

vem

ent e

ngin

eerin

g cu

rric

ulum

at

Mic

higa

n St

ate

Uni

vers

ity (M

SU) u

sing

two

exam

ples

: one

from

an

und

ergr

adua

te c

ours

e on

pav

emen

t reh

abili

tatio

n, a

nd o

ne fr

om

a gr

adua

te c

ours

e on

pav

emen

t ana

lysi

s and

des

ign.

The

des

ign

exam

ples

illu

stra

te th

e us

e of

LTP

P da

ta in

com

putin

g pa

vem

ent

resp

onse

s, pr

edic

ting

traff

ic, d

evel

opin

g re

habi

litat

ion

stra

tegi

es,

and

pred

ictin

g pa

vem

ent p

erfo

rman

ce fo

r bot

h rig

id a

nd fl

exib

le

pave

men

ts.

INT

RO

DU

CT

ION

Pave

men

t eng

inee

ring

curr

icul

um in

the

Dep

artm

ent o

f Civ

il an

d En

viro

nmen

tal E

ngin

eerin

g (C

EE) a

t Mic

higa

n St

ate

Uni

vers

ity

(MSU

) con

sist

s of a

suite

of f

ive

cour

ses,

two

at th

e un

derg

radu

ate

leve

l (4X

X se

ries s

enio

r lev

el) a

nd th

ree

at th

e gr

adua

te le

vel

(8X

X se

ries)

. Fi

rst-y

ear g

radu

ate

stud

ents

are

allo

wed

to e

nrol

l in

the

4XX

des

ign

cour

ses i

f the

y la

ck th

e ne

cess

ary

back

grou

nd in

pa

vem

ent a

naly

sis a

nd d

esig

n. T

he tw

o un

derg

radu

ate

cour

ses a

re

title

d “C

E431

—Pa

vem

ent D

esig

n an

d A

naly

sis-

I,” a

nd “

CE4

32—

1 A

ssis

tant

Pro

fess

or, M

ichi

gan

Stat

e U

nive

rsity

, Dep

artm

ent o

f Civ

il an

d En

viro

nmen

tal E

ngin

eerin

g, E

ast L

ansi

ng, M

I 488

24 (5

17) 3

55-0

012,

Fax

: 517

-43

2-18

27, b

uch@

egr.m

su.e

du

2 Ass

ista

nt P

rofe

ssor

, Mic

higa

n St

ate

Uni

vers

ity, D

epar

tmen

t of C

ivil

and

Envi

ronm

enta

l Eng

inee

ring,

Eas

t Lan

sing

, MI 4

8824

, (51

7) 3

55-6

534,

Fax

: 517

-43

2-18

27, c

hatti

@eg

i.msu

.edu

Page 20: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

4

Pave

men

t Reh

abili

tatio

n.”

The

thre

e gr

adua

te c

ours

es a

re ti

tled

“CE8

31—

Pave

men

t Des

ign

and

Ana

lysi

s-II

,” “

CE8

35—

Pave

men

t M

anag

emen

t,” a

nd “

CE8

37—

Infr

astru

ctur

e M

ater

ials

.” T

hree

pa

vem

ent e

ngin

eerin

g fa

culty

mem

bers

shar

e th

e lo

ad o

f tea

chin

g th

ese

five

cour

ses.

UN

DE

RG

RA

DU

AT

E P

AV

EM

EN

T D

ESI

GN

AN

D R

EH

AB

ILIT

AT

ION

C

OU

RSE

S

Cou

rse

CE4

31 is

off

ered

twic

e a

year

(fal

l and

sum

mer

sem

este

rs).

Th

e av

erag

e fa

ll en

rollm

ent i

s 30

and

15 d

urin

g th

e su

mm

er.

The

prer

equi

site

s for

this

cou

rse

are

a re

quire

d ju

nior

-leve

l cou

rse

in

cons

truct

ion

mat

eria

ls a

nd a

cou

rse

in so

il m

echa

nics

. Th

e co

urse

de

scrip

tion

read

s as f

ollo

ws:

“Th

e st

uden

ts w

ill b

e ex

pose

d to

pa

vem

ent s

truct

ural

des

ign,

eva

luat

ion

of p

erfo

rman

ce m

easu

res,

failu

re m

echa

nism

s, th

ickn

ess d

esig

n pr

oced

ures

(sta

te-o

f-th

e-pr

actic

e), a

nd d

esig

n co

nsid

erat

ions

for s

urfa

ce fr

ictio

n, p

avem

ent

join

ts, a

nd d

rain

age.

” T

he a

sses

smen

t is b

ased

on

hom

ewor

k as

sign

men

ts (2

0 pe

rcen

t of t

he g

rade

), tw

o de

sign

pro

ject

s (30

pe

rcen

t), tw

o ex

ams (

30 p

erce

nt) a

nd w

eekl

y qu

izze

s (20

per

cent

).

The

text

is P

avem

ent A

naly

sis a

nd D

esig

n, b

y Y

ang

H. H

uang

(1

993)

.

Cou

rse

CE4

32 is

off

ered

onc

e a

year

(spr

ing

sem

este

r), w

ith

aver

age

enro

llmen

t of 2

5. T

he c

ours

e de

scrip

tion

read

s as f

ollo

ws:

“T

he st

uden

ts w

ill b

e ex

pose

d to

tech

niqu

es in

pav

emen

t ev

alua

tion,

dis

tress

iden

tific

atio

n, p

avem

ent r

ehab

ilita

tion

stra

tegi

es, l

ife c

ycle

cos

t ana

lysi

s, an

d st

rate

gy se

lect

ion.

” T

he

asse

ssm

ent i

s bas

ed o

n ho

mew

ork

assi

gnm

ents

(10

perc

ent o

f the

gr

ade)

, tw

o de

sign

pro

ject

s (40

per

cent

), tw

o ex

ams (

40 p

erce

nt),

and

wee

kly

quiz

zes (

10 p

erce

nt).

The

cour

se u

ses t

he T

echn

ique

s fo

r Pav

emen

t Reh

abili

tatio

n (R

efer

ence

Man

ual),

Fed

eral

H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion,

as a

text

book

.

GR

AD

UA

TE

PA

VE

ME

NT

DE

SIG

N C

OU

RSE

Cou

rse

CE8

31 is

off

ered

onc

e a

year

dur

ing

the

sprin

g se

mes

ter

and

uses

the

Hua

ng (1

993)

text

. The

ave

rage

enr

ollm

ent i

s sev

en

121

com

puta

tiona

l eff

icie

nt a

nd fa

ster

whe

n ru

nnin

g in

a c

ompu

ter

prog

ram

. Th

e di

sadv

anta

ge o

f the

non

hier

arch

ical

met

hod

is th

at

the

num

ber o

f clu

ster

s in

the

data

mus

t be

know

n be

fore

an

anal

ysis

can

be

cond

ucte

d. A

noth

er d

isad

vant

age

is th

at it

requ

ires

initi

al c

lust

er se

eds (

initi

al c

lust

er c

ente

rs) t

hat m

ay ra

ndom

ly

influ

ence

the

resu

lts.

The

hier

arch

ical

clu

ster

ing

met

hod

does

not

ha

ve su

ch p

robl

ems.

How

ever

, it l

acks

the

“glo

bal”

vie

w o

f the

an

alyz

ed d

ata

in c

ompa

rison

with

the

nonh

iera

rchi

cal m

etho

d;

mor

eove

r, on

ce a

n ex

perim

enta

l uni

t (a

test

sect

ion)

ent

ers o

ne

grou

p, it

can

not c

hang

e la

ter.

Eac

h m

etho

d ha

s adv

anta

ges a

nd

disa

dvan

tage

s, so

som

e pe

ople

reco

mm

end

com

bini

ng th

em b

y us

ing

the

hier

arch

ical

clu

ster

ing

resu

lts a

s the

requ

ired

clus

ter

seed

s for

the

nonh

iera

rchi

cal m

etho

ds.

This

rese

arch

trie

d al

l thr

ee

clus

terin

g te

chni

ques

. B

ecau

se th

e si

ze o

f the

dat

a, a

ll ca

lcul

atio

ns

are

carr

ied

out b

y co

mpu

ter p

rogr

ams.

Ther

e ar

e se

vera

l hie

rarc

hica

l clu

ster

ing

met

hods

with

diff

eren

t cl

uste

ring

effe

cts a

nd c

ompu

tatio

nal e

ffic

ienc

ies.

Thi

s res

earc

h ch

ose

to u

se th

e av

erag

e lin

kage

clu

ster

ing

met

hod

that

wor

ks in

th

e fo

llow

ing

step

s:

• St

ep 1

: Fin

d th

e tw

o cl

oses

t obj

ects

(poi

nts o

r exi

stin

g cl

uste

rs) b

y m

easu

ring

the

aver

age

dist

ance

bet

wee

n ea

ch

com

bina

tion

pair

of o

bser

vatio

ns in

diff

eren

t obj

ects

(f

igur

e 2)

.

Fi

gure

2. D

ista

nce

mea

sure

men

t of t

he

aver

age

linka

ge c

lust

erin

g m

etho

d

Page 21: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

120

CL

UST

ER

AN

AL

YSI

S

Clu

ster

ana

lysi

s is a

mul

tivar

iate

dat

a an

alys

is (o

r dat

a m

inin

g)

tech

niqu

e to

par

titio

n or

igin

al o

bser

vatio

ns in

to su

bgro

ups c

alle

d cl

uste

rs so

that

the

obse

rvat

ions

that

bel

ong

to th

e sa

me

subg

roup

ha

ve a

s muc

h si

mila

rity

as p

ossi

ble

with

resp

ect t

o th

e m

easu

red

varia

bles

(Joh

nson

, 199

8).

Whe

n on

e w

ants

to g

ener

ate

clus

ters

, one

bas

ic q

uest

ion

wou

ld b

e ho

w to

mea

sure

the

“sim

ilarit

y” o

r “di

ssim

ilarit

y” b

etw

een

two

poin

ts, o

r tw

o ob

serv

atio

ns.

Ther

e ar

e th

ree

met

hods

for

mea

surin

g th

e di

stan

ce o

f sim

ilarit

y: R

uler

Dis

tanc

e, S

tand

ard

Rul

er D

ista

nce,

and

Mah

alan

obis

Dis

tanc

e (J

ohns

on, 1

998)

. Su

ppos

e th

e da

ta h

ave

thre

e va

riabl

es, t

he d

ista

nce

betw

een

each

of

the

two

obse

rvat

ions

, A (x

1, y

1, z

1) a

nd B

(x2,

y2,

z2)

wou

ld b

e de

cide

d by

a E

uclid

ean

dist

ance

. The

smal

ler t

his d

ista

nce,

the

mor

e si

mila

r are

the

two

obse

rvat

ions

. So

met

imes

the

varia

bles

ha

ve d

iffer

ent s

cale

s. F

or e

xam

ple,

the

annu

al to

tal a

mou

nt o

f pr

ecip

itatio

n is

in th

ousa

nds (

mill

imet

ers)

, whi

le th

e nu

mbe

r of

inte

nse

rain

day

s is l

ess t

han

one

hund

red

(day

s).

To a

void

in

flatin

g th

e im

pact

of v

aria

bles

with

larg

er sc

ales

, the

firs

t thi

ng

that

nee

ds to

be

done

in th

e cl

uste

r ana

lysi

s is t

o st

anda

rdiz

e th

e va

riabl

es.

This

rese

arch

firs

t sta

ndar

dize

s the

clim

ate

data

by

repl

acin

g th

em

with

thei

r Z sc

ores

:

(1

)

Whe

re:X

is th

e av

erag

e of

eac

h va

riabl

e an

d S

is it

s sta

ndar

d de

viat

ion.

The

dist

ance

cal

cula

ted

by u

sing

eac

h da

ta’s

Z sc

ore

is c

alle

d th

e St

anda

rd R

uler

Dis

tanc

e.

The

clus

terin

g m

etho

ds c

an b

e ca

tego

rized

as n

onhi

erar

chic

al a

nd

hier

arch

ical

met

hods

. The

non

hier

arch

ical

met

hod

is m

ore

Z =

SX

x−

5

peop

le. T

he c

ours

e de

scrip

tion

read

s as f

ollo

ws,

“Thi

s cou

rse

deal

s w

ith a

dvan

ced

pave

men

t ana

lysi

s and

des

ign.

The

stud

ents

will

be

expo

sed

to th

eore

tical

mod

els,

num

eric

al m

odel

s, pe

rfor

man

ce

char

acte

rizat

ion

and

dam

age

mod

els f

or p

avem

ents

.” T

he m

ain

obje

ctiv

es o

f the

cou

rse

are

to e

xpos

e st

uden

ts to

adv

ance

d pa

vem

ent a

naly

sis t

echn

ique

s. A

s suc

h, th

ey le

arn

abou

t the

di

ffer

ent p

avem

ent r

espo

nse

and

perf

orm

ance

pre

dict

ion

mod

els.

The

cour

se is

div

ided

into

two

parts

dea

ling

with

flex

ible

and

rigi

d pa

vem

ents

, res

pect

ivel

y. T

he, s

tude

nts l

earn

to u

se p

avem

ent

anal

ysis

pro

gram

s suc

h as

KEN

LAY

ER (H

uang

, 199

3),

MIC

HPA

VE,

MIC

HB

AC

K, (

Buc

h, e

t al.,

199

9) a

nd S

tet 2

000

(ER

ES C

onsu

ltant

s, 20

00).

The

asse

ssm

ent i

s bas

ed o

n ho

mew

ork

assi

gnm

ents

(40

perc

ent o

f the

gra

de),

two

exam

s (50

per

cent

) and

w

eekl

y qu

izze

s (10

per

cent

). Th

e ho

mew

ork

assi

gnm

ents

wer

e di

vide

d in

to tw

o ca

tego

ries:

Typ

e I c

ompr

ises

the

conv

entio

nal

assi

gnm

ent w

here

que

stio

ns a

re d

irect

ly re

late

d to

the

lect

ures

, as

sign

ed re

adin

g, a

nd c

lass

not

es, p

urpo

se b

eing

to m

easu

re “

shor

t-te

rm tr

ansf

er”

of k

now

ledg

e. T

ype

II a

ssig

nmen

ts c

onsi

st o

f ope

n-en

ded

ques

tions

and

requ

ired

stud

ents

to a

cces

s dat

a fr

om th

e D

ataP

ave

3.0

softw

are

to c

ondu

ct th

e an

alys

is.

The

use

of D

ataP

ave

3.0

in C

E835

and

CE8

37 is

und

er

deve

lopm

ent;

henc

e, th

ese

cour

ses w

ill n

ot b

e di

scus

sed

furth

er in

th

is p

aper

.

EX

AM

PLE

S O

F D

AT

APA

VE

3.0

APP

LIC

AT

ION

CE

432—

P AV

EM

EN

T R

EH

AB

ILIT

AT

ION

Trad

ition

ally

, thi

s cou

rse

cons

ists

of t

wo

desi

gn p

roje

cts,

one

for

rigid

pav

emen

t and

one

for f

lexi

ble

pave

men

t reh

abili

tatio

n.

Dur

ing

the

first

few

off

erin

gs o

f thi

s cou

rse,

the

dist

ress

dat

a w

ere

obta

ined

from

loca

l and

cou

nty

road

s; th

e pa

vem

ent c

ross

sect

ions

an

d tra

ffic

dis

tribu

tions

wer

e as

sum

ed; a

nd li

ttle

or n

o de

flect

ion

info

rmat

ion

was

ava

ilabl

e. B

ecau

se th

e si

tes s

elec

ted

wer

e fr

om

loca

l and

cou

nty

road

s, th

e di

stre

ss ty

pes w

ere

very

rest

ricte

d. T

he

disa

dvan

tage

of t

hese

pro

ject

s was

that

man

y as

sum

ptio

ns h

ad to

be

mad

e to

com

plet

e th

e an

alys

is. M

oreo

ver,

the

abse

nce

of ti

me-

Page 22: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

6

serie

s dat

a di

d no

t ade

quat

ely

dem

onst

rate

the

idea

of p

avem

ent

dete

riora

tion.

With

thes

e sh

ortc

omin

gs in

min

d, th

e in

stru

ctor

s de

cide

d to

exp

lore

the

use

of D

ataP

ave

2.0/

3.0

as a

sour

ce fo

r ex

tract

ing

real

-tim

e se

ries p

avem

ent d

istre

ss a

nd d

efle

ctio

n da

ta.

The

data

base

als

o pr

ovid

es in

form

atio

n on

traf

fic g

row

th (i

n te

rms

of a

vera

ge d

aily

traf

fic (A

DT)

, equ

ival

ent s

tand

ard

axle

load

s in

thou

sand

s (K

ESA

LS),

and

axle

dis

tribu

tion)

, pav

emen

t inv

ento

ry,

and

clim

ate.

It w

as e

nvis

ione

d th

at a

fter c

ompl

etin

g th

e pr

ojec

t the

stud

ents

w

ould

:

• B

e fa

mili

ar w

ith th

e LT

PP d

atab

ase.

• B

e ab

le to

ext

ract

info

rmat

ion

from

the

data

base

.

• B

e ab

le to

synt

hesi

ze tr

affic

, dis

tress

and

def

lect

ion

data

.

• B

e ab

le to

use

the

synt

hesi

zed

data

for p

avem

ent a

naly

sis

and

dete

rmin

e re

mai

ning

life

of t

he p

avem

ent.

• B

e ab

le to

dev

elop

pre

vent

ativ

e an

d re

habi

litat

ion

stra

tegi

es

for t

he re

pair

of d

istre

ssed

pav

emen

ts.

The

clas

s rec

eive

d en

tire

proj

ect s

tate

men

t with

the

task

s and

the

data

on

the

first

day

. B

ecau

se th

e cl

ass w

as la

rge

and

stud

ents

had

va

ryin

g pa

vem

ent e

xper

ienc

e ba

ckgr

ound

s, th

e in

stru

ctor

s ex

tract

ed th

e ra

w d

ata

from

the

mas

ter d

atab

ase

and

gave

it to

the

grou

ps ra

ther

than

pro

vidi

ng a

cces

s to

the

entir

e da

taba

se.

Stud

ents

wer

e in

trodu

ced

to ty

pica

l dat

a, d

efin

ition

s of t

erm

s, an

d da

ta la

yout

thro

ugh

a se

ries o

f tut

oria

l ses

sion

s hel

d af

ter r

egul

ar

clas

s hou

rs.

As p

art o

f the

pro

ject

del

iver

able

s, ea

ch g

roup

was

to

deve

lop:

• G

raph

ical

rela

tions

hips

am

ong

time,

dis

tress

, and

seve

rity

leve

l for

the

assi

gned

LTP

P se

ctio

n.

• G

raph

ical

rela

tions

hips

bet

wee

n tim

e an

d tra

ffic

(for

som

e gr

oups

this

was

tim

e ve

rsus

AD

T, fo

r som

e it

was

tim

e ve

rsus

KES

ALs

, and

for o

ther

s it w

as ti

me

vers

us a

xle

grow

th) f

or th

e as

sign

ed L

TPP

sect

ion.

119

clim

ate

para

met

er b

ecom

es 1

7 ne

w v

aria

bles

that

not

onl

y sh

ow

the

para

met

er n

ame

but a

lso

indi

cate

whi

ch y

ear i

t is r

ecor

ded.

Th

e pr

oces

s of t

rans

form

atio

n is

show

n in

tabl

e 2.

Fin

ally

, 17×

14

= 23

8 ne

w v

aria

bles

gen

erat

ed fo

r eac

h te

st se

ctio

n.

Tab

le 2

. Tra

nsfo

rmat

ion

of th

e T

ype

I dat

a

Sect

ions

Y

ear

Tot

al A

nnua

l Pre

cipi

tatio

n (m

m)

Ave

rage

T

empe

ratu

re (°

C)

Sect

ion

#1

1996

13

25.8

16

.7

Sect

ion

#1

1995

12

66.4

17

.5

Sect

ion

#1

– –

– Se

ctio

n #1

19

80

1384

.7

17.1

Se

ctio

n #2

19

96

1518

.5

14.8

T

otal

Ann

ual

Prec

ipita

tion

1996

(mm

)

Tot

al A

nnua

l Pr

ecip

itatio

n 19

95 (m

m)

T

otal

Ann

ual

Prec

ipita

tion

1980

(mm

)

Ave

rage

T

empe

ratu

re

1996

(°C

) Se

ctio

n #1

13

25.8

12

66.4

13

84.7

16

.7

Sect

ion

#2

1518

.5

– –

14.8

1 m

m =

0.0

39 in

ch

1.8

x °C

+ 3

2 =

°F

The

Type

II d

ata

are

the

annu

al a

vera

ge v

alue

of t

he c

limat

e pa

ram

eter

s rec

orde

d af

ter t

he y

ear 1

980.

Eac

h te

st se

ctio

n co

ntai

ns

only

14

calc

ulat

ed v

aria

bles

(tab

le 3

).

Tab

le 3

. Pre

proc

essi

ng o

f the

Typ

e II

dat

a

T

otal

Ann

ual

Prec

ipita

tion

Ann

ual A

vera

ge

Tem

pera

ture

Se

ctio

n #1

A

vera

ge o

f 16

year

s A

vera

ge o

f 16

year

s Se

ctio

n #2

A

vera

ge o

f 17

year

s A

vera

ge o

f 17

year

s

Page 23: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

118

This

rese

arch

fina

lly se

lect

ed th

e 14

par

amet

ers i

n ta

ble

1 as

the

clus

ter a

naly

sis v

aria

bles

.

Tab

le 1

. Fin

al c

limat

e pa

ram

eter

s in

clus

ter

anal

ysis

Fiel

d N

ame

Exp

lana

tion

TOTA

L_A

NN

_PR

ECIP

To

tal a

nnua

l pre

cipi

tatio

n

INTE

NSE

_PR

ECIP

_DA

YS_

YR

* N

umbe

r of d

ays f

or w

hich

pre

cipi

tatio

n w

as

grea

ter t

han

12.7

mm

(0.5

inch

es)

WET

_DA

YS_

YR

N

umbe

r of d

ays f

or w

hich

pre

cipi

tatio

n w

as

grea

ter t

han

0.25

mm

(0.0

1 in

ches

)

TOTA

L_SN

OW

FALL

_YR

To

tal s

now

fall

for y

ear

SNO

W_C

OV

ERED

_DA

YS_

YR

N

umbe

r of d

ays f

or w

hich

snow

cov

ered

dat

a w

ere

avai

labl

e fo

r yea

r

MEA

N_A

NN

_TEM

P_A

VG

A

vera

ge o

f dai

ly m

ean

air t

empe

ratu

res f

or

year

MA

X_A

NN

_TEM

P_A

VG

A

vera

ge o

f dai

ly m

axim

um a

ir te

mpe

ratu

res

for y

ear

MIN

_AN

N_T

EMP_

AV

G

Ave

rage

of d

aily

min

imum

air

tem

pera

ture

s fo

r yea

r

MA

X_A

NN

_TEM

P A

bsol

ute

max

imum

air

tem

pera

ture

for y

ear

MIN

_AN

N_T

EMP

Abs

olut

e m

inim

um a

ir te

mpe

ratu

re fo

r yea

r

DA

YS_

AB

OV

E_32

_C_Y

R

Num

ber o

f day

s whe

re d

aily

max

imum

air

tem

pera

ture

is a

bove

32.

2 °C

(90

°F) f

or y

ear

DA

YS_

BEL

OW

_0_C

_YR

N

umbe

r of d

ays w

here

dai

ly m

inim

um a

ir te

mpe

ratu

re is

bel

ow 0

°C (3

2 °F

) for

yea

r

FREE

ZE_I

ND

EX_Y

R

Cal

cula

ted

free

zing

inde

x fo

r yea

r

FREE

ZE_T

HA

W_Y

R

Num

ber o

f fre

eze/

thaw

cyc

les f

or y

ear

* W

here

YR

app

ears

in th

e fie

ld, i

t mea

ns th

e un

it be

ing

mea

sure

d ov

er th

e co

urse

of o

ne y

ear.

For t

he T

ype

I dat

a, b

ecau

se e

ach

test

sect

ion

cont

ains

17

year

s’

obse

rvat

ions

, com

parin

g th

e an

nual

pat

tern

requ

ired

that

the

orig

inal

var

iabl

es b

e co

mbi

ned

with

the

year

in w

hich

they

wer

e re

cord

ed to

cre

ate

new

var

iabl

es.

Afte

r thi

s tra

nsfo

rmat

ion,

eac

h

7

• G

raph

ical

rela

tion

betw

een

Inte

rnat

iona

l Rou

ghne

ss In

dex

(IR

I) a

nd d

istre

ss d

eter

iora

tion

(if a

ny).

• A

naly

sis o

f the

def

lect

ion

data

to q

uant

ify lo

ad tr

ansf

er

effic

ienc

y (L

TE) f

or ri

gid

pave

men

ts, b

ackc

alcu

late

d la

yer

para

met

ers (

for b

oth

pave

men

t typ

es),

void

pot

entia

l and

la

tera

l sup

port

(for

rigi

d pa

vem

ents

), an

d to

rela

te th

is

anal

ytic

al d

ata

to th

e ob

serv

ed p

avem

ent p

erfo

rman

ce.

• Th

e re

habi

litat

ion

stra

tegy

/stra

tegi

es to

“fix

” th

e pr

oble

ms

and

exte

nd p

avem

ent l

ife, s

elec

tion

of fi

nal s

trate

gy w

ould

be

bas

ed o

n en

gine

erin

g an

d ec

onom

ic c

onsi

dera

tions

.

• Sk

etch

of t

he p

avem

ent s

ectio

n in

dica

ting

the

dist

ress

type

, se

verit

y, a

nd lo

catio

ns.

Rep

orts

wer

e gr

aded

on

form

at, t

echn

ical

con

tent

, and

gro

up

inte

rvie

ws.

Inve

ntor

y D

ata

To il

lust

rate

the

deliv

erab

les (

for r

igid

pav

emen

ts),

the

auth

ors

have

cho

sen

exam

ples

from

Stra

tegi

c H

ighw

ay R

esea

rch

Prog

ram

(S

HR

P) ID

1-4

084-

1, G

ener

al P

avem

ent S

tudy

-4 (G

PS) J

effe

rson

C

ount

y, A

L. T

his s

ectio

n w

as a

ssig

ned

to a

gro

up o

f thr

ee

stud

ents

. Th

e or

igin

al su

rfac

e la

yer i

s 266

.7 m

illim

eter

s (m

m)

(10.

5 in

ches

) of p

ortla

nd c

emen

t con

cret

e (P

CC

) joi

nted

rein

forc

ed

conc

rete

pav

emen

t (JR

CP)

; the

bas

e la

yer i

s 142

.24

mm

(5.6

in

ches

) of g

rave

l (un

crus

hed)

; the

subb

ase

laye

r is 3

47.9

8 m

m

(13.

7 in

ches

) of s

oil a

ggre

gate

mix

ture

(pre

dom

inan

tly c

oars

e gr

aine

d); a

nd th

e su

bgra

de la

yer i

s cla

yey

sand

. The

orig

inal

co

nstru

ctio

n da

te o

f the

pav

emen

t is J

une

1, 1

970.

The

insi

de a

nd

outs

ide

shou

lder

is a

spha

lt. T

here

is n

o su

bsur

face

dra

inag

e. T

he

aver

age

join

t spa

cing

is 1

7.57

5 m

eter

s (m

) (57

.5 fe

et (f

t)). R

ound

do

wel

s wer

e us

ed fo

r loa

d tra

nsfe

r and

the

long

itudi

nal s

teel

co

nten

t is 0

.1 p

erce

nt. T

he fr

eezi

ng in

dex

is –

2.94

deg

rees

Cel

sius

(o C

) (27

.3 d

egre

es F

ahre

nhei

t (o F)

) day

s, an

d th

e cl

imat

ic re

gion

is

wet

-no

free

ze. T

his r

egio

n ex

perie

nces

375

m (1

476.

4 in

ches

) of

prec

ipita

tion,

and

63

days

abo

ve 3

6.25

o C (9

0 o F)

. Clim

atic

dat

a w

as a

vaila

ble

for 2

7 ye

ars.

In 1

995,

the

annu

al a

vera

ge d

aily

traf

fic

Page 24: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

8

(AA

DT)

was

13,

057,

and

the

aver

age

daily

truc

k tra

ffic

(AD

TT)

was

639

. Th

e pa

vem

ent i

nven

tory

and

cro

ss se

ctio

n in

form

atio

n is

su

mm

ariz

ed in

figu

re 1

, whi

ch is

a sc

reen

cap

ture

from

Dat

aPav

e 3.

0.

Figu

re 1

. Pa

vem

ent i

nven

tory

and

cro

ss se

ctio

n in

form

atio

n fo

r SH

RP

ID 1

-408

4-1

D

istr

ess E

valu

atio

n

The

dist

ress

dat

a w

ere

extra

cted

from

Dat

aPav

e 3.

0 ta

bles

M

ON

_DIS

_JPC

C_R

EV a

nd M

ON

_DIS

_JPC

C_R

EV.

In

sum

mar

y, th

e di

stre

sses

incl

uded

med

ium

-to-h

igh-

seve

rity

faul

ting,

low

-to-m

ediu

m-s

ever

ity tr

ansv

erse

cra

cks,

low

-to-h

igh-

seve

rity

spal

ling,

seal

ant d

amag

e, p

olis

hed

aggr

egat

es, s

calin

g, a

nd

map

cra

ckin

g. F

igur

es 2

and

3 il

lust

rate

the

mag

nitu

de a

nd

seve

rity

of d

istre

sses

as a

func

tion

of ti

me

and

loca

tion

(whe

re

avai

labl

e).

117

Figu

re 1

. T

he n

umbe

r of

text

sect

ions

hav

ing

clim

ate

reco

rds

each

yea

r.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

Year

Observations

Page 25: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

116

The

virtu

al w

eath

er st

atio

ns c

over

man

y m

ore

test

sect

ions

than

do

the

onsi

te w

eath

er st

atio

ns; t

here

fore

, thi

s res

earc

h on

ly se

lect

ed

clim

ate

data

from

this

sour

ce.

The

clim

ate

tabl

es in

clud

e bo

th

mon

thly

and

ann

ual o

bser

vatio

ns.

Bec

ause

the

size

of t

he m

onth

ly

data

reco

rds i

s too

larg

e an

d th

ey c

onta

in m

any

mis

sing

val

ues,

this

re

sear

ch o

nly

uses

the

annu

al su

mm

ary

tabl

es.

The

earli

est v

irtua

l clim

ate

data

reco

rded

in th

e da

taba

se a

re fr

om

1933

, whi

le th

e m

ost r

ecen

t are

from

199

6. T

he n

umbe

r of t

est

sect

ions

that

hav

e vi

rtual

wea

ther

reco

rds a

long

the

time

axis

is

show

n in

figu

re 1

, whi

ch sh

ows m

ost o

bser

vatio

ns c

once

ntra

ted

betw

een

1980

and

199

6. T

o m

ake

the

data

com

para

ble,

this

re

sear

ch p

repr

oces

sed

the

annu

al d

ata

in tw

o se

para

te p

arts

. Th

e fir

st p

art,

whi

ch in

clud

es 8

67 te

st se

ctio

ns w

ithou

t mis

sing

val

ues,

com

pris

es a

nnua

l wea

ther

reco

rds f

rom

198

0 to

199

6. T

his p

art o

f th

e da

ta is

cal

led

Type

I da

ta in

this

pap

er.

The

seco

nd p

art,

whi

ch

incl

udes

894

test

sect

ions

, con

sist

s of t

he o

vera

ll av

erag

e va

lues

of

clim

ate

para

met

ers f

or e

ach

test

sect

ion

sinc

e 19

80, c

alle

d Ty

pe II

da

ta in

this

pap

er.

The

reas

on fo

r usi

ng T

ype

I dat

a is

to k

eep

the

patte

rn o

f ann

ual c

limat

e co

nditi

ons.

Typ

e II

dat

a ar

e m

ore

conc

ise,

thus

mor

e w

orka

ble

in d

ata

anal

ysis

, but

the

patte

rn

info

rmat

ion

may

be

lost

. A

fter c

lust

er a

naly

sis,

a fin

al c

ompa

rison

w

as c

ondu

cted

to in

vest

igat

e w

hich

par

t of t

he d

ata

yiel

ds th

e be

st

clus

terin

g re

sults

.

9

Fi

gure

2.

Dis

tres

s pro

gres

sion

as a

func

tion

of ti

me

Aver

age E

dge f

aulti

ng

0246810121416

030

6090

120

150

Point

Loca

tion (

m)

Average Edge Faulting (mm)

9793

91

Numb

er of

Fau

lt

0510152025

9091

9293

9495

9697

98Ye

ar

Number of Fault

Crac

kJo

int

Sp

alling

in 19

93

00.20.40.60.81.0

1.21.4

020

4060

8010

012

014

0Po

int Lo

catio

n (m)

Spall length (m)

Spall

(Low

)Sp

all (M

edium

)Sp

all (H

igh)

1 m

m =

0.0

39 in

ches

1

m =

3.2

8 ft

Page 26: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

10

Figu

re 3

. Pr

ogre

ssio

n of

dis

tres

s as a

func

tion

of ti

me

The

othe

r dis

tress

es o

bser

ved

for t

his S

HR

P ID

are

sum

mar

ized

in

tabl

e 1.

Numb

er of

Tra

nsve

rse C

rack

0510152025

9091

9293

9495

9697

98Ye

ar

Number of CrackLo

w Se

verit

yM

edium

Seve

rity

High

Seve

rity

Tra

nsve

rse C

rack

s at 1

997

00.511.522.533.5

010

2030

4050

6070

8090

100

110

120

130

140

150

Point

Loc

ation

(m)

Crack Length (m)

Seale

d crac

kNo

t sea

led cr

ack

Joint

MM

MM

MM

M=M

ediu

m S

ever

ity C

rack

s

1 m

= 3

.28

ft

115

softw

are

dire

ctly

, but

em

ploy

ed it

s und

erly

ing

data

base

. Th

e cl

imat

e da

ta st

ored

in th

e LT

PP d

atab

ase

can

be d

ivid

ed in

to tw

o ca

tego

ries a

ccor

ding

to th

e so

urce

of d

ata:

dire

ctly

from

ons

ite

wea

ther

stat

ions

, or c

alcu

late

d fr

om p

ublic

clim

ate

data

base

s. T

he

onsi

te c

limat

e m

easu

rem

ents

are

take

n fr

om a

ll Se

ason

al

Mon

itorin

g Pr

ogra

m (S

MP)

test

sect

ions

and

Spe

cific

Pav

emen

t St

udie

s (SP

S-1

and

-2),

and

8 pr

ojec

ts (L

AW

PC

S, 1

999)

, whi

ch

invo

lve

41 u

niqu

e te

st se

ctio

ns.

Dat

a fr

om th

e pu

blic

clim

ate

data

base

s, pr

ovid

ed b

y th

e N

atio

nal C

limat

ic D

ata

Cen

ter (

NC

DC

) an

d th

e C

anad

ian

Clim

atic

Cen

ter (

CC

C),

cove

rs m

ore

than

1,0

00

dist

inct

ive

test

sect

ions

. H

owev

er, t

his p

art o

f the

dat

a is

not

ob

serv

ed v

alue

s; th

ese

valu

es a

re c

ompu

ted

by u

sing

a d

ista

nce-

wei

ghte

d av

erag

e m

etho

d fr

om u

p to

five

nea

rby

publ

ic w

eath

er

stat

ions

, so

the

test

sect

ions

with

such

clim

ate

reco

rds a

re c

alle

d “v

irtua

l” w

eath

er st

atio

ns.

The

virtu

al c

limat

e da

ta c

onsi

st o

f m

onth

ly a

nd a

nnua

l clim

ate

para

met

er v

alue

s, fr

om th

e ea

rlies

t av

aila

ble

reco

rds t

o th

e m

ost r

ecen

t. C

urre

ntly

, the

re a

re 2

2 di

ffer

ent c

limat

ic o

bser

vatio

n pa

ram

eter

s and

ass

ocia

ted

desc

riptiv

e st

atis

tics,

incl

udin

g m

inim

um te

mpe

ratu

re, m

axim

um

tem

pera

ture

, mea

n te

mpe

ratu

re, p

reci

pita

tion,

snow

fall,

min

imum

re

lativ

e hu

mid

ity, m

axim

um re

lativ

e hu

mid

ity, a

vera

ge w

ind

spee

d, p

eak

gust

spee

d, p

erce

nt su

nshi

ne, a

nd p

erce

nt sk

y co

ver.

A

lso

incl

uded

are

der

ived

qua

ntiti

es c

alcu

late

d fr

om th

e m

easu

red

data

, suc

h as

air

free

zing

inde

x, a

ir fr

eeze

-thaw

cyc

les,

tota

l pr

ecip

itatio

n, to

tal s

now

fall,

etc

. A

lim

ited

set o

f ann

ual s

tatis

tics

also

is a

vaila

ble;

thes

e in

clud

e an

nual

air

free

zing

inde

x, n

umbe

r of

air

free

ze-th

aw c

ycle

s, an

d sn

ow c

over

age

data

for e

ach

of th

e m

onth

ly p

aram

eter

s (LA

W P

CS,

199

9).

Dat

a se

lect

ion

in th

is re

sear

ch is

ver

y im

porta

nt fo

r clu

ster

ana

lysi

s on

the

LTPP

dat

abas

e. I

f too

few

dat

a ar

e in

clud

ed, t

he a

naly

sis

resu

lts w

ill n

ot b

e ve

ry re

pres

enta

tive.

On

the

othe

r han

d, to

o m

any

data

are

diff

icul

t to

hand

le a

nd m

ay e

xcee

d th

e ca

paci

ty o

f st

anda

rd so

ftwar

e. B

ecau

se c

lust

er a

naly

sis c

ompa

res t

he

sim

ilarit

y am

ong

obse

rvat

ions

, the

var

iabl

es sh

ould

als

o be

re

cord

ed fr

om th

e sa

me

sour

ce (o

nsite

or v

irtua

l wea

ther

stat

ions

), an

d sp

ecia

l atte

ntio

n sh

ould

be

paid

to m

issi

ng v

alue

s.

Page 27: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

114

• Pa

rtitio

ning

the

virtu

al w

eath

er st

atio

ns u

sing

hie

rarc

hica

l an

d no

nhie

rarc

hica

l clu

ster

ing

met

hods

.

• V

erify

ing

and

com

parin

g th

e cl

uste

ring

resu

lts u

sing

pr

inci

ple

com

pone

nts a

naly

sis.

• Pr

esen

ting

the

clus

terin

g re

sults

on

a G

IS m

ap.

At f

irst,

this

rese

arch

pic

ked

clim

ate

tabl

es fr

om th

e LT

PP

data

base

that

wer

e go

ing

to b

e us

ed fo

r ana

lysi

s and

wro

te th

e St

ruct

ured

Que

ry L

angu

age

(SQ

L) c

omm

ands

to g

et re

quire

d in

form

atio

n fr

om th

ese

tabl

es.

Thes

e da

ta w

ere

proc

esse

d in

exc

el

with

em

bedd

ed e

xcel

func

tions

, or t

he re

sear

cher

s wro

te V

isua

l B

asic

App

licat

ion

(VB

A) c

omm

ands

.

Clu

ster

ana

lysi

s was

then

con

duct

ed to

gro

up th

e te

st se

ctio

ns

base

d on

seve

ral c

limat

e va

riabl

es (p

aram

eter

s) a

fter t

he

trans

form

atio

n of

the

data

. O

f the

man

y di

ffer

ent c

lust

erin

g ap

proa

ches

, thi

s res

earc

h se

lect

ed b

oth

a hi

erar

chic

al c

lust

erin

g m

etho

d (a

vera

ge li

nk) a

nd a

non

hier

arch

ical

clu

ster

ing

met

hod

(K-

mea

ns),

and

then

com

bine

d th

ese

two

met

hods

toge

ther

. Afte

r fin

ishi

ng th

e cl

uste

r ana

lysi

s, th

is re

sear

ch e

mpl

oyed

ano

ther

m

ultiv

aria

te d

ata-

anal

ysis

tech

niqu

e, p

rinci

ple

com

pone

nts

anal

ysis

, to

verif

y an

d co

mpa

re th

e cl

uste

ring

resu

lts b

y th

e di

ffer

ent c

lust

erin

g te

chni

ques

. The

stat

istic

al so

ftwar

e pa

ckag

es

SAS

and

SPSS

wer

e us

ed fo

r clu

ster

ana

lysi

s and

prin

cipl

e co

mpo

nent

ana

lysi

s.

Fina

lly, t

his r

esea

rch

inpu

t the

clu

ster

ing

resu

lts in

to th

e G

IS

prov

ided

by

the

Dat

aPav

e 3.

0 so

ftwar

e. A

fter p

roce

ssin

g by

the

Arc

view

™ so

ftwar

e, th

e cl

uste

ring

resu

lts w

ere

pres

ente

d on

a G

IS

map

, whi

ch is

not

onl

y vi

sual

ly fr

iend

ly, b

ut c

an a

lso

verif

y th

e va

lidity

of t

he c

lust

er re

sults

.

CL

IMA

TE

DA

TA

PR

EPR

OC

ESS

ING

AN

D

TR

AN

SFO

RM

AT

ION

The

clim

ate

data

use

d in

this

rese

arch

wer

e ob

tain

ed fr

om th

e la

test

up

date

of t

he L

TPP

data

base

dis

tribu

ted

with

the

softw

are

pack

age,

D

ataP

ave

3.0.

Thi

s res

earc

h di

d no

t get

the

data

thro

ugh

the

11

Tab

le 1

. Oth

er d

istr

esse

s fou

nd in

this

sect

ion

Y

ear

Low

-Sev

erity

L

ongi

tudi

nal

Join

t Sea

l D

amag

e (m

)

Low

-Sev

erity

L

ongi

tudi

nal

Join

t Spa

lling

(m

)

Sc

alin

g (s

quar

e m

eter

(m

2))

Po

lishe

d ag

greg

ate

(m2 )

M

ap

Cra

ckin

g (m

2 )

1991

– 55

7.4

– –

1993

30

5 10

366

559.

6

1997

– –

305

Das

hes i

n ce

lls re

pres

ent “

no d

ata

avai

labl

e” o

r “ze

ro”

dist

ress

. 1

m =

3.2

8 ft

1 m

2 = 1

0.8

ft2 A

revi

ew o

f the

rela

tions

hip

betw

een

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss a

nd

dist

ress

show

s tha

t as t

he d

istre

sses

incr

ease

in m

agni

tude

the

pave

men

t app

ears

to g

et ro

ughe

r. In

tere

stin

gly,

it c

an b

e hy

poth

esiz

ed th

at th

e ro

ughn

ess p

rece

des t

he m

anife

stat

ion

of

dist

ress

. T

hese

rela

tions

hips

are

sum

mar

ized

in fi

gure

s 4 a

nd 5

.

(

a)

(b)

1

met

er p

er k

ilom

eter

(m/k

m) =

63.

36 in

ches

per

mil

(inch

es/m

i) 1

mm

= 0

.039

inch

es

Fi

gure

4. R

elat

ions

hip

betw

een

IRI a

nd jo

int a

nd

crac

k fa

ultin

g

00.511.522.533.54 Dec

. 88

May

. 90

Sep.

91

Jan.

93

Jun.

94

Oct

. 95

Mar

. 97

Jul.

98

Yea

rs

IRI, m/km

024681012

Average wheelpath faulting at joints, mm

IRI

Ave

rage

whe

elpa

th fa

ultin

g at

join

ts

00.511.522.533.54 Dec

. 88

May

. 90 S

ep. 9

1 Jan

-. 93

Jun.

94

Oct

. 95

Mar

. 97

Jul.

98

Yea

rs

IRI, m/km

00.5

11.5

22.5

33.5

4

Average wheelpath faulting at cracks, mm

IRI

Ave

rage

whe

elpa

th fa

ultin

g at

cra

cks

Page 28: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

12

1 m

/km

= 6

3.36

inch

es/m

i

Figu

re 5

. R

elat

ions

hip

betw

een

IRI a

nd tr

ansv

erse

cra

ckin

g

Fun

ctio

nal E

valu

atio

n

The

func

tiona

lity

of a

pav

emen

t can

be

desc

ribed

in m

any

form

s, su

ch a

s the

Inte

rnat

iona

l Rou

ghne

ss In

dex

(IR

I), (

as re

porte

d in

D

ataP

ave

3.0)

and

the

Pres

ent S

ervi

ceab

ility

Inde

x (P

SI) a

s ch

arac

teriz

ed b

y A

mer

ican

Ass

ocia

tion

of S

tate

Hig

hway

and

Tr

ansp

orta

tion

Off

icia

ls (A

ASH

TO).

Usi

ng th

e re

latio

nshi

p be

twee

n PS

I and

IRI r

epor

ted

by H

all a

nd C

orre

a (1

999)

, the

PSI

w

as c

alcu

late

d to

be

betw

een

2.0

to 2

.5.

Stru

ctur

al E

valu

atio

n

For t

he st

ruct

ural

eva

luat

ion,

the

desi

gn g

roup

s ext

ract

ed

defle

ctio

n an

d te

mpe

ratu

re g

radi

ent i

nfor

mat

ion

from

the

data

ta

bles

labe

led

MO

N_D

EFL_

DR

OP

DA

TA, M

ON

_TEM

P_D

EPTH

D

ATA

, and

MO

N_T

EMP_

VA

LUES

_ D

ATA

.

The

defle

ctio

n at

the

mid

slab

(J1)

was

use

d to

com

pute

the

mod

ulus

of e

last

icity

of c

oncr

ete

(Ec)

and

the

mod

ulus

of s

ubgr

ade

reac

tion

(k).

Mor

eove

r, th

e da

ta w

ere

used

to su

bdiv

ide

the

proj

ect

into

thre

e di

stin

ct su

bsec

tions

bas

ed o

n th

e m

agni

tude

s of t

he

0 0.

5 1 1.

5 2

2.5 3

3.5 4 D

ec. 8

8 M

ay. 9

0 Se

p. 9

1 Ja

n. 9

3 Ju

n. 9

4 O

ct. 9

5 M

ar. 9

7 Ju

l. 98

Yea

r

IRI, m/km

04812162024

# of low transverse cracks

IR#

of lo

w se

verit

y tra

nsve

rse

crac

ks

113

• D

ry n

o fr

eeze

.

A w

et re

gion

has

an

aver

age

annu

al ra

infa

ll ov

er 5

08 m

illim

eter

s (m

m) (

20 in

ches

). A

free

ze re

gion

has

an

aver

age

free

zing

inde

x of

mor

e th

an 8

3.3

degr

ee-C

elsi

us d

ays (

150

degr

ee-F

ahre

nhei

t da

ys, e

.g.,

10-d

egre

e da

ys =

10

days

with

a m

ean

air t

empe

ratu

re

of 1

deg

ree

belo

w fr

eezi

ng o

r 5 d

ays w

ith a

mea

n ai

r tem

pera

ture

of

2 d

egre

es b

elow

free

zing

).

This

cat

egor

izin

g m

etho

d ca

n be

eas

ily fo

llow

ed a

nd th

us w

idel

y us

ed in

pra

ctic

e. H

owev

er, t

he d

raw

back

of t

his m

etho

d is

that

it

may

mis

s oth

er c

limat

e pa

ram

eter

s tha

t als

o in

fluen

ce p

avem

ent

perf

orm

ance

. Fo

r exa

mpl

e, in

col

d ar

eas,

road

s with

or w

ithou

t a

lot o

f sno

w w

ill u

nlik

ely

perf

orm

the

sam

e w

ay.

Even

with

the

sam

e am

ount

of a

nnua

l rai

nfal

l, ro

ads i

n ar

eas u

nder

freq

uent

in

tens

e ra

ins s

houl

d no

t hav

e th

e sa

me

desi

gn c

riter

ia a

s roa

ds in

ar

eas w

ith fr

eque

nt d

rizzl

es, b

ecau

se th

e tw

o pr

ecip

itatio

n pa

ttern

s br

ing

diff

eren

t pre

ssur

es o

n ro

ad d

rain

age

syst

ems.

The

refo

re,

mor

e pa

ram

eter

s sho

uld

be in

clud

ed in

cat

egor

izin

g cl

imat

e re

gion

s. H

owev

er, t

he in

crea

se o

f the

num

ber o

f par

amet

ers m

akes

it

diff

icul

t to

parti

tion

data

in a

n or

dina

ry w

ay.

This

rese

arch

use

s cl

uste

r ana

lysi

s to

grou

p th

e LT

PP te

st se

ctio

ns b

ased

on

mul

tiple

cl

imat

e va

riabl

es, a

nd u

ses p

rinci

ple

com

pone

nts a

naly

sis a

nd

Geo

grap

hic

Info

rmat

ion

Syst

em (G

IS) m

aps t

o ve

rify

the

grou

ping

re

sults

.

RE

SEA

RC

H A

PPR

OA

CH

The

clim

ate

data

in th

e LT

PP d

atab

ase

are

orga

nize

d in

to se

vera

l ta

bles

, mos

t of w

hich

con

tain

larg

e am

ount

s of r

ecor

ds.

For

exam

ple,

the

mon

thly

pre

cipi

tatio

n ta

ble

alon

e ha

s 243

,237

reco

rds

with

10

field

s for

eac

h re

cord

. A

naly

sis o

f thi

s lar

ge a

mou

nt o

f da

ta w

as fu

lfille

d th

roug

h th

e fo

llow

ing

step

s:

• Se

lect

ing

tabl

es th

at c

onta

in c

limat

e in

form

atio

n fr

om th

e LT

PP d

atab

ase.

• Pr

epro

cess

ing

and

trans

form

ing

the

data

.

Page 29: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

112

inco

rpor

ated

tem

pera

ture

as a

n in

put f

acto

r of t

he m

ix d

esig

n pr

oces

s.

If h

ighw

ay p

ract

ition

ers r

ecog

nize

the

quan

titat

ive

rela

tions

hip

betw

een

clim

ate

fact

ors a

nd ro

ad p

erfo

rman

ce, a

nd h

ave

suff

icie

nt

info

rmat

ion

on lo

cal c

limat

e co

nditi

ons,

they

can

redu

ce th

e ne

gativ

e in

fluen

ces o

f the

se fa

ctor

s thr

ough

cor

rect

pra

ctic

es.

To

get e

xten

sive

clim

ate

info

rmat

ion

from

acr

oss t

he U

nite

d St

ates

an

d so

me

area

s of C

anad

a, th

e LT

PP p

rogr

am, s

pons

ored

by

SHR

P, c

onst

ruct

ed a

clim

ate

data

base

to re

cord

clim

ate

info

rmat

ion

on m

ost L

TPP

test

sect

ions

. A

qua

lity-

cont

rol c

heck

w

as th

en c

ondu

cted

on

the

raw

dat

a; th

ese

data

som

etim

es w

ere

sum

mar

ized

. T

he d

atab

ase

dist

ribut

ed b

y th

e D

ataP

ave

3.0

softw

are

cont

ains

clim

ate

info

rmat

ion

on n

early

1,0

00 te

st se

ctio

ns

reco

rded

from

198

0 or

eve

n ea

rlier

. Th

e ai

m o

f thi

s pap

er,

how

ever

, is n

ot to

exa

min

e th

e qu

antit

ativ

e re

latio

nshi

p be

twee

n th

e cl

imat

e fa

ctor

s and

pav

emen

t per

form

ance

, but

to d

evel

op a

cl

imat

e m

ap th

at w

ill p

artit

ion

test

sect

ions

acc

ordi

ng to

thei

r cl

imat

e pa

ttern

s. T

est s

ectio

ns th

at h

ave

a si

mila

r clim

ate

patte

rn

will

be

assi

gned

to th

e sa

me

grou

p by

usi

ng a

mul

tivar

iate

dat

a an

alys

is te

chni

que,

clu

ster

ana

lysi

s. T

his c

limat

e m

ap sh

ould

hel

p re

sear

cher

s who

are

usi

ng th

e LT

PP d

ata

to p

erfo

rm st

atis

tical

tre

atm

ent c

ompa

rison

inco

rpor

ate

or se

para

te th

e cl

imat

e fa

ctor

s in

thei

r mod

els.

With

out a

ppro

pria

tely

add

ress

ing

thes

e cl

imat

e fa

ctor

s, on

e ca

nnot

get

val

id in

fere

nces

from

com

paris

on o

f oth

er

cont

rolle

d pa

ram

eter

s. A

noth

er p

oten

tial u

se o

f thi

s map

is to

hel

p hi

ghw

ay p

ract

ition

ers g

et c

limat

e pa

ttern

info

rmat

ion

in th

eir

geog

raph

ical

are

as so

that

they

can

app

ly th

e sa

me

desi

gn c

riter

ia,

cons

truct

ion

requ

irem

ents

, and

mai

nten

ance

stra

tegi

es to

thos

e re

gion

s with

sim

ilar c

limat

e pa

ttern

s.

At p

rese

nt, t

he h

ighw

ay c

limat

e re

gion

s in

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es a

nd

Can

ada

are

roug

hly

divi

ded

into

four

maj

or g

roup

s:

• W

et fr

eeze

.

• W

et n

o fr

eeze

.

• D

ry fr

eeze

.

13

defle

ctio

ns.

The

varia

tion

in d

efle

ctio

n as

a fu

nctio

n of

pro

ject

le

ngth

is su

mm

ariz

ed in

figu

re 6

. D

efle

ctio

n da

ta a

t the

cor

ner o

f th

e sl

ab (J

2) w

ere

used

for c

alcu

latin

g th

e vo

id p

oten

tial

unde

rnea

th th

e co

rner

of P

CC

slab

s; th

e de

flect

ion

from

the

slab

ed

ge (J

3) w

as u

sed

to c

ompu

te th

e la

tera

l sup

port

prov

ided

by

the

shou

lder

; and

the

data

from

pos

ition

s J4

and

J5 w

ere

used

to

com

pute

app

roac

h an

d le

ave

load

tran

sfer

eff

icie

ncie

s (LT

E)

resp

ectiv

ely.

Fig

ure

7 ill

ustra

tes t

he v

ario

us fa

lling

wei

ght

defle

ctom

eter

(FW

D) t

est l

ocat

ions

. Fi

gure

6.

Def

lect

ion

prof

ile a

s fun

ctio

n of

dis

tanc

e

1 m

= 3

.28

ft

Figu

re 7

. L

TPP

FW

D p

ositi

ons

The

back

calc

ulat

ed la

yer p

aram

eter

s for

this

exa

mpl

e se

ctio

n ar

e su

mm

ariz

ed in

figu

re 8

.

J1 J3J2

J4J5

17.5

3 m

17.5

3 m

3.7

m

7090110

130

150

170

030

6090

120

150

Poi

nt L

ocat

ion

(m)

Deflection (m)

sect

ion

1

sect

ion

2

sect

ion

3

1 m

= 3

.28

ft 1

mic

rom

eter

(µm

) =

0.00

004

inch

Page 30: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

14

Fi

gure

8.

Bac

kcal

cula

ted

laye

r pa

ram

eter

s

The

defle

ctio

n ra

tio (D

-rat

io),

whi

ch is

a g

ood

indi

cato

r of l

ater

al

supp

ort a

long

the

edge

of t

he sl

ab, w

as c

alcu

late

d. T

he re

sults

are

su

mm

ariz

ed in

figu

re 9

. If

the

slab

has

a u

nifo

rm a

dequ

ate

supp

ort,

this

ratio

shou

ld b

e cl

ose

to 1

. The

lack

of l

ater

al su

ppor

t re

sults

in D

-rat

io v

alue

s sig

nific

antly

gre

ater

than

1.

Figu

re 9

. D

-rat

io v

ersu

s poi

nt lo

catio

n fo

r ye

ars 1

990,

199

4,

and

1999

0510152025

050

100

150

Poin

t of L

ocat

ion

(m)

k (kPa/mm)

0.0E

+00

1.0E

+07

2.0E

+07

3.0E

+07

4.0E

+07

5.0E

+07

6.0E

+07

7.0E

+07

8.0E

+07

E (kPa)

k E

0 0.

2 0.

4 0.

6 0.

8 1 1.

2 1.

4 1.

6 1.

8

0 20

40

60

80

10

0 12

0 14

0 16

0Po

int L

ocat

ion

(m)

D-ratio

9/18

/90

9/20

/94

2/22

/99

1 m

= 3

.28

ft

1 m

= 3

.28

ft

111

PAPE

R 5

D

EV

EL

OPM

EN

T O

F A

PA

VE

ME

NT

C

LIM

AT

E M

AP

BA

SED

ON

LT

PP D

AT

A

Yuh

ong

Wan

g

AB

STR

AC

T

It ha

s lon

g be

en re

cogn

ized

that

clim

ate

fact

ors h

ave

impo

rtant

in

fluen

ces o

n pa

vem

ent p

erfo

rman

ce.

To h

elp

inve

stig

ate

this

in

fluen

ce, t

he S

trate

gic

Hig

hway

Res

earc

h Pr

ogra

m (S

HR

P) L

ong-

Term

Pav

emen

t Per

form

ance

(LTP

P) re

sear

ch h

as b

een

usin

g on

site

or v

irtua

l wea

ther

stat

ions

to re

cord

clim

ate

info

rmat

ion

on

test

sect

ions

. Th

e da

ta w

ill fa

cilit

ate

the

stud

y of

the

quan

titat

ive

rela

tions

hip

betw

een

clim

ate

and

pave

men

t per

form

ance

. Th

is

pape

r dis

cuss

es h

ow to

dev

elop

a c

limat

e m

ap u

sing

clu

ster

an

alys

is o

n pe

rfor

man

ce-r

elat

ed c

limat

e da

ta fr

om th

e LT

PP

data

base

, whi

ch c

onta

ins n

early

1,0

00 v

irtua

l wea

ther

stat

ions

re

cord

ed fo

r mor

e th

an 1

7 ye

ars.

The

aim

of d

evel

opin

g th

is m

ap

is to

hel

p re

sear

cher

s, w

ho a

re p

erfo

rmin

g da

ta a

naly

sis o

n th

e LT

PP d

atab

ase,

to in

corp

orat

e or

sepa

rate

clim

ate

fact

ors i

n th

eir

mod

els.

Ano

ther

pot

entia

l use

of t

his m

ap is

to h

elp

high

way

pr

actit

ione

rs g

et c

limat

e pa

ttern

info

rmat

ion

for t

heir

geog

raph

ical

ar

eas s

o th

at th

ey c

an a

pply

the

sam

e de

sign

crit

eria

, con

stru

ctio

n re

quire

men

ts, a

nd m

aint

enan

ce st

rate

gies

to th

ose

regi

ons w

ith

sim

ilar c

limat

e pa

ttern

s.

INT

RO

DU

CT

ION

It ha

s lon

g be

en re

cogn

ized

that

the

clim

ate

fact

ors h

ave

impo

rtant

in

fluen

ces o

n hi

ghw

ay p

avem

ent p

erfo

rman

ce.

They

can

not

onl

y in

fluen

ce p

avem

ent s

truct

ure

inte

grity

, but

als

o ca

use

com

mon

su

rfac

e di

stre

sses

. Fo

r exa

mpl

e, te

mpe

ratu

re is

wid

ely

know

n to

ha

ve si

gnifi

cant

influ

ence

on

pave

men

t rut

ting

and

crac

king

. To

ac

coun

t for

its i

nflu

ence

, the

Sup

erpa

ve®

mix

des

ign

appr

oach

has

Page 31: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

110

Seed

, H.B

. Cha

n, C

.K.,

and

Lee,

C.E

. (19

62).

“R

esili

ence

C

hara

cter

istic

s of S

ubgr

ade

Soils

and

The

ir R

elat

ion

to

Fatig

ue F

ailu

res i

n A

spha

lt Pa

vem

ents

.” P

roce

edin

gs,

Inte

rnat

iona

l Con

fere

nce

on th

e St

ruct

ural

Des

ign

of

Asph

alt P

avem

ents

, Uni

vers

ity o

f Mic

higa

n, A

nn A

rbor

, M

I, pp

. 611

-636

.

Siva

nesw

aran

, N.,

Pier

ce, L

. and

Mah

oney

, J. (

1999

). “E

VER

PAV

E 5.

11: P

avem

ent O

verla

y D

esig

n Pr

ogra

m.”

W

ashi

ngto

n St

ate

Dep

artm

ent o

f Tra

nspo

rtatio

n, O

lym

pia,

W

A.

Tim

m, D

., B

irgis

son,

B.,

and

New

com

b, D

. (20

01).

“Dev

elop

men

t of

Mec

hani

stic

-Em

piric

al P

avem

ent D

esig

n in

Min

neso

ta.”

Tr

ansp

orta

tion

Res

earc

h B

oard

, 80t

h A

nnua

l Mee

ting,

W

ashi

ngto

n, D

C.

Witc

zak,

M.W

., H

oust

on, W

.N.,

Zapa

ta, C

.E.,

Ric

hter

, C.,

Lars

on,

G.,

and

Wal

sh, K

. (20

00).

Impr

ovem

ent o

f the

Inte

grat

ed

Clim

atic

Mod

el fo

r Moi

stur

e C

onte

nt P

redi

ctio

ns. I

nter

- Te

am T

echn

ical

Rep

ort (

Seas

onal

4),

NC

HR

P 1-

37 A

, A

rizon

a St

ate

Uni

vers

ity, P

hoen

ix, A

Z.

15

020406080100

120

140

050

100

150

Poi

nt lo

catio

n

LTE (%)

90 94 99

Figu

re 1

0 sh

ows t

he L

TE c

alcu

late

d fr

om J4

for t

he 3

yea

rs a

t ea

ch p

oint

loca

tion.

Figu

re 1

0. L

TE

ver

sus p

oint

loca

tion

(J4)

Th

e gr

oup

furth

er in

vest

igat

ed th

e re

latio

nshi

p be

twee

n vo

id

pote

ntia

l and

load

tran

sfer

eff

icie

ncy.

The

resu

lts fr

om th

is

inve

stig

atio

n ar

e su

mm

ariz

ed in

figu

re 1

1.

Figu

re 1

1. R

elat

ions

hip

betw

een

LT

E a

nd v

oid

ratio

0 25

50

75

100

125

150

0 10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

10

0 LT

E, p

erce

nt

Void potential (m)

good

co

nditi

on

poor

co

nditi

on

1 m

= 3

.28

ft

Page 32: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

16

The

traff

ic d

ata

for t

his s

ectio

n w

ere

avai

labl

e as

ann

ual K

ESA

Ls

betw

een

1976

and

198

9. B

ased

on

this

info

rmat

ion

the

grou

p co

mpu

ted

the

grow

th ra

te a

nd su

bseq

uent

ly w

as a

ble

to p

redi

ct

futu

re E

SALs

for t

he y

ear 2

011.

Fig

ure

12 su

mm

ariz

es th

e ES

AL

info

rmat

ion

for t

his p

roje

ct.

Figu

re 1

2. M

easu

red

ESA

L a

nd p

redi

cted

ESA

L

Onc

e th

e in

divi

dual

pie

ces o

f the

pro

ject

wer

e an

alyz

ed, t

he n

ext

task

was

to sy

nthe

size

this

info

rmat

ion,

rank

the

dist

ress

es, a

nd

sugg

est r

ehab

ilita

tion

stra

tegi

es.

The

rank

ing

was

bas

ed o

n ba

ckca

lcul

ated

laye

r par

amet

ers,

seve

rity

leve

ls o

f dis

tress

es,

mag

nitu

de o

f voi

d po

tent

ial,

and

LTE

mag

nitu

des.

Tab

le 2

su

mm

ariz

es ra

nkin

g in

form

atio

n, a

nd fi

gure

13

illus

trate

s the

di

stre

ss m

ap.

0 50

0 10

00

1500

20

00

2500

30

00

3500

40

00

4500

1975

1978

1981

1984

1987

199

0 199

319

9619

9920

02Y

ear

K E S

Mea

sure

d ES

AL

Cal

cula

ted

ESA

L

Gro

wth

rate

: 10

.76

%

Gro

wth

fact

or fo

r 10

yrs :

16.

53

109

D, A

gree

men

t No.

89-

47, D

epar

tmen

t of C

ivil

Engi

neer

ing,

U

nive

rsity

of I

daho

, Mos

cow

, ID

, 252

pp.

Hic

ks, R

.G. a

nd M

onis

mith

C.L

.(197

1). “

Fact

ors I

nflu

enci

ng th

e R

esili

ent R

espo

nses

of G

ranu

lar M

ater

ials

.” H

ighw

ay

Rese

arch

Rec

ord

345,

Hig

hway

Res

earc

h B

oard

, Nat

iona

l R

esea

rch

Cou

ncil,

Was

hing

ton,

DC

, pp.

15-

31.

Jone

s, M

.P. a

nd W

itcza

k, M

.W. (

1977

). “S

ubgr

ade

Mod

ulus

on

the

San

Die

go T

est R

oad.

” Tr

ansp

orta

tion

Rese

arch

Rec

ord,

TR

R 6

41, T

rans

porta

tion

Res

earc

h B

oard

, Nat

iona

l R

esea

rch

Cou

ncil,

Was

hing

ton,

DC

, pp.

1-6

.

Lary

, J.A

. and

Mah

oney

, J.P

. (19

84).

“Sea

sona

l Eff

ects

on

the

Stre

ngth

of P

avem

ent S

truct

ures

.” T

rans

port

atio

n Re

sear

ch

Reco

rd, T

RR

954

, Tra

nspo

rtatio

n R

esea

rch

Boa

rd,

Nat

iona

l Res

earc

h C

ounc

il, W

ashi

ngto

n, D

C, p

p. 8

8-94

.

Rad

a, G

. and

Witc

zak,

M.W

. (19

81).

“Com

preh

ensi

ve E

valu

atio

n of

Lab

orat

ory-

Res

ilien

t Mod

uli R

esul

ts fo

r Gra

nula

r M

ater

ials

.” T

rans

port

atio

n Re

sear

ch R

ecor

d, T

RR

810

, Tr

ansp

orta

tion

Res

earc

h B

oard

, Nat

iona

l Res

earc

h C

ounc

il, W

ashi

ngto

n, D

C, p

p. 2

3-33

.

Rad

a, G

., El

kins

, G.,

Hen

ders

on, B

., V

an S

ambe

ek, R

., an

d Lo

pez,

A

(199

4). L

TPP

Seas

onal

Mon

itori

ng P

rogr

am:

Inst

rum

enta

tion

Inst

alla

tion

and

Dat

a C

olle

ctio

n G

uide

lines

. Fed

eral

Hig

hway

Adm

inis

tratio

n, R

epor

t No.

FH

WA

-RD

-94-

110,

Was

hing

ton,

DC

.

Scriv

ner,

F.H

., Pe

ohl,

R.,

Moo

re, W

.M.,

and

Phill

ips,

M.B

. (19

69).

“Det

ectin

g Se

ason

al C

hang

es in

Loa

d-C

arry

ing

Cap

abili

ties o

f Fle

xibl

e Pa

vem

ents

.” N

CH

RP R

epor

t 7,

Hig

hway

Res

earc

h B

oard

, Nat

iona

l Res

earc

h C

ounc

il,

Was

hing

ton,

DC

, 37

pp.

Page 33: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

108

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Abo

-Has

hem

a, M

.A.,

Bay

omy,

F.M

., Sm

ith, R

., an

d Sa

lem

H.M

. (2

002)

. “En

viro

nmen

tal I

mpa

cts o

n Su

bgra

de R

esili

ent

Mod

ulus

for I

daho

Pav

emen

ts.”

The

Tra

nspo

rtatio

n R

esea

rch

Boa

rd, T

RB

81s

t Ann

ual M

eetin

g, Ja

nuar

y 13

-17,

20

02, W

ashi

ngto

n, D

C.

Ali,

H. a

nd P

arke

r, N

. (19

96).

“Usi

ng T

ime

Serie

s to

Inco

rpor

ate

Seas

onal

Var

iatio

ns in

Pav

emen

t Des

ign.

” Tr

ansp

orta

tion

Rese

arch

Rec

ord,

TR

R 1

539,

pp.

33-

43.

Al-K

anda

ri, F

. (19

94).

“Mec

hani

stic

-Bas

ed O

verla

y D

esig

n Pr

oced

ure

for I

daho

Fle

xibl

e Pa

vem

ents

.” M

.S. T

hesi

s, U

nive

rsity

of I

daho

, Mos

cow

, ID

.

Bay

omy,

F.,

Al-K

anda

ri, F

., an

d N

assa

r, W

. (19

97).

“Com

pute

r-A

ided

Ove

rlay

Des

ign

Syst

em fo

r Fle

xibl

e Pa

vem

ents

.”

Proc

eedi

ngs o

f the

8th

Inte

rnat

iona

l Con

fere

nce

on A

spha

lt Pa

vem

ents

, Sea

ttle,

WA

.

Bay

omy,

F.,

Al-K

anda

ri, F

., an

d Sm

ith, R

. (19

96).

“Mec

hani

stic

-B

ased

Ove

rlay

Des

ign

Syst

em fo

r Ida

ho.”

Tra

nspo

rtat

ion

Rese

arch

Rec

ord,

TR

R 1

543,

Tra

nspo

rtatio

n R

esea

rch

Boa

rd, W

ashi

ngto

n, D

C, p

p. 1

0-19

.

Car

mic

hael

, R.F

. III

and

Stu

art,

E. (1

985)

. “P

redi

ctin

g R

esili

ent

Mod

ulus

: A S

tudy

to D

eter

min

e th

e M

echa

nica

l Pro

perti

es

of S

ubgr

ade

Soils

.” T

rans

port

atio

n Re

sear

ch R

ecor

d TR

R

1043

, Tra

nspo

rtatio

n R

esea

rch

Boa

rd, N

atio

nal R

esea

rch

Cou

ncil,

Was

hing

ton,

DC

, pp.

145

-148

.

FHW

A (

2001

). D

ataP

ave3

.0, C

D-R

OM

. U.S

. Dep

artm

ent o

f Tr

ansp

orta

tion,

Fed

eral

Hig

hway

Adm

inis

tratio

n,

Was

hing

ton,

DC

Har

dcas

tle, J

.H. (

1992

). Su

bgra

de R

esili

ent M

odul

us fo

r Ida

ho

Pave

men

ts.

Fina

l Rep

ort o

f ITD

Res

earc

h Pr

ojec

t RP

110-

17

Tab

le 2

. R

anki

ng b

ased

on

dist

ress

and

com

pute

d re

spon

ses

At C

rack

s and

Joi

nts

At m

id S

lab

and

Edg

e Po

int

Loc

atio

n (m

)

Ave

rage

E

dge

Faul

ting

LT

E

(J5)

%L

TE

(J

4)%

V

oid

Pote

ntia

lSp

all

Poin

t L

ocat

ion

J1 (m

)

Peak

D

efle

ctio

n

Ave

rage

K

A

vera

ge

E

D

ratio

0.9

18

15

15

16

– 5.

87

5 9

11

8.2

14

9 10

11

L

15.2

13

12

11

4 20

.8

18

1 4

1 L,

M

22.9

9 19

4

3 25

.7

17

7 6

2 L

28.3

16

3 20

1

29.5

18

– –

L –

– –

– –

38.7

18

3

1 3

L 40

.813

13

8

7 43

.3

13

8 5

9 L

44.8

4 17

3

17

46.7

18

16

18

19

L

50.9

7 4

16

12

54.9

18

18

12

12

57.6

12

6 14

2

60.8

10

5

7 5

– 62

.51

15

1 16

65

.0

10

20

14

7 L

66.8

2 1

17

9 69

.5

18

– –

– L,

H

– –

– –

– 75

.8

18

14

17

6 L

76.5

4 20

2

20

78.2

18

– –

L –

– –

– –

81.0

16

12

13

16

L

83.2

2 2

15

5 86

.6

17

– –

– L,

M

– –

– –

– 91

.3

3 4

3 4

L,M

,H93

.06

14

5 19

96

.0

18

10

9 15

98.5

18

16

12

10

102.

2 6

19

19

18

L 10

7.0

20

8 19

14

11

3.5

6 6

8 13

115.

218

9

18

13

118.

0 3

– –

– L

– –

– –

– 12

2.1

6 –

– –

– –

– –

– –

126.

6 2

11

20

10

L 12

8.0

13

10

13

18

131.

0 12

– –

– –

– –

134.

4 1

13

16

13

L 13

6.2

10

11

6 6

139.

7 14

– –

L –

– –

– –

142.

6 6

17

11

– L

144.

511

7

10

8 14

8.6

3 2

2 7

– 15

0.3

17

18

7 15

1

m =

3.2

8 ft

Page 34: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

18

1

m =

3.2

8 ft

Fi

gure

13.

Exa

mpl

e of

a d

istr

ess m

ap

Bas

ed o

n th

e ov

eral

l dis

tress

con

ditio

n an

d th

e rid

e qu

ality

of t

he

pave

men

t sec

tion,

the

grou

p re

com

men

ded

the

cons

truct

ion

of a

n un

boun

ded

conc

rete

ove

rlay,

who

se d

esig

n w

as d

one

in

acco

rdan

ce w

ith th

e A

ASH

TO 1

993

proc

edur

e. I

t was

als

o su

gges

ted

that

pre

-ove

rlay

repa

irs b

e co

nduc

ted

prio

r to

the

cons

truct

ion

of th

e ov

erla

y.

Sim

ilar d

esig

n pr

ojec

ts w

ere

done

by

othe

r stu

dent

gro

ups,

but

spac

e lim

itatio

ns p

rohi

bit p

rese

ntin

g fle

xibl

e pa

vem

ent

reha

bilit

atio

ns p

roje

cts.

The

subs

eque

nt se

ctio

ns w

ill d

escr

ibe

the

use

of D

ataP

ave

3.0

in C

E831

and

the

exam

ple(

s) d

escr

ibed

dea

l w

ith fl

exib

le p

avem

ents

.

CE

831—

P AV

EM

EN

T A

NA

LY

SIS

AN

D D

ESI

GN

II

Trad

ition

ally

, the

cou

rse

incl

udes

seve

ral a

ssig

nmen

ts d

ealin

g w

ith

pave

men

t ana

lysi

s and

a c

ompr

ehen

sive

des

ign

proj

ect u

sing

the

mec

hani

stic

-em

piric

al a

ppro

ach.

A m

ain

shor

tcom

ing

of th

e as

sign

men

ts a

nd p

roje

ct w

as th

e la

ck o

f “re

al”

perf

orm

ance

dat

a th

at c

ould

be

used

to e

valu

ate

the

accu

racy

of t

he m

echa

nist

ic

pred

ictio

ns. A

ccor

ding

ly, t

he in

stru

ctor

s dec

ided

to e

xplo

re th

e us

e

107

coar

se sa

ndy

clay

) is a

lmos

t the

sam

e an

d is

muc

h le

ss th

an th

at o

f pu

re si

lty o

r cla

yey

soils

. Equ

atio

n (6

) and

/or f

igur

e 16

cou

ld b

e us

ed to

est

imat

e th

e se

ason

al a

djus

tmen

t fac

tor f

or a

cer

tain

seas

on

by ju

st k

now

ing

soil

type

and

the

expe

cted

moi

stur

e in

crea

se in

th

at se

ason

with

resp

ect t

o th

e re

fere

nce

seas

on.

SUM

MA

RY

AN

D C

ON

CL

USI

ON

The

data

use

d in

this

stud

y w

ere

dow

nloa

ded

from

the

LTPP

-SM

P da

taba

se, D

ataP

ave

3.0

(200

1). T

hrou

gh th

e an

alys

is o

f the

se d

ata

it w

as fo

und

that

bot

h m

oist

ure

and

mod

ulus

follo

w a

lmos

t a

sinu

soid

al fu

nctio

n w

ith d

iffer

ent m

onth

s of t

he y

ear.

Whi

le th

e m

oist

ure

incr

ease

s dur

ing

a se

ason

, the

mod

ulus

dec

reas

es d

urin

g th

e sa

me

seas

on a

nd v

ice

vers

a. T

he m

inim

um se

ason

al su

bgra

de

moi

stur

e co

nten

t (hi

gher

mod

ulus

val

ues)

was

obs

erve

d du

ring

sum

mer

seas

on w

hile

the

high

est m

oist

ure

(low

est m

odul

us) w

as

obse

rved

dur

ing

win

ter.

How

ever

, in

som

e ca

ses f

or n

onco

hesi

ve

soils

, inc

reas

ing

moi

stur

e co

nten

t may

resu

lt in

incr

easi

ng it

s m

odul

us if

the

in si

tu m

oist

ure

cont

ent i

s bel

ow th

e op

timum

m

oist

ure

cont

ent.

The

data

show

ed a

lso

that

the

moi

stur

e co

nten

t pr

ofile

thro

ugh

the

mon

ths o

f the

yea

r cou

ld b

e re

late

d to

the

aver

age

mon

thly

rain

fall.

In th

is st

udy,

the

rela

tions

hip

betw

een

subg

rade

mod

ulus

(E) a

nd

the

grav

imet

ric m

oist

ure

cont

ent w

as d

eter

min

ed fo

r diff

eren

t soi

l ty

pes.

A g

ener

al m

odel

rela

ting

subg

rade

mod

ulus

to so

il m

oist

ure

and

othe

r soi

l pro

perti

es w

as d

evel

oped

and

app

lied

for d

iffer

ent

soil

type

s. A

lso,

a si

mpl

e m

odel

for c

alcu

latin

g th

e m

odul

us sh

ift

fact

or o

f sub

grad

e so

il w

as d

evel

oped

. The

mod

ulus

shift

fact

or

adju

sts s

ubgr

ade

mod

ulus

from

one

refe

renc

e se

ason

(usu

ally

su

mm

er) t

o an

othe

r. Th

is a

llow

s det

erm

inat

ion

of su

bgra

de

resi

lient

mod

ulus

at a

ny se

ason

by

mul

tiply

ing

the

refe

renc

e va

lue

by th

e SA

F fo

r tha

t sea

son.

The

refe

renc

e va

lue

is th

e m

odul

us

valu

e de

term

ined

by

test

ing

durin

g an

y se

lect

ed se

ason

(sum

mer

). Th

e SA

F va

ries a

ccor

ding

to su

bgra

de so

il ty

pe a

nd c

limat

ic

cond

ition

s. Th

e re

sults

show

ed a

lso

that

pur

e si

lty so

il is

mor

e se

nsiti

ve to

moi

stur

e va

riatio

n th

an a

re a

ll ot

her s

oils

.

Page 35: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

106

Mo,

E o

= R

efer

ence

moi

stur

e an

d co

rres

pond

ing

mod

ulus

, usu

ally

take

n du

ring

sum

mer

or

at th

e se

ason

hav

ing

the

min

imum

m

oist

ure

thro

ugho

ut th

e ye

ar.

Figu

re 1

6. E

stim

ated

mod

ulus

shift

fact

or fo

r di

ffer

ent

soil

type

s

The

mod

el sh

own

in e

quat

ion

(6) i

s sim

ple

and

dim

ensi

onle

ss, a

nd

was

foun

d to

fit t

he d

ata

from

mos

t site

s with

reas

onab

le a

ccur

acy

(R2

rang

es fr

om 0

.5 to

0.7

2), a

s sho

wn

in fi

gure

16.

The

mod

el

cons

tant

(ko)

was

foun

d to

be

1.0

for a

ll so

ils, a

s sho

wn

in th

e fig

ure,

whi

le th

e co

nsta

nt (k

) cha

nges

with

soil

type

. The

mod

el

cons

tant

(k) i

ncre

ases

with

incr

easi

ng so

il se

nsiti

vity

to m

oist

ure

incr

ease

. The

figu

re in

dica

tes t

hat c

onst

ant (

k) ra

nges

from

0.3

2 fo

r co

arse

sand

y cl

ay to

1.1

for c

lay

and

1.32

for s

ilty

soils

. The

figu

re

indi

cate

s als

o th

at if

the

moi

stur

e co

nten

t is i

ncre

ased

by

20

perc

ent (

fact

or 1

.2),

the

mod

ulus

for s

ilty

soils

redu

ces t

o 0.

80 o

f its

val

ue. T

he c

orre

spon

ding

mod

ulus

redu

ctio

ns fo

r cla

y an

d sa

ndy

clay

soils

are

0.8

3 an

d 0.

96, r

espe

ctiv

ely.

The

refo

re, t

he

pure

silty

soils

are

mor

e se

nsiti

ve to

moi

stur

e in

crea

se th

an p

ure

clay

ey so

il an

d al

l oth

er so

il ty

pes.

Figu

re 1

6 al

so in

dica

tes t

hat

wat

er se

nsiti

vity

for s

andy

soils

(san

dy si

lt, fi

ne sa

ndy

clay

, and

y =

1.0x

-1.1

R2 = 0

.5

y =

0.99

x-0.2

7

R2 = 0

.58

y =

1.02

x-0.3

2

R2 = 0

.51

y =

1.01

x-1.3

2

R2 = 0

.72

y =

1.02

x-0.3

5

R2 = 0

.57

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1 1.

01.

11.

21.

31.

41.

51.

61.

71.

81.

9

Moi

stur

e In

crea

se

Modulus SF

F- S

C

C- S

C

Silt

SM Clay

Pow

er (C

lay)

Pow

er (F

- SC)

Pow

er (C

- SC)

Pow

er (S

ilt)

Pow

er (S

M)

19

of th

e LT

PP D

ataP

ave

3.0

data

as a

sour

ce fo

r ext

ract

ing

“rea

l”

pave

men

t res

pons

e an

d pe

rfor

man

ce d

ata,

whi

ch th

e st

uden

ts c

ould

us

e to

eva

luat

e ex

istin

g pe

rfor

man

ce p

redi

ctio

n m

odel

s. T

he

data

base

als

o pr

ovid

es in

form

atio

n on

traf

fic g

row

th (i

n te

rms o

f A

DT,

KES

ALS

, and

axl

e di

strib

utio

n), p

avem

ent i

nven

tory

, and

cl

imat

e.

The

repo

rts w

ere

grad

ed a

ccor

ding

to si

mila

r crit

eria

to th

ose

in th

e C

E432

cla

ss.

Thes

e cr

iteria

wer

e ha

nded

out

to th

e st

uden

ts a

long

w

ith th

e pr

oble

m st

atem

ent.

The

over

all o

bjec

tives

of t

he L

TPP-

base

d as

sign

men

t are

sim

ilar t

o th

ose

in C

E432

, with

the

spec

ific

obje

ctiv

es b

eing

:

• To

sele

ct 3

sect

ions

from

the

assi

gned

SPS

-1 si

tes.

• To

synt

hesi

ze th

e in

vent

ory,

def

lect

ion,

roug

hnes

s, di

stre

ss

and

traff

ic d

ata.

• To

inve

stig

ate

the

rela

tions

hips

bet

wee

n pa

vem

ent

perf

orm

ance

and

resp

onse

• To

pro

vide

an

engi

neer

ing

disc

ussi

on su

mm

ariz

ing

the

findi

ngs.

Each

stud

ent h

ad to

sele

ct th

ree

sect

ions

from

the

assi

gned

SPS

-1

site

, eac

h re

pres

entin

g a

dens

e-gr

aded

agg

rega

te b

ase

(DG

AB

), as

phal

t-tre

ated

bas

e (A

TB) a

nd p

erm

eabl

e-as

phal

t-tre

ated

bas

e (P

ATB

) with

ext

erna

l dra

inag

e. T

o ill

ustra

te th

e de

liver

able

s for

fle

xibl

e pa

vem

ents

, the

aut

hors

hav

e ch

osen

an

exam

ple

from

the

SPS-

1 si

te in

the

Stat

e of

Lou

isia

na (S

tate

Cod

e 22

).

The

follo

win

g ta

sks w

ere

assi

gned

as a

star

ting

poin

t to

assi

st

stud

ents

in sa

tisfy

ing

the

assi

gnm

ent o

bjec

tives

:

TASK

1:

Sele

ctio

n of

Sec

tions

from

SPS

-1 S

ites

Each

SPS

-1 si

te c

onsi

sts o

f 12

sect

ions

, with

var

ying

asp

halt

conc

rete

(AC

) thi

ckne

ss, b

ase

thic

knes

s, an

d ba

se ty

pe.

The

last

fo

ur se

ctio

ns a

re p

rovi

ded

with

som

e dr

aina

ge to

stud

y dr

aina

ge

Page 36: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

20

impa

ct o

n pa

vem

ent p

erfo

rman

ce.

All

the

12 S

PS-1

sect

ions

for

the

Stat

e of

Lou

isia

na w

ere

exam

ined

for t

he fo

llow

ing

char

acte

ristic

s:

• Th

e pa

vem

ent c

ross

-sec

tion,

incl

udin

g th

e su

bgra

de.

• Th

e ty

pe o

f bas

e: w

heth

er g

ranu

lar,

cem

ent t

reat

ed, o

r as

phal

t tre

ated

.

• Th

e m

ost i

mpo

rtant

asp

ect o

f thi

s dat

a in

spec

tion

was

to

obse

rve

the

amou

nt a

nd q

ualit

y of

the

perf

orm

ance

dat

a av

aila

ble

in L

TPP.

Thre

e se

ctio

ns w

ere

sele

cted

for t

his e

xam

ple,

as s

how

n in

tabl

e 3.

Tab

le 3

. T

he L

TPP

sect

ion

repo

rt

Sect

ion

No.

L

ayer

Thi

ckne

sses

(inc

hes)

D

rain

age

Typ

e 22

-011

4-1

AC

Lay

ers:

1.4

+8.1

= 9

.5

Cru

shed

Gra

vel,

Gra

nula

r B

ase

(GB

): 11

.4

Gra

nula

r Sub

base

(GS)

: 12

Fine

-gra

ined

soil,

lean

in

orga

nic

clay

Non

e

22-0

116-

1 A

C L

ayer

s: 2

+2.8

+11

= 1

5.8

Gra

nula

r Sub

base

(GS)

: 18”

Fi

ne-g

rain

ed so

il, le

an

inor

gani

c cl

ay

Non

e

22-0

124-

1 A

C L

ayer

s: 1

.3+5

.9

+10.

6+3.

2 =

21

Gra

nula

r Sub

base

(GS)

: 30

Fine

-gra

ined

soil,

lean

in

orga

nic

clay

Bla

nket

w/lo

ng

drai

ns

1 in

ch =

25.

4 m

illim

eter

s A

n ex

ampl

e of

the

laye

r cro

ss se

ctio

n is

illu

stra

ted

in th

e sc

reen

cap

ture

in

figur

e 14

.

105

EST

IMA

TIN

G S

EA

SON

AL

AD

JUST

ME

NT

FA

CT

OR

S

The

SAF

is c

onsi

dere

d to

acc

ount

for t

he c

hang

es in

subg

rade

soil

mod

ulus

due

to se

ason

al c

hang

e in

subg

rade

moi

stur

e co

nten

t. Th

e SA

F re

flect

s bot

h th

e su

bgra

de so

il cl

ass a

nd th

e cl

imat

e in

whi

ch

the

pave

men

t is l

ocat

ed. F

or th

e pu

rpos

e of

dev

elop

ing

a m

odel

to

mea

sure

the

subg

rade

mod

ulus

shift

fact

or, r

egre

ssio

n an

alys

is w

as

appl

ied

to th

e m

oist

ure-

mod

ulus

dat

a of

diff

eren

t soi

l typ

es. T

he

soil

type

s tha

t wer

e in

clud

ed in

this

stud

y ar

e: si

lt (M

), cl

ay (C

), si

lty sa

nd (S

M),

fine

sand

y cl

ay (F

-SC

) and

coa

rse

sand

y cl

ay (C

-SC

). Th

e m

oist

ure-

mod

ulus

dat

a of

the

prev

ious

soil

type

s wer

e do

wnl

oade

d fr

om si

tes 2

4-16

34 (M

), 48

-414

3 (C

), 48

-107

7 (S

M),

13-1

005,

and

28-

1016

(F-S

C).

The

resu

lt of

the

regr

essi

on a

naly

sis i

s sho

wn

in fi

gure

16.

The

X-

axis

of f

igur

e 16

show

s the

moi

stur

e in

crea

se, w

hich

is th

e se

ason

al m

oist

ure

divi

ded

by th

e m

inim

um m

oist

ure

cont

ent

mea

sure

d at

this

site

thro

ugh

the

year

(usu

ally

sum

mer

moi

stur

e co

nten

t). T

he Y

-axi

s sho

ws t

he m

odul

us sh

ift fa

ctor

: the

seas

onal

ba

ckca

lcul

ated

mod

ulus

at a

ny si

te d

ivid

ed b

y th

e m

axim

um

mod

ulus

mea

sure

d th

roug

hout

the

year

(usu

ally

the

sum

mer

m

odul

us o

r the

mod

ulus

cor

resp

ondi

ng to

the

min

imum

seas

onal

m

oist

ure)

. The

ana

lysi

s of f

igur

e 16

indi

cate

s tha

t the

shift

fact

or

coul

d be

rela

ted

to m

oist

ure

incr

ease

with

the

mod

el sh

own

in

equa

tion

(6).

(6

) W

here

: SF

= M

odul

us sh

ift fa

ctor

(E Se

ason

/ Eo)

M

=

Moi

stur

e in

crea

se (M

Seas

on/ E

o)

k o, k

=

Mod

el c

onst

ants

, dep

ende

nt o

n so

il ty

pe

MSe

ason

, ESe

ason

, =

Moi

stur

e an

d m

odul

us a

t any

seas

on,

resp

ectiv

ely

SF =

ko *

M –

k

Page 37: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

104

14

5 M

Pa =

1 p

si

Fi

gure

15.

Bac

kcal

cula

ted

mod

ulus

ver

sus m

oist

ure

cont

ent

for

sand

y so

il, si

te 3

5-11

12

In c

oncl

usio

n, a

s fig

ures

10

thro

ugh

14 sh

ow th

e ba

ckca

lcul

ated

el

astic

mod

ulus

dec

reas

es w

ith in

crea

sing

soil

moi

stur

e co

nten

t for

no

n-fr

eeze

site

s. O

nly

figur

e 15

indi

cate

d th

at th

e el

astic

mod

ulus

in

crea

ses w

ith in

crea

sing

moi

stur

e co

nten

t. Th

e re

ason

for t

he

dire

ct re

latio

nshi

p sh

own

in fi

gure

15

is th

e sa

me

as d

escr

ibed

for

figur

e 4

(e.g

., no

ncoh

esiv

e so

il). T

he so

il in

figu

re 4

is sa

nd, a

nd it

s fie

ld m

oist

ure

is m

uch

less

than

the

optim

um m

oist

ure

cont

ent f

or

this

soil,

whi

ch is

12.

0 pe

rcen

t as s

how

n in

tabl

e 1.

The

refo

re,

incr

easi

ng m

oist

ure

cont

ent i

n su

ch c

ohes

ionl

ess s

oils

by

incr

ease

s th

eir m

odul

us u

ntil

the

optim

um m

oist

ure

is re

ache

d, th

en th

e m

odul

us re

duce

s. Fo

r coh

esiv

e so

ils (c

laye

y so

ils),

incr

ease

s in

subg

rade

moi

stur

e w

ill b

e ac

com

pani

ed w

ith a

redu

ctio

n in

thei

r m

odul

i, w

hate

ver t

he so

il m

oist

ure

cond

ition

is, b

efor

e or

afte

r the

op

timum

, as d

iscu

ssed

ear

lier.

It sh

ould

be

note

d th

at th

e ge

nera

l mod

el sh

own

in e

quat

ion

(4),

coul

d be

app

lied

to a

ny so

il ty

pe. T

he m

odel

con

stan

ts (C

*, C

1,

and

C2)

cou

ld b

e es

timat

ed e

ither

from

equ

atio

n (4

) in

the

case

of

plas

tic so

ils, o

r equ

atio

n (5

) in

the

case

of n

onpl

astic

soils

.

Figu

re 1

5. B

ackc

alcula

ted

mod

ulus v

s. m

oistu

re c

onte

nt fo

r san

dy so

il,

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

Moi

stur

e C

onte

nt, %

Modulus, MPa

Colle

cted

Dat

aM

odel

21

Fi

gure

14.

The

pav

emen

t str

uctu

re d

etai

ls fo

r Se

ctio

n 22

-011

4

TA

SK 2

: D

ata

for S

elec

ted

SPS-

1 Si

tes

The

rele

vant

dat

a fo

r the

sele

cted

site

s in

the

assi

gnm

ent w

ere:

• V

ario

us p

erfo

rman

ce m

easu

res (

fatig

ue c

rack

ing,

tra

nsve

rse

crac

king

, rut

ting

and

IRI)

.

• En

viro

nmen

tal d

ata

(tem

pera

ture

s, et

c.).

• In

vent

ory

data

(lay

er th

ickn

esse

s, ba

se ty

pe, a

nd d

rain

age,

et

c.).

• Tr

affic

dat

a w

ith ti

me

(axl

e lo

ad sp

ectru

m fo

r var

ious

axl

e ty

pes,

etc.

).

Dur

ing

the

sear

ch fo

r tra

ffic

dat

a fo

r SPS

-1 si

tes i

n Lo

uisi

ana,

no

traff

ic d

ata

wer

e fo

und

for e

noug

h nu

mbe

r of y

ears

to a

scer

tain

the

grow

th ra

te a

nd c

umul

ativ

e ES

ALs

and

axl

e lo

ad re

petit

ions

. Th

eref

ore,

traf

fic d

ata

avai

labl

e fo

r the

GPS

sect

ions

in L

ouis

iana

fr

om 1

991

to 1

993

wer

e us

ed.

The

load

spec

tra fo

r sin

gle,

tand

em,

and

tride

m, a

xle

load

s for

the

sele

cted

site

s wer

e ex

tract

ed a

nd

used

in th

e an

alys

is to

cal

cula

te E

SALs

. Fi

gure

15

show

s an

exam

ple

of lo

ad sp

ectra

dis

tribu

tion

for t

ande

m a

xles

.

Page 38: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

22

0

5000

1000

0

1500

0

2000

0

2500

0

3000

0

3500

0

4000

0

010

000

2000

030

000

4000

050

000

6000

070

000

8000

090

000

Avg.

Tand

em A

xle L

oad,

lbs

Load Repetitions

1991

1992

1993

1000

pou

nds (

lbs)

= 4

54 k

ilogr

ams (

kg)

Figu

re 1

5. T

ande

m a

xle

load

spec

trum

Bec

ause

act

ual K

ESA

L da

ta w

ere

avai

labl

e fo

r mor

e ye

ars (

1991

–19

96) i

n th

e m

onito

ring

data

for t

he sa

me

GPS

sect

ion,

thes

e da

ta

wer

e us

ed to

asc

erta

in th

e tra

ffic

gro

wth

rate

. A

gro

wth

rate

of 9

pe

rcen

t was

ass

umed

bas

ed o

n th

e pa

st tr

end

of th

e tra

ffic

dat

a.

Figu

re 1

6 sh

ows t

he a

ctua

l mon

itore

d tre

nd o

f the

KES

AL

on th

is

road

sect

ion

for t

he p

ast 6

yea

rs a

nd p

redi

cted

ESA

Ls fo

r fut

ure

year

s bas

ed o

n 9

perc

ent g

row

th ra

te.

The

deta

ils o

f ESA

Ls a

nd

grow

th ra

te c

alcu

latio

n ar

e no

t pro

vide

d in

this

pap

er. B

ecau

se th

e th

ree

sect

ions

are

adj

acen

t to

each

oth

er, t

he sa

me

traff

ic is

as

sum

ed fo

r all

of th

em.

From

the

give

n tra

ffic

dat

a, it

was

foun

d th

at th

e se

ctio

ns h

ave

sust

aine

d ab

out 3

.5 m

illio

n ES

ALs

bet

wee

n 19

91 a

nd 2

002.

103

linea

r fun

ctio

n. T

here

fore

, the

follo

win

g eq

uatio

ns w

ere

deve

lope

d th

roug

h re

gres

sion

ana

lysi

s to

estim

ate

the

mod

el p

aram

eter

s for

no

npla

stic

soils

.

(5

)

145

MPa

= 1

psi

Figu

re 1

3. B

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us v

ersu

s moi

stur

e co

nten

t fo

r si

lty so

il, si

te 2

8-16

34

145

MPa

= 1

psi

Figu

re 1

4. B

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us v

ersu

s moi

stur

e co

nten

t fo

r fin

e sa

ndy

silt,

site

48-

1077

140

160

180

200

220

240

260 14

.014

.515

.015

.516

.016

.517

.017

.518

.018

.5M

oist

ure

Con

tent

, %

Modulus, MPa

Colle

cted

Dat

aM

odel

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

1213

1415

1617

1819

Moi

stur

e C

onte

nt, %

Modulus, MPa

Col

lect

ed D

ata

Mod

el

C*

=

90.

63

-0.6

18 *

F

-

462.

35 *

D60

C

1 =

-304

.96

+

2.19

9 *

F +

166

1.50

* D

60

C2

= -2

0.14

+

0.13

5 *

F

+ 1

10.5

8 *

D60

Page 39: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

102

(4

) w

here

:

C*

=

Co

+ C

3 *

F +

C4

* PI

= 8.

82 +

0.0

084

* F

- 0.1

1* P

I (f

or p

last

ic so

ils)

C1

= - 0

.673

(for

pla

stic

soils

) C

2 =

- 2.4

4

(for

pla

stic

soils

) E,

F, a

nd P

I are

as d

escr

ibed

bef

ore

for t

able

2.

Seve

ral t

rials

wer

e m

ade,

usi

ng S

olve

r in

the

Mic

roso

ft® E

xcel

®

prog

ram

, to

fit th

e m

oist

ure-

mod

ulus

dat

a of

non

plas

tic so

ils to

the

mod

el sh

own

in e

quat

ion

(4).

Dat

a fr

om si

tes 2

4-16

34, 4

8-10

77,

and

35-1

112

wer

e us

ed in

thes

e tri

als.

The

subg

rade

soils

at t

hese

si

tes a

re si

lt, fi

ne si

lty sa

nd, a

nd sa

nd so

ils, r

espe

ctiv

ely.

The

m

odel

con

stan

ts C

*, C

1, a

nd C

2 w

ere

calc

ulat

ed fo

r eac

h si

te u

sing

th

e So

lver

pro

gram

, and

are

show

n in

tabl

e 4.

The

mod

el w

as

foun

d to

fit t

he d

ata,

as s

how

n in

figu

res 1

3 th

roug

h 15

. The

es

timat

ed R

2 va

lues

for t

he p

revi

ous f

igur

es a

re 0

.72,

0.3

6, a

nd

0.32

resp

ectiv

ely.

The

hig

her R

2 va

lue

was

ach

ieve

d w

ith th

e si

lty

soil

(site

24-

1634

), w

hile

the

low

er R

2 va

lue

was

ach

ieve

d w

ith

sand

(site

35-

1112

).

Tab

le 4

. Est

imat

ed m

odel

con

stan

ts fo

r no

npla

stic

soils

Site

T

ype

C*

C1

C2

24-1

634

Silt

30.1

6 −8

9.67

0 −6

.910

48

-107

7 Fi

ne sa

ndy

silt

12.4

0 −2

4.90

0 −2

.080

35

-111

2 Sa

nd

5.74

0.

043

0.13

3

Reg

ress

ion

anal

ysis

was

app

lied

usin

g th

e SA

S pr

ogra

m to

rela

te

the

mod

el c

onst

ants

(C*,

C1,

and

C2)

, sho

wn

in ta

ble

4, to

oth

er

mat

eria

l pro

perti

es o

f non

plas

tic so

ils li

ke d

ry d

ensi

ty, D

60 a

nd

perc

enta

ge p

assi

ng si

eve

#200

. It w

as fo

und,

with

goo

d ac

cura

cy

(R2

= 1)

, tha

t the

mod

el c

onst

ants

(C*,

C1,

and

C2)

cou

ld b

e re

late

d to

the

perc

enta

ge p

assi

ng si

eve

#200

(F) a

nd D

60, w

ith a

Log

(E) =

C *

+ C

1 *

Log

(moi

stur

e) +

C2

* (1

/moi

stur

e)

23

-

100,0

00

200,0

00

300,0

00

400,0

00

500,0

00

600,0

00

700,0

00

800,0

00

900,0

00

1,000

,000

Years

ESALs/Year (Estimated)

EStim

ated E

SALs

Actua

l ESA

LsLin

ear (

EStim

ated E

SALs

)

Figu

re 1

6: A

ctua

l and

pre

dict

ed E

SAL

s

TASK

3:

Pave

men

t Per

form

ance

and

Res

pons

e fo

r Sel

ecte

d SP

S-1

Site

s

This

task

show

s the

act

ual v

ersu

s pre

dict

ed p

avem

ent p

erfo

rman

ce

for t

he th

ree

sele

cted

sect

ions

, whi

ch h

ave

diff

eren

t cha

ract

eris

tics

but a

re su

bjec

ted

to th

e sa

me

envi

ronm

enta

l and

load

ing

cond

ition

s. T

he fo

llow

ing

sect

ions

sum

mar

ize

the

anal

ysis

co

nduc

ted.

Mat

eria

l Cha

ract

eriz

atio

n In

situ

laye

r mod

uli f

or d

iffer

ent l

ayer

s wer

e ba

ckca

lcul

ated

by

usin

g th

e FW

D d

efle

ctio

n da

ta fo

r eac

h se

ctio

n. T

hree

re

pres

enta

tive

defle

ctio

n ba

sins

(one

for e

ach

sect

ion)

wer

e se

lect

ed.

The

new

ver

sion

of M

ICH

BA

CK

(MFP

DS)

softw

are

was

use

d fo

r the

bac

kcal

cula

tion.

The

stud

ents

als

o in

vest

igat

ed

the

pres

ence

of a

stiff

laye

r.

The

back

calc

ulat

ion

of th

e la

yer m

odul

i is v

ery

sens

itive

to th

e pr

esen

ce o

f a st

iff la

yer b

elow

the

road

bed.

A si

mpl

e eq

uatio

n

Page 40: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

24

base

d on

Bou

ssin

esq’

s equ

atio

n fo

r a p

oint

load

was

use

d to

es

timat

e th

e m

odul

us fr

om th

e su

rfac

e de

flect

ions

.

)](

**

/[)21(*

rod

rP

μ−

=

(1

)

whe

re P

is th

e ap

plie

d lo

ad a

nd

)(r

d ois

the

surf

ace

defle

ctio

n at

di

stan

ce r

from

the

cent

er o

f the

load

.

The

abov

e eq

uatio

n w

as u

sed

to c

alcu

late

the

mod

uli f

or th

e va

rious

def

lect

ions

as a

che

ck o

n th

e lin

earit

y of

the

subg

rade

. Th

e re

sults

are

show

n in

figu

re 1

7. B

ased

on

this

plo

t, it

was

co

nclu

ded

that

ther

e is

no

stiff

laye

r or g

roun

d w

ater

tabl

e cl

ose

to

the

surf

ace

of th

e pa

vem

ent.

1

inch

= 2

5.4

mill

imet

ers

1 ps

i = 1

45 M

Pa

Fi

gure

17.

The

ave

rage

surf

ace

mod

uli p

lot w

ith d

epth

for

thre

e se

lect

ed se

ctio

ns

DB

-1

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

020

,000

40,0

0060

,000

80,0

0010

0,00

012

0,00

0

Surf

ace

Mod

ulus

, psi

Depth (radial distance), in

DB

-2

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

050

,000

100,

000

150,

000

200,

000

250,

000

Surf

ace

Mod

ulus

, psi

Depth (radial distance), in

DB

-3

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

050

,000

100,

000

150,

000

200,

000

250,

000

300,

000

Surf

ace

Mod

ulus

, psi

Depth (radial distance), in

101

14

5 M

Pa =

1 p

si

Fi

gure

11.

Bac

kcal

cula

ted

mod

ulus

ver

sus m

oist

ure

cont

ent

for

fine

sand

y cl

ay so

il, si

te 1

3-10

05

14

5 M

Pa =

1 p

si

Figu

re 1

2. B

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us v

ersu

s moi

stur

e co

nten

t fo

r co

arse

sand

y cl

ay so

il, si

te 4

8-11

22

Mod

el D

evel

opm

ent f

or N

onpl

astic

Soi

ls

As w

as d

escr

ibed

pre

viou

sly,

the

mod

el sh

own

in e

quat

ion

(3)

coul

d no

t be

appl

ied

dire

ctly

for n

on-p

last

ic so

ils (s

andy

and

/or

silty

soils

), as

ther

e is

a te

rm in

the

mod

el fo

r PI.

To g

ener

aliz

e th

e pr

evio

us m

odel

, it i

s sim

plifi

ed to

the

gene

ric fo

rm sh

own

in

equa

tion

(4).

Figu

re11

.Ba

ckca

lculat

ed m

odul

us v

s. m

oistu

re co

nten

t for

fine

sand

y cla

y soi

l, sit

e 13

- 100

5

350

370

390

410

430

450

470

78

910

1112

1314

Moi

stur

e Co

nten

t, %

Modulus, MPa

Colle

cted

Dat

aM

odel

Figu

re 1

2. B

ackc

alcula

ted

mod

ulus v

s. m

oistu

re c

onte

nt fo

r coa

rse

sand

y cla

y so

il, sit

e 48

-112

2

290

310

330

350

370

390

410

430

450

34

56

78

910

Moi

stur

e C

onte

nt, %

Modulus, MPa

Colle

cted

Dat

aM

odel

Page 41: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

100

Figu

res 1

0 th

roug

h 12

show

the

mod

el a

pplic

atio

n on

the

data

co

llect

ed fr

om si

tes 4

8-41

43, 1

3-10

05, a

nd 4

8-11

22, r

espe

ctiv

ely.

Th

e fig

ures

indi

cate

that

the

mod

el fi

ts th

e da

ta v

ery

wel

l and

that

th

e m

odul

us d

ecre

ases

with

incr

easi

ng so

il m

oist

ure

even

if th

e fie

ld m

oist

ure

cont

ent i

s les

s tha

n th

e op

timum

moi

stur

e co

nten

t, as

show

n in

figu

res 1

1 an

d 12

for s

ites 1

3-10

05 a

nd 4

8-11

22,

resp

ectiv

ely.

The

reas

on is

that

the

subg

rade

soils

at b

oth

site

s are

co

hesi

ve so

ils (s

andy

cla

y). T

here

fore

, whe

n th

e m

oist

ure

cont

ent

decr

ease

s, th

e so

il be

com

es h

arde

r and

its m

odul

us in

crea

ses,

whi

le th

e m

odul

us d

ecea

ses w

hen

moi

stur

e in

crea

ses.

It sh

ould

be

note

d th

at th

is m

odel

cou

ld b

e ap

plie

d on

ly fo

r pla

stic

(cla

yey)

so

ils, a

s the

re is

a te

rm in

the

mod

el fo

r PI.

For n

onpl

astic

soils

, th

is m

odel

will

be

mod

ified

to a

ccou

nt fo

r soi

l pro

perti

es o

ther

th

an P

I (ex

plai

ned

late

r in

this

pap

er).

14

5 M

Pa =

1 p

si

Figu

re 1

0. B

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us v

ersu

s moi

stur

e co

nten

t fo

r cl

ayey

soil,

site

48-

4143

Figu

re 1

0. B

ackc

alcula

ted

mod

ulus v

s. m

oistu

re c

onte

nt fo

r clay

ey so

il, sit

e 48

-414

3

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

140

2020

.521

21.5

2222

.523

23.5

Moi

stur

e C

onte

nt, %

Modulus, MPa

Colle

cted

Dat

aM

odel

25

Var

ious

AC

laye

rs (s

urfa

ce c

ours

e, b

inde

r cou

rse,

and

ATB

co

urse

) and

gra

nula

r mat

eria

ls (b

ase

and

subb

ase)

wer

e co

mbi

ned

to e

limin

ate

com

plic

atio

ns w

ith th

e ba

ckca

lcul

atio

n. T

he su

mm

ary

of th

e ba

ckca

lcul

ated

laye

r mod

uli f

or d

iffer

ent s

ectio

ns is

giv

en in

ta

ble

4 be

low

. D

etai

ls o

f the

resu

lts a

nd th

e de

flect

ion

prof

ile fo

r ea

ch se

ctio

n ar

e no

t sho

wn

in th

is p

aper

.

Tab

le 4

. Su

mm

ary

resu

lts fo

r m

ater

ial p

rope

rtie

s bas

ed o

n ba

ckca

lcul

atio

n, S

epte

mbe

r, 1

998

Bac

kcal

cula

ted

Mod

uli,

psi

Sect

ion

Num

ber

Asp

halt

Lay

ers

Gra

nula

r M

ater

ial

Lay

ers

Subg

rade

22-0

114-

1 31

5,32

1 4

6,65

8 20

,562

22

-011

6-1

841,

822

116,

570

28,1

00

22-0

124-

1 62

9,16

1 6

8,05

3 31

,880

1

psi =

145

MPa

Pave

men

t Res

pons

e Th

e la

yer t

hick

ness

dat

a al

ong

with

the

back

calc

ulat

ed m

odul

i of

the

vario

us la

yers

wer

e us

ed fo

r the

ana

lysi

s of t

he la

yere

d sy

stem

fo

r the

sele

cted

sect

ion

usin

g th

e K

ENLA

YER

com

pute

r pro

gram

. Th

e su

mm

ary

resu

lts a

re p

rese

nted

in ta

ble

5 be

low

:

Tab

le 5

. Su

mm

ary

of th

e pa

vem

ent r

espo

nse

Pave

men

t Res

pons

e

Sect

ion

Num

ber

Def

lect

ion1

(mils

)

Ten

sile

St

rain

2 (m

icro

ns)

Ver

tical

St

rain

3 (m

icro

ns)

Ver

tical

St

ress

4 (p

si)

22-0

114-

1 9.

10

113.

0 83

.0

2.21

0 22

-011

6-1

3.75

2

3.6

28.7

1.

210

22-0

124-

1 3.

50

20.

5 23

.0

0.76

4 1

= Su

rfac

e de

flect

ion.

1

mils

= .0

01 in

ch

2 =

Tens

ile st

rain

at t

he b

otto

m o

f asp

halt

laye

r.

1

psi =

145

MPa

3

= V

ertic

al st

rain

at t

he to

p of

subg

rade

. 4

= V

ertic

al st

ress

at t

he to

p of

subg

rade

.

Page 42: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

26

The

anal

ysis

was

bas

ed o

n a

dual

whe

el lo

ad o

f 408

6 kg

(900

0 po

unds

); th

e cr

itica

l res

pons

e w

as c

alcu

late

d at

the

cent

er o

f the

tir

e, e

dge

of th

e tir

e, a

nd b

etw

een

the

whe

els.

The

max

imum

re

spon

se w

as fo

und

betw

een

the

whe

els,

whi

ch w

ere

subs

eque

ntly

us

ed in

the

perf

orm

ance

mod

els.

Giv

en th

e lo

w st

ress

leve

ls, a

lin

ear a

naly

sis w

as u

sed

to c

alcu

late

the

pave

men

t res

pons

e. T

he

seas

ons w

ere

cons

ider

ed in

the

anal

ysis

wer

e fa

ll (A

ugus

t, Se

ptem

ber,

Oct

ober

; 3 m

onth

s); w

inte

r (N

ovem

ber–

Mar

ch; 5

m

onth

s); a

nd sp

ring

and

sum

mer

(Apr

il–Ju

ly; 4

mon

ths)

.

The

seas

onal

ana

lysi

s was

car

ried

out b

y as

sum

ing

vario

us

mat

eria

l pro

perti

es a

nd a

vera

ge E

SALs

in a

par

ticul

ar se

ason

.

Pave

men

t Per

form

ance

Th

ree

perf

orm

ance

mea

sure

s wer

e an

alyz

ed:

• Fa

tigue

Cra

ckin

g. F

igur

e 18

show

s the

fatig

ue c

rack

ing

obse

rved

in th

e fie

ld si

nce

the

open

ing

of th

ese

sect

ions

(f

rom

199

1–20

00).

Sev

en m

odel

s wer

e us

ed to

cal

cula

te

the

allo

wab

le n

umbe

r of E

SALs

(Nf)

for t

he se

lect

ed

sect

ions

.

99

The

estim

ated

val

ues o

f the

mod

el c

onst

ants

and

the

anal

ysis

of

varia

nce

(AN

OV

A) f

or th

at m

odel

are

show

n in

tabl

e 3.

Tab

le 3

al

so sh

ows t

hat t

he su

m o

f squ

ared

err

ors (

SSE)

for t

hat m

odel

is

0.37

2, th

e co

effic

ient

of v

aria

tion

is 0

.859

, and

the

adju

sted

R2

is

0.98

9. T

he la

st tw

o co

lum

ns in

the

botto

m o

f tab

le 3

con

tain

resu

lts

of th

e st

atis

tical

test

that

eva

luat

es th

e si

gnifi

canc

e of

eac

h re

gres

sion

coe

ffic

ient

. The

test

resu

lts in

dica

te th

at a

t a

sign

ifica

nce

leve

l of 9

5 pe

rcen

t, al

l est

imat

ed m

odel

par

amet

ers a

re

sign

ifica

nt (p

-val

ue is

less

than

0.0

5). T

he fi

nal m

odel

with

its

estim

ated

con

stan

ts is

show

n in

equ

atio

n (3

).

(3

)

Tab

le 3

. Ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

tabl

e an

d es

timat

ed

mod

el p

aram

eter

s

(SA

S pr

ogra

m o

utpu

t, de

pend

ent v

aria

ble:

E1)

A

naly

sis o

f Var

ianc

e

Su

m o

f M

ean

Sour

ce

DF

Squa

res

Squa

re

F V

alue

M

odel

4

33.9

0986

8.

4774

7 35

28.4

6 Er

ror

155

0.37

240

0.00

240

Cor

rect

ed T

otal

15

9 34

.282

27

R

oot M

SE

0.04

902

R-S

quar

e

Dep

ende

nt M

ean

5.70

630

Adj

R-S

q

Coe

ff V

ar

0.85

899

E

stim

ated

Mod

el P

aram

eter

s

Pa

ram

eter

St

anda

rd

Var

iabl

e D

F Es

timat

e Er

ror

t Val

ue

Inte

rcep

t 1

8.81

933

0.31

794

27.7

4 X

1 1

-0.6

7276

0.

1240

5 -5

.42

X2

1 -2

.439

12

0.76

112

-3.2

0 F

1 0.

0083

8 0.

0006

6926

12

.52

PI

1 -0

.110

65

0.00

343

-32.

28

Log

(E) =

8.8

2 –

0.67

3 *

Log

(moi

stur

e) –

2.4

4 *

(1/m

oist

ure)

+ 0

.008

4 *

F –

0.11

* PI

Page 43: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

98

E =

Bac

kcal

cula

ted

elas

tic m

odul

us, M

Pa

E1 =

Log

(E)

X1

= Lo

g (m

oist

ure

cont

ent,

perc

ent)

X2

= 1/

(moi

stur

e co

nten

t, pe

rcen

t) F

=

Perc

enta

ge p

assi

ng si

eve

# 20

0, %

PI

= P

last

icity

inde

x, p

erce

nt

T

able

2.

The

reg

ress

ion

proc

edur

e us

ing

R-s

quar

e se

lect

ion

met

hod

for

thre

e si

tes

SAS

prog

ram

out

put,

depe

nden

t var

iabl

e: E

1 N

umbe

r in

Mod

el

R-S

quar

e C

(p)

BIC

R

oot

MSE

V

aria

bles

in

Mod

el

1 1 1 1

0.97

67

0.78

40

0.69

81

0.50

68

176.

6577

29

26.7

76

4151

.479

68

80.9

04

-844

.497

5 -4

91.2

373

-437

.829

1 -3

59.4

122

0.07

112

0.21

651

0.25

593

0.32

712

PI

F x1

x2

2 2 2 2

0.97

95

0.97

68

0.97

67

0.90

22

137.

8704

17

7.28

05

178.

3979

12

41.6

71

-863

.930

4 -8

44.1

832

-843

.657

5 -6

17.3

199

0.06

683

0.07

120

0.07

132

0.14

614

F P

I x2

PI

x1 P

I x1

x2

3 3 3 3

0.98

84

0.98

71

0.97

81

0.91

61

13.2

697

32.4

110

159.

8558

10

45.3

02

-950

.065

4 -9

33.3

682

-852

.584

1 -6

41.4

009

0.05

045

0.05

329

0.06

930

0.13

579

x1 F

PI

x1 F

PI

x1 x

2 PI

x1

x2

F 4

0.98

91

5.00

00

-957

.752

3 0.

0490

2 x1

x2

F PI

Ta

ble

2 in

dica

tes t

hat t

he lo

garit

hm o

f the

bac

kcal

cula

ted

mod

ulus

(E

1) c

ould

be

rela

ted

only

to th

e lo

garit

hm o

f moi

stur

e co

nten

t (X

1) w

ith a

func

tion

havi

ng a

coe

ffic

ient

of d

eter

min

atio

n (R

2)

valu

e of

0.6

98. H

owev

er, w

hen

addi

ng o

ther

soil

prop

ertie

s, lik

e PI

an

d F

to th

e m

odel

, a b

ette

r mod

el h

avin

g R

-squ

are

valu

e of

0.9

89

coul

d be

ach

ieve

d. T

he d

evel

oped

mod

el is

show

n in

equ

atio

n (2

).

(2

) W

here

: E, F

, and

PI a

re a

s des

crib

ed b

efor

e in

tabl

e 2

and

Co,

C1,

C

2, C

3 an

d C

4 ar

e m

odel

con

stan

ts.

Log

(E) =

Co

+ C

1 *

Log

(moi

stur

e) +

C2

* (1

/moi

stur

e) +

C3

* F

+ C

4 *

PI

27

Secti

on 11

6

0.00

000.

0010

0.00

200.

0030

0.00

400.

0050

0.00

600.

0070

0.00

800.

0090

0.01

00

Years

Damage (n/Nf)

Asph

alt In

stitu

teSh

ellPD

MAP

(10%

)PD

MAP

(45%

)TR

RLBR

RCID

OT

Fi

gure

18.

Exa

mpl

e of

obs

erve

d an

d pr

edic

ted

fa

tigue

cra

ckin

g

All

mod

els p

redi

cted

a su

ffic

ient

rem

aini

ng li

fe fo

r fat

igue

(n/N

<

0.01

), ex

cept

for t

he B

elgi

an R

oad

Res

earc

h C

ente

r (B

RR

C) m

odel

fo

r sec

tion

22-0

114-

1. H

ence

, the

pre

dict

ion

by th

e m

ajor

ity o

f th

ese

mod

els w

as d

eem

ed a

s rep

rese

ntat

ive

of th

e ac

tual

fiel

d pe

rfor

man

ce d

ata.

• R

uttin

g in

the

whe

el p

ath.

Rut

ting

can

be d

efin

ed a

s the

pe

rman

ent d

efor

mat

ion

in th

e w

heel

pat

h in

tran

sver

se

plan

e al

ong

the

dire

ctio

n of

the

traff

ic.

Rut

ting

is a

load

-as

soci

ated

dis

tress

and

can

be

caus

ed in

the

subg

rade

(wid

e

(Obs

erve

d)

(Pre

dict

ed)

Page 44: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

28

rut c

hann

el),

base

, or s

ubba

se la

yers

and

asp

halt

laye

rs o

nly

(nar

row

rut c

hann

el).

The

fiel

d pe

rfor

man

ce d

ata

for t

he

sele

cted

sect

ion

show

som

e si

gns o

f rut

, as s

how

n in

figu

re

19.

Secti

on 11

6

0.000

000

0.000

010

0.000

020

0.000

030

0.000

040

0.000

050

0.000

060

0.000

070

Years

Rut Damage (n/Nf)

Asph

alt In

stitu

teSh

ell (5

0%)

Shell

(85%

)Sh

ell (9

5%)

TRRL

BRRC

Figu

re 1

9. E

xam

ple

of o

bser

ved

and

pred

icte

d ru

ttin

g

All

the

abov

e m

odel

s pre

dict

ed a

low

rutti

ng d

amag

e (n

/N).

The

re

sults

from

the

MSU

rut m

odel

s are

show

n in

figu

re 2

0.

(Obs

erve

d)

(Pre

dict

ed)

97

Fi

gure

8.

Moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

rai

nfal

l ver

sus s

easo

n fo

r cl

ayey

soil,

site

48-

4143

Figu

re 9

. M

oist

ure

cont

ent v

ersu

s rai

nfal

l for

cla

yey

soil,

si

te 4

8-41

43

CO

RR

EL

AT

ING

TH

E B

AC

KC

AL

CU

LA

TE

D E

LA

STIC

MO

DU

LU

S T

O

SUB

GR

AD

E S

OIL

MO

IST

UR

E A

ND

OT

HE

R S

OIL

PR

OPE

RT

IES

Mod

el D

evel

opm

ent f

or P

last

ic S

oils

For t

he p

urpo

se o

f thi

s stu

dy, m

ultip

le re

gres

sion

ana

lysi

s is

appl

ied

usin

g th

e SA

S pr

ogra

m to

rela

te th

e ba

ckca

lcul

ated

ela

stic

m

odul

us to

subg

rade

moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

such

oth

er so

il pr

oper

ties a

s: A

tterb

erge

lim

its, p

erce

ntag

e pa

ssin

g si

eve

# 20

0,

D60

. Dat

a fr

om th

ree

diffe

rent

LTP

P si

tes (

48-4

143,

13-1

005

and

48-1

122)

are

use

d in

this

ana

lysi

s. Th

e su

bgra

de so

ils a

t the

se th

ree

site

s are

: cla

y, fi

ne sa

ndy

clay

, and

coa

rse

sand

y cl

ay, r

espe

ctiv

ely.

Th

ese

site

s wer

e ch

osen

bec

ause

thei

r soi

ls h

ave

valu

es fo

r pl

astic

ity in

dex

(PI;

plas

tic so

il), w

hile

mos

t of t

he o

ther

site

s hav

e no

npla

stic

soils

. The

SA

S pr

ogra

m o

utpu

t of t

he re

gres

sion

an

alys

is is

show

n in

tabl

e 2,

in w

hich

:

20.0

20.5

21.0

21.5

22.0

22.5

23.0

23.5

24.0 Fe

b-94

Apr-9

4Ju

n-94

Aug-

94O

ct-9

4D

ec-9

4Fe

b-95

Apr-9

5Ju

n-95

Mon

th

Moisture Content, %

6080100

120

140

160

180

Rainfall, mm

Moi

stur

eRa

infa

ll

y =

0.01

45x

+ 19

.678

R2 = 0

.48

20.0

20.4

20.8

21.2

21.6

22.0

22.4

22.8

7080

9010

011

012

013

014

015

016

017

0

Rain

fall,

mm

Moisture Content, %

Page 45: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

96

Figu

re 5

. M

oist

ure

cont

ent a

nd r

ainf

all v

ersu

s sea

son

for

silty

sa

nd so

il, si

te 2

8-10

16

Figu

re 6

. Moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

rai

nfal

l ver

sus s

easo

n fo

r si

lty

soil,

site

24-

1634

Fi

gure

7.

Moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

rai

nfal

l ver

sus s

easo

n fo

r cl

ayey

soil,

site

13-

1005

11.4

11.6

11.8

12.0

12.2

12.4

12.6

12.8

13.0

13.2 Aug

. 95

Oct

. 95

Dec.

95

Feb.

96

Apr

. 96

Jun.

96

Aug

. 96

Mon

th

Moisture content, %

406080100

120

140

160

180

Rainfall, mm

Moi

stur

eRa

infa

ll

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

17.0

18.0

19.0 A

pr. 9

5Ju

n. 9

5A

ug. 9

5O

ct. 9

5D

ec. 9

5Fe

b. 9

6A

pr. 9

6Ju

n. 9

6A

ug. 9

6

Mon

th

Moisture content, %

5060708090100

110

120

Rainfall, mm

Moi

stur

eRa

infa

ll

8910111213 Sep

-95

Nov

-95

Jan-

96M

ar-9

6M

ay-9

6Ju

l-96

Sep

-96

Nov

-96

Mon

th

Moisture content, %

507090110

130

150

Rainfall, mm

Moi

stur

eRa

infa

ll

29

0.10

0

1.000

Yea

rs

Rut Depth (in)

MS

UA

ctua

l Fie

ld R

uttin

g

1 in

ch =

25.

4 m

illim

eter

s

Figu

re 2

0. P

redi

cted

rut

dep

th fo

r se

ctio

n 11

6

• Tr

ansv

erse

cra

ckin

g. N

o tra

nsve

rse

crac

king

was

obs

erve

d.

TASK

4:

Eng

inee

ring

Dis

cuss

ion

and

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Mos

t of t

he a

naly

sis a

nd e

valu

atio

n pr

esen

ted

in ta

sks 1

to 3

can

be

sum

mar

ized

as f

ollo

ws:

• Th

ree

sect

ions

from

LTP

P SP

S-1

site

s for

Lou

isia

na w

ere

sele

cted

bas

ed o

n th

e va

rious

bas

e ty

pes a

nd d

rain

age

char

acte

ristic

s.

• V

ario

us c

ritic

al d

istre

sses

for t

hese

sele

cted

sect

ions

alo

ng

with

the

inve

ntor

y, m

ater

ial,

traff

ic, a

nd e

nviro

nmen

tal d

ata

wer

e ex

tract

ed fr

om th

e LT

PP D

ataP

ave

3.0.

• If

any

mis

sing

or i

nsuf

ficie

nt d

ata

wer

e fo

und

in S

PS-1

si

tes,

then

reas

onab

le d

ata

wer

e ex

tract

ed fo

r GPS

site

s w

ithin

the

sam

e st

ate

in th

e cl

ose

vici

nity

of t

hese

SPS

-1

site

s. In

the

wor

st c

ase,

i.e.

, no

requ

ired

data

ava

ilabl

e,

reas

onab

le d

ata

wer

e as

sum

ed.

• Th

e ac

tual

crit

ical

dis

tress

es e

xtra

cted

wer

e pl

otte

d ag

ains

t th

e pr

edic

ted

dist

ress

es.

It w

as fo

und

that

the

pred

icte

d di

stre

ss le

vels

agr

eed

reas

onab

ly w

ith th

e ac

tual

leve

ls.

How

ever

, the

re w

ere

som

e di

scre

panc

ies;

thes

e ca

n be

Page 46: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

30

attri

bute

d to

the

empi

rical

nat

ure

of th

ese

mod

els a

nd d

ata

assu

mpt

ions

.

• Fr

om th

e tra

ffic

ana

lysi

s (lo

ad sp

ectru

m),

it w

as fo

und

that

si

ngle

and

tand

em a

xles

load

repe

titio

ns o

ccup

y ab

out 4

0 pe

rcen

t and

59

perc

ent s

hare

s, w

here

as tr

idem

axl

es o

nly

have

1–2

per

cent

of t

he sh

are.

Thi

s tre

nd is

con

sist

ent o

ver

time.

• Th

e fa

tigue

ana

lysi

s for

all

sect

ions

show

s tha

t the

re sh

ould

be

no

sign

of t

his d

istre

ss fo

r the

nex

t 5–1

0 ye

ars.

• Th

e fa

tigue

life

for t

he se

ctio

n w

ith A

TB a

nd d

rain

age

was

fo

und

to b

e in

finite

.

• Th

e on

ly lo

ad-a

ssoc

iate

d di

stre

ss o

bser

ved

in th

e se

lect

ed

pave

men

t sec

tions

was

rutti

ng; t

he M

SU ru

t mod

el se

ems

to p

redi

ct th

is d

istre

ss w

ith re

ason

able

acc

urac

y co

nsid

erin

g ov

eral

l rut

ting

in a

ll pa

vem

ent l

ayer

s.

• A

ll su

bgra

de-s

train

bas

ed m

odel

s wer

e pr

edic

ting

a hi

gh

num

ber o

f rep

etiti

ons t

o ru

t fai

lure

; the

refo

re, i

t can

be

assu

med

that

the

rutti

ng in

thes

e pa

vem

ent s

ectio

ns p

erta

ins

to p

erm

anen

t def

orm

atio

ns w

ithin

the

pave

men

t stru

ctur

e.

• Th

e an

alys

is sh

owed

that

a si

mpl

e an

alys

is w

ith a

ppro

pria

te

mat

eria

l pro

perti

es a

nd tr

affic

est

imat

es c

ould

be

used

to

give

reas

onab

le p

redi

ctio

ns o

f the

per

form

ance

of n

ew

flexi

ble

pave

men

t stru

ctur

es.

CO

NC

LU

SIO

NS

In th

e au

thor

’s o

pini

on, t

he u

se o

f Dat

aPav

e 3.

0 as

a so

urce

of

“rea

l” p

avem

ent d

ata

has c

onsi

dera

bly

enha

nced

the

qual

ity o

f the

pa

vem

ent r

ehab

ilita

tion,

des

ign,

and

ana

lysi

s cou

rses

. Th

e in

itial

of

ferin

gs p

rove

d to

be

a ch

alle

nge

both

for t

he in

stru

ctor

s and

for

the

stud

ents

, bec

ause

the

lear

ning

cur

ve is

rath

er st

eep.

As

inst

ruct

ors,

the

auth

ors h

ad to

com

mit

cons

ider

able

tim

e to

pre

pare

th

e pr

ojec

t sta

tem

ents

, hol

d tu

toria

ls, a

nd re

spon

d to

que

stio

ns o

n th

e us

e of

the

data

base

. Th

e ho

pe is

that

the

time

com

mitm

ent w

ill

dim

inis

h af

ter m

ultip

le o

ffer

ings

as t

he in

stru

ctor

s bec

ome

mor

e

95

Figu

re 4

. M

oist

ure

cont

ent a

nd e

last

ic m

odul

us v

ersu

s sea

son

for

silty

sand

, site

28-

1016

Rel

atin

g M

oist

ure

Con

tent

to A

vera

ge P

reci

pita

tion

The

aver

age

mon

thly

pre

cipi

tatio

n an

d th

e m

easu

red

moi

stur

e co

nten

t at s

ites 2

8-10

16, 2

4-16

34, 1

3-10

05 a

nd 4

8-41

43 a

re sh

own

in fi

gure

s 5 th

roug

h 8,

resp

ectiv

ely.

The

figu

res i

ndic

ate

that

the

moi

stur

e in

crea

ses w

hen

the

aver

age

prec

ipita

tion

incr

ease

s and

de

crea

ses w

ith d

ecre

asin

g pr

ecip

itatio

n. T

here

fore

, the

moi

stur

e co

nten

t cou

ld b

e hi

ghly

rela

ted

to th

e av

erag

e pr

ecip

itatio

n. F

igur

e 9,

for s

ite 4

8-41

43, s

how

s tha

t moi

stur

e co

nten

t cou

ld b

e re

late

d to

th

e av

erag

e pr

ecip

itatio

n w

ith a

line

r fun

ctio

n ha

ving

R2

valu

e of

0.

48. S

imila

r rel

atio

nshi

ps c

ould

be

deve

lope

d fo

r the

oth

er si

tes.

It sh

ould

be

note

d th

at th

e av

erag

e pr

ecip

itatio

n is

not

the

only

fact

or

that

aff

ects

subg

rade

moi

stur

e co

nten

t. Th

ere

are

man

y ot

her

clim

atic

and

phy

sica

l fac

tors

such

as:

soil

type

, tem

pera

ture

, pr

ecip

itatio

n, v

eget

atio

n, a

nd o

ther

s. W

itcza

k et

al.,

(200

0), a

re

exte

nsiv

ely

stud

ying

the

use

of p

reci

pita

tion

in m

oist

ure

cont

ent

pred

ictio

ns th

roug

h th

e in

terg

rade

d cl

imat

ic m

odel

(EIC

M 2

.6),

for

the

deve

lopm

ent o

f the

AA

SHTO

200

2 G

uide

for t

he D

esig

n O

f N

ew A

nd R

ehab

ilita

ted

Pave

men

t Str

uctu

res.

11.0

11.5

12.0

12.5

13.0

13.5 Ju

l. 95

Sep

. 95

Nov

. 95

Jan.

96

Mar

. 96

May

. 96

Jul.

96S

ep. 9

6M

onth

Moisture content, %

50100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Modulus, MPa

Moi

stur

eM

odul

us

Page 47: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

94

Figu

re 1

. M

oist

ure

cont

ent a

nd e

last

ic m

odul

us v

ersu

s sea

son

for

clay

ey so

il, si

te 4

8-11

22

Figu

re 2

. M

oist

ure

cont

ent a

nd e

last

ic m

odul

us v

ersu

s sea

son

for

silty

soil,

site

24-

1634

Figu

re 3

. Moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

ela

stic

mod

ulus

ver

sus s

easo

n fo

r cl

ayey

soil,

site

13-

1005

45678910 Apr

. 94

Jun.

94

Aug

. 94

Oct

. 94

Dec

. 94

Feb.

95

Apr

. 95

Jun.

95

Aug

. 95

Mon

th

Moisture Content, %

350

370

390

410

430

450

Modulus, MPa

Moi

stur

eM

odul

us

13141516171819 Apr

. 95

Jun.

95

Aug

. 95

Oct

. 95

Dec

. 95

Feb.

96

Apr

. 96

Jun.

96

Aug

. 96

Mon

th

Moisture content, %

150

180

210

240

270

300

Modulus, MPa

Moi

stur

e M

odu

lus

8 9 10

11

12

13

Sep -

95

Nov

- 95

Jan -

96

Mar

- 96

May

- 96

Jul - 9

6Se

p- 9

6N

ov- 9

6M

onth

350

370

390

410

430

450

Modulus, MPa

Moi

stur

eM

odul

us

Moisture content, %

31

com

forta

ble

with

the

data

base

. It

is h

oped

that

the

LTPP

dat

abas

e,

and

mor

e sp

ecifi

cally

the

Dat

aPav

e 3.

0 (a

nd su

bseq

uent

futu

re

vers

ions

), w

ill b

e in

corp

orat

ed in

to th

e ot

her p

avem

ent

man

agem

ent a

nd m

ater

ial c

ours

es a

t Mic

higa

n St

ate

Uni

vers

ity.

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Buc

h, N

., B

alad

i, G

.Y.,

Har

icha

ndra

n, R

.S.,

Park

D.Y

., an

d K

im,

H.

(199

9).

Cal

ibra

tion

of M

ICH

PAVE

'S R

ut a

nd F

atig

ue

Dis

tres

s M

odel

s an

d D

evel

opm

ent

of a

n O

verl

ay D

esig

n Pr

oced

ure

in

MIC

HBA

CK

, Fi

nal

Repo

rt.

Mic

higa

n D

epar

tmen

t of T

rans

porta

tion,

Pro

ject

No.

61-

9445

.

ERES

Con

sulta

nts (

2002

) ISL

AB

200

0®, F

inite

Ele

men

t Ana

lysi

s Pr

ogra

m fo

r Rig

id a

nd C

ompo

site

Pav

emen

ts, C

ham

paig

n,

IL.

Hal

l, K

., an

d C

orre

a, M

. (19

99).

“Es

timat

ion

of P

rese

nt

Serv

icea

bilit

y In

dex

from

Inte

rnat

iona

l Rou

ghne

ss In

dex,

” Pa

per N

o. 9

9150

8 pr

esen

ted

at th

e 78

th A

nnua

l Mee

ting

of

the

Tran

spor

tatio

n R

esea

rch

Boa

rd, W

ashi

ngto

n, D

C.

Hua

ng, Y

.H. (

1993

). P

avem

ent A

naly

sis a

nd D

esig

n. P

rent

ice

Hal

l, En

glew

ood

Clif

fs, N

J.

Tech

niqu

es fo

r Pav

emen

t Reh

abili

tatio

n (R

efer

ence

Man

ual).

(1

998)

, (FH

WA

-HI-

98-0

33),

U.S

. Dep

artm

ent o

f Tr

ansp

orta

tion,

Fed

eral

Hig

hway

Adm

inis

tratio

n,

Was

hing

ton,

DC

.

DIS

CL

AIM

ER

The

pape

r pre

sent

s re

sults

obt

aine

d by

stu

dent

gro

ups

and

does

not

re

pres

ent t

he o

pini

ons

of th

e au

thor

s or

Mic

higa

n St

ate

Uni

vers

ity.

The

sole

pur

pose

of

this

pap

er i

s to

dem

onst

rate

the

use

of

Dat

aPav

e 3.

0; it

doe

s not

con

stitu

te a

stan

dard

or s

peci

ficat

ion.

Page 48: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

93

SEA

SON

AL

VA

RIA

TIO

N O

F M

OIS

TU

RE

AN

D M

OD

UL

US

OF

SUB

GR

AD

E S

OIL

Moi

stur

e co

nten

t of s

oils

nea

r the

gro

und

surf

ace

depe

nds o

n a

varie

ty o

f clim

atic

and

phy

sica

l fac

tors

, inc

ludi

ng so

il ty

pe,

tem

pera

ture

, pre

cipi

tatio

n, v

eget

atio

n, a

nd o

ther

s. It

is w

idel

y kn

own

that

pav

emen

t sub

grad

e so

ils n

ot o

nly

expe

rienc

e te

mpo

rary

(sea

sona

l) ch

ange

s in

moi

stur

e co

nten

t but

als

o un

derg

o ch

ange

s in

thei

r lon

g-te

rm a

vera

ge a

nnua

l moi

stur

e co

nten

t. Th

is

sect

ion

disc

usse

s the

seas

onal

var

iatio

n in

bot

h m

oist

ure

and

mod

ulus

of s

ubgr

ade

soil.

Moi

stur

e an

d M

odul

us V

aria

tion

with

Tim

e

Figu

res 1

thro

ugh

4 sh

ow th

e re

latio

nshi

p be

twee

n bo

th

grav

imet

ric m

oist

ure

cont

ent a

nd su

bgra

de b

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us

with

tim

e fo

r diff

eren

t site

s fro

m th

e no

n-fr

eeze

zon

es. T

he fi

gure

s in

dica

te th

at b

oth

moi

stur

e co

nten

t and

bac

kcal

cula

ted

elas

tic

mod

uli h

ave

alm

ost a

sinu

soid

al fu

nctio

n w

ith ti

me.

The

figu

res

also

indi

cate

that

the

back

calc

ulat

ed e

last

ic m

odul

us c

ould

be

rela

ted

to m

oist

ure

cont

ent w

ith a

n op

posi

te fi

tnes

s fun

ctio

n, a

s the

el

astic

mod

ulus

incr

ease

s whe

n th

e m

oist

ure

decr

ease

s and

vic

e ve

rsa.

Thi

s beh

avio

r cou

ld b

e ob

serv

ed a

t all

site

s exc

ept s

ite 2

8-10

16, s

how

n in

figu

re 4

, and

als

o si

te 3

5-11

12. T

he m

ain

reas

on

for t

he d

iffer

ent b

ehav

ior o

f site

s 28-

1016

and

35-

1112

rega

rdin

g th

e di

rect

pro

porti

onal

rela

tions

hip

betw

een

thei

r mod

uli a

nd

moi

stur

e co

nten

t is t

hat t

he su

bgra

de so

ils a

t bot

h si

tes a

re

nonc

ohes

ive

(silt

y sa

nd a

nd sa

nd, r

espe

ctiv

ely)

, and

the

field

m

oist

ure

cont

ent a

t bot

h si

tes i

s bel

ow th

e op

timum

moi

stur

e co

nten

t mea

sure

d at

the

lab

from

a c

ompa

ctio

n te

st, a

s sho

wn

in

tabl

e 1.

In th

is c

ase,

incr

easi

ng so

il m

oist

ure

resu

lts in

incr

easi

ng

its m

odul

us u

ntil

the

optim

um m

oist

ure

cont

ent i

s rea

ched

, the

n th

e m

odul

us w

ill re

duce

with

furth

er in

crea

se in

moi

stur

e co

nten

t. Fi

gure

s 2 a

nd 3

als

o in

dica

te th

at b

oth

the

max

imum

mod

ulus

va

lues

and

min

imum

moi

stur

e va

lues

are

mea

sure

d th

roug

h th

e su

mm

er se

ason

(Jul

y an

d A

ugus

t), w

hile

the

min

imum

mod

ulus

va

lues

and

max

imum

moi

stur

e va

lues

are

mea

sure

d th

roug

h th

e w

inte

r (Ja

nuar

y an

d Fe

brua

ry).

Page 49: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

92

Tab

le 1

. LT

PP si

te lo

catio

ns a

nd su

bgra

de so

il ch

arac

teri

zatio

n—C

ontin

ued

Site

s ID

35

-111

2 28

-101

6 48

-112

2 48

-107

713

-100

5 48

-41

43

24-

1634

U

nifie

d So

il C

lass

ifica

tion

SP

SM

SC

SM

SC

CL

ML

AA

SHTO

So

il C

lass

ifica

tion

A-3

A

-2-4

A

-2-6

A

-4

A-6

A

-7-6

A

-4

% P

assi

ng #

4

100.

00

92.0

0 99

.00

94.0

0 –

– 99

.00

% P

assi

ng #

10

99

.00

91.0

0 97

.00

93.0

0 –

– 98

.00

% P

assi

ng #

40

94

.00

85.0

0 75

.00

87.0

0 –

– 98

.00

% P

assi

ng #

20

0 2.

70

25.7

0 6.

50

51.8

0 38

.40

90.0

0 97

.90

D60

, mm

0.

18

0.23

0.

30

0.10

– –

Liqu

id L

imit,

%

18.0

0 26

.00

– 27

.00

41.0

0 –

Plas

ticity

In

dex,

%

NP

3.00

12

.00

NP

12.0

0 23

.00

NP

Dry

Den

sity

, gm

/cm

3 1.

698

1.90

6 1.

858

1.90

62.

05

1.73

01.

746

Opt

imum

M

oist

ure,

%

12.0

0 13

.00

8.00

10

.00

10.0

0 15

.00

12.0

0

DA

TA

AN

AL

YSI

S

To st

udy

the

effe

ct o

f sea

sona

l moi

stur

e va

riatio

n on

pav

emen

t pe

rfor

man

ce, s

even

diff

eren

t LTP

P si

tes w

ere

cons

ider

ed; t

hey

repr

esen

t diff

eren

t soi

l typ

es, a

s exp

lain

ed a

bove

. Th

e pr

imar

y da

ta c

olle

cted

at t

hese

site

s are

the

grav

imet

ric m

oist

ure

cont

ent

(con

side

red

to b

e th

e m

ain

fact

or a

ffec

ting

subg

rade

soil

stre

ngth

) an

d th

e ba

ckca

lcul

ated

ela

stic

mod

uli f

or d

iffer

ent s

ubgr

ade

soils

at

diff

eren

t sea

sons

. Res

ults

are

dis

cuss

ed a

nd a

naly

zed

in th

e fo

llow

ing

subs

ectio

ns.

33

PAPE

R 2

T

RA

NSF

OR

MIN

G L

TPP

DIS

TR

ESS

IN

FOR

MA

TIO

N F

OR

USE

IN M

TC

-PM

S

By

Sham

eem

A. D

ewan

1

AB

STR

AC

T

The

seve

ritie

s, ty

pes,

and

defin

ition

s of s

urfa

ce d

istre

sses

use

d in

th

e St

rate

gic

Hig

hway

Res

earc

h Pr

ogra

m (S

HR

P) d

atab

ase

for

Long

-Ter

m P

avem

ent P

erfo

rman

ce (L

TPP)

site

s are

not

the

sam

e as

thos

e us

ed in

the

Met

ropo

litan

Tra

nspo

rtatio

n C

omm

issi

on

Pave

men

t Man

agem

ent S

yste

m (M

TC-P

MS)

syst

em. T

here

fore

, to

use

the

LTPP

dis

tress

dat

a as

inpu

ts in

the

MTC

-PM

S so

ftwar

e, th

e LT

PP d

ata

mus

t be

trans

form

ed to

mat

ch th

e M

TC-P

MS

dist

ress

de

finiti

ons.

The

obje

ctiv

e of

this

pap

er is

to d

escr

ibe

a m

etho

d to

co

mpl

ete

such

tran

sfor

mat

ions

. Dat

a co

nver

sion

and

use

of

conv

erte

d da

ta a

s inp

uts i

n th

e M

TC-P

MS

wer

e pe

rfor

med

to

deve

lop

a m

odel

for I

nter

natio

nal R

ough

ness

Inde

x (I

RI)

as a

fu

nctio

n of

pav

emen

t con

ditio

n in

form

atio

n (th

e IR

I mod

el is

in

tend

ed fo

r use

in e

stim

atin

g us

er c

osts

/ben

efits

in th

e pa

vem

ent

man

agem

ent s

yste

m).

The

cond

ition

info

rmat

ion

incl

udes

all

MTC

di

stre

ss-s

ever

ity c

ombi

natio

ns tr

ansf

orm

ed fr

om L

TPP

data

, and

co

rres

pond

ing

dedu

cts,

perc

ent l

oad

rela

ted

dedu

cts,

perc

ent

nonl

oad

rela

ted

dedu

cts,

and

pave

men

t con

ditio

n in

dex

(PC

I)

valu

es c

alcu

late

d us

ing

MTC

-PM

S so

ftwar

e. T

he p

aper

firs

t pr

esen

ts th

e di

ffer

ence

s in

defin

ition

s of d

istre

sses

and

seve

ritie

s in

the

two

syst

ems.

It de

scrib

es th

e se

lect

ion

of a

ppro

pria

te L

TPP

dist

ress

type

s to

be tr

ansf

orm

ed to

gen

erat

e re

quire

d M

TC d

istre

ss

data

. The

n th

e da

ta tr

ansf

orm

atio

n te

chni

ques

for d

iffer

ent d

istre

ss

type

s and

seve

ritie

s fro

m th

e LT

PP sy

stem

to th

e M

TC sy

stem

are

ex

plai

ned.

It w

as fo

und

that

seve

ral t

ypes

of m

anip

ulat

ions

wer

e re

quire

d to

con

duct

the

trans

form

atio

n of

diff

eren

t dis

tress

es.

Thes

e m

anip

ulat

ions

wer

e pe

rfor

med

bas

ed o

n th

e di

ffer

ence

s in

defin

ition

for d

istre

sses

and

seve

ritie

s in

the

two

syst

ems.

An

IRI

1 G

radu

ate

Res

earc

h St

uden

t, Te

xas A

&M

Uni

vers

ity, C

olle

ge S

tatio

n, T

X

7784

3 P

hone

: 979

–845

–598

2, F

ax: 9

79–8

45–0

278,

s-de

wan

@tti

mai

l.tam

u.ed

u

Page 50: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

34

mod

el w

as e

vent

ually

dev

elop

ed u

sing

the

trans

form

ed d

istre

ss

data

and

the

outp

ut fr

om M

TC-P

MS

softw

are.

INT

RO

DU

CT

ION

The

MTC

-PM

S of

Oak

land

, CA

, doe

s not

con

side

r roa

d us

er c

osts

in

pro

duci

ng d

ecis

ion

supp

ort r

ecom

men

datio

ns (M

TC, 1

999)

. M

anag

emen

t sys

tem

cap

abili

ties c

an b

e im

prov

ed b

y in

corp

orat

ing

mod

els t

hat e

stim

ate

road

use

r cos

ts a

nd/o

r use

r ben

efits

at

tribu

tabl

e to

diff

eren

t man

agem

ent s

trate

gies

. Bec

ause

the

road

us

er c

ost i

s a fu

nctio

n of

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss (G

illes

pie,

198

1), i

t w

ill b

e he

lpfu

l to

estim

ate

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss to

inco

rpor

ate

user

co

st m

odel

s in

the

pave

men

t man

agem

ent s

yste

m. H

owev

er, t

he

MTC

-PM

S sy

stem

use

s onl

y di

stre

ss in

form

atio

n to

est

imat

e an

d pr

edic

t pav

emen

t con

ditio

ns, s

o it

was

nec

essa

ry to

est

ablis

h a

corr

elat

ion

betw

een

IRI a

nd p

avem

ent d

istre

sses

. The

obj

ectiv

e w

as to

est

imat

e ro

ad u

ser c

osts

for t

he st

reet

s in

the

citie

s and

co

untie

s of t

he S

an F

ranc

isco

Bay

are

a di

rect

ly fr

om M

TC

pave

men

t dis

tress

info

rmat

ion

and

inco

rpor

atin

g ad

ditio

nal m

odel

s fo

r use

r cos

ts re

latin

g IR

I. Th

e di

stre

ss in

form

atio

n us

ed a

ll M

TC

dist

ress

-sev

erity

com

bina

tions

, ded

uct v

alue

s, an

d PC

I val

ues

calc

ulat

ed fr

om a

ll di

stre

ss-s

ever

ity c

ombi

natio

ns u

sing

MTC

-PM

S.

The

dist

ress

es ty

pes,

alon

g w

ith th

eir s

ever

ities

, use

d in

MTC

-PM

S so

ftwar

e, a

re d

efin

ed in

MTC

’s d

istre

ss id

entif

icat

ion

man

ual

(MTC

, 198

6). T

he c

ities

and

cou

ntie

s of t

he S

an F

ranc

isco

Bay

ar

ea d

o no

t gen

eral

ly h

ave

IRI d

ata

avai

labl

e fo

r the

ir ci

ty a

nd

loca

l stre

ets,

but t

he d

istre

ss a

nd IR

I dat

a fo

r Sta

te h

ighw

ays a

nd

free

way

s of C

alifo

rnia

’s L

TPP

site

s are

ava

ilabl

e in

the

SHR

P da

taba

se. I

n th

e fu

ture

, it w

ould

be

mor

e ap

prop

riate

to u

se d

ata

for

the

mod

el fr

om th

e ci

ty st

reet

s ins

tead

of u

sing

LTP

P si

te’s

dat

a.

How

ever

, the

cur

rent

eff

ort t

o de

velo

p an

IRI m

odel

usi

ng th

e LT

PP d

istre

ss d

ata

can

be c

onsi

dere

d as

a st

artin

g po

int,

and

the

inte

nded

mod

el w

ill n

eed

refin

emen

ts in

futu

re u

sing

dat

a fr

om

city

stre

ets.

91

35-1

112,

28-

1016

, 48-

1122

, 48-

1077

, 13-

1005

, 48-

4143

and

24-

1634

). Th

e su

bgra

de so

ils o

f the

site

s are

sand

, coa

rse

silty

sand

, co

arse

cla

yey

sand

, fin

e sa

ndy

silt,

fine

sand

y cl

ay, c

lay,

and

silt,

re

spec

tivel

y. A

ll se

lect

ed si

tes a

re fr

om th

e no

n-fr

eezi

ng z

ones

ex

cept

the

last

site

, 24-

1034

, whi

ch is

con

side

red

as a

wet

-fre

eze

zone

, whe

re th

e m

inim

um a

vera

ge m

onth

ly a

ir te

mpe

ratu

re is

1.

7 °C

(35

°F),

as sh

own

in ta

ble

1. S

ite 2

4-10

34 th

us a

lso

coul

d be

co

nsid

ered

to b

e fr

om th

e no

n-fr

eezi

ng z

ones

.

Det

aile

d ex

plan

atio

ns fo

r the

sele

cted

site

s are

show

n in

tabl

e 1,

w

hich

show

s the

site

loca

tion,

min

imum

ave

rage

mon

thly

air

tem

pera

ture

, sub

grad

e so

il ty

pe, s

oil c

lass

ifica

tion,

soil

siev

e an

alys

is, A

tterb

erge

lim

its, d

ry d

ensi

ty, a

nd o

ptim

um m

oist

ure

cont

ent f

or e

ach

soil

type

in th

e se

lect

ed si

tes.

Dow

nloa

ded

data

fo

r eac

h si

te in

clud

ed th

e ba

ckca

lcul

ated

ela

stic

mod

uli f

or

subg

rade

soil

and

AC

surf

aces

, the

AC

laye

r tem

pera

ture

, and

bot

h vo

lum

etric

and

gra

vim

etric

moi

stur

e co

nten

t of s

ubgr

ade

soil

at

diff

eren

t tim

e in

terv

als.

For t

he p

urpo

se o

f thi

s stu

dy, o

nly

the

anal

yses

of t

he c

hang

e in

subg

rade

soil

mod

uli w

ith se

ason

al

moi

stur

e va

riatio

n w

ere

cons

ider

ed.

Tab

le 1

. LT

PP si

te lo

catio

ns a

nd su

bgra

de so

il ch

arac

teri

zatio

n

Site

s ID

35

-111

2 28

-101

648

-112

2 48

-107

713

-100

5 48

-41

43

24-

1634

St

ate

NM

M

S TX

TX

G

A

TX

MD

Surf

ace

Type

Fl

exib

le

Flex

ible

Flex

ible

Fl

exib

leFl

exib

le

Rig

id

Flex

- ib

le

Min

imum

M

onth

ly A

ir Te

mpe

ratu

re,

Co

5.80

5.

00

9.70

3.

60

8.70

9.

70

1.70

Soil

Type

C

oars

e,

poor

ly

grad

ed

sand

Coa

rse,

si

lty

sand

Coa

rse,

cl

ayey

sa

nd

Fine

, sa

ndy

silt

Fine

, cl

ayey

sa

nd

Fine

, cl

ay

Fine

, si

lt

Soil

Sym

bol

S SM

-C

SC-C

SM

-F

SC-F

C

M

Page 51: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

90

The

Was

hing

ton

Stat

e D

epar

tmen

t of T

rans

porta

tion

(WSD

OT)

us

es a

mec

hani

stic

-em

piric

al (M

-E) s

yste

m d

evel

oped

at t

he

Uni

vers

ity o

f Was

hing

ton

and

impl

emen

ted

in th

e co

mpu

ter

prog

ram

EV

ERPA

VE

5.0

(199

9). T

his p

rogr

am u

ses S

AFs

as k

ey

inpu

ts b

y us

ers a

nd d

oes n

ot c

ompu

te th

e SA

F. T

he M

inne

sota

D

epar

tmen

t of T

rans

porta

tion

(MN

DO

T) u

ses a

n M

-E fl

exib

le

pave

men

t thi

ckne

ss d

esig

n th

at is

impl

emen

ted

in th

e co

mpu

ter

prog

ram

RO

AD

ENT

4.0

by T

imm

, Birg

isso

n, a

nd N

ewco

mb

(200

1). B

ecau

se R

OA

DEN

T do

es n

ot h

ave

the

SAF

to a

djus

t the

re

silie

nt m

odul

us fr

om o

ne se

ason

to a

noth

er, t

he u

ser m

ust

calc

ulat

e an

d en

ter t

he re

silie

nt m

odul

us v

alue

s for

eac

h se

ason

.

APP

RO

AC

H

The

elas

tic m

odul

us o

f a p

avem

ent l

ayer

repr

esen

ts th

e m

ain

para

met

er th

at re

flect

s the

mat

eria

ls’ s

truct

ural

ade

quac

y; th

e st

udy

thus

is fo

cuse

d on

the

dete

rmin

atio

n of

the

seas

onal

impa

cts o

n th

e la

yer m

odul

i, bu

t is l

imite

d to

the

subg

rade

laye

r. Th

e el

astic

m

odul

us o

f a p

avem

ent l

ayer

cha

nges

in re

spon

se to

env

ironm

enta

l ch

ange

s suc

h as

var

iatio

ns in

tem

pera

ture

for a

spha

lt la

yers

, and

m

oist

ure

varia

tion

for u

ntre

ated

laye

rs su

ch a

s bas

e an

d su

bgra

de.

To a

ccou

nt fo

r the

cha

nges

in su

bgra

de e

last

ic m

odul

us, a

m

ultip

lier c

an b

e us

ed fo

r adj

ustin

g su

bgra

de re

silie

nt m

odul

us

from

one

seas

on (r

efer

ence

) to

anot

her.

This

mul

tiplie

r, Se

ason

al

Adj

ustm

ent F

acto

r (SA

F), i

s bas

ed o

n so

il ty

pe a

nd e

nviro

nmen

tal

cond

ition

s. Th

is st

udy

aim

s at d

evel

opin

g a

conc

ept f

or c

alcu

latin

g th

e SA

F fo

r sub

grad

e so

il la

yer a

s wel

l as a

mod

el re

latin

g th

e su

bgra

de b

ackc

alcu

late

d m

odul

us to

its m

oist

ure

cont

ent.

MO

IST

UR

E A

ND

MO

DU

LU

S D

AT

A

To a

ddre

ss th

e is

sue

of e

nviro

nmen

tal i

mpa

cts o

n pa

vem

ent a

t a

natio

nal l

evel

, the

Fed

eral

Hig

hway

Adm

inis

tratio

n (F

HW

A)

laun

ched

the

SMP

as a

maj

or c

ompo

nent

of t

he L

TPP

prog

ram

(R

ada

et a

l., 1

994)

. The

dat

a us

ed in

this

stud

y w

ere

dow

nloa

ded

from

the

Dat

aPav

e 3.

0 (2

001)

, a so

ftwar

e pa

ckag

e th

at c

onta

ins

mos

t dat

a fr

om th

e LT

PP e

xper

imen

ts. S

even

diff

eren

t LTP

P si

tes

wer

e co

nsid

ered

in th

is st

udy

to re

pres

ent d

iffer

ent s

oil t

ypes

(site

s

35

This

stud

y re

quire

s the

MTC

-PM

S sy

stem

to u

se S

HR

P’s L

TPP

dist

ress

es a

s inp

uts t

o ca

lcul

ate

PCI v

alue

s and

ded

ucts

prio

r to

the

use

of th

ese

data

in th

e st

atis

tical

ana

lysi

s to

deve

lop

the

inte

nded

IR

I mod

el. B

ut th

e se

verit

ies,

type

s, an

d de

finiti

ons o

f sur

face

di

stre

sses

use

d in

the

SHR

P da

taba

se fo

r LTP

P si

tes a

re n

ot th

e sa

me

as th

ose

used

in th

e M

TC-P

MS.

The

def

initi

ons o

f dis

tress

ty

pes a

nd e

xten

ts o

f sev

eriti

es in

the

two

syst

ems d

iffer

in se

vera

l re

spec

ts. F

or a

spha

lt co

ncre

te su

rfac

es, t

he L

TPP

data

base

use

s 15

type

s of d

istre

sses

(SH

RP,

199

3), w

hile

MTC

-PM

S us

es o

nly

7 di

stre

ss ty

pes t

o de

fine

road

con

ditio

ns. B

ecau

se o

f the

diff

eren

ces

in th

e tw

o sy

stem

s for

dis

tress

type

s, se

verit

ies,

and

defin

ition

s, th

e LT

PP d

istre

ss in

form

atio

n ha

d to

be

trans

form

ed to

MTC

dis

tress

in

form

atio

n be

fore

bei

ng u

sed

as in

puts

in th

e M

TC-P

MS

softw

are.

To a

chie

ve th

e in

tend

ed IR

I mod

el u

sing

LTP

P di

stre

ss d

ata,

the

follo

win

g m

ajor

act

iviti

es w

ere

requ

ired:

• Ex

tract

ion

of S

HR

P di

stre

ss d

ata

and

IRI d

ata

from

the

SHR

P da

taba

se fo

r Cal

iforn

ia L

TPP

site

s.

• Tr

ansf

orm

atio

n of

the

SHR

P di

stre

ss d

ata

into

MTC

di

stre

ss d

ata

base

d on

the

diff

eren

ces i

n di

stre

ss d

efin

ition

s an

d se

verit

ies i

n th

e tw

o sy

stem

s.

• C

alcu

latio

n of

PC

I val

ues a

nd d

educ

ts fo

r all

dist

ress

type

-se

verit

y co

mbi

natio

ns u

sing

MTC

-PM

S so

ftwar

e.

• St

atis

tical

ana

lysi

s on

the

conv

erte

d di

stre

ss d

ata,

PC

I va

lues

, and

ded

ucts

alo

ng w

ith c

orre

spon

ding

IRI v

alue

s.

DA

TA

EX

TR

AC

TIO

N F

RO

M L

TPP

DA

TA

BA

SE

The

extra

cted

dat

a fo

r dis

tress

, tra

nsve

rse

prof

ile, a

nd IR

I val

ues

from

the

LTPP

dat

abas

e w

ere

foun

d in

IMS

Mod

ules

: Mon

itorin

g an

d Ta

bles

: MO

N_D

IS_A

C_R

EV, M

ON

_T_P

RO

F_PR

OFI

LE,

and

MO

N_P

RO

FILE

_MA

STER

, res

pect

ivel

y (F

HW

A, 2

001)

. The

da

ta w

ere

extra

cted

to M

icro

soft®

Exc

el®

spre

adsh

eets

for f

urth

er

eval

uatio

n, c

onve

rsio

n, a

nd a

naly

sis.

Page 52: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

36

The

desi

red

IRI m

odel

was

a p

roof

-of-

conc

ept m

odel

for t

he c

ities

an

d co

untie

s of t

he S

an F

ranc

isco

Bay

are

a. B

ecau

se o

f the

lack

of

IRI d

ata

for B

ay a

rea

city

and

cou

nty

stre

ets,

SHR

P da

ta fo

r C

alifo

rnia

LTP

P si

tes w

ere

used

in th

is p

ilot s

tudy

. The

LTP

P da

ta

for p

avem

ents

with

asp

halt

conc

rete

on

gran

ular

bas

e (g

ener

al

pave

men

t stu

dy G

PS-1

) and

asp

halt

conc

rete

on

boun

d ba

se (G

PS-

2) w

ere

extra

cted

form

LTP

P D

ataP

ave

3.0

rele

ased

in S

epte

mbe

r 20

01 (F

eder

al H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion

(FH

WA

), 20

01).

Onl

y 39

se

ts o

f dat

a w

ere

avai

labl

e in

the

data

base

Sep

tem

ber 2

001

in th

e sp

ecifi

c ca

tego

ries G

PS-1

and

GPS

-2 in

Cal

iforn

ia a

nd fo

r whi

ch

the

prof

ile d

ates

of I

RI d

ata

mat

ch su

rvey

dat

es o

f dis

tress

and

tra

nsve

rse

prof

ile d

ata.

The

pro

file

date

s of I

RI w

ere

not e

xact

ly

the

sam

e as

the

surv

ey d

ates

of d

istre

sses

bec

ause

the

roug

hnes

s m

easu

rem

ents

and

the

dist

ress

mea

sure

men

ts w

ere

mad

e on

di

ffer

ent d

ates

. Rea

sona

bly

clos

e da

tes w

ere

cons

ider

ed in

se

lect

ing

thes

e 39

dat

a se

ts fo

r con

duct

ing

furth

er a

naly

sis.

LT

PP D

IST

RE

SSE

S V

ER

SUS

MT

C D

IST

RE

SSE

S

MTC

use

s sev

en ty

pes o

f dis

tress

es w

ith th

ree

seve

rity

leve

ls th

at

are

slig

ht m

odifi

catio

ns o

f the

PA

VER

dis

tress

def

initi

ons (

Shah

in

and

Wal

ters

, 199

0). T

he M

TC d

istre

ss ty

pes a

re (M

TC, 1

986)

:

• A

lliga

tor c

rack

ing.

• B

lock

cra

ckin

g.

• D

isto

rtion

s.

• Lo

ngitu

dina

l and

tran

sver

se c

rack

ing.

• R

uttin

g an

d de

pres

sion

.

• Pa

tchi

ng a

nd u

tility

cut

pat

ch.

• W

eath

erin

g an

d ra

velin

g.

The

thre

e se

verit

y le

vels

of t

he d

istre

sses

are

“Lo

w,”

“M

ediu

m,”

an

d “H

igh.

” C

onsi

derin

g th

e si

mila

ritie

s bet

wee

n th

e M

TC d

istre

ss

type

s and

the

LTPP

dis

tress

type

s, th

e se

t of L

TPP

dist

ress

es u

sed

in th

is st

udy

incl

udes

:

89

incr

ease

for a

ll of

the

pave

men

ts. T

he a

utho

rs a

lso

foun

d th

at

pave

men

t def

lect

ion

chan

ges c

ould

occ

ur d

ue to

free

zing

of t

he

stru

ctur

al la

yers

alo

ne, w

hile

the

larg

est t

haw

-indu

ced

defle

ctio

n in

crea

ses t

ake

plac

e w

hen

ther

e is

dee

p fr

ost p

enet

ratio

n in

to th

e fin

e-gr

aine

d su

bgra

de so

ils. I

ncre

ases

in d

efle

ctio

n du

e to

dee

p fr

ost p

enet

ratio

n an

d th

awin

g of

the

coar

se-g

rain

ed su

bgra

de so

il ar

e sm

alle

r tha

n th

ose

for f

ine-

grai

ned

soils

. Bec

ause

the

site

s in

clud

ed in

this

stud

y ar

e fr

om th

e no

n-fr

eeze

zon

es, t

he e

ffec

t of

free

ze/th

aw is

not

con

side

red

in o

ur st

udy.

SEA

SON

AL

VA

RIA

TIO

N A

ND

SE

ASO

NA

L A

DJU

STM

EN

T F

AC

TO

RS

In a

stud

y on

the

LTPP

dat

a fr

om si

te 4

8SA

of a

non

-fre

eze

zone

, A

li an

d Pa

rker

, (19

96) f

ound

that

the

back

calc

ulat

ed re

silie

nt

mod

uli o

f bot

h su

bgra

de a

nd a

spha

lt co

ncre

te (A

C) s

urfa

ce c

ould

be

cor

rela

ted

to th

e m

onth

of t

he y

ear i

n a

sinu

soid

al fu

nctio

n w

ith

reas

onab

le a

ccur

acy.

Seve

ral r

esea

rch

proj

ects

wer

e co

nduc

ted

at th

e U

nive

rsity

of

Idah

o to

stud

y th

e ef

fect

of s

easo

nal v

aria

tions

on

pave

men

t pe

rfor

man

ce (H

ardc

astle

, 199

2; A

l-Kan

dari,

199

4; B

ayom

y et

al.,

19

96, 1

997;

and

Abo

-Has

hem

a et

al.,

200

2). T

hese

pro

ject

s re

com

men

ded

the

use

of th

e Fa

lling

Wei

ght D

efle

ctom

eter

(FW

D)

to e

valu

ate

the

pave

men

t stru

ctur

e co

nditi

ons,

and

prov

ided

initi

al

valu

es o

f sub

grad

e so

il re

silie

nt m

odul

us fo

r var

ious

clim

atic

re

gion

s and

soil

type

s acr

oss t

he S

tate

of I

daho

. Bas

ed o

n th

e st

udy

by H

ardc

astle

(199

2), A

l-Kan

dari

(199

4) in

corp

orat

ed th

e SA

F fo

r su

bgra

de so

ils in

an

envi

ronm

enta

l dat

abas

e de

rived

from

var

ious

cl

imat

ic z

ones

in Id

aho.

Abo

-Has

hem

a et

al.

(200

2) su

gges

ted

a ge

nera

l pro

cedu

re fo

r cal

cula

ting

the

seas

onal

adj

ustm

ent f

acto

r for

su

bgra

de so

ils, b

ut th

ey d

id n

ot c

onsi

der t

he e

ffec

t of s

oil t

ype

(fin

e, c

oars

e, p

last

ic, a

nd/o

r non

plas

tic).

The

prev

ious

pro

ject

s de

mon

stra

ted

the

need

to e

stab

lish

a re

alis

tic S

AF

to b

e ap

plic

able

to

diff

eren

t soi

l typ

es a

nd e

nviro

nmen

tal c

ondi

tions

. The

SA

F is

a

ratio

nale

ado

pted

that

inco

rpor

ates

the

envi

ronm

enta

l eff

ects

in th

e de

sign

syst

em to

adj

ust s

ubgr

ade

mod

ulus

from

one

seas

on to

an

othe

r.

Page 53: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

88

of C

arm

icha

el a

nd S

tew

art (

1985

), st

ated

pre

viou

sly

as e

quat

ion

(1),

cont

ains

a w

ater

con

tent

term

that

resu

lts in

an

11.6

MPa

(1

682.

45 p

si) d

ecre

ase

in re

silie

nt m

odul

us fo

r eac

h 1

perc

ent

incr

ease

in w

ater

con

tent

. Lar

y an

d M

ahon

ey (1

984)

foun

d re

gres

sion

rela

tions

hips

for r

esili

ent m

odul

i of s

peci

fic n

orth

wes

t ag

greg

ate

base

mat

eria

ls a

nd p

redo

min

antly

coa

rse

subg

rade

soils

. Th

e re

gres

sion

equ

atio

ns fo

r the

mat

eria

ls sh

owed

that

if th

e in

itial

m

odul

us is

on

the

orde

r of 1

40 M

Pa (2

0,30

5.3

psi),

a 1

per

cent

in

crea

se in

moi

stur

e co

nten

t typ

ical

ly re

sults

in a

resi

lient

mod

ulus

de

crea

se fr

om a

bout

4 to

11

MPa

(580

.15

psi t

o 15

95.4

2 ps

i). A

re

ason

able

est

imat

e fo

r the

influ

ence

of w

ater

con

tent

on

refe

renc

e re

silie

nt m

odul

us o

f coa

rse

soils

wou

ld b

e ab

out a

3.4

MPa

(493

.13

psi)

decr

ease

for e

ach

1 pe

rcen

t moi

stur

e co

nten

t inc

reas

e fo

r un

iform

or w

ell-g

rade

d co

arse

mat

eria

ls c

onta

inin

g lit

tle o

r no

nonp

last

ic fi

nes (

GW

, GP,

SW

, SP)

. Tha

t val

ue w

ould

incr

ease

to

abou

t 3.8

MPa

(551

.14

psi)

per 1

per

cent

moi

stur

e co

nten

t inc

reas

e fo

r san

ds a

nd g

rave

ls c

onta

inin

g su

bsta

ntia

l am

ount

s of p

last

ic

fines

silt

y gr

avel

s (G

M),

clay

ey g

rave

ls (G

C),

cour

se g

rain

ed

sand

s (SM

), cl

ayey

sand

s (SC

).

TE

MPE

RA

TU

RE

EFF

EC

TS

ON

SO

IL R

ESI

LIE

NT

MO

DU

LU

S

Tem

pera

ture

has

sign

ifica

nt e

ffec

ts o

n so

il re

silie

nt m

odul

us. T

he

pene

tratio

n of

free

zing

tem

pera

ture

s int

o m

oist

pav

emen

t sub

grad

e so

ils c

an c

ause

mor

e se

vere

eff

ects

than

the

effe

cts o

f any

of t

he

wat

er c

onte

nt c

hang

es li

kely

to o

ccur

as a

resu

lt of

seas

onal

va

riatio

ns in

pre

cipi

tatio

n. F

reez

ing

of so

il m

oist

ure

can

trans

form

a

soft

subg

rade

into

a m

ater

ial t

hat,

at th

e st

ress

leve

ls e

xist

ing

in

pave

men

ts, i

s ess

entia

lly ri

gid.

Tha

win

g of

the

sam

e m

ater

ial c

an

prod

uce

a so

fteni

ng e

ffec

t suc

h th

at th

e m

ater

ial h

as a

resi

lient

m

odul

us th

at is

onl

y a

frac

tion

of it

s pre

-fre

ezin

g va

lue

for s

ome

time

afte

r tha

win

g, (H

ardc

astle

, 199

2).

The

effe

cts o

f an

annu

al c

ycle

of f

reez

ing

and

thaw

ing

on th

e de

flect

ions

of p

avem

ents

hav

ing

coar

se a

nd fi

ne-g

rain

ed su

bgra

des

in Il

linoi

s and

Min

neso

ta w

ere

stud

ied

by S

criv

ner e

t al.,

(196

9).

The

stud

y sh

owed

that

free

zing

resu

lts in

shar

p re

duct

ions

in

surf

ace

defle

ctio

ns w

hile

thaw

ing

prod

uces

imm

edia

te d

efle

ctio

n

37

• Fa

tigue

cra

ckin

g.

• B

lock

cra

ckin

g.

• Lo

ngitu

dina

l cra

ckin

g (w

heel

pat

h an

d no

n-w

heel

pat

h).

• Tr

ansv

erse

cra

ckin

g.

• Pa

tch/

patc

h de

terio

ratio

n.

• Sh

ovin

g.

• R

avel

ing.

• Tr

ansv

erse

pro

file

data

(use

d to

est

imat

e ru

tting

).

The

MTC

def

initi

ons o

f dis

tress

type

s and

seve

ritie

s are

diff

eren

t, in

seve

ral c

ases

, fro

m th

e LT

PP d

efin

ition

s of d

istre

ss ty

pes a

nd

seve

ritie

s. Ta

ble

1 br

iefly

des

crib

es th

e di

ffer

ence

s in

defin

ition

s fo

r sev

eriti

es b

etw

een

the

two

syst

ems f

or th

e M

TC d

istre

ss ty

pes

(MTC

, 198

6; F

HW

A, 2

001)

. O

ne d

iffer

ence

bet

wee

n th

e LT

PP

syst

em a

nd M

TC sy

stem

not

incl

uded

in ta

ble

1 is

that

LTP

P lo

ngitu

dina

l cra

ckin

g in

the

whe

el p

ath

of a

ny se

verit

y le

vel i

s co

nsid

ered

as a

par

t of t

he lo

w se

verit

y al

ligat

or c

rack

ing

in th

e M

TC sy

stem

.

Tab

le 1

. Diff

eren

ces i

n de

finiti

ons b

etw

een

MT

C a

nd L

TPP

for

MT

C d

istr

esse

s-se

veri

ties (

MT

C, 1

986;

SH

RP,

199

3)

MT

C

Dis

tres

s T

ype

Dis

tres

s Se

veri

ty

LT

PP D

efin

ition

M

TC

Def

initi

on

Low

M

ediu

m

Alli

gato

r C

rack

ing

Hig

h

Bot

h de

finiti

ons a

re si

mila

r for

all

seve

rity

leve

ls.

Low

C

rack

wid

th <

6

mill

imet

er (m

m)

Cra

ck w

idth

< 1

0 m

m

Med

ium

6m

m ≤

Cra

ck w

idth

19 m

m

10m

m ≤

Cra

ck w

idth

76 m

m

Blo

ck

Cra

ckin

g

Hig

h C

rack

wid

th >

19

mm

C

rack

wid

th >

76

mm

Lo

w

Med

ium

D

isto

rtion

s

Hig

h

Bot

h de

finiti

ons a

re si

mila

r for

all

seve

rity

leve

ls.

Page 54: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

38

Tab

le 1

. Diff

eren

ces i

n de

finiti

ons b

etw

een

MT

C a

nd L

TPP

fo

r M

TC

dis

tres

ses-

seve

ritie

s (M

TC

, 198

6;

SHR

P, 1

993)

—C

ontin

ued

M

TC

D

istr

ess

Typ

e

Dis

tres

s Se

veri

ty

LT

PP D

efin

ition

M

TC

Def

initi

on

Low

C

rack

wid

th <

6

mm

C

rack

wid

th <

10

mm

Med

ium

6m

m ≤

Cra

ck w

idth

<

19 m

m

Cra

ck w

idth

10

mm

to 7

6 m

m

Long

itudi

nal

and

Tran

sver

se

Cra

ckin

g H

igh

Cra

ck w

idth

> 1

9 m

m

Cra

ck w

idth

> 7

6 m

m

Low

M

ediu

m

Patc

hing

and

U

tility

Cut

Pa

tch

Hig

h

Bot

h de

finiti

ons c

an b

e co

nsid

ered

sim

ilar f

or a

ll se

verit

y le

vels

.

Low

13

mm

≤ R

ut d

epth

< 2

5 m

m

Med

ium

25

mm

≤ R

ut d

epth

< 5

0 m

m

Rut

ting

and

Dep

ress

ion

Hig

h

Rut

ting

data

are

not

av

aila

ble.

Tr

ansv

erse

pro

file

data

are

ava

ilabl

e in

LT

PP d

atab

ase.

R

ut d

epth

≥ 5

0 m

m

Low

M

ediu

m

Wea

ther

ing

and

Rav

elin

g H

igh

Bot

h de

finiti

ons a

re si

mila

r for

all

seve

rity

leve

ls.

1 m

m =

0.0

39 in

ches

DA

TA

TR

AN

SFO

RM

AT

ION

TE

CH

NIQ

UE

S

It w

as n

eces

sary

to tr

ansf

orm

seve

ral o

f the

LTP

P di

stre

ss d

ata

type

s and

seve

ritie

s to

equi

vale

nt M

TC d

istre

ss ty

pes a

nd

seve

ritie

s. Ta

ble

2 sh

ows w

hich

dis

tress

es in

LTP

P sy

stem

wer

e us

ed to

cal

cula

te w

hich

dis

tress

es in

MTC

syst

em. F

irst,

the

data

in

the

LTPP

dat

abas

e ar

e st

ored

in m

etric

uni

ts (m

m, e

tc.)

wer

e co

nver

ted

to E

nglis

h un

its (i

nch,

etc

.) to

mat

ch th

e un

its sy

stem

us

ed in

the

MTC

PM

S so

ftwar

e. M

oreo

ver,

seve

ral m

anip

ulat

ions

w

ere

requ

ired

to c

alcu

late

MTC

dis

tress

qua

ntiti

es in

thre

e se

verit

y le

vels

from

LTP

P di

stre

ss ty

pes a

nd se

verit

ies.

87

alm

ost 2

75 M

Pa (3

988.

5 ps

i) to

a lo

w o

f abo

ut 5

2 M

Pa (7

541.

96

psi).

Car

mic

hael

and

Stu

art (

1985

) pre

sent

ed c

orre

latio

ns re

latin

g re

silie

nt m

odul

us to

fine

-gra

ined

soil

com

posi

tion

para

met

ers.

Usi

ng a

dat

abas

e re

pres

entin

g m

ore

than

250

soils

(fin

e an

d co

arse

) and

330

0 m

odul

us te

st d

ata

poin

ts, t

hey

deve

lope

d th

e fo

llow

ing

rela

tions

hip:

(1

)

Whe

re M

R is

resi

lient

mod

ulus

in k

ilopo

unds

per

squa

re in

ch (k

si),

PI is

pla

stic

ity in

dex

in p

erce

nt, w

is w

ater

con

tent

in p

erce

nt, F

is

perc

ent p

assi

ng si

eve

num

ber 2

00, C

S is

the

conf

inin

g st

ress

in p

si,

and σd

is d

evia

tor s

tress

in p

si. T

he (C

H) t

erm

is a

mat

eria

l fac

tor

that

is e

qual

to o

ne fo

r soi

ls c

lass

ified

as C

H a

nd is

equ

al to

zer

o fo

r soi

ls c

lass

ified

as i

norg

anic

silts

(ML)

, ela

stic

silts

(MH

), or

cl

ay (C

L). M

H is

a m

ater

ial f

acto

r equ

al to

1 fo

r soi

ls c

lass

ified

as

MH

and

equ

al to

zer

o fo

r soi

ls c

lass

ified

as M

L, C

L, o

r CH

.

The

moi

stur

e se

nsiti

vity

of c

oars

e-gr

aine

d m

ater

ials

dep

ends

on

the

amou

nt a

nd n

atur

e of

thei

r fin

e fr

actio

n. C

lean

gra

vels

and

sa

nds c

lass

ified

as w

ell g

rade

d gr

avel

(GW

), po

orly

gra

ded

grav

el

(GP)

, wel

l-gra

ded

sand

(SW

), an

d po

orly

gra

ded

sand

(SP)

are

not

lik

ely

to e

xhib

it m

oist

ure

sens

itivi

ty b

ecau

se th

ey la

ck a

suff

icie

nt

num

ber o

f the

smal

l por

es n

eces

sary

to c

reat

e si

gnifi

cant

suct

ion-

indu

ced

effe

ctiv

e st

ress

es, e

ven

at lo

w w

ater

con

tent

s (H

icks

and

M

onis

mith

, 197

1). S

tudi

es o

f coa

rse

mat

eria

ls c

onta

inin

g la

rger

am

ount

s of f

ines

hav

e sh

own

that

incr

easi

ng d

egre

es o

f sat

urat

ion

abov

e ab

out 8

0 to

85

perc

ent c

an h

ave

a pr

onou

nced

eff

ect o

n re

silie

nt m

odul

us. R

ada

and

Witc

zak

(198

1) c

oncl

uded

that

ch

ange

s in

wat

er c

onte

nt o

f com

pact

ed a

ggre

gate

s and

coa

rse

soils

co

uld

caus

e m

odul

us d

ecre

ases

of u

p to

207

MPa

(30,

022.

8 ps

i).

Seve

ral r

esea

rche

rs h

ave

deve

lope

d re

gres

sion

rela

tions

hips

be

twee

n th

e re

silie

nt m

odul

us o

f gra

nula

r mat

eria

ls a

nd w

ater

co

nten

t. Th

e ge

nera

l reg

ress

ion

rela

tions

hip

for g

ranu

lar m

ater

ials

MR

= 3

7.43

1 - 0

.456

6 PI

- 0.

6179

w -

0.14

24F

+

0.17

91C

S - 0

.324

8 σ d

+ 3

6.42

2CH

+ 1

7.09

7MH

Page 55: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

86

rela

tes t

he c

hang

e in

the

moi

stur

e co

nten

t to

the

chan

ge in

the

mod

ulus

val

ue.

INT

RO

DU

CT

ION

AN

D B

AC

KG

RO

UN

D

It is

wel

l kno

wn

that

hig

h su

bgra

de m

oist

ure

cont

ent,

with

re

sulti

ng d

ecre

ase

in su

bgra

de st

reng

th a

nd st

iffne

ss, i

s det

rimen

tal

to ro

adw

ay p

avem

ent p

erfo

rman

ce. E

stab

lishi

ng re

latio

nshi

ps

betw

een

the

high

way

pav

emen

t res

pons

e an

d su

bgra

de m

oist

ure

varia

tion

is n

eces

sary

for e

ffic

ient

pav

emen

t des

ign.

The

ba

ckca

lcul

ated

mod

ulus

, or t

he re

silie

nt m

odul

us, o

f sub

grad

e so

il is

the

key

para

met

er th

at is

con

side

red

to re

pres

ent p

avem

ent

resp

onse

. A b

rief s

umm

ery

of p

revi

ous w

ork

disc

ussi

ng th

e ef

fect

of

seas

onal

var

iatio

ns o

n so

il re

silie

nt m

odul

us is

pre

sent

ed in

the

follo

win

g su

bsec

tions

.

STU

DY

OB

JEC

TIV

E

The

prim

ary

obje

ctiv

e of

this

stud

y is

to e

xam

ine

the

impa

cts o

f se

ason

al m

oist

ure

varia

tion

on th

e su

bgra

de re

silie

nt m

odul

us.

MO

IST

UR

E E

FFE

CT

S O

N S

OIL

RE

SIL

IEN

T M

OD

UL

US

Man

y re

sear

cher

s hav

e in

vest

igat

ed th

e in

fluen

ce o

f wat

er c

onte

nt

on th

e re

silie

nt m

odul

us o

f fin

e-gr

aine

d so

ils. S

eed,

Cha

n, a

nd L

ee

(196

2) st

udie

d th

e in

fluen

ce o

f “na

tura

l” w

ater

con

tent

on

the

resi

lient

mod

ulus

of u

ndis

turb

ed sa

mpl

es o

f the

silty

cla

y (C

L)

Am

eric

an A

ssoc

iatio

n of

Sta

te H

ighw

ay a

nd T

rans

porta

tion

Off

icia

ls (A

ASH

TO) R

oad

Test

subg

rade

s soi

l. T

he p

ositi

ons o

f th

e te

st p

oint

s sho

wed

that

for t

his s

oil a

dec

reas

e in

wat

er c

onte

nt

of o

nly

3 pe

rcen

t bel

ow th

e T9

9 op

timum

dou

bled

the

decr

ease

of

the

resi

lient

mod

ulus

(fro

m a

bout

34

meg

apas

cal (

MPa

) (49

31.2

8 po

undf

orce

per

squa

re in

ch (p

si))

to a

bout

69

MPa

(100

07.6

psi

)).

Test

s con

duct

ed o

n C

L su

bgra

de so

il at

the

San

Die

go C

ount

y Ex

perim

enta

l Bas

e Pr

ojec

t by

Jone

s and

Witc

zak

(197

7) sh

owed

th

at a

s its

com

pact

ion

wat

er c

onte

nt w

as in

crea

sed

from

abo

ut 1

1 pe

rcen

t to

abou

t 20

perc

ent,

the

resi

lient

mod

ulus

var

ied

from

39

Tab

le 2

. Dis

tres

s qua

ntiti

es in

LT

PP sy

stem

use

d to

obt

ain

dist

ress

qua

ntiti

es in

MT

C sy

stem

MT

C

Dis

tres

ses

Low

Sev

erity

M

ediu

m S

ever

ity

Hig

h Se

veri

ty

Alli

gato

r C

rack

ing

Add

LTP

P lo

w

seve

rity

allig

ator

cr

acki

ng a

nd th

e po

rtion

con

verte

d fr

om L

TPP

long

itudi

nal

crac

king

in w

heel

pa

th

Use

LTP

P m

ediu

m se

verit

y al

ligat

or c

rack

ing

Use

LTP

P hi

gh

seve

rity

allig

ator

cr

acki

ng

Blo

ck

Cra

ckin

g U

se th

e di

strib

utio

n of

LT

PP b

lock

cr

acki

ng q

uant

ities

gi

ven

in e

quat

ion

(1)

Use

the

dist

ribut

ion

of

LTPP

blo

ck

crac

king

qu

antit

ies g

iven

in

equa

tion

(1)

Use

the

dist

ribut

ion

of

LTPP

blo

ck

crac

king

qu

antit

ies g

iven

in

equa

tion

(1)

Dis

torti

ons

Use

LTP

P sh

ovin

g U

se L

TPP

shov

ing

Use

LTP

P sh

ovin

g Lo

ngitu

dina

l an

d Tr

ansv

erse

C

rack

ing

Add

LTP

P lo

w

seve

rity

long

itudi

nal

crac

king

in n

on-

whe

el p

ath

and

LTPP

low

seve

rity

trans

vers

e cr

acki

ng

Add

LTP

P m

ediu

m se

verit

y lo

ngitu

dina

l cr

acki

ng in

non

-w

heel

pat

h an

d LT

PP m

ediu

m

seve

rity

trans

vers

e cr

acki

ng

Add

LTP

P hi

gh

seve

rity

long

itudi

nal

crac

king

in n

on-

whe

el p

ath

and

LTPP

hig

h se

verit

y tra

nsve

rse

crac

king

R

uttin

g an

d D

epre

ssio

n M

ultip

ly lo

w

seve

rity

rutte

d w

idth

in L

TPP

syst

em b

y di

stan

ce

betw

een

two

prof

ile

mea

sure

men

ts

Mul

tiply

med

ium

se

verit

y ru

tted

wid

th in

LTP

P sy

stem

by

dist

ance

bet

wee

n tw

o pr

ofile

m

easu

rem

ents

Mul

tiply

hig

h se

verit

y ru

tted

wid

th in

LTP

P sy

stem

by

dist

ance

bet

wee

n tw

o pr

ofile

m

easu

rem

ents

Pa

tchi

ng a

nd

Util

ity C

ut

Patc

h

Use

LTP

P lo

w

seve

rity

patc

h/pa

tch

dete

riora

tion

Use

LTP

P m

ediu

m se

verit

y pa

tch/

patc

h de

terio

ratio

n

Use

LTP

P hi

gh

seve

rity

patc

h/pa

tch

dete

riora

tion

Wea

ther

ing

and

Rav

elin

g U

se L

TPP

low

se

verit

y ra

velin

g U

se L

TPP

med

ium

seve

rity

rave

ling

Use

LTP

P hi

gh

seve

rity

rave

ling

Page 56: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

40

LT

PP T

RA

NSV

ER

SE P

RO

FIL

E D

AT

A T

O M

TC

RU

TT

ING

DA

TA

Tran

sver

se p

rofil

e da

ta fr

om th

e LT

PP d

atab

ase

wer

e us

ed to

ca

lcul

ate

MTC

rutti

ng q

uant

ities

. MTC

mea

sure

s rut

dep

ths a

nd

quan

titie

s by

layi

ng a

3-m

eter

(m) (

10-f

eet (

ft)) s

traig

hted

ge a

cros

s th

e ru

t. R

ut d

epth

s are

the

max

imum

dep

ths f

ound

in th

e w

heel

pa

ths a

nd ru

tted

wid

ths a

re th

e pa

rts o

f the

wid

ths i

n th

e w

heel

pa

ths r

utte

d m

ore

than

13

mm

(0.5

inch

es).

The

rutte

d w

idth

s wer

e di

vide

d in

to th

ree

seve

rity

leve

ls a

ccor

ding

to th

e de

finiti

ons g

iven

in

tabl

e 1.

A ru

tting

qua

ntity

(are

a) in

a sp

ecifi

c se

verit

y le

vel w

as

calc

ulat

ed m

ultip

lyin

g th

e ru

tted

wid

th p

ortio

n in

that

seve

rity

leve

l by

the

leng

th o

f the

test

sect

ion

betw

een

the

trans

vers

e pr

ofile

m

easu

rem

ents

.

In th

e LT

PP d

atab

ase,

tran

sver

se p

rofil

e da

ta a

re st

ored

for 1

52.4

m

(500

ft) l

ong

by 3

.66

m (1

2 ft)

wid

e; se

ctio

ns a

re c

olle

cted

at a

n in

terv

al o

f 15.

2 m

(50

ft). F

or th

e cu

rren

t stu

dy, a

ll tra

nsve

rse

prof

ile d

ata

sets

that

wer

e se

lect

ed fo

r the

stud

y w

ere

plot

ted.

Rut

de

pths

and

rutte

d w

idth

s in

diff

eren

t sev

erity

leve

ls fo

r bot

h w

heel

pa

ths w

ere

reco

rded

from

the

plot

s. A

n Ex

cel-V

isua

l Bas

ic®

m

acro

was

writ

ten

and

used

to fa

cilit

ate

this

. Fig

ure

1 sh

ows a

ty

pica

l tra

nsve

rse

prof

ile p

lotte

d w

ith L

TPP

trans

vers

e pr

ofile

dat

a an

d th

e m

easu

rem

ent o

f rut

ted

wid

ths a

nd ru

t dep

ths f

or

calc

ulat

ing

MTC

rutti

ng q

uant

ities

and

seve

ritie

s.

85

PAPE

R 4

E

FFE

CT

OF

SEA

SON

AL

MO

IST

UR

E

VA

RIA

TIO

N O

N S

UB

GR

AD

E R

ESI

LIE

NT

M

OD

UL

US

Has

san

M. S

alem

1

AB

STR

AC

T

It is

wel

l kno

wn

that

env

ironm

enta

l cha

nges

hav

e se

vere

eff

ects

on

pave

men

t per

form

ance

. Whi

le a

n as

phal

t lay

er m

ay b

e m

ore

sens

itive

to te

mpe

ratu

re, a

soil

or u

ntre

ated

pav

emen

t lay

er m

ight

be

mor

e af

fect

ed b

y th

e ch

ange

in m

oist

ure.

Thi

s res

earc

h ai

ms a

t qu

antif

ying

the

effe

ct o

f sub

grad

e m

oist

ure

varia

tion,

cau

sed

by

envi

ronm

enta

l cha

nges

, on

subg

rade

’s re

silie

nt m

odul

us a

nd

incl

udin

g its

eff

ects

in th

e de

sign

pro

cess

for n

ew a

nd re

habi

litat

ed

pave

men

ts. T

o ac

hiev

e th

is o

bjec

tive,

dat

a re

pres

entin

g di

ffer

ent

soil

type

s in

non-

free

ze z

ones

at v

ario

us L

ong-

Term

Pav

emen

t Pe

rfor

man

ce S

easo

nal M

onito

ring

Prog

ram

(LTP

P-SM

P) si

tes

wer

e do

wnl

oade

d fr

om th

e D

ataP

ave

3.0

softw

are.

The

do

wnl

oade

d da

ta w

ere

anal

yzed

to e

stab

lish

the

effe

ct o

f sub

grad

e m

oist

ure

varia

tion

on su

bgra

de’s

resi

lient

stre

ngth

repr

esen

ted

by

the

back

calc

ulat

ed e

last

ic m

odul

us. T

he a

naly

sis i

ndic

ated

that

m

oist

ure

in th

e su

bgra

de la

yer i

s rel

ated

to th

e pr

ecip

itatio

n in

tens

ity. T

he st

udy

also

reve

aled

that

a S

easo

nal A

djus

tmen

t Fa

ctor

(SA

F) c

ould

be

used

to sh

ift th

e su

bgra

de m

odul

us fr

om a

no

rmal

seas

on to

ano

ther

. The

SA

F is

con

side

red

a ke

y in

put i

n th

e m

echa

nist

ic-b

ased

pav

emen

t des

ign

syst

em. I

t allo

ws t

he in

clus

ion

of th

e se

ason

al e

ffec

ts o

n th

e la

yer m

odul

i for

diff

eren

t sea

sons

. In

this

pap

er, a

met

hod

is p

rese

nted

for c

alcu

latin

g th

e SA

F fo

r the

su

bgra

de so

ils. U

sing

the

colle

cted

dat

a, re

gres

sion

ana

lysi

s was

pe

rfor

med

and

cor

rela

tion

equa

tions

wer

e de

velo

ped.

The

se

equa

tions

rela

te th

e ba

ckca

lcul

ated

subg

rade

mod

ulus

to th

e su

bgra

de m

oist

ure

cont

ent a

nd to

oth

er so

il pr

oper

ties.

The

SAF

1 G

radu

ate

Exch

ange

Stu

dent

, Dep

artm

ent o

f Civ

il En

gine

erin

g, U

nive

rsity

of

Idah

o, M

osco

w, I

D 8

3844

-102

2 P

hone

: 20

8–88

5–68

18, F

ax: 2

08–8

85–6

618,

ha

ssan

@ui

daho

.edu

Page 57: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

84

Tran

spor

tatio

n Re

sear

ch R

ecor

d 16

32, T

RB

, Was

hing

ton,

D

C, N

atio

nal R

esea

rch

Cou

ncil,

pp.

22-

31.

Smith

, K.L

., K

.D. S

mith

, L. E

vans

, T. H

oern

er, M

. Dar

ter,

and

J. W

oods

trom

, 199

7. N

CH

RP

Web

Doc

1 S

moo

thne

ss

Spec

ifica

tions

for P

avem

ents

: Fin

al R

epor

t, w

ww

.nap

.edu

/boo

ks/n

ch00

1/ht

ml/,

TR

B, W

ashi

ngto

n, D

C,

Nat

iona

l Res

earc

h C

ounc

il.

Tran

spor

tatio

n A

ssoc

iatio

n of

Can

ada,

199

9. S

umm

ary

of

Pave

men

t Sm

ooth

ness

Spe

cific

atio

ns in

Can

ada

and

Arou

nd th

e W

orld

. Can

adia

n St

rate

gic

Hig

hway

Res

earc

h Pr

ogra

m T

echn

ical

Brie

f #16

, ww

w.c

shrp

.org

, C-S

HR

P,

Otta

wa,

Can

ada,

C-S

HR

P.

TAC

, Tra

nspo

rtatio

n A

ssoc

iatio

n of

Can

ada,

200

2. T

he E

ffect

of

As-B

uilt

Pave

men

t Sm

ooth

ness

on

Long

-Ter

m R

ough

ness

Pr

ogre

ssio

n: S

ome

Find

ings

from

C-L

TPP

and

US-

LTPP

St

udie

s. C

anad

ian

Stra

tegi

c H

ighw

ay R

esea

rch

Prog

ram

Te

chni

cal B

rief #

23,

C-S

HR

P, O

ttaw

a, C

anad

a, C

-SH

RP.

Uni

ted

Stat

es A

rmy

Cor

ps o

f Eng

inee

rs, 1

991.

Hot

Mix

Pav

ing

Han

dboo

k, L

anha

m, M

D, N

atio

nal A

spha

lt Pa

ving

A

ssoc

iatio

n.

41

1

mm

= 0

.039

inch

es

Figu

re 1

. A sc

hem

atic

dia

gram

for

the

mea

sure

men

t of r

utte

d w

idth

s and

rut

dep

ths f

rom

LT

PP tr

ansv

erse

pro

file

data

LT

PP B

LO

CK

CR

AC

KIN

G T

O M

TC

BL

OC

K C

RA

CK

ING

Acc

ordi

ng to

the

defin

ition

s of s

ever

ities

for b

lock

cra

ckin

g, th

e ra

nges

def

inin

g th

e bo

unda

ries o

f sev

erity

leve

ls in

the

LTPP

sy

stem

are

diff

eren

t fro

m th

ose

in M

TC sy

stem

(see

tabl

e 1)

. Fi

gure

2 p

rovi

des a

gra

phic

com

paris

on o

f the

def

initi

ons i

n tw

o sy

stem

s. Th

is fi

gure

was

use

d to

dev

elop

ratio

s of q

uant

ities

bas

ed

on th

e w

idth

of t

he c

rack

s to

conv

ert L

TPP

bloc

k cr

acki

ng

quan

titie

s in

diff

eren

t sev

erity

leve

ls to

MTC

blo

ck c

rack

ing

quan

titie

s. Th

e fo

llow

ing

equa

tions

wer

e de

velo

ped

base

d on

thes

e re

latio

nshi

ps a

nd u

sed

for t

he c

onve

rsio

ns.

(1)

Whe

re:

L MTC

, MM

TC, H

MTC

= L

ow, m

ediu

m, a

nd h

igh

seve

rity

bloc

k cr

acki

ng q

uant

ities

resp

ectiv

ely

in th

e M

TC sy

stem

L L

TPP,

MLT

PP, H

LTPP

= L

ow, m

ediu

m, a

nd h

igh

seve

rity

bloc

k cr

acki

ng q

uant

ities

resp

ectiv

ely

in th

e LT

PP sy

stem

Wid

th

13m

m13

mm

Rut

Dep

th

Wid

th

13m

m13

mm

Rut

Dep

thTr

ansv

erse

Prof

ile

Initi

alR

oad

Surf

ace

L MTC

= L

LTPP

+ (4

/ 13

) MLT

PP

M

MTC

= (9

/13)

MLT

PP +

(0.7

) HLT

PP

H

MTC

= (

0.3)

HLT

PP

Page 58: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

42

The

high

seve

rity

dist

ress

qua

ntity

in L

TPP

syst

em w

as d

istri

bute

d in

to 7

0 pe

rcen

t and

30

perc

ent o

f the

med

ium

and

hig

h se

verit

y,

resp

ectiv

ely,

in M

TC sy

stem

. Thi

s dis

tribu

tion

was

sele

cted

be

caus

e of

the

high

cov

erag

e of

MTC

med

ium

seve

rity

(57

mm

in

figur

e 2)

on

the

LTPP

hig

h se

verit

y re

gion

.

1

mm

= 0

.039

inch

es

Figu

re 2

. A c

ompa

riso

n be

twee

n SH

RP

and

MT

C d

efin

ition

s fo

r bl

ock

crac

king

seve

ritie

s, an

d co

nver

sion

of L

TPP

qu

antit

ies t

o M

TC

qua

ntiti

es

LT

PP A

LL

IGA

TO

R C

RA

CK

ING

TO

MT

C A

LL

IGA

TO

R C

RA

CK

ING

The

LTPP

syst

em re

cord

s the

por

tions

for w

heel

pat

h an

d no

n-w

heel

pat

h of

the

long

itudi

nal c

rack

ing

in th

ree

seve

rity

leve

ls in

tw

o se

para

te c

olum

ns. S

ince

LTP

P lo

ngitu

dina

l cra

ckin

g in

the

whe

el p

ath

at a

ny se

verit

y le

vel i

s con

side

red

as a

par

t of t

he lo

w

seve

rity

allig

ator

cra

ckin

g in

the

MTC

syst

em, M

TC lo

w se

verit

y al

ligat

or c

rack

ing

inco

rpor

ates

bot

h LT

PP lo

w se

verit

y al

ligat

or

crac

king

and

LTP

P lo

ngitu

dina

l cra

ckin

g in

the

whe

el p

ath

of a

ny

seve

rity.

LTP

P lo

ngitu

dina

l cra

ckin

g qu

antit

y (in

leng

th) i

n th

e w

heel

pat

h w

as c

onve

rted

to M

TC lo

w se

verit

y al

ligat

or c

rack

ing

quan

tity

(in a

rea)

by

mul

tiply

ing

the

crac

k le

ngth

by

a un

it w

idth

of

1 fo

ot (0

.305

m).

The

med

ium

and

hig

h se

verit

y al

ligat

or

crac

king

figu

res i

n th

e M

TC sy

stem

wer

e ob

tain

ed fr

om th

e m

ediu

m a

nd h

igh

seve

rity

allig

ator

cra

ckin

g, re

spec

tivel

y, in

the

LTPP

syst

em.

ML

H

ML

H

LT

PP

MT

C

6 m

m19

mm

10 m

m76

mm

9 m

m4

mm

57 m

m

83

1.

Tran

spor

tatio

n ag

enci

es a

nd c

ontra

ctor

s sho

uld

cons

ider

the

effe

cts o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion,

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s, an

d pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

whe

n te

nder

ing

or

bidd

ing

asph

alt o

verla

y co

ntra

cts w

ith sm

ooth

ness

sp

ecifi

catio

ns.

2.

Pave

men

t des

igne

rs sh

ould

con

side

r the

low

er a

s-bu

ilt

roug

hnes

s tha

t is a

chie

ved

by in

corp

orat

ing

a th

icke

r pa

vem

ent o

verla

y an

d/or

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n.

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Asp

halt

Inst

itute

, 198

9. T

he A

spha

lt H

andb

ook

Man

ual S

erie

s No.

4

(MS-

4), 1

989

Editi

on, L

exin

gton

, KY

.

Fede

ral H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion,

199

6. L

ong-

Term

Pav

emen

t Pe

rfor

man

ce P

rogr

am R

efer

ence

Gui

de, M

cLea

n, V

A.

McG

hee,

K.K

., 20

00. “

Fact

ors A

ffec

ting

Ove

rlay

Rid

e Q

ualit

y.”

Tran

spor

tatio

n Re

sear

ch R

ecor

d 17

12, T

RB

, Was

hing

ton,

D

C, N

atio

nal R

esea

rch

Cou

ncil

pp. 5

8-65

.

Pere

ra, R

.W.,

C. B

yrum

, and

S.D

. Koh

n, 1

998.

Inve

stig

atio

n of

D

evel

opm

ent o

f Pav

emen

t Rou

ghne

ss. F

HW

A R

epor

t FH

WA

-RD

-97-

147,

Was

hing

ton,

DC

, Fed

eral

Hig

hway

A

dmin

istra

tion.

Pere

ra, R

.W. a

nd S

.D. K

ohn,

199

9. “

IRI o

f Asp

halt

Con

cret

e O

verla

ys: A

naly

sis o

f Dat

a fr

om L

TPP

SPS-

5 Pr

ojec

ts.”

Tr

ansp

orta

tion

Rese

arch

Rec

ord

1655

, TR

B, W

ashi

ngto

n,

DC

, Nat

iona

l Res

earc

h C

ounc

il, p

p. 1

00-1

09.

Ray

mon

d, C

.M.,

2001

. An

Inve

stig

atio

n of

Rou

ghne

ss T

rend

s in

Asph

alt P

avem

ent O

verl

ays.

Doc

tora

l The

sis,

Wat

erlo

o,

Ont

ario

, Can

ada,

Uni

vers

ity o

f Wat

erlo

o.

Schm

itt, R

.L.,

J.S. R

usse

ll, A

.S. H

anna

, H.U

. Bah

ia, a

nd G

.A.

Jung

, 199

8. “

Sum

mar

y of

Cur

rent

Qua

lity

Con

trol/Q

ualit

y A

ssur

ance

Pra

ctic

es fo

r Hot

-Mix

Asp

halt

Con

stru

ctio

n.”

Page 59: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

82

a pa

vem

ent.

The

follo

win

g co

nclu

sion

s are

pro

vide

d ba

sed

on

thes

e an

alys

es:

1.

The

exte

nt o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion

was

det

erm

ined

to a

ffec

t th

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent.

The

ext

ent o

f sur

face

pr

epar

atio

n w

as a

lso

foun

d to

hav

e an

inte

ract

ive

effe

ct o

n as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess w

hen

cons

ider

ed in

com

bina

tion

with

th

e pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing.

2.

The

over

lay

thic

knes

s was

det

erm

ined

to a

ffec

t the

as-

built

ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent.

Alth

ough

the

effe

ct w

as n

ot

dete

rmin

ed to

be

stat

istic

ally

sign

ifica

nt w

hen

cons

ider

ed

indi

vidu

ally

, it w

as d

eter

min

ed to

hav

e a

stat

istic

ally

si

gnifi

cant

eff

ect o

n as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess w

hen

cons

ider

ed in

co

mbi

natio

n w

ith th

e pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing.

3.

The

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g w

as fo

und

to

have

an

effe

ct o

n th

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent.

In

addi

tion,

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g w

as fo

und

to h

ave

inte

ract

ive

effe

cts w

ith b

oth

the

exte

nt o

f sur

face

pr

epar

atio

n an

d ov

erla

y th

ickn

ess.

4.

The

type

of o

verla

y m

ater

ial (

i.e.,

virg

in o

r rec

ycle

d) w

as

dete

rmin

ed to

hav

e es

sent

ially

no

effe

ct o

n th

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent.

5.

Pred

ictio

n eq

uatio

ns a

re p

rovi

ded

to e

stim

ate

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of a

pav

emen

t for

diff

eren

t typ

es o

f sur

face

pr

epar

atio

n, o

verla

y th

ickn

ess,

and

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss

befo

re re

surf

acin

g.

RE

CO

MM

EN

DA

TIO

NS

Bas

ed o

n th

e fin

ding

s of t

his p

aper

, the

follo

win

g re

com

men

datio

ns a

re p

rovi

ded:

43

LT

PP L

ON

GIT

UD

INA

L A

ND

TR

AN

SVE

RSE

CR

AC

KIN

G T

O M

TC

L

ON

GIT

UD

INA

L A

ND

TR

AN

SVE

RSE

CR

AC

KIN

G

The

diff

eren

ces i

n de

finiti

ons o

f the

thre

e se

verit

y le

vels

of

long

itudi

nal a

nd tr

ansv

erse

cra

ckin

g in

the

two

syst

ems a

re th

e sa

me

as th

e di

ffer

ence

s for

seve

rity

leve

ls in

blo

ck c

rack

ing.

The

co

nver

sion

tech

niqu

e us

ed to

con

vert

LTPP

long

itudi

nal a

nd

trans

vers

e cr

acki

ng q

uant

ities

in th

ree

seve

rity

leve

ls to

MTC

lo

ngitu

dina

l and

tran

sver

se c

rack

ing

quan

titie

s was

sim

ilar t

o th

at

used

for c

onve

rting

(equ

atio

n (1

)) b

lock

cra

ckin

g qu

antit

ies,

exce

pt

that

MTC

long

itudi

nal c

rack

ing

incl

udes

LTP

P lo

ngitu

dina

l cr

acki

ng o

nly

from

the

non-

whe

el p

ath

(bec

ause

MTC

ass

igns

the

porti

on in

the

whe

el p

ath

to lo

w se

verit

y al

ligat

or c

rack

ing,

ac

cord

ing

to th

e de

finiti

on).

Mor

eove

r, th

e qu

antit

ies i

n LT

PP

long

itudi

nal c

rack

ing

in n

on-w

heel

pat

h an

d LT

PP tr

ansv

erse

cr

acki

ng a

re a

dded

toge

ther

afte

r the

con

vers

ions

to M

TC sy

stem

to

obt

ain

MTC

long

itudi

nal a

nd tr

ansv

erse

cra

ckin

g qu

antit

ies i

n di

ffer

ent s

ever

ities

.

LT

PP P

AT

CH

ING

, SH

OV

ING

, AN

D R

AV

EL

ING

TO

MT

C P

AT

CH

ING

, D

IST

OR

TIO

NS,

WE

AT

HE

RIN

G, A

ND

RA

VE

LIN

G

Dur

ing

conv

ersi

ons o

f the

se d

istre

sses

, it w

as a

ssum

ed, b

ased

on

thei

r def

initi

ons,

that

ther

e is

no

diff

eren

ce b

etw

een

LTPP

shov

ing

and

MTC

dis

torti

on. S

imila

rly, L

TPP

patc

h/pa

tch

dete

riora

tion

was

con

side

red

the

sam

e as

MTC

pat

chin

g an

d ut

ility

cut

pat

ch,

and

LTPP

rave

ling

was

con

side

red

the

sam

e as

MTC

wea

ther

ing

and

rave

ling

(see

tabl

e 2)

.

PCI A

ND

DE

DU

CT

S FR

OM

MT

C-P

MS

Whe

n ap

prop

riate

dat

a co

nver

sion

s wer

e co

mpl

ete,

the

conv

erte

d da

ta w

ere

used

as i

nput

s in

the

MTC

-PM

S so

ftwar

e ve

rsio

n 7.

5 (M

TC, 1

999)

to c

alcu

late

PC

I val

ues,

dedu

cts a

ssoc

iate

d w

ith e

ach

of th

e di

stre

ss ty

pe-s

ever

ity c

ombi

natio

ns, p

erce

nt-lo

ad re

late

d de

duct

s, an

d pe

rcen

t-non

load

rela

ted

dedu

cts.

Each

of t

he se

lect

ed

39 d

ata

sets

was

con

side

red

as if

it w

ere

from

an

indi

vidu

al

insp

ectio

n un

it. A

dat

abas

e w

as fi

rst d

evel

oped

for t

he in

spec

tion

Page 60: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

44

units

usi

ng th

e M

TC-P

MS

softw

are’

s “R

oad

Inve

ntor

y” a

nd

“Sec

tion

Des

crip

tion”

mod

ules

, and

dis

tress

info

rmat

ion

was

pr

ovid

ed a

s inp

ut d

istre

sses

usi

ng it

s “In

spec

tion

Uni

ts”

mod

ule.

Th

e “C

alcu

latio

ns”

mod

ule

was

use

d to

cal

cula

te “

PCI f

rom

In

spec

tion

Uni

ts.”

All

nece

ssar

y da

ta fo

r sta

tistic

al a

naly

sis w

ere

extra

cted

from

the

repo

rt “P

CI C

alcu

latio

n—D

educ

t Val

ues”

pr

oduc

ed b

y th

e so

ftwar

e (M

TC, 1

999)

. The

softw

are

calc

ulat

es

dedu

ct v

alue

s for

all

dist

ress

type

-sev

erity

com

bina

tions

bas

ed o

n th

e pa

vem

ent s

urfa

ce ty

pe. I

t com

bine

s all

dedu

cts t

o a

sing

le

valu

e, c

orre

cts f

or m

ultip

le o

ccur

renc

es, a

nd su

btra

cts t

he

corr

ecte

d va

lue

from

100

to d

eter

min

e PC

I val

ue (M

TC, 1

999)

. Th

is p

roce

ss is

a m

odifi

catio

n of

the

PAV

ER P

CI c

alcu

latio

n pr

oces

s (Sh

ahin

and

Wal

ters

, 199

0). T

he p

erce

nt-lo

ad re

late

d an

d no

nloa

d re

late

d de

duct

s are

cal

cula

ted

base

d on

the

seve

rity

leve

ls

of d

istre

ss ty

pes r

elat

ed to

the

caus

e of

det

erio

ratio

n. T

able

3

show

s the

seve

rity

leve

ls o

f dis

tress

type

s rel

ated

to c

ause

of

dete

riora

tion

(Sm

ith, 1

999)

. The

repo

rt tit

led

“PC

I Cal

cula

tion—

Ded

uct V

alue

s” p

rovi

des d

educ

ts fo

r eac

h of

the

dist

ress

-sev

erity

co

mbi

natio

ns, t

otal

ded

uct a

mou

nt, p

erce

nt lo

ad re

late

d de

duct

, pe

rcen

t-non

load

rela

ted

dedu

ct, a

nd P

CI f

or e

ach

insp

ectio

n un

it.

Tab

le 3

. Sev

erity

leve

ls o

f dis

tres

s typ

es r

elat

ed to

cau

se o

f de

teri

orat

ion

for

asph

alt a

nd su

rfac

e

trea

tmen

t pav

emen

ts (S

mith

, 199

9)

Cau

se o

f Det

erio

ratio

n D

istr

ess T

ype

Loa

d E

nvir

onm

ent

Oth

er

Alli

gato

r Cra

ckin

g Lo

w, m

ediu

m,

high

Blo

ck C

rack

ing

Hig

h Lo

w, m

ediu

m

– D

isto

rtion

s –

– Lo

w, m

ediu

m,

high

Lo

ngitu

dina

l and

Tr

ansv

erse

Cra

ckin

g H

igh

Low

, med

ium

Patc

hing

and

Util

ity

Cut

s (L

ow, m

ediu

m,

high

)/2

– (L

ow, m

ediu

m,

high

)/2

Rut

ting

and

Dep

ress

ions

Lo

w, m

ediu

m,

high

Wea

ther

ing

and

Rav

elin

g –

Low

, med

ium

, hi

gh

81

1

m/k

m =

63.

36 in

ches

/mi

Figu

re 8

. As-

built

rou

ghne

ss v

ersu

s pri

or r

ough

ness

for

SPS-

5 da

ta w

ith in

tens

ive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thic

k ov

erla

y

Tab

le 1

5. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

ick

over

lay

Sour

ce o

f V

aria

tion

Sum

of

Squa

res

Deg

rees

of

Fr

eedo

m

Mea

n Sq

uare

F-

valu

e St

atis

tical

Si

gnifi

canc

e

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss

0.09

2 1

0.

092

1.91

7 0.

189

Erro

r 0.

627

13

0.04

8 —

Tota

l 0.

719

14

CO

NC

LU

SIO

NS

Var

ious

stat

istic

al a

naly

ses,

incl

udin

g pa

ired

anal

yses

, reg

ress

ion

anal

yses

, and

a re

peat

ed m

easu

res a

naly

sis,

wer

e pe

rfor

med

to

exam

ine

the

effe

cts o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion,

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s, ty

pe

of o

verla

y m

ater

ial,

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g, a

nd

the

inte

ract

ive

effe

cts o

f the

se fa

ctor

s on

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of

y = 0

.171

3x +

0.6

314

R2 =

0.1

285

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Prio

r IRI

(m/k

m)

As-Built IRI (m/km)

Page 61: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

80

18.9

per

cent

as s

how

n in

tabl

e 15

. O

ne p

ossi

ble

reas

on fo

r the

w

eak

rela

tions

hip

is th

e lo

w in

fluen

ce in

the

rela

tions

hip

of

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g ha

s in

the

rela

tions

hip.

Th

e sl

ope

of th

e re

gres

sion

line

is th

e lo

wes

t of a

ll th

e re

gres

sion

lin

es.

Alth

ough

the

rela

tions

hip

is w

eak,

the

pred

ictio

n eq

uatio

n fo

r as-

built

roug

hnes

s bas

ed o

n pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

with

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d a

thic

k ov

erla

y is

as f

ollo

ws:

ior

PrIn

itial

IRI

17.063.0

IRI

×+

=

(4)

For e

xam

ple,

the

expe

cted

as-

built

roug

hnes

s for

a p

avem

ent w

ith

a pr

ior r

ough

ness

of 2

.00

m/k

m (1

27 in

ches

/mile

) und

ergo

ing

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d a

thic

k ov

erla

y is

0.9

7 m

/km

(61

inch

es/m

ile).

As e

xpec

ted,

this

is th

e lo

wes

t exp

ecte

d as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f the

four

com

bina

tions

. Th

e ex

pect

ed IR

I is 0

.05

m/k

m (3

.2 in

ches

/mile

) low

er th

an th

e tre

atm

ent o

f bas

ic su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d a

thic

k ov

erla

y an

d 0.

03 m

/km

(1.9

inch

es/m

ile)

less

than

the

valu

e ex

pect

ed fo

r a in

tens

ive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thin

ove

rlay.

The

se v

alue

s com

pare

wel

l with

the

expe

cted

di

ffer

ence

s fro

m th

e pa

ired

anal

yses

.

The

slop

e of

the

pred

ictio

n eq

uatio

n fo

r bas

ic su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

ick

over

lay

is th

e lo

wes

t of a

ll fo

ur p

redi

ctio

n eq

uatio

ns.

The

low

slop

e is

an

indi

catio

n th

at a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess i

s lea

st

sens

itive

to p

rior r

ough

ness

whe

n in

tens

ive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thic

k ov

erla

y tre

atm

ent a

re u

sed.

Thi

s is a

s exp

ecte

d be

caus

e th

is

treat

men

t is c

onsi

dere

d th

e m

ost e

xten

sive

for i

mpr

ovin

g th

e as

-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent.

45

Parti

al re

sults

are

show

n in

tabl

e 4

with

the

IRI v

alue

s ass

ocia

ted

with

eac

h da

ta se

t.

Tab

le 4

. Par

tial r

esul

ts fr

om M

TC

-PM

S an

d co

rres

pond

ing

IRI v

alue

s

Dat

a N

umbe

r M

TC

PC

I

MT

C

% L

oad

Ded

uct

MT

C

% N

onlo

ad

Ded

uct

IRI

(m/k

m)

1 63

30

.58

69.4

2 1.

7228

2

26

75.3

4 24

.66

2.10

24

3 93

0.

00

100.

00

1.38

32

4 92

0.

00

100.

00

1.43

60

5 60

75

.09

24.9

1 1.

9102

6

70

85.7

3 14

.27

1.24

92

7 76

33

.68

66.3

2 1.

2060

8

56

58.2

3 41

.77

2.01

14

9 10

0 0.

00

100.

00

1.01

08

10

53

78.4

0 21

.60

1.50

92

11

100

0.00

10

0.00

1.

5694

12

36

77

.47

22.5

3 1.

4498

13

77

21

.12

78.8

8 0.

8844

14

51

38

.92

61.0

8 1.

1076

15

79

7.

29

92.7

1 1.

5756

16

76

12

.25

87.7

5 1.

9334

17

56

60

.50

39.5

0 1.

8020

18

66

63

.45

36.5

5 1.

5766

19

27

84

.86

15.1

4 3.

2080

20

10

0 0.

00

100.

00

0.75

14

21

83

41.7

0 58

.30

0.86

44

22

68

51.3

5 48

.65

0.73

14

23

100

0.00

10

0.00

0.

6540

24

10

0 0.

00

100.

00

0.68

00

25

79

43.2

2 56

.78

0.99

00

26

66

33.8

5 66

.15

1.43

42

27

67

54.1

2 45

.88

1.54

74

28

46

94.2

5 5.

75

1.64

96

Page 62: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

46

Tab

le 4

. Par

tial r

esul

ts fr

om M

TC

-PM

S an

d co

rres

pond

ing

IRI v

alue

s—C

ontin

ued

Dat

a N

umbe

r M

TC

PC

I

MT

C

% L

oad

Ded

uct

MT

C

% N

onlo

ad

Ded

uct

IRI

(m/k

m)

29

70

94.4

3 5.

57

0.75

86

30

46

53.4

3 46

.57

1.70

88

31

6 88

.09

11.9

1 2.

2162

32

91

0.

00

100.

00

1.36

86

33

78

0.00

10

0.00

1.

5440

34

62

55

.99

44.0

1 2.

2574

35

28

69

.94

30.0

6 2.

3558

36

99

0.

00

100.

00

0.73

32

37

89

14.4

6 85

.54

0.79

52

38

100

0.00

10

0.00

0.

7804

39

10

0 0.

00

100.

00

0.78

16

STA

TIS

TIC

AL

AN

AL

YSI

S A

ND

EST

AB

LIS

HIN

G IR

I M

OD

EL

A st

atis

tical

ana

lysi

s was

con

duct

ed in

an

effo

rt to

est

ablis

h a

mod

el o

f IR

I as a

func

tion

of P

CI,

all d

istre

ss-s

ever

ity

com

bina

tions

, ded

ucts

from

eac

h di

stre

ss-s

ever

ity c

ombi

natio

n,

perc

ent-l

oad

rela

ted

dedu

cts,

and

perc

ent-n

onlo

ad re

late

d de

duct

s. A

tota

l of 4

5 pr

edic

tor v

aria

bles

was

con

side

red

in th

e st

atis

tical

an

alys

is, w

hich

cam

e fr

om 2

1 di

stre

ss-s

ever

ity c

ombi

natio

ns (7

di

stre

ss ty

pes t

imes

3 se

verit

y le

vels

), 21

ded

ucts

from

21

dist

ress

ty

pe-s

ever

ity c

ombi

natio

ns, 1

PC

I, 1

perc

ent l

oad

dedu

ct, a

nd 1

pe

rcen

t non

load

ded

uct.

Thes

e 45

pre

dict

or v

aria

bles

, dat

a fo

r 16

varia

bles

wer

e ze

ro fo

r all

39 d

ata

sets

. The

se 1

6 pr

edic

tors

thus

w

ere

rem

oved

from

furth

er c

onsi

dera

tion

in th

e an

alys

is. T

he

rem

oved

pre

dict

or v

aria

bles

wer

e: m

ediu

m a

nd h

igh

seve

rity

rutti

ng a

nd th

eir d

educ

ts; h

igh

seve

rity

bloc

k cr

acki

ng a

nd it

s de

duct

; low

, med

ium

, and

hig

h se

verit

y di

stor

tions

and

thei

r de

duct

s; h

igh

seve

rity

patc

hing

and

its d

educ

t; an

d hi

gh se

verit

y w

eath

erin

g an

d ra

velin

g an

d its

ded

uct.

79

1

m/k

m =

63.

36 in

ches

/mi

Figu

re 7

. A

s-bu

ilt r

ough

ness

ver

sus p

rior

rou

ghne

ss fo

r SP

S-5

data

with

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

in o

verl

ay

Tab

le 1

4. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

in o

verl

ay

Sour

ce o

f V

aria

tion

Sum

of

Squa

res

Deg

rees

of

Fr

eedo

m

Mea

n Sq

uare

F-

valu

e St

atis

tical

Si

gnifi

canc

e

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss

0.33

3 1

0.

333

5.34

9 0.

038

Erro

r 0.

810

13

0.06

2 –

Tota

l 1.

143

14

– –

INT

EN

SIV

E S

UR

FAC

E P

RE

PAR

AT

ION

AN

D T

HIC

K O

VE

RL

AY

The

regr

essi

on g

raph

for i

nten

sive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thic

k ov

erla

ys is

show

n in

figu

re 8

and

show

s an

R-s

quar

ed o

f 0.1

3. T

his

is lo

wes

t R-s

quar

ed v

alue

of a

ll fo

ur re

gres

sion

ana

lyse

s. T

he

rela

tions

hip

has t

he lo

wes

t sta

tistic

al st

reng

th w

ith a

p-v

alue

of

y = 0

.302

5x +

0.4

049

R2 =

0.2

915

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Prio

r IRI

(m/k

m)

As-Built IRI (m/km)

Page 63: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

78

Tab

le 1

3. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for

basi

c su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

ick

over

lay

Sour

ce o

f V

aria

tion

Sum

of

Squa

res

Deg

rees

of

Fr

eedo

m

Mea

n Sq

uare

F-

valu

e St

atis

tical

Si

gnifi

canc

e

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss

0.25

6 1

0.

256

5.14

7 0.

041

Erro

r 0.

648

13

0.05

0 –

Tota

l 0.

905

14

– –

INT

EN

SIV

E S

UR

FAC

E P

RE

PAR

AT

ION

AN

D T

HIN

OV

ER

LA

Y

The

regr

essi

on g

raph

for i

nten

sive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thin

ov

erla

ys is

show

n in

figu

re 7

and

show

s an

R-s

quar

ed o

f 0.2

9.

This

R-s

quar

ed v

alue

is th

e hi

ghes

t of t

he fo

ur re

gres

sion

ana

lyse

s fo

r spe

cific

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

over

lay

thic

knes

s tre

atm

ents

. Th

e re

latio

nshi

p ha

s a p

-val

ue o

f 3.8

per

cent

as s

how

n in

tabl

e 14

. Th

is is

the

stro

nges

t sta

tistic

al re

latio

nshi

p of

the

four

regr

essi

on

anal

yses

. Th

e pr

edic

tion

equa

tion

for i

nten

sive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

a th

in o

verla

y is

as f

ollo

ws:

ior

PrIn

itial

IRI

29.040.0

IRI

×+

=

(3)

For e

xam

ple,

the

expe

cted

as-

built

roug

hnes

s for

a p

avem

ent w

ith

a pr

ior r

ough

ness

of 2

.00

m/k

m (1

27 in

ches

/mile

) und

ergo

ing

an

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d a

thin

ove

rlay

is 1

.01

m/k

m (6

4 in

ches

/mile

). T

his v

alue

is a

ppro

xim

atel

y 0.

05 m

/km

(3.2

in

ches

/mile

) low

er th

an th

e va

lue

dete

rmin

ed fo

r a b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thin

ove

rlay.

Thi

s val

ue is

sim

ilar t

o th

e m

ean

diff

eren

ce d

eter

min

ed e

arlie

r in

the

paire

d da

ta a

naly

ses.

47

A m

ultil

inea

r reg

ress

ion

anal

ysis

was

con

duct

ed u

sing

the

rem

aini

ng 2

9 pr

edic

tor v

aria

bles

. SA

S st

atis

tical

softw

are

was

use

d fo

r all

stat

istic

al v

alid

atio

n an

d m

odel

ing

(SA

S, 2

000)

. The

fina

l m

odel

for I

RI f

rom

this

stat

istic

al a

naly

sis w

as:

(2)

whe

re, I

RI i

s in

m/k

m

The

mod

el in

equ

atio

n (2

) has

a c

orre

latio

n co

effic

ient

(R2)

of

0.53

, coe

ffic

ient

of v

aria

tion

(CV

) of 2

8 pe

rcen

t, an

d a

root

mea

n sq

uare

err

or o

f 0.3

9. F

igur

e 3

com

pare

s gra

phic

ally

the

actu

al a

nd

the

pred

icte

d va

lues

of I

RI f

rom

cor

rela

tion

with

PC

I (eq

uatio

n (2

)) a

nd g

ives

a g

raph

ical

vie

w o

f the

dis

pers

ion

of d

ata

that

lead

s to

the

R2

valu

e. E

quat

ion

(2) c

an b

e us

ed to

est

imat

e pa

vem

ent

roug

hnes

s for

the

high

way

s in

Cal

iforn

ia, a

nd it

nee

ds o

nly

the

quan

titie

s of d

istre

ss-s

ever

ity c

ombi

natio

ns a

s inp

uts.

Bec

ause

of

the

lack

of r

ough

ness

dat

a fo

r the

loca

l stre

ets,

this

cor

rela

tion

shou

ld o

nly

be u

sed

as a

star

ting

poin

t, an

d sh

ould

be

refin

ed u

sing

da

ta o

n ci

ty st

reet

s. Th

e B

ay a

rea

agen

cies

nee

d es

tabl

ishe

d co

rrel

atio

ns b

etw

een

user

cos

ts a

nd p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

, val

id fo

r B

ay a

rea

citie

s and

cou

ntie

s, to

cou

ple

with

equ

atio

n (2

) to

estim

ate

user

cos

ts.

CR

ITIC

AL

RE

MA

RK

S

A m

ajor

pro

blem

enc

ount

ered

wor

king

with

the

SHR

P di

stre

ss

data

from

LTT

P si

tes w

as th

at so

me

dist

ress

type

-sev

eriti

es w

ere

all z

eros

bec

ause

thos

e di

stre

ss-s

ever

ities

wer

e no

t pre

sent

on

the

road

surf

ace

durin

g di

stre

ss su

rvey

s. It

is n

ow e

vide

nt fr

om th

e pr

evio

us d

iscu

ssio

n th

at m

ost o

f the

se a

bsen

t dis

tress

-sev

eriti

es

wer

e as

soci

ated

with

hig

h se

verit

ies a

nd w

ith d

isto

rtion

s of a

ll se

verit

ies.

All

of th

ese

abse

nt d

istre

ss-s

ever

ity c

ombi

natio

ns a

nd

dist

ortio

ns sh

ould

hav

e a

sign

ifica

nt in

fluen

ce o

n th

e va

lues

of I

RI.

The

reas

on fo

r the

abs

ence

of t

hese

dis

tress

-sev

erity

com

bina

tions

is

that

LTP

P da

ta a

re c

olle

cted

from

the

Stat

e hi

ghw

ays,

and

thes

e hi

gh d

istre

sses

or d

istre

ss-s

ever

ity c

ombi

natio

ns a

re g

ener

ally

qu

ickl

y re

paire

d on

Sta

te h

ighw

ays,

but c

omm

on o

n ci

ty st

reet

s.

IRI =

0.0

171

(153

– P

CI)

Page 64: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

48

Ther

e w

as n

o w

ay to

inco

rpor

ate

thes

e hi

ghly

influ

entia

l dis

tress

-se

verit

y co

mbi

natio

ns a

nd a

ssoc

iate

d de

duct

s in

the

stat

istic

al

anal

ysis

bec

ause

of t

he u

se o

f LTP

P da

ta. C

ity st

reet

s are

gen

eral

ly

foun

d w

ith m

ore

dist

ress

qua

ntiti

es a

nd h

ighe

r sev

eriti

es th

an a

re

high

way

s. A

n IR

I mod

el d

evel

oped

usi

ng d

ata

from

city

stre

ets

wou

ld h

ave

mor

e ap

plic

abili

ty.

Som

e ag

enci

es in

the

citie

s and

cou

ntie

s of t

he S

an F

ranc

isco

Bay

ar

ea n

eed

to c

olle

ct, a

t lea

st o

nce,

IRI d

ata,

alo

ng w

ith th

e di

stre

ss

data

from

a re

pres

enta

tive

sam

ple

of th

eir c

ity st

reet

s, an

d th

en

esta

blis

h a

mor

e ap

prop

riate

IRI m

odel

for t

heir

stre

ets b

y us

ing

the

data

tran

sfor

mat

ions

sim

ilar t

o th

e on

es d

escr

ibed

abo

ve. T

he

initi

al m

odel

dev

elop

ed sh

ould

be

refin

ed a

t rea

sona

ble

time

inte

rval

s, fo

r exa

mpl

e on

ce in

eve

ry 5

yea

rs, u

sing

the

mos

t cur

rent

da

ta fr

om th

e ci

ty st

reet

s to

mai

ntai

n th

e IR

I mod

el’s

relia

bilit

y.

1

m/k

m =

63.

36 in

ches

/mi

Figu

re 3

. Act

ual v

ersu

s pre

dict

ed v

alue

s of I

RI

SUM

MA

RY

Usi

ng th

e LT

PP d

istre

ss d

ata

as in

puts

in th

e M

TC-P

MS

syst

em

requ

ires t

rans

form

atio

ns to

mat

ch th

e da

ta w

ith M

TC-P

MS

defin

ition

s bec

ause

of t

he d

iffer

ence

s bet

wee

n th

e di

stre

ss

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0 0.

01.

02.

03.

04.

0A

ctua

l IR

I (m

/km

)

Predicted IRI (m/km)

77

pred

ictio

n eq

uatio

n fo

r bas

ic su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d a

thic

k ov

erla

y is

as f

ollo

ws:

ior

Built

AsIR

IIR

IPr

25.052.0

×+

=−

(2

) Fo

r exa

mpl

e, th

e ex

pect

ed a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess f

or a

pav

emen

t with

a

prio

r rou

ghne

ss o

f 2.0

0 m

/km

(127

inch

es/m

ile) u

nder

goin

g ba

sic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

a th

ick

over

lay

is 1

.01

m/k

m (6

4 in

ches

/mile

). T

his v

alue

is a

ppro

xim

atel

y 0.

05 m

/km

low

er th

an

the

prev

ious

val

ue d

eter

min

ed fo

r a b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thin

ove

rlay,

and

is in

line

with

the

mea

n di

ffer

ence

det

erm

ined

ea

rlier

in th

e pa

ired

data

ana

lysi

s. A

noth

er d

iffer

ence

in th

e pr

edic

tion

equa

tion

for b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thic

k ov

erla

y is

that

the

cons

tant

is la

rger

and

the

slop

e is

smal

ler t

han

in th

e pr

evio

us e

quat

ion.

The

smal

ler s

lope

is a

n in

dica

tion

that

the

thic

ker o

verla

y re

duce

s the

eff

ect o

f pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g.

1

m/k

m =

63.

36 in

ches

/mi

Figu

re 6

. A

s-B

uilt

roug

hnes

s ver

sus p

rior

rou

ghne

ss fo

r SP

S-5

data

with

bas

ic su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

ick

over

lay

y = 0

.245

6x +

0.5

233

R2 =

0.2

836

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Prio

r IRI

(m/k

m)

As-Built IRI (m/km)

Page 65: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

76

Tab

le 1

2. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for

basi

c su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

in o

verl

ay

Sour

ce o

f V

aria

tion

Sum

of

Squa

res

Deg

rees

of

Fr

eedo

m

Mea

n Sq

uare

F-

valu

e St

atis

tical

Si

gnifi

canc

e

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss

0.33

4 1

0.

334

5.06

1 0.

042

Erro

r 0.

859

13

0.06

6 –

Tota

l 1.

193

14

– –

1

m/k

m =

63.

36 in

ches

/mi

Figu

re 5

. A

s-bu

ilt r

ough

ness

ver

sus p

rior

rou

ghne

ss fo

r SP

S-5

data

with

bas

ic su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d th

in o

verl

ay

BA

SIC

SU

RFA

CE

PR

EPA

RA

TIO

N A

ND

TH

ICK

OV

ER

LA

Y

The

regr

essi

on g

raph

for b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thic

k ov

erla

ys is

show

n in

figu

re 6

and

show

s an

R-s

quar

ed o

f 0.2

8. T

he

rela

tions

hip

has a

p-v

alue

of 4

.1 p

erce

nt a

s sho

wn

in ta

ble

13.

The

y =

0.31

09x

+ 0.

4398

R2 =

0.2

802

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Prio

r IRI

(m/k

m)

As-Built IRI (m/km)

49

defin

ition

s and

seve

ritie

s use

d in

the

LTPP

dat

abas

e an

d in

the

MTC

-PM

S sy

stem

. A m

odel

for I

RI a

s a fu

nctio

n of

pav

emen

t co

nditi

on in

form

atio

n w

as d

evel

oped

usi

ng th

e M

TC d

ata,

and

this

IR

I mod

el is

inte

nded

for u

se in

cal

cula

ting

user

cos

ts/b

enef

its in

th

e m

anag

emen

t sys

tem

. Sev

eral

man

ipul

atio

ns w

ere

requ

ired

to

cond

uct t

he tr

ansf

orm

atio

n of

diff

eren

t LTP

P di

stre

sses

and

se

verit

ies t

o ob

tain

MTC

dis

tress

qua

ntiti

es in

thre

e se

verit

y le

vels

. M

anip

ulat

ions

wer

e pe

rfor

med

bas

ed o

n th

e di

ffer

ence

s in

defin

ition

for d

istre

sses

and

seve

ritie

s in

the

two

syst

ems.

The

follo

win

g ca

n al

so b

e su

mm

ariz

ed fr

om th

e st

udy:

• Th

e da

ta in

the

LTPP

dat

abas

e ar

e st

ored

in m

etric

uni

ts

(mm

, etc

.) th

at n

eede

d to

be

conv

erte

d to

Eng

lish

units

(in

ch, e

tc.)

to m

atch

the

units

syst

em u

sed

in th

e M

TC-

PMS

softw

are.

• Tr

ansv

erse

pro

file

data

from

the

LTPP

dat

abas

e w

ere

used

to

cal

cula

te M

TC ru

tting

. MTC

mea

sure

s rut

dep

ths a

nd

quan

titie

s by

layi

ng a

3-m

(10-

ft) st

raig

hted

ge a

cros

s the

ru

t. R

ut d

epth

s are

the

max

imum

dep

ths f

ound

in th

e w

heel

pa

ths;

rutte

d w

idth

s are

the

wid

ths o

f the

whe

el p

aths

rutte

d m

ore

than

13

mm

(0.5

inch

).

• A

ccor

ding

to th

e de

finiti

ons o

f sev

eriti

es fo

r blo

ck

crac

king

, the

rang

es d

efin

ing

the

boun

darie

s of s

ever

ity

leve

ls in

the

LTPP

syst

em a

re d

iffer

ent f

rom

thos

e in

the

MTC

syst

em. E

quat

ions

wer

e fo

rmul

ated

bas

ed o

n th

e di

ffer

ence

s in

defin

ition

s in

the

two

syst

ems a

nd u

sed

to

conv

ert d

ata

from

one

syst

em to

the

othe

r.

• Si

nce

LTPP

long

itudi

nal c

rack

ing

in a

whe

el p

ath

at a

ny

seve

rity

was

con

side

red

as a

par

t of t

he lo

w se

verit

y al

ligat

or c

rack

ing

in th

e M

TC sy

stem

, MTC

low

seve

rity

allig

ator

cra

ckin

g in

clud

es L

TPP

low

seve

rity

allig

ator

cr

acki

ng a

s wel

l as L

TPP

long

itudi

nal c

rack

ing

in th

e w

heel

pat

h at

any

seve

rity.

• Th

e tra

nsfo

rmat

ion

tech

niqu

e us

ed to

con

vert

LTPP

lo

ngitu

dina

l and

tran

sver

se c

rack

ing

quan

titie

s in

thre

e

Page 66: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

50

seve

rity

leve

ls to

MTC

long

itudi

nal a

nd tr

ansv

erse

cra

ckin

g qu

antit

ies w

as si

mila

r to

the

tech

niqu

e us

ed fo

r the

tra

nsfo

rmat

ion

of b

lock

cra

ckin

g qu

antit

ies e

xcep

t the

M

TC lo

ngitu

dina

l cra

ckin

g qu

antit

ies d

o no

t inc

lude

LTP

P lo

ngitu

dina

l cra

ckin

g qu

antit

ies i

n th

e w

heel

pat

h.

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

FHW

A (2

001)

. Dat

aPav

e 3.

0, C

D-R

OM

. U.S

. Dep

artm

ent o

f Tr

ansp

orta

tion,

Was

hing

ton

DC

, Fed

eral

Hig

hway

A

dmin

istra

tion.

Gill

espi

e, T

.D. (

1981

). Te

chni

cal C

onsi

dera

tions

in th

e W

orld

wid

e st

anda

rdiz

atio

n of

Roa

d Ro

ughn

ess M

easu

rem

ent—

A Re

port

to th

e W

orld

Ban

k. H

ighw

ay S

afet

y R

esea

rch

Inst

itute

, Ann

Arb

or, M

I, R

epor

t UM

-HR

SI-8

1-28

.

MTC

(198

6). P

avem

ent C

ondi

tion

Inde

x D

istr

ess I

dent

ifica

tion

Man

ual f

or A

spha

lt an

d Su

rfac

e Tr

eatm

ent P

avem

ents

, 2n

d Ed

ition

. Met

ropo

litan

Tra

nspo

rtatio

n C

omm

issi

on,

Oak

land

, CA

.

MTC

(199

9). P

avem

ent M

anag

emen

t Sys

tem

, ver

sion

7.5

. CD

-R

OM

. Met

ropo

litan

Tra

nspo

rtatio

n C

omm

issi

on,

Ass

ocia

tion

of O

rego

n C

ount

ies a

nd M

ario

n C

ount

ies,

Ore

gon.

SAS

(200

0). T

he S

AS

Syst

em fo

r Win

dow

s, R

elea

se 8

.01,

SA

S In

stitu

te, I

nc.,

Car

y, N

C.

Shah

in, M

. Y.,

and

Wal

ters

, J. A

. (19

90).

Pave

men

t Mai

nten

ance

M

anag

emen

t for

Roa

ds a

nd S

tree

ts U

sing

the

PAVE

R Sy

stem

. Tec

hnic

al R

epor

t No.

M90

/05,

U.S

. Arm

y C

onst

ruct

ion

Engi

neer

ing

Res

earc

h La

bora

tory

, C

ham

paig

n, IL

.

SHR

P (1

993)

. Dis

tres

s Ide

ntifi

catio

n M

anua

l for

the

Long

-Ter

m

Pave

men

t Per

form

ance

Pro

ject

. Was

hing

ton,

DC

, Stra

tegi

c H

ighw

ay R

esea

rch

Prog

ram

, Nat

iona

l Res

earc

h C

ounc

il,

SHR

P-P-

338.

75

built

roug

hnes

s val

ues f

or d

iffer

ent l

evel

s of s

urfa

ce p

repa

ratio

n,

over

lay

thic

knes

s, an

d pr

ior p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

and

to p

rovi

de a

m

etho

d of

qua

ntify

ing

the

expe

cted

diff

eren

ce re

sulti

ng fr

om a

ch

ange

in o

ne o

r mor

e of

thes

e fa

ctor

s. F

or e

xam

ple,

bot

h a

desi

gner

and

con

tract

or c

ould

est

imat

e th

e ad

ditio

nal s

moo

thne

ss

that

wou

ld b

e ex

pect

ed b

y in

crea

sing

a p

avem

ent o

verla

y th

ickn

ess.

The

des

igne

r wou

ld b

e in

tere

sted

in th

e lo

nger

pa

vem

ent l

ife th

at w

ould

resu

lt fr

om th

e lo

wer

as-

built

roug

hnes

s an

d th

e co

ntra

ctor

wou

ld b

e in

tere

sted

in th

e ad

min

istra

tive

impa

ct

rela

ted

to th

e ac

hiev

ing

the

requ

irem

ents

of a

smoo

thne

ss

spec

ifica

tion.

The

pre

dict

ion

equa

tions

are

con

side

red

valid

for t

he

rang

e of

the

regr

essi

on d

ata,

whi

ch is

for a

rang

e of

prio

r ro

ughn

ess o

f app

roxi

mat

ely

1.0

m/k

m (6

3 in

ches

/mile

) to

2.75

m

/km

(174

inch

es/m

ile).

BA

SIC

SU

RFA

CE

PR

EPA

RA

TIO

N A

ND

TH

IN O

VE

RL

AY

The

regr

essi

on g

raph

for b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thin

ov

erla

ys is

show

n in

figu

re 5

and

show

s an

R-s

quar

ed o

f 0.2

8. T

he

rela

tions

hip

has a

p-v

alue

of 4

.2 p

erce

nt a

s sho

wn

in ta

ble

12.

The

pred

ictio

n eq

uatio

n de

term

ined

for b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

a th

in o

verla

y is

as f

ollo

ws:

ior

Built

AsIR

IIR

IPr

31.044.0

×+

=−

(1

) w

here

=

−Bui

ltA

sIR

I a

s-B

uilt

IRI i

n m

/km

and

=

ior

PrIR

I IR

I prio

r to

resu

rfac

ing

in m

/km

Fo

r exa

mpl

e, th

e ex

pect

ed a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess f

or a

pav

emen

t with

a

prio

r rou

ghne

ss o

f 2.0

0 m

/km

(127

inch

es/m

ile) u

nder

goin

g ba

sic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

a th

in o

verla

y is

1.0

6 m

/km

(67

inch

es/m

ile).

Page 67: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

74

Tab

le 1

1. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for

over

lay

thic

knes

s w

ith C

-LT

PP d

ata

Sour

ce o

f V

aria

tion

Sum

of

Squa

res

Deg

rees

of

Fr

eedo

m

Mea

n Sq

uare

F-

valu

e St

atis

tical

Si

gnifi

canc

e

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss

0.01

5 1

0.

015

0.32

0 0.

582

Erro

r 0.

582

12

0.04

8 –

Tota

l 0.

597

13

– –

PRE

DIC

TIO

N E

QU

AT

ION

S FO

R A

S-B

UIL

T R

OU

GH

NE

SS

The

prev

ious

ana

lyse

s hav

e sh

own

that

four

fact

ors h

ave

a st

atis

tical

ly si

gnifi

cant

eff

ect o

n as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess a

t a 9

5 pe

rcen

t si

gnifi

canc

e le

vel:

• Su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n.

• Pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

(mea

sure

d qu

antit

ativ

ely)

.

• Th

e in

tera

ctiv

e ef

fect

of s

urfa

ce p

repa

ratio

n an

d pa

vem

ent

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing.

• Th

e in

tera

ctiv

e ef

fect

of o

verla

y th

ickn

ess a

nd p

avem

ent

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing.

The

pres

ence

of t

hese

stat

istic

al e

ffec

ts id

entif

ies t

he n

eed

to

quan

tify

the

expe

cted

as-

built

roug

hnes

s tha

t will

occ

ur fo

r the

se

fact

ors,

thus

four

regr

essi

on a

naly

ses w

ere

perf

orm

ed to

det

erm

ine

pred

ictio

n eq

uatio

ns th

at a

ccou

nt fo

r the

influ

ence

of t

hese

fact

ors.

Th

ese

pred

ictio

n eq

uatio

ns c

an b

e us

ed b

y de

sign

ers t

o ev

alua

te

the

effe

ct o

n as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f the

ir de

sign

alte

rnat

ives

and

by

cont

ract

ors t

o es

timat

e th

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess t

hat w

ill b

e ac

hiev

ed

unde

r a p

artic

ular

com

bina

tion

of d

esig

n fa

ctor

s. It

shou

ld b

e no

ted

that

ther

e is

a c

onsi

dera

ble

amou

nt o

f var

iabi

lity

in th

e pr

edic

tion

equa

tions

, and

the

actu

al a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess o

f a

pave

men

t may

be

influ

ence

d by

oth

er fa

ctor

s not

inco

rpor

ated

into

th

e eq

uatio

ns.

The

equa

tions

are

inte

nded

to p

rovi

de ty

pica

l as-

51

Smith

, R.E

. (19

99).

Con

cept

ual D

escr

iptio

n of

Aut

omat

ed P

CI

Cal

cula

tion

by M

TC-P

MS

Softw

are.

Tex

as A

&M

U

nive

rsity

, Col

lege

Sta

tion,

TX

, Tex

as T

rans

porta

tion

Inst

itute

.

Page 68: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

73

Tab

le 1

0. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for

prio

r ro

ughn

ess

with

C-L

TPP

dat

a

Sour

ce o

f V

aria

tion

Sum

of

Squa

res

Deg

rees

of

Fr

eedo

m

Mea

n Sq

uare

F-

valu

e St

atis

tical

Si

gnifi

canc

e

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss

0.16

7 1

0.

167

4.64

3 0.

052

Erro

r 0.

431

12

0.03

6 –

Tota

l 0.

597

13

– –

VA

LID

AT

ION

OF

TH

E E

FFE

CT

OF

OV

ER

LA

Y T

HIC

KN

ESS

A re

gres

sion

plo

t of o

verla

y th

ickn

ess a

nd a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess f

or

the

C-L

TPP

data

is sh

own

in fi

gure

4.

The

data

indi

cate

low

er a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess w

ith th

icke

r ove

rlay

thic

knes

s. T

his i

s con

sist

ent

with

the

anal

yses

of t

he S

PS-5

dat

a. T

he a

naly

sis o

f var

ianc

e fo

r th

e C

-LTP

P da

ta is

show

n in

tabl

e 11

. Th

e p-

valu

e fo

r the

re

latio

nshi

p is

58

perc

ent,

indi

catin

g a

wea

k re

latio

nshi

p. I

t sho

uld

be n

oted

that

the

SPS-

5 re

latio

nshi

p w

as a

lso

wea

k an

d no

t st

atis

tical

ly si

gnifi

cant

at a

95

perc

ent s

igni

fican

ce le

vel.

Figu

re 4

. A

s-bu

ilt r

ough

ness

ver

sus o

verl

ay th

ickn

ess

for

C-L

TPP

dat

a

y =

-0.0

012x

+ 1

.311

2R

2 = 0

.025

9

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

050

100

150

200

Ove

rlay

Thic

knes

s (m

m)

As-Built IRI (m/km)

Page 69: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

72

indi

cate

a p

ositi

ve re

latio

nshi

p be

twee

n pr

ior r

ough

ness

and

as-

built

roug

hnes

s. P

avem

ents

with

a h

igh

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

corr

espo

nd to

a h

igh

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s. O

ne

diff

eren

ce b

etw

een

the

data

sets

is th

at th

e C

-LTP

P da

ta c

onta

in

gene

rally

hig

her p

rior r

ough

ness

and

hig

her a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess

mea

sure

men

ts th

an th

e SP

S-5

data

. Th

e an

alys

is o

f var

ianc

e fo

r th

e re

latio

nshi

p is

show

n in

tabl

e 10

. Th

e p-

valu

e is

5.2

per

cent

an

d in

dica

tes t

hat t

he re

latio

nshi

p is

ver

y cl

ose

to b

eing

stat

istic

ally

si

gnifi

cant

at a

95

perc

ent s

igni

fican

ce le

vel.

Exa

min

ing

the

anal

ysis

as a

val

idat

ion

of th

e SP

S-5

rela

tions

hip,

the

p-va

lue

beco

mes

2.6

per

cent

and

indi

cate

s a st

atis

tical

ly si

gnifi

cant

re

latio

nshi

p at

a 9

5 pe

rcen

t con

fiden

ce le

vel.

The

resu

lts fr

om th

e C

-LTP

P da

ta c

onfir

m th

e fin

ding

s of t

he L

TPP

SPS-

5 an

alys

is.

Figu

re 3

. A

s-bu

ilt r

ough

ness

ver

sus p

rior

rou

ghne

ss

for

C-L

TPP

dat

a

y =

0.16

22x

+ 0.

7924

R2 =

0.2

790

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Prio

r IRI

(m/k

m)

As-Built IRI (m/km)

53

PAPE

R 3

A

NA

LY

SIS

OF

INFL

UE

NC

ES

ON

A

S-B

UIL

T P

AV

EM

EN

T R

OU

GH

NE

SS IN

A

SPH

AL

T O

VE

RL

AY

S

C.M

. Ray

mon

d,1 R

. Haa

s,2 S

.L. T

ighe

,3 and

L. R

othe

nbur

g4

AB

STR

AC

T

Pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss im

med

iate

ly a

fter c

onst

ruct

ion

is a

key

m

easu

re o

f qua

lity.

The

use

of s

moo

thne

ss sp

ecifi

catio

ns re

quire

s an

und

erst

andi

ng o

f the

influ

ence

s on

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s for

bot

h tra

nspo

rtatio

n ag

enci

es a

nd c

ontra

ctor

s. Th

is p

aper

use

s dat

a fr

om

the

Long

-Ter

m P

avem

ent P

erfo

rman

ce (L

TPP)

pro

gram

to

exam

ine

four

fact

ors a

nd d

eter

min

e th

eir e

ffec

ts o

n th

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent;

thes

e fa

ctor

s are

: the

ext

ent o

f sur

face

pr

epar

atio

n be

fore

resu

rfac

ing;

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s; ty

pe o

f ove

rlay

mat

eria

l; an

d pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing.

Var

ious

st

atis

tical

pro

cedu

res (

incl

udin

g pa

ired

data

ana

lyse

s, re

gres

sion

an

alys

es, a

nd a

repe

ated

mea

sure

s ana

lysi

s) a

re p

erfo

rmed

to

inve

stig

ate

thes

e ef

fect

s and

any

inte

ract

ive

effe

cts.

The

ext

ent o

f su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n, o

verla

y th

ickn

ess a

nd p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

be

fore

resu

rfac

ing

are

dete

rmin

ed to

hav

e a

stat

istic

ally

sign

ifica

nt

effe

ct (a

t a 9

5 pe

rcen

t sig

nific

ance

leve

l) on

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of

a p

avem

ent e

ither

dire

ctly

or i

nter

activ

ely

with

ano

ther

var

iabl

e.

The

over

lay

mix

type

is d

eter

min

ed n

ot to

hav

e an

influ

ence

on

as-

built

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss.

Dat

a fr

om th

e C

anad

ian

Long

-Ter

m

Pave

men

t Per

form

ance

(C-L

TPP)

pro

gram

is u

sed

to v

alid

ate

the

resu

lts fo

r ove

rlay

thic

knes

s and

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e

1 P

h.D

. Can

dida

te, D

epar

tmen

t of C

ivil

Engi

neer

ing,

Uni

vers

ity o

f Wat

erlo

o,

Wat

erlo

o, O

ntar

io, N

2L 3

G1,

chr

is.ra

ymon

d@m

to.g

ov.o

n.ca

. 2 D

epar

tmen

t of C

ivil

Engi

neer

ing,

Uni

vers

ity o

f Wat

erlo

o, W

ater

loo,

Ont

ario

, N

2L 3

G1,

has

s@uw

ater

loo.

ca.

3 Dep

artm

ent o

f Civ

il En

gine

erin

g, U

nive

rsity

of W

ater

loo,

Wat

erlo

o, O

ntar

io,

N2L

3G

1, sl

tighe

@uw

ater

loo.

ca.

4 Dep

artm

ent o

f Civ

il En

gine

erin

g, U

nive

rsity

of W

ater

loo,

Wat

erlo

o, O

ntar

io,

N2L

3G

1.

Page 70: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

54

resu

rfac

ing.

A se

ries o

f pre

dict

ion

equa

tions

are

als

o de

velo

ped

to

allo

w fo

r est

imat

ing

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of a

pav

emen

t und

er

vario

us c

ondi

tions

. Pa

vem

ent d

esig

ners

, con

stru

ctio

n en

gine

ers,

and

cont

ract

ors s

houl

d un

ders

tand

the

effe

cts t

hat i

nflu

ence

the

as-

built

roug

hnes

s of a

pav

emen

t so

that

they

can

max

imiz

e th

eir

desi

gns,

smoo

thne

ss sp

ecifi

catio

ns, a

nd/o

r bid

ding

of c

ontra

cts

with

smoo

thne

ss sp

ecifi

catio

ns.

INT

RO

DU

CT

ION

Pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss is

the

prim

ary

mea

sure

of p

ublic

satis

fact

ion

with

the

high

way

syst

em a

nd, a

ccor

ding

ly, t

he a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess

of a

pav

emen

t im

med

iate

ly a

fter c

onst

ruct

ion

is a

key

qua

lity

mea

sure

. A

s-bu

ilt p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

has

als

o be

en sh

own

to

affe

ct th

e lo

ng-te

rm p

erfo

rman

ce o

f a p

avem

ent (

Ray

mon

d, 2

001;

TA

C, 2

002)

. C

onse

quen

tly, m

ost t

rans

porta

tion

agen

cies

hav

e in

corp

orat

ed a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess r

equi

rem

ents

into

thei

r acc

epta

nce

crite

ria.

Thes

e ro

ughn

ess r

equi

rem

ents

are

gen

eral

ly te

rmed

“s

moo

thne

ss sp

ecifi

catio

ns.”

Alth

ough

ther

e ha

s bee

n co

mm

on

acce

ptan

ce o

f sm

ooth

ness

spec

ifica

tions

in C

anad

a an

d th

e U

nite

d St

ates

, the

pay

adj

ustm

ents

and

smoo

thne

ss re

quire

men

ts v

ary

cons

ider

ably

am

ong

trans

porta

tion

agen

cies

(Sch

mitt

et a

l., 1

998;

TA

C, 1

999)

.

Smoo

thne

ss sp

ecifi

catio

ns a

re a

n ef

fect

ive

mea

ns o

f im

prov

ing

the

as-b

uilt

smoo

thne

ss o

f a p

avem

ent (

Smith

199

7, M

cGhe

e 20

00).

Th

e in

cent

ive/

disi

ncen

tive

prov

isio

ns e

ncou

rage

con

tract

ors t

o ac

hiev

e a

smoo

th p

avem

ent s

urfa

ce, w

hich

can

incl

ude

purc

hasi

ng

new

equ

ipm

ent,

impr

ovin

g gr

ade

cont

rols

and

add

ition

al tr

aini

ng

of st

aff.

In d

evel

opin

g a

smoo

thne

ss sp

ecifi

catio

n, it

is im

porta

nt

that

tran

spor

tatio

n ag

enci

es u

nder

stan

d no

t onl

y th

e ef

fect

of a

s-bu

ilt p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

on

long

-term

per

form

ance

but

als

o th

e fa

ctor

s tha

t aff

ect a

s-bu

ilt p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

. C

ontra

ctor

s mus

t al

so u

nder

stan

d th

e fa

ctor

s tha

t will

aff

ect t

heir

abili

ty to

con

stru

ct

a sm

ooth

pav

emen

t. T

his k

now

ledg

e is

impo

rtant

for

com

petit

ivel

y bi

ddin

g co

ntra

cts w

ith p

aym

ent a

djus

tmen

ts b

ased

on

as-

built

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss.

71

Tab

le 9

. B

etw

een-

subj

ects

eff

ects

of r

epea

ted

m

easu

res a

naly

sis

Sour

ce o

f V

aria

tion

Sum

of

Squa

res

Df

Mea

n Sq

uare

F

Stat

istic

al

Sign

ifica

nce

Inte

rcep

t 96

.559

1

96

.559

21

0.44

0.

000

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss

(Hig

h or

Low

) 1

.233

1

1

.233

2

.687

0.

125

Erro

r 5

.965

13

0

.459

– Th

e ef

fect

of p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

has a

p-v

alue

of

12.

5 pe

rcen

t, w

hich

doe

s not

indi

cate

a st

atis

tical

ly si

gnifi

cant

re

latio

nshi

p (a

t a 9

5 pe

rcen

t sig

nific

ance

leve

l). P

avem

ent

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

shou

ld st

ill b

e co

nsid

ered

as a

st

atis

tical

ly si

gnifi

cant

influ

ence

on

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s bec

ause

it

was

det

erm

ined

to h

ave

a st

atis

tical

ly si

gnifi

cant

eff

ect w

hen

exam

ined

qua

ntita

tivel

y in

stea

d of

qua

litat

ivel

y as

hig

h an

d lo

w

roug

hnes

s. A

seco

nd re

ason

to c

onsi

der p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

be

fore

resu

rfac

ing

as a

stat

istic

al in

fluen

ce is

that

it h

as st

atis

tical

ly

sign

ifica

nt in

tera

ctiv

e ef

fect

s with

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

over

lay

thic

knes

s.

VA

LID

AT

ION

WIT

H C

-LT

PP D

AT

A

To v

alid

ate

the

findi

ngs o

f the

ana

lyse

s per

form

ed o

n th

e SP

S-5

site

s, da

ta fr

om th

e C

-LTP

P pr

ogra

m w

as e

xam

ined

. R

egre

ssio

n an

alys

es w

ere

perf

orm

ed to

val

idat

e th

e in

divi

dual

eff

ects

of p

rior

roug

hnes

s and

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s. In

suff

icie

nt d

ata

wer

e av

aila

ble

to v

alid

ate

the

effe

cts o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion

and

over

lay

mat

eria

l.

Ave

rage

prio

r rou

ghne

ss a

nd o

verla

y th

ickn

ess v

alue

s for

eac

h si

te

wer

e an

alyz

ed fo

r the

ir re

latio

nshi

p w

ith th

e av

erag

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess f

or e

ach

site

. Th

e C

-LTP

P m

easu

rem

ents

repr

esen

t 14

data

poi

nts.

VA

LID

AT

ION

OF

TH

E E

FFE

CT

OF

SUR

FAC

E P

RE

PAR

AT

ION

The

regr

essi

on g

raph

for t

he e

ffec

t of p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

on a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess i

s sho

wn

in fi

gure

3.

This

gra

ph

is si

mila

r to

the

corr

espo

ndin

g SP

S-5

grap

h in

that

the

data

Page 71: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

70

Tab

le 8

. W

ithin

-sub

ject

s eff

ects

of r

epea

ted

mea

sure

s ana

lysi

s

Sour

ce o

f V

aria

tion

Sum

of

Squa

res

Df

Mea

n Sq

uare

F

Stat

istic

al

Sign

ifica

nce

SP

4.24

E-0

2 1

4.

24 E

-02

5.89

7 0.

030

SP, P

R

5.22

E-0

2 1

5.

22 E

-02

7.26

8 0.

018

Erro

r 9.

34 E

-02

13

7.18

E-0

2

O

T 5.

23 E

-04

1

5.23

E-0

4 0.

033

0.86

0 D

T, P

R

0.10

0 1

0.

100

6.22

8 0.

027

Erro

r

0.

209

13

1.61

E-0

2

O

M

1.46

E-0

4 1

1.

46 E

-04

0.00

3 0.

955

OM

, PR

1.

79 E

-04

1

1.79

E-0

4 0.

004

0.95

0 Er

ror

0.57

4 13

4.

41 E

-02

SP, O

T 1.

42 E

-06

1

1.42

E-0

6 0.

000

0.99

3 SP

, OT

PR

3.

90 E

-03

1

3.90

E-0

3 0.

192

0.66

9

Erro

r

0.2

65

13

2.04

E-0

2

SP

, OM

2.

68 E

-03

1

2.68

E-0

3 0.

229

0.64

0 SP

, OM

PR

1.

20 E

-04

1

1.20

E-0

4 0.

010

0.92

1

Erro

r

0.

152

13

1.17

E-0

2

O

T, O

M

3.42

E-0

2 1

3.

42 E

-02

1.80

5 0.

202

OT,

OM

PR

2.

54 E

-03

1

2.54

E-0

3 0.

134

0.72

0

Erro

r

0.

246

13

1.90

E-0

2

SP

, OT,

OM

2.

60 E

-03

1

2.60

E-0

3 0.

119

0.73

5 SP

, OT

3.73

E-0

4 1

3.

73 E

-04

0.01

7 0.

898

OM

, PR

Er

ror

0.28

3 13

2.

18 E

-02

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss –

PR

O

verla

y Th

ickn

ess –

OT

Surf

ace

Prep

arat

ion

– SP

O

verla

y M

ater

ial –

OM

55

This

pap

er e

xam

ines

four

des

ign

fact

ors f

or th

eir e

ffec

t on

the

as-

built

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss o

f asp

halt

over

lays

con

stru

cted

ove

r ex

istin

g as

phal

t pav

emen

ts: t

he d

egre

e of

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

befo

re o

verla

y; o

verla

y th

ickn

ess;

type

of o

verla

y m

ater

ial;

and

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g. T

he in

fluen

ce o

f the

se

fact

ors o

n as

-bui

lt pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

can

be

an is

sue

of

disa

gree

men

t bet

wee

n tra

nspo

rtatio

n ag

enci

es a

nd c

ontra

ctor

s. A

nu

mbe

r of o

ther

fact

ors n

ot c

onsi

dere

d in

the

anal

ysis

incl

ude

the

use

of a

mat

eria

l tra

nsfe

r veh

icle

; the

deg

ree

of sm

ooth

ness

re

quire

d by

the

owne

r’s s

moo

thne

ss sp

ecifi

catio

n; th

e m

agni

tude

of

ince

ntiv

es a

nd/o

r dis

ince

ntiv

es p

rovi

ded

in th

e ow

ner’

s sm

ooth

ness

spec

ifica

tion;

the

cont

ract

or’s

atti

tude

and

cap

abili

ty to

ac

hiev

e a

smoo

th p

avem

ent;

and

the

oper

atio

nal c

onst

rain

ts re

late

d to

the

proj

ect (

such

as t

raff

ic st

agin

g, lo

catio

n of

inte

rsec

tions

, and

ex

tent

of n

ight

pav

ing)

.

RE

LA

TE

D S

TU

DIE

S

Prev

ious

rese

arch

has

pro

vide

d di

ffer

ent c

oncl

usio

ns re

gard

ing

the

influ

ence

s on

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s. A

n ea

rlier

stud

y sp

onso

red

by

the

Fede

ral H

ighw

ay A

dmin

istra

tion

(FH

WA

) was

una

ble

to

iden

tify

any

stat

istic

al d

iffer

ence

in a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess f

rom

the

four

fact

ors m

entio

ned

abov

e (s

urfa

ce p

repa

ratio

n, o

verla

y th

ickn

ess,

over

lay

mat

eria

l and

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing)

(P

erer

a, B

yrum

, and

Koh

n, 1

998;

Per

era,

and

Koh

n, 1

999)

. R

esea

rch

by th

e V

irgin

ia D

epar

tmen

t of T

rans

porta

tion

conc

lude

d th

at a

s-bu

ilt p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

is in

fluen

ced

by th

e pa

vem

ent

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing,

the

func

tiona

l cla

ssifi

catio

n of

the

road

way

, and

the

appl

icat

ion

of a

smoo

thne

ss sp

ecifi

catio

n (M

cGhe

e, 2

000)

. Th

e sa

me

rese

arch

als

o re

ports

that

the

num

ber

of a

dditi

onal

stru

ctur

al la

yers

, the

surf

ace

mix

type

, and

pav

emen

t m

illin

g be

fore

ove

rlay

do n

ot in

fluen

ce a

s-bu

ilt p

avem

ent

roug

hnes

s.

DE

SCR

IPT

ION

OF

DA

TA

SO

UR

CE

S

The

data

for t

he a

naly

sis i

s fro

m th

e LT

PP p

rogr

am e

stab

lishe

d as

pa

rt of

the

Stra

tegi

c H

ighw

ay R

esea

rch

Prog

ram

(SH

RP)

that

Page 72: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

56

bega

n in

198

7. I

t con

sist

s of n

umer

ous t

est s

ectio

ns lo

cate

d th

roug

hout

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es a

nd C

anad

a. O

f int

eres

t to

this

re

sear

ch a

re th

e SP

S-5

expe

rimen

ts.

Each

SPS

-5 si

te c

onsi

sts o

f ni

ne 1

50-m

eter

(m) (

492-

feet

(ft))

sect

ions

(FH

WA

, 96)

. Ei

ght

sect

ions

are

exp

erim

enta

l, w

hile

one

sect

ion,

sect

ion

501,

is a

co

ntro

l sec

tion

with

no

spec

ific

treat

men

t exc

ept f

or ro

utin

e m

aint

enan

ce.

Bec

ause

the

cont

rol s

ectio

n pr

ovid

es n

o in

form

atio

n re

late

d to

this

exa

min

atio

n of

as-

built

roug

hnes

s, it

is n

ot

inco

rpor

ated

into

the

anal

ysis

. Th

e ei

ght e

xper

imen

tal s

ectio

ns fo

r ea

ch p

roje

ct w

ere

setu

p as

show

n in

tabl

e 1

with

diff

eren

t tre

atm

ents

for e

xten

t of s

urfa

ce p

repa

ratio

n, ty

pe o

f ove

rlay

mat

eria

l, an

d ov

erla

y th

ickn

ess (

not i

nclu

ding

repl

acem

ent o

f m

illed

mat

eria

l). T

he p

rimar

y di

ffer

ence

bet

wee

n ba

sic

and

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n is

the

amou

nt o

f mill

ing

that

was

pe

rfor

med

for t

he se

ctio

n. P

avem

ent r

ough

ness

is m

easu

red

in

term

s of I

nter

natio

nal R

ough

ness

Inde

x (I

RI)

usi

ng a

K.J.

Law

Pr

ofilo

met

er.

Dat

a fo

r thi

s ana

lysi

s are

from

the

Dat

aPav

e 3.

0 da

taba

se.

The

tabl

es e

ntitl

ed T

ST_L

05A

, SPS

5_LA

YER

, and

M

ON

_PR

OFI

LE_M

AST

ER w

ere

used

for t

his r

esea

rch.

V

alid

atio

n of

SPS

-5 a

naly

sis w

as p

erfo

rmed

bas

ed o

n da

ta fr

om

the

C-L

TPP

data

base

supp

lied

by th

e C

anad

ian

Stra

tegi

c H

ighw

ay

Res

earc

h Pr

ogra

m (C

-SH

RP)

.

69

effe

cts a

re 1

.8 p

erce

nt a

nd 2

.7 p

erce

nt, r

espe

ctiv

ely.

The

pre

senc

e of

thes

e in

tera

ctiv

e ef

fect

s mea

ns th

at w

hen

estim

atin

g th

e ef

fect

of

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

or o

verla

y th

ickn

ess o

n as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess,

the

effe

ct sh

ould

be

cons

ider

ed in

com

bina

tion

with

the

pave

men

t ro

ughn

ess b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g. N

o ot

her s

tatis

tical

ly si

gnifi

cant

in

tera

ctiv

e ef

fect

s are

app

aren

t fro

m th

e an

alys

is.

Page 73: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

68

Tab

le 7

. R

esul

ts o

f ana

lysi

s of v

aria

nce

for

loga

rith

m o

f pri

or

roug

hnes

s for

SPS

-5 si

tes

Sour

ce o

f V

aria

tion

Sum

of

Squa

res

Deg

rees

of

Fr

eedo

m

Mea

n Sq

uare

F-

valu

e St

atis

tical

Si

gnifi

canc

e

Prio

r Rou

ghne

ss

0.27

0 1

0.

270

5.56

9 0.

035

Erro

r 0.

630

13

0.04

8 –

– To

tal

0.90

0 14

– –

INV

EST

IGA

TIO

N O

F IN

TE

RA

CT

IVE

EFF

EC

TS

As n

oted

ear

lier i

n th

is p

aper

, the

eff

ects

of s

urfa

ce p

repa

ratio

n an

d pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

stat

istic

ally

influ

ence

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of a

pav

emen

t, an

d th

e ef

fect

of o

verla

y th

ickn

ess h

as a

mar

gina

lly st

atis

tical

influ

ence

on

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of a

pav

emen

t. T

o fu

lly u

nder

stan

d th

e fa

ctor

s tha

t in

fluen

ce th

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent,

it is

als

o ne

cess

ary

to in

vest

igat

e th

e in

tera

ctiv

e ef

fect

s. T

he b

est m

etho

d fo

r ex

amin

ing

the

inte

ract

ive

effe

cts i

s to

perf

orm

a re

peat

ed-m

easu

res

anal

ysis

on

the

effe

cts o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion,

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s, ov

erla

y m

ater

ial,

and

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g. T

he

limite

d am

ount

of d

ata

requ

ires t

hat p

avem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

be c

ateg

oriz

ed in

to h

igh

and

low

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss.

An

IRI l

evel

of 1

.5 m

/km

(95

inch

es/m

ile) w

as se

lect

ed a

s an

appr

opria

te le

vel t

o se

para

te lo

w a

nd h

igh

prio

r pav

emen

t ro

ughn

ess.

The

with

in-s

ubje

cts e

ffec

ts fo

r rep

eate

d m

easu

red

anal

ysis

are

pr

esen

ted

in ta

ble

8 an

d th

e be

twee

n-su

bjec

ts e

ffec

ts a

re p

rese

nted

in

tabl

e 9.

The

resu

lts fo

r the

repe

ated

mea

sure

s ana

lysi

s con

firm

th

e re

sults

of t

he p

revi

ous p

aire

d-da

ta a

naly

sis r

elat

ed to

the

indi

vidu

al e

ffec

ts o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion,

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s, an

d ov

erla

y m

ater

ial.

The

ana

lysi

s als

o in

dica

tes t

hat t

here

are

st

atis

tical

ly si

gnifi

cant

(at a

95

perc

ent s

igni

fican

ce le

vel)

inte

ract

ive

effe

cts f

or su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n an

d pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

be

fore

resu

rfac

ing

as w

ell a

s for

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s and

pav

emen

t ro

ughn

ess b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g. T

he p

-val

ues f

or th

ese

inte

ract

ive

57

Tab

le 1

. SP

S-5

expe

rim

enta

l tes

t sec

tions

Sect

ion

Surf

ace

Prep

arat

ion

Des

ign

Ove

rlay

T

hick

ness

(m

m)*

Ove

rlay

M

ater

ial

502

Bas

ic

50

Rec

ycle

d

503

Bas

ic

125

Rec

ycle

d

504

Bas

ic

125

Virg

in

505

Bas

ic

50

Virg

in

506

Inte

nsiv

e 50

V

irgin

507

Inte

nsiv

e 12

5 V

irgin

508

Inte

nsiv

e 12

5 R

ecyc

led

509

Inte

nsiv

e 50

R

ecyc

led

1 m

m =

0.0

39 in

ch

* D

esig

n ov

erla

y th

ickn

ess d

oes n

ot in

clud

e re

plac

emen

t of m

illed

mat

eria

l

AS-

BU

ILT

RO

UG

HN

ESS

PA

VE

ME

NT

SE

CT

ION

S

As-

built

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss m

easu

rem

ents

wer

e ta

ken

for e

ach

sect

ion

imm

edia

tely

afte

r res

urfa

cing

for t

he 1

7 si

tes a

nd a

re

show

n in

tabl

e 2.

Rou

ghne

ss is

qua

ntifi

ed b

ased

on

the

IRI.

The

ta

ble

also

pro

vide

s the

ave

rage

as-

built

IRI f

or e

ach

site

, the

av

erag

e as

-bui

lt IR

I det

erm

ined

for e

ach

sect

ion

treat

men

t, co

rres

pond

ing

stan

dard

dev

iatio

ns, a

nd c

oeff

icie

nts o

f var

iatio

ns.

Five

of t

he a

s-bu

ilt IR

I val

ues f

or M

aine

wer

e m

issi

ng fr

om th

e da

taba

se, r

equi

ring

extra

pola

tion

from

the

IRI d

ata

2 ye

ars

follo

win

g co

nstru

ctio

n. T

he e

xtra

pola

tion

of th

ese

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s val

ues i

s bas

ed o

n th

e av

erag

e ch

ange

in IR

I for

the

othe

r thr

ee se

ctio

ns d

urin

g th

is ti

me

perio

d.

An

exam

inat

ion

of th

e av

erag

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f the

var

ious

se

ctio

ns in

dica

tes t

hat m

ost a

vera

ges a

re c

lose

to th

e ov

eral

l av

erag

e of

0.9

1 m

/km

(58

inch

es p

er m

ile (i

nche

s/m

i). S

ectio

n 50

2 (b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion,

thin

ove

rlay,

and

recy

cled

mat

eria

l)

Page 74: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

58

and

sect

ion

508

(inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n, th

ick

over

lay,

and

re

cycl

ed m

ater

ial)

have

the

grea

test

dev

iatio

n fr

om th

e ov

eral

l site

av

erag

e. S

ectio

n 50

2 ha

s a h

igh

aver

age

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of 0

.97

m/k

m (6

1 in

ches

/mile

); se

ctio

n 50

8 ha

s a lo

w a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess o

f 0.

86 m

/km

(54

inch

es/m

ile).

The

theo

ry th

at e

xten

sive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

and

thic

k ov

erla

ys p

rovi

de th

e sm

ooth

est a

s-bu

ilt

pave

men

ts w

ould

seem

to b

e co

nsis

tent

with

the

aver

age

roug

hnes

s va

lues

for s

ectio

ns 5

02 a

nd 5

08.

Wha

t rem

ains

une

xpla

ined

is w

hy

the

corr

espo

ndin

g se

ctio

ns w

ith d

iffer

ent o

verla

y m

ater

ial d

o no

t pr

ovid

e si

mila

r as-

built

roug

hnes

s val

ues.

Bec

ause

the

type

of

over

lay

mat

eria

l is n

ot c

onsi

dere

d to

aff

ect a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess,

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of s

ectio

ns 5

05 (b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion,

thin

ov

erla

y, a

nd v

irgin

mat

eria

l) an

d 50

7 (in

tens

ive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion,

thic

k ov

erla

y, a

nd v

irgin

mat

eria

l) sh

ould

cor

resp

ond

with

the

aver

ages

for s

ectio

ns 5

02 a

nd 5

08.

The

aver

age

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s for

sect

ion

505

is sl

ight

ly g

reat

er th

an th

e ov

eral

l av

erag

e an

d th

e av

erag

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess f

or se

ctio

n 50

7 is

sl

ight

ly lo

wer

than

the

over

all a

vera

ge.

The

effe

ct o

f the

var

ious

tre

atm

ents

on

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s is e

xam

ined

late

r in

this

pap

er.

67

sign

ifica

nt e

ffec

t (at

a tw

o-ta

iled

95 p

erce

nt si

gnifi

canc

e le

vel)

on

as-b

uilt

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss.

Pave

men

ts w

ith a

hig

h pa

vem

ent

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

will

tend

to h

ave

a hi

gher

as-

built

ro

ughn

ess a

fter r

esur

faci

ng.

The

estim

ate

of th

e re

gres

sion

slop

e is

0.

29, w

hich

indi

cate

s tha

t for

eve

ry 1

.0 m

/km

(63

inch

es/m

ile)

incr

ease

in p

avem

ent I

RI b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g th

ere

will

be

an

expe

cted

0.2

9 m

/km

(18

inch

es/m

ile) i

ncre

ase

in a

s-bu

ilt IR

I. T

he

regr

essi

on li

ne is

bas

ed o

n th

e av

erag

e ro

ughn

ess f

or e

ach

site

be

fore

resu

rfac

ing

and

the

aver

age

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s for

eac

h si

te.

The

data

exc

lude

two

site

s, N

ew M

exic

o an

d M

anito

ba, b

ecau

se

limite

d in

form

atio

n is

ava

ilabl

e on

the

roug

hnes

s of t

hese

site

s be

fore

resu

rfac

ing.

Fi

gure

2.

As-

built

rou

ghne

ss v

ersu

s pri

or r

ough

ness

fo

r SP

S-5

data

y = 0

.287

4x +

0.4

506

R2 =

0.2

999

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Prio

r IRI

(m/k

m)

As-Built IRI (m/km)

Page 75: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

66

resu

lts o

f a c

ompa

rison

of t

he e

ffec

t of o

verla

y m

ater

ial o

n as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess a

re sh

own

in ta

ble

6. T

he re

sults

indi

cate

that

ther

e ar

e es

sent

ially

no

stat

istic

al d

iffer

ence

s in

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s bet

wee

n re

cycl

ed a

nd v

irgin

mix

ture

s. A

ll of

the

p-va

lues

are

clo

se to

a

valu

e of

one

, ind

icat

ing

no re

latio

nshi

p w

ith a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess.

Tab

le 6

. Pa

ired

dat

a an

alys

is o

f the

eff

ect o

f ove

rlay

mat

eria

l on

as-

built

IRI

Dat

a Se

t

Mea

n D

iffer

ence

(m

/km

)

Stan

dard

D

evia

tion

of

Diff

eren

ces

(m/k

m)

Obs

er-

vatio

ns

t-st

atis

tic

Stat

istic

al

Sign

ifica

nce

(2-t

aile

d)

D

ata

with

pr

ior I

RI

grea

ter

than

1.5

m

/km

0.00

5 0.

144

9 0.

099

0.92

4

Dat

a w

ith

prio

r IR

I le

ss th

an

1.5

m/k

m

0.00

0 0.

155

6 −0

.004

0.

997

All

0.

002

0.13

5 17

0.

060

0.95

3

1 m

/km

= 6

3.36

inch

es/m

ile

CO

MPA

RIS

ON

OF

PAV

EM

EN

T R

OU

GH

NE

SS B

EFO

RE

RE

SUR

FAC

ING

As o

utlin

ed p

revi

ousl

y, th

e SP

S-5

expe

rimen

tal s

ectio

ns w

ere

setu

p as

a fa

ctor

ial e

xper

imen

t bas

ed o

n ex

tent

of s

urfa

ce

prep

arat

ion,

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s, an

d ty

pe o

f ove

rlay

mat

eria

l.

Bec

ause

the

effe

ct o

f pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g ca

nnot

be

inve

stig

ated

in th

e sa

me

man

ner a

s the

fact

oria

l va

riabl

es, a

regr

essi

on a

naly

sis w

as p

erfo

rmed

to d

eter

min

e w

heth

er th

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent i

s aff

ecte

d by

the

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g. A

plo

t of t

he re

gres

sion

an

alys

is is

show

n in

figu

re 2

, and

the

anal

ysis

of v

aria

nce

stat

istic

s ar

e sh

own

in ta

ble

7. T

he p

-val

ue is

3.5

per

cent

, whi

ch in

dica

tes

that

the

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g ha

s a st

atis

tical

ly

59

Tab

le 2

. A

s-bu

ilt IR

I mea

sure

men

ts

As-

Bui

lt IR

I (m

/km

) T

est S

ectio

n N

umbe

r St

ate/

Pr

ovin

ce

502

503

504

505

506

507

508

509

Ave

r-ag

e (m

/km

) A

laba

ma

0.77

0.

83

0.85

0.

82

0.70

0.

76

0.93

0.

81

0.81

A

rizon

a 1.

36

0.95

1.

20

1.27

1.

02

1.30

0.

94

1.03

1.

13

Cal

iforn

ia

0.95

1.

08

1.02

0.

72

0.81

0.

83

0.75

1.

01

0.90

C

olor

ado

0.94

0.

78

0.83

0.

78

0.93

0.

70

0.78

0.

91

0.83

Fl

orid

a 0.

68

0.74

0.

64

0.49

0.

50

0.55

0.

72

0.57

0.

61

Geo

rgia

0.

52

0.54

0.

49

0.56

0.

47

0.47

0.

66

0.52

0.

53

Mai

ne

0.68

0.

88

0.84

0.

67

0.79

0.

82

0.75

0.

98

0.80

M

aryl

and

1.39

1.

03

0.91

1.

01

0.74

0.

88

0.79

1.

03

0.97

M

inne

sota

0.

85

0.76

1.

12

1.08

1.

08

0.85

1.

00

078

0.94

M

issi

ssip

pi

1.41

1.

80

1.20

1.

72

1.41

1.

26

1.41

1.

78

1.50

M

onta

na

0.82

0.

99

0.72

0.

66

0.67

1.

14

0.76

0.

69

0.81

N

ew Je

rsey

0.

99

0.67

0.

72

0.89

0.

73

0.78

0.

74

0.75

0.

78

New

Mex

ico

0.59

0.

45

0.44

0.

47

0.44

0.

51

0.49

0.

50

0.49

O

klah

oma

1.13

1.

01

1.07

1.

02

1.00

0.

88

0.94

0.

91

1.00

Te

xas

1.23

1.

11

1.54

1.

36

1.52

1.

45

1.06

1.

24

1.32

A

lber

ta

1.04

1.

05

1.29

1.

14

1.06

1.

38

1.04

1.

01

1.12

M

anito

ba

1.20

0.

79

0.79

1.

08

1.45

0.

69

0.81

0.

99

0.97

A

vera

ge

0.97

0.

91

0.92

0.

92

0.90

0.

90

0.86

0.

91

0.91

St

anda

rd

Dev

iatio

n 0.

28

0.30

0.

29

0.34

0.

33

0.30

0.

20

0.30

0.

26

Coe

ffic

ient

of

Var

iatio

n 0.

29

0.33

0.

32

0.36

0.

37

0.34

0.

24

0.33

0.

29

1 m

/km

= 6

3.36

inch

es/m

ile

PRIO

R R

OU

GH

NE

SS O

F PA

VE

ME

NT

SE

CT

ION

S

Rou

ghne

ss m

easu

rem

ents

for e

ach

sect

ion

befo

re re

surf

acin

g ar

e sh

own

in ta

ble

3. T

he ta

ble

also

pro

vide

s the

ave

rage

prio

r IR

I for

ea

ch si

te, t

he a

vera

ge p

rior I

RI d

eter

min

ed fo

r eac

h se

ctio

n tre

atm

ent,

and

the

corr

espo

ndin

g st

anda

rd d

evia

tions

and

co

effic

ient

s of v

aria

tions

. R

ough

ness

mea

sure

men

ts b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g ar

e no

t ava

ilabl

e fo

r the

Man

itoba

site

. Th

e N

ew

Mex

ico

site

has

prio

r rou

ghne

ss m

easu

rem

ents

for o

nly

two

sect

ions

. B

ecau

se th

ere

is c

onsi

dera

ble

varia

tion

in th

e tw

o ro

ughn

ess v

alue

s (1.

74 m

/km

(110

inch

es/m

ile) a

nd 3

.04

m/k

m

(193

inch

es/m

ile),

the

mea

sure

men

ts w

ere

not i

ncor

pora

ted

into

th

e an

alys

es (i

.e.,

the

New

Mex

ico

site

was

eva

luat

ed w

ithou

t prio

r ro

ughn

ess m

easu

rem

ents

). T

wo

othe

r site

s, C

olor

ado

and

Page 76: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

60

Min

neso

ta, w

ere

mis

sing

roug

hnes

s mea

sure

men

ts b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g fo

r at l

east

one

sect

ion.

The

se si

tes w

ere

eval

uate

d ba

sed

on th

e in

form

atio

n av

aila

ble,

with

the

aver

age

site

roug

hnes

s be

ing

subs

titut

ed fo

r mis

sing

val

ues.

Tab

le 3

. IR

I mea

sure

men

ts b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g

As-

Bui

lt IR

I (m

/km

) T

est S

ectio

n N

umbe

r St

ate/

Pr

ovin

ce

502

503

504

505

506

507

508

509

Ave

rage

(m

/km

)

Ala

bam

a 1.

04

0.99

1.

03

1.14

1.

05

1.24

1.

06

1.71

1.

16

Ariz

ona

2.01

1.

69

1.55

2.

56

1.73

1.

83

1.55

2.

38

1.91

C

alifo

rnia

3.

13

1.78

1.

89

1.55

1.

81

2.35

2.

06

2.13

2.

09

Col

orad

o 1.

49

1.74

1.

51

1.38

1.

86

1.

60

Flor

ida

1.07

1.

03

1.40

1.

45

0.97

1.

14

1.12

1.

07

1.16

G

eorg

ia

1.07

0.

96

1.11

1.

21

1.07

0.

88

0.91

0.

99

1.03

M

aine

1.

02

1.21

1.

37

1.27

1.

16

1.43

1.

24

1.10

1.

22

Mar

ylan

d 1.

60

2.07

2.

02

1.53

1.

35

1.41

1.

47

1.36

1.

60

Min

neso

ta

2.80

2.

74

3.17

2.

55

2.

64

2.49

2.

95

2.76

M

issi

ssip

pi

2.58

2.

70

2.42

1.

75

2.06

2.

07

2.33

2.

73

2.33

M

onta

na

1.56

1.

80

1.39

1.

07

1.95

1.

03

1.34

0.

98

1.39

N

ew Je

rsey

2.

07

2.02

1.

61

1.80

1.

74

2.05

1.

53

2.18

1.

88

New

Mex

ico

O

klah

oma

2.51

2.

04

2.08

1.

07

2.01

2.

31

1.76

1.

59

1.92

Te

xas

1.37

1.

49

1.38

1.

55

1.18

1.

46

1.26

1.

95

1.45

A

lber

ta

2.06

2.

09

2.41

1.

38

1.50

1.

62

1.80

1.

98

1.85

M

anito

ba

A

vera

ge

1.83

1.

76

1.76

1.

55

1.51

1.

68

1.59

1.

79

1.68

St

anda

rd

Dev

iatio

n 0.

69

0.56

0.

58

0.46

0.

40

0.54

0.

46

0.65

0.

48

Coe

ffic

ient

of

Var

iatio

n 0.

38

0.32

0.

33

0.30

0.

26

0.32

0.

29

0.36

0.

29

1 m

/km

= 6

3.36

inch

es/m

ile

The

aver

age

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

for t

he si

tes i

s 1.6

8 m

/km

(106

inch

es/m

ile).

Sec

tion

506

has t

he lo

wes

t ave

rage

ro

ughn

ess b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g of

1.5

1 m

/km

(96

inch

es/m

ile) a

nd

sect

ion

502

has t

he h

ighe

st, o

f 1.8

3 m

/km

(116

inch

es/m

ile).

If th

e IR

I bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

is re

late

d to

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of a

pa

vem

ent,

the

low

prio

r IR

I for

sect

ions

505

and

508

may

hel

p ex

plai

n w

hy th

eir a

vera

ge a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess v

alue

s are

low

er th

an

for t

heir

corr

espo

ndin

g se

ctio

ns w

ith d

iffer

ent o

verla

y m

ater

ial

65

stat

istic

ally

sign

ifica

nt a

t a tw

o-ta

iled

sign

ifica

nce

leve

l of 9

5 pe

rcen

t, w

hen

the

anal

ysis

is c

onsi

dere

d fr

om a

one

-sid

ed

appr

oach

, the

p-v

alue

bec

omes

6.0

5 pe

rcen

t, w

hich

is c

lose

to

bein

g st

atis

tical

ly si

gnifi

cant

at a

95

perc

ent s

igni

fican

ce le

vel.

The

mea

n di

ffer

ence

in IR

I bet

wee

n th

in a

nd th

ick

over

lays

is −

0.06

3 m

/km

(−4.

0 in

ches

/mile

) for

pav

emen

ts w

ith a

low

pav

emen

t ro

ughn

ess b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g. T

he d

iffer

ence

is n

ot st

atis

tical

ly

sign

ifica

nt. H

owev

er, t

he fa

ct th

at p

avem

ents

with

a h

igh

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g ha

ve a

pos

itive

diff

eren

ce

in IR

I and

pav

emen

ts w

ith a

low

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g ha

ve a

neg

ativ

e di

ffer

ence

sugg

ests

a p

ossi

ble

inte

ract

ive

effe

ct w

ith p

rior r

ough

ness

. Th

is in

tera

ctiv

e ef

fect

is

exam

ined

late

r in

this

pap

er.

Tab

le 5

. Pa

ired

dat

a an

alys

is o

f the

eff

ect o

f des

ign

over

lay

thic

knes

s on

as-b

uilt

IRI

Dat

a Se

t M

ean

Diff

eren

ce

(m/k

m)

Stan

dard

D

evia

tion

of

Diff

eren

ces

(m/k

m)

Obs

er-

vatio

ns

t-st

atis

tic

Stat

istic

al

Sign

ifica

nce

(2-t

aile

d)

Dat

a w

ith

prio

r IR

I gr

eate

r th

an 1

.5

m/k

m

0.05

5 0.

095

9 1.

736

0.12

1

Dat

a w

ith

prio

r IR

I le

ss th

an

1.5

m/k

m

−0.0

63

0.08

1 6

−1.9

06

0.11

5

All

0.

033

0.13

9 17

0.

969

0.34

7

1 m

/km

= 6

3.36

inch

es/m

ile

CO

MPA

RIS

ON

OF

OV

ER

LA

Y M

AT

ER

IAL

The

type

of o

verla

y m

ater

ial (

i.e.,

recy

cled

or v

irgin

) has

not

tra

ditio

nally

bee

n co

nsid

ered

an

influ

enci

ng fa

ctor

in p

avem

ent

roug

hnes

s, bu

t is i

nves

tigat

ed to

con

firm

its l

ack

of e

ffec

t. T

he

Page 77: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

64

thro

ugh

the

use

of p

rope

r pav

ing

tech

niqu

es a

nd g

rade

con

trols

. Sh

ould

a p

erfe

ctly

smoo

th a

spha

lt la

yer b

e pl

aced

ove

r a p

revi

ous

pave

men

t dev

iatio

n, th

e su

bseq

uent

com

pact

ion

of th

e as

phal

t mix

by

rolle

rs w

ill “

refle

ct”

a po

rtion

of t

he ro

ughn

ess i

nto

the

new

as

phal

t lay

er, a

s illu

stra

ted

in fi

gure

1.

Asp

halt

behi

nd a

pav

ing

scre

ed is

at a

ppro

xim

atel

y 70

to 8

0 pe

rcen

t of t

heor

etic

al

max

imum

den

sity

, whi

le th

e fin

al a

spha

lt co

mpa

ctio

n is

gen

eral

ly

arou

nd 9

4 pe

rcen

t of t

heor

etic

al m

axim

um d

ensi

ty (U

SAC

E,

1991

). T

his a

dditi

onal

con

solid

atio

n ca

n re

sult

in a

ppro

xim

atel

y 20

per

cent

of t

he p

revi

ous d

evia

tions

bei

ng re

flect

ed in

to th

e ne

w

asph

alt l

ift.

It sh

ould

be

note

d th

at th

e ov

erla

y th

ickn

ess v

alue

s pr

esen

ted

earli

er d

o no

t inc

lude

the

repl

acem

ent o

f mill

ed m

ater

ial

for s

ectio

ns w

here

pav

emen

t mill

ing

was

per

form

ed.

Fi

gure

1.

Lim

itatio

n on

ach

ievi

ng a

smoo

th p

avem

ent w

ith

a si

ngle

lift

of a

spha

lt

A c

ompa

rison

of t

he a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess o

f thi

n ov

erla

ys in

rela

tion

to th

ick

over

lays

is sh

own

in ta

ble

5. T

he re

sults

of t

his a

naly

sis

indi

cate

no

stat

istic

ally

sign

ifica

nt d

iffer

ence

s in

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s co

mpa

red

to o

verla

y th

ickn

ess.

Alth

ough

the

mea

n di

ffer

ence

in

IRI b

etw

een

thin

and

thic

k ov

erla

ys is

0.0

33 m

/km

(2.1

in

ches

/mile

), th

e tw

o-ta

iled

p-va

lue

is 3

5 pe

rcen

t, w

hich

indi

cate

s no

stat

istic

ally

sign

ifica

nt re

latio

nshi

p (a

t a tw

o-ta

iled

sign

ifica

nce

leve

l of 9

5 pe

rcen

t) is

pre

sent

. Th

e m

ean

diff

eren

ce in

IRI

betw

een

thin

and

thic

k ov

erla

ys is

0.0

55 m

/km

(3.5

inch

es/m

ile)

for p

avem

ents

with

a h

igh

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g w

ith a

two-

taile

d p-

valu

e of

12.

1 pe

rcen

t. A

lthou

gh n

ot

Ove

rlay

Mat

eria

l O

verla

y M

ater

ial

Behi

nd s

cree

d ap

prox

imat

ely

70–8

0 pe

rcen

t den

sity

Af

ter c

ompa

ctio

n w

ith ro

llers

ap

prox

imat

ely

94 p

erce

nt d

ensi

ty

Exis

ting

Pave

men

t E

xist

ing

Pave

men

t

61

(i.e.

, sec

tions

502

and

507

). S

imila

rly, t

he h

igh

prio

r IR

I of s

ectio

n 50

9 m

ay h

elp

expl

ain

why

its a

vera

ge a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess i

s hig

her

than

sect

ion

506,

the

corr

espo

ndin

g se

ctio

n w

ith d

iffer

ent o

verla

y m

ater

ial.

INV

EST

IGA

TIO

N O

F IN

FLU

EN

CE

S O

N A

S-B

UIL

T

RO

UG

HN

ESS

The

influ

ence

s on

as-b

uilt

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss a

re in

vest

igat

ed

usin

g se

vera

l sta

tistic

al te

chni

ques

. Th

e ef

fect

s of s

urfa

ce

prep

arat

ion,

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s, an

d ov

erla

y m

ater

ial o

n as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess a

re in

vest

igat

ed b

ased

on

a se

ries o

f pai

red

anal

yses

. Th

e pa

ired

anal

yses

con

side

r the

var

ious

eff

ects

bas

ed o

n th

ree

data

sets

: pav

emen

t site

s with

a h

igh

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g (i.

e., I

RI g

reat

er th

an 1

.5 m

/km

(95

inch

es/m

ile))

; pa

vem

ent s

ites w

ith a

low

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g (i.

e., I

RI l

ess t

han

1.5

m/k

m (9

5 in

ches

/mile

)); a

nd a

ll si

tes.

Fo

llow

ing

the

paire

d da

ta a

naly

sis,

a re

gres

sion

ana

lysi

s is

pref

orm

ed to

exa

min

e th

e in

fluen

ce o

f pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g on

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of a

pav

emen

t. T

his a

naly

sis

is re

quire

d to

exa

min

e pa

vem

ent r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

as a

qu

antit

ativ

e va

riabl

e. A

third

stat

istic

al to

ol, a

repe

ated

mea

sure

s an

alys

is, i

s use

d to

exa

min

e th

e in

tera

ctiv

e ef

fect

s of s

urfa

ce

prep

arat

ion,

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s, ov

erla

y m

ater

ial a

nd p

avem

ent

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

on th

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f a

pave

men

t. N

ext,

regr

essi

on a

naly

ses a

re p

erfo

rmed

on

data

from

th

e C

-LTP

P pr

ogra

m to

val

idat

e so

me

of th

e co

nclu

sion

s rea

ched

fr

om th

e SP

S-5

data

. La

stly

, reg

ress

ion

anal

yses

are

per

form

ed o

n th

e SP

S-5

data

to d

evel

op fo

ur p

redi

ctio

n eq

uatio

ns fo

r est

imat

ing

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of a

pav

emen

t. A

95

perc

ent s

tatis

tical

si

gnifi

canc

e le

vel w

as se

lect

ed fo

r all

anal

yses

as t

he c

riter

ia to

id

entif

y th

e pr

esen

ce o

f a si

gnifi

cant

rela

tions

hip.

S UR

FAC

E P

RE

PAR

AT

ION

The

SPS-

5 te

st se

ctio

ns in

volv

ed tw

o ty

pes o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion,

ba

sic

and

inte

nsiv

e (P

erer

a, B

yrum

, and

Koh

n, 1

998;

Per

era,

and

K

ohn,

199

9).

Inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n co

nsis

ts o

f mill

ing

the

Page 78: Winning Papers From the 2001–2002 International Contest on ......winning technical papers from the Third Annual International Contest on LTPP Data Analysis 2001–2002, various authors

62

exis

ting

asph

alt f

ollo

wed

by

patc

hing

dis

tress

ed a

reas

and

cra

ck

seal

ing.

Bas

ic su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n is

inte

nded

to c

onsi

st o

f pa

tchi

ng se

vere

ly d

istre

ssed

are

as a

nd p

otho

les,

and

plac

emen

t of a

le

velin

g co

urse

for r

uts g

reat

er th

an 1

2 m

m (0

.47

inch

es) i

n de

pth,

al

thou

gh th

e co

nstru

ctio

n in

form

atio

n in

dica

tes t

hat 5

of t

he 1

7 si

tes h

ad m

illin

g pe

rfor

med

for t

he se

ctio

ns d

esig

nate

d fo

r bas

ic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion.

Whe

re m

illin

g w

as p

erfo

rmed

, the

dep

th o

f re

plac

emen

t mat

eria

l was

not

cou

nted

as t

he p

art o

f the

ove

rlay

thic

knes

s spe

cifie

d fo

r the

sect

ion

(Per

era,

Byr

um, a

nd K

ohn,

19

98; P

erer

a, a

nd K

ohn,

199

9).

The

prim

ary

diff

eren

ce in

the

two

exte

nts o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion

is w

heth

er o

r not

mill

ing

of th

e ex

istin

g as

phal

t pav

emen

t is p

erfo

rmed

. M

illin

g is

a te

chni

que

than

pla

nes o

ff th

e ex

istin

g as

phal

t to

a pr

edet

erm

ined

dep

th.

The

Asp

halt

Inst

itute

(AI)

repo

rts th

at m

illin

g ca

n of

ten

rem

ove

roug

hnes

s bet

ter t

han

an a

spha

lt pa

ver b

ecau

se o

f its

gre

ater

abi

lity

to re

mov

e a

varia

ble

thic

knes

s of m

ater

ial (

AI,

1989

). A

pai

red

com

paris

on o

f the

as-

built

roug

hnes

s of p

avem

ent s

ectio

ns w

ith

diff

eren

t ext

ents

of s

urfa

ce p

repa

ratio

n is

show

n in

tabl

e 4,

whi

ch

is se

para

ted

into

thre

e ro

ws.

The

firs

t row

pre

sent

s dat

a fr

om

pave

men

t site

s with

a h

igh

pave

men

t rou

ghne

ss b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g (i.

e., I

RI g

reat

er th

an 1

.5 m

/km

(95

inch

es/m

ile))

; the

seco

nd ro

w

pres

ents

dat

a fr

om p

avem

ent s

ites w

ith a

low

pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss

befo

re re

surf

acin

g (i.

e., I

RI l

ess t

han

1.5

m/k

m (9

5 in

ches

/mile

));

and

the

third

row

pre

sent

s the

com

plet

e se

t of d

ata.

The

resu

lts

indi

cate

that

ther

e is

an

over

all s

igni

fican

t diff

eren

ce (a

t a tw

o-ta

iled

sign

ifica

nce

leve

l of 9

5 pe

rcen

t) in

the

as-b

uilt

roug

hnes

s of

pave

men

t sec

tions

with

bas

ic a

nd e

xten

sive

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion.

Th

is st

atis

tical

diff

eren

ce is

evi

dent

with

bot

h th

e co

mpl

ete

data

set

and

for t

he d

ata

with

a h

igh

roug

hnes

s bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing.

No

sign

ifica

nt st

atis

tical

diff

eren

ce w

as fo

und

for t

he d

ata

from

site

s w

ith a

low

roug

hnes

s lev

el b

efor

e re

surf

acin

g. I

n fa

ct, t

he m

ean

diff

eren

ce in

as-

built

roug

hnes

s for

thes

e si

tes i

s ess

entia

lly z

ero,

in

dica

ting

no d

iffer

ence

in a

s-bu

ilt ro

ughn

ess f

or th

e di

ffer

ent

leve

ls o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion.

Thi

s lac

k of

diff

eren

ce m

ay b

e be

caus

e a

low

prio

r pav

emen

t rou

ghne

ss d

oes n

ot p

rovi

de a

n ad

equa

te o

ppor

tuni

ty fo

r the

eff

ect o

f sur

face

pre

para

tion

to b

e de

mon

stra

ted.

The

pai

red

t-tes

t ana

lyse

s ind

icat

es th

at o

n av

erag

e,

63

ther

e is

a 0

.040

m/k

m (2

.5 in

ches

/mile

) low

er a

s-bu

ilt IR

I for

pa

vem

ents

con

stru

cted

with

inte

nsiv

e su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n as

co

mpa

red

with

pav

emen

ts c

onst

ruct

ed w

ith b

asic

surf

ace

prep

arat

ion

(i.e.

, int

ensi

ve su

rfac

e pr

epar

atio

n co

ntrib

utes

to

smoo

ther

as-

built

pav

emen

ts).

Whe

n on

ly p

avem

ents

with

a h

igh

leve

l of r

ough

ness

bef

ore

resu

rfac

ing

are

exam

ined

, the

ave

rage

di

ffer

ence

in a

s-bu

ilt IR

I inc

reas

es to

0.0

81 m

/km

(5.1

in

ches

/mile

).

Tab

le 4

. Pai

red

data

ana

lysi

s of t

he e

ffec

t of s

urfa

ce

prep

arat

ion

on a

s-bu

ilt IR

I

Dat

a Se

t

Mea

n D

iffer

ence

(m

/km

)

Stan

dard

D

evia

tion

of

diff

eren

ces

(m/k

m)

Obs

er-

vatio

ns

t-st

atis

tic

Stat

istic

al

Sign

ifica

nce

(2-t

aile

d)

Dat

a w

ith

prio

r IR

I gr

eate

r th

an 1

.5

m/k

m

0.08

1 0.

070

9 3.

489

0.00

8

Dat

a w

ith

prio

r IR

I le

ss th

an

1.5

m/k

m

−0.0

04

0.04

5 6

−0.2

60

0.80

6

All

0.04

0 0.

070

17

2.38

5 0.

030

1 m

/km

= 6

3.36

inch

es/m

ile

OV

ER

LA

Y T

HIC

KN

ESS

Ove

rlay

thic

knes

s is c

onsi

dere

d to

be

a co

ntrib

utin

g fa

ctor

to th

e as

-bui

lt ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent.

Thi

cker

ove

rlays

pro

vide

a

cont

ract

or m

ore

oppo

rtuni

ty to

redu

ce th

e ro

ughn

ess o

f a p

avem

ent

sect

ion.

Thi

s im

prov

emen

t can

be

attri

bute

d to

the

fact

that

thic

ker

over

lays

typi

cally

invo

lve

mor

e lif

ts, w

hich

allo

w fo

r inc

rem

enta

l im

prov

emen

ts in

pav

emen

t sm

ooth

ness

. Th

e op

portu

nity

for

impr

ovin

g sm

ooth

ness

with

mor

e ov

erla

y lif

ts is

rela

ted

to th

e op

erat

iona

l con

stra

ints

of a

n as

phal

t pav

er.

One

obj

ectiv

e of

an

asph

alt p

aver

is to

pro

duce

a sm

ooth

asp

halt

mat

beh

ind

the

scre

ed