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Winter 2011 Presentation

Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

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Page 1: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Winter 2011 Presentation

Page 2: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

A Deep Basin Stronghold

Deep Basin specialists

500+ Deep Basin drilling locations on 200 gross sections

Multiple zone, stacked resource

plays

Liquids-rich gas production –economic at <$3.00/GJ

Forecast 2011 exit production:

11,000 boe/d Committed team

Focused on Simonette

2

Page 3: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Capitalization

Trading Symbol TSX: CQE

52-week trading range $1.89-$4.70

Shares outstanding FD 177 million

Insider ownership 11% FD

Market capitalization (1) $566 million

September 30, 2011 net debt (2) ($7.7) million

Bank line $110 million

(1) Based on Cequence stock price of $3.50 (2) September 30, 2011 net debt is calculated as cash, net working capital less commodity contract asset and demand credit

facilities and excluding obligations on flow-through shares included with accounts payable and accrued liabilities in the consolidated balance sheet.

3

Page 4: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

PEACE RIVER

EDMONTON

GRANDE PRAIRIE

BRITISH

COLUMBIA

ALBERTA

Focused on the Deep Basin

ALBERTA

Peace River Arch/NE BC

2011 Estimate: 3,450 boe/d

Deep Basin: Simonette-Kaybob

2011 Estimate: 5,500 boe/d

Other Areas

2011 Estimate: 100 boe/d

4

Page 5: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Simonette-Resthaven: A Great Postal Code

CQE land

Montney wells

Wilrich-Falher wells

Horizontal Well Activity

Resthaven

Celtic / Paramount

Montney

Karr

Paramount

Falher

Resthaven

Paramount

Dunvegan

Resthaven

Encana

Wilrich

Leland

Encana

Falher

Kakwa / Chime

Encana / Tourmaline

Falher / Wilrich

Dunvegan wells

North Simonette

Apache-AOSC

Montney

Simonette

CNRL

Dunvegan

Simonette

COP

Dunvegan

5

Page 6: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Trilogy Plant

CQE WI = 25%

Capacity 10 MMcf/d

Keyera Processing Facility

Capacity 153 MMcf/d

Available Capacity 90 MMcf/d

Cequence Alliance

Meter Station

Capacity 120 MMcf/d

To Aux Sable

Deep Cut Plant

Chicago, Illinois

Simonette: A Concentrated Land Base

• Simonette land

• 150 net sections (avg. 75% W.I.)

• Low operating and

transportation costs –

average of <$7.50/boe

• Aux Sable Rich Gas Premium Agreement expected to commence April, 2012 and projected to provide:

• Increase in realized product price • Reduction in processing fees • Increase to current netbacks of

approximately 15% • Additional take away capacity ~

120 MMcf/d

Existing 3D seismic

Proposed 2012 3D seismic

CQE land

6

CQE well

CQE field compressor

CQE Gathering system

CQE Planned gathering system

12” Keyera gathering system

Alliance pipeline

Page 7: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Stacked Zones Expose Significant Resources

Cequence land

5-10 bcf

5-10 bcf

5-24 bcf

5-25 bcf

30-60 bcf

Dunvegan

Falher

Wilrich

Gething

Montney

Zone Total Resource Potential/Sec

2,200m

2,950m

3,100m

2,700m

2,500m

2,800m

7

Page 8: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Simonette Montney Liquids-Rich Resource Play

CQE land

CQE Montney rights

Bypass pay wells

CQE Montney test well

CQE Montney Hz well

Planned thru Q1 2012 Montney locations

Montney inventory

• Delineation drilling to further de-risk land base

• 200 potential locations @ 4 wells/section

• 25 of 70 net sections de-risked

• 30-60 metres net pay

Fall 2011

Plan to Spring 2012

Full Development Plan (50 sections)

8

Page 9: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Montney Scorecard CQE Working Model vs. Well Results

Pro

du

cin

g D

aily

Gas

Rat

e (m

cf/d

)

Months on Production

Montney

23% NGL

77% Gas

58% Gas

42% NGL

Volume

Revenue

1-31

1-22

9

Page 10: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Simonette Wilrich Liquids-Rich Resource Play

CQE land

CQE Wilrich rights

Bypass pay wells

CQE Wilrich Hz well

Wilrich locations planned thru Q1 2012

Wilrich inventory

Fall 2011

• Delineation drilling to further de-risk land base

• 60-120 locations @ 1.5-3 wells/section

• 60+ net sections of total potential

• 20 sections de-risked through initial drilling

Plan to Spring 2012

Full Development Plan (40 sections)

10

Page 11: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Wilrich

Wilrich Scorecard CQE Horizontal Working Model vs. Well Results

Pro

du

cin

g D

aily

Gas

Rat

e (m

cf/d

)

Months on Production

12% NGL

88% Gas

76% Gas

24% NGL

Volume

Revenue

11

Page 12: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Montney and Wilrich Model Economics

Wilrich

Montney

Production Potential Gas Liquids ORGIP

Capital Cost/ Well ROR NPV

Model Payout

Breakeven Gas Price

4.5 mmcf/d

20

bbls/mmcf

4.0

BCF

$5.0 MM

75% $4.4 MM

17 months

$2.25/ mmbtu

4.5

mmcf/d

45

bbls/mmcf

4.5

BCF

$5.5

MM 90%+ $8.0

MM

14 months

<$2.00/ mmbtu

CQE Working Model @ $4.00/mmbtu

12

Page 13: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Other Stacked Cretaceous Potential

• 200 potential

Gething locations (two wells per section)

• Dunvegan and Falher activity in nearby pool indicates encouraging exploration potential

Dunvegan

Falher

Bluesky / Gething

13

Page 14: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Dunvegan

Falher

Wilrich

Gething

Montney

14

One drilling

pad could add

$100 MM of NPV to

Cequence

Single Well NPV ($mm)

Emerging

Emerging

4.4

2.6

8.0

Stacked Development Adds Significant Value

Potential Locations

60-120

200

150-200

?

?

Page 15: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Cequence Energy Results and Guidance

2010 2011 Guidance

Production (boe/d) Average (full year) (1)

Exit rate

4,451 7,485

9,050

11,000

Capital expenditures $64.1 MM $150 MM

Net acquisitions/(dispositions) (2) $216.6 MM ($24.0) MM

Equity issued (3) $65 MM $116 MM

Operating costs per boe $10.90 $9.00

Royalties (% of revenue) 12 13

Crude oil – WTI (Cdn$/bbl) $79.38 $97.50

Natural gas – AECO (Cdn$/GJ) $3.79 $3.63

Funds flow (4) Per share ($/basic share)

$19.1 MM $0.27

$45-$50 MM $0.32

December 31 net debt $73.1 MM $50-$55 MM

Basic shares outstanding, December 31 128.8 MM 161.9 MM

(1) 87% natural gas

(2) Includes the disposition of three properties in 2011 with combined production as of December 31, 2010 of approximately 990 boe/d and the acquisition of properties in Q2, 2011 with production of approximately 1,000 boe/d.

(3) Equity issued includes proceeds of $9.8 million from the exercise of 2.25 million CDE flow-through Warrants in August 2011, proceeds from the bought- deal financing which closed on March 17, 2011 pursuant to which the Company issued 13.4 million common shares and 2.1 million CEE flow-through common shares for total gross proceeds of approximately $45.5 million, proceeds from the issuance of 0.6 million shares pursuant to the exercise of stock options for proceeds of $1.2 million, proceeds from the bought-deal financing which closed on August 18, 2011 pursuant to which the Company issued 12.0 million common shares and 2.1 million CEE flow-through common shares for total gross proceeds of approximately $56.1 million, and proceeds from the sale of 0.7 million CEE flow-through common shares for total gross proceeds of approximately $3.0 million in October, 2011.

(4) Funds flow sensitivity: +/- $1 AECO is $16 million.

15

Page 16: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Decades of Deep Basin experience

Stacked zone potential with >500

drilling locations

Financial capacity

Economic at <$3.00/GJ

Cequence Energy: Worth Discovering

CQE

16

Page 17: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Forward-Looking Information

Certain information included in this presentation constitutes forward-looking information under applicable securities legislation. This information relates to future events or future performance of the Company. Investors are cautioned that reliance on such information may not be appropriate for making investment decisions. Many factors could cause the Company’s actual results, performance or achievements to vary from those described herein. The forward-looking information contained in this presentation is expressly qualified by this and other cautionary statements set forth in the continuous disclosure record of the Company.

17

Page 18: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Appendix

18

Page 19: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Simonette Gething Development

CQE land

CQE Gething rights

Gething gas wells

CQE location • 100 sections with Gething potential

• Typical Gething well drains 250 acres

• 200 plus potential locations

19

Page 20: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Simonette: The Basis of an Intermediate-Sized Inventory

Deep Basin Gething

Vertical Model

Wilrich HZ Working Model

Montney HZ Working Model

GAS PRICE cdn$/mmbtu $4.00

Reserves per well mboe 340 700 900

Model well costs – drill, case, complete and tie-in

$ millions $2.25 $5.00 $5.50

IP rate (1 month) Boe/d 320 700 800

Average first year rate Boe/d 220 450 500

Natural gas liquids Bbls/mmcf 15 20 45

IRR 78% 75% 90%+

NPV (10% BT) $ millions 2.6 4.4 8.0

F&D $/boe 6.62 7.14 6.11

POTENTIAL LOCATIONS 200 90-180 200+ 20

Page 21: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

AECO Wilrich

$4.00/mmbtu Montney

$4.00/mmbtu

NGL Yield 20 bbls/mmcf 45 bbls/mmcf

Per boe Per boe

Plant Gate Price $31.17 $35.86

Royalty (5%) $1.56 $1.79

Operating Cost + Transportation $7.00 $7.00

Operating Netback $22.61 $27.06

F&D (per boe) $7.14 $6.11

Recycle Ratio 3.30 times 4.43 times

Simonette – Model Horizontal Gas Netbacks

Assumes no GORR

21 (1) Utilizing pricing of $4.00/mmbtu AECO and $90/bbl WTI.

Excellent Economics

Page 22: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

$3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00 $5.50 $6.00

Simonette – Half-Cycle Economic Models

22

NP

V1

0 (

$M

)

Gas Price ($/mmbtu)

Page 23: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Financial Highlights

23

Q3 2011 Q2 2011 % Change

Average Daily Production 9,833 9,125 8

Funds flow from operations (1) $10,438 $12,042 (13)

Per share, basic and diluted $0.07 $0.08 (13)

Operating costs per boe $9.36 $8.96 4

G&A per boe $2.10 $2.37 (11)

Capital expenditures $31,222 $16,470 90

Net debt and working capital (deficiency) (2) $7,745 $65,147 (88)

Weighted average shares outstanding (basic and diluted)

152,549 144,314 6

(1) Funds flow from operations is calculated as cash flow from operating activities before adjustments for decommissioning liabilities and net changes in non-cash working capital.

(2) Net debt and working capital (deficiency) is calculated as cash, net working capital less commodity contract asset and demand credit facilities and excluding obligations on flow-through shares included with accounts payable and accrued liabilities in the consolidated balance sheet.

Page 24: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4, Est Q1, Est Q2, Est

30.22

23.98

19.97

18.63

16.45 15.68

14.06 13.60 13.52

Corporate Production and Cash Costs

1,317

2,089 2,445

3,197

4,619

7,400

8,185

9,125 9,040

11,000

2009 2010 2011

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

$/b

oe

bo

e/d

Natural Gas Oil & NGL Opex, Transport and G&A Expense

24

9,833

13,000

2012

Page 25: Winter 2011 Presentation - Cequence Energycequence-energy.com/en/components/investor/...winter_2011_presen… · Winter 2011 Presentation . A Deep Basin Stronghold Deep Basin specialists

Contacts: Paul Wanklyn President & CEO [email protected] David Gillis

Vice President, Finance & CFO [email protected]

www.cequence-energy.com

3100, 525 - 8th Avenue SW Calgary AB T2P 1G1

Phone: 403-229-3050 Fax: 403-229-0603