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Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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Page 1: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

Workers Compensation Data Sources

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 2: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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Major Sources of Workers Compensation Data

NCCI

Independent States’ Bureaus

Government Agencies

Other

– In-house data

– Annual statements

– Vendors

– Industry AssociationsMoshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 3: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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NCCI Data

NCCI Data Resources

– ELF Books

– Schedule Z data

– Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB)

– State of the Line Report

– Rate Filings

– PricePoint

– Detailed Claim Information (DCI)

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 4: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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NCCI Data

ELF Books

– Injury Type by Hazard Group Distributions

– Indemnity and Medical trend rates

– Indemnity and Medical case-incurred development factors as well as severity development factors, but only for the first three report years

– Of course, ELF parameters by State, Injury Type, Hazard Group

NCCI is currently filing new ELFs based on a new procedure. These ELFs are becoming less severe for the layers that reinsurers care most about.

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 5: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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NCCI Data

Z-Data

– Developed or undeveloped loss counts and amounts for each year at 1st through 5th report by state/class code/injury type

– Also standard and manual premiums as well as payroll data

– NCCI only has this for NCCI states, but all the independent bureaus make this data available, too. Most independent states provide undeveloped data along with non-injury type specific LDFs.

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 6: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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NCCI Data

ASB is a treasure trove of information, including:

– Premium Level Changes by year for countrywide and by state

– Benefit Level Changes by state

– Five years of calendar year experience by state and countrywide

– Average Weekly Wages by state for 5 years

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 7: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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NCCI Data

ASB data (continued):

– Ground-up Accident Year paid and case-incurred development (including tails!) for:

- Indemnity, Medical and Combined

- countrywide and by state

– Average Severity by injury type and state

– Frequency by injury type and state

– Injury Type Distributions by state

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 8: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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NCCI Data

State of the Line Report

– Accident Year and Calendar Year Loss Ratios for the industry

– Frequency and severity trends for lost-time claims

– Rate level changes including schedule credits

– However industry-wide and not by state

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 9: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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NCCI Data

Rate Filings

– Loss Costs

– Trend

– Development

– Onlevel

– Rate adequacy

– However, these are on bureau rate/loss cost level and ignores deviations (company filed, schedule credits, etc.)

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 10: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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NCCI Data

PricePoint

– Rate Level info

- Filed bureau rate/loss cost

- Final charged premium

– By state and governing class

– However only available for primary carriers

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 11: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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NCCI Data

Detailed Claim Information

– Average and median severities going back 10 accident years from a sample of claims

- Medical, Indemnity and Total

- By state (only NCCI states)

- A lot of other claim info such as

- with or without attorney involvement

- nature of injury

- other stuff, tooMoshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 12: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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Independent States’ Bureaus

Independent Bureaus

– Data from them not as standardized

– Some bureaus (e.g., CA) perform many detailed studies

Common to all

– Rate level histories

– Schedule Z data

– Rate filings

– ELFsMoshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 13: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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Independent Bureaus’ Websites

www.nycirb.org (NY)

www.njcrib.com (NJ)

www.pcrb.com (PA & DE)

www.wcribma.org/mass/Actuarial/data.aspx (MA)

www.wcirbonline.org (CA)

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 14: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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Government Agencies

Bureau of Labor and Statistics

– Injuries, Illnesses, and Fatalities (IIF)

- Frequencies for fatal and non-fatal injuries

- Distributions of injuries by many variables:

- Gender, Age, Body Part of Injury, etc.

- Lost time bands

– National Compensation Survey (NCS)

- Payroll information

- Wage trends

State Governments have data, too.

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 15: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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Sample of BLS’s IIF Data

Page 16: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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Other Data Sources

Reinsurer’s in-house data

– From the reinsurer’s own experience

– From submissions

Annual Statement-based data

– Best’s Aggregates and Averages

– Ceding company or competitors’ Schedule P

- OneSource

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 17: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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Other Data Sources

Vendors

– Workers Compensation Research Institute

– Workers Loss Data Institute

– Conning

Industry Associations

– RAA, especially the Loss Development Study

– Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers (CIAB)

- CIAB website contains their quarterly survey of rate changes for many lines

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005

Page 18: Workers Compensation Data Sources Moshe D. Goldberg, FCAS CARe Seminar June 6-7, 2005

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Some More Websites

www.bls.gov/ncs/ (wage trends and payroll info)

www.bls.gov/iif/home.htm (Job injury data)

www.workerscompresources.com

www.ilr.cornell.edu/library/subjectGuides/disabilityAndTheWorkplace.html

Moshe D. Goldberg, FCASCARe SeminarJune 6-7, 2005