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Patrick Webb Save International Global Meeting Kathmandu, Nepal March 10, 2014 Working

Working Together to Improve Nutritional Outcomes: Global Landscapes

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Dr. Patrick Webb presents at the USAID/ SPRING Ag-Nut GLEE in Washington DC, June 2013.

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  • Patrick Webb

    Save International Global Meeting Kathmandu, Nepal

    March 10, 2014

    Working

  • Source: UNICEF 2013

    2025

  • Source: Lancet series 2013

  • Annual aid budget is currently $125 billion per year.

    The Economist, June 3rd 2013

    Costs for scaling up 10 nutrition specific interventions globally is $9.6 billion per year.

    The Lancet, June 6th 2013

  • Source: Lancet series 2013

  • Source: Lancet series 2013

  • Source: UNICEF 2013

    Large economies

  • Source: UNICEF 2013

    Large fragile economies

  • Source: Lancet series 2013

    Fragile states

  • The donors double dilemma: What if global poverty is increasingly focused either in countries which do not really need aid or in countries who cannot absorb aid easily and quickly?

    Andy Sumner in The Economist, June 3rd 2013

  • THE FUTURE OF GLOBAL POVERTY IN A MULTI-SPEED WORLD:

    NEW ESTIMATES OF SCALE, LOCATION AND COST

    Peter Edward and Andy Sumner

    15 May 2013

  • In 2012, nutrition-specific actions 11% (US$437 million) of total funding requirements (US$7.7 bn) under UNs Consolidated Appeals Process.

    Nutrition-specific elements of food aid budget, total for

    nutrition actions in emergencies >US$0.5 billion. In addition, agriculture reconstruction (28% of $7.7b),

    and WASH (a further 6%).

    Opportunities for working together

  • Source: FAO 2013 Food Outlook

  • Global cereal production, use and stocks

    FAO (2013) Food Outlook

  • Source: FAOSTAT 2013

  • 050

    100

    150

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    300

    350

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

    Index of farm input and output prices, USA 2000-2012

    Received by farmers for all crops

    Source: http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/fertilizer-use-and-price.aspx#.Ub8OMZyGdek

    Paid by farmers for fertilizer

  • FAO 2013

    International fertilizer and oil prices

  • Source: Lancet series 2013

  • The immune system [improves] because the capacity of the gut to absorb nutrients is improved, especially as consequence of a reduction in diarrheal diseases.

    The combined effect of the increase in dietary energy available for work, and more efficiency in its conversion, appears to account for 50 percent of the British economic growth since 1790.

    Public health investments, such as the construction of facilities to improve the supply of water, cleaning up the milk supply, the draining of swamps, the development of effective systems of quarantines, and the cleaning up of slums.

    Robert Fogels Nobel Lecture, December 9, 1993

  • Poverty reduction - 15-34%

    Agriculture income 21%

    Gut biome/EE

    43%

    Open Defecation 23-40%

    Aflatoxins - 25%

    Nutrition interventions

    11-29%

    Food sufficiency

    10%

    A thought experiment

    15-25%?

    10-30%?

    25-50%?

    Complementary Feeding 20%

    Maternal education

    - 13%

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