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Wrap-Up

Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

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Page 1: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Wrap-Up

Page 2: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Our approach:

game theory+

evolutionary dynamics =

ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Page 3: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Let’s start with a brief overview of the models we focused on:

Hawk-DoveCostly SignalingRepeated-PDCWOLCommon Knowledge

Page 4: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Hawk-DovePuzzle

Where do rights come from? Are they God-given, natural, absolute?

Model

Two players compete for a contested resourceEach can play Hawk, Dove, or Bourgeois (H if arrive first, D o/w)It is an equilibrium to attend to uncorrelated asymmetries

Key insight

Our sense of rights isn’t God-given, natural, absolute. Rather, it implements this equilibrium

Page 5: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Costly SignalingPuzzle

Why do North Indians find long fingernails beautiful? Why do we find white shoes beautiful? Where does our sense of beauty come from?

Model

Two kinds of senders: low/highCan’t convey quality; can send otherwise useless signals of different “strengths”Receivers decide whether to match w/ senders based on signalIt is an equilibrium for senders to send these wasteful signals

Key insight

We find costly signals beautiful

Page 6: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Repeated Prisoner’s DilemmaPuzzle

Why do we give so much, but “weirdly”?

Model

Can pay cost c to benefit other by b; c < bRepeat w/ probability δAny cooperative equilibrium has two traits: reciprocity and b/c > δ

Key insight

Altruistic preferences implement cooperative equilibrium; they exhibit these two traits

AND not other traits, like efficiency

Page 7: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Cooperating Without LookingPuzzle

Why are people principled?

Model (Envelope Game)

Low or high temptation chosenPlayer 1 chooses whether to look at temptationPlayer 1 chooses whether to cooperatePlayer 2 chooses whether to continueCWOL/Attend to Looking is a Nash equilibrium

Key Insight

People that don’t look can be trusted. Principles, taboos, etc. keep us from looking

Page 8: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Common KnowledgePuzzles

Why do we care so much about symbolic gestures?Why do we consider omission less bad than commission?Why do we use innuendos?Why do we have norms against chemical weapons?

Model

In game with multiple equilibria, can only condition behavior on events that are common p-believed (CPB; I.e. when there is ~CK)

Key Insights

Symbolic gestures create CPBDiscrete norms condition behavior on events that are CPBAn act of commission is CPB but an act of omission is notInnuendo is not CPB

Page 9: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

We provided evidence for these explanations from a variety of sources

For example…

Page 10: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Animal evidence

Page 11: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Examples from history, current events, literature, media

Page 12: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Laboratory experiments

Page 13: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Field experiments

Page 14: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Simulations

Page 15: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Looking back on all these models, it is apparent how powerful the framework is…

Page 16: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Taught us about…

-rights-emotions-beauty-altruism-symbolism-ethics-communication

Not just posthoc explanation, but also…

-novel predictions-prescriptions-clarifies age old debates

Page 17: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Examples of new predictions:

The uncorrelated asymmetries we condition rights on have to be CPB (e.g., not size but who comes first)

We will care if people are “principled” when temptation is large but rare, and harmful

“Explicit speech while bus goes by” works differently than innuendos

Page 18: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Examples of new policy implications:

Taboos should not be respected in public policy

Domestic law should ignore omission/commission

Page 19: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

Examples of debates the framework clarifies:

Is our sense of rights God-given, natural, absolute?

Is beauty completely culturally construed?

Why don’t we use efficient norms?

Can altruism ever be “authentic”? Or is it always self-interested?

Page 20: Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

In short…

game theory+

evolutionary dynamics =

awesome