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www.sff.org
District 10 Demographic Profile
Prepared for CCBA Implementation Committee
2/21/12
www.sff.org 2
District 10
• District 10 is comprised of: Potrero Hill, Central Waterfront, Dogpatch, Bayview/Hunters Point, India Basin, Silver Terrace, Visitacion Valley, and Candlestick– This analysis gives special attention to the largest of
these neighborhoods: Bayview/Hunters Point, Potrero Hill, and Visitacion Valley,
• Although not perfectly aligned, District 10 roughly approximates the boundaries of the 94124, 94134, and 94107 zipcodes
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District 10
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Population Growth
• According to the 2010 census, San Francisco’s population grew almost 4% since 2000 to 805,325 residents
• With a total population of 78,660, District 10 (D10) is the 3rd most populated of SF’s supervisorial districts
• Between the 2000 and 2010 census, D10 grew about 10%, adding 7,410 new residents
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Population of D10 Neighborhoods
D10 consists of almost 80,000 residents living in more than 22,000 households, of which almost 35% include children.
BV/HP Potrero Vis Valley District 10
Population 35,890 12,110 21,130 78,660
Households 9,480 5,810 5,190 22,370
% of Hhlds with Children
40% 19% 43% 34%
The average household size in District 10 is 3.3 persons.
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Changes in Composition 2000-2010
• Citywide:– Asians experienced the greatest increase, 11.8% equating to an
additional 28,350 individuals– More residents also claimed “Two or More Races,” or “Other
Race,” – increase of 13.2% (4,400) and 5.3% (2,650), respectively
• The number of African American residents declined significantly – by 19.2% (11,650) citywide
• In District 10: – Asian residents increased from 32% to 37% of the population– African Americans decreased to 21%– Latinos (any race) increased from 17% to 21%
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Change in Ethnic/Racial Composition of D10
*Latinos may be of any race.
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D10 is Diverse Overall and Within & Among Its Neighborhoods
BV/HP Potrero Vis Valley District 10
Total Pop(households)
35,890 (9,480)
12,110(5,810)
21,130(5,190)
78,660(22,370)
African-American 32% 9% 13% 21%
Asian- Pacific Islander(#)
36% 14% 58% 37%
Latino (any race) 25% 13% 15% 17%
White 12% 66% 12% 23%
Other / 2+ races 21% 10% 18% 17%
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Language Spoken at Home
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English Language Knowledge and Comfort Can’t Be Assumed
BV/HP Potrero Vis Valley District 10
Foreign Born Residents 33% 17% 51% 35%
Residents (5+) who do not speak English at home(% of total hholds that are linguistically isolated)
49%
(12% or 1,138)
26%
(4% or 232)
70%
(23% or 1,194)
51%
(12%)
Asian Language Hhlds
(Asian language hhlds which are linguistically isolated)
27%
(34%)
5%
(13%)
55%
(41%)
30%
(33%)
Spanish Language Hhlds
(Spanish language hhlds which are linguistically isolated)
21%
(27%)
11%
(23%)
14%
(24%)
18%
(24%)
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Age of District 10 Residents
•D10 population is younger than that of the city overall. • The majority of D10 residents are already of “working age”.• The percent in the labor force will grow over the next decade.
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Educational Attainment of Residents (25+)
• Educational attainment in D10 increased since 2000, with 5% more residents over the age of 25 having a bachelor’s degree or higher.
• Potrero is an outlier with significantly greater educational attainment than BV/HP or Vis Valley.
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A Notable % of Students in D10 High Schools Don’t Complete
• Thurgood Marshall (94124) – An average of 26% of starting students do not complete high school
• Burton Academic High (94134) – An average of 46% of starting students do not complete high school
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INCOME AND POVERTY
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Income
District 10 has among the lowest median and per capita incomes in the City.
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D10 Neighborhoods Have High Poverty In Common but Per Capita Income Varies Greatly
Poverty Rates Per Capita Income
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Even Those That Are Employed Struggle to Make Ends Meet Given High Cost of Living
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PUBLIC ASSISTANCE RECEIPT
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% of CalWorks Cases - July 2011
BV/HP94124
Potrero94107
Vis Valley94134
3 Neighbor-hoods
CalWorks Families
22.3% 4.2% 11.8% 38.30%
1,114 208 590 1,912
Safety Net Families
30.8% 3.6% 14.1% 48.50%
186 22 85 293
District 10 residents make up a disproportionate share of the CalWorks caseload.
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CalFresh (a.k.a. Food Stamps)
• Between September 2009 and September 2011, the number of San Francisco residents receiving food stamps increased 42% to 27,881
• In September 2011, more than 20% of food stamp funds distributed in SF went to residents of the Bayview/HP, Potrero, and Visitacion Valley (up approx 1% since 2009)
• However, only 8% (3,190) of the 11,319 SF children receiving food stamps live in these neighborhoods
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D10 Residents Almost One Quarter (24%) of CAAP Caseload
And D10 residents are an even higher percentage (27%) of those considered able to work (i.e., PAES and GA recipients)
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Public Housing
D10 is home to some of the City’s largest public housing complexes and includes more than one third (37%) of the City’s public housing units and the majority of its multi-bedroom units.
More than 3,500 District 10 residents live in public housing.
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ASSETS & ACCESS TO FINANCIAL SERVICES
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Home Ownership & Foreclosures
• Home ownership rate in District 10 is among the highest in the City at 52% (compared to 38% overall).
• Despite SF foreclosure rates being quite low overall, foreclosure rates in Bayview exceed state and nat’l levels (see chart below)
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Asset Poverty
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District 10 Financial Institutions 2007
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Proximity of Residents to Financial Institutions
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Financially Underserved
In San Francisco, it is estimated that
• 5.7% of households are unbanked
• 13.6% of households are underbanked
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Many District 10 Families At-Risk of Being Un- or Underbanked
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Credit Histories
Significant minorities of District 10 residents lack credit histories
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EMPLOYMENT AND LACK THEREOF
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Unemployment
• District 10 unemployment rates consistently exceed those of the City overall– 2005-2009 ACS data indicate unemployment rates of 7%
and 12% for San Francisco and District 10 respectively
• Within D10, Bayview/HP has the highest rate of unemployment
Unemployment Rate 2010 Census
Bayview 14%
Potrero 9%
Vis Valley 11%
San Francisco 11%
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Correlation between Demographics and Unemployment Rates
• The unemployment rates of D10 and its neighborhoods are consistent with higher unemployment rates for minority populations– In Dec 2011, the unemployment rate for California was
11.6%– For African-Americans, it was 19.6% and for hispanics,
13.8%
• Youth unemployment rates are even higher:– 2007 – 16.1%; 2009 - 33.1%
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Unemployment & Educational Attainment
Unemployment Rates
2007 2009
Less than HS 6.3% 13.9%
HS grad/GED 7.5% 13.2%
Some college 5.7% 10.8%
Bachelors/Grad 2.7% 7.3%
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Unemployment Lasting Longer
• Between 2008 and 2010, San Francisco lost 30,000 jobs
• Since then, SF has only gained 500 jobs per year
• Growth in IT offset by losses in construction and the public sector
• In March 2010, 41% of unemployed had been out of work for 12 – 24 months
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Jobs Held by District 10 Residents
Bayview and VisValley workers are less likely to hold relatively high-paying management jobs than residents of Potrero or the City overall
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Transportation
• 19% of District 10 residents report not having a car in 2010 (up from 10% in 2000)
• Of those working, 60% report commuting by car and 27% by transit (changes from 68% and 24% respectively since 2000)
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PARTICIPATION IN THE WORKFORCE SYSTEM
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One Stops Clients: July – Dec 2011
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Sector Academies Jan ‘10 – June ‘11
City Build Health Care Train Green
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DATA SOURCES
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Sources
• 2000 Census Data by Supervisorial District, San Francisco Office of the Legislative Analyst, November 4, 2002.
• CalFresh, Quarterly Report, San Francisco Human Services Agency, September 2011.
• California Demographic Labor Force, Summary Tables, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, December 2011.
• County Adult Assistance Program (CAAP) Six Month Update, San Francisco Human Services Agency Planning Unit, Data through December 2011.
• Demographic and Poverty Trends in San Francisco , San Francisco Human Services Agency, June 16, 2011.
• “Homes for the 99 Percent,” SF Bay Guardian, Dec 6, 2011• Local Asset Poverty Index, Asset Policy Initiative of California, EARN, 2006.• JoinBankOn.org• One-Stop Jobseeker Demographics July-Dec 2011, Office of Economic and
Workforce Development.• Presentation of San Francisco City Economist, Ted Egan, to Workforce Investment
San Francisco (WISF), Sept 2011.
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Sources (cont.)
• Promoting Power Database, Alliance for Education, www.all4ed.org.• Report to the CalWORKs Oversight Committee Meeting, San Francisco Human
Services Agency, Data through August 2011. • San Francisco Housing Authority, Public Housing Units, 2008.• San Francisco Neighborhood Market DrillDown, Social Compact, March 2008.• San Francisco Neighborhoods Socio-Economic Profiles, 2005-2009 American
Community Survey, San Francisco Planning Dept, May 2011.• San Francisco Socio-Economic Profile, 2005-2009 American Community Survey,
May 2011 (Supervisorial Districts)• Sector Academy Demographic Report, Office of Economic and Workforce
Development, Jan 2010 – June 2011.• The Self-Sufficiency Standard for San Francisco County, 2008, Insight Center for
Community Economic Development.