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Page 1: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

© 2016

Yole Développement

FromTechnologies to Market

Page 2: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

2©2016 | www.yole.fr | About Yole Développement

MEMS &

Sensors

LED

Compound

Semi.

Imaging Photonics

MedTech

Semiconductor

manufacturing

Advanced Packaging

Batteries / Energy

Management

Power

Electronics

FIELDS OF EXPERTISE

Yole Développement’s 45 analysts operate in the following areasRF

Page 3: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

3©2016 | www.yole.fr | About Yole Développement

4 BUSINESS MODELS

o Consulting and Analysis

• Market data & research, marketing analysis

• Technology analysis

• Strategy consulting

• Reverse engineering & costing

• Patent analysis

www.yole.fr

o Reports

• Market & Technology reports

• Patent Investigation and patent infringement risk analysis

• Teardowns & Reverse Costing Analysis

• Cost Simulation Tool

www.i-Micronews.com/reports

o Financial services

• Due diligence

• Innovation financing

• Maturation of companies

• IP portfolio management & optimization

www.yolefinance.com

www.bmorpho.com

o Media

• i-Micronews.com website

• @Micronews e-newsletter

• Communication & webcast services

• Events

www.i-Micronews.com

Page 4: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

4©2016 | www.yole.fr | About Yole Développement

A GROUP OF COMPANIES

Market,

technology and

strategy

consulting

www.yole.fr

Due diligences

www.yolefinance.com

Innovation and business maker

Innovation financingwww.bmorpho.com

Manufacturing costs analysis

Teardown and reverse engineering

Cost simulation tools

www.systemplus.fr

IP analysis

Patent assessment

www.knowmade.fr

Page 5: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

5©2016 | www.yole.fr | About Yole Développement

OUR GLOBAL ACTIVITY

Page 6: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

6©2016 | www.yole.fr | About Yole Développement

SERVING THE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN

Our analysts provide market analysis,

technology evaluation,

and business plan along the entire

supply chain

Integrators and

end-users

Device

makers

Suppliers: material,

equipment, OSAT,

foundries…

Financial investors,

R&D centers

Page 7: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

7©2016 | www.yole.fr | About Yole Développement

SERVING MULTIPLE INDUSTRIAL FIELDS

We are workingaccross

multiples industries to understand

the impact of More-than-

Moore technologies from deviceto system

From A to Z…

Transportation

makers

Mobile phone

and consumer

electronics

Automotive

Medical

systemsIndustrial and

defense

Energy

Page 8: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

© 2015

Wearable applications and

technology trends

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Page 9: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

9

MEMS & SENSORS ROADMAP

From More than Moore towards Beyond Law

MEMS & Sensors

enable key functionalities

Current battleground

of the industry

1980 2010 2030

Industry competition

Moore

Industry competition

More than MooreIndustry Competition

Beyond Moore

LaptopPersonal Computers

Smartphones

Autonomous

vehicles

Robotic

Servants

Quantified

self

Drones

Acceleration

SensingInteraction age

ProcessingInformation age

ActuatingEnhancement age

Tablets

Smart

homes

2040

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Telekinesis

Page 10: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

10

WILL IOT BE THE NEXT SEMICONDUCTOR WAVE?

Where is the next growth

relay?

…We are still strongly

relying on the smartphone

wave…

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY REVENUE (in bn US$)

Source: WSTS, Cisco, Gartner, Yole

?

IoT ?

Wearables ?

@2016 | www.yole.fr | EPIC Workshop | Cambridge 2016

Page 11: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

11

MEMS, A « TRANSFER FUNCTION » TECHNOLOGY

MEMS is a semiconductor

technology thus enabling

miniaturization and lower cost manufacturing

of existing products

Galvanometric

mirror

Pressure sensor

Hg tilt sensor

Microphone

Gas sensor

Syringe

Micro-mirror

VCM

MEMS gas sensor

Micro needles

WL auto focus

Microphone

IMU

Pressure/environment

sensor

2016, gas sensors as the

next MEMS success (?)

@2016 | www.yole.fr | EPIC Workshop | Cambridge 2016

Page 12: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

12

ACTUATORSSENSORS

MEMS, SENSORS & ACTUATORS

Pressure Sound

(microphone)

Environment Optical sensors

Dru

g d

elivery

Microfluidics

Ink j

et

head

s

Au

to-F

ocu

s

Mic

ro m

irro

rs

RF

µspeakers

Optical MEMS Micro structures

Part

icle

s

Hu

mid

ity

Movement

Gas

Magn

eto

mete

rs

IMUs (6 to 9 DOF)

Accele

rom

ete

rs

Gyro

sco

pes

Tem

pera

ture

Op

tical b

en

ch

es

Mic

ro t

ips

Pro

bes

Watc

hes

co

mp

on

en

ts

PIR

& t

herm

op

iles

Mic

ro b

olo

mete

rs

Sw

itch

Filte

r

Bosch BME680

FLIR Lepton One

Infineon

microphoneSTM pressure

sensor

InvenSense

MPU9250

Debiotech

micro pumpTexas Instruments

DLPAvago FBAR Filter

Spiromax Patek

Philippe

Audio

Pixels

MEMS

based

speaker

Reso

nato

r

Bio

ch

ips

poLight AF

SiTime

oscillator

Am

bie

nt

ligh

t se

nso

r

Fin

gerp

rin

t

Vis

ion

Optical combos“open” package

environmental combos

“closed” package

6 to 11 DOF

combos

@2016 | www.yole.fr | EPIC Workshop | Cambridge 2016

Page 13: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

13

MEMS AND SENSORS LIFE CYCLE

Many growing MEMS and sensors could benefit to wearable

Many MEMS devices

sensors are in the growth phase, and

even more are emerging

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare

Emerging Growing DecliningMature

Page 14: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

14

MEMS & SENSORS TRANSITIONING TOWARDS 3 MAIN HUBS…

Closed Package Hub

Accelerometer

Gyroscope

Magnetometer

INERTIAL

DOF6

9IMU

ENVIRONMENTAL

Open Cavity Hub

Gas / Particle

Pressure

Temp/Humidity

Microphone

OPTICAL

Optical Hub

Visible

3D vision

Multi spectral

3D

Proximity/ambient

@2016 | www.yole.fr | EPIC Workshop | Cambridge 2016

Page 15: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

15

KEY ATTRIBUTES OF WEARABLE TECH PRODUCTS

Six key attributes that

make a big difference

Hands-Free

Always-On

Environment

-Aware

Connected

Attention-Getting

Ecosystem/Development

Platform

Source: MIT, KPCB

Voice/Gesture

recognition Low Power consumption

Instant wake

Background working/sensing

Accelerometer

Gyroscope

IMU

Compass

Camera

Microphone

Environmental sensor

Wi-Fi

Cellular

Bluetooth

NFC

Less distracting with notifications

Short interaction

Invisible - useful data

3th party apps

API partners

Accessories

@2016 | www.yole.fr | EPIC Workshop | Cambridge 2016

Page 16: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

16

APPLICATIONS, SYSTEMS AND SENSORS

Wearables open clear

opportunities for providers of MEMS and other sensor

devices

@2016 | www.yole.fr | EPIC Workshop | Cambridge 2016

Industry/DefenseConsumer Healthcare/Medical

Infotainment

Wellness

Life style

Home automation

Gaming

Comfort

Safety

Patient monitoring

Activity monitoring

Disease Prevention

Worker Safety

Worker productivity

Activity monitoring

Soldier efficiency

Soldier monitoring

Smart glasses

Smart watch

Fitness band

VR headset

Smart clothing

Applications

Systems

Sensors

Accelerometer

Gyroscope

Magnetometer

IMU

Photodetector (HRM)

Environmental (Temp, Hum, Gas, Pressure)

Microphone

NFC

Hearing aids

Blood pressure

Pulse oximeter

Glucose monitoring

Fall detection

ECG monitor

Posture monitoring

Accelerometer

Pressure

Photodetector

Biochemical

(sweat, galvanic skin, EEG, ECG,…)

Microphone

Smart glasses

VR headset

Smart clothing

Hand-worn terminal

Accelerometer

Gyroscope

Magnetometer

Pressure

Environmental

Biochemical

(sweat, galvanic skin, EEG, ECG,…)

Microphone

Market

Precise time

Mobile payment

Assisted walking

Activity monitoring

Intelligent personal assistant

Glucose monitoring for diabetes

Amplify surrounding signals for disabled

Heart monitoring

Augmented reality to improve productivity

Environment monitoring for firefighters

New vision for training

Hands-free patient care

Use case

Page 17: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

17

MARKET DRIVEN BY 4 TYPE OF SYSTEMS

Four systems – but one will dominate the

others in coming years

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare

In this report, we cover 4 categories of wearable systems involved in the 3 markets described previously, consumer, healthcare and industry/defense markets. These 4 systems have been forecasted for the next 5 years, including sensors that are integrated.

Body-wornHead-worn

4Main categories

Wrist-worn Smart clothing

Page 18: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

18

MARKET SEGMENTATION

3 SEGMENTS, SHARED SENSORS…

Consumer is a high volume

market at low price, whereas industrial and

defense is a low volume market at high price –

for now, although the

landscape could change rapidly

@2016 | www.yole.fr | EPIC Workshop | Cambridge 2016

Healthcare/Medical

Industry / DefenseConsumer

AccelerometerGyroscope

Pressure sensors

Magnetometer

Microphone

Gas sensors

Humidity sensors

Image sensors

RFID

Accelerometer

Inertial Combos

Gyroscope

Pressure sensors

MagnetometerMicrophoneGas sensors

Flow sensorsAccelerometer Gyroscope

Thermopile

MicrophoneFingerprint

Humidity sensorsMicro pumps

RFID HRM

HRM

Page 19: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

19

CHALLENGES IN THE WEARABLE MARKET

To be successful,

investments are needed in technology but also in

marketing, but above all, the

use case is the enabler

@2016 | www.yole.fr | EPIC Workshop | Cambridge 2016

MarketingTechnical

Performance/Accuracy Invisible/Small system Personal/Customizable

objects

Added-value

perceivedissues

4

Different challenges

3

Use caseRelevant application bringing

added value to the customer

Enabler

Page 20: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

20

CHALLENGES FOR THE WEARABLE MARKET

Wearables have specific technical requirements

Some requirements are relevant to sensors

@2016 | www.yole.fr | EPIC Workshop | Cambridge 2016

Ultra Low Power

Low power consumption

Accuracy

Reliable data

Low noise

4Requirements

Useful insights

/ Sensor fusionMultiple parameters

Non-invasive sensing

Sensors’

PackagingSmall size, almost invisible

Reliable and low cost

No specific challenge ! No technological breakthrough

Page 21: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

21

DRIVERS FOR MOBILE CARE APPLICATIONS

Two markets are mature to perform well

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Wearable

and Mobile

Care

TimeLevel of integration

Smartphone &

Tablet revolution

Feature

Phones

Point of Care

Hospital Care

Everywhere Care

Page 22: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

22

GLOBAL MINIATURIZATION ROADMAP

Wearable for an improvement of the quality of life

Anywhere, Anytime

monitoring

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Benchtop•Anesthesia

•Ventilators

•Medical monitoring

Portable•IVD

•Point of care

•Infusion and drug delivery

•Respiratory monitoring

Wearable•Glucose monitoring

•Kidney dialysis

•Theranostics

•Activity monitoring

•Patient monitoring

•Smart pills

Implantable•Pacemakers

•Neurostimulators

•ECG

•Coclear implants

Min

iatu

rizati

on

an

d in

tegra

tio

n le

ve

l

Time

Mobility

Medical requirementsOnly for chronic diseases

and for medical safety reasons

Ease of use

Near Patient

Hospital and

Lab Care

Home Care

Point of care

Anywhere Care

Quality

of Life

Page 23: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

23

WEARABLE FOR HEALTHCARE: PART OF INTERNET OF THINGS HYPE

The human starts to be a connected object

Sense

Collect

Analyze

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Sense Collect and transmit (& store) Analyze + Services

Devices

Measurements

Applications

Video conference, Email, SMS, Mail, Phone

Feedback

Biometrics

Secured

Data

Page 24: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

24

SENSORS FOR THE WEARABLE MARKET

New sensors are coming ?

Many sensors are already use in their

specific application

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Accelerometers

Barometer

Electrochemical biosensor

Flow sensors

Gyroscopes

Humidity sensors

IR Temperature Sensors

Magnetometer

Microfluidic chip

Microphones

Photodetectors

Pressure sensors

Proximity IR sensors

RF MEMS

RFID

Strain sensors

Sensors

Page 25: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

25

COMPONENTS OF WEARABLES

Sensor module

regroup a fragmented

offer… Packaging

issues

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Sensors

Connectivity

Battery

Interfaces

Materials/Algorithms

Inertial

Bluetooth

Button

Cell

Speech

Recognition

Electronic

textiles

Biosensors Microphone

Wi-Fi GPS

Battery

Li-IonFlexible

Haptics/

Touch

Gesture

Recognition

Flexible

Displays

Algorithm

for accurate

data

Others

(Haptics…)Environmental

Energy

Harvesting

TYPE

Page 26: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

26

COMPONENTS OF WEARABLES

Some blocks are ready, but use case will

drive the organization of the upper

layers…

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare

Materials/Algorithms

Interfaces

Connectivity

Battery

Sensors / Actuators Inertial

Bluetooth

Button

Cell

Biosensors Microphone

Wi-Fi GPS

Battery

Li-IonFlexible

Actuators

(Piezo,…)Environmental

Energy

Harvesting

Use case will lead

the organization

of connectivity

(blocks (interface

and algorithms)

have to be

adapted to the

use case). For

now, it’s not the

case, wearable

are thus limited

Lower blocks are ready to be implemented, only upper layers are still under construction

Page 27: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

27

APPLE WATCH TEARDOWN

Sensors for Wearable are

close to smartphone

ones…

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016Source: ABI Research/Chipworks Pictures courtesy of Apple Inc.

Elpida

512Mb SRAM Memory

F440AAC

CPU Apple APL0778

ADI Touch Controller

AD7149

STM IMU

LSM6DS0/3

Broadcom

Wi-Fi/Bluetooth/NFC/FM BCM43342 AMS

NFC Signal Booster

AS3923

Toshiba/SanDisk

8Gb Flash Memory

NXP

Interface device

IDT

Wireless charger

P9022

NXP

NFC controller

Dialog

Power Management Unit

D2238A

STM µC

STM32

Skyworks

Wi-Fi LNA + switch and PA

Maxim Integrated

Audio Codec

Audio Amp

Page 28: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

28

FITNESS/ACTIVITY TRACKER MARKET IN 2013, 2014 & 2015

Fitness tracker is a fragmented

and competitive

market

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Page 29: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

29

SMARTWATCHES MARKET IN 2013, 2014,2015 & 2016

Apple will disrupt the market…

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Over-estimated

2015 sales ~18Munits

Page 30: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

30

EVEN FOR THE MOST POWERFUL CONSUMER TECH COMPANY…

…The wearable

market is still a tough market

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Page 31: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

31

FROM SOCKET-TYPE TO EMBBEDED ELECTRONIC SENSOR

The 3 phases for integration (the infra red case study)

Time

Siz

e

Embedded

Plug-in

Socket-type

EXAMPLE: SEEK

Average price: $300

Sensor : 206x156

2014

EXAMPLE: VT02 /VT04 Visual IR Thermometer Fluke

Average price: $1500

Sensor : 80 x 60

2012

Integration in a smart/phone is generally going through 3 phases:

1. Socket type: at home or bulky system a few dm3

2. Plug-in: external module to be plug to a smartphone/tablet …

3. Embedded: integration into the smartphone (must be < 9 mm thick today)

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Same phases for integration

between smartphone and

wearable ?

Page 32: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

32

FUTURE PACKAGING SOLUTION FOR MEMS & SENSORS

Multiple sensors integrated in one small patch

Printed & Flexible

electronic will make future electronic seamless

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Page 33: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

33

CONCLUSION

Wearable wave is already starting…but…

Smartphone and wearable are close and will help each

others…

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Main technologies for wearable are already on the market, but suffer from

several issues:

- High power consumption for few sensors

- Reliability of measurement

- Packaging issues (robustness, size,…)

Future trend:

First step, could be sensor fusion between sensors embedded in the wearable

and the smartphone, before a full autonomy of wearable devices at long term.

There are still some issues, but improvement done thanks to smartphone will

accelerate the adoption of sensors for wearable

Page 34: Yole Dé · PDF fileSemiconductor manufacturing Advanced Packaging ... A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy ... market analysis, technology

34

EXTRACTED FROM 2015/2016 YOLE’S REPORTS

@2015 | www.yole.fr | Wearable Electronics | November 2016

Stay tuned in 2017

on

www.i-micronews.com