YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    1/14

    Interviewing: October 8-11, 2011

    Sample: 1000 Adults nationwide online

    729 registered voters nationwide online806 D Street, SE

    Washington, DC 20003

    Contact:

    Thomas Riehle

    Ph: (202) 544-2550

    The Economist/YouGov Poll

    2011 Weekly Tracking

    For immediate release

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    2/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    1. Approval of Obama as President Historical

    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

    All Adults

    Total Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not

    Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove Sure

    October 8-11, 2011 39% 53% 14% 25% 12% 41% 8%

    October 1-4, 2011 39% 53% 14% 25% 17% 36% 8%

    September 24-27, 2011 39% 53% 14% 25% 15% 38% 8%

    September 17-20, 2011 36% 56% 14% 22% 16% 40% 9%

    September 10-13, 2011 40% 53% 14% 26% 15% 38% 7%

    September 3-6, 2011 39% 53% 12% 27% 17% 36% 8%

    August 27-30, 2011 38% 54% 13% 25% 16% 38% 7%

    August 20-23, 2011 39% 52% 12% 27% 15% 37% 8%

    August 13-16, 2011 40% 54% 14% 26% 15% 39% 7%

    August 6-9, 2011 41% 53% 14% 27% 15% 38% 6%

    July 23-26, 2011 42% 48% 16% 26% 14% 34% 10%

    One Year Ago 42% 51% 18% 24% 13% 38% 7%

    Registered Voters

    Total Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not

    Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove Sure

    October 8-11, 2011 44% 53% 18% 26% 10% 43% 4%

    October 1-4, 2011 43% 53% 17% 26% 14% 39% 4%

    September 24-27, 2011 41% 57% 15% 26% 15% 42% 2%

    September 17-20, 2011 38% 58% 16% 22% 14% 44% 3%

    September 10-13, 2011 42% 56% 16% 26% 13% 43% 3%

    September 3-6, 2011 41% 56% 15% 26% 15% 41% 3%

    August 27-30, 2011 40% 55% 14% 26% 14% 41% 4%

    August 20-23, 2011 42% 55% 14% 28% 15% 40% 4%

    August 13-16, 2011 41% 55% 17% 24% 13% 42% 4%

    August 6-9, 2011 42% 55% 16% 26% 12% 43% 3%

    July 23-26, 2011 44% 52% 17% 27% 12% 40% 4%

    One Year Ago 43% 52% 20% 23% 11% 41% 5%

    2

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    3/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    PercentofRespondents

    "Do you approve or disapprove of the wayBarack Obama is handling his job as President?"

    Obama Approval

    Approve: 39%

    Disapprove: 53%

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    2009 2010 2011

    Figure 1: Obama Approval All Adults

    3

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    4/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    PercentofRegisteredVoters

    "Do you approve or disapprove of the wayBarack Obama is handling his job as President?"

    Obama Approval

    Approve: 44%

    Disapprove: 53%

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    2009 2010 2011

    Figure 2: Obama Approval Registered Voters

    4

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    5/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    2. Approval of Obama as President This Week

    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

    Age Race Gender EducationTotal 18-29 30-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Male Female HS or Less Some College College Grad

    Strongly Approve 14.5% 10.5% 15.3% 15.6% 10.0% 45.6% 13.7% 13.2% 15.7% 12.7% 16.5% 15.0%

    Somewhat

    Approve 24.6% 30.4% 23.5% 22.3% 22.9% 30.8% 32.0% 23.2% 25.8% 19.5% 27.1% 30.5%

    Somewhat

    Disapprove 11.8% 17.8% 11.6% 5.6% 11.9% 8.4% 15.6% 9.6% 13.8% 12.4% 9.3% 13.9%

    Strongly

    Disapprove 41.5% 26.7% 41.9% 56.5% 48.2% 6.1% 26.3% 48.5% 34.9% 45.1% 39.1% 38.0%

    Not Sure 7.7% 14.6% 7.7% 7.0% 9.1% 12.4% 5.5% 9.8% 10.3% 8.0% 2.6%

    Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    (Unweighted) (997) (205) (640) (152) (809) (94) (94) (443) (554) (386) (355) (256)

    Party ID Ideology Region Family Income

    Total Dem Rep Ind Lib Mod Con Northeast Midwest South West Under 40 40-100 100+

    Strongly Approve 14.5% 32.3% 0.3% 9.4% 31.0% 20.6% 3.8% 12.6% 11.8% 16.3% 16.1% 16.6% 13.8% 12.2%

    Somewhat

    Approve 24.6% 43.1% 2.7% 25.6% 47.7% 31.5% 8.9% 30.2% 25.3% 21.3% 24.3% 23.6% 25.8% 27.9%

    Somewhat

    Disapprove 11.8% 8.9% 11.0% 12.7% 11.0% 13.0% 10.3% 14.4% 7.5% 9.1% 18.6% 12.6% 12.3% 11.2%

    Strongly

    Disapprove 41.5% 11.6% 84.0% 43.5% 5.8% 28.4% 74.7% 33.5% 44.7% 45.9% 37.3% 38.8% 44.2% 45.1%Not Sure 7.7% 4.1% 2.0% 8.7% 4.4% 6.5% 2.3% 9.3% 10.7% 7.4% 3.7% 8.4% 4.0% 3.6%

    Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%

    (Unweighted) (997) (340) (241) (296) (177) (363) (312) (168) (227) (362) (240) (428) (341) (129)

    5

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    6/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    3. Approval of U.S. Congress Historical

    Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?

    All Adults

    Total Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not

    Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Neutral Disapprove Disapprove Sure

    October 8-11, 2011 7% 71% 2% 5% 11% 22% 49% 11%

    October 1-4, 2011 8% 69% 1% 7% 16% 24% 45% 8%

    September 24-27, 2011 7% 70% 1% 6% 13% 23% 47% 9%

    September 17-20, 2011 11% 65% 2% 9% 16% 21% 44% 9%

    September 10-13, 2011 9% 69% 1% 8% 12% 22% 47% 10%

    September 3-6, 2011 9% 69% 2% 7% 15% 24% 45% 8%

    August 27-30, 2011 8% 70% 2% 6% 14% 24% 46% 9%

    August 20-23, 2011 9% 70% 1% 8% 13% 22% 48% 8%

    August 13-16, 2011 8% 70% 2% 6% 12% 24% 46% 9%

    August 6-9, 2011 9% 69% 1% 8% 14% 26% 43% 8%

    July 23-26, 2011 13% 63% 3% 10% 14% 26% 37% 9%

    One Year Ago 10% 67% 2% 8% 14% 21% 46% 10%

    Registered Voters

    Total Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not

    Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Neutral Disapprove Disapprove Sure

    October 8-11, 2011 8% 79% 3% 5% 8% 25% 54% 6%

    October 1-4, 2011 9% 74% 1% 8% 12% 23% 51% 4%

    September 24-27, 2011 10% 75% 2% 8% 11% 24% 51% 4%

    September 17-20, 2011 12% 71% 2% 10% 12% 22% 49% 5%

    September 10-13, 2011 10% 77% 1% 9% 10% 23% 54% 4%

    September 3-6, 2011 8% 76% 2% 6% 12% 25% 51% 5%

    August 27-30, 2011 8% 76% 2% 6% 12% 25% 51% 4%

    August 20-23, 2011 8% 78% 1% 7% 11% 23% 55% 3%

    August 13-16, 2011 9% 79% 3% 6% 8% 26% 53% 5%

    August 6-9, 2011 8% 76% 1% 7% 12% 26% 50% 3%

    July 23-26, 2011 12% 70% 1% 11% 14% 29% 41% 5%

    One Year Ago 9% 73% 2% 7% 12% 23% 50% 5%

    6

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    7/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    PercentofRespondents

    "Do you approve of the way theU.S. Congress is handling its job?"

    Congress Approval

    Approve: 7%

    Disapprove: 71%

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    2009 2010 2011

    Figure 3: Congress Approval All Adults

    7

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    8/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    PercentofRegisteredVoters

    "Do you approve of the way theU.S. Congress is handling its job?"

    Congress Approval

    Approve: 8%

    Disapprove: 79%

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    6070

    80

    90

    2009 2010 2011

    Figure 4: Congress Approval Registered Voters

    8

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    9/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    4. Approval of U.S. Congress This Week

    Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?

    Age Race Gender EducationTotal 18-29 30-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Male Female HS or Less Some College College Grad

    Strongly approve 1.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.6% 12.4% 1.9% 1.8% 3.5% 1.3%

    Somewhat

    approve 5.5% 5.7% 5.4% 5.2% 5.2% 4.8% 9.3% 7.2% 3.8% 4.7% 6.5% 5.4%

    Neither approve

    nor disapprove 11.0% 13.3% 11.5% 6.2% 9.5% 15.1% 19.7% 9.0% 12.8% 13.8% 9.5% 7.7%

    Somewhat

    disapprove 21.9% 25.2% 22.4% 16.0% 22.2% 16.8% 25.5% 19.7% 23.9% 20.1% 22.9% 23.7%

    Strongly

    disapprove 49.4% 34.3% 48.0% 71.8% 54.9% 23.9% 31.3% 54.3% 44.7% 42.9% 50.4% 59.7%

    Not sure 10.5% 21.5% 10.0% 7.7% 27.1% 14.2% 8.0% 12.9% 15.0% 10.6% 2.3%

    Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    (Unweighted) (995) (203) (640) (152) (809) (92) (94) (443) (552) (386) (353) (256)

    Party ID Ideology Region Family Income

    Total Dem Rep Ind Lib Mod Con Northeast Midwest South West Under 40 40-100 100+

    Strongly approve 1.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 2.4% 3.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 0.9% 2.7% 2.9% 1.8%

    Somewhat

    approve 5.5% 4.8% 7.2% 5.8% 3.7% 4.9% 9.1% 3.3% 6.4% 6.4% 4.5% 5.7% 4.6% 7.8%

    Neither approve

    nor disapprove 11.0% 13.8% 9.5% 6.4% 7.3% 8.5% 12.1% 12.9% 11.0% 15.0% 3.4% 11.8% 12.7% 6.8%Somewhat

    disapprove 21.9% 19.7% 28.3% 21.5% 25.6% 21.7% 22.7% 22.6% 17.8% 20.4% 28.1% 20.1% 24.7% 24.3%

    Strongly

    disapprove 49.4% 48.4% 50.0% 60.0% 54.3% 53.9% 50.4% 42.6% 51.7% 48.3% 53.5% 45.5% 52.1% 58.0%

    Not sure 10.5% 8.7% 3.8% 6.0% 6.7% 7.8% 4.5% 16.9% 10.4% 9.1% 7.8% 14.0% 4.2% 3.0%

    Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%

    (Unweighted) (995) (339) (241) (296) (176) (364) (312) (167) (229) (359) (240) (427) (341) (129)

    9

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    10/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    7. Direction of country Historical

    Would you say things in this country today are...

    All Adults

    Right Wrong Not

    Track Direction Sure

    October 8-11, 2011 13% 72% 15%

    October 1-4, 2011 15% 70% 14%

    September 24-27, 2011 12% 72% 15%

    September 17-20, 2011 14% 72% 15%

    September 10-13, 2011 12% 73% 15%

    September 3-6, 2011 15% 70% 15%

    August 27-30, 2011 14% 70% 15%

    August 20-23, 2011 14% 71% 15%

    August 13-16, 2011 12% 74% 15%

    August 6-9, 2011 13% 71% 16%

    July 23-26, 2011 16% 70% 15%

    One Year Ago 31% 58% 11%

    Registered Voters

    Right Wrong Not

    Track Direction Sure

    October 8-11, 2011 15% 72% 13%

    October 1-4, 2011 16% 73% 10%

    September 24-27, 2011 12% 76% 12%

    September 17-20, 2011 14% 76% 10%

    September 10-13, 2011 13% 77% 10%

    September 3-6, 2011 15% 73% 12%

    August 27-30, 2011 15% 73% 12%

    August 20-23, 2011 12% 76% 12%

    August 13-16, 2011 12% 77% 11%

    August 6-9, 2011 13% 77% 10%

    July 23-26, 2011 14% 73% 13%

    One Year Ago 33% 58% 9%

    10

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    11/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    PercentofRespondents

    "Would you say things in this country today aregenerally headed in the right direction

    or off on the wrong track?"

    Direction of Country

    Right: 13%

    Wrong: 72%

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    2009 2010 2011

    Figure 5: Direction of Country All Adults

    11

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    12/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    PercentofRegisteredVoters

    "Would you say things in this country today aregenerally headed in the right direction

    or off on the wrong track?"

    Direction of Country

    Right: 15%

    Wrong: 72%

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    6070

    80

    90

    2009 2010 2011

    Figure 6: Direction of Country Registered Voters

    12

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    13/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    8. Direction of Country This Week

    Would you say things in this country today are...

    Age Race Gender EducationTotal 18-29 30-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Male Female HS or Less Some College College Grad

    Generally

    headed in the

    right direction 12.9% 15.3% 12.6% 11.4% 8.8% 35.1% 21.1% 10.9% 14.8% 13.5% 11.8% 13.2%

    Off on the wrong

    track 72.3% 68.1% 71.9% 78.6% 77.8% 42.7% 61.4% 77.4% 67.5% 71.1% 72.4% 74.3%

    Not sure 14.8% 16.6% 15.5% 10.0% 13.4% 22.2% 17.6% 11.7% 17.7% 15.4% 15.7% 12.5%

    Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    (Unweighted) (998) (204) (642) (152) (810) (94) (94) (444) (554) (388) (354) (256)

    Party ID Ideology Region Family Income

    Total Dem Rep Ind Lib Mod Con Northeast Midwest South West Under 40 40-100 100+

    Generally

    headed in the

    right direction 12.9% 26.9% 1.7% 11.0% 24.7% 17.2% 5.6% 11.1% 16.0% 11.5% 13.0% 12.2% 12.7% 15.4%

    Off on the wrong

    track 72.3% 57.4% 94.8% 75.8% 55.8% 68.1% 89.7% 74.7% 68.8% 72.8% 73.7% 70.5% 77.4% 72.7%

    Not sure 14.8% 15.7% 3.5% 13.2% 19.5% 14.7% 4.8% 14.3% 15.1% 15.7% 13.4% 17.3% 10.0% 11.9%

    Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%

    (Unweighted) (998) (341) (241) (296) (177) (364) (312) (167) (229) (362) (240) (430) (341) (129)

    13

  • 8/3/2019 YouGov, 10.8.11 Tracking

    14/14

    The Economist/YouGov PollOctober 8-11, 2011

    Sponsorship The Economist

    Fieldwork YouGov

    Interviewing Dates October 8-11, 2011

    Target population U.S. citizens, aged 18 and over.

    Sampling method Respondents were selected from YouGovs PollingPoint panel using

    sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race,

    education, and region) was selected from the 20052007 American

    Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest,

    minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale,

    were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration

    and Voting Supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey.

    Matching respondents were selected from the PollingPoint panel, an

    opt-in Internet panel.

    Weighting The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age,

    gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-

    placement on an ideology scale. The weights range from 0.52 to 5.26,

    with a mean of one and a standard deviation of 0.8.

    Number of respondents 1,000

    Margin of error 3.9% (adjusted for weighting)

    Margin of error (Registered Voters) 4.3% (adjusted for weighting)

    Survey mode Web-based interviews

    Full results Available online at

    http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/economist/.

    http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/economist/http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/economist/