Achieving the Dream
Tulsa Community College Professional Development Day
October 16, 2007
Did You Know?
What are the implications of Did You Know ?
What do our students need for the future?
What does our community need for the future?
Are Oklahoma residents sufficiently educated for the global economy now and for 10 years from now?
U.S. growth is lagging behind large developing countries like India and China.
We are not producing significant numbers of students to compete globally. Growth in off-shoring work is occurring.
U.S. student’s international language skills rate below world competitors.
Workers change jobs multiple times over their career.
New degree majors are emerging that didn’t exist just a few years ago.
New learners are tech savvy and communicate through new devices (text messages, MySpace and YouTube).
Technological knowledge is doubling every year.
We are preparing students for jobs that don’t exist.
We are facing exponential change - “shift happens”.
Our Complex EnvironmentOur Complex Environment
Internet classesInternet classesShort coursesShort coursesGlobal communicationsGlobal communicationsInternational EducationInternational EducationeServiceseServicesDistance learningDistance learningCorporate classesCorporate classesService learningService learningLearning communitiesLearning communities
Our Complex Environment Our Complex Environment (cont.)(cont.)
Increased demands Increased demands Increased competition Increased competition Scarce state resourcesScarce state resourcesTuition escalationTuition escalationDependence on grants and Dependence on grants and private givingprivate givingAssessment and accountability Assessment and accountability Increased regulationIncreased regulation
“Ninety percent of the fastest-growing jobs in the new information and service economy will require some post-secondary education. In high demand fields, the value of post-secondary credentials and skills is likely to rise.”
A Test of Leadership: Charting the Future of U.S. Higher Education. U.S. Department of Education (2006)
“People with associate degrees generally earn 20-30% more than people with only a high school diploma.
Achieving the Dream: Community Colleges Count (July 2006)
Per capita income vs. degrees
Source: US Census Bureau (2005)
Percent Population with Bachelors or Higher
$15,000
$17,000
$19,000
$21,000
$23,000
$25,000
$27,000
$29,000
$31,000
$33,000
$35,000
$37,000
15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
DC
CO
MA
CT
MDNJ
VANH
VT
RI
IL WACA
DENY
MN
ID
MO
UT
NE
GA
NATIONHI
OR
AK
KSOH
IAWY
NMMT
SD TX
NC ND
AZ MEMI
PAFL WI
Per Capita Income
NV
KY
AR
MS
WV
IN
LA
ALTN
OKSC
Percent of population age 25 or older with bachelor’s degree or
higher
• Massachusetts - 36.9%• U.S. Average - 27.2%• Oklahoma (#42) - 22.4% • West Virginia - 16.9%
U.S. Census Bureau 2005
Loss rate per 100 ninth graders
26 35 24 15
0% 50% 100%
Oklahoma
Students who do notgraduate from highschool
High School graduateswho do not go to collegeimmediately
College students who donot graduate within 150%of program time
College graduates within150% of program time
Oklahoma ranks 36th in college graduates within 150% of program time
Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2004)
Projected 9th - 12th grade students in Tulsa and the MSA
40528 42311 43649 43361
6377767361 67638 65389
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
2000 2005 2010 2015Paulien & Associates Inc.
Tulsa MSA
Tulsa County
There is a fundamental need for increased participation in college and an emphasis on degree attainment, particularly in the Tulsa metropolitan area.
85% of young people in the MSA intend to complete a degree but . . .
• 30% start and eventually finish a degree• 35% start but do not finish• 20% have good intentions but never start• 15% have no interest
Render, Vanderslice & Associates (2004)
Opportunity
Those who don’t finish college plus those who have good intentions but never start college represent approximately 95,000 young adults in the Tulsa MSA.
Render, Vanderslice & Associates (2004)
Undergraduate enrollments public four-year colleges
4.1
5.2
4
4.2
4.4
4.6
4.8
5
5.2
5.4
Tulsa MSA Portland MSAMetropolitan Statistical Area
Per
cent
of P
opul
atio
n E
nrol
led
State System Offices of Institutional Research (2006)
(35,606 students)
(107,552 students)%
%
Opportunity
An additional 1.1% people in the Tulsa MSA participating in undergraduate higher education represents an additional 9,546 students.
Looking to the future -some thoughts
YOU are critical to the future success of higher education and to TCC.