1. November 30 - December 1, 2011 San Francisco Design Center -
ConcourseHow Big is the US App-Economy?Estimates and Forecasts
2011-2015Released at Appnation III: Show Me The Money | Created by
Appnation and Rubinson Partners, Inc.
2. App-enabled life App-enabled life is a term, coined in this
paper, referring to a set of behaviors by the users of
mobile-application where the content and functionality of the
application has become critical to ensuring the efficiency,
awareness, and success of a given life activity. Ask yourself some
of the following questions: How frequently do I check email on my
mobile phone? Could your children live without text messaging their
friends? Do you sleep with your smartphone by your bed? Do you ever
bring the smartphone into the bathroom with you? (come on, admit
it!) What makes mobile life so compelling? It is the incredible
power of apps. And what is that power? It is the power to simplify.
This was discovered out of the necessity of the small screen. Apps
provide needed simplicity by extracting the value essence and
create big buttons on small screens in a way that fits perfectly
within the screenHow Big is the US App-Economy?Estimates and
Forecasts 2011-2015 November 30 - December 1, 2011 San Francisco
Design Center - Concourse
3. What is the app-economy? It is the commercialization of apps
created for smartphones, tablets, eReaders, iPod touch and other
app-capable devices, such as apps created to live within Facebook
and internet enabled TV. In this working paper, we examine the app
economy through two specific devices: smartphones and tablets,
while also analyzing the virtual app- economy in Facebook. In-app
advertising App download revenue App-enabled commerce (including
virtual goods)How Big is the US App-Economy?Estimates and Forecasts
2011-2015 November 30 - December 1, 2011 San Francisco Design
Center - Concourse
4. The U.S. App Economy Time per day accessing internet: 25
billion app downloads 1 hour on smart phones in 2011 growing to 183
2/3rds via apps billion downloads globally 1 hours on tablets
(Source: IDC) Smart Phone and Tablet Ownership 200MM 180MM 150MM
App economy growing 100MM 90MM from $20 billion to 84MM 50MM $76
billion by 2015 24MM 0MM 2011 2015 Estimates by Appnation and
Rubinson Partners based on inputs from Smartphone Tablet Nielsen,
IDC, eMarketer, Park Associates, IPSOSHow Big is the US
App-Economy?Estimates and Forecasts 2011-2015 November 30 -
December 1, 2011 San Francisco Design Center - Concourse
5. How big is the app economy? Nearly $20 billion in 2011
growing to $75.8 billion by 2015 Size of the US App Economy ($
Millions) App-enabled life is a term, coined in this 80,000 paper,
referring to a set of behaviors by the users of mobile-application
where the content and functionality of the application 60,000 has
become critical to ensuring the efficiency, awareness, and success
of a 40,000 given life activity. In-App Advertising 20,000 App
Downloads Sales Physical Goods & Services Digital Downloads
Virtual Goods 0 Source: Appnation 2011 2011 2015How Big is the US
App-Economy?Estimates and Forecasts 2011-2015 November 30 -
December 1, 2011 San Francisco Design Center - Concourse
6. US App download revenue is $5 billion Appnation estimates
that paid app downloads will generate US App Download Revenue ($
Billions) approximately $5 billion in revenue in the US in 2011 20
This estimate is consistent with Gartner who estimates $15 billion
in app download revenue worldwide. If average app prices and rates
of download per smart phone and tablet 15 owner remain constant,
app revenue is likely to increase in the US to nearly $12 billion
by 2015. Parks Associates estimates that the 90 MM smart phone
owner spend an average of $3.38 per month for app 10 downloads
(averaged across different device manufacturers and accounts for
those who never pay for downloads). Nielsen reports an average of
33% more download activity 5 on tablets vs. smart phones (Q3 2011
Mobile Connected Device Report) Appnations analysis of price per
paid download suggests 0 the average price per paid download is 33%
higher for iPads 2011 2015 vs. the average price on smartphones.
Smartphones TabletsHow Big is the US App-Economy?Estimates and
Forecasts 2011-2015 November 30 - December 1, 2011 San Francisco
Design Center - Concourse
7. Sales of physical goods and servicesAppnation estimates
app-enabled mobile commerce will be $8 billion in2011 and rise to
$40 billion by 2015. In a recent survey of mobile users that Paypal
conducted with the research firm IPSOS, important aspects of mobile
commerce regarding incidence of buying via mobile, average price
per transaction and numbers of transactions were quantified,
leading to an estimate of over $800 per person being spent annually
on mobile e-commerce from smart phones (for those who make
transactions on their mobile device at all). In June, Techcrunch
reported on Forrester estimates that mobile commerce in the US will
increase five fold by 2015.How Big is the US App-Economy?Estimates
and Forecasts 2011-2015 November 30 - December 1, 2011 San
Francisco Design Center - Concourse
8. Virtual goods; a multi-billion dollar business Sales include
virtual goods from Facebook as well as and virtual goods on mobile
devices, surprising to some, are a billion dollar business.
Appnation believes the market will be $2 billion in 2011, growing
to $6 billion by 2015. Parks Associates surveys smart phone owners
and their estimates imply a market size of $1.2 billion from smart
phone owners. When we add Facebook virtual currency on computers
and virtual currency on tablets, the total market is thought to be
$2 billion Appnation endorses that the market is growing 35% per
year which would place sales at $6 billion by 2015.How Big is the
US App-Economy?Estimates and Forecasts 2011-2015 November 30 -
December 1, 2011 San Francisco Design Center - Concourse
9. AcknowledgementsThis analysis was created by Rubinson
Partners, Inc on behalf of Appnation III and its registered
delegates. For moreinformation, please contact
[email protected] Partners, Inc.Joel Rubinson is
President and Founder of Rubinson Partners, Inc., a marketing and
research consultancy. Previously,Joel was Chief Research Officer at
The ARF, where he directed the organizations research priorities
and initiatives onbehalf of more than 400 advertisers, advertising
agencies, associations, research firms, and media companies. Prior
tojoining the ARF, Joel held senior executive positions at Synovate
North America, focusing on shopper research, and NPDGroup, leading
the creation of tools for brand equity management (BrandBuilder),
new product forecasting (ESP),category management and designed many
of their data collection and sampling methodologies as NPD changed
frompaper diaries to online research. Joel began his research
career at Unilever. Joel is also a published author of
numerouspapers in professional journals and frequent speaker at
industry conferences. He has taught the official AmericanMarketing
Association advanced tutorial on brand loyalty, been a professor at
NYU and lectured at Columbia, Wharton,Amos Tuck School, and the
University of Rochester. Joel holds an MBA in statistics and
economics from the University ofChicago and a BS from NYU.Appnation
and Rubinson Partners would like to gratefully acknowledge the
contributions of: The Nielsen Company,Flurry, IPSOS, Paypal and
Park AssociatesHow Big is the US App-Economy?Estimates and
Forecasts 2011-2015 November 30 - December 1, 2011 San Francisco
Design Center - Concourse