BURNETSTATE OF THE COUNTY2011
Governments
Capital Area Council of
POPULATION
Governments
Capital Area Council of
POPULATION – THE RISE OF TEXAS
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000DOMESTIC MIGRATION
TEXAS TRIANGLE MSA NET MIGRATION
During the past decade, the State of Texas has proved tremendously attractive to residents living outside the state. While migration in the U.S. has dropped significantly since the beginning of the recession, Texas continues to lure people from across the country. In 2009, nearly one in four people who moved did so to one of four metropolitan areas—Austin, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio.
U.S. INTERNAL MIGRATION PATTERNS (2000 – 2009)
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
Texas Triangle Delaware South Dakota Alaska North Dakota Vermont District of Columbia Wyoming0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
Texas Triangle Metro Influx Since 2000
POPULATION – THE RISE OF TEXAS
Since 2000, more than 972,000 people have moved to the Texas Triangle’s four major metropolitan areas—Austin, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio. To put this number in perspective, the population of Delaware is just 885,000. In fact, the number of new residents that have moved to the Texas Triangle during the past decade is greater than the population of six states and the District of Columbia.
TEXAS MIGRATION SINCE 2000 COMPARED TO STATE POPULATIONS
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
POPULATION – CAPCOG REGION GROWTH
The CAPCOG region has experienced significant growth during the past decade. Since 2000, the population of the 10-County CAPCOG region has jumped from 1.36 million to 1.83 million—an increase of more than 34 percent. During this same period, the population of the U.S. increased just 9.7 percent and the population of Texas increased 20.6 percent.
POPULATION OF 10-COUNTY CAPCOG REGION
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1,000,000
100,00010,000
COUNTY POPULATION
CAPCOG AVERAGE
Within the CAPCOG region, Burnet County experienced the fifth fastest rate of growth during the past decade. Since 2000, the population of Burnet County has increased by 25 percent. The population of Travis County, the traditional engine of growth within the region, increased by 26 percent during the past decade (although the County added the greatest number of new residents).
POULATION GROWTH OF 10-COUNTY CAPCOG REGION (2001 TO 2010)
POPULATION – CAPCOG REGION GROWTH
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
U.S.
NATURAL INCREASE 63.9%MIGRATION 36.1%
CAPCOG
NATURAL INCREASE 33.5%MIGRATION 66.5%
BURNET COUNTY
NATURAL INCREASE 7.3%
MIGRATION 92.7%
POPULATION - COMPONENTS OF POPULATION CHANGE
POPULATION GROWTH : MIGRATION VS. NATURAL INCREASE (2000 – 2009)
The spectacular growth of the CAPCOG region is largely due to massive levels of migration. In America, for example, new migrants to the country account for little more than a third of all population growth. Instead, most population gains are attributable to natural increases (births minus deaths). Within the CAPCOG region, however, migration is responsible for two-thirds of all population growth. Within Burnet County, migration now accounts for more than 90 percent of all population gains.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
Hays County
Blanco County
Tarrant County
Bell County
Lampasas County
Harris County
Bexar County
Travis County
Llano County
Williamson County
POPULATION – BURNET COUNTY IN-MIGRATION PATTERNSWithin the region, Travis and Williamson County serves as a giant funnel for migrants. Each year, thousands of people move to Travis and Williamson County from major metropolitan areas throughout the country. In turn, many of these people later move to surrounding counties. Burnet County is a direct beneficiary of this second-wave migration dynamic. Between 2008 and 2009, the overwhelming share of migrants to Burnet County were from three neighboring jurisdictions—Williamson, Travis, and Llano Counties.
ORIGIN OF IN-MIGRANTS TO BURNET COUNTY (2008-2009)
SOURCE: U.S. INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE
Same house 1 year ago Moved within same county
Moved from different county within same
state
Moved from different state
Moved from abroad0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Burnet County continues to lure new residents each year. Between 2008 and 2009, more than 6 percent of all residents within Burnet County had lived in the community for less than a year. Most of the new residents came from other counties in Texas, though out-of-state residents accounted for nearly two percent of the total population of Burnet County in 2010.
GEOGRAPHIC MOBILITY OF POPULATION AGE 1 AND OLDER (2008 TO 2010)
POPULATION – CAPCOG REGION GROWTH
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
PEOPLE
Governments
Capital Area Council of
PEOPLE - RACIAL & ETHNIC COMPOSITION - 2010
White Hispanic Black Asian Other0%
25%
50%
75%
PEOPLE - RACIAL & ETHNIC COMPOSITION - 2010The racial and ethnic composition of Burnet County differs slightly from the regional average. The proportion of White residents in Burnet County, for example, is higher than the average of the entire CAPCOG region. In contrast, Hispanic residents represent a smaller share of Burnet County’s population than the regional average. Burnet County also features a lower proportion of other minority groups than the overall region.
BURNET COUNTY
CAPCOG Region
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
White Hispanic Black Asian Other0%
50%
100%
150%
50,00025,000
WILLIAMSON COUNTY
POPULATION
10,000
PEOPLE - GROWTH BY RACIAL & ETHNIC GROUP (2000 – 2010)Every racial and ethnic group within Burnet County is experiencing growth. Asian residents are the fastest-growing racial/ethnic group within Burnet County; since 2000, this population has increased more than 120 percent. Hispanic residents are the second-fastest growing single racial/ethnic group in Burnet County. During the past decade, this population has increased more than 70 percent.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
BURNET COUNTY
CAPCOG Region
Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
AUSTIN MSA
1,000,000
100,00010,000
COUNTY POPULATION
PEOPLE – MEDIAN AGE (2005-2009)
Burnet County is the third-oldest county in the CAPCOG region, with a median age of 44.7—approximately 8 years older than the national figure.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 34 years
35 to 44 years
45 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 74 years
75 to 84 years
85 years and older
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
BURNET COUNTY U.S.
PEOPLE – AGE DISTRIBUTION (2008-2010)
The relative maturity of Burnet County is further reflected in the age distribution of the County. For example, Burnet County features fewer residents between the ages of 35 and 59 than the U.S. average. In contrast, Burnet County features a higher proportion of residents age 60 and older than the U.S. average. Still, there are signs that Burnet County may be attracting more young families; the county has a higher proportion of residents between the ages of 10–14 years and 25-34 years than the U.S. average.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
US Texas Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
CAPCOG AVERAGE
PEOPLE – H.S. EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT (2005-2009)
Approximately 81 percent of all residents 25 years and older within Burnet County possess a high school (or equivalent) degree. Within the CAPCOG region, Burnet County has the sixth highest level of high school educational attainment. While the proportion of residents with a high school degree in Burnet County is higher than the Texas average, it remains slightly below the U.S. average.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
CAPCOG AVERAGE
1,000,000
100,00010,000
COUNTY POPULATION
PEOPLE – COLLEGE EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT (2005-2009)Approximately 21 percent of Burnet County residents over the age of 25 possess a 4-year college education, the sixth-highest level of college educational attainment within the CAPCOG region and approximately six percentage points lower than the national average.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
White Black Hispanic Asian0%
25%
50%
75%
CAPCOG AVERAGE
20,0005,000
1,000
POPULATION WITH DEGREE
BURNET COUNTY
CAPCOG Region
PEOPLE - EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT BY RACE (2005-2009)Within Burnet County (and the CAPCOG region), there are striking differences in the educational attainment levels of individual racial and ethnic groups. While 22 percent of Asian residents age 25 years and older within Burnet County possess a college degree, for example, the figure is less than 5 percent for Hispanic residents. Given the growth trajectories of individual racial and ethnic groups, these differences have profound consequences for our region.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
POPULATION GROWTH (2000 – 2010)
COLL
EGE
ATTA
INM
ENT
(200
5/ 2
009)
PEOPLE – EDUCATION & POPULATION GROWTH
The growth dynamics of individual racial and ethnic groups—combined with wide discrepancies in the rate of college educational attainment—suggest that maintaining its current level of educational attainment may be difficult for Burnet County (as well as the rest of the CAPCOG region). Unless our region can increase college educational attainment of the fastest growing racial and ethnic groups, the overall rate of educational attainment within Burnet County will likely stagnate.
GROWTH IN COLLEGE ATTAINMENT (2001 – 2009) VS. POPULATION GROWTH (2010) VS. POPULATION SIZE (2010) BURNET COUNTY
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
-50% -25% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125%0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
ASIAN
WHITE
BLACK HISPANIC
EMPLOYMENT
Governments
Capital Area Council of
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%BURNET COUNTY
UNEMPLOYMENT – 2000 - 2010
During the past decade, the unemployment rate of Burnet County has remained among the lowest in the CAPCOG region. Today, the unemployment rate in Burnet County is approximately 7 percent, below the national average and regional average.
SOURCE: U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
05 Q1
05 Q2
05 Q3
05 Q4
06 Q1
06 Q2
06 Q3
06 Q4
07 Q1
07 Q2
07 Q3
07 Q4
08 Q1
08 Q2
08 Q3
08 Q4
09 Q1
09 Q2
09 Q3
09 Q4
10 Q1
10 Q2
10 Q3
10 Q4
11 Q1
11 Q2
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
EMPLOYMENT – 2005 - 2010
Since 2005, employment in Burnet County has grown from approximately 8,400 to more than 10,000—an increase of 20 percent. In many regions within the country, employment levels today remain significantly below their pre-recession high. Burnet County, however, has recovered nearly all the jobs lost during the recession.
SOURCE: U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
Natural Resources and Mining
Information
Financial Activities
Construction
Manufacturing
Professional and Business Services
Education and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Trade, Transportation and Utilities
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
BURNET COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY (2011)
With more than 2,500 workers, Trade, Transportation & Utilities is the largest employment category within Burnet County. Leisure & Hospitality, with approximately 1,900 workers, is the second-largest employment category. The third-largest employment category in Burnet County, Education & Health Services, employs nearly 1,500 workers.
SOURCE: U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
Professional and Business Services
Manufacturing
Construction
Natural Resources and Mining
Financial Activities
Information
Trade, Transportation and Utilities
Leisure and Hospitality
Education and Health Services
-100 0 100 200 300 400 500
BURNET COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY (2006 – 2010)During the past five years, the Education & Health Services employment sector has added the greatest number of jobs within Burnet County. Leisure & Hospitality added the second-greatest number of jobs during this period. Trade, Transportation, & Utilities added the third-greatest number of jobs.
SOURCE: U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
-40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%$0.00
$25,000.00
$50,000.00
$75,000.00
MANUFACTURING
INFORMATION
FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES
CONSTRUCTION
LEISURE & HOSPITALITY
EDUCATION & HEALTH CARE
PROFESSIONAL & BUSINESS SERVICES
NATURAL RESOURCES
TRADE & TANSPORTATION
BURNET COUNTY DYNAMICS OF EMPLOYMENT GROWTH
One of the more troubling employment trends within the CAPCOG region is the interrelation of job growth and prevailing wages. In short, low-skill, low-wage industries such as Leisure & Hospitality, for example, are growing faster than high-skill, high-wage jobs in industries such as Manufacturing and Construction.
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH (2006 – 2010) VS. AVERAGE SALARY (2010) VS. EMPLOYMENT SIZE (2010)
BURNET COUNTY
SOURCE: U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
BURNET COUNTY EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS
Burnet County has the fourth-lowest rate of employment in comparison to its overall population; in 2010, fewer than 37 percent of all residents in Burnet County were employed. This figure is approximately 10 percent lower than the national average.
PROPORTION OF RESIDENTS EMPLOYED
SOURCE: U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
U.S. Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson0%
25%
50%
41.4%39.5%
31.7%
36.7%
40.7%
28.6%
36.1%
43.9%
30.6%
41.2% 39.9%
INCOME
Governments
Capital Area Council of
Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
AUSTIN MSA
MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME (2005-2009)
Median household income in Burnet County is approximately $46,500, the sixth-highest figure within the CAPCOG region.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
AUSTIN MSA
CHANGE IN MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME (2000 vs. 2005/09)Higher levels of growth among low-skill, low-wage industries has resulted in declining levels of household income in Burnet County and every county within the CAPCOG region. Between 2000 and 2009, median household income levels in Burnet County fell nearly 5 percent (on an inflation-adjusted basis). During the past decade, however, Burnet County has suffered less severe declines in household income than many other jurisdictions within the CAPCOG region.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
AFFORDABILITY
Governments
Capital Area Council of
Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
CAPCOG
HOUSING AFFORDABILITY (2000) The generally accepted definition of affordability is for a household to pay no more than 30 percent of its annual income on housing. Families who pay more than 30 percent of their income for housing are considered cost burdened and may have difficulty affording necessities such as food, clothing, transportation and medical care. In 2000, 27 percent of homeowners in Burnet County with a mortgage spent more than 30 percent of their income on housing—a higher proportion than the CAPCOG average.
PERCENTAGE OF HOMEOWNERS WITH A MORTGAGE THAT SPEND MORE THAN 30% OF INCOME ON HOUSING
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
PERCENTAGE OF HOMEOWNERS WITH A MORTGAGE THAT SPEND MORE THAN 30% OF INCOME ON HOUSING
Bastrop Blanco Burnet Caldwell Fayette Hays Lee Llano Travis Williamson0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
CAPCOG
HOUSING AFFORDABILITY (2005-2009) In 2005/09, the percentage of homeowners in Burnet County with a mortgage that spent more than 30 percent of their income on housing jumped to 38 percent. During the past decade, housing has become less affordable in every county within the CAPCOG region. While home prices have slightly increased during this period, stagnant (and declining) levels of income are primarily responsible for the decline of housing affordability within the CAPCOG region.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
COMMUTING PATTERNS
Governments
Capital Area Council of
DAILY COMMUTING PATTERN BALANCE - BURNET COUNTY
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
9,400 6,290 5,932
The light red circle depicts workers living in Burnet County
who commute to another county for employment.
The blue circle depicts outside workers who commute into Burnet
County for work.
Workers living and working in the designated county are represented by
the overlapping circles.
A + B = WORKERS LIVING IN COUNTY
A B C
B + C = INDIVIDUALS WORKING IN COUNTY
DallasTarrant2,766 (4.6%)1,014 (1.7%)
BURNET COUNTY – WHERE RESIDENTS WORK?
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
Just as many residents of Burnet County work in other jurisdictions, many outside residents are employed within Burnet County. Every day, more than half of all individuals working in Burnet County commute to another county. The top ten destinations of workers in Burnet County are listed below. Travis County is the largest external destination for Burnet County workers; nearly 20 percent of residents in Burnet County work in Travis County.
McLennan
Travis
Bell
Burnet
Bexar
Harris
Dallas
Llano
3.1%
2.4%
2.3%
2.5%
1.7%
20.0%
2.9%
40.1%
7.5%
Williamson
Other
16.0%
Tarrant
1.5%
DallasTarrant2,766 (4.6%)1,014 (1.7%)
BURNET COUNTY – WHERE WORKERS LIVE?
Nearly half of all Burnet County workers live outside of the county. Llano County is the largest external source of Burnet County workers. Travis and Williamson Counties are also leading origins of Burnet County workers.
SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU
BlancoTravis
Bell
Burnet
Bexar
Harris
Dallas
Llano
8.4%
2.7%
1.3%
2.4%
1.4%7.0%
1.4%
51.5%
5.5%
Williamson
Other
17.0%
Lampasas
1.4%
Governments
Capital Area Council ofGovernments
Capital Area Council of