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Welcome Note
Monday03rd September, 2018
Stock Of The Day: (F & O)
Forecast and Analysis
CONTENTSCONTENTS
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Title Page No.
'30,000 feet view’: The big picture of Dalal Street 04-07
Stock Of The Day: (F & O) 08-09
Equity Derivatives 10
Daily Pivot Table (Equities) 11
Forecast and Analysis 12-14
Daily Pivot Table (Commodities) 15
Disclaimer 16
'30,000 feet view’:
The big picture of Dalal Street
'30,000 feet view’:
The big picture of Dalal Street
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'30,000 feet view’: newsletter provides insights and themes for Indian equity markets. We also try and cover international themes for the day. This newsletter is quite popular with traders as it covers the most preferred trading strategy for Sensex/Nifty for the day.
In Chart of the day section, we recommend a stock which is likely to move significantly in the short term, clearly defining the supports, the resistances and bias for the stock.
In a nutshell, '30,000 feet view’: covers themes and insights for the day.
‘30,000 feet view’: The big picture of Dalal Street
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Nifty Outlook
Intraday
Medium Term
Long Term
Key Levels to Watch
Nifty Support
Nifty Resistance
Pivot Level
Nifty
Outlook for the Day
INDICES
Nifty
Bank Nifty
Nifty Auto Index
Nifty FMCG Index
Nifty Infra Index
Nifty IT Index
Nifty Media Index
Nifty Midcap Index
Nifty Metal Index
Nifty Pharma Index
Nifty Reality Index
Nifty Smallcap Index
Sensex
SGX Nifty
‘30,000 feet view’: The big picture of Dalal Street
11681 0.03%
28062 -0.15%
11009 0.01%
32912 0.21%
3289 1.14%
15811 1.81%
2840 -0.60%
5345 0.28%
6343 -0.60%
10391 2.67%
276 -0.07%
7669 0.35%
38645 -0.12%
11749 0.17%
Positive session likely.
Positive (11645-11745)
Neutral (11300-11901)
Neutral (12001)
11645 & 11531
11771 & 12001
11321
Good Morning & Welcome to first trading day of the week and also the first
trading day of the month at Dalal Street, dated 3rd of September 2018.
In early action, SGX Nifty is seen marching with strength, up 20 points at 11,749 mark.
This renewed optimism is on backdrop of stellar set of India's GDP data which
came in after market hours on Friday.
Indian economy is seen gaining momentum as is reflected by India's annual economic
growth which surged to a more than two-year high of 8.2% in the three months through
June, powered by a strong performance of manufacturing and consumer spending.
Amidst this backdrop, expect Nifty start on positive note.
But the big question is: Will the bounce sustain? Will the overbought technical
conditions weigh on the early strength?
Honestly speaking, Nifty is ripe for some sizeable corrective declines, but definitely that
day is not today. Agreed, that the ongoing optimism at Dalal Street will not last forever, but
for the day, short covering & some value buying will be the theme of the day.
We say so because, traders will be quite active as Wall Street is closed on Monday for Labor
Day holiday. So, global cues likely to be muted to positive. Anticipating the same, the
trading community at Dalal Street was seen active in Friday's trades as was reflected by the
market breadth indicating the overall health of the market, was quite positive.
Keeping hopes alive at the bulls camp are also some kind of resolution to the trade dispute
when the top-levels meet in near future.
Our call of the day says, 'Make Hay While The Sun Shines’
STOCKS TO WATCH:
• Our chart of the day suggests establishing long positions in stocks like BANK OF
INDIA, UNION BANK OF INDIA and CANARA BANK with interweek
perspective.
• Bullish stocks: JUBILANT FOODS, BOI. OBC, UBI, CANARA BANK, DHFL,
OFSS, UPL, ADANI ENTERPRISES, BHARAT FORGE, CENTURY TEXTILE, UBL, TATA
ELXSI, VGUARD.
• Bearish stocks: BEL, BPCL, HPCL, JUST DIAL, MCX, MGL, MRF, SOUTH INDIAN
BANK, SUN TV, SUZLON, TATA GLOBAL.
• Show Me the Money: Buy JUBILANT FOODS (CMP 1549): Jindal Steel & Power is
aiming to move above its all-time-high at 1578. Confirmation of major strength
above 1578 mark. Intraday Strategy: Buy between 1535-1545 zone, targeting
1578 and then more aggressive targets located at 1607-1621 zone. Stop below
1521.
• Auto stocks will be in focus as August monthly sales numbers have started to trickle
in.
• JSW Steel To Replace Lupin In Nifty 50 From Sept. 28. The company will join Tata
Steel Ltd., the only other steelmaker in the index, according to a press release by the
National Stock Exchange.
• Stocks banned in F&O segment for today: No stocks under ban period on NSE.
Outlook for Monday: Nifty may aim to reclaim its all-time-high.
Nifty is likely to trade with positive bias in today's trade, but aggressive bulls need to have a
strategy in case the bears takes the centre stage, else they are putting themselves at major
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Technical Strategy
‘30,000 feet view’: The big picture of Dalal Street
risk of capital. We say so because of the following two key negative catalysts surrounding
Dalal Street:
1. Weakening Indian Rupee.
2. Strength in Crude-oil prices.
The above two negative catalysts are bound to temper some excitement. And if last three
day's trading action is any indication then the ongoing optimism at Dalal Street will not last
forever. The longevity of the ongoing uptrend is now in question mark.
Brace yourself for volatile sessions in near term as we are expecting crude-oil prices to rise
further amidst risk of disruption, especially from OPEC-countries like Venezuela, Iran,
Libya and Nigeria. Also, a trade war unlikely to curb China's appetite for US crude.
Higher crude oil prices will definitely keep the Indian Rupee under pressure.
We suspect, escalating trade tension between U.S-China could be the real villain rattling
our stock markets. The heightened tensions between U.S. -China could not only hamper
U.S. economic growth but derail the global economy at large.
Long story short: Trade on buy side with strict stop losses in place.
FII/DII & OPTIONS DATA:
• As per Friday’s Provisional Data available on the NSE, FII’s sold shares worth Rs.
212.81 crores in the Indian Equity Market. On the other hand DIIs bought shares
worth Rs. 171.92 crores in the Indian Equity market.
• On the option data front, key resistance level for the September series are at 11,800
strike price. While support for Nifty are seen at 11,000 strike price as maximum put
open interest seen at 11,000 strike price.
GLOBAL CUES:
• Amazon was star performer in last week's trade at Wall Street. Amozon shares have
crossed the $2,000 level for the first time, gaining over 70% this year.
Apple, which became the first U.S. publicly traded company to reach the $1 trillion
mark earlier this month, now has a market cap around $1.05 trillion and is the
second-best performing Dow component this year with a gain of 32%.
The rally in shares of Apple and Amazon have helped push the Nasdaq Composite
past the 8,000 mark for the first time. The tech-heavy benchmark has gained 17%
this year.
Jeff Bezos is already by far the world’s richest person. His net worth is currently
estimated to be $164 billion, compared with second-place Bill Gates of Microsoft
fame at $98.4 billion, and with third-place Warren Buffett, at $87.1 billion.
• In Friday's session, Wall Street ended higher on Friday's trade, with the major
benchmarks posting strong weekly gains and a strong finish in August. For the
week, the Dow rose 0.7%, and the Nasdaq gained 2.1%. For August month, the
Dow added 2.2%, the S&P added 3%, and the Nasdaq climbed 5.7%.
Both the Dow and the S&P notched their third straight weekly advances, while the
Nasdaq booked its second straight positive week and its best August return since
2000.
COMMODITY CUES:
• Crude Oil prices ended slightly lower in Friday's trade, on concerns that the U.S.-
China trade dispute lower demand, but that said prices held on to a solid gain for the
month, with U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil expected to lead to tighter global crude
supplies.
ORACLE FINANCE (OFSS)
Action
Target
Support
Resistance
Holding Period
4160.2
BUY
5001
3875/3661
4401/5050
90 days
In last week's trade, Oracle Finance (OFSS))
ended on a positive note and was seen
attempting a major breakout from a higher
consolidation zone on the daily charts, up 1.73%
on weekly basis.
Technically, the stock is in consolidation mode at
higher levels and the momentum oscillators are
signaling a major breakout on the buy mode. Any
move above 4401 zone will confirm strength
which also needs to be backed by increases in
volumes. The stock is seen moving up on daily
charts, backed by positive divergences.
Key support to watch in near term is at 3875 zone.
Medium term supports seen at 3661-3675 zone.
Intermonth perspective: Establish long
positions at CMP, and on dips between 3875-3901
zone, targeting 4405 zone and then at 4750
mark and final aggressive targets at 5001-5050
zone with strict stop at 3651.
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‘30,000 feet view’: The big picture of Dalal Street
• Copper prices slipped sharply in Friday's trade. MCX COPPER (414): Interweek strategy: Establish long positions between 408-411 zone,
targeting 421 and then at 431 and finally at 441-447.50 zone with stop at 403.
• Gold prices ended higher on Friday, but it still suffered a fifth consecutive monthly decline—the longest such streak of losses in more than
five years. The bullish takeaway is that gold prices have held the $1200 mark.
CURRIENCIES & BONDS:
• The U.S. dollar index inched higher in Friday's trade, just above the $95 mark amidst value buying.
• In Friday's trade, the Indian Rupee registered a fresh all-time closing low of 71 against the US dollar. Buying on dips should be preferred
strategy. Interweek strategy: Establish long position between 70.45-70.55 zone, targeting 71.05 and then aggressive targets at 72.50-73
with stop at 69.69.
MACRO WATCH:
• In terms of economic data, investors got further confirmation the U.S economy is improving. Second-quarter GDP was revised to 4.2%
versus the initial 4.1%. The street was expecting no change.
• India reported on Friday a fiscal deficit of Rs 5.40 lakh crore for April-July, or 86.5% of the budgeted target for the current fiscal year
compared with 92.4% a year earlier.
• Net tax receipts in the first four months of 2018-2019 fiscal year that ends in March 2019 were Rs 2.93 lakh crore, government data showed.
What Technical Tells Us on Nifty: Nifty ended almost unchanged in Friday's trade and was seen settling just above the dotted lines.
It was nice to see broader market clocking decent gains. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.35%. The BSE Small-Cap index rose 0.55%. Both these
indices outperformed the Sensex.
Technically speaking, the must watch support levels are placed at 11,601 & then at 11,531. The technical landscape will worsen only if Nifty slips
below the 11,319 mark as that would open the door to massive technical selling, possibly quickly to the 10,750-10,901 zone.
The intraday bias is neutral amidst overbought technical conditions
For the day, we believe, Nifty will trade with slight positive bias with downside well supported at 11,601 mark. The make or break levels are at
11,601 mark. Hurdles continue to be at psychological 11,801 mark and then aggressive targets at 12,001 mark.
The price action for Nifty is suggesting that we are likely to see an 11,501-11,801 range in near term with positive bias.
Bulls Vs. Bears: Time to Pick a Side!!
Well, they say bull markets in stocks 'mature on optimism' and they eventually 'die on euphoria'. Well, at the moment the euphoria or panic buying
is still missing. This clearly indicates, Dalal Street stocks have further to run before hitting the wall.
Preferred trade on Nifty: Nifty (11681): Buy at CMP,
targeting 11721 and then at 11851-11901 zone with stop
at 11545.
Preferred trade on Bank Nifty: Bank Nifty (28062):
Establish long positions at CMP, targeting 28501 zone
and then at 28901-29001 zone with strict stop at 27551.
Daily Chart of Nifty:
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Comfort stock of the day
Stock Of The Day: (F & O)
When we want to see what's happening far off, we will reach for the binoculars. The binocular helps us to steer out of danger and also accurately spots our targets.
When it comes to trading / investing, that's exactly how Stock Of The Day: (F & O) introduces to the momentum stocks from the list of Future & Option segment, defining their support and resistance levels, and attempts to forecast their movement with a short /medium term perspective.
Stock Of The Day: (F & O)
R2STOCKS LTP S1 S2 R1 TRADING STRATEGYBIAS
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Stock Of The Day: (F & O)
DLF has signalled a major breakout from a higher consolidation zone on the daily charts. Intraday Strategy: Establish long positions between 215-217.50 zone, targeting 225-227.50 zone and then aggressive targets located at 231 mark. Stop below 212.05.
BOI is aiming to move above its crucial oversold technical conditions on the daily charts. Confirmation of major strength above 105.05 mark. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 97.50-99 zone, targeting 103-105 zone and then more aggressive targets located at 109-111 Stop below 95.45.
The interweek/intermonth risk is on the upside with immediate targets at 701. Key intraday support seen at 657.50. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 657.50-662.50 zone, targeting 677.50 zone and then at 695-701 zone with stop below 645.
Buying on any corrective declines should be the preferred strategy for VGUARD. Key interweek support seen at 207.50 zone. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 218-222 zone, targeting 227.50 and then at 235-241 zone. Stop below 215.05.
UBI likely to enjoy strong sessions as the stock is signaling sharp rebound from oversold zone. UBI is signaling a breakout on intraday charts. Interweek Strategy: Buy at CMP, targeting 93.50 and then more aggressive targets located at 97.50-101 zone. Stop below 84.05.
BOI & UBI: Swing traders get ready, Your favorite PSU Banks are aiming a major rebound from extremely oversold conditions.
DLF
BANK OF INDIA (BOI)
DHFL
VGUARD
UNION BANK OF INDIA (UBI)
220.8 212.5 207 227.5 231 Positive
100.45 95.75 92.5 105.05 111 Positive
667.65 657.5 645 677.5 701 Positive
224.1 217.5 207..50 227.5 241 Positive
89.75 84.45 81 93 101 Positive
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EQUITY DERIVATIVESLooking into the future from present.
Changes in Open Interest (OI) in yesterday’s trade.
Nifty Spot
Bank Nifty Future
VIX
Premium
Nifty Future OI
Bank Nifty Spot OI
BSE Cash Vol. (Rs. in Cr)
NSE Cash Vol.(Rs. in Cr)
NSE Derivative Vol. (Rs. in Cr)
Index Future Volumes
Stock Future Volumes
Index Option Volumes
Stock Option Volumes
Total
Cash Volumes (INR in Cr.)
YesterdayDay Before Yesterday
Derivatives Vol.(INR in Cr.)
No of contracts
Turnover (Rs. In cr.)
Major Changes in Nifty Options (OI)
Market Summary: In Friday’s trade, after a lower open, the benchmark Nifty bounced back and ended just above the
dotted lines. The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was positive. But the real positive takeaway was that despite U.S-China uncertainty, Nifty remains close to record
levels and most importantly, are up for 6th consecutive week and for second straight month. Perhaps, keeping hopes alive at the bulls camp are some kind of resolution to the trade dispute when
the top-levels meet in near future. With U.S stocks markets closed in Monday's trade, we suspect Nifty to zoom past its all-time-high at
11761 mark. Amongst stocks looking attractive on buy side are Jubilant Foods, Union Bank of India
and Canara Bank with interweek perspective.
Amongst Broader Indices, the BSE Midcap Index was up 0.35%. The BSE Smallcap Index was up
0.55%. Both the indices outperformed Sensex/Nifty.
Amongst the sectoral indices, outperforming the Sensex/Nifty were BSE Healthcare Index (up
2.18%), BSE IT Index (up 1.38%), BSE Power Index (up 1.28%).
Amongst the sectoral indices, underperforming the Sensex/Nifty were BSE Metal Index (down
0.63%), BSE Oil & Gas Index (down, 0.28%), BSE Bankex Index (down, 0.16%)
Amongst stock specific action, positive bias was seen in stocks like DR REDDY (up 4.70%), TECHM
(4.66%), LUPIN (up 4.24%)
Among stocks drifting down were: YES BANK (down 5.18%), RELIANCE (down 2.79%), BAJFINSERV
(down 2.55%)
Maximum Call Open Interest (OI) stands at 11800 Strike Price, followed by 12000 Strike Price for
September Series. Call writing was seen predominantly at 11900-12100 strike prices for September
series.
Maximum Put Open Interest (OI) was seen at strike price 11600 followed by 11,500 strike price for
September series. Some short built up in puts was seen predominantly at 11600-11750 strike prices
for September series.
As per Friday’s Provisional Data available on the NSE, FII’s sold shares worth Rs. 212.81 crores in the
Indian Equity Market. On the other hand DIIs bought shares worth Rs. 171.92 crores in the Indian
Equity market.
Highest OI Nifty: Calls 11800: 27.43 L - Puts 11600: 32.42
Highest OI Bank Nifty: Calls 29000: 6.96 L - Puts 27000: 7.34 L
Change in Stock Open Interest (OI) in previous day’s trade.
Long Buildup: PNB, IOC, POWERGRID, TECHM, BIOCON.
Short Buildup: YES BANK, RELIANCE, BALKRISHNA, BERGER PAINTS, PAGE IND.
Short Covering: HEXAWARE, RELINFRA, FEDERAL BANK, KOTAK BANK, INDUSIND BANK.
Long Unwinding: ICICI BANK, HINDALCO, CAPF, M&MFIN, UBL.
Stocks banned in F&O segment for today: NIL.
New In Ban: NIL.
Out of Ban: NIL.
Future Call: BUY BIOCON SEPTEMBER FUTURES between 623-626
zone. Targets 651 and then at 676. Stop: 611. Holding Period:
Intraday. Analyst’s Remark: Higher High/Low (Biocon September
Futures CMP 629.15).
Option Call: BUY DLF SEPTEMBER CE strike price 235 at CMP 4.45.
Profit: Unlimited. Maximum Loss: Rs. 11,125. Stop: Exit Call option if
DLF moves below 213. (DLF September Futures CMP 221.25).
11680.50 (+0.032%)
28061.75 (-0.15%)
12.5975 (+1.49%)
+50 vs +63
2.53 crores (+6.48%)
15.99 lakhs (-2.85%)
3453.61 2798.23
42825.68 41144.29
555158 1931286
203462 19731
923733 67988
3991373 416291
652982 51148
5771550 555158
Calls in lakhs (%Change)
11800 27.43 (+22%)
12000 26.39 (+23%)
11700 20.54 (+24%)
Puts in lakhs (% Change)
11600 32.42 (+28%)
11700 28.13 (+15%)
11500 31.76 (+19%)
Monday03rd September, 2018
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DAILY PIVOT TABLE
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Instrument Close S1 S2 R1 R2 200 Day SMA Reversal Point Trend
All level indicated above are based on cash market prices.
Pivot Point
PP : Pivot Point : This is trigger point for weekly buy/sell based on the price range of the previous week.R1 : Resistance one : 1st Resistance over PP. R2 : Resistance two : 2nd Resistance over R1.S1 : Support one : 1st support after PP. S2 : Support Two : 2nd support after S1.
As per the tool, the trader should take BUY position just above PP and keep the stop loss of PP and the first target would be R1.If R1 is crossed then R2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at R1.
Similarly if price goes below PP the trader should SELL and keep the PP as Stop loss and the first target would be S1.
If S1 is crossed then S2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at S1.This is a trading tool. The key to use of this tool is the use of STOP LOSS.
Monday03rd September, 2018
NIFTY 11680.5 11637.85 11595.2 11725.4 11770.3 11682.75 10676.24 UP
BANKNIFTY 28061.75 27949.35 27836.95 28165.75 28269.75 28053.35 26020.63 UP
NIFTYMID50 5345.45 5309.98 5274.52 5373.88 5402.32 5338.42 5160.15 UP
ACC 1638.75 1625.8 1612.85 1648.35 1657.95 1635.4 1559.36 UP
ADANIENT 225.25 222.2 219.15 228.45 231.65 225.4 162 UP
ADANIPORTS 383.15 378.23 373.32 391.03 398.92 386.12 391.44 DOWN
AJANTPHARM 1270.75 1252.35 1233.95 1289.8 1308.85 1271.4 1262.49 UP
ALBK 42.65 41.57 40.48 43.32 43.98 42.23 54.06 DOWN
AMARAJABAT 845.9 836.27 826.63 854.92 863.93 845.28 810.6 UP
ANDHRABANK 33.9 33.08 32.27 34.43 34.97 33.62 43.95 DOWN
APOLLOTYRE 251.4 249.75 248.1 253.95 256.5 252.3 268.79 DOWN
ARVIND 399.25 393.17 387.08 406.32 413.38 400.23 414.22 DOWN
ASHOKLEY 129.05 127.32 125.58 131.27 133.48 129.53 133.47 DOWN
ASIANPAINT 1372.45 1360.43 1348.42 1388.23 1404.02 1376.22 1226.33 UP
AUROPHARMA 712.75 694.52 676.28 725.47 738.18 707.23 623.67 UP
AXISBANK 649.25 642.5 635.75 654.75 660.25 648 547.44 UP
BAJAJ-AUTO 2744.85 2715.43 2686.02 2764.63 2784.42 2735.22 2974.18 DOWN
BAJAJFINSV 6747.8 6659.07 6570.33 6902.47 7057.13 6813.73 5619.39 UP
BAJFINANCE 2856.6 2813.52 2770.43 2927.27 2997.93 2884.18 2022.45 UP
BALKRISIND 1360.1 1334.07 1308.03 1404.07 1448.03 1378.03 1164.02 UP
BALRAMCHIN 76.45 74.88 73.32 77.93 79.42 76.37 96.5 DOWN
BANKBARODA 152.95 148.95 144.95 155.2 157.45 151.2 146.76 UP
BANKINDIA 100.45 97.6 94.75 102.15 103.85 99.3 123.54 DOWN
BATAINDIA 1082.4 1068.02 1053.63 1097.97 1113.53 1083.58 789 UP
BEL 113.5 111.9 110.3 116.25 119 114.65 142.46 DOWN
BEML 840.4 823.33 806.27 855.73 871.07 838.67 1154.2 DOWN
BERGEPAINT 334.7 331.07 327.43 340.12 345.53 336.48 274.59 UP
BHARATFIN 1162.6 1140.8 1119 1177.15 1191.7 1155.35 1098.11 UP
BHARATFORG 679.05 670.33 661.62 685.88 692.72 677.17 694.24 DOWN
BHARTIARTL 383.85 377.9 371.95 387.9 391.95 381.95 420.35 DOWN
BHEL 80.6 79.07 77.53 82.17 83.73 80.63 84.66 DOWN
BIOCON 624 609.53 595.07 634.23 644.47 619.77 585.77 UP
BPCL 362.1 356.63 351.17 366.93 371.77 361.47 433.9 DOWN
BRITANNIA 6736.75 6664.53 6592.32 6794.48 6852.22 6722.27 5402.97 UP
CANBK 283.7 278.35 273 287.9 292.1 282.55 296.16 DOWN
CANFINHOME 319.9 316.93 313.97 323.38 326.87 320.42 423.42 DOWN
CAPF 644.3 633.33 622.37 660.63 676.97 649.67 634.06 UP
CASTROLIND 158.8 156.85 154.9 161 163.2 159.05 184.64 DOWN
CEATLTD 1386.4 1372.3 1358.2 1408.25 1430.1 1394.15 1561.4 DOWN
CENTURYTEX 978.15 959.6 941.05 992.35 1006.55 973.8 1139.43 DOWN
CESC 995.9 983.03 970.17 1011.73 1027.57 998.87 999.3 DOWN
CHENNPETRO 314.65 309.77 304.88 318.77 322.88 313.88 348.83 DOWN
CHOLAFIN 1476.15 1459.47 1442.78 1486.42 1496.68 1469.73 1448.63 UP
CIPLA 662.15 653.13 644.12 667.58 673.02 658.57 596.48 UP
COALINDIA 285.95 283.8 281.65 289.3 292.65 287.15 280.69 UP
COLPAL 1169 1152.73 1136.47 1182.33 1195.67 1166.07 1117.96 UP
CONCOR 651.85 638.72 625.58 659.92 667.98 646.78 659.69 DOWN
CUMMINSIND 768.15 759.93 751.72 781.43 794.72 773.22 773.2 DOWN
DABUR 478.75 474.98 471.22 482.58 486.42 478.82 366.74 UP
DALMIABHA 2623.5 2594.97 2566.43 2658.32 2693.13 2629.78 2801.18 DOWN
DCBBANK 178.7 174.93 171.17 181.33 183.97 177.57 178.07 UP
DHFL 667.65 660.8 653.95 675.7 683.75 668.85 594.56 UP
DISHTV 71.55 70.58 69.62 72.63 73.72 71.67 73.98 DOWN
DIVISLAB 1305.9 1291.27 1276.63 1324.27 1342.63 1309.63 1096.42 UP
DLF 220.8 217.9 215 223 225.2 220.1 216.58 UP
DRREDDY 2492 2425 2358 2529 2566 2462 2216.56 UP
EICHERMOT 28059.75 27735.17 27410.58 28264.17 28468.58 27939.58 28913.59 DOWN
ENGINERSIN 128.25 126 123.75 130.2 132.15 127.95 156.62 DOWN
ESCORTS 869.75 860.83 851.92 882.33 894.92 873.42 851.99 UP
EXIDEIND 285.1 280.97 276.83 289.37 293.63 285.23 238.7 UP
FEDERALBNK 81.1 80.17 79.23 81.72 82.33 80.78 94.61 DOWN
FORTIS 146.6 145.33 144.07 148.63 150.67 147.37 144.88 UP
GAIL 372.2 367 361.8 380.55 388.9 375.35 349.57 UP
GLENMARK 665.65 658.03 650.42 672.43 679.22 664.82 569.38 UP
GMRINFRA 21.1 20.15 19.2 21.65 22.2 20.7 18.58 UP
GODREJCP 1452.15 1441.13 1430.12 1465.58 1479.02 1454.57 1120.11 UP
GODREJIND 646.65 635.37 624.08 653.82 660.98 642.53 587.95 UP
GRANULES 115.65 113.25 110.85 117.9 120.15 115.5 109.38 UP
GRASIM 1067.5 1058.67 1049.83 1076.67 1085.83 1067.83 1088.17 DOWN
GSFC 120.15 118.83 117.52 121.63 123.12 120.32 126.93 DOWN
HAVELLS 725.25 713.9 702.55 731.75 738.25 720.4 553.06 UP
HCC 14.2 13.5 12.8 14.7 15.2 14 25.26 DOWN
HCLTECH 1046.45 1025.63 1004.82 1061.13 1075.82 1040.32 940.81 UP
HDFC 1935.95 1915.18 1894.42 1949.58 1963.22 1928.82 1839.83 UP
HDFCBANK 2061.2 2053.38 2045.57 2073.88 2086.57 2066.07 1968.83 UP
HDIL 32.85 30.9 28.95 34.05 35.25 32.1 40.27 DOWN
HEROMOTOCO 3253.8 3216.57 3179.33 3275.52 3297.23 3238.28 3563.36 DOWN
HEXAWARE 438.8 432.77 426.73 444.97 451.13 438.93 401.29 UP
HINDALCO 237.95 235.97 233.98 240.32 242.68 238.33 237.12 UP
HINDPETRO 253.8 250.97 248.13 256.37 258.93 253.53 344.29 DOWN
HINDUNILVR 1780.1 1766.75 1753.4 1791.7 1803.3 1778.35 1474.06 UP
HINDZINC 299.55 294.85 290.15 302.45 305.35 297.75 299.89 DOWN
IBREALEST 154.35 151.3 148.25 158.2 162.05 155.15 191.92 DOWN
IBULHSGFIN 1259.25 1250.2 1241.15 1274.8 1290.35 1265.75 1238.73 UP
ICICIBANK 342.6 338.47 334.33 346.77 350.93 342.63 303.93 UP
ICICIPRULI 375.35 372.33 369.32 380.13 384.92 377.12 398.16 DOWN
ICIL 79.1 74.72 70.33 83.37 87.63 78.98 94.2 DOWN
IDBI 62.7 61.07 59.43 63.77 64.83 62.13 63.45 DOWN
IDEA 49.35 48 46.65 51.8 54.25 50.45 74.71 DOWN
IDFC 52.65 51.75 50.85 53.45 54.25 52.55 53.28 DOWN
IDFCBANK 47.6 46.72 45.83 49.02 50.43 48.13 48.34 DOWN
IFCI 17.3 17.03 16.77 17.53 17.77 17.27 21.06 DOWN
IGL 290.4 286.23 282.07 293.83 297.27 289.67 292.46 DOWN
INDIACEM 126.4 124.17 121.93 128.32 130.23 126.08 144.72 DOWN
INDIANB 332.45 328.4 324.35 335.7 338.95 331.65 344.27 DOWN
INDIGO 928.85 917.47 906.08 948.07 967.28 936.68 1198.81 DOWN
INDUSINDBK 1906.6 1873.8 1841 1927.6 1948.6 1894.8 1810.38 UP
INFIBEAM 228.2 224.95 221.7 231.1 234 227.85 164.74 UP
INFRATEL 286.9 283 279.1 292.8 298.7 288.9 329 DOWN
INFY 1441.1 1423.37 1405.63 1456.57 1472.03 1438.83 1180.78 UP
IOC 155.55 153.63 151.72 156.88 158.22 154.97 178.05 DOWN
ITC 319.85 317.17 314.48 322.57 325.28 319.88 272.73 UP
JETAIRWAYS 282.55 277.9 273.25 286.3 290.05 281.65 564.1 DOWN
JINDALSTEL 220.75 216.87 212.98 225.02 229.28 221.13 224.4 DOWN
JISLJALEQS 85.25 83.95 82.65 86.65 88.05 85.35 106.86 DOWN
JPASSOCIAT 11.95 11.67 11.38 12.17 12.38 11.88 17.63 DOWN
JSWENERGY 72.9 71.18 69.47 73.98 75.07 72.27 77.26 DOWN
JSWSTEEL 396.35 391.53 386.72 402.23 408.12 397.42 305.02 UP
JUBLFOOD 1549.35 1528.3 1507.25 1565.2 1581.05 1544.15 1171.26 UP
JUSTDIAL 558.45 554.05 549.65 564.8 571.15 560.4 512.7 UP
KOTAKBANK 1287.25 1277.2 1267.15 1295.65 1304.05 1285.6 1166.92 UP
KPIT 303 297.8 292.6 306.5 310 301.3 236.09 UP
KSCL 642.7 633.57 624.43 656.27 669.83 647.13 534.66 UP
KTKBANK 119.55 118.25 116.95 120.4 121.25 119.1 129.85 DOWN
L&TFH 181.4 178.92 176.43 185.17 188.93 182.68 169.01 UP
LICHSGFIN 520.9 515.73 510.57 528.53 536.17 523.37 531.35 DOWN
LT 1369.55 1354.33 1339.12 1379.38 1389.22 1364.17 1309.02 UP
LUPIN 931.45 904.87 878.28 948.92 966.38 922.33 833.11 UP
M&M 965.3 953.63 941.97 982.48 999.67 970.82 817.24 UP
M&MFIN 489.15 482.23 475.32 494.43 499.72 487.52 470.92 UP
MANAPPURAM 100.1 99.22 98.33 101.12 102.13 100.23 109.17 DOWN
MARICO 369.45 363.18 356.92 375.33 381.22 369.07 325.56 UP
MARUTI 9096.4 9032.8 8969.2 9207.5 9318.6 9143.9 9026.4 UP
MCDOWELL-N 630.25 618.57 606.88 645.97 661.68 634.28 657.9 DOWN
MCX 828.1 819.83 811.57 837.63 847.17 829.37 821.42 UP
MGL 865.75 853 840.25 873.75 881.75 861 956.94 DOWN
MOTHERSUMI 304.1 299.15 294.2 310.9 317.7 305.95 333.08 DOWN
MRF 74026.75 73251.17 72475.59 74551.17 75075.59 73775.59 73241.95 UP
MRPL 80.85 80.28 79.72 81.73 82.62 81.17 106.53 DOWN
MUTHOOTFIN 409.4 403.78 398.17 414.93 420.47 409.32 417.16 DOWN
NATIONALUM 74.85 73.88 72.92 76.48 78.12 75.52 72.66 UP
NBCC 72.05 71.32 70.58 72.72 73.38 71.98 99.29 DOWN
NCC 98.65 97.1 95.55 99.9 101.15 98.35 114.91 DOWN
NMDC 111.5 108.72 105.93 114.32 117.13 111.53 121.93 DOWN
NTPC 171.5 169.43 167.37 173.13 174.77 171.07 167.28 UP
OFSS 4160.2 4138.37 4116.53 4183.52 4206.83 4161.68 3974.81 UP
OIL 213.6 212.02 210.43 215.97 218.33 214.38 227.01 DOWN
ONGC 180.05 178.12 176.18 181.62 183.18 179.68 178.86 UP
ORIENTBANK 84.25 82.05 79.85 86.15 88.05 83.95 97.04 DOWN
PCJEWELLER 84.25 83.2 82.15 85.9 87.55 84.85 279.95 DOWN
PEL 3199.75 3110.48 3021.22 3298.48 3397.22 3209.22 2629.98 UP
PETRONET 248.05 242.28 236.52 251.63 255.22 245.87 233.39 UP
PFC 84.4 83 81.6 86.3 88.2 84.9 95.99 DOWN
PIDILITIND 1168.65 1145.23 1121.82 1183.93 1199.22 1160.52 990.13 UP
PNB 88.15 85.05 81.95 89.85 91.55 86.75 116.65 DOWN
POWERGRID 201.5 196.82 192.13 204.22 206.93 199.53 197.33 UP
PTC 83.85 82.38 80.92 84.78 85.72 83.32 95.02 DOWN
PVR 1372.75 1356.68 1340.62 1387.88 1403.02 1371.82 1339.92 UP
RAMCOCEM 689.35 679.03 668.72 700.73 712.12 690.42 742.52 DOWN
RAYMOND 843.25 834.32 825.38 853.32 863.38 844.38 965.1 DOWN
RBLBANK 627.25 620.6 613.95 633.8 640.35 627.15 523.22 UP
RCOM 18.25 17.85 17.45 18.7 19.15 18.3 19.55 DOWN
RECLTD 119.8 118.03 116.27 121.53 123.27 119.77 130.4 DOWN
RELCAPITAL 472.2 461.37 450.53 479.02 485.83 468.18 442.13 UP
RELIANCE 1241.65 1228.83 1216.02 1262.23 1282.82 1249.42 982.04 UP
RELINFRA 477.95 461.63 445.32 487.83 497.72 471.52 444.7 UP
REPCOHOME 544.75 537.58 530.42 553.93 563.12 546.77 601.46 DOWN
RPOWER 37.75 36.28 34.82 38.68 39.62 37.22 38.7 DOWN
SAIL 79.85 78.9 77.95 81.05 82.25 80.1 80.54 DOWN
SBIN 309.6 305.88 302.17 311.98 314.37 308.27 281.19 UP
SHREECEM 18925.8 18658.87 18391.93 19113.87 19301.93 18846.93 17063.12 UP
SIEMENS 1019.75 1003.37 986.98 1030.42 1041.08 1014.03 1110.45 DOWN
SOUTHBANK 17.55 17.42 17.28 17.72 17.88 17.58 25.75 DOWN
SREINFRA 55.05 53.1 51.15 56.5 57.95 54.55 79.81 DOWN
SRF 2022.4 1981.43 1940.47 2064.08 2105.77 2023.12 1901.07 UP
SRTRANSFIN 1335.8 1321.88 1307.97 1349.83 1363.87 1335.92 1403.16 DOWN
STAR 496.6 489.93 483.27 501.33 506.07 494.67 603.95 DOWN
SUNPHARMA 652.85 644.3 635.75 660.4 667.95 651.85 542.79 UP
SUNTV 766.2 760.8 755.4 772.2 778.2 766.8 891.23 DOWN
SUZLON 7.15 7.08 7.02 7.23 7.32 7.17 11.05 DOWN
SYNDIBANK 40.3 39.65 39 40.9 41.5 40.25 59.46 DOWN
TATACHEM 759.65 752.87 746.08 768.12 776.58 761.33 717.56 UP
TATACOMM 540 529.4 518.8 557.8 575.6 547.2 626.29 DOWN
TATAELXSI 1435.85 1409.77 1383.68 1453.37 1470.88 1427.28 1142.87 UP
TATAGLOBAL 234.3 231.58 228.87 238.38 242.47 235.67 272.26 DOWN
TATAMOTORS 267.5 260.98 254.47 271.13 274.77 264.62 340.62 DOWN
TATAMTRDVR 142.05 139.23 136.42 143.93 145.82 141.12 193.88 DOWN
TATAPOWER 76.7 74.83 72.97 78.08 79.47 76.22 82.67 DOWN
TATASTEEL 600.5 594.9 589.3 610.3 620.1 604.7 618.77 DOWN
TCS 2078.4 2070.93 2063.47 2088.93 2099.47 2081.47 1631.48 UP
TECHM 765.8 741.78 717.77 779.28 792.77 755.27 619.38 UP
TITAN 891.9 881.07 870.23 898.77 905.63 887.93 879.46 UP
TV18BRDCST 46.05 45.55 45.05 46.75 47.45 46.25 56.53 DOWN
TVSMOTOR 569.35 561.35 553.35 574.6 579.85 566.6 640.45 DOWN
UBL 1404.1 1387.12 1370.13 1424.02 1443.93 1407.03 1125.65 UP
UJJIVAN 349.3 346.03 342.77 354.28 359.27 351.02 380.52 DOWN
ULTRACEMCO 4475.5 4417.82 4360.13 4513.42 4551.33 4455.73 4088.5 UP
UNIONBANK 89.75 87.6 85.45 91.15 92.55 89 109.23 DOWN
VEDL 227.7 224.27 220.83 230.87 234.03 227.43 279.55 DOWN
VGUARD 224.1 220.67 217.23 228.47 232.83 225.03 224.07 UP
VOLTAS 614.8 608.42 602.03 625.27 635.73 618.88 597.75 UP
WIPRO 301.25 298.33 295.42 305.33 309.42 302.42 285.83 UP
WOCKPHARMA 663.9 652.68 641.47 677.43 690.97 666.22 734.58 DOWN
YESBANK 343.5 336.5 329.5 350.25 357 343.25 335.63 UP
ZEEL 499.95 494.97 489.98 507.97 515.98 502.98 562.33 DOWN
Enjoy Your Comfort Zone.
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Comfort ‘Forecast and Analysis’
Forecast and Analysis is a daily newsletter that provides technical update on all the major instruments of the world like Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, US Dollar Index and USD/INR. We define their support and resistance levels and attempt to forecast their movement with a short / medium term perspective. Also in the report, a trader will find bias for the mentioned instruments.
This newsletter is also quite popular with a market participant who loves to have insight & theme on MCX Gold, MCX Silver as well MCX Crude-Oil.
Forecast and Analysis
Instrument TRADING STRATEGYLTP S1 S2 R1 R2 Bias
www.comfortsecurities.co.in
MCX GOLD
MCX SILVER
MCX CRUDE OIL
MCX COPPER
MCX NATURAL GAS
USD-INR
Forecast and Analysis …Direction at a glance
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Interweek Strategy: Establish long positions between 29551-29701 zone, targeting 30251 and then at 30601-30699 zone. Stop 29251.
Interweek Strategy: Establish long positions between 36251-36501 zone, targeting 37601 and then at 38601-38751 zone. Stop 35751.
Intraday strategy: Establish long positions at CMP, targeting 5045 and then at 5205-5250 zone with stop at 4840.
Interweek strategy: Establish long positions between 408-411 zone, targeting 421 and then at 431 and finally at 441-447.50 zone with stop at 403.
Interweek Strategy: Buy on any early dips between 197.50-199 zone, targeting 213 and then at 221-225 zone with stop below191.
USD/INR was seen flaring up in Friday's trade. Buying on dips should be preferred strategy. Interweek strategy: Establish long position between 70.45-70.55 zone, targeting 71.05 and then aggressive targets at 72.50-73 with stop at 69.69.
30133 29451 28695 30251 30699 Neutral
36719 36251 35899 37601 38751 Neutral
4961 4845 4671 5045 5250 Positive
414 408 393 431 448 Positive
206.60 191.00 185.00 213.00 225.00 Neutral
70.99 70.45 69.70 71.05 73.00 Positive
Oil prices ends slightly lower on Friday, as the U.S.-China trade dispute feeds worries about demand.
Instrument TRADING STRATEGYLTP S1 S2 R1 R2
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GOLD $
SILVER ($)
WTI CRUDE OIL ($ )
EUR/USD
Forecast and Analysis …Sailing global trend
Bias
DOW JONES
US Dollar Index
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Wall Street closed on Sept. 3 for 'Labour day holiday'.
Intraday Strategy: Establish short positions between 1223-1227 zone, targeting 1201 zone and then aggressive targets at 1189-1193 zone with stop at 1235.
Intraday Strategy: Establish short positions between 15.07-15.13 zone, targeting 14.56 zone and then aggressive targets at 14.05-14.11 with stop at 15.39.
Intraday Strategy: Establish long positions between 68-69.25 zone, targeting 71.50 and then at 73 with stop at 68.05.
The EUR/USD was seen drifting in Friday's trade amidst strength in US Dollar index. Technically, the bias continues to be neutral with initial downside risk at 1.1501. Hurdles continue to be at 1.1900. Selling on strength should be the preferred trading strategy.
The U.S Dollar was seen attempting a rebound in Friday's trade amidst value buying. We shift our bias to neutral on the US Dollar Index. Hurdles at 97.50. Downside well supported at 92.50. Major weakness now only below 92.50.
Wall Street ended higher on Friday's trade, with the major benchmarks posting strong weekly gains and a strong finish in August. For the week, the Dow rose 0.7%, and the Nasdaq gained 2.1%. For August month, the Dow added 2.2%, the S&P added 3%, and the Nasdaq climbed 5.7%. Key hurdle now seen at 26451. The near term bias continues to be positive.
1207 1201 1189 1227 1233 Neutral
14.79 14.56 14.05 15.27 15.95 Neutral
69.88 68.95 67.5 71.5 73.05 Positive
1.1604 1.1501 1.1215 1.1751 1.1900 Neutral
95.10 92.50 90.00 97.50 99.00 Neutral
25965 25445 23501 26451 27901 Positive
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DAILY PIVOT TABLE
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CommodityExchange Close S1 S2 R1 R2200 Day
SMA Reversal
Point Trend
MCX ALUMINUM
MCX CARDAMOM
NCDEX CASTOR
NCDEX CHANA
MCX COPPER
MCX COTTON
MCX CRUDE-OIL
MCX GOLD
NCDEX GAUR GUM
NCDEX GAUR SEED
NCDEX JEERA
MCX LEAD
MCX MENTHA OIL
MCX NATURAL GAS
MCX NICKLE
NCDEX RM SEED
MCX SILVER
NCDEX SUGAR
NCDEX SOYA BEAN
MCX ZINC
149.9 148.52 147.13 151.82 153.73 143.36 142.45 DOWN
1344.5 1339.67 1334.83 1349.67 1354.83 1049.17 1296.5 UP
4613 4577.67 4542.33 4638.67 4664.33 4251.98 4570 UP
3891 3795.33 3699.67 3945.33 3999.67 3909.24 4197 UP
422.25 418.6 414.95 424.6 426.95 446.54 411.5 DOWN
22920 22830 22740 23020 23120 21036.15 23410 UP
4999 4948.33 4897.67 5031.33 5063.67 4324.52 4754 DOWN
30170 30081.33 29992.67 30287.33 30404.67 30201.74 29698 UP
9179 9050 8921 9264 9349 8791.79 9478 UP
4266 4209 4152 4306.5 4347 4062.92 4435 DOWN
19340 19213.33 19086.67 19453.33 19566.67 17789.22 18720 DOWN
145.85 144.42 142.98 147.62 149.38 158.37 142.65 UP
1722.2 1706.07 1689.93 1750.87 1779.53 1472.51 1630.4 UP
204.9 203.3 201.7 206 207.1 188.56 207.6 UP
938.4 931 923.6 948.8 959.2 896.48 952.2 DOWN
3983 3938 3893 4011 4039 4013.97 4103 DOWN
36861 36722.66 36584.33 37078.66 37296.33 38814.44 37480 DOWN
2709 2709 2709 2709 2709 3619.22 2651 DOWN
3226 3193.33 3160.67 3244.33 3262.67 3463.48 3263 UP
175 172.72 170.43 177.82 180.63 205.33 173.3 DOWN
Monday03rd September, 2018
Comfort Securities Ltd.
DISCLAIMER: This is solely for information of clients of Comfort Securities Ltd. and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Comfort Securities Ltd. its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Comfort Securities Ltd. or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information.
Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Comfort Securities Ltd. in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Comfort Securities Ltd. has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Comfort Securities Ltd. makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment.
POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report)Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.
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