Land-Change Modelling: From Remote Sensing to Agent Based Models.
Sérgio Souza Costa Macro Pattern
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Regression methods
Statistic
Pattern-oriented models (LUCC)
CLUE, DINAMICA ...
Social simulation
Computer Science
Celular automata ABM and Network theory
ABM/LUCC
Eg. LUCITA, SYPRIA
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Remote sensing
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Landscape ecology
Silva et al. (2008) Mota et al. (2009)
4,82 km
São Felix do Xingu. (Google)
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Regression methods
Statistic
Computer Science
Celular automata
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Regression methods
Statistic
Pattern-oriented models (LUCC)
CLUE, DINAMICA ...
Computer Science
Celular automata ABM – bird flocking
Pattern-oriented models
decision = f (biophysical + socio-economic)
Aguiar et al. (2007)
Pattern-oriented models
●We cannot represent the diversity of the actors in the same region.
●The causal relations cannot be extracted from regression analyses
Aguiar et al. (2007)
decision = f (biophysical + socio-economic)
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Regression methods
Statistic
Pattern-oriented models (LUCC)
CLUE, DINAMICA ...
Computer Science
Celular automata ABM and Network theory
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Regression methods
Statistic
Pattern-oriented models (LUCC)
CLUE, DINAMICA ...
Computer Science
Celular automata ABM and Network theory
Agent-based models and network theories
Macro Pattern
Interactions between agents and the environment.
Complexity and Emergence.
Network theories
The network of collaborations between scientists (Newman, 2003)
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Regression methods
Statistic
Pattern-oriented models (LUCC)
CLUE, DINAMICA ...
Social simulation
Computer Science
Celular automata
ABM/LUCC
Eg. LUCITA, SYPRIA
ABM and Network theory
Social Simulation
http://www.casa.ucl.ac.uk/abm/secondlife/ped_introduction.asp
Second Life: Pedestrian Evacuation Model
Schelling’s Model of Segregation N-Person Prisoner's Dilemma
Low-incomeMiddle-incomeHigh-income
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Regression methods
Statistic
Pattern-oriented models (LUCC)
CLUE, DINAMICA ...
Social simulation
Computer Science
Celular automata
ABM/LUCC
Eg. LUCITA, SYPRIA
ABM and Network theory
Timeline of land change analysis
Remote sensing
Changes measure
Landscape Ecology
Pattern analysis
Regression methods
Statistic
Pattern-oriented models (LUCC)
CLUE, DINAMICA ...
Social simulation
Computer Science
Celular automata
ABM/LUCC
Eg. LUCITA, SYPRIA
ABM and Network theory
Agent-based models – Previous work
Agent-based models for Land Change
Designed Environment (Social laboratory)
Small extension (sample survey)
Eg. LUCITA, MAMELUKE ..Eg. SLUDGE, SOME, FEARLUS ..
Sludge ModelParker (2004)
Agricultura
Urban