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T L - H D U "

  ^

:J  V'

Copied from

"The  Saturday Evening Post"

of  April  19 , 1924.

A

  FIFTY-YEAR CRISIS

  IN

 AGRICULTURE

"by

  Garet Garrett.

I t i s  proposed that  we  shall have  i n  this country  a  successful agriculture

without  i t s  ancient means  -  that  i s to say ,  without either slave labor  or  peas-

antry.

Conscience  h a s  abolished slave labor.  I t i s  forever  p u t  away.  As fo r

peasantry,  we  care

  not fo r i t . The

  word associates with

  Old

  World drudgery,

"Shall

  th e  American

  farmer

  b e

  reduced

  to the

  condition

  of the

  European peasant?"

asks  t h e  pol i t ica l rhetor ic ian .  %  answer  a l l  with  on e  voice  "No "

This  i s  what  t h e  psychologist calls  a  reaction.  Few  stop  t o  examine what

"peasantry" means.  The  sound  i s  wrong.  I t  makes  u s  think  of  Russia  or the Ba l -

kans;  we  pass lightly over France  an d  Germany, where peasantry, though  i t  hurts

th e

  back, does offer

  on e

  sweet reward.

  The

  name

  of

  that reward

  i s

  security.

Wars, revolu tions , economic di sa st er s pass;  th e  peasantry survives, like  a  tree,

through  th e  seasons.  I t  appears that  we do not  esteem security.  Or  perhaps  we

take  i t f o r  granted.  At any  rate,  we sa y "NoJ" We point with pride  to the

fact that although

  th e

  y i e l d

  p er

  acre

  i s

  much lower

  i n

  this country than

  i n

Europe

  t h e

  y i e l d

  per man is

  higher.

  To

  explain this

  we

  keep

  in our

  minds

  the

picture  o f the  American farmer,  n ot  bending  h i s  back,  not  tending  a few  acres

intensively,  b u t  s i t t i n g  on h i s  plow with eyes  to s ee h i s  prairie domains

stretching  to the  horizon, commanding mechanical energy. That  i s th e  American

way.

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u

 1.

- 2 -

Nevertheless, agriculture without slave

  or

  peasantry presents difficulties

which

  a re y e t

  unsolved.

  We

 hardly know what they

  a r e ,

  never having defined

them thoughtfully.

  I t has

  been possible

  f o r a

  long time

  t o

  conceal them. They

could very easily

  b e

  concealed

  a s

  long

  as new

  land

  was to be had for the

  trouble

of

  taking

  i t -

  virgin land that increased

  i n

  value from

  th e

  f irst stroke

  of the

ax and was  prodigal  in  giving.  And i t  could  be  further concealed  a s  long  a s

th e  cost  of  production continued  to  f a l l ,  a s i t d id f o r  many years, even where

t h e  f irst richness  of the  so i l  had  been taken.  I t  continued  t o  f a l l  for two

reasons  - the use of  improved implements  and the  method  of  special izat ion.

The  Rising Costs  of  Agricultural Production

But now the  land  i s a l l  accounted  fo r ; a l l  owned. There cannot  be any  such

improvement upon existing implements  a s  these represent upon  t h e  scythe  ahd

f l a i l .  And  specialization already  h as  been carried  t o t h e  point  of  e v i l , Thus

costs  are  r i s ing . They have ri se n enormously  f o r  reasons that  a r e  permanent.

And now  concealment begins  to be  much more troublesome.

Agriculture  i n  this country  was at  f i r s t  of two  ty pe s. There  was the  plant-

er  type, re st in g upon sla ve labo r.  The  planter crops were such  a s  rice, tobacco

an d

  cotton.

The  other  was the  individual ist ic type  -  heroi c, romantic, al le go ri ca l.

With  a few  rude tools,  a gun, h i s  team  an d  wagon,  a  bushel  o f  seed,  a bag of

sal t  and a new  wi fe ,  t h e  pioneer entered  t h e  wilderness, l at er  t h e  surveyor found

him in a log  cabin, proprietor  of the  solitude, surrounded  by  increa se . Others

came  and  bought  him out; he  went  on to do it  aga in. Then the se others , having

further improved  t h e  land, sold  i t  again  and  followed  th e  original soil breaker.

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- 3 -

When they overtook  him he  sold  an d  went  on. So  wave after wave.

We can

  remember

  it who

  were

  not

  there.

  The

  straining

  o f the

  wagon gear

through  th e  l i s ten ing s t i l lne s s  o f  forest, nameless terrors,  th e  pungency  of

hut

  harness,

  th e

  odors

  o f

  evening

  an d

  frying food

  on the

  river bank,

  th e

  sweet-

ness  of  coarse fa re , storm, st ar l ig ht , morning, boundless expect ati on,  and  news

and  rumor even there. Always someone  had  gone before; news  was  coming back.

The  place  o f  eminent desire  was not  Boon's Lick.  The  perfect valley  was  just

discovered farther  on .  Then  th e  great anxiety whether  i n  taking what  was  here

one had not  missed what rumor said vt&s there.

Speculation  i n  Land  a  Century  Ago

"Scarcely," says  a  contemporary writer  - 182 6 - "has a  family fixed itself

and  enclosed  a  plantation with  th e  universal fence  -  sp l i t ra i ls la id  in the

worm trail,

  or

  what

  i s

  known

  in the

  north

  by the

  name

  o f

  Virginia fence

  -

  reared

a  suitable number  o f l o g  buildings,  i n  short, achieved  t h e  f i r s t rough improve-

ments that appertain

  to th e

  most abso lute ne ce ss it y, than

  th e

  assembled family

about  t h e  winter fire begin  t o  talk about  th e  prevailing theme  -  some country

that  h a s  become  th e  rage  a s a  point  of  immigration. They o f f er the ir farm  fo r

sale  an d  move away."

Sell ing  out on the  third  or  fourth wave,  t o  people  who  bu il t roads  a s  they

came,  who  brought hardware, better tools  and  f locks,  and who  meant  t o  stay, gave

those restless homesteaders

  t h e

  capital they required

  to go on

 wit h.

Speculation  i n  land  was  already  t h e  national mania.

Flint, writing

  h i s

  Recollections

  i n

  1326,said: "During

  my

  residence

  i n

Missouri  th e  rags  f o r  speculating  i n  their lands  wa s a t i t s  h ighes t .  1  hav©

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of t en

  b e ^ n a t

  collections where lands were

  a t

  sale

  f o r

  taxes

  and by

  orders

  of

t&e

  cour t ,

  and at

  otner time s, whan the re were vo lun tar y sa le s

  a t

  auction*

  The

zeal

  to

  purchase amounted

  to a

  frenz y- Land spe cula tors co nst itu ted

  a

  pa r t i cu -

l e r  pa r t y .  I t  required prodigious efforts  to  become adroit.  The  speculators

had a  peculiar kind  of  s lang di al ec t , appropr iate  t o  thei r profess ion,  and  when

they walked about,  i t was  with  an a i r o f  solemn thoughtfulness,  a s  though they

were  t . ie  people  an d  wisdom would  d i e  witn them.  A very large t ra ct  of  land  was

cried  by th e  sher i f f  f o r  sale when  I was  present ,  and the  only l imits  and  bounds

given were that  i t was  thir ty miles north  of S t .  Louis.  A  general laugh  r a n

through  t h e  crowd assembled  a t the  courthouse door.  But a  purchaser soon appeared.

. . .

  Families were constantly arriving, many

  of

  them polite

  and

  well- informed,

  and

they

  e

  going

  on to

  these tracts , which, portrayed

  b y t h e

  interested surveyor

and   speculator ,  and as ye t  only p a r ti a l l y explored, were  to be  their home.

Never have  I  seen countenances suffused with more interest  or  eagerness than  i n

c i r c l e s

  o t

  trus descript ion, where

  t h e

  comparative beauty

  and

  advantages

  o f d i f -

ferent sect ions

  of

  trie country,

  c r t ^ e

  beet s i tes

  f o r

  location, were

  t h e

  themes

of

  conversation.

  No

  doub t many

  of

  tnese speculations were dishonest*

  No

  subject

i s

  more susceptible

  of a l l t n e

  a r t s

  of

  cheating, because

  in no

  point

  i s i t so

impossible

  t o

  disprove advantages, which vary with

  t h e

  imagination

  of him who

contemplates them."

-but, as ne  adds , tn ere wjre moments  of  r e t r i b u t i o n .  The  speculators  a t

that time overstayed trieir market,  as one  says  i n  Wail S t r e e t . Land va lu es took

a  mighty fall  and  many  o.t  them vsre^ ru in ed .  The  t r ac t  of  land lying somewhere

tnir ty miles north

  o f S t .

  Louis

  was for a

  time perhaps unsalable*

  N o t f o r

  long.

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Less than

  t e n

  years later,

  in 1835.

  a

  survey

  'm y

  made

  f o r a

  railroad

  i n

  I l l i -

nois from  t h e  steamboat landing  a t  Alton through Brown

1

s Prairie  by  Carlinville

and  Otter Point  t o  Springfie ld,  a  distance  o f  seventy mi les . Merely  th e  survey.

And

  people were seized with

  th e

  delusion that there would soon

  be no

  more farm

land  on  that pr ai ri e, only c i t i e s . Farms  i n a  state  o f  rude development  a s

farms were immediately laid  out in  town l o t s . Imaginary town s i t e s were so ld  on

Tmbat  a re  s t i l l  t o  t h i s  day  only very good farms.  A panic fo ll owe d. Always  a s

a  thing  of  course  th e  panic followed.  Yet  never  d id the  value  o f  land  go  back  t o

where  i t  was^Fantastic values disappeared; permanent values steadily  and  amaz-

ingly increased,  and  t h i s  h as  never stopped.

Plenty, Famine

  an d

  Panic

What occurrid  on the  I l l ino is pra ir ie  h as  been occurring ever since,  not

a s a  ra ti on al -procedure  but as an  expression  of the  pioneer mentality, with  i t s

restless, excitable imagination,  i t s  love  of  adventure,  i t s  ruling phantasy  of

wealth

  by

  luck

  an d

  discovery,

  an d i t s

  aversion

  t o

  slew repetit io us t o i l . Brief-

l y , t h e  mentality  o f the  gold seeker.  We know  i t .  There  i s  l e s s  or  more  of i t

i n a l l o f u s .

So far  from ever having sought  to  control  or  rat ional ize th is sp ir i t ,  the

Government

  h a s

  encouraged

  i t .

  There

  h a s

  never been

  but one

  national land policy.

That

  was and is to

  exploit

  t h e

  land.

  in

hy not?

  The

  land

  - i t i s th e

  land that

makes  u s  ri ch There  was  nothing else  to  Teegin with.

It was in  order  t o  bring value quickly  to th e  land that  th e  Government made

enormous grants

  of the

  public domain

  to the

  railroad builders;

  and on the

  part

of the  builders  to  create  an d  capture that value  was the  great inc en t ive . Many

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—6-"

of the  early railroads were conceived  a s  settlement projects  on a.  magnificent

scale-  A  rai lro ad might  be  laid down  on the  prairie almost  as  fas t  as a  team

could walk;  and  then  th e  only problem  was to ge t  people  i n  fa st enough from  the

Old

  World.

  The

  increase

  in the

  value

  of the

  land

  was

  expected

  to pay fo r

  every-

thing, even

  the

  fa i lures

  and

  disappointments,

  and

  ult imately

  i t d i d .

When

  it was no

  longer necessary

  t o

  subsidize railroad building with grants

©f

  land

  the

  Government found something else

  to do .

  There were va st areas

  o f

arid land s. Agriculture  did not  need these lands  - not  then.  I t  does  n o t  need

them

  now. Yet th e

  impulse

  to

  exploit them

  was

  i r r e s i s t i b l e - Enormous sums

  e f

money have been spent

  to

  reclaim them

  by

  irr igat ion.

  But

  irrigated land,

  a l -

though very productive,

  i s

  cost ly .

  I t may be a

  good investment

  f o r

  such

  as

  mean

to

  practice intensive farming

  on

  small acreage.

  But the

  element

  of

  speculation

i s n o t

  present.

  The

  majority pass

  i t

  over

  and

  take instead

  the

  free, unirrigat-

ed  land beyond, where  th e  hazards  a re  steep  but  where something  yo u  become  p o s -

sessed

  o f for

  nothing

  may

  make

  you

  suddenly rich.

Of  this  3.  notable instance  has  just occurred  .  When  a. vas t tract  of  semi-

arid land called  the  Montana, triangle  was  opened  fo r  settlement there  was a

frantic rush  to  seize  i t . A  motley  of  adventurers, speculators  and  people with

neither capital  nor  experience, whom  the  blind earth hunger moved,  and  also

a.  great many farmers from Iowa., I l l i n o i s , Missouri  a-nd  South Dakota, where land

had  become dear  -  they  a l l  crossed  th e  beautiful irrigated Milk River Valley,

and  established themselves  on  that  d r y ,  high bench beyond, where land  was  free

and  where nothing  had  ever grown  but  bu ff alo gra ss. Over  an  area half  th e  size

of

  Iowa eighteen thousand habitations, seventy towns

  and

  vi ll ag es , schoolhouses,

banks  and  elevators popped  out of the  ground.

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Anc ,  note

  #

  nobody knew whether  or not  that land would farm.  The  Government

tx^at threw  i t  open  f o r  set t lement  d id no t  know,  th e  ra i l roads that brought  the

people  d i d n o t  know,  t h e  Agricultural College  of  Montana  d i d n o t  know;  and of

course  th e  people  d id no t  know. They would have  to  f ind  o u t .  They pl an ted

wheat*

  I f t h e

  land would grow anything

  i t

  would grow wheat;

  a n d ,

  besides, wheat

growing

  i s t h e

  true American

  way of

  explo i t ing

  th e

  v i r g i n s o i l .

  I t i s

  more

  e x -

citing than placer mining,

  and

  much less laborious.

This semiarid land  d i d a t  first yield wheat  i n a  prodigious manner *  After

two  freak years  of  plenty  it was  valued  a t  f i f t y d o l l a r s  an  acre-;  you  could borrow

twenty-five  on i t -  Af te r tnre e freak, years  of bad  weather  i t  f e l l  t o te n o r f i f -

teen dol lars

  an

  ac re , Then

  tr ,e

  panic* Montana

  now is

  dealing with

  t h e

  conse-

quences

 ,

  They wi ll pa ss .

  The

  Agr icu ltu ral College

  i s

  teac hing people

  how

  s a f e -

l y t o  grow wheat there,  on a  d ic ing pr inc ip le ,  so  t h a t  i f you ge t one  crop  i n

three

  you

  come

  o u t

  ahead. That land ne^e r again wi ll

  go

  back

  t o

  buffalo grass .

I t  probably could  n o t  happen  as a  matter  of  b io log i ca l f ac t ,  f o r i t i s  said that

once

  th e

  na tura l

  sod is

  broken

  th e

  grass will

  n o t

  r e tu rn .

  B u t f o r

  economic rea*

sons  i t i s  forbidden  t o  hapi en . The  land  was no t and is not  needed  f o r  wheat.

There  is a.  ruinous su rpl us  of  wheat*  Yet  there  a r e  those towns,  t h e  e leva tors ,

th e

  investment which cannot

  b e

  permitted

  to

  pe r i sh .

  To

  support

  i t t h e

  people

must

  be

  kept

  on th e

  s o i l .

  To

  t h i s

  end

  sha l l

  be

  employed

  a l l t h e

  resources

  of

agricultural knowledge; even,  i f  necessary, public funds.

Now the  po in t .  I t i s  t h i s ;  If by  "peasantry"  we  sh all agree  to  mean,  n o t

uncouth rust ic i ty  bu t a  manner  of  taking root  i n t h e  s o i l  f o r  special love  of i t ,

t h e  pa ins tak ing cu l t iva t ion  of  small holdings with  t h e  labor  o f t h e  family  and a

high degree  of  self-containment upon  t h e  la nd, then American ag ri cu lt ur e  i s

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""V br '

largely free

  o f i t .

  Actually

  i t

  does exist.

  The

  cases

  a r e

  innumerable.

  But

i t i s n o t

  ch ar ac te ri st ic . What

  may be

  called

  th e

  American idea

  o f

  agriculture

i s

  somewhat

  a s

  follows:

First, that

  i t

  shall

  be a t

  leas t

  a s

  profitable

  a s

  industry

  or

  business

  f o r

a l l who are

  wi l l ing

  t o

  engagd

  i n i t ;

Second, that

  i t

  shall

  not be

  more laborious than ind ustr ial l i f e ,

  f o r i f

i t i s

  people will leave

  i t ;

Third,

  and for the

  same reason, that

  i t

  shall enjoy

  a s f a r a s

  poss ible

  a l l

t h e  benef i ts  o f  c i t y l i f e  and be  compensated  f o r  those  i t i s  obliged  to do  with-

out;

Fourth, that

  i t

  shall

  b e

  e f f i c i e n t ,

  a s

  business

  i s , a n d

  produce primarily

a

  money crop.

Our

  Unique Idea

  of

  Agriculture

There  i s  almost  no  thought  of a  country l i f e se l f -su ff ic i ng  i n  virtue  of

satisfactions beyond

  t h e

  reach

  o f

  c i t i e s ,

  a

  rural culture self-regarding

  i n i t s

own

  environment. When

  you

  speak

  o f i t

  people

  do not

  know what

  y o u a r e

  talking

about. Farming

  i s

  understood

  to be a

  business,

  not a way of

  l i v i n g

  one

  might

prefer

  to any

  other.

This American idea

  o f

  agriculture, altogether unique

  i n t h e

  world,

  was

never stronger than

  a t t h e

  present time.

  I t

  controls

  a l l o u r

  ways

  o f

  thinking.

The

  power

  o f

  education

  i s

  behind

  i t . The

  Government f i r s t

  and

  last spends

great sums

  o f

  money

  i n

  support

  o f i t . ^ e

  adopt

  i t

  unawares. Consider

  now how i t

i s t h e

  fashion

  t o

  speak

  o f

  agriculture. Farming

  i s a n

  unscientific term,becoming

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obsolete*

  We

  speak, ins tea d,

  o f th e

  wheat industry,

  o f the

  cattle industry,

of the

  dairy industry,

  o f

  overhead, fixed charges,

  n e t

  income, quantity

  p r o -

duction  and  turnover.

I t

  sha l l

  "be

  said, f i r s t , that

  i f in any

  country

  on

  earth th is idea

  may be

realized, here

  i s

  that country)

  and,

  moreover, that

  t h e

  extent

  t o

  which

  Ameri-

can

  agriculture

  h a s

  been already urbanized, spe cia liz ed, in du st ri al iz ed , could

not be

  imagined anywhere else.

  I t h a s

  more plumbing, more au to mo bi le s, more

scientific data, more news, more contact with  t h e  cities, more excitement, more

att ent ion , shorter hours

  and

  less drudgery than

  any

  other agriculture

  in t h e

world,

  now or

  ever before. -Great numbers

  o f

  farmers

  keep

  the ir fami l ie s

  i n

towns. A&ny

  go to

  Florida

  or

  Cal i fornia

  f o r t h e

  winter .

  I n

  their preoccupation

with

  the one

  money crop, whatever that

  may  b e ,

  they of te n negl ect

  t o

  produce

the ir

  own

  foo d. They inc rea sin gly

  buy

  their food,

  a s

  city people

  do , and th e

same kinds.

Taking  i t t h e  country over,  40 per  cent  o f the  food eaten  on the  farms  i s

n o t  produced  on the  farms.  I t i s n o t  that they sell grain  f o r  cash  and buy

f l o u r  or  bakers' bread,  n o t  that they sell hogs  f o r  cash  and buy  hams  and  bacon

and

  lard from

  th e

  Chicago packers

  b y t h e

  trainload; they

  buy

  garden vegetables,

pota toes , fr ui ts , canned goods, j e l l i e s , milk, butte r, eggs, cheese

  and

  poultry.

In

  Missouri , Iowa, Minnesota, North .Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska

  an d

  Kansas

t h e

  average farm produces le s s than

  60 per

  cent

  o f

  what

  i s

  eaten there,

  and i n

Worth Dakota alone  t h e  average farm buys more than ha lf that  i s  eaten  o n i t s

own   tab le ;  and  t h i s runs  up to 100 per  cent,  t h e  farm  i n  that case producing

no  food  a t a l l f o r i t s ow n  table  -  nothing  bu,t  cash wheat  to be  hauled away  t o

t h e  el ev ator . Thus farmyard drudgery  i s  avoided  - no  milking,  no  slopping  the

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- l o -

pigs

  >

  no  hoeing,  no  chores  a t a l l , a nd  only ninety  o r a  hundred  d ays * work  in the

year*

a

 e l l , i f  such  i s t h e  American idea  and i t  tends  to be  re al iz ed , then what  i s

tn e

  problem?

  I s i t t h a t

  progress

  i s n o t

  rapid enough?

  Are we

  in p a t i en t

  ? No *

The  problem  h a s  many as pe ct s. Tot all y  i t  derives from  t h e  fact that th is

type  of  ag r i cu l tu re  i s  always  i n  trouble* It ,p as se s from  on e  c r i s i s  to  another

and is  chron ical ly  i n  need  of  being saved* Just  now i t i s  pro posed, among other

things, that  t h e  Government shall lend money  to  those farmers  i n t h e  Northwest

who  have failed  to  r a i se th e i r  own  food  «- money with which they s h a l l  buy  milch

cows, jvigs  and  chickens  i n  order that they  may get in

  the

  way of  feecBng them-

selves «  This measure  i s  obviously false  t o

  th e

  idea ,  and is  jus t i f ied on ly  on

th e  ground  of an  emergency*  I t i s  what might  be  called  a  step backward toward

peasantry# Indeed  ,  many  of  those proposed  to be  helped regard  i t i n  that l ight*

They

  do no t

  want

  t o

  milk cows

  an d

  slop pigs-

  A l l

  they want

  i s a

  high price

  f o r

wheat*

So the

  problem

  i s

  complicated,

  And

  there

  i s

  endle ss confusion from

  t h e

  fac t

that nobody wants  t o  give  u p t h e  idea* Nobody wants  to  admit that  i t  tends  t o

defeat i t s e l f • This  i t  does  in an  inevitable manner ̂

The   Great Land Boom.

Exploit ing  new  lands f as te r than they  a r e  needed  h a s  th is result , that there

i s  always  a.  po te nt ia l food surplus*  I n  that case, with agriculture  on a  money-

crop basis* what  i s  bound  t o  happen?  A  p r o f i t  i s  k i l l e d  i n t h e  rush  t o  se ize  i t *

Millions

  of

  farmers with

  an

  "uncontrollable impulse increase their production

  of

th e

  cash crop that happens

  to be

  pr of i t ab le . Then

  t h e

  potential surplus becomes

actual  and  everybody  i s  l e f t  i n t h e  lurch.

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Such being

  th e

  case ,

  o r , i f i t i s

  true,

  a s a l l

  professors

  of

  farm economics

prove  by  their figures, that agriculture under  th e  American idea does  not pay,  then

what keeps  i t  going? Roughly,  the  answer  i s  that what f l oa t s  i t and ha s  floated  i t

a l l  these years  i s the  increase  in the  value  of  land.

How

 now?

  A

  r iddle .

  I f

  there

  is no

  pro f i t

  i n

  agriculture

  why

  does

  th e

  land

increase  i n  value?  , -

The  explanation  i s n o t  simple.  To  begin, -Alien  the  professors  o f  farm economics,

either t.iose

  of the

  Government,

 o r

  tnose

  of the

  states, demonstrate

  by

  s t a t i s t i c s

  the

absence  of  prof i t  i n  agriculture  - nay, the  actual loss  i n i t -  they take this year

or   la st year alone. Land val ues, i nt er es t, taxes , rent s,  a l l a s  they  a r e , i t i s

true  -  agriculture does  not pa y. The  farmer  i s  lucky  to  make wages.  But i f  land

values, interest, taxes

  and

  rent were still what they were fifteen

  or

  twenty years

ago  there would  be a  p ro f i t . This means that  th e  p r o f i t s  o f  agriculture  are  t o  a

r

very great extent absorbed  by the  increase  in the  value  of the  land;  or , to say i t

another

  way, the

  earning power

  of the

  land

  i s

  capitalized

  i n

  advance, just

  as a

Wall Street stock that pays

  no

  dividend

  may

  r i s e

  in

  antic ipation

  of one, and

  then

stop rising, even decline  a.  l i t t l e when  th e  dividend  i s  decl ared . There  is no

gain from buying  i t  afterward; there  i s  only  a  small return  on the  investment,

and the

  risk, "besides., that

  th e

  dividend will

  be

  discont inued. That

  i s

  what

  h a p -

pens  to  land.  I n  special years, with high prices,  i t s  earning power runs  up;  then

i t i s  valued accordingly  and  people excitedly  b u y i t .  Then pric es f a l l  and its

earning power declines;  so  also  i t s  value.

There

  i s

  always

  th e

  expectation

  of

  th i s . Land booms come

  and

  come again.

They  are not a t a l l  confined  to new  experimental lands.

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In 191S and 1919,  a f ter  th e  Armi stice , there  was the  wildest "boom  i n  Western

f&ro land that  has  occurred since  the raw  prairie days*  I t  represented  t h e  capi-

t a l zavi on. i n  land values  of the  high wartime prices  f o r  agricultural produce*

Iowa land values

  had

  been

  f o r a

  generation

  th e

  first example

  i n

  s t a b i l i t y .

  In 1900

i t  could  be  said that they  had  once doubled  i n  th ir ty ye af s. Nothing mercurial

there* They doubled again

  in t h e

  next

  t e n

  years with

  th e

  r i se

  in the

  average price

o f a l l  crops;  and  that  had  already made them rather dear  - so  dear that  one of the

oldest mortgage-loan companies

  i n

  Chicago pulled

  out of

  Icwa

  and

  went into Texas

lands, Then suddenly between  1910 and 1919  they doubled again# People l o s t th ei r

heads* They dealt

  i n

  farms

  as in

  blue-sky mining stocks, selling them, buying

them back, s e l l i n g them a.gain.

  A man i n

  Lincoln township sold

  h i s

  farm

  at $2)0

an   acre* bought  i t  back  a t  $270,  and  sold  i t  again  a t  $42^• Those Iowa farmers

who  sold  out in 1919 at  values calculated  on the  basis  of  two-dollar wheat  and.

twenty-cent hogs,

  got the

  prof i t

  - not

  from

  the

  preceding

  t e n

  years

  but

  from

  the

neat  ten  years  o f  Iowa agriculture.

And  there  a r e y e t  other reasons  why the  value  of  land rises faster than  the

prof i ts

  of

  agriculture.

  One i s

  that innate earth hunger

  of

  people vtiaich

  has the

strength  o f  in st in ct . Another  i s t h e  certa inty that people w i ll continue  to mul-

t iply until  th e  bowl  i s  f u l l  and  running over*

Anyhow  i t i s a  fact that  in  proportion  as the  American idea  of  specialized

money cropping  i s  realized agriculture becomes  an  extra-hazard0us occupation,

chronically somewhere

  i n

  trouble-

  I t i s a

  fa ct , also , that

  so

  long

  as the

  land

continues  to be  exploited,  in the  characteristic Western manner  the  only natural

restraint upon overproduction will

  be

  loss*

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This means that

  a s  you

  have marginal railroads, marginal mines, marginal

factor ies ,

  so you

  will have marginal farms

  and

  marginal farmers.

  The

  marginal

producer

  i s one

  whose costs

  are

  hi$2, whose efficiency

  is low, and

  whose place-

ment:

  in the

  scheme

  i s

  perhaps disadvantageous.

  In

  good times

  h e

  makes

  a

  l i t t l e

money,

  i n

  fair times

  h e

  e x i s t s ,

  i n

  worse times

  he

  loses

  or

  goes bankrupt.

As  applied  to  agriculture this coldblooded thought  i s  shocking.  We  almost

cannot accept  i t . As to a. coal mine  or a.  railroad  i t i s a l l  right . There econom-

ics may  rule .  In the  s t a t e  of  I l l i no is there  a r e  above  a  hundred marginal coal

mines. When pr ice s  are  high they open  up and add  their production  to the  total ,

thereby li mi ti ng everybody's pro fi ts ; when prices f a l l they shut

  up

  again.

  We

do not  care.  The  spectacle  of an  idle coal mine does  n o t  move  u s  sentimentally.

We

 regard

  i t ,

  indeed, with sat is fa ct io n.

  I t

  represents insurance against extortion

Yet the  spectacle  of an  idl e farm saddens  u s . We react emotionally.  I t i s a. hu -

man  tragedy. Here someone  h as  tried  to get a  living from  th e  s o i l  and  fa i led .

Conclusion: There  i s  something wrong  in a.  country where  on e  cannot  get a  l iv ing

from  the  so i l .

The   Wheat-Raising Machinist

"Here  i s a  case," says  a  Montana banker.  "A man  came  to me  only  th e  other

day

  saying

  he

  didn't believe

  h e

  could stick

  i t out. He had not

  been able

  to

  make

a  l iv ing  f o r h i s  family.  He was  running behind. Another poor year would fi n i s h

him.

  Then

  h e

  would have

  to go

  back

  to h i s job in

  Minneapolis, where

  he was

  making

eight dollars

  a day a t h i s

  trade.

  He was a

  machinist.

  Now

 what

  are you

  going

  ti-

de ? If

  something isn't done right away that

  man

  wi ll have

  to

  abandon

  h i s

  farm;

and

  there

  a r e

  hundreds, thousands like

  him."

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But now  consider what th is case represent s.  I t i s one of  numerous cases,

fa ir ly typical .

  A

 machinist

  i s a-

 product

  of

  technical training.

  He

  applies

  h i s

s k i l l  to  s t e e l .  The  resu l t  i s a  machine,  and  machines  are in  great demand.  The

world cannot  g e t  enough  o f  them. Only  a few  nations  can  produce them.  I f we

are  thinking  to  produce  9  surplus  of  anything  f o r  sale abroad  ,  then  l e t i t b e a

surplus

  of

  machines,

  f o r

  they comcrand

  a.

 high price

  - the

  price

  of

  high craft skill

What

  ha s

  this machinist done?

  He ha s

  deserted

  the

  task

  o f

  machine making

  and

  gone

to

  Montana

  t o

  ra ise wheat. There

  i s

  already

  to o

  much wheat.

  I t i s

  produced

  in

surplus  by the  least rewarded  , the  least developed labor  in the  world  - i n  Egypt,

i n

  India.,

  in

  Argentina.,

  i n

  thirty-dig^t different countries , in

  a l l o f

  which wages

and  standards  o f  l i v i n g  are  lower than they  are  here.  Mow  fancy  an  American  ma-

chinist

  , man of h i s

  technical s k i l l , worth eigh t,

  t e n ,

  maybe f i f t e e n do lla rs

  a

day,  pu tt ing himse lf in to competition with that kind  of  labor?  I n  doing  so he

adds

  h i s

  moiety

  to the

  world's surplus

  o f

  wheat

  and

  then complains that

  h e

  cannot

make  a.  l i v i n g .  He i s  rea l ly  no t  interested  in any of  t h i s .  He was no t a. farmer

to  begin with;  he i s not a  farmer  now.  What moved  him was the  thought  o f  getting

a

  farm

  f o r

  nothing

  - a

  wheat ranch

  i n

  Montana that would make

  h im

  rich.

  If you

t e l l  him  there  is a.  sure  way to get a  l i v i n g  f o r  himself  and  family  on the  farm,

that

  he

  needs

  a.

  garden, some f ru i t t ree s, milch cows, pig s

  and

  chickens,

  he

  will

say: "OhI  That isn't what  I  came  cu t  here  to do .  That means work every  day in

th e  year.  I 'd  rather  go  back  to n§r  trade."

Yet  even  a  banker asks what shall  b e  done  t o  keep this  man on the  land,

thereby thinking,  a s  most  of us do,  without reflection, that  i f he ha s to  abandon

h i s  farm  i t  wil l  be a  tragedy,  and  that many such trag ed ie s portend  a.  social  d i s -

aster. Most

  o f

  that thinking,

  o r

  f e e l i n g ,

  i s

  great nonsense. Neve rthe less ,

  i t i s

very general  and i t s  consequences  are  amazing.

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For

  more than f i f t y years

  our

  po l i t i c a l l i f e

  h as

  bean tormented

  b y t h e e f -

fort

  to put

  profit into agriculture

  — to do i t by

  edict

  or

  economic stratagem

  -

notwithstanding

  the two

  facts already developed

  -

  namely, that

  t h e

  cease less

  e x -

ploi tat ion

  of

  land creates

  the

  potent ia l i ty

  of a

  ruinous surplus

  and

  that

  the

only natural restraint upon overproduction  i s  loss*

Panaceas  of the  Past

In t h e  last year  of the  Civil  War  wheat  was  $ 3 o 0

  a

  bushel, other things  i n

proportion* High pr ic es held

  f o r

  another year, just

  as

  they

  did

  through

  1919>

and

  land values increased

  in the

  same

  way,

  everybody going into debt

  to buy

  more

of i t , as i f the

  laws

  of

  gravity

  and

  reaction

  had

  been suspended forever.

  In the

next year

  th e

  collapse began,

  and

  agricultural commodities declined

  f o r

  nearly

thirty years.

  So did th e

  products

  o f

  industry

  i n a

  parallel manner,

  and for the

same reason

  -

  namely, excessive

  and

  uncontrolled production;

  b u t i t i s

  agricul-

ture  we now  speak  o f .

The

  f i r s t

  two or

  three years

  of th e

  fall were

  th e

  worst, because that

  was

th e

  most violent part

  of i t and

  because also

  i t

  caught

  th e

  farmers heavily

  i n

debt

  f o r

  land

  th e

  earning power

  and

  value

  of

  which

  had

  been calculated

  on war

prices*

  In the

  decade from

  1870 to 1280 the

  production

  o f

  wheat more than doubled.

That would seem

  a

  fairly obvious reason

  f o r i t s

  decline

  i n

  price*

  But

  that cause

was  disregarded; every other reason  was  imagined  -  many reasons that  d id not  exist.

There followed

  i n

  order

  t h e

  Grange movement,

  th e

  Farmers* Alliance,

  t h e

  Populist

Party  and  Bryanism,  The  means whereby  i t was  proposed  to  restore  a  pr o f i t  to

agriculture, excessive production notwithstanding, were mainly these:

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- 1 6 -

CoOperative selling;

Cooperative buying;

Low  frei^at rates;

Piat money;

Free silver.

Cooperation  was  tried  on a  very ext ens ive scale* There  was  something  i n i t

i f i t  could  be  well managed,  b u t i t  seldom  was; and t h e  most there  was i n i t was

only

  the

  middleman's profit,

  and

  that

  was not

  enough

  to

  make agriculture profit-

able* Railroad rat es were reduced  by

  l a w

  in the  agricultural states  and the

principle  of  state regulation  o f  railways  was  established.  Nor did  that make

agriculture profitable,  f t  made hardly  any  di f ference  at a l l ,  except  to the  r a i l -

roads.

  Tb.a

  consumer,

  n o t t h e

  producer, pays

  th e

  freight

  i n

  gene ra l. What

  the

producer pays  is a. geographical pe nalty, governed  by h i s  distance from  t h e  point

o f  consumption. Fiat money  and  fr ee s i l ve r were never tri ed . Both proposals were

abandoned , no t  that  t h e  farmers believed  i n  them l e s s  b u t f o r t h e  reason that  a l l

a t

  once agricultural-commodity pr ic es stopped f a l l i n g

  and

  began

  to

  r i se .

This happened between

  1895 and 19 00 , Why i t

  happened need

  not be

  discussed.

I t  wi l l  b e  enough  to say  that  t h e  products  o f  both agriculture  and  industry,  h a v -

in g  fallen together  f o r  nearly thirty years, stopped falling together  and  began

rising together.  The  causes were general over  the  whole world.  The  universal

evi l  of low  pr ic es , which int ern ationa l commissions  had  been investigating  in a

f u t i l e manner, suddenly vanished. Wants enormously in cr ea se d. Demand began  t o

catch

  up . And i f t h e

  products

  of

  industry advanced faster than

  the

  products

  o f

agriculture

  in the

  next twenty years, which apparently

  was the

  case, that

  was ow-

ing to the  fact that basic industry stopped exploiting  i t s  resources  in the

pioneer spirit  and  found ways  to  rationalize production,  a s  agriculture never  d id .

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- 17 -

I t was no ac t of  Congress that saved American ag ri cu lt ur e through  a l l  that

heartbreaking decline  i n  prices that "began  in 1S6S and  continued  f o r  nearly

thirty years.  Nor di d low  freight rates save  i t . N or  would fi a t money have

saved  i t . I t was  saved  by i t s own way  with necessity.

That which

  h as

  been called

  th e

  American idea

  o f

  agriculture

  was not so

strong then;:it  had not  been developed  .  What there  was of i t was put  aside.

Those farmers

  who

  could paid

  o f f

  their debts; those

  who

  couldn't were foreclosed

upon; then they started again

  on

  de fl at ed land . They grappled wi th

  th e

  s o i l .

They produced their  own  food , dressed  i t  themselves,  an d  supplied  th e  v i l lage

demand. They bought nothing they could make

  or

  produce

  f o r

  themselves,

  or do

without.  On  t h i s lo ng curve  o f  falling prices came into being  a  generation  o f

farmers  who  would sooner want than borrow,  who  regarded debts with terror,  who

thought signing

  a

  note

  was a

  step with

  th e

  s h e r i f f . They never could understand

what they  saw on a  rising price curve where  t h e  next generation lived.

Borrowing  i n  Falling Markets

They were right  an d  sound  in  their feeling about debts.  On  fa l l in g prices

i t i s  disastrous  t o  borrow.  I t  takes always more  and  more  to pay  back, until  a t

l a s t

  you are

  ruined.

  I f

  when wheat

  i s a

  dollar

  a

  bushel

  you

  borrow

  a

  thousand

dollars, that represents

  a

  debt

  of a

  thousand bushels

  o f

  wheat.

  But i f

  wheat

f a l l s  t o  f i f ty cents  th e  debt  i s  doubled.  You need  two  thousand bushels  to pay

i t o f f .

Precisely  th e  opposite  i s  true  i n a  time  of  ri si ng pr ic es . Then  i t  takes

l e s s  And  l e s s  of  your labor  and  produce  to pay  back what  you  borrow.  I f  when

wheat  i s a  dollar  a  bushel  you  borrow  a  thousand do ll ar s, that agai n represents*

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- 1 3 -

a  thousand bushels  o f  wheat,  But i f  wheat rises  to two  d o l l a r s  a  bushel  the

debt  i s  halved.  You  need only f i v e hundred bushel s  t o p a y i t  off*

Between  1895 and 1900  prices began  to  r i s e ,  and  they rose  f o r  more than

twenty years,  n o t  un in te r rup ted ly ,  of  course,  b u t a s t h e  t ide r i ses*  Old  farmers

whose wisdom  was  that  o f t h e  fa l l ing pr ice curve  saw the  young  men  going into

debt,  and  prophesied their ruin.  But t h e  young  men  es cape d. They borrowed more

and  more; they bought land with borrowed money  and  gave t h e i r notes  a t t h e  bank

f o r  working ca pi t al • Their land inc reas ed  i n  value  and  their notes  d i d n o t  worry

them#  I f  they could  no t pay  them  o ff one  year they renewed them  and  waited  f o r

a

  better crop

  o r

  better prices*

Now  suddenly  a  great discovery occurs.  The  pe r f ec t so lu t i on  i s a t  hand.•

The way to p ut

  p r o f i t

  i n

  ag r i cu l tu r e

  i s t o

  give

  i t

  c r ed i t , p l en ty

  of

  c r e d i t

  -

  cred-

i t  such  as any  other business gets.  Th e  farmer sha ll  be  f inanced .  He  sha l l  do

business  a t t h e  bank.  He  sh al l have banks spe ci al ly adapted  t o h i s  uses  and

needs.

Comparative marketing  i s n o t f o r got ten.  I t i s a l l t h e  h a t t e r .  The  reason

why i t

  never succeeded

  i s

  that

  i t

  never

  was

  properly f inanced.

  I t

  wanted credit-

Th e

  master

  k e y i s

  c r ed i t

  -

  c r ed i t

  to buy

  land with, credit

  to buy

  implements with,

c red i t  t o sow and  harvest with, credit with which  t o  hold  one

1

 s  crops  f o r a  fa i r

price instead  of  s e l l i n g them away  t o t h e  speculator*

This became  of a  sudden  th e  ruling theme*  For  f i f t e e n y ea rs  no man  spoke

sympathetically  t o t h e  f armer ^s case wit hout saying tha t above  a l l  else what  h e

needed  was  c r ed i t  -  cheap credit , long-time credit , short-t ime credit , honorable

credit, special forms  of  credit determined  by the  special problems  o f h i s  indus-

t r y .

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- 1 9 -

Consent

  was

  unanimous. Never

  had

  human contradiction

  h i t

  upon

  a

  more

  s e -

ductive panacea. There  was  plenty  o f i t . I t was  cheaply dispensed.  The pa t-

ient clamored  f o r i t .

So the  farmer  was  financed.  Yea, how he was  financed

The  amount  o f  credit that  h as  been placed  a t the  ca l l  of  agriculture  i n

t h e

  la s t

  t e n

  years cannot

  be

  de fi ni te ly calcula ted. There

  is no

  f igure

  t o e x -

press

  i t .

  Nobody knows

  how

  much

  i t i s . A

  former secretary

  o f the

  Treasury

  e s -

timated that  th e  amount provided  for by  Federal legislation alone  - by  that  on -

ly - was  f ive b i l l ion dol lars .

First  o f the  credit agencies under  th e  jur isdic t ion  o f the  Federal Govern-

ment came  th e  Federal Reserve System with twelve regiona l banks.  The  functions

of

  these twelve regional Federal Reserve Ban ;s were mainly

  two - to

  mobilize

  the y

gold resources

  o f the

  country,

  and to

  male credit more elastic, more Equitably

access ible  t o  everybody  by  lending money  cu t of one  great reservoir, through

those twelve Federal Reserve Ban* s , to  private banks, which  i n  turn should lend

i t t o

  private borrowers.

  For the

  farmer

  i t

  worked li ke t h i s :

  If he

  went with

h i s  note  to th e  small-town bank  and  asked  t o  borrow  on i t and the  small-town

bank  had no  money  of i t s own to  lend,  i t  could s t i l l take  t h e  farmer's note,

send  i t t o th e  nearest  one of the  twelve Federal Reserve Banks  and get the  money.

Farmers Filled  by  Credit Kindness

But

  that

  was not

  enough.

  It was

  soon found that

  th e

  rules under which

  the

notes

  c f

  merchants

  an d

  manufacturers were taken

  a t the

  Federal Reserve Banks

were  to o  narrow  f o r t h e  farmer. Therefore  th e  rules were relaxed  i n h i s  favor,

so  that  a  farmer's note  had  Tore time  and  grace  a t a  Federal Reserve Bank than

an y  other.

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— 2 0 -

And

  that

  was not

  enough.

  The

  farmer needed credit

  f o r

  what

  he was

  doing

  -

y e s . And he

  could

  get i t . But he

  needed credit also

  f o r

  what

  he was

  going

  to

do. So  Congress created  th e  Federal Farm Loan System, with twelve regional  Fed-

eral Laitt Banks  to he  launched where necessary, with government credit;  and the

purrose  o f  these banks  was to  lend money  t o  national farm-loan ass oci ati ons ,

which

  i n

  turn should lend

  i t t o

  farmers

  fo r th e

  purchase

  of

  agricultural land,

fo r th e

  equipment

  and

  improvement

  of the

  land

  and to pay off o ld

  mortgages.

  Any

ten or

  more natural persons could form

  a

  national farm-loan association; more

than forty-four hundred have been formed.  The  same  law  authorized  th e  creation  by

private persons  of  joint-stock land banks, under  t h e  supervision  of the  Government,

such banks  t o  sell debentures  up to  f i f teen t imes  th e  amount  of  their capital ,  and

lend  th e  money  on  land.

S t i l l  not  enough.  In  March,  1 9 - 3 ,  Congress passed  th e  great Agricultural

Credits

  A c t ,

  creating twelve Federal Intermediate Credit Banks,

  to be

  established

"alongside  of but  organically independent  of the  twelve Federal Land Banks,

n

  each

with  a  capital  of  five million dollars provided  by the  United States Government,

These intermediate credit banks lend money  f o r  "agricultural purposes"  f o r p e r -

iods  o f s i x  months  t o  three years.

The  same  a c t  provided also  f o r  national agricultural credit corporations  t o

lend money  f o r  "agricultural purposes" direct  t o  farmers,  an d  national agricul-

tural rediscount corporations  to  take over from pr iva te banks loans that have

already been made  f o r  "agricultural purposes."

These  are the  agencies created  by  Federal legislation:

Federal Reserve Banks;

Federal Land Banks;

Joint-stock land banks;

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- 2 1 -

National farm-loan associations;

Federal Intermediate Credit Banks;

National agricultural credit corporations;

National agricultural rediscount corporations.

These agencies have placed

  i n th e

  la s t

  t e n

  years,

  by an

  estimate

  o f a

  former

Secretary  o f th e  Treasury, five billion dollars  of new  credit  a t th e  disposal  o f

agriculture.

And

  t h i s

  i s by no

  means

  a l l . The War

  Finance Corporation,

  a

  banking concern

set up  during  the war to  finance  war  a c t i v i t i e s  -  owned  by the  Government  and fur-

nished with government capital  - has  been converted into  an  agency  f o r  extending

government credit direct  t o  agriculture.

In  addition  t o  what  t h e  Federal Government  h as  done,  th e  states have been

a t th e

  same time dispensing credit

  t o

  agr icu lt ure . They,

  t o o ,

  have created farm-

loan systems  and  farm-credit boards; they have sold tax-exempt bonds  on the  public

credit  and  loaned  th e  money  t o  farmers  at low  rates  of  interest .

And  above everything else there occurred  a  wild multiplication  o f  private

banks  in the  agri cul tur al di st ri ct s, under both national  an d  state charters,

whose principal business  was to.  lend money  t o  farmers  on  their notes  and who com-

peted with  on e  another  fo r th e  pr iv i lege  o f  doing  s o . Any few  natural persons

with

  a

  l i t t l e money could star t

  a

  bank.

  In the

  Northwest area, called

  th e

  Ninth

Federal Reserve D i s t r i c t , more than f i f t y nati onal banks were chartered  by the

Comptroller  c f the  Currency  a t  Washington over  th e  protest  of the  Federal Reservg

Bank  a t  Minneapolis. There were already  to o  many  new and  inexperienced banks,  ae

th e  Federal Reserve Bank  a t  Minneapolis knew;  but the man  then Comptroller  of the

Currency

  a t

  Washington said that

  i f

  people wanted banks they should have them.

So  farmers became their  own  bankers; they could give credi t  t o  themselves.

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-"22r*

Never since credit

  was

  invented

  had

  agriculture

  s o

  mach

  of i t .

  Never

  b e -

fore

  i n a l l t h e

  history

  o f

  banking

  was the

  farmer

  so

  much financed.

  And

 with

what results?

There

  i s

  again

  a n

  acute crisis

  i n

  agriculture.

  I t i s th e

  worst that

  has

occurred  i n  th i s generation . Farmers  by the  tens  o f  thousands  - the  Department

of

  Agriculture says

  b y th e

  hundreds

  of

  thousands

  - are

  los ing

  or

  have already

lost their property, their lands

  and

  chattels ,

  by

  forfe i ture

  t o

  creditors

  and

by the  foreclosure  of  mortgages.  In the  Nocthwest area alone  -  Minnesota,  Mon-

tana, North Dakota

  an d

  South Dakota

  -

  where occurred

  an

  expansion

  o f

  credit

  p e r -

haps greater

  i n a

  re la t ive sense than anywhere e l se , more than fi v e hundred

banks

  a re

  shut

  up

  because

  th e

  farmers cannot

  pay

  their notes.

  The War

  Finance

Corporation

  h a s

  been dispatched

  to the

  scene with more credit.

  An

  extraordinary

credit corporation  h a s  been formed  by  private bankers  of the  East  and the  Middle

West,

  a t the

  instance

  o f the

  Government,

  to go to the

  re l i e f

  o f the

  Northwestern

banks.

There

  i s

  s t i l l

  no

  lack

  o f

  cr ed it . That

  i s not the

  trouble.

  The

  d i f f i c u l t y

i s t o  f in d anything su it ab le upon which  to  grant cr ed it . Farms, li ve st oc k,

chattels, commodities

  i n

  storage

  a re

  already mortgaged

  f o r

  more than they

  a re

worth.

Mortgaged

  to th e

  Hilt

And you

  have this spectacle

  to

  ponder: Those bankrupt money croppers

  o f

t h e

  Northwest, with neither means

  of

  their

  own no r

  credit

  a t th e

  bank with which

to buy the  chickens, pigs  an d  milch cows they need  i n  order  to be  able  t o  feed

themselves,

  are to

  have money

  out of th e

  United States Treasury

  f o r

  this purpose,

and at the

  same time

  a

  large mortgage-loan company

  i n

  Minneapolis, having bought

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-23-

an d

  sold Northwestern farm mortgages until

  th e

  taag hurs t, makes

  a

  street-window

display

  of

  Imperial Japanese Government

  p er

  cent bonds. There

  i s a

  good

  d e -

mand  f o r  them. They  a r e  se l l ing .  I s the  word  o f the  Japanese Government then

better security than Northwestern farms

  an d

  chattels?

  No. The

  explanation

  i s

simply that

  t h e

  Northwestern farmers,

  who

  desperately need

  t h e

  money that

  Min-

neapolis investors

  a r e

  putting into Japanese bonds, have nothing l e f t

  t o

  pledge.

They have borrowed more

  on

  their farms

  an d

  chattels than those farms

  an d

  chat-

tels would bring

  i f put up for

  sale

  a t

  auction.

Here

  now an

  interrupti on. sha ll

  b e

  reminded that this crisis

  i n

  agricul-

ture

  i s

  owing

  to th e

  headlong fall

  i n

  prices.

  Yes. The

  f a l l

  i n

  prices

  was a

cause.

  But i t was the

  last cause.

  I f the

  farmers

  had not

  been extravagant with

credit before,

  i f

  they

  had not

  mortgaged their property above

  i t s

  ears

  in the

days

  of

  exuberance,

  i f i n

  North Dakota they

  had not

  used

  i t t o

  hold wheat

  f o r

three dollars

  and

  f i f ty cents

  a

  bushel when they might have been selling

  i t f o r

two  dollars,  i f  they  had not  behaved  a s if the day of  payment  had  been abolished

by

  ed ic t, there would s t i l l have been

  a

  c r i s i s ,

  no

  doubt,

  but not the

  kind

  of

cr i s i s

  i t i s .

  There would have come lo sses ,' di sa ppoi ntment s,

  •

  hard times,

  but

no

  avalanche

  of

  bankruptcy, pul li ng down banks

  by the

  hundreds. Credit

  is a

thing  you can u se  only once, Having already used  i t  they could  n o t u s e i t  again

t o

  ease themselves down

  a s

  pri ces f e l l away.

  Not

  only th at . Jus t when they

  b e -

gan to  need credit  f o r  reasons beyond their control,  and  when they  had  nothing

l e f t

  to

  pledge

  or

  mortgage,

  the day of

  payment arriv ed. That they already owed

was due and

  payable.

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-24- •

The   farmers  say  they were deflated  i n a  "brutal manner  by the  banks.  Par-

t i cu lar ly

  do

  they

  say

  th i s

  in the

  Northwest, where

  now the

  consequences

  a r e

  most

acute.  To  th i s  th e  fa i lure  of  more than five hundred banks  i n  Minnesota, North

Dakota, South Dakota  and  Montana-  i s a  f a i r ly convincing answer. Banks that  are

brutal save themselves . These

  d i d n o t .

  Fi rs t they loaned

  t o o

  freely; then they

did not  demand payment  i n  time. They  are not  denounced  f o r  having loaned  too

free ly ,  nor for  having renewed farmers

1

  notes beyond prudence instead  of  requiring

them  to be  paid; they  are  denounced  f o r  having demanded payment  a t a l l .  Borrow-

in g

  human nature w i l l always blame mbre

  th e

  banker

  who

  demands

  to be

  paid than

the one who  refused  i n the  f irst place  to  lend.

Danger Signals Unheeded

For a

  long time before

  the

  f a l l

  i n

  prices began

  i t was

  notorious that much

of the  credit  a t the  ca l l  o f  agriculture  was  be ing improperly used . There seemed

no way to  stop  i t . A  great deal  of i t was by  in di re ct io n. Individual farmers

t i ed  up  the ir  own money  i n  golden affairs  of the  imagination, especially  i n  land

speculation  , and  relied upon  the  banks  f o r  money with which  t o  carry  on  farming

operat ions. Thus, l e s s  an d  l e s s  th e  farmer financed himself with  his own  means;

more  and  more  of his own  capital  was  le f t free  f o r  adventure.  The  local banks,

unable  t o  take care  of him, and  having  a  great deal  of  their capital also tied

up in  speculation  or in %ad  loan s, passed  him on, or,  rather, they passed  h i s

notes  on, to the  nearest Federal Reserve Bank.  The  notes were  a l l  regular enough.

They were  f o r  agricultural purposes, according  to l a w .  They were th eref ore  e l i -

gible

  f o r

  rediscount

  -

  that

  i s to say ,

  they were proper ly purchasable under

  the

rules;  y e t  every Federal Reserve Bank knew what  th e  s i tuat ion  w a s .

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In  December,  1919> the  Federal Reserve Batrik  o f  Minneapolis said:

"It i s

  quite evident that through

  th e

  extravagances

  of

  individuals

  and the

indiscriminate extension

  of

  credit

  by

  certain banks

  f o r

  investment

  an d

  specula-

tive purchases

  th e

  reserves held

  by the

  Federal Reserve Banks have been used

through  an  indirect process  f o r  purposes other than those intended  and  authorized

by la w . The  extension  o f  credit  f o r  speculative purposes  i s n o t  confined  t o

stocks

  and

  bonds alone;

  but

  substantial advances have been made

  t o

  encourage

  the

movement

  of

  land

  and for

  speculation

  i n

  commodities.

  The

  Federal Reserve Bank

  of

Minneapolis  h as  used every precaution  t o  eliminate such  u s e o f i t s  f a c i l i t i e s ,

but

  in di re ct ly th ese cr ed it s have been extended, with

  th e

  result that

  an

  unwarrant-

ed

  overextension

  o f

  credit exists.

  I f

  this condtion

  i s

  permitted

  t o

  continue

  i t

wil l  i n  time work  a  severe hardship upon everyone."

No

  matter.

  The

  inverted pyramid

  of

  bank loans continued

  t o

  grow.

  I t

  grew

unt i l

  i t

  f e l l ; afte r that

  i t

  grew lying down. "Following

  t h e

  collapse

  of

  prices

i n

  I920," says

  t h e

  Federal Reserve Bank

  o f

  Minneapolis, speaking

  of the

  Northwest,

banking, Federal Reserve

  and Tar

  Finance credits underwent

  an

  acute secondary

  in—

. f l a t i o n ,  f or t h e  obvious reason that farmers caught  in the  collapse could  not

continue without immediately available resources.

  No

  funis were available

  f o r

current operations,  or to  meet maturing indebtedness, except  by  borrowing from

th e

  banks,"

In 1921 the ^ar

  Finance Corporation came with

  i t s bag of

  emergency credit.

I t i s

  there s t i l l .

How  strange The   Federal Reserve Bank  of  Minneapolis says  one  cause  was too

much credit.  Yet a  block away  i s the  temporary office  of the War  Finance Corpor-

ation, with

  an

  organization made

  cn the

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- 2 6 -

dpot , dispens ing more credi t . However,  th e  part  of the War  Finance Corporation

i s  somewhat like that  of the  physician with  th e  violent drug addict.  He  mast

believe

  he

  will continue

  to ge t i t , and a t the

  same time

  he

  mist

  h e

  tapered

  o f f .

The

  true index

  t o

  what agriculture

  h as

  done

  t o

  itse lf with credit

  i s a

statistical curve representing

  th e

  r ise

  in the

  farmer's annual interest changes

an d  taxes.  H is  interest  an d  taxes together  in 1923  were threefold what they were

in 1913•

  Threefold

The

  increase

  i n h i s

  in te re st represents what

  he

  "borrowed

  as an

  individual.

Farm mortgages more than doubled

  i n t e n

  years.

"The

  great increase

  in

  mortgage indebtedness," says

  th e

  Howard-Moorhouse Agri-

cul tural Business Service, "came  in 1919> as a  result  of  land speculation after

th e

  Armistice.

  The

  total amount

  en

  January

  1 , 192 0 , has

  been estimated

  a t

  eight

billion dollars, which

  was

  more than twice

  th e

  amount

  o f ten

  years prev ious. Since

1920  there  h a s  been  a  further increase  of one  b i l l io n dol lars,  due to the  funding

of

  current obligations incurred during

  and

  just previous

  t o t h e

  depression."

After  t h e  Armi sti ce. During  and  just previous  to the  depression.

This

  i s n o t

  unsympathetic testimony.

  The

  Howard-Moorhcuse Agricultural Busi-

ness Service  i s  conducted  by  James  R.  Howard, f i r s t pres ident  o f the  American Farm

chief

Bureau Federation;

  N. C.

  Murray, fo rme rl y/ sta ti st ic ia n

  o f the

  Bureau of'Crop Esti-

mates; Lloyd

  M.

  Graves, formerly statistician

  of the

  American Farm Bureau Federa-

tion,  and H. W.  Moorhouse, formerly dean  of the  School  o f  Commerce  of the  Oklahoma

State College*

I t i s  obvious that what agriculture  d id  with credit  was to  capita l ize  war

prices

  in the

  value

  of the

  land.

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- 2 7 -

The  increase  i n the  farmer's taxes represents,  no t  altogether,  but  principal-

l y , h i s

  group borrowing.

  I n h i s

  polit ical capacity

  he

  adopted

  th e

  universal

  e x -

ample  an d  sold enormous amounts  of  state, county, township  an d  school-district

bonds.  He used  th e  money  to  improve  h i s  social environment, saying:  "?hy are we

not  ent i t l ed  t o  have the se th in gs too? TThy shall  our  children  n ot  have schools

a s

  f ine

  a s

  those

  t h e

  c it y people' s chi ldren have?"

There  i s no  simple answer  t o  that question.  I t  perhaps cannot  b e  answered

separately  a t a l l . I t  t i e s  up  with  th e  whole problem  of  American agriculture.

The

  machinist

  who

  leaves

  h i s j o b i n

  Minneapolis

  to get a

  free wheat ranch

  i n

Montana  not  only thinks  he i s  ent i t led  t o a  profitable price  f o r h i s  wheat;  h e

thinks  he i s  ent i t l ed  t c  have,  out  there  on  what  was  yesterday  a  cattle range

covered with buffalo grass,  a  school  f o r h i s  children like  t h e  school  in Min-

neapolis.

  And he

  thinks this without reference

  to the

  fact that

  in

  choosing

  t o

raise wheat instead  of  making machines  he has cut  himself in to compet ition with

th e

  low-paid wheat-producing labor

  of

  Argentina, Egypt, India

  and

  th ir ty - f ive

other countries.

Building  cn  Credit

But the

  farmers asked

  th e

  question

  i n a

  rhet or ica l manner on ly . They

  did not

wait  for the  answer.  The  credit  was  handy  and  they used  i t .  They  d id not  build

country sc ho ol s. They bui l t ci ty schools, with baths, gymnasiums  and a l l . You

cail understand

  i t .

You can  understand also  th e  disgust  of the  rcundheaded banker, whose bank

h a s  never failed  and  never will,  who  started  in  l i f e with  one  calf  and one  horse,

when

  he

  says , "Over her e' s

  a

  town

  o f

  five hundred people that's just built

  a

school that cost f i f t y - t h r e e thousand do ll ar s. They  put in one of  them gymnasium

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- 2 5 -

t h ings , How  they wi l l hire somebody  t o  teach their kids basketball because

they

t

ve  got  nothing better  to do ."

Product: Taxes.

Farm taxes  per  acre, taking  th e  country  a t  large, were  in 1923  about  2s

times what they were  in 1913-  Commenting upon t h i s  th e  Department  of  Jgricul-

ture says:

  "In 1913

  taxes consumed

  a

  l i t t l e le ss than one-tenth

  o f the

  farmer's

n e t  income.  In 1923  they consumed nearly one-th ird  o f i t . "  Then  i t  adds:

"Between  80 and 90 per  cent  of the  taxes paid  by the  farmer  i s f o r  expense

within  th e  county,  th e  larger items being schools  and  roads. Such taxes, t her e-

fore,  a re  within  th e  control  of a  majority  of the  people  o f the  county."

That  i s  merely  to say , the  farmer  d i d i t t o  himself .  A  very great por tio n

o f h i s

  taxes

  is now

  beyond cont rol, since

  i t

  represents interest

  on

  money

  b o r -

rowed  -  interest  on  county, township  an d  district bonds sold  t o  outside invest-

o rs .

In

  reduction,

  th e

  great solution solved nothing;

  i t

  produced instead many

lamentable effects which were  not  intended.  I t  will take years  t o  efface them.

So now the  sacred credit nyth  i s in  decl ine.  I f  there were symbols  o f

th i s f e t i sh  on  which farmers could i n f l i c t the ir wrath yoti. would find them  l y -

ing in the  Western di tc hes igno'miniously, l i k e those pagan ra in gods  th e  heathen

were used

  t o

  hurl into

  the dry

  f i e l d s

  so

  they might

  s e e f o r

  themselves

  how bad

th e  drought  was, and  perhaps repent.

Ybu  cannot  put  profit into agriculture  by  giving  i t  cr ed it . That  i s s e t -

t led.

Farmers themselves  now sa y, ""e  don't want  an y  more credi t . That  on e  thing

h a s  nearly ruined  u s ,

  T

7hat  we  want  i s  better prices."

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" r •

- 2 9 -

Maiy  c f  them indeed  are  suspicious  of  further experiments wit h cr ed it , even

such  a s  lending Northwestern wheat croppers money  out o f the  United States Treas-

ury to

  s tock the ir farrryards with chickens, pigs

  an d

  milch cows; they suspect

that  th e  Government thereby begs  th e  issue  and  postpones consideration  of the

true solution.

  For

  there

  is a new

  sol uti on. Everything el se

  h as

  been tried;

therefore this  i s  bound  t o  work.

The  name  of the new  solution  i s th e  McNary B i l l .  The  name stands  for an

idea.

  The

  idea

  i s

  price control

  by

  government edict.

  But i t

  must

  not be so

  s ta t -

ed . To say  baldly what  i t i s  would perhaps defeat  i t . .  There  i s  already  to o  much

prejudice against  th e  thought  of  price f ixing.  And  because  i t  must  not be  re«c

ferred  to as a  scheme  f o r  controlling prices  by  edict  t h e  exposition  o f i t by i t s

friends becomes extremely involved.

The  McNarv B i l l Analyzed

I t

  begins with

  a

  declaration

  of the

  thing

  to be

  done

  -

  namely,

  t o

  make basic

agricultural commodities worth  a s  much  a s  in du stri al commodities when  by  reason

of  overproduction  or a  surplus above domestic needs they  a re  s e l l ing  f o r  l e s s ,

The

  means

  by

  which this

  i s t o be

  accomplished

  are as

  follows:

First ,

  th e

  United States Agricultural Commission

  to

  no t i fy

  t h e

  President that

there  i s a  surplus  of  wheat, fl ou r, corn, cotton, wool, ca t t l e , sheep, swine  or

an y  food product  of  cattle, sheep  or  swine,  and  that  th e  domestic price  i s too

low. The

  President thereupon

  by

  proclamation declares

  an

  emergency

  t o

  ex is t

  i n

respect

  o f

  that commodity.

Second,  th e  United States Agricultural Commission determines what  the do-

mestic price

  of

  that commodity ought

  t o b e .

  This

  i t

  does

  by

  means

  of a

  s ta t i s t i ca l

index number comparing agricultural products with industrial products.  The  price

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-30- .

s o  determined  i s  ca l led  t h e  ratio price,  and i t i s  proclaimed  a s t h e  price that

by   right should,  and in  fact shall thereafter prevail,.

Third,

  t h e

  United States Agricultural Export Corporation,

  now f o r th e

  f i r s t

time named, begins

  t o

  operate . This

  i s a

  merchandising concern,

  to be

  owned

  by

t h e

  Government, with

  tw o

  hundred mi ll io n dolla rs capi tal

  out of the

  Treasury*

At the  ratio price proclaimed  by the  commission  t h e  United States Agricultural

Export Corporation will

  buy up a l l the

  surplus,

  or any

  amount necessary,,

  o f

  wheat

or

  corn

  or

  ca t t l e ,

  or

  whatever

  th e

  commodity

  i s , i n

  order

  t o

  make

  th e

  ratio

pr ice e f fec t ive;

  an d

  then

  t h e

  surplus over domestic needs

  i t

  shall dump

  i n f o r -

eign oarkets  f o r  what  i t c an g e t .  Both  t h e  amount that will have  to be  sold

abroad

  and the

  loss thereon

  -

  meaning

  by

  lo s s

  th e

  difference between

  the do-

mestic price

  and the

  world price outside

  -

  w i l l

  be

  estimated beforehand.

  Say

t h e

  commodity

  i s

  wheat;

  and i t i s

  estimated that one-tenth

  of the

  wheat crop will

have  to be  sold abroad  a t  twenty-five cents  a  bushel less than  t h e  o f f i c i a l  d@*

mestic price.

  In

  that case every farmer when

  he

  s e l l s

  h i s

  wheat will

  ge t the

  fu l l

o f f i c i a l domestic price, except that

  as to the

  one-tenth which

  i s

  exportable

  s u r -

plus

  he

  shall receive

  t h e

  last twenty-five cents

  per

  bushel

  in the

  form

  o f

  scrip*

I f the

  l o s s

  on

  what

  i s

  exported turns

  out to be

  less than twenty-five cents

  a

bushel

  he nay get

  something

  f o r h i s

  scrip;

  I f t h e

  loss turns

  out to be

  more

  he

l e t s  th e  Government worry.  The  scrip,  yo u  will understand,  i s  bought  f o r  cash

at any

  post of f i ce , l ik e stamps,

  and th e

  post offices turn

  th e

  money

  in to the

United States Agricultural Export Corporation.

  If you are a

  buyer

  of

  wheat

  you

a r e  obliged  t o  have scrip with which  to pay the  last twenty-five cents  on  every

tenth bushel.

  I t i s

  compulsory.

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Unless  one is  interested  in the  McNary Bill curiously,  a s a  piece  of ex-

perimental mechanism,

  a l l

  that

  one

  needs

  to

  know about

  i t i s

  th i s :

  I t i s a p ro -

posal

  t o

  employ

  th e

  power

  and

  credit

  of the

  Government

  to

  l i f t

  t h e

  average price

of  basic agricultural products.  If i t i s not  meant  to do  that  it has no  point

whatever;

  i f i t

  were

  not

  meant

  to do

  that nobody would

  b e fo r i t .

I t i s an

  undertaking

  to put

  profit into agriculture

  in

  spite

  of

  excessive

production,  in  spite  of the  fact that  t h e  exploitation  of  land  in the  character-

istic American manner creates

  th e

  potential i ty

  of

  surplus

  in the

  f irs t place,

  i n

spite

  of the

  fact that

  th e

  only natural restraint upon overproduction

  i s

  loss.

Even more.  One  comes  a t  las t  to the  complete contradiction that  th e  aver-

age  price  of  agricultural products  m s t b e  lifted because there  i s  overproduction.

The

  b i l l contains

  i t s own

  argument.

  A ll

  these things proposed

  to be

  done

a re  necessary because "there exists  a  general emergency  i n  respect  of  agricultur-

a l  commodities."  And  then  i t  declares  - the  bill declares  -  that  t h e  general

emergency

  i s

  owing

  to the

  existence

  of

  surpluses available

  f o r

  export"

  and to

th e  economic impracticability  of  immediately preventing  th e  continued produc-

tion  of  such surpluses."

Thought

  of

  limiting

  '

 production

  i s

  resentfully rejected

  b y a l l

  concerned,

f o r  three reasons: Fi rs t,  i t is too  simple; second,  i t i s  impracticable; third,

i t i s

  impossible. That

  is to say,

  agricultural production mast

  not be

  subject

to

  that restraint which regulates every other kind

  of

  production

  -

  namely,

  the

res t ra in t  of  loss.

In

  North Dakota

  th e

  true problem

  is how to

  diversify agriculture-

  how to

induce wheat growers

  to

  bother with pigs

  an d

  chicken*, milch cows

  and

  bees,

  in

order  to  feed themselves. Necessity  i s the  only inducement  t o  which they have

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responded.  One  crop  f o r  money  -  that  i s  what they want.

Farmers  a re  united  fo r t h e  McNary Bill.  The  Department  of  Agriculture  is for

i t . A l l t h e  agricultural minds  of  Congress  a re  behind  i t .  Many more Western

business  men,  even bankers, than  yo u  might suppose  a re f o r i t , on the  ground that

i f i t  helps agriculture,  no  matter  how, it  will help them  to o. The  b i l l includes

the

th e  hated millers and/horned packers.  I t had to do  th is ,  f o r  obviously they could

not  btiy grain  an d  cattle from  th e  farmers  a t the  high ratio price  and  sell flour

an d  meat products abroad  a t the  world price;  and if  they could  not do  this they

would  hot buy  from farmers more than enough  to  supply  the  domestic demand.  So i t

i s  provided that  th e  millers  and  packers  may buy at th e  high ratio price  and  then

sell their exportable surplus

  of

  flour, hams, sausages, bacon,lard,

  and so., on, t o

th e  United States Agricultural Export Corporation.

Are We Farmers  a t  Heart

And what  the  farmers  ar e for i s not the  McNary Bill  a s  such. They  a re f o r

th e  doctrine  i t  embodies.  A b i l l  by any  other name that went nmch further with

the

  same doctrine would

  be

  more acceptable.

  The

  doctrine

  i s

  that agriculture,

as i t has  been  and is and  wants  to be  without change, shall  be  made  to pay as a

matter  of  public policy.  The  marginal farm  and the  marginal fanner shall  be

saved  fo r t he  sake  o f a l l  that structure  of  exploited land values,  and a t th e

same time  th e  farmer shall  be  saved from drudgery  an d  boredom  in  virtue  of the

great money-crop idea.

The  farmer  is not  alone  to  blame.  He i s  perhaps  th e  least  t o  blame.  His

re la t ion  to the  soil, wherein  i t i s  uneconomic,  is an  e f fec t ,  not a  cause.

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- 3 3 -

The

  United States Government through

  th e

  Department

  of

  Agriculture,

  and the

states through their agricultural colleges, have spent vast sums

  of

  money

  to

propagate

  t h e

  thought

  of

  money cropping,

  of

  specialization,

  of

  industrial methods

as

  applied

  to

  agriculture,

  a l l t h e

  emphasis

  op

  production, with

  a

  shabby imita-

tion  of  city culture  a t th e end . The one  thing that  has not  been sold  to the

farmer

  i s

  farming

  - the

  agr icul tural l i fe

  f o r i t s

  spir i tual sa t isfact ion

as a

manner  of  l iv ing .  Do you say i t ha s not  these sat isf act ioms? Then  a t  heart

we are not  farmers. That  may be i t . And y et ,  half  of us ar e on th e  farm.  Of

that half  of us,  only about  20 per  cent  a re in  serieus trouble.  Al l the  cobmo-

tion relates

  t o

  that

  20 per

  cent . They

  are the

  marginal people . Their costs

a r e

  high, their efficiency

  is low,

  they have planter notions uader

  a

  high wage

system,  an d  they make  th e  surpl us. There  i s  about  the  same percentage  of mar-

i n

ginal people  in  shopkeeping,/manufacturing,  in any  f i e ld  of  human ac t iv i ty . Only

i n

  agriculture

  i s the

  question

  of

  their survival

  a

  pol i t ica l issue.

  One

 wonders

what would happen

  to

  American agriculture

  i f

  only

  i t

  were

  l e t

  alone.


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