2nd Annual Aircraft Engine World China Summit Shanghai, October 18-19, 2012
Dr. Hooman Rezaei
IAEA Founder & President
@IAEA1, : International Aircraft Engine Association
www.turbineengine.org
Commercial Engine Industry Overview
World Regions
Africa 2,045 4%
Asia Pacific 6,634 15%
China 3,599 8%
Eastern Europe 2,115 5%
India 770 2%
South America 2,965 7%
Middle East 2,456 5%
North America 14,951 33%
Western Europe 9,728 21%
Total (2012) 45,263
Total (2022) 62,544 +38%
OEMs 2012 2022
CFMI 16,658 26,951
GE Aviation 9,860 13,085
Rolls Royce 6,134 7,775
Pratt & Whitney 7,441 7,638
IAE 4,118 5,405
EA = GE + P&W 120 824
Power Jet 8 592
Honeywell 924 276
ACAE - TBD
CFMI Fleet Largest Share of 37% , +15
RR’s Fleet Overtake P&W’s Fleet by 2022
Source Fleet Data: Ascend
An Industry With 150,000+ Professionals
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Association’s Vision
Founded Jan 2012 - 7000+ Social Media Professional Members
Platform to Promote Global Collaboration Among: Manufacturers Lessors & Financiers
Operators Maintenance Providers Consulting Services Providers Academic Institutions
Comprehensive & Standard Industry Wide Solutions Such As: Common MRO/Trade Contracts Lease Return/Non-incident
Global Ecommerce Platform – Wikipedia & Ebay of Aero Engine Industry
Define Industry’s Academic and Professional Development Curriculums
Develop Exclusive Publications & Core Engine Event Content Globally
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Board of Directors
Lease & Finance Board of Advisors
Ray Sisson – President & CEO, AWAS Dr. Hooman Rezaei – Founder & President, IAEA
Jon Sharp – President & CEO, ELFC Dave Johnson – SVP, Willis Lease Finance Mark Drechsler – SVP, Bank of America Leasing
MRO Board of Advisors
Rod Blake – VP, American Airlines TAESL Frank Walschot – SVP, SR Technics Mark Mounsey – VP, United Airlines
OEM Board of Advisors TBD TBD TBD
Consulting Board of Advisors
Academia Board of Advisors
Dean Maj Mirmirani – Embry Riddle TBD TBD
Media & Events Board of Advisors
Phil Seymour – President & COO, IBA TBD TBD
Stephen Bray, EVP UBM Aviation TBD TBD
Association’s Boards
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Supply Chain Board of Advisors TBD TBD TBD
Launched First Global Aircraft Engine Exclusive Career Site Partnership with Zylog Systems (Canada) LTD http://career.turbineengine.org Confidential, Retained Search, Public Job Postings, Cloud based Manpower solution across spectrums
C-Level, Executives, Managers, Engineers, Financiers, Mechanics Airlines, OEMs, MRO, Lessors, Academia, Supply Chain
Proposed MS in Aircraft Engine Engineering & Management Collaboration with Embry Riddle Global Aircraft Engine Industry Integrated and Sponsored Curriculum Balanced Engineering Sciences & Management Skills Curriculum Generate Interest in Aero Engines & Eliminate Excessive Turnovers
Quarterly Aircraft Engine Webinars Collaboration with Airfinance Journal Update community with latest development in the industry www.turbineengine.org/events for schedule
Phase I Execution
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Professional Development Programs
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Managing Airlines in Challenging Environments Three-day Short Course in Organized by Embry Riddle February 2013 @ Daytona Beach Campus http://daytonabeach.erau.edu/cob/degrees-programs/professional-development/index.html
Course Content Air Transport Trend and Outlook Airline Pricing & Revenue Management Crew resource management Labor Negotiation Network Development
Fleet Planning Airline Finance/Fuel Hedge Aviation Insurance Airline Operation Simulation Irregular Operations Management Air Cargo Operations & Hub Strategies
Cargo Revenue Management
Fan Drive System
Gearbox on LEAP’s Architecture? Open Rotor?
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Fan Size trend
FAN DIA , Nacelle DIA , Engine Weight , Landing Gear FOD , Transportation Cost , Maintenance Cost
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Fan - Propulsor Architecture
Success Story: GE90 Implementation Result: Fundamentally Different Fleet Management
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Higher T4 & Fan DIA = CMC & TiAl
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Manufacturing Technology: Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS)
• Cobalt Chromium • Inconel 718 • Inconel 625 • Titanium-6Al-4V • Titanium-6Al-4V ELI • Aluminum 6061-T6 • Stainless 316L • Stainless 17-4PH • EOS Stainless GP1 • EOS Stainless PH1 • EOS Aluminum AlSi10Mg • EOS Maraging Steel MS1 • EOS Direct Metal 20
Rapid Prototyping & Smaller Parts Challenge: Expensive Powder Supply
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$22B+ Global MRO Market OEMRO
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Airline Shop OEM Shop Independent
LHT 5A/5B/5C/7
Snecma all models
Finnair 5B/5C
SR Technics
5B/5C/7
TAP 3/5B/5C
Iberia 5A/5B/5C
GE Strothers all models
Air France/KLM 3/5A/5B/5C/7
China Airlines
5B/5C/7
GE Wales all models
NEC 3/5B/7
MTU Zhuhai
3/5B/7
Alitalia 5B
ACTS 5A/5B/5C
GE Celma 3/5A/5B/5C
AeroThrust 3/7
American 7
CEES 3
Delta Tech Ops
3/7
ESA 5C
GAMCO 5A
GE Malaysia
3
GMF 3
IAI 3/7
IHI 3/5A
LTAI 3/7
MTU Hannover
3/7
JTS 3
Snecma Morocco
3/7
Snecma Sichuan
5B/7
STA 3/7
Turkish 3/5C/7
Timco 3
United 3
Ameco 3
Snecma Brussels
3
ANA 5A
PIA 3
GE Varig 3
Avio 3
Olympic 5C
KAL 7
JAT 3
SAMES 3/7
MTU Vancouver 3
7000+ GTF and LEAP Sold – Non Available For 3rd Party
PBH Coverage – Source TEAMSAI CFMI: ~35% Installed Trent: ~90% Installed V2500: ~43% Installed V2500: ~ 80% Future Deliveries
Cost Of Ownership
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Majority Future Fleet Lessors Owned
Fuel Consumption, Noise, Emission and $/Flight Hour
EIS Part Out $Z
TSN = 0 Hr TSN = X Hr
SV1 $Y1
SV2 $Y2
SV3 $Y3
$/Flight Hour =$𝑌1+$𝑌2+$𝑌3
𝑋
Modular Intermix Design Management
TUI’s -7B 50K First Run – Legacy Architecture Design Challenge: Tracking time/cycles/config on each module
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Fleet utilization & module hard time tracking – Excel spreadsheet or modern live tracking systems
Health monitoring – EGT and Condition considerations, ACARS utilization pros & cons
Removal & Staggering forecast – LLP expiration, AD/SB, Cost of ownership analysis, UERs
Lease vs. owned fleet – lease return considerations including work scope and installation
Time & Material vs. Power-By-Hour – Pros & Cons with respect to the fleet condition & ownership
Service Provider Selection – Capability for true Nose-To-Tail coverage airframe+ engine + APUs
Industry standard metrics to measure service providers – Performance, Repair & Part Supply Chain
Contract interpretation and negotiations – Standard language & coverage comparison template
What definition zeros the clock on engine modules? Changes in work scope definitions & req’ts
Module swap vs. own module complete teardown concept
Removal lease engine support – Lessor’s lease pool vs. MRO lease supply pros & cons
PMA & DER Incorporation - True Engine Concept, Return to OEM Configuration at redelivery time
PMA & DER’s System Impact – Time for Reliability Data & 10 year cost of ownership improvement?
Repair vs. replace (new or serviceable) decisions - Invoice assessment, next shop visit decisions
Test cell modular performance expectation vs. work scope performed – Expected on wing time
OEM’s role in the process – MRO player, consultant, reference, part and repair supplier, …
Design For Optimum MRO
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THANK YOU!
QUESTIONS?
Email: [email protected] Telephone: +1 (310) 266-5514 IAEA on @IAEA1, International Aircraft Engine Association
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