Transcript
Page 1: Sustainable Energy Options:

Sustainable Energy Options:

Maintaining access to abundant fossil fuels

Klaus S. Lackner

Columbia University

November 2007

Page 2: Sustainable Energy Options:

Sustainable energy development is not about limiting access to energy

• low cost, plentiful, and clean energy for all• Energy is central to sustainable growth• Energy can overcome all other limits

Environment

MineralsWater

Food

Energy

Page 3: Sustainable Energy Options:

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

100 1000 10000 100000

GDP ($/person/year)

Pri

ma

ry E

ne

rgy

Co

ns

um

pti

on

(k

W/p

ers

on

)

Norway USA France UK

Brazil

Russia

India

China

$0.38/kWh (primary)

Energy, Wealth, Economic Growth

EIA Data 2002

Page 4: Sustainable Energy Options:

IPCC Model Simulations of CO2 Emissions

Page 5: Sustainable Energy Options:

Growth in Energy Consumption

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100

Year

Fra

cti

on

al

Ch

an

ge

Constant Growth 1.6% Plus Population Growth to 10 billion Closing the Gap at 2%

Energy intensity drop 1%/yr Energy Intensity drop 1.5%/yr Energy Intensity drop 2% per year

Constant per capita growth

Plus Population Growth

Closing the Gap

1% energy intensity reduction

1.5% energy intensity reduction

2.0% energy intensity reduction

Page 6: Sustainable Energy Options:

Carbon as a Low-Cost Source of Energy

H.H. Rogner, 1997

Lift

ing

Cost

Cumulative Gt of Carbon Consumed

US1990$ per barrel of oil equivalent

Cumulative

Carbon

Consumption as

of1997

Page 7: Sustainable Energy Options:

Refining

Carbon

Diesel

Coal

Shale

Fossil fuels are fungible

Tar

Oil

NaturalGas

Jet Fuel

Heat

Electricity

Ethanol

Methanol

DME

Hydrogen

SynthesisGas

Page 8: Sustainable Energy Options:

The Challenge:Holding the Stock of CO2 constant

Constant emissions at 2010

rate

33% of 2010 rate

10% of 2010 rate

0% of 2010 rate

Extension of Historic

Growth Rates

450 ppm

280 ppm

Page 9: Sustainable Energy Options:

The Mismatch in Carbon Sources and Sinks

43

1

2

5

1800-

2000

Fossil Carbon Consumption to

date

180ppmincrease in

the air 30% ofthe Oceanacidified

30% increase inSoil Carbon

50%increase

inbiomass

Page 10: Sustainable Energy Options:

A Triad of Large Scale Options

• Solar– Cost reduction and mass-manufacture

• Nuclear– Cost, waste, safety and security

• Fossil Energy– Zero emission, carbon storage and

interconvertibility

Markets will drive efficiency, conservation and alternative energy

Page 11: Sustainable Energy Options:

Small Energy Resources

• Hydro-electricity– Cheap but limited

• Biomass– Sun and land limited, severe competition with

food

• Wind– Stopping the air over Colorado every day?

• Geothermal– Geographically limited

• Tides, Waves & Ocean Currents– Less than human energy generation

Page 12: Sustainable Energy Options:

Net Zero Carbon EconomyNet Zero Carbon Economy

CO2 from distributed emissions

Permanent & safe disposal

CO2 from concentrated

sources

Capture from power plants, cement, steel,

refineries, etc.

Geological Storage Mineral carbonate disposal

Capture from air

Page 13: Sustainable Energy Options:

Dividing The Fossil Carbon Pie

900 Gt C

total

550 ppm

Past

10yr

Page 14: Sustainable Energy Options:

Removing the Carbon Constraint

5000 Gt C

totalPast

Page 15: Sustainable Energy Options:

Net Zero Carbon EconomyNet Zero Carbon Economy

CO2 from distributed emissions

Permanent & safe

disposal

CO2 from concentrated sources

Capture from power plants, cement,

steel, refineries, etc.

Geological Storage Mineral carbonate

disposal

Capture from air

Page 16: Sustainable Energy Options:

Storage Life Time

5000 Gt of C

200 years at 4 times current rates of emission

Storage

Slow Leak (0.04%/yr)

2 Gt/yr for 2500 years

Current Emissions: 7Gt/year

Page 17: Sustainable Energy Options:

Underground Injection

statoil

Page 18: Sustainable Energy Options:

Gravitational TrappingSubocean Floor Disposal

Page 19: Sustainable Energy Options:

Energy States of Carbon

Carbon

Carbon Dioxide

Carbonate

400 kJ/mole

60...180 kJ/mole

The ground state of carbon is a mineral

carbonate

Page 20: Sustainable Energy Options:

Rockville Quarry

Mg3Si2O5(OH)4 + 3CO2(g) 3MgCO3 + 2SiO2 +2H2O(l)+63kJ/mol CO2

Page 21: Sustainable Energy Options:

Bedrock geology GIS datasets – All U.S. (Surface area)120°W130°W

110°W

110°W

100°W

100°W 90°W

90°W

80°W

80°W

70°W

25°N 25°N

30°N 30°N

35°N 35°N

40°N 40°N

45°N 45°N

$0 1,000,000

Meters

Legend

ultramafic rock

67°W

67°W

66°W

66°W

65°W

18°N

18°N19°N

0 140,000

Meters

Puerto Rico

8733 km2

920 km2

166 km2Total = 9820 ±100 km2

Page 22: Sustainable Energy Options:

Belvidere Mountain, Vermont

Serpentine Tailings

Page 23: Sustainable Energy Options:

Oman Peridotite

Page 24: Sustainable Energy Options:

Net Zero Carbon EconomyNet Zero Carbon Economy

CO2 from distributed emissions

Permanent & safe disposal

CO2 from concentrated

sources

Capture from power plants, cement, steel,

refineries, etc.

Geological Storage Mineral carbonate disposal

Capture from air

Page 25: Sustainable Energy Options:

Many Different Options

• Flue gas scrubbing– MEA, chilled ammonia

• Oxyfuel Combustion– Naturally zero emission

• Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle– Difficult as zero emission

• AZEP Cycles– Mixed Oxide Membranes

• Fuel Cell Cycles– Solid Oxide Membranes

Page 26: Sustainable Energy Options:

CO2 N2

H2OSOx, NOx and

other Pollutants

Carbon

Air

Zero Emission Principle

Solid Waste

Power Plant

Page 27: Sustainable Energy Options:

Steam Reforming

Page 28: Sustainable Energy Options:

Boudouard Reaction

Page 29: Sustainable Energy Options:

C + O2 CO2

no change in mole volume

entropy stays constantG = H

2H2 + O2 2H2O

large reduction in mole volumeentropy decreases in reactantsmade up by heat transfer to

surroundings G < H

Carbon makes a better fuel cell

Page 30: Sustainable Energy Options:

PCO2CO2O2-

CO32- CO3

2-CO32- CO3

2-

O2- O2- O2- CO2Phase I: Solid Oxide

Phase II: Molten Carbonate

CO2 Membrane

Jennifer Wade

High partial

pressure of CO2

Low partial pressure of CO2

Page 31: Sustainable Energy Options:

CO2

extraction from air

Permanent & safe disposal

CO2 from concentrated

sources

Net Zero Carbon EconomyNet Zero Carbon Economy

Page 32: Sustainable Energy Options:

Relative size of a tank

Electrical, mechanical

storage

Batteries etc.

hydrogen

gasoline

Page 33: Sustainable Energy Options:

Challenge: CO2 in air is dilute

• Energetics limits options– Work done on air must be small

• compared to heat content of carbon• 10,000 J/m3 of air

• No heating, no compression, no cooling

• Low velocity 10m/s (60 J/m3)Solution: Sorbents remove CO2 from

air flow

Page 34: Sustainable Energy Options:

CO2

1 m3of Air40 moles of gas, 1.16 kg

wind speed 6 m/s

0.015 moles of CO2

produced by 10,000 J of gasoline

2

20 J2

mv

Volumes are drawn to scale

CO2 Capture from Air

Page 35: Sustainable Energy Options:

Air Capture: Collection & Regeneration

Ion exchange resin as sorbent, regeneration with humidity

Regeneration• CO2 is recovered with:

○ low-temperature water vapor○ plus optional low-grade heat

• Regenerated solid sorbent is reused over and over for years

Collection• Natural wind carries CO2 through

collector • CO2 binds to surface of proprietary

sorbent materials

1

2

Page 36: Sustainable Energy Options:

Collecting CO2 with Synthetic Trees

Current GRT Development

Mass-Manufactured Air Capture Units

GRT Pre-Prototype Air Capture Modules - 2007

From Technology Validation to Market-Flexible Products to Scalable Global Solutions

Courtesy GRT*

*K. S. Lackner is a member of GRT

Page 37: Sustainable Energy Options:

Carbon, Water & Energy Balance

• Life Cycle contributions are small• Energy consumption dominates

– 50kJ of mechanical energy per mole of CO2

– Gasoline releases 700 kJ of heat per mole

• CO2 balance is excellent

– Coal plant would release 30% of captured CO2

• Plant consumes saltwater, produces fresh water– 10 tons of saltwater consumed per ton of CO2

– 1 ton of fresh water produced per ton of CO2

Page 38: Sustainable Energy Options:

Comparison to Flue Stack Scrubbing

• Much larger collector• Similar sorbent recovery• Cost is in the sorbent recovery

Page 39: Sustainable Energy Options:

Hydrogen or Air Extraction?

Coal,Gas Fossil Fuel Oil

Hydrogen Gasoline

Consumption Consumption

Distribution Distribution

CO2 Transport Air Extraction

CO2 Disposal

Cost comparisons

Page 40: Sustainable Energy Options:

Wind area that carries 22 tons of CO2 per year

Wind area that carries 10 kW

0.2 m 2

for CO2 80 m 2

for Wind Energy

How much wind? (6m/sec)

50 cents/ton of CO2 for contacting

Page 41: Sustainable Energy Options:

Sorbent Choices

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

100 1000 10000 100000

CO2 Partial Pressure (ppm)

Bin

din

g E

ne

rgy

(k

J/m

ole

)

350K

300KAir Power plant

Page 42: Sustainable Energy Options:

EnergySource

EnergyConsumer

H2O H2O

O2

O2

H2

CO2

CO2

H2 CH2

Materially Closed Energy Cycles

Page 43: Sustainable Energy Options:

C H

O

Fuels

Oxidizer

Combustion products

Biomass

CO

Fischer Tropsch Synthesis GasMethanol

EthanolNatural Gas

Town Gas

PetroleumCoal

GasolineBenzeneCarbon Hydrogen

CO2 H2O

Oxygen

Increasing Hydrogen Content

Incr

easi

ng O

xid

ati

on S

tate

Methane

Free

O2

Free C

- H

Page 44: Sustainable Energy Options:

C H

O

Fuels

Oxidizer

Combustion products

Biomass

CO

Fischer Tropsch Synthesis GasMethanol

EthanolNatural Gas

Town Gas

PetroleumCoal

GasolineBenzeneCarbon Hydrogen

CO2 H2O

Oxygen

Increasing Hydrogen Content

Incr

easi

ng O

xid

ati

on S

tate

Methane

Free

O2

Free C

- H

Page 45: Sustainable Energy Options:

C H

O

Fuels

Oxidizer

Combustion products

Biomass

CO

Fischer Tropsch Synthesis GasMethanol

EthanolNatural Gas

Town Gas

PetroleumCoal

GasolineBenzeneCarbon Hydrogen

CO2 H2O

Oxygen

Increasing Hydrogen Content

Incr

easi

ng O

xid

ati

on S

tate

Methane

Free

O2

Free C

- H

Page 46: Sustainable Energy Options:

Refining

Carbon

Gasoline

Diesel

Fossil

Nuclear

Fischer Tropsch:-- Connecting Sources to Carriers

-- Carriers to Consumers

Solar

Biomass

Wind ,Hydro

Jet Fuel

Heat

Electricity

Ethanol

Methanol

DME

Hydrogen

SynthesisGas

Chemicals

Geo

CO2

Page 47: Sustainable Energy Options:

Carbon Capture and Storagefor

Carbon Neutral World

• CCS simplifies Carbon Accounting– Ultimate cap is zero– Finite amount of carbon left

• Air Capture– Can turn the clock back– Maintain access to liquid

hydrocarbons– Close the carbon cycle

Page 48: Sustainable Energy Options:

Private SectorCarbon Extraction

CarbonSequestratio

n

Farming, Manufacturing, Service, etc.

Certified Carbon Accounting

certificates

certification

Public Institutionsand Government

Carbon Board

guidance

Permits

&

Credits


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