The Future of Agriculture
www.nikolasbadminton.com
Today’s World
“I know there's a farmer out there somewhere who never wants a PC and that's fine with me.”
Bill Gates
2.87bn smart phones by 2020.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/330695/number-of-smartphone-users-worldwide/
“The amount of data on the planet is set to grow 10-fold in the next six years to 2020 from around 4.4 zettabytes to
44ZB.”
http://www.computerweekly.com/news/2240217788/Data-set-to-grow-10-fold-by-2020-as-internet-of-things-takes-off
http://www.visualcapitalist.com/chart-largest-companies-market-cap-15-years/
Data is the new oil.
“The amount of data on the planet is set to grow 10-fold in the next six years to 2020 from around 4.4 zettabytes to 44ZB.”
http://www.computerweekly.com/news/2240217788/Data-set-to-grow-10-fold-by-2020-as-internet-of-things-takes-off
“Food production must increase with 60% to be able to feed the growing
population expected to hit 9 billion in 2050.”
United Nations
Internet of Things
And, the future…
Automation & Drones
Big DataArtificial Intelligence
Water…
Internet of Things
“The Internet of Things (IoT) is the network of physical objects or "things" embedded with electronics, software,
sensors, and network connectivity, which enables these objects to collect and
exchange data.”
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_of_Things
The promise: • Higher productivity and more efficient
use of land, water and fertilizer. • Greater transparency. • Big data, and the software to collect it.
“94% of all businesses have seen a return on their IoT investments.”
CMO.com
Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html
Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/
Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/https://www.realagriculture.com/2017/01/sclerotinia-biosensor-could-text-you-when-its-time-to-spray/
InnoTech Alberta - Sclerotinia detection in canola
“Moocall believes it could reduce the mortality rate of cows and calves by 80%.
More than 110,000 calves and 50,000 cows die each year due to birthing complications. In
addition to saving lives, it can save farmers money, with cows costing between £1,000 and £5,000 a pop, and also increase productivity.”
Challenges • Cost efficiency • Connectivity • Security • Maintenance and Upgrades • Data, data, data • Training
Big Data
The promise • Better decisions that prevent
mistakes and increase efficiency. • Machine learning. • Optimized planting • Identify disease outbreaks. • Creating better seeds and hybrids
Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html
Farm at Hand - Enterprise Resource Planning
Source: https://www.deere.com/en_US/corporate/our_company/news_and_media/press_releases/2014/agriculture/2014aug21_mjd_operations_center.page
Farmer’s Business Network
Source: https://www.farmersbusinessnetwork.com/
Farm Data Simplified. Analyze your soils, seeds, fertilizers, chemicals, yields,
economics, and weather.
Real World Seed Intelligence. Find optimal planting populations and practices on over 700
varieties.
Farmers Connecting. Join thousands of advanced farmers in the digital coffee shop -
this is the new way to share.
Farmer’s Business Network
But, there are some real concerns around big data usage…
Source: http://www.wsj.com/articles/startups-mine-market-moving-data-from-fields-parking-lotseven-shadows-1416502993
“UBS predicts that Wal-Mart’s second quarter sales will be up from the first quarter, but
down a percent against the same period a year ago.
But the satellite analysts figure that the number will come in 0.7 percent higher—not lower—based on the traffic surge they saw in the
parking lots.”http://www.cnbc.com/id/38722872
• Acquires worldwide data from agriculture, financial markets and climate, mapping the value-added information.
• Analyzes more than 200k data units per day collected through public and private agrometeorological stations, mapping drones, news, social networks and satellite images.
• Interpret data and build crop production and climate risk scenarios through realtime farm analysis.
SCICROP“THE S&P AND BLOOMBERG FOR AGRICULTURE.”
Challenges • Who owns the data? • How easy is it to acquire data? • Who profits off of the analytics? • How secure are the services?
Artificial Intelligence
The promise • Machine learning. • Automation. • Improved planning and efficiency. • 24/7/365 operations.
"AI is the new electricity”
Andrew NG, Chief Scientist, Baidu
“42% of Canadian jobs at high risk of being affected by
automation.”
http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/automation-job-brookfield-1.3636253
Retail salesperson. Administrative assistant. Food counter attendant.
Cashier. Transport truck driver.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/automation-job-brookfield-1.3636253
Will we be out of work?
Canada needs 182,000 people to fill positions for information systems analysts and consultants, computer and network operators, Web technicians, software
engineers and others in by 2019.
Read more: http://www.itworldcanada.com/article/canada-needs-182000-people-to-fill-these-it-positions-by-2019/287535#ixzz4bVmgXEZs
In 2015 only 29,000 people graduated from an IT field.
http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2016/03/12/it-jobs-skills-shortage-canada_n_9440872.html
Challenges • Changing how we train people for
work in a more technical world. • Training AI and building trust. • Maintenance. • Security.
Automation & Drones
The promise • Improved efficiencies • Ability to work longer hours • Reduced risk of injury to workers
“Because of limited arable land, productivity must increase 25% to
help meet that goal.”
The Robot ReportSource: http://www.therobotreport.com/news/ag-in-transition-from-precision-ag-to-full-autonomy
“Agricultural robot market size to grow from $817 million in 2013 to
$16.3 billion by 2020.”
ResearchMozSource: http://www.therobotreport.com/news/ag-in-transition-from-precision-ag-to-full-autonomy
Source: http://www.idtechex.com/research/reports/agricultural-robots-and-drones-2017-2027-technologies-markets-players-000525.asp
Autonomous Tractors
“more than 300k tractors equipped with autosteer or tractor guidance were sold in 2016, rising to more
than 660k units per year by 2027..”
Source: http://www.idtechex.com/research/reports/agricultural-robots-and-drones-2017-2027-technologies-markets-players-000525.asp
http://www.autonomoustractor.com/
http://www.autonomoustractor.com/
Weed Control
Source: http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/industrial-robots/bosch-deepfield-robotics-weed-control
WineBot
Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/
Herding Drone
Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/
Rosphere
Source: http://www.upm.es/internacional/UPM/UPM_Channel/News/9ec27b9df516f310VgnVCM10000009c7648aRCRD
And now, a look to the skies.
“The average size of a Canadian farm was 315 hectares in 2012. But in Saskatchewan,
the average size was 675 hectares.”
Statistics Canada
Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/
Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/
Farm Drones - Lancaster
“In 40 minutes, 120 hectares can be surveyed by Lancaster, the metre-long, 1.4-kilogram drone is used with various plug-and-play
imaging sensors, including infrared and hyper-spectral, which depict more than 100 channels of light that can reveal problem areas invisible
to the human eye.”
Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/
What can it do? • 3D terrain mapping • Plant height • Weed detection • Plant counting • Canopy cover • Crop health indexes • Season monitoring
What about some smaller applications with bigger
impacts?
Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/
“Honey bees are responsible for $30 billion a year in crops.”
“One of every three bites of food comes from plants pollinated by honeybees and other
pollinators. Yet, major declines in bee populations threaten the availability of many fresh ingredients consumers rely on for their
dinner tables.”
Whole Foods
Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/
Bee drones have wide-ranging applications • Autonomously pollinating a field of crops. • Hazardous environment exploration. • Search and rescue (e.g., in the aftermath of a
natural disaster). • High resolution weather and climate mapping. • Traffic monitoring. • Surveillance.
Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/
Challenges • Securing and patrolling the farm’s ground and
airspace. • Navigating legislation and remaining compliant. • Training and maintenance. • Hacking and theft. • Rogue UAVs.
Solar & Electric
“The solar and wind industries are each creating jobs at a rate 12 times faster than
that of the rest of the U.S. economy.”
http://fortune.com/2017/01/27/solar-wind-renewable-jobs/
“There is not a single crop that we could have grown on that land that would
generate the income that we get from the solar farm.”
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/04/solar-power-more-lucrative-than-crops-at-some-us-farms.html
“Solar companies, meanwhile, are paying top dollar, offering annual rents of $300 to
$700 an acre, according to the NC Sustainable Energy Association.”
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/04/solar-power-more-lucrative-than-crops-at-some-us-farms.html
https://us.sunpower.com/commercial-solar/industries/agriculture/
“New investments [in solar in Canada] dropped 46% in 2016, bringing it to the lowest its been in a decade, according to
data from Bloomberg New Energy Finance.”
http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2017/02/07/solar-power_n_14636622.html
What about electric vehicles (EVs)?
http://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-ev-oil-crisis/
400K preorders
https://www.alke.com/agricultural-vehicles
https://electrek.co/2016/12/05/john-deere-electric-tractor-prototype/
SESAM
John Deer SESAM spec •Two 150 kW electric motors •130 kWh lithium-ion battery •Up to four hours or 55 km of range •Three hours recharge
Diesel > Biofuel > Electric
Diesel > Biofuel > Electric
2023 to 2025
Security
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pL9q2lOZ1Fw https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hcoVMXLTQzw
Power Grids Traffic Grids
“Between April 2014 and the end of 2015, the FBI received 4,291 reports of ransomware attacks. Losses over that period totaled nearly $50 million.”
FUSION
http://fusion.net/story/278801/hackers-ransomware-hospital-smart-cities/
Your farm will be at risk.
Water
Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/
Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/
Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/
“86% of the people in the developed world will live in cities by 2050.”
United Nations
Hydroponics
"We're growing in 16 days what otherwise takes 30 days in a field - using
95% less water, about 50% less fertilizers, zero pesticides, herbicides, fungicides"
David Rosenberg, CEO, AeroFarms
Source: http://www.cnbc.com/2015/06/24/vertical-farming-the-next-big-thing-for-food-and-tech.html
http://www.ecobaingardens.ca/
Aquaponics
https://www.springwise.com/dutch-shoppers-pick-herbs-supermarket-garden/
The Future?
Smartdust
Human Augmentation
New foods
Gene Editing
Alt-Power
Alt-Power
http://blogs.rsc.org/cs/2012/09/25/a-centenary-for-solar-fuels/
http://ourpower.ca/field-trip-hydrostor/
http://www.new-harvest.org/
http://www.new-harvest.org/
From $325,000 to $11.36
https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-hampton-creek-just-mayo/https://www.soylent.com/
Further to the south of England in Basingstoke, animal genetics firm Genus
has tapped the same "CRISPR-Cas9" technique to develop the world's first pigs
resistant to a devastating and common viral disease, in a tie-up with U.S. researchers.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-science-gene-editing-farming-idUSKCN0YH1FS
https://backchannel.com/the-crazy-tiny-next-generation-of-computers-17e89e472839#.2uyvj154o
C’mon get serious…
The Farmer Innovator
Data Science Automation & Drones
SecurityResearch & Development
SustainabilityInternet of Things
The Future of Agriculture
www.nikolasbadminton.com