詹姆士看天下 2016/12/26

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Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.2016/12/26

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

: Bloomberg 2016/12/23

(%)9/053.973.876.50%%5.12

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>IND>12)HE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOL2

Bloomberg1bp=0.01% :2016/12/23(%)(bp)(bp)(bp)3.873813762976.504214163355.123043032773.97193195181

()()()()()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>18)>>14)16)OASHE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOLLDMP3


MSCIMSCI

(%)



(%)

(bp)0.2210.0562.537$1.0456$53.020117.33$1133.95103.01

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#bp5

: Bloomberg 2016/12/23 ==225= (%)


6

(1.74%)

(1.72%)

(-3.90%) 2 2

(-3.05%)


7

Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#WFII

8

()Bloomberg : 2016/12/23()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#BLP WEEKLY REPORT :>

9

()Bloomberg : 2016/12/23()


12/26 () 11 0.5%0.5%12/27 () 11 108.3107.1 11 3.0%3.0% 11 CPI 0.5%0.1%12/28 () 11 ()1.0%0.0% 11 0.9%-0.1%12/29 () 11 ()0.1%-0.4% 12 Markit PMI52.053.6 11 CPI 0.9%0.7%12/30 () 3 GDP ()-0.4%-0.4% 12 PMI56.857.6 12 CPI 1.3%1.3%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#CDR2) >>GALAXY

9ISMPMI50.211

19 10 11 4.6% 2008 21 200 3 3 10 5 12 2 3 GDP 3.5% 2 CFTC 2010 4 103 14 1 1.23 10 2.3 25 1.04 14 Economic Times 2 11 10% 6% 2 SOMO 2021


12

Donald Trump 304 45 2 Hillary Clinton5 7

3GDP3.5% 2 3 GDP 3.5% 3.2% 3.3% 2

Barack Obama 20 63 Outer Continental Shelf ActOCS


13

121912483

17 SMMT 2016 11 161 2004 1999 170


14

22 2017 8,300 96.7

6 12 GDP GDP 2020 25 4 GDP 1/5


15

20 3 6 3

San Pablito 32 20 300 4 31 72


3 GDP ()3.5%3.3%3.2% 12 Markit PMI ()53.455.254.6 11 59.257.556.3 11 561550560 11 ()-4.6%-4.8%4.6% 11 PCE ()1.6%1.7%1.7% 12 ()98.298.098.0 3 GDP ()2.2%2.3%2.3% 3 GDP ()1.0%1.1%1.1% 11 PPI 0.1%-0.2%-0.4% 10 1.2%0.3%-0.6%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#PMIGDP17

11 ()11.9%1.6%1.2% 11 CPI ()0.0%0.0%-0.1% 11 CPI ()1.8%1.5%1.4%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%1.5%1.5%1.5% 11 5.4%5.5%5.4% 3 GDP -3.8%-3.7%-3.4%8.00%8.00%8.00%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#9CPI18

(%)MSCI1759.150.25 2.23 2.58 9.35 5.80 5.09 2263.790.25 2.28 5.48 11.11 10.76 9.84 1371.510.54 1.80 10.52 21.64 20.74 18.77 359.98-0.01 5.12 5.88 11.80 -1.59 -1.72 255.390.42 4.10 4.29 10.69 -2.37 -1.94 22519427.670.14 6.78 15.76 19.43 1.89 2.69 5116.870.51 6.87 16.65 22.50 8.55 10.32 3110.15-0.41 -4.65 4.35 8.96 -12.12 -14.27 MSCI841.60-1.73 -1.66 -7.06 4.43 5.98 4.67 MSCI411.04-2.53 -2.76 -8.40 4.21 1.84 0.92 MSCI288.78-1.20 6.48 4.99 10.77 18.15 15.21 MSCI2265.151.01 -1.35 -4.28 6.05 23.79 21.76 MSCI235.26-0.38 3.13 -3.22 4.17 11.92 9.23 Bloomberg122.890.37 -0.60 -4.16 -3.10 0.51 0.47 Bloomberg137.400.32 0.42 -1.50 0.72 4.37 4.44 Bloomberg142.630.64 0.07 -3.55 -1.03 5.16 5.23 Bloomberg159.520.39 1.73 0.37 4.31 14.34 14.57 Bloomberg169.350.37 1.88 1.64 6.57 17.11 17.61 Bloomberg172.920.22 1.75 1.37 4.08 8.52 7.89 ETF46.411.16 1.00 0.22 7.93 7.23 4.54 Bloomberg154.740.62 0.88 -3.45 1.02 10.24 10.34 Bloomberg121.97-0.06 -1.12 -6.63 -3.92 0.10 0.17 Bloomberg159.730.42 -3.03 -5.63 -1.05 7.70 7.67

Bloomberg 2016/12/23


19

(%)()MSCI219.84-0.11 5.80 11.95 11.88 23.27 20.19 MSCI220.48-0.15 0.26 3.31 13.29 19.39 17.66 MSCI106.930.00 4.60 15.24 24.16 10.21 9.41 MSCI198.110.04 0.91 3.35 9.91 2.32 2.06 MSCI207.250.33 1.61 -5.63 -3.28 -0.55 -1.12 MSCI214.010.63 1.09 3.38 11.28 11.57 11.16 MSCI163.160.47 1.47 2.54 16.42 11.46 10.74 MSCI69.641.65 4.97 -2.89 -0.81 2.52 2.14 MSCI114.780.65 3.65 3.65 -2.92 2.78 2.37 MSCI193.090.09 0.56 -6.06 -1.91 -8.14 -8.46 NBI2850.350.20 -4.31 -7.41 9.42 -19.49 -19.82 AMEX168.962.20 -3.87 -27.39 -28.97 51.97 44.73 REITsFTSE15659.490.00 2.63 -6.62 -1.61 6.89 7.10 REITsFTSE1886.23-0.26 2.90 -7.52 -1.88 5.40 5.83 REITsFTSE1305.191.26 5.55 -2.58 2.03 -10.23 -10.84 REITsFTSE1627.631.56 0.55 -11.61 -5.44 10.12 10.29 (/)1133.95-0.08 -4.38 -15.39 -13.94 6.65 5.19 (/)15.75-2.13 -3.76 -19.99 -8.89 13.76 10.04 (/)5469.00-2.95 -4.72 12.65 14.41 16.24 15.87 (/)55.16-0.09 12.69 20.20 8.35 47.96 47.64 (/)53.022.16 10.55 19.20 5.81 43.14 41.39 CRB190.53-0.47 2.59 3.00 0.98 8.17 8.20 825.23-2.57 -2.93 -0.61 -6.05 0.15 -0.26



(%)1.04560.05 -1.57 -7.17 -5.24 -3.82 -4.75 117.330.51 -4.46 -14.37 -12.95 2.60 2.76 1.2282-1.71 -1.03 -5.29 -7.09 -16.61 -17.42 1.0265-0.04 -1.39 -5.63 -4.72 -2.42 -3.78 1.3533-1.48 -0.97 -2.33 -3.48 2.19 2.67 0.7176-1.75 -3.96 -5.89 -1.96 -1.37 -0.87 1202.85-1.61 -2.48 -7.68 -1.48 -2.08 -2.89 32.1590-0.64 -1.17 -1.79 1.07 2.32 2.30 6.94620.22 -0.39 -3.98 -5.26 -6.51 -6.75 13452.00-0.43 0.97 -2.69 -0.38 2.88 1.83 67.8250-0.08 1.09 -1.73 -0.85 -2.46 -2.38 35.9720-0.33 -1.24 -3.89 -1.81 0.11 0.26 1.4473-0.13 -1.58 -5.97 -5.79 -1.96 -2.84 4.47420.08 -0.66 -8.06 -10.23 -4.02 -3.64 49.70500.46 0.31 -3.35 -6.47 -5.63 -4.85 13.99800.25 -2.18 -2.54 10.20 10.20 9.07 3.5173-0.34 -2.83 -15.18 -16.38 -17.00 -17.32 61.38551.09 5.89 4.42 6.97 18.38 17.90 4.21590.22 -1.30 -9.49 -4.09 -7.07 -8.31 295.831.09 -1.02 -7.85 -2.51 -1.92 -3.41 4.3344-0.44 -1.81 -8.71 -5.15 -3.88 -4.73 3.27033.47 3.67 -0.80 2.06 21.11 20.51 20.6095-0.83 0.14 -3.52 -6.90 -16.48 -16.31 15.48652.57 0.38 -2.05 -7.00 -16.50 -16.06



(%) () (bp)30 3.1138-6.010.979.370.49.815.4102.5373-5.418.095.397.726.829.60.0560-2.51.412.022.6-20.9-22.30.2210-9.3-4.130.312.8-40.8-40.80.6940-7.3-8.847.924.0-29.4-28.91.8220-5.1-29.560.842.222.616.41.3770-4.7-21.941.0-8.9-39.4-45.73.7500-5.27.237.366.0123.4120.63.4290-5.0-23.063.442.248.648.011.1300-26.0-25.0162.0168.039.033.08.55060.2-28.535.35.6-100.3-106.53.1400-18.0-39.035.0-5.0-19.0-19.08.9810-3.9-1.641.810.2-81.4-49.311.4570-51.6-40.5-41.5-96.9-505.5-479.67.41505.0-2.8127.5134.6113.8115.72.1150-4.5-1.561.349.03.00.37.8920-9.2-15.4102.528.4-85.3-83.8*6.52902.324.8-27.5-95.2-123.2-122.02.86801.729.770.775.736.831.6

: Bloomberg 2016/12/23 *


20082014-26.69% -5.61%-36.09% -7.28%-20.81% ---18.82%-5.58%-21.11% -12.76%-9.52% -5.56%

Bloomberg() 2016/11/21%

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#G 640423

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.


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詹姆士看天下 2016/12/26