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OECD/ECLAC REGIONAL CONSULTATIONInclusive Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean
Inclusive social policies
Simone Cecchini, ECLAC
2
Inclusive social policies have contributed to reduce poverty and inequality
• Different factors explain the decline in poverty and inequality in LAC– Economic growth with job creation in the formal
sector
– Higher (and more progressive) taxes and social investment
– Adoption of counter-cyclical policies
– Longer-term trends such as demographic and labour participation trends; decline in unsatisfied basic needs
– Positive impact of social protection programmes
Steady growth of non-contributory social protection and social investment
5.7
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18.2 18.7 19.5 20.3
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2000 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
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2000 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011
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35.837.2
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32.0
34.0
36.0
38.0
40.0
42.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CCT COVERAGE(Percentage of total population)
CCT INVESTMENT(Percentages of GDP)
SOCIAL PENSIONS COVERAGE(Percentages of population aged 65 and above)
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40
45
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55
60
65
70
75
80
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1991-1992
1993-1994
1995-1996
1997-1998
1999-2000
2001-2002
2003-2004
2005-2006
2007-2008
2009-2010
Perc
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Perc
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DP
Percentage of GDP
Percentage of public investment
SOCIAL PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN LAC (percentage of GDP and percentage of total public
investment)
Disincentives to labour insertion?
• Some argue that these programmes are creating dependency instead of fostering families’ autonomous efforts to overcome poverty– Disincentive to the labour supply on the part of the poor
• However, the amounts of the cash transfers have a quite limited capacity of covering poor families’ income deficit– Difficult for poor people to stop looking for work simply
because they receive public cash transfers
• Impact evaluations from 6 LAC countries do not find empirical evidence of CCTs’ disincentives to beneficiaries’ labour insertion
Incentives to informalization?
• Levy (2010) has argued against a “vicious circle” of non-contributory social programmes that generate subsidies to the informal sector, incentivizing workers to look for low-productivity jobs (in order to avoid compulsory social security savings) – Programmes are lowering the productivity of labour and capital, and
contributing to the generation of low-quality employment
• However, most CCTs are not directed to working-age adults, but rather to children, nor are they targeted according to the working conditions of beneficiaries
• In Brazil, Medeiros, Britto and Veras Soares (2008) find that the Continuous Benefit Programme (BPC), a social pension for older adults and people with disabilities, has not been a cause for lower contributions to social security
• Latin America’s informality rate has decreased while CCTs and social pensions expanded, going from 54.6% of employed workers in 1990 to 49.1% in 2009
From a “vicious” to a “virtuous” cycle
Cash transfers
Guaranteed level of minimum subsistence
Resources available to cover labour insertion
costs (job search, transport, etc.) and to
access better-paid jobs
Productive investments (agriculture,
micro enterprise)
Multiplier effect: stimulus to local economies and
growth
Simone CecchiniSocial Affairs OfficerSocial Development Division, [email protected]