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How early is early? The early stage investment philosophy of Butterfly Ventures

Butterfly ventures early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

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Butterfly Ventures early stage investment philosophy slide deck. The deck explains what kind of startups we're looking for and why.

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Page 1: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

How early is early?The early stage investment 

philosophy of Butterfly Ventures

Page 2: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Juho Risku• Involved with the web mid ‐90’s, since 

then at the very front of networked technology and business innovation

• Serial entrepreneur, founder in four companies, involved in hundreds of projects, gathered millions of venture financing and helped numerous startup entrepreneurs

• Outside of work: Big mountain freeriding, ice climbing and mountaineering , friend of good literature food and wine

Email: [email protected]: http://fi.likedin.com/in/jrisku About.me: http://about.me/juho.risku

Juho Risku• Involved with the web mid ‐90’s, since 

then at the very front of networked technology and business innovation

• Serial entrepreneur, founder in four companies, involved in hundreds of projects, gathered millions of venture financing and helped numerous startup entrepreneurs

• Outside of work: Big mountain freeriding, ice climbing and mountaineering , friend of good literature food and wine

Email: [email protected]: http://fi.likedin.com/in/jrisku About.me: http://about.me/juho.risku

Page 3: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

INTRODUCTIONWho we are, and what we do

Page 4: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Board of Directors

Jukka MäkinenChairman of the Board

Jari PasanenMember of the Board

The TeamPartners

Matti Kanninenmanaging partner

Juho Riskupartner, co-founder

Antti Kosunenpartner, co-founder,

and Board member

Page 5: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Northern Startup Fund

• Located in Oulu, Finland• Investors

– 5M from City of Oulu, First closing done– 5M from private investors

• Asymmetric, private investors have the preference– Will get their invested capital back first– Will get their share of the returns first

Page 6: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Idea

15‐90 k€ 200‐400 k€ 1‐2 M€ xx M€

Unqualified Qualified pre‐seed/seed Qualified expansion

Accelerating

StartUp

Financing

Financed – Exit

Go fast forward or fail fastScoutingScouting

Basics Preparation Proof of concept

Scope of main interest

OperationalizationOperationalization

Scale‐up

Σ < 500 k€ Σ < 2.5 M€

Fast forward, fail fast

First time Investment

Follow up InvestmentFollow up Investment

Follow

Exit

Page 7: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

THE RIGHT KIND OF STARTUPWhat we’re looking for and why

Page 8: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Trajectory of business

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48

Positive black swan

Scope of realistic trajectoryMarket potential& scalability

Page 9: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

image by freeimageslive.co.uk ‐ Halloween

Page 10: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Fragile, robust and antifragile

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48

Pivot forced by market

Fragile trajectory

Antifragile trajectory

Robust trajectory

Page 11: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Maximizing the exposure to positive black swans and avoiding fragility

Page 12: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Startups where in addition to money we can add value.

Page 13: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

THE INVESTMENT PROCESSWhen to start and how it happens

Page 14: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Decission making

Process• Quick look

– ~25% into prospect = examined in more detail

• Case selection– Heuristic analysis and scoring– Priorization: Each week, focus 

on top 3• Deal scoping

– Business model and cash flow analysis

– Deal proposal• Agreement and approval

Scoring criteria• Market / market potential• Founder team• Product and business model• Long term competitive 

advantage / protection fo market position

• Current situation• Exit potential• Financing requirements now 

and in future

Page 15: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Dealflow in numbers

>200

Seriously considered

25%

Prospect Invested

1.4%

+1kk +3kk<1kk

Page 16: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Stages ‐ dealflow vs. investments

Pre‐seed; 28%

Seed; 56%

Growth; 17%

Dealflow

Pre‐seed; 33%

Seed; 67%

Investments

Page 17: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

We like to get involved early on, preferably well before you need the 

money.

Page 18: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Valuation and time

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

‐12 ‐6 0 6 12 18 24

Pre‐seed

Seed

Crash point

Page 19: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

EXAMPLESA few cases of ours

Page 20: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

NWG Tools (pre‐seed)• Value proposition: 200% profit increase for tiling contractors ‐ verified by proto

• Invested because– Clear and simple value proposition– Great neatly protectable and enforceable IPR– Team with strong industry experience  + commitment– Lean operation mode

• Invested for– First commercial product version– Customer value proposition validation– Reference customer acquisition

Page 21: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

MyPose (seed)• Value proposition: Significant revenue stream for clothing 

retailers and cost effective social media marketing –investment paid back in 3‐10 months

• Invested because– Industry dynamics changing value proposition– Clever business model with billion dollar market opportunity 

and naturally viral product– Capable committed team– First product version tested by several customers (Marimekko, 

Calvin Klein, One Piece)• Invested for

– Business model finalization and value proposition validation– Acquisition of reference customers

Page 22: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

FilmMe (seed)• Value proposition: Easy and cost effective filming of your self in 

action without having someone else operating the camera• Invested because

– Clear value proposition for different actors– Attractive business model with billion dollar market opportunity and 

naturally viral product– Demonstrated market traction with 180k€ worth of pre‐agreements– Committed balanced team with marketing and technological skill

• Invested for– Business model validation– Establishing the required metrics for follow on round

Page 23: Butterfly ventures   early stage investment philosophy - 18.6.2013

Here’s the front line, lets rock!